Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic -2 | Top | 112-92 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic The reigning NBA MVP Joel Embiid will be out of action again tonight as he continues to recover from a strained ankle he suffered Friday night in the first quarter of a 121-111 win over the Toronto Raptors. He did continue to play on it logging regular game minutes. An ankle injury gets evaluated the next day, but seeing him play that many minutes makes for the possibility he will be back on the court by the weekend. The 76ers are 0-4 straight-up (SU) and 1-3 ATS this season with Embiid out of the lineup. Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog to a 3.5-point favorite that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and facing a foe that has seen their last three games produce 220 or more points in each one has earned a 59-26 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2018. If it is a non-divisional matchup, these teams have produced a 49-20 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2018. If the total is between 220 and 234.5 points, these home teams have gone 26-12 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2018. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Memphis vs New Orleans Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, these road dogs have produced a 43-24-1 ATS for 64% winning bets. If our dog is priced between pick and 7.5 points the have earned a 12-4 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs. LA Lakers Betting on road favorites coming off a win by 20 or more points and is facing a host that has scored and allowed 107 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a highly profitable 36-7 SU (84%) and 30-13 ATS (70% winning bets overt the past 10 seasons. We were on the Celtics as an 8-Unit blowout win over the Clippers defeating them 145-108 and covering the spread by 32.5 points. They are playing great team basketball and I see them rolling in this game as well. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Celtics -2 v. Clippers | Top | 145-108 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers Betting on road favorites that are coming off a win by 20 or more points that are facing a host that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 104-30 SU record for 78% wis and 84-47-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. If the foe scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, our road favorite has gone 54-12 SU and 44-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Nuggets v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Brooklyn vs Denver Nets are 19-8 ATS when revenging a road loss in games played over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the Nets are 62-13 SU and 52-22 ATS (70%) at home when making at least 37% of their 3-point shots and scoring at least 110 points in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
12-21-23 | Clippers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 115-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
Clippers vs Thunder Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered their last three games priced as favorites has earned an 82-53 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If that foe is playing on back-to-back nights, our home teams has gone 18-6 ATS for 75% and 18-6 SU. |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Betting on home underdogs of not more than four points and including pick-em that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and taking on an opponent that has seen their last three games each have more than 220 points scored has earned a 28-16 SU record and 30-13-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total between 220 and 239.5 points, our home dogs have gone an impressive 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
12-20-23 | Wolves v. 76ers -3 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
Minnesota vs Philadelphia Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 favorite and underdog that are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG and is facing an opponent that has seen each of their last three games score a combined 220 or more points has gone 56-28 SU and 56-26 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 6 seasons of action. If the game is a non-divisional matchup then our team soar to 44-18 SU and 45-16-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. If the total is between 220 and 229.5 points, our team has gone 18-6 SUATS for 75% winning bets.
|
|||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat +2 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Timberwolves vs Heat Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite to 3.5-point underdog that is facing a foe, who is outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and who has played three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each game has produced a 59-23 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. If the total in these games has been 220 or fewer points, our teams have gone a highly profitable 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets over the past six seasons. |
|||||||
12-12-23 | Lakers v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 125-127 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks Betting on winning record road teams that are facing a winning record guest that has covered the spread in the last three games in which they were priced as the favorite has earned a 79-50 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place in the first half of the season our dogs have gone 37-17 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2019. |
|||||||
12-11-23 | Bulls +11.5 v. Bucks | Top | 129-133 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record has earned a 28-99 SU mark and 77-48-2 ATS for 62%. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 71-39-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. |
|||||||
12-11-23 | Heat -3.5 v. Hornets | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Betting on road favorites of 3.5 or more points coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 or more points in each game and now facing a foe that is coming off a narrow by three or fewer points has earned a 102-34 SU record and 81-52-3 ATS for 61% winning bets. If the total is 225 or fewer points, this algorithm has gone 85-25 SU and 71-37-2 ATS for 65.7% winning bets. |
|||||||
12-01-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics Betting on teams revenging a loss to the current opponent and is coming off an upset loss has gone 67-41 SU and 69-37-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets. If we drill down into the data a bit deeper we find out that if the game is a divisional matchup and our dog is priced more than 7 points, they have gone 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Blazers +12.5 v. Cavs | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned a 78-45-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our double-digit dog has gone 26-10 for 72% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Suns v. Knicks -3 | Top | 116-113 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Sun vs Knicks 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Knicks minus the 3-points. Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in their last three games priced as a favorite has produced a 89-48 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2015 and if priced as a favorite has produced a 41-19 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. Let’s bet on the Knicks |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Pelicans v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz 8-UNIT Best Bet on the Pelicans using the money line and they must not be favored. Betting on away dogs that are playing with revenge from previous loss of three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a 43-18 ATS record good for 71% winners since 2016 and our dog is priced at 4.5 or fewer points they soar to a 15-5 ATS mark for 75% winners. |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Celtics -6 v. Magic | Top | 96-113 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic 8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 6 points and is valid up to and including 6.5 points. Betting on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are revenging a previous loss to the current foe, who scored 100 or more points in that loss, the foe is also coming off a home win where they scored 115 or more points has earned a solid 47-25-3 ATS for 65% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Mavs -3 v. Lakers | Top | 104-101 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers 8-Unit Bet on Dallas minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points. Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 49-25 ATS record good for 66.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If a conference matchup these favorites soar to 33-12 ATS for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Magic | Top | 119-124 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic 8-Unit Bet on the Nuggets minus the 3.5 points Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 95 points that are revenging loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has earned a 47-24-3 ATS or 66% winners. |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Cavs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 122-119 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 29 m | Show |
Cavaliers vs 76ers Betting on favorites between 6.5 and 9.5 points that are coming off back-to-back double-digit win and are outscoring their opponents by 8 or more PPG and with a win percentage at least 10 percentages higher than the current foe has produced a 41-7 SU record and 33-16-1 ATS for 67.3% winning bets since 2016.
Teams that are coming off a 20+ point win and are outscoring their foes by 9 or more PPG and are priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-ppoint favorite has gone 128-76 ATS since 1996. |
|||||||
11-19-23 | 76ers v. Nets +4 | Top | 121-99 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
76ers vs Nets |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Suns -5.5 v. Jazz | Top | 131-128 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz 10:00 PM EST Betting on road favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 points that saw their previous game play over the total by 18 or more points and has seen their last 10 games play over by a combined 48 or more points has earned a 56-15 SU record and 45-25-1 ATS for 64.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the host is playing on two days of rest exact, our road favorites have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Suns to score at least 117 points and have the better assist-turnover ratio. In past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 47-7 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Cavs v. Blazers +10.5 | Top | 109-95 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Portland Moda Center, Portland, OR 8-Unit Best bet on Portland if they are a double-digit underdog Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming of three consecutive road losses has gone 36-42 SU and 53-23-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2016. If they are playing at home, their record improves to 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets and if priced as a 7 or more-point underdog has produced a terrific 24-9-1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +5.5 | Top | 117-107 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia
Betting on any team that is facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over divisional foes and has won at least 75% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-26 SU record and 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1996. If our team is the host and it is a divisional matchup has seem them go 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1996. |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -2 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Betting on teams that have lost their last two games priced as the favorite and facing a foe that they lost to in their previous meeting and are priced between a 3.5-point favorite or underdog has earned a 49-28 SU record and 50-27 ATS mark for 65% winning bets since 2016. If the home team they have gone 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS for 72.2% winning bets. Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 7.5 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 28-11 SUATS for 72% winning bets since 2014. The clincher is if the game is priced with a total of 221 or fewer points, these home teams have gone 11-1 SUATS for 92% winning bets since 2014. |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3.5 | Top | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 55-21 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home as the dog, they have gone to a 23-9 SU record and 25-7 ATS mark for 78% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total of 230 or more points, these home dogs have gone 9-1 ATS and SU for 90% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Wolves v. Warriors -1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors 8:30 PM, Chase Center Bet on teasms that are facing a foe that is coming off three straight games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one, that foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and the line is priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog has gone 55-20 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home the record soars to 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing on no more than a single day of rest, they get even better producing a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2018. Take the Warriors today. |
|||||||
11-10-23 | Wolves -7 v. Spurs | Top | 117-110 | Push | 0 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
11-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 8 PPG on the season has earned a 21-9 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these games is 225 or mor points, the record has been 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This matchup could easily be a preview of a showdown in the playoffs and even the conference finals and has significant meaning despite being so early in the 82-game season schedule. Warriors are 12-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won at least 70% of their games in each of the past three seasons. |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Clippers v. Nets +5 | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets Barclays Center Betting on teams that have posted three straight games with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.5 or higher and is facing a foe that has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.0 or lower on the season, and with a total between 226 and 240 points has earned a solid 35-18-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The Nets are playing pretty darn good basketball to start their season and the fans will be welcoming back James Harden with their version of the Bronx cheer. The fan base will be into this game simply because they want to see their team defeat any team that harden will ever be a member of and for good reason. The Nets are sharing the ball and passing the ball with speed and accuracy in the half court sets. They rank 11th in the Association averaging 27 APG and third bets committing an average of 12 turnovers per game. The Clippers do not move the ball well in the half court and rank 28th committing 16.3 TPG. The Nets mistake-free play will go a long way to seeing them pull off the upset win. |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers It is early in the season yet these two divisional rivals are at the top of the Eastern Conference standings as expected both with 5-1 records. The Philadelphia fans will be loud and supportive for their franchise and their dislike of the foe and that will be a factor. 76ers are 19-1 SUATS with revenge and facing that foe, who is averaging 13.5 or more turnovers per game over the past two seasons. They are 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in home games playing with revenge and with a posted total of 227 or more points over the past five seasons. Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG on the season has earned a 54-20 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Looking at the standard deviations of scoring by quarters so far this season, the Celtics have been one of the most inconsistent first quarter scoring teams in the league. In fact, they rank third with a STD of 7.34 points scored in the first quarter. The Philadelphia defense has been quite good so far and no reason to expect otherwise tonight, especially at the start of the game. |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Celtics v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Celtics vs Timberwolves 8-Unit Best Bet on the Timberwolves Betting on home teams that allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points has gone 86-35 SU and 79-39-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
11-06-23 | Mavs +4.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
Mavericks vs Magic Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG, priced between 3.5-point dog and favorite and facing a foe that saw their last three games go over 220 points has earned a highly profitable 51-20 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2018. |
|||||||
11-05-23 | Raptors -3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
11-04-23 | Celtics -9 v. Nets | Top | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets If our road team is playing this game with more rest than the host, their record has been 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets. |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Kings +7 v. Warriors | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors 10 PM, Chase Center, San Francisco, CA 8-Unit Best bet on the Warriors -7 points. Betting on teams that have allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and now facing a foe that scored 120 or more points in their previous game have gone 132-103 SU (56%) and 134-97-4 ATS for 58% winning bets over the past five seasons. In the 2022 season this system went 29-14-1 ATS (67.4%), 2021 season it went 42-31-5 ATS (58%), 2020 it went 28-28-1 ATS (50%), 2019 it went 33-23 ATS (59%). So, only the shortened COVID-19 season did not make significant profits. Now, if our team is playing at home, then five-season record went 84-35 SU and 78-38-5 ATS (67.2%). If playing at home and favored by not more than 8 points has produced a 39-8 SU record and a 32-13-2 ATS mark for 71% winning bets. Live Betting StrategiesFor Live Betting consider betting 6-units preflop and then look for the Kings to get out in front early and add the remaining 2-units at -2.5 or fewer points. Noting that these teams are 39-8 SU, consider a money line bet for the remaining 2-Units if the line does get to -2.5 or lower during the first half of action. If the Kings score 10 or more unanswered points in the first half of action would also be an attractive point to add the 2-units. |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz Memphis is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss to a divisional foe over the past three seasons. Utah is on a 2-11 ATS losing streak as a home favorite of six or fewer points spanning the past two seasons. Memphis head coach Jenkins is 14-3-1 ATS in road games when coming off a loss of 15 or more points. Betting on a road team that has shot 43% from the field over its’ last three games and is on a two-game losing streak, has lost to the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games and with the game occurring in the first 41 games of the season has earned a 15-14 record and 20-9 ATS mark for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
11-01-23 | Cavs +6.5 v. Knicks | Top | 95-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Cleveland Cavaliers vs NY Knicks
Betting on teams in the second of back-to-back games against the same foe having lost at home by double digits has earned a solid 17-7 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the total is 220 or fewer points, the record has been 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets. This algorithm has yet to have back-to-back ATS losses and is coming of an ATS loss. Bet on underdogs that are coming off a loss and have lost four or more of their last five games during the first six games of the season if they were a playoff team in the previous season has produced a 14-6 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 2004 (20 seasons). |
|||||||
10-30-23 | Wolves -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-127 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks State Farm Arena Atlanta, Georgia 8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolves -2 points or if you prefer the money line. This bet is good up to and including 3.5 points. This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 42-12 SU record for 78% winners and 35-19 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995. Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 105 PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half. That’s all there is to it. If our road favorite is involved in a game with a posted total of 235 or fewer points, they have gone to a 40-8 SU record (83%) and 33-15 ASTS for 69% winning bets since 1996. |
|||||||
10-29-23 | Warriors v. Rockets +5.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Golden State vs Houston Betting on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points that had a losing record last season and facing a team off a road win in which they scored 125 or fewer points and had a winning record last season and the current game has a total of at least 224 points has earned a highly profitable 60-38-2 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If in a non-divisional matchup and with our dog having one-day of rest improves their record to 38-19 ATS for 67% winning bets. |
|||||||
10-27-23 | Rockets +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 122-126 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs 8:00 PM EST 8-Unit Best Bet on the Houston Rockets plus the points ü Bet on road teams (Rockets) ü Road team scored |
|||||||
10-26-23 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks 7:30 PM 8-Unit bet on the 76ers plus the 6.5 points I would not be making this bet regardless of the model grading if James Harden had joined the team in Milwaukee. The 76ers front office has done the right thing in preventing him from joining the team. The fact that the line has not moved since the news was released clearly shows he has made himself a meaningless piece of the 76ers squad and they are going to play far better without him on the court. From the predictive mode, the 76ers are 154-21 SU and 148-27 ATS for 85% winning bets when shooting at least 48 or better from the field, making at least 38% of their 3-pointers and having fewer turnovers than their foe. |
|||||||
10-25-23 | Cavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Cleveland vs Brooklyn 7:30 EST
Opening Night in Brooklyn and with hopes and aspirations and expectations run high. The wild card this year is focused on Ben Simmons and if the practice sessions during this preseason will translate to the regular season games. Let’s not forget the fact that Simmons ranks 13th ion the all-time triple-double list with 33 such games. Granted, that is a million light years behind all-time leader Westbrook with 133 games or Oscar Robinson with 181 games, but he has always had the skillset to reach 100 career triple-doubles. Now, he is not the reason for this bet, but if his play is anywhere close to his peak performances with the 76ers (had game with 42 points), the Nets will have little difficulty winning this game. Cavaliers are just 33-65 ATS in games with a posted total between 220 and 229.5 points; 42-64 ATS in road games with a total of at least 220 points. Cavs head coach Bickerstaff is just 45-73 ATS in road games for his career. From the predictive mode, we are expecting the Nets to score at least 111 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In past games, the Nets are 95-18 SU and 81-32 ATS for 72% winning bets in home games and scoring >=111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2019. |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | Top | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Miami vs Boston From the predictive model, we are expecting Miami to shoot better than Boston and to have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which Miami met these performance measures has earned them a 63-11 SU record, 64-10 ATS mark (87%) winning bets in road games played in the past five seasons. In road playoff games, the Heat have gone 20-0 SU and 18-2 ATS for 90%. In playoff games, the Celtics are 1-11 SUATS when not shooting better than their foe and having the worse assist-to-turnover ratio spanning the past five seasons. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Warriors +3 v. Lakers | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Knicks v. Heat -6 | Top | 92-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Knicks vs Heat |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the points. I like the strategy of betting 60% preflop at the current price and then looking to add 20% more at Warriors – 4.5 and Warriors –1.5 points. Betting on any team off a loss of three or fewer points to a divisional foe and with that foe having covered the spread in their last two games priced as a favorite has earned an outstanding 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. Betting on any playoff team trailing in the series 3 games to one, coming off a heart-breaking loss by three or fewer points and is now the favorite up to and including -9.5 points has earned a perfect 7-0 SUATS record. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
Boston vs Philadelphia Game-3 Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS revenging a road loss in games played this season, and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss in which the foe scored 110 or more points this season. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 114 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 116-13 SU (90%) record and 97-31-1 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 34-3 SU and 28-8-1 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS record (29%) when allowing 114 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6 | Top | 105-111 | Push | 0 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs NY Knicks Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. |
|||||||
04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Boston vs Atlanta |
|||||||
04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -2 | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Cleveland vs Knicks From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
04-17-23 | Nets v. 76ers -10 | 84-96 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Nets vs 76ers 8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets. Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15) The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017. From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios. |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Nets v. 76ers -8 | Top | 101-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15) |
|||||||
04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | Top | 91-102 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat |
|||||||
04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs. Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win. Player Prop Best Bet Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds |
|||||||
04-02-23 | 76ers +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
76ers vs Bucks LIVE Betting Strategy The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons. |
|||||||
03-29-23 | Wolves v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets. |
|||||||
03-28-23 | Magic v. Grizzlies -7 | Top | 108-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Magic vs Grizzlies From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018. |
|||||||
03-28-23 | Heat +3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Heat vs Raptors From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
03-28-23 | Celtics -11.5 v. Wizards | Top | 111-130 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Celtics vs Wizards From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
03-27-23 | Rockets +14.5 v. Knicks | Top | 115-137 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets. |
|||||||
03-27-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 127-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Bulls -2 v. Blazers | Top | 124-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Chicago vs Portland |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | Top | 127-135 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
03-24-23 | Bucks -9 v. Jazz | Top | 144-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz Betting on road favorites coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has produced a 92-28 SU record and 76-42-2 ATS mark good for 64.4% winning bets since 2015. If the foe has scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, the record improves to 37-18 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the total is priced at 230 or more points, our favorites have gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets. |
|||||||
03-22-23 | Blazers +4.5 v. Jazz | 127-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz Check out this amazing betting algorithm that has earned a highly profitable 33-6 ATS record for 85% winning bets over the past five seasons. This algorithm has gone 4-1 ATS this season, 17-2 ATS in 2021-22 season, 7-2 ATS in the 2020-21 season, 1-0 ATS in the 2019-20 season, and 4-1 ATS in the 2018-19 season. One of the main reasons this system has done so well relates directly to the steady increase in NBA scoring over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
03-22-23 | 76ers -3.5 v. Bulls | 116-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls |
|||||||
03-22-23 | Rockets +13 v. Grizzlies | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies |
|||||||
03-22-23 | Spurs v. Bucks -17.5 | Top | 94-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
03-22-23 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Wizards | Top | 118-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards |
|||||||
03-21-23 | Pistons +14 v. Hawks | Top | 107-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Tuesday March 21, 2023 Betting on road teams, who lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and are coming off a double-digit home loss have gone 73-101 SU (42%) and 108-64-2 ATS (63%) since 2018 (last five seasons). If the game is taking place after the all-star break, the record improves to 48-23-1 for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The P-Value for this set of parameters is outstanding at 0.000062. The closer the P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation the listed parameters relate to ATS wins. |
|||||||
03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
Celtics vs Timberwolves 10-UNIT MAX Bet on the Celtics minus the points, currently at –5 points. Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are outscoring their foes by at least 3 PPG and facing a host that was leading by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game has earned a highly profitable 45-15 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2004. This betting system is one of the best ones you will ever find as the parameters have a very strong P-Value (JR-Value) of .000067 and the close a P-Value gets to absolute zero the stronger the correlation of the game-dependent parameters becomes. |
|||||||
03-09-23 | Rockets +10 v. Pacers | Top | 125-134 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Houston vs Indiana Betting on underdogs that lost the last time the two teams met and shot 40% or lower in that loss and is coming off a home loss by 20 or more points has earned a 24-23 record and 31-16 ATS for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is a dog from pick to +10, the record improves to 20-7 ATS for 74% winning bets. From the predictive mode, we learn that the Rockets are 10-3 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games in which they scored 111 or more points and got at least 50 rebounds in games played over the past three seasons. |
|||||||
03-06-23 | 76ers -7 v. Pacers | Top | 147-143 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Philadelphia vs Indiana The Pacers held off the Chicago Bulls to earn a 125-122 road win Sunday. Haliburton scored a game-high 29 points and 11assists for the Pacers, who have won four of their last six games, covering five of them against-the-spread (ATS). They defeated the Bulls despite allowing 60.8% shooting and now find themselves playing on back-to-back nights. The 76ers were down 18 points in the second half and roared back with a dominant 48-41 edge in the fourth quarter to bring a halt to the Bucks 16-game win streak. Betting on road favorites of at least 3.5 points that allowed 50% opponent shooting in each of their least past two games and facing a foe coming off a win by three or fewer points has earned 6-1 SU and ATS record for 86% winning bets since 2017. 76ers allowed 57.7% shooting in a 133-126 loss at Dallas and then most recently allowed 50% shooting in their 133-130 win over the Bucks. The 76ers are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS (67%) winning bets when playing with more days of rest than the opponent, coming off a road win and now priced as a road favorite. Home dogs of at least 6 points, like the Pacers, that have lost four consecutive games against the current opponent, playing on back-to-back nights after the all-star break, with that foe winning at least 60% of their games in the current season have gone just 17-33-2 ATS for 33%. |
|||||||
02-28-23 | Bucks v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets hosting the Milwaukee Bucks 8 unit best bet on the net plus the points. Since the trade that sent All Star Kevin Durant to the Phoenix Suns the Nets have had time to rebuild their lineup which has the potential to play much better down the stretch. The bucks have won fourteen consecutive games and are now at 43 wins and 17 losses for the season. He had come from behind to get the last win against the Phoenix Suns at home price says 2 1/2 point favorites in a game in which they shot just 43.7% from the field and were outrebounded 55-45 in the game. The predictive model sees Brooklyn having a great shot to win the game and end the 14 game win streak of the bucks tonight at the Barclay center. The Nets are expected to shoot better than 48% from the field tonight and that is certainly good news. Milwaukee over the last three seasons is just 20-45 against the spread when allowing 48% or higher shooting. The Nets are also 66-30 against the spread in games in which they score 115 or more points. Bet the Nets. |
|||||||
02-26-23 | Suns +4 v. Bucks | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
Suns vs Bucks 5-Unit Over the total (optional) Suns are 5-1 ATS in road games with a total of 230 or more points this season. 16-3 Over in this situation since 2020. From the predictive model, we are looking for the Suns to score at least 115 points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. They currently have the fourth best in the NBA for the 2022 season, a 1.92. In past road games in which the Suns met or exceeded these performance measures have seen them go 35-5 SU and 29-10-1 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past three seasons. Milwaukee ranks a distant 25th with a 1.656 assist-to-turnover ratio. So, we re going with the much better ball-handling team in a short-lined game – meaning priced between the 3’s. Over the last two seasons, the Phoenix Suns are 35-20 against the spread when facing a strong passing team that averages 23 or more assists per game and games played in the second half of the season spanning the last two seasons. |
|||||||
02-09-23 | Bucks -6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Milwaukee Bucks vs LA Lakers 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Bucks minus the points, currently priced at -6 Betting on road favorites of between 3.5 and 9.5 points in the month of February, has a win percentage between 60 and 75% and taking on a foe that that has won 40 to 50% of their games has earned a 41-10-1 ATS record for 80.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This betting algorithm has never had a losing season and that is pretty good – no, pretty damn good. |
|||||||
02-02-23 | Hornets v. Bulls -6 | Top | 98-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Charlotte vs Chicago Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards |
|||||||
01-29-23 | Pelicans +9 v. Bucks | Top | 110-135 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwauke Bucks Betting on a winning record road team that lost the previous meeting to the current opponent and is coming off a dreadful double-digit home loss has earned an outstanding 25-19 SU record and 32-12 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Since 2015, this algorithm has been profitable in every season and has produced a 54-23-1 ATS for 70% winning bets. Here is another algorithm that has gone 32-5-1 ATS for 87% winners over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the number by 50 or more points spanning their previous seven games, and now facing a foe that has seen their last seven games play Over the total by a combined 50 points. The Pelicans have lost to the spread by 60.5 points over their last seven games while the Bucks have played over the total by a whopping 100 points spanning their last seven games. From the predictive playbook, the Pelicans are 23-9-1 ATS (72%) when scoring 111 or more points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio than the opponent in road games played since 2018. |
|||||||
01-16-23 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 132-140 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Houston Rockets vs LA lakers 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Rockets plus the points The Lakers coming off a physically and emotionally draining 1113-112 loss to the 76ers last night and now must turn around on back-to-back days to host the Rockets. Betting on road teams, who have lost their last 3 road games of the current road trip and playing on back-to-back nights (Rockets) has earned a highly profitable 51-18-2 ATS for % winning bets since 2016. If the host is coming off a home loss priced as an underdog, our road team improves to 16-5-1 ATS for 76% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. Here. is a second algorithm that has earned an outstanding 37-14 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-16-23 | Pelicans +7 v. Cavs | Top | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans plus the points Betting on road dogs with same-season revenge from a previous loss of three or fewer points in the same season and with that foe coming off a loss priced as the favorite has earned a 40-17 ATS record for 70% winning bets since 2016. If the matchup involves two winning record teams, our road dog improves to a near-perfect 7-1 ATS for 88%. |
|||||||
01-16-23 | Raptors +3 v. Knicks | Top | 123-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Toronto Raptors vs NY Knicks 4% 8-unit bets bet on the Raptors plus the points Bet on road teams that are avenging a same-season loss against the current opponent, is coming off a horrid double-digit home loss has earned a 157-93-3 ATS record good for 63% winning bets since 2016. If the host is playing on back-to-back nights, the road team improves to a highly profitable 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2016. After having won three straight and ATS, the Raptors lost at home 114-103 to the Atlanta Hawks priced as a 7-point favorite. The Knicks are on a 3-game win streak and covered the spread in each of them. On Sunday, they defeated the lowly Detroit Pistons 117-104 and covered the spread as 8.5-point favorites. The Knicks are just 9-20-1 ATS in home games and coming off a win and 3-9 ATS in home games coming off two consecutive wins in games played over the past two seasons. |
|||||||
01-12-23 | Celtics v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
Boston vs Brooklyn 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Nets plus the 2-points Consider betting 60% of your normal bet size pre-flop and then add 40% in-game at Nets +6.5 full game during the first half of action only. Durant will be out for at least two weeks with a sprained right knee after an MRI exam on Monday revealed an isolated sprain in his medial collateral ligament. Durant was injured in the third quarter when he collided with Miami's Jimmy Butler before the Nets concluded a three-game road trip with a 102-101 victory on Sunday. "No excuses," Brooklyn coach Jacque Vaughn said at practice Wednesday. "That's the biggest thing for this group. To (be in) the position last year where we were, I just say no excuses. Boston has had 4.2 percent of its shot attempts blocked this season while Brooklyn's rate is at 4.5, the two lowest percentages in the league. On the other end, both teams rank among the NBA's best in blocks per game -- the Nets are in first (6.98) and the Celtics fourth (5.40). Betting on home teams in a divisional matchup with both teams winning between 60 and 75% of their games and with the guest playing on back-to-back nights has gone 11-4 ATS for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
01-05-23 | Grizzlies -5.5 v. Magic | Top | 123-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Memphis vs Orlando 5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points Betting on road favorites coming off a blowout win of 20 or more points and facing an opponent that they and their respective opponents have scored 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned an 85-27 SU (76%) record and 71-39-2 ATS (65%) winning bets since 2015. If the foe is playing on B2B nights, our road favorite has gone 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets. If the host has a win percentage of less than 40% on the season and is playing on no more than a day of rest, our favorites have gone 35-15 ATS for 70% winning bets. The Memphis Grizzlies seek their fifth consecutive win and second in as many nights, playing the second leg of a road back-to-back on Thursday when they visit the Orlando Magic. Memphis won its fourth straight contest on Wednesday, 131-107 over the Charlotte Hornets, behind a balanced scoring attack. Nine Grizzlies finished with at least eight points, paced by Ja Morant's 23 points. No Memphis player was in the game for more than 28 minutes and 10 players played for at least 14 minutes. So, playing on back-to-back nights is not going to be a factor tonight. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Pelicans +3 v. Thunder | Top | 128-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
New Orleans vs OKC 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans Betting on a team (Pelicans) in a game lined between the 3’s facing an opponent that is coming off a home win of three or fewer points, has won between 40 and 49% of their games on the season, and has one or more fewer days of rest between games has gone 22-11-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past 15 seasons. C.J. McCollum struggled in his return from COVID-19 in early December, but has found his stride recently. In his past five games, McCollum is averaging 31.5 points, 7.5 assists and six rebounds while shooting 49.5 percent from the field. Last night he scored a season-high 40 points on 14-of-27 shooting, contributing seven 3-pointers, nine assists and eight rebounds. McCollum scored 19 points in the fourth quarter to help the Pelicans snap a four-game losing streak. So, I am looking for this hot streak to continue tonight against the Thunder and even more so that Zion Williamson has entered the COVID-19 protocol. Pelicans are 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets when facing a losing record team that is allowing 46 or higher shooting in games played over the past two seasons. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets -2 | Top | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Milwaukee vs Brooklyn 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Nets minus the points or the money line if not priced more than -165. If you use the money line consider reducing the units to 5 or 5.5 units given that you are then risking about an 8-unit amount. Betting on home favorites that are revenging a double-digit loss to the current opponent and is coming off a home blowout win of 20 or more points has gone 23-2 SU for 92% winning bets on the money line. If a home favorite of not more than 3.5 points has produced an 8-2 SU record and 7-3 ATS mark for 70% winners. |
|||||||
12-23-22 | Raptors v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto vs Cleveland 4% 8-Unit best bet on Cleveland minus the points Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing a foe that they have lost the last two meetings against, and with that opponent coming off an upset win over a divisional rival has produced an 85-20 SU record and 62-37-6 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. If a home favorite in this situation produced a 61-14 SU mark and 47-25-3 ATS for 65.3% winning bets; 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Hornets +8.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-126 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
Hornets vs Clippers 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Hornets plus the points Betting on road dogs from game number 15 on to the end of the regular season that are coming off a road win and has won 25 to 40% of their games on the season and facing a winning record team has earned an 88-42-5 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Mavs -3 v. Wolves | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Mavericks vs Timberwolves 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Mavericks minus the points Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points and facing a foe that they lost to in the most recent meeting and that foe scored at least 100 points and that host is coming off a home win in which they scored 115 or more points has earned a 44-19-3 ATS record good for 70% winning bets. Bet the Mavericks |
|||||||
12-21-22 | Blazers -3.5 v. Thunder | Top | 98-101 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
Trail Blazers vs Thunder 4% 8-Unit best bet on the Trailblazers minus the points. The same betting system that is active for the bet on the Mavericks is also active for this bet on the Portland Trail Blazers. |
|||||||
12-15-22 | Heat -4 v. Rockets | Top | 111-108 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets 5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Heat minus the points Despite being the youngest team in the Association, the Rockets are coming off two tenacious defensive efforts holding the Bucks to just 36% shooting and the Suns to 32% shooting, which was the worst the Suns have shot since October 18, 2017. The Heat are playing without their leading scorer Jimmy Butler, but Tyler Herro matched a career high with 35 points including nine made 3-pointers. The Heat got off to a horrid start, but not find themselves just one-game under .500 and are playing great team basketball right now. Despite Herros 35-point effort, the Heat had six players score in double figures. This is the third game of a four-game road trip for the Heat, who are also playing on back-to-back nights. They won back-t-back road games for the first time this season and with the very weak San Antonio Spurs on deck, they know they can win all four games. Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points and facing as team that had 13 more turnovers than their opponent in their previous game has earned a 76-27-2 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and 18-7 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is playing on back-to-back nights, the record soars to a highly profitable 14-3 ATS record good for 82% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 7-1 ATS 88% since 2015. |
|||||||
12-08-22 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 121-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Denver Nuggets Betting on road favorites, playing with same season revenge and coming off a home loss, and not playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 52-19 SU record good for 73% winners and 49-22 ATS good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team is not playing on B2B nights and the host has MORE rest, our team has gone 56-24 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2015. This system is11-3 ATS good for 79% winning bets over the past two seasons. Portland is 16-28-1 ATS in hoe games and when facing a solid shooting team making 46% or more of their shot attempts on the season spanning the last two seasons. |
|||||||
12-07-22 | Celtics -1.5 v. Suns | Top | 125-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns 5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Boston Celtics Let’s get right into the meat and potatoes. Betting on teams lined between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog and facing an opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG on the season and coming off three consecutive games that saw at least 220 points scored in each one has earned an outstanding and highly profitable 47-19 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team has one day of rest, they have earned a 43-15 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets last 5 seasons. If our team has had the same number or more days of rest than the opponent, the record has improved to 42-17 ATS for 71% over the past 5 seasons. Chris Paul may be playing for the Suns tonight after having missed the previous 14 games since injuring his heel in a game at Philadelphia November 7. The Celtics have won and covered seven of its last eight games. Boston’s latest victory was Monday's 116-110 win at Toronto and covered the spread as 1.5 point underdogs. The Celtics were without center Al Horford (back) and guard Malcolm Brogdon (illness) for that game but received 31 points and 12 rebounds from Jayson Tatum and 22 points and eight rebounds from Jaylen Brown. It was Tatum's team-high 12th double-double of the season, and the 15th consecutive game Brown has scored at least 20 points. Celtics are 14-4 ATS in road games after having won at least six of their previous games over the past two seasons. Celtics are 21-11 ATS for 66% winners in road games where they have been priced between a -3 favorite and +3 underdog over the past two seasons. |
|||||||
11-10-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 95-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks 5% 10-Unit Max Best bet on the 76ers Let’s get right to it, shall we? Betting on road underdogs, who lost to the current foe by three or fewer points in their last meeting, and the foe just lost a game priced as a favorite has earned a 35-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2017. If our dog is priced as a 4 or fewer-point underdog they have earned an 11-3 ATS record good for 79% winning bets since 2017. This is the first of two games against each other with the second game taking place Saturday in Philadelphia. Joel Embiid returned to the 76ers Monday having fully recovered from the flu while the Hawks Trey Young is back at full strength recovered from a lower leg injury. Embiid scored 33 points and 10 boards marking his fourth double-double of the young season. Not the same for Young, who shot horribly poor (10-for-28) in a 125-119 home loss last night. The 76ers bench is significantly better than the Hawks edition, who were outscored 43-19 last night. James Hardin remains out nursing a tendon strain in his right foot, but Tyrese Maxey, despite being so young, is learning quickly how to run the point for four quarters and doing it quite well. From the predictive mode, we are expecting the 76ers to score at least 111 points and make more 3-pointers than the Hawks. IN past games since 2017 in which the 76ers met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 96-16 SU record, 85-25-2 ATS (77%) record. When the Hawks have allowed 11 or more points and made fewer three-pointers than their opponent has seen them produce an 18-86 SU record and 23-81 ATS for 22% since 2017. |
|||||||
10-26-22 | Hornets v. Knicks -7.5 | Top | 131-134 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Charlotte Hornets vs NY Knicks 4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Knicks minus the points Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a team that covered the spread by 24 or more points in their previous game has earned a 62-33-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our favorite is not playing on back-to-back nights, they have gone on to a 55-27-1 ATS record and 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. |
|||||||
10-26-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons 4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the pistons plus the points Pistons are playing on back-to-back nights and coming off three straight road losses, but these negative results put the Pistons into an excellent contrarian best bet opportunity tonight. Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and have lost three straight road games have earned a 32-30 SU record and a highly profitable 45-15-2 ATS mark for 75% winning bets since the start of the 2016 season. There is more data drilling to do though. If our team is installed as a dog between 3.5 and 9.5 points, they have gone to an outstanding money-making 19-3 ATS record good for 86.4% winning bets since 2016. In a rare scheduling glitch these two teams will play two consecutive games against each other in Detroit starting tonight with a day off Thursday and then the second game being played Friday. Thus far, the Hawks have been reliant on starters for most of their scoring. Trae Young leads the club in scoring (25.3 points per game) and assists (11.7). Backcourt partner Murray is second in both categories (19.7, 8.3) while grabbing 7.3 rebounds per game and nabbing 3.3 steals per outing. Collins is averaging a double-double (19.0 points, 10.3 rebounds), but the highest-scoring reserve, Onyeka Okongwu, is averaging just 8.7 points. Charlotte's reserves outscored Atlanta's bench 52-28 in the Hawks 126-109 road loss Sunday. The Detroit bench is much better than the Hawks right now giving them a great opportunity to earn an upset win. |
|||||||
06-08-22 | Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics 8:00 EDT, June 8, 2022 5% MAX Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points Let’s get right to it. The Warriors are the best team in the NBA coming out of the half with Coach Kerr making the correct adjustments based on the first half of action and then anticipating the adjustments that his opponent will make for the second half. That was quite evident in Game-2 and Game-1 as well before the Warriors fell flat in the fourth quarter. Playoff teams, like the Warriors that have outscored their opponents by 25 or more points in the third quarter and are coming off an ATS cover by at least 3 points are 21-10 SU and 20-11 ATS for 65% winning bets. Warriors are 10-5 ATS over the last five playoff seasons and 5-1 ATS over the last three playoff seasons coming off two consecutive home games. Kerr is 44-26-1 ATS following a game in which his team allowed 90 or fewer points. From my predictive models, the Warriors are expected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past regular and playoff season games under Kerr, the Warriors are 284-28 straight-up and 223-82-7 ATS for 73% winning bets; 42-4 SU and 33-13 ATS for 72% winning bets in playoff games. Bet the Warriors plus the points. If they are trailing at the half, consider an optional 1% wager betting the in-game line on the Warriors, which should be higher than 3.5 points if the Celtics are winning at the half. |
|||||||
05-27-22 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Miami vs Boston 4% best bet on the Miami Heat plus the points. Now that we are up to 9 points, this becomes an attractive best bet opportunity regardless of who plays and who does not play for the Heat. We saw the St. Louis Blues wins two consecutive games against the Colorado Avalanche after getting hammered in two home games to make the series 3-2. So, why not the Heat, who positively cannot play worse than they have over the past two games. Not all the analytics side with the Celtics. Playoff teams that are coming off a home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 54-41 SU and 51-42-2 ATS for 55% winning wagers including a 41-53-1 Over-Under record. Since 2017, these revengers are 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70% winning bets including a 21-11 Over-Under record. In the 2021-22 playoffs this series accounts for two of the three previous situations with the Heat winning Game-3 after losing at home in Game-2 and the Celtics winning in Game-4 after losing in Game-3. The other game saw the Dallas Mavericks defeat the Golden State Warriors in Game-4 after losing at home in Game-3. These three situations have combined for a 3-0 SU and ATS record. Playoff teams, like the Heat, that are coming off a double-digit home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 15-15 SU and 17-12 ATS for 59% winning bets including a 17-13 Over-Under record spanning the last 20 seasons. I see at least 3-points in value betting on the Heat and somehow, they are going to will their ways to force a Game-7. |