02-08-12 |
Michigan v. Nebraska +3 |
Top |
62-46 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
Nebraska +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Nebraska facing a ranked team in Michigan that just lost at Michigan State and should be in a let down spot yet again with a match up against Indiana. Nebraska needs this game desperately and Doc Sadler is too good of a coach after giving up 54% form the field to Minesota this is the perfect match up for them because Michigan is struggling to score points in an efficient way. Tim hardaway Jr. shooting just 33.6% in his last 11 games 22% from 3 and Michigan has lost 6 of 7 on the road and were out rebounded by 24 in their last game. Nebraska can pull off an ugly win here today and I"m betting they will.
|
02-08-12 |
San Antonio Spurs +4 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
Top |
100-90 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
Spurs +3.5 4.4* NBA POD Spurs have Detroit and NJ up next on their East coast road stretch and they should be focused in this one to get a win and go 3-0 vs. the East.
|
02-07-12 |
Florida +9 v. Kentucky |
Top |
58-78 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
Florida +9 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Kentucky may be 15-0 at home, but they are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. Florida is a team that can absolutely beat them on the road if they got hot and I still think 9 points is a bit too much in a match up between the two best in the SEC. First of all Kentucky is a team dominated by their front line while Florida is a team dominated by their perimeter play and that
|
02-06-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Memphis Grizzlies +1 |
Top |
89-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
I like Memphis despite the Spurs being red hot with 4 wins in a row including one less than a week ago at Memphis where they return tonight.
|
02-06-12 |
Missouri v. Oklahoma +5.5 |
Top |
71-68 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
Missouri won in dramatic fashion in their last game over Kansas despite trailing by 8 points with less than 2.5 minutes to go, but they pull off the upset of ranked Kansas.
|
02-04-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +3.5 v. Atlanta Hawks |
Top |
98-87 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
76ers +3.5 (4.4* NBA POD); 76ERS +145 (1*) I like the 76ers in this spot despite them getting blown out at home by the Heat and now going on the road to face the Hawks. I think they'll be motivated to bounce back and continue their 17-7-1 ATS run over the last 25 games. They are 5-2 ATS on 0 days rest over their last 7 and I think this is a good spot as they are well rested after their home stand. The Hawks meanwhile are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 7 on 1 days rest and also just got blown out by the Grizzlies. To me this game will be back and forth and in the end the 76ers are the better team with the better offense and defense statistically.
|
02-04-12 |
Iona -3.5 v. Manhattan |
Top |
85-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
Iona -3 (5.5* NCAAB POD) This is an interesting match up Iona was blowing big leads than a week ago they went to Fairfield. I took a trip down to watch this game live as I had another MAX play involved backing the Gaels and they did not disapoint. They lost as 10.5 favorites vs. Manhattan at home. A team that won 6 games all of last year and lost by 40 to Iona on their home court will try to hold off the surging Gaels. This will not be a good day for Manhattan who is tied atop the MAAC conference with Iona. Iona is the best team in this conference they shoot over 50% on the road and their inside out offense is hard to defend even for Manhattan. Michael Glover has the inside presence and rebounding skills and Mo Mo Jones the transfer from Arizona has the ability to shoot outside and drive it to the basket (43 points in his last game) and probably the most valuable player of them all the passer in point guard Sr. Scott Machado who is 12th in the nation in assist to turnover margin. Manhattan is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a road team with a win% greater than .600 while Iona lost ATS in their last and are 9-1-1 ATS in the following game. They have circled this one on their calendar and it's a must win game.
|
02-03-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Detroit Pistons +4.5 |
Top |
80-88 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
Love the Pistons tonight.
|
02-02-12 |
Tennessee Tech +2.5 v. Austin Peay St |
Top |
94-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
Tennessee Tech +2.5 5.5* MAX NCAAB POD Ten Tech
|
02-01-12 |
Ball State +6 v. Buffalo |
Top |
57-73 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
Ball State +6 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Ball State was the MAC contender before the season started and they returned just about everyone after 19 wins a year ago. Ball State can play defense against Buffalo tonight and win in my opinion. They have to stay out of the long scoring droughts and play a full game, but they can definitely keep this game in striking defense and will tonight. They are allowing 38.7% from the field in road games this year and I think Bal State's Jarrod Jones is a difficult match up for Buffalo and should have a huge game.
|
01-31-12 |
Denver Nuggets -114 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
97-100 |
Loss |
-114 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
Nuggets -114 (5* NBA POD) Not going to mess around with the spread here when we can take the money line at -114.
|
01-31-12 |
Michigan State v. Illinois +2 |
Top |
41-42 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
Illinois +2 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Love the Illinois team tonight playing on ESPN against a ranked opponent as a home dog. Public loves Michigan State of course. Illinois is very capable of upsets they beat Ohio State at home as +8.5 point under dogs. Tonight off 3 losses this is a desperate team that's looking to rebound. Illinois is holding opponents under 40% at home and Michigan State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 trips here 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 as a favorite .5 to 6.5.
|
01-30-12 |
Pittsburgh +6 v. West Virginia |
Top |
72-66 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
Pitt +6 (4.4* NCAAB POD Pitt has now off back to back wins and now they are on a mission. They are a different team now that they have Tray Woodall back to play point guard. Meanwhile the young Mountaineers are off back to back losses and they got robbed of upsetting Syracuse on Saturday after being up by a ton. Now the young team that seems to be a little fragile has to play a Pitt team that desperately needs to start putting together a winning resume. Pitt is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and they are the #1 rebound % team. I give them a good shot to pull off the upset here tonight in what should be a very close game. Princeton +2 (2.2* bonus)
|
01-29-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers +6 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
109-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
CLIPPERS +6.5 (4.4* NBA POD) I like the Clippers here tonight despite their struggles on the road, just 1-4. The Nuggets are due for a loss after winning 6 straight. I think their confidence is just a bit too high right now and the Clippers look to have gotten Chris Paul going which will only make them better moving forward. Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Dog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5. Take the Clippers and I wouldn't be shocked to see them win outright.
|
01-28-12 |
Santa Clara +3 v. Pepperdine |
Top |
62-74 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
Santa Clara +3 (5.5* NCAAB POD) Not a very exciting match up by any means between two bad teams, but we are not about exciting match ups we just want to win money and I think this is the best opportunity to do that on Saturday. Santa Clara is a team searching for it's first conference win which is hard to believe considering this team beat Villanova and New Mexico and scored 54 points on Oklahoma in 2nd half of a game earlier in the year. They've had a lot of discipline issues throughout, but if there is a team they would need to face to get on the win board in conference play that would be Pepperdine. Pepperdine has had suspensions and injuries of their own creating a huge depth issue which has led them to really slow the pace in which they can hardly ever get into a rhytm as they are averaging under 40% from field. Santa Clara can at least score points and run a bit and I think this is a great opportunity for them to get a win. They faced a similar type team in Eastern Michigan a few weeks back that was among the worst in the nation in possessions per game like Pepperdine and they came out with a win by 20 points. Santa Clara is averaging 7 more field goal attempts than their opponents and if they get that yet again they should be able to win. Clara is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 as a dog .5 to 6.5 while Pepp is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 as a home favorite.
|
01-27-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers -9.5 |
Top |
71-109 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
4.4* pod
|
01-27-12 |
Iona -2 v. Fairfield |
Top |
71-62 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
[b]Iona -2 (4.4* NCAAB POD)[/b] I love Iona here tonight coming off a loss most teams might be in for another let down, but here I think they get back on track.
|
01-26-12 |
Tennessee Tech -1 v. Eastern Kentucky |
Top |
82-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
[b]Tenn Tech -1 (5.5* MAX NCAAB POD)[/b] TN Tech was guilty of a let down at home vs. Jax State after nearly defeating the only team left in the conference that
|
01-25-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +6 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
105-90 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
4.4* NBA POD
|
01-25-12 |
UAB +9 v. Marshall |
Top |
56-49 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
UAB +9.5 (5.5* NCAAB POD); UAB +400 1* This is it for a very talented UAB team and they know it. They have some revenge against Marshall and I believe they match up very well against Marshall a team that only forced 9 TO's in the first match up. That's been the issue for UAB they are turning the ball over 17 times per road game, but Marshall doesn't force turnovers they rebound well and play decent defense. UAB plays better defense and rebounds well enough not to get blown out in a conference game. Marshall just 60% from the FT line and in the first match up they shot just 39.7% from the field. IF you UAB can crawl back and play solid defense they'll have a chance in the end to win and get their second conference win that should propel them moving forward. Marshall off a tough road loss could be caught in a tough spot here playing an athletic UAB team. It's not like Marshall is very good offensively to cover this kind of points.
|
01-24-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +6 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
Top |
84-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
01-23-12 |
Syracuse v. Cincinnati +5.5 |
Top |
60-53 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
Cinci +5.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) I believe these are two very closely matched teams with Syracuse and Cinci both having solid defenses, but Syracuse with the edge on offense. HOwever, this game is at Cinci hosting a ranked opponent with a chance to upset a #1 team at home on ESPN. Those opportunities do not come often and the Bearcats are very capable especially since Syracuse is down at the moment losing their first game and coming off shooting just 34% at Notre Dame and Cinci is much better defensively than ND holding opponents to 38% at home and they have beaten 3 straight ranked opponents. Syracuse will be without Fab Melo at Center and he's been called the "key to their defense." I think that's a huge loss and should impact this game. Syracuse is also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite .5 to 6.5.
|
01-22-12 |
Wisconsin-Green Bay +122 v. Youngstown State |
Top |
47-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin GB +122 (4* NCAAB POD) Youngstown has been the Horizon surprise so far off to a 5-3 start, but it's a team that is really short on depth in a span of two games their bench scored just 4 points, and in their last game just a day ago all 5 starters logged over 30 minutes each. This could be an issue as GB is hungry for a conference win. I think the strength of schedule speaks volumes as GB has faced a much tougher schedule thus far and even their opponents winning % is .578 compared to Youngstown's .502, the only team on Youngstown's schedule worth mentioning is Penn State while GB has had plenty of road trips worth mentioning including Marquette, Wisconsin, Virginia and Indiana State. Look for their 7'1 footer Alec Brown to cause match up problems especially vs. Damian Eargle who played all 40 minutes on Friday. GB is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings with Youngstown and are 21-10 ATS int heir last 31 following a loss.
|
01-21-12 |
Long Beach State -1.5 v. Cal Santa Barbara |
Top |
71-48 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
Long Beach St -1.5 (5.5* NCAAB POD) These two teams have met for the last two conference championships with an opportunity to go to the NCAA tournament. The last two years after dominating the conference regular season Long Beach State has lost in the championship game. They have had this game circled on their calendars all year long and their early season schedule will benefit them. This is a team that upset Pittsburgh (we called that one), and their losses came to Louisville, Kansas, Kansas State and North Carolina. They are led by a SR back court in Casper Ware and Larry Anderson that remember the last two conference championship games well. I think their is a reason Long Beach is favored here they are simply a better team and are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 as a favorite .5 to 6.5 points. They are also 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings with UCSB. While UCSB is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Saturday's and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 as a home dog. That to me makes me wonder just how tough UCSB is and I think Long Beach will use this game to show the nation they will be in the tourney this year.
|
01-19-12 |
Dallas Mavericks +3 v. Utah Jazz |
Top |
94-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
Penn State +3.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Penn State are losers of 3 straight and Illinois off a huge win vs. Ohio State their last time out and are now ranked #1 in the Big Ten.
|
01-19-12 |
Illinois v. Penn State +3.5 |
Top |
52-54 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
Penn State +3.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Penn State are losers of 3 straight and Illinois off a huge win vs. Ohio State their last time out and are now ranked #1 in the Big Ten.
|
01-18-12 |
UAB +4.5 v. Rice |
Top |
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
UAB +4.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD); +184 (1* bonus) Rice has never beaten UAB since joining the conference as they are 0-6 and although Rice is off to a great start I think UAB is a more desperate team especially after starting 0-3 in the conference against the 3 best conference teams. They blew leads in all of those games. Even the head coach said, "We played the so called 3 best teams and we should be 3-0." Expect them to really come out in this game and dominate. Rice's strength is the double double machine Arsalan Kazemi 14.3 ppg and 12 rebounds per game, but UAB has a better match up in the bigger stronger Forward Cameron Moor 15.3 ppg 10.3 rbg and 2.9 blocks. That's advantage to UAB. UAB is actually playing better defense and has a better perimeter game where Rice struggles on defense. Rice has also failed to be consistent at the FT line and is ranked 252nd in the nation. Although they were great in their last game I don't expect them to be better or consistent moving forward.
|
01-18-12 |
San Antonio Spurs +6 v. Orlando Magic |
Top |
85-83 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
Spurs +6 -115 (5.5* NBA POD); Nebraska +2 1H (2.2* play) Love the Spurs tonight despite being on a 10 game losing streak on the road they looked like they had it last night leading the Heat by 17 at one point, but fell apart in the 3rd quarter. I think they catch a break here although they are on back to back none of their starters logged over 30 minutes last night and they face a Magic team that is playing their 3rd game in 3 nights. You wouldn't think they'd look ahead since the Spurs are one of the top franchises, but they do have the Lakers coming in next. This might be a chance for them to get some rest and I don't see them taking this game incredibly seriously since they are on a high from winning of late and their starters are logging well into the 30's including Dwight Howard who had 39 minutes of time last night.
Nebraska has gained some confidence and Indiana is losing it. I see Indiana recovering in the second half but Nebraska will come out as any normal team playing a conference foe that's ranked at home. Nebraska will continue to prove they belong in the Big Ten tonight.
|
01-17-12 |
Michigan State v. Michigan +1 |
Top |
59-60 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
4.4* NCAAB POD
|
01-16-12 |
Louisville +4.5 v. Marquette |
Top |
63-74 |
Loss |
-109 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
Louisville +4.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Louisville had a rough stretch but they were able to bounce back with a win vs. Depaul after losing 4 of 5 games. NOw they're under dogs on the road again and I think they come up with a big effort vs. an inconsistent Marquette team that tends not to really blow opponents out. Marquette is also off a couple wins so their confidence is riding high and they've shown a tendency to have a let down vs. a decent defense in Vanderbilt as they lost at home in that game. An awful Villanova team was extremely competitive to at Marquette and Louisville should be to after all they are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 rod games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 as a road dog so expect them tow in this game.
|
01-16-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Memphis Grizzlies +5 |
Top |
86-102 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
Grizzlies +5 (4.4* NBA POD)
|
01-15-12 |
Illinois State +1.5 v. Drake |
Top |
60-77 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
Illinois State +1.5(4.4* NCAAB POD) The Red Birds coming off back to back losses against their conference best teams are hungry. In both games they shown the ability to rally when they're down and now they'll be playing a must win type game. The players are hungry and they haven't won at Drake in some time, but Drake is nothing special lets be honest. They are allowing 50% from the field defensively in conference games and they are terrible at the FT line shooting 61% in conference play to Illinois State's 75%. I'll take that advantage any day. The Dog is also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings so I expect them to cover yet again.
|
01-14-12 |
South Alabama +1 v. Troy |
Top |
75-60 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
S. Alabama +1 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Troy and Southern Alabama both 1-3 in the Sun Belt with similar opponents, but Southern Alabama has the momentum. The only shot I give to Troy in this game is if they shoot the lights out from the perimeter. They do shoot 26 three's a game so if they make enough of them ya sure they can beat Southern Alabama, but Southern Alabama has too many other advantages. For one they are better offensively and defensively statistically. They also shoot better from the FT line and they have a +7.9 rebound margin this year while Troy is at -5.3. I feel Southern Alabama's size will give Troy issues especially Javier Carter and Augustine Rubit. Troy is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Sun Belt and the road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14. Troy beat Southern Alabama on the road in the last meeting so I expect a little pay back in this one.
|
01-13-12 |
Seton Hall v. South Florida +2.5 |
Top |
55-56 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
South Florida +2.5 (5.5* NCAAB POD) A ranked opponent on a Friday night in South Florida.
|
01-12-12 |
Wisconsin +3.5 v. Purdue |
Top |
67-62 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin +3.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD); Wright St +8 bonus Love Wisconsin tonight as I think they rebound from their 1-3 start in Big Ten play they are still a contender in this conference and I think they match up well vs. Purdue.
|
01-11-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz +2.5 |
Top |
90-87 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 12 m |
Show
|
Jazz +2.5 (4.4* NBA POD) Love the Jazz tonight as they have some revenge and confidence coming into this game. For one they are shooting over 50% at home and playing good defense holding opponents to 42.3% while the Lakers are giving up over 100 points in road games and are on 0 days rest. I think Kobe is gassed and it'll show they are 1-3 ATS this year on 0 days rest and that continues tonight against a Utah team that's 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games as a .5 to 4.5 point dog.
|
01-11-12 |
Denver +3 v. Colorado St |
Top |
75-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
|
Denver +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Love Denver tonight as they have revenge on their mind against Colorado State who seems to be looking ahead to their conference opener in 3 days. Denver looks to have their best team in years and should contend for the Sun Belt Title. The Dog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and I think Colorado State should have issues inside agaisnt Chris Udofia who blocks a lot of shots. Denver also the better FT shooting team at 81% and averages more blocks and steals. They already beat Boise and Wyoming out of the Mountain West and they'd love to beat an in state rival.
|
01-10-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 |
Top |
100-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
GRIZZLIES +3.5 4.4* PLAY
|
01-10-12 |
Iowa +14 v. Michigan State |
Top |
61-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
4.4* NCAAB POD
|
01-09-12 |
Oklahoma +2 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
65-72 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
[b]LSU/Alabama Over 40 2.2* play[/b] [b]First points will be a FG +150 2* play[/b] Both teams are among the best in the nation in red zone defense and I expect both teams not to want to make the first mistake early expect the game to heat up with some shots down the field and I believe this game goes over the total but as far as the first points of the game you can
|
01-07-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets +4.5 |
Top |
98-95 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
Rockets +4.5 (4.4* NBA POD) Love the Rockets here tonight as they lost to the Thunder last night and the Thunder even tried resting people in the 4th knowing this is their 2nd game in a row and they have the Spurs sunday who they are clearly looking ahead to as their third game in 3 days. Houston meanwhile has won 11 of 12 vs. the Thunder at home and they are 2-0 at home this year already beating the Spurs and the Hawks. They are just a different team here and I expect them to take advantage in this revenge spot. Rockets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 following an ATS loss and the Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 on 0 days rest
|
01-07-12 |
Kent State +3 v. Buffalo |
Top |
65-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 44 m |
Show
|
Kent St +3.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Kent State the reigning MAC Champions in back to back years will look to continue that when they tip of MAC play tonight at Buffalo. Buffalo a team that loves to run and shoot the threes. Kent State has been playing pretty good defense and they have also stolen the ball 9.2 times per game while forcing 17.2 turnovers. Buffalo is turning it over 16.8 times which won't help them in this match up. I look for Kent State who gets some players back including C Justin Mann who was suspended for 3 games to take advantage and make a statement in the MAC opener.
|
01-05-12 |
Montana State +2 v. Idaho State |
Top |
73-69 |
Win
|
101 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
4.4* NCAAB POD
|
01-05-12 |
Miami Heat v. Atlanta Hawks +2.5 |
Top |
116-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
4.4* NBA POD
|
01-04-12 |
Texas Tech +11 v. Oklahoma State |
Top |
59-67 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
Tx Tech +11 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
|
01-04-12 |
Indiana Pacers +8 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
83-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 2 m |
Show
|
[b]Pacers +8 4.4* NBA POD[/b] I'll take the more defensive team and the better FT% shooting team getting 8 points. The Dog is 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games in this match up and the Pacers played the Heat very well late last year.
|
12-31-11 |
Tulsa -1 v. Texas Christian |
Top |
74-66 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAB POD
|
12-30-11 |
Portland State +116 v. Montana State |
Top |
73-86 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
Portland State +116 (4* POD) Portland State to me is a play, I love backing teams that can get to the FT line and shoot effectively and Portland State is one of the better teams in the nation where they are 29th shooting 75% and 78% on the road compared to Montana State who is shooting 67%. Montana also does not shoot particularly well at home or overall shooting 38% on the year and also allowing 47% while Portland is shooting 45.2% Portland is also 88th in rebound % at 52.2% while Montana State is 277th at 46.9% so expect them to have the advantage there to. I think they get their first road win of the season this is a team that played right with Oregon earlier in the year.
|
12-29-11 |
Western Kentucky -124 v. Louisiana-Monroe |
Top |
76-71 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
4.5* POD
|
12-28-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 |
Top |
98-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
Grizzlies +1 (4.4* POD) This is the Thunder's 3rd game in 4 days and they go on the road to face the Grizzlies team that's extremely deep and upset the Spurs in the playoffs last year in the first round. I'm not surprised the Spurs won in their opener, but now the Grizzlies return home to get some revenge of their own against the Thunder. The only thing that stopped the Grizzlies in their first game was turnovers and the Thunder are -1.5 in turnovers per game so I don't see it being a huge issue. Grizzlies are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games.
|
12-25-11 |
Long Beach State -128 v. Kansas State |
Top |
60-77 |
Loss |
-128 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
5.5** ncaab pod
|
12-25-11 |
Orlando Magic +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
Top |
89-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
Magic +8.5 4.4* NBA POD
|
12-23-11 |
Providence v. Rhode Island +5 |
Top |
80-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rhode Island +5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Love RI don't buy into Providence record they have schedule a weak schedule before they get into the Big East schedule they have a new coach a new rotation and 4 guys are averging nearly a full game. RI should be able to tire them out and have an advantage in the rebound margin. RI are actually +4 in rebound margin already so expect them to continue that again to night against a team they match up well with. Their defense should improve when they play their rival they have beaten them at home the last 4 meetings here. The Fryars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 on the road and they have not played many teams on the road this year. Speaking of the teams they've played 9 of their 10 wins have come against teams in the 200s in RPI and 4 of those teams were actually over 300. RI has help on the way in the 2nd semester with some transfers and it would be real important to get a buzz going again if they can win this game.
|
12-22-11 |
Long Beach State -130 v. Xavier |
Top |
68-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
LB ST -130 5* NCAAB POD
|
12-21-11 |
Middle Tenn. St. +3 v. Mississippi |
Top |
68-56 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
MTSU +2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Close calls the last two days in games but we fell on the wrong side this time we'll have the dog so when it gets to be a close game again we should be fine. MTSU is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog .5 to 6. Miss has been prone to playing a lot of close games this year and MTSU actually won earlier in the year by 20 points vs. UCLA so they are very capable of taking down a big team. MTSU is shooting a nation's second best 53.7% from the field and over 40% from the perimeter. while the Rebels come in at just 43%. Both teams play good defense with Miss allowing 39.2% shooting by opponents and MTSU right behind them with 39.5%. The main advantage on paper is that Miss averages 40 rebounds a game while MTSU is at 35, but a closer look reveals that's more to do with FGA per game as Miss is 70th with a 52.9% rebound percentage while MTSU comes in at 93rd with 52.3%. MTSU I believe actually matches up well pound for pound down low with Laron Dendy 6-9 230 and JT Sulton 6-8 230. Miss has 4 guys between 6-7 and 6-10, but I believe MTSU has more talent in this one in what will be an back and forth game I'm taking the better shooting team.
|
12-20-11 |
Idaho -2.5 v. Wright State |
Top |
78-80 |
Loss |
-106 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
Idaho -2.5 4.4* play Idaho is really playing well and it
|
12-19-11 |
Western Illinois -1.5 v. Illinois-Chicago |
Top |
56-57 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
I love Western Illinois here as Illinois Chicago overall is allowing 48.4% shooting on this season and they are also a terrible FT shooting team themselves.
|
12-18-11 |
Princeton +2.5 v. Northeastern |
Top |
71-62 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
PRINCETON +2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
|
12-17-11 |
Oakland +2.5 v. Valparaiso |
Top |
82-80 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
Oakland +2.5 (5.5* play) Other than facing off against Arizona Valpo has faced nobody. They are 5-0 at home, but they are among the nation's slowest paced teams and even in their 5 home games they are allowing opponents to shoot the ball 10 more times than them. That's outrageous 10 more field goal attempts and they are not even playing good defense to be able to over come that with 48.1% on the season 40% form 3. Oakland meanwhile averages over 62 FGA that's more than 12 more than Valpo. They like to play fast and that should have an impact. This Oakland team again is the favorite to come out of their conference for the third straight year and they have played 4 big teams already in Alabama, Michigan, Arkansas and Tennessee and they came up with a win vs. Tennessee. Valpo does not have the defense to shut this team down and they don't have the scoring to keep up though they are ranked high in FG% they really haven't been pushed with tempo like they will be tonight and they are due to lose at home especially since they are averaging 17 turnovers per game. Oakland is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a road dog.
|
12-17-11 |
North Carolina-Wilmington +14 v. Virginia Commonwealth |
Top |
64-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
NC Wilm +14(4.4*) These are two teams that know each other well playing two times a year, NC Wilm continues to play well as under dogs going 5-1 ATS so far this season they just won at Ill State as 12.5 dogs 63-54. VCU is off a huge win vs. Richmod so in my opinion this line is inflated while VCU is likely looking ahead to UAB who beat them last year. VCU is only shooting 39.7% from the field this year and NC Wilm plays solid defense especially from 3 point on the road allowing just 25.5% from the perimeter. That's important because VCU is hoisting up 22 attempts per game from the perimeter. This is not the same VCU team that went to the Final Four a year ago and they are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Colonial because of infalted lines like this one. NC Wilmington's freshmen Adam Smith is becoming a star and should give them fits. NC Wilmington is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 as a dog 13+ and they should have every opportunity to win this one.
|
12-16-11 |
Idaho State -1.5 v. Utah |
Top |
59-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
Idaho State -2 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Utah is worse in every category. At least Idaho State can force turnovers. Utah just 8.9 forced turnovers per game and they are giving it up 14 times they can't even take advantage of Idaho State's weakness. Both teams have a common opponent in Boise State who they played on the road. Both teams played poorly, but Idaho State played better defense and better offense as far as FG% goes. Idaho pretty much played right with Boise other than the fact that Boise out rebounded them and got to the FT line a ton more times. Meanwhile Utah got blown out despite getting to the FT line more they gave up 46.7% from the field and 55.6% from 3 point range.
|
12-14-11 |
Denver -3.5 v. Northern Colorado |
Top |
71-65 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Denver -3.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Love Denver here first of all Denver is 16th in the nation in FG% running the Princeton offense effectively with Senior Leadership including the key return of Rob Lewis and Brian Stafford.
|
12-13-11 |
Drexel v. Niagara +6.5 |
Top |
71-58 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
Niagara +6.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Drexel beat Niagara badly a year ago 84-39 and as we have seen in many cases in betting that team usually comes back the next time with some revenge. In that game they were out rebounded -23, out shot 54% to 29% and had a -3 turnover margin. Now they are at home and they do play a Drexel team that is very very good on defense, but Niagara has Antoine Mason back after injury they did not have him a year ago when they shot 29% and he was their leading scorer with over 16 points per game.
Now Niagara is a relatively large home dog on revenge in this spot and they are playing a Drexel team that really struggles to score points particularly on the road. Thus far they are 320th in scoring and 320th in FG%. Now Niagara is not juggernaut at defense, but their offense has started to click and they are scoring into the 70's in 3 of their last 4 games including an impressive game at home vs. Fairfield. They're also forcing 17 turnovers per game at home which has been reason for their poor defensive FG% defense as they take some chances. I believe their motivation will be high tonight facing Drexel and they should get it done. Drexel themselves are just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing record at home while Niagara ae 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games alone. Don't be surprised if Niagara wins this game out right which would be a +260 pay day.
|
12-11-11 |
Iona +1.5 v. Marshall |
Top |
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
IONA +1.5 5.5* NCAAB POD
|
12-10-11 |
Manhattan +2.5 v. Hofstra |
Top |
68-59 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
Manhattan +3 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Not an exciting game by any means, but Manhattan has caught my eye and they are playing good basketball and now they play a team they play every year and have lost the last 4 they have the confidence, finally to take them down and I believe they will here today. This is a team that's 4-0 ATS on the road this year 3-1 straight up as all 4 they have been under dogs. Some of their offensive statistics are not as bad as they appear as they played games without their leading scorer George Beamon, but Beamon is back in this one. Hofstra meanwhile has struggled big time barely getting past teams and are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 at home as a favorite .5 to 6.5. Manh is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 raod games. I also like that Manh is +4.5 rebound margin this year and 72.7% from the FT line.
|
12-08-11 |
Harvard +5.5 v. Connecticut |
Top |
53-67 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
Harvard +6 (4.4* NCAAB POD) On this team earlier this year they are a team that is poised to come into the NCAA tournament at the end of the year they can play inside and out and they can play with the talented teams in the nation. The Huskies are as good as they come so it will be real interesting to see what happens tonight, but the Huskies usually get in trouble in these type of games and are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite .5 to 6.5 points and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Ivy League.
|
12-07-11 |
Illinois State -3.5 v. Morehead St. |
Top |
78-73 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
I'll st -3.5 8.8* pod
|
12-04-11 |
Mississippi v. Penn State -1.5 |
Top |
72-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 38 m |
Show
|
pENN sT -1.5 4.4* pod
|
12-03-11 |
Gonzaga v. Illinois -3 |
Top |
75-82 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
4.4* pod
|
12-02-11 |
Cincinnati -1.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
57-51 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
CINCI -1.5 11* POD
|
11-30-11 |
Wisconsin +7.5 v. North Carolina |
Top |
57-60 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 46 m |
Show
|
Wisconsin +7.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) UNC is in a tough sandwich game as they just lost to UNLV so a hang over is expected as they also look ahead to facing # 1 Kentucky on Saturday. With that said they have been out rebounded 3 times this year and have the tendency to go cold when they missed their first 10 shots of the 2nd half in their last game. Wisconsin is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 and bring in the nation's #1 defense in points allowed and FG% at 30.5% and 22% defense beyond the arch. Wisconsin can also shoot them and they are at +13.5 rebound margin and hardly ever turn the ball over at 8.5 per game. They'll have all the statistical advantages and I think this game is close throughout.
|
11-29-11 |
SE Missouri State v. Arkansas State -3.5 |
Top |
63-79 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 35 m |
Show
|
Arkansas St -3.5 (4.4* POD) Arkansas plays good defense we saw it last game vs. Louisville. They are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Ohio Valley Conference. Arkansas State beat SE Missouri on the road last year 56-50 despite playing poorly. They return home in this match up where they went 13-0 last year. They have been solid defensively and SE Missouri has played bad defense which I believe will lead to them covering this line as they are giving up 47% FG while Ark State is at 39.1%. They're expected to compete yet again for the Sun Belt Division title ast hey return their 1-2 punch F Adams and swingman Finn. SE has F Leon Powell, but I like the depth and experience down low for Ark State which should keep Powell in check as he was just 4-9 from the field a year ago.
|
11-28-11 |
Georgia v. Colorado -4 |
Top |
68-70 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
Colorado -4 -105 (4.2* NCAAB POD) Like Colorado here they open up their home schedule tonight and are going up on revenge for their loss last year at Georgia. Georgia lost 3 key players to last year and it's evident as their leading scorer and leading player as far as playing time goes (min/g) is the highly touted freshmen Pope and he's shooting just 38%. Georgia is really struggling to score points and that will be a real problem facing Colorado who despite losing a large portion of their offense knows how to score especially at home. They were 12th in the nation last year in the nation in scoring at nearly 80 points per game. Georgia is also 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non conference games and haven't shot well to start the year and I expect that to continue as they move to high elevation here tonight.
|
11-25-11 |
Dayton v. Fairfield -1.5 |
Top |
56-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
4.4* POD
|
11-23-11 |
Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Stanford |
Top |
67-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
Okl St +1.5 (3.3* play)
|
11-22-11 |
Fresno State v. Texas-San Antonio -3.5 |
Top |
79-83 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
Texas- San Antonio -3.5 (4.4* POD) This is a team that went on quite the role at the right time last year winning 6 in a row and then winning in the four play in game to get to face off against Ohio State.
|
11-21-11 |
Austin Peay St v. Bowling Green -4 |
Top |
72-82 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
Bowling Green -4 (4.4* NCAAB POD) I like the speed and athleticism of BG over Austin Peay who is just 23-48-6 ATS in their last 77 non conference games. While Bowling Green is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 as a favorite. This is a team that only lost to Georgia by 9 and if they did not get off to a slow start would have been in that game. Austin Peay is even worse starting off in games and I believe Bowling Green gets to the FT line a ton tonight.
|
11-19-11 |
Hawaii +13.5 v. Gonzaga |
Top |
54-73 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
Hawaii +13.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Gonzaga returns three starters and many figure they'll be better than last year as they came on late, but they did lose their best player in Steven Gray and have 5 freshmen that will be in rotation. To me that's too much inexperience and Hawaii comes into this game with 7 returners including their top scorer in Arizona transfer Zane Johnson. They also mix in athletic post players in Joaquim, and Justin Thomas and recruited the star from NY in Shaquile Stokes to run the point. They have all the ingredients to make some noise this year. Hawaii is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a winning team and Gonzaga is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. I think Hawaii has a chance to win this game outright as they look ahead to their next few games against Notre Dame, Illinois and Michigan State.
|
11-18-11 |
Wichita State v. Alabama -2 |
Top |
60-70 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
Bama -2 4.4* play
|
11-17-11 |
Arizona -2.5 v. St John's |
Top |
81-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
Arizona -2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) I actually think we have value here even though the line opened up at pk and moved to -2.5. Arizona is 3-0 SU, but 0-3 ATS, and St. Johns has played three teams that just are not very good and they return 1 player from last year's team that went to the tournament. They have quality players they recruited that won't be joining the team right away. I think the fact that St John's was trailing in 2 of their 3 games this year tells the story especially when they were down vs. William and Mary 33-26, and Lehigh 43-33 before coming back in the 2nd half. That won't fly vs. a very athletic Arizona team. Arizona has also even played well at MSG.
|
11-16-11 |
Long Beach State +14 v. Pittsburgh |
Top |
86-76 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
Long Beach State +13.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD) Pitt has the makings of a national title contender, but they return just two starters, and may struggle early. For instance they trailed Rider by 6 in the 2nd half in their last game. Meanwhile Long Beach State returns 81% of their scoring and 4 experienced starters including Point Guard Casper Ware who was the Big West player of the year and defensive player of the year. Along with the experience they add a JUCO transfer in James Ennis at 6-8 he's a versatile player that should give the Panthers troubles he averaged 20.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5 assists a year ago. This is the same team that went 22-12 last year and lost by just 5 at North Carolina year ago. Pitt is just 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 as a home favorite 13+.
|
06-12-11 |
Dallas Mavericks +5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
105-95 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
06-09-11 |
Miami Heat +1.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
103-112 |
Loss |
-113 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Heat +1.5 4.4* NBA POD; Under 185 -120 3* play, Heat -1.5 +160 2* play Heat have been more dominant in this series than most remember. I think they really come out with some authority tonight. Although Lebron has not really shown up in this series it will be interesting to see what he does here tonight. Still this is a very inconsistent offensive team in Miami which is why I like the under yet again. Miami's defense though is one of the best so expect a tight game down the stretch yet again with the Heat pulling out the victory.
|
06-07-11 |
Miami Heat v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 187 |
Top |
83-86 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
06-05-11 |
Miami Heat +2.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
88-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
Heat +3 -120 5* NBA POD; Over 188.5 2.5* play Heat really have dominated this series and I just think the Mavericks are going to continue having difficulties stopping the Heat. I don't see the Heat letting their collapse in game 2 roll into this game. That game gave Dallas a couple of points. If Dallas lost I think we'd have more of a pick em here. I also see the over again with both teams putting up points.
|
06-02-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat OVER 187 |
Top |
95-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rangers +115 (4* MLB POD); Dal/Mia Over 186 (4.4*play) 1.5* Mavericks +175 Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings with the INdians. I fear the Indians will start to spiral downward they have remained .500 since losing Hafner, but the Rangers got their lefty bat back in Hamilton and they are just a different monster. Over their last 10 games they are putting up more than 6 runs per 9 innings vs. rhp and are hitting .287. They beat up Carrasco last time who has an ERA over 7 at home this year. Rangers take this game and the value is on the dog for sure. See both Dallas and Miami picking it up tonight offensively, both under 40% last game. Miami may have just gotten really cocky and feel they have this series won, but I believe they will have a shot to win in the end. The fact that the Mavericks held the Heat under 40% shooting has to prove something to you about their defense on the road giving thema solid shot at winning.
|
05-31-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat UNDER 188.5 |
Top |
84-92 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
05-26-11 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls -3 |
Top |
83-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
Bulls -3 (4.4* NBA POD) The Heat really are too cocky at this point and I'd love to see the Bulls who dominated them in game #1 at home return to make this a game 7 series. I think the day off for the Bulls players who played many minutes on Tuesday was critical but now they are at home with extra energy and ready to really shut down the Heat. Expect to see Lebron on Rose again, but expect Rose to be able to beat him in transition and be more of a passer in the half court taking advantage of match ups.
|
05-25-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder +7 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
96-100 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
4.4* TOP PLAY
|
05-22-11 |
Chicago Bulls +180 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
85-96 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
4.4* on Bulls +5; 2* on Bulls +180
|
05-21-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 201 |
Top |
93-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
4.4* NBA POD
|
05-19-11 |
Atlanta Hawks +5.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
4,4* NBA POD
|
05-18-11 |
Miami Heat +2.5 v. Chicago Bulls |
Top |
85-75 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
Heat +3 -120 3* play
|
05-18-11 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 182 |
Top |
85-75 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
05-17-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks -6 |
Top |
112-121 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* nba pod
|
05-15-11 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls -120 |
Top |
82-103 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* NBA POD
|
05-13-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies -117 |
Top |
83-95 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
4.5* nba pod
|
05-09-11 |
Miami Heat -1 v. Boston Celtics |
Top |
98-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
4.4* nba pod
|
05-08-11 |
Los Angeles Lakers +2 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
86-122 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
Lakers +2 (4.5* NBA POD) Love the Lakers in this spot. I think Kobe has one more game where he can motivate his teammates to rally and get a win. In all honestly the difference in this series has been the team that can close. The Lakers have even controlled 2 of 3 of these games, but for some reason has not been able to close which is unlike them. I expect them to get up in this game and have the intensity to hold on late and send it back to LA.
|
05-04-11 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls -8.5 |
Top |
73-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
4.4* NBA POD
|