Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys -4 v. Packers | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. NFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 261. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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11-13-22 | Vikings v. Bills -3.5 | Top | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. NO LIMIT GOM. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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11-12-22 | Purdue v. Illinois -6.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
Illinois Fighting Illini. BIG TEN GOM. Game 174. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Brett Bielema has reared the Illinois defense into a true force. They rank first nationally in yards allowed, takeaways, and points allowed, second in passing yards allowed, and fourth in rushing yards allowed. This is a unit that yields just 10.4-points per game, yielding a mere 235.2 yards per game. They’ve already snagged 16 takeaways. They have held every single opponent this season to 23-points or less, holding five offenses to single-digits. In this conference that is just astounding. This doesn’t bode too well for Purdue. They score enough points, for sure. However, they rank 98th in rushing. This tells you they solely rely on the pass. And once again the Fighting Illini pass defense ranks second nationally, yielding just 152.6 yards per game. The Boilermakers have won five of the last six meetings in this series straight up. But have failed to cover the last three. I’m here to tell you folks that these are two very different squads this season than in previous seasons. Believe me the worm has turned. Illinois running back Chase Brown leads the nation with 1,344 yards rushing. He eats up a ton of clock, keeping defenses honest and eventually wearing them down. More importantly, because the Fighting Illini dominate the time of possession, they keep their own defense fresh and rested. This team sits in first place in the Big Ten West at 4-2 in conference play. They need victories folks. Iowa, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Minnesota are all sitting just behind them at 3-3. Let’s not forget the Boilermakers have dropped their last two straight up and their last three against the number. Illinois comes in here a bit angry losing their last outing to the Michigan State 23-15 as a 16.5-point favorite. Look for them to bounce back here as they are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams a winning record, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played overall. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you. |
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11-06-22 | Titans +12.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 48 h 52 m | Show |
Tennessee Titans. AFC GOW. Game 471. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you. |
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11-05-22 | Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Baylor. BIG 12 GOM. Game 359. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no doubt in my mind that the odds makers are looking to trap you in this game. Oklahoma is point spread poison, covering only twice since the beginning of September. On both sides of the ball, they are overmatched, outgunned, and outclassed in this contest. Baylor enters this game possessing one of the most well-balanced scoring offenses in the nation. They are equally good on the ground as they are in the air, accounting for over 38.4 points per game. As you may or may not know, the Sooners possess one of the worst defenses, not just in the conference, but in the nation. They are allowing just short of 30 points per game and rank 114th in total yards allowed and 113th in rushing yards allowed. Oh, by the way they also rank 90th in passing yards allowed. This doesn’t bode well against the explosive Bears offense. Defensively, Baylor can counter the Oklahoma rushing attack with one of the stingiest and nastiest run defenses in the land. They have also covered the last four meetings in the series. And took the last years matchup 27-14. Once again, the Sooners are overvalued. If you go back to the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma, the Bears have covered nine of the those 11. And this is the best Baylor team we’ve seen in years. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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10-30-22 | Giants +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 49 m | Show |
New York Giants. NFC GOW. Game 269. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.
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10-29-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 0-48 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 55 m | Show |
Oklahoma State. NO LIMIT. Game 179. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Guys, whether Martinez plays or not for Kansas State, I still don’t see the lackluster Wildcats offense going score-for-score with the explosive Cowboys “O“. Let’s face it, no matter who is at quarterback for the Kansas State, it won’t matter. The Oklahoma State offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring, accounting for over 44.7 points per game. Spencer Sanders will light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed over 2,030 yards passing with 15 touchdowns in the air. Let’s not forget he is a dual-threat, adding another 352 yards rushing and eight scores on the ground. This is a very well-balanced unit that can and will keep the K State defense on the field. This is a team that has also taken the last three meetings in this series straight up with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 9-points per game. They are 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 conference games, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall games. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you. |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
Take UCLA. PAC 12 GOM. Game 375. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The last two unbeaten teams in conference play in the Pac 12 square off here. After a season opening embarrassing 49-3 loss at the hands of Georgia, Oregon has since run off five consecutive wins. The one thing that does concern me is that they haven’t played the same level of competition as UCLA. The Bruins, over their last two outings, have taken down both the Huskies and the Utes. Mind you they were underdogs in both of those contests. Overall UCLA has a bit stronger of a defense, yielding six points per game less. Both are good at stopping the pass and both are good at stuffing the run. Both offenses are good at passing. And both offenses are very, very, strong at rushing. So, what does that tell you about this game? It tells me it’s going to be a very tight matchup. Throw into the mix that after this week, the Bruins schedule softens a bit. And the fact the last two meetings were both settled by three-points. This adds up to be a very close game. Way closer than the point spread. UCLA is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Pac-12 foes, and 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Take the Bruins. Thank you. |
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10-22-22 | Syracuse +14.5 v. Clemson | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. OM GOM. Game 353. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. For quite a while now, the only coach worthwhile up in Syracuse was Jim Boeheim. Well, that isn’t the case anymore. Dino Babers has his team a perfect 6-0. This does include being the only other undefeated team in the ACC Atlantic, other than Clemson. Not only that, but this team has been money to us bettors, going 5-1 against the spread this season. Clemson is a very good team. You may not realize this, but they’ve won 11 straight going back to last season. But I think we would all agree, this is not the same Tigers team we are used to seeing over the last several years. You know what’s funny is the Orange have covered six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. And the bulk of that was during the Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence eras. Last year with DJ Uiagalelei at the helm, Syracuse came very close to beating them outright, losing a heartbreaker, 17-14. Believe it or not, the Orange enter this matchup with the number six ranked defense in the country, yielding a mere 13.2 points per game. They’re equally strong against the pass and the rush. Clemson‘s defense ranks 26th, allowing 19.7 points per game. But they have gotten shredded in the air. Garrett Shrader has the luxury of having Sean Tucker in his backfield to keep the Tigers defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Orange are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in the month of October, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played against conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. The Tigers tend to get overvalued, particularly at home where they have only covered three of their last 11 games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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10-16-22 | 49ers -5.5 v. Falcons | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 11 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. 10 Dimes Play. Game 265. Sunday, October 16, 2022. 10:00 AM PT/1:00 PM ET. -5.5 Consensus line. (As an early release I know the line can move. I have this number closer to -8.5. If it moves to -7, we are still good. If it goes to a 7.5, I would advise you just to err on the side of caution and buy it down to a TD). My friends, I have the line in this game closer to -8.5. Now obviously releasing this on a Tuesday we see -5.5. This is due to several reasons that I want to inform you about. For starters, it is the second of back-to-back road games for San Francisco. And their third road game in four weeks. Let’s put a pin in that. We are going to return to it in a moment. The number is also a little low due to the fact that the 49ers, as of posting this release have a few players that were injured in Carolina on Sunday. Cornerback, Emmanuel Moseley will be out, safety Jimmy Ward broke his hand, defensive lineman, Nick Bosa is dealing with a groin injury, and kicker, Robbie Gould tweaked his knee. The status of Bosa and Gould will be determined sometime this week. But early reports are optimistic that they will play on Sunday. Let’s go back to me addressing the 49ers playing on the road. Something you must know and something I feel is a significant advantage for the visiting team here, is that head coach Kyle Shanahan, over the last few seasons has implemented staying over on the east coast when he has back-to-back road games. They happen to stay at the very posh Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia. And just FYI, the last two seasons they stayed on the east coast which preceded with wins over the Eagles and Jets. They have had a lot of success utilizing extended stays on the road going 7-1 straight up their last eight implementing this option. Going back to the injuries, I don’t know if there is another team in the NFL this season that has adapted to banged-up players as well as San Francisco. They are deep at key positions. And following quite a few major injuries to starters this team is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread their last four games. I am well aware of the fact that the Atlanta Falcons are a perfect 5-0 against the number this season. But the clock strikes midnight this Sunday for this team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a very difficult matchup for Atlanta. To begin with, their passing unit is absolutely deplorable, ranking 30th in the league accounting for just 166.8 yards per game in the air. Their strength has come from their rushing attack. Well without Cordarrelle Patterson, their leading ball-carrier (out with a knee injury), they ran for only 151 yards combined against Tampa Bay in Sunday’s 21-15 road loss. When your quarterback leads the team in rushing with 61 yards, it’s an issue. By the way two of their rushes combined for more than a third of the rushing yards. Without Patterson pounding the ball on the ground, Mariota is going to be running for his life the entire game. He must face the NFL’s top-ranked defense here. The ferocious, 49ers stop-unit leads the league in points allowed (12.2), total yards allowed (249.2), and rushing yards allowed (71.4), and also ranks third in passing yards allowed. (177.8). Jimmy Garoppolo is looking very comfortable at the helm. As a matter fact, with each passing week, his performances are getting better and better. He gets to lineup against Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense. You we’ll see the quarterback have enormous success in the air here. He has the luxury of a backfield that ranks eight in rushing, averaging over 138.8 yards per game on the ground. There is no way the inferior Falcons “D” can slow down, let alone stop this well-balanced offense. Throw in to the mix, playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel and San Francisco will be able to move the chains and score at will here. It won’t just be Garoppolo‘s numbers that will go up, so will running back, Jeff Wilson Jr. tight end, George Kittle, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, and as I mentioned, you can expect a lot from Samuel as well. Despite the Falcons against the spread success this season, they are just 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played versus NFC opponents. Take the 49ers here. Thank you. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 31 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. MNF GOM. Game 480. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-08-22 | Texas A&M v. Alabama -23.5 | Top | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 386. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Let’s talk about Texas A&M going to Bryant-Denny Stadium to face Alabama. Obviously, the big news this entire week is if the Crimson Tide quarterback, Bryce Young will play. Well reports over the last day or so are that he has practiced and he has looked pretty strong. Officially we’re not going to know as of posting this release. If he plays great. If he doesn’t, remember one thing. The Crimson Tide is stacked at key positions higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast café. Jalen Milroe is a very good quarterback. He’s the back up for the number one team in the nation. He was a great high school football star. The only difference is, he has a little less experience at this level. That’s all. Don’t overthink it. Just between us guys, I’m 53 years old, and although I was an all-state quarterback in high school only 5’6’, I could step in and lead Alabama to a victory here. Over the last several weeks we have seen Georgia leapfrog Alabama in the rankings when they had a better performance on a gameday. Then last week the Crimson Tide had a stronger performance than the Bulldogs and reclaimed the number one spot. Having said that, Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban does not want to relinquish the top-spot in the polls. He knows that he’s coming up against some good conference opponents, and he needs to keep his foot on the gas. Offensively, Alabama although has a very strong passing game, strongly depends on their rushing attack. They currently rank seventh in the nation averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground. Not only that, but they don’t make mistakes offensively. They don’t turn the ball over. They’ve had one turnover so far this season. And believe me, if Young does not play, the game plan will be run the ball, and pass off the run. And most importantly tuck the ball or throw it out if you don’t have a play. As we all know Texas A&M was a preseason darkhorse to make the College Football Playoff. After five games they sit at a disappointing 3-2 with a lackluster offense that is accounting for just 21.8 points per game. They rank about 100th or worse in just about every major offensive category. And they have to line up against one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the nation. The Tide only allow 11-points per game and rank in the top-10 and every major defensive category. Trust me when I tell you it will be a long, long day for the Aggie‘s. Texas A&M comes off a 42-24 spanking at the hands of Mississippi State a week ago. A game in which they were supposed to be a lot more competitive folks. Now they step up in class again even higher. We all know how much Nick Saban likes beating ex-assistant coaches. And Jimbo Fisher is no different. Don’t overthink this contest guys. Texas A&M doesn’t belong on the same field as Alabama. The Crimson Tide need to keep their foot on the gas to retain their number one ranking. And one more factor that prompts me to side with ‘Bama here. The Aggies bested the Tide last year at home. Saban and his boys did not forget that. They will open up a big can of whoop ass here. Texas A&M is just 1-5 ATS the last six on the road. Alabama is 17-5 against the number the last 22 at home. Don’t be afraid to lay the wood here. Roll Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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10-02-22 | Vikings -3 v. Saints | Top | 28-25 | Push | 0 | 21 h 53 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. No Limit Play. Game 251. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | Wake Forest +6.5 v. Florida State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
Wake Forest. Consensus Game of the Month. Game 123. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Don’t put too much stock to the fact that the Seminoles are undefeated and ranked. They played two deplorable opponents. And they also beat two teams that they should’ve beat in LSU in Louisville. Let’s face it, neither the Tigers nor the Cardinals are the teams that people thought they would be this season. On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off their first defeat of the season. Not only was it a loss, but it was an overtime heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Can you say “bounce back?” Granted, their previous opponents were less than stellar. I’m not going to argue that fact. I look for Sam Hartman to light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed 962 yards passing, on a 64% completion rate, with 13 TD’s and just two INT‘s. He has a backfield of two solid ball-carriers in Justice Ellison and Christian Turner. They have rushed for a combined 361 yards on the ground with three TD’s. This well-balanced offense will keep the Florida State defense on the field. The Demon Deacons have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series. The Seminoles are 11-23-3 ATS the last 37 versus teams with a winning record. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Kentucky. SEC Game of the Month. Game 175. 9 AM PST/12 PM EST. My friends, if the line in this game was totally accurate, Mississippi should only be a one or a two-point favorite at most. Throw into the mix that Kentucky will see the return of running back, Chris Rodriguez and they become a small favorite here. That’s right, their best ball-carrier in years will come back after serving a four-game suspension. If you recall a year ago, between the regular and postseasons, the RB accumulated over 1300 yards and 10 TD’s on the ground. And now that the Wildcats have a running game to go with their stellar passing-attack, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. I understand the Rebels have a good defense. But they haven’t faced anybody yet. So far, their opponents have been Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, and Tulsa. Not one of those were they not a double-digit favorite. They are in for a rude awakening here stepping up in class big time. On the flipside, Kentucky does have a solid defense. Let’s face it, they kept quite a few offenses in check this season and going back a bit, since last season. I doubt Mississippi will have any luck in the air against the 15th ranked pass defense in the country. The Rebel strength offensively comes through running the ball. And that doesn’t bode well here as the Wildcats only allow 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The wrong team is favored here my friends, trust me. Kentucky is 23-7-2 ATS the last 32 versus teams with a winning record, 7-3-1 ATS The last 11 versus conference opponents, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-25-22 | Rams -3.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 4 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. NFL Game of the Month. Game 485. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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09-17-22 | Georgia -24.5 v. South Carolina | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Georgia Bulldogs. SEC Game of the Month. Game 121. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, the Georgia Bulldogs leapfrogged the Alabama Crimson Tide in the polls this week to take over the No. 1 spot in the nation. Stetson Bennett has matured quite well, growing into an amazing quarterback. So far this season, he has thrown for 688 yards, with a 75.4% completion rate, three TDs and zero INTs. He will dissect the South Carolina Gamecocks defense that allowed Arkansas to light them up for 44-points a week ago. The Gamecocks are dealing with a banged up secondary here. This does not bode well going against the highflying offense of the Bulldogs. Offensively, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler has been utterly unimpressive, throwing three interceptions against just two touchdowns. More importantly guys, if Georgia doesn’t annihilate South Carolina here knowing that Alabama faces Louisiana Monroe later today, they may lose their top-ranking. Kirby Smart is not going to let that happen. They must keep their foot on the gas here, run the score up, and leave no doubt for pollsters. They took last year’s September meeting by score of 40-13. And this year’s matchup should be even more of a mismatch. The Gamecocks are 3-12 ATS the last 15 versus the SEC and 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS the last 26 following an ATS loss and 35-16 ATS the last 51 on the road. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Saints -5 v. Falcons | Top | 27-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
New Orleans Saints. High Roller play. Game 455. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-11-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Lions | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. |
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09-03-22 | Arizona v. San Diego State -6 | Top | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
San Diego State. Bookie Buster. Game 206. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Let’s go to Snapdragon Stadium where the Arizona Wildcats visit the San Diego Aztecs. My friends, I doubt I will hurt anyone’s feelings if I come out and state that Arizona football absolutely sucks. Let’s face it, this team is on a 1-23 straight up run. On the flipside, San Diego State is a very complete and solid football team. They come off a 12-2 season. Once again, this year they are known to have a phenomenal ground attack, while also possessing a ferocious stop-unit. They now have Braxton Burmeister at the helm to bring a new dynamic to the offense, a passing attack. Not only does this team come in here excited to have a new 35,000-seat stadium, but they will come out here confident, knowing that they went 2-0 against Pac-12 opponents a season ago. One of those wins was a 38-14 victory over Arizona. Overall, this team is 6-2 against ATS the last eight versus this conference, including straight up wins over Utah, UCLA, and Stanford. I just don’t see how the Wildcats can possibly either move the chains on this stingy defense, or slow down this powerful, now double-threat offense. Arizona is 5-12 against the spread the last 17 nonconference games, 8-24 against the spread the last 32 road games, and 0-4 against the spread the last four versus the Mountain West Conference. Under a touchdown here as a gift. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
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08-30-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Interleague Game of the Month. Game 975. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Tampa Bay has dominated Miami, taking five consecutive meetings in this series, including both matchups this season. And the Rays have taken seven of their last nine overall outings to earn a Wildcard spot in the American League. And with just a seven-game deficit behind the Yankees in the A.L. East, they can gain some ground with some victories for sure. The Marlins are just deplorable. They have gotten crushed in Interleague play, going 16-36 to last 52 against the American League. None of their statistics are any better, as they are 17-41 the last 58 versus teams with a winning record, 14-37 the last 51 versus the American League East, 6-20 the last 26 at home, McClanahan and Luzardo are scheduled starters here today. The Tampa Bay left-hander is 11-5 with a 2.20 ERA on the campaign. And in two career starts against the Marlins, he is 2-0 with an ERA of just 0.82. This includes a 4-0 win back at the end of May when he dominated the Miami lineup, striking out nine batters in six scoreless innings. Luzardo is 3-5 with a 3.34 ERA on the season. He has faced Tampa Bay just once in his career, approximately one year ago when you gave up two runs in four innings pitched in a loss. The Rays are 38-15 the last 53 versus the NL East, 7-1 the last eight versus left-handed starters, and 5-1 the last six or following a win. Take Tampa Bay on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-26-22 | Patriots v. Raiders | Top | 6-23 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL Touchdown Game of the Month. Game 116. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. These two teams saw plenty of one another this week, as they practiced together Tuesday and Wednesday. Thus far this preseason, New England is 1-1 straight up, while Las Vegas is 3-0 straight up. They are a combined, 5-0 against the spread. Having said that, reports are that some major starters will see action here in the first half. But there is no way Bill Belichick is going to jeopardize his starting quarterback or some of his key offensive players for too long in this contest. As we all know, the Patriots are the most successful team in the history of the NFL. But this team is not the team we are so accustomed to seeing over the last two decades or so. While they are touted to finish either second or third in the AFC East (depending on the book you like to wager at), they are slated to only win 8.5-games. Barring a major issue or injury, the Buffalo Bills will run away with their division. Any hope that this offense has depends on Mac Jones as their future. As I stated earlier, they will not jeopardize him. On the other hand, the team getting the most ink in the news the last several seasons, is certainly the Las Vegas Raiders. They’ve had a notorious coach come and go. They’ve had several players already caught up in legal issues and are also gone. They play in the most modern stadium in sports today, in the most exciting city in the world today. However, all this and yet they are still expected to finish last in the AFC West and win just 8.5-games. This is a team very deep at major positions, with several household names trying to earn spots both on the second and third strings. Understand that they have a big payroll and they must continue to win to keep individual home game ticket sales up and season-ticket holders happy. The players know this as well as the fans. Sharing the division with three teams that are significantly higher-rated stresses urgency for the team to go into the regular-season undefeated. This will give the team some momentum while exciting their fan base. Once again, they are deeper at major positions and the urgency is there for them to go into the regular season as big winners. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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08-24-22 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Houston Astros on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 966. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Astros have played just about the most consistent baseball we have seen this season. They currently own the best record in the American League at 79-45. With a combination of solid hitting and stellar pitching, this team is a true force to be reckoned with. They rank eight in the Majors in scoring, averaging 4.59 runs per game. And second in pitching, with a Team ERA of 3.07. As a matter fact, they rank in the top-10 in just about every offensive and pitching category there is. They have had their way with the Minnesota Twins this season, taking all four meetings against them. They have outscored their American League rival by a combined 21-5, blanking the Twins in two of those games. Minnesota has turned ice-cold, riding a four-game slide, and dropping nine of their last 14 outings. Over the last week or so, their offense has absolutely sputtered, accounting for just nine-runs in the last five contests. And that’s just not going to do it in a match up with a Houston lineup that has exploded. As far as pitching goes, today Dylan Bundy and Framber Valdez are scheduled. Bundy is 7-5 with a 4.60 ERA on the campaign. And in nine career appearances, which includes eight starts against the Astros, he is 0-3 with a 4.10 ERA. Valdez owns some very respectable numbers, going 12-4 with a 2.72 ERA this season. He is unbeaten over his last six starts, going 4-0 with a 2.93 ERA. And in his career, in six lifetime appearances, which includes three starts against the Twins, he’s 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA. The Twins are 0-4 the last four versus the American League West, 0-4 the last four versus teams with a winning record, and 1-6 the last seven on the road. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-20-22 | Steelers +3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 107 h 13 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers. High Roller Play. Game 417. Saturday, August 20, 2022. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. +3.5. The Pittsburgh Steelers are a team steeped in tradition. For the first time in as far back as we can remember, they are kicking off a campaign without Ben Roethlisberger at the helm. This is partially the reason why they’re only touted to win 7.5-games this season. They are expected to finish dead-last in the AFC North. And are an NFL longshot at 100-1 to win the Super Bowl. Well, this team has a very loyal fan base that expects a playoff-caliber squad every season. Let’s put a pin in that. We will circle back around to it. The Jacksonville Jaguars are without question, once again in a rebuilding year. There is talent on this team. The future is certainly in the hands of players like Trevor Lawrence. However, no one expects too much from them this season. They are predicted to win just 6.5-games. Most preseason prognosticators have them finishing third in the AFC South. And they too are 100-1 to win the Super Bowl. The big difference in these two teams is the fact that the Jaguars fan base is growing each season despite knowing that they are still rebuilding. There is no urgency for the team to win right now. We can also look at the depth charts. Pittsburgh is certainly deeper at key offensive positions. They have a slew of known quarterbacks fighting for second third and fourth string slots. Not to mention a couple of household names trying to make the squad in the backfield and as receivers. Known traditionally as a defensive powerhouse, they will establish their “D” here. Steelers long time head coach, Mike Tomlin has been in Pittsburgh over 15-years. One thing he likes to do each August, is get some wins in preseason play. Going back the last four preseasons, the Steelers are 10-3 straight up an 8-4-1 against the spread. Tomlin is a coach that actually puts forth effort in exhibition play. Well, newly acquired Jaguars head coach, Doug Pederson would love to make a splash. But he certainly isn’t going to jeopardize any of his key players before the regular season begins. Just for the record, the Jaguars are 1-8 straight up and 3-6 against the spread the last three preseason campaigns. I love the line here +3 1/2. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Western Conference Finals Game of the Year. Game 539. 6 PM PST/9 PM EST. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Golden State Warriors series win over the Memphis Grizzlies. But their opponent was without superstar Ja Morant for a few contests. The Dallas Mavericks got better as the series with the Phoenix Suns progressed. Their offense was on-fire while their defense really stepped up to hold the Suns powerful “O” intact the last several games. The Warriors are an excellent team and certainly deserve to be here. However, the Mavericks own a frustrating defense overall and particularly from beyond the arc where Golden State excels. Looking at the health of both teams, Dallas is quite a bit healthier as they’re only listed injured player is Hardaway Jr. On the other hand, the Warriors have several guys, significant cogs in the wheel, that will be missing here or at the very least, banged-up. This was evident recently where they struggled to cover the spread. They are just 3-5 their last eight games against the spread these playoffs. They haven’t exactly been blowing away opponents. On the other hand, The Mavericks covered four of their last five coming into the Western Conference Finals. And this season have had their way in this Conference rivalry winning and covering three or four meetings with Golden State. Going back a bit, they are 6-1 against the spread the last seven meetings in Golden State and 7-3 the last 10 overall meetings with Golden State. The Warriors are 0-5 against the spread the last five games played following a straight up wind. This is way too many points to give the very scrappy, Dallas team. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs +1 v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Slam Dunk play. Game 565. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Very simply, Dallas is just playing better basketball than Utah. They started the series very competitively without their superstar, Luka Doncic. Yes, in his first game back they dropped the game, but they still played very competitively as the forward was getting his sea legs. Well, Game 5 had a much different outcome. The Mavericks blew away the Jazz 102-77 to give them four consecutive covers in this series. Without question Utah has a lot more pressure on them here. They play in front of their home crowd who is used to them not succeeding in the postseason. That will weigh on their shoulders during this matchup. And less pressure, momentum, and having Doncic on the floor and healthy, there is no question in my mind that the Mavericks win this game. Throw into the mix that Donovan Mitchell is a little banged-up and that spells DOOM for Utah. The Mavericks are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings at the Jazz, 4-0 against the spread the last four games played on the road, and 20-8 against the spread the last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. SD play. Game 536. 6:30 pm pst. With The series tied 2-2, Dallas doesn’t just want this victory here tonight, they need it. It seems as though the Mavericks, which have covered Games 2, 3, and 4, have the recipe for frustrating Utah. As everyone knows, star forward, Luka Doncic returned in Game 4. Don’t overthink the fact that when he finally got back on the floor that the team lost. He really didn’t get into a rhythm until just before the half. That would concern me more than anything if I were the Jazz. Dallas has covered four of the last five matchups in this rivalry at home and eight of the last nine overall. This is an issue for Utah, as they are not a strong road team. They are also not very good in the role of an underdog or when playing on just one days rest. They sport a 6-19-1 against the spread mark the last 26 games played on the road, an 0-4 against the spread mark the last four games played as an underdog, an 1-9 against the spread mark the last 10 games played on one days rest. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-24-22 | Warriors -4 v. Nuggets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Month. Game 523. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Up 3-0, Golden State can get some extra rest by putting Denver here away as their next matchup will be between the Memphis/Minnesota winner. That series is tied 2-2. The Warriors haven’t just won every game in this series, they’ve won each one with ease. And for us sportsbettors, they have covered all three as well, winning by an average margin of 13.6 points per game. The Nuggets aren’t just losing this series, they have a dropped the last four overall straight up. And they have also dropped seven of the last nine against the spread. Denver is just simply way in over their heads here as they have failed to cover the last five meetings with Golden State, 18 of the last 24 games played at home, and the last five played as a home underdog. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-21-22 | Warriors -1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State. NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 573. 7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est. It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Raptors. LVSM. Game 521. 3:00 pm pst. Sports fans, Toronto has been locked into this seeding for quite a while now. So, the Raptors enter the postseason very well rested. Not only that but they start the playoffs red-hot, winning 14 of the last 18 game straight up and covering 12 of those 18 outings. To add to their advantages, this team is one of the few participating in the postseason that are at full strength, with no injuries. They can certainly match Philadelphia in scoring and are significantly better on the boards. And in my opinion, that is where this game will be won. The 76ers have several players that are still out and a few more that are a little banged up. Therefore, rotating fresh legs is not in the cards for them. And for us who wager on games, they have failed to cover seven of the last nine overall entering this matchup. Speaking of matchups, Toronto has taken three or four straight up in the series this season while covering all for meetings with Philadelphia. They are also 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog, and 5-1 against the spread the last six Conference Quarterfinal games. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Duke. Game 704. 5:45 pm pst Sports fans, the drama surrounding this Final Four matchup is unrivaled. North Carolina and Duke have been going out each other for as far back as I can remember. Obviously, there’s the story surrounding Coach Mike Krzyzewski retiring after this Tournament. And obviously, the team wants to win for him. There’s also all the brouhaha surrounding the fact that Duke took the first meeting this season back in February by 20-points and then in Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium North Carolina shredded them by 13-points. Hubert Davis is a good coach. He’s done a lot with his Tar Heels team this season. But he is certainly outmanned and outclassed here. It goes without saying he doesn’t have anywhere near the coaching experience as his counterpart. Nor does he have his big game intelligence or savvy. The Blue Devils score more offensively and allow less defensively. They’re also one the most accurate teams in the country both from beyond the arc and overall, from the floor. Let’s not forget the fact that they are one of the best in the nation on the offensive boards. North Carolina can score and is accurate from downtown as well. And also grab a lot of offensive rebounds. But the mismatch you’re going to see is between the Duke offense and the North Carolina defense. There is a huge disparity in ability, talent, and statistics. The Blue Devils can go to the well for fresh legs throughout the game as they are a little bit deeper and have that monster frontcourt with four big men in the starting lineup. The Tar Heels are 8-18-1 against spread the last 27 neutral side games played as underdog and 2-6 against spread eight NCAA Tournament games played as an underdog. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta. EC GOM. Game 586. 4:40 pm pst. Both teams here are hoping for playoffs appearances. Currently the Cavaliers are seventh in the East. Atlanta, at the moment is in tenth and they are trying to catch an eighth-place Brooklyn team and a ninth-place Charlotte team. Both played last night as a Cavaliers took a 120-112 loss at home against the Mavericks while the Hawks visited Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder, 136-118 to give the team their third consecutive win and cover. They had a short plane ride home for today’s matchup. The Cavaliers have been bitten badly by the injury bug. Allen has been out for a while joining Rondo, Wade, and Sexton. However just added to the injured list is center, Evan Mobley. Now with him out this team seems like they just can’t score at all. They have failed to cover six in a row and nine of the last 11 outings. As a matter fact, they lost and failed to cover the two most-recent meetings with Atlanta, coming at the end of December and mid-February. And that was when they were at full strength. The last few weeks the Hawks have taken it to another level winning eight of the last 11 straight up. This is a team that is back at to where they used to be, dominating opponents on their home court, where the Hawks are 13-6 against the spread the last 19 games played at the State Farm Arena. Cleveland’s numbers are just horrible as they are 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played on zero days rest, 5-11 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 2-6 against the spread the last eight games played on the road. Look for superstar, Trae Young to once again light up the Cavaliers as he has accounted for 35 and 41 points in the last two meetings. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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03-21-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. Bulls | Top | 99-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Raptors. EC GOM. Game 529. 5:10 pm pst. If you’re concerned that Toronto played last night in Philadelphia, don’t be. This is a team that’s 10-4 against the spread the last 14 games played on zero days rest. Personally, I believe the wrong team is favored here. Yes, I know Chicago has won covered five of the last six meetings in this rivalry. But the Raptors are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning and covering six of their last seven outings. The Bulls continue to disappoint, losing and failing to cover three straight. As a matter fact, they are on a 2-8 straight up run, only covering one of those last 10 games. The fact that Fred VanVleet rested last night tells me he will play here tonight (check status) and the team seriously wants this victory. Toronto will look to send a message to the rest of the Eastern Conference to the teams that are currently ahead of them in the seeding. They are 6-0 against the spread the last six games played on the road, 5-0 against the spread the last five road games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 4-0 against the spread the last four games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Chicago is 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-19 against the spread the last 27 home games played versus teams with a winning road record, and 2-5 against the spread the last seven games played on two days rest. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State v. Villanova -5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Wildcats, head coach, Jay Wright and his boys have won two of the last five tournaments. They come in here rolling today, winning six in a row. Villanova also has National Player of the Year candidate, Collin Gillespie. If this team was going to have a letdown, it would’ve happened after they won the Big East tournament. But it did not as they shellacked Delaware, 80-60 in the first round. They are no strangers to Ohio State. These two met up in November, 2019 when the Buckeyes crushed the Wildcats, 76-51. Gillespie was on that team and remembers that embarrassing loss quite well. Look for him to come out and lead the more talented bunch, get their vengeance, and move onto the Sweet 16. Ohio State is 2-10 against the spread the last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Villanova is 17-5 against the spread the last 22 NCAA Tournament games. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-17-22 | Vermont v. Arkansas -4 | Top | 71-75 | Push | 0 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
Arkansas. BEST BET PLAY. Game 722. 6:20 pm pst/9:20 pm est. My friends, every March we hear sports commentators chatting about Cinderella teams that have a shot go far in the Tournament. This year we’re hearing that static about Vermont. However, the Catamounts are going to be a one-and-done memory as they have a snowballs chance in hell at surviving today’s match up with the Razorbacks. Yes, I know they went through the American East Conference like a tornado. But the AEC is no way near to the SEC. Remember that Arkansas went 13-5 in conference play this season and have taken down some big-name teams like LSU three times, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Auburn, Missouri, Florida, and Kentucky. Vermont stepped up out of their class dropping games, losing and not even covering against the likes of Maryland and Providence. As a matter fact those two matchups got pretty darn ugly falling in both by double-digits. They also don’t have a big man that can even slow down forward, Jaylin Williams. The Catamounts are 1-4 against the spread their last five games played as an underdog and 0-4 against the spread their last four games played on neutral sites. The Razorbacks are 8-2-1 against the spread their last 11 games played as a favorite and 14-3-1 against the spread their last 14 games played overall. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |
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03-15-22 | St Bonaventure v. Colorado -3.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
NIT FIRST ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR. Colorado Buffaloes. Game 684. Tuesday, March 15, 2022. 8:00 pm pst/11:00 pm est. These two teams enter the first round of the NIT tournament with very different mindsets. St. Bonaventure finished their regular season very strong winning eight of their final nine outings. However, on Friday in the Atlantic 10 quarterfinals, Kyle Lofton missed two free throws in the final seconds to give the team a heartbreaking, 57-56 loss to Saint Louis. Most teams will have a hard time bouncing back from a defeat like that. And this team has showed that they aren’t one of them. Colorado won seven of their last eight regular season contests, then dominated Oregon in the first round of the Pac-12 Tournament, only to lose a tough contest to top-seeded Arizona. They do have the talent and the coaching to bounce back and use that loss to further motivate them here. The Bonnies have faced and beaten a few solid squads. However, this team seems to stumble when they step up in class in their own conference. And when stepping up outside the conference, well they got shredded in both situations this season against the Huskies (10-point loss) and the Hokies (37-point loss). With a frontcourt of three strong big men led by forward, Jabari Walker, who happens to be the best player on the floor, Colorado will dominate both inside and on the boards here. St. Bonnie is 1-8 against spread their last nine road games played versus teams with a winning home record, 1-5 against the spread their last six games played as an underdog, and 4-10 against the spread their last 14 games played following an ATS loss. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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03-05-22 | Colorado +2 v. Utah | Top | 84-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Colorado. PAC-12 GOM. Game 737. 6:30 pm pst/9:30 pm est. Colorado is one of the hottest teams in the nation let alone the conference, winning six of their last seven straight up and five of those seven against this spread. With a win here the Buffaloes can clinch the number four seed and a first-round bye in the upcoming tournament. They took the first meeting approximately three weeks ago at home 81-76. Meanwhile Utah has dropped 14 of their last 17 straight up which includes their last two. They have been absolute point spread poison, dropping their last three and overall, 15 of the last 24. Outside of the Beavers, the Utes are the worst team in the conference and aren’t playing for anything here. If they had any pride or fight in them, they would’ve at least shown up over the month which they have not. Look for the trio of forwards, Walker, Battey, and DaSilva (35.5 PPG & 17.3 RPG combined) to once again dominant in the paint as they did in the first meeting. Utah is 1-4 against the spread the last five games played as a favorite. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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02-26-22 | North Carolina -4 v. NC State | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
UNC. ACC GOM. Game 623. 11:00 am pst/2:00 pm est. This may be an in-state rivalry but North Carolina is looking to move back into a good spot for postseason positioning. Coming off a home loss last Wednesday to Pittsburgh, they have now rattled off two consecutive wins at Virginia Tech and in their own house against Louisville. The Tar Heels still have a chance at the Atlantic Coast Conference’s top-spot and big win here will get them closer to that goal. They face a Wolfpack team that has just one win and cover over the last eight outings and are a dismal, 1-8 in conference home games this season. In the earlier meeting back at the end of January, North Carolina shredded NC State, 100-80 at home. That gave them seven wins and covers in the last eight meetings with their conference rival. They have just too much offensive power for the lackluster offense of the Wolfpack. Look for the Tar Heels to make a statement to the rest of the conference here. NC state is 1-5 against the spread their last six games played as underdog, 0-4 against the spread the last four games played against teams with a winning record, and 1-5 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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02-22-22 | Arkansas v. Florida | Top | 82-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK. Arkansas Razorbacks. Game 631. Tuesday, February 22, 2022. 4:00 pm pst/7:00 pm est. If there was a game on the card today that certainly has an off-line, this game is it. Arkansas should be a favorite of at least two baskets. The Razorbacks have very quietly risen to be the number three team in the Southeastern Conference at 10-4 in league play. Overall, they sport a 21-6 record. And once again very quietly, they are just about the hottest team in the nation winning both 11 of their last 12 straight up and more importantly for us, against the spread. Florida is struggling for sure, splitting out their last eight games going 4-4 straight up and only covering once since the end of January, riding a 1-5 ATS run. This is a team that was once feared from downtown but have now sunk to hitting just about 30% beyond the arc. This doesn’t bode well in this matchup because they just don’t have the inside strength to match with Arkansas’ powerful lineup, which accounts are over 77.3 PPG. The Razorbacks also counter defensively with a very stingy stop-unit yielding just 40.6% from the floor. Offensively, when your number four scorer, Jaylin Williams is named the SEC Co-Player of the Week, that just shows you how potent your starting lineup really is. After several years of the Gators dominating this series, the tide is turning for sure. The Razorbacks took the most-recent meeting about a season ago, 75-64 and are even better this season. Arkansas is 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a favorite, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600. Take the Razorbacks. Thank you. |
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01-30-22 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 74 h 7 m | Show |
49ERS. NFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 323. 3:40 PM PST. San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -130 | 70 h 20 m | Show |
CHIEFS. AFC GAME OF THE YEAR. GAME 322. 12:05 pm pst. When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-25-22 | Wyoming v. Boise State -5.5 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Boise State. MWC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 654. 6:00 pm pst. Boise State has dominated Wyoming, winning nine of the last 10 meetings, including seven straight. They won and covered both of last season’s matchups. Kudos to the Cowboys for winning five in a row. But the Broncos are riding a 12-game hot streak. Yes, Wyoming can score points. But BSU counters their offense with the nation’s 8th ranked scoring defense. I mean come on; Wyoming was an underdog against Grand Canyon. In their two losses to Arizona and Stanford they could only muster 65 and 63 points. Well, the Boise State defense is just as good. Particularly on the boards which will allow a huge edge in transition. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning percentage over .600, 5-1 ATS the last six following an ATS win, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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01-16-22 | Eagles v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-31 | Win | 100 | 40 h 22 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 146. 10:00 am pst. We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -102 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
New England. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 143. 5:15 pm pst. As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-14-22 | Davidson +1 v. Richmond | Top | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
Davidson. A10 GOM. Game 893. 6:00 pm pst. Both teams are playing well and Richmond has won the last three meetings SU and the last four ATS. But Davidson is on a 12-game SU win streak and is a remarkable, 11-3 ATS on the campaign. The Wildcats, behind four double-digit scorers significantly outclass the Spiders with a huge mismatch. Richmond will not be able to even slow down the offensive juggernaut of Davidson. The Spiders are on an 0-3 ATS slide, are just 1-5 ATS their last five vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS their last six games played at home. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-09-22 | Panthers v. Bucs -8 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 70 h 57 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. HR play. Game 462. 1:25 pm pst. Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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01-02-22 | Raiders v. Colts -2.5 | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 9 m | Show |
Colts. TEN DIMES play. Game 101. 10:00 am pst. Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia v. Michigan +7.5 | Top | 34-11 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 9 m | Show |
Michigan Consensus GOM. Game 270. 4:30 pm pst. The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you. |
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12-19-21 | Packers -5.5 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay. LVSM GOM. Game 315. 1:25 pm pst. Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State v. Utah State +7.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
Utah State. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 216. 4:30 pm pst. Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 30-23 | Loss | -128 | 54 h 14 m | Show |
Arizona. MNF GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 130. 5:15 pm pst. This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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12-05-21 | Eagles -6.5 v. Jets | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 37 h 46 m | Show |
Eagles. HR play. Game 461. 10:00 am pst. Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you. |
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12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -5.5 | Top | 21-16 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
Oklahoma State. Game 308. 9:00 am pst. Oklahoma State is 5th in the polls. The top-four teams all have tough games this weekend. Two of them (Georgia and Alabama) face one another. Someone has to lose. With a good showing here, the Cowboys can very well move up in the rankings and have a shot at the CFP. Okie State has won and covered the last two meetings in this series including October’s matchup, 24-14. The Cowboys are just a half-point away from covering 10 straight contests. The Bears have trouble with aggressive defenses and are primarily a one-dimensional offense, relying on the run. The Cowboys counter with the nation’s 5th ranked run defense. Overall, Oklahoma State’s “D” leads the country in sacks (49) and tackles for loss (99). They will spend more time in the Baylor backfield than the Baylor players. The Bears are 2-10 ATS the last 12 games played at the Cowboys and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games played on fieldturf. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December and 20-6-1 ATS the last 37 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you. |
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11-30-21 | Minnesota -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
Minnesota. NCAAB GOM. Game 603. 4:00 pm pst. Don’t look now but the Golden Gophers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. They possess a monster defense allowing just 59.6 PPG. Minny is just a 3-pt’er away from covering all five contests and going back a bit to last March, seven straight. With four double-digit scorers and a frustrating “D”, they just simply outgun Pitt here. The Panthers have dropped four games this season, all by double-digits (Citadel, West Virginia, Vanderbilt, UMBC). Pitt is 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played overall. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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11-28-21 | Rams v. Packers +2 | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
Green Bay. NFC GOM. Game 270. 1:25 pm pst. Making Green Bay an underdog in Lambeau Field is a huge mistake. The Packers are an NFC elite team for sure. And following a two-game skid, if the team is going to turn things around, it is this week. Their defense allowed the most points since Week 1 last week. Playing a sliding Rams offense that has accounted for 26 total points the last two games will remedy this. LA hasn’t covered since mid-October and making them a fav here truly is a huge mistake. They are 0-7 ATS the last seven games played vs. Green Bay and 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of November. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-27-21 | Notre Dame -20 v. Stanford | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
Notre Dame. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 207. 5:00 pm pst. Notre Dame moved up to #5 in the polls. With Alabama slated to play Georgia in the SEC championship and Michigan facing Ohio State this week and then one of those two teams heading for a meeting with most likely a streaking Wisconsin team, something I preach all season long… style points are huge right now for Notre Dame. Both sides of the line of scrimmage they outclass a Stanford team that has already thrown in the towel, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you. |
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11-27-21 | Penn State -3 v. Michigan State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
Penn State. CONSENSUS GOM. Game 223. 12:30 pm pst. The wheels have completely come off the MSU wagon folks. Now facing a very tough PSU defense (15.5 PPG allowed) their struggling offense is in real trouble. Doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Nittany Lions, they will devour the Spartans 130th ranked pass defense in the air. Penn State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 9-2 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take the Nittany lions. Thank you. |
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11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
Green Bay. NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 467. 10:00 am pst. Aaron Rodgers had a week to work off the rust. And he knows all too well how to handle the Vikings defense. Moreover, the Packers defense has become one of the toughest and stingiest in the league. They have shut down better offensive units than this one. Green Bay is 3-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC North, and 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-20-21 | Michigan -14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 59-18 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
Michigan. Consensus. Game 343. 12:30 pm pst. Following their sole defeat, Michigan has won and covered their last two games. Coach Harbaugh knows his team must keep their foot on the gas and get a big win here if they are to have a shot at the CFP. The 9th ranked; one-loss Wolverines have six teams in front of them in the polls that also have one loss. The Michigan defense has been outstanding. DE, Hutchinson and LB Ojabo each have 10 sacks and will get to the mistake-prone Maryland quarterback, Tagovailoa who has been sacked 15 times just over the last five games. But the biggest mismatch is between the 25th ranked scoring machine of the Wolverines offense (34.7 PPG) going up against the 102nd ranked doormat of a Terrapins defense (31.4 PPG allowed). Michigan is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Maryland and 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes. Maryland is 0-5 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 0-6 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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11-20-21 | Minnesota -7 v. Indiana | Top | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
Minnesota. Big Ten Game of the Month. Game 357. 12:30 pm pst. Minnesota has been through quite a bit this season. Their three top running backs all went down, one after the other. And yet, they still rank 22nd in the nation in rushing. After rattling off four consecutive wins and covers, the Golden Gophers have lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Well folks, no need for any concern because pulling in to Memorial Stadium to face the Big Ten’s cellar-dweller, the Indiana Hoosiers, is just what the doctor prescribed to get back on track. Indiana, which is 0-7 in conference play this season, own some of the nation’s poorest offensive numbers. And lining up against college football’s 18th scoring defense here, things will go from bad to worse for the Hoosiers. Defensively, they won’t be able to stop the ball-carrying tandem of Thomas and Irving, who have teamed up for 981 yards rushing and five TD’s in the backup roles. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Hoosiers, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 games played in Big Ten play. Minny wins by double-digits folks. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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11-14-21 | Bucs -9.5 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 19-29 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
Tampa Bay. High Roller. Game 251. 10:00 am pst. Tom Brady is on track to have one of the best seasons of his storied career. Suffering just their second loss of the campaign, the Buccaneers had a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare. The No.1 passing attack in the NFL faces the 32nd ranked pass defense. Not only will The WFT get picked apart in the air, they also won’t be able to move the chains at all. The WFT’s only strength is on the ground. Well, the Bucs are 2nd in the league defending the rush. One more item, guys. The WFT has committed 13 turnovers while Tampa Bay has 15 takeaways. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS then last eight games played following an ATS loss. The WFT is 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-13-21 | Utah State +4.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
Utah State. MWC GOM. Game 221. 7:30 pm pst. The Aggies have owned the Spartans, winning the last eight meetings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Utah State owns the top-spot in the MW Mountain and with the lowly cellar-dwelling Wyoming and New Mexico remaining on their schedule, they must win here to ensure the division crown. They enter this contest on a four-game SU win streak covering their last three outings. SJ State has only covered twice this season in the favorite role and those were against the atrocious, UNLV and Wyoming squads. They just don’t have the personnel to compete offensively here (21.4 PPG). The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Bonner (2,486 yards passing, 61.3% completion rate, 21/9 ratio) and receiver, Thompkins (1,314 yards receiving, eight TD’s) will dissect the SJSU secondary. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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11-13-21 | Boston College +2 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 41-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Boston College. Consensus. 12:30 pm pst. Guys, Boston College’s stats are a bit skewed. Their team leader, Phil Jurkovic missed most of September and all of October. The quarterback returned last week to spark the Eagles to a 17-3 win and cover over the Hokies. He’s back and will start in his own highlight reel here against the Yellow Jackets very weak defense. My friends, Georgia Tech possesses some of college football’s ugliest stats defensively. When they have the ball, they must line up against one of the nation’s toughest stop-units. BC allows a mere, 18.8 PPG. Tech is riding a three-game SU slide, are 1-4 the last five overall, both SU and against the spread. Between Jurkovic and the ferocious and frustrating Boston College defense, I like the Eagles outright but I will take the two points here with a BC team that is 20-9 ATS the last 29 games played as a road ‘dog and 25-12-1 ATS the last 38 games played in conference play. The Eagles soar folks. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -7 v. TCU | Top | 28-30 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
Baylor. BIG 12 GOM. Game 357. 12:30 pm pst. If this isn’t one of the biggest mismatches on the board this Saturday, nothing is. The 7-1, 14th ranked Baylor Bears face the unranked, 3-5 TCU Horned frogs. Baylor is 6-2 ATS while TCU is 1-6-1 against the spread in 2021. On both sides of the ball, the Bears totally outclass the Horned frogs. You’ve got a top-10 rushing unit led by Smith and Ebner, which have combined for nearly 1600 yards rushing and 11 TD’s. Then you’ve got the 116th ranked run defense on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Throw in the mix dual-threat QB, Bohannon, wow, what a stud. He’s accounted for nearly 2000 all-purpose yards and 23 TD’s. That would be enough. But the Bears also possess one of the nations toughest and stingiest defenses too. TCU, riding a three-game loss and no cover streak with the average margin of defeat coming by 17.3 PPG. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | Top | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
Indianapolis. SNLB GOM. Game 471. 5:20 pm pst. San Francisco is on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. Garoppolo is most-likely out (check status). And both Mostert and Kittle are injured. Even if the trio was in uniform, the team just does not match up well with an Indianapolis team that has covered their last three contests. Wentz (1,545 yards passing, 64.2% completion rate, 9/1) and Taylor (682 total yards and five TD’s) will decimate the overworked 49ers “D”. They are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home and 10-27-1 ATS the last 38 games played as a favorite. The Colts are 7-2 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played in the month of October. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans +4.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
Tennessee. HIGH ROLLER. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. The cat is out of the bag folks. Kansas City is beatable and their weaknesses have been exposed. The Chiefs have crushed bettors, only covering two outings in 2021 and going back a bit, they are on a 4-13 ATS slide. The Titans, behind the rushing of Derrick Henry will shred the 27th ranked run defense of the Chiefs, controlling the clock and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with KC, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games played. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. AFC opponents and 0-4 ATS the last four games played following an ATS win. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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10-23-21 | Georgia Tech v. Virginia -6.5 | Top | 40-48 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Virginia. ACC GOM. Game 338. 4:30 pm pst. Virginia is on a three-game win streak both SU and ATS. The first two games, were as underdogs against Miami Florida and Louisville, both on the road. this says a lot about this team. Then last week’s 48-0 shellacking of Duke at home says even more. The Cavaliers bring into this matchup, one of the nation’s top-offensive units in total yards and passing yards. Guys, the Yellow Jackets are allowing over 382 YPG which includes 228 passing yards per game. WOW! Quarterback Brennan Armstrong is a stud, with 2,824 yards passing, a 64% completion rate, and a 19/6 ratio. With a few more solid performances, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was mentioned in the Heisman watch. Counterpart, Jeff Sims, four picks in his last two starts. There is no way he and his pedestrian Georgia Tech offense will be able to keep pace with Armstrong and the high-flying aerial assault of Virginia. Here’s some against the spread numbers for you…the home team is 7-2-1 the last 10 meetings in this series. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 the last five on the road and 4-12 the last 16 vs. teams with a winning record. The Cavaliers…7-3 the last 10 in conference play and 10-3 the last 13 overall. Take Virginia here folks and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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10-23-21 | Syracuse +3.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 41-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
Syracuse. CONSENSUS WINNER. Game 341. 9:30 am pst. Syracuse is money, covering five straight and going back a bit, eight of their last nine outings. The team is just a handful of points away from being undefeated instead of 3-4. The Orange defense is solid and will completely shut down the Hokies lackluster, 111th ranked offense. The Syracuse “O” is led by the nation’s No.2 leading rusher, Sean Tucker. The running back has tallied 948 yards rushing and nine TD’s on the ground. Add another 224 yards receiving and another two TD’s coming out of the backfield. The 12 ranked rushing unit in college football will control the clock, move the chains, wear down the 79th ranked run defense of Virginia Tech, and win this game outright. The Orange are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five games vs. conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed overall. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
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10-17-21 | Packers -6 v. Bears | Top | 24-14 | Win | 101 | 37 h 32 m | Show |
Green Bay. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Make no mistake of it guys, Green Bay is an NFC elite team. The Packers have now rattled off four straight wins and covers. This is a team, no matter the circumstance or the opponent, that does what it takes to win and also to cover. In one of footballs oldest rivalries, don’t kid yourself, Green Bay enjoys beating Chicago. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings SU, going 7-3 ATS, including four consecutive wins and covers. The Bears defense, on paper, is good. However, they have faced two solid offenses in 2021, losing 34-14 to the Rams and 26-6 to the Browns. In comes Aaron Rodgers and the high-flying Packers offense which has posted 29.2 PPG during their current win streak. Chicago just doesn’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard here. The Packers are 17-5 ATS the last 22 at the Bears and 20-7 the last 27 overall vs. the Bears. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-16-21 | Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State | Top | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
Alabama. SEC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 183. 4;00 pm pst. Taking their first loss in just short of two years is bad enough. But dropping from 1st to 5th in the polls, behind four undefeated teams does not sit well with Nick Saban. Don’t put too much stock in last week’s loss. This is a team that was playing at such a high level for such a long time, they were bound to drop a game sooner or later, guys. When you have a team loaded with talent and a coaching staff as good as Alabama, a loss does two things for the team: No. 1, it takes the pressure off. No. 2, it shows you what you need to work on. For the polls, they can’t afford NOT to blow out Mississippi State here. The Crimson Tide will bounce back and make an example of a Bulldogs team that just won’t be able to score on them or stop Bryce Young and the explosive ‘Bama passing attack. The Tide are 5-1 ATS the last six meetings with the Bulldogs, outscoring them by 25, 48, 24, 31, and 41 points in those five ATS victories. Any point spread under four TD’s is a joke. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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10-16-21 | Michigan State -4 v. Indiana | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
Michigan State. BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 131. 9:00 am pst. When your quarterback has thrown for 1,575 yards passing with 14/2, your running back has ran for 913 yards rushing with nine TD’s, and you have two receivers about to each hit 500 yards receiving, it’s no wonder why your offense is posting over 36.7 PPG. Through six games, the Spartans are 6-0 SU and 4-0-2 ATS. They have outright victories over Northwestern and Miami Florida and have thumped Nebraska and Rutgers. That would be enough to back the team here. However, the Michigan State defense has been stellar, yielding only 19.3 PPG. Indiana is a train wreck. The Hoosiers own some of the poorest numbers in the conference, on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they just can’t score against any solid stop-units. And defensively, they are yielding 28.2 PPG and have just two takeaways. At 1-4 ATS this season, they are point spread poison. MSU has taken 10 of the last 12 meetings in this series SU. And this matchup has been circled on the Spartans calendar since last year’s 24-0 embarrassing loss to the Hoosiers as a 16.5-point favorite. These are two entirely different teams this year. With Michigan on deck, and the schedule getting tougher, Michigan State needs wins and needs to tighten the ship here. They are 12-5 ATS the last 17 games played vs. Indiana and 6-0 ATS the last six games played as a road favorite. Indiana is 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall and 3-10-1 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog. Take the Spartans. Thank you. |
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10-10-21 | Packers -2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 25-22 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Packers. HIGH ROLLER. Game 465. 10;00 am pst. Since their season-opening loss, Green Bay has now rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. Cincinnati may be 3-1 as well. But, let’s take a look why. They beat a Minnesota team in overtime that is currently 1-3. They lost to a Chicago squad that can’t seem to cross the goal line. They trounced the fading Pittsburgh team that is struggling. And last week, they eked out a win and no cover against a winless Jacksonville club. Their last three outings, the Packers are posting 30.6 PPG. Aaron Rodgers is in top-form. So is his stellar wideouts, Davante Adams and Randall Cobb. The Bengals secondary is outclassed and outmatched here. Throw in the mix that Rodgers is supposed to get back several offensive linemen this week and when this game is over, it just might be the biggest aerial assault we’ve seen this season. Green Bay has a couple of linebackers playing in their second full game back and reports are that their linebacking corps is just about whole now. The Bengals are 1-6 ATS their last seven games played following a SU win. The Packers are 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-09-21 | Alabama -17.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -107 | 104 h 44 m | Show |
Alabama. SEC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 387. 5:00 PM PST. Nick Saban seems to go out of his way to shellack his former assistant coaches. He is now 24-0 SU against them. This doesn’t bode well for Texas A&M head coach, Jimbo Fisher. There are a few more angles that support playing the Alabama Crimson Tide this week. For starters, the No.1 team in the nation has Georgia just over their shoulder in the polls and need all the style points they can get before a likely SEC title game meeting down the road. The team can easily run the gauntlet and throttle the rest of their remaining regular-season opponents. The Aggies have now dropped and failed to cover their last two outings. Both against teams they were favored over (Razorbacks and Bulldogs). The team also has injuries to two of their starting cornerbacks (check status) and have to face the stellar passing attack of the Crimson Tide. Offensively, they are having issues at quarterback as starter, Haynes King (check status) has been out with an ankle injury and backup, Zach Calzada’s weaknesses have been exposed (1 TD, 2 INT’s, 286 yards passing) two games as a starter. Neither play-caller has what it takes to line up against this defense. With no ground game to rely on, the offense is way overmatched here facing the might ‘Bama stop-unit. On paper, the Texas A&M defense has good numbers. But they haven’t face anywhere near the caliber of QB in Bryce Young (17 TDs, 2 INT’s, 73% completion rate, 1,365 yards passing) or an offense that accounts for over 45.6 PPG and doesn’t make mistakes (one turnover). The Crimson Tide have taken the last eight meetings in the rivalry SU, going 5-2 ATS the last seven. They are also 8-2 Ats the last 10 games played vs. conference opponents, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take Alabama and ROLL TIDE. Thank you. |
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10-09-21 | Notre Dame +1 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 32-29 | Win | 100 | 24 h 19 m | Show |
Notre Dame. CONSENSUS PLAY. Game 397. 4:30 pm pst. Notre Dame comes in here angry and looking for redemption following their first loss of the campaign. But the 14th-ranked Fighting Irish know that if they win out, they have a shot at a major Bowl, and perhaps more. The Hokies come off a bye following a lackluster, 21-10 win and no cover against the Spiders (Richmond). That was their second straight no cover. They don’t have the offense to keep pace with Jack Coan and the Irish “O”. Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played on the road. Virginia Tech is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. nonconference foes and 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a bye week. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you. |
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10-03-21 | Titans -6 v. Jets | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
Titans. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Sports fans, just like me, I am gonna’ keep this analysis very short and extremely sweet. It’s no surprise that the Titans are perched atop the AFC South. It’s also no surprise that the Jets are winless. Listen guys, it takes at least five years for a good college QB to develop in to a good pro QB. Poor Zach Wilson. He’s having a heck of a tough time. The New York passing “LACK OF” offense ranks 30th. Wilson doesn’t have a ground game to rely on as that ranks 29th. Overall, the unit ranks dead-last in scoring, posting a dismal, 6.7 PPG. The Jet’s “D” isn’t that bad. But they spend so much time on the field, they are getting worn down. The legs of Derrick Henry will keep the New York stop-unit honest and allow Ryan Tannehill to hook up with his favorite wideout, Julio Jones and even Henry coming out of the backfield. The Titans “D” have improved with each contest and now they face an overworked Jets offensive line and a rookie QB. New York is 1-5 ATS their last six games played in the month of October and 0-4 their last four games played as an underdog. Take Tennessee and you will take your bookmakers money. Thank you. |
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10-02-21 | Fresno State -10.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Fresno State. CONSENSUS Play. Game 223. 8:00 pm pst. Guys, I’m not usually a fan of laying double-digits on the road in college football. But there are a few situations in the Fresno State/Hawaii matchup that urges me to do just that. This is a team, that once again is getting bettors paid, at 4-1 ATS this season. They crushed UConn, hung in tight with 3rd-ranked Oregon, decimated CP, beat UCLA, and then last week hung on to beat UNLV. Real quick, let’s talk about that game. The Bulldogs off a big high after beating the Bruins and was in “let-down” mode against the Rebels. To quote Forrest Gump, “That’s all I have to say about that.” LOL They come in here looking to make a statement against and overmatched and outclassed Rainbow Warriors team. This is one of the nation’s top passing units facing one of the worst pass defenses. QB, Jake Haener has tallied 15 TD’s, two INT’s, and 1842 yards passing. He will pass at will here and allow RB, Ronnie Rivers to move the chains on the ground. Flipside, Hawaii’s only strength offensively is throwing the ball. But once again, Fresno State’s pass “D” is very tough and very stingy. The Bulldogs have covered five of the last six meetings in this series. Oh, and one more angle guys, revenge. Last season’s meeting was the worst defeat of Fresno’s campaign. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. The Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS their last eight games played at the Rainbow Warriors and 8-3-1 ATS their last 12 games played as a road favorite. The Rainbow Warriors are 10-21 ATS their last 31games played vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS their last six games played following a SU win. Lay the points here guys. Take Fresno State. Thank you |
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10-02-21 | USC -7.5 v. Colorado | Top | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
USC. PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 155. 11:00 am pst. After last week’s embarrassing loss to Oregon State as a 10-point favorite, expect USC to come out here looking to make a statement against the conference doormat, Colorado, which has covered just one point spread since the beginning of last December. The Buffaloes are accounting for a dismal, 13-8 PPG. The Trojans post 32.5 PPG and will light it up in the air here with the nations 17th-ranked passing unit against the lax, Buffs pass defense (63rd). Colorado is 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall. Take USC. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Kansas State +6 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Kansas State. BIG 12 GOM. Game 369. 4:00 pm pst. Both teams are 3-0. But that’s where their similarities end. The Oklahoma State offense is a far cry from the squads we have grown accustomed to. They can’t run the ball with any efficiency. And their passing game is the poorest we have seen in years. Now the struggling “O” must face one of the nation’s toughest defenses (15.7 PPG allowed) with a top-10 unit against the rush. Kansas State has faced not one but two good teams (Stanford and Nevada) and have crushed both. Running back, Deuce Vaughn (371 yards rushing 5 TD’s) is a monster. He will shred the Cowboys defense and allow the Wildcats to open up their passing attack. Kansas State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played as an underdog, 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played against conference opponents, 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played on the road, and 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Louisville. CONSENSUS. Game 367. 12:30 pm pst. Florida State is a mess. They are 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS). Granted they lost to a ranked Notre Dame team in their opener. But losing to Jacksonville State as a 28-point favorite is something to be concerned about. You would have thought, if they had any pride or talent, they would have bounced back after that loss. But no, they got smoked by Wake Forest, 35-14. Louisville is a solid, well-balanced club. The Cardinals took down the Seminoles last year, 48-14. Malik Cunningham and Jalen Mitchell are an outstanding 1-2 offensive punch. FSU just can’t stop the pass at all. Dual-threat Cunningham will establish the offense in the air and then run off the pass and move the chains. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS their last five games played in this series. The Seminoles are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games played overall. Take Louisville. Thank you. |
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09-19-21 | Broncos -6 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Denver. High Roller. Game 283. 10:00 am pst. Guys, I like Urban Meyer. And I like Trevor Lawrence. However, I like what I see in the Denver Broncos a heck of a lot more. Teddy Bridgewater and Melvin Gordon provide the perfect 1-2 punch to knockout most NFL defenses. And the Jacksonville defense, if you wanna’ call it that, they are in for a longer season than last year. Last week against Houston, they allowed 289 YP and 160 YR. Bridgewater and Gordon are salivating right now folks. Von Miller and the ferocious Broncos LB corps are going to go after the young Lawrence, wreak havoc, and create turnovers. Denver is still a well-kept secret to offer value, at least for another week or so. Here’s some ATS stats for you. Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played vs. the AFC, 2-5 ATS their last seven games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played overall. Under a TD is an early Christmas present. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-18-21 | Utah v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
San Diego State. Consensus. Game 178. 4:00 pm pst. San Diego State can run the ball successfully against any defense in the nation. They also have one of the best defenses we’ve seen thus far. Utah, on paper, should have beaten BYU last week. But was manhandled, eventually losing 26-17. Sure, they can beat the likes of Weber State. But here they are overmatched. The Aztecs will control the tempo and the clock with their stellar rushing attack, keeping the Utes defense on the field and tired come the second half. Utah’s only weapons are running back’s, Bernard and Thomas. But the San Diego State eight ranked rush defense will contain the pair. The Utes are 2-6 ATS their last eight games played as a favorite, 1-8 ATS their last nine games played in September, and 0-5 ATS their last five nonconference games. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Liberty -4 v. Troy | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Liberty. Consensus play. Game 367. 4:00 pm pst. Just because a game doesn’t consist of Power-5 teams doesn’t mean there isn’t gold in them thar hills. The Liberty Flames weren’t just a good team a season ago, going 10-1 SU including a big Bowl victory, they were also money to us bettors. The Flames went 9-2 ATS in the 2020/2021 campaign, rattling off eight straight covers to finish the season. Quarterback, Malik Wills is a stud. Last year he had a 64% completion rate, 2,040 yards passing, 20 TD’s and only 4 INT’s. Add another 900 plus yards and 14 more scores on the ground and each game Wills can star in his own highlight reel. With him at the helm, opposing defenses stay on the field a long time and come the 2nd half, run out of gas. Troy is a good team. But they are not a great team. Missouri-transfer, QB, Taylor Powell has Trojans fans very excited. However, overall, they just don’t have the personnel to compete in this contest. Particularly on the stop-end of the ball. Liberty is 8-0 ATS their last eight nonconference games, 6-1ATS their last seven games played vs. the Sunbelt conference, and 23-8 ATS their last 31games played on the road. Take the Flames. Thank you. |
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08-27-21 | Steelers +4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 14 m | Show |
Pittsburgh Steelers. FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS GOY. Game 107. 4:30 pm pst. 9 Stars. +4. Pittsburgh is just a point away from going 3-0 ATS this preseason. The Steelers are steeped in tradition and have one of the most loyal fan bases in football. However, this upcoming season, they are forecasted to finish third in the AFC North. Another win here and they will have some momentum going in to the regular season while giving their fans something to be excited about. Head coach, Mike Tomlin is a boss that puts forth effort and tries to win in August, going 11-4 SU and 10-4-1 ATS their last 15 preseason contests. With a solid and experienced quarterback corps, look for Pittsburgh to put an aerial assault on a Carolina team that has been picked apart by the pass in both preseason games (497 yards passing allowed). Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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08-27-21 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. BEST BET PLAY. Game 913. 4:05 pm pst. 9 Stars. -1.5 -145. Tampa Bay is surging. The Rays have won four in a row en route to an overall 18-6 run. They have completely dominated the Orioles taking seven consecutive meetings and 13 of the 14 this season. With New York just over their shoulder, 4.0 GB in the AL East, Tampa Bay must keep their foot on the gas. LH, Shane McClanahan (8-4, 3.63) has won four straight turns and owns a 3-0 record with a 2.65 ERA in three appearances against Baltimore. Matt Harvey (6-13, 6.27) is on a three-start slide and the team has lost his last four overall starts. In two career starts vs. Tampa Bay the RH is 0-2 with a 15.63 ERA. During their seven-game win streak in this series, the Rays have outscored the Orioles, 61-21. Take Tampa Bay on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-20-21 | Mets v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. BEST BET PLAY. Game 960. 7:10 pm pst. 9 Stars. -1.5 -125. Los Angeles is red-hot, winning seven straight and 11 of their last 12. New York has been victimized by them, losing all four meetings in 2021, getting outscored, 26-14. The Mets are sliding badly, dropping six of their last seven overall outings. This includes Game 1 of this series, 4-1. Buehler’s (12-2, 2.09) only two losses this season came when the Dodgers failed to score. The ace has had 17 consecutive starts allowing three or less runs. Carrasco (0-1, 10.32) will make just his fifth outing this season. He was crushed Sunday by L.A., giving up six runs on six hits in just 2.0 IP in the 14-4 defeat. The Mets are 1-4 the last five games played at the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-16-21 | Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
New York Yankees on the run line. MLB BEST BET Play. Game 962. 4:05 pm pst. 9 Stars. -1.5 -135. New York is surging, winning 14 of their last 19 outings. The lineup is absolutely crushing the ball, lighting up opposing pitchers, scoring five or more runs in seven of their last 10 contests. The Los Angeles batters have been sluggish, accounting for three runs or less in seven of their last nine games. Gerrit Cole (10-6, 3.11) is making his first start in over two weeks. The RH is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA in nine career starts vs. the Angels. Jose Suarez (5-5, 3.90) is 2-4 with a whopping 5.79 ERA in his six starts. L.A. is 5-11 their last 16 games played against N.Y, 5-12 their last 17 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-5 their last seven games played vs. RH starters. N.Y. is 5-1 their last six games played at home, 4-1 their last five games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 7-2 their last none games played as a favorite. Take the Yankees on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-19-21 | Twins v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
White Sox Game 1 of DH. HR PLAY. Game 964. 2:10 pm pst. Chicago has dominated Minnesota, taking seven straight meetings at home and 13 of the last 16 overall meetings. Just over the last few weeks, the White Sox have won five of six matchups, outscoring the Twins, 43-24. Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.99) in four career starts vs. Minny is 2-0 with a 2.54 ERA. This campaign alone, the seasoned veteran, in three outings with this division rival, is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA, yielding just three ER’s in 17 IP. Griffin Jax (1-1, 8.66) is making just hie sixth career appearance and his second start. Chicago, both on the mound and at the plate, outclasses Minnesota. Take the White Sox on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-06-21 | Bucks v. Suns -6 | Top | 105-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Phoenix. NBA FINALS GOY. Game 502. 6:05 pm pst. Phoenix enters the Finals much fresher. Despite the WCF and the ECF both going six games, the Suns, which finished their series four days before the Bucks, had a much easier time with the Clippers than the Bucks did with the Hawks. Word is that Giannis Antetokounmpo (check status) “if” he plays, certainly won’t be 100%. This changes the entire offense and hurts Milwaukee significantly in transition. Keep in mind, although both regular season meetings were won my one-point, the Suns still won and covered both. They are a stronger team now than they were in February and March. The fresher legs, with the smarter coach, with the frustrating defense will come out here in Game 1 and win and cover. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS L7 meetings with the Suns and 3-9 ATS L12 as an underdog. The Suns are 4-0 ATS L4 on three or more days rest and 8-3 ATS L11 as a home favorite. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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06-23-21 | Hawks +8 v. Bucks | Top | 116-113 | Win | 101 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Atlanta hawks. ECF GOY. Game 561. 5:35 pm pst. This is just too many points to give a well-coached, smarty and scrappy, Hawks team that ousted the 76ers in the last round. Milwaukee has gotten by with luck. We have seen the Bucks commit countless mental errors, turning the ball over, getting flustered, and missing crucial shots from the FT line. They are very similar to the 76ers. Look for the sharper, better-coached, and the frustrating Hawks squad to out smart and outclass the 76ers here. Atlanta is 12-3 ATS L15 at Milwaukee, 4-1 ATS L5 on the road, and 10-4 ATS L14 overall. Take the Hawks. Thank you. |
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06-20-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Dodgers on the run line. NL WEST GOW. Game 961. 1:10 pm pst. Los Angeles has taken all six meetings with Arizona in 2021, with only a single contest decided by just one run. The Dodgers have outscored the Diamondbacks, 31-9. As a matter of fact, they are 20-7 the last 27 overall matchups in this rivalry. Gonsolin (0-0, 0.38) and Young (2-4, 3.86) are scheduled starters today. L.A. accounts for almost a full run per game more than does ‘Zona and allows more than two runs per game less. The D-Backs are currently riding a 16-game losing streak while the Dodgers have turned up the heat, winning nine of their last 11. L.A. is 6-1 L7 at Arizona. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns -4 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Suns. WCF GOY. Game 536. 12:35 pm pst. Both teams are without superstars. Kawhi Leonard and Chris Paul are both out here. Both have missed a significant number of games this season. But this isn’t the regular season. Leonard is the teams top-scorer, one of their best rebounders, and their floor general. While Paul is a solid contributor, the Suns possess a few solid guards that will fill on and not affect the squad. The Clippers have only had one day to rest and prepare for the Western Conference Finals following a grueling, six-game war with the Jazz. Phoenix did away with Denver in a four-game sweep and have rested for about a week. The Suns have the offense and the defense to overwhelm the tired Clippers team. Not to forget they are on a seven-game win and cover streak. Take Phoenix. Thank you. |
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05-25-21 | Celtics +9.5 v. Nets | Top | 108-130 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Celtics. Game 531. 4:35 pm pst. Boston can not afford to fall down two games to none in this series. The Celtics own a very strong defense and giving them nearly double digits here is a gift. They are 9-4 ATS L13 on the road, 6-0 ATS L6 on two days rest, and 7-3 ATS L10 as a ‘dog. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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05-23-21 | Hawks v. Knicks +1 | Top | 107-105 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Knicks. Game 502. 4:05 pm pst. New York is the NBA’s best ATS team this season and have won and covered all three meetings with Atlanta in 2021. At home, they are money, winning 11 of their last 12 SU, and going 9-3 ATS. The Hawks have trouble when traveling, failing to cover their last five on the road. The swarming, top-rated Knicks defense will frustrate the Hawks here and allow their stars, Randle and Barrett to shine. Atlanta is 0-6-1 ATS L7 vs. New York. New York is 16-5 ATS L21 as a home favorite. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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05-22-21 | Blazers +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 123-109 | Win | 101 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
Trailblazers. Game 511. 7:35 pm pst. Portland has covered all three meetings with Denver this season. They are 10-2 overall their last 12 games SU, going 9-3 ATS, beating some of the NBA’s best. As good as the Nuggets offense is, the Blazers score more, are better from both the FT line and from downtown. The back court of Lillard and McCollum are one of the most talented in the NBA. They do outclass the Denver guards and will penetrate the paint against their big men. The Trailblazers are 4-0 ATS L4 meetings with the Nuggets and 7-1 ATS L8 as an underdog. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record and 1-6 ATS L7 on three or more days rest. Take Portland. Thank you. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
Clippers. Game 510. 1:35 pm pst. The well-rested stars of the Clippers will shine here. Both teams success relies upon their big men. Forwards, Doncic and Porzingis (47.8 PPG, 16.9 RPG) represent Dallas while Leonard and George (48.1 PPG, 13.1 RPG) lead Los Angeles. The Clippers are far stronger overall on both ends of the court on the boards. But, this game will come down to the No.1 three-pt shooting and FT shooting squad of LA terrorizing Dallas from beyond the arc and making most of their shots from the line. The Mavericks are 4-9 ATS L13 vs. the Clippers and 5-11 ATS L16 playoff games as an underdog. The Clippers are 40-19 ATS L59 following a SU loss and 20-5-1 ATS L26 on three or more days rest. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-15-21 | Hornets v. Knicks -5.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
Knicks. VI MOVE. Game 524. 10:10 am pst. New York wants this win. They win here and Miami loses tonight, the Knicks avoid the Bucks in the first round of the playoffs. Charlotte has lost three in a row SU and seven of their last 10. NY’s top-ranked defense in PA, FG%, and 3-PT% is playing superbly and will completely shut down the Charlotte “O”. All this while Randle and Barrett continue to shine. The Hornets are 2-5 ATS L7 in New York, 1-5 ATS L6 as a ‘dog, and 0-5 ATS L5 on the road. The Knicks are 35-15-1 ATS L51 overall, 20-7 ATS L27 as a favorite, and 8-2 ATS L10 at home. Take New York. Thank you. |
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05-14-21 | Cavs v. Wizards -8 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Wizards. VI MOVE. Game 502. 4:10 pm pst. A very angry and motivated Wizards team will come in here today looking to destroy the Cavaliers. Washington could have clinched a spot in the play-in tournament on Wednesday. Instead, they squandered a 13-point lead in the fourth quarter of a 120-116 heartbreaking loss to Atlanta. They catch a Cleveland team in “let down” mode here. It took nearly three weeks and 11 straight defeats, but the Cavaliers finally got a win Wednesday surprising Boston. Bradley Beal is out. But the star has missed 11 games in 2021 and the squad still ranks third in the league in scoring (116.6 PPG). The Wizards won and covered both meetings with the Cavs, by an average of 19.0 PPG. Look for Russell Westbrook to continue his stellar run. Cleveland is 7-21 ATS L28 on the road, 1-6 ATS L7 following a SU win, 15-36 ATS L51 on one days rest, and 15-31-1 ATS L52 overall. Take the Wizards. Thank you. |