Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-10 | Buffalo Bills v. Baltimore Ravens OVER 40 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: High Roller Total: Bills/Ravens Over the total. This is a low total for an NFL game with a lot of offensive weapons on the field, not to mention one lousy defense (the Bills are 29th in total defense). The Bills are also dead last in points allowed (32.2 ppg). The Bills (0-4 SU/1-3 ATS) opened things up offensively in preseason with a new offensive coordinator, a new coach in Chan Gailey and a nice piece in rookie RB C.J.Spillner. The offense has actually been better under QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (7 TDs, 2 INTs) since he took over for Trent Edwards after two games. Fitzpatrick ranks sixth in the NFL in passing efficiency, with a rating of 99.9. The Bills' gross passing yards have gone up by 73 a game since Fitzpatrick took over. Fitzpatrick had 220 yards passing against Jacksonville, 128 against the New York Jets and 247 against New England. The offense looks more fluid under Fitzpatrick, a sixth-year veteran from Harvard. The Bills' new-look defense is 3-4, but they don |
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10-17-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 44 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 96 h 56 m | Show |
Take: over
Reason: This is a low total for a game with all these offensive weapons and above-average QBs. It's also the first home game for Randy Moss in the Metrodome since he was traded. The Cowboys (1-3 SU/ATS) have 30-year old QB Tony Romo (7 TDs, 5 INTs) and a ton of talent to work with in RB Marion Barber, Felix Jones, dynamite TE Jason Witten and WRs Roy Williams, Miles Austin and rookie Dez Bryant. This offense is 5th in the NFL with 391 yards per game. They outgained Tennessee Sunday by a whopping 511-321, yet lost again, 34-27. They put it all together in Week, 3, winning 27-13 at Houston, forcing 3 turnovers as Romo went 23 for 30 for 284 yards and Williams caught five passes for 117 yards. The Vikings (1-3 SU/ATS) have the No. 5 ground attack in the NFL, a stud RB in Adrian Peterson, a very good offensive line and only need to get the passing game going. It did get going in the second half Monday night at New York in the rain. Now they play indoors on artificial carpet. This passing game will get better in a hurry with Moss joining Percy Harvin, a terrific TE. The Vikings have lost their starting cornerback, Cedric Griffin, for the rest of the season to another significant knee injury. With so many offensive weapons on the field, so look for another offensive show. Play the Vikings/Cowboys Over the total! |