Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-29-19 | Eagles v. Giants +5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 164 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the GIANTS. Super Bowl here for the GMen. A win over rival Philly could possibly knock them out of the playoffs is Dallas wins. Huge motivation for another wise down team. They nearly pulled out in Philly with Eli. Danny Jones off a huge game. Leaning home pups who are live. 4* Money Maker NY GIANTS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Cardinals +7 v. Rams | 24-31 | Push | 0 | 163 h 55 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored? Totally out of it. Nothing to prove. Banged team most of the year. No playoffs after Super Bowl. Give me the young team on the other side that is playing for pride and jobs. That is what you do when you are a 5 win team. Come hard every week. Off huge win, they want to build going into 2020. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Colts -3.5 v. Jaguars | 20-38 | Loss | -109 | 68 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. Jags really screwed us 2 weeks ago. Had to show up for 1 quarter! Really? One quarter they show up in their last 7 games. Their last 2 home games they have been ambushed 45-10 by the Chargers and 28-11 by Tampa. Indy wants to end their year .500. They have the superior HC. I can't see any motivation here. Lay it. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Redskins v. Cowboys -11 | 16-47 | Win | 100 | 42 h 2 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS here. And why wouldn't I. Everyone has written them off. And maybe they are right. HC is a dead man walking. They need the Giants to pull off a miracle. But, this old coach is good for one thing. And that is being a .500 guy. 8-8 will be his legacy. 3 straight 8-8 seasons. 12-4, then 4-12 when Romo was crushed. 13-3, 9-7, 10-6 and 7-8 heading to his farewell. Nothing good be finer than an 8-8 season to round out his career. Speaking of contracts running out. Dak. The guy wants 30-40 mill. Would we be shocked when Jerry comes in at 25 an says, with the best OL in football you have gone 9-7, 10-6 and (hopefully) 8-8. I can't see Dak losing here at home. This Redskins defense is a hot mess. Especially the secondary. I am not going to be shocked when Dallas scores 40+ to close out the season this afternoon. OVER in play also. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Steelers v. Ravens +2 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Give me a break. I know the Steelers have had an awesome year based on the way things have gone. You are on QB #3 and can still make the playoffs and win 9 games. But I see no way, NONE, that Harbaugh and the Ravens let Pitt celebrate that on their home field. We see the way this guy prepares in preseason with wanting to win every game. Give me RGIII all day in this spot. Also like the UNDER here. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-29-19 | Jets +2 v. Bills | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 160 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Who knows what could have been had these guys had their QB for the season. What we know for sure is Buffalo is locked into facing the Texans. Give me the small dogs here. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Oklahoma v. LSU -12 | Top | 28-63 | Win | 100 | 480 h 8 m | Show |
Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
|||||||
12-28-19 | Iowa State v. Notre Dame -3 | 9-33 | Win | 100 | 277 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking NOTRE DAME. Maybe this is one of those too good to be true games. The line makes me think it. Irish beat 6 bowl teams this year losing to Georgia and Michigan. Iowa State didn't cover in its only win over bowl bound Texas. Why is this line so low? Kelly does a decent job in bowls. Forget the playoff loss to Clemson last year. They beat LSU the year before. Lost the Fiesta to Ohio State. He is 4-4 in ND Bowls. I give him a pass for the 2 playoff losses. So 4-2. ND can't compete with those teams. Just too much talent and speed. It is like his days at Cincy getting them in the Orange and Sugar Bowls. His teams were just not as talented. Make no mistake. ND has the talent over Iowa State. I am sure they want to wipe last years bowl loss out of their memory. It is easy to say they aren't interested since it's not the playoffs. ND has rattled 5 straight after getting knocked out of the playoff picture so I think motivation isn't a problem. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME. |
|||||||
12-27-19 | Washington State v. Air Force -3 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 179 h 35 m | Show |
Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE |
|||||||
12-27-19 | North Carolina -4.5 v. Temple | 55-13 | Win | 100 | 110 h 56 m | Show | |
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. This is pretty much of fade of Temple HC Rod Carey. He has been blitzed in his 5 bowl games at Northern Illinois. 0-5 outscored 195-81, 143-44 the last 3. Just once has his team put up more than 14 points, that was a 52-23 loss. Mack Brown paying off rewards in his first year. Look for NC to get off their 6-6 mark and finish over .500. Always interesting when 6-6 team lay points to 8-4 teams. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA |
|||||||
12-26-19 | Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7.5 | Top | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 425 h 57 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Packers v. Vikings -5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. Not high on GB. Think they are a phony team. Rodgers barely completing 50% of passes the last few weeks. Minny defense off a 7 turn over game have to be feeling good coming home in this spot. Minny 5-1-1 last 6 vs GB. Packers have been out-gained in 9 of 14 games. Zimmerman 60-34-3 ATS. Guy is a covering machine. 28-10-1 ATS at home laying less than a TD. Vikes undefeated at home on the year. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
12-23-19 | Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida | 25-48 | Loss | -109 | 160 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking MARSHALL. Huge line. But is it warranted? I love me some Doc Holliday as an underdog. And let's be honest here - UCF the last 2 bowl games. Undefeated heading in playing SEC Powers. Beating Auburn and losing to LSU. Now they get the Thundering Herd out of the CUSA. A team they know from being a past member. Both teams have played here before. Marshall with a win here last year over South Florida. Herd 12-2 in bowl games (not counting the 1947 Tangerine!) and undefeated (6-0) in bowls under Holliday. Way too many points for a a team like this. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Chiefs v. Bears +6.5 | 26-3 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 25 m | Show | |
Taking BEARS, going ML. You can grab 6 or more if you find it. Chicago out of it, yes. But I dunno. Something tells me Nagy and Mitch have something to prove. One, Nagy's old team. Two. Mahomes picked after Trubisky. I'm taking a shot ML for the Christmas miracle but think Bears will be within striking distance to get us a straight up win. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 163 h 57 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Tough laying with this HC. But, Dallas has been very good vs NFC East teams the last few years. Long year for Philly as injuries have decimated the team. When you are down your best OL and basically every WR that was on your active roster to start the year - it can be tough. Winner here will basically lock up the division. I hear the cheers for taking a home dog. I have seen Dallas come in here with Romo and lay eggs with the division on the line. This team, and the recent Cowboys have been much more complete than those previous teams. Going to lay it here and watch the Dak and Zeke show earn their contracts. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Lions v. Broncos -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 89 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the BRONCOS. Long season for the NFL veteran HC Fagio. Started ugly with a loss in Oakland. He will get his revenge next week here. Now breaking in a new signal caller. Simple thinking here though. We have an old school coach who isn't quitting on the season. His team hasn't quit all year. Lions a hot mess. Can't believe they are keeping their HC around. They old coach, Jim Caldwell was let go because 10-6 wasn't good enough. Jeez. That's another story. But here they are with a terrible QB, on the road, in one of the tougher places to play. Dome team outside, in Denver elevation to boot. Lay it. 10* Money Bomb DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Raiders v. Chargers -6.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -117 | 89 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the CHARGERS. Raiders really buried us last week. 16-3 at half and you can't put away the Jags on the road. In your final home game. Where is the motivation? I get they are closing out in LA - another city they played in. But I can't see them caring. Pack the bags. Here, then Denver. Then Vegas. Time to move. On the other hand. Rivers wrapping up his career possibly? Have to like this LAC offense a heck of a lot better than the Raiders. Off what 6, 7 TOs last week. I really want to forget that game since we had the Chargers. But this team will bounce back from that horrible game. Can't say the same about Oakland. 10* Money Bomb LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Ravens -10 v. Browns | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 86 h 14 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS, laying the big wood. Baltimore still with a lot to play for. As in home field. This Browns teams is done. What a disaster? And they are keeping this coach. Wow. Browns players yelling for Arizona to come and take them away. What is this Calgon? Total coaching mismatch. Total QB mismatch. Revenge from the Browns dropping a 40 spot on them in their house. Baltimore or nothing. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | 10-16 | Win | 110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -130 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
|||||||
12-21-19 | Bills +6.5 v. Patriots | 17-24 | Loss | -107 | 66 h 40 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. I like the Bills. You have heard me say this before. Love the HC. Like the defense. The QB I can give or take. He has his ups and downs. But the team is solid. I can hear everyone saying how easy it is to take the Patriots today. Just need to win by 7. This offense does not scare me. Brady still does. He can make plays. But they just have a lot of ugly on the offense. OL. Run game, WRs TEs. This is not a vintage team. Oh they win, and win ugly. But so does Buffalo. I know it is tough going against the NE HC + QB. But I'm doing it. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-21-19 | SMU -3 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 28-52 | Loss | -115 | 233 h 45 m | Show |
Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU |
|||||||
12-16-19 | Colts +9 v. Saints | 7-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 20 m | Show | |
Taking the COLTS. One.. We have the Saints bringing in their 2009 Super Bowl Champion teammates back for a little party after 10 years. I find that whenever teams do these things, bad things happen. And we don't even need an outright win here. We can easily get a back door for a New Orleans team that is 3-8 ATS last 11 at home. How about 1-5 ATS last 6 on Monday night. Colts in a bit of a free fall dropping 5 of 6. But every game is close. 3 last week at Tampa and they blew a lead. Titans won by 14 but very misleading on a special teams TD late. Lost by 4 to Miami. Lost by 2 to Steelers. And this is a spot wear the Saints HC doesn't have a huge edge in that area. And Finally. Let's be honest here. This Saints defense is having problems. Last 2 home game - SF beat them putting up 48 spot. And Carolina, SHOULD have won with their 31 points but should have probably been 37 or 41. I'll grab a desperate, talented Colts team with a back door opportunity. 4* Money Maker INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Falcons +11.5 v. 49ers | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 41 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking ATLANTA. Faded San Fran the last two weeks and it has cost us. 3 in a row anyone. Niners have to come up for air at some points. Had that OT game vs Seattle. Shoot out vs Arizona. Clubbed GB on Sunday Night. Tough physical, road loss at Baltimore. A wild back and forth game at New Orleans. Rams on deck. Today, say hello to 3 win Atlanta. Falcons with the 6th best O which is prime back-door country. SF wins, but this is too many points. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Browns v. Cardinals +3 | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA here. Back to Back Sooner Heisman QBs squaring off! Do you really trust this team to lay points on the road? The, we are going to the Playoffs and Super Bowl in July Cleveland Browns. Maybe, maybe, they are playing to finish with a winning record. But this team is a hot mess. I think they have to can their HC. Guy is terrible. Raise your hand if you think OBJ is back in New York next season. What a waste of talent on this offense. On the flip side, home dogs. I'll grab the rookie HC and QB duo here. Granted. The season is bad. Nothing unexpected. Final home game for the Cards. I bet Klingsbury would love to end Baker here. Was benched (for Mahomes) by him then went on to the Sooners. Maybe he gets Chandler (14 Sacks) to rattle the cage a bit. This is a hold your nose play as Arizona is on a 2-12-1 run at home. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Jaguars v. Raiders -5.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -115 | 162 h 38 m | Show |
Taking the RAIDERS. Holy Cow are the Jags a dead team walking. Totally underestimated how done this team is last week when I unloaded on them. Raiders off a loss. But, no RB. He should be back and I think Oakland can challenge this total themselves. That is how far I think Jax is done right now. Zero interest in flying cross country 2 weeks before Christmas. 8* Sure Shot OAKLAND RAIDERS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Giants | 20-36 | Loss | -100 | 149 h 28 m | Show | |
Taking MIAMI. How the heck are the Giants favored. Miami is in every game. Heck, they should have won at the Jets - we had NYJ there. i'm done trying to figure these guys out. The team is playing hard for their HC. They play hard for their veteran QB. The Giants, are well, they are what they are. Not a team that should be favored. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Broncos +11.5 v. Chiefs | 3-23 | Loss | -115 | 146 h 47 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. So we had these guys the last 2 weeks and it has paid off. Will come back to them again here in KC. Look. KC is the better team. That isn't an argument. But, the spot. We have Chiefs locking up the AFC West. We get them off a big road win at New England. The way Denver has moved the door leads us to possibly get a back door if need be. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Eagles v. Redskins +5.5 | 37-27 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 45 m | Show | |
Taking the REDSKINS. This Eagles team looks pretty done to me. I know they are still alive with Dallas and winner takes the division. But, they have to beat the Skins first. Maybe this is when the Cowboys line went from -3 to +1. They know Eagles are losing early. And I guess Dallas will rest guys since they won't have a bye week? Look. Skins not a good team. But, new coaches will be coming in. Maybe new ownership. Maybe a new franchise QB. Who the heck knows? I do know they blew a big early lead vs these guys to start the year. I know they haven't thrown in the towel behind their rookie QB. Would really like them if they had Guice at RB. Then you look over and see the Eagles with WRs they will pluck off the practice squad. Down OL. Down on defense. Redskins with 3 straight ATS and covers in 5 of their last 7. 4* Money Maker WASHINGTON REDSKINS |
|||||||
12-15-19 | Bears +5 v. Packers | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 43 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. Line on the move as it was a 6.5 and I see some 4.5 - Mitchell looking pretty good the last 2 Thursdays behind center tossing some TDs. Maybe this Bears offense has finally found itself. I was hesitant after Thanksgiving. But 2 in a row, I'll take a stab getting some points. Chicago defense will travel and has been above average most of the time. Packers defense worries me a bit. Something not right with the offense with what I have seen the last 5 weeks. Maybe Bears making a late wild-card run here. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
12-14-19 | Army v. Navy -10 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 88 h 26 m | Show | |
Taking NAVY. Triple revenge in order for the Midshipmen. This Army team totally down from last years monster. Why doesn't Army have a website? They can't string 3 W's in a row! Look. I know these guys have historically played real close, tough games. We've seen it the last 4 years with 3 Army wins. 17-10, 14-13, 21-17, 21-17. This Navy team is different. Black Knights off a game where 3 QBs go 5-11 with 127 yards 0 TDs 2 INTs. Nearly 40ppg for Navy. 1500 yards rushing 19 TDs and 1000+ Yards from QB Perry. Both teams run heavy, but Navy a big edge at QB and on defense. Just 110 rushing yards a game allowed. They know the option. They are angry. Time to take out 3 years worth of pain. 4* Money Maker NAVY |
|||||||
12-12-19 | Jets v. Ravens -14.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Can't trust the Jets to hang tough here. Baltimore playing for home field throughout the playoffs and needs every win. Short week for NY who fought battle with Miami. Baltimore a little bit of an easier go pulling away from the Bills. Big coaching mismatch here. I'm laying it. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | 23-16 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker NE PATRIOTS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Steelers v. Cardinals +2.5 | 23-17 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Chargers v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -120 | 51 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the JAGS. Who the heck are the Chargers to be laying again on the road. It was 14-0 Denver before you settled in last week. (we had Broncos) Going to sprinkle in some ML here. Rivers looks done. Lynn should be fired before Garrett. LAC finds interesting ways to lose games on a weekly basis. Seems like every game is decided by one score. Give me a the home dogs with a QB with something to prove. 10* Money Maker JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Dolphins v. Jets -5.5 | 21-22 | Loss | -115 | 158 h 24 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Miami approaching a little danger zone with these wins now. A game behind these NY Jets. Game behind the Jags, Chargers and Broncos. Tied with the Falcons, Lions and Redskins. A game ahead of the Giants. For a team tanking, you aren't even in the Top 3 and might be out of the Top 10 if you keep notching Ws. Had the Jets in Miami last time they played. I know they are off a brutal loss. But, that is what every saw last. Jets losing to win-less Cincinnati. Sign me up. Gase vs old team. December at Meadowlands never a fun trip for a Miami team. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Broncos +8 v. Texans | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 158 h 16 m | Show | |
Taking the BRONCOS. One thing about these guys. The defense comes to play every week. KC only team to put up more than 27. Denver has 4 wins. Getting 8 point they would have covered half their other games. Buff 20-3, KC 30-6 the two big losses. 27-16 at GB, but Pack hit a late FG. Also, 24-16 L at Oakland. Bottom line. They show up. I don't put this team in the KC or Buff circle. Texans in off the Sunday night game. Which right now, is them owning Brady and the Patriots 21-3 last 3rd. We get a nice inflated line for a team with a solid defense. Also, with a new rookie QB in place, not much tape available on Lock. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Ravens v. Bills +6 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 158 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. 9-3 and getting totally disrespected at home. I get the Ravens are good. Baltimore had me fooled into laying the points last week vs a pretty good SF team. I know BLT is tough - but come on, this number, on the road? I'm not buying. I will buy the nice extra rest for Buffalo. And BLT off a physical game vs SF won on a last second FG. Bills quietly a very good defense that doesn't give up much yardage. #3 in the league at barely 300 a game. I'll grab the points and win ugly with these guys. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Lions +15.5 v. Vikings | 7-20 | Win | 100 | 158 h 9 m | Show | |
Taking the LIONS. I'll grab whatever points I can get here. Short week for Minny. Long extra rest for the Lions. Hope we get Blough again. Kid looked good in spots. This is just way too many points for a rested team with a QB you have never seen to be getting. Lions playing with house money Blough with extra time under his belt might be able to hang for a bit. Again, getting more than 2 TDs, the back door is tough to slam. 4* Money Maker DETROIT LIONS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals +8.5 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BENGALS |
|||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -3 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -109 | 158 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Tough spot again for San Fran. Off a tough Ravens game - now coming to the dome to face Brees and Payton. This is a pretty short number. Normally I shy away from the long hanging fruit. But people will be all over SF for a second week in the row in a dog role. A little extra rest with the Thanksgiving Game in Atlanta, and this should be a nice cash. 8* Sure Shot |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 21-34 | Loss | -120 | 150 h 25 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show | |
Taking VIRGINIA. So Saturday night Pointsbet here in NJ came up with some early lines. Ohio State -12.5 was one of them and Clemson -21.5 another. The sunrises and the real odds-makers show themselves. I will still be laying with Clemson. Not a chance that Virginia keeps up here. Tigers can write their own score. But I see a 50 spot on the horizon. What an under the radar season for the defending Champs. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Georgia v. LSU -6 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 147 h 34 m | Show |
Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -8.5 | Top | 24-29 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. A repeat from last week. Think Tigers cover by double digits in this one. I'm thinking of a nice 20pt win actually. Cincy struggled with Temple and South Florida before last weeks game with Memphis. It was 17-3 in the first Tigers, and the beat down should have been on. I don't think Memphis lets this one get away. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS |
|||||||
12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CMU. What a turnaround under McElwain for the Chips. 1-11 last year, MAC Championship Game this year. These guys on a 8-1-1 ATS run. 41 points in 5 of their last 7 games. We get an uninspired Miami Ohio gang for this game at Ford Field. How about a 20-17 win over Akron when you are laying 29? Then you follow that up with a 41-27 loss at Ball State who at the time had 4 wins, and, you were a dog! A dog to a 4 win team. 2-5 on the road for the MiaO and I think that road woes continue. Maybe this looks like the old low hanging fruit type of gang. But I am not getting in front of Central Michigan the way they are playing right now. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
|||||||
12-06-19 | Oregon v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 37-15 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 42 m | Show |
Taking UTAH. I think Utes best team in the PAC 12. Always lean to the better defensive team in this spot. Plus, we have a clear coaching edge. I opened the season with Utah over BYU and I will close out their regular season with them over Oregon. Top 5 D that will slow down the Ducks. Oregon is not a bad team. Top 25 on both sides of the ball. Arguably they have a Top QB draft pick in Hebert. I can forgive the crazy loss to start the year vs Auburn. But laying an egg in probably the biggest game of the year vs Arizona State. Not forgivable. Utes win this one going away. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES |
|||||||
12-05-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Bears | 24-31 | Loss | -102 | 94 h 49 m | Show | |
Taking the COWBOYS. This is it. Do or die time for Dallas. No more games for their HC. Lose year, you are getting canned before flying home. Both teams rested. Do we expect Mitch to repeat his Thanksgiving day performance. No. Do we expect Dak to repeat his. No. We expect Dak to do his usual thing which would be not turn the ball over. Go for 300 2 TDs and feed Zeke for 100+ and another 2 TDs. Circle the wagons game for Dallas. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | 30-37 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 8 m | Show | |
Taking the VIKINGS. I like this team. Have them winning the North. They are off their bye. They come in with the better defense. Better rushing game. And getting healthy at WR. Only reason this is +3 and not ML, the QBs. Wilson, a one man terror in prime time. Cousins. Well - not so much save for that Dallas win. Still like our chances as Seattle has been suspect here at home. Should have lost to the Rams. Could have lost to the Bengals. Did lose to the Saints. Lost to the Ravens. Need OT to beat Tampa. Give me the points and don't be shocked at an outright win. 10* Money Bomb MINNESOTA VIKINGS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Chargers v. Broncos +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 23 m | Show | |
Taking DENVER. I don't even know who is QBing this game. Lock maybe? Who knows. Allen was brutal last week. But this is in Denver. Cold. Snow. Not Sunny and nice San Diego or LA where these Chargers enjoy life. How invested are they in this game? The season is lost. Rivers looks like he got old overnight. Just hand the ball to Lindsay and Freeman. Heck short flares to Sutton and Font. This is where we buy on Denver since they were so putrid last week. Maybe an outright win here. 4* Money Maker DENVER BRONCOS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Rams v. Cardinals +3 | 34-7 | Loss | -114 | 46 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking ARIZONA. How are the Rams favored here? Did you miss MNF? Or SNF? This is a team in trouble. Give me the Cards and any points off their bye week. ARZ has won 3 of their last 7 games with a pair of 3 pt losses. They have shown me more than enough fight after some bad games. 4* Money Maker ARIZONA CARDINALS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Jets -3.5 v. Bengals | 6-22 | Loss | -100 | 121 h 22 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. Had them last week, will back them again. So Andy Dalton is back. Does it matter? This team is all but happy to be locked into the #1 draft pick. I have said before I am shocked they didn't trade away their veterans. Jets putting together some wins no as the schedule gets favorable, and guys get healthy. If NYJ want to make some wild-card noise, this is a must win with Miami on deck. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Redskins v. Panthers -10 | 29-21 | Loss | -100 | 43 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the CAROLINA PANTHERS. Redskins with a win last week and Haskins taking selfies on the field as a celebration. Wow. Needed an INT to seal the win. Not sure if Washington gets 6 sacks and 3 INTs today to help their cause. You know Panthers will be angry in off a loss at New Orleans. That should have them plenty riled up here at home. CMC should gash this rush defense, and I use that term loosely. Panthers lead the league in sacks and should be able to rattle the rookie here. Any shot that these guys think they have at making the playoffs. Well, beating a bad team usually helps the cause. 4* Money Maker CAROLINA PANTHERS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | 49ers v. Ravens -5.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -107 | 43 h 12 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. I just do not understand this line. It is as if they are begging you to take SF. I had GB off their bye last week and they were a complete no show in San Fran. San Fran looked great. Almost as great as Baltimore looked picking apart the Rams on MNF. So we have both teams looking unbeatable. I think that everyone will be on the dog. I am on the fave here. Maybe SF can slow this offense down. Until it happens, I'm on the Lamar show. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 121 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the PACKERS. Had these guys ML last week and they totally wet the bed on national TV. Just looking at Rodgers face you can tell how pissed and angry he was. This Giants defense is nothing like San Fran. This is a team that the Packers beat. These guys are 8-3. Lost both games in Cali to Chargers and Niners in bad fashion. In between, a 8pt win at home over Panthers and a bye. Sitting at 8-3, same as Minnesota, Pack need a win. Again, Giants defense not anywhere near what the Niners will bring. Rodgers too much a competitor to not bounce back after that performance Sunday. 5* Best Bet GREEN BAY PACKERS |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +28.5 | 52-7 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking GEORGIA TECH. I just don't get this line. I get GT is bad. But 28 points? Have you watched the Georgia offense this year. Ok. Forget the first 2 games of the year beating Murray St 63-7 and Arkansas State 55-0. They put won 43-17 over Tennessee. That's not enough to cover. If you add Vandy 30-6 for Georgia then you have all 4 games they score more than 27 points! Have to take these points just on principle. 19-21-27-24-21-17 last 6 games for the Bulldogs. But here in a rivalry game, they have been saving up the offense the last 6 weeks for Georgia Tech. Not the SEC Championship Game. No, they are going to run everything now. Not buying it. Low scoring- dog covers. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Northwestern v. Illinois -7.5 | 29-10 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking ILLINOIS. Let's just look the points put up on the road for Northwestern. 7-15-10-3. How about some at home. 10-3-0. Ok, they did score 22-22-30 at home. But- can we be honest here. These guys maybe score 20 today. Last game of the year, on the road. Where is the motivation? Illini happy to be bowling for sure. But ending the year with win at home guarantees a winning season. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Clemson -26 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-3 | Win | 100 | 109 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Look. These guys. Defending Champs. Getting slighted since they play in the ACC. What a joke. I don't care if we are laying 30 here. Dabo will have this team firing on all cylinders coming out of their bye week. Statement time to let the powers that be know. We are the defending Champs. We are undefeated for the 2nd straight regular season. We have WON the National Championship Game 2 of the last 3 years. And have been in the National Championship Game 3 of the last 4 years. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS |
|||||||
11-30-19 | Florida International v. Marshall -7.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. I like Butch Davis. Wish he never left Miami U. But this is a real tough spot. Off huge upset of old school, nowhere to go but down. Look at the numbers. Plus 3 in TO's. They also stopped Miami twice in the red-zone (1,11 yard lines). Huge yardage discrepancy. Marshall also has a chance to make the CUSA Championship Game if they win and Florida Atlantic goes down. First thing to worry about . Taking care of FIU. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |
|||||||
11-29-19 | Cincinnati v. Memphis -11.5 | 24-34 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
Taking MEMPHIS here. What is up with this line people? Keeps creeping up and up. Memphis needs this win (or a Navy loss) to get into the AAC Championship Game to face, yes Cincinnati again next week. I guess they can hope for a Navy loss. But let's be honest. Take care of your own house. Win this game. Cincy has won every game this year, except that Ohio State game. No shame losing there. How about winning ugly? Is there shame in that? Well Cincy has been out yarded in 6 of their last 7 games and managed to win them all. But - Temple, South Florida, East Carolina, Tulsa. If you are eking out wins vs these guys, how are you keeping pace with the Tigers. I think Cincy is a bit overrated. Let me see this defense stop a good offense. The double digit line says it all. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Bills v. Cowboys -6.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Let's start with the Bills. An 8-3 team getting in some spots a full TD from a 6-5 team. Oh we have to take the team with the better record. Let's see. They have scored more than 30 twice, both vs Miami. Wins at NYJ and NYG. Were down big and needed miracle to beat Jets. Faced Rookied QB in Giants. Beat Cincy. Does that need a comment? Lost to Patriots. Whipped 31-10 at home by Eagles. Beat Redskins 24-9 with Haskins at QB. Lost at Cleveland 19-16. Beat Denver with Brandon Allen and his 82 passing yards at QB 20-3 at home. Dak and friends will have a field day here. Bad conditions and poor play calling cost them in NE. A huge, must , must , must win game for Dallas here. Short week. Desperate team. Huge talent differential at offensive skill positions. Bills beat the bad teams. Lose to good ones. It is proven in their games this season 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-28-19 | Bears -2.5 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 68 h 31 m | Show | |
Taking the BEARS here. Tough to lay any points with this offense - I get it. But the defense does not a take a play off. They should be able to flip the field for us here and get us in that plus territory for a score. Lions offense not looking that well last week in Washington. 6 sacks and 3 INTs for Driskell. I don't think I am crazy to think Chicago D a bit better. 4* Money Maker CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
11-25-19 | Ravens -2 v. Rams | 45-6 | Win | 100 | 189 h 27 m | Show | |
Taking the RAVENS. Hate to grab the low hanging fruit, but we are on Baltimore tonight. This team is the class of the AFC right now. Good luck trying to slow down both sides of the ball. Rams a struggling unit right now. We had the Bears last week, and as I write this, Rams up 10-7 in the 4th. That kind of play not going to get it done against Baltimore. 4* Money Maker BALTIMORE RAVENS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Cowboys +7 v. Patriots | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 164 h 14 m | Show |
Taking DALLAS. Might also grab a little +245 ML. Listen. You don't make all that much money fading this QB + HC combo. And you all know how I feel about this Dallas HC. Brutal. But that's a story for another day. One. I think Dallas defense is pretty good. Albeit they have shown just flashes. But they can get pressure on Brady and their LBs are a solid group. This is really going to come down to dictating Zeke and their OL. Honestly though, the way Dak has played, you really can't get down if they have him passing often to his WR dynamic duo. I think this is just too many points. If you can get 7 at a little higher price, I think its worth it. But I also think Dallas has a shot at being a live dog this afternoon also. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 102 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
Taking the TITANS. Can't believe I didn't load this game up at the start of the week. Off bye week. Tannehill makes this team look 100% better offensively. Defense always solid for Tennessee. I like Foles. Thought it was a great signing. Guy has done nothing but win games when given a start. But, he has a game and a what, a series or 2 under his belt. You can't be breaking new QBs in Week 12. Especially when you are the Jags who historically struggle on offense. Sad for the lost year Jaguar fans. A lot of wasted talent on that defense. Give me the lunch box brigade. All the Titans do is win when nobody is looking and end up 9-7 and in the playoffs. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE TITANS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Panthers v. Saints -8.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -107 | 161 h 43 m | Show | |
Taking the SAINTS. Think the bloom is officially off the rose here in Carolina. Allen in off his worse game. 4 INTs and your team will be in trouble. Hey, 4 straight wins, 5 in 6 and 5-3 overall for the kid. Not too shabby. Losing to GB and SF not a crime. Falcons turned him over and the Atlanta offense had been prolific in the past. Again, I am not knocking the youngster. But, here we are in New Orleans. A place Brees and Payton have feasted. And facing a young QB, the Saints defense will be more than up to the challenge. Just too much balance for Carolina to handle. Both sides of the ball big edges for the home team. 4* Money Maker NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3.5 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 161 h 32 m | Show | |
Taking the JETS. I know that nobody really had the Raiders sitting at 7-4 in the AFC West. I cannot buy them as a road fave. They are 1-3 on the road this year. I know NYJ a wreck at 3-7. But injuries happen. And starting 3rd string QBs probably won't get many teams wins. Jets have allowed just a single 100 yard rusher on the year. (Zeke). The defense is solid. The offense showing flashes. Getting points, this is a live home dog. ML +160 should be in play also. 4* Money Maker NY JETS |
|||||||
11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons -4 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 21 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Different team the last 2 weeks this Atlanta outfit. Big road in at New Orleans. Defense really shined there. Then going on the road again in division and taking out the Panthers. Happy to be on both of those side to help the bankroll. Enter Tampa on an 0-6 ATS run. Do you really want to get in front of the Falcons right now who seem to have found themselves since their bye week? Matty Ice at home always dangerous. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Tennessee +4 v. Missouri | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Vols rolling right now with 3 straight wins. Off a bye week, they get a free-falling Missouri bunch who has dropped 4 in a row. No offense to be found scoring 6-0-7-14 in those games. They had 33 or more in 20 of 26 games! MizzU has dropped 50 the last 2 times these guys have played. Vols rested, smell the blood in the water. Bowl eligible with a win. Sprinkle that +160 ML 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Arkansas v. LSU -43 | Top | 20-56 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
Taking LSU. No time to slow down the scoring. It is run it up time as it does matter in the rankings. How is Arkansas putting up points here? On the bad side of 100 for both offense and defensive ratings. What is this gonna be, 52-3? How about a 60 spot. Will the get to 70. Last week was the let down spot. This is back to work time to keep pace with Ohio State and Clemson putting up 50 a game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Memphis -14 v. South Florida | Top | 49-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. South Florida done for the year. No bowl. The offense a total Jekyl and Hyde unit that has put up 17-7-45-3-27 their last 5 games. Can't be inconsistent against this Tigers team. 45-54--43-47-28Loss- 52-35-42-55. Too much to slow down for Bulls. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS TIGERS |
|||||||
11-23-19 | San Jose State -6 v. UNLV | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking SAN JOSE STATE. Send in the clowns for UNLV. Look. The Tony Sanchez looked good to me. 85-5 in HS ball. Obviously related to players. That didn't take at the college level. San Jose has dropped 2 straight. They want to end the season on a high note. Not sure they drop 50 on the Rebels like last year, but we just need a TD cover. 4* Money Maker SAN JOSE STATE |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M. Rolling this baby out as a BEST BET. One day, Jimbo is going to have beat a good team. Not just a good team, but a Top 10 team. Somewhere. Here, the road. Outer space. You can't be in the SEC and face Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Georgia and not win a game. You will 8-4 every year and out the door in 4. Lost to Clemson, Bama and Auburn this year. Lose by 14 at Clemson, 20 at Bama, 8 to Auburn. Bulldogs have trouble on the offense sometimes. Too many points if you like Georgia in my opinion. Another loss most likely, but A&M in cover mode. 5* Best Bet TEXAS A&M |
|||||||
11-23-19 | Air Force -22.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-22 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
8* Sure Shot AIR FORCE |
|||||||
11-23-19 | BYU v. UMass +40.5 | 56-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 19 m | Show | |
Taking UMASS. I know these guys and Akron are the worse teams in the land. But I am not laying 40 on the road with BYU. They have scored 40 twice this year. They get out yarded when they win games. Massachusetts good for a score and that is all we will need here. 4* Money Maker UMASS |
|||||||
11-22-19 | Colorado State v. Wyoming -6.5 | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 58 h 1 m | Show | |
Taking WYOMING. Home off b2b road losses, think they run over Colorado State. Cowboys have out-rushed every opponent this season. Rams with nothing to play for. Wyoming will just run, run and run some more. Eat the clock and pull away. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-21-19 | Colts +6 v. Texans | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 96 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the COLTS. I am no fan of the Texans. Way too inconsistent for me. Especially laying points like this. Huge division game. I get Brissett under center. I have not 1, but 2 100 yard backs last week. I know Texans can be explosive on offense. But, if you aren't on the field all that much, good look. I can see how you would be on Houston after they had their doors blown off last week. Indy is 5-1 SU last 6 in this series. Jacoby, a perfect 3-0 vs Houston in his starts. So it wasn't all Luck for Indy. Cots when healthy a very solid team. And I have to be all aboard even in a short week. They made light work of the Jags. And with this last game as the exception, every Colts game is a possession game. 5* Best Bet INDIANAPOLIS COLTS |
|||||||
11-20-19 | Akron v. Miami-OH -30.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
|||||||
11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +4.5 | 24-17 | Loss | -110 | 190 h 36 m | Show | |
Taking the CHARGERS. This KC team is in trouble. The special teams cost them last week. The defense has taken a step back. You know I am no fan of LAC HC, but we have an offense that can go punch for punch with anyone. This Charger defense is a Top 10 unit. The offense is starting to gel with Gordon back in the mix. We know what KC is. It is the Mahomes show. When he is in, watch out. But the defense is still a hot mess. 4* Money Maker LA CHARGERS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Bears +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -109 | 44 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the BEARS. I have kicked Chicago's back in since pre-season. QB is brutal and the coach doesn't help a bit. But there is zero chance I am laying at home with the Rams. OL is a nightmare. Gurley is done. Guy hasn't been healthy last couple years. Goff making that contract look horrible. Not his fault that he is an average QB. Rams always have problems with good defenses. And, the Bears defense is still an elite unit. We might not win this one outright, but there is not a chance the Rams win this by a TD. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO BEARS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Patriots -3.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 140 h 52 m | Show |
Taking the PATRIOTS. I get it. It might be a square play here with NE off a bye week. But I can't trust Philly even as a small dog. Especially with Super Bowl Pay-back on the menu tonight. This is NOT that Eagles team. This team has loads of problems on both sides of the ball. They are 5-4. Where is the good win? At Green Bay? Is that what we are hanging our hats on? Let's do a little recap here. Redskins jumped out early on them and Philly held on. Lost at Atlanta. Lions beat them here. The GB win. Mauled Jets with a backup QB behind center for the visitors. Beaten badly at Minny, then smashed by Dallas on National TV. Beat a so so Bills team. Again I ask - Will Brady beat this team by 4 points off a bye week with a Super Bowl loss memory fresh in his head. I don't think this game is close. It might be tight for a half, but Patriots defense will want to reshape their image after the Ravens game. Brady has something to prove. Brady 13-4 off bye week. Pats with the NFC East co-leader Cowboys on deck at home. Then South leading Texans then West leading Chiefs all coming up. This is the most focused and fresh they will be. I found this little tidbit on the web from the start of the season - Since 2002, away favorites coming off a bye are 66-31 against the spread (68%) and a phenomenal 28-6 ATS (82.4%) and 31-3 straight up (91.2%) when favored by at least 4.5 points. - 10* Money Bomb NE PATRIOTS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Cowboys -3 v. Lions | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 141 h 37 m | Show | |
Taking DALLAS. More brutal play calling by arguably the worse coach in the NFL. Dak carving up the Minny defense, and let's try to get Zeke going down a score with a minute to go. Guy has to go. Back to the wall for Dallas. Any hopes of a bye week out the window. Now they are in a battle for just making the playoffs. Can't lose to Minny and New Orleans. Patriots on the road up next. Bills. At Bears isn't a gimmie with the way Garrett coaches. Plus Rams and Eagles. Not exactly easy. Back-up QB again for Detroit. For me, this is a huge game for the Cowboys. Season shaping. 4* Money Maker DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Bills -6.5 v. Dolphins | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Should have grabbed this when it dipped to 5.5. I knew people would come in early on Miami. And why not. They have been covering games. And who wants to lay points with this Buffalo QB? Well, I'll bite here. Bills lost to NE, who they had a shot at beating, 16-10 and Eagles 31-13, who were destined for a good game after 2 straight road clunkers. And last weeks 19-16 loser to the Browns. Miami offense is putrid. Will be shocked if Miami scored more than 14. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Falcons +4.5 v. Panthers | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Taking the FALCONS. Should have grabbed them Sunday night when I talked about them on the weekly Live Lines Show at 10pm. Twitter my name for the show and follow me! - Now we get a lower number. Should probably grabbed a little +190 ML. Falcons defense very impressive getting to Brees last week. Now facing a rookie QB with no Cam as a hook behind him. Something tells me Atlanta isn't dead and mailing in their season just yet. This offense still has plenty of weapons to put points up. 4* Money Maker ATLANTA FALCONS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Saints -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 158 h 18 m | Show |
Taking the SAINTS. Have to grab this team off a bad game. NO not looking too pretty last week vs the Falcons. This is a game that the HC takes very seriously. TB off nice come from behind win over Arizona. But this isn't a rookie QB and HC. This is a HOF QB & Coach, and Super Bowl winning combo. 5* Best Bet NEW ORLEANS SAINTS |
|||||||
11-17-19 | Jaguars +3 v. Colts | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -120 | 137 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the JAGUARS. Last we saw Jax they were getting mauled in London 26-3 by the Texans. Minshew mania over after that 2 interception day. Off their bye week, Nick Foles returns. Minshew was solid. 13 TDs. 93 passer rating. Not too shabby for the rookie. But Foles has a playoff pedigree. We can laugh and joke about it. The guy wins. 14-4 back in 2013/2014 for Philly. Then 6-2 the last 2 years filling in for Wentz, and 4-1 in the Playoffs adding a Super Bowl Trophy to his shelf. Colts for me, way too shaky. And I was a big Indy guy this season. But TY out. QB questions. Not a spot to be laying points. Shaky kicking game. Jags all day for me here. 8* Sure Shot JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Ohio State -52 v. Rutgers | 56-21 | Loss | -112 | 77 h 13 m | Show | |
Taking OHIO STATE. I would lay 60 here. Rutgers won't score more than 10. You betting that Ohio State, playing for Playoff Style Points, won't put up 60-70 here? Maybe they say to themselves. Hey, you fired an old OC of ours. How do these 73 points taste? 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -34.5 | 3-52 | Win | 100 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
Taking CLEMSON. How the heck is Wake ranked? Maybe the put them in there so the Tigers can have a decent win on their resume. Not their fault they are head and shoulders about the ACC. This has 55-13 written all over it. Tigers need to run it up for the Playoff Picture. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 | Top | 21-23 | Loss | -117 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Please explain this line. I know. Tom Herman what, 14-4 as a dog. Here getting a TD. Longhorns ranked in the Top 20. Iowa State 5-4, and laying a pretty decent size chunk here. World will be on Texas and Herman. We are going opposite. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Navy +8 v. Notre Dame | 20-52 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking NAVY here. Will grab the Middies and the points. This series is always a tight one. Navy in off bye week and bring a monster rush attack to town. ND off making short work of Duke who isn't that impressive this season. Everyone gets up for the Irish. 4* Money Maker NAVY |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Michigan State v. Michigan -13.5 | 10-44 | Win | 100 | 48 h 10 m | Show | |
Taking MICHIGAN. Have to grab the Wolverines off their bye week. Sparty just reeling right now. Blowing that huge lead vs Illini. At least they have basketball to keep them happy at State since their football team has run off the rails. This is a game Michigan can dominate. Spartans can't score. We know the Michigan coach needs all kinds of signature wins - and beating in-state rival will be a nice prize to have on the shelf with the way they have been beaten by them in recent years. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN |
|||||||
11-16-19 | Alabama -19.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 74 h 45 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. We had LSU ML last week and it payed off. We will be all in on the Tide. Off a loss. Holy. Normally, their loss is the playoffs and they blast some team to open the season. Now the angry is fresh and will carry over. There will be no let-down for a double loss here. Tide still #5 in the Playoff Poll. That is an entire other argument as somehow Georgia who lost to South Carolina is 4 ahead of Alabama and undefeated Big 10 teams among others. Back to Miss State being a sacrificial lamb this afternoon. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
|||||||
11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. Interesting 2 point line move and the money was already in on LT as they are always live as dogs under Holtz. LT also averaging over 50ppg last 4 and again, besides the line move, the total dropped. Thought about moving this to a Top 10, but even hitting 60% this month, we aren't forcing our hand. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |
|||||||
11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -6 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the NINERS here. I don't think I have heard one person say they like San Fran. I get Wilson is having an MVP year. Something tells me though that SF are practiced and ready to go. Extra prep time off the Thursday game. Injured guys get some more time. Sanders looked good in his first game since trade from Denver. The defense is not too shabby. 10* Money Bomb SAN FRANCISCO 49ers |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Vikings v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Taking the COWBOYS. Went back and forth a bit on this one. I do like Minny. Love their HC. But their QB is a Prime Time nightmare. How about 6-14 in prime-time starts, and 6-29 against opponents with winning records! Dak is 14-5 in his prime-time starts. Let's not forget 0 4th quarter comebacks either from Cousins, 0-10-1 when trailing coming into the 4th. Not going to say some negatives backing Garrett in this spot for Dallas. But Minny just hasn't figured it out when it matters on the road. 8* Sure Shot DALLAS COWBOYS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +4 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 4 m | Show | |
Taking the STEELERS. uh. Ugly one. I am not a Steelers fan at all. Can't even say anything nice about them expect they are a home dog here. Rams. Please. This team has been exposed as a total fraud after the Patriots dissected them in the Super Bowl. This Goff contract is an albatross already. 8-2-4 ATS run for Pitt as home dogs under Tomlin. I got a home dog with probably the better defense. They got trucked by the Patriots. Ok, nearly everyone does. 3 other losses by 9 total points, including an OT loss. Goff not the same on the road. Gurley is an average back now. Cooks hurt. 4* Money Maker PITTSBURGH STEELERS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Dolphins +12.5 v. Colts | 16-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 38 m | Show | |
Taking the DOLPHINS. 4 straight covers for Miami including an outright win last week. And look - I'll be honest. A healthy Colts team and I wouldn't be shocked if the were in the AFC Championship Game. That is how high I think of the coach and the team. But, these guys have some flaws. QB a problem right now. No TY hurts. And the kicking game. Well, I am not even going to bother to spell the guys name correctly because he should have hung up after Game 1 this season. All 8 Indy games this year decided by 7 points or less. Their 5 wins, an average of 4 points (2,3,6,7,2). I get Miami is 'tanking'. Back door wide, wide open here for Dolphins. 4* Money Maker MIAMI DOLPHINS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Chiefs -3.5 v. Titans | 32-35 | Loss | -110 | 146 h 3 m | Show | |
Taking KC early. Will do the 3.5 here. Maybe Mahomes comes back and we get a big middle opportunity. Can't complain about the way Moore has played either. 4* Money Maker KC CHIEFS |
|||||||
11-10-19 | Bills +2.5 v. Browns | 16-19 | Loss | -105 | 146 h 39 m | Show | |
Taking the BILLS. Well, was on the opposite side of both these games last week. Thought I had good CLV with the Browns as I got them as dogs early before the line move. Look. This Browns team is a mess. Bills total opposite. Nothing sexy about them. Browns all the flash. Baker tv chugging beer. ODB and Landry at WR. Chubb a stud RB. I'm grabbing the lunch box crew from Buffalo. 4* Money Maker BUFFALO BILLS |