Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-25-11 | Washington Redskins +5.5 v. Baltimore Ravens | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 32 h 59 m | Show | |
Washington @ Baltimore 8:00 PM ET
Play On: Washington +5.5 Any preseason away underdog that's coming off a SU&ATS win versus an opponent coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 10.0 or more, and they scored 29 points or more is 17-2 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 13 of those 19 games outright. Any preseason away underdog of 6.5 or less that's coming off back to back favorite ATS wins, they covered their previous game by 22.0 or less, and they are facing an opponent coming off a SU win is 8-0 SU&ATS since 1989. |
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08-21-11 | San Diego Chargers +1.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
San Diego @ Dallas 8:00 PM ET
Play On: San Diego +1.5 (10*) Any away underdog of 3.5 or less playing in game 2 or 3 of the preseason, they are coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they failed to cover by 10.0 or more points, versus an opponent coming off a SU win in which they scored 20 points or more is 14-1 ATS since 1985. Any game 2 preseason away underdog versus an opponent coming off a home SU win but ATS loss in which they scored 17 points or more is 6-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The underdog has won all 6 of those games outright by an average of 7.0 points per game. |
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08-20-11 | Minnesota Vikings +3 v. Seattle Seahawks | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Minnesota @ Seattle 10:00 PM ET
Play On: Minnesota +3.0 (10*) Any home favorite of 5.0 or less in Game 3 or less into the preseason that's coming off an away underdog SU win, versus an opponent coming off a SU loss in which they scored 15 points or less, and allowed 15 points or less is 0-8 ATS since 1980. If they are a favorite of 3.5 or less they are 0-5 SU&ATS since 1980. Play on the Minnesota Vikings plus the number. |
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08-19-11 | Atlanta Falcons +3 v. Jacksonville Jaguars | 13-15 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Atlanta @ Jacksonville 8:00 PM ET
Play On: Atlanta +3.0 (10*) The Falcons blew a 17-0 lead at home last week versus Miami that didn't sit quite well with the coaching staff especially considering the majority of the damage was done versus backups. Jacksonville was obliterated by New England last week 47-12 on the road. In their defense they were without 1st team quarterback David Garrard who will be available tonight. It won't matter that Atlanta starters will play the majority of the 1st half according to all reports and they simply have more depth than tonight's opponent. Any preseason Game 2 away underdog of 5.0 or less that's coming off a home favorite SU loss in which they allowed 26 points or more is 15-1-1 ATS since 1986. The underdogs won 15 of those 17 games outright. Play on the Atlanta Falcons plus the number as a 10* selection. |
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08-13-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Cleveland Browns -2 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
Green Bay @ Cleveland 7:30 PM ET
Play On: Cleveland -2.0 The Green Bay coach Mike McCarthy has publicly stated his starters will see very limited action in this game. In addition the Packers suffered numerous injuries down the stretch last year. Many of those players are healthy and ready to go but will be brought along slowly. What better way for the new coaching staff in Cleveland to get off to a positive start than a victory over the defending Super Bowl champion even if it's only a preseason game. Starting quarterback Colt McCoy figures to see extended time in the game trying to get adjusted to new offensive coordinator Pat Schurmur's schemes. The line opened with Green Bay as a 1.5 point favorite and now the Browns are a 2.0 point favorite at the time of this writing. This isn't public money induced. Play on the Cleveland Browns. |
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08-28-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 | 19-13 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Jacksonville @ Tampa Bay 7;30 PM EDT
Play On: Tampa Bay +2.5 Any preseason home underdog that allowed 26-points or less in their previous game versus an opponent that's coming off a home favorite SU loss is 18-3 ATS since 1989. If the away favorite scored 21-points or more in their previous game then the system improves to 5-0 SU&ATS since 1989. The home underdog won all 5 of those games outright by an average of 18.2 PPG. Play on Tampa Bay as a home underdog selection. |
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08-27-10 | San Diego Chargers +5 v. New Orleans Saints | Top | 21-36 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
San Diego @ New Orleans 8:00 PM EDT
Play On: San Diego +5.0 Any preseason away underdog of 3.5 or less that's coming off of a home favorite SU loss, versus an opponent that's off a SU&ATS win, and they scored 24-points or more is 23-3 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 19 of those 26-games outright. Any preseason away underdog of 3.5 or less that's playing in Game 3 or less, versus an opponent that's coming off of a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 14.5 or more, and scored 21-points or more is 12-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 11 of those 12-games outright. Any preseason away underdog of 3.5 or less that's coming off of a home favorite SU loss in which they scored 24-points or less, versus an opponent off a home favorite ATS win is 9-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 8 of those 9-games outright. Play on the San Diego Chargers plus the points. |
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08-26-10 | St. Louis Rams +8 v. New England Patriots | 36-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
St. Louis @ New England 7:30 PM EDT
Play On: St. Louis +8.0 I have always been of the opinion that no team deserves to be a touchdown or better favorite in the preseason. In addition the Patriots are 0-4 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 4.5 or more under Bill Belichek. The Rams are a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS as a preseason away underdog under 2nd year head coach Steve Spagnoulo. Any preseason away underdog of 3.0 or more that's Coming off of a SU win by 19-points or less, versus an opponent coming off of BB SU wins, they scored 24-points or more in their previous game, and they won the previous game by 5-points or more is 16-0 ATS since 1984. The underdog has won 13 of those 16-games outright. Any preseason away underdog of 7.0 or more that's coming off of a SU&ATS win, versus an opponent coming off a SU&ATS win that they scored 14-points or more is 11-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 6 of those 11 games outright. |
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08-21-10 | St Louis +3 v. Cleveland | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 69 h 21 m | Show | |
St. Louis @ Cleveland 7:30 PM EDT
Play On: St. Louis +3.0 Any preseason away underdog that's coming off of a home favorite SU loss by 5 points or more, versus an opponent that comes off of an away underdog SU win by 8 points or less, and they allowed 15 points or more is 10-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 9 of those 10 games outright. Any preseason away underdog that's coming off of a SU favorite loss by 15 points or more, versus an opponent that's coming off of an away underdog SU win is 7-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The underdog has won all 7 of those games by an average of 6.4 points per game. These 2 preseason angles are a combined 17-0 ATS and 16-1 SU since 1980 in favor of the underdog in these 2 situations that apply to this contest. Play on the St. Louis Rams plus the points as my NFL Preseason Anti-Public Game of the Week. |
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08-21-10 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Washington Redskins | Top | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 70 h 32 m | Show |
Baltimore @ Washington 7:00 PM EDT
Play On: Baltimore +3.0 Any preseason away underdog of 3.5 or less versus an opponent that's coming off of a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 10.0 or more, and they scored 20 or more points in that previous game 17-2 ATS since 1984. The underdog has won 16 of those 19 games outright. Any preseason pick or underdog of 3.5 or less, playing in Game 2 or 3 of the preseason, versus an opponent that's coming off of a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 11.5 or more, scored 20 points or more, and won SU by 22 points or more is 7-0 ATS since 1980. The underdog is 6-0-1 SU in those 7 games. Any preseason away underdog of 3.5 or less that's coming off of a SU win, versus an opponent that's coming off of a home favorite ATS win that they covered by 10.0 or more, and scored 26 points or more is 11-2 ATS since 1980. The underdog has won 10 of those 13 games outright. These 3 preseason angles are a combined 35-4 ATS and 32-6-1 SU in favor of the underdog. Play on the Baltimore Ravens plus the points as my NFL Preseason Game of the Week. |
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08-15-10 | Denver Broncos v. Cincinnati Bengals -3 | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Denver @ Cincinnati 7:00 PM EDT
Play On: Cincinnati -3.0 Any preseason favorite or underdog of 3.5 or less that's playing its 2nd game of the preseason, they are coming off of a SU favorite loss in which they scored 13-points or less while allowing 16-points or less as well is 19-3 ATS since 1987. Any preseason favorite or underdog of 3.5 or less playing its 2nd game of the preseason, they're coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they allowed 20-points or less, versus an opponent that's playing their 1st preseason game is 23-6 ATS since 1988. Any team playing in their 2nd preseason game, they're coming off a SU&ATS loss in which they allowed 20-points or less versus an opponent playing their preseason opener is 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS since 1990. |