Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-12-22 | Cavs v. Bulls UNDER 220.5 | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
CAVS/BULLS TOTAL Tough spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers who will be playing on no rest after taking a 117-105 loss at Miami last night. They are 4-8 ATS when playing on zero days rest for the season and 9-3 to the under. The Chicago Bulls are coming into this game off two days rest since defeating the Nuggets in Denver on Wednesday. The Bulls are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 overall. Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 games as a road underdog. 8* play on UNDER.
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03-05-22 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 220.5 | Top | 82-99 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER - TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Philadelphia 76ers are 6-0 to the over through their last six games and they have averaged over 126 points per game since the All-Star break. The over is 7-2 in Heat's last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. |
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03-03-22 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 238 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
KINGS/SPURS TOTAL This looks like an extremely tough spot for the Sacramento Kings who will play their fourth straight road game, third game in four nights and on no rest after taking a 125-95 loss at New Orleans last night. The Spurs? They last played on February 28 when they took a 118-105 loss at Memphis. This will be Spurs' first home game since the All-Star break and I expect them to come out swinging. Spurs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. Kings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in Kings last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-28-22 | Kings v. Thunder UNDER 226 | 131-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
KINGS/THUNDER TOTAL The Sacramento Kings are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but OKC does not have the talent to hurt them. Under is 18-7-1 in Kings' last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 12-5-1 in Thunder's last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-15-22 | Mavs v. Heat OVER 208.5 | 107-99 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
MAVS/HEAT TOTAL The Mavs are heavy to the under on the season, but over is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 games as a road underdog and 5-0 in Heat's last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-15-22 | Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 210.5 | 135-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
CELTICS/SIXERS TOTAL Under is 34-23-1 in all Celtics' games on the season and 32-22-2 in Sixers' games. Under is 19-7 in 76ers' last 26 games as an underdog and 20-8 in Celtics' last 28 games as a favorite. The last head-to-head meeting, on Jan 14, saw 210 points scored (the closing total was 207.5). Prior to that, three straight meetings had gone under the total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-14-22 | Thunder v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 127-123 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder are 13-6 to the under this season in games with a total of 210 or lower. In their last game, the Thunder took a 106-101 loss at Chicago (total was 216.5). Under is 12-3-1 in Thunder's last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Knicks have given up a decent amount of points in recent games, but on the road and against tough opponents. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 18-5 in Knicks last 23 games as a favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-11-22 | Nuggets v. Celtics UNDER 217.5 | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
CELTICS/NUGGETS TOTAL The Boston Celtics are playing their best basketball of the season. They have won six on the bounce and covered near double-digit spreads in each of their last two games. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Nuggets are coming off a 132-115 thumping of the Knicks, but they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 10-4 in Celtics last 14 games as a home favorite. Under is 9-4 in Nuggets last 13 road games. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. |
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02-10-22 | Knicks v. Warriors UNDER 218.5 | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Golden State Warriors will be playing on no rest after taking a 111-85 beating at Utah last night. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 26-10 in Warriors last 36 games following a straight up loss. The New York Knicks took a 132-115 loss at Denver their last time out. Under is 11-4-1 in Knicks last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-09-22 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 230.5 | 121-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
BULLS/HORNETS TOTAL Neither team is playing very well right now with the Bulls losers of three of their last four and the Hornets off five straight losses. The Bulls have had an advantage in recent meetings though (4-0 ATS) and they've scored 120 points or more in six of their last seven games. The Hornets have struggled with their production lately, averaging only 97 ppg over their five-game losing streak. I still like the over as well though I expect the Bulls to keep scoring, as they did in a 133-119 home win against Charlotte in November. 8* play on OVER. |
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02-09-22 | Spurs v. Cavs UNDER 218 | Top | 92-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The San Antonio Spurs put up 131 points in a victory over Houston in their last game, but now they'll face a much tougher opponent. The Cleveland Cavaliers have held five of their last eight opponents to fewer than 100 points. Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 9-2-2 in Spurs last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-08-22 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 216.5 | Top | 126-91 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* CELTICS/NETS TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Celtics have seen seven of their last eight games go under the total. Of their last five opponents, only one (Charlotte) was allowed to score more than 96 points. The Nets are struggling, coming into this game on an eight-game losing streak, despite having Kyrie Irving in the last five (all road games). The unvaccinated Irving is not allowed to play home games due to New York City's vaccine mandate, and they'll miss his production. Under is 3-1-1 in Nets last 5 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 225.5 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Toronto Raptors have scored 124 points or more in four of their last seven games. In their last game, the Raptors defeated Atlanta 125-114. The over is 4-1 in Raptors' five games where they scored 125 points or more this season. Charlotte took a 104-86 beating by Miami in its last game. Over is 13-3 in Hornets last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-06-22 | Nets v. Nuggets OVER 230.5 | Top | 104-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NETS/NUGGETS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Brooklyn Nets have allowed 120+ points in three of their last five games. Over is 5-2 in Nets' last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 6-1 in Nuggets' last 7 games as a home favorite. Denver should be looking forward to taking advantage of this defensively challenged Nets team after three straight losses. Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons OVER 225.5 | Top | 128-117 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Minnesota Timberwolves have scored 124 points or more in three straight games. In their last game, they put a 130-115 beating on Denver and they are 11-3 to the over in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings with the Pistons in Detroit. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 216.5 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
WIZARDS/SIXERS TOTAL The Washington Wizards have struggled to get buckets in recent games. They've been held to fewer than 100 points in three of their last four games, and they took a 112-98 loss at Milwaukee last night. Under is 6-1 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up loss and 5-0 in Wizards last 5 games as an underdog. The first meeting of the season (on Jan 17) closed with a total of 221.5 points and saw 215 points scored. I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. 8* play on UNDER. |
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02-01-22 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 210.5 | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
HEAT/RAPTORS TOTAL Both teams will be playing on no rest, and I think heavy legs on defense will open up for a high-scoring game. The Heat are 6-2 to the over when playing on 0 days rest this season and over is 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I also think we'll see a reaction from the Miami players after putting up only 92 points in a blowout loss at Boston last night. Over is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 games as a home favorite. I also like the Heat as they will be looking to avenge a triple-overtime loss at Toronto on Jan 29. Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Heat are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-29-22 | Kings v. 76ers UNDER 223 | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY
The Philadelphia 76ers held the Lakers to 87 points in a blowout win in their last game. They are 27-19-2 to the under for the season and under is 5-0 in 76ers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Sacramento Kings have allowed 133, 133, 128 and 121 points over their last four games, but two of those games still went under the total. I think we'll see a good effort from the Kings on the defensive end tonight as they'll have fresh legs, coming off two days of rest. The Sixers are 8-3 to the under when their opponent has had more than one days rest.
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01-28-22 | Clippers v. Heat OVER 210.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are 29-19 to the over on the season and 10-1 to the over in their last 11 Friday night games. Over is 36-15 in Heat's last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and here they'll face a Clippers team that is only 10-13 SU on the road this season. Over is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head matchups. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-26-22 | Mavs v. Blazers UNDER 217 | Top | 132-112 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks took a 130-92 loss as a dog at Golden State last night. That's the most points they allowed all season, and I expect a much better defensive showing here against a Portland team that is averaging 108.4 points per game (15th). Under is 8-1 in Mavericks last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Under is 21-5-1 in Mavericks last 27 games as a favorite. Under is 20-8 in Mavericks last 28 games playing on 0 days rest. The Blazers will also be playing on no rest after losing 109-107 to Minnesota on Tuesday. Under is 7-3 in Trail Blazers last 10 games playing on 0 days rest, 6-1 in Trail Blazers last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-25-22 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 211.5 | Top | 92-130 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S WESTERN CONF TOTAL MAJOR WAGER Two of the best defensive teams in the NBA will battle it out at Chase Center Tuesday night. The Dallas Mavericks held Memphis to 91 points on Sunday and they are allowing only 102.5 points per game (3rd) on the season. |
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01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 203 | Top | 93-95 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks will be playing on short rest after defeating the Clippers 110-102 Sunday afternoon. Under is 5-2 in Knicks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 6-2 in Knicks last 8 games following a straight up win, and here they'll run into one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with the Cavs allowing only 102.5 points per game. Under is 15-6 in Cavaliers last 21 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-23-22 | Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 217.5 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks are 32-13-1 to the under on the season and the under is 20-5-1 in Mavericks last 26 games as a favorite. The Memphis Grizzles are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, but not they'll face a Dallas team that is locked in on defense. This will be the third meeting of the season; the previous matchups saw 187, 200 and 197 points respectively, and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-22-22 | Thunder v. Cavs UNDER 209.5 | Top | 87-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK Both the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Oklahoma City Thunder are heavy to the under this season. The Thunder have struggled with their shooting all season, and they've been held to 102 points or fewer in eight of their last 10 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers are holding opponents to 102.8 which is the third-best mark in the NBA. They'll have fresh legs and will be able to hustle on defense after having two days of rest since seeing a five-game winning streak come to an end with a loss at Chicago on Wednesday. Under is 14-6 in Cavaliers last 20 home games and 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-19-22 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 215.5 | Top | 92-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
MIKE'S BLAZERS/HEAT 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY The Miami Heat are 26-18 to the over on the season. They have seen three of their last four games go under the total, but they were facing tough competition in those games. The over is 8-1-1 in Heat's last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 10-4 in Trail Blazers' last 14 games as a road underdog. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-18-22 | Pistons v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 86-102 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Golden State Warriors took a 119-99 loss at Minnesota on Sunday. Under is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 games following a straight up loss and Steph Curry is dealing with a sore hand and is a game-time decision. The Detroit Pistons took a 135-108 beating by Phoenix in their last game, but the under is 25-5 in Pistons last 30 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks UNDER 214 | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TUESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER Each of the last six head-to-head matchups between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the New York Knicks has gone under the total, and this looks like it should be another low-scoring affair. The Knicks will be playing on no rest and point guard Kemba Walker is questionable with a knee injury. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 home games. Under is 5-1 in Knicks last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs OVER 225 | Top | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Phoenix Suns put a 135-108 beating on the Pistons in Detroit on Sunday. Over is 18-2 in Suns' last 20 games after scoring 125 points or more in their previous game and they are 33-17 to the over following a win of 10 points or more. Tonight they'll face a Spurs team that is 12-3 to the over in its last 15 games as a home underdog and the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at AT&T Center. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-14-22 | Warriors v. Bulls UNDER 221.5 | Top | 138-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Golden State Warriors took a 118-99 beating in Milwaukee last night. Under is 24-9 in Warriors last 33 games following a straight up loss and 15-6 in Warriors last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls will also be looking to get right defensively after giving up 138 points to Brooklyn a couple of nights ago. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. Under is 10-4 in Bulls last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-13-22 | Thunder v. Nets UNDER 215.5 | Top | 130-109 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a potential flat spot for the Nets after destroying the Bulls in their own building last night. . Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest, 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite and 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. The Thunder are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-1 in Nets last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 7-2 in Nets last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Thunder last 7 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-13-22 | Wolves v. Grizzlies OVER 229 | 108-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
WOLVES/GRIZZLIES TOTAL The Grizzlies are averaging 112.2 points per game on the season, the third-best mark in the league, and it rises to 114.0 points per game home at FedExForum. The Wolves have scored 125 points or more in each of their last three games, but also allowed an average of 125.5 points per game over their last two. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-10-22 | Cavs v. Kings UNDER 219.5 | Top | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Cavaliers took a 96-82 loss at Golden State last night. They put up a solid defensive effort, and I think that will be the case here again at Sacramento the very next night. Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 games playing on 0 days rest and 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Sacramento Kings will also be playing on no rest after taking a 103-88 loss at Portland last night. Under is 4-0 in Kings last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-10-22 | 76ers v. Rockets OVER 226 | 111-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SIXERS/ROCKETS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Philadelphia 76ers are 21-15-2 to the under on the season, but the over is 7-0-2 in 76ers last 9 games as a road favorite. Tonight they'll face a Houston Rockets team that is 17-4 its last 21 games as an underdog and 13-3 the the over in last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. The Rockets took a 141-123 loss to Minnesota last night, and they have allowed 120 points or more in seven of their last eight games. The over is 6-2 during that stretch. I think this will be anohter high-scoring affair involving Houston. 8* play on OVER. |
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01-08-22 | Heat v. Suns OVER 216.5 | Top | 123-100 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are coming off a 115-109 win at Portland. Each of their last five and games seven of their last eight have gone over the total. Additionally, over is 10-1 in Heat last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and here they'll visit a Phoenix team that is a phenomenal 17-4 home at Footprint Center on the season. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-07-22 | Cavs v. Blazers UNDER 216 | 114-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
BLAZERS/CAVS TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers have lost five of their last six, and failed to cover the spread in each of the losses. They'll have to do without their starting backcourt in Damian Lillard (abdomen) and CJ McCollum (lung) for the time being, and I think they'll struggle with the Cavs here Friday night. Cleveland has dropped four of its last five games (0-4-1 ATS), but the Cavaliers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games and still a solid 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. The Trail Blazers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games. Under is 14-6-1 in Trail Blazers last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Portland. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-07-22 | Mavs v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 130-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
MAVS/ROCKETS TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have held each of their last five opponents to 96 points or fewer. Their last three opponents, OKC, Denver, and Golden State were not allowed to break even 90 points. Dallas will need to keep playing strong defense to win here as Luka Doncic is in danger of missing the contest. The Rockets have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but note that the under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings with Dallas. 8* play on UNDER. |
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01-02-22 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 209.5 | Top | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder have scored only 97 and 95 points in their last two games. Now their leading scorer, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was placed in the health and safety protocols Saturday and listed as out for this contest. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing only 104.9 points per game (4th) and they've held each of their last two opponents to fewer than 100 points. Under is 11-4 in Mavericks last 15 overall. Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-01-22 | Clippers v. Nets UNDER 215.5 | 120-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
MIKE'S CLIPPERS/NETS TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER The Brooklyn Nets are allowing 106.7 points per game (11th), but their defensive metrics are rather impressive. They're holding opponents to 42.7% shooting from the floor (2nd) and 31.4% from three-point range (1st). Here they'll face a shorthanded LA Clippers team that is 5-2 to the under in their last seven overall and 8-1 to the under in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. I expect the Clippers to keep the tempo slow to conserve energy. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-30-21 | Cavs v. Wizards UNDER 213.5 | Top | 93-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Cleveland Cavaliers are 21-13 to the under on the season. They are allowing only 101.6 points per game (2nd) and they have held four of their last six opponents to fewer than 100 points. The Washington Wizards are shooting only 32.7% from behind the arc, and the Cavs are the third-best team in the league at defending the three. As for pace, both are among the slower in the NBA with Cleveland at 98.5 possessions per game (22nd) and Washington at 97.1 possessions per game (27th). 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-27-21 | Bulls v. Hawks UNDER 208.5 | 130-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
BULLS/HAWKS The Atlanta Hawks have been involved in low-scoring games, lately, with their last three games seeing 202, 194 and 188 points respectively. The Chicago Bulls are coming off three high-scoring affairs, but all at home. Both teams are shorthanded due to injuries and COVID issues, especially the Hawks. I expect this to be a slow-paced low-scoring game. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-25-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 218.5 | Top | 116-107 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* WARRIORS @ SUNS XMAS DAY TOP PLAY The Golden State Warriors are 21-10-1 to the under on the season. The Warriors are averaging 111.5 points per game overall this season, but that number drops to 106.1 points per game on the road. The first two head-to-head meetings this season saw 200 points and 114 points. Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Under is 6-1 in Suns last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-20-21 | Rockets v. Bulls OVER 223.5 | Top | 118-133 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 73-58 in all NBA games this month and 11-3 to the over in games with a closing total of 224 points or more. The Rockets are allowing 112.9 points per game on the season (28th) and they have given up 116 points or more in four of their last six games (over is 5-1 in Rockets last six). The Rockets have the highest pace factor in the league, averaging 103.1 possessions per game, and I think they'll really push the tempo here against a Bulls team that will be playing in no rest after defeating the LA Lakers on Sunday. We saw 231 points scored when these two teams clashed in Houston on Nov 24. I expect them to combine for 230+ this time around as well. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-17-21 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 209 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are holding opponents to 103.8 points per game on the season. The Orlando Magic are averaging only 101.3 points per game. Miami has held two of its last three opponents to fewer than 100 points, the exception the red hot Cavs who put up 105 points. Orlando has failed to break 100 points in two straight games. We saw only 197 points scored with a closing total of 212 points when these two rivals clashed on October 25. Six of the last nine meetings have gone under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-16-21 | 76ers v. Nets UNDER 214 | 105-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
SIXERS/NETS TOTAL The Philadelphia 76ers will be playing on no rest after taking a loss at Miami Wednesday night, but I think they'll bounce back here against a severely shorthanded Brooklyn team. The Nets had only eight players available against the Raptors on Tuesday, and while they won that game, I think they'll be too gassed to keep up with Philly in this one. In addition to Philadelphia winning and covering the spread, I also like the under as neither team is likely to push the tempo. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-13-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 214.5 | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
WARRIORS/PACERS TOTAL The Golden State Warriors are 18-7-1 to the under on the season, and 8-1 in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Additionally, the Warriors are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss, and I expect them to snap back here after taking a 102-93 loss at Philadelphia in their last game. Under is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 games as an underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-13-21 | Heat v. Cavs UNDER 208.5 | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
HEAT/CAVS TOTAL The Miami Heat are 16-11 to the over on the season, but 4-1 to the under their last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 17-11 to the under, and the under is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-12-21 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 216 | 112-97 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY BUCKS @ KNICKS NBA MONEYMAKER - 12:00 PM ET START The New York Knicks have won only one of their last five games, and they've experienced severe scoring woes lately being held to 102 points or fewer in three of their last four games. The Bucks have been involved in mostly high-scoring games lately, but head-to-head matchups with the Knicks tend to be relatively low-scoring affairs. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-11-21 | Warriors v. 76ers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL The Golden State Warriors are 17-7-1 to the under on the season, 5-1 to the under in games with a closing total lower than 218 points. The Philadelphia 76ers are 15-9-2 to the under on the season, 12-6 to the under in games with a closing total lower than 218 points. Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-21 | Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 208.5 | 110-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
THUNDER @ RAPTORS NBA TOTAL MONEYMAKER The Oklahoma City Thunder have seen each of their last three games go over the total as they've struggled defensively, but here they'll take on a Toronto team that is averaging only 104.8 points per game. Defensively the Raptors are solid and under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games as a home favorite. 8* play on UNDER. |
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12-06-21 | Thunder v. Pistons UNDER 206.5 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder took a 152-79 beating by Memphis on Thursday, the biggest loss in NBA history. I expect the Thunder to tighten up defensively for this matchup with the Pistons, and poor shooting has been an issue for both teams all season. OKC is averaging 98.1 ppg (30th) while Detroit is averaging only 98.9 points per game (29th). Under is 23-9 in Thunder last 32 road games. Under is 5-1 in Pistons last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-30-21 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 221 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
LATE-NIGHT WARRIORS @ SUNS BEST OF THE WEST SHOWDOWN This matchup will feature the top-two teams in the West. While both teams can score, they're also very resilient on the defensive end, and I think this will be a playoff-like low-scoring affair. The Warriors are scoring more than four points fewer on the road than their overall season average, and under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 10-4 in Warriors' games with a total of 219 or higher. Under is 7-4-1 in Suns' games with a total of 219 or higher, Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-30-21 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 217 | Top | 110-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are 5-0 to the under in their last five games as road underdogs. They are allowing only 102.7 points per game away from home, well under their overall average of 106.2 ppg allowed. Brooklyn is also both scoring fewer and allowing fewer at home than its overall average. Under is 10-4-1 in Nets last 15 home games. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-29-21 | Wizards v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | Top | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Wizards are 13-7 to the under on the season, but two of their last three games have gone over the total. Here they'll face a San Antonio team that is both scoring and allowing 113 points per game at home. Over is 11-2 in Spurs last 13 home games. Over is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 games as a home underdog. Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-28-21 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 215.5 | 105-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 60 m | Show | |
WARRIORS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The Golden State Warriors are 17-2 SU and 14-4-1 against the spread on the season. They have the best scoring defense in the league with only 100.9 points allowed per game on average, and the Clippers are averaging only 106.0 points per game. The Clippers have lost three of their last five straight up, despite closing as favorites in each game. In their last game, the Clippers defeated Detroit 107-96 but they are only 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-24-21 | Hawks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 124-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
HAWKS @ SPURS TOTAL The Spurs are averaging 117.0 points per game home at AT&T Center, but also allowing 115.3 points per game. They're coming into this game on a slide, having lost five in a row straight up and they had failed to cover the spread in four straight prior to just barely covering the number in a loss to Phoenix last time out. The Hawks routed the Thunder last time out. They are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Over is 9-4 in Hawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Over is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games as a home underdog. 8* play on OVER. |
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11-22-21 | Pacers v. Bulls UNDER 209 | 109-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
PACERS @ BULLS TOTAL The Chicago Bulls are allowing only 102.0 points per game home at United Center and under is 10-4 in Bulls last 14 games as a home favorite. The Pacers are averaging only 100.5 points per game as underdogs and the under is 5-0 in Pacers' last 5 games as an underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-22-21 | Thunder v. Hawks UNDER 211.5 | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
THUNDERS @ HAWKS TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder are 12-4 to the under on the seas, and they are averaging only 98.6 points per game, which drops to 95.3 ppg on the road. The Hawks are allowing only 104.1 ppg home at State Farm Arena. Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 home games and 14-6 in Hawks last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 65-28-1 in Thunder last 94 games as a road underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-22-21 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 216 | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ WIZARDS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Each of the last four head-to-head meetings has gone under the total, a 97-87 Hornets win at Charlotte last week included. I think the oddsmakers have set the total too high once again when the teams clash in Washington Monday night. The Wizards are a slow-paced team, entering this contest with the third-lowest pace factor (the number of possessions a team uses per game) in the NBA, and the under is 8-1 in Wizards' last 9 overall. Charlotte is playing at a faster pace, but note that the under is 14-6 in Hornets' last 20 games as a road underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-20-21 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 223.5 | 123-105 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
JAZZ @ KINGS TOTAL The Jazz are 10-5 to the under on the season and the Kings are 10-5-1 to the under. Under is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-1 in Kings last 8 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-20-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers UNDER 208.5 | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
PELS @ PACERS TOTAL The Pelicans are 12-4-1 to the under on the season and the Pacers are 11-6 to the under. The Pels will be playing on no rest after taking a 94-81 loss to the Clippers last night. Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The Pacers will also be playing on no rest after taking a 121-118 loss at Charlotte last night. Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-19-21 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 214.5 | 89-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
THUNDER @ BUCKS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The Milwaukee Bucks and the Oklahoma City Thunder are a combined 22-7 to the under on the season. The Thunder have been held to 96, 90 and 101 points through their last three games. Under is 16-5-1 in Bucks last 22 games as a home favorite. Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games as an underdog. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-19-21 | Warriors v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK The Golden State Warriors will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back set after winning 104-89 at Cleveland last night. They are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest and under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 games as a road favorite. The Detroit Pistons are averaging only 92.2 points per game. They are 24-15 to the under when their opponent plays on 0 rest, dating back to the start of last season, and under is 9-2-1 in Pistons last 12 games as a home underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-17-21 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 209 | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Orlando Magic are averaging only 99.9 points per game (28th). They put up 111 points at Atlanta last time out, but here they'll face a tough Knicks team that held Indiana to 37% shooting from the field in a 92-84 win a couple of days ago. The Knicks are holding opponents to 43.0% shooting on the season (5th), and under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite. Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings at Madison Square Garden. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-16-21 | Warriors v. Nets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 117-99 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - EAST/WEST TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR The Golden State Warriors and the Brooklyn Nets boast some of the most prolific scorers in the league, but these are also two teams that can turn it up on the defensive end. The Warriors have the best defensive rating (number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) in the league and Brooklyn has the fourth-best rating. I think the betting market got this total all wrong. Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 overall. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1-1 in Nets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-15-21 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 200 | Top | 98-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY We saw only 190 points when theese two teams clashed here at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse a couple of days ago. The total for that game closed at 202 points, and I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. Up until this point of the season, only one contest has closed with a total of 200 points or lower. That was back on November 10 when Cleveland hosted Washington, a game the Cavs lost 97-93. The Cavs boast the second-best scoring defense in the league, and they are in the bottom 10 for pace with only 99.3 possessions per game while Boston is right there as well with 99.1 possessions per game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers UNDER 221 | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS LATE NIGHT TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET START The Clippers and the Blazers clashed twice in October, which the teams recording one lopsided win each. What was true for both contests was that the teams barely combined for 200 points, and yet we're seeing a total in the 220s here for the third head-to-head of the season. While both teams have the potential to explode and put 120+ points on the board, I think this will be yet another low-scoring affair between two familiar foes. Under is 5-2 in Clippers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. Under is 7-3 in Blazers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-21 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 218 | 117-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT ROCKETS @ LAKERS NBA BAILOUT The total closed at 224.5 points when the Lakers and the Rockets clashed in LA just a couple of days ago. The teams ended up combining for only 180 points, and while the total for this game is significantly lower than for the lats game, I don't think the market has adjusted enough. The Rockets are 6-0 to the under on the season as they're playing surprisingly good defense while lacking talent on the offensive end. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 220 | 113-119 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
KINGS @ JAZZ TOTAL The Jazz are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season but I think they are asked to cover too many points in this matchup with the Kings Tuesday night. This is a potential flat spot for Utah who is coming off a 107-95 win at reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Sacramento on the other hand will be looking to snap back from a loss at Dallas. The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. In addition to Sacramento covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 19-6-1 in Kings last 26 road games. Under is 9-1 in Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 8* play on UNDER. |
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11-01-21 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 211 | 113-104 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT NBA BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL The Knicks have the second-best scoring average in the NBA at 117.0 points per game, but here they'll face a tough and slow team in Toronto. In fact, neither team is likely to drive up the tempo with the Raptors averaging only 93.4 possessions per game (19th) and the Knicks even fewer at 92.7 possessions per game (23rd). The Knicks have an offensive efficiency rating that is due to regress, and I expect to see this one stay under the total. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-21 | Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-115 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
CELTICS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY These two teams battled it out in Boston just a couple of days ago, a game the Wizards won 116-107. That game went under by the hook, and I think we'll see an even lower scoring affair here as the teams have had a chance to get familiar with each other. The Wizards have allowed 104, 107 and 111 points over their last three games and under is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games as a home favorite. Additionally, under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-29-21 | Kings v. Pelicans UNDER 220.5 | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
KINGS @ PELS TOTAL The Kings are 3-1 to the under and the Pels 4-1 to the under. New Orleans is averaging only 100.8 points per game and it has the third-worst offensive efficiency rating with 98.6 points per 100 possessions. Under is 17-5 in Kings last 22 road games. Under is 16-5 in Pelicans last 21 games as an underdog. 8* play on UNDER. |
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10-26-21 | Nuggets v. Jazz UNDER 219.5 | Top | 110-122 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 15 m | Show |
LATE-NIGHT NUGGETS @ JAZZ NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT Both Utah (no. 2) and Denver (no. 8) rank top 10 for defensive efficiency and they are 23rd and 24th respectively for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). They are a combined 5-0 to the under on the season and Denver has the worst turnover ratio in the league. The Nuggets will be playing on no rest after taking a 99-87 home loss to Cleveland on Monday. I think they'll do everything they can to make this game as slow as possible. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-25-21 | Bulls v. Raptors UNDER 212 | 111-108 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
BULLS @ RAPTORS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER The Raptors are 3-0 to the under on the season. They are averaging only 97.7 points per game while hitting just 26.4% of their three-point attempts. Both teams rank in the top six for defensive efficiency and the Raptors rank 27th for pace with 101.2 possessions per game. Under is 12-2 in Bulls last 14 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 road games. Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-30-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 215 | 130-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
SUNS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The Los Angeles Clippers survived an elimination game a couple of days ago when they came up with a huge 116-102 road victory in Phoenix. They still find themselves in a 3-2 hole, and I don't think the Clippers will escape elimination this time around despite homecourt advantage here in Game 6. The Suns found themselves in an early hole last time out, but I don't see coach Monty Williams allowing that to happen again. "The desperation has to be there. That's the deal," Williams said. "Just because you have a lead in the series doesn't mean you can show up and they're going to give it to you. We have to understand that, and I think we do now. We will be better when we show up the next time we play." The Clippers sure looked like a team playing for its postseason life last time out, but can they bring the same intensity two games a row? The Suns responded with a lockdown defense performance in Game 4 after losing Game 3, and I expect them to bounce back with a big outing again. In addition to Phoenix closing out the series, I also like the under as I think they'll make it a lot harder for their opponent to get open looks in this one. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-29-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 219 | 88-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
BUCKS @ HAWKS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The opener of the Eastern Conference Finals saw a total of 229 points scored, but hte last two games have been much lower scoring. Now the Hawks might have to do without star guard Trae Young who is listed as questionable for the crucial contest after injuring his right foot Sunday in Game 3. Young will almost certainly be limited (if he even takes the floor), which will hurt the Hawks production badly. I expect defense to rule this game, and I'm very happy to back the under at this number. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-28-21 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 214.5 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER | CLIPPERS @ SUNS BEST BET Game 4 of this series was a defensive struggle finishing with an 84-80 win on the road for the Phoenix Suns. They'll now be looking to close out the series in their own building, and while I sure like Phoenix to win, I would not be surprised if we see this one come down to the last bucket. The spread is really close IMO, but the total looks a bit inflated despite sitting almost eight points lower since the last game here at Suns Arena. These two teams are locked in defensively, and buckets are coming at a premium at every possession. We have seen three straight unders since a 120-114 Phoenix win in the opener, and none of the last three games went over this number. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-27-21 | Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 113-102 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT | EASTERN CONF PLAYOFFS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER We won with the Hawks in Game 1 but lost with them in Game 2 in what turned out to be a blowout win for the Bucks. In hindsight, a bad bet on Atlanta as it was an obvious bounce-back spot for the Bucks, who no doubt are the more skilled team. I don't see value on the spread posted for Game 3, but I think the bookmakers got the total all wrong. The two teams combined for 229 points in the opener, but we saw only 216 points in the next game, and I think we'll see lower and lower scoring games as the teams get more familiar with each other and the intensity on the defensive end ramps up. The Bucks are 8-5 to the under in the playoffs. The Hawks are 10-3-1 to the under in the playoffs. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
3-PACK The Phoenix Suns came out completely flat in a 106-92 loss to the LA Clippers in Game 3. Phoenix star Devin Booker was held to 15 points as he was adjusting to playing with a plastic face guard after sustaining a broken nose in Game 2, and I think Booker will be in for another tough game. While I like Phoenix to win the series eventually, I do like the Clippers to take Game 4 and tie the score. In addition the the Clippers winning the game, I also like the under as I see Suns' banged up stars struggling with their shooting. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-19-21 | Bucks v. Nets UNDER 215 | 115-111 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Do or die Game 7 in Brooklyn with the Nets and the Bucks tied at three apiece. The home team has won each game so far and that's a trend I like to continue. The Bucks won Game 6 in what was a lackluster outing from Brooklyn, perhaps not all that surprising following their effort in the game prior. "We didn't look like we had a ton of energy all night," Nets coach Steve Nash said. "I think we wanted it; we just couldn't find it. And when you can't find that rhythm, it makes it even harder, and so it's kind of chicken-and-the-egg. Is the rhythm because you don't have the energy, or is it compounded because you don't have a rhythm?" Now at home in front of the hometown crowd at Barclays Center, expect the Nets to get it done and move on to the Eastern Conference Finals. Bucks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Nets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Brooklyn. I also like the under as this series really have turned into much more of a defensive struggle than the bookmakers have anticipated. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-06-21 | Mavs v. Clippers UNDER 210.5 | 111-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
MAVS @ CLIPPERS GAME 7 NBA BOOKIE BU$TER Four of the first six games of this series and each of the last three have gone under the total. To think that we'll see a high-scoring affair here in this crucial Game 7 matchup is just not realistic IMO. Under is 22-5 in Mavericks last 27 games as an underdog. Under is 6-1-1 in Clippers last 8 games as a home favorite. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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06-06-21 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | 128-124 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Atlanta Hawks are coming off an impressive first-round series against the Knicks, but they'll face a much tougher test here in the second round. Sure, injured Joel Embiid will be a huge miss for the Sixers, but they have good depth and other players that can step up. I have Philadelphia as the better team on both ends of the floor even without Embiid. Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Hawks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 7-1 in Hawks last 8 overall, and I expect the Sixers to shut them down effectively. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-29-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 226.5 | 95-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
NUGGETS @ BLAZERS TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers stole the opener of this best-of-seven first-round playoffs series at Denver, but the Nuggets have bounced back and won two in a row. The Blazers now need to win to avoid an elimination game in Mile High next, and I expect them to have better intensity in their game than the last two matchups. Denver shot a red-hot 53% (20-of-38) from three-point range last time out while the Blazers were only 14-of-45 (31%). We should see better shooting from the home team in this one, and I like Blazers in a high-scoring affair. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Portland. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 8* play on OVER. |
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05-15-21 | Hornets v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY HORNETS @ KNICKS NBA TOP PLAY | 1:10 ET START The New York Knicks have clinched a playoff berth, but they're battling Miami for the No. 5 or No. 6 seed. The Knicks have played great defense all season long, and the last three games have been no different allowing 100, 101 and 98 points, despite the middle game going to OT. The Charlotte Hornets are fighting Indiana and Washington for eighth place in the conference. While the Hornets won't lack motivation, I think they'll struggle to get open looks against this Knicks team. The last meeting (on April 20th) finished with a 109-97 Knicks win. I think we'll see a very similar amount of points today. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-14-21 | Magic v. 76ers UNDER 220 | Top | 97-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have put up only 94 points in each of their last two games, but also allowed only 103 and 106 points. They're likely to keep the tempo slow here as they'll be playing on no rest, and the visting Orlando Magic are averaging a lowly 103.9 ppg on the season and they've been held to fewer than 100 points in three of their last five games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-13-21 | Nuggets v. Wolves OVER 235 | Top | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE MONTH | TOP-RATED 10* NORTHWEST DIV *BEST BET* I think we'll see a very high-scoring game when the Denver Nuggets visit the Minnesota Timberwolves Thursday night. The Wolves have really stepped it up a notch in recent weeks, winning six of their last nine games while scoring boatloads of points. The Denver Nuggets have split their last four games, despite scoring 113, 120, 119 and 117 points. Over is 11-4 in Nuggets last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 5-1 in Timberwolves last 6 home games. 10* play on OVER. |
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05-07-21 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 216 | Top | 112-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MAGIC @ HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Charlotte Hornets are battling with Indiana and Washington for a favorable position in the play-in tournament. They're a rather sizable favorite in this matchup with an Orlando team since long eliminated from playoff contention, and the under is 13-3 in Hornets last 16 games as a home favorite. The Magic are averaging a league-low 104.1 points per game, and they're highly unlikely to put up big numbers with the season all but over already. I expect the Hornets to get plenty of stops and keep this game under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-06-21 | Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 212.5 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* LAKERS VS CLIPPERS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY We saw only 190 points in the last battle of LA back on April 4. I think this wlll be another low-scoring contest as the teams look to get the defense right for the playoffs. Under is 16-4-1 in Lakers last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 24-11 in Lakers last 35 road games. Under is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 overall. Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings with Clippers hosting at Staples Center. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-27-21 | Thunder v. Celtics UNDER 215 | 119-115 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
THUNDER @ CELTICS NBA BOOKIE BREAKER The Oklahoma City Thunder were held to 90 points in a loss at Philadelphia last night. Only three of their last nine games have gone over the total and they are 13-3 to the under in their last 16 road games. They'll face a Boston team that is looking to bounce back from a 125-104 loss at Charlotte. Through its previous three games, the Celtics had allowed 102, 86 and 109 points. Under is 11-2 in Celtics last 13 home games. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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04-24-21 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 208 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
MIKE'S SATURDAY NIGHT NBA BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL We saw only 191 points when these two teams clashed back in March, and I expect this to be another low-scoring affair. The Bulls have put up 106, 102, 105 and 107 points through their last four games, and they're expected to be without their leading scorer Zach LaVine (in the league's COVID-19 protocols) for this one. The Miami Heat will be playing on short rest after taking a 118-103 loss to Atlanta on Friday. They'll be looking to keep the tempo low. Under is 15-6 in Heat last 21 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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04-24-21 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 214 | 103-120 | Loss | -108 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY RAPTORS @ KNICKS NBA BOOKIE BLA$TER The New York Knicks have the best scoring defense in the NBA, and here they'll take on a Toronto team that has held its last three opponents to 102, 106 and 103 points. I think defense will rule this game. 8* play on UNDER. |
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04-23-21 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 221.5 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Rockets have been held to fewer than 100 points in three of their last four games. In their last game, the Rockets took a 112-89 loss to Utah. Under is 12-4 in Rockets last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home, and here they'll run into one of the best defensive teams in the league. The under is 4-1 in the Clippers last five overall. Under is 35-15-1 in Rockets last 51 home games. 10/10* play on UNDER. |
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04-21-21 | Bulls v. Cavs UNDER 211 | Top | 105-121 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT | TOP-RATED TOTAL MAJOR WAGER The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging a league-worst 103.8 points per game. Through their last four games, they've put up 103, 101, 96, and 105 points for a 101.3 ppg average. Here they'll face a Chicago Bulls team that has held two straight opponents to 96 points, one of them the Cavs in a 106-96 win just last week. I think this will be another low-scoring affair. Bulls are 8-1 to the under in games with a total of 220 or lower this season. Under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 games as a favorite. Under is 9-3 in Cavaliers last 12 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-20-21 | Magic v. Hawks UNDER 219 | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK #3 The Orlando Magic have seen four straight and eight of their last 10 go over the total, but I expect a low-scoring affair when they visit the Atlanta Hawks Tuesday night. The under is 5-0 in Hawks' last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, which the Magic have at just 8-19 away from home on the season. Under is 30-7 in Magic last 37 vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Under is 37-18 in the last 55 meetings. Under is 4-1 in Hawks' games with a total of 220 or lower this season. Under is 23-11-3 in Magic's games with a total of 220 or lower this season. 8* play on UNDER 219. |
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04-20-21 | Hornets v. Knicks UNDER 209.5 | Top | 97-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are top of the league for most defensive ratings. Oddsmakers have struggled to make the totals low enough for games involving the Knickerbockers all season (25-33 over/under overall), and that is particularly true when games are expected to be extremely low-scoring. Note that the Knicks are 10-2-1 to the under in games with a total of 210 points or lower this season, and here they'll face a Hornets team that has struggled to score points of late. Under is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 16-5 in Hornets last 21 overall. 10* play on UNDER 209.5. |
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04-19-21 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 229.5 | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
THUNDER @ WIZARDS TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost 10 straight games. While they're likely to drop another one here as a double-digit underdog at Washington, I do think the visitors will put up their fair share of points as the Wizards are allowing 118.3 points per game on the season (29th). The Wizards have scored 117 points or more in four straight games and I think they'll push the tempo to punish the Thunder who will be playing on short rest. Over is 11-4 in Thunder last 15 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington. 8* play on OVER. |
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04-18-21 | Blazers v. Hornets UNDER 218 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
BLAZERS @ HORNETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER The Portland Trail Blazers are coming off a 107-106 win at San Antonio. They did so despite the absence of Damian Lillard who will also miss this game, and without their leading scorer I think the Blazers will be more aggressive on the defensive end instead. The Charlotte Hornets have dropped four in a row, scoring 101, 93, 90 before putting up 115 points against the Nets in their last game. Under is 15-5 in Hornets last 20 overall. Under is 7-2-1 in Hornets last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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04-15-21 | Celtics v. Lakers UNDER 212 | 121-113 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS BONUS PLAY A Los Angeles Lakers team with both Lebron James and Anthony Davis in the lineup defeated Boston 96-95 back on Jan 30. Now the Lakers will have to do without their two biggest stars, and I like the Celtics to get their revenge tonight. The Celtics are hot, winning six of their last seven games, the only loss to Philadelphia on April 6. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games while the Lakers are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Additionally, note that the Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and I expect a hungry Celtics side to feast on the shorthanded Lakers that might not only be without Lebron and A.D, but Marc Gasol and Markieff Morris are at risk of missing this one as well. I also like the under as Boston has the defensive grit to shut down a Lakers team lacking firepower at the moment. 8* play on UNDER. |
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04-13-21 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | Top | 86-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the Phoenix Suns and the Miami Heat are top 5 defensive teams. Miami is coming off a pair of wins, holding the Lakers and the Blazers to 104 and 98 points respectively. While the majority of the Suns' recent games have been of the high-scoring variety, I don't see either them or the Heat push the pace here. Under is 9-1 in Heat last 10 road games. Under is 6-2 in Heat last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 96-111 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY This will be the first meeting of the season between the LA Lakers and the New York Knicks. The two meetings last season saw 204 and 192 points. While the Lakers have started to pick up wins again, I think they're in for a tough one here without Lebron and Anthony Davis against the best defensive team in the league. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-10-21 | Kings v. Jazz OVER 230.5 | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NIGHT NBA | BUCKET BREAKER TOTAL I think buckets will come fast and easy for both teams Vivint Smart Home Arena Saturday night. The Sacramento Kings are allowing a league-worst 118.5 points per game, and they've given up 120, 115, 129, 116, and 113 points through a five-game losing streak. Utah is one of the highest-scoring teams in the league with its 116.9 ppg (3rd) and it goes up to 118.7 ppg at home. 8* play on OVER. |