09-13-15 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Buffalo Bills +2.5 |
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14-27 |
Win
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100 |
71 h 1 m |
Show
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09/13 10:00 AM NFL (469) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (470) BUFFALO BILLS edit
Take: (470) BUFFALO BILLS
Reason: Play Buffalo Bills plus 3 Sunday one of the more intriguing matchups in my opinion is this Colts vs Bills game. The Colts are favored and have the AFC championship as their prime destination for 2015. Buffalo on the other hand brings back a core offense and defense that was a bit under rated a year ago. The infusion of a new head coach in Rex Ryan combined with adding Tyrod Taylor seems minor but will make an immediate difference. For all the credit that Andrew Luck receives he still has the tendency to make costly mistakes. Look for the Bills aggressive defense to get a few Sunday and lead the Bills to a win.
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09-13-15 |
Cleveland Browns +3.5 v. NY Jets |
|
10-31 |
Loss |
-106 |
37 h 33 m |
Show
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09/13 10:00 AM NFL (467) CLEVELAND BROWNS VS (468) NEW YORK JETS edit
Take: (467) CLEVELAND BROWNS
Reason: Play Cleveland +3.5 Sunday the Browns battle the New York Jets in a battle of two teams that have had major changes over the past couple of seasons. They're led by two quarterbacks that have similar stories. Both have been journeyman quarterbacks counted out yet have garnered numerous starts on different teams. McCown started his career with the Cardinals and Fitz with the Rams. McCown had a poor season last year with Tampa Bay but I believe that was due to a total team offensive disarray. Fitzpatrick and the Jets are favored in this spot strictly because of their home edge and defense. But how are they going to pull away in this game with minimal offense? They're not. McCown and the Browns will get it done Sunday and get the cash. Grab the 3.5.
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09-13-15 |
Miami Dolphins -3.5 v. Washington Redskins |
|
17-10 |
Win
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100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
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09/13 10:00 AM NFL (471) MIAMI DOLPHINS VS (472) WASHINGTON REDSKINS edit
Take: (471) MIAMI DOLPHINS
Reason: Play Miami -3 Now that you can get Miami at -3 again we will take the Dolphins. Too think that Washington can reinsert Kirk Cousins countless times and move on as a franchise is mind boggling to me. Miami has been more aggressive with adding key players the past couple of seasons. This should be the year they start to make a true leap to a possible playoff team. Typically it's tough to take a favored road team that was just a .500 team a season ago. But I'll side with Miami's solid defense and Tannehill's cut down on turnovers to grab us this ATS win.
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09-12-15 |
Florida International +8 v. Indiana |
|
22-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
44 h 43 m |
Show
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09/12 05:00 PM CF (393) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL VS (394) INDIANA edit
Take: (393) FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Reason: Play FIU plus 8 This is one of the strangest matchups of Saturday but one that made my board. Indiana is another team that has lost a couple of steps from a recruiting stand point. FIU has the core group of players to make this an interesting game. Usually you would not see a single digit spread in week two from a major conference versus a smaller school. Don't fall for the bait on the Hoosiers. Grab FIU plus eight.
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09-12-15 |
Kentucky +7 v. South Carolina |
|
26-22 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 37 m |
Show
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09/12 04:30 PM CF (373) KENTUCKY VS (374) SOUTH CAROLINA edit
Take: (373) KENTUCKY
Reason: Play Kentucky +7 The Gamecocks look to restore proper SEC caliber play after a woeful win to open the football season against UNC last week. I'm a non-believer that South Carolina is going to be able to correct their flaws even with the extra couple of days off. Kentucky may not have the defense to maintain throughout the entire SEC conference, but they're going to make some noise against vulnerable teams such as the Gamecocks. Grab Kentucky plus the touchdown.
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09-12-15 |
Iowa -3 v. Iowa State |
|
31-17 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 52 m |
Show
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09/12 01:45 PM CF (355) IOWA VS (356) IOWA STATE edit
Take: (355) IOWA
Reason: Play Iowa -3 Iowa State is tabbed as the home dog winner of this weekend. I'm on the opposite side as I believe this Iowa team will be focused this early in the season to prevent a let down from happening. Iowa plays a conservative style on both offense and defense that is valuable this early in the season.Look for them to capitalize on a few crucial mistakes from Iowa State and to land this cover Saturday.
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09-12-15 |
Army v. Connecticut -7 |
|
17-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
36 h 44 m |
Show
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09/12 09:00 AM CF (313) ARMY VS (314) CONNECTICUT edit
Take: (314) CONNECTICUT
Reason: Play UConn -7 This is a game that won't break the TV ratings blip Saturday, but is a curious game to break down ATS. UConn is a team that likes ball control with a slower tempo. That should bode to their advantage against an Army team that is woeful defensively. UConn will fill up the stat sheet here and even though they're not an extreme offensive team, I like them to get the cover with a win by double digits.
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09-11-15 |
Utah State +12.5 v. Utah |
|
14-24 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
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09/11 06:00 PM CF (305) UTAH STATE VS (306) UTAH edit
Take: (305) UTAH STATE
Reason: Play Utah State plus 12 In a great battle in Utah Friday, Utah State travels to face the Pac-12 Utah Utes. Both teams are led by quarterbacks that have battled injuries throughout their careers. Chuckie Keaton twice has missed the season with ailments, and Travis Wilson battled concussions that almost jeopardized his career. While Utah State may not have the same level of players they did two years ago, they know this is a spotlight game to resurface on the radar. We'll take the Aggies plus the points in this Friday match up.
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09-05-15 |
Old Dominion v. Eastern Michigan +4.5 |
|
38-34 |
Win
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100 |
44 h 37 m |
Show
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09/05 12:30 PM CF (161) OLD DOMINION VS (162) EASTERN MICHIGAN edit
Take: (162) EASTERN MICHIGAN
Reason: Play Eastern Michigan +4.5 Saturday we have a three pack of plays. Two are profiled matchups and this play focuses on a lower-level matchup. Eastern Michigan has been slaughtered in prior years by facing tough opponents week one. Last year was a rough year and typically teams that face an advanced schedule from a lower level conference have an extra gear week one the following season. Points will be a plenty in this matchup but I expect Eastern Michigan to be able to match Old Dominion and keep within the 4.5 point spread on this one. Grab Eastern Michigan.
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09-05-15 |
Virginia v. UCLA -19 |
|
16-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
44 h 36 m |
Show
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09/05 12:30 PM CF (169) VIRGINIA VS (170) UCLA edit
Take: (170) UCLA
Reason: Play UCLA -19 This is my runaway favorite for Saturday with the UCLA Bruins as near three touchdown favorites against the Cavaliers. Virginia has been a team that has had its ups and downs over the years. One area they're consistently lacking in is on the defensive side of the football. That's a gray area you don't want to have against a PAC-12 team. This line seems high but is one that you'll want to be on the Bruins with. Bruins roll and get one of the easiest covers of the weekend.
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09-05-15 |
Louisville +11 v. Auburn |
|
24-31 |
Win
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100 |
44 h 35 m |
Show
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09/05 12:30 PM CF (173) LOUISVILLE VS (174) AUBURN edit
Take: (173) LOUISVILLE
Reason: Play Louisville plus 11 Though Louisville is now in their second year without Charlie Strong they are under the radar in my opinion with Bobby Petrino. He has NFL and SEC pedigree to have this Louisville squad prepared against Auburn. Last year's team had the leftover defensive prowess of Charlie Strong's team, but lacked in the offensive category. Petrino will have Louisville ready to go in his second year and I expect this game to be much closer than the current line of 11. Grab the high value on the Cardinal.
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09-03-15 |
Duke -7 v. Tulane |
|
37-7 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
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09/03 06:30 PM CF (143) DUKE VS (144) TULANE edit
Take: (143) DUKE
Reason: Play Duke On opening night we will focus on Duke vs Tulane. Duke's had a nice rise amongst the ACC that has featured multiple bowl game appearances. Last year they nearly upset ASU as fourteen point underdogs in bowl season. While there are better profiled games on Thursday, we'll look for the prime value on Duke to succeed against an over matched Tulane team. Back the ACC Blue Devils on the road as seven point favorites.
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01-18-15 |
Green Bay Packers +7.5 v. Seattle Seahawks |
|
22-28 |
Win
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100 |
110 h 60 m |
Show
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Play Green Bay +7.5 For an NFC Title game you would think the Packers were a 6th seed that made it this far with the point spread. Seattle has been a money backer as of late and seem to be getting a bit too much value in this one. Green Bay's balanced offensive attack is going to be extremely tough for Seattle to shut down. Defensively Green Bay can do just enough to keep the Seahawks out of the end zone and keep this close. In the end 7.5 is too many points. Grab the Packers.
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01-11-15 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Denver Broncos -7 |
|
24-13 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 41 m |
Show
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01/11 01:40 PM NFL (119) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (120) DENVER BRONCOS edit
Take: (120) DENVER BRONCOS
Reason: Denver -7 Andrew Luck has done a great job with this Colts team but the fact of the matter is the talent around him is just not viable to beat this Broncos team. Earlier in the season the Broncos let a large lead slip on Sunday night football versus this Colts team to lose the cover by a half point. The defense and offense both let their foots off the gas. They have Super Bowl on their mind and I expect them to play a strong game from start to finish.
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01-11-15 |
Dallas Cowboys +6 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 6 m |
Show
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01/11 10:05 AM NFL (117) DALLAS COWBOYS VS (118) GREEN BAY PACKERS edit
Take: (117) DALLAS COWBOYS
Reason: Dallas plus 6 This line has went down from an original line that was off a bit. This is where the line should be and I expect Dallas to play with much better energy than they did a week ago. This should be the best game of the weekend and I expect it to come down to the wire. Grab the points with Dallas
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01-04-15 |
Detroit Lions +7.5 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 42 m |
Show
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01/03 12:00 PM NFL (101) DETROIT LIONS VS (102) DALLAS COWBOYS edit
Take: (101) DETROIT LIONS
Reason: Play Detroit plus 7.5 Dallas has been a juggernaut all season and it's tough to have faith in this Lions team. But this is a solid matchup for the Lions as opposed to the rest of the field in the NFC (besides Az). Detroit played Dallas a year ago and had the best success witnessed from a wide receiver in a decade with Calvin Johnson. He recorded 330 yards receiving on 14 catches with a td. Things can change quickly in the course of a year but I like the points in this situation. A non-playoff game three to four weeks ago and this game would be a 3.5-4.5 point spread.
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