|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|05-02-17||Indians v. Tigers +111||2-5||Win||111||7 h 52 m||Show|
The Tigers took game one Monday over the Indians with early runs against struggling veteran Trevor Bauer. On Tuesday they'll aim to do the same against the Indians top ace in Corey Kluber. In his last start Kluber got away with a shaky first four innings to recover for a quality start. Yet, this is a value play on the Tigers based on Verlander not being a part of a win since opening day. Grab the Tigers.
|05-01-17||Indians v. Tigers +120||1-7||Win||120||5 h 42 m||Show|
With how well the Indians are hitting the ball lately, it could be a troubling night for the Tigers pitching staff. Yet, Trevor Bauer isn't in sharp form. In fact, he is back on the level that caused him to fall out of the rotation two seasons ago. Even though this may come down to the bullpens expect the Tigers to hang on from Bauer's early inning struggles. Grab the Tigers.
|05-01-17||Rays v. Marlins -140||4-2||Loss||-140||5 h 41 m||Show|
Tonight in Florida we have a matchup likely devalued here on the Marlins side. Jake Odorizzi finds himself as a fairly sizable dog against the Marlins Chen. While this seems like an extended out money line I believe it should be even higher. The Marlins bullpen has come a long ways and the Rays are showing some signs of fatigue from their recent travels. Grab the Marlins here.
|04-29-17||Padres v. Giants -122||12-4||Loss||-122||7 h 8 m||Show|
Saturday the Padres will look for Jhoulys Chacin to nab his second win of the season in San Francisco. His first was on April 8th as a steep underdog against Madison Bumgarner. Expect Chacin to pitch solid again but for the Padres bullpen to not sustain. Grab the full game play here on the Giants as Matt Cain heads to a surprising 3-0.
|04-28-17||White Sox v. Tigers -125||7-3||Loss||-125||5 h 8 m||Show|
With tonight's matchup between the White-Sox and Tigers dropping $12, I'll jump in on the Tigers side. This appears to be a revenge spot that has people swaying to former Tigers pitcher Mike Pelfrey. The veteran will aim to take down his former team that cut him less than a month ago. While he may perform above his latest standards expect the White Sox bats to cool down after a solid stretch recently. Grab the home Tigers.
|04-28-17||Rays +115 v. Blue Jays||7-4||Win||115||5 h 8 m||Show|
Value continues to wane for the Blue-Jays as their record stands at 6-16. Luckily,on the mound Friday is ace Marcus Stroman who has two of their overall wins. It would seem a great spot for the Blue Jays against the Rays struggling starter in Blake Snell. Although, Snell is still having issues each outing he seems to be far ahead of last year's starts. Look for the veteran Rays to seize the moment against the unconfident Blue-Jays.
|04-27-17||A's v. Angels -115||1-2||Win||100||8 h 30 m||Show|
Tonight will look at the Angels who will be facing the Athletics for the final game of their three-game series. They'll be aiming for the sweep with the A's getting Kendall Graveman back into the rotation. His 2.0 ERA in three starts looks to be a challenge for an Angels team with seven starters batting below .250. Yet they scored a season-high eight runs last night. Furthermore, they're facing a taxed A's bullpen from game one's extra innings affair and yesterday's six innings of bullpen work.
|04-25-17||Padres v. Diamondbacks -143||3-9||Win||100||8 h 11 m||Show|
This is a repeat pitching matchup for the Diamondbacks and Padres based on last week's series in San Diego. Clayton Richard got the best of the Diamondbacks in that outing striking out eight batters. Yet, he allowed eight hits and benefitted from the Diamondbacks going one for nine with runners in scoring position. Tonight, expect the Diamondbacks lineup to be primed to take advantage of Richard's arsenal.
|04-25-17||Reds +105 v. Brewers||1-9||Loss||-100||6 h 10 m||Show|
The Reds are coming off a supportive outing from bettors yesterday that went opposite of plans. Eric Thames and the brew crews home run bats continued in a display of ten runs. Veteran Scott Feldman will hope to settle down the Brewers bats, while struggling young pitcher Zach Davies gets the call for the Brewers. Davies confidence seems to be down with an array of pitching issues to start the season. Look for the Reds lineup to get a little payback tonight.
|04-23-17||Nationals v. Mets +141||6-3||Loss||-100||7 h 10 m||Show|
Yesterday the Mets lost to the National's in a pitchers duel that featured Gio Gonzalez get the best of Mets ace Jacob Degrom. The Mets had their chances in the sixth inning but failed to convert on a rattled Gio Gonzalez. That creates value into tonight in a prime time spot against Max Scherzer. Grab the Mets to produce just enough for Zach Wheeler and their pen.
|04-23-17||Dodgers -131 v. Diamondbacks||6-2||Win||100||3 h 15 m||Show|
Consecutive losses to the Diamondbacks have been done via poor pitching that has resulted in double-digit runs for the Dbacks. Sunday, we'll look for a better outing from Brandon McCarthy and for the Dodgers to attack Dbacks pitcher Shelby Miller. Look for Miller to come down to Earth after solid starts to the season.
|04-22-17||Giants v. Rockies -109||3-12||Win||100||5 h 2 m||Show|
The Rockies bats continue to be in showcase mode as two home runs were enough to hold off the Giants yesterday. Saturday, the Rockies will see Giants pitcher Matt Moore for the second time in a week. Moore allowed ten hits in that start and I expect that to be an issue once again. Grab the Rockies as this is a devalued money line based on the three starts from Antonio Senzatela.
|04-20-17||Diamondbacks -110 v. Padres||1-4||Loss||-110||7 h 31 m||Show|
The Diamondbacks are coming off a 1-0 loss to the Padres last night. They struggled with their bats to produce for Greinke and could not figure out Jhoulys Chacin. Here, fifteen dollars cheaper we'll look for them to bounce back with support from their bats and bullpen.
|04-19-17||Nationals v. Braves +111||14-4||Loss||-100||3 h 34 m||Show|
Julio Teheran's issues with walks and getting run support is an opposing take tonight against the National's. Yet, the Nationals are heading into tonight's road game off a shaky ninth inning from former closer Blake Treinen. His sudden demotion could be vital with Joe Ross making his first start of the season. Grab the Braves.
|04-19-17||Red Sox v. Blue Jays +106||0-3||Win||106||5 h 12 m||Show|
The Blue Jays are coming off another loss yesterday as steep favorites against the Red Sox. Today, they'll hope to get things correct with struggling veteran Francisco Liriano on the mound against Rick Porcello. Although the Blue Jays offense has been subpar, look for their bats to continue to produce off of yesterday's near comeback win. Grab the Blue Jays.
|04-16-17||Mets -130 v. Marlins||2-4||Loss||-130||8 h 12 m||Show|
The Mets have lost consecutive games to the Marlins by a single run via a taxed Mets bullpen. It's a prime reason for Sunday's detracted value on the Mets as Matt Harvey takes the mound. Normally he doesn't extend beyond seven innings and has given up three home runs in two starts already this season. Yet, grab the value here on the Mets in a series that has featured all one run wins.
|04-15-17||Orioles v. Blue Jays -145||1-2||Win||100||6 h 47 m||Show|
No one could have imagined the Blue Jays being the team to come out the gate woefully. They're 1-9 and 0-4 at home while producing three runs or less in five of their last six games. Yet, I'll step in and take the Blue Jays as veteran Marco Estrada looks to break the Blue Jays out of their prolonged rut. Grab the Blue Jays to end their winless home drought.
|04-14-17||Rockies +128 v. Giants||2-8||Loss||-100||5 h 24 m||Show|
Our added play this evening will be on the Rockies. Last night they pulled off a solid underdog upset behind stellar pitching. They'll aim for another against the Giants Johnny Cueto. Early in the season Cuetto has produced half of the Giants team wins. Still he has allowed three home runs on the season and will have difficulties against the potent Rockies. Grab Colorado in a favorable money line spot.
|04-14-17||Padres v. Braves -147||2-5||Win||100||12 h 9 m||Show|
Friday, the Braves will aim to deliver for their ace Julio Teheran. Thus far Teheran has had two great outings result in no decisions. That should change Friday, as Teheran will be opposed former Brave and current Padre Jhoulys Chacin. Off of an underdog win against the Giants this may seem like another spot for a solid payout on Chacin. Instead back the Braves to play above their 2-6 record.
|04-13-17||Mets +115 v. Marlins||9-8||Win||115||12 h 40 m||Show|
The Marlins and Mets will meet Thursday in their second series to start the season. In that series the Marlins got the best of the Mets in New York, which has created a bit of value on the Mets side Thursday. Look for Mets pitcher Robert Gsellman to carry over a solid outing against the Marlins last week on the road, and for the Mets bats to stay hot. Grab the Mets.
|04-08-17||Braves +128 v. Pirates||4-6||Loss||-100||19 h 57 m||Show|
Early season angles in MLB can be over played by bettors. Friday, witnessed the Pirates win their first game of the season and also attack the Braves bullpen for 4.1 innings of work. Yet, at the plate they're struggling to muster cohesion while the Braves are seeing the ball very well. Grab the value here on the Braves to get just enough out of RA Dickey and their offense.
|04-08-17||Yankees v. Orioles -110||4-5||Win||100||1 h 29 m||Show|
Yesterday the Orioles provided the majority of their runs in the fifth inning as they chased Severino from a quality start. Aside from that inning their bats were mostly quiet. While Tanaka may fare better than he did opening day, expect the Orioles to eek this one out with their bullpen advantage.
|04-03-17||Phillies v. Reds -112||4-3||Loss||-112||3 h 36 m||Show|
Journeymen pitcher Scott Feldman will get the opening day start for the Reds who take on the Philadelphia Phillies. Opposed Feldman will be Jeremy Hellickson who is coming off a productive season which was his first year in Philadelphia. Still, look for the Reds who under achieved far below their capabilities last season to showcase value in game one.
|11-02-16||Cubs -112 v. Indians||8-7||Win||100||20 h 54 m||Show|
In professional sports teams are not supposed to come back from a 3-1 series deficit. Yet, this series has started to sway as the Cubs bats have come to life yet again similar to their series against the Giants/Dodgers.
Immense pressure is now on ace Corey Kluber to deliver for a third time in a series. I do expect Kluber to withstand the Cubs bats early on.
Yet, it's the Indians bullpen that seems to be in a tough spot. They'll fail as the Cubs potent bats will be too much for nine innings.
|09-17-16||Cardinals v. Giants -122||3-2||Loss||-122||15 h 46 m||Show|
With the heat on the Giants they've responded. Entering their home series against the St. Louis Cardinals many expected the Giants to continue to fade in the NL playoff race.
Consecutive victories have resurfaced pre-All Star levels expected of the Giants. They've done so with a combination of stout pitching and above average run support.
Shaky pitching on Saturday with the Cardinals Mike Leake (9-10, 4.60 ERA) should continue the theme of the Giants plating runs at AT&T Park.
Grab the Giants to create a three-game lead over the Cardinals and remain above the New York Mets for the first wild card position.
|09-15-16||Yankees v. Red Sox -114||5-7||Win||100||21 h 54 m||Show|
Wednesday, the Red Sox typically strong offense failed against fastball Orioles pitcher Kevin Gausman.
On Thursday, they'll begin game one of their four game series against the Yankees as Eduardo Rodriguez (4.70 ERA, 2-7) takes the hill opposed Masahiro Tanaka (13-4, 3.04 ERA).
Based on the pitchers records and ERA this season it's puzzling to envision why the Red Sox are slight favorites.
Yet, the Yankees are a below .500 team on the road with a 33-37 record. They'll also not have their top bullpen ace in Dellin Betances available as he pitched consecutive days.
|09-14-16||A's +124 v. Royals||8-0||Win||124||5 h 45 m||Show|
Having lost consecutive games to the Oakland A's, one has to wonder if the luster on the Royals late-season rally is gone.
Currently they're five games out of the wild card race with less than three weeks left in the season.
Today, they'll aim to stem their losing streak with Yordano Ventura (10-10, 4.26 ERA) on the mound.
Thus far in five regular season match ups the A's have defeated the Royals four times.
They have the Royals number and will prove so yet again Wednesday as a road underdog.
|09-12-16||Marlins +113 v. Braves||7-12||Loss||-100||15 h 35 m||Show|
Since being acquired from San Diego, Andrew Cashner has struggled as a Marlin.
In fact, he is coming off his lone win as a Marlin in his last start against the Phillies.
While, chances for a wild card have dashed for the Marlins, they're still fighting as a young team.
Though the Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz has three quality starts in a row on his side, I'll side with the Marlins here to pull through as slight underdogs.
|09-10-16||Mariners -119 v. A's||14-3||Win||100||9 h 46 m||Show|
There is no doubt that Mariners starting pitcher Felix Hernandez is struggling to conclude the season.
In his last two starts he has surrendered six earned runs in both, while walking eight combined batters, and three total home runs.
In fact his other start this year in Oakland he gave up eight runs (four earned) in a short four inning outing.
That may lend people to side with the slight home underdog A's, yet the Mariners have their sights on remaining in the hunt of an AL Wild card spot.
Grab the Mariners as road dog favorites Saturday.
|09-08-16||Reds +137 v. Pirates||1-4||Loss||-100||20 h 50 m||Show|
Ivan Nova has been quite the surprise for the Pirates. One of the starts as a Pirate that got him rolling was against the Reds.
In that start Nova pitched a gem as the Reds were forced to use Homer Bailey out of the bullpen.
Two-out runs were the benefactor in the Pirates securing a win for Nova then.
Yet, here we find a steep price to lay for a Pirates team below .500 against a Reds team that's lost attraction due to losing ten of their last thirteen games.
This is a dispirited Pirates team themselves that just ended an eight game losing streak with a 4-3 win against St. Louis Tuesday.
Land the value here with the underdog Reds.
|09-07-16||Tigers v. White Sox -120||4-7||Win||100||14 h 54 m||Show|
Chicago White Sox
After dropping game one to the Tigers in extra innings the White Sox bounced back Tuesday with a 2-0 victory.
Wednesday, they'll aim to win the series over the Tigers with pitcher Jose Quintana on the mound.
Quintana is coming off of his worst outing of the season as he gave up seven runs to the Twins.
Yet, it's the opposing pitcher in Anibail Sanchez that provides the underdog tease. In five of his last seven starts he has allowed three runs or less, including two games without allowing a run against the Royals.
His recent stretch has dropped his ERA of 5.70 to its lowest mark since April 17th.
This is the perfect hot-potato spectrum to side with the slightly favored White Sox.
|09-06-16||Giants +109 v. Rockies||3-2||Win||109||20 h 28 m||Show|
San Francisco's slide post All-Star break has been a head scratcher. Overall they've posted a 16-31 record.
Yet, thanks to a strong first-half start they still control their own destiny as an NL Wild Card.
Monday, Rockies pitcher Chad Bettis pitched a two-hit complete game as the Rockies won 6-0.
With the Mets and Cardinals both winning on Monday they've closed within one win each of the Giants.
After an atrocious game one performance expect the Giants to bounce backs with their backs against the wall on Tuesday.
|09-05-16||Mets -118 v. Reds||5-0||Win||100||7 h 11 m||Show|
Encompassing great hitting has re-elevated the Cincinnati Reds value on a day to day basis.
They're coming off a series victory over the St. Louis Cardinals that may catch attraction.
Monday, they'll face the Mets and Bartolo Colon in a holiday early start of 1PM EST.
Harken back on the Reds schedule and you'll notice they faced the Cardinals three series in a thirty day span.
Prior to their latest series they had lost six of seven games.
Expect crafty veteran Bartolo Colon to cement a solid game and for the Mets to cash as road favorites.
|09-04-16||Tigers v. Royals -118||6-5||Loss||-118||8 h 27 m||Show|
Sunday, the Kansas City Royals look to continue to gain ground in the wild card standings as they conclude their home series against the Tigers.
Yesterday, they ended a three-game slide in which they lost each game by a single-run.
Shaky starter Edinson Volquez (5.01 ERA, 10-10) has had strong run support this year against the Tigers. In two starts the Royals have scored a combined twenty runs.
Facing the Tigers 23-year old pitcher in Daniel Norris who hasn't pitched beyond six innings should bode to the Royals bats strength. Furthermore, the Tigers shaky bullpen has been pitching above average over the Tigers last fifteen games.
|09-03-16||White Sox v. Twins -121||3-11||Win||100||11 h 44 m||Show|
Saturday, the Minnesota Twins will aim to bounce back off an 11-4 loss Friday to the Chicago White Sox.
On the mound for the Twins will be struggling starter Hector Santiago. Santiago is winless as a Twin since being traded from the Angels in early August.
Yet, the White Sox are a team that Santiago feels comfortable against. On two occasions this season as an Angel he defeated the White Sox. His combined stats in both starts were seven hits allowed, seventeen strikeouts, and zero earned runs over fourteen innings.
Grab the Twins Saturday as Santiago delivers for a third time this season against the White Sox.
|08-31-16||Padres +132 v. Braves||1-8||Loss||-100||4 h 51 m||Show|
The Padres dropped Tuesday's road opener against the Braves 7-3, after having won consecutive road games against the Marlins.
Wednesday, in game two of the series, Paul Clemens will head to the mound for the Padres opposed Braves starter Max Wisler.
Clemens showcased progress in his last start against the Cubs striking out six batters, and not allowing a walk.
Off the Braves win yesterday and Wisler's two-hit eight inning win against the Diamondbacks, the value may seem to be on the Braves.
Instead we'll take the Padres as the underdog collector.
|08-30-16||Yankees -126 v. Royals||5-4||Win||100||20 h 31 m||Show|
New York Yankees
The Royals won game one of their series versus the Yankees 8-5 on Monday.
Upward momentum is on the Royals side as they've won eight of their last ten games. At 69-62 they're just two games back in the AL Wild Card chase.
For the Yankees one has to wonder if the infusion of youth in their lineup has fizzled.
As great as their run production has been they're just 7-7 over their last fourteen games.
Yet, Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka has not given up a run in consecutive starts. Take the Yankees as Tuesday's road value favorite.
|08-29-16||Cardinals -141 v. Brewers||6-5||Win||100||4 h 5 m||Show|
The Cardinals off a loss at home to the A's travel Monday to Milwaukee.
They'll aim to get back on track with Carlos Martinez on the hill opposed Brewers starter Zach Davies.
Both have double-digit wins on the season as Davies has been above average since All-Star break.
Yet, before his last start and win against the Rockies he had three consecutive games of allowing eight hits or more.
After a rusty showcase Sunday I expect the Cardinals to snap back into things on Monday.
|08-28-16||Mariners +114 v. White Sox||1-4||Loss||-100||16 h 34 m||Show|
Sunday the White Sox will attempt to win three of four at home against the Seattle Mariners.
They'll send newly revived pitcher Carlos Rodon to the mound, opposed the Mariners Tiquan Walker. Both pitchers are 4-8 overall with ERA's north of 4.00.
This matchup poses as a motivator for the Mariners, as they endeavor to Texas Monday for the second portion of their seven game road trip.
Expect to see Rodon's four-game stretch of allowing two runs or less to be combatted by a Mariners team poised to break out of mini-slump.
|08-26-16||Indians v. Rangers +126||12-1||Loss||-100||6 h 37 m||Show|
Are the Indians losing a little bit of their post All-Star break success?
Possibly. They've lost three consecutive games and are showing typical fatigue of a team on an extended road trip.
Yesterday against Cole Hamels the offense was reduced to just two hits and no runs.
Today figures to be a change as Corey Kluber takes the mound opposed Martin Perez.
Yet, Indians and betting fans know that Kluber alone does not equate to ATS success. Last year the Indians struggled to give him run support and this year he is 13-8 overall.
With five straight wins under his belt, this is a spot where we can back the Rangers to find a way to end Kluber's streak against the road-fatigued Indians.
|08-25-16||Giants v. Dodgers -125||4-0||Loss||-125||15 h 57 m||Show|
Before the Dodgers and Giants series the Dodgers were just a game in front of the Giants. Now, they have the chance to move four full games and build a likely insurmountable division lead.
After not scoring any runs Wednesday the Giants are becoming vulnerable in too many areas on the field.
They're also now 11-25 since the All-Star break.
This is where momentum continues to shine, as the Giants are a team soul searching and not finding answers.
Matt Moore is in too tough of a spot here against a hot Dodgers lineup. Grab the Dodgers to sweep the series.
|08-23-16||Giants v. Dodgers -101||5-9||Win||100||22 h 54 m||Show|
Monday, the Dodgers obliterated the Reds 18-9 by tacking on against the poor Reds bullpen.
The win gave the Dodgers a game advantage over Tuesday's opponent in the Giants.
After an off-day Monday, one would figure the Giants have an advantage over the Dodgers with Madison Bumgarner on the mound.
Yet, momentum works to key advantages in sports.
Since the All-Star break the Giants are just 11-23, and are coming off a 3-7 home stand.
In this vital series for division establishment, I'll side with the Dodgers to extend their lead to two games on Tuesday.
|08-23-16||Red Sox v. Rays -114||2-1||Loss||-114||19 h 3 m||Show|
The Red Sox have won nine of their last eleven games. On top of their potent bats, they've also discovered superior pitching.
Ignoring Henry Owens spot start, the Red Sox starters have yielded just six runs in their last seven games.
Tampa Bay struggled immensely to produce runs Monday until a bottom of the ninth two run home run.
Tuesday's starter in Chris Archer has also went 0-2 against the Red Sox this season, including a nine-hit five earned run performance.
Yet, I believe the oddsmakers have this right. Archer has been a different pitcher post All-Star break. In fact, over his last six starts he has allowed just 4.6 hits per game.
|08-22-16||Rockies v. Brewers +112||2-4||Win||112||4 h 48 m||Show|
Currently, Colorado has attraction on their side thanks to a solid series against the Cubs.
On the road will they be able to continue their success?
Brewers pitcher Jimmy Nelson has had command issues especially with walks, that have caused a season beyond anyone's worst imagination.
Yet, the Brewers are coming off a fantastic come from behind win against Seattle yesterday.
Their bats will remain prime against the Rockies staff and boost the struggling Nelson.
Grab the Brewers to cash here as an underdog.
|08-21-16||Diamondbacks +100 v. Padres||1-9||Loss||-100||11 h 19 m||Show|
Four errors yesterday cost the Padres defensively as well as three hits against the Diamondbacks.
Sunday, I believe the value remains on the Diamondbacks as they send Braden Shipley to the mound opposed the Padres Luis Perdomo.
The infatuation with the Padres here lies with the Diamondbacks poor road record.
Yet I look for Shipley to settle back in off a rough start against the Mets, and showcase the growth of two starts ago.
Perdomo has lost three straight starts with an ERA at 6.68. Folks may take a stab for the sake of Perdomo performing better but it'll be a fourth consecutive loss.
|08-21-16||Twins +162 v. Royals||1-2||Loss||-100||9 h 53 m||Show|
After a dreadful 10-0 loss Saturday, how can the Twins recover Sunday against the unstoppable Danny Duffy?
In my estimation Duffy has been overdue for a letdown and somehow has coasted by. He out pitched Chris Archer, sidestepped the White Sox, and ripped apart the Tigers in his last start.
Yet, he's also been extended deep into games as the Royals have hardly used their bullpen to protect Duffy.
The Royals lineup is not as potent as it showcased yesterday, and I expect a came down to Earth performance from Duffy.
Grab the Twins as a big payout.
|08-21-16||Dodgers -123 v. Reds||4-0||Win||100||8 h 39 m||Show|
The Reds have been a puzzling team to figure out. They won six straight series in July/early August and are now on a five game win streak.
Thus far they've won the first two games against the Dodgers with ease, including yesterday's 11-1 beat down.
Sunday, they'll send 7-1 ace Anthony Desclafani to the hill opposed the Dodgers Julio Urias.
For DesClafani I envision this being a spot where his issues with walks becomes a problem.
He's also coming off a solid win against his old team in the Marlins.
DesClafani's great win record and the Reds five game win streak doesn't even deter oddsmakers here. It won't for me either, grab the Dodgers.
|08-20-16||Cubs -145 v. Rockies||9-2||Win||100||21 h 20 m||Show|
Maddon is at it again inserting Mike Montgomery as a starter Saturday against the Rockies.
Colorado has a little bit of momentum after a couple of big underdog wins over the Nationals (including one we had).
Yet, the Rockies are below .500 for a reason. They've struggled to play a full nine innings without having that meltdown inning.
Lets not forget Montgomery had high value as a Mariner, before his woes in the Cubs bullpen.
Also the Rockies success earlier this season against Chicago in Wrigley field poses as a value detractor.
Grab the Cubs Saturday.
|08-19-16||Red Sox v. Tigers -106||10-2||Loss||-106||12 h 19 m||Show|
A couple of factors stand out to add the Tigers to Friday's card. One the Red Sox are still getting extra buy value off of their prior six-game win streak.
Secondly, the Tigers failed to muster any semblance of offense against Red Sox Thursday starter Clay Buchholtz.
Inserting Rick Porcello would seem to be a further tough spot for the Tigers.
Yet, I like the Tigers as a whole to carry over momentum from yesterday's three run eighth inning rally.
Buy the Tigers led by their rookie in Fulmer to topple Porcello and close the gap further in the AL Wild card race.
|08-18-16||Diamondbacks v. Padres -107||8-9||Win||100||23 h 29 m||Show|
The Padres are coming off an abysmal road trip in Tampa Bay in which they scored just three runs in three games.
In fact the series ended a nine game road trip for the Padres, in which they lost the final five.
Benefitting the Padres Thursday is the fact they played a day game Wednesday. Also, the bullpen was not over extended thanks to a QS from Christian Friedrich (eighteen pitches total).
After facing a trio of unfamiliar AL pitchers in Drew Smyly, Blake Snell, and Chris Archer the Padres get the familiarity of the Diamondbacks staff.
Arizona has not had much variance in their schedule having faced the Mets in six of their last nine games.
Though Paul Clemens was erratic in his last start against the Mets, I expect the Padres as a whole to have a fresh feel returning home for the first time since August 8th.
|08-18-16||Astros +108 v. Orioles||5-13||Loss||-100||20 h 23 m||Show|
Lets face it the prime reason the Orioles are favored in this spot Thursday has more to do with their home field advantage versus their play.
They've struggled as of late as their dynamic hitters have hit a wall combined with instability amongst the pitching staff.
Houston on the other hand has quietly shifted themselves within striking distance of the wild card race.
This series could spark a rally for them and I believe they can ride young pitcher Musgrove's arm to victory here.
Baltimore's Kevin Gausman has had more than a string of bad luck this season on the mound. Expect the same recipe of early success that translates to a poor inning in the fifth or sixth inning.
Houston's bats will get the job done in the latter innings.
|08-17-16||Twins -102 v. Braves||10-3||Win||100||18 h 41 m||Show|
After catching waves with profiled wins against Cleveland, the Twins faltered a bit before getting back on track yesterday against the Braves.
The same pattern we saw from the Twins ten days ago is now the trap Braves bettors are lying in.
Atlanta had a great series against the Nationals, with a lineup that caught fire.
Pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has also uplifted his performance with consecutive solid outings to boost himself above .500 at 6-5.
Both Performances were also against stout lineups in the Cardinals and Nationals.
Third time will not be a charm for Folty. Expect the Twins lineup to give him problems and for the Twins to win another in Atlanta.
|08-17-16||Nationals v. Rockies +157||10-12||Win||157||14 h 30 m||Show|
Around ten days ago there was not much game separation between the Rockies and Nationals in the win/loss column.
The Rockies of course were on an incredible win streak that featured eleven of thirteen wins. Since, they've tails pinned losing ten of their last thirteen.
Attraction on their side has obviously waned as they appear headed for the sub .500 mark on the season.
Yet, there are enough pieces in place that the Rockies organization feels more than comfortable finishing out this season strong. Challenging series such as this one against the Nationals build forward growth into next season.
Colorado showcased better bats against Max Scherzer, before the bullpen caved, and attacked the Nationals bullpen for the win on Tuesday.
Stephen Strasburg is having a magnificent season and many expect an easy bounce back win after consecutive losses.
Yet, like many pitchers Strasburg is not razor sharp at Coors Field. In 2014, he gave up a season high nine hits and three first inning runs.
Off of consecutive losses I expect a shaky Strasburg mentally in a tough environment.
Grab the value here on the Rockies.
|08-16-16||Red Sox +100 v. Orioles||5-3||Win||100||16 h 19 m||Show|
After surging past the Indians last night the Red Sox have suddenly won four consecutive games.
Furthermore, with a win on Tuesday they'll tie the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East division.
Baltimore is coming off a ten game road stretch and experienced the benefit of an off day on Monday.
They're also awfully familiar with Tuesday's starter in Eduardo Rodriguez. The young pitcher has pitched five times against the Orioles in the last two seasons. It's been a mixed bag of results for Rodriguez who has fared three quality starts versus two atrocious outings.
Yet, I believe the young 23 year old will be able to ride his team's confidence and will to win on Tuesday.
Grab the value here on the streaking Red Sox.
|08-15-16||Mariners -128 v. Angels||3-2||Win||100||19 h 58 m||Show|
Line value has been shifty with the Mariners and Felix Hernandez. The team has corrected it's bullpen woes and has done just enough at the plate to put themselves in a running position for a wild card.
The Angels on the other hand have been a mess throughout most of the season with their starting pitching. They'll hope Ricky Nolasco can stem the Mariners lineup Monday night.
For me though the value lies with the Mariners and ace Felix Hernandez. Obviously Hernandez is transitioning his form as his dominant form seems to be gone.
Yet, he's shown as of late an ability to tone down his walks as well as show better command.
In his last three starts he has thrown twenty two strikeouts.
With as poor as the Angels are hitting the ball, this should be a solid spot to see that continue.
Grab the Mariners.
|08-15-16||Marlins v. Reds +123||6-3||Loss||-100||16 h 2 m||Show|
Monday, the Reds battle the Marlins on their home field as they look to halt the playoff hopes of Miami.
Starting for the Reds will be Brandon Finnegan opposed the Marlins David Phelps.
Phelps has been solid in consecutive starts as he fills in for Colin Rea. He delivered four innings of no earned runs against the Rockies and followed that up with five strong innings against the Giants.
The Reds erratic bullpen and Miami's potent lineup is why we see the money line at it's current value.
Instead though I believe the Reds should be favored. They've been a different team as of late and arguably have the better lineup.
Don't be surprised to see Phelps chased out of this one early and put unexpected pressure on a Marlins bullpen that lacks the ability to withstand five innings.
Grab the Reds.
|08-14-16||Cardinals +164 v. Cubs||6-4||Win||164||5 h 59 m||Show|
St. Louis Cardinals
After ending the Cubs nine-game win streak Saturday, we've got another steep spread here tonight on the side of the Cubs.
On the mound is consistent veteran Jon Lackey opposed Cardinals starter Mike Leake.
Leake has been spotty as a starter with a 4.79 ERA but somehow has managed a near .500 record.
He'll need his sharp game to slow down the potent bats of the Cubs.
Yet, I see this as too high of a money line on the Cubs side based on their recent stretch. As we've seen all year, this Cubs team is streaky.
The bullpen was extended last night, and I like the Cardinals to show their veteran moxie here against the young Cubs.
Play the Cards.
|08-13-16||Rockies -109 v. Phillies||3-6||Loss||-109||11 h 12 m||Show|
Friday, the Rockies fell victim to the Phillies in a poor way. Jon Gray was rocked and the bullpen did not do much to resolve the beat down from getting worse.
It provided a nice payout for Phillies backers, and the attraction seems to be there again on Saturday.
Jared Eickoff is on the mound opposed Tyler Anderson.
Eickoff has settled in nicely over his last five starts after a poor July 9th start against this very Rockies team.
While many may believe Eickoff should be better at home versus Colorado, I find it hard to believe to think that route.
Colorado's still plated six runs Friday and will be ready to attack Eickhoff early and often Saturday.
This is a line value steal to capitalize on the Rockies.
|08-12-16||Reds +105 v. Brewers||7-4||Win||105||12 h 15 m||Show|
The Reds value has slipped a bit. After winning six consecutive series they've faltered in their last two.
They'll look to get back on track against a Brewers team that has not hit a bump after trading away Lucroy, Jeffryes, and Will Smith.
They'll call upon veteran Jimmy Nelson who has lost four starts in a row against the Reds Homer Bailey.
Bailey got the start last week against the Pirates and showed obvious rust.
Yet, he showed enough to like him in this spot against a Brewers offense that has peaked as of late.
I also like the fact that the Reds may have cooled at the plate, but they had more than their fair share of scoring opportunities.
Grab them to convert with RISP Friday as Nelson falters again on the hill.
|08-11-16||White Sox +149 v. Royals||1-2||Loss||-100||12 h 16 m||Show|
Chicago White Sox
We've seen back to back extra inning affairs between the Royals and White Sox.
Will we see another on Thursday?
Starting for the Royals is Danny Duffy opposed White Sox starter Miguel Gonzalez.
Duffy's turn around season opposed Gonzalez's struggles is as far on the spectrum as you can get.
Duffy has an 8-1 record with a 2.97 ERA while Gonzalez has an ERA of 4.09 and a 2-6 record.
After seeing the White Sox struggle to manufacture runs against Ian Kennedy and Edinson Volquez (a half inning of a run barrage), the White Sox would seem to be in trouble against Duffy.
Yet, I see the White Sox snapping Duffy's incredible stride here.
Kansas City's extra inning win coupled with Duffy's outstanding run are potent combinations for a betting letdown.
Grab the Sox here to cash as underdogs.
|08-11-16||Astros v. Twins +110||15-7||Loss||-100||11 h 11 m||Show|
Game one of two between the Twins and Astros takes place at 1:10 EST.
The Astros will send Doug Fister to the mound opposed Twins young starter Jose Berrios.
The underlying jump out stat here is Berrios inflated ERA of 8.31. Berrios had his issues early on in the season before being called back up from the minors August first.
He's coming off a loss against the Rays in which he allowed two home runs.
The potent bats of the Astros figure to cause Berrios more problems on Thursday.
Yet, it's safe to say this Astros team is in more than a slump. They're offense has tailspinned as they're struggling to find sustainability.
Berrios may not be major league caliber just yet, but the Twins offense is more than capable of leading us to victory here.
Grab the Twins.
|08-09-16||White Sox -132 v. Royals||7-5||Win||100||5 h 14 m||Show|
Chicago White Sox
Turmoil amongst Chris Sale and the White Sox has been a back and forth affair.
He had the issue in spring training with the mishandling of a former player, and obviously we all know his recent dilemma with the White Sox throwbacks.
In the end the White Sox kept Sale and I expect to get the return to form Sale today.
Kansas City has regenerated a bit of value ATS after a horrid slump. They've settled in recently with Herrera handling closing duties and have mustered been run support with Lorenzo Cain/Salvy P back in the lineup.
Yet, it's hard not to ignore the major disappointment the Royals have been this season.
Look for the White Sox to capitalize as a road favorite and deliver the win.
|08-09-16||Diamondbacks v. Mets -125||5-3||Loss||-125||4 h 9 m||Show|
In the NL East the division remains in a quandary. Have the Marlins and Nationals inability to push away from the Mets created an opportunity?
Maybe so. After a stretch that witnessed Familia break down in back to back save opportunities, starting pitching falter, and the lineup struggle with runs, things are finally trending upward for the Mets.
What better team to face to complete the about face than the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks have been far and away the worst team since All-Star break and it doesn't look as if things will get better anytime soon.
Greinke may be on the hill today but you can't ignore the treacherous efforts from the Diamondbacks bullpen combined with gaping holes at the plate.
Matz settles in here and the Mets continue to be the latest team to pound the scoreboard on the Diamondbacks.
|08-08-16||Giants v. Marlins -142||8-7||Loss||-142||14 h 54 m||Show|
Right now I'm seeing the Marlins fairly well for and against. We'll keep that recipe simple with Monday's play.
The Giants have misstepped a bit since the All-Star break and now are 63-48. Pressure is rising as they hope to hold off the Dodgers and Rockies.
On the mound Monday will be Johnny Cuetto who has been terrific on the season.
Yet, I like the momentum the Marlins are showing. Anybody can hit the ball in Coors Field but the Marlins hit the baseball in a variety of ways.
In game one they came back from the dead with four runs in the ninth, Saturday they showed run support in a blowout loss, and Sunday they won via a team effort of ten runs.
Facing Cuetto's arm may scare bettors away here but I believe the bats continue to flourish for the Marlins.
Jose Fernandez may not be his sharpest but we'll side with the Marlins to win this one at the plate Monday.
|08-07-16||Marlins +115 v. Rockies||10-7||Win||115||11 h 51 m||Show|
The Marlins have been losing a little bit of luster lately. They had a poor series against Chicago prior to facing the Rockies.
Two days ago in game one they had a tough time mustering a hit against Jorge De La Rosa before coming back to win against the Rockies bullpen.
Yesterday, they did manufacture six runs but lost via poor pitching as the Rockies plated twelve.
It's looking as if the Marlins trades for Colin Rea and Andrew Cashner may come back to haunt them.
Yet, what's different about this Marlins pitching staff from two seasons ago is their in-house talent is far superior.
Adam Conley gets the call Sunday and I expect him to have a bounce back effort for the Marlins staff after yesterday.
Slight value but we'll take the Marlins here.
|08-06-16||Reds +128 v. Pirates||3-5||Loss||-100||11 h 30 m||Show|
Pittsburgh won via a walk-off yesterday against the Reds to take the first game of the series.
Will that win halt the Reds road momentum?
Cincinnati had just come off an impressive series against the Cardinals, making it their sixth straight series they have won.
To get back into having a chance for a seventh straight winning series they'll rely upon Homer Bailey at pitcher.
Starting for the first time as a Pirate will be Ivan Nova.
Though the Pirates are a quality home team I don't believe you can discount the potent bats of the Reds currently, combined with sharp base running.
Nova has not shown to be starter worthy even though he has a 7-6 record on the year.
His whip is 1.36 and also has trouble with walks--averaging near four a game this season.
Look for the Reds to capitalize against Nova and even the series.
|08-05-16||Marlins -106 v. Rockies||5-3||Win||100||13 h 59 m||Show|
Friday, the Marlins travel to face the Colorado Rockies. They'll be looking to avenge a dreadful loss on Wednesday at the hands of the Cubs.
In the loss they caved allowing three runs in the ninth to blow a winnable game.
Problems have started to re-occur that the Marlins thought they had solved. The bullpen has waned, starting pitching, and hitting has been erratic.
That figures to be an issue on the road against Jorge De La Rosa and the red-hot Rockies correct?
Not this scenario. Although David Phelps was rocked last year in Colorado he responded sharply five days later for his best performance of 2015.
Look for the Marlins to play a complete game and stay in the second wild card position.
|08-05-16||Twins v. Rays -130||6-2||Loss||-130||11 h 28 m||Show|
Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays are another team that sent away talent before the trade deadline such as Steve Pearce and Matt Moore.
That hasn't stopped the Rays from getting timely runs as they did in yesterday's comeback win off of Brad Miller's eighth inning home run.
Friday, they'll try to keep the momentum in line against the rising value of the Minnesota Twins.
On the mound for the Twins will be veteran Ervin Santana opposed youth in the Rays Blake Snell.
Travel is a factor here as the Twins are coming off a series in which they scored double digit runs three times against the Indians, and allowed nine in yesterday's loss. That's extra field time that has to be calculated in to tonight's matchup.
Combined with the Rays confidence at the plate, look for the Rays bullpen to outlast the struggles of the Twins bullpen that held up surprisingly against the Indians.
|08-05-16||Indians v. Yankees -105||7-13||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
The Yankees had a hot potato subway series against the Mets.
Friday they'll take on the Cleveland Indians who had an even stranger series against the subpar Minnesota Twins.
Can Josh Tomlin shake off his last poor start against Michael Pineda?
Although the Yankees lineup traded away Carlos Beltran and important bullpen talent, they're under valued here Friday.
I'm not satisfied with the Indians response win yesterday against the Twins.
Their high runs total may calm bettors into taking the bait Friday against the Yankees.
Instead calmly take the Yankees who should take care of business at home Friday.
|08-04-16||Rangers +116 v. Orioles||5-3||Win||116||11 h 23 m||Show|
On the mound for the Orioles Thursday will be newly acquired pitcher Wade Miley from the Mariners.
He's delivered an above average year considering his past experiences with the Red Sox and Diamondbacks.
Will his fortune continue as an Oriole?
Thursday I don't believe so. Texas made some key moves of their own that did not work out to plan in Wednesday's loss, but I believe they'll get back on track here.
Baltimore's offense has been nothing to write home about, and I don't think Miley will be as sharp as the one-hit outing he had last start.
Grab the Rangers here.
|08-04-16||Giants -123 v. Phillies||3-2||Win||100||5 h 24 m||Show|
The Philadelphia Phillies have managed to win two consecutive games against the cream of the crop of the Giants staff.
They took down Madison Bumgarner on Tuesday and Johnny Cuetto yesterday.
So things should go according to plan with one of their quality pitchers in Vince Velasquez on the mound Thursday?
Not necessarily. The Giants have always made key trade acquisitions work to their favor. Acquiring Matt Moore from the Rays should prove dividends right away Thursday.
Both wins by the Phillies were great as they jumped out to a 6-0 lead Tuesday to barely protect it for the win, and yesterday came back from a 4-0 deficit in the 7th inning.
|08-03-16||A's +113 v. Angels||6-8||Loss||-100||20 h 19 m||Show|
A battle of .500 pitchers take the mound on Wednesday between the A's and Angels.
For the A's pitcher Kendall Graveman takes the mound and for the Angels Jered Weaver.
The Angels boast just a one game overall edge over the A's record wise with a 48-58 mark on the season.
Tonight will mark the eighth game on the A's current road trip as they hope to end a four game losing streak.
This should be a good spot for the A's lineup to attack the weakness of the Angels pitching staff that had a tough time putting away the A's last night.
The Angels have also been getting an inordinate amount of runs lately, scoring forty one runs over their last eight games. Keep in mind those games featured series against the Royals struggling rotation and Red Sox.
Look for Graveman to get the job done on Wednesday.
|08-02-16||Yankees v. Mets -120||1-7||Win||100||20 h 36 m||Show|
The Yankees cracked through in a big way to defeat the Mets in extra innings on Monday.
Timely hits were the story as the Yankees answered a Mets rally with a eighth inning tying one and eventual extra inning winner.
Yet, on Tuesday I believe value is back on the slightly favored Mets. Jacob DeGrom is coming off a poor outing against the Marlins followed up by an ugly shutout no-decision last week against the Rockies.
He's settled in and should be able to take advantage of a Yankees lineup with holes in it.
I'm also not convinced that Masahiro Tanaka is mentally over losing yet another start against the Astros last week.
Though it's tough to trust the Mets bats, we'll grab them here to do enough to pull out the win.
|08-02-16||Cardinals -155 v. Reds||5-7||Loss||-155||20 h 35 m||Show|
St. Louis is coming into yet another road series, in fact they're eighth game of the extended trip.
Over the weekend backers sustained a beat down loss 11-0 to the Marlins Saturday, followed by heart break hotel on Sunday as the bullpen lost the game in walk-off fashion.
With the Reds coming off their own seven game road trip, value may seem to be on them Tuesday.
After all they've won four straight series overall and have had quality production at the plate even with the loss of Jay Bruce.
Concern also lies with Adam Wainwright who has been over extended in four straight starts with an average of 111.75 pitches.
Yet the Reds staff is too vulnerable in this spot to handle the Cardinals for nine innings.
Grab the Cardinal here.
|08-01-16||Brewers v. Padres -107||3-7||Win||100||18 h 24 m||Show|
Sellers before the trade deadline were the San Diego Padres. They sent away two prime hitters for them this season in Melvin Upton Jr and Matt Kemp.
They also sent Andrew Cashner and Colin Rea to the Marlins in exchange for Monday's starter Jared Cosart and more.
Many would downgrade the Padres for the aggressive moves, but instead I see that they traded players that likely maxed out their abilities.
Cosart is a pitcher that has never had a steady diet of opportunity with Houston or Miami.
In a new environment I expect him to thrive on Monday against a Brewers team riding high in series against the Diamondbacks and Pirates.
Brewers Monday pitcher in Jimmy Nelson hasn't been top notch, and ranks third in the NL in walks with fifty five total.
Expect the Padres new lineup to be hungry to prove themselves along with Cosart. Take the value on the Padres.
|07-31-16||Red Sox -115 v. Angels||5-3||Win||100||8 h 22 m||Show|
What better time to gravitate towards the Boston Red Sox?
The parade of bad mouthing has piled on day by day lately as the Red Sox pitching woes and losses continue to mount.
Sunday, they'll lean to their knucklerballer ace in Steven Wright to try to rectify their slide against the improving Angels.
Tyler Skaggs gets the call and is coming off a sound three hit win in his first start last week.
Yet, I won't get carried away on the Angels side of things. Their lineup has shown the best contact I've seen all year and their abyss of pitching injuries has been masked during their four of six win stretch.
The value is on the Red Sox here who as a veteran team should step to the challenge of ending a road series before two more against Seattle and the LA Dodgers.
|07-30-16||Cardinals v. Marlins +106||0-11||Win||106||6 h 40 m||Show|
I nearly passed on the board for Saturday but will add the Miami Marlins.
Miami has been a team that we've had success for/against the throughout July.
After surging to gain the second NL wild card spot the Marlins are in a typical funk witnessed on contending teams in this time period.
Pitching has eroded and their lineup has struggled to bridge the gap offensively.
Yet I like what the Marlins have done by adding Colin Rea from the Padres who gets the start Saturday.
Typically we see teams respond at the plate as they feel the spark of what a new teammate can provide to them.
St. Louis on the other hand do not forget is coming off an away series against the Mets. Look for their bats to finally cool off and for the Marlins to get back in the win column.
|07-29-16||Cardinals +110 v. Marlins||11-6||Win||110||12 h 10 m||Show|
St. Louis Cardinals
The Marlins have are in the wild card chase thanks to above average pitching.
Run support from their offense has been wildly sporadic and is currently in an abysmal period.
They struggled to score against the Phillies, Mets, and still aren't over the hurdle as they lost game one yesterday to the Cardinals.
This type of stretch typically puts pressure on a pitching staff and we saw that yesterday with ace Jose Fernandez.
While Jose Urena may weather the storm I expect the Marlins bullpen to feel the heat Friday.
St. Louis has been scoring runs in bunches lately and they'll find a way to crack through for us here.
Grab the Cardinals Friday.
|07-29-16||Orioles +127 v. Blue Jays||5-6||Loss||-100||12 h 5 m||Show|
Baltimore is coming off a couple of head scratching losses, as they travel to Toronto.
On the mound will be Kevin Gausman who registered just his second win of the season in his last start against Cleveland.
Furthermore, the Orioles have two power hitters struggling at the plate. Chris Davis is just 5 for his last 37 while Mark Trumbo is in similar territory.
With Toronto showing some rejuvenated life at the plate this seems like a solid spot to back them.
Yet, I'll take the value on the Orioles who are a potent group with a couple of runs.
Look for them to jump start Friday and cash as a nice underdog payout.
|07-27-16||Yankees v. Astros -131||1-4||Win||100||18 h 24 m||Show|
Trade deadline moves can spark a seller to show they're not finished. The New York Yankees seem to have that mentality after Aroldis Chapman was shipped to the Cubs.
Even before the trade there were whispers and suddenly the Yankees have went from below .500 to having won eight of ten.
Still there is no strong reason to believe they'll continue this ascent. Their pitching has been above average lately and they've tacked on runs against weak bullpens.
Lance McCullers has the combination pitches to showcase the weakness of the Yankees lineup, and Masahiro Tanaka has had his woes against the Astros. He lost last years playoff game by serving up two home runs while giving up a season high six runs last year in the regular season.
This year he took a no decision in a respectable two earned run performance but that was the first game of a poor month of April for the Astros.
Grab the Astros on Wednesday.
|07-27-16||Cardinals v. Mets +125||5-4||Loss||-100||17 h 24 m||Show|
The Mets have been quiet at the trade deadline unlike a season ago. They believe they have what it takes to make a run at it and will look for Logan Verrett to improve on a 3-6 record.
He'll face a Cardinals team that lost in the night cap on Tuesday 3-1. On the mound for the Cardinals will be veteran Adam Wainwright.
Wainwright is one of those veteran pitchers that oddsmakers have been hard pressed to find his new game to game value.
The wins versus losses between Wainwright and Verrett would mark the line proper. Yet, I'm going to side with the Mets in this home stand scenario.
Wainwright is riding an abnormal improved stretch of July that has dropped his ERA back to the low-range of 4.09 from 5.04 on June 27th.
New York may lack power but they're a contact team. They'll draw hits off of Wainwright while Verrett will be able to lean on the Mets bullpen to notch us an underdog Wednesday win.
|07-26-16||Phillies v. Marlins -142||0-5||Win||100||20 h 43 m||Show|
No one could be happy amongst the Marlins organization with the blunders made late to lose a tight game by a four run margin.
For the second time in a week's period, Jeremy Hellickson got the best of the Marlins in impressive fashion.
He shut down the Marlins offense with one-hit baseball as the Marlins carried dead bats for two consecutive games. They also failed to score on Sunday in a 3-0 loss to the Mets.
Tuesday that should change as Jared Eickhoff takes the mound for the Phillies. From time to time we see a young arm at this stage of the season take a further beating, and I'm anticipating that here from Eickhoff.
He just has not been the same since early flashes in the April. The Marlins have to much intel on his struggles to let a third game slip away. Grab the Marlins.
|07-26-16||Mariners +104 v. Pirates||7-4||Win||104||20 h 38 m||Show|
On Covers Experts videos this past week myself and Patrick Everson discussed value on injuries.
Mariners pitcher Felix Hernandez has had a mountain of struggles this season. He hasn't showcased his old self before the DL, during his rehab assignments, or last week in his first start back.
Yet, veterans of his caliber can dig deep and break out of a rut a moment's notice.
What better time for Felix than now against a Pittsburgh team that has been erratic at the plate all season.
Look for Felix to out duel Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano and for Seattle's veteran bats to support Felix the way they did in last week's 6-5 comeback win over the White Sox.
|07-25-16||Reds +137 v. Giants||7-5||Win||137||18 h 52 m||Show|
San Francisco travels back home off a poor road trip that featured seven of eight losses.
Monday, they hope to get back on track against the hapless Cincinnati Reds.
The Reds themselves are coming off a nine game home stand that has created a bit of skewed value for the Giants.
Veteran Jay Peavy will get the call opposed young Reds pitcher Andy Desclafani.
Desclafani has been on a tear going 5-0 overall since returning from the DL. Still, oddsmakers and bettors are buying the Giants return home and near double wins to losses than the Reds.
Yet, even though Desclafani's allowing a lot of hits he has showcased craftiness to play keep away on the scoreboard when necessary.
|07-24-16||Phillies v. Pirates -150||4-5||Win||100||11 h 31 m||Show|
Pirates pitcher Jameson Taillon escaped a nasty comeback hit in his last outing against the Brewers.
In the start he pitched six solid innings but did not get the win as the Pirates won 3-2 late.
Yet, I like what I've seen from Tailon lately who has seen his value rise dramatically from being a slight underdog on the road against the Mariners two starts ago.
Philadelphia has shown immense problems with their bullpen and vast inconsistencies at the plate with a young group of starters.
Sunday, take the Pirates to showcase their veteran team against the young Phillies.
|07-22-16||Giants v. Yankees -103||2-3||Win||100||8 h 33 m||Show|
The Yankees have got themselves a bit of confidence winning four of their last five games that has them above .500 at 48-47.
Yet rumors are rampant that the Yankees will look at shaking up their best value in their bullpen before the trade deadline.
On the opposite side of things the Giants are on a five game road losing streak in which their pitching has struggled. Their staff has given up a combined thirty one runs in that stretch including eleven to the Red Sox in their latest loss.
Expect the Yankees to receive continued life at the plate and to outlast the Giants in a close one Friday night.
Play the Yankees.
|07-20-16||Marlins -124 v. Phillies||1-4||Loss||-124||17 h 46 m||Show|
Suddenly the Marlins are a wild card team in the NL playoff race.
They've done so with stout pitching and tame bats. Vice-versa of what people would expect.
This is a familiar territory of two seasons ago when they showed signs of life post All-Star break before fading sharply towards the tail end of the season.
The biggest difference between that team and this one is their ability to win extra-inning games and one-run games.
They've done so in consecutive games against the Phillies in dramatic fashion.
Wednesday expect carry over and for the Marlins offense to finally get in rhythm.
They'll be up against Phillies starter Jeremy Hellickson who seems to be entering back to Earth territory witnessed as a Dback.
He gave up two home runs in his last outing against the Mets and has lost seven of his last ten.
Philadelphia's bullpen is also on the mend after blowing consecutive games. Grab the Marlins.
|07-18-16||Orioles -114 v. Yankees||1-2||Loss||-114||14 h 57 m||Show|
In the NFL, the adage is what you earn Sunday typically will be vanquished by double-dipping into Monday.
I see that here as the Yankees paltry efforts as of late were boosted by a Sunday night solid win over the Red Sox.
Yet, the Yankees troubles are evident with the fact that they're struggling at the plate and that their highly paid ace deliver in Aroldis Chapman has rarely been used over the last fifteen days.
Kevin Gausman is right up there with Chris Archer in painful losses in MLB this season. He has suffered repeated one run losses late in games, but delivers what you want with a high strikeout rate.
Grab the Orioles to put the Yankees back in line Monday.
|07-17-16||Brewers v. Reds -111||0-1||Win||100||7 h 13 m||Show|
The Reds were shellacked at home on Saturday to the tune of a 9-1 loss.
Sunday's matchup will decide the series as the Reds came from behind to defeat the Brewers on Friday 5-4.
On the mound for the Brewers will be Zach Davies opposed the Reds Dan Straily. Both have similar ERA's hovering over four runs which could lead bettors to jump on the Brewers after nine explosive runs Saturday.
Furthering matters is Straily's knack for drawing walks and allowing home runs. Straily ranks fifth in the NL in walks and has given up five home runs in his last five games.
Yet, I'll side with the Reds here as their lineup will bounce back nicely after being shut down by Jimmy Nelson.
Grab the Reds as a slight home favorite.
|07-04-16||Yankees v. White Sox +109||2-8||Win||109||4 h 0 m||Show|
Chicago White Sox
Today, we'll grab the underdog White Sox who have caught some money their way overnight.
I believe it's the proper value as James Shields steps on the mound against CC Sabathia of the Yankees.
CC is coming off a loss and rough outing against the Texas Rangers, which shot his ERA over 3 runs for the first time since May.
Look for the rise to continue against a White Sox team that is a contact laden club.
James Shields who has had undeniable woes since coming to the White Sox has settled in over his last two starts. A positive sign in his last start were five strikeouts against the Twins.
With his confidence back this is a nice spot to back the White Sox as small dogs.
|07-03-16||Royals v. Phillies -115||2-7||Win||100||5 h 59 m||Show|
|07-01-16||Giants v. Diamondbacks +150||6-4||Loss||-100||14 h 11 m||Show|
Friday, the Arizona Diamondbacks look to bounce back from a rough series against the Phillies as they host the San Francisco Giants.
Thus far on the season both match ups between the two teams have featured series sweeps.
The Giants swept May's series while the Diamondbacks won four in April.
Thursday, the Giants avoided a road sweep against the A's. The showcase belonged to their bats which produced twelve runs to lead the way.
Their display combined with Johnny Cuetto's stellar 11-1 record is hard to ignore.
Arizona, must get Shelby Miller comfortable early after another rough outing in his last start against Colorado.
Yet, the Diamondbacks offense is where I see value on the underdog. They're hitting the ball well and I see them continuing to hit the lumber against Cuetto who is coming off a six earned run performance against the Giants.
Take the Dbacks.
|07-01-16||Cubs v. Mets -102||2-10||Win||100||12 h 51 m||Show|
The Mets took one from the Cubs last night in dramatic fashion. First, they received three seventh inning runs when their offense looked dead in the water.
Then, they received the 27th save of the season from flawless Jeurys Familia.
Friday, they'll look to keep their momentum in stride against the potent Cubs.
While strong hitting may be lacking for the Mets, they have stud Jacob DeGrom on the mound.
Perhaps no pitcher in MLB is as devalued as DeGrom who boasts a 2.67 ERA with a 3-4 record.
Tough losses or no decisions have plagued DeGrom this season but this is a spot where he can put the Mets on his back.
The Cubs recent three wins over the Reds overshadowed the losses that occurred prior in six of seven games.
Pitching has waned and the Mets now have a bit of team confidence at the plate after last night's heroic come back.
Grab the Mets as Friday's oddsmaker error.