ASA NFLx play on UNDER 38 Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 7:30 PM ET - The Unders in the preseason have certainly been cashing at an extremely high rate (26-9), but that’s not our reason for backing an Under wager on this game. This number opened 34.5 and was quickly bet up to 37.5 when Tampa Bay announced they would start QB Mayfield along with other starters. Miami on the other hand has said they will sit starters in this game. The Dolphins offense has produced 20 and 13 points in their two preseason games thus far, while allowing just 19 total points. The Bucs have put up 17 and 7-points in their exhibition games and allowed 14 and 20 points respectively. The backup QB’s for both teams have struggled in the preseason so don’t expect big plays or points as the game progresses. Miami’s 2nd/3rd string QB’s have completed less than 50% of their attempts for less than 5-yards per completion. Combined those two QB’s (Thompson & White) have 1 TD and 1 INT this preseason. Tampa Bay’s backup QB’s haven’t been much better with Kyle Trask and John Wolford throwing just 1 TD and 1 INT in their two games of action. The Dolphins offense is one of the best in the league when their starters are on the field but that won’t be the case here. Even if the Bucs play their starters for a few series, this offense was 18th in Yards Per Point a season ago and averaged just 21.2PPG (18th). Grab the value with an Under wager here.

#105/106 ASA PLAY ON Under 34.5 Points – Indianapolis Colts vs Cincinnati Bengals, Thursday at 8 PM ET - The Unders have been cashing at an incredible rate thus far in the NFLX with 26 Unders and just 6 Overs through 32 games.  The average total points scored thus far in the pre-season is 31 and only 3 of the 32 games have reached 40 points.  We see another low scoring affair here.  The Bengals will sit their starters here including all QB Burrow and all of his key weapons.  Cincy’s back up QB Browning is injured and will most likely sit, leaving it up to 3rd stringer Woodside and 4th string rookie Lombardi to get all the action on Thursday.  So far in the pre-season those 2 QB’s have combined to attempt 45 passes with 1 TD and 2 picks.  The Bengals offense has shown zero signs of life with their back ups in the game scoring just 10 points total in 2 games when the starters were on the bench.  Indy will play their starters here including QB Richardson but the reports on him have not been positive in camp.  The 2 teams had a joint practice on Tuesday and word is Richardson was terrible struggling with his accuracy which is not a huge surprise.  After the starters exit, don’t be surprised if the Colts bypass back up QB Flacco in this game to look closer at Ehlinger, Slovis, and Bean who are battling for the 3rd spot.  They’ll need to cut at least 2 QB’s (or put them on the practice squad) after this game so they’ll need to see a lot of reps here to make that final decision.  We see both teams struggling offensively which leads to another Under on Thursday night.

ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* OVER 31.5 Points - NY Jets at Carolina Panthers, Saturday at 7 PM ET - We were considering a play on the Panthers here, but decided the Over was the better option. We expect the Panthers to rally in Week 2 of the preseason after a humiliating loss in Week 1 to the Patriots. Carolina managed just 7 first downs, 151 total yards of offense and kicked a field goal with under 2 minutes to play for their only score. The Panthers brought in help for the offensive line and need to find some continuity with QB Bryce Young so expect more game action here for the starters. This team was horrendous last season, and it showed in W1 where they sat 33 starters, so reports are they are treating this game differently. In fact, several fights have broken out in the joint practices with the Jets this week. New York had a similar approach in their preseason opener by sitting most starters to evaluate rookies and reserves. The Jets won’t jeopardize QB Rodgers in the preseason, but they do have a viable option with vet Tyrod Taylor. Taylor played in just two series last week and should get more reps in W2. New York’s offense did manage 13 FD’s against the Commanders and 292-total yards of offense in scoring 20-points. This week they face a Panthers defense that gave up 16 FD’s and 274 yards to a lower-tier Patriots offense. The Jets defense gave up 17-points to a below average Washington offense last week and 331 total yards. There has been an over-adjustment to this O/U number based on the Panthers results last week. Preseason games involving a team that scored 10 or less points in the previous game are 79-57 to the Over in the past 13+ seasons. Those teams that struggled offensively have bounced back with 20+ PPG in their next game.

#401/402 ASA PLAY ON Under 36 Points - Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Neither offense looked good in their preseason opener with the Eagles putting up just 16 points on 3.3 YPP vs Baltimore. The Pats scored 17 points on just 4.3 YPP in their win over Carolina last week. Both defenses, on the other hand, looked very good in their preseason games last week with Philly holding Baltimore to 13 points on 3.4 YPPG & New England limiting Carolina to 3 points on 2.9 YPP. We don’t see either team doing much offensively in this game. As of this writing, the Eagles haven’t said much about who is going to play but we can assume starting QB Hurts will not. He’s coming off an injury plagued 2023/24 season and head coach Sirianni kept him on the sidelines the entire preseason last year. Backup QB Kenny Pickett played a lot last week so we wouldn’t be surprised if the Eagles gave 3rd stringer McKee (played 3 series last week) and 4th stringer Grier (didn’t play last week) some more run on Thursday. The Pats gave Bailey Zappe the most snaps at QB last week and we would anticipate rookies Maye & Milton to play more this week. These teams were involved in a joint practice on Tuesday and the defenses dominated. The 4 New England QB’s had 48 drop backs vs the Eagles on Tuesday and were sacked a whopping 10 times. Not surprising as the Pats offensive line is banged up and not a strong point. On the other side, Philadelphia starting QB Hurts didn’t get many opportunities from a clean pocket with the New England defensive front getting solid pressure throughout the day. Hurts was sacked 7 times in the live 11 vs 11’s on that Tuesday practice vs New England. With both teams most likely leaning on inexperienced QB’s on Thursday night, we look for the defenses to dominate. Under is the call.

ASA play on UNDER 38 Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts, Sunday 1 PM ET - We expect a low scoring game between these two teams and feel this number of 37 won’t be threatened. The Broncos made the decision to go young at QB and dumped veteran Russell Wilson in the offseason. They drafted Bo Nix and brought in Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson. In this preseason opener we doubt the play calling will be very aggressive, nor do we expect many explosive plays from this Bronco’s offense. Denver was one of the slowest paced teams in the league a year ago and also ranked 25th in Yards Per Play. The Broncos were below average in the regular season in points per game, ranking 20th at 21PPG. The Colts’ future and hopes lies with 2nd year QB Anthony Richardson. Richardson was hurt early last season after a solid start, but Indy got a solid season from Gardner Minshew who threw for over 3,300 total yards with 15 TD’s to 9 INT’s. Minshew is gone so the Colts brought in an insurance policy in Joe Flacco to go along with Sam Ehlinger and Kedon Slovis. Indianapolis hasn’t named a starter yet for this preseason game, but indications are Ehlinger and Slovis will get plenty of looks. The Colts had solid offensive numbers from last season but that was with improved play from Minshew who is now gone. Denver’s defense allowed 1-point for every 15.3-yards gained which was 17th in the NFL. The Colts gave up just 5.2 Yards Per Play a season ago which ranked 15th. We don’t expect much from either offense and the average defenses should hold up well against unproven QB’s. NFLx games with a Total of 37 or more points that features conference opponents stay Under at a 67% rate dating back 9 seasons. Bet the UNDER in this one.

#103/104 ASA PLAY ON Under 33.5 Points – Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This game is going to be a battle of inexperienced QB’s and we project both teams will have problems scoring points.  Carolina head coach Canales has already said that starting QB Bryce Young will not play and back up Andy Dalton is out due to an injury.  That means the Panthers will be going with rookie QB Jack Plummer (from Louisville) to start followed by Jake Luton.  Plummer is an undrafted rookie and Luton has just 2 TD’s in his 110 career attempts to go along with 6 interceptions.  They’ll be facing a New England team whose strength is their defense which finished in the top 6 in both YPG and YPP allowed last season.  Offensively the Patriots will use a heavy dose of rookies Drake Maye and Joe Milton at QB.  Jacoby Brissett will open the season as the starter but he took the vast majority of the reps in Tuesday’s practice which actually indicates he’ll see very little if any time on Thursday night.  Maye & Milton are still learning the offense and have been up & down in camp as to be expected.  They’ll be working behind an offensive line that from all reports hasn’t looked great in camp which will make it extra tough on the young QB’s.  Both teams were near the bottom of the NFL offensively last year tying for dead last in scoring at 13.9 PPG, they were 30th and 32nd in total offense, and 29th and 32nd in YPP offense.  Both teams are dealing with new offensive schemes as well (both have new OC’s) which isn’t ideal out of the gate.  Defenses dominate on Thursday night in a low scoring game.

#403/404 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 39 Points – Carolina Panthers vs NY Giants, Friday at 7 PM ET - These 2 offenses each had brutal games last week and we don’t anticipate a big turnaround on that site of the ball this week. Carolina was held scoreless vs the Jets and tallied only 165 total yards on 3.4 YPP. The only time the Panthers crossed midfield was their final 2 possessions of the game and they never pushed inside the Jets 30 yard line. The Jets defensive front put lots of pressure on Carolina’s inexperienced QB’s and we expect the same this week vs the Giants and DC Martindale’s blitz happy defense. The Panther offensive line was shaky, thus the pressure allowed, and head coach Frank Reich plans on rotating a number of players this week to see what they can do. Back up QB Andy Dalton is injured and will not play so Carolina will again rely on very inexperienced QB’s in rookie Bryce Young and 2nd year player Matt Corral (0 career pass attempts). The Giants offense wasn’t much better last week. They scored only 16 points vs a Detroit defense that finished dead last in YPG and YPP allowed last season. NYG had just 216 total yards on 3.9 YPP in the game. They relied heavily on undrafted rookie Tommy DeVito at QB and he’ll probably get decent time again this week. Starting QB Jones did not play and may not again on Friday. If he does, it won’t be for more than a series or two. Both defenses played well last week with the Giants holding a very good Detroit offense to 4.7 YPP while Carolina also kept the Jets under 5.0 YPP. We anticipate a low scoring game on Friday night and Under is our lean.

#101/102 ASA PLAY ON 8* UNDER 33.5 Points – NY Jets vs Cleveland Browns – NFL Hall of Fame Game – Thursday at 8 PM ET - We don’t expect either offense to do much in this game. Cleveland will be starting 3rd stringer Kellen Mond at QB followed by rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Mond has thrown 3 career passes at the NFL level and Thompson-Robinson obviously has yet to play in an NFL game. They will be facing a deep Jets defense that was very good last year ranking 1st in YPP allowed and 5th in DVOA. Aaron Rodgers will sit this one out for NY with Zach Wilson getting the start. We don’t expect Wilson to play all that much and he will be followed by Chris Streveler & Tim Boyle who are both extremely inexperienced. On top of that, the Jets are implementing a new offense under coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and he has already stated Thursday night will be a very vanilla game plan. The Hall of Fame game has been a low scoring affair as expected topping 39 points only once in the last 11 games. Five of the last seven and seven of the last ten HOF games have totaled 33 or fewer points. Defense is more often than not well ahead of the offense early in the pre-season and we expect that will be the case on Thursday. Take the Under.

#431/432 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 39 Points – Atlanta Falcons vs NY Jets, Monday at 8 PM ET - This total opened at 42 and has dropped to 39. We completely agree with the move and feel there is still some value on the Under here. Our power ratings have this total set at 37.5. These 2 had joint practices the last few days and the Jets defense was dominant according to our reports. Atlanta’s offense did next to nothing including in their red zone drills vs NY’s defense. It sounds like the Falcons will start rookie QB Ridder who played extensively in their first preseason game but completed less than 50% of his passes. Even if starter Mariota goes here, he struggled big time vs this Jets defense that last 2 days. The NY offense actually played well vs Atlanta’s defense in joint practices, however because of injury problems, there is a good chance that Jet head coach Saleh will sit his starters in this one. Even if they play, it will be a short stint. Especially QB Flacco who will most likely be the starter early in the regular season with Wilson injured. They cannot afford to lose Flacco to injury so he won’t play much if at all here. All reports were the Jets were the better team the last 2 days practicing vs Atlanta but with the Falcons set to play starters for at least some time and the Jets not sure, the Under is the better play here. Atlanta scored 27 points in their first preseason game vs Detroit who had one of the worst defense in the NFL last year. The Birds had only 307 total yards in that game so they were quite fortunate to get to 27 points. NY had a similar situation scoring 24 points on just 301 total yards. The We look for the Atlanta offense to really have a tough time and with NY’s QB situation, they’ll be going with 3rd stringer White and 4th stringer Streveler for most of the game if not all. Neither team gets to 20 points here and we’ll grab the Under.

#405/406 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 40 – New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers, Friday at 8:00 PM ET - The first week of the NFL preseason saw 14 of the 17 games (including the HOF game) go Over the Total. The average total set by the oddsmakers last week was 34.8 and after last week’s scoring (games averaged 43 total points) the average total set this week is right around 40 which is where this game sits. The Packers total last week vs San Francisco was set at 34.5 and the Saints total vs Houston was 35. This is an over adjustment in our opinion and we think there is some value on the Under in this game. Neither starting QB will take the field in this one and both defenses look like they are ahead of the offenses right now. The Saints defense held Houston to 275 total yards and 17 points last week. One of those TD’s came on a 47 yard drive after a New Orleans turnover and the other came with 25 seconds remaining in the game. The Saints offense only averaged 3.9 YPP in that game (only scored 13 points) vs a Houston defense that finished 31st in YPP defense a year ago. The Niners scored 28 points but had only 328 total yards in their home game vs GB last week. SF was put in favorable field position throughout the game due to 3 Packer turnovers and 3 of their 5 scores came on drives of 39 yards or less. These 2 have been facing off in practice this week and our word is the defenses have dominated. These two defenses should be among the best in the NFL this year and we look for the offenses to struggle in this game. Under is our recommendation.

ASA top play on 10* UNDER 33.5 New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans, Saturday 8 PM ET - We will start with the all-important QB positions for both teams. The Saints are without starter Jameis Winston so Andy Dalton will get a series or two under center followed by Ian Book and newly signed KJ Costello. Houston only has two QB’s currently available so Davis Mills will play longer than expected followed by 6-year vet Jeff Driskel. Reports out of the Texans camp is that the offense has looked horrible. QB Davis has been indecisive and hasn’t been good throwing the ball downfield. The best running back in camp thus far has been rookie Dameon Pierce who was drafted in the 4th round. The Texans were one of the least explosive offenses in the NFL a season ago averaging just 4.7 Yards Per Play which ranked them 30th. Houston managed just 1-point for every 16.9 yards gained which was also 30th out of 32 team’s last season. New Orleans is loaded on offense this season but don’t expect to see many of their Super Stars on the field Saturday. As we mention starting QB Winston is out, RB Kamara is facing a suspension so why jeopardize him in a meaningless preseason game and Michael Thomas is coming off a serious ankle injury. New Orleans was well below average in Yards Per Play a season ago at 4.9 and scored just 21.4PPG which was significantly lower than what they averaged the previous season at 29.1PPG. Both teams’ defenses are ahead of the offenses at this point, and we expect a very low scoring game. Bet UNDER.

ASA top play on 10* OVER 36.5 Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills, Saturday 1 PM ET - The Packers have had some glaring deficiencies defensively in the preseason with 23 and 26 points allowed to the Jets and Texans. It’s only preseason but there are clearly some underlying problems with the Packer ‘D’. Consider the Jets and Texans were two of the worst offenses in the NFL last season and yet they put up 268-yards and 319-yards. New York was 30th a year ago in points scored per game while Houston was 21st in yards per point offensively. Now the Pack face a Bills offense that was 4th in Yards Per Point, 3rd in scoring and 4th in total yards per game gained. Buffalo is planning to start and play their regulars for a few series and clearly have capable backups which produced 41-points last week in Chicago. Green Bay is going to start and play QB Jordan Love who sat out last week against the Jets. Love was 12 of 17 with a TD in his preseason debut and should move the ball here against the Bills. Green Bay has yet to look good in the exhibition season but let’s not forget this unit was 2nd in total yards per game a year ago, 1st in scoring at 31.5PPG and 2nd in Yards Per Point at 12.5. Buffalo has faced the Lions and Bears who were bottom ten teams in the NFL offensively a year ago, so this is a dramatic step up in competition. Look for a few early scores from the starters and some late by the guys fighting for a spot on the rosters. BET OVER.

#431/432 ASA TOP PLAY ON Over 39.5 Points – Jacksonville vs New Orleans, Monday at 8 PM ET - New Jacksonville head coach Urban Meyer has not made it a secret that he wants an up tempo offense. The Jags ran 65 plays last week vs Cleveland and Meyer stated he was upset with the team’s offensive tempo and wanted to push the dial much more heading into this week’s game @ New Orleans. They worked on it all week in practice and we would expect them to run 70+ plays this week. Meyer stated, “I thought practice was much better. I get the first game [being slow], but now I want to try to have a little bit of success.” We like their QB rotation of Lawrence, Minshew and Beathard which should give them a chance to put points on the board this week. The defense is definitely a work in progress and allowed 23 points to the Browns last week after finishing 31st last year giving up 31 PPG. New Orleans only put up 14 points last week vs a very good Baltimore defense but averaged 6.0 YPP. They turned the ball over 6 times in that game including 3 deep inside Raven territory at the 8-yard line, the 11-yard line and the 35-yard line (all potential scoring opportunities lost). On top of that the Ravens turned the ball over at the 11-yard line and were stopped on downs at the Saints 39 in that game (more blown scoring chances). We like the QB competition between Winston and Hill as both are veterans with starting experience and both need to be on top of their game fighting for the #1 job. We expect plenty of offensive snaps in this game with the Jags wanting to play fast and the Saints finishing in the top 10 in plays per game last season. The pre-season has been low scoring for the most part thus far, but we look for this to be one of the higher scoring games to date. Take the OVER.

ASA play 8* OVER 35 Tennessee Titans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Saturday 7:30PM ET - The Unders were “money” last week in the opening weekend of the preseason but the trend shifts this weekend when starters for most teams are expected to get more reps. This Total is our favorite O/U bet of the weekend as these two teams are poised for some solid offensive numbers. Last weekend the Titans put up 17 first downs on 62-plays and 244 total yards. Those statistics aren’t a true reflection of the Titans offense which was 5th in yards per play offensively last year and 6th in yards per points. Tennessee was the 4th fastest paced team in the NFL a season ago so look for them to turn up the tempo after a poor showing in the opener. Tampa Bay had a horrible offensive showing last weekend with 14 first downs, 159 total yards on 69 plays. The Bucs were the 9th fastest paced team last year, averaged 6.0 yards per play (7th) and were 1st in yards per points at 12.5. This week in the joint practices between these two teams the Titans defensive backs struggled with the Bucs wide receivers with Brady connecting on several deep touchdowns. Both teams are going to score here and push this game Over the number.

ASA play on: OVER 40.5 Seattle Seahawks vs. Minnesota Vikings, Sunday 8PM ET – We cashed an easy Over win yesterday on the Texans versus Lions and we expect a similar outcome today on the Seahawks/Vikings game. Money and line indicators clearly point to a higher scoring game. Last week the Seahawks offensive starters didn’t see the field, yet the Hawks racked up over 300 yards of total offense against a Denver defense that was one of the best in the NFL last year. QB Russell Wilson is expected to play into the second quarter this week then make way for Paxton Lynch who was 11 of 15 last week. The Vikings defense allowed nearly 340 yards, 27 first downs and 25-points last week to the Saints so expect the Seahawks to score here too. Minnesota’s newly revamped offense looked fantastic last week as the first team O started the game with an 8-play, 76-yards drive that led to a TD. Vikes QB Cousons was 4 for 4 with a TD pass. Minnesota put up 460 total yards of offense against a Saints defense that was better than the Seahawks a year ago. The clincher here is that we have two coaches with a strong history of trying to win meaningless preseason games. Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is 18-4 SU in the NFLX while Carroll of the Seahawks is 23-14. With both teams playing to win you can bet it will be higher scoring. Bet OVER!

ASA play on: OVER 40.5 Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans, Saturday 8PM ET – These two teams have been holding a joint practice this week and both are coming off different showings from Week #1. While the Texans lost in Green Bay in the preseason opener, they looked good doing so. The Texans racked up 29 first downs, 138 rushing yards and 274 passing yards which was good for 26 points. Houston got their starters roughly 90 reps against the Lions this week so their play will be limited, if at all, for tonight’s game but that’s not a bad thing for our Over wager. Texans QB Webb III played well in the opener by going 25 of 40 for 286 yards. He’ll see extended minutes again here as the Texans lack QB depth. Plus, he’ll face a Lions defense that was torched by the Patriots in their exhibition opener. You would think the Patriots former defensive coordinator, Lions current head coach Matt Patricia, would have a good game-plan against his former team? Not so much! The Pats put up an obscene 459 total yards of offense and 31-points against Detroit. Concerning defensive “genius” Patricia. The Lions ranked 27th in the NFL in defensive efficiency last year while the Patriots jumped from 31st in 2017 to 16th last year in his first season removed from defensive coordinator. We do expect to see the Lions offensive starters including QB Matt Stafford here for a few series here against the Texans second unit. After an abysmal offensive showing in Week 1 (less than 100 total yards) we expect the Lions to be focused on a better output here. After staying Under the total in Week 1 last year the Lions went Over in three straight with 47, 63 and 52 total points scored. The bet here is OVER!

ASA play UNDER 36 Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks, Thursday 10:00 PM ET – The Broncos have a game under their belt as they faced the Falcons in the Hall of Fame game. Denver managed just 188 total yards of offense on 57 plays for a 3.29 yards per play average. It’s only preseason but when you consider the Falcons had the 27th ranked YPPL defense a year ago in the regular season, allowing 6.0YPPL, it’s not a great sign for Denver. The Broncos have a new offensive coordinator in his first year as an OC so there is going to be a slow learning curve for the players and coaches. We don’t expect the Broncos to jeopardize starting QB Flacco more than a series if at all this week which means the QB rotation will be Drew Lock, Kevin Hogan and Brett Rypien who combined for 17 of 29 passing and just 93 yards last week. Denver is a run first offense so don’t expect to see a wide-open approach to this meaningless preseason game. The Broncos averaged 17 yards per point last year which ranked them 27th in the NFL last season. Seattle took a step back defensively last season (14th in defensive efficiency) which was an aberration as this unit has ranked in the top 10 in D.E.F.F. in six of the last eight seasons. In summary, the Broncos will have a hard time moving the football here and scoring points. So that leaves us with the Seahawks putting up points against Denver. The Broncos defense did not play well last week against the Falcons and we expect a drastic improvement from that game to this one. New head coach Vic Fangio is one of the best defensive minds in the NFL and is the guy that orchestrated the Bears incredible defense last season. He inherits a Denver defense that was 5th best in the league last year by our metrics. The Broncos defense faced seven offenses that ranked 9th or better in the NFL last season, including the Chiefs (twice) who were #1, Rams once #2 and the Chargers (twice) who were 3rd.  Seattle is playing their opening preseason game and will have most of their regulars on the bench here including Russell Wilson who makes this offense go. As of this writing QB Geno Smith is the #2 guy behind Wilson but he sat out practice this week with a minor knee injury. That means former Broncos QB Paxton Lynch could play 3 quarters Thursday, which is great for the Under bettors. Under Pete Carroll, in games #1 and #2 of the exhibition season, the Seahawks have stayed Under the total in 7 of ten the past five years. Volume of money, bets and line movements have us on the Under 36 here.

ASA play UNDER 34.5 Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons, 8PM ET Thursday H.O.F. Game – The public money flowed in on the Over when this game opened with a number of 34 posted on the game. Even with a sizeable investment by public bettors the line has not fluctuated up any. That ‘tell’ has us on the bet the oddsmakers don’t want us to make here, the Under! On the field we have several new coaches trying to implement new systems and it’s going to take more time for players to get on the same page. Atlanta has a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter who is replacing Steve Sarkisian. The Falcons offense will be directed by young QB Benkert who was 28 of 64 for 347 total yards and 4 INT’s last preseason. Falcons head coach Dan Quinn doesn’t put much emphasis on exhibition games as he’s 4-12 SU lifetime. Last year Atlanta managed just 27 total points in four games. Quinn will take over the defense this year so we should see an improvement on that side of the football after ranking near the bottom of the league in several key categories. Taking over in Denver is Vic Fangio who is known for his defensive prowess. Fangio was the DC in Chicago last year which had the #1 ranked defensive efficiency unit in the NFL. His defenses have ranked in the league’s top-five in yards allowed in eight of the last 12 years while placing in the NFL’s top-5 in fewest points allowed seven times over that span. The Broncos also have a new OC in Rich Scangarello who is making his debut as an offensive coordinator after a 2-year stint as a quarterback coach in San Francisco. In other words, a new system means a longer learning curve and slower results to start the season. Not to mention we will see a heavy dose of unproven QB’s for the Broncos with Drew Lock, Kevin Hogan and Brett Rypien. Denver had the 5th most efficient defense in the NFL last year and will only get better this season which will make if very tough for Atlanta to score on tonight. Any way we cut it we don’t see these two teams scoring more than 28 total points. The bet here is UNDER.