Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-18-21 | Houston v. Wichita State +8 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Wichita St at 7:00 ET. No one should have been surprised by what Kelvin Sampson has done at Houston, after successful stops at Washington St, Oklahoma and Indiana. His first Houston team went 13-19 (2014-15) but FIVE straight 20-win seasons followed. The Cougars won 27 (2017-18) and 33 (2018-19) games, before going 23-8 in last season's pandemic shortened one. Houston is currently 17-2 (11-2 in the AAC) and ranked 6th in the latest AP poll. No other AAC team is ranked but when the Cougars visit 12-4 Wichita St tonight, they are WELL aware that the Shockers only have two conference losses as well (albeit nine wins). Houston beat Wichita State 70-63 back on Jan 6 at home but never shook the Shockers. Houston guards Grimes (16.9 & 6.5) and Sasser (15.1) are the 'big dogs,' joined on the perimeter by Jarreau (10.0-5.3-4.3) and freshman Mark (8.5 & 3.0). The best frontcourt player is the 6-7 Gorham (8.2 & 10.1). Houston wins with defense, as Sampson's team is allowing only 57.3 PPG, ranking second-best in the nation. The Cougars are holding opponents to 36.5% shooting (1st), including 25.5% on threes (also 1st). Wichita St's season was marred before it got started, as head coach Gregg Marshall resigned as coach of Wichita State after multiple allegations of verbal and physical abuse spanning years on November 17, 2020. Marshall's success started at Winthrop (seven NCAA berths in nine years) and continued at Wichita St, winning the NIT title in 2011 then winning 30-plus games in three straight seasons, including a Final 4 appearance in 2013. Lead assistant Isaac Brown was named interim head coach and has done an excellent job, despite losing center Echenique (11.3 & 7.1) plus guards Stevenson (11.1 & 4.7( and Burton (10.3-3.5-3.4). However, the Shockers are a deep team this season, led by a quartet of guards in Etienne (17.3), UConn transfer Gilbert (10.2-3.1-3.7) and Dennis (8.6 & 3.8) and Council (7.5 & 4.5). The top frontcourt performers are the 6-8 Udeze (9.8 & 3.6), the 6-6 Wade (6.3 & 5.7) and 6-7 JUCO transfer Jackson (5.6 & 4.4). Wichita St was picked seventh in the league in the preseason and as interim coach Isaac Brown noted, "I think the guys took that in a way that we're going to show everyone that we're better than that. I think having nobody on the preseason all-conference list, that stuff motivates those kids. It gets them to play harder. It gets them to buy in and it gets them to want to prove the point to everybody." Wichita St 'hung with the Cougars in Houston (seven-point loss as an 11-point dog) and Getting a 'TD' or more of points here at home makes them a very 'LIVE' home underdog. Good luck...Larry |