Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:20 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). Denver (0-0) had the 4th best defense in the NFL last year by holding their opponents to just 316.1 total YPG. The Broncos defense was even better at home as they held their visitors to last year to only 300.6 total YPG. Denver has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total as the favorite. The Under is also 13-6-1 in the Broncos’ last 20 home games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Furthermore, Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 5 games played on grass, the Broncos have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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09-11-17 | Huddersfield Town v. West Ham United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
At 3:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between West Ham United (81832) and Huddersfield Town (81833). West Ham (0-0-3) remained winless back on August 26th with their 3-0 loss at Newcastle. The Hammers have yet to score a goal this season — and this was after last year’s campaign where they only scored 47 goals for the entire season. Defense was their calling card under manager Slaven Bilic whose tactics kept things afloat despite their difficulties in scoring goals. The team did make a major signing last month when they acquired Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez from Bayer Leverkusen in the German Professional League. Unfortunately for Bilic, the Mexican star will not have many of his key teammates in this match. Midfielder Marko Arnautovic is suspended for this match while midfielders Manuel Lanzini, Andrew Ayew and Edmilison Fernandes are all out with injuries. Forward Andy Carroll is also questionable for this afternoon’s match with a knock of his own leaving this side thin up front. West Ham does return home to play their first match this season — and they need a result. They managed only eight shots against Newcastle and they will likely lean heavily on their good depth in their backfield along with a strong keeper in Joe Hart who is on load with the club from Man City.
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09-10-17 | Giants v. Cowboys UNDER 46.5 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (477) and the Dallas Cowboys (478). New York (0-0) may be a team where most of their attention goes to their offense with Eli Manning and Odell Beckham — and now they have added Brandon Marshall to that mix. But it is the defense that should be mentioned when first considering this Giants team. Last year, the Giants were 2nd in the NFL by holding opponents to just 17.8 PPG — and they were 10th in the NFL by allowing only 339.7 total YPG. Defensive coordinator is one of the best in the business — and his return to this franchise where he was the coordinator for their last Super Bowl run which earned him a head coaching stint with the Rams — has helped make this an elite defense once again. In particular, the Giants boast two of the best safeties in the league Landon Collins and Darian Thompson. New York has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against NFC opponents. The Giants have also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on turf. Furthermore, New York has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total when the number at 45.5 or higher. Additionally, the Giants have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 49 | Top | 42-27 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (451) and the New England Patriots (452). Kansas City (0-0) was just 20th in the NFL last season by averaging 343.0 total YPG. Yet this team was able to generate more points than that level of production would suggest as they ranked 13th in the league by scoring 24.3 PPG. But this is an offense under QB Alex Smith that was middling at best in both the pass where they averaged just 233.8 passing YPG (19th in the NFL) and only 109.2 rushing YPG (15th in the NFL). This is a team that seems to have taken a step back then this season with the decision to cut wide receiver Jeremy Maclin via voicemail and then running back Spencer Ware suffered a season-ending knee injury. The defense remains stout after finishing in the Top-Ten in points allowed for the fourth straight season by allowing just 19.4 PPG which was 7th best in the NFL. The Chiefs secondary is elite with strong safety Eric Berry and a true shutdown cornerback in Marcus Peters anchoring a great group that can play man-to-man and afford an extra defender in the box. This defensive group will also be buoyed by the return of linebackers Justin Houston and Derrick Johnson after they suffered season-ending injuries before the playoffs last season. Kansas City has played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Chiefs have also played 12 of their last 18 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. And in head coach Andy Reid’s last 6 road games that he has coached as an underdog in the 7.5 to 10 point range, those games finished Under the Total 5 times. |
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08-31-17 | Eagles v. Jets UNDER 36 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (105) and the New York Jets (106). Philadelphia (2-1) looks to build off their 38-31 victory over the Dolphins last Thursday. Despite all those points, the Eagles defense played pretty well in holding the Dolphins to just 302 yards of offense. With likely backup QB Nick Foles still dealing with an injury, expect the uninspiring Mitch McGloin to handle the quarterbacking duties tonight with Carson Wentz not risking taking the field and getting injured. The starting offensive line for the Eagles will not be playing in this game either which will make things more difficult for the former Penn State QB. As it is, Philadelphia has played 5 straight preseason games under the leadership of head coach Doug Pederson Under the Total with the number in the 35.5-42 point range. The Eagles have also played 4 of their last 6 preseason games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3 point range. |
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08-30-17 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (911) and the San Diego Padres (912) listing both starting pitchers Ty Blach and Travis Wood. San Diego (58-74) snapped their four-game losing streak last night with their 6-3 win over the Giants. The Padres have then seen the Over go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 19-7-1 in San Diego’s last 27 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 3-4 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP this season. Since being picked up by the Padres after being waived by the Royals, the left-hander has struggled at home where he has a 1.85 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .355 as opposed to his more mild 1.77 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average on the road. Wood’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when he is making the start. He faces a Giants team that has played 4 straight games Over the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-26-17 | Rice v. Stanford UNDER 51.5 | Top | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (297) and the Stanford Cardinal (298). Stanford (0-0) should be loaded for bear once again on defense this season as they return eight starters from a 10-3 team that won their last six games including beating North Carolina (and future Chicago Bears’ Hall of Fame quarterback Mitch Trubisky?) by a 25-23 score in the Sun Bowl. The Cardinal held their opponents to just 20.0 PPG and only 368 YPG. Stanford was 10th in the FBS with the most 3-and-outs on defense last year. Redshirt junior Keller Chryst returns as the starting quarterback but he missed all of spring ball from the injury he sistine in the Sun Bowl. Expect head coach David Shaw to rely on his defense along with a physical ground game with this team struggling to effectively execute the forward pass. The Cardinal has played 7 of their last 9 games in the first two weeks of the season Under the Total. Stanford has also played 21 of their last 32 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 56 point range. |
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08-26-17 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
At 12:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between Manchester United (84578) and Leicester City (84577). Manchester United (2-0-0) has been the toast of the new English Premier League season so far this year after winning their second straight game by a 4-0 score. This side looks dominant — particularly on offense after scoring eight goals so far this season. The $100 million acquisition of forward Romelu Lukaku looks to be just what the doctor ordered as he has given the team an active and fluid attacker that better fits the team as compared to their big pickup last year of Zlatan Ibrahimovic. But the key newcomer for this team is midfielder Nemanja Matic who played a key role for the champions Chelsea last season. Matic reunites with manager Jose Mouinho from his time in Chelsea. Not only does he offer the side a defensive-minded controlling midfielder but his presence on the pitch frees up Paul Pogba to become more of an attacker from the middle of the field. It is the chemistry between Pogba and Lukaku that makes the Red Devils very dangerous this season. Man United should score at least twice on their home field this afternoon. |
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08-25-17 | Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 44 | Top | 13-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (257) and the Seattle Seahawks (258). Seattle (2-0) looks to build off their 20-13 win over the Vikings last Friday as a 3.5-point favorite. The Seahawks under head coach Pete Carroll have then played 10 of their last 14 preseason games Under the total after a points spread win — and Carroll’s teams have played 18 of their last 25 preseason games Under the Total after a point spread in win in the preseason in his three-team head-coaching tenure in the NFL. Seattle will be undermanned at running back in this contest with both the likely starter Thomas Rawls and impressive backup C.J. Prosise not playing tonight as they deal with injuries. That means the majority of the carries — at least with the starters in the first half — will be by Eddie Lacy but the former Packers’ running back has not impressed this preseason after managing just 30 yards on 10 carries. As it is, the biggest weakness for this Seahawks team on offense is their offensive line. Not only was this a liability last year, but the team suffered devastating news this month with the season-ending ACl injury to tackle George Fant. Seattle did average 6.06 Yards-Per-Play last week against the Minnesota defense — and the Seahawks have then played 5 of their last 7 preseason games Under the Total after a preseason game under Carroll where they averaged at least 6.0 YPP. Carroll’s teams have also played 7 of their last preseason games Under the Total in his coaching career where his team averaged at least 6.0 YPP in their last preseason game. |
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08-24-17 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (907) and the Cincinnati Reds (908) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Sal Romano. Cincinnati (53-74) has lost three straight games after their 9-3 loss to the Cubs . The Reds’ pitching is just getting clobbered right now as they have surrendered at least eight runs in four straight games. Cincinnati has then played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least seven runs in three straight games. The Reds have also played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss. Furthermore, Cincy has played 8 of ther last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And this Reds team has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss by at least six runs. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 7 straight home games Over the Total at home. They give the ball to Romano who is 3-5 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 6.63 ERA along with a 1.74 WHIP and .296 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.39 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .282 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. He faces a red-hot Cubs team that is scoring 6.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games along with a .297 batting average with a .380 On-Base Percentage and .864 OPS during that span. Chicago has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Cubs have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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08-21-17 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (951) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) listing both starting pitchers Alex Wood and Gerrit Cole. Los Angeles (87-35) suffered a rare loss yesterday in a 6-1 loss to the Tigers and Justin Verlander. The Dodgers have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a loss. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. They give the ball to Wood who is 14-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.01 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly tough on the road where he enjoys a 1.72 ERA along with a 1.01 WHIP and .201 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his still strong (but not filthy) 2.77 ERA along with a 1.02 WHIP and .211 opponent’s batting average in ten starts (twelve games) at home. Furthermore, while Wood comes off another strong start where he allowed only one run at home against the White Sox — and the Dodgers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Wood looking to follow up a Quality Start. |
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08-19-17 | Bears v. Cardinals UNDER 40.5 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (425) and the Arizona Cardinals (426). Chicago (0-1) finds themselves in the midst of a quarterback battle after their 24-17 loss to the Broncos last Thursday. The Bears’ play was hoping to ease their 1st round draft pick Mitch Trubisky into the starting job with their free agent acquisition of Mike Glennon leading the way in that transition. But Chicago may not have the luxury of leaning on Trubisky if Glennon does not significantly improve after his poor performance last week where he completed only 2 of 8 passes of 20 yards while tossing a very bad interception. Glennon showed sparks of potential when with the Buccaneers with his strong arm — but he has never been the clear starter and may have trouble handling the pressure of being the presumed starter. Trubisky looked the part last week by completing 18 of 25 passes for 166 yards — but he was facing mostly backup competition. Trubisky will likely get the opportunity to face better defensive talent tonight. The Bears were small favorites by kickoff against the Broncos last week — and John Fox-coached teams in the NFL Preseason have played 7 of their 9 games Under the Total when coming off an upset loss at home. Fox will lean on his defense to lead the way in this bounce-back game. That unit did play well against a Denver team dealing with their own quarterback battle as they held the Broncos to just 281 yards of offense while surrendering just 17 points with one of Denver’s touchdowns coming from that pick-six that Glennon thew. Fox’s teams have also played 11 of their last 16 road games Under the Toal with the number in the 35.5 to 42 point range. And in the Bears last 6 preseason games as an underdog under Fox, they have played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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08-18-17 | Ottawa v. Hamilton UNDER 55.5 | Top | 37-18 | Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Redblacks (353) and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (354). Ottawa (1-6-1) continued their tough-luck season last week with a 27-20 loss to Edmonton as a 2.5-point favorite. All six of the losses for the reigning Grey Cup champions have been by 7 points or less. Offense was the problem last week as the Redblacks managed only 308 yards of offense. They held the ball for only 23:30 minutes again the Eskimos so controlling the clock and keeping their defense off the field should be a priority tonight. Moving forward, Ottawa has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Redblacks have played 19 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against fellow divisional opponents. And in their last 11 games against East Division foes, Ottawa has played 8 of these games Under the Total. |
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08-13-17 | BC v. Saskatchewan UNDER 56.5 | Top | 8-41 | Win | 100 | 0 h 29 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the British Columbia Lions (377) and the Saskatchewan Roughriders (378). Saskatchewan (2-4) looks to avenge a 30-15 loss at British Columbia last week. The Roughriders have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when looking to avenge a same-season loss to their opponents. First order of business for head coach Chris Jones is to get better play out of his defense after they surrendered 537 yards of offense to the Lions. Jones is a defensive-guru who earned his stripes leading the Edmonton Eskimos to the 2015 Grey Cup based on their ferocious defense — so expect some quality adjustments in this immediate rematch. Saskatchewan managed only 334 yards of offense last week with quarterback Kevin Glenn struggling so expect Jones to try to win a low-scoring game. These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Saskatchewan. And in the Roughriders’ last 7 games against fellow West Division opponents, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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08-11-17 | Indians v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (969) and the Tampa Bay Rays (970) listing both starting pitchers Carlos Carrasco and Jacob Faria. Tampa Bay (59-57) won the opening game of this series last night with their 4-1 win over the Indians. The Rays have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win. Tampa Bay has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 7 games at home, the Rays have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They give the ball to their Faria who is 5-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.14 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he enjoys a 2.56 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP and .207 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home as compared to his 3.03 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .221 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. Faria comes off a tough-luck loss in his last start where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work against the Brewers — and Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Faria looking to follow up a Quality Start. He should fare well against the cold Cleveland bats that are scoring only 3.0 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .176 batting average along with a .238 On-Base Percentage and .527 OPS over that span. The Indians have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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08-06-17 | Dodgers v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 8-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (903) and the New York Mets (904) listing both starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu and Steven Matz. New York (49-59) has lost three straight as well as six of their last seven contests with their 7-4 loss to the Dodgers yesterday afternoon. The Mets have now seen the Over go 9-1-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The Over is 15-4-3 in New York’s last 22 third games of a series. They give the ball to Steven Matz who is 2-4 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. The left-hander is struggling — he has not recorded a Quality Start since June 3rd. Matz has been particularly ineffective when pitching at home where he has been saddled with a 9.69 ERA, 2.08 WHIP and a rough .413 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 4.12 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. Additionally, the Over is 24-9-5 in the Mets’ last 38 games at home. |
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08-05-17 | Brewers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
At 6:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (979) and the Tampa Bay Rays (980) listing both starting pitchers Zack Davies and Alex Cobb. Milwaukee (57-53) has won three of their last four games after taking the opening game of this series last night by a 2-0 score. The Brewers are surviving despite swinging cold bats right now. They have not scored more than four runs in each of their last eight games — and they managed to plate for runners four times just once during that span. Not only has Milwaukee then played 15 of their last 17 games Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs in at least three straight games but they have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score more than four runs for at least five straight contests. Additionally, the Brewers have played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after a game where four or less combined runs were scored. Furthermore, Milwaukee has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in Interleague play. The Brewers have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Davies tonight who is 12-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.42 WHIP this season. After surviving a horrible April, the right-hander has settled down to pitch quite well albeit under the radar of many. Over his last seven starts, he has not allowed more than three earned runs in five of those occasions — posting a sparkling 2.74 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP over that span. Davies has also been much better away from home for the entire season given his 2.80 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .256 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts on the road as compared to his 6.15 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and .304 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts at home. The Brewers have played 9 of their last 12 games on the road Under the Total. |
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07-30-17 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco Giants (961) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Hyun-Jin Ryu. Los Angeles (77-31) has won seven straight games with their 2-1 win over the Giants yesterday. The Dodgers finish out their ten-game home stand tonight — and they have played a decisive 38 of their last 59 home games Under the Total after playing at least five straight games at home. Los Angeles has also played 26 of their last 36 home games Under the Total as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. They give the ball to Ryu who is 3-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.42 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 4.10 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .268 opponent’s batting average in seven starts (eight games) at home as compared to his 4.25 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .293 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. The Dodgers have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with Ryu pitching on five days of rest. He should fare well against this Giants team that is scoring only 3.6 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-30-17 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 7 m | Show |
At 1:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Braves (953) and the Philadelphia Phillies (954) listing both starting pitchers R.A. Dickey and Vince Velasquez. Atlanta (48-54) has lost six of their last seven games with their 4-3 loss to the Phillies last night. The Braves have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss. Atlanta has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total on the road. They give the ball to Dickey who is 6-7 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season. The right-handed knuckleballer has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.68 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in nine starts as compared to his 3.33 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .258 opponent’s batting average in eleven starts at home. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Braves’ last 6 road games with Dickey pitching as an underdog. Dickey faces a red hot Phillies’ offense that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .275 batting average along with a .333 On-Base Percentage and .807 OPS during that span. |
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07-27-17 | Montreal v. Winnipeg UNDER 50.5 | Top | 40-41 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Alouettes (371) and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers (372). Winnipeg (2-2) has lost two of their last three games with their 45-42 loss at British Columbia last Friday. The Blue Bombers were outscored by an 18-0 score in the 4th quarter to blow that game. Now Winnipeg returns home likely with a hangover which might be difficult for them to shake out of after such a collapse. As it is, the Blue Bombers have seen the Under go 12-5-2 in their last 19 games at home. They do have the league’s best run defense. On offense, they are averaging just 348.5 total YPG which is second-to-last in the CFL. Moving forward, the Under is 4-1-1 in Winnipeg’s last 6 games when playing on a Thursday. |
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07-26-17 | Jamaica v. United States UNDER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
At 9:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total (2.0) in the match between Jamaica (7511) and the USMNT (7512). The USMNT (4-1-0) reached the Finals of the Gold Cup with their 2-0 victory over Costa Rica on Saturday. While that final result suggests a decisive victory for the Americans, that match was still scoreless after 70 minutes of play until Jozy Altidore scored at the 72nd minute mark. Clint Dempsey — on the pitch as a second-half substitute — then added the second and last goal ten minutes later. Despite controlling the ball for 57% of the match, the Stars and Stripes only attempted 10 shots. But Tim Howard was outstanding in goal for the USMNT to help the Yankees earn their third straight clean sheet. Team USA has allowed only three goals in five matches in this tournament. Expect the Stars and Stripes to play cautiously on their home soil in this Finals match. Depth is an advantage for this team — and this Finals match will have a 30 minute extra time before the contest resorts to a Penalty Kick resolution (as opposed to going directly to PKs after 90 minutes as all the matches in both Group Stage play as well as the Quarterfinals and Semifinals). Remember, Totals plays in soccer are evaluated after 90 minutes of play (and after the few minutes of potential time to accommodate the running clock). Furthermore, there is the issue of Dempsey likely to continue to come off the bench in this match. The forward may be looking to pass Landon Donovan for most goals by an American in international play for the USMNT but the 34-year old cannot be relied upon as a key piece in any potential 2018 World Cup team given his rising age. The Stars and Stripes may be content with not taking many chances until Dempsey takes the pitch sometime in the second-half. |
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07-26-17 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 10 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (977) and the Chicago White Sox (978) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and James Shields. The Cubs (52-47) are playing much better baseball having won nine of their last eleven games with their 7-2 victory over the White Sox last night. The Under is then 13-5-1 in the Cubs’ last 19 games after a win. The Cubbies have also played 12 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total — and this includes playing eight of their last eleven road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Much of the defending World Series’ success as of late can be attributed to improved starting pitching with Arrieta being one of the key contributors. In his four starts this month, the right-hander has a 2.13 ERA. And over his last two starts on the road, Arrieta has allowed only one earned run in 13 2/3 innings of work. The Cubs have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with Arrieta on the hill. He should fare well against this slumping White Sox team that is scoring only 2.6 Runs-Per-Game with a low .251 batting average along with a .290 On-Base Percentage and .656 OPS over their last seven games. |
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07-24-17 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 9 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (963) and the Tampa Bay Rays (964) listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gaussian and Blake Snell. Baltimore (47-51) looks to build off their 9-7 victory over the Astros yesterday afternoon. The Orioles have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after a win — and they have played 7 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Baltimore has played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Gausman who is 6-7 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 7.98 ERA, 2.01 WHIP and .351 opponent’s batting average in nine starts on the road as compared to his 5.05 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and .291 opponent’s batting average in twelve starts at home. The Orioles have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total with Gausman pitching as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. And while Gausman comes off a nice outing where he allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work at home against the Rangers, Baltimore has then played 4 of their lease 5 games Over the Total with Gausman on the hill looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Rays team that scores 4.9 Runs-Per-Game at home and who have played 9 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-22-17 | United States v. Costa Rica OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between the USMNT (35789) and Costa Rica (35790). The United States (3-1-0) reached the Semifinals of the 2017 Gold Cup with their 2-0 victory over El Salvador. The Stars and Stripes lead all teams in this tournament with nine goals in four matches — and they saw Gyasi Zardes’ goal scored in the Quarterfinals waved off from an incorrect offsides call (in hindsight). The offensive firepower of this team has significantly improved with manager Bruce Arena’s decisions to tap forwards Clint Dempsey and Jozy Altidore along with midfielders Michael Bradley and Darlington Nagbe to begin the Knockout Stage — so this is a roster that looks more like the one Arena hopes to see next summer in the World Cup. Tim Howard also took over in goal for Brad Guzan who joined his new team in the MLS (Atlanta United). But despite that clean sheet on Wednesday, the USMNT looked shaky on defense against El Salvador who blew a handful of strong scoring chances. |
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07-22-17 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (969) and the Minnesota Twins (970) listing both starting pitchers Jordan Zimmermann and Kyle Gibson. Detroit (43-51) has won five of their last seven games with their 6-3 victory in the first game of this series. The Tigers are swinging hot bats: over their last seven games, they are scoring 7.0 Runs-Per-Game with a .313 batting average along with a .382 On-Base Percentage and an .884 OPS. The Tigers have played 28 of their last 45 games on the road Over the Total. And in their last 18 games against fellow AL Central opponents, the Over is 11-5-2. They send out Zimmermann who is 6-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.49 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has been saddled with a 6.29 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and .307 opponent’s batting average in ten starts as compared to his 4.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .280 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Tigers’ last 4 road games with Zimmermann on the mound. He faces a Twins team that has scored 4.9 Runs-Per-Game this season against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-21-17 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 10:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (913) and the San Francisco Giants (914) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Cahill and Jeff Samardzija. San Diego (41-54) won the opening game of this series last night by a 5-2 score. The Padres have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also a decisive 19-5-2 in San Diego’s last 26 games against fellow NL West opponents. And in their last 4 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Over is 3-0-1. They give the ball to Cahill who is 4-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been outstanding at home where he has a 0.72 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and .169 opponent’s batting average in four starts — but those numbers explode to a 5.01 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .279 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. That is not a good sign when facing this Giants team that has seen the Over go 4-1-2 in their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, the Padres have played a decisive 29 of their last 43 games as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range. |
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07-20-17 | Honduras v. Mexico UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
At 10:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total (2.5) in the match between Honduras (47365) and Mexico (47366). Mexico (2-1-0) clinched winning Group C of this Gold Cup with their 2-0 victory over Curacao on Sunday. Despite that victory, El Tri has been far from dominant in this tournament — and at times they were dominated by the lesser opponent in that Curacao side. Manager Juan Carlos Osorio has changed his lineup significantly in each of the three matches so far in this event which has impacted in the ability of these younger players to develop chemistry. Mexico has scored only five combined goals in this tournament. But the encouraging sign for El Tri has that they have allowed only one goal so far in this tournament. Goalkeeper Jesus Corona was outstanding on Sunday with four saves including spectacular ones that preserved that clean sheet. Corona was on the roster of the “A-Team” that played in last month’s Confederation’s Cup. Corona is still fighting to earn the starting job on next year’s World Cup team so he should be on his game tonight. |
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07-19-17 | Montreal v. Ottawa UNDER 50 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Alouettes (351) and the Ottawa Redblacks (352). Montreal (2-2) enters this game coming off a 30-23 upset win over Calgary last Friday. The Alouettes now go on the road where they have played 7 straight games Under the Total when the Total is set in the 49.5-56 point range. Montreal has also played 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Additionally, the Alouettes have seen the Under go 17-5-1 in their last 23 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 9 games in the month of July, Montreal has played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
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07-19-17 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 4-18 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
At 3:10 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Diego Padres (905) and the Colorado Rockies (906) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Richard and Jon Gray. Colorado (55-41) has won three straight games after their 9-7 victory over the Padres yesterday. The Total is elevated to the 11.5 range for this afternoon Getaway Game — but the Rockies have still played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total at home in Coors Field. Colorado has also played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total in the month of July. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-1 in the Rockies’ last 6 games against NL West opponents. They send out Gray who is 2-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.81 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics do call for immediate improvement in Gray’s numbers with a drop of more than 1 1/2 earned runs allowed per outing with his SIERA and xFIP of 4.47 and 4.03. The right-hander has been much better at home where he enjoys a 2.45 ERA as compared to his 9.00 ERA when on the road. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with Gray on the mound. He should fare well against this Padres team that has played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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07-18-17 | Dodgers v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers (975) and the Chicago White Sox (976) listing both starting pitchers Clayton Kershaw and Miguel Gonzalez. Chicago (38-52) has lost four straight games after their 7-6 loss to Seattle on Sunday. The White Sox are slumping with their bats — over their last seven games, they are scoring just 3.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .211 batting average along with a .259 On-Base Percentage and a .628 OPS. That is not a good sign when having to face Kershaw tonight. As it is, Chicago is hitting only .198 over their last five games — and they have then played 13 of their last 14 home games Under the Total after not hitting at least .200 in their last five games. The White Sox have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-2 in Chicago’s last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. They give the ball to Gonzalez who is 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.98 ERA along with a 1.26 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home as compared to his 5.94 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and .313 opponent’s batting average in eight starts on the road. The White Sox have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Gonzalez facing a team with a winning record. Los Angeles has played 4 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. And in their last 11 games against a right-handed starting pitcher, the Under is 7-2-2. |
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07-15-17 | United States v. Nicaragua UNDER 3.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Nicaragua (10314) and the USMNT (10313). The USMNT (1-1-0) will not know what result they need until the conclusion of the Panama-Martinique contest that is the first Gold Cup match in Cleveland this afternoon. The Stars and Stripes are tied with Panama with 4 points in Group B play — and they have the tie-break advantage with four goals scored as compared to the three goals scored by Panama in these games. It may very well be the case that the Americans will be happy to play conservative to ensure the 1 point from a draw. One likely event for tonight is better play from goalkeeper Brad Guzan. Guzan allowed two soft goals on Wednesday in the USMNT’s 3-2 victory over Martinique. Guzan is a quality keeper and should play better tonight. The Yankees have allowed three goals in these games while scoring four times — which makes the 3 1/2 Total for this match seemingly a bit high. Perhaps the Total has been moved up given the possible need for the USA to score goals to ensure first place in Group B. But this team is not playing with much cohesion having little experience playing with each other. Manager Bruce Arena is using this tournament to give playing time to his entire roster as an audition for next summer’s World Cup. |
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07-13-17 | Jamaica v. Mexico UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 105 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
At 10:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Mexico (24266) and Jamaica (24267). Jamaica (1-0-0) stepped up with two goals in the second half on Sunday to secure a 2-0 victory over a Curacao side that had defeated them less than three weeks ago in the Finals of the Caribbean Cup. With 3 points under their belts, the Reggae Boyz are in a very good position to advance to the Knockout Stage — and the point they would secure from a draw would be very valuable. This is a team that thrives on playing cautious with most of their players protecting the back end. Jamaica boasts three strong defenders in Jermaine Taylor, Alvas Powell and Kemar Lawrence who all star in the MLS. Furthermore, the Reggae Boyz have an outstanding goalkeeper in Andrew Blake was awarded the MLS Goalkeeper of the Year Award in 2016. Blake was sensational on Sunday in that match with Curacao as he made six saves against them including three that were Sports Center worthy. |
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07-04-17 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 9 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (969) and the Texas Rangers (970) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Yu Darvish. Boston (48-35) has won five games in a row with their 7-5 victory over the Rangers last night. The Red Sox are swinging hot bats right now: over their last seven games, they are scoring 7.4 Runs-Per-Game with a .308 batting average along with an On-Base Percentage of .401 and an OPS of .859. Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road. The Red Sox have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. They send out Price who is 3-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.27 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.32 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and .244 opponent’s batting average in four starts on the road as compared to his 3.79 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home. Boston has played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total with Price on the mound. And while Price comes off a solid outing where he allowed three earned runs in 7 innings of work against the Twins, the Red Sox have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total with Price looking to follow up a Quality Start. |
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06-30-17 | BC v. Toronto UNDER 51.5 | Top | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 44 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the British Columbia Lions (373) and the Toronto Argonauts (374). Toronto (1-0) had the biggest win by the largest margin in the opening week of the new Canadian Football League season with their 32-15 upset victory over Hamilton. At first glance, the headlining story would likely be quarterback Robby Ray passing for 506 yards under the guidance of new head coach Marc Trestman in his first game back in the CFL after a tour in the National Football League which included a head coaching gig with the Chicago Bears. But perhaps the more exciting development for the Argonauts franchise was the play of their defense which held the Tiger-Cats to just 258 yards of offense. Trestman hired former Saskatchewan head coach (and Grey Cup winner) Corey Chamblin as his defensive coordinator and he displayed a high level of sophisticated blitz schemes and coverages despite the turnover that this team saw on defense from last season. This strong defensive play should carry over to this week. As it is, the Argonauts have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up victory. Additionally, Toronto has played 26 of their last 36 home games when not laying more than 3 points as the favorite. Furthermore, the Argonauts have played 17 of their last 22 games Under the Total in the month of June. |
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06-29-17 | Mexico v. Germany OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Mexico (48779) and Germany (48780). Mexico (2W-1D-0L) is an underdog in this Semifinals match against the German B (or C) team. And while El Tri has a history of disappointments on the big international teams outside of North America, this side has proven themselves resilient. Mexico has trailed in all three of their Group Stage matches — yet they managed to pull out two wins and one draw in all three contests. They fell behind 1-0 to Russia last Saturday but then scored the 30th and 52nd minute to pull out that 2-1 victory. They have scored two goals in all three of their Group Stage matches. But defense has been an issue for this squad. They have given up four goals in this tournament including one in each of their three matches which includes a weak New Zealand side. Not only has their back end been too leaky at times, but they have struggled when facing a high-pressing team — and that is exactly the German style of play. To compound matters, their captain and glue in the midfield Andres Guardado will be out for this match after earning a second Yellow Card versus Russia. |
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06-25-17 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Pirates (907) and the St. Louis Cardinals (908) listing both starting pitchers Chad Kuhl and Mike Leake. Pittsburgh (35-40) has won the opening two games of this series after their 7-3 victory yesterday. The Pirates have then played 5 of their last 6 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a victory. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road. And despite looking to secure the sweep tonight, this Pirates team is hitting just .158 over their last three games. Pittsburgh has played a decisive 33 of their last 48 games Under the Total when hitting no better than .175 in their last three games. They give the ball to Kuhl who is 2-6 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective when pitching on the road where he owns a 3.45 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .267 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his rough 7.36 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and .299 opponent’s batting average in eight starts at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where he enjoyed a 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Pirates have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total with Kuhl pitching with four days of rest. |
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06-24-17 | Tigers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
At 10:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (979) and the San Diego Padres (980) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Dinelson Lamet. San Diego (30-44) won the opening game of this series last night by a 1-0 score. The Padres have not allowed more than four runs in five straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight contests. San Diego has also played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. Furthermore, the Over is 6-2-1 in the Padres’ last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 7 games in Interleague play, the Over is 5-1-1. They send out their 24-year old rookie Lamet who is 2-2 with a 7.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. Lamet has not been as effective at home in Petco Park where he has been saddled with a 8.10 ERA and .262 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.07 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average when on the road. |
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06-24-17 | Portugal v. New Zealand UNDER 3.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
At 11:00 AM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Portugal (47112) and New Zealand (47113). Portugal enters this final match in Group A play in the Confederations Cup after their 1-0 victory over Russia on Wednesday. Now the Seleccao needs just a draw to ensure they advance to the Semifinals of this tournament. The stakes are so low for this Portugal side that there is a very good chance that their Talisman Cristiano Ronaldo may sit for this match. Ronaldo was quite effective with his club team Real Madrid this season with him given periodic rest during the season being seen as one of the reasons for his success — so don’t be surprised if he is not on the pitch on Saturday despite manager Fernando Santos refusing to disclose his specific plans on the matter. The Total is set at 3.5 for this match with the expectation that this Portugal side will dominate the Kiwis — they are laying -2.5 goals. Yet the Seleccao has scored only three goals in this tournament. Remember, they scored only nine combined goals in seven matches last summer in the Euro 2016 Championship with three of those goals occurring in one match. And while that three-goal “explosion” did occur in the last match in Group Stage play, that scenario was much different with both Portugal and their opponent Hungary needing a victory to safely advance to the Knockout Stage. That result was a 3-3 draw and the Seleccao managed to slip in to the Round of 16 as the bottom seed. So I do not expect the Seleccao to score three or more goals in this match. I also see Portugal continue to play outstanding defense in this match after tightening things up on Wednesday after allowing two goals to Mexico in their opening match. Keeper Rui Patricio was outstanding in his shutout over the Russians. What is perhaps the most underrated strength of the European Champions is just how stingy when it comes to giving up goals. Portugal allowed only five goals in their seven Euro matches last season — with three of those goals in that Group Stage match against Hungary. The Seleccao enjoyed four clean sheets in the Euro last summer — and they have a great opportunity to claim yet another on Saturday. |
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06-22-17 | Chile v. Germany OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 2:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the match between Chile (85646) and Germany (85647). Germany (1-0-0) is using this tournament to audition a new generation of players who can earn themselves roles as this national team makes a major push to win the 2018 World Cup. Twelve likely players including most of the stars from next year’s national team — including Arsenal midfielder Mesut Ozil along with forward Thomas Mueller and keeper Manuel Nuer — did not make the trip to Russia. But Die Mannschaft is rich with soccer talent and this “Germany 2.0” still has plenty of quality players as they displayed on Sunday in their 3-2 victory over Australia. The German style on the pitch is to be aggressive — they are averaging 4.3 Goals-Per-Game in their nine matches in the Confederations Cup as a national squad. On Sunday, Germany collected 18 shots with six of them on target — scoring on three of these shots. Frankly, it could have been more particularly in the first half. Midfielder Julian Draxler looks destined to play an important role on next summer’s squad — and he scored an important goal at the 44th minute to give the Germans a 2-1 lead going into halftime. But defense looks to be a concern for this side as Australia was able to expose gaps in their back end as this match went on. Furthermore, keeper Bernd Leno did not demonstrate he is a threat to displace Nuer between the posts next year as the two goals he conceded were pretty shaky. Defensive tactics have been an issue for manager Joachim Low’s national teams with Germany — and this is a group that only had ten days of practice together to begin establishing some chemistry and cohesion. |
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06-21-17 | Astros v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (925) and the Oakland A’s (926) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Sean Manaea. Houston (48-24) has won two straight games after their 6-2 victory over the A’s last night. The Astros have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Over is also 10-4-3 in Houston’s last 17 games on the road. They send out Fiers who is 4-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective in his seven starts on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.40 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .268 as compared to his 2.68 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where Fiers had a 4.99 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to the modest improvements of a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .273 opponents batting average when he was pitching at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Astros’ last 4 road games with Fiers facing a team with a losing record. He faces an Oakland team that has seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the A’s last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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06-17-17 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (925) and the Houston Astros (926) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and David Paulino. Boston (38-29) has won four of their last five games with their 2-1 win over the Astros last night. The Red Sox have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, after Chris Sale’s complete game shutout on Thursday, Boston’s bullpen has pitched only 2 1/3 innings over the last two days — and they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not having their bullpen pitch more than 3 innings of work in each of their last two games. And with the Red Sox having won six of their last eight games, they have then played 22 of the last 30 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eighth games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games on the road. They send out Porcello who is 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. It has been a disappointing start for the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner — but the deeper sabermetrics strongly suggest that better times are coming. The right-hander’s BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) of .366 is the highest of all qualifying pitchers and should drop (along with his opponent’s batting average). Porcello is enjoying his best strikeout rate in his career. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.09 and 4.23 moving forward. Porcello has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.76 ERA as compared to his 5.40 ERA when at home. The under is also 3-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 4 games with Porcello pitching with four days of rest. |
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06-12-17 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 230.5 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (709) and the Golden State Warriors (710). Cleveland (64-35) made a huge withdrawal from the Bank of the Regression Gods on Friday by collecting on the plethora of missed open shots in the first three games of this series en route to their epic 137-116 victory over the Warriors. The Cavaliers broke a host of NBA Finals records including most points in the first quarter (49), most points by halftime (86) — and their 115 points after three quarters were more than they what they had scored in any of the first three games of this series. Cleveland made 59.1% of their uncontested shots in Game Four after making host 38.4% of their uncontested shots in the first three games of this series. And most of those shots were from behind the arc — the Cavaliers became the first team in NBA Finals history to take more 3-point shots than 2-point shots. That is the simplest way to dissect why Golden State has a 3-1 lead in this series. In Game Four, Cleveland players not named LeBron James or Kyrie Irving combined to make 14 of their 25 (56%) 3-pointers. It is that simple. Golden State (82-16) scored 116 points on their losing effort despite shooting just 44.8% from the field which was their second worst shooting performance in their last nine games. The Warriors also made just 11 of 39 shots from downtown (28.2%). Draymond Green’s 16 shots were more than both Stephen Curry (13) and Klay Thompson (11). And after averaging 33 PPG in transition in the first three games of this series, the Warriors managed only 7 points in transition. So while it would be foolish to expect the Cavs to come close to replicating their offensive performance from Game Four, it is very reasonable to expect Golden State to play much better on offense and surpass the 116 points they scored on Friday. In a series that is fast-paced with plenty of 3-point attempts and plenty of trips to the charity stripe, I still don’t think the oddsmakers adjustment to (finally) place the Total in the low-230s is high enough. After four games, Cleveland is 77 of 100 (77%) which translates to a 19.3-25 FT/FTA per game average. Golden State has made 82 of 100 free throws for a 20.6-25 FT/FTA per game average. These teams are combining to tack off 40 points from the Total just from the charity stripe. The 3-point numbers are even more fascinating (as I tweeted out this morning). Cleveland has made 55 of 149 shots from behind the arc for a 36.9% average. Golden State has made 57 of 148 shots from the 3-point line for a 38.6% mark. Both teams are averaging 13.8 and 14.3 made 3s per game on 37.3 and 37 shots per game from behind the arc. In this closeout game which should see both teams starters on the floor until the waning moments even if one team is dominating, expect another high-scoring affair. |
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06-11-17 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 4:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Robbie Ray. Arizona (37-26) has won four of their last five games with their 3-2 victory over the Brewers yesterday. The Diamondbacks have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory. Additionally, the Over is 23-9-2 in Arizona’s last 34 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Over is a decisive 50-22-3 in the Diamondbacks’ last 75 games at home — and that includes playing twenty of their last twenty-seven home games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5-10 range. They send out Ray who is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. The right-hander has allowed only one earned run in his last 30 1/3 innings of work — but the deeper sabermetrics call for regression. Both Ray’s SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.48 and 3.44 respectively moving forward. Ray has also not been as effective at home where he has a 5.67 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his microscopic 0.64 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP and .134 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total with Ray on there mound. That bodes for trouble when facing this Brewers team that has played 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs OVER 228.5 | Top | 116-137 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (707) and the Cleveland Cavaliers (708). Cleveland (63-35) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after blowing a 6-point lead late in the 4th quarter in their 118-113 loss on Wednesday as a 3-point underdog. With the second straight game where at least 231 combined points were scored, the Total has risen to the 228 range. With a number that high, it does not take much defense or slowing of the pace to produce an Under. But do not expect the Cavaliers to mail-in this effort. Cleveland will be playing for pride on their home court — and the opportunity to ruin the Warriors attempt to make history with the NBA’s first perfect 16-0 playoff mark should ensure a fast start for the underdogs. While this series can be dissected to death, my primary take is quite simple: Cleveland is not making baskets. On Wednesday, they shot only 44.4% from the field while making just 12 of their 44 shots from the 3-point line (27.3%). In Game One, the Caves made only 34.9% of their shots while making 11 of their 31 shots from the 3-point line for a 35.5% mark that turned out to be their best so far in these playoffs. In Game Two, Cleveland shot 45% from the field (their best mark in this series) but made only 8 of 29 of their 3-pointers (27.6%). Credit the Warriors’ defense — but keep in mind they are primarily focused on stopping LeBron James and Kyrie Irving who combined for 77 points on Wednesday. There is no question that Zaza Pachulia and the rest of the Warriors have completely neutered Tristan Thompson. But the Cavaliers’ supporting cast continue to miss open 3-point shots which has been the biggest difference in this series. In Game Three, they made only 3 of their 18 corner 3-point attempts while making just 7 of their 30 uncontested 3-point shots! Now with the pressure off this team facing a near-impossible 0-3 deficit to overcome, I do expect some of the 3-pointers to find the net rather than the rim. I won’t re-quote the analytics entering this series for the Cavaliers that I have referenced previously — but suffice to say that their Offensive Efficiency and effective field goal percentage was not just better than the Warriors this postseason but the best mark in the NBA Playoffs over the last forty years. That 44.4% mark in Game Three was their second worst offensive performance in their last twelve games — with the worst being Game One of the NBA Finals when they were playing off the rust of six days rest. This remains a team that shoots 48.6% on their home court while also making 39.1% of their shots from behind the arc. The Cavs’ open jumpers — and 3-pointers — are bound to fall sooner rather than later. |
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06-05-17 | Penguins v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (7) and the Nashville Predators (8). Pittsburgh (65-28-6) scored in the first three minutes of the 1st period on Saturday but failed to score a goal for the remaining 57 minutes in their 5-1 loss to the Predators in Game Three of this series. The Penguins have scored just six goals in their last four road games as well as only ten goals in their last six playoff games on the road. While the Pens are loaded with scorers at forward, they are playing a bit more conservatively than perhaps they would like given the injuries they have endured on defense — most notably with their talisman blue-liner in Kris Letang. The team was also without their third-line center Nick Bonino on Saturday and he is listed as questionable for Game Four with his lower body injury. Goalie Matt Murray suffered his worst game in these playoffs by allowing five goals on 33 shots — he should play better tonight after stopping 60 of the first 64 shots he has faced in this series. Nashville scored twice in the 3rd period on Saturday — and Pittsburgh has played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the 3rd period of their last game. The Penguins have also played 11 of their last 14 road games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 23 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after a loss by at least two goals. Additionally, the Under is 6-2-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 47 opportunities on the road to avenge a loss to their opponent, 32 of these games finished Under the Total. |
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06-02-17 | Indians v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Jason Vargas. Cleveland (28-24) has won four of their last five games with their 8-0 victory over the A’s yesterday. The Under is then 26-10-2 in the Indians’ lat 38 games after a victory. The Under is also 17-6-3 in Cleveland’s last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 7-2-1. They send out Tomlin who is 3-6 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics project better times for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 3.75 respectively moving forward. Tomlin has been more effective on the road where he owns a strong 1.13 WHIP as compared to his 1.44 WHIP along with a 6.19 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .321 when pitching at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Tomlin had a 4.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.50 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 6-1-2 in the Indians’ last 9 games on the road. He should fare well against this Royals’ team that has played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Tomlin also loves to pitch against Kansas City — he is 10-4 with a 3.94 ERA in 23 career appearances which includes 19 starts against the Royals. |
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05-29-17 | Predators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -135 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (63-27-6) earned the opportunity to defend their Stanley Cup Championship in this year’s Stanley Cup with their 3-2 victory over Ottawa in the climactic seventh game of the Eastern Conference Finals on Thursday. The Penguins host this opening game as they retain the home ice advantage in this series — and the Under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games at home. While Pittsburgh has two of the best forwards in the world in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, head coach Mike Sullivan has had his team play a bit more conservatively to help compensate for some of the injuries on their blue line. Furthermore, expect both teams to be cautious in this opening game as they feel each other out after their tough respective Conference Finals. The Penguins have played 22 of their last 32 opening games of a new series in the playoffs. Additionally, the Predators will be taking the ice for the first time in a week for this game — and that helps place the Under into an empirical angle that has been 69% effective over the last five seasons. In games between non-conference opponents with the Total set at 5.5, when the road team is playing with at least three days of rest, these games then finished Under the Total in 36 of the last 52 situations where these conditions applied. |
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05-26-17 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Chad Kuhl. Pittsburgh (22-26) has seen their bats awaken over the last two games as they have scored 21 runs over that span while belting six home runs in their four-game series against the Braves. The Pirates have won two straight games with their 9-4 win in Atlanta last night. Pittsburgh has then seen the Over go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a victory. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the Pirates’ last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Over is 6-2-1. They send out Kuhl who is 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been hit hard in his five starts home this year where he has been saddled with an 8.20 ERA, 2.09 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average as compared to his solid 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are entirely consistent with last season where Kuhl had a 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average at home but a strong 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Pirates have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Kuhl on the mound. |
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05-24-17 | Marlins v. A's OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (923) and the Oakland A’s (924) listing both starting pitchers Edison Volquez and Sonny Gray. Miami (16-28) opened this series with a 10-8 victory over the A’s last night. The Marlins have then seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 18-7-2 in Miami’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 15 road games against American League opponents, the Marlins have played 12 of these games Over the Total. They send out Volquez who is 0–6 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective on the road in five starts where he has a 5.26 ERA and a rough opponent’s batting average of .303 as compared to his 4.20 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home this season. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where Volquez had an uninspiring 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average at home with all those numbers even worse on the road to a 5.71 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average. That does not bode well when facing this Oakland team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Furthermore, the A’s have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 217.5 | Top | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 9:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (725) and the San Antonio Spurs (726). San Antonio (69-28) decided to play small-ball on Saturday in Game Three of this series which resulted in them being at their most competitive against the Warriors since losing Kawhi Leonard to his left ankle injury. However, the Spurs still lost that game by a 120-108 score as a 9-point underdog. Kyle Anderson was inserted into the starting lineup — and while he is not a prolific scorer per se, he did help San Antonio score points through his athleticism. San Antonio forced 21 turnovers which instigated 25 points — and they also scored 23 points on the fast break. With LaMarcus Aldridge still struggling on offense being very uncomfortable in the role of the team’s primary scorer, look for head coach Gregg Popovich to continue to play small ball with perhaps Aldridge seeing more time on the bench. Small-ball means faster play and more offense for the Spurs (and the Warriors) — and that helps our Over even if Aldridge and his disastrous play on defense is on the bench. As it is, San Antonio has played 20 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Spurs have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. San Antonio has also played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when avenging a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Spurs have played 5 straight games on their home court Over the Total. And while San Antonio has failed to cover the point spread in four of their last six games, they have then played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. |
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05-21-17 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 109 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (965) and the Detroit Tigers (966) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matthew Boyd. Detroit (21-20) closes out this series tonight after their 9-3 win over the Rangers in the second game of this series. The Tigers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory. Detroit has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road, the Under is 18-5-3. They send out Boyd who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP this season. The left-hander is looking to redeem himself from a bad outing where he allowed seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work against the Orioles on Tuesday. Boyd has been respectable at home where he has a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .241 — it is on the road where he has really struggled with a 1.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .329. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Boyd pitching with four days of rest. He should pitch better tonight against this Rangers team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218 | Top | 130-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Cavaliers (501) and the Boston Celtics (502). Boston (61-35) was emotionally flat in the first half of the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics missed all eight of their open 3-point shots in the first-half en route to making only 12 of 38 shots from behind the arc (31.8%) in a 117-104 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday as a 3.5-point underdog. Isaiah Thomas scored only 17 points in that game. Expect this Boston team that makes 36.1% from the 3-point line on their home court to shoot better from behind the arc. The Celtics should also come out with much more energy tonight considering the urgency they will face in needing to win this game before traveling to Cleveland to play Games Three and Four. Boston can exploit the Cavaliers who were last in the regular season in transition defense. The Celtics have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Over is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread setback. And in their last 16 home games, the Over is 12-3-1 — and that includes being a perfect 7-0 in these playoffs. |
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05-18-17 | Ducks v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (9) and the Nashville Predators (10). Nashville (51-32-12) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 2-1 victory. The Predators thrive off the energy of the home crowd in Bridgestone Arena which helps ensure they provide maximum effort for all sixty minutes of the game. That helps explain why they have allowed only one goal in each of their last five playoff games on their home ice. The Under is now 9-1-2 in their last 12 games at home. Nashville has also played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total following a game that finished Under the Total. Much of the reason why the Preds are so tough at home is that head coach Peter LaViolette gets the option of the last line shift which affords him maximum flexibility to deploy his two elite defensive lines of Roman Josi and Ryan Ellis along with P.K. Subban Mattias Ekholm. The club is also getting outstanding goaltending from Pekka Rinne who has a superb .958 save percentage on the 167 shots he has faced at home in these playoffs. Moving forward, the Under is 4-0-1 in Nashville’s last 5 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals, the Under is 3-1-1. |
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05-18-17 | Blue Jays v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (919) and the Atlanta Braves (920) listing both starting pitchers Marcus Stroman and Julio Teheran. Atlanta (16-21) has won three straight games — as well as five of their last six — with their 8-4 win versus the Blue Jays in the first game in Atlanta of this two-game home-and-home series with Toronto. The Braves have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 20-7-1 in Atlanta’s last 28 home games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games in Interleague play, the Braves have played 4 of these games Over the Total. The team received bad news this afternoon with the announcement that Freddie Freeman would miss 8-12 weeks after being beaned in the wrist last night in this heated series. But this team will need to score runs tonight with Julio Teheran taking the hill after surrendering six home runs, 22 hits and seven bases-on-balls in his last three starts in Atlanta. For the season, the right-hander is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP this year — but he sees those numbers explode at home with an 8.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in four starts. The Braves have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the hill. That is not a good sign against this Toronto team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. |
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05-15-17 | Senators v. Penguins OVER 5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -141 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (7) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (8). Pittsburgh (59-25-6) was flat on Saturday in their 2-1 loss in overtime to the Senators in the opening game of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Penguins failed to score in any of their five Power Play chances that included 45 seconds where they had a 5-on-3 advantage. I was not surprised as I expected Pittsburgh to struggle to adjust to Ottawa’s 1-3-1 zone trapping system. Look for Sidney Crosby and company to play much better on the offensive end of the ice tonight. The Penguins have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after failing to score more than one goal. And while Pittsburgh has played two straight Unders, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. Additionally, the Pens have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total when attempting to avenge a loss to their opponent where they scored only one goal. And in their last 27 games on their home ice where the Total was not 5.5 or higher, the game finished Over the Total 21 times. |
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05-13-17 | Senators v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (59-24-6) picked themselves off the mat after losing two straight games to the Capitals by then shuttin out Washington on their home ice to win that climactic Game Seven by a 2-0 score. Marc-Andre Fleury earned the shutout by stopping 29 shots — he has a .927 save percentage in the twelve playoff games he has started this postseason. While the Penguins have significant injuries on their blue-line with Kris Letang out for these playoffs and Trevor Daley still questionable with his lower body injury, head coach Mike Sullivan has had his team adapt by being less aggressive and emphasizing their defensive tactics. Pittsburgh has blocked 250 shots in the first two rounds of the playoffs. But this decision has also impacted the Penguins’ ability to apply pressure on offense. They averaged only 23 shots on net per game in that seven-game series with the Capitals. Moving forward, Pittsburgh has played 21 of their last 31 opening games of a new playoff series Under the Total. The Under is also 5-2-1 in the Penguins’ last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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05-08-17 | Capitals v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Capitals (1) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (2). Pittsburgh (58-23-6) blew both an opportunity to close this series out on Saturday as well as 2-1 lead after two periods in a 4-2 loss to the Capitals. The Penguins allowed three goals in the 3rd period against Washington to lose that game. Expect Pittsburgh to tighten things up on defense tonight. Despite that setback, goalie Marc Andre-Fleury has been strong in net for this team. The former Stanley Cup Champion for this team has a .921 save percentage over his last four games while posting a .929 save percentage in these playoffs after being the surprise starter for Matt Murray who suffered an injury in the pre-game warmups for the opening game in the postseason. The Penguins have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the 3rd period in their last game. Pittsburgh has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on their home ice. And in their last 9 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%, the Under is 6-2-1. |
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05-06-17 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:35 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (509) and the Utah Jazz (510). Golden State (73-15) has now won seven straight games with their 115-104 win over the Jazz on Thursday as a 13.5-point favorite. The Warriors have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. Golden State has also played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, while the Warriors have failed to cover the point spread in the first two games of this series, they have then played a decisive 42 of their last 60 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Golden State has won their last three games by at least 12 points — and they have then played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight gams by double-digits. And while the Warriors have scored at least 106 points in seven straight games, they have then played 13 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after scoring at least 105 points in five straight games. Additionally, Golden State has played 25 of the last 35 road games Under the Total which includes twelve of their last seventeen games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. And in their last 26 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 19-6-1. |
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05-06-17 | Penguins v. Capitals OVER 5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Penguins (61) and the Washington Capitals (62). Pittsburgh (58-22-6) scored three goals on just 18 shots on Wednesday in their 3-2 win that gave them a 3-1 lead in this series. With that Total moving to 5.5 by the time the puck dropped in that game, that result was the second straight Under in this series. The Penguins have then played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. Pittsburgh has also played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing their second game in the last five days. Furthermore, the Under is 42-19-7 in the last 68 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. Pittsburgh needs to increase the pressure they are putting on goalie Braden Holtby even with their 3-1 series lead. They may very well get Sidney Crosby back on the ice tonight as the superstar has said he has had a number of positive days after suffering a concussion. Moving forward, the Pens have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road. And in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice, the Over is 15-5-1. |
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05-06-17 | Marlins v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Odrisamer Despaigne and Robert Gsellman. New York (13-15) has won five of their last seven games with their 8-7 win last night in the opening game of this series. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Mets’ last 5 games after a win — and the Over is a decisive 9-1-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 32 games after allowing at least five runs, the Over is 21-8-3. Additionally, the Over is 16-5-2 in New York’s last 23 games at home — and they have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Over the Total at home against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over is 19-4-3 in the Mets’ last 27 games against fellow NL East opponents. They send out Gsellman who is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home so far as he owns a 1.76 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home as compared to his 1.15 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mets have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Gsellman on the mound. Miami has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Marlins have also seen the Over go 17-5-4 in their last 26 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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05-04-17 | Celtics v. Wizards OVER 219 | Top | 89-116 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (505) and the Washington Wizards (506). Boston (59-31) shot 51.1% from the field for the second straight game to rally from a late hole to force overtime and defeat the Wizards by a 129-119 score. Isaiah Thomas was unstoppable in the 4th quarter and overtime by scoring 29 points during that span and 53 points overall — and this Washington team that ranked a lowly 20th during the regular season in Defensive Efficiency. As it is, the Celtics are 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 100 points in their last game. Boston has also played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least 120 points in their last game — and they have played 4 straight Overs after scoring at least 125 points in their last contest. And while the Celtics have covered the points spread in six straight games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight contests. Furthermore, the Over is 9-4-1 in Boston’s last 14 games when playing with one day of rest. And in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record, the Celtics have played 5 of these games Over the Total. |
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05-04-17 | Senators v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (1) and the New York Rangers (2). Ottawa (50-32-6) may have played their worst game in the Stanley Cup Playoffs on Tuesday in their 4-1 loss to the Rangers. Perhaps Guy Boucher’s team was complacent after rallying from a 5-3 deficit late in the 3rd period to force overtime where they then won in overtime in Game Two of this series. The Senators fell behind by a 2-0 score in the first period and later were down 4-0 in Game Three while getting thoroughly outplayed by a desperate New York team. Ottawa must tighten their control of the puck while goalie needs to stop being too frisky around the net where he has burned too many times in the postseason by leaving the pipes unprotected. After allowing nine goals over the last two games, the Senators should get back to their tight defensive tactics that emphasizing trapping in their 1-3-1 zone. Ottawa has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Senators have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Under is 37-18-5 in Ottawa’s last 60 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The good news for this team is that forward Bobby Ryan will take the ice in this game after suffering a lower-body injury. While Ryan is a crucial goal scorer for this team, his presence will keep Boucher confident in his teams defense-first tactics. |
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05-03-17 | Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (57) and the Edmonton Oilers (58). Anaheim (51-25-13) made this a series on Sunday by coming out on fire by scoring three goals in the first 11:51 of the first period to stun the Oilers and their home crown en route to their 6-3 victory to make this a 2-1 series for Edmonton. Those nine goals compelled the oddsmakers to raise the Total from 5 to 5.5 — and lets pounce on that opportunity to win the Totals play with a 3-2 result (a highly likely score for tonight’s game). The Ducks have seen just one of their games in the playoffs have a 5.5 number while this will be the first 5.5 for the Oilers this postseason. This critical fourth game should be a defensive struggle that gets physical like the Washington-Pittsburgh series. Despite the nine goals on Sunday, Anaheim and Edmonton only generated 28 and 27 shots on net respectively. Moving forward, the Ducks have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-0-2 in Anaheim’s last 5 games after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. The Under is also 16-5-5 in the Ducks’ last 26 games against an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last contest. And in their last 8 games when playing with two days of rest, the Under is 5-1-2. |
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05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (733) and the San Antonio Spurs (734). Houston (60-28) nailed 22 shots from behind the arc on Monday en route to their 126-99 win over the Spurs to take a 1-0 lead in this series as a 6-point underdog. The Rockets have then seen the Over go 9-4-1 in their last 14 games after a point spread win. Houston will want to push the pace as fast as possible again tonight in Mike D’Antoni’s system as they hope to tire out this aging San Antonio team. The Rockets scored 112.8 PPG in the first-round of the playoffs while proudly being a beacon for the analytics community with 84% of their shots either being inside of 3-feet to the basket or from 3-point land. And Houston made only 28% of their 3-pointers against the Thunder — so the ceiling is high for this team if they can get closer to their 36% shooting mark from behind the arc. The Rockets have now won six of their last seven games — and they have played 24 of their last 36 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. The Over is also 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against familiar Southwest Division opponents. And in their last 8 games in the Western Conference Semifinals, Houston has played 7 of these games Over the Total. |
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05-02-17 | Blues v. Predators UNDER 5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (53) and the Nashville Predators (54). Nashville (47-30-12) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Sunday with their 3-1 win over the Blues. Returning home really helps this Predators team since it affords head coach Peter Laviolette the right to make the final lineup change on the ice to produce the matchups he prefers. In the first two games of this series in St. Louis, the Blues head coach Mike Yeo chose have his star forward Vladimir Tarasenko match up against the Nashville defensive pairing of Roman Josi and Ryan Ellis. Laviolette changed that dynamic up by having P.K. Subban and Mattias Ekholm be on the ice to slow Tarasenko down — and the Blues’ star managed just three shots on goal on Sunday. The Under is 4-0-2 in St. Louis’ last 6 games at home. Overall, the Blues held the Predators to just 23 shots on net which is not nearly enough pressure on goalie Pekka Rinne who had an outstanding 0.70 Goals-Against-Average along with a .976 save percentage in the opening round of the playoffs again the powerful Blackhawks. The Under is now 3-1-4 in Nashville’s last 8 games against familiar Central Division foes. And in their last 51 opportunities to host the Blues, the Under is 35-10-6 in Nashville. |
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04-30-17 | Ducks v. Oilers UNDER 5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 1 h 19 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Anaheim Ducks (11) and the Edmonton Oilers (12). Anaheim (50-25-13) will be playing with desperation tonight after falling behind 2-0 in this series with their 2-1 loss to the Oilers on Friday in Game Two of this series. This team has to play disciplined and give this dynamic Edmonton team less opportunities with a man-advantage after surrendering three Power Play goals in the first two games of this series. The Ducks have played 20 of their last 25 road games Under the Total after a loss at home — and they have played fifteen of their last seventeen road games Under the Total when that loss at home was by one goal. Anaheim has also played 14 of the last 21 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. Additionally, the Under is 4-1-2 in the Ducks’ last 7 games played with one day of rest. And in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice, the Under is 8-3-6. |
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04-29-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
At 8:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (959) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Zack Greinke. Colorado (15-9) won the opening game of this series last night by a 3-1 score. The Rockies have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Anderson who is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in five starts this season. Zero of these five starts qualified as Qualified Starts for Anderson as his lack of an effective breaking pitch has significantly reduced his reliability. Last season, the left-hander had a 5-6 record with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP — but those numbers rose to a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP when on the road. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Anderson pitching with four days rest as he does tonight. That is not a good sign when facing this Diamondbacks team that has seen the Over 20-7-2 in their last 29 home games against a left-handed starting pitcher. |
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04-29-17 | Cubs v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
At 4:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (979) and the Boston Red Sox (980) listing both starting pitchers John Lackey and Steven Wright. Chicago (12-10) looks to bounce-back from a 5-4 loss to the Red Sox last night. The Cubs have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Cubbies have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Lackey who is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. There were signs last season that the 38-year old was about to experience some series regression in his effectiveness. His 34.4% hard contact rate last season was the worst of his career. Lackey was not as effective on the road last year where he had a 4.37 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .234 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average at home at Wrigley Field. This season, Lackey has a rough 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP when on the road. Chicago has played 5 straight road games Over the Total with Lackey on the hill. |
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04-29-17 | Rangers v. Senators OVER 5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 107 | 2 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (55) and the Ottawa Senators (56). New York (52-32-8) lost the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 2-1 loss to the Senators. Now facing the prospects of returning home down 0-2 in this series, this Rangers team will be playing with desperation. New York has lost two straight games to the Senators after their 3-1 loss back on April 8th in the closing days of the regular season. Expect this Rangers team with plenty of firepower to amp up their aggressiveness. Head coach Alain Vigneault can roll four forward lines — and three of those lines are quite potent as they helped elevate this team to being 4th in the league by scoring 3.1 Goals-Per-Game. All four lines features at least one player that scored at least 20 goals during the regular season. The Rangers have played 14 of their last 19 road gams Over the Total when playing with double-revenge. This team has also played 6 straight games Over the Total when playing with double-revenge and failing to score more than one goal in either game. Furthermore, in games with the Total set at 5 or less, when the road team is both playing with double-revenge and comes off a loss on the road, these games finished Over the Total in 91 of the last 131 situations (70%) where these conditions applied. |
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04-28-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 195 | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Clippers (507) and the Utah Jazz (508). Utah (54-33) has significantly upped its game on the defensive end of the court with the return of their rim protector Rudy Gobert. The Jazz held the Clippers to just 42% shooting on Tuesday en route to their 96-92 victory as a 3-point underdog to help them take a 3-2 lead in this series. That came on the heels of holding Los Angeles to just 44% shooting in the fourth game of this series. Gobert is one of the top candidates to win Defensive Player of the Year honors this season after holding opponents to just a 43.9% shooting clip at the rim with contested shots during the regular season. Now with the Jazz having the opportunity to close this series out on their home court, expect a lower scoring contest with the stakes so high. Utah has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. But this can be a team that struggles to score points. They were 27th in the NBA during the regular season with a 100.7 PPG scoring average. Quin Snyder’s team also plays the slowest pace in the league. Furthermore, in the Jazz’s last 75 games as a favorite in the 3.5-9.5 point range, Utah has played 46 of these games Under the Total. |
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04-26-17 | Predators v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (1) and the St. Louis Blues (2). Nashville (45-29-12) enters this series after a surprising 4-0 sweep over the Chicago Blackhawks in the opening round of the playoffs. That series ended last Thursday — expect the time off to negatively impact the timing for this team on offense. As it is, the Under is 3-0-4 in the Predators’ last 7 games after a win. While their top line of Filip Forsberg, Ryan Johansen and Viktor Arvidsson is as good as any in the league, this team does experience big drop-off after that. James Neal anchors the second line — but he had only one assist and zero goals in Round One. But this Nashville defense should be outstanding once again tonight. The Predators enjoy two elite defensive pairings with Roman Josi and Ryan Ellis along with P.K. Subban and Matthias Ekholm. They held the potent Blackhawks offense that averaged 31 shots per game in that series to just three combined goals. Of course, goalie Pekka Rinne had something to do with that as well — he had a spectacular .976 save percentage along with a 0.70 Goals-Against-Average in that series. Moving forward, the Under is 4-1-2 in Nashville’s last 7 games on the road. |
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04-25-17 | Mariners v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (971) and the Detroit Tigers (972) listing both starting pitchers Felix Hernandez and Jordan Zimmermann. Seattle (8-12) enters this series coming off an 11-1 win at Oakland on Sunday which was a nice win for Mariners’ bettors who were getting +115 on the money line. The Mariners have then played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after an upset win over a divisional rival. Seattle has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Hernandez who is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP so far this season. The aging right-hander has seen his effectiveness drop as he has been losing velocity. His 3.8 walk rate per 9 innings was the worst of his career. The King was not as effective on the road last year where he was saddled with a 1.49 WHIP and .253 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.19 WHIP and .228 opponent’s batting average when at home. This season, Hernandez has a 4.09 ERA along with a dangerous .333 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mariners have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Seattle has also seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in Detroit with Hernandez on the mound. That spells trouble when facing this Tigers’ team that has seen the Over go 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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04-24-17 | Wizards v. Hawks UNDER 211 | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Wizards (519) and the Atlanta Hawks (520). Washington (51-34) allowed the Hawks to shoot 49.4% from the field on Saturday in their 116-98 loss in Game Three of this series. That was the Wizards’ second worst defensive effort over their last seven contests. This team must increase their pressure on the Hawks’ point guard Dennis Schroder who has averaged 25 PPG in this series after registering 27 points in his team’s Game Three victory. Washington also shot just 41.6% from the field in their first road game in this series. Furthermore, the Under is supported by a historical angle that has been 71% effective since 1996. This is Washington’s just fifth game in the last fourteen days — and in games with the Total set at least at 200 involving a road team with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range playing no more than their fifth game in fourteen days now facing a team with a winning record, these games finished Under the Total in 46 of the last 65 situations where these conditions applied. |
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04-23-17 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Wheeler. Washington (12-5) has won six straight games after their 3-1 win over the Mets yesterday. The Nationals have then played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against an opponent that failed to score more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 8-2-1 in Washington’s last 11 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. And in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Nationals have played 10 of these games Over the Total. They send out Scherzer who is 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and an 0.86 WHIP this season. The right-hander was very tough at home last year where he had a 2.56 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .193. However, those numbers rose to a 3.28 ERA along with 1.00 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Washington has played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Scherzer facing a team with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over us 3-0-1 in the Mets’ last 4 games against right-handed starting pitchers. |
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04-22-17 | Canadiens v. Rangers UNDER 5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (51) and the New York Rangers (52). Montreal (49-29-9) finds themselves on the brink of elimination with their 3-2 loss in overtime to the Rangers on Thursday. The Under is then 9-3-5 in the Canadiens’ last 17 games after scoring two goals or less. The Montreal offense has also been hit with a tough injury as Andrew Shah will be out for tonight’s game after suffering an upper body injury in overtime on Thursday. The Canadiens will be facing a very hot goaltender in Henrik Lundqvist who has a sizzling .944 save percentage in this series. Now Montreal goes on the road to Madison Square Garden — and the Under is 15-3-3 in their last 21 games on the road. The Under is also 8-1-3 in the Canadiens’ last 12 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Lastly, the Under is 19-6-6 in Montreal’s last 31 games against Eastern Conference opponents. |
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04-20-17 | Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 188 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the San Antonio Spurs (713) and the Memphis Grizzlies (714). San Antonio (63-21) seized a 2-0 lead in this series on Monday with their 96-82 win over the Grizzlies as a 10.5-point favorite. The Spurs have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. |
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04-20-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 0 h 20 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Columbus Bluejackets (3) and the Pittsburgh Penguins (4). Pittsburgh (54-21-6) must improve their effort on defense after losing their first game in this series by a 5-4 score to the Bluejackets on Tuesday. With a 3-1 series lead, the Penguins look to close out this series tonight and not give this physical Columbus team any signs of life. This team also needs to shore things up on their blue-line when considering that they will have to defend their Stanley Cup Championship without their top defenseman Kris Letang. As it is, the Under is 3-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. And while the Penguins allowed two goals in the third period on Tuesday, they have then played 12 of their last 17 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. Furthermore, the Under is 3-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. |
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04-18-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 194 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (525) and the Toronto Raptors (526). Toronto (51-32) lost their ninth straight opening game to the postseason on Sunday with their 97-83 loss to the Bucks as a 7.5-point underdog. Scoring was a problem for this team as they shot just 36% from the field while managing only 32 points in the second half. This Milwaukee team is underrated on the defensive end of the court particularly with Khris Middleton healthy and contributing. The Raptors must get back into this series by playing harder on the defensive end of their end. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 28 points in the victory with the Raptors head coach Dwane Casey declaring that his team must get back in transition to limit the Greek superstar’s offensive fireworks. With the acquisitions of P.J. Tucker and Serge Ibaka at the trade deadline, this Toronto team is significantly better on defense. After allowing 106.0 points per 100 possessions before they both arrived, that number dropped to allowing 102.3 points per 100 possessions which was 5th best in the league over that final span of games. The Raptors should comeback with a strong defensive effort. They have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. Moving forward, the Raptors have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, Toronto has played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
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04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 189 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Memphis Grizzlies (519) and the San Antonio Spurs (520). San Antonio (62-21) trailed by 13 points in the first quarter on Saturday — but this team stepped up their level of play to go on a 19-0 run to close out the 3rd quarter and begin the 4th quarter to pull away for an easy 111-82 victory. The Spurs have then played 16 of their last 20 home games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. San Antonio has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with one day of rest. With the Grizzlies missing their defensive spark plug in Tony Allen, the Spurs were able to shoot 53.2% from the floor. Allen remains out in this series with his leg injury so San Antonio should continue to have their way on offense. They have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against Western Conference opponents. |
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04-15-17 | Flames v. Ducks OVER 5 | Top | 2-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Calgary Flames (85) and the Anaheim Ducks (86). Anaheim (47-23-13) took the opening game of this series on Thursday with their 3-2 victory over the Flames. This game entered the third period at that score before both teams failed to score in the final 20 minutes of play. The Ducks peppered Calgary’s Brian Elliott with 41 shots on net to secure their three goals. They have now scored at least three goals in five straight games — and they have then played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. Anaheim has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last game. |
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04-13-17 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nashville Predators (13) and the Chicago Blackhawks (14). Nashville (41-29-12) entered this season with question marks regarding their offense with a big drop-off in forward scoring depth after Filip Forsberg and James Neal. Viktor Arviddson stepped up by scoring 31 goals and adding 30 assists to give Peter Laviolette’s team more punch. But Ardividdson plays on the same line with Forsberg and center Ryan Johansen which affords Chicago head coach Joel Quenneville to counter with his master defenseman Duncan Keith against that potent forward line. With the suspect depth of this Predators’ forward group further challenged with both Colin Wilson and Calle Jarnkrok questionable with injuries, this Nashville team cannot get into a high scoring affair with the Blackhawks. Expect the Predators to lean heavily on their outstanding blue line which features four elite defenders led by P.K. Subbing and Roman Josi. The team needs their goalie Pekka Rinne to step up as well in these playoffs — and they can be encouraged by his 1.98 Goals-Against-Average and .932 save percentage over the last thirteen games of the regular season. The Under is 3-1-3 in Nashville’s last 7 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the Predators’ last 5 games on the road. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, the Under is 5-1-1. Furthermore, Nashville will be looking to avenge a 5-3 loss to the Blackhawks at home back on March 4th — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals to their opponent. |
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04-10-17 | Pacers v. 76ers UNDER 211.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indiana Pacers (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Indiana (40-40) shot 59.3% from the field — the best offensive effort for them this entire season — en route to their 127-112 win in Orlando on Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. Regression on the offensive end of the court for this team is very likely. The Pacers score only 102.9 PPG when on the road on 45.3% shooting. They have played 30 of their last 45 games Under the Total after shooting at least 55% from the field. Indiana has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 125 points in their last game. And in their last 17 games after a point spread win, the Pacers have played 12 of these games Under the Total. This team still has plenty to play for — they are one game behind the Bucks in the 6th spot in the Eastern Conference playoff hunt but only one game ahead of both the Bulls and the Heat who both own the tie-breaker against them if they do end up with the same record after Wednesday. So this Indiana team could still manage to be on the outside looking in with these playoffs. Moving forward, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Pacers have played 7 of these games Under the Total. |
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04-07-17 | Lightning v. Canadiens UNDER 5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
At 7:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (51) and the Montreal Canadiens (52). Expect a playoff atmosphere in Montreal tonight in this contest — and that should result in a higher reliance on fundamental defense and more physical play. Tampa Bay (40-37-7) remains alive in the Eastern Conference playoff race after their big 4-1 win in Toronto last night. The Lightning need to win out tonight and in their final regular season contest on Sunday while getting some help — but it certainly remains possible. Tampa Bay has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing two goals or less in their last game. The Under is also 6-1-1 in the Lightning’s last 8 games when playing without a day of rest. They turn to goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy who was outstanding last night by stopping 26 of the 27 shots he has faced. The Russian goaltender has a 2.01 Goals-Against-Average and .940 save percentage in three pressured-packed games this month. He has also been better on the road where he has a 2.44 GAA and .924 save percentage as compared to his 2.78 GAA and .911 save percentage when at home. The Lightning has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when on the road. This team is missing pieces on offense with Tyler Johnson questionable with a lower body injury and Steven Stamkos declaring that he will not be able to come back from his injury until the playoffs. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Atlantic Division opponents. |
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04-04-17 | Blackhawks v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 104 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
At 9:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (19) and the Colorado Avalanche (20). Chicago (50-22-6) looks to bounce-back from their 3-2 loss at home against Boston on Sunday. The Blackhawks have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a loss by one goal on their home ice. The Over is also 26-10-15 in Chicago’s last 51 games after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Now the Blackhawks go on the road where the Over is 16-6-4 in their last 26 games. The Over is also 9-2-2 in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on home ice. It looks like backup goalie Scott Darling will be between the pipes tonight. While Darling has a strong 2.15 Goals-Against-Average and .932 save percentage at home, those numbers rise to a 2.52 GAA and .914 save percentage when on the road this season. Furthermore, the Over is 11-2-3 in the Blackhawks’ last 16 games against fellow Central Division opponents. |
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04-04-17 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 141-118 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:05 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Brooklyn Nets (701) and the Philadelphia 76ers (702). Brooklyn (18-59) has won two straight games with their 91-82 win over Atlanta on Sunday. The Nets have then seen the Under go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a straight-up win. Brooklyn has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. This Nets team is playing better basketball as of late fueled by improved play on the defensive end of the court. The have the best statistical defense in the entire league over the last two weeks while allowing their last five opponents to shoot just 41.3% from the field. But this Brooklyn team is also making only 29% of their 3-point shots over that span. Moving forward, the Nets have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. Brooklyn has also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. |
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04-02-17 | Coyotes v. Kings UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 60 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Coyotes (21) and the Los Angeles Kings (22). Los Angeles (37-33-3) staved off elimination from the playoff race earlier today when Nashville lost in St. Louis by a 4-1 score. So while the Kings need to win out in their rest of their five games — and the Predators must lose their remaining three contests — this proud organization remains alive in the Western Conference playoff hunt so expect a top notch performance from them tonight. Los Angeles has won two straight games after their 2-0 shutout win in Vancouver on Friday. That came on the heels of their surprising 4-1 win in Calgary on Wednesday (well, it was surprising to us who had the Flames in that game). These Kings are playing physical, tough defense buoyed by the fact that they have their elite goaltender Jonathan Quick back on the ice playing exceptional hockey. Quick retains a sensational 1.56 Goals-Against-Average along with a .938 save percentage in his seven starts at home in the Staples Center this season. Moving forward, the Kings have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in two straight games. The Under is also 19-8-11 in their last 38 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Under is both 3-1-1 in their last 5 games on home ice as well as a decisive 58-26-15 in their last 99 games at home against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Furthermore, not only have the Kings played 4 straight Unders when playing with one day of rest but they have also seen the Under go 21-7-10 in their 38 situations where they were playing their fourth game in six days. And in their last 59 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% overall, the Under is 37-14-8. |
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04-01-17 | Oregon v. North Carolina UNDER 153.5 | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:45 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oregon Ducks (813) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (814). Oregon (33-5) held Kansas to just 35% from the field en route to their 74-60 win last Saturday. The Ducks flexed their defensive muscles in that game by holding a potent Jayhawks offense that had averaged 96 PPG in their three previous Tournament games to scoring just those 60 points in 64 possessions. In the Ducks’ four tournament games, they have averaged 66 possessions so it is likely that head coach Dana Altman will look to slow this game down where both teams do not have more than 65 possessions apiece — and that makes the Under look rather appetizing with the Total set in the low 150s. Oregon has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. The Ducks have also played 12 of their last 14 games played on a neutral court with the Total set in the 150-159.5 point range. And while the Tar Heels average 66 shots per game, Oregon has played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams that average at least 62 shots per game — and that includes 7 straight Unders when those games are the road. |
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03-31-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 231.5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
At 10:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets (521) and the Golden State Warriors (522). Houston (51-24) looks to bounce-back from their 117-101 loss in Portland last night as a 1-point favorite. The Rockets have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. This is a depleted team with Ryan Anderson out with an ankle and Nene resting which more pressure on James Harden who will play but is nursing a wrist injury. As it is, the Under is 7-1-1 in Houston’s last 9 games on the road. And in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, the Under is 5-0-1 for the Rockets. |
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03-30-17 | Georgia Tech v. TCU UNDER 134 | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (711) and the TCU Horned Frogs (712). Georgia Tech (21-15) held Cal-State Bakersfield to just 35.0% on Tuesday en route to their 76-61 victory as 3.5-point favorites to put them in the Finals of the NIT. The Under is then 5-2-1 in the Yellow Jackets’ last 8 games after a point spread victory. Josh Pastner’s team is playing outstanding defense in this tournament after finishing 2nd in the ACC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. But this Georgia Tech team can struggle to find baskets after finishing last in the ACC in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency. This team shot just 43.3% from the field against the Roadrunners. Moving forward, the Yellow Jackets have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. Georgia Tech has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral court. And in their last 26 games as an underdog getting less than 7 points, the Under is 19-6-1. |
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03-29-17 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 208 | Top | 110-98 | Push | 0 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Golden State Warriors (515) and the San Antonio Spurs (516). Golden State (60-14) won their eighth straight game (all without Kevin Durant) with their 113-106 upset win at Houston as a 1.5-point underdog last night. The Warriors have then played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Golden State has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 100 points in their last game. Additionally, the Warriors have played 7 straight games Under the Total against Western Conference opponents. And in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court, Golden State has played all 4 games Under the Total. |
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03-28-17 | Suns v. Hawks UNDER 222 | Top | 91-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:35 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Phoenix Suns (767) and the Atlanta Hawks (768). Phoenix (22-52) has dropped eight straight games with their 120-106 loss in Charlotte on Sunday as a 13-point underdog. The Suns are playing out the string out of the playoff hunt and decimated with injuries. Phoenix has lost both Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight to season-ending injuries — and now Leandro Barbosa is questionable with a hamstring injury tonight. The Suns shot 50.6% from the field in their defeat two days ago — but they look to be a prime suspect for a flat effort when considering this is their sixth straight game on the road. As it is, Phoenix has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, the Suns have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Phoenix has played 4 of these games Under the Total. |
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03-25-17 | Xavier v. Gonzaga UNDER 145.5 | Top | 59-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
At 6:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Xavier Musketeers (513) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (514). Gonzaga (35-1) held West Virginia to just 26.7% on Thursday in their 61-58 victory. The Bulldogs have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Gonzaga is playing outstanding defense in this tournament as their three opponents are shooting just 33.3% from the field while scoring at just a 0.85 Points-Per-Possession rate. Most impressively, the Bulldogs are holding their opponents to just 37% shooting inside the arc. Gonzaga needs their defense to continue to be outstanding when considering that they are shooting just 29% from behind the arc in this tournament. Moving forward, the Bulldogs have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total against teams outside the West Coast Conference. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral court, Gonzaga has played 6 of these games Under the Total. |
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03-24-17 | UCLA v. Kentucky UNDER 167 | Top | 75-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 9:35 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UCLA Bruins (875) and the Kentucky Wildcats (876). UCLA (31-4) held the Cincinnati Bearcats to just 44.8% shooting to advance to the Sweet 16 with their 79-67 victory as a 4-point favorite. The Bruins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defensive struggles of this team is a tired meme that continues to offer us great value with the Under for Steve Alford’s team. This UCLA defense has improved since Alford installed a tricky 3-2 zone that presents opponents a challenging unique look. Save for their two games against Arizona and what the Bearcats shot against UCLA was their worst defensive performance in ten previous contests. The Bruins have seen the Under go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games against teams outside the Pac-12. And in their last 7 games played on a neutral court, UCLA has played 5 of these games Under the Total. |
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03-22-17 | Illinois v. UCF UNDER 130.5 | Top | 58-68 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Illinois Fighting Illini (767) and the Central Florida Knights (768). Illinois (20-14) advanced to the Quarterfinals of the NIT with their 71-56 win over Boise State on Monday as an 8-point favorite. The Fighting Illini have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This team has also played 8 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win on their home court. Now the Illini go on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home court. The Fighting Illini are the favorites in this game. Illinois has also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total as the favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as the favorite when laying less than 7 points. |
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03-20-17 | George Washington v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 149 | Top | 71-80 | Win | 100 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the George Washington Colonials (629) and the Illinois-Chicago Flames (630). George Washington (20-14) won their opening game in the College Basketball Invitational with their 73-69 win over Toledo last Wednesday as a 6-point favorite. The Colonials have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. George Washington has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Now the Colonials go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 Over the Total. GW has also played 4 straight games on the road Over the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points. |
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03-19-17 | Cincinnati v. UCLA UNDER 154 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:40 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (731) and the UCLA Bruins (732). UCLA (30-4) enters this game coming off a hot shooting night where they nailed 62.7% from the field in their 97-80 victory over Kent State. The Bruins have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 90 points in their last game. UCLA has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Steve Alford’s team has the reputation for having a mediocre defense — but they have held their last five opponents to just a 42.5% shooting mark. The Bruins will be facing a Bearcats team that will be looking to slow the pace of this game way down — and they hold their opponents to just 60.8 PPG. UCLA has played 17 of their last 22 road games Under the Total against teams that do not allow more than 64 PPG. The Bruins have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. And while both teams have scored 75 points in the last two games for UCLA, that helps place the Under in a historical angle that has been 79% effective since 1997. In games played on a neutral court, when teams who score at least 76 PPG (UCLA: 90.6 PPG) who have played two straight games where both teams scored at least 75 points and now faces a team that does not allow more than 63 PPG, these games then finished Under the Total in 42 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. |
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03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton UNDER 141.5 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
At 4:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Rhode Island Rams (843) and the Creighton Bluejays (844). Rhode Island (24-9) has won eight straight games to win the Atlantic-10 Tournament with their 70-63 win over VCU on Sunday. The formula for success for this team now when facing the offensive juggernaut which is this Bluejays’ team is to slow the pace of the game, force bad shots on defense and crash the boards on offense — just like how they slowed down the Rams in their last contest. While that game finished just above the 132.5 point total, Rhode Island has still played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total when played on a neutral court. These Rams have also played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total with the number set in the 140-149.5 point range. Rhode Island has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams outside the A-10. Head coach Dan Hurley will try to make this game a slog. Creighton scores 82.1 PPG while throwing 22 shots from behind the arc per game. The Rams have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total against teams that score at least 77 PPG — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 21 shots from the 3-point line per game. |
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03-15-17 | North Carolina Central v. UC-Davis UNDER 132.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
At 6:40 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina-Central Eagles (621) and the UC-Davis Aggies (622). UNC-Central (25-8) won the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference on Saturday with their 67-59 win over Norfolk State as a 7-point favorite after holding the Spartans to just a 35.4% shooting percentage. The Eagles were 3rd in the MEAC in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. UNC-Central needed this defensive effort as they only shot 39.3% from the field themselves. The Eagles have seen the Under go 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 boarded games after a point spread victory. UNC-Central was rewarded with their automatic bid by a trip to Dayton to play in the First-Four — and the Under is 13-3-1 in their last 17 boarded games played on a neutral court. This Eagles team has also played 5 of their last 6 boarded games Under the Total as a favorite laying less than 7 points — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 boarded games on a neutral court as the favorite. Additionally, UNC-Central has played 4 straight boarded games Under the Total against a non-conference opponent. |
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03-11-17 | New Mexico State v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 127.5 | Top | 70-60 | Loss | -103 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 11:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Mexico State Aggies (771) and the Cal-State Bakersfield Roadrunners (772). New Mexico State (27-5) has won four straight games with their 78-60 win over Missouri-KC as an 8.5-point favorite. The Aggies held the Kangaroos to just a 36.7% shooting percentage which was the third time over their last four games that they have held an opponent to no better than a 36.7% shooting mark from the field. New Mexico State sot a blistering 55.8% from the field themselves which was their best shooting performance over their last nine games. Expect the Aggies to come back to Earth with their shooting considering that they make only 45.1% of their shots away from home. New Mexico State has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Aggies have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total against fellow Western Athletic Conference opponents. Moving forward, New Mexico State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite. The Under is also 24-7-1 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral court. |
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03-11-17 | Creighton v. Villanova UNDER 141.5 | Top | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
At 5:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Creighton Bluejays (745) and the Villanova Wildcats (746). Villanova (30-3) has won four straight games with their narrow 55-53 win over Seton Hall yesterday as an 11.5-point favorite. The Wildcats have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Villanova has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 7 games as a favorite laying 7-12.5 points, the Wildcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They face a Bluejays team that does nail 51% of their shots this season — but Villanova has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after fifteen games into the season against teams who shoot at least 45% from the field. |