Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-17-17 | Cowboys v. Raiders +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Oakland Raiders (330) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (329). Oakland (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-15 loss in Kansas City last week against what now appears to be a resurgent Chiefs team after their upset win over the Chargers last night. While the Raiders are likely out of the AFC playoff picture, they can still play the role of spoiler while playing well in front of a nationally televised crowd. Oakland has not covered the point spread in two straight games — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The Raiders have also covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a loss to a divisional rival. And while they allowed the Chiefs to rush for 165 yards last week, they are then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Oakland plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. |
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12-17-17 | Titans +3 v. 49ers | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Tennessee Titans (327) plus (or minus) the point(s) versus the San Francisco 49ers (328). San Francisco (3-10) secured their second straight upset victory with their 26-16 win at Houston as a 1-point underdog. The 49ers seemed to have found their answer at QB with Jimmy Garoppolo under center as he completed 20 of 33 passes for 334 yards with a touchdown pass. Hey, Garoppolo is undefeated as a starter in the NFL with his victory over the Bears two weeks ago along with two starts with New England last September when Tom Brady was serving his Deflate-gate suspension. But before Garoppolo is inducted into the Hall of Fame, lets remember that he is playing for a team that has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up win. And while the 49ers generated 416 yards of offense last week, they are just 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now San Fran returns home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 10 of their last 13 games — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the 49ers are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 14 games in the month of December, San Fran is 4-9-1 ATS. |
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12-17-17 | Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New England Patriots (325) minus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (326). Pittsburgh (11-2) has had this date circled since the league office put out the schedule as they are looking to avenge last year’s 36-17 loss in New England in the AFC Championship Game. But the timing for their opportunity for revenge could not be worse. For starters, the Steelers have gutted through two very difficult games against AFC North rivals. After the their very physical game against the Bengals two weeks ago, Pittsburgh rallied from an 11-point deficit in the 4th quarter to eke out a 39-38 victory over Baltimore. Recovering from this stretch is difficult enough. As it is, the Steelers have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a straight-up win. And in their last fifteen games after facing their arch rival in the Ravens, Pittsburgh has lost eight of these games straight-up. The mental and physical toll of those two games will be difficult to sustain now — especially with all the pressure this team feels to step up for this game given the words of head coach Mike Tomlin over the last few weeks. A big emotional letdown may happen for this team. While they have won eight straight games, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after winning eight of their last ten games. Furthermore, this Steelers’ defense is far from at full strength. The season-ending injury to Ryan Shazier takes away their best defender of short and intermediate routes that this Patriots team absolutely thrives in with tight end Rob Gronkowski leading the way. In the seven quarters this team has played since losing Shazier in the Bengals game, Pittsburgh has allowed 48 points and 654 yards. Even worse, the Steelers have allowed their opponent to score a touchdown in all six of their Red Zone appearances since that Shazier injury — as opposed to not allowing a TD in thirteen of their previous twenty-five Red Zone defensive situations. Pittsburgh is also missing cornerback Joe Haden with his broken fibula who was their best cover man in their secondary. Over their last three games without Haden, the Steelers defense has allowed 28.7 PPG along with 357.7 total YPG. Haden is listed as questionable for this game but is not likely to be close to 100% even if takes the field which will leave the Pittsburgh pass defense still vulnerable after Joe Flacco torched them for 269 yards and a 7.69 Yards-Per-Attempt average. Pittsburgh has allowed their last two opponents to average 6.09 and 6.77 Yards-Per-Play without Haden and Shazier (for all but one quarter) — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after allowing each of their last two opponents to average at least 6.0 YPP. On offense, Big Ben Roethlisberger did complete 44 of 66 passes for 506 yards against the Ravens last week — but the Steelers have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Pittsburgh is also 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. And while the Steelers have not covered the point spread in their last three contests, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to cover the point spread in at least two straight games. |
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12-17-17 | Rams v. Seahawks +1 | 42-7 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Seattle Seahawks (324) minus (or plus) the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (323). Los Angeles (9-4) had a golden opportunity last week with a 4-point lead and the ball facing an Eagles team having to rely on their backup quarterback — and they blew their chance to seize control of the NFC Playoff race by losing by a 43-35 score to Nick Foles and Philadelphia. The stat guys over at Football Outsiders remain undismayed as their laptops still rate the Rams their top team in the NFL. Perhaps is because they have yet to find a formula to measure how teams respond to pressure. In this area, both quarterback Jared Goff and head coach Sean McVay (too often busy looking for more offensive plays than managing the game) are unproven commodities — and they are both at a huge disadvantage when playing on the road against Super Bowl Champions in QB Russell Wilson and head coach Pete Carroll. The Rams put up great efficiency numbers which they combine with an elite and complete Special Teams unit. And I do appreciate the Football Outside folks taking Special Teams seriously. But efficiency numbers do not tell the entire story (as that crew is beginning to realize in the face of Time of Possession numbers that are confounding their predictions). And it is hard to for teams to rely on big plays out of their Special Teams from week-to-week. The Rams blew that game with the Eagles despite earning a touchdown from a blocked punt last week. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. The Rams have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 18 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes failing to cover the point spread in five of their last eight games on the road with the Total falling in that range. LA has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. They are just 8-18-1 ATS when playing of turf that rewards speed. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games in the month of December. Furthermore, the Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC West opponents. And while this team is looking to avenge a 16-10 loss to Seattle at home back on October 8th, they have then failed to cover the point spread when playing with same-season revenge in 40 of those last 56 opportunities. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles v. Giants +7.5 | 34-29 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (308) plus the points versus the Philadelphia Eagles (307). Philadelphia (11-2) bounced-back from their 24-10 loss in Seattle with a defiant 43-35 win on the road in Los Angeles against the Rams. The team have accrued a Pyrrhic Victory when considering that their star quarterback Carson Wentz suffered a season-ending knee injury in that game. I think Nick Foles will fill in just fine for Wentz — but he does not have the incredible, elite play-making skills that Wentz has displayed this season. This is an awfully tough situation for the Eagles to maintain their intensity for a third straight week after two straight grueling games. Even worse for this team, this will be their third straight week on the road as well as their fourth game in their last five away from home. With Wentz going down after the team already lost offensive lineman Jason Peters and linebacker Jordan Hicks for the season, this Philly team has lost some of their best talent on both sides of the football. There are warning signs that this team is beginning to crack. They have committed six turnovers over the last three weeks while committing 28 penalties. They have covered the point spread in nine of their last ten games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 27 of their last 43 games after covering the point spread in at least four of their last five games. Additionally, the Eagles have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when playing on field turf. And in the last 11 road games as the favorite laying 7.5 to 10 points, Philadelphia has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of these games. |
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12-17-17 | Cardinals v. Redskins -4 | 15-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (320) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (319). Arizona (6-7) has won two of their last three games after their upset 12-7 win over Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog. We had the Cardinals in that game — but this team looks due for a letdown having to travel out east for this early kick off where their internal body clock will feel like it is 10 AM. As it is, Arizona is just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up win. The Cardinals did hold the Titans to just 204 yards of offense in that game — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight games after allowing less than 205 lads in their last game. Arizona is also just 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Cards have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games on the road. And Arizona has failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. |
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12-17-17 | Dolphins v. Bills -3.5 | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 2 h 7 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Buffalo Bills (314) minus the points versus the Miami Dolphins (313). Miami (6-7) pulled off their second straight upset on Monday — and they played their best game in years — by picking off the Patriots as 10.5-point underdogs in their 27-20 victory as a 10.5-point underdog. The Dolphins are prime candidates for a big letdown in this spot after such an emotional win. As it is, they have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games played on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. Now this team goes on the road — and in the cold for these South Beachers with the temperate currently at 27 degrees as of this writing this morning — where they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. Miami has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers v. Chiefs +1 | Top | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
At 8:25 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas City Chiefs (306) plus (or minus) the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (305). Kansas City (7-6) was once the toast of the league early in the season when they rattled off five straight victories — and we were bearish on them then. But now most bettors have jumped off the ole bandwagon as they have lost six of their last eight games while also only covering the point spread twice over those last eight contests. But that is an overreaction as well — and this Chiefs team should be very feisty in this rare situation where they are a home underdog. To make things even saltier for this Kansas City team, they are underdogs at home to a Chargers team that they have defeated seven straight times. I like what I saw with this Kansas City team last week where they defeated the Raiders by a 26-15 score as a 4.5-point favorite. Dominating both sides of the line of scrimmage helped the Chiefs get back to their winning ways — perhaps the entire team responded to the message head coach Andy Reid sent when he suspended starting cornerback Marcus Peters for losing control the previous week when he tossed an official’s penalty flag into the crowd. Rookie Kareem Hunt broke out of his slump by rushing the ball 25 times for 116 yards while adding another 22 yards in the air. The Chiefs rushed for 165 yards against the Raiders which helped them control the clock for 36:40 minutes — and they have then covered the point spread in 14 of their last 17 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. KC held Oakland to just 70 rushing yards — and they have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than 90 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Chiefs ave covered the point spread in 5 straight games after both a straight-up win and after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Kansas City has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 38 games after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. And in their last 9 games against AFC West opponents, the Chiefs have covered the point spread 8 times. 25* NFL Network Game of the Year with the Kansas City Chiefs plus (or minus) the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank. |
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12-16-17 | Bears +5 v. Lions | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (303) plus the points versus the Detroit Lions (304). Chicago (4-9) built some momentum for themselves last week with their 33-7 upset win in Cincinnati as a 6-point underdog. The Bears controlled the clock for this game as they had the football for 38:09 of this game which helped them churn out 482 yards of offense. This Time of Possession advantage helped them keep the Bengals off the field — and Cincy had just 234 yards of offense in that contest. Running back Jordan Howard ran the ball 23 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns — and this will be the formula for success against the Lions for this game. Detroit allows 116.3 rushing YPG which is 20th in the league. QB Mitch Trubisky is also playing better football as he gets more experience as the starter. Over his last two games, Trubisky has a nice 113.9 Passer Rating — and he is facing a Lions’ defense that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to dial up a strong 99.6 Passer Rating against them over their last six games. With the Chicago offense stabilizing, their strong defense can flex their muscles. For the season, the Bears rank 11th in the NFL by allowing only 325.5 total YPG. On the road, Chicago is giving up 15.8 PPG along with 317.2 total YPG. The Bears have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games in the month of December. Chicago is also 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The Bears will be playing with revenge from a 27-24 loss in Detroit back on November 19th. Chicago is still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Lions which suggests this will be another close game. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts +3 | 25-13 | Loss | -115 | 41 h 15 m | Show | |
At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (302) plus the points versus the Denver Broncos (301). Indianapolis (3-10) has lost four straight games after they lost in Buffalo on Sunday in that blizzard by a 13-7 score in overtime. The Colts did show grit in that game by rallying from those challenging conditions to tie the game in the 4th quarter to force overtime. The Colts have bounced-back to cover the point spread in 32 of their last 46 games after a straight-up loss. Indianapolis has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. They have also 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last contest. Indy managed only 227 yards of offense in that setback on Sunday — but they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. This Colts team has still covered the point spread in 29 of their last 39 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 15 appearances on Thursday Night Football, Indianapolis is 12-2-1 ATS. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots v. Dolphins +12 | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Miami Dolphins (134) plus the points versus the New England Patriots (133). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. But the team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. Brady was also limited in practice this week after taking some shots to the body by the Bills — and this game shapes up to be very physical after the Dolphins were very chippy a few weeks ago in their 35-17 loss in New England back on November 26th. Moving forward, the Patriots have failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record on the road. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +6 v. Steelers | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Baltimore Ravens (131) plus the points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Baltimore (7-5) has won three straight games — as well as four of their last five contests — with their 44-20 win over Detroit last Sunday. This Ravens team is playing with confidence behind an outstanding defense and an improving offense that is finding themselves after being ravaged with injuries to start the season. Joe Flacco completed 23 of 36 passes against the Lions for 269 yards with two TD passes to lead the offense for 370 total yards. Baltimore is then 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens defense has allowed only 400 yards only once this season — and that was their game in London with those unique travel situations. Baltimore will be playing their revenge on their minds after losing by a 26-9 score at home to the Steelers back on October 1st. Flacco has won two of his last three starts in Pittsburgh while leading his team to score 80 combined points in that contest. Baltimore has covered the point spread in 10 of their last 12 games against fellow AFC North opponents. The Ravens are also 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 4 games against teams with a winning record, Baltimore is 3-0-1 ATS. |
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12-10-17 | Eagles +1 v. Rams | 43-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Philadelphia Eagles (127) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Rams (128). Philadelphia (10-2) looks to bounce-back from their 24-10 upset loss at Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite last Sunday night. The Eagles did not rush for at least 100 yards for the first time since the opening week of the season in that game. But this team should have benefited from the playoff atmosphere from that game. This is a business trip for this Philly team that stayed out west for this game — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games on the road. The Eagles did dominate the yardage battle as they generated 425 yards against the Seahawks defense while outgaining them by +115 net yards. Philadelphia has then covered the point spread in 5 straight games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Philly defense has been playing quite well as they have allowed only 69 combined yards for a 13.8 PPG average. The offense will get tight end Zach Ertz back on the field for this game after he was unable to finish the game on Sunday. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games against fellow NFC opponents. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Eagles have covered the point spread 8 times. |
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12-10-17 | Titans v. Cardinals +3 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games. |
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12-10-17 | Redskins +6.5 v. Chargers | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Washington Redskins (121) plus the points versus the Los Angeles Chargers (122). Los Angeles (6-6) has won three straight games with their 19-10 win over Cleveland as a 13.5-point favorite. The Chargers were actually outgained the lowly Browns by -138 net yards as they generated only 291 yards. A +2 net turnover margin helped make up for a defense that surrendered 429 yards of offense to DeShone Kizer and company. That defense allowed five big plays of at least 25 yards in that game. Los Angeles has then failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 20 games after a straight-up win — and they are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a point spread loss. The Chargers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last contest. This team stays at home where they have little home field advantage given their still lack of familiarity with that field and few supporters in the LA area. Los Angeles has failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 27 games at home — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 12 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And int heir last 5 games in the month of December, the Chargers have failed to cover the point spread in all 5 games. 10* NFL play on Washington. Best of luck for us-- Frank. |
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12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs -4 | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations (78%) where these conditions applied. |
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12-10-17 | Vikings v. Panthers +3 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Carolina Panthers (116) plus the point(s) versus the Minnesota Vikings (115). Carolina (8-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last week with their 31-21 loss in New Orleans as a 5.5-point favorite. The Panthers have rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up win — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a point spread loss. Furthermore, Carolina has covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Additionally, New Orleans outgained them by 121 yards in that game — but this franchise has covered the point spread in 26 of their last 37 home games after being outgained by at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Panthers allowed the Saints to pass for 252 yards, they are then 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. This team has been playing good football as of late with Cam Newton fully healed from a shoulder injury that slowed him down to begin the season. He is averaging a whopping 7.0 Yards-Per-Carry over his last seven contests while completing throwing to the wind those rumors in the offseason that he would not be running the ball anymore. A healthy Greg Olsen is back on the field to offer Newton his favorite passing target as well. Returning home will help after the Panthers have played their last two games on the road — and Carolina has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after playing their last two games on the road. And in their last 11 games with the Total set in the 35.5 to 42 point range, the Panthers have covered the point spread in 9 of these games. Carolina has also covered the point spread in 9 of their last 12 games as the underdog. Finally on the Panthers side of the equation, they have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. 20* NFL play with Carolina plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. |
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12-10-17 | Bears +6.5 v. Bengals | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Bears (107) plus the points versus the Cincinnati Bengals (108). Cincinnati (5-7) plays this game coming off a short week in what resulted in a 23-20 loss at home to the Steelers. That was a very physical game with plenty of emotions involved in that heated rivalry. That sets this underachieving Bengals team to suffer a big letdown when now facing this mediocre Bears team. Cincinnati had won their previous two games to make their record look better — but they have failed to cover the point spread in 3 of their last 4 games after winning two of their last three games. Furthermore, the Bengals have covered the point spread in four straight contests — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games after covering the point spread in at least contests. This is a banged up football team playing on a short week. Joe Mixon, Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kilpatrick have all been declared out for this game. Furthermore, favorites laying 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage in the 40-49% range who have won two of their last three games now facing a team with a winning percentage in the 25-40% range have then failed to cover the point spread in 29 of the last 37 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL play on Chicago plus the points. Best of luck for us -- Frank. |
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12-10-17 | Cowboys v. Giants +4 | Top | 30-10 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Giants (130) plus the points versus the Dallas Cowboys (129). There will be plenty of emotion in the Meadowlands this afternoon as the proverbial Prodigal Son in Eli Manning returns to the starting lineup in a stadium that will be full of Eli jerseys in the wake of the firing of Giants’ head coach Ben McAdoo along with their general manager Jerry Reese. New York (2-10) has played two straight games on the road — as well as three of their last four contests. That long game at home was an upset win over the Chiefs. I look for this team to play inspired football under this situation — especially for interim head coach Steve Spagnola who represents Big Blue as the defensive coordinator for a Super Bowl Championship with Manning under center. This also is an opportunity for this team to play spoiler against the Cowboys while avenging a 19-3 loss in Dallas back on September 10th. The Giants look to bounce-back from their 24-17 loss at Oakland last week as a 10-point underdog. New York rushed for only 65 yards in that game after managing just 84 rushing yards in Washington the week before. But the Giants are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 15 tams after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in two straight games. Additionally, New York scored only 7 points in the first half of their game with the Raiders — but they have then covered the point spread in 6 straight games after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first half of their last game. Furthermore, the Giants have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 home games as the underdog. |