04-08-21 |
Bruins v. Capitals -120 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (20) versus the Boston Bruins (19). THE SITUATION: Washington (25-10-4) looks to bounce back from a 1-0 loss at New York against the Islanders on Tuesday. Boston (20-10-6) comes off a 4-2 win at Philadelphia on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington has rebounded to win 11 of their last 16 games after a loss by one goal to a divisional rival. The Capitals have also won 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. They return home where they have won 7 of their last 8 games. Washington has played their last five games on the road — this is their first game back on home ice since March 28th. The Capitals are 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 games at home after being on the road for at least seven days. They turn to Ilya Samsonov to be between the pipes — he is 9-2-1 in 13 games (12 starts) this season with a 2.87 Goals-Against-Average and a .896 save percentage. He has thrived at home where he sports a 1.77 GAA with a .922 save percentage in four starts. Washington has won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 15 of their last 17 games when favored. Boston has lost 4 straight games after a win — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games after a win by at least two goals. The Bruins were hoping to get their star defenseman, Charlie McAvoy, back for this game but he will remain out for another handful of games with an upper-body injury. That does not help rookie goaltender Jeremy Swayman making his second career start after stopping 40 of 42 shots against the Flyers on Tuesday. Boston has lost 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Washington will be looking to avenge a 5-1 loss to the Bruins on March 5th — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games when avenging a loss by at least three goals. 20* NHL Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the Washington Capitals (20) versus the Boston Bruins (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
04-01-21 |
Hurricanes v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). THE SITUATION: Carolina (23-8-3) had their three-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 2-1 loss on their road against the Blackhawks. Chicago (17-15-5) snapped a two-game losing streak with the win.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Under is 3-0-1 in Carolina’s last 4 games after scoring two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-3 in their last 7 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by just one goal — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. James Reimer should be the goaltender tonight for Carolina. He sported a 2.15 Goals-Against-Average with a .925 save percentage in six starts in March. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Hurricanes’ last 5 games on the road — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games when favored. Furthermore, the Under is 6-1-2 in Carolina’s last 9 games against teams with a losing record. Chicago only managed 16 shots on goal on Monday in their victory The Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after a win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Rookie goalie Kevin Lankinen stopped 31 of the two 32 shots he faced on Tuesday against the Hurricanes. He has a 2.52 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in 15 home starts this season. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Blackhawks’ last 4 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Chicago has now played 5 straight Unders when playing at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or higher, the Under is 4-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just one goal. 25* NHL Thursday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (53) and the Chicago Blackhawks (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-31-21 |
Wild -150 v. Sharks |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-150 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (37) versus the San Jose Sharks (38). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (21-10-2) had their three-game winning streak snapped with a 4-3 loss in a shootout at San Jose on Monday. San Jose (14-16-4) had lost six of their last eight games before the win.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild had been off for three days before their game with the Sharks on Monday — the layoff may explain why they were flat. Minnesota has won 8 of their last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. The Wild have also won 7 of their last 11 games after a loss — and they have won 5 of their last 8 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Kaapo Kahkonen has been confirmed as the starting goaltender tonight. He has not played since March 20th when he got burned for six goals in his worst effort of the season at Colorado. Cam Talbot has made each start since — so Kahkonen is getting his first chance at redemption. For the record, Talbot has been great as of late — I was prepared to invest in the Wild even if he was getting the start tonight. I remain comfortable with Kahkonen who has a 2.29 Goals-Against-Average with a .921 save percentage in 17 games/16 starts this season. Kahkonen has been just as effective on the road as well where he has a 9-5-2 record with a 2.37 GAA and a .921 save percentage. Minnesota has won 10 of their last 12 games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 16 of their last 21 games as a favorite. San Jose has lost 11 of their last 14 games after a win — and they have lost 14 of their last 17 games after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have lost 9 of their last 12 games after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have lost 29 of their last 42 games after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. Despite Monday’s result, they are still only scoring 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. And San Jose has not had much of a home-ice advantage this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set at 6. They have also lost 10 of their last 14 home games as an underdog. Martin Jones is the confirmed goaltender for the Sharks. He is 11-7-2 with a 3.29 GAA and a .897 save percentage in 21 starts. Jones was the goalie on Monday when he stopped 22 of 25 shots before winning the shootout. He does his best work when playing with more than one day of rest. In those 381 minutes this season, Jones has a 2.41 GAA with a .923 save percentage. But in his 721:12 minutes when playing with one day between starts, his GAA skyrockets to a 4.71 mark with a .855 save percentage. That is not encouraging for a team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better.
FINAL TAKE: I waited on this game to (a) get the confirmation of the goaltenders (b) ensuring the money-line price was not trending above my -150 price threshold. The common price seems to be stabilizing at -150 — so I comfortable endorsing the play. If you can only get a price in the -155 range, no big deal (this is a guideline for me regarding what situations to bet — I appreciate the price others will get varies a little). Minnesota has won 10 of their last 13 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NHL Bailout Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (37) versus the San Jose Sharks (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-30-21 |
Devils v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-137 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (19) and the Boston Bruins (20). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (13-16-4) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 1-0 win at Boston on Sunday. Boston (17-9-5) has lost two of their last three games with that loss to the Devils.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have scored the fifth-fewest goals in the NHL this season. They have not scored more than two goals in seven of their twelve games this month while getting shutout three times. Boston has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total at home after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, the Under is 18-7-1 in the Bruins’ last 26 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Over their last five games, they are averaging just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game — but they are allowing only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game during that span. They stay at home where the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games. They hold their guests to just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. And while Boston has peppered the net with at least 32 shots in five straight games, they have then played 10 of their last 11 games at home Under the Total after taking at least 30 shots in five straight games. Jaroslav Halak should be between the pipes tonight — he has been sensational at home with a 1.97 Goals-Against-Average and .926 save percentage in eight games (seven starts). The Bruins have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games when favored. New Jersey has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. They have also played 6 straight Unders when playing their fourth game in seven days. This is New Jersey’s sixth straight game on the road — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after playing at least three straight games on the road. They are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games — but they have held these opponents to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. MacKenzie Blackwood should be in goal — and while he has a 3.00 Goals-Against-Average with a .894 save percentage at home in 10 starts, he improves to a 2.55 GAA and .922 save percentage in nine road starts. The Devils have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: New Jersey has now won the last four meetings between these two teams — and Boston has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when having lost at least four in a row against their opponent. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (19) and the Boston Bruins (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-26-21 |
Jets v. Flames -117 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-117 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Calgary Flames (32) versus the Winnipeg Jets (31). THE SITUATION: Calgary (15-6-3) has lost three in a row after a 3-1 loss at Ottawa on Wednesday. Winnipeg (20-11-2) has won two in a row with their 5-1 win at Vancouver on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLAMES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The honeymoon is over for new head coach Darryl Sutter. Calgary had won three of four games under the veteran disciplinarian — but they getting swept in Ottawa against the lowly Senators presents desperate times for this team. The Flames have rebounded to win 6 of their last 7 games after a loss on the road by at least three goals. And they won 5 of their last 8 games after losing two in a row. Now after playing their last four on the road, they return home where they have won 11 of their last 15 games when favored. Calgary has also won 9 of their last 13 games after playing four in a row on the road. The Flames have only scored twice in their last three games but returning to their home ice should help where they are averaging 3.3 Goals-Per-Game. They may be catching Winnipeg on the right night. The Jets have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 13 of their last 18 games after a won on the road by at least two goals. Winnipeg has lost 8 of their last 29 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Jets won their previous game by a 4-0 score at Vancouver — but they have lost 22 of their last 32 games after winning two in a row. They also have lost 6 of their last 9 games after winning two in a row by at least two goals.
FINAL TAKE: Calgary has won 6 of their last 8 opportunities to play Winnipeg at home. Look for the Flames to play inspired tonight. 25* NHL Game of the Month with the money-line on the money-line on the Calgary Flames (32) versus the Winnipeg Jets (31). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-17-21 |
Canadiens v. Jets +107 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
107 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (40) versus the Montreal Canadiens (39). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (17-9-2) comes off a 4-2 loss at home to Montreal on Monday. Montreal (13-8-7) had lost nine of their last twelve games before their triumph against the Jets.
REASONS TO TAKE THE JETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Winnipeg has still been playing well — they have won eight of their last twelve games even after the setback on Monday. They have bounced-back to win 9 of their last 10 games after a loss — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. The Jets have also won 5 of their last 6 games when playing their third game in four days. Conner Hellebuyck will be between the pipes tonight — he has a 2.49 goals-against-average with a .913 save percentage in 12 starts at home this season. Winnipeg has won 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog — and they have pulled the upset in 7 of their last 10 games as a money-line underdog. Montreal has lost 6 straight games after a victory — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Canadiens have also lost 4 of their last 5 games when playing their fourth game in six days. They stay on the road where they have lost 7 of their last 9 road games — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 road games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has won 20 of their last 28 games when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have won 5 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss at home. The Jets have lost their last two games to the Canadiens this month — but they have won 13 of their last 19 games when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Winnipeg Jets (40) versus the Montreal Canadiens (39). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-15-21 |
Flyers -115 v. Rangers |
Top |
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (7) versus the New York Rangers (8). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (13-9-3) has lost two straight and four of their last five after a 5-4 loss to Washington on Saturday. New York (11-12-3) ended a three-game losing streak with a 4-0 win at Boston on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia should respond with a strong effort tonight after being behind the eight-ball all game against the Capitals with 2-0, 3-1, and 5-2 deficits. The Flyers have won 11 of their last 12 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Philly has also won 14 of their last 18 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. They go back on the road where they have won 15 of their last 22 games — and they have won 22 of their last 29 road games when favored. Carter Hart will be between the pipes tonight. He has struggled this season with a 3.60 Goals-Against-Average and a .887 save percentage. But this is the same goalie who sported a 2.23 GAA with a .926 save percentage in 14 playoff starts in bubble last fall. The Flyers are scoring — they have scored 12 goals in their last three games with at least three in each contest. Philadelphia has won 16 of their last 23 games on the road after winning at least three goals in three straight games. The Flyers have also won 37 of their last 54 games against teams with a losing record. New York may be due for a letdown as they have lost 10 of their last 12 games at home after a win against a divisional rival. The Rangers have also lost 10 of their last 14 games after a win by at least three goals — including losing four of those five games, under those circumstances, this season. This is New York’s fourth game since Wednesday — and they have lost 7 straight games when playing their fourth game in six days. The Rangers return home where they have lost 5 of their last 7 games. This is the first game back at Madison Square Garden since March 2nd after playing their last six games on the road — and they have lost 16 of their last 22 home games after being on the road for at least seven days. New York has lost 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog. And while they have played two straight Under, they have lost 6 straight home games after playing two straight Unders. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 home games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. With Igor Shesterkin not ready to come off the Injured Reserve with his groin injury, Keith Kinkaid will get a spot start as the team’s third goaltender. Kinkaid has a 1.53 Goals-Against-Average with a .933 save percentage in four games which includes two starts. Kinkaid has been a backup for two seasons after posting a 4.24 GAA with a .875 save percentage as a starter in New Jersey two seasons ago. Kinkaid will try to lead a team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Rangers will have revenge on their minds after losing in Philadelphia by a 4-3 score on February 24th — but New York has lost 30 of their last 46 games when avenging a one-goal loss including losing five of their eight revenge opportunities from a one-goal loss this season. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (7) versus the New York Rangers (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-05-21 |
Wild -145 v. Coyotes |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (65) versus the Arizona Coyotes (66). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (12-7-1) looks to bounce back from a 5-1 loss in Vegas on Wednesday. Arizona (10-9-3) snapped a two-game losing streak with a 3-2 win in Los Angeles on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE WILD WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Minnesota had been riding a six-game winning streak when they headed to Las Vegas to begin the week. The Wild had a late 4-2 lead against the Golden Knights before surrendering two late goals and then losing in overtime. That result was marred by Zach Parise staying on the ice too long trying to help a Marcus Foligno register a hat trick on the Vegas open net — but that gesture backfired with Alex Tuch scoring the tying goal with just 42 seconds left in the game. The loss then on Wednesday was closer than the final score indicated — but the Wild now need a win to get back to their winning ways. Minnesota has won 6 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 8 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least four goals. The Wild have also won 9 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. And while this is Minnesota’s third game on the road this week, they have won 4 straight games when playing their third game in five days on the road. The Wild have won 13 of their last 19 road games after losing two in a row. Minnesota confirmed around 2:30 PM ET that they will Kaap Kahkonen will be between the pipes with his 2.41 Goals-Against-Average and .915 save percentage this season. Kahkonen enjoyed a great February with a 1.95 Goals-Against-Average with a .927 save percentage in six starts. Kahkonen is also very good on the road — he has a 1.85 GAA and .932 save percentage in six starts on the road. Arizona has lost 16 of their last 22 games after a win — and they have lost 16 of their last 19 games after a narrow win by one goal. Additionally, the Coyotes have lost 8 of their last 9 home games after a win on the road — and they have lost 5 straight home games after a win by just one goal on the road. They have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They return home where they are just 6-9 this season — and they have lost 9 of their last 12 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Arizona has also lost 4 of their last 5 home games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Coyotes have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record — and the Wild have won 4 of their last 5 road games when favored. 25* NHL West Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (65) versus the Arizona Coyotes (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
03-02-21 |
Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (1) and the New York Rangers (2). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (6-10-3) has lost three in a row with their 3-0 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday. New York (7-9-3) looks to bounce back from a 4-1 loss to Boston on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Sabres have played 12 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a loss at home by more than one goal — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after a loss at home by three or more goals. Buffalo has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a loss at home where they were shutout. Buffalo is a hot mess right now. There is talk of them trading Jack Eichel with their young superstar scoreless in his last nine games. They were shutout in their previous game as well in another 3-0 loss to the Flyers — and they have played 11 of their last 12 road games Under the Total after losing two in a row by at least two goals. They are scoring only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They go on the road where they are allowing only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games on the road. Carter Hutton is between the pipes tonight with his 3.20 Goals-Against-Average and .896 save percentage in eight games with seven starts. Hutton does have an impressive 1.20 GAA and .952 save percentage in two road starts this year. The veteran has a professional 2.81 GAA and .907 save percentage in his career on the road consisting of 111 starts and 126 overall appearances on the ice in road games. The Under is 14-4-3 in the Sabres’ last 21 games as an underdog. New York has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Rangers have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals on home ice. New York only managed 21 shots on Sunday in what was the lowest output of the season. They really miss Artemi Panarin who took time away from the ice as he deals with some serious personal issues relating to the political situation in Russia. The Rangers are scoring only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game at home. They have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total as a favorite. Igor Shesterkin will be between the pipes for them tonight. He has a 2.34 GAA and .926 save percentage in his eight games/six starts at home this season. New York has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored — and they have played 8 straight Unders against teams who are not winning more than 40% of their games.
FINAL TAKE: Buffalo is looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home to the Rangers on January 28th — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. The Under is also 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. 20* NHL Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Sabres (1) and the New York Rangers (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-26-21 |
Bruins v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-108 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (23) and the New York Rangers (24). THE SITUATION: Boston (11-4-2) has lost three of their last four games after their 7-2 loss at New York against the Islanders last night. New York (6-8-3) had their two-game winning streak end on Wednesday with their 4-3 loss at Philadelphia.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. They also have played 12 of their last 15 games on the road after a loss on the road. Boston needs to tighten up on defense after surrendering seven goals last night. They have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Their loss last night came on the heels of a 7-3 win on Monday against Philadelphia. The Bruins have played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs — and they have played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 14 of their last 20 road games Under the Total. The Under is also 19-7-1 in their last 27 games against teams with a losing record. New York has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 14 of their last 19 home games Under the Total after a narrow one-goal loss. The Rangers have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest. And while New York has scored at least three goals in three straight games, they have then played 12 of their last 14 home games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in two straight games. The Rangers are without one of their best goal scorers in Artemi Panarin who is out indefinitely dealing with some personal issues relating to the political turmoil in Russia. New York returns home to Madison Square Garden where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Rangers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%.
FINAL TAKE: New York has lost both their games with the Bruins this season after losing by a 1-0 score at home to them on February 12th. The Rangers have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total when motivated by double-revenge. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Month with Boston Bruins (23) and the New York Rangers (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-25-21 |
Canadiens -120 v. Jets |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Montreal Canadiens (15) versus the Winnipeg Jets (16). THE SITUATION: Montreal (9-5-4) has lost three straight games after their 5-4 loss in overtime at Ottawa on Tuesday. Winnipeg (11-6-1) has won three of their last four games after their 4-3 win in Vancouver on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CANADIENS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: After an 8-1-2 start, Montreal was sliding — and losing two in a row to the hapless Senators compelled the organization to fired head coach Claude Julien. Assistant coach Dominique Ducharme was promoted to become the new head coach. Expect an inspired effort from the Canadiens in the wake of the firing. As it is, the Canadiens have won 10 of their last 13 road games after a loss by just one goal on the road. Montreal has also won 4 of their last 5 games when playing their fourth game in six days. They stay on the road where they have won 4 of their last 5 games — and they have won 7 of their last 10 road games when favored. Winnipeg has lost 5 of their last 7 games after a win — and they have lost 20 of their last 28 games after winning two in a row against divisional rivals. Furthermore, the Jets have lost 5 of their last 6 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Winnipeg has also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Winnipeg has won 16 of their last 23 games against the Jets including 4 straight games in Winnipeg. 10* NHL Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the Montreal Canadiens (15) versus the Winnipeg Jets (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-21 |
Rangers v. Flyers -116 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (64) versus the New York Rangers (63). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (8-4-3) has lost two straight games as well as three of four after their 7-3 loss to Boston on Sunday. New York (6-7-3) has won their last two games with their 4-1 win at Washington on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia is undermanned right now after a positive COVID case required a handful of players to go into quarantine. There is a chance some of these players will be cleared to play tonight — but even if the Flyers do not get the services of players like Claude Lemieux, this team should step up tonight. Philadelphia needs to get back to winning — and they have bounced back to win 12 of their last 14 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Flyers have also won 8 of their last 9 games after a loss by at least four goals. Furthermore, Philly has won 12 of their last 15 games after losing four of their last five games. The Flyers have also won 13 of their last 16 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Goalie Carter Hart surrendered six goals on Sunday — he is being given the night off for their quality backup, Brian Elliott. The veteran has been outstanding this season at home where he has a 1.96 Goals-Against-Average along with a .939 save percentage in three starts/four games. Elliott mostly played on the road last year so he is relishing playing in his familiar arena. Philadelphia has won 28 of their last 41 games at home — and they have won 24 of their last 33 home games when favored. New York has lost 6 of their last 8 games are a win — and they have lost 23 of their last 34 games after a win on the road. The Rangers have lost 39 of their last 57 games after allowing no more than two goals. And in their last 41 games when playing with at least three days between games. They go back not her and where they have lost 6 of their last 8 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: New York has lost 10 of their last 13 games as an underdog. In this must-have game, expect the Flyers who have Stanley Cup aspirations to step-up to get the win. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (64) versus the New York Rangers (63). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-24-21 |
Flames v. Maple Leafs -144 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (62) versus the Calgary Flames (61). THE SITUATION: Toronto (14-4-2) looks to rebound from a 3-0 loss to the Flames on Monday. Calgary (9-9-1) snapped a three-game losing streak with the victory.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAPLE LEAFS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Toronto should respond with a big effort after getting shutout on Monday. The Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Toronto has also won 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by three or more goals — and they have won 4 straight games after a loss at home by at least three goals. They stay at home where they have won 6 of their last 8 games — and they have won 6 of their last 8 home games when favored. An injury to Frederik Andersen led to Michael Hutchinson's play on Monday — and he will likely be between the pipes tonight with Andersen questionable. In seven games including four starts last year, Hutchinson had a respectable 2.32 Goals-Against-Average with a .921 save percentage. Toronto has won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Calgary was without their top goalie, Jacob Markstrom on Monday so who is also questionable for tonight — so David Rittich may have to play again after he stopped 34 shots on Monday. Rittich had a 2.81 GAA with a .914 save percentage in 28 starts on the road last year so he is not likely to repeat his Monday performance. The Flames have lost 12 of the last 17 games after a win on the road against a divisional rival. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Toronto has won 11 of their last 13 games when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 20* NHL Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (62) versus the Calgary Flames (61). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-21-21 |
Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (33) and the Vancouver Canucks (34). THE SITUATION: Winnipeg (10-6-1) has won two of their last three games after there shutout win in Vancouver against the Canucks on Friday. Vancouver (8-12-1) lost their second game in their last three contests.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jets got a shutout from backup goalie, Laurent Brossoit, who stopped 29 shots. Winnipeg has played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a shutout win. Additionally, the Jets have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total on the road after a win by more than one goal. 2020 Vezina Trophy winner Connor Hellebuyck returns to the ice tonight after getting Friday off. He has a 2.56 Goals-Against-Average with a .921 save percentage in seven starts this month. Winnipeg has allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total with the number at 6 or higher. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the Jets’ last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Vancouver has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Canucks have also played 3 of their 4 games this season Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal — and they have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing an Under in their last game. Vancouver is scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — but they have only allowed 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over that stretch while limiting their opponents to just 27.8 shots-per-game which is 4.2 shots fewer than their season average. The Canucks will turn back to Braden Holtby tonight who has struggled in his move to the Canadien west coast after his long tenure in Washington. He did come off a promising outing in his last game where they stopped 35 of 36 shots in a win at Calgary. Vancouver has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on home ice. The Under is also 4-0-1 in the Canucks’ last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver struggles to get their offense going against Winnipeg — they are averaging only 1.47 Goals-Per-Game in their last 17 games against the Jets while getting shutout five times. These two teams have played 5 straight Unders after Friday — and the Canucks have played 3 of their 4 games this season Under the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one goal. 25* NHL Bailout Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Winnipeg Jets (33) and the Vancouver Canucks (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-20-21 |
Maple Leafs -108 v. Canadiens |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7) versus the Montreal Canadiens (8). THE SITUATION: Toronto (13-3-2) has won two in a row with their 7-3 win against Ottawa on Thursday. Montreal (9-4-2) takes the ice for the first time since last Saturday when they defeated these Maple Leafs by a 2-1 score.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAPLE LEAFS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: I hate this situation for the Canadiens. They have been able to bask in the glow of their triumph against Toronto for an entire week while getting rusty with the six-days off from competition. Expect a slow start for this Montreal team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Canadiens have also lost 6 of their last 8 games after a win at home by one goal against a divisional foe. Montreal has not been great at home this season without the support of their fans. They have lost 7 of their last 10 games on their home ice. And while the Canadiens and Maple Leafs appear to be the two best teams in the reconfigured North Division, I don’t buy the Montreal is at the same level as this loaded Toronto team. Led by Auston Matthews who has taken his game to another level this year with a league-leading 16 goals, the Maple Leafs are averaging 29.4 shots-per-game while converting on a scorching 32.7% of their Power Play chances — and Montreal has lost 19 of their last 28 home games against opponents who average at least 29.5 shots-per-game and converting on the Power Play at least 17% of the time. Toronto has won 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win over a divisional rival. They have also won a decisive 42 of their last 59 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. The Maple Leafs have also won 4 of their last 5 games when playing their third game in four days. The Leafs have been good road warriors who have won 5 of their last 6 away from home — and they have won 4 of their last 5 road games when priced as a favorite. Toronto has also won 5 of their last 7 road games with the Total at 6 or higher. This is a good team that beat 8 of their last 9 opponents with winning records — and they have won 9 of their last 12 games when favored.
FINAL TAKE: The Maple Leafs have been waiting all week for Saturday night to avenge last week’s loss — they have won 6 of their last 7 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss. Toronto has also won 20 of their last 27 games when avenging a loss where they only scored one goal. 25* NHL North Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (7) versus the Montreal Canadiens (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-21 |
Senators v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (12). THE SITUATION: Ottawa (3-12-1) snapped a four-game losing streak on Saturday with their 2-1 win at Winnipeg. Toronto (11-3-1) looks to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at home to Montreal on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Senator have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win on the road. The Under is also 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least two goals or less in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Ottawa has not scored more than two goals in five straight games while averaging just 1.4 goals-per-game over that stretch. The Senators have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. They stay on the road where they are averaging only 2.1 goals-per-game — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games away from home. Marcus Hogberg is between the pipes tonight — and I am not going to sugarcoat that. But Matt Murray has no confidence right now as the primary starter for this team so it is not as if waiting for the former Penguin makes sense. There is a reason why the Total is 6.5 — and Ottawa has not allowed more than three goals in five of their last six games. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Senators’ last 7 games as an underdog. And while the Maple Leafs average 3.5 goals-per-games, Ottawa has played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 3.0 goals-per-game. Toronto has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, the Maple Leafs have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. And in their last 19 games after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored, the game finished Under the Total 12 times. Toronto stays at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. The Under is also 13-3-1 in the Maple Leafs’ last 17 home games when favored. Frederick Andersen should be the goalie tonight. Andersen has a 2.55 Goals-Against-Average with a .909 save percentage in 13 starts but his numbers improve to a 2.00 GAA with a .926 save percentage in his 8 starts at home. Toronto has not allowed more than two goals in four straight games as they are finally beginning to embrace a more defensive approach that will serve them well in the postseason.
FINAL TAKE: Ottawa will be looking to avenge a 3-2 loss at home back on January 16th — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 25* NHL North Division Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Ottawa Senators (11) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-08-21 |
Islanders v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (67) and the New York Rangers (68). THE SITUATION: The New York Islanders (4-4-2) snapped a five-game losing streak on Saturday with their 4-3 win at home against Pittsburgh. The New York Rangers (4-4-2) have won two straight as well as three of their last four after their victory against Washington on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Islanders have scored more than three goals just three times this season. They have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a win at home against a divisional rival. They also have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a narrow win at home by just one goal. The Islanders have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least three goals. They have also played 37 of their last 56 games Under the Total after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And while the Islanders' previous game was a 4-3 loss at Philadelphia, they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. They go back on the road where they are scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Semyon Varlamov will be between the pipes tonight with his 2.14 Goals-Against-Average and .921 save percentage in seven starts this season. Varlamov was reliable on the road last year with a 2.36 GAA along with a .922 save percentage. The Islanders have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is a decisive 34-16-3 in their last 53 road games as an underdog. The Rangers have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. They have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row on home ice. This is the Rangers’ fourth straight game at home at Madison Square Garden where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games at home Under the Total when favored. Igor Shesterkin will be in goal tonight given his improved form as of late. He had 31 saves on Saturday against the Capitals. Shesterkin is making a claim to be the team’s top goalie with 79 saves in the 84 shots he has faced in his last three games for a .940 save percentage. In his four starts at home this season, Shesterkin has a 2.35 GAA with a .913 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams after the Rangers’ 5-0 victory back on January 16th. 25* NHL Monday NBC Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (67) and the New York Rangers (68). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-23-20 |
Lightning v. Stars UNDER 5 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (25) and the Dallas Stars (26) in Game Three of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (58-26-7) evened this series at one game apiece on Monday with their 3-2 victory over the Stars. Dallas (51-33-8) had won their previous two games before their loss in Game Two.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning had the benefit of two power plays in the opening period from which they scored twice. That allowed for their defense tighten up — they only surrendered two shots in the final 14:33 of the 3rd period along with just one high danger scoring chance for the Stars in the final period. The Under is 10-4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 15 games after a win. The Under is also 19-6-3 in the Lightning’s last 28 games after allowing two goals or less in their last game. And in their last 8 road games when playing their fourth game in seven days, the game finished Under the Total 7 times. Dallas needs to play with more discipline tonight to not allow the Lightning those scoring chances with a man advantage. The Stars stingy defense is limiting Tampa Bay to just 1.34 goals per 60 minutes of play in this series when playing at even strength. Moving forward, Dallas has played 40 of their last 62 games on the road Under the Total after winning two of their last three games.
FINAL TAKE: The Stars have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-Dallas NBC-Sports Network O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (25) and the Dallas Stars (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-19-20 |
Stars v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
|
4-1 |
Push |
0 |
0 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (22) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-32-8) reached the Stanley Cup Finals by defeating the Vegas Golden Knights in five games culminating in their 3-2 victory on September 14th. Tampa Bay (57-25-7) joined them for the opportunity to lift Lord Stanley’s Cup on September 17th with their 2-1 win over the New York Islanders in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is a decisive 54-26-10 in the Stars’ last 90 games after a win. Interestingly considering the long break between the end of the Western Conference Finals and the start of the Stanley Cup Finals, the Under is 17-5-1 in Dallas’ last 23 games when playing with at least three days of rest. The Stars played suffocating defense against Vegas while getting great goaltending from Anton Khudobin. Dallas did not allow more than two goals in the final three games of that series. The Stars have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 17 of their last 20 games Under the Total on the road after not allowing more than two goals in three straight games. And while Dallas did not register more than 26 shots in any of the five games they played against the Golden Knights in their last series, they have then played 21 of their last 30 games Under the Total after not generating more than 26 shots in five straight games. Tampa Bay has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a victory. The Lightning reached the Stanley Cup Finals this season after getting upset in the first round of the playoffs last season by transitioning into a team that is comfortable forechecking and grinding out victories. Tampa Bay has allowed two goals or less in eight of their last nine playoff games — and they have surrendered just four combined goals in their last three games. The Under is 19-6-2 in the Lightning’s last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas won both meetings between these two teams during the regular season with the last contest being back on January 27th when they won by a 3-2 score. Tampa Bay has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing away from home and motivated by revenge — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 10* NHL Dallas-Tampa Bay NBC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (21) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-17-20 |
Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
112 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the New York Islanders (12) in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals. THE SITUATION: New York (48-28-13) kept this series alive on Tuesday with their 2-1 win in double-overtime. Tampa Bay (56-25-7) has now lost two of the last three games in this series. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This is a game that went 68:30 minutes from the 2nd period into the 7:30 mark in the 2nd overtime scoreless before Jordan Eberle scored the winner for the Islanders. New York has played a decisive 52 of their last 91 games Under the Total after a win or a tie in their last game — and they have played 40 of their last 66 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Additionally, the Islanders have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. New York has lulled the Lightning into a grinding style of play — but they have managed to score only three combined goals in the last two games which has consisted of 152 1/2 minutes of action. The Islanders have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after suffering a loss in overtime. The Lightning did limit the Islanders to just 24 shots on target in 152:30 minutes in that game which is a good sign for them going into tonight. The Under is 18-6-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 26 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Lightning have also played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game.
FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay may be without Brayden Point for the third time in this series as he is a game-time decision with his undisclosed injury. The Lightning’s offense slows down significantly if he is not on the ice — he has nine goals with sixteen assists in the playoffs. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Islanders NBC-SN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (11) and the New York Islanders (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-11-20 |
Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (41) and the New York Islanders (42) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Finals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (55-24-6) took a 2-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 2-1 victory over the Islanders. New York (46-27-13) has now lost four of their last five games. This game will be played on neutral ice in the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win — and the Under is 17-5-2 in their last 24 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Tampa Bay is playing great defense — and they are getting great goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy who has not allowed more than two goals in five straight games. The Lightning have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after playing two straight games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Tampa Bay will be short-handed at forward with Alex Killorn suspended for this contest after his boarding penalty in Game Two and with Brayden Point questionable with the injury that kept him out of the 3rd period on Wednesday. Head coach Jon Cooper likes to roll four lines so this hit to his forward depth is a money-wrench to those plans. Point has been fantastic in these playoffs with eight goals and fifteen assists in fifteen games. Tampa Bay has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total when not playing more than their third game in ten days (the Lightning had a week off before this series started). New York has only scored three goals in this series — and they have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a loss. They also have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by more than one goal. Additionally, the Islanders have played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after a game where no more than three combined goals were scored. New York has also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal — and they have played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total when playing away from home after not scoring at least two goals in their last game. The Islanders had plenty of chances in Game Two as they had a five-minute major with that Killorn boarding penalty and they had a 5-on-3 edge for 0:38 on a power play as well.
FINAL TAKE: New York has now lost three straight games to the Lightning — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with triple revenge. 10* NHL Tampa Bay-NY Islanders USA-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (41) and the New York Islanders (42). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-07-20 |
Islanders v. Lightning UNDER 5 |
|
2-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (33) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (34) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (46-25-13) enters this series after defeating Philadelphia in Game Seven of that Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series on Saturday with their 4-0 victory. Tampa Bay (53-26-6) won four straight games in their five-game series with Boston with a 3-2 victory over the Bruins last Monday. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with at least three days of rest — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing away from home in not more than their third game in ten days. The extended time off will likely see this Tampa Bay team sluggish. The Lightning have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have seen the Under go 16-4-2 in their last 22 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has not allowed more than two goals in their last three games — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. New York has played 10 of their last 13 games away from home Under the Total after a win by at least four goals. The Under is also 5-2-3 in the Islanders’ last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The grind of Barry Trotz’s team's schedule should contribute to this being a lower scoring game tonight. The Under is 37-18-3 in their last 58 games when playing with one day of rest. Additionally, New York has played 28 of their last 40 games Under the Total when playing their third game in five days — and they have played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total when playing their fourth game in seven days.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders has seen the Under go a decisive 46-19-4 in their last 69 games when playing as an underdog. 10* NHL NY Islanders-Tampa Bay NBC-Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New York Islanders (33) and the Tampa Bay Lightning (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-03-20 |
Flyers v. Islanders -125 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Islanders (26) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (25) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: New York (45-25-12) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 4-3 loss in overtime. Philadelphia (50-26-7) still trails by a 3-2 margin in this series. This game will be played on neutral ice at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE THE ISLANDERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York should rebound tonight to win this series. The Islanders have still won 9 of their last 13 playoff games when leading in the series. This team displayed grit by rallying from a 3-1 deficit with under five minutes to go in the third period to force overtime. They won the expected goals battle by a 3.11 to 2.93 xG score — and they generated six more high danger scoring chances than the Flyers. New York has scored at least three goals in six straight games — and they have then won 12 of their last 18 games after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. This is a team that enjoyed a seventeen-game winning streak during the regular season before injuries slowed them down. The loss of top-line defenseman Adam Pelech obviously hurt before the injury to fourth-line center Casey Cizakas who played an important defensive role for the team. Getting both those players back helps — and the Islanders made some significant moves at the trade deadline by filling their hole at center by adding Jean-Gabriel Pageau from Ottawa and Andy Greene from New Jersey to add depth on defense. Pageau scored the game-tying goal yesterday and has fortified this team by anchoring the third-line. Trotz rolls four lines and his team’s dedication to their aggressive forechecking style of play makes them consistent from game-to-game. Philadelphia still has a big hill to climb to win this series — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win. The Flyers have also lost 8 of their last 12 games when playing on the road for their third game in five days.
FINAL TAKE: Injuries loom large for this game. The Islanders’ center Mat Barzal is listed as questionable after taking a hit in Game Five — but he is trending up to play tonight. The bigger issue is the injury that Philly’s Sean Couturier suffered on Tuesday — he may not be able to return tonight. That would be a huge loss as he is the team’s best player and one of the best two-way centers in the game. New York has won 15 of their last 24 games when avenging a same-season loss so expect a strong performance from them. 25* NHL 2nd Round Metropolitan Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the New York Islanders (26) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (25). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-20 |
Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6 |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
115 |
0 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (50-24-9) has won two of the last three games in this series after winning on Monday by a 6-3 score. Dallas (45-30-8) still holds a 3-2 lead in this series. This game will be played on neutral ice in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: All five games in this series have seen at least seven combined goals scored — but I suspect this is the game where the tone of this series changes like it did last night between Vancouver and Vegas which has been seeing a ton of goals before a lowering scoring 2-1 result last night. This is the third game in four days for these two teams as they make up for the two days scratched last week. The Avalanche have seen the Under go 39-15-4 in their last 58 games when playing their third game in four days including playing nineteen of their last twenty-eight games Under the Total in that situation. Colorado has also played 21 of their last 33 games Under the Total coming off a win or a tie in their last game. Furthermore, while the Avalanche have scored at least four goals in three straight games, they have then played 27 of their last 41 games away from home Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in their last game. Dallas has played 24 of their last 33 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Stars have also played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. I am not sure who will be the goaltender for Dallas tonight after Ben Bishop was the surprise starter for them in Game Five. Bishop allowed four goals on nineteen shots on Monday but his defense deserves much of that blame. I suspect Bishop gets the call tonight as he is one of the best in the business when on his game. Perhaps he was rusty on Monday — but he had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average along with a .920 save percentage in the regular season so he should be good to go if he is between the pipes tonight.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by just two goals — and they have played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. 10* NHL Colorado-Dallas NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
09-02-20 |
Avalanche v. Stars +104 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19) in Game Six of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (45-30-8) looks to bounce back from their 6-3 loss to the Avalanche on Monday. Colorado (50-24-9) has won two of the last three games in this series but still trail by a 3-2 margin. This game will be played on neutral ice in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas was caught flat and very sloppy on defense at the beginning of this game as they allowed the Avalanche to race out to a 5-0 lead in the opening period. Look for the Stars to respond with a strong effort tonight. Dallas has won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Stars have also won 19 of their last 26 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Dallas is a team that was always much better than their frontline numbers from the regular season suggests. The Stars were only ahead of Detroit with a 1.96 goals-per-game average at even strength during the regular season despite their expected goals mark at five-on-five being at 2.42 expected goals per game at even strength. Regression was bound to finally take hold for this team to start seeing more of their shots get into the back of the net. Head coach Rick Bowness has also had the defense play more aggressively in their opponent’s territory since the restart — and the blue-liners have responded with nine goals along with 27 assists. Over their last six games, the Stars have scored 29 goals. This remains a team that has won the expected goal (xG) battle in eight of their last eleven games with this Avalanche team. I am not sure who will be the goaltender for Dallas tonight after Ben Bishop was the surprise starter for them in Game Five. Bishop allowed four goals on nineteen shots on Monday but his defense deserves much of that blame. I suspect Bishop gets the call tonight as he is one of the best in the business when on his game. Perhaps he was rusty on Monday — but he had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average along with a .920 save percentage in the regular season so he is likely an upgrade of Anton Khudobin who has played fine in his absence. Colorado may be vulnerable to exhaling just a bit in this game after staving off elimination with their convincing win on Monday. The Avalanche have lost 16 of their last 25 games after scoring at last six goals in their last game. Colorado has scored at least four goals in three straight games — but they have allowed the Stars to score at least three goals in all five games in this series. The Avalanche have lost 16 of their last 24 games after playing at least two straight games where at least three goals were scored — and they have lost 7 of their last 9 games after playing at least three straight games where both teams scored at least three goals were scored. Additionally, Colorado has lost 14 of their last 19 games after playing at least three straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after playing at least three straight games where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Aves have goaltending problems of their own — but it is much worse after they had to rely on Michael Hutchinson on Monday. He played as good as could be expected after stopping 31 of 34 shots — but there is a reason that they picked him up the scrap heap earlier this season after Toronto cut him outright. Hutchinson had -6.91 saves below expectation before Monday’s game. He may have to play again tonight with Phillipp Grubauer out and backup Johan Francouz — who had been struggling — deemed unfit to play in Game Five.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has won 7 of their last 9 games away from home when looking to avenge a loss by more than one goal. 25* NHL 2nd Round Playoff Game of the Month with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (20) versus the Colorado Avalanche (19). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-29-20 |
Lightning v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
108 |
1 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Boston Bruins (2) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (51-24-6) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 7-1 victory over the Bruins. Boston (49-19-13) remains the technical home team for this game which gives them the right to make the final line change. This game was originally scheduled for Friday but was cancelled with the NHL joining the protest regarding recent events in Wisconsin. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston will tighten things up on defense for Game Four. The Bruins have played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games away from home Under the Toal after allowing five or more goals in their last contest. And while they surrendered five goals on Tuesday in their 5-4 loss in Game Two of this series on Tuesday, they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. Additionally, Boston has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. Remember, this team had allowed only seven combined goals in their previous four games before seeing the eleven combined goals in these last two games in this series. And in their last 41 games when playing their third game in five days away from home, the Bruins have played 25 of these games Under the Total. Tampa Bay has played 21 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a victory by at least five goals. The Lightning have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. This team demonstrated in their series with Columbus that they are more comfortable playing in a grinding defensive style that is more conducive to playoff hockey. They have allowed only four goals in the last two games of this series. Furthermore, the Under is also 5-2-2 in their last 9 games when the favorite.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. The Bruins have also played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals. 10* NHL Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-24-20 |
Stars v. Avalanche -147 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-147 |
1 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 9:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (4) versus the Dallas Stars (3) in Game Two of their Western Conference Semifinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (43-28-8) won the opening game of this series on Saturday by a 5-3 score. Colorado (48-22-9) remains the technical home team for Game Two which means they retain the right to make the final line change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado may have been caught flat-footed after easily taking care of Arizona in five games in their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. If getting beaten by two goals was not enough to wake up this team, then the injuries they suffered on Saturday should certainly get the attention of this team. The Avalanche will be without goaltender Phillip Grubauer and defenseman Erik Johnson for this contest. As it is, Colorado has bounced-back to win 11 of their last 17 games after a loss by at least two goals — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by more than one goal against a Central Division rival. Additionally, the Avalanche have won 15 of their last 21 games after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. They turn to Pavel Francouz to be between the pipes. The 29-year old is capable after putting up fantastic numbers in the AHL and Russian KHL in his career. Francouz was 21-7-4 for Colorado this season with a 2.41 Goals-Against-Average and a .923 save percentage in thirty-four games which included thirty-one starts. He also has three postseason appearances where he has registered a 1.59 GAA with a .941 save percentage. The Avalanche have still won 21 of their last 30 games when the favorite. Dallas has lost 6 of their last 7 games after a game where both teams scored at least five goals. The Stars have also lost 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. It has been feast or famine for this Dallas team on offense. They have scored at least five goals in four of their last nine games — but they have not scored more than two goals in those other five games while being shutout twice. The Stars were just 30th during the regular season by averaging just 1.96 goals-per-game when playing at even strength.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has won 14 of their last 20 games away from home when looking to avenge an upset loss to their opponent. 10* NHL Monday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (4) versus the Dallas Stars (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-21-20 |
Flyers -135 v. Canadiens |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (15) versus the Montreal Canadiens (16) in Game Six of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Montreal (36-35-9) kept their season alive on Wednesday with their 5-3 victory over the Flyers. The Canadiens will be the technical home team for this contest which gives them the final line change advantage. Philadelphia (47-23-7) retains a 3-2 advantage in this series so they can still close out this series tonight. This game will be played on neutral ice at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The headlining news for this game is the broken jaw that the Canadiens’ forward Brendan Gallagher suffered in a brutal hit from the Flyers’ top-line defenseman Matt Niskanen. Gallagher is perhaps out for the rest of the postseason while Niskanen has been suspended for this sixth game of the series. While the loss of Niskanen hurts, his absence is not as devastating to the Flyers since they can rotate blue-line players. Philadelphia has been remarkably resilient this season. They have won all 8 of their games after a loss since January 7th this year — including their 1-0 victory in Game Three of this series after losing Game Two by a 5-0 score. Goalie Carter Hart had been outstanding with two shutouts in Games Three and Four where he stopped all 52 of the shots he faced. The Flyers have won 6 straight games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. Additionally, Philadelphia has won a decisive 38 of their last 52 games when favored — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after a loss. The loss of Gallagher is devastating to this team as he is their best five-on-five offensive player with 22 goals on the season which is tied for the most on the team with Tomas Tatar. Even with Gallagher, Montreal has scored just five times at five-on-five in this series. And while Gallagher had been silent for most of these postseason bubble games, he scored his first playoff goal on Wednesday with his power-play one-timer. As it is, the Canadiens have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a victory. They also have lost 35 of their last 51 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game (including Game Three of this series) And in their last 8 games in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, Montreal has lost 6 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia has won 15 of their last 20 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have won 9 of their last 12 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 10* NHL Philadelphia-Montreal NBC Sports Network Special with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (15) versus the Montreal Canadiens (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-19-20 |
Canucks +125 v. Blues |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
125 |
0 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Vancouver Canucks (77) versus the St. Louis Blues (78) in the fifth game of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (41-29-7) has lost two straight games in this series after their 3-1 loss to the Blues on Monday. This series is now even at 2-2. St. Louis (44-22-12) is the technical home team again for this game which gives them the right to make the last line change. This game is being played on neutral ice at Edmonton’ Rogers.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CANUCKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Vancouver did win the first two games of this series despite the Blues’ retaining the line change advantage as the designated home team. They dominated the special teams in those opening two games where they scored on five of their nine Power Play opportunities while adding a short-handed goal. Vancouver is a dangerous team because of what they lack in playoff experience they make up for in exciting young talent. The trio of Elias Pettersson, Brock Boeser, and Quinn Hughes is reminiscent of the Chicago Blackhawks superstar trio of Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, and Duncan Keith at the beginning of their eventual three-time Stanley Cup run. While the last two games in this series have finished Under the Total with Vancouver scoring only three combined goals, the Canucks have then won 8 of their last 11 games after playing two straight Unders. Vancouver must increase their physicality tonight after the Blues’ amped up their forechecking game — and they do have the players to meet this challenge. This is a team that has won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Canucks have also won 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. They are getting very good goaltending from Jacob Markstrom who has a .929 save percentage in this series — he has the talent to steal this game. St. Louis may be due for a letdown after playing their best two games since the return to action in the bubble. The reigning Stanley Cup champions have scored at least three goals in each of their last three games — but they have lost 7 of their last 9 games after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. The Blues have also lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road when playing their third game in four days. St. Louis is a balanced team with depth that plays their system well. But they lack superstar talent which means the loss of Vladimir Tarasenko who left the bubble to get his bum shoulder checked out even more ominous. Goalie Jake Allen has stopped 61 of the 64 shots he has faced in the last two games after replacing the slumping Jordan Binnington. But Allen has never been the lead goaltender for this team when making a deep run in the playoffs. And I worry that the defending champions may let out a deep exhale after finding their game again to even this series after a listless start in the bubble. As it is, St. Louis has lost 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 playoff games as the favorite, the Blues have been upset 4 times.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver has won 12 of their last 18 games when playing with double-revenge from two losses to their opponent where they allowed at least two goals. 10* NHL Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the money-line on the Vancouver Canucks (77) versus the St. Louis Blues (78). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-18-20 |
Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (65) and the Vegas Golden Knights (66). THE SITUATION: Chicago (36-33-9) staved off elimination on Sunday with their 3-1 victory over the Golden Knights. Vegas (45-25-8) still leads this series by a 3-1 margin — and they are the technical home team again for this contest which gives them the final line change option. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Centre in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Despite the final score on Sunday, the Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total when facing elimination in the playoffs — and that is a team trend that encompasses the long playoff history of core players Patrick Kane, Jonathan Tows, and Duncan Keith. Chicago has also played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when playing their third game on the road in five days. The Blackhawks have only allowed three combined goals in the last two games of this series — but they have then played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. Additionally, Chicago has played 26 of their last 38 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning record. Vegas has played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Defenseman Nate Schmidt claimed after Sunday's game that it was probably the team’s best offensive effort in this series despite getting to the back of the net only once. The expected goals indicate that the Golden Knights should have scored 2.82 goals on Sunday — they peppered Chicago goalie Corey Crawford with 48 shots. Vegas led the NHL in the regular season in expected goal percentage when playing on five-on-five. This series has seen two straight Unders — but the Knights have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. And while Vegas had been on a nine-game winning streak before their loss on Sunday, they have then played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four contests.
FINAL TAKE: The Golden Knights have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total when avenging a loss on the road by more than one goal. 20* NHL Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (65) and the Vegas Golden Knights (66). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-17-20 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes +105 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
0 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the Carolina Hurricanes (58) with the money-line versus the Boston Bruins (57) in the fourth game of this Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Carolina (42-26-6) looks to bounce back from their 3-1 loss to the Bruins in Game Three of this series on Saturday. The Hurricanes remain the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. Boston (46-18-12) now enjoys a 2-1 lead in this series. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE THE HURRICANES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: As if losing Game Three was bad enough, Carolina also saw their star 20-year old right-winger, Andrei Svechnikov, suffer a gruesome leg injury in a freak 3rd-period play which will likely keep him out the rest of this series (at least). His loss is devastating — but look for this gritty team to rally around each other in this game. They have outplayed the Bruins for most of this series — and they remain motivated to avenge the four-game sweep they suffered at the hands of this Boston team in last years’ Eastern Conference Finals. This is a team that feels that they can make a run to the Stanley Cup Finals after defeating the New York Islanders and Washington Capitals in last year’s playoffs. They have won 6 of their last 8 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Additionally, the Hurricanes have won 5 of their last 7 games on the road when playing their third game in five days — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games when playing their fourth game in six days. Boston probably played their best game in the bubble on Saturday perhaps inspired to rally together themselves after starting goalie Tuukka Rask left the team by opting out of the bubble to return to his family. Of course, those actions occurred on the heels of him claiming that they playing without fans did not feel like the playoffs. The Bruins may be due for a letdown now as they look to sustain their energy after losing the in Stanley Cup Finals last season. Boston has been upset in 4 of their last 5 games as a favorite — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 games when favored in a playoff game. The Bruins also are missing a critical piece to their offense with head coach Bruce Cassidey declaring that David Pastrnak will not be available to play for a third straight game in this series. Pasternak’s 48 goals this season are tied for the most in the NHL.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina should be a tough-out tonight as what they are lacking after Svechnikov’s injury, they make up for in heart. While the Hurricanes were not playing in front of their home fans, they did have the home-ice edge on Saturday with the right to make the last line change — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after a loss “at home” against an opponent by more than one goal. 10* NHL Boston-Carolina NBC Sports Network Special with the Carolina Hurricanes (58) with the money-line versus the Boston Bruins (57). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-17-20 |
Lightning v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 3:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (53) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (54) in the fourth game of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (47-23-6) seized a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 3-2 victory over the Blue Jackets. Columbus (36-25-7) remains the technical home team for Game Four this afternoon which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lightning started slow on Saturday by conceding three straight Power Plays in the first ten minutes of that game while being outshot by a 9 to 2 margin. But Tampa Bay then tightened things up by focusing on puck possession and playing keep away — they only allowed the Blue Jackets to have just 8 more shots in the remaining 50:19 minutes of that game. The Lightning have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a victory. The Under is also 13-3-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 18 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Head coach Jon Cooper has his team playing grind-it-out hockey in this postseason as a response to them being swept in the first round of last year’s playoffs to these Blue Jackets despite earning the President’s Trophy for the best record in the regular season. The Lightning are averaging only 2.33 Goals-Per-Game in their six games in the bubble — and they have scored only 7 goals in the three games in this series which includes that opening game five-overtime affair which adds another game and a half to the minutes' ledger of this series. But Tampa Bay has surrendered only 7 goals in this series as well which is what certainly pleases Cooper since a commitment to defense is necessary to make deep runs in the Stanley Cup playoffs. Conceding only 17 shots in their last game is a great formula for lower scoring contests. Moving forward, the Under is 3-0-2 in the Lightning’s last 5 games as a favorite. Columbus has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. The Blue Jackets have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Head coach John Tortorella gave his team yesterday off after they have played over 122 minutes of overtime in their last six games. The Blue Jackets should have more energy on defense for this crucial Game Four. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Joonas Korpisalo who has a 1.51 Goals-Against-Average with a .956 save percentage in seven playoff games in the bubble.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now seen the Under go 26-10-3 in the last 39 meetings between these two teams. Expect another lower-scoring game. 10* NHL Monday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (53) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (54). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-16-20 |
Capitals -104 v. Islanders |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-104 |
1 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (43) versus the New York Islanders (44) in Game Three of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Washington (42-23-9) finds themselves down 0-2 in this series after losing Game Two of this series to the Islanders by a 5-2 score on Friday. New York (40-24-10) becomes the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Look for this Washington team just two summer removed from being Stanley Cup champions to play their best game in the bubble this afternoon. Washington has been listless in the return to play with a 1-4 record where they have been outscored by a 16 to 9 margin. But the core of this team that won that Stanley Cup remain with this group — and this crew has bounced-back to win 41 of their last 61 games after a loss by at least three goals including 15 of their last 21 games after a loss by at least three goals when playing at home. Of course, the Capitals were not the home team on Thursday with these games being played on neutral ice without fans. But having the advantage of the last line change does mean something which the “home” team retains so I think those trends mean something. Everyone needs to step up for this one — and it will start on defense. Washington has won 41 of their last 60 games after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. And while the Capital have allowed four goals in each of the first two games in this series, they have then won 15 of their last 20 games after allowing at least four goals in two straight games including all five of these situations in 2020. New York may be due for a letdown as they have lost 9 of their last 13 games on the road when playing their third game in five days. The Islanders have also lost 8 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Washington has won 24 of their last 35 games on the road when looking to avenge a loss by at least two goals. 10* NHL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with money-line on the Washington Capitals (43) versus the New York Islanders (44). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-15-20 |
Avalanche v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-130 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Arizona Coyotes (38) in the third game of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-20-9) took a 2-0 lead in this series yesterday with their 3-2 victory over the Coyotes. Arizona (36-31-8) becomes the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have allowed two goals or less in four of their five games played inside the bubble — and they have surrendered just eight goals in those five contests. Expect another lower-scoring contest as they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. Additionally, Colorado has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 9 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, the Under is now 7-1-1. They may be undermanned at the forward position with both Joonas Donskoi and Vladislav Namesnikov dealing with undisclosed injuries. The Coyotes have not had the services of their top-line center, Nick Schmaltz, who has been out since sustaining an injury in the exhibition bubble games against Vegas. This team needs his 11 goals and 34 assists during the regular season considering that they have scored only twice in this series. Arizona has played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing without rest. And the Under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games when facing a team with a winning percentage over 60%. Furthermore, while the Coyotes have allowed three goals in three straight games, they have then played seventeen of their last twenty-four games under the total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have now played four straight games Under the Total — and the Avalanche have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. With both these teams playing without rest while having their forward depth challenged with injuries, expect another lower scoring game. 10* NHL Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (37) and the Arizona Coyotes (38). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-14-20 |
Stars v. Flames UNDER 5 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
123 |
3 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Calgary Flames (34) in the third game of their Western Conference quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Dallas (39-27-8) evened this series at a game apiece last night with their 5-4 victory. Calgary (40-29-7) becomes the technical home team for Game Three tonight which gives them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Dallas has played 7 straight games Under the Total after a high scoring game where at least nine combined goals where scored. The Stars blew a 4-2 lead with under 8 minutes to go in that game before they scored the winning goal with just 40 seconds left before overtime. Dallas has then played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period. Look for the Stars to get back to their stout defensive play after surrendering seven combined goals in their last two games. Dallas has played 25 of their last 38 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. The Stars had been struggling on offense before last night — they had scored only seven goals in their previous four games inside the bubble. Dallas has only won two of their last eleven contests going back to the pre-stoppage play — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. The Stars have also played 21 of their last 36 games Under the Total when playing without rest. Calgary has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing without rest — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total when playing their third game in four days. The Flames have also played 18 of their last 27 games Under the Total away from home after a game where they at least eight combined goals were scored. And in their last 16 road games after allowing at least five goals in their last game, Calgary has played 12 of these games Over the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Flames may be missing their start forward in Matthew Tkachuk who absorbed a big hit late in the 3rd period last night from which he did not return. Tkachuk had 23 goals in the regular season along with another 38 assists so he will be missed if he does not play. Expect a lower-scoring game between these two teams. 20* NHL Friday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Calgary Flames (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
08-14-20 |
Canucks v. Blues OVER 5.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
119 |
1 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 6:38 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (29) and the St. Louis Blues (30) in Game Two of their Western Conference quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vancouver (40-28-6) won the opening game of this series on Wednesday with their 5-2 victory over the Blues. St. Louis (42-22-11) remains the technical home team for Game Two tonight which does give them the advantage of the last shift change. This game is being played on neutral ice at the Rogers Center in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Canucks are loaded with exciting young talent who have exploded for 17 goals in their five games inside the bubble. Elias Peterson and Brock Boeser are both exciting talents — but it has been the emergence of defenseman Quinn Hughes who has been the eye-popper with the former Michigan Wolverine having one goal with six assists already in the team’s five games in the bubble. Vancouver has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a victory. And the Canucks have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing no more than two goals in their last game. Additionally, Vancouver has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and the Over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games as an underdog. St. Louis has been rusty and perhaps uninspired in their opening games inside the bubble. But expect the reigning Stanley Cup champions to raise their level of play with their loss on Wednesday being a wake-up call that they are engaged in playoff hockey despite the unique circumstances. The Blues have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a loss by at least three goals. St. Louis has also played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after not scoring more than two goals in their last game. But stopping their opponent has been the biggest issue for this team so far in the restart as they have surrendered 15 goals in their four losses. The Blues have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the playoffs when favored.
FINAL TAKE: Don’t be surprised to see some 3rd period scoring in this game. Vancouver has scored seven goals in the 3rd period in their five games while St. Louis has surrendered nine goals in their four games in the final 20 minutes. The Blues have yet to score in the 3rd period in the bubble but I am expecting a champion’s effort from this team tonight — albeit against a very dangerous opponent. 10* NHL Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Vancouver Canucks (29) and the St. Louis Blues (30). Best of luck for us — Frank (and don't miss his 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Total of the Year that goes later tonight).
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08-13-20 |
Blackhawks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 5:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (19) and the Vegas Golden Knights (20) in Game Two of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Vegas (43-24-8) won the opening game of this series on Tuesday with their 4-1 victory over the Blackhawks. Chicago (35-32-8) had won their previous two games to close out their qualifying playoff series with Edmonton. This game will be played on neutral ice at the Rogers Place in Edmonton.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Golden Knights have played 16 of their last 23 games Over the Total after a win by at least two goals — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a victory by at least three goals. Vegas has won all four of their games in the bubble — and they have played 16 of their last 22 games Over the Total after being unbeaten in at least two straight contests. The Golden Knights have been an offensive juggernaut since the restart as they have scored 19 goals in their four contests while finding the back of the net at least four times in all four of those games. Vegas has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least three goals in five straight games (and their last game before the stoppage was a 3-2 victory that was coincidentally played in Edmonton against the Oilers). But the Golden Knights has surrendered ten goals in their first three games with each opponent scoring at least three times before goalie Robin Lehner allowed only one goal on Tuesday. The Over is 11-3-2 in Vegas’ last 16 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Over is 18-6-2 in Chicago’s last 26 games after a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Blackhawks have played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. Chicago needs to Patrick Kane more active in the attack after he only had one shot in his 20:55 minutes of ice time on Tuesday. Kane scored 33 goals in the regular season while adding another 51 assists — and he scored one time with three assists in the qualifying series against the Oilers. The Blackhawks had scored 16 goals in those four games against Edmonton with at least three goals scored in each of those contests. This is a loaded offensive team that should be much more active tonight. The Over is 17-6-6 in Chicago’s last 29 games in the playoffs as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago is playing with double revenge having the last regular-season meeting between these two teams by a 5-1 score in December. The Blackhawks have played 12 of their last 16 games Over the Total when avenging a loss where they did not score more than one goal — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. Additionally, Chicago has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total when playing with double revenge where they lost each game by more than one goal. And don’t lose the faith if this is a lower scoring game entering the 3rd period as the Golden Knights have scored 10 goals in the 3rd period in their four games in the bubble. 20* NHL Chicago-Vegas NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (19) and the Vegas Golden Knights (20). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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08-12-20 |
Canadiens v. Flyers -151 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (14) versus the Montreal Canadiens (13) in Game One of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (44-21-7) won all three games in the seeding round-robin last week culminating in their 4-1 win over Tampa Bay on Sunday. Montreal (34-32-9) defeated Pittsburgh in the qualifying playoff series in four games after their 2-0 shutout victory on Saturday. This series will be playing on neutral ice without fans at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia was playing as good of hockey as any team in the NHL before the stoppage of play in March as they had won nine of their last ten games. They were dominant against the cream of the crop of the Eastern Conference last week as they outscored Boston, Washington, and the Lightning by an 11 to 3 margin. They should build off their momentum in this game as they have won 11 of their last 12 games after a victory — and they have won 23 of their last 35 games after scoring at least four goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Flyers have won 9 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. Additionally, Philly has won 11 of their last 14 games on the road after being unbeaten in at least three straight games — and they have won 19 of their last 28 games when playing just their second game in five days. The Flyers have won 4 straight games against teams with a losing record — and they have won 36 of their last 51 games as a favorite. They will be challenged by a hot goaltender in Carey Price — but they have an underrated goalie themselves in Carter Hart whose 2.42 Goals-Against-Average during the regular season was the 8th best amongst qualifying goalies. He allowed only two goals in his two starts last week. Goaltending has been the missing link for this team for years — but Hart immediately stabilized the position for this team when the 22-year old was called up from the minors in December of 2018. Montreal may be due for an emotional letdown after being carried by Price for their victory over the Penguins. Price held Pittsburgh scoreless for the last 94 minutes of that series. It is hard to tell if the Canadiens' victory speaks to their quality of play or the state of disarray that the Penguins have descended into. Pittsburgh general manager Jimmy Rutherford is promising significant changes after his team’s second straight early exit from the playoffs. The Canadiens only scored ten goals in their four games with the Pens. Top-line forward Tomas Tatar failed to register a point in those four games. Montreal has lost 11 of their last 15 games after going unbeaten in two straight games — and they have lost 4 straight games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. The Canadiens have also lost 15 of their last 22 games when playing with at least three days between contests.
FINAL TAKE: Philadelphia will not be taking Montreal lightly after they were upset by them at home by a 4-1 score back on January 16th. The Flyers have won 13 of their last 18 games when avenging a same-season loss — and they have won 6 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. 10* NHL Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (14) versus the Montreal Canadiens (13). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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08-11-20 |
Blackhawks v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 10:40 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (7) and the Vegas Golden Knights (8) in Game One of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Chicago (35-31-8) qualified for the Western Conference playoffs by winning their qualifying series with Edmonton after they defeated the Oilers on Friday by a 3-2 score. Vegas (42-24-8) claimed the top seed in the Western Conference on Sunday when they defeated Colorado by a 4-3 score.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: There were 31 combined goals scored in the four games between the Blackhawks and Oilers’ last week. Chicago likes to run-and-gun with their veteran superstar forwards Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews — and they are complemented by some intriguing younger talent. But look for this team to step back to lean on some defensive tactics against this loaded Vegas team. The Blackhawks allowed only five combined goals in their last two games against a potent Edmonton offensive attack. Goalie Corey Crawford played his best two games of the series in those final two games including making 43 saves on Friday including 20 saves in the final period. Crawford missed training time after dealing with his COVID-19 infection — and he was off to begin that series with the Oilers. The four-day break will certainly help him. Remember, Crawford has been a winning Stanley Cup champion goaltender for this organization. The Golden Knights are one of the best possession teams in the league — they outshoot their opponents by +5.2 shots per game. Chicago has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams who outshoot their opponents by at least 3 shots per game. The Blackhawks have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Chicago has scored at least three goals in their last five games — but not only have they then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least three goals in four straight games, they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in five straight contests. Vegas has allowed at least three goals in all three games in the bubble — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. They also have played 15 of their last 24 games Under the Total after playing a game where both teams scored at least three goals. Robin Lehner will get the start between the pipes for this game with head coach Peter DeBoer impressed with his focus and work discipline since the stoppage of play. Frankly, the Golden Knights have two high-level goaltenders with Lehner and Marc-Andre Fleury. Vegas will tighten their level of play now that the playoffs have started — the seeding round-robin games were glorified preseason games. Their formula for success against the Blackhawks will be to keep the puck away from Kane and Toews — and their star forward Mark Stone is one of the best defensive forwards in the league. Chicago gets outshot by -3.2 shots per game — and the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total when facing teams who get outshot by at least -3.0 shots per game. The Under is also 3-0-1 in Vegas’ last 4 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 10th where the Golden Knights won by a 5-1 score in Sin City. Chicago has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least five goals. Furthermore, in games in the second half of the season involving a team (with a winning percentage in the 45-55% range) that is playing with revenge from a loss on the road by at least four goals, these games finished Under the Total in 64 of these last 99 situations over the last five seasons. 10* NHL Tuesday Late Show O/U Bailout with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Blackhawks (7) and the Vegas Golden Knights (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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08-07-20 |
Canucks v. Wild -113 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-113 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 10:45 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (62) versus the Vancouver Canucks (61) in Game Four of their Western Conference Playoff Qualifying Round. THE SITUATION: Minnesota (36-29-7) looks to stave off elimination tonight after losing Game Three of this series yesterday by a 3-0 score. Vancouver (38-28-6) has won the last two games in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE MINNESOTA WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Wild should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have won 4 straight games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 4 straight games after being shutout. Additionally, Minnesota has won 36 of their last 52 games after losing two straight games — and they have won 12 of their last 17 games away from home after losing two in a row. The Wild need to get their offense going after failing to score on their last thirteen Power Play chances over the last two games. Minnesota should be much better on the Power Play — they ranked 2nd in the NHL with their Power Play unit in the last twenty-five games of the regular season. And they are facing a Canucks’ team that was just 26th in the regular season in expected goals allowed on their Power Play kill unit. The Wild have won 5 straight games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And while Minnesota has allowed six goals in these last two games, Minnesota has won 27 of their last 41 games after allowing at least three goals in two straight games. Head coach Dean Evason may turn to veteran goaltender Devan Dubnyk to be between the pipes tonight. And this team may be without defenseman Ryan Suter who did not play in the last seven minutes yesterday after blocking a puck. But this is a veteran club with plenty of playoff experience — they had in eight straight postseasons before missing the playoffs last year. Look for leadership to come from 35-year old Zach Parise and 34-year old Eric Staal along with the 36-year old Mikko Koivu and 32-year old Mats Zuccarello who have tons of playoff experience. This is a team that has still won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games as a favorite. Vancouver has some very nice young talent in 20-year old Elias Pettersson, 20-year old Quinn Hughes, and 23-year old Brock Boeser — but this trio is in their first playoff series so they have no experience in trying to close out a playoff series. This franchise has not been in the playoffs since 2016 back in the Sedin brothers era. And this is an organization that has lost 10 of their last 12 playoff games as an underdog. Additionally, the Canucks have lost 6 of their last 7 games after shutting out their opponent in their last game. Furthermore, Vancouver has lost 5 of their last 7 games when playing without rest — and they have lost 15 of their last 23 games when playing their straight game on the road in two days.
FINAL TAKE: The Canucks were dominant when playing at home during the regular season with a 22-9-4 record — but they were just 14-18-2 on the road. If there is a benefit from playing without rest, it is that Minnesota can quickly get the bad taste out of their mouth and completely change the tenor of this series with a climactic final game on Sunday. Look for the Wild’s veteran core to force one more game in this series. 25* NHL Playoff Qualifying Round Game of the Year with the money-line on the Minnesota Wild (62) versus the Vancouver Canucks (61). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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08-07-20 |
Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-117 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). THE SITUATION: Columbus (34-24-15) seized a 2-1 lead in this best-of-five series yesterday when they rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the second period to force overtime before winning by a 4-3 score. Toronto (38-26-9) now finds themselves on the brink of elimination.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Head coach John Tortorella made the right move in benching goalie Joonas Korpisalo in the second period after giving up that third goal. Elvis Merzlikins came in to stop the 21 shots he faced over the last 49:35 minutes of that game to help the Blue Jackets steal that game. Merzlikins will get the start tonight after that effort. Expect a low scoring contest tonight as the Under is 51-25-5 in Columbus’ last 81 games after a victory. Tortorella has his team committed to playing defense in their end at the expense of creating many scoring chances. The Blue Jackets had scored only two combined goals in the first 2 1/2 games of this series — with one of those goals being an empty netter — before scoring those four goals yesterday. Columbus has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games in the playoffs Under the Total as a dog. And in their last 77 games against teams with a winning record, the Blue Jackets have played 52 of these games Under the Total. Toronto has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. The Under is also 39-19-2 in the Maple Leafs’ last 60 games after playing a game that required overtime the previous day. Toronto has only scored once in their eight opportunities on the Power Play. Furthermore, the Maple Leafs have plated 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Rookie head coach Sheldon Keefe has had his team playing cautiously in this series to compensate for the defensive issues they have experienced over the years under Mike Babcock. Look for Toronto to play things pretty tight with the hope that their superior offensive talent like Auston Matthews or John Tavares will find a scoring opportunity. The Under is 4-1-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 10* NHL Friday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Toronto Maple Leafs (57) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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08-07-20 |
Maple Leafs -138 v. Blue Jackets |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 9 m |
Show
|
Take the Toronto Maple Leafs with the money-line versus the Columbus Blue Jackets. Toronto (38-26-9) looks to avoid elimination tonight after they blew a 3-0 lead yesterday to the Blue Jackets to lose in overtime by a 4-3 score. The Maple Leafs must win this contest to force a climactic fifth game of this Playoff Qualifying Round series. Toronto has won 22 of their last 33 games in the playoffs when trailing in the series. The Maple Leafs have also won 4 of their last 5 games against Eastern Conference foes. Columbus (34-24-15) has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win. The Blue Jackets have also lost 8 of their last 11 games as an underdog. Take Toronto with the money-line. Best of luck — Frank. Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASLIY DELIVERED their 25* NHL CNBC-TV Total of the Year last night with the Calgary-Winnipeg Under to further their RED HOT 19 of 27 (70%) NHL run along with a longer-running 50 of 79 (63%) NHL mark before the stoppage of play in March! Now Frank spots a SUPER O/U SITUATION for Friday night! CA$H-IN Frank’s Friday Night Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!
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03-01-20 |
Kings v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 10:38 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (24-35-6) has won two straight games with their 2-1 win at home over New Jersey yesterday. Vegas (36-22-8) has won eight straight games with their 4-2 victory over Buffalo on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in Los Angeles’ last 5 games after not scoring more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 3-1-1 in the Kings’ last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. This is a solid defensive team that has held their last five opponents to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Jonathan Quick had a 2.50 Goals-Against-Average with a .920 save percentage in his eight starts in February. And while the Golden Knights average 3.3 Goals-Per-Game, the Kings have played 18 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams who score at least 3.0 Goals-Per-Game. Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. The Under is also 10-3-1 in the Kings’ last 14 games against fellow Western Conference opponents. Vegas’ hot streak can be traced back to their improved play under new head coach Pete DeBoer who emphasizes defensive tactics. The Golden Knights have held their last five opponents to 2.6 Goals-Per-Game which is almost a half-goal lower than their 3.0 Goals-Per-Game opponent’s scoring average for the season. Vegas has been even stingier at home where they have allowed only ten combined goals in their last six games for a 1.66 Goals-Per-Game average by these last six guests. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Golden Knights’ last 5 home games as a favorite. Marc-Andre Fleury is playing his best goaltending of the season right now after posting a 2.27 GAA along with a .913 save percentage in his ten starts in February. Vegas has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. And while the Kings allow only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game, the Golden Knights have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who do not allow more than 2.5 Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: Vegas will be looking to avenge a 5-2 loss to Los Angeles back on January 9th — and they have played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals. 25* NHL Sunday NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (11) and the Vegas Golden Knights (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-18-20 |
Canadiens v. Red Wings UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-26-8) has lost four straight games after their 4-3 loss at home to Dallas in overtime on Saturday. Detroit (14-43-4) has also lost four straight games after their 5-1 loss at Pittsburgh on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. And while Montreal has allowed four goals in three straight games (and three goals in their contest four games ago), they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least three goals in four straight games. Despite these struggles on defense, goaltender Carey Price has still been playing very well as of late. In his ten starts since the All-Star break, Price has a 2.31 Goals-Against-Average with a .923 save percentage. The Canadiens are also struggling to score goals — they are averaging just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while manning just five combined goals in their last three contests. Now Montreal goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. Additionally, the Canadiens have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. Furthermore, Montreal has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow opponents from the Atlantic Division — and the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against Eastern Conference rivals. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against Atlantic Division foes — and the Under is 10-1-1 in their last 12 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Red Wings are probably the worst offensive team in the league. They have been shutout three times in their last nine games while scoring only 12 combined goals over that span. They have also scored only three combined goals in their last three games and just five goals in their last four contests. Head coach Jeff Blashill has his team play very conservatively with the hopes that will keep them competitive in lower-scoring games. They are averaging only 25.8 shots per game over their last five contests which has resulted in just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over that span. Their best scorer is Dylan Larkin but he has not scored in their last six contests. The Under is 3-0-1 in Detroit’s last 4 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 20-8-1 in their last 29 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Bruins were playing with revenge on their minds on Sunday after losing in Detroit the previous week. But the Red Wings are still getting solid goaltending from Jonathan Bernier who has a 2.52 GAA along with a .922 save percentage in his eight games (seven starts) since the All-Star break. Detroit returns home where they are scoring just 2.1 Goals-Per-Game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total on their home ice. Additionally, the Under is 15-5-2 in the Red Wings’ last 22 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Montreal will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss in Detroit back on January 7th — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (55) and the Detroit Red Wings (56). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-18-20 |
Maple Leafs v. Penguins -135 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 19 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (54) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (53). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (36-15-6) has won three of their last four games with their 5-1 win at home against Detroit on Sunday. Toronto (31-21-8) has two of their last three games as well as five of their last eight contests with their 5-2 loss at Buffalo on Sunday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PENGUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Pittsburgh is playing great defense as of late as they have not allowed more than two goals in four straight games. The Penguins have then won 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in at least four straight games. Goaltender Tristan Jarry should be between the pipes tonight. he has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average in his sixteen games (fifteen starts) at home with a .938 save percentage. Jarry also enjoys a 1.50 GAA with a .957 save percentage in his three starts this month. Pittsburgh has won 10 of their last 14 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last contest. They stay at home where they are 21-9 this season while scoring 3.5 Goals-Per-Game. The Penguins have won 11 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 20 of their last 27 games as the favorite. Pittsburgh has also won 5 of their last 7 games against Eastern Conference opponents. The Maple Leafs allow 3.3 Goals-Per-Game this season with their play on the defensive end of the ice still suspect even after head coach Mike Babcock was fired. The Penguins have won 25 of their last 35 games against teams who allow at least 2.85 Goals-Per-Game. And while Pittsburgh scores 3.4 Goals-Per-Gam, Toronto has lost 8 of their last 9 games in the second half of the season agains teams who score at least 2.85 Goals-Per-Game. The Maple Leads are tired according to new head coach Sheldon Keefe — and they have lost 8 straight games when playing their fourth game in six days. Toronto is scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. They stay on the road where they have lost 8 of their last 11 road games as an underdog. They also have lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the Eastern Conference.
FINAL TAKE: The Maple Leafs are looking to avenge a 6-1 loss at Pittsburgh back on January16th — but they have lost 9 of their last 12 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss. Toronto has also lost 10 of their last 14 games against the Penguins in Pittsburgh. 10* NHL Toronto-Pittsburgh NBC Sports Network Special with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (54) versus the Toronto Maple Leafs (53). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-16-20 |
Blue Jackets -127 v. Devils |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-127 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
At 6:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Columbus Blue Devils (33) versus the New Jersey Devils (34). THE SITUATION: Columbus (30-18-11) has won lost four straight games with their 3-1 loss to the New York Rangers on Friday. New Jersey (21-26-10) has lost two of their last three games with their 5-2 loss at Carolina on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUE JACKETS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Columbus had been one of the hottest teams in the NHL after going on an 18-2-5 run which included a 9-0-1 finish to that hot streak. Two of their four losses in their current downturn took place in overtime. Injuries have played a role with defenseman Seth Jones going on Injured Reserve to begin the week. But this remains a team that has bounced-back to win 20 of their last 31 road games after a loss by at least two goals. The Blue Jackets have also won 10 of their last 13 road games when playing their fourth game in seven days. Columbus needs to tighten things on defense after allowing seven goals in their last two games. The Blue Jackets have won 14 of their last 19 games after allowing at least three goals in their last two games. Columbus has still allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game in its last five contests. Elvis Merzlinkins will be between the pipes for this game — he has an outstanding 2.18 Goals-Against-Average along with a .930 save percentage this season. Merzlinkins has a 1.51 GAA along with a .943 save percentage in six starts this month. The Blue Jackets have won a decisive 44 of their last 65 road games as a favorite. They have also won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. New Jersey has lost 12 of its last 15 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Devils have also lost 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last contest. New Jersey returns home where they are just 9-20 this season while surrendering 3.5 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have lost 17 of their last 24 games on home ice — and they have also lost an incredible 60 of their last 86 home games as the underdog. They turn to Mackenzie Blackwood in goal tonight who has a 2.79 GAA along with a .912 save percentage. Blackwood has not been as effective at home where he sees those marks rise to a 2.82 GAA along with a .902 save percentage. Furthermore, New Jersey has lost 54 of their last 72 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: The Devils have lost nine straight meetings with the Blue Jackets with their last contest being on January 18th where they lost by a 5-0 score in Columbus. New Jersey has lost 16 of their last 25 games when playing with at least double-revenge — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games when attempting to avenge a shutout loss. The Blue Jackets have won their last 6 games in New Jersey against the Devils. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Columbus Blue Devils (33) versus the New Jersey Devils (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-20 |
Kings v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (20-33-5) snapped a five-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 5-3 win over Calgary. Colorado (33-17-6) saw their five-game winning streak end on Thursday in their 3-2 loss at home to Washington. While a technical home game for the Avalanche, this game will be played at Falcon Stadium which is the football field for the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Kings have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win — and they have played 9 of their last 10 road games Under the Total after a win at home over a Pacific Division rival. Additionally, Los Angeles has played a decisive 16 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road after a win at home by at least two goals — and they have played 16 of their last 20 road games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. That offensive explosion was an aberration for this Kings team in what has been a disappointing season. Los Angeles is still scoring only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests — and they are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game away from home this season. They have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals. Defense has also been an issue for this team as they have allowed at least three goals in their last six games — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after allowing at least three goals in three straight games. The Kings go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 6 or higher. Colorado has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a loss at home by just one goal. They have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five contests. The Avalanche have seen lowering scoring games as of late as they are scoring just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games while surrendering just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over that span as opposed to the 3.6 Goals-Per-Game they are scoring this season along with the 2.8 Goals-Per-Game they are allowing. They are getting outstanding goaltending right now from Philipp Grubauer who has a 1.86 Goals-Against-Average along with a .939 save percentage in his six starts since the All-Star Break. This will be their sixth game in the last ten days — and they have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total when playing their sixth game in ten days. Colorado has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest.
FINAL TAKE: The weather should be in the 30s so the ice in the outdoor stadium should be in pretty good shape (which can be an issue for these Stadium Series contests). The Avalanche have played 5 straight games Under the Total as a favorite. Los Angeles has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against fellow Western Conference foes. 25* NHL Stadium Series Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Kings (15) and the Colorado Avalanche (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-15-20 |
Predators v. Blues -133 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-133 |
0 h 22 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (4) versus the Nashville Predators (3). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (32-15-10) has lost three straight games as well as five of their last six games after their 6-5 loss in overtime at Vegas on Thursday. Nashville (27-22-7) snapped their two-game losing streak with their 5-0 shutout victory over the New York Islanders on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis blew 4-2 and 5-4 leads against the Golden Knights to lose that game in overtime. This has been a tough week for the reigning Stanley Cup champions who saw defenseman Jay Bouwmeester suffer a cardiac incident during Tuesday’s game at home against Dallas. Now after suffering two straight losses in overtime and allowing Vegas to attempt a whopping 52 shots, the Blues return home in need of a victory. St. Louis has won 8 of their last 9 games after losing at least three games in a row. St. Louis has also won 13 of their last 17 games after a game where at least four goals were scored — and they have won 22 of their last 33 games after a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. The Blues have also won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. They return home where they ahem won 10 of their last 13 games — and they have won 17 of their last 24 games against teams with a losing record. Nashville has lost 7 of their last 11 games after a win on their home ice. The Predators have also lost 11 of their last 15 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and they have lost 7 of their last 10 games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. Additionally, Nashville has lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Blues have lost the first two meetings between these Central Division rivals this season after their 3-2 loss in Nashville on November 25th. St. Louis has won 23 of their last 34 games when playing with double revenge. The Predators have also lost 11 of their last 16 meetings with the Blues in St. Louis. 10* NHL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (4) versus the Nashville Predators (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
02-12-20 |
Canadiens v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
105 |
0 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 7:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (45) and the Boston Bruins (46). THE SITUATION: Montreal (27-24-7) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 3-2 loss at home to Arizona. Boston (39-11-12) had their six-game winning streak end on Sunday with their surprising 3-1 loss at Detroit against the Red Wings.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Canadiens have played 12 of the last 13 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. Now this team plays their eighth game over the last two weeks — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing at least their eighth game in the last fourteen days. Furthermore, the Under is also 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. And in the last 39 road games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51-60% range, they have played 27 of these games Under the Total. Carey Price will be between the pipes tonight. The veteran has a 2.60 Goals-Against-Average with a nice .921 save percentage when playing on the road this season. Price also has a red hot 1.80 GAA in his five starts this month with a .940 save percentage. Boston has played 9 straight games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have also played 9 of their last 11 games on their home ice after a loss by at least two goals against an Atlantic Division rival. The Bruins return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They will use Tuukka Rask in net tonight with his 2.07 GAA along with a .930 save percentage in his eighteen starts at home. Rask also has a 1.25 GAA with a .947 save percentage in his three February starts. He has helped Boston hold their last five opponents to just 1.4 Goals-Per-Game. The Bruins have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has won the last two meetings between these two teams after their 3-1 win at home back on December 1st. Montreal has played 35 of their last 53 games Under the Total when playing with at least double revenge. These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 6 straight encounters in Boston Under the Total. 20* NHL Montreal-Boston NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Montreal Canadiens (45) and the Boston Bruins (46). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-18-20 |
Stars -103 v. Wild |
Top |
0-7 |
Loss |
-103 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (79) versus the Minnesota Wild (80). THE SITUATION: Dallas (27-16-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 4-1 loss at home to Buffalo on Thursday. Minnesota (21-20-6) snapped a four-game losing streak on Thursday with their 3-2 upset win against Tampa Bay where they were priced as a nice +135 dog.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas should respond with a strong effort tonight. They have won 36 of their last 52 games after a loss at home by at least three goals — and this includes them winning ten of these last fourteen situations. The Stars have also won 6 straight games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Goalie Ben Bishop only allowed two goals on Tuesday before the Sabres scored two late empty netters. Bishop might be the leader of the pack for the Vezina Trophy this season with his 2.22 Goals-Against-Average along with a .929 save percentage. Bishop has a sparkling 1.51 GAA along with a .951 save percentage in four starts this month. Dallas has still won seven of their last nine games — and they are allowing just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have won 11 of their last 16 road games with the total set at 5 or lower. Minnesota is just 4-5-1 in their last ten games — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a victory. The Wild have also lost 35 of their last 52 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They stay at home where they have lost 17 of their last 25 games in the second half of the season. They will likely use Devan Dubnyk between the pipes who is struggling with a 3.35 GAA with a .892 save percentage this season — and, despite having a strong tendency in the past to play much better at home, he has just a .897 save percentage on home ice this season. Even worse, over his last three starts, Dubnyk has a 4.03 GAA with a .846 save percentage. Minnesota has lost 9 of their last 13 games against Central Division foes. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, the Wild have lost 5 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has won 5 of their last 6 encounters with Minnesota — but their most recent meeting ended in a 3-2 upset victory for the Wild. The Stars have won 13 of their last 20 games when playing with revenge from an upset loss in their last meeting with their current opponent. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Central Division Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (79) versus the Minnesota Wild (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-17-20 |
Lightning -135 v. Jets |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (57) versus the Winnipeg Jets (58). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (28-15-4) has lost two of their last three games after their 3-2 loss in Minnesota last night. Winnipeg (25-18-4) snapped a two-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 4-0 shutout victory over Vancouver.
REASONS TO TAKE THE LIGHTNING WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Tampa Bay should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have won 31 of their last 39 games after a loss on the road — and they have also won 18 of their last 21 games after a narrow loss by just one goal on the road. Additionally, the Lightning have won a decisive 44 of their last 56 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. And they have won 5 of their last 7 games when playing without a day of rest. Curtis McElhinney was between the pipes last night so it will be Andrei Vasilevskiy who will be in goal tonight for Tampa Bay. Vasilevskiy has a 2.58 Goals-Against-Average with a .916 save percentage this season — but he sees those numbers improve to a 2.32 GAA along with a .924 save percentage in his fifteen starts on the road. Furthermore, Vasilevskiy has been on fire this month with a 1.15 GAA along with a .961 save percentage with two shutouts in his six starts. The Lightning have allowed only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. They stay on the road where they have won 5 of their last 7 games — and they have won a decisive 35 of their last 52 road games when favored. Furthermore, Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. Winnipeg has lost 5 of their last 6 games after a win — and they have lost 10 of their last 13 games after a win by at least four goals. The Jets have also lost 6 straight games after a shutout victory. It was not all good news for Winnipeg on Tuesday as they lost defenseman Carl Dahlstrom for four to six weeks with a hand injury after he was playing in his first game back since being out for two weeks with another injury. That is a tough loss for a team that was already dealing with a depleted blue line. The Jets stay at home where they have lost 6 of their last 7 games. They have also have lost 10 of their last 14 games as an underdog including five straight home games when trying to pull the upset. Connor Hellebuyck should be tonight’s goaltender for Winnipeg — and the best time to get him is in night games. Hellebuyck has an outstanding 1.89 GAA along with a .940 save percentage in his nine starts during day games — but those numbers plummet to just a 2.79 GAA with a .910 save percentage in his thirty appearances at night. The Jets average 30.7 shots per game — but the Lightning have won 12 of their last 15 games against teams who average at least 29.5 shots per game. Winnipeg has lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. The metrics are not bullish on the Jets underachieving this season either with their Corsi-For Percentage and Fenwick-For Percentage ranking 22nd and 26th in the league. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, ranks 6th and 8th in the NHL in Corsi-For and Fenwick-For.
FINAL TAKE: The Lightning will be motivated to avenge a 4-3 loss at home to Winnipeg back on November 16th. Tampa Bay has won 34 of their last 55 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Game of the Year with the money-line on the Tampa Bay Lightning (57) versus the Winnipeg Jets (58). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-16-20 |
Devils v. Capitals OVER 6.5 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
102 |
2 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). THE SITUATION: New Jersey (17-22-7) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with their 7-4 loss at Toronto. Washington (31-11-5) has won four of their last six games with their 2-0 win at home over Carolina.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Devils have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6 goals in their last contest. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in New Jersey’s last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals. New Jersey is allowing 3.8 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests — and they have surrendered at least three goals in five straight games. But the Devils have also scored 3.6 Goals-Per-Game over these last five games — and they have scored at least four goals in four of their last six contests. Louis Domingue will likely be between the pipes for this team tonight after getting pulled in that game against the Maple Leafs are allowing five goals in just over 30 minutes of play. Domingue has done his best work at home where he has a 1.68 Goals-Against-Average in three starts with a .934 save percentage — but he has been saddled with a 4.93 GAA with a .856 save percentage in his seven games (five starts) on the road. Regardless of who starts in net tonight for New Jersey, they have allowed their home hosts to score 3.6 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total on the road. New Jersey has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total as an underdog. Washington has played 21 of their last 28 games Over the Total after a victory — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a win at home. Additionally, the Capitals have played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total wen playing an opponent that allowed at least five goals in their last game. Washington is scoring a healthy 3.5 Goals-Per-Game this season. They have played 19 of their last 27 games Over the Total when playing at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or less. With rookie Ilya Samsonov earning the shutout on Tuesday, the Braden Holtby will be in goal tonight. The veteran has underachieved this season with a 3.02 GAA along with a .899 save percentage — and he has a rough 3.34 GAA with a .868 save percentage in his three starts this month.
FINAL TAKE: The Capitals will be motivated to avenge a 5-1 loss at home to the Devils on Saturday. Washington has played 33 of their last 50 games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least three goals. The Capitals have also played 23 of their last 33 games Over the Total when avenging a loss to their opponent scored at least four goals — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss where they allowed at least five goals. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Metropolitan Division Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the New Jersey Devils (27) and the Washington Capitals (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
01-07-20 |
Bruins v. Predators +110 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Nashville Predators (60) versus the Boston Bruins (59). THE SITUATION: Nashville (19-15-7) has lost four of their last five games after their 5-4 loss in overtime at Anaheim on Sunday. Boston (24-8-11) has last three straight games as well as eleven of their last fifteen contests with their 4-1 loss at home to Edmonton on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PREDATORS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: That loss was the final straw for Nashville President of Hockey Operations and General Manager David Poile who fired head coach Peter Laviolette along with associate coach Kevin McCarthy yesterday. Look for the players to respond with a strong effort with the entire organization now being put on notice. The Predators made the Stanley Cup Finals three years ago before being ousted in the second round and then the first round of the playoffs last year. There is still time for this team to turn this season around like the St. Blues did last season after firing their head coach midseason before regrouping for their Stanley Cup championship run. But if Poile could also embrace a fire sale of the roster before the trade deadline if this group does not immediately start playing better. With an interim head coach still not named as of this writing, the onus is squarely on the veteran players. Expect a strong effort from this team tonight. As it is, the Predators have won 15 of their last 23 games after losing a game in overtime. Nashville has also won 18 of their last 27 games after losing three of their last four games. What has been frustrating for this team is that they too often play up or down to their completion. They rank 4th and 3rd in the NHL in Corsi-For Percentage and Fenwick-For Percentage measuring puck possession. They also have won 33 of their last 50 games against teams who outscore their opponents by at least +0.5 Goals-Per-Game including five of their last eight games this season against those opponents — and the Bruins are outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game. The Predators have also won 5 of their last 6 home games as an underdog. Boston had their nine-point game streak end on Saturday in that three-goal loss to Edmonton — and they have lost 12 of their last 18 games after a loss. They also have lost 7 of their last 10 games after a loss at home — and they have lost 6 of their last 9 games after losing three of their last four games. The Bruins have also lost 7 of their last 8 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Boston is averaging only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. Tuukka Rask should be between the pipes tonight — but he has been more effective at home where he owns a 2.20 Goals-Against-Average with a .926 save percentage as opposed to his 2.47 GAA and .919 save percentage on the road. The Bruins rank a middling 13th and 14th in the league in Corsi-For and Fenwick-For Percentage. They have lost 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. And while the Predators average +4.4 more shot attempts per game than their opponents, Boston has lost 6 of their last 9 games against opponents who outshoot their opponents by at least +3.0 shots per game.
FINAL TAKE: The Bruins will be motivated to avenge a 4-3 loss at home to the Predators on December 21st — but they have lost 6 of their last 8 games when playing with revenge from a loss at home to their opponent. Boston has also lost their last 5 games in “Nashvegas” against the Predators. 25* NHL Pre-All Star Break Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Nashville Predators (60) versus the Boston Bruins (59). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-20-19 |
Stars +110 v. Panthers |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (49) versus the Florida Panthers (50). THE SITUATION: Dallas (20-12-4) has won two of their last three games with their 4-3 win in overtime in Tampa Bay last night. Florida (16-12-5) snapped a three-game losing streak on Monday with their 6-1 win over Ottawa.
REASONS TO TAKE THE STARS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Dallas has won 11 of their last 15 games after a win — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win on the road. The Stars have also won 9 of their last 11 games after winning two of their last three contests. Additionally, they also have played 8 of their last 10 games after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after a contest where at least seven combined goals were scored. This team is 5-2-2 in December — and they are 3-1-1 under interim head coach Rick Bowness after he took over after Jim Montgomery was terminated for unprofessional conduct. It was Anton Khudobin between the pipes last night for the Stars which means that Ben Bishop will get the start tonight. Bishop has a 2.07 Goals-Against-Average this season with a .933 save percentage. In his six starts this month, Bishop has a 1.65 GAA along with a .947 save percentage. Bishop is also making his first start since Monday — and he owns a 1.88 GAA with a .937 save percentage when playing with at least three days of rest. The outstanding goaltender rotation with this team makes them very good even when playing in back-to-back days as they have won 4 of their last 5 games when playing without rest. The Stars play outstanding defense as they allow only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game — and they are giving up just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. Dallas has won 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record — and they have also won 4 straight games against Eastern Conference foes. The Stars have also won 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog. Florida struggles against elite defensive teams as they have lost 9 of their last 11 games at home against teams who are not allowing more than 2.55 Goals-Per-Game. The Panthers have lost 6 of their last 8 games after a win by more than one goal — and they have lost 10 of their last 13 home games after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Florida has also lost 6 of their last 9 games after a win at home. This is a team likely to be rusty tonight after getting the week off — they have lost 8 of their last 11 games when playing with at least three days of rest. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky has been hot this month with a 1.69 GAA and a .953 save percentage. But Bobrovsky owns a rough 3.50 GAA with an .883 save percentage in his six starts this season with at least three days between games. He owns just a 2.75 GAA with a .918 save percentage at home this year. Defense is an issue for this team as they are allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game at home. This is a potent scoring team that averages 3.5 Goals-Per-Game — but they are scoring just 3.0 Goals-Per-Game in their last five games. This offense-first approach does well against the lesser teams in the league but they have lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Panthers have also lost 18 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning percentage in the 51% to 60% range in the first half of the regular season.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has won 4 of their last 5 games on the road against this Florida team. 25* NHL Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (49) versus the Florida Panthers (50). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-19-19 |
Sabres v. Flyers -130 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (34) versus the Buffalo Sabres (33). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (18-11-5) snapped a three-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 4-1 win at home over Anaheim. Buffalo (16-12-7) has lost two straight games with their 5-3 loss at Toronto on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE FLYERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia has won 4 of their last 5 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And while the Flyers have still lost four of their last six games, they have then won 7 of their last 8 games after losing four or five of their last six contests. Those three previous losses had been on the road before they returned home on Tuesday — they are 11-2-4 in their seventeen home games this season. Philly is scoring 3.6 Goals-Per-Game at home while holding their opponents to just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have won 9 of their last 13 home games with the Total set at 6 or higher. This team is dealing with a host of injuries and they now are dealing with the emotional news of Oskar Lindblum being diagnosed with bone cancer. But the team did get forward Travis Konecny back on the ice in their victory over the Ducks on Tuesday. Goaltender Carter Hart was outstanding in that game with 41 saves. The second-year goalie has been sensational when playing at home this season where he owns a 9-1 record along with a 1.57 Goals-Against-Average and a save percentage of .944. Moving forward, the Flyers have won 6 straight games against Eastern Conference foes. Buffalo ha lost 28 of their last 38 games after a loss to an Atlantic Division rival. The Sabres have also lost 5 of their last 7 games after losing two in a row — and they have lost 23 of their last 29 road games after dropping two of their last three games. Buffalo stays on the road where they are just 6-9-4 while surrendering 3.5 Goals-Per-Game and getting outscored by -0.9 Goals-Per-Game. They have lost a decisive 40 of their last 55 games on the road — and they have lost 21 of their last 25 road games when playing their second game in five days. And while the Flyers are scoring 3.1 Goals-Per-Game this season, the Sabres have lost 25 of their last 34 road games against teams who are scoring at least 2.85 Goals-Per-Game. They counter with Linus Ullmark between the pipes tonight — but while the veteran has a solid 2.55 GAA along with a .923 save percentage in nine starts at home, those numbers plummet to a 3.19 GAA along with a .905 save percentage in eleven starts on the road. Buffalo has lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. The deeper analytics like this Philadelphia team with their Corsi-For Percentage and Fenwick-For Percentage ranking them 6th and 8th in the NHL respectively. Buffalo ranks just 17th and 19th in Corsi-For and Fenwick-For. With the money-line price below my -150 price threshold, let’s attack. 25* NHL Game of the Month with the money-line on the Philadelphia Flyers (34) versus the Buffalo Sabres (33). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-18-19 |
Avalanche -137 v. Blackhawks |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (25) versus the Chicago Blackhawks (26). THE SITUATION: Colorado (21-9-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Monday with their 5-2 loss in St. Louis. Chicago (13-15-6) snapped their four-game losing streak on Sunday with their 5-3 victory over Minnesota.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado has bounced-back to win 3 of their last 4 games after a loss on the road by at least two goals. The Avalanche have also won 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least four goals — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. This Colorado team stays on the road where they are 11-7 with an average winning margin of +0.6 Goals-Per-Game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road — and they have also won 10 of their last 15 road games with the Total set at 6 or higher. The Avalanche opened as a money-line favorite above my -150 price threshold — but that number has dropped before that ceiling with the announcement that Phillip Grubauer will get tonight off with backup Pavel Francouz getting the start between the pipes tonight. Francouz has been outstanding as a backup this season with a 2.26 Goals-Against-Average along with a .932 save percentage in twelve starts and fourteen games. He also has been quite good on the road where he owns a 1.91 GAA along with a .946 save percentage in five starts and six overall appearances. He will be supported by a team that has won 19 of their last 26 games as the favorite. Chicago has struggled with their defense as they are allowing 4.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Goalie Corey Crawford has just a 2.81 GAA in his nine starts at home with a .911 save percentage. The Blackhawks are just 8-10 at home this season — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 games at home. Chicago has also lost 25 of their last 36 home games as an underdog. Furthermore, the Blackhawks have lost 23 of their last 30 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Additionally, the Blackhawks have lost 7 of their last 8 games against Western Conference opponents. Chicago does look to get Duncan Keith back tonight but this is not a good active roster at this point that he is rejoining. The Blackhawks are 28th in the league in both Corsi-For Percentage and Fenwick-For Percentage that measures puck possession deeper analytics.
FINAL TAKE: Chicago has lost the first two meetings between these two teams this season with a 5-2 loss a home on November 29th followed up by a 7-3 loss in Colorado on November 30th. The Blackhawks have lost 10 of their last 12 games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals. They also have lost 9 of their last 13 games when playing with double-revenge. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (25) versus the Chicago Blackhawks (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
12-10-19 |
Rangers v. Kings UNDER 6 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 10:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (63) and the Los Angeles Kings (64). THE SITUATION: New York (15-11-3) has won two of their last three games with their 5-0 shutout victory over Vegas on Sunday. Los Angeles (11-18-2) has lost four games in a row after their 4-3 loss in Calgary on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rangers have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. This team is playing much better on defense as of late as they have allowed just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. They also have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, New York has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last contest. Los Angeles’ loss to the Flames came on the heels of a 2-1 loss at Edmonton on Friday. The Kings ave played 6 straight games at home Under the Total after losing two straight games to Pacific Division rivals. Los Angeles has also played 28 of their last 38 games Under the Total after losing two straight games by just one goal. Now the Kings return home where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games on their home ice. Los Angeles is scoring only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Additionally, the Under is 6-0-1 in the Kings’ last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Los Angeles has played 8 straight games Under the Total against teams from the Eastern Conference — and New York has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against Western Conference foes. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Rangers (63) and the Los Angeles Kings (64). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-27-19 |
Ducks v. Coyotes -137 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 9:30 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on Arizona Coyotes (26) versus the Anaheim Ducks (25). THE SITUATION: Arizona (14-8-3) has lost two of their last three games after their 4-3 loss to Edmonton on Sunday. Anaheim (11-11-3) snapped their three-game losing streak on Monday with their 3-0 shutout win at home over the New York Islanders.
REASONS TO TAKE THE COYOTES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Ducks have been overachieving relative to their deeper analytics. Anaheim ranks 28th in the NHL in Corsi-For Percentage and 30th in the league in Fenwick-For Percentage which are metrics analyzing puck possession and control. This is a good opportunity to fade the Ducks at a price that is not above my -150 price threshold. Anaheim has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games after a shutout victory. The Ducks have also lost 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 games when playing with one day of rest. Now this team goes back on the road where they are just 4-8 this season with an average losing margin of -0.8 Goals-Per-Game due to them scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game in those contests. John Gibson will be between the pipes tonight — and although he has a 2.51 Goals-Against-Average with a .924 save percentage at home, those numbers rise to a 3.27 GAA with a .899 save percentage in nine starts on the road. Anaheim has lost 20 of their last 28 road games as an underdog. Arizona has remarkably consistent this season as they enjoyed a 7-4-1 record in October before entering this contest with a 7-4-2 mark so far in November. The Coyotes have bounced-back to win 7 of their last 10 games after a loss — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on their home ice. Additionally, Arizona has won 5 of their last 6 games after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games after a game at went Over the Total. Furthermore, the Coyotes have won 4 of their last 5 games when playing with two days of rest. It’s Antti Raanta’s turn in the time-share for this team between Darcy Kemper and him. Raanta has a 2.62 GAA with a .926 save percentage but he has been sensational at home where he has a 2.00 GAA along with a .942 save percentage in three starts. Raanta also sports a 1.69 GAA with a .930 save percentage in his seven career games against Anaheim. Arizona stays at home where they are 6-6 this season despite outscoring their opponents by +0.7 Goals-Per-Game. The Coyotes have won 5 of their last 8 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Arizona has also won 5 of their last 7 games against teams from the Pacific Division — and the Ducks have lost 4 of their last 5 games against Pacific Division rivals.
FINAL TAKE: The Coyotes will be looking to avenge a 2-1 loss on the road at Anaheim back on October 3rd — and they have won 10 of their last 12 opportunities to avenge a same-season loss. 25* NHL Pacific Division Game of the Month with the money-line on Arizona Coyotes (26) versus the Anaheim Ducks (25). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-22-19 |
Devils v. Penguins -130 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (28) versus the New Jersey Devils (27). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (11-7-4) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 4-3 loss in overtime at New York against the Islanders last night. New Jersey (7-9-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last night with their 5-1 loss to Boston on Tuesday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PENGUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Pittsburgh has won 4 of their last 5 games after playing a game that went into overtime. This Penguins team is banged up right now with Sidney Crosby, Nick Bjugstad, Kris Letang, and Justin Schultz all out for this team with injuries. But Pittsburgh did get back Patric Hornqvist back into the mix last night after he was out with an injury. The Pens need to tighten up on defense after allowing nine combined goals over their last two games — and they have won 15 of their last 22 games after allowing at least four goals in two straight games. With Matt Murray in goal last night, it will be backup Tristan Jarry between the pipes for this team tonight. Jarry has done a great job keeping himself sharp for his limited opportunities to play for this team. He has a 1.98 Goals-Against Average with a .938 save percentage in five games (four starts) this season — and he has a 1.01 GAA with a .964 save percentage in his two starts at home this year. Pittsburgh is scoring 3.2 Goals-Per-Game at home this season while outscoring their opponents by +1.0 net Goals-Per-Game. The Penguins have won a decisive 38 of their last 53 home games when priced as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. They also have won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or less. New Jersey has lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. Furthermore, the Devils have lost 8 of their last 11 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last contest. This is a team that has only won five times in regulation this season. The rank 29th and 27th in the advanced metrics of Corsi-For and Fenwick-For percentages — as compared to the middle of the pack Pens who rank 15th and 14th in the league in those respective metrics. New Jersey has lost 19 of their last 24 games after winning two of their last three games. This team has also lost a decisive 40 of their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. Now they go back on the road where they are only scoring 1.9 Goals-Per-Game while being outscored by -1.5 Goals-Per-Game. The Devils have lost 39 of their last 54 games away from home. New Jersey will counter with Mackenzie Blackmon in goal tonight — he has a rough 3.28 GAA with a save percentage of .899 in six road starts. The Devils have lost 10 of their last 12 games when playing with two days of rest.
FINAL TAKE: Pittsburgh will have the extra motivation to avenge a 2-1 loss at New Jersey in the last meeting between these two teams back on November 15th. The Penguins have won 4 straight games when avenging a loss where they scored only one goal — and they have won 21 of their last 24 games when playing with revenge from a loss of just one goal to their opponent. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Penguins (28) versus the New Jersey Devils (27). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-21-19 |
Maple Leafs +101 v. Coyotes |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
101 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (21) versus the Arizona Coyotes (22). THE SITUATION: Toronto (9-10-4) has lost six straight games after their 4-2 loss in Las Vegas to the Golden Knights on Tuesday. Arizona (13-7-2) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 3-0 win over Los Angeles on Monday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MAPLE LEAFS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Head coach Mike Babcock was fired yesterday with this Toronto team with Stanley Cup aspirations reeling out of control. Management needed to make a move — and the proverbial old saying that you can’t fire the players applies in this spot. The writing was probably on the wall last year when President Brendan Shanahan hired the analytics wonder boy, Kyle Dubas, to be his general manager. Babcock is more of an old school coach — and it is always a bit icy when the head coach was not the selection of the general manager. Dubas’ top choice was presumably assistant coach Sheldon Keefe who has worked for Dubas in the minor leagues where they both had success culminating with the Toronto Marlies. The players understood this dynamic — so their lack of effort over the last few weeks helped seal the fate of Babcock who can be hard on his players. Expect this Maple Leafs team to step up with one of their best efforts of the season to validate Dubas’ decision to sack a Stanley Cup-winning coach. I am not sure about the construction of this roster to make a deep playoff run — but this is still a very good team. Toronto ranks 5th in the NFL in Corsi-For percentage which measures puck possession which indicates they should be seeing better results. Injuries have not helped — but captain John Tavares is back in the mix. The Maple Leafs have lost eight of their eleven games decided by one goal. But even without the team having the extra motivation to prove themselves after the griping to their agents that got back to Toronto management got Babcock removed, this team was likely to respond with a strong effort tonight. The Maple Leafs have won 9 of their last 14 games after a loss by at least three goals. Toronto has also won 15 of their last 21 games after losing five or six of their last seven games. And while they surrendered three goals in the third period on Tuesday to Vegas, they have then won 20 of their last 28 road games after allowing at least two goals in the third period in their last game. Lack of focus and discipline on defense has been the biggest issue for this team — they have allowed at least five goals in five straight games. But Toronto has then won 16 of their last 25 games after allowing at least four goals in three straight contests. And while they have lost their last three games by multiple goals, they have then won 5 of their last 6 road games after losing at least two in a row by two or more goals. Arizona has shut out their last two opponents — but they have then lost 52 of their last 71 games after not allowing more than two goals in two straight games. The Coyotes are getting outstanding goaltending from Darcy Kuemper and Antti Raanta — they lead the NHL in on-ice save percentage of .913. Unfortunately for Arizona, that is a fickle metric that is susceptible to regression — it suggests to me that this team that missed the playoffs last year is overachieving. As it is, the Coyotes have lost 16 of their last 25 games after a win at home by at least two goals. Arizona has also lost 30 of their last 47 games at home in the first half of the regular season. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage at 40% or worse. The analytics also suggest this Coyotes team is overachieving — they rank 23rd in the league in Corsi-For Percentage and 25th in the NHL in Fenwick-For Percentage.
FINAL TAKE: As if the Maple Leafs needed even more motivation, this is a homecoming game for their superstar, Auston Matthews, who grew up in nearby Scottsdale. Look for one of the best efforts of the season from Toronto which should translate into a victory over an upstart Coyotes team. 25* NHL Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Toronto Maple Leafs (21) versus the Arizona Coyotes (22). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
11-19-19 |
Canucks v. Stars -137 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 8:35 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (58) versus the Vancouver Canucks (57). THE SITUATION: Dallas (11-8-1-1) has won three straight games as well as seven of their last eight contests with their 5-4 win in Edmonton on Saturday. Vancouver (10-7-3-1) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven games with their 5-4 loss to Colorado on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE MONEY-LINE ON THE STARS: After starting the season with a rough 1-7-1 mark, the Western Conference finalist has since gone 10-1-1 over their last eleven games. Dallas’ winning streak has come from a surge in their offense as they defensive-minded team has scored 3.6 goals-per-game over their last five games. The Stars have then won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five goals in their last game. Dallas has also won 6 of their last 7 games after winning four of their last five games. The Stars have also won 8 of their last 9 home games after allowing at least four goals in their last game. Now they return home for the first time since November 5th after playing their last four games on the road. Dallas is allowing just 2.1 Goals-Per-Game on their home with goalie Ben Bishop sporting a 1.73 Goals-Against-Average with a .941 save percentage in seven starts at home. The Stars have won 5 of their last 6 games at home — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Vancouver has lost 22 of their last 31 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Canucks have also lost 9 of their last 12 games after a game where both teams scored at least four goals — and they have lost 16 of their last 25 games after playing at home in a game where both teams scored at last three goals. Goalie Jakob Markstrom has a .914 save percentage this season but he has lost his last three starts where he has allowed nine goals over that span with a save percentage of just .901. Now Vancouver goes back on the road where they have lost 37 of their last 54 games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. The Canucks have also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
FINAL TAKE: Vancouver will be looking to avenge 4-2 loss at home to Dallas last Thursday — but they have lost 18 of their last 24 opportunities to avenge a loss at home by two or more goals. The Canucks have also lost 7 of their last 10 games played in Dallas against the Stars. 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (58) versus the Vancouver Canucks (57). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-25-19 |
Islanders -123 v. Senators |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7:35 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Islanders (29) versus the Ottawa Senators (30). THE SITUATION: New York (6-3-0) has won five straight games as well as ten of their last eleven contests with their 4-2 loss at home to Arizona last night. Ottawa (2-6-1) snapped a four-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 5-2 win over Detroit.
REASONS TO TAKE THE ISLANDERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York is scoring 3.2 Goals-Per-Game during their five-game winning streak while allowing only 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over that span. They should build off their momentum from last night as they have won 20 of their last 28 games after a loss — and they have won 8 straight games after allowing two goals or less in their last contest. Furthermore, the Islanders have won a decisive 24 of their last 28 games when playing with no days of rest. Head coach Ken Hitchcock is rotating his two goaltenders in almost a complete 50-50 timeshare between Semyon Varlamov and Thomas Griess. It is Griess who gets the start tonight who is 3-1-0 this season with a 2.21 Goals-Against-Average and a .930 save percentage. New York has won 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have won 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a losing record at home. The Islanders have also won 6 straight games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. Ottawa beat a hapless Red Wings team that has lost six straight games — but they have lost 8 of their last 9 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Senators have also lost 24 of their last 33 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Ottawa stays at home where they have lost 5 of their last 7 games — and they have lost 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. The Senators have also lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% overall. Ottawa has been a mess with their Power Play this season where they have converted just once in their twenty-seven opportunities this season. That is not a good sign for a team that is scoring only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests.
FINAL TAKE: The Islanders have won their last four meetings with the Senators with Ottawa losing one of those games in overtime. Look for New York to take care of business on the road in this very winnable game for them — they are a team that struggled a bit more against the elite competition of the league last season. 5* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month with the money-line on the New York Islanders (29) versus the Ottawa Senators (30). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-20-19 |
Flames v. Ducks -134 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-134 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 9:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Anaheim Ducks (32) versus the Calgary Flames (31). THE SITUATION: Anaheim (6-2-0) has won their last two games with their 4-2 win over Carolina on Friday. Calgary (4-4-1) looks to rebound from their 4-1 loss in Los Angeles against the Kings.
THE SITUATION: The Ducks are playing good hockey so far this season — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after a victory. Anaheim has also won 7 of their last 9 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Ducks have proven themselves very tough to beat in the Honda Center where they have won 7 straight games. Anaheim is 4-0-0 at home this season where they are scoring 3.5 Goals-Per-Game while holding their guests to just 1.5 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie John Gibson boasts a sparkling .961 save percentage in his first three starts at home this season and he looks to be between the pipes tonight. This is the Ducks’ third straight game at home — and they have won 11 of their last 13 games after winning their last two games at home. Calgary has lost 7 of their last 8 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Flames have also lost 6 of their last 8 games when playing without rest. It will likely be Cam Talbot in goal tonight for Calgary’s first-stringer David Rittich. Talbot has just a .893 save percentage in his two previous games this season — and this will be just his second start of the year. The Flames are just 1-4-0 on the road this year in large measure because they are allowing 4.0 Goals-Per-Game in those five contests. Calgary has lost 13 of their last 18 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams split their four meetings last year with the home team winning all four contests. Look for that trend to continue tonight with the Ducks continuing their hot streak at home. 25* NFL Pacific Division Game of the Month with the money-line on the Anaheim Ducks (32) versus the Calgary Flames (31). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-16-19 |
Flyers v. Oilers -113 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 9:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (36) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (35). THE SITUATION: Edmonton (5-1-0) lost its first game of the year on Monday with their 3-1 loss at Chicago. Philadelphia (2-1-1) has lost their last two games after their 3-1 loss in Calgary last night.
REASONS TO TAKE THE OILERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Edmonton is catching the Flyers on a tough road trip right now with this being their third game in a row on the road with this game being played on the second of back-to-back nights. Philadelphia has lost 10 of their last 13 games after losing two straight games on the road. Additionally, the Flyers have lost 6 straight games on the road — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Philadelphia has also lost 6 straight games when playing without a day of rest. The Flyers have only scored three combined goals over their last two games. Furthermore, Philadelphia has lost 17 of their last 22 games after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Flyers have also lost 4 straight games against Western Conference opponents — and they have lost their last 4 games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Edmonton had won their first five games of the season in come-from-behind fashion. Now after playing their last four games on the road, the Oilers return home for the first time since October 5th. Edmonton has won 5 straight home games after being on the road for at least seven days. The Oilers have also won 10 of their last 11 games after playing at least four straight games on the road. And in their last 10 games as the favorite, Edmonton has won 7 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: The Oilers have playoff aspirations this season under new general manager Ken Holland who came over from Detroit along with first-year head coach Dave Tippett. Led by Connor McDavid, this Edmonton team has one of the best young players in the league. Look for the Oilers to overwhelm a road-weary Flyers team. 25* NHL Wednesday NBC Sports Network Game of the Month with the money-line on the Edmonton Oilers (36) versus the Philadelphia Flyers (35). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-16-19 |
Stars v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (34). THE SITUATION: Dallas (1-5-1) has lost three straight games with their 4-0 loss at Buffalo on Monday. Columbus (2-3-0) has won two of their last three contests with their 3-2 win at Carolina on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 4-1-1 in the Stars’ last 6 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and they have played 19 of their last 27 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than a goal in their last game. Additionally, Dallas has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. This team is scoring only 1.9 Goals-Per-Game this season after reaching the Western Conference Semifinals last year. The Stars stay on the road where the Under is 31-13-8 in their last 52 games — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. Furthermore, Dallas has played 23 of their last 27 road games Under the Total with the Total set at 5.5. Columbus has played 19 of 24 games Under the Total at home after a win on the road — and the Under is a decisive 32-15-4 in their last 51 games after a victory. Additionally, the Blue Jackets have played 18 of their last 26 road games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. Now Columbus returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. The Blue Jackets are scoring just 2.2 Goals-Per-Game this season with that number dropping to just 2.0 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home.
FINAL TAKE: Columbus has played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage no higher than 40% — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams from the Western Conference. Expect a lower scoring game between these two teams that are struggling to score goals. 10* NHL Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (33) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (34). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-15-19 |
Lightning v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-118 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (17) and the Montreal Canadiens (18). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (2-2-1) has lost three of their last four games with their 4-2 loss at Ottawa on Saturday. Montreal (2-1-1) come off a 6-3 victory over St. Louis on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Lightning have started slow this defense their play on the defensive end of the ice being a disappointment. Tampa Bay is allowing 3.4 Goals-Per-Game. Goalie Andre Vasilevskiy has struggled with a 3.04 Goals-Against-Average along with a .903 save percentage — and the reigning Vezina Trophy winner sees his save percentage drop to a .875 mark in his first two games on the road. The Lightning have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 12 road games Over the Total when a road favorite. This is Tampa Bay’s fifth straight game away from home — and they have played 13 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing their last four games on the road. The Lightning are scoring a healthy 4.0 Goals-Per-Game this season. They also have played 6 straight games Over the Total when priced as a favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. Montreal has seen the Over go 14-5-2 in their last 21 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. It has also been a slow start for goalie Carey Price who has a 3.38 GAA along with a .901 save percentage so far this season. The Canadiens are allowing a rough 4.28 Goals-Per-Game this season — but they are also scoring 4.28 Goals-Per-Game thus year. Montreal has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and the Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games when playing with two days of rest. Furthermore, the Over is 3-0-1 in the Canadiens’ last 4 games against teams with a losing record.
FINAL TAKE: Montreal has played 4 straight games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total at home as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range. 25* NHL Atlantic Division Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Lightning (17) and the Montreal Canadiens (18). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
10-08-19 |
Bruins v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Vegas Golden Knights (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (2-0-0) has won their first two games this season after their 1-0 win in Arizona against the Coyotes on Saturday. Vegas (2-0-0) comes off a 5-1 victory at San Jose on Friday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bruins have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a victory. Boston has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals this season. The Bruins are already playing defense at a championship level after losing in the Stanley to St. Louis last June. Boston has allowed only one goal this season after opening the season with a 2-1 win at Dallas. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. Boston has also played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Additionally, the Bruins have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games. Vegas has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a win. The Golden Knights have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total after a win by at least three goals — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least three goals against a fellow Pacific Division rival. Vegas opened their season with a 4-1 win at home against the Sharks as they avenged their playoff series loss to that San Jose team. The Golden Knights have then played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after being unbeaten in their last two games. Vegas has also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total after scoring at least four goals in two straight games. The Golden Knight have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 home games when priced as the favorite in the -110 to -150 range.
FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played four previous times in history in the first two years of the Vegas franchise — and those games all finished Under the Total with no more than five combined goals scored. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Non-Conference Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Vegas Golden Knights (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-12-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). THE SITUATION: Boston (64-32-9) forced a climactic seventh game of the Stanley Cup Finals on Sunday with their 5-1 victory over St. Louis (60-38-9). The Bruins return home to TD Garden for the decisive final game of this series and the 2018-19 NHL season.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston got outstanding play once again from goalie Tuukka Rask who stopped 28 of the 29 shots he faced while keeping his team competitive in the first period when the Blues enjoyed two Power Play chances. Rask entered this series with a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in this postseason — and while some regression was expected, he still sports a strong .924 save percentage in the first six games of this series while allowing only 13 goals in those contests. This is Rask’s sixth career Game Seven start in the playoffs along with his second Game Seven in the Stanley Cup Finals — so the moment should not be too big for him. Rask is being helped by outstanding play from the Bruins’ top two defensive pairings who have thwarted 17 of the 18 Power Play chances St. Louis has had in this series. Expect continued outstanding defensive play from this Bruins team that has played 29 of their last 47 games Under the Total when playing just their second game in five days. Boston snapped a two-game losing streak to win Game Six — and they have played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after losing two of their last three contests. And while the Bruins scored five goals on Sunday (with one being an empty netter), they have then played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing at home after finding the back of the net at least five times in their last game. St. Louis has played 27 of their last 43 games Under the Total after a loss — and they have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in their last game. The Bruins entered the third period with just a one-goal lead before exploding for four goals to force this seventh game. The Blues have played a decisive 32 of their last 52 games on the road Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period in their last game. Goalie Jordan Binnington surrendered four goals in Game Six — but he still has a nice .925 save percentage by allowing only seven goals in the last three games of this series even after Sunday. Binnington has been consistently outstanding when attempting to lead his team after a loss this season. In his nine starts after a Blues lost in this postseason, Binnington has responded with a 1.86 GAA along with a .941 save percentage while allowing just sixteen goals in those nine contests. This playoff success continued his strong play after losses in the regular season where Binnington posted a .935 save percentage while surrounding only 10 goals in the six games he started after a loss. Wednesday’s Game Seven will be St. Louis’ fifth game in the last fourteen days — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total when playing no more than five games in the last fourteen days. Additionally, the Blues have played 6 of their last 9 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied — and they have played 14 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least four goals. With this being a Game Seven in the Stanley Cup Finals, the referees will be a bit more conservative in calling penalties as they will be reticent to have their calls play a critical role — this is especially true after the controversial no-call on a Blues’ trip in the third period of Game Five of this series that played a significant role in St. Louis winning that game. And don’t forget the controversy the league offices felt with San Jose’s three-goal comeback in Game Seven of their series with Vegas stemming from a controversial five-minute major penalty called in that game. Lastly, seventh games tend to see both teams play a bit more cautiously as they hope to not put their opponent on the Power Play. While three of the games in this series have gone Over the Total, two of those final scores came from late empty net goals (which are rarer than they have appeared in this series). Outside the third period on Sunday and the first periods of the first three games of this series, this has been a very low scoring series. Look for this final game to follow those trends. 25* NHL Playoffs Game Seven A-List O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (13) and the Boston Bruins (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-09-19 |
Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (11) and the St. Louis Blues (12). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (60-37-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Thursday with their 2-1 victory on the road in Boston. The Bruins (63-32-9) look to stave off elimination and force a climactic Game Seven back on the home ice while the Blues look to win their first Stanley Cup championship in the history of the franchise.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: St. Louis has only allowed three combined goals in their last two games. The Blues have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored — and they have also played 33 of their last 52 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, St. Louis has played 21 of their last 31 home games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. Boston has played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total after a loss at home. The Bruins have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two goals in two straight games — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not scoring more than one goal in their last contest. Boston’s top forward group has been completely shut down by the Blues as the line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak have not scored a goal when playing at even strength in this series. The Bruins are also not getting much from their Power Play after failing to score on any of their three opportunities with a man advantage on Thursday. Boston is now a dismal 1 of 16 on the Power Play in this series. But goalie Tuukka Rask is keeping his team in these games. The Bruins are allowing only 2.1 Goals-Per-Game in these playoffs. Boston has also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row.
FINAL TAKE: Both goaltenders are playing with confidence right now. Rask has a .917 save percentage in this series — and he has stopped 114 of the last 124 shots he has faced in the last four games of this series for a .919 save percentage. Jordan Binnington has a .908 save percentage in this series which includes him getting pulled in Game Three of this series after allowing five goals. Since that game, Binnington has stopped 59 of 62 shots for a superb .957 save percentage. 10* NHL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (11) and the St. Louis Blues (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-09-19 |
Bruins +106 v. Blues |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
106 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (11) versus the St. Louis Blues (12). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (60-37-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Thursday with their 2-1 victory on the road in Boston. The Bruins (63-32-9) look to stave off elimination and force a climactic Game Seven back on the home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE BOSTON WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Bruins’ loss on Thursday was as frustrating setback as it gets in the NHL. Boston outshot St. Louis by a decisive 39 to 21 margin. They controlled the momentum in the third period and they looked close to tying the game at 1-1 before they were absolutely robbed by a no-call from the officials. The Blues’ Tyler Boak clearly tripped Noel Acciari (who would not return to the game) — but rather than putting the Bruins on the Power Play, the referees kept their whistles silent which gave St. Louis a de-facto 5-4 advantage which they took advantage of with David Perron scoring their second goal just after the midway point of the third period. Boston did finally score a goal but the two-goal deficit was simply too much to overcome. The result was infuriating because we had a big play on the Bruins. After two days of decompressing from that loss, the level-headed side play is to take Boston on the road as a money-line underdog. The Blues would be mistaken to think this series is over simply because they won Game Five under very challenging circumstances on the road. They face the risk of letting their guard down with their 3-2 series lead amidst the talk regarding which of their played will win the Conn Smythe Trophy for playoff Most Valuable Player. Don’t underestimate the pressure this St. Louis team will face as they attempt to hoist the Stanley Cup as champions on their home ice in front of the rabid fan base that has never seen a Stanley Cup winner. The Blues are just 6-6 at home in these playoffs — and they have lost 4 of their last 6 home games with the Total set at 5 or less. St. Louis has also lost 11 of their last 17 sixth games in a playoff series. If Boston outshoots St. Louis by close to 18 shots again tonight, they should win this game. They have won 11 of their last 15 games after losing two in a row — and they have won 17 of their last 25 games on the road after losing their last two games. Additionally, the Bruins have won 12 of their last 15 games after losing three of the last four contests. Boston has still yet to see their top line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak scored a goal at even strength in this series (although there were excruciatingly close on Thursday). Expect this cold streak to end tonight with the Bruins facing elimination. Boston has won 11 of their last 13 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game — and they have won 17 of their last 22 games following a contest where no more than three combined goals were scored. The extra day of rest should help this veteran team be ready to go tonight — and they have won 27 of their last 36 games when playing with two days of rest. If there was a silver lining from Game Five, it was that Zdeno Chara was able to play more than 16 minutes despite suffering from the broken jaw he received in the fourth game of this series. Boston has won 4 straight games when trailing in these playoffs — and they also won 4 of their last 6 playoff games when facing elimination. Remember, they were in exactly this spot in the opening round of the playoffs against Toronto before they won Game Six on the road before returning home to Boston to win Game Seven.
FINAL TALE: The Bruins have won 11 of their last 15 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they scored only one goal. Look for Boston to play one of their best games of this postseason tonight as they force a final seventh game of the season. 25* NHL Sunday Night Special Feature with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (11) versus the St. Louis Blues (12). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the mag between the St. Louis Blues (9) and the Boston Bruins (10). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (59-37-9) evened this series at 2-2 on Monday with their 4-2 victory over the Bruins. Boston (63-31-9) returns home to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The last two games of this series have finished Over the Total — but the Blues have then played 12 of their last 16 road games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. St. Louis has also played 20 of their last 30 road games Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Blues are playing lock-down defense against the Bruins’ top offensive threats. The Boston top line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak have not scored a goal tonight when playing at even strength in this series. And after thwarting all three of the Bruins’ Power Play chances in Game Four of this series, St. Louis has not allowed a goal in 12 of the 13 Power Play opportunities Boston has had in this series. The Blues tend to play in lower scoring games away from home as they allow only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game on the road — and in their last four road games in the playoffs, they have allowed only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game. Additionally, St. Louis has played 4 of their last 5 fifth games in a playoff series Under the Total. The Bruins have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. Boston has also played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing at least four goals in their last game (even when considering that one of those goals was scored on an empty net). The Bruins entered the third period in a 2-2 deadlock before allowing two goals in the final 20 minutes of play. Boston has then played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing at least two goals in the third period. It will be a game-time decision as to whether or not defensemen Zdano Chara and Matt Grzelcyk will take the ice tonight. Grzelcyk is in the concussion protocol after taking a big hit in the second game of this series. Chara had his jaw broken on Monday. Both players skated this morning with Chara wearing a protective mask. I think they are going to play tonight — but even if one or both of them do not, the Bruins still have a depth on their blue line along led by their best defender in Charlie McAvoy. There is precedent in the playoffs for a player with a broken jaw to take the ice as Derek Stepan as he only missed one game (on just one day of rest) in the 2014 playoffs when he was playing for the New York Rangers. Boston is allowing only 2.1 Goals-Per-Game in the postseason.
FINAL TAKE: The Bruins have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals. 10* NHL Thursday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the mag between the St. Louis Blues (9) and the Boston Bruins (10). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-06-19 |
Blues v. Bruins -149 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-149 |
21 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (10) versus the St. Louis Blues (9). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (59-37-9) evened this series at 2-2 on Monday with their 4-2 victory over the Bruins. Boston (63-31-9) returns home to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The biggest question entering Game Five regards the status of Boston’s captain, Zdeno Chara, who took a puck to the face that broke his jaw. Without any evidence, I suspect Chara will play. If Chara chooses to have his jaw wired shut, while he will experience pain, the bigger issues will be if with some difficulty breathing along with an inability to communicate with his voice on the ice. On the other hand, Chara may decide to delay wiring his jaw shut and rely on playing with a protective mask/cage over his face. Chara would not be the first NHLer to play with this malady although the three-day turnaround is likely unprecedented — but, then again, these are the Stanley Cup Finals. But, even if Chara does choose to play in Game Five, I still feel strongly that the Bruins win this game. Either way, the remaining Boston players are going to be inspired one way or the other by having to make up for his absence or follow his lead with him playing in pain. Chara remains a good player at 42-years old — but he has been surpassed by Charlie McAvoy as the team’s best defenseman. If Chara cannot play, John Moore would be elevated to the top defensive pairing with McAvoy with the Torey Krug and Brandon Carlo remaining together as their second blue-line pairing. The Bruins are likely getting some depth back on defense as well with Matt Grzelcyk skating again in practice and perhaps ready to return after being out since taking a brutal hit from Oskar Sundqvist in Game Two. Boston has depth on their blue line so a potential loss of Chara is not as devastating as some pundits have suggested. The Bruins should respond with an inspired effort as they bounced-back to win 15 of their last 23 games after a loss on the road. And while the Blues have won two of the last three games in this series, Boston has won 20 of their last 31 games after losing two of their last three games. Boston has been very good at home all season where they are 36-13-2 this season. The Bruins have won 17 of their last 24 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Boston has also won 25 of their last 33 home games against teams from the Western Conference. Additionally, the Bruins have won 18 of their last 25 games after playing their last two games on the road. The extra day of rest will help this veteran team as well — and they have won 27 of their last 35 games when playing with two days of rest. St. Louis is 8-3 on the road this postseason but they were only 21-13-7 on the road during the regular season. This Blues team demands respect given their 30-10-5 record to close out the regular season which was tops in the NHL. But the deeper metrics from the playoffs are not bullish on this St. Louis team entering this series. Their Expected Goal Share entering this series in the playoffs has been only 49.7% which is 10th best of the sixteen playoffs teams. They enjoyed a 57.8% Expected Goal Share mark after January during their big regular season run. Their Expected Goals Scored per 60 minutes is 2.71 in the playoffs and exactly the same as their Expected Goals Allowed per 60 minutes in the playoffs. Both those marks call for regression from their 2.71 Goals Scored per 60 minutes in these playoffs along with the 2.45 Goals Allowed per 60 minutes this postseason. Boston has the edge in goal with Tuukka Rask as the former Vezina Trophy winner entered this series has a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in these playoffs. While Rask has been outstanding, much of the credit should go to the strong and consistent play from the Bruins’ blue line. Rask’s save percentage in five-on-five play entering this series in the playoffs has been .946 — and that is not much higher than his expected save percentage of .930 in five-on-five in these playoffs entering this series. Rask also has a significant edge given his playoff experience — he had a 2.21 GAA with a .932 save percentage in the 2013 Stanley Cup Finals where he started all six games — and he has a solid .919 save percentage in the first four games of this series after stopping 113 of the 123 shots he has faced. St. Louis’ rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, has been good in the playoffs — but his .914 save percentage entering this series was a few notches below that of Rask’s. Binnington has been up and down in this series as he has stopped 90 of the 102 shots he has faced for a disappointing .882 save percentage.
FINAL TAKE: Binnington was pulled in Game Three — the last time this series was tied — after he allowed five goals on the nineteen shots he faced in that game. The Blues were crushed by a 7-2 score in that contest. Look for this veteran Bruins team making their third Stanley Cup Finals appearance since 2013 to do what it takes to win this fifth game of this series. Lastly, the money-line is hovering between the -150 and -155 price line in most spots. With enough -150s (or lower) out there with less than 24 hours before the puck drops, I am committing to this strong play. Even if the money-line price rises tomorrow, I still recommend this strong play despite my -150 threshold. If we start taking too many heavy favorites, we are going to get burned. However, except for Game Two, this series is going as expected (and I suspected this would be even at 2-2). If this was the middle of February, I would still feel comfortable with the price since about half the lines are not higher than my -150 threshold — and I love the situation. 25* National Hockey League Game of the Year with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (10) versus the St. Louis Blues (9). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-03-19 |
Bruins v. Blues -108 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (8) versus the Boston Bruins (7). THE SITUATION: Boston (63-30-9) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 7-2 victory on the road against the Blues. St. Louis looks to even this series at 2-2 on their home ice before traveling to Boston for Game Five on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis should respond with a strong effort tonight after suffering that embarrassing loss at home in front of their home fans in their first opportunity to host a game in the Stanley Cup Finals since 1970. The Blues have bounced-back to win 7 of their last 10 games after a loss by at least three goals. St. Louis has also won 14 of their last 22 games after a loss at home. Additionally, the Blues have won 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game — and they have won 11 of their last 14 games after playing a game where at least nine combined goals were scored. St. Louis has responded to losses in this postseason by playing very well as they bounce-back from that setback. The Blues have won 6 of their 8 playoff games after a loss while winning their last four contests after a defeat. Goaltender Jordan Binnington has stopped 194 of the 207 shots he has faced in those eight playoff games after a loss for a .935 save percentage along with 1.84 Goals-Against-Average. St. Louis is also getting two important pieces back in Vince Dunn and Oskar Sundqvist who did not play on Saturday. Dunn has not played in this series after getting hit in the face with a puck in the third game of the Western Conference Finals which has left the Blues without one of their top four defensemen. Sundqvist was suspended for Game Three of this series for an illegal hit — so St. Louis was without their co-leader in the +/- in these playoffs along with one of their key players on their Power Play Kill Unit. Boston scored all four times in their four Power Play opportunities on Saturday — so the Blues will be very happy to have Sundqvist back tonight. St. Louis has won 7 of their last 9 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. The Blues have won 19 of their last 27 games at home — and they have also won 6 of their last 8 home games when priced as a favorite in the -110 to -150 range. St. Louis also needs to get back to playing disciplined hockey after getting burned by the Bruins’ Power Play on Saturday. The Blues entered the Stanley Cup Finals averaging just 6.32 Penalty Infraction Minutes per game in the postseason which was the lowest for all teams in the playoffs. Boston achieved its primary goal of taking back home-ice advantage in this series. But the Bruins have also lost 8 of their last 13 games when playing their fifth game in thirteen days. Boston’s top line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak finally got on the board with Bergeron and Pastrnak scoring goals while registering the first two points in this series for that top forward group. But both of those goals were on the Power Play which continues a disturbing trend that has seen this top line score only one goal at Even Strength since the start of the Eastern Conference Finals. While the Bruins are 7-2 on the road in this postseason, they were just 20-15-6 on the road during the regular season.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis closed out the regular season going on a 30-15-5 in their last fifty games which was the best record in the NHL over that span. Look for the Blues to even this series at 2-2 with their roster back at full strength. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (8) versus the Boston Bruins (7). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-03-19 |
Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-134 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (7) and the St. Louis Blues (8). THE SITUATION: Boston (63-30-9) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Saturday with their 7-2 victory on the road against the Blues. St. Louis looks to even this series at 2-2 on their home ice before traveling to Boston for Game Five on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues should play a more disciplined defensive game after falling behind by a 4-0 score early in the second period when Boston scored on a Power Play that was carried over from the first period. St. Louis has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least five goals in their last game. The Blues have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. Goalie Jordan Binnington allowed five goals in that game before being pulled — but he has been very reliable when attempting to bounce-back from a loss. In his six starts after a loss in the regular season, Binnington stopped 141 of the 151 shots he faced for a .935 save percentage. In his eight starts in the playoffs this postseason after a loss, Binnington has stopped 194 of the 207 shots he has faced for a .935 save percentage along with 1.84 Goals-Against-Average. The Blues stay at home where they have played 40 of their last 64 home games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. St. Louis has also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when a money-line favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. And in their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road, the Blues have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least six goals in their last contest. The Bruins have held their last five opponents to just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game after their goaltender, Tuukka Rask, stopped 27 of the 29 shots he faced. Rask has a nice .919 save percentage in this series. Moving forward, Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Bruins stay on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when leading in a playoff series — and St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series. After Game Three was a high-scoring affair, expect the fourth game of this series to be lower-scoring. The last two games have seen plenty of scoring in the first period. Expect the play in the first period of this game to be very cautious. 25* NHL Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (7) and the St. Louis Blues (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-01-19 |
Bruins +105 v. Blues |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
105 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (5) versus the St. Louis Blues (6). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (58-36-9) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory in overtime over Boston (62-30-9). The Blues return home to the Enterprise Center to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRUINS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston had been on an eight-game winning streak before taking the loss on Wednesday in a game where they were pretty much outplayed. St. Louis outshot the Bruins by a 37 to 23 margin. Perhaps this Boston team was overconfident after shaking off the rust from a 2-0 deficit in the opening game of this series to win that game by a 4-2 score. Look for the Bruins to be razor sharp tonight in this critical third game of this series. Boston has won 45 of their last 63 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game. Their top line of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak has yet to register a point in this series while being burdened by a minus-7 net rating —but they are probably the best forward line in the NHL so I do not expect their slump to last much longer. The Bruins have also yet to score on the Power Play in this series in their five chances after entering this series with 34% success rate in their fifty Power Play chances which was the best mark in these playoffs. Boston has been very good on the road this postseason with four straight victories and a 6-2 overall mark away from home. The Bruins have won 4 straight road games when priced in the +110 to +150 price range — and they have also won 16 of their last 21 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Boston has also won 5 of their last 6 playoff games as an underdog. The extra day off should help this veteran team — and Bergeron looks to be injured so the extra day of rest should really help him. The Bruins have won 26 of their last 34 games when playing with two days of rest. St. Louis has not been dominant at home in this postseason as they have lost 5 of their 10 playoff games at home. The Blues will also be without a key piece in Oscar Sundqvist who was suspended for his hit on Matt Grzelcyk. While Sundqvist plays on their fourth line, he is tied for the team lead in the playoffs with his +/- rating. He also plays on their Power Play Kill Unit which has successfully thwarted their last eighteen opponent Power Plays.
FINAL TAKE: With St. Louis not possessing a strong home-ice advantage in these playoffs, the Bruins offer great value as a small money-line underdog. 10* NHL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (5) versus the St. Louis Blues (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
06-01-19 |
Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 8:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (58-36-9) evened this series at 1-1 on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory in overtime over Boston (62-30-9). The Blues return home to the Enterprise Center to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The first period of Game Two saw both teams score goals before that game became a defensive slugfest for the next two periods. The Blues limited the Bruins to just 23 shots in that game which included an extra 3:21 minutes of overtime. St. Louis has only allowed 1.6 Goals-Per-Game in their last five contests. The Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games when playing an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also a decisive 44-21-4 in their last 69 games when playing with two days of rest — and this includes them playing twenty of their last twenty-nine games at home Under the Total when playing with two days of rest. The Blues have won four of their last five games — and they have played 24 of their last 35 home games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Additionally, St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total as a home favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range. The Blues have also played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Under the Total when a playoff series is tied. Boston has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing their previous game in overtime. Furthermore, the Bruins have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total after a loss at home. Boston has also played 26 of their last 38 games Under the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game. The Bruins have also held their last five opponents to only 1.6 Goals-Per-Game. They now go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total. Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total in the playoffs as an underdog. And in their last 14 games when playing with two days of rest, the Under is 9-4-1.
FINAL TAKE: With the series tied at 1-1, expect another low scoring game between these two teams. With the Total set at just 5, the oddsmakers are daring bettors to take the Over. Don’t take the bait. 25* NHL NBC Sports Network Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (5) and the St. Louis Blues (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-29-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). THE SITUATION: Boston (69-29-9) won the opening game of the Stanley Cup Finals on Monday with their 4-2 victory over St. Louis (57-36-9). The Bruins host the second game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues took a 2-0 lead in this game as they were able to successfully take advantage of the rust that Boston endured after not playing for eleven days after sweeping Carolina in four games. St. Louis either started playing safe or they were concerned about the speed of the Bruins’ forwards — but, either way, their defensemen offered too much space which gave too much room for the Boston offensive players to maneuver at will. St. Louis thrives when playing physical — look for head coach Craig Berube to get his team back to engaging in this style of play tonight which should include playing tighter against the Bruins’ forwards. The Blues allowed two goals in the third period on Monday — and they have played 31 of their last 50 games Under the Total on the road after surrendering at least two goals in the third period of their last game. St. Louis has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss on the road by at least two goals. Rookie goalie Jordan Binnington did not play bad — he was peppered with 37 shots in Game One while he stopped 34 of them (with the last Boston goat being an empty-netter). Binnington has been outstanding when he is between the pipes after a Blues loss. In the regular season, Binnington stopped 141 of the 151 shots he faces in six games following a St. Louis loss for a sparkling .395 save percentage. And after the Blues’ seven losses in this postseason, Binnington has stopped 194 of the 207 shots he has faced for a .937 save percentage. As it is, St. Louis has allowed only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they can take stock in the fact they stopped four of the five Power Play chances by the Bruins. The Blues may also see the return of one of their top-four defensemen in Vince Dunn who has missed the last four games with a facial injury after getting struck by a puck. Dunn has taken part in the team’s last three practices with the last two without the need of a protective visor. But St. Louis may have bigger problems on the offensive end of the ice after they generated only 12 shots in the final two periods of Game One. The Blues have seen the Under go 26-11-2 in their last 39 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and the Under is 20-8-3 in their last 31 games against teams that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. This team scores only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game when playing away from home. Additionally, the Under is 34-13-3 in St. Louis’ last 50 road games as a big underdog priced in the +151 to +200 range. The Blues have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when trailing in a playoff series. Boston has played 15 of their last 22 games after a win at home where they scored at least four goals. The Bruins have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing with one day of rest — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. Goalie Tuukka Rask showed the outstanding form in the second half of that game that he has displayed this postseason as he entered this series with a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage. Boston has allowed only 1.9 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have given up just 1.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two goals — and they have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by at least two goals. 25* NHL NBC-Sports Network Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (3) and the Boston Bruins (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-27-19 |
Blues v. Bruins -160 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Bruins (2) versus the St. Louis Blues (1) in Game One of the Stanley Cup Finals. THE SITUATION: St. Louis (57-35-9) reached the Stanley Cup Finals last Tuesday with their 5-1 win in San Jose in the sixth game of that series. Boston (61-29-9) has won seven straight games after sweeping Carolina in four games with their 4-0 victory on the road back on May 16th. The Bruins host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE BOSTON WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Boston risks being rusty with eleven days off since last being on the ice against a hostile opponent — but the extended time off will also help this veteran team that is playing in their third Stanley Cup Finals over the last nine seasons. The Bruins have won 23 of their last 31 games after a straight-up win — and they have won 11 of their last 13 games after a victory on the road where they scored at least four goals. Boston has also won 21 of their last 27 games after allowing no more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 20 of their last 27 games after a game where no more than four combined goals were scored. The Bruins have home-ice advantage where they are 35-12-2 this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 home games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range — and they have also won 13 of their last 15 home games against Western Conference opponents. Boston has an edge in goal with Tuukka Rask as the former Vezina Trophy winner in Tuukka Rask who has a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in these playoffs. Over his last seven games, Rask has a 1.29 GAA along with a .961 save percentage. We should expect some regression for Rask since his high level of play is likely unsustainable. But much of his success can be attributed to the outstanding play from the suffocating Bruins defense. Task’s save percentage in five-on-five play in the playoffs has been .946 — and that is not much higher than his expected save percentage of .930 in five-on-five in these playoffs. Rask also has a significant edge given his playoff experience — he had a 2.21 GAA with a .932 save percentage in the 2013 Stanley Cup Finals where he started all six games. St. Louis’ rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, has been good in the playoffs — but his .914 save percentage is a few notches below that of Rask’s. The Blues had the best record in the regular season after January 3rd so it should not be a surprise that they reached the Stanley Cup Finals. But they needed seven games to defeat a solid but unspectacular Dallas team while then facing a San Jose team that appears to have been the beneficiary of good fortune (and officiating) to reach the Western Conference Finals before being exposed by the Blues who outscored them by a 10-1 margin in the last two games of that series. The deeper metrics are not bullish on this St. Louis team. Their Expected Goal Share in the playoffs has been only 49.7% which is 10th best of the sixteen playoffs teams. They enjoyed a 57.8% Expected Goal Share mark after January during their big regular season run. Their Expected Goals Scored per 60 minutes is 2.71 in the playoffs and exactly the same as their Expected Goals Allowed per 60 minutes in the playoffs. Both those marks call for regression from their 2.71 Goals Scored per 60 minutes in these playoffs along with the 2.45 Goals Allowed per 60 minutes this postseason. St. Louis will also still be without one of their top four defensemen in Vince Dunn who will be missing his fourth straight game after being struck in the face by a snapshot.
FINAL TAKE: Boston has owned the best Power Play in the postseason by scoring 17 times in their fifty chances for a strong 34% success rate. With the edge with the best line in hockey of Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Patrnak, the Bruins should seize the opening game in what should still be a competitive series. 10* NHL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with the money-line on the Boston Bruins (2) versus the St. Louis Blues (1). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-27-19 |
Blues v. Bruins UNDER 5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (57-35-9) reached the Stanley Cup Finals by defeating San Jose in six games with their 5-1 victory at home last Tuesday. Boston (61-29-9) has won seven games in a row after they completed their four-game sweep of Carolina that they concluded on the road back on May 16th by a 4-0 score. The Bruins host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston is getting outstanding goaltending from a former Vezina Trophy winner in Tuukka Rask who has a 1.84 Goals-Against-Average along with a .942 save percentage in these playoffs. Over his last seven games, Rask has a 1.29 GAA along with a .961 save percentage. Boston has allowed only five combined goals over their last five games while never allowing more than two goals over that span. Rask has two shutouts in these last five games. The Bruins have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in four straight games. Boston looks to get their veteran leader Zdeno Chara back tonight after he missed the last game of the series with the Hurricanes with an injury. He will help a Bruins’ Power Play Kill Unit that has been 86.3% effective in the postseason. Moving forward, Boston has played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total after winning at least five games in a row — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after winning at least six straight games in a row. Furthermore, the Under is 3-1-1 in the Bruins’ last 5 games in the Stanley Cup Finals. Boston has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams that scored at least five goals in their last game. St. Louis has seen the Under go 20-7-3 in their last 30 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. The Blues have won three straight games as well as four of their last five contests. They preceded their Game Six victory over the Sharks with a 5-0 shutout win against them in Game Five of that series. St. Louis has played 14 of their last 17 road games Under the Total after winning two straight games by at least two goals — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning two straight games by at least three goals. The Blues have only allowed two combined goals over their last three games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing one goal or less in three straight games. They are also getting outstanding goaltending with Jordan Binnington owning a 2.31 GAA along with a .914 save percentage in these playoffs. Binnington also owns a 0.67 GAA with a .974 save percentage over his last three starts. He has been helped by a blue-line that has not allowed a goal in 11 of their last 13 Power Play Kills (84.6%). St. Louis has played 24 of their last 34 road games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. And while the Blues’ have played only five games over the last fourteen days, they have then played12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total when playing just their fifth game in fourteen days.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has played 15 of their last 23 opening games to a new series Under the Total. The Bruins have seen the Under go 15-6-5 in their last 26 playoff games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. Expect a lower-scoring game tonight with both teams dealing with the rust of six and eleven days off since last taking the ice against hostile competition. 25* NHL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-21-19 |
Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (56-35-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Sunday with their 5-0 victory over San Jose (56-36-7). The Blues return home tonight as they attempt to close out this series to advance to the Stanley Cup Finals. The Sharks are big money-line underdogs given the injury status of Erik Karlsson, Tomas Hertl, and Joe Pavelski. Reports this afternoon indicate Karlsson and Hertl did not make the trip to St. Louis with Pavelski still being a game-time decision (and, hence, I am comfortable making my call on this game with that updated information).
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: San Jose has scored only one goal in the last two games since their controversial hand pass helped Karlsson score the winning goal in overtime in the third game of this series. The Sharks were still in a close game on Sunday midway through the second period before Hertl took a big hit that was not called for a penalty. Instead, Hertl was unable to return for the third period and joined both Pavelski and Karlsson in suffering game-ending injuries. Don’t read much into the final score where the Sharks allowed five goals as San Jose committed 32 minutes of penalties in the final 20 minutes of that game that was likely lost. The Sharks will be without at least two important pieces on offense with Karlsson and Hertl out. San Jose can only grind out a low-scoring game tonight. But don’t count them out — goaltender Martin Jones owns a sensational .943 save percentage in the four elimination games he has played this season which includes two overtime periods as he has stopped the 149 of the 158 shots he has faced which is a pretty large sample size. The Sharks have played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has also played 14 of their last 20 sixth games of a playoff series Under the Total. Additionally, the Sharks have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. They have also played 21 of their last 29 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than one goal in two straight games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last five games on the road. St. Louis has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a shutout victory — and they have played 6 of their last 8 Under the Total after allowing no more than one goal in two straight games. Additionally, not only have the Blues played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a shutout win on the road but they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least three goals. Much of St. Louis’ success has come from not giving the Sharks’ too many chances with a man-advantage. The Blues have committed only 12 minor penalties in this series — and that has helped them allow only two Power Play goals in this series. The Under is 18-6-2 in St. Louis’ last 26 home games when a favorite priced in the -151 to -200 range — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 playoff games priced in the -151 to -200 range.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least four goals. The Sharks can win this game — but they need to focus most of their energies on stopping the Blues’ from scoring and make this a tight game in the third period where their experience gives them an edge. 25* NHL Tuesday Night O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (25) and the St. Louis Blues (26). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-19-19 |
Blues v. Sharks -125 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-125 |
11 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (22) versus the St. Louis Blues (21). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (55-35-9) evened this series at 2-2 on Friday with their 2-1 win on their home ice over San Jose (56-35-7). The Sharks return home to the SAP Center to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE SAN JOSE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Sharks should respond with a strong effort after their slow start on Friday ultimately cost them that game. San Jose fell behind by a 2-0 score in the first period and could never score the tying goal despite outshooting the Blues by a 30 to 22 margin while applying furious pressure on them late in the third period. The Sharks have won 19 of their last 25 games after failing to score more than one goal in their last game — and they have won 5 of their last 6 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last contest. San Jose has also won 19 of their last 27 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. They return home where they are 32-14-3 this season. The Sharks have won 9 of their last 12 home games when favored — and they have won 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This San Jose team should be very focused to redeem themselves from their 4-2 loss to St. Louis in their last game at home. The Sharks are 7-3 on home ice in these playoffs while outscoring their visitors by a 39 to 20 goal differential. San Jose has won both their previous Game Fives in the first two playoff series this postseason against Vegas and Colorado. The Sharks have won 9 of their last 11 home games with the Total set at 5.5. And in their last 6 playoff games when the series was tied, San Jose has won 5 of these games. St. Louis has lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win this postseason. Their rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, was outstanding on Friday as he stopped 29 of the 30 shots he faced. But Binnington has an unspectacular 2.58 Goals-Against-Average with a .908 save percentage in seventeen starts in these playoffs. The Blues have lost 16 of their last 23 games in the playoffs when priced as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range. This franchise has also lost 10 of their last 14 games in the Western Conference Finals.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has won 7 of their last 10 games when playing with revenge from a loss where they only scored one goal. They are hosting a Blues team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games played in the SAP Center against the Sharks. 25* NHL Third Round NBC-TV Game of the Year with the money-line on the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (22) versus the St. Louis Blues (21). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-17-19 |
Sharks v. Blues -136 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (18) versus the San Jose Sharks (17). THE SITUATION: San Jose (56-34-7) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 5-4 win in overtime. St. Louis (54-35-9) hosts the fourth game of this series tonight looking to make this a three-game series going back to San Jose for that Sunday afternoon clash.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BLUES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: St. Louis has to bounce-back emotionally from the bad non-call in overtime with the Sharks’ Eric Karlsson being the beneficiary of an illegal hand pass that set up his game-winning goal at the 5:23 mark in overtime. I like the way head coach Craig Berube has responded which encourages me that the Blues will be completely focused on the task at hand tonight. This St. Louis team has been very tough when responding to adversity — particularly their goaltender, Jordan Binnington. The Blues were a perfect 6-0 after a loss with Binnington between the pipes during the regular where he posted a .935 save percentage in those contests. Binnington then stopped 24 of the 26 shots he faced in the second game of this series as the Blues’ rebounded from an opening 6-3 loss in Game One to upset the Sharks in San Jose in Game Two by a 4-2 score (in a game in which they dominated). St. Louis has won 4 of their last 6 games in these playoffs bouncing-back from a loss with Binnington posting a .932 save percentage in those games. The Blues have won 6 of their last 8 games after a loss by just one goal at home. St. Louis has also won 11 of their last 17 games after a game where both teams scored at least four goals. Additionally, the Blues have won 28 of their last 40 games when playing with just one day of rest — and they do have the younger legs in this series. St. Louis has found the back of the net at least three times in their last three games — and they have won 16 of their last 24 games after scoring at least three goals in three straight games. The Blues have won 17 of their last 24 games on their home ice — and they have won 7 of their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Despite their win on Wednesday, San Jose is just 23-21-4 on the road this season. They have lost four of their seven road games in these playoffs while being outscored by a 25 to 17 margin. The Sharks have also lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road. San Jose has not responded well after winning in this postseason as they have lost 4 of their last 5 games after a win — and they have lost 10 of their last 16 games after a win on the road where they scored at least four goals. Defense remains an issue for this team as they have allowed 3.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they give up 3.4 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Sharks have lost 5 of their last 7 games in the playoffs as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has lost their last 5 games when leading in a playoff series. Look for the Blues to even this series at 2-2 tonight. 25* NHL Western Conference Game of the Year with the money-line on the St. Louis Blues (18) versus the San Jose Sharks (17). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-16-19 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
4-0 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). THE SITUATION: Boston (60-29-9) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Tuesday with their 2-1 victory on the road at Carolina (54-35-7). The Hurricanes look to stave off elimination tonight as they host Game Four tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Carolina has scored only five goals in the first three games of this series. Much of this can be blamed on their struggling Power Play as the Hurricanes have failed to score in eleven straight opportunities with the man-advantage in this series. Overall, Carolina has scored only 5 Power Play goals in their 50 opportunities for a 10% success rate in this postseason. But the Hurricanes are also facing a red hot goaltender in Tuukka Rask. The Bruins have won six straight games with Rask sporting a 1.50 Goals-Against-Average over that span while stopping 196 of the 205 shots he has faced in those six games for a sensational .956 save percentage. Carolina came out on fire on Tuesday as they peppered Rask with 20 shots. But after Rask stopped every one of those shot attempts, this Hurricanes team look frustrated as they fell behind then by a 2-0 score before narrowing that game to a one-goal deficit before finally losing that game. Carolina probably took from that game that they cannot expect to win high scoring games with this Bruins team — so they will likely be looking to eke out a low-scoring game. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a loss by just one goal on their home ice. Carolina has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing three straight games — and they have played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total after losing at least three in a row. And while this is the Hurricanes’ fifth game in the last fourteen days, they have then played 13 of their last 17 home games Under the Total when playing no more than their fifth game in the last fourteen days. Carolina will likely stick with Curtis McElhinney between the pipes after he stopped 29 of the 31 shots he faced on Tuesday. The Hurricanes are allowing only 2.5 Goals-Per-Game when playing at home. Boston is allowing only 2.1 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs — and they have given up just 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. The Bruins have played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a narrow win by just one goal. Boston has also played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. And while the Bruins have won six straight games in a row, they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after winning at least six games in a row. Boston has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 30 of their last 47 games Under the Total when playing at least two straight games away from home. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 23 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. And in their last 26 games in the playoffs when favored priced in the -110 to -150 price range, the Under is 15-6-5.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina has played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least one goal. The Hurricanes have also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss at home. Expect another lower-scoring game. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Bruins (15) and the Carolina Hurricanes (16). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-15-19 |
Sharks v. Blues UNDER 5.5 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (13) and the St. Louis Blues (14). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (54-34-9) evened this series at 1-1 on Monday with their 4-2 victory in San Jose (55-34-7) over the Sharks. The Blues return home to host the third and fourth games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: St. Louis has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Under is also 19-7-3 in the Blues’ last 29 games against an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. Now St. Louis returns home where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games — and they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. This team has also played 4 of the last 5 playoff games Under the Total when the series is tied. The Blues do have some issues with their offense. Their star scorer, Vladimir Tarasenko, has scored only one goal in his last eight games. Tarasenko’s scoring slump has correlated with St. Louis struggling to score goals when on the Power Play. Over their last eight games, the Blues have scored only once in their last twenty-eight Power Play chances which includes them not scoring in their Power Play chances in this series. San Jose is also struggling to score with the man advantage as of late — they have scored only two Power Play goals in their last fifteen opportunities for a 13.3% success rate in their last five games. The Sharks are not getting much scoring after their top-two forward lines. San Jose has played 16 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals — and this includes them playing six of those last nine situations Under the Total. Now the Sharks go back on the road where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The Under is also 3-1-1 in San Jose’s last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: The Under is 6-2-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams — and this includes the Under going 2-0-2 in the last four games when played in St. Louis. 20* NHL San Jose-St. Louis NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (13) and the St. Louis Blues (14). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-14-19 |
Bruins v. Hurricanes -118 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-118 |
2 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (12) versus the Boston Bruins (11). THE SITUATION: Boston (59-29-9) took a 2-0 lead in the Eastern Conference Finals on Sunday with their 6-2 win over Carolina (54-34-7). This series moves to Charlotte with the Hurricanes hosting the third and fourth games.
REASONS TO TAKE CAROLINA WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Hurricanes should play much better returning to their home ice where they have won all 5 of their last playoff games this season. For the year, Carolina is 29-13-4 when playing at home — and they have won 21 of their last 27 games at home. The Hurricanes have also won 5 straight home games against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 11 home games with the Total set at 5.5, Carolina has won 10 of these contests. Despite being outscored by an 11-4 margin in the first two games of this series, this remains a very good team that led the entire NHL in the regular season in Corsi-For and Fenwick-For that measures puck possession numbers. The Hurricanes should respond with a very strong effort tonight as they have won 5 of their last 7 games after a loss by at least three goals. Carolina has also won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five goals in their last contest. Additionally, the Hurricanes have won 23 of their last 28 games when favored — and they have won 17 of their last 21 games when favored in the playoffs. Boston won the opening game of this series by a 5-2 score — but they have then lost 4 of their last 6 games after winning two straight games by at least three goals. And while the Bruins have scored at least three goals in five straight games, they have then lost 6 of their last 9 games after scoring at least three goals in two straight contests. Now Boston goes back on the road where they are 24-17-6 this season — but they have lost 12 of their last 17 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. The Bruins have also lost 5 straight third games in a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: Carolina head coach Rod Brind’Amour has not announced if he will continue with Petr Mrazek between the pipes or tap Craig McElhinney to play in goal tonight. This decision does not impact my thoughts on this game since both goaltenders platooned this season — and McElhinney played well to help the Hurricanes close out their series with Winnipeg after Mrazek suffered an injury. Carolina has won 12 of their last 17 games when avenging a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games when playing with revenge from a loss on the road by three or more goals. The Hurricanes have also won 5 of their last 7 games when avenging a loss of at least four goals — and they have won 4 straight games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least four goals on the road. 25* NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Year with the money-line on the Carolina Hurricanes (12) versus the Boston Bruins (11). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-13-19 |
Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). THE SITUATION: San Jose (55-33-7) won the opening game of this series on Saturday with their 6-3 victory over St. Louis (53-34-9). The Sharks host the second game of this series Monday night.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: San Jose has been an offensive juggernaut on their home ice. They are scoring 3.7 Goals-Per-Game at home and they are back at full strength with their leading scorer, Joe Pavelski, back on the ice after he missed the first six games of last round’s series with Colorado. Most of those games’ Totals were set at 6 despite Pavelski still recovering from the head injury he suffered in the third period of their Game Seven with Vegas in the opening round of the playoffs — so grabbing a 5.5 is a nice opportunity for this situation. The Sharks have played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least five goals in their last game. This is San Jose’s third straight game at home after they disposed of the Avalanche in seven games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after winning their last two games at home. Furthermore, the Sharks have played 11 of their last 13 home games Over the Total. Additionally, San Jose has played 6 of their last 8 playoff games Over the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. And in their last 4 games in the Western Conference Finals, the Sharks have played all 4 of these games Over the Total. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a game where at least eight combined goals were scored. The Blues stay on the road where the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games. And in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog, the Over is 3-0-1.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose is going to score their share of goals on home ice at the SAP Center. With the Blues needing to win this game to avoid an undesirable 0-2 deficit when they return to St. Louis to play Games Three and Four, look for them to be very aggressive in trying to score goals. 25* NHL Western Conference Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (7) and the San Jose Sharks (8). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-12-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5.5 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
115 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). THE SITUATION: Boston (58-29-9) won the first game of this series on Thursday with their 5-2 victory over Carolina (54-33-7). The Bruins host the second game of this series this afternoon.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Boston entered the third period of that game trailing by a 2-1 score before scoring three times to win that game easily. The Bruins have scored at least three goals in four straight games — and they have totaled 16 goals scored in those four contests. They should keep it up this afternoon as they are scoring 3.4 Goals-Per-Game on their home ice. This team is getting it down with their Power Play after scoring twice with a man-advantage in Game One of this series. Boston has scored 12 Power Play goals in these playoffs in their 40 opportunities with the man-advantage for a 30% success rate that is tops of all teams in the playoffs. The Bruins have won four straight games after winning their six-game series at Columbus by a 3-0 score. Boston has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total after winning two straight games by at least two goals — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after winning their last two games by at least three goals. The Bruins have also played 15 of their last 24 games Over the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. And in their last 5 playoff games when favored in the -151 to -200 price range, the Over is 4-0-1. Carolina has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring two goals or less in their last game — and the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals. The Hurricanes have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total when playing with two days of rest. Carolina should get their offense cranking in this important game for them to steal since they do not want to return to Charlotte with a 2-0 deficit. They are scoring 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. However, they are also allowing 2.9 Goals-Per-Game when playing on the road. The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Additionally, Carolina has played 5 of their last 7 playoff games Over the Total as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The Hurricanes have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams — and this includes four straight Overs when playing in Boston. 25* NHL Third Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (5) and the Boston Bruins (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-11-19 |
Blues v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-126 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis (3) and the San Jose Sharks (4). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (53-33-9) reached the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday with their 2-1 win in double-overtime at home against Dallas in the seventh game of that series. San Jose (54-33-7) joined them in this series on Wednesday with their 3-2 victory over Colorado in the seventh game of that series. The Sharks host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Blues have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and the Under is also 3-1-2 in their last 6 games after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 25-10-2 in St. Louis’ last 37 games after scoring no more than two goals in their last game. The Blues averaged 2.98 Goals-Per-Game during the regular season but they have seen that number drop to 2.62 Goals-Per-Game in their thirteen playoff games. This scoring decline can be attributed to their impotent Power Play as they managed only two goals in their 22 Power Play chances for a rough 9.1% success rate in their seven-game series with the Stars. Now the Blues open this series back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. St. Louis’ goalie, Jordan Binnington, and their blue line have been playing outstanding as of late as they have allowed only two combined goals over their last two games (which includes the second overtime on Tuesday). The Blues have played 6 straight road games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last two games. Over their last five games, St. Louis is allowing only 2.2 Goals-Per-Game. San Jose has been playing outstanding defense as well as they have allowed only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games. Their top defensive pair of Brent Burns and Marc-Edouard Vlasic limited the Avalanche’s powerful top-line led by Nathan MacKinnon to just 14 combined points in that seven-game series. The Under is 19-6-3 in St. Louis’ last 28 games against an opponent that did not allow more than two goals in their last game. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the Sharks’ last 5 games against Central Divison foes. San Jose is also struggling with their Power Play as scored only twice in their 20 Power Play chances against Colorado last round. The Sharks are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has won the last two meetings between these two teams — and St. Louis has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total when playing with double-revenge. 10* NHL St. Louis-San Jose NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the St. Louis (3) and the San Jose Sharks (4). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-09-19 |
Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). THE SITUATION: Carolina (54-32-7) returns to the ice for the first time since May 3rd when they completed their four-game sweep over the New York Islanders with their 5-2 victory at home. Boston (57-29-9) closed out Columbus in six games on Monday with their 3-0 victory on the road again the Blue Jackets. The Bruins host the first two games of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by at least four goals over a fellow Metropolitan Division rival. Carolina has also played 23 of their last 35 games Under the Total on the road after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. And while the Hurricanes have won six straight games, they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. It remains unclear who will be between the pipes tonight for Carolina with goalie Petr Mrazek missing the last few games because of an injury. The Hurricanes platooned their goaltenders during the regular season — and Craig McElhinney played well to close out that series with the Islanders. He stopped 26 of the 28 shots he faced in their Game Four win. Carolina has allowed only 1.6 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they have not allowed more than two goals in four straight games. The Hurricanes have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than two goals in their last game. This Carolina team may be a bit rusty on the offensive end of the ice since they have not played since last Friday. The Under is 46-22-3 in the Hurricanes’ last 71 games when playing with at least three days between games. Boston has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory. They are allowing just 1.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games — and they limit their visitors to just 2.4 Goals-Per-Game this season. The Bruins have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on their home ice. The Under is also 15-6-5 in Boston’s last 26 games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range. The team will be without their star young defenseman, Charlie McAvoy, who was suspended for this game after an illegal check in his last game against the Blue Jackets. Rookie Connor Clifton will take his place on the blue line in what remains a deep group of defensemen for the Bruins.
FINAL TAKE: Boston won the last game between these two teams back on March 5th with the Bruins winning that game by a 4-3 score. The Hurricanes have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total on the road when avenging a loss by just one goal. Carolina has also played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total when playing with revenge where they allowed at least four goals. 20* NHL Carolina-Boston NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Hurricanes (1) and the Boston Bruins (2). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks -138 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday we will be playing the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (28) versus the Colorado Avalanche (27). THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-34-14) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 4-3 victory in overtime at home against San Jose (53-33-7). The Sharks host Game Seven in their SAP Center.
REASONS TO TAKE SAN JOSE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Sharks return home where they have won 5 of their 7 playoff games in this postseason for a dominant 30-13-3 mark overall this season. San Jose has won 4 straight home games when favored in the -110 to -150 price range — and they have also won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, the Sharks have won 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set at 5.5. This is a battle-tested team that has already won one Game Seven in these playoffs with their overtime victory against Vegas last round where they rallied from a 3-0 third-period deficit. San Jose has won seven of their eleven Game Sevens in their franchise history. Their roster has also combined to play 55 Game Sevens which gives them a significant experience edge over this Avalanche team. Goalie Martin Jones raised his level of play when the Sharks were trailing 3-1 against the Golden Knights last round as he stepped up to post a .946 save percentage by stopping 122 of the 129 shots he faced in Games Five, Six, and Seven. San Jose has also won 3 straight games when facing elimination in the playoffs. Colorado has lost 14 of their last 20 games after a win at home by just one goal — and they have lost 17 of their last 23 games after winning their last game in overtime. The Avalanche have also lost 22 of their last 34 games after scoring at least four goals in their last contest. Colorado’s players have participated in just twenty combined Game Sevens in their career — and the Avalanche have lost six of their ten Game Sevens in their franchise history. Now Colorado must play on the road where they are just 20-19-8 this season. The Avalanche have lost a decisive 43 of their last 62 games on the road with the Total set at 5.5 — and they have lost 35 of their last 51 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Colorado has lost 13 of their last 16 games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range — and they have lost 6 of their last 8 playoff games when priced as an underdog in the +110 to +150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: The SAP Center has been a house of horrors for the Avalanche as of late as they have lost 20 of their last 24 games played there against the Sharks. San Jose has also won 17 of their last 26 games when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. 10* NHL Colorado-San Jose NBC Sports Network Special with the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (28) versus the Colorado Avalanche (27). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-08-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks UNDER 5.5 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
109 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 9:08 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). THE SITUATION: Colorado (45-34-14) forced a climactic seventh game in this series on Monday with their 4-3 victory in overtime at home against San Jose (53-33-7). The Sharks host Game Seven in their SAP Center.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Avalanche have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a win at home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win at home by just one goal. Colorado has also played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win at home where they scored at least four goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game at home where both teams scored at least three goals. The Under is also 11-3-2 overall in the Avalanche’s last 16 games after a victory — and the Under is 13-4-2 in Colorado’s last 19 games when playing with one day of rest. The Avalanche’s offense has slowed down in this series as they have scored just 2.8 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contest as compared to their 3.2 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. Now Colorado goes back on the road where the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games — and the Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games as an underdog. Additionally, the Avalanche have played 6 of their last 9 road games Under the Total with the number set at 5.5. Colorado has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. San Jose has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total when facing elimination in a playoff series. The Sharks offense has also slowed down as this series has moved forward as they are scoring only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five games as opposed to their 3.5 Goals-Per-Game scoring average for the season. San Jose has also played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total bouncing back from an overtime loss.
FINAL TAKE: Two of the last three games in this series have seen just three combined goals scored. Look for this to be another lower scoring game. 25* NHL Second Round Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Colorado Avalanche (27) and the San Jose Sharks (28). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-07-19 |
Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
At 8:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (52-33-9) forced a climactic seventh game of this series on Sunday with their 4-1 win on the road at Dallas (50-37-7). This series returns to St. Louis tonight with the Blues hosting Game Seven.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Stars should tighten things up on defense after surrendering four goals on Sunday. They are still giving up only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game in the playoffs. Dallas has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least three goals. Furthermore, the Stars have played 22 of their last 33 games Under the Total on the road after a loss at home — and they have played 14 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after a loss at home by at least two goals. Dallas has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after conceding at least four goals in their last game. The Stars goalie, Ben Bishop, left Game Six after taking a slap shot in his collarbone. He will be good to go to play tonight and should bounce-back after surrendering four goals on Sunday. Bishop entered Game Six with a 2.13 Goals-Against-Average and a .936 save percentage in the playoffs. Bishop has been the best goaltender in the NHL this season as he carried Dallas in the second half of the season with a 1.15 GAA along with a .962 save percentage. Bishop also has Game Seven experience as he has pitched two shutouts in his previous two Game Seven opportunities in his career. He has helped the Stars be sensational when playing undermanned in these playoffs. Dallas has successfully thwarted 33 of the 35 Power Play they have faced in this postseason for a .942 Power Play Kill rate. He will need to be outstanding tonight since the Stars score only 2.3 Goals-Per-Game when on the road. The Under is 17-6-5 in Dallas’ last 28 games on the road. The Under is also 11-3-3 in the Stars’ last 17 games as an underdog priced in the +110 +150 price range. St. Louis has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a win on the road by at least two goals. The Blues have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one goal in their last game — and the Under is 18-7-3 in their last 28 games when facing an opponent that did not score more than two goals in their last contest. Their rookie goaltender, Jordan Bennington, stepped up on Sunday by stopping 22 of the 23 shots he faced. Bennington was spectacular in the second half of the season with a 1.90 GAA with a .928 save percentage in twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break. St. Louis has played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as a home favorite. The Blues have also played 13 of their last 20 playoff games Under the Total when facing elimination.
FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least three goals. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams when playing in St. Louis. 25* NHL Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Stars (23) and the St. Louis Blues (24). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche -125 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
0 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (16) versus the San Jose Sharks (15). THE SITUATION: San Jose (53-32-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 2-1 win over Colorado (44-34-14). This series returns to Denver with the Avalanche hosting Game Six.
REASONS TO TAKE THE AVALANCHE WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 games after failing to score more than two goals in their last game — and they have won 12 of their last 15 games when playing with just one day of rest. The Avalanche will likely get more from their star, Nathan MacKinnon, who did not register a point on Saturday. MacKinnon has three goals with two assists in this series. They are getting outstanding goaltending from Philip Grubauer who has a 2.16 Goals-Against-Average in this series. They return home where they have 9 of their last 10 games. Colorado has also won 3 straight playoff games when trailing in the series. San Jose has lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road. They also have lost 4 of their last 5 playoff games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. And in their last 23 Game Sixes in a playoff series, the Sharks have lost 17 of these games.
FINAL TAKE: Look for the Avalanche to force a climactic seventh game of this series. 20* NHL San Jose-Colorado NBC Sports Network Special with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (16) versus the San Jose Sharks (15). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-06-19 |
Bruins v. Blue Jackets -120 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
0 h 13 m |
Show
|
At 7:08 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Columbus Blue Jackets (14) versus the Boston Bruins (13). THE SITUATION: Boston (56-29-9) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Saturday with their 4-3 victory over Columbus (53-34-4). The Blue Jackets host the sixth game of this series tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE COLUMBUS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Blue Jackets should not be counted out just yet in this series — this team has only lost four times since March 24th. Columbus has won 21 of their last 33 games after a game where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Blue Jackets have also won 7 of their last 10 games when playing with one day of rest. Columbus is doing a good job of pressuring the Bruins goalie Tuukka Rask. They have peppered Rask with 40, 34, and 41 shots in each of the last three games — and they have won 5 of their last 7 games after generating at least 33 shots on net in three straight games. Columbus returns home where they have won 8 of their last 10 games. The Blue Jackets need to get their Power Play going as they have not scored in their last six opportunities over the last two games. Columbus scored five Power Play goals in their ten opportunities in their opening round series with Tampa Bay while converting in three of their seven Power Plays in Games Two and Three of this series. The Blue Jackets have won 7 of their last 9 games when favored. Boston has lost 7 of their last 10 games in the playoffs as an underdog. The Bruins have also lost 6 of their last 8 games when leading in a playoff series — and they have lost 11 of their last 13 road games when attempting to close out a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: Look for Columbus to extend this to a climactic final game in this series. 25* NHL Second Round Eastern Conference Playoff Game of the year with the money-line on the Columbus Blue Jackets (14) versus the Boston Bruins (13). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-05-19 |
Blues v. Stars OVER 5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 3:08 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). THE SITUATION: Dallas (50-36-7) took a 3-2 lead in this series on Friday with their 2-1 victory at St. Louis (51-33-9). The Stars return home to attempt to close out this series on their home ice.
REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Blues will be playing with desperation this afternoon with their season hanging in the balance. St. Louis averages 3.0 Goals-Per-Game this season but they have managed only 2.4 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. The Blues need to get their Power Play going as they have only scored twice in their sixteen opportunities with the man advantage against the Stars in this series. They should be scoring more than that 12.3% clip considering that they scored five goals in their nineteen chances on the Power Play in their opening round series against Winnipeg for a 26.3% clip. St. Louis has seen a regression in their rookie goaltender, Jordan Binnington, in these playoffs. After posting a 1.90 Goals-Against-Average with a .928 save percentage in his last twenty-three regular season starts after the All-Star Break, Binnington has 2.73 GAA along with a .908 save percentage in these playoffs. The Blues have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after playing their last two games against a Central Division rival. The Over is also 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning record at home. St. Louis has also played 4 straight games Over the Total with the number set at 5 or less. Dallas has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing their last three games against divisional foes — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning two straight games against Central Division opponents. The Stars have found their offense as they have scored 3.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. Dallas has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total at home with the Total set at 5 or less. And the Over is 8-2-3 in the Stars’ last 13 games when favored in the -110 t0 -150 price range.
FINAL TAKE: This is been a higher scoring series with only Game Five seeing less than five combined goals scored and three of these contests seeing at least six combined goals were scored. 25* NHL Second Round NBC-TV Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the St. Louis Blues (5) and the Dallas Stars (6). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-04-19 |
Avalanche v. Sharks -135 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 10:08 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (4) and the Colorado Avalanche (3). THE SITUATION: Colorado (44-33-14) evened this series at 2-2 on Thursday with their 3-0 shutout win at home over the Sharks. San Jose (52-32-7) returns home to host the fifth game of this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE SHARKS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: San Jose should respond with a strong effort back on their home ice. The Sharks have won a decisive 38 of their last 56 games after a loss by at least three goals — and this includes them winning twelve of their last sixteen games after losing their last game by at least three goals. San Jose has also won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss on the road where they were shutout. The Sharks have also won 7 of their last 8 games after not scoring more than one goal in their last game. San Jose returns home to the SAP Center where they are 28-13-3 this season. The Sharks have won 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. San Jose has also won 5 of their last 6 home games as a favorite priced in the -110 to -150 price range — and they have won 7 of their last 8 home games with the Total set at 5.5. Colorado has lost 9 of their last 13 games after generating a shutout victory — and they have lost 6 of their last 9 games after earning a shutout win on their home ice. Furthermore, the Avalanche have lost 14 of their last 23 games after a win by at least three goals — and they have lost 14 of their last 23 games after playing their last two games at home. Now Colorado goes back on the road where they are just 19-18-8 this season. The Avalanche has lost 36 of their last 53 road games against teams who are winning at least 60% of their games on their home ice. Colorado has also lost 12 of their last 15 games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Additionally, the Avalanche have lost 11 of their last 13 games in the Western Conference Semifinals.
FINAL TAKE: San Jose has won 12 of their last 16 games when avenging a loss by at least three goals. The Sharks have also won 5 of their last 6 games when avenging a shutout loss to their opponent. Colorado did win the second game of this series on the Shark Tank — but they are still just 3-16-5 in their last twenty-four trips to the SAP Center to play San Jose. 25* NHL Second Round Bailout Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the San Jose Sharks (4) and the Colorado Avalanche (3). Best of luck for us — Frank.
|
05-03-19 |
Islanders +120 v. Hurricanes |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
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At 7:08 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Islanders (79) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (80). THE SITUATION: Carolina (53-32-7) took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series on Wednesday with their 5-2 victory at home over New York (52-30-7). The Hurricanes look to close out this series at home in their PNC Arena tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE ISLANDERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: This has been a much closer series than the 3-0 lead the Hurricanes currently enjoy suggests. New York lost Game One in overtime after the first 60 minutes were scoreless before losing Game Two by a 2-1 score. The Islanders were trailing 3-2 on Wednesday when they pulled their goal out of desperation which allowed for Carolina to score two late empty netters. The Islanders allowed the fewest goals in the NHL in the regular season — but they were just 21st in the league in goals scored. The problem with living on the edge eking out low-scoring games is that a team can suddenly drop three in a row. However, the plus side of being a stout defensive team is that those fundamentals should put them in a position to win most of their games. Head coach Barry Trotz has overseen a number of comebacks in a playoff series during his tenure in the league — he can point most recently to his Washington Capitals rallying from a 0-2 deficit to Columbus last year in the opening round of the playoffs when they lost their first two games at home. Certainly, an 0-3 deficit makes the situation even direr — but this Islanders team should continue to play very hard for Trotz. New York has won 12 of their last 17 games after a loss on the road. The Islanders have also won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss by at least three goals — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games after a loss by at least three goals on the road. New York has also won an incredible 16 of their last 18 games after not scoring more than two goals in two straight games. The defensive identity of this team under Trotz does keep them competitive on the road. They are allowing only 2.0 Goals-Per-Game over their last five contests. The Islanders have won 5 of their last 6 games on the road. New York is also a dangerous underdog at all times. The Islanders have won 5 of their last 6 games as an underdog — and they have won 9 of their last 13 road games as a money-line underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. Carolina has won five games in a row after rallying from their 3-2 deficit to the Capitals in the opening round of the playoffs — but they have then lost 3 straight games when trying to extend a winning streak to six games. The Hurricanes led the NHL in Corsi-For and Fenwick-For analytics that measure net differential in shot attempts. But this Carolina team is not a high-scoring team either — they ranked 16th in the NHL in goals scored despite their strong possession numbers. This Hurricanes got a great performance from goalie Curtis McElhinney on Wednesday as he stopped 28 of the 30 shots he faced. Petr Mrazek has been declared out for tonight’s game so McElhinney will be called on again by head coach Rod Brind’Amour. McElhinney was in a regular platoon during the regular season with Mrazek — but his 2.67 Goals-Against-Average along with a .910 save percentage after the All-Star Break left much to be desired. This remains a team that lacks deep playoff experience — so they may have to learn the old lesson that winning the fourth game in a playoff series is usually the hardest. The Islanders have lost 5 of their last 7 home games where they were hosting the Hurricanes.
FINAL TAKE: New York has won 9 of their last 13 road games when avenging a loss where they allowed at least four goals — and they have won 8 of their last 9 road games when playing with revenge from a loss by at least two goals. The underdog has won 20 of the last 27 meetings between these two teams which makes the Islanders a very intriguing proposition tonight. 25* NHL Metropolitan Division Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the New York Islanders (79) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (80). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-02-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche -130 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
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100 |
4 h 51 m |
Show
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At 10:08 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (78) versus the San Jose Sharks (77). THE SITUATION: San Jose (52-31-17) won the third game of this series on Tuesday with their 4-2 victory over Colorado (43-33-14) to take a 2-1 lead in this series. The Avalanche host Game Four of this series before things move back to San Jose.
REASONS TO TAKE COLORADO WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Avalanche head coach Jerad Bednar was not happy with his team’s effort or the decisions regarding the puck on Tuesday. Perhaps they were a bit overconfident after seizing home-ice advantage with their upset victory in San Jose on Sunday. Bednar can take some confidence in their improved play in the third period when they rallied from a two-goal deficit to tie the game. Unfortunately for Colorado, they then allowed the Sharks to immediately take the lead again. That final goal was a late empty netter so that final score was not indicative as to how close this game was. Look for the Avalanche to respond with one of their best efforts in the postseason. They have won 11 of their last 13 games when playing with one day of rest. Colorado has been tough at home as of late having won 8 of their last 9 home games. The Avalanche have scored 34 goals over those last nine games for a robust 3.78 Goals-Per-Game average — and they have allowed just 19 goals (even after the four goals the Sharks scored) 2.11 Goals-Allowed mark over those last nine home games. Colorado has also won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. San Jose has lost 9 of their last 15 games after a victory on the road where they scored at least four goals. While this team is playing better defense as of late, they are still surrendering 3.5 Goals-Per-Game when playing away from home. The Sharks have also lost 5 of their last 7 games on the road. Goalie Martin Jones had a troubling 3.14 Goals-Against-Average during the regular season on the road with a .894 save percentage. Furthermore, San Jose has lost 5 of their last 7 playoff games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. This team will remain without Joe Pavelski and his 38 regular season goals as he is still not ready to play after taking that big hit in Game Seven of their series with Vegas.
FINAL TAKE: Colorado has won 14 of their last 21 games when looking to avenge a loss at home by at least two goals. Look for the Avalanche to even this series at 2-2. 25* NHL Second Round Western Conference Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Colorado Avalanche (78) versus the San Jose Sharks (77). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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05-01-19 |
Blues v. Stars -121 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
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100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
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At 9:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Dallas Stars (74) versus the St. Louis Blues (73). THE SITUATION: St. Louis (51-31-9) took a 2-1 lead in this series on Monday with their 4-3 victory over Dallas (48-36-7). The Stars stay at home for Game Four trying to even this series at 2-2.
REASONS TO TAKE DALLAS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Stars should respond with a strong effort tonight as they have won 13 of their last 17 games after a loss on their home ice — and they have won 7 of their last 9 games after a loss at home by just one goal. Head coach Jim Montgomery will be making an adjustment in this game by moving rookie Rope Hintz on to the Jamie Benn-Alexander Radulov line while moving Tyler Seguin to the Mats Zuccarello-Jason Dickinson line with the goal being Seguing will make that second line a little more potent. Dallas’ tough-checking defensive structure makes them a difficult opponent — there is a reason they defeated Nashville last round in six games. The Stars have won 4 of their last 5 home games when favored. They also have won 7 of their last 10 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. St. Louis has now won four straight games on the road in the playoffs after winning three games in Winnipeg in their opening round series — but that is a difficult streak to maintain. The Blues have still lost 15 of their last 21 playoff games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range. St. Louis has won their two games in this series by just one goal. They have only scored once in their nine Power Play chances after peppering the Jets for five Power Play goals in their nineteen opportunities for a 26.3% success rate. This remains a franchise that entered this series having lost 23 of their last 38 games in the Western Conference Semifinals — and they have dropped their last three Game Fours of a playoff series.
FINAL TAKE: St. Louis has lost 4 of their last 5 trips to Dallas to play the Stars. Look for Dallas to even this series at 2-2. 25* NHL Central Division Playoff Game of the Year with the money-line on the Dallas Stars (74) versus the St. Louis Blues (73). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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04-30-19 |
Sharks v. Avalanche UNDER 6 |
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4-2 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
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At 10:08 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (69) and the Colorado Avalanche (70). THE SITUATION: Colorado (43-32-14) evened this series at 1-1 on Sunday with their 4-3 victory over San Jose (51-31-7). This series moves to Denver where the Avalanche will host Games Three and Four.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 10-3-1 in Colorado’s last 14 games after a win. The Under is also 11-3-1 in their last 15 games when playing with one day of rest. The Avalanche return home where they are allowing only 2.8 Goals-Per-Game this season. Over their last five games, they are giving up only 2.6 Goals-Per-Game — and they have not allowed more than three goals in five of their last six games. Additionally, Colorado has played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total as the favorite. San Jose has seen at least seven combined goals scored in their last three games — but they have then played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing three straight games where at least seven combined goals were scored. The Sharks have also played 26 of their last 44 games Under the Total after losing a game on their home ice. San Jose goes on the road again for the first time since Game Six of their opening round series with Vegas. The Sharks have played 21 of their last 35 games Under the Total after playing three straight games at home. San Jose has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on the road. Over their last five games, the Sharks have improved their play on defense as they are allowing just 2.6 Goals-Per-Game.
FINAL TAKE: Game Three saw only three combined goals scored over the first 50 minutes of play before four combined goals were scored over those final ten minutes. Expect this to be the lowest scoring game of the series (so far). 10* NHL San Jose-Colorado NBC Sports Network O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose Sharks (69) and the Colorado Avalanche (70). Best of luck for us — Frank.
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