Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-28-18 | Montana +7 v. Creighton | Top | 72-98 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 799-780 Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*) Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain. Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games. Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Tennessee @ Houston 8:15 ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Tennessee +4.0 (10*) After staring the season 0-3, Houston has reeled off 7 straight wins and will be seeking a franchise record 8-game winning streaks tonight. Houston is coming off a narrow 23-21 win at Washington in their previous game but failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite. Conversely, Tennessee is coming off an embarrassing 38-10 loss at Indianapolis last week which dropped their record to 5-5. Yet, the sportsbooks have Tennessee currently listed as just a 3.5 or 4.0-point underdog for tonight’s game. It’s never that easy when it comes to sports betting and that’s especially so as it applies to NFL wagering. Any Monday night NFL road team with a point-spread of +4.5 to -4.5, versus an opponent (Houston) coming off a non-division ATS loss and they possess a win percentage of .300 or better, resulted in those road teams going 16-0 SU&ATS since 2009. The road teams won those 16 contests by an average of 12.6 points per game. Bet on Tennessee plus the points for a 10* wager. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
Seahawks @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 263-264 Play On: Panthers -3.0 (10*) Carolina has gone 28-6 during its last 34 home games and that includes a current 10-game win streak in Charlotte. On a negative note, the Panthers are coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Seattle is coming off a 27-24 home win over Green Bay. That victory evened the Seahawks season record at 5-5. Any non-division home favorite of 2.0 to 5.0-points that’s coming off road losses in each of their previous 2 games played, versus an opponent who’s coming off a win and that possesses a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 11-0 ATS since 2004. The average margin of victory was 14.2 points per game. Bet on the Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan v. Ohio State +5 | Top | 39-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
Michigan @ Ohio State 12:00 PM ET Game# 161-162 Play On: Ohio State 5.0 (10*) Since 2011, Michigan is a dismal 2-12 straight up in away games against teams with a win percentage of better than .666. Conversely, since 2012, Ohio State has gone a terrific 28-1 during conference home games. Furthermore, Ohio State has won 13 of their last 14 against Michigan and is a perfect 6-0 against the Wolverines with Urban Meyer as their head coach. There’s just way too much home underdog value on the Buckeyes in this contest to pass up on. Bet on Ohio State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-23-18 | Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 1 m | Show |
Nebraska @ Iowa 12:00 PM ET Game# 123-124 Play On: Iowa -9.5 (10*) Nebraska is coming off last Saturday’s 9-6 home win over Michigan State. That victory improved the Cornhuskers record to 4-7 and all 4 wins occurred on their home field. Iowa is coming off a 63-0 blowout win at Illinois in a game in which they covered as a 16.0-point road favorite. The combination of these teams results in their last games sets up an extremely successful college football point-spread betting angle which is illustrated below. Any conference home favorite of 34.0-points or less (Iowa) that’s coming off a conference ATS win as an away favorite of 7.0-points or more in which they held their opponent scoreless, and they’re facing a team (Nebraska) that wasn’t shutout in their previous game, resulted in those home favorites going 32-2 ATS (94.1%) since 1992. Bet on Iowa minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
Redskins @ Cowboys 4:30 ET Game# 107-108 Play On: Redskins +7.5 (10*) Dallas is coming off a thrilling 22-19 road win at Atlanta while doing so as a 3.0-point underdog. That win evened the Cowboys record at 5-5 (.500). Dallas is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games as a favorite this season, and they lost 2 of those contests straight up. The Redskins are coming off a 23-21 home loss to Houston. Although they covered that contest as a 3.0-point underdog. That defeat dropped their season record to 6-4 which is still good for 1st place in the NFC East standings. Adding insult to injury with no pun intended, they lost their starting quarterback Alex Smith for the year in that contest after he suffered a gruesome leg injury. Colt McCoy will assume the starting quarterback and he’s proven to be very capable when given the opportunity which included nearly rallying the Redskins to a win in that loss against Houston. By the way, Washington is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this season and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS (+12.7 PPG) if they’re coming off a loss in their previous game. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams -3 | Top | 51-54 | Push | 0 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: Rams -3.0 (5*) After running several NFL handicapping algorithms on this game, it was clear that games played in this precise situation clearing favorited the home favorite. Additionally, according to one major offshore sportsbook, 72% of point-spread betting ticket have gone the way of the underdog Chiefs. Since I’m not a big fan of siding with public betting, it’s just added that much more sugar to my spice. Let’s start with all the betting parameters I used for the 3 extremely successful betting angles illustrated below. For starters, both teams enter this game with identical 9-1 (.900) records. The Rams suffered their only loss 2 weeks ago during a 45-35 setback at New Orleans. Kansas City is coming off last Sunday’s 26-14 home win over Arizona. Any NFL home favorite (Rams) of 5.0-points or less that’s playing after game 9 of their season, and own a win percentage of .900 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a winning record, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 ATS since 1990. The average victory margin in those 8 contests was 16.4 points per game. Any home favorite (Rams) that’s won 3 of its last 4 games and is facing an opponent (Chiefs) that’s won 8 or more of its previous 10 contests, resulted in those home favorites going 25-4 ATS (86.2%) since 2009. Any Monday night home favorite (Rams) that’s playing after game 9 of the season with a win percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent (Chiefs) coming off a win and has a win percentage of .643 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 10-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 10 contests was 22.2 points per game. Bet on the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-18-18 | Texans v. Redskins +3 | Top | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
Houston @ Washington 1:00 PM ET Game# 463-464 Play On: Washington +3.0 (10*) Houston enters this week on a red-hot 6-game winning streak. However, none of those 6 opponents currently have a winning record. It will get much tougher on the road this Sunday against a 6-3 Redskins team. Speaking of the Redskins, they have plenty of successful experiences as a home underdog since 2015. Excluding season openers, Washington is 10-1 SU&ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS if they were facing a non-division opponent. Bet on Washington plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida -7 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Central Florida 8:00 PM ET Game# 353-354 Play On: Central Florida -7.0 (10*) Central Florida is coming off last Saturday’s 35-24 win over Navy. That victory improved their season record to a perfect 9-0. Cincinnati is coming off last week’s 35-23 win over South Florida. The Bearcats head into this huge American Athletic Conference showdown with an impressive 9-1 record. Any home favorite of 3.5 to 11.0-points (UCF) with an undefeated record that’s playing after Game 9 of the season, and they’re coming off a win by 38 points or less while scoring 21 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 loss on the season, and they’re coming off a win in which they scored 31 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 ATS since 1988. The average margin of victory in those contests came by a decisive margin of 19.5 points per game. Bet on Central Florida minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-12-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne OVER 153 | Top | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Illinois-Chicago @ Duquense 8:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Over 153.0 (10*) During the past 3 seasons, Illinois-Chicago is 7-0 over the total during away games when the total is 150.0 to 154.5. Those 7 contests have averaged a combined 167.7 points scored per game. Through their first 2 games of the season, Illinois-Chicago has allowed 86.0 points per contest and their opponents has 31 free throw attempts par outing. Those 2 contests were played at a very fast pace as indicated a combined 121 field goal attempts per game. Duquense is coming off a season opening 84-70 win over William & Mary. They attempted a lofty 61 field goal attempts in that win and made an impressive 52.5% of those attempts while converting on a superb 46.2% of its 3-point shots. According to the current college basketball odds at Bookmaker, Duquense is listed as a 6.0-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Dukes have gone over the total in all 6 of their games as a home favorite of 6.0-points or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams -9 | Top | 31-36 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
Seattle @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -9.0 (10*) The worst thing that happened for Seattle regarding this matchup is the Rams suffering their first loss of the season last Sunday at New Orleans. Since 10/15/2017, the Rams are 3-0 SU&ATS in regular season games following a loss in their previous contest and they won by an average of 17.0 points per game. They’re also 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS during their previous 6 games as a home favorite and their winning margin was 14.5 points per contest. The Rams have outscored Seattle 75-38 during the last 2 times these division rivals have met while winning both of those contests. The Seahawks defense had no answer for stopping Todd Gurley in those 2 losses to their division rival. Gurley rushed for a combined 229 and scored 7 touchdowns in those Rams wins. I look for more of the same on Sunday. Take the Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-10-18 | Miami-FL v. Georgia Tech -3 | Top | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Miami Fla. @ Georgia Tech 7:00 PM ET Game# 139-140 Play On: Georgia Tech -3.0 (10*) Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during their last 3 games and were a favorite in each of those contests. Their offense has been anemic throughout this current losing streak and scored 14 points or fewer on each occasion. Furthermore, the Hurricanes last win came on 10/6 in a 28-27 home win over a not very good Florida State team, and they had to overcome a 27-7 second half deficit in that contest. Miami comes into this game with a disappointing 5-4 (.555) record after being ranked in the Top 20 throughout the first half of this season. Georgia Tech is coming off SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games. Even more impressive is both those wins came on the road at Virginia Tech and North Carolina. Additionally, they’ve gone 4-1 SU&ATS during their last 5 games and forced 13 turnovers throughout that time. The Yellowjackets enter this week with a 5-4 (.555) record. Any conference home favorite of 4.5-points or less with a win percentage of .750 or worse, coming off conference away SU&ATS wins in their previous 2 games and last they covered their previous contest by 2.0-points or more, and they’re playing after Game 7 of their season, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .777 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 20-1 ATS (95.2%) since 1981. Bet on Georgia Tech minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-07-18 | Spurs v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 88-95 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
San Antonio @ Miami 7:35 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 217.0 (10*) Miami enters tonight with a 4-5 record and they’ve seen each of their previous 5 games go over the total. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 236.2 points scored per game. San Antonio is coming off a 117-10 home loss to Orlando which dropped their season record to 6-3 (.666). Nevertheless, that game easily went over the total of 207.0. Any team (San Antonio) with a total of 210.0 or greater that went over the total in their previous game by 18.0-points or more, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (Miami) with a losing record, resulted in those contests going 43-16 (72.9%) over the total since the 2014/2015 season. The average total in those 69 contests was 218.1 and there were a combined 223.7 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-06-18 | Golden Knights +115 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ Toronto 7:05 PM ET Game# 55-56 Play On: Las Vegas +115 (10*) The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a 5-0 win at Pittsburgh on Saturday and are now a perfect 6-0 on the road this season. However, they’ve gone just 3-5 at home and that includes losing 4 of its last 5 at the Air Canada Centre. Conversely, Las Vegas is coming off a 3-0 home win over Carolina in their previous game. Any NHL money line road underdog of +100 to +150 that’s coming off a home shutout win, and they’re facing an opponent that’s coming off a road win, resulted in those road underdogs going 25-9 (73.5%) since 1997. Bet on Las Vegas as a money line underdog for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-18 | Rams v. Saints +2.5 | Top | 35-45 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
LA Rams @ New Orleans 4:25 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: New Orleans +2.5 (5*) New Orleans is coming off an impressive 30-20 win at Minnesota last Sunday night. That marked their 6th straight win following a loss to Tampa Bay in their season opener. The Saints are also a very good 21-11 during their previous 32 games overall. The Rams remained unbeaten following last week’s 29-27 home win over Green Bay. Any home team (New Orleans) that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600 or better, and they’ve won 24 game or fewer of their previous 32 contests. versus an opponent (LA Rams) who’s coming off a home game in which they scored and allowed 24 points or more, resulted in those home teams going 70-9 (88.6%) straight up since 1983. Considering the home team is an underdog in this spot, the straight up results in this betting angle take on an enormous amount more significance. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +3 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 22 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Maryland 12:00 PM ET Game# 347-348 Play On: Maryland +3.0 (10*) Michigan State is coming off a tough 3-game stretch in which they went 2-1 against Penn State, Michigan, and Purdue. Furthermore, following Saturday’s game at Maryland they’ll be hosting Ohio State and will be presented with an opportunity to squelch the Buckeyes national championship aspirations. With that in mind, this shapes up for a potential flat sport for a Spartans team which has already endured 3 losses this season. Maryland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS in conference home games this season. Granted the competition in those wins was less than stellar. However, they defeated Minnesota, Rutgers, and Illinois by an average of 28.7 points per game. The Terrapins also upset #15 Texas earlier this season and did so as a 12.0-point underdog. Maryland enters this week with a solid 5-3 record. The Terrapins racked up 712 yards of total offense in last Saturday 63-33 home win over Illinois. Maryland is averaging 377.6 yards of total offense per game and they’ll be facing a Michigan State defense which is yielding 353.2 yards per contest throughout its first 8 games. Which leads us to a powerful college football betting angle illustrated below which heavily favors the home underdog in this matchup. Any college football home underdog playing after Game 6 of their season that averages 330 to 390 yards of total offense per game, and they amassed 475 yards or more of total offense in their previous game, versus an opponent (Michigan State) that surrenders 330 to 390 yards per game, resulted in those home underdogs going 39-4 (90.7%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Maryland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-28-18 | Packers v. Rams -8.5 | Top | 27-29 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
Green Bay @ LA Rams 4:25 PM ET Game# 271-272 Play On: LA Rams -8.5 (10*) This is largest underdog role that Aaron Rogers has seen since he’s been Green Bay’s starting quarterback. Hence, the public has been hammering the sportsbooks with Packers bets like they’re stealing money from an open safe. The Packers enter this week with a mediocre 3-2-1 record and they’ve gone just 14-18 during their last 32 away games. The Rams are a perfect 7-0 thus far and are coming off last Sunday’s 39-10 win at San Francisco while easily covering as a 9.0-point favorite. Any undefeated NFL non-division home favorite (LA Rams) that’s playing in games 2 through 8 of their season, and they’re coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they won straight up by 13 points or more, versus an opponent (Green Bay) with at least 1 loss, and they’ve won 14 or less of its last 32 away games, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those 13 contests came by a decisive margin of 21.0 points per game. Bet on the LA Rams minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-27-18 | Navy v. Notre Dame -23.5 | Top | 22-44 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Navy vs. Notre Dame 8:00 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -23.5 (10*) The only team that will prevent Notre Dame from winning this game by 4 touchdowns or more is Notre Dame. The Irish are coming off a bye week and look for them to put forth an inspired effort after barely surviving against Pittsburgh in their previous game. As a matter of fact, that narrow 20-14 win as a 20.0-point home favorite may have been the worst thing for Navy. I look for Notre Dame to be a focused and hungry team in this nationally televised primetime matchup. This has been a down year for Navy this far and look for a continuation of just that on Saturday night. The Midshipmen won’t be able to match the physicality of Notre Dame’s offensive and defensive line. They’ll be worn out by the time 2nd half action rolls around. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-26-18 | Red Sox v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Red Sox (Porcello) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 8:05 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The Dodgers Walker Buehler has seen just 1 of his 13 home starts go over the total this season. His brilliant 1.67 ERA and 0.77 WHIP at Dodger Stadium in 2018 was a major contributor to those low scoring games. Buehler will have to be very good tonight when considering the Dodgers offensive struggles of late. During their last 7 games, the Dodgers are averaging a paltry 2.9 runs scored per outing while amassing a mere .564 OPS. The Dodgers will be facing veteran right-handed starter Rick Porcello this evening. Porcello will be working on a plentiful 8 days of rest. Porcello has witnessed all his 4 starts against National League teams go under the total, and he collected a stellar 2.74 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in those appearances. Both bullpen staffs have been very good of late. Boston relievers have posted a 2.56 ERA over their last 7 games. The Dodgers bullpen has gathered a super 1.65 ERA throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-22-18 | Knicks v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 113-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Knicks @ Bucks 8:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Over 225.5 (5*) Both teams have shown a tendency to play at a torrid pace thus far with The Knicks averaging 94 field goal attempts per game and Milwaukee at 89 per contest. New York is averaging a tad better than 100 points scored per game during its first 3 outings of the season. The Bucks are averaging a robust 155.5 points per game during its first 2 outings while shooting 48.3% and converting 38.7% of its 3-point shots. As a matter of fact. Milwaukee has made an average of 15 three-point shots. Furthermore, 44.9% of Milwaukee’s field goal attempts have come from 3-point territory. New York is coming off a 103-101 home loss to Boston. Conversely, Milwaukee defeated Indiana 118-101 in their previous game. Any road team (Knicks) with a total of 210.0 or more that’s coming off a straight up loss by 3 points or less, and they’re facing an opponent (Bucks) who scored 115 points or more during its last contest, resulted in those games going 44-18 (71%) over the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-21-18 | Rams v. 49ers +9.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
LA Rams @ San Francisco 4:25 PM ET Game# 473-474 Play On: San Francisco +9.5 (10*) San Francisco gave Green Bay all they can handle this past Monday night at Lambeau Field before losing 33-30 on a last second field goal. The 49ers easily covered that contest as a sizable 9.0-point road underdog. The Rams came away with an uninspiring 23-20 road win at Denver last week and they failed to cover as a 7.0-point road favorite for a second consecutive week. In any event, they improved their season record to a perfect 6-0. Since 1983, NFL teams playing in their 3rd consecutive road game they gone just 81-152 straight up. If those teams are coming off a straight up win they’ve gone 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ATS since 2014. Any NFL home underdog of 10.0-points or fewer that scored 19 points or fewer in their previous game, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent playing in Game 7 of their season, and that opponent scored 36 points or less in their previous outing, resulted in those home underdogs going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1981. Bet on San Francisco plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers +105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Brewers (Chacin) 8:39 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Brewers +105 (10*) The Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler has been ineffective during his 2 postseason starts against Milwaukee and Atlanta. Buehler posted a lofty 6.75 ERA during those 2 outings and the Dodgers lost on each occasion. Buehler was superb at home this season but not up to that standard during his road starts. Milwaukee surely has a lot going for them heading into Game 7. The Brewers are 55-31 (.640) at home, 75-48 (.610) versus right-handed starting pitchers, and 70-37 (.654) during night games this season. Milwaukee was able to rest star reliever Josh Harder last night due to their convincing 7-2 win. Regardless of the score tonight, Harder will pitch and that’s been a good sign for Milwaukee in 2018. When Harder has pitched for the Brewers this season the Brewers have gone an incredible 55-8 (.873). Furthermore, Jhoulys Chacin has made 2 postseason starts in addition to starting the NL Central Division tiebreaker against the Cubs. Chacin compiled a brilliant 0.56 ERA during those trio of appearances and pitched 5.0 innings or more on each occasion. Bet on the Brewers for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State -2.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
Oregon @ Washington State 7:30 PM ET Game# 367-368 Play On: Washington State -2.5 (10*) Washington State is coming off SU&ATS wins in each of their previous 2 games. They barely coved in their previous game as an 18.5-point favorite during a 56-37 victory at Oregon State. That win improved the Cougars season record to 5-1 (.833). Oregon is coming off last Saturday’s thrilling 30-27 overtime win over then #7 Washington and they did so as a 3.5-point home underdog. The Ducks also enter this contest with a 5-1 (.833) record. I entered previously mentioned data into my college football handicapping software and it spit out a never lost ATS betting angle which is detailed below. Any college football home favorite of 5.5-points or fewer that owns a win percentage of .833 or less after Game 5 of their season, and is coming off SU&ATS win in each of their previous 2 contests, and they covered their previous game by 32.0 or less while scoring 24 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a straight win and who possesses a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 19-0 ATS since 1980. The average victory margin in those 19 contests was 20.1 points per game. Bet on Washington State as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-14-18 | Chiefs v. Patriots -3 | Top | 40-43 | Push | 0 | 54 h 46 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Patriots 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Patriots -3.0 (10*) New England has historically been a huge money maker as a home favorite since Bill Belichick took over as head coach. That’s been especially evident during recent years. Since the 2013 season began, New England has gone an extremely profitable 35-13 ATS (73%) as a home favorite. Moreover, during that identical time frame, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5-points or fewer when facing a non-division opponent, and they won by 14.6 points per contest. The current total on Sunday’s game against the Chiefs is 59.5, and that’s significant. Since 11/18/2012, New England is 14-0 SU&ATS at home when there’s a total of 50.5 or greater, and they won by an enormous 20.7 points per game. The Chiefs are coming off last Sunday’s 30-14 win over Jacksonville and they covered as a 3.5-point home favorite. That victory improved Kansas City to a perfect 5-0 in 2018. New England is coming off a 38-24 home win over Indianapolis and they covered as a sizable 10.0-point favorite. This previously mentioned data sets up a rare but unblemished NFL betting angle which is displayed below. Any home favorite of 4.5-points or fewer (Patriots) that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win in which they covered by 21.0-points or less, and they’re facing an undefeated opponent (Chiefs) who’s coming off a home favorite ATS win, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1983. Those 9 home favorites won by an average of 13.1 points per game. Bet on the Patriots minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Astros +107 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-2 | Win | 107 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Astros (Verlander) @ Red Sox (Sale) 8:09 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Astros +107 (10*) This is a premier starting pitching matchup in Game 1 of the ALCS. However, in terms of postseason experience Justin Verlander has a huge edge over Chris Sale. Not only does Verlander possess extensive postseason experience, he’s proven himself to be a huge clutch performer at this time of year. Since the 2013 postseason, Verlander has made 9 starts against Boston and compiled a dominating 1.55 ERA during those outings. Conversely, Chris Sale has made 3 starts against Houston since 7/2/2016 and had a poor 7.50 ERA in those appearances. The Astros have gone a sizzling hot 31-9 through their last 40 games. They’ve also been the best road team in baseball this season while currently sporting a 58-24 (.707) record in away games. Bet on the Astros for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-13-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. LSU | Top | 16-36 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
Georgia @ LSU 3:30 PM ET Game# 197-198 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Georgia is undefeated at 6-0 thus far and have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 257-78. The Bulldogs have allowed 17 points or fewer in 5 of those 6 contests while they scored 38 points or more on all 6 occasions. Georgia doesn’t beat themselves and that’s evidenced by them committing just a combined 3 turnovers in 6 games. Since 10/18/2014, Georgia has gone a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS as a conference away favorite of 3.0 to 16.5-points when facing an opponent coming off a straight up loss. That’s applicable to Saturday’s game at LSU and the Bulldogs won those 6 contests by an average of 21.2 points per game. LSU has gone 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a conference underdog of 9.5-points or less after scoring 17 points or fewer in its previous contest. The Tigers lost those 4 contests by an average of 15.5 points per game. Georgia is coming off home wins over Tennessee 38-12 and Vanderbilt 41-13 in their last 2 games they’ve played. Conversely, LSU is coming off a 27-19 SUATS loss at Florida and did so as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 3 results leads us to a a unbeaten college football betting angle which is shown below. Any away favorite (Georgia) playing after Game 3 of the season who’s coming off home wins by 14 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played, and they allowed 14 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (LSU) coming off a conference SU&ATS loss in which it failed to cover by 8.0 points or more while they also scored 23 points or less, resulted in those away favorites going 15-0 ATS since 2010. The average margin of victory in those 15 contests was a sizable 29.9 points per game. Bet on Georgia minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-18 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
Brewers (Miley) @ Rockies (Marquez) 4:37 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Milwaukee southpaw pitcher Wade Miley has been very good in 9 road starts this season while posting a 2.50 ERA during those outings. Milwaukee enters today on a red-hot 10 game winning streak. Any road team that’s playing in October and is coming off 3 or more wins in a row, resulted in those games going 71-29 (71%) under the total since 1997. Milwaukee has seen just 1 of their 10 games played at Coors Field in Denver go over the total since 2016. The Brewers bullpen has compiled an excellent 1.62 ERA and 0.75 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Colorado has gone 38-20 (65.5%) under the total this season when facing southpaw starting pitchers. The Rockies have scored a paltry 2 runs or less in each of its last 4 games. Colorado pitcher German Marquez has displayed superb during his previous 3 starts while collecting a 1.93 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Marquez has recorded an eye-catching 70 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched through his last 6 starts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-07-18 | Giants v. Panthers -6 | Top | 31-33 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 57 m | Show |
Giants @ Panthers 1:00 PM ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Panthers -6.0 (10*) Carolina will enter this game well rested after enjoying a bye week. The last time the Panthers took the field they defeated Cincinnati 31-21 and cover as a 3.0-point home favorite. The Giants are coming off a 33-18 home loss to New Orleans. Any NFL regular season home favorite (Panthers) that’s coming off a bye week, and their previous game was a home favorite ATS win, versus an opponent (Giants) who’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 ATS. The 9 home favorites won by a substantial average of 20.3 points per game. Bet on the Carolina Panthers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-06-18 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -9 | Top | 48-42 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 21 m | Show |
Iowa State @ Oklahoma State 3:30 PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Oklahoma State -9.0 (10*) Iowa State is coming off a 17-14 loss at TCU last Saturday in a game they were held to 198 yards of total offense. Since 1996, Oklahoma State is 32-11 ATS (74.4%). Since 1996 as a home favorite when facing an opponent coming off a loss in their previous game. If that opponent covered that previous game as an underdog the Cowboys improve to 12-1 ATS (92.3%) in that identical situation. Oklahoma State is an explosive offensive team that’s averaging 44.4 points and 545.4 yards per contest. Conversely, Iowa State averages a paltry 17.5 points scored and 299.5 of total offense per game. Oklahoma State is coming off a 48-28 win at Kansas and they covered as a 17.0-point favorite while doing so. The win improved the Cowboys season record to 4-1 (.800). The loss to TCU last week dropped Iowa State to 1-3 (.50) this year. These records and last week’s Oklahoma State SU&ATS winning result creates an extremely profitable college football betting angle that sides with the favorite in this matchup. Any home favorite of 9.0-points or more that’s coming off a favorite of 15.5-points or greater ATS win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent (Iowa State) with a win percentage of .250 or worse, resulted in those home favorites going 43-9 (82.7%) ATS since 1992. Bet on Oklahoma State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-01-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
Rockies (Marquez) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 4:09 PM ET Game# 953-954 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Colorado’s German Marquez has seen just 4 of his 16 road starts go over the total in 2018 while compiling a 3.00 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Marquez has made 2 starts at Dodger Stadium this year and both went under the total. His brilliant 1.20 ERA and 0.40 WHIP during those outings were a major contributor to those low scoring affairs. Furthermore, Marquez has collected a terrific 1.87 ERA and 0.83 WHIP during his last 9 starts. The Dodgers Walker Buehler has a superb 1.48 ERA and 0.78 WHIP during his 11 home starts in 2018. Just 1 of those 11 home starts went over the total. Buehler has also exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts overall while gathering a paltry 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. Although both teams have recently been red-hot offensively, this has all the earmarks of an old fashion starting pitching duel. Bet on this game to stay under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-30-18 | Dolphins v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
Miami @ New England 1:00 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: New England -6.5 (10*) We have a 1-2 team in New England who’s favorite against the 3-0 Miami Dolphins. An impulse reaction would lead you to taking the underdog in this spot just based on common sense alone. However, solely relying on common sense when it comes to NFL handicapping is the shortest route to betting poverty. New England has gone a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS during their last at home against Miami, and they won those contests by an average of 21.6 points per game. After beginning the season with a home win over Houston, New England preceded to lose 2 straight road games to Jacksonville and Detroit. Since 2011, New England is 4-0 SU&ATS following back to back losses and won by a decisive margin of 16.7 points per game. The Patriots are also 7-0 SU&ATS (+18.8 ppg) in their last 7 as a home favorite when facing an opponent who’s won 3 or more games in a row. Miami is 0-6 SU&ATS since 2015 as an away underdog of 6.0 to 13.0-points and when going up against an opponent who’s recorded at least 1 win on the season. Bet on New England minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-18 | Stanford v. Notre Dame -5.5 | Top | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
Stanford @ Notre Dame 7:30 PM ET Game# 207-208 Play On: Notre Dame -5.5 (10*) Stanford was extremely fortunate to come away with a 38-31 overtime win at Oregon last week. Granted, kudos to them for overcoming a 4th quarter 24-7 deficit. However, that comeback was more of a byproduct of a bevvy of Oregon turnovers and a botched coaching decision by in the last minute that resulted in a fumble, when essentially all they needed to do was take a knee. That brain cramp by Oregon’s coaching staff allowed Stanford to mount a drive which led to a last second field goal that sent the contest into overtime. The win improved #7 Stanford to 4-0. Notre Dame head coach made a bold move last week by replacing former starting quarterback Brandon Winbush with Ian Book. The move paid off handsomely as Book passed for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns in addition to running for an additional 3 touchdowns during a 56-27 rout at Wake Forest. The Irish easily covered that contest as a 6.0-point favorite. That victory improved #8 Notre Dame to 4-0. Any home favorite of 8.0-points (Notre Dame) or less that’s coming off an away favorite ATS win in which they covered by 32.0-points or less and scored 52 points or more, versus an opponent with at least 1 win, resulted in those home favorites going 30-6 ATS (83.3%) since 1997. Bet on Notre Dame minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-23-18 | Patriots v. Lions UNDER 54 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 58 h 58 m | Show |
New England @ Detroit 8:20 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Under 54.0 (10*) New England is coming off a 31-20 loss at Jacksonville and did so as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2014, New England has gone under the total on the road following a road loss, and those games averaged a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Additionally, since 2016, New England has gone 5-1 under when there’s a total of 49.5 or greater. Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 loss at San Francisco. The combination of this data leads us to an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. Detroit is 5-0 under in their last 5 at home when there’s of 48.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a road loss in which it allowed 38 points or fewer. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 39.6 points scored per game. Any team (New England) playing before Game 14 of their season with a total of 35.0 or greater, coming off an away double-digit loss as a favorite of 1.5-points or more, versus an opponent (Detroit) coming off an away loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, resulted in those games going 32-5 (86.5%) under the total since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-22-18 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 37-14 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 26 m | Show |
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt 4:00 PM ET Game# 387-388 Play On: Vanderbilt +2.5 (10*) South Carolina unexpectedly had last week off after Hurricane Florence swept through the Carolinas and resulted in their home game versus Marshall being cancelled. The last time the Gamecocks took the field 2 weeks ago they were hammered 41-17 at home against Georgia and fell far short of covering as an 8.5-point underdog. There’s no embarrassment in losing to Georgia but the manner of which it occurred was alarming for South Carolina fans. Vanderbilt began the 2018 season with home wins over Middle Tennessee State 35-7 and Nevada 41-10. Last Saturday they put up a valiant effort before better than 80,000 fans at Notre Dame before losing 22-17. Nevertheless, the Commodores covered with ease as a 14.0-point underdog. They’re now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season. Vanderbilt’s defense has been outstanding thus far while surrendering a mere 13 points and 308 yards per game. The Commodores will be out to end a 9-game losing streak against South Carolina. However, their previous 3 losses to the Gamecocks all came by 9 points or fewer. This is potentially the best team Derek Mason has possessed since taking on the head coaching job at Vanderbilt. Bet on Vanderbilt for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-16-18 | Dolphins v. Jets -2.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 43 m | Show |
Miami @ NY Jets 1:00 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Jets -2.5 (10*) Miami has gone a dismal 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games as a division away underdog. The Dolphins christened their 2018 regular season campaign with a 27-20 win over Tennessee. The Jets are coming off an extremely impressive 48-17 road win at Detroit and did so as a sizable 7.0-point underdog. You may be surprised to know that the Jets are 6-1 during its previous 7 home openers. Any home favorite of 5.5-points or less that’s coming off a non-division away underdog straight up win in which they scored 41 points or more and allowed 10 or greater, and they’re facing an opponent who scored 21 points or more during its previous contests, resulted in those home favorites going 8-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average margin of victory in those contests was 13.5 points per game. Bet on the Jets minus the points as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-15-18 | Ohio State v. TCU +13 | Top | 40-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show |
Ohio State @ TCU Game# 203-204 Play On: TCU +13.0 (10*) You can’t be much more dominating than #4 Ohio State showed during fits first 2 games of the season. The Buckeyes recorded home blowout wins over Oregon State 77-31 and Rutgers 52-3. Since 2005, TCU has gone an outstanding 28-2 straight up in non-conference home games. The Horned Frogs opened their 2018 slate with a 55-7 home rout of Southern University. Then just 5 days later they hammered SMU 42-12 while covering as a substantial 23.5-point road favorite. Any college football home team (TCU) that’s coming off 2 straight wins by 21 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Ohio State) who scored 42 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 40-9 (.816) straight up since 1980. As a matter of fact, since 2010, the home teams in that precise situation are an even better 22-1 (.957) straight up. The straight up records pertaining to this college football betting angle take on added significance when accounting for the home team (TCU) being a double-digit underdog. Bet on TCU plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-11-18 | Indians v. Rays +120 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Indians (Bieber) @ Rays (Glasnow) 7:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Rays +120 (10*) Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has posted an uninspiring and lofty 5.53 ERA thru his last 5 starts. Bieber made his only start of the season against Tampa Bay just 10 days ago and wasn’t very affective while allowing 4 earned runs on 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched. Cleveland has been in firm control of the AL Central Division for quite a while now. Their 8-11 record over the last 19 games is a sure sign of complacency in that regard. Cleveland has beat up on teams with losing record this season. However, they’re a poor 22-32 in 2018 against teams with a win percentage of better than .500. Tampa Bay has gone a sizzling hot 17-3 in their last 20 games. The Rays enter tonight riding an extremely impressive 12-game home winning streak. Tyler Glasnow made his only start in 2018 against Cleveland only 11 days ago and turned in an outstanding performance. During that outing, Glasnow allowed just I earned run on 2 hits while walking just 1 during 7.0 innings of work. Bet on the Rays for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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09-09-18 | Chiefs v. Chargers -3 | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -126 | 55 h 56 m | Show |
Chiefs @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Chargers -3.0 (10*) Talk about big time revenge, the Chargers have lost 8 straight times to Kansas City. The Chargers will look to build on the momentum of going 9-3 during their final 3 games last season, and that included a perfect 5-0 in its last 5 at home. Meanwhile, Kansas City ended last season by going a dismal 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 away games. Any home favorite of 3.0 or less that won 9 regular season games of more during the previous season resulted in those teams going 15-0 SU&ATS since 1987. The average victory margin in those 15 contests came by a decisive average of 12.4 points per game. Bet on the Chargers minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-08-18 | Mississippi State v. Kansas State +9 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Kansas State 12:00 PM ET Game# 323-324 Play On: Kansas State +9.0 (5*) Kansas State narrowly escaped last Saturday with a 27-24 home win against South Dakota, and they’re now 15-7 over their previous 22 games played. The Wildcats are now an impressive 26-2 straight up during their previous 28 non-conference home games. I look for Kansas State to bounce back from last week’s lackluster performance when they host #18 Mississippi State on Saturday. Speaking of Mississippi State, they christened their 2018 season with a resounding 63-6 rout of Stephen F. Austin. Any home underdog of 3.5 to 10.0 points (Kansas State) that’s coming off a home win by 3 points or less in which they allowed 17 points or more, and they’re playing in game 2 through 6, resulted in those home underdogs going 19-1 ATS (95%) since 1993. The underdogs also went 15-5 straight up in those contests. Bet on Kansas State plus the points for a 5* wager. |
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09-03-18 | Yankees v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
NY Yankees (Sabathia) @ Oakland (Cahill) 4:05 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) C.C. Sabathia has displayed very good form during his previous 4 starts by posting a sparkling 2.28 ERA and allowing no home runs in 23 2/3 innings pitched. Sabathia has pitched very well against quality teams since 2016. As a matter of fact, Sabathia is 18-4 under the total throughout that span when facing teams possessing a win percentage of .540 to .620. By the way, Oakland is 81-56 (.591). Oakland’s Trevor Cahill has been lights out in 8 home starts this season while collecting a microscopic 0.85 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Cahill will be facing a Yankees team that leads all of baseball with 200 home runs. However, the Oakland right-hander has surrendered a mere 6 home runs in 95.0 innings pitched this season, and that includes none allowed during his last 5 starts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-01-18 | Washington +2.5 v. Auburn | Top | 16-21 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 23 m | Show |
Washington vs. Auburn 3:30 PM ET Game# 193-194 Play On: Washington +2.5 (10*) This is one of those rare betting situations where I dispose of my technical handicapping hat and rely solely on my professional intuition. I predicted in mid-July for Washington to be one of my 2 sleeper teams to win the national championship at odds of +1600. If that indeed is going to transpire, or even have a chance of doing so, losing their season opener isn’t the path for my prediction to be realized. Additionally, a win against a quality opponent like Auburn during a game played in the hear of SEC country (Atlanta) would be a gigantic resume builder. If the football adage of defense wins championships hold true, then Washington has a solid foundation to do so. The Huskies return 9 starters from a defense that allowed 16 points or less in 9 of 13 games a season ago. Nevertheless, their key to a potential national championship run will mainly rest on the shoulders of 4th year starting quarterbackJake Browning. When Washington won the PAC-12 championship and reached the College Football Playoffs 2 seasons ago, Browning was nothing short of spectacular. During that 2016 campaign, Browning threw for 3430 yards while tossing 43 touchdown passes and was intercepted only 9 times in 391 attempts. Besides his career high 68.5% completion rate in 2017, Browning’s overall numbers dipped substantially last year. I expect the seasoned signal caller to bounce back with an outstanding 2018 season. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-25-18 | Ravens v. Dolphins | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins 8:00 PM ET Game# 277-278 Play On: Baltimore (Pick) (10*) There’s one thing that’s abundantly clear, John Harbaugh has placed an emphasis on winning preseason games since taking over as head coach of the Baltimore Ravens. As a matter of fact, since 2016, the Ravens have won 11 straight preseason games, and they covered on 9 of those occasions. Miami is 0-2 in this 2018 preseason. Since the 2010 preseason, Miami has been an absolute fade by going 8-19 ATS (29.6%) during that stretch, and that includes an even worse 2-10 ATS (16.7%) at home. Any NFL team (Baltimore) playing in a preseason away game, and they’re coming off 3 straight wins has gone 25-11 (69.4%) SU&ATS since 1988. If they’re facing an opponent (Miami) that’s coming off a loss and who possesses a win percentage of .250 or worse, they improve to 5-0 SU&ATS. Bet on Baltimore for my NFL Preseason Game of the Year. |
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08-24-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
St. Louis (Mikolas) @ Colorado (Senzetella) 8:40 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 10.5 (10*) Miles Mikolas has exhibited very good form during his last 4 starts by posting a stellar 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. During his lone start against Colorado this season Mikolas allowed only 1 earned runs in 7.0 innings of work. St. Louis has been red-hot over the past 2 weeks, but it certainly hasn’t been due to their offensive prowess of late. The Cardinals have a compiled a poor .205 team batting average and .669 OPS throughout their previous 7 games. However, they’ve allowed only 2 runs per game during their last 4 outings. The St. Louis bullpen has recorded an excellent 1.61 ERA thru its past 7 games. Colorado has gone 38-22 (63.3%) at home this season and that includes 5-0 in their last 5 (6.8 RPG) at Coors Field. Colorado’s Antonio Senzetella has gone 3-0 under the total in his previous 3 starts while collecting a shiny 2.16 ERA. Senzetella has made 2 starts at Coors Field this year and amassed an impressive 0.71 ERA in those pair of outings. The Rockies bullpen has a superb 2.25 ERA and 1.10 WHIP thru their last 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-21-18 | Indians v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Indians (Bieber) @ Red Sox (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has seen each of his last 3 starts go under the total while collecting a shiny 2.70 ERA in doing so. The Cleveland bullpen has been very good thru their previous 7 games in gathering a combined 1.77 ERA. Since 2016, Cleveland is 31-13 (70.5%) under the total when facing AL East teams on the road. Whether it be as a member of the Rays or Red Sox Nathan Eovaldi has been magnificent over his last 4 home starts. During that stretch, Boston’s right-handed hurler has posted a microscopic 0.33 ERA while striking out 26 and walking only 3. He also pitched at least 7.0 innings in 3 of those previous 4 home starts. The Red Sox bullpen has been stellar all season and they’ve compiled a very good 2.53 ERA throughout its last 7 games. The usually high-powered Boston offense has been held in check of late. During their last 7 outings, Boston has averaged just 3.7 runs scored per game and collected a poor .661 OPS. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-18-18 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Tampa Bay (Glasnow) @ Boston (Price) 7:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Despite going over the total in yesterday’s series opener at Boston, Tampa Bay has gone under the total in 6 of its last 7 while seeing a combined average of just 5.7 runs scored per game. Tyler Glasnow will make the start for Tampa Bay today. Glasnow has a stellar 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP during 3 starts this season. As is customary with Rays starting pitchers, Glasnow has averaged only 4.0 innings pitched per start. Nevertheless, the Rays bullpen has a sparkling 2.35 ERA throughout its previous 7 games. Tampa Bay will be facing Boston southpaw David Price today, Tampa has gone 23-12 (65.7%) under the total this season when facing a southpaw starting pitcher. Speaking of Boston’s David Price, he’s compiled an excellent 1.03 ERA over his last 4 starts. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-16-18 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Colorado (Gray) @ Atlanta (Teheran) 7:35 ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Since 2016, Julio Teheran has seen all 4 of his starts against Colorado go under the total while posting an exceptional 0.71 ERA while doing so. Conversely, since 2016, Jon Gray has made 4 starts versus Atlanta and compiled an excellent 1.04 ERA in those outings. This one shapes up to be an old-fashioned starting pitcher’s duel. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-13-18 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Arizona (Grienke) @ Texas (Colon) 8:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Arizona -1.5 (-111) (10*) Bartolo Colon is an abysmal 3-16 in his team starts the past 2 seasons as a money line underdog of +125 to +175. During those 19 starts, Colon’s team has been outscored by a decisive 3.7 runs per game. Texas will be facing right-hander Zack Grienke today. The Rangers are a poor 14-26 at home this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. Speaking of Zack Grienke, he’s been in terrific form over his last 5 starts while posting a 1.26 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. Bartolo Colon has posted a sizable 7.11 ERA thru his last 3 starts. Texas enters today with a team batting average of .258. Arizona is currently a money line favorite of -175 in this game. The Diamondbacks bullpen has compiled a stellar 3.16 ERA thus far in 2018. The combination of all this statistical data sets up an extremely profitable MLB betting angle which is illustrated below. Any road money line favorite of -135 or more that has a bullpen ERA of 3.75 or better, versus an American League opponent with a pitcher has an ERA of 7.00 or worse during his last 3 starts, and they (Texas) possess a team batting average of .260 or less, resulted in those favorites going 55-12 (82.1%) since 2014. Those 67 favorites outscored their opponents by an enormous 3.3 runs per game. Bet Arizona as a run line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-11-18 | A's v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Oakland (Jackson) @ LA Angels (Skaggs) 9:07 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Oakland’s Edwin Jackson is 5-1-2 under in 8 starts this season with a stellar 2.87 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He’ll be supported by an A’s bullpen which has compiled and excellent 1.95 ERA during their previous 7 games. Oakland has gone under the total in each of their previous 6 and there were just a combined 4.7 runs scored per game. Tyler Skaggs has collected an outstanding 1.80 ERA during his last 5 starts at home. Skaggs has started twice against Oakland this season and was domination during those outings by allowing 0 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings pitched. The Angels bullpen has been lights out throughout their last 7 games while gathering an excellent 0.93 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. Los Angeles has gone over the total just once in their previous 6 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-08-18 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
Philadelphia (Velazquez) @ Arizona (Corbin) 3:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Vincent Velazquez has seen each of his previous 4 starts go under the total while posting an excellent 0.74 ERA. Philadelphia has gone 9-1 under the total during its last 10 games. They’ve also gone under in 6 straight outings on the road and there was a combined average of only 5.6 runs scored per game. Pat Corbin is 4-1-1 under the total during day game starts this season and posted a superb 0.90 WHIP while doing so. Arizona has witnessed each of their previous 3 going under the total and there were a combined 5.7 runs scored per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-04-18 | White Sox v. Rays UNDER 7 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
White Sox (Rodon) @ Rays (Snell) 6:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Under 7.0 (10*) Left-hander Carlos Rodon has displayed excellent form during his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. All 3 of those outings saw Rodon pitch 7 1/3 innings or more. Blake Snell has compiled a dominating 0.87 ERA during 8 home starts in 2018. Snell has gone 7.0 innings or more in 4 of his last 5 starts and had a terrific 1.42 ERA during that span. Tampa Bay is 21-11 (65.6%) under the total this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-28-18 | Brewers -110 v. Giants | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Milwaukee (Chacin) @ San Francisco (Cueto) 9:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Milwaukee -110 (10*) Since returning from the disabled list Johnny Cueto has made 3 shaky starts. During those outings Cueto compiled a sizable 6.35 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Milwaukee has fared well against NL West teams this season by going a very profitable 14-4 in those games. Jhoulys Chacin has exhibited superb form over his previous 5 starts while compiling a 2.83 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. Chacin is now 8-1 in his July team starts since 2017. The Brewers are a stellar 12-3 this season during night games with Chacin as their starting pitcher. Chacin amassed a solid 3.43 ERA and 1.15 WHIP during those outings. Furthermore, the Milwaukee bullpen has a very good 1.91 ERA during throughout the Brewers last 7 games. Bet on Milwaukee as a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-25-18 | Astros v. Rockies +115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Houston (Morton) @ Colorado (Gray) 4:10 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Colorado +115 (10*) Like the rest of the Houston pitching staff, Charlie Morton has enjoyed an overall very good 2018 up until this point. However, Morton has struggled in his last 2 starts against the A’s and White Sox while posting a sizable 7.20 ERA during those outings. Furthermore, since 2011, Morton has made 4 starts at Coors Field in Denver and compiled as an awful 9.72 ERA and 2.10 WHIP while doing so. Since 2016, Colorado is a perfect 7-0 as a money line home underdog of +100 or more when Jon Gray is their starting pitcher. Gray has been terrific in his last 2 starts at Coors Field by amassing a terrific 1.26 ERA and struck out 18 while walking only 1 during 14 1/3 innings of work. Despite losing their previous 2, the Rockies are an outstanding 15-5 during its last 20 games. Bet on Colorado for a 10* Top Play money line underdog wager. |
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07-23-18 | Nationals v. Brewers -102 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Washington (Gonzalez) @ Milwaukee (Chacin) 8:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Milwaukee -102 (10*) Washington is coming off a 6-2 win over Atlanta on Sunday. However, the Nationals are a dismal 2-10 in their last 12 following a win in their previous game and that includes 0-4 during the past 4. Gio Gonzalez is a dismal 1-5 in his last 6 team starts and had a miserable 6.67 ERA and 1.85 WHIP during those appearances. Since 2016, Gonzalez is 0-2 at Miller Park in Milwaukee while posting a mammoth 11.00 ERA. Milwaukee’s Jhoulys Chacin has displayed good form over his last 3 starts and that’s evidenced by a 0.83 WHIP during those outings. Milwaukee has struggled of late but most of those hardships have transpired in away games. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 at home. Furthermore, Milwaukee is coming off yesterday’s 11-2 blowout loss to the Dodgers. Milwaukee is 10-1 at home this season following a loss by 4 runs or more in their previous game. Bet on Milwaukee for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-22-18 | Red Sox v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Boston (Sale) @ Detroit (Hardy) 1:10 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The powerful offensive lineup of Boston has produced a grand total of 1 run scored during the first 2 games of this series. Conversely, they’ve only allowed a combined 5 runs during those 2 outings. Boston has seen all 4 of its games against Detroit go under the total this season. Chris Sale of Boston has posted a brilliant 0.94 ERA during his last 7 starts and an eye popping 0.33 ERA in his previous 4 appearances. Meanwhile, Detroit’s Blaine Hardy has made 3 starts during day games in 2018 and compiled a stellar 2.16 ERA in those outings. Detroit is 21-8 (72.4%) under the total in 2018 when there’s a total of either 8.0 or 8.5. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play pick. |
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07-21-18 | Giants v. A's -130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
San Francisco (Bumgarner) @ Oakland (Cahill) 9:05 PM ET Game# 981-982 Play On: Oakland -130 (10*) You may be surprised to know that San Francisco is a dismal 2-10 on the road the past 2 seasons with Madison Bumgarner as their starting pitcher and that includes 0-3 this season. Bumgarner has made 4 career starts at Oakland and had a large 6.23 ERA during those outings. Despite last night’s 5-1 loss to San Francisco, Oakland is 15-5 during its last 20 games. As a matter of fact, the A’s are a perfect 7-0 during their last 7 following a loss in their previous game. Trevor Cahill has made 4 home starts this season and compiled a brilliant 0.64 ERA while doing so. Madison Bumgarner has collected a stellar 1.95 ERA throughout his previous 5 starts. The Giants have a team batting average of .251 this season. Oakland’s Trevor Cahill has a solid 3.10 ERA in 2018. The combination of this statistical data creates an extremely profitable MLB betting angle which is illustrated below. Any American League money line home favorite of -110 or greater (Oakland) that has a starting pitcher (Cahill) with an ERA of 4.20 or better, versus a National League club (San Francisco) with a team batting average of .255 or less, and their starting pitcher (Bumgarner) has an ERA of 2.50 or better during his last 5 starts, resulted in those home favorites going 46-10 (82.1%) since 1997. Bet on Oakland as a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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07-09-18 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Texas (Minor) @ Boston (Rodriguez) 7:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 10.0 (10*) Mike Minor has put together 5 quality starts in a row for Texas. During those 5 outings Minor posted a stellar 2.53 ERA and none of those games went under the total. The Rangers bullpen has been extremely good throughout their last 7 games while collecting and outstanding staff ERA of 1.75. The Rangers are coming off yesterday’s 3-0 win at Detroit. Texas is 11-1 under the total since 2016 following a shutout win. Texas enters today with a below average .393 slugging percentage. Boston’s Eduardo Rodriguez has gone 15-2 under the total during the 2nd half of seasons when facing an American League team with a slugging percentage of .410 or less. Rodriguez has made 17 starts this season and has averaged issuing only 1.7 walks per outing. Texas is 11-1 under the total during road games in 2018 when facing a pitcher who averages walking 1.75 or fewer men per start. Those 12 outings averaged just a combined 5.8 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-06-18 | Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
Yankees (Gray) @ Blue Jays (Gaviglio) 7:07 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Despite his overall numbers being extremely disappointing, the Yankees Sonny Gray has been more than respectable during his starts on the road. Gray is compiled a solid 3.28 ERA and 1.14 WHIP thru 8 road starts in 2018. Gray has also gone 8-0 under the total in his career starts on the road when they transpired in July. Since the calendar year turned to June, the Yankees have owned the most dominant bullpen in baseball. The Yankees are 22-5 under in their last 27 outings and that includes 12-1 under during its previous 13 road games. The Blue Jays Sam Gaviglio has posted a very good 1.93 ERA in 4 home starts this season. Friday will be the 7th game played already this season at the Rogers Centre in Toronto between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Thus far, 5 of the first 6 played went under the total. These 2 starting pitchers squared off against one another exactly one month to the day in Toronto. They combined to allow 0 earned runs on 5 hits in 15.0 innings of work. I’m looking for more of the same in today’s game. Considering the high total in this AL East Divisional battle, there’s a plethora of betting value on going under the total. That’s precisely what I will be wagering on for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-05-18 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 9 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Texas (Gallardo) @ Detroit (M.Boyd) 7:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Texas has gone over the total in just 14 of 40 road games this season. The Rangers bullpen has a stellar staff ERA of 2.49 in those 40 away tilts. Detroit is coming off a 3-2 loss at Wrigley Field in their previous outing. They’ve gone 21-6 (77.8%) under the total this season following a game in which they scored 2 runs or less. Detroit’s Matt Boyd has an outstanding 2.61 ERA and 0.99 WHIP during 7 starts at home in 2018. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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07-02-18 | Braves v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Braves (Sanchez) @ Yankees (Loaisiga) 7:05 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Anibal Sanchez has pitched brilliantly in his 5 career starts at Yankee Stadium while posting a stellar 1.89 ERA. Sanchez has a very good 2.86 ERA and 1.07 WHIP during his 8 starts in 2018. The Yankees young right-hander Jonathan Loaisiga has been impressive during his first 3 starts of his MLB career after being called up from their AA affiliate in Trenton. Loaisiga has compiled a sparkling 1.93 during those appearances. He’ll have the luxury of a bullpen that’s been by far the best in baseball since June 1st. New York is 10-2 under the total in their 12 games against National League teams this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-29-18 | Brewers -102 v. Reds | Top | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
Milwaukee (Anderson) @ Cincinnati (Romano) 7:10 PM ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Milwaukee -102 (10*) Since 2017, Cincinnati’s Sal Romano is 0-4 in his team starts against Milwaukee while posting a sizable 6.27 ERA. The Reds hurler also has a large 7.77 ERA during 5 starts against NL Central teams this year. Milwaukee is an extremely profitable 17-5 on the road this season when their money line is from +125 to -125. Milwaukee is also a stellar 39-24 in 2014 when facing right-handed starting pitchers. The Brewers have dominated Cincinnati this season by winning 6 of 7 meetings including all 4 played at Cincinnati. Chase Anderson has exhibited very good form during his last 3 starts while posting a terrific 0.92 WHIP. Bet on Milwaukee for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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06-24-18 | Rangers v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas (Colon) @ Minnesota (Berrios) 2:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Under 9.5 (10*) Bartolo Colon has a very good 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 4 starts during day games this season. The Texas bullpen has been solid on the road this season evidenced by their combined 2.51 ERA during away games. Texas will be facing a starting pitcher on Sunday in Jose Berrios that’s issuing a mere 1.2 walks per start this year. Speaking of Jose Berrios, he’s displayed superb form over his last 3 starts while posting a 1.69 ERA. Berrios has also compiled an excellent 0.88 WHIP during 8 home starts in 2018. The Twins hurler has average 7.1 innings per start thru his last 7 outings. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-17-18 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
Cubs (Quintana) @ Cardinals (Flaherty) 8:05 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) The Cubs starter Jose Quintana will be pitching on 5 days of rest. Quintana is 10-0 under the total during the past 2 seasons when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest, and there were only a combined 5.8 runs scored per game. Quintana has made 5 starts this season against fellow NL Central teams and posted a microscopic 0.60 ERA during those outings. Furthermore, during his last 4 road starts Quintana has collected an excellent 0.78 ERA. The Cubs are coming off yesterday’s 13-5 win at St. Louis, and they’ve gone 9-1 under the total in their last 10 following an over its previous game. The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has been very good in 8 starts this season while compiling a 2.96 ERA. St. Louis is 17-7 (70.8%) under at home this season when there’s a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-16-18 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
NY Mets (Matz) @ Arizona (Corbin) 10:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Arizona -1.5 (+130) (10*) The Mets enter today have lost 12 of their last 13 and averaged a pathetic 1.6 runs scored per game during that stretch. The Mets bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games and has a combined 5.51 ERA during that time. A pair of left-handed starting pitchers will square off on Saturday with Steven Matz going for New York and Pat Corbin for Arizona. Arizona is a stellar 17-8 this season when facing left-handed starters. Arizona is also 7-1 in their last 8 overall and averaged a robust 8.5 runs scored per game during that time. Bet on Arizona as a 10* Top Play run-line favorite. |
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06-15-18 | Cubs -112 v. Cardinals | Top | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Cubs (Lester) @ Cardinals (Wacha) 8:15 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Cubs -112 (10*) The Cardinals Michael Wacha has been terrific this season. However, Wacha has endured his fair share of struggles against the Cubs since last season. During that time, Wacha is 1-4 in his team starts versus Chicago while collecting a lofty 5.25 ERA. Meanwhile, the Cubs Jon Lester has been in superb form over his last 6 starts in posting a 1.63 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. The Cubs are coming off a 1-0 loss at Milwaukee in their previous game. St. Louis is coming off 2 straight losses at the hands of San Diego and both were identical 4-2 finals scores. This sets up a very profitable MLB betting angle illustrated below. Any team that’s coming off a shutout loss and they’re facing an opponent that scored 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those teams going 60-30 (66.7%) since 1997. Bet on the Cubs for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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06-09-18 | Diamondbacks +136 v. Rockies | Top | 12-7 | Win | 136 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
Arizona (Koch) @ Colorado (Bettis) 7:15 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Arizona +136 (10*) Colorado’s Chad Bettis has been terrible in his last 4 starts this season at Coors Field while posting a large 8.72 ERA and 1.71 WHIP during those outings. Additionally, Bettis has made 5 starts against Arizona since 2016 and compiled an awful 9.39 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in those appearances. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Rockies bullpen that has a horrible 9.67 ERA and 2.00 WHIP throughout their last 7 games. The Rockies are a more than respectable 21-14 in away games this season but they’re a poor 11-17 at Coors Field. Arizona right-hander Matt Koch has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 312 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Arizona is an extremely profitable 12-6 this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150 like they’ll be today. Since 2016, Arizona is 13-7 in games played at Coors Field. Bet on Arizona for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +5 | Top | 108-85 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
Golden State @ Cleveland 9:05 PM ET Game# 507-508 Play On: Cleveland +5.0 (10*) This is a similar situation to what we witnessed in the 2017 NBA Finals. Cleveland blew a late lead in Game 3 of last year’s Finals and it put them in a 3-0 series hole. However, they responded in Game 4 with a win on their home floor to avoid being swept. The only difference is they blew a 12-point first half lead in Game 3 on Wednesday night, and they also were outscored 7-0 to finish the game during an 8-point loss. You can be rest assured the public will be flooding the sportsbooks with bets on Golden State. Nevertheless, the sharp money which includes mine will be placed on the home underdog Cavaliers. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-07-18 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -138 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
Washington @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 9-10 Play On: Las Vegas -138 (10*) The Las Vegas Golden Knights find themselves on the brink of elimination for a first time in these 2018 NHL Playoffs. Vegas dropped 3 straight following a 6-4 win in Game 1. On a positive note, Las Vegas hasn’t lost 4 straight games all season long. They’ve also gone 36-14 against the money line on home ice this season, and that includes 7-2 during postseason action. Las Vegas is coming off last Saturday’s 3-1 loss in Game 3 and Monday’s 6-2 defeat during Game 4. Both of those setbacks came at the Capitol One Arena in Washington, D.C. The combination of this precise data and current money line sets up an extremely profitable NHL betting algorithm which is illustrated below. Any NHL money line home favorite of -120 to -230 (Las Vegas) that’s coming off a road loss by 3 goals or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Washington) that’s won each of their previous 2 games with both played at home, resulted in those home favorites going a terrific 42-5 (89.4%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 47 favorites was -135. Bet on Las Vegas for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +4.5 | Top | 110-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Golden State 9:05 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Cleveland +4.5 (10*) It’s basically do or die for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. Granted, they wouldn’t be eliminated with a loss, but they’re fully aware no team in history has ever overcome a 3-0 series deficit in the NBA Finals. After losing their first 2018 home playoff game to Indiana, the Cavaliers have reeled off 8 consecutive wins at Quicken Loans Arena, and that includes a victory margin of 21.0 points per contest in its last 4. Conversely, Golden State is 10-1 at home during these 2018 NBA Playoffs and just an ordinary 4-4 on the road. Cleveland will enter tonight’s Game 3 with a win percentage of .608 while Golden State is at .713. Dating back to the 2017 NBA Finals, Cleveland has lost 5 straight games against Golden State. Any NBA home team playing with revenge stemming from 4 or more losses that dates back 2 seasons, and each team has a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 62-23 (72.9%) straight up since 1996. Bet on Cleveland plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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06-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ Washington 8:05 PM ET Game# 7-8 Play On: Under 5.5 (10*) Since 1996, Game 4 of a Stanley Cup Finals series have gone 13-3-7 under the total. Putting those totals stats into perspective, only 13% of those 23 games went over the number. The last 2 games of this series have gone under the total. Las Vegas is 10-2 under the total in road games this season following unders in each of their previous 2 games. Vegas has also gone 5-0-1 under the total in their last 6 road games during this postseason. Conversely, Washington has seen just 1 of their last 7 home games go over the total. Vegas goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury was brilliants during the Golden Knights first rounds of the 2018 NHL Playoffs. However, he’s been ordinary at best in the first 3 games of the Stanley Cup Finals. Nevertheless, Fleury still maintains an excellent .935 save percentage thru 29 road starts this season. Meanwhile, Braden Holtby has been terrific in Washington’s Game 2 and 3 wins while posting a sparkling .951 save percentage. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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06-02-18 | Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
Red Sox (Price) @ Astros (Verlander) 7:15 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) You just can’t pitch any better than Justin Verlander has this season. Verlander has seen 10 of his 12 starts go under the total and his superb 1.11 ERA during those outings had much to do with those low scoring affairs. As a matter of fact, each of Verlander’s last 3 starts have gone under the total. The veteran right-hander has been virtually untouchable thru his last 3 starts while compiling a brilliant 0.83 ERA and 0.69 WHIP. Verlander has made 7 starts against Boston since 2015 and collected a sparkling 1.64 ERA in those appearances. Houston is also 19-9-1 under the total at home this season. Boston’s David Price continues to be one of the top pitchers in baseball. The southpaw hurler has gathered a more than respectable 2.95 ERA during 3 starts against Houston since 2015. Price has displayed very good form throughout his previous 3 starts while collecting a 2.25 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-31-18 | Nationals +111 v. Braves | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Washington (Roark) @ Atlanta (Newcomb) 7:35 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Washington +111 (10*) Atlanta’s Sean Newcomb’s performance line has been significantly better on the road than at home this season. Newcomb has made 1 start each in 2017 and 2018 against Washington and compiled a large 9.72 ERA and 2.08 WHIP during these outings. Washington enters today winners of 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 games. The Nationals are also a sizzling hot 13-1 during their previous 14 road games. The Nationals pitching has been brilliant of late while allowing 2 runs or less in each of its last 5 games. Washington’s Tanner Roark has made 1 start in each 2017 and 2018 at Atlanta and posted an inspiring 2.57 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. The Nationals bullpen has collected an excellent 0.96 ERA during their previous 7 games. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-30-18 | Capitals +136 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-2 | Win | 136 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
Washington @ Las Vegas 8:05 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Washington +136 (10*) The bottom line is, Game 1 could’ve gone either way and Las Vegas just received one lucky bounce more. Despite the loss, Washington is still a stellar 8-3 during this postseason. I look for Washington’s top line featuring Alex Ovechkin to have a huge game tonight and that will be enough in making the difference. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2 | Top | 87-79 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 711-712 Play On: Boston -2.0 (10*) I tried to be cute and fade the home standing Cavaliers in Game 6 and did so knowing the home teams had gone 5-0 SU&ATS in the first 5 games of this series. I pride myself on doing everything possible to not making the same mistake twice. Not only has the home teams gone 6-0 SU&ATS heading into Game 7, but all those contests were won by double-digit margins. Furthermore, Boston is 10-0 SU&ATS at home during these playoffs, and they won those contests by a decisive 11.0 points per game. It’s also worth noting, Boston is 14-1 ATS during their last 15 games this season when there +3.0 to -3.0 and won 13 of those contests straight up. Conversely, Cleveland is a dismal 5-15 SU&ATS in their last 20 road games this season when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-27-18 | Mets v. Brewers -137 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
Mets (Wheeler) @ Brewers (Chacin) 2:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Brewers -137 (10*) The Mets right-hander Wheeler has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts while posting a 6.55 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Mets own an uninspiring .237 team batting average in 2018, and they’ve gone 1-4 in their last 5 games. The Brewers starter Chacin has been terrific at home over the last 2 seasons with San Diego and now Milwaukee. Chacin has an excellent 1.59 ERA during 4 starts at Miller Park in Milwaukee. Chacin has also displayed superb form over his last 3 starts overall which is proven by him compiling a 156 ERA and 0.92 WHIP during those outings. Chacin has a very profitable 7-1 team start record on Sundays since 2017. Milwaukee is an outstanding 26-14 (.650) this season when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The Brewers will be facing a Mets team that averages 2.51 extra base hits per game, and they’ve gone 22-5 this season against teams that average 2.75 or less hits per game. Milwaukee’s bullpen has a stellar season ERA of 2.46. The Brewers are a red-hot 17-7 in their last 24 games. Any National League money line home favorite of -135 to -185 that’s playing on a Sunday, and their bullpen has a season ERA of 3.33 or less, versus a National League team with a season batting average of .255 or less, resulted in those favorites going 50-10 (83.3%) since 2014. Bet the Brewers on the money line for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +1 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 707-708 Play On: Boston +1.0 (10*) The home teams are 4-0 SU&ATS in this series and I look for that trend to continue. Furthermore, Boston is 9-0 SU&ATS at home during the 2018 NBA Playoffs and that includes a couple of double digits wins to over Cleveland to start these Eastern Conference Finals. Additionally, Boston is 17-3 SU&ATS this season when the point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Conversely, Cleveland is a dismal 7-16 ATS in their previous 23 games this season when there’s a point-spread of +3.0 to -3.0. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-22-18 | Braves +103 v. Phillies | Top | 3-1 | Win | 103 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Atlanta (McCarthy) @ Philadelphia (Velazquez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 901-902 Play On: Atlanta +103 (10*) Philadelphia’s Vincent Velazquez is 0-3 against Atlanta this season with a poor 9.23 ERA and 2.21 WHIP. The Atlanta Braves have outscored their opponents by an average of 1.4 runs per game this season. During the past 2 seasons, Vincent Velazquez is 0-8 in his team starts against opponents with a +1.0 or greater run per game differential. Atlanta’s Brandon McCarthy has gone 3-0 against Philadelphia in 2018 while posting a stellar 2.25 ERA. Atlanta lost to the Phillies on Monday by a score of 3-0. The Braves are 13-4 in 2018 following a loss and that includes 4-0 in their last 4 while donning that precise role. The Phillies Vincent Velazquez has a 4.37 ERA in 9 starts this season. The Braves bullpen is averaging 3.7 innings pitched per game. Atlanta is averaging a robust 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018. At the time of this writing, Atlanta is a money line underdog of +102 against Philadelphia. The combination of this data sets up a very profitable MLB money line underdog betting angle illustrated below. Any road team (Atlanta) that’s +125 to -125 on the money line that’s averaging 4.7 or more runs scored per game, and their bullpen is averaging 3.2 or more innings pitched per game, versus a National League teams with a starting pitcher who possesses a season ERA of 4.20 to 5.20, resulted in those road teams going 45-15 (75%) since 2014. The average money line for those 60 road teams was -105. Bet on Atlanta for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-20-18 | Rockets +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 85-126 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
Houston @ Golden State 8:05 PM ET Game# 503-504 Play On: Houston +7.5 (10*) Houston was left for dead after losing the opening game of this series at home. However, the Rockets responded with a convincing 127-105 blowout win in Game 2. Houston has now scored 100 points or more in 11 consecutive games. They made one simple adjustment from Game 1 to Game 2, and that was to speed up their pace offensively. The Rockets regularly didn’t attack until the tail end of the shot clock in Game 1, and that led to way too many one on one isolations with very little offensive options as a result. In Game 2, the Houston guards were penetrating early in the shock clock, and that led to better ball movement as well more quality shot attempts. I look for more of the same at Oracle Arena on Sunday. Any road team which has scored 100 points or greater in 5 or more consecutive games, and they’re facing an opponent coming off a loss by 20 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those teams going 48-20 (70.6%) straight up during the past 5 seasons, and that includes 17-5 this year. Since this betting angle supports the underdog in this game, it creates that much more wagering value. Bet on Houston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-19-18 | Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Boston @ Cleveland 8:35 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Boston +6.5 (10*) The betting public seems to be banking on Cleveland bouncing back on Saturday after a pair of embarrassing double-digit losses at Boston during the first 2 games of this series. However, this is a Cavaliers team that is a dismal 12-35 ATS (28.6%) as a home favorite and that includes 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when cast into that precise role. The sportsbooks and bettors continue to show little respect for Boston. The Celtics are an excellent 23-8 ATS this season as an underdog and won 17 of those 31 games straight up. The first 2 games of this Eastern Conference Finals went under the total. That’s significant since Boston is a remarkable 18-1 straight up this season following 2 or more consecutive games going under the total. Saturday will be only the 4th game in the last 14 days for Cleveland. They’ve gone an uninspiring 12-18 straight up this season when playing in their 6 games or less over a 14-game period. Boston is coming off home wins in each of their previous 3 games. Saturday will be just the 5th game in 14 days for the Celtics. The combination of this data sets up a super NBA betting angle which is displayed below. Any team that’s coming off 3 or more wins in a row and all those victories occurred at home, versus an opponent coming off a road loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those teams going 54-12 (81.8%) straight up during the past 5 seasons. Considering this straight up betting angle supports tonight’s underdog it takes on added wagering value. Bet on Boston plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-16-18 | Jets +113 v. Golden Knights | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Las Vegas 9:05 PM ET Game# 3-4 Play On: Winnipeg +113 (10*) Winnipeg is coming off a 3-1 home loss to Las Vegas on Monday night. The Jets are a remarkable 27-4 this season when revenging a same season loss. Furthermore, Winnipeg is a perfect 6-0 during their last 6 following a loss in their previous outing and won by the decisive average of 3.2 goals per game. Wednesday will be just the 3rd game in 10 days for Las Vegas. Any team (Winnipeg) that’s facing an opponent (Las Vegas) which is coming off a road win by 2 goals or more, and they’ll be playing in their 3rd game or less over the last 10 days, resulted in those teams going 59-29 (67%) during the past 5 seasons. The average money line for those 88 teams was +106.9. Bet on Winnipeg for 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-13-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +2 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show |
Cleveland @ Boston 3:35 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Boston +2.0 (10*) Cleveland is an uninspiring 5-12 SU&ATS in their last 17 away games this season when the point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. Boston has gone 7-0 SU&ATS at home during these 2018 NBA Playoffs and won by an average of 9.2 points per game. During those 7 postseason home outings, Boston has shot 47.0% and that includes converting on a red-hot 39.8% of its 3-point attempts. At the time of this writing (5/12), Boston is a 1.5-point home underdog. The Celtics have gone a perfect 8-0 ATS this season as a home underdog, and they also won 7 of those contests straight up. Boston closed out their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against Philadelphia with a 114-112 home win. The Celtics will enter the Eastern Conference Finals with a season long win percentage of .670 while Cleveland is at .624. This sets up a very profitable NBA betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home team (Boston) that’s coming off a home win by 3 points or less in their previous game played, and they and their opponent have a season win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those home teams going 53-20 (72.6%) straight up since 1996. The straight up results within this betting angle take on added significance considering what the current point-spread is. Bet on Boston for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-11-18 | Rays v. Orioles -125 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
Tampa Bay (Faria) @ Baltimore (Gausman) 7:05 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Baltimore -125 (10*) Jacob Faria has made 1 start this season against Baltimore and it was less than inspiring. During that outing, Faria allowed 4 earned runs on 4 hits while walking 3 in just 4 1/3 innings of work. His teammates have been offensively abysmal of late. The Rays are averaging a paltry 2.7 runs scored per game while collecting a terrible .603 OPS throughout their last 7 outings. Baltimore’s Kevin Gausman has displayed excellent form during his previous 3 starts by compiling a terrific 1.19 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in those outings. Gausman has made 5 starts against Tampa Bay since 2016 and had a dominating 0.56 ERA during those appearances. Bet on Baltimore for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-10-18 | Jets +135 v. Predators | Top | 5-1 | Win | 135 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Nashville 8:05 PM ET Game# 53-54 Play On: Winnipeg +135 (10*) Nashville forced a deciding Game 7 by winning 4-0 this past Saturday at Winnipeg. Nevertheless, Nashville has gone 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win during these 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Predators are just 3-3 at home this postseason. Furthermore, Nashville is 1-6 this season following a road shutout win and 0-4 this year when coming off a road win by 3 goals or more. Meanwhile, Winnipeg is 5-0 in its last 5 games following a loss and that includes 3-0 in the playoffs. The road teams are 4-2 in this playoff series. Bet on Winnipeg for a 10* Top Play money line underdog wager. |
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05-06-18 | Cubs +110 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
Cubs (Lester) @ Cardinals (Wacha) 8:05 PM ET Game#913-914 Play On: Cubs +110 (10*) Michael Wacha will make his first start of the season against Chicago. Wacha was 0-4 in 4 starts against the Cubs last season and posted a sizable 7.77 ERA during those outings. Since 9/18/15, Wacha is 0-3 at Bush Field in St. louis when facing the Cubs and he compiled a horrible 12.21 ERA during those outings. John Lester has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts by posting a 1.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP during those outings. Since 2016, Lester has made 9 starts against St. Louis and collected a brilliant 1.88 ERA in those appearances. Lester will be facing a Cardinals team which at the start of Saturday’s action had a team .313 OBP and .235 batting average in 2018. Lester is 36-9 in his career team starts against National League clubs who own a .250 or worse batting average. Lester is also an extremely profitable 34-8 in his team starts since 2017 when facing an opponent with a team OBP of .325 or less. Bet on the Cubs for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Sharks -135 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Las Vegas @ San Jose 7:35 ET Game# 65-66 Play On: San Jose -135 (10*) San Jose may have lost Game 5 at Las Vegas, but they showed me some character and grit by not quitting despite being down 4-0 midway through the 3rd period. The Sharks responded with 3 unanswered goals and ultimately allowed an empty net goal in a 5-3 defeat. Couple the momentum they can take away from that furious comeback that just fell short, plus the desperation and urgency they’ll be playing with on home ice while attempting to stave off elimination, and you have a lethal combination. Furthermore, after being shutout in this series opener, San Jose has scored 3 goals or more in 4 straight games. The Sharks are a perfect 7-0 at home this season following 3 straight games in which they scored 2 goals or more. Bet on San Jose for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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05-06-18 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5.5 | Top | 118-92 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State @ New Orleans 3:35 ET Game# 705-706 Play On: New Orleans +5.5 (10*) Golden State has attempted 90 field goals or more in each of the last 3 games of this series. The Warriors are a dismal 2-6 straight up this season following 2 straight games that they had 90 or more field goal attempts. Golden State is also a money draining 8-20 ATS after game 41 of this season versus teams with a winning record. I cashed with New Orleans in their blowout win on Friday and I’m coming right back with them on Sunday. I’m doing so for many of the same reasons discussed on Friday. New Orleans is 10-2 SU&ATS during their previous 12 games. Included in that stretch is a 5-0 SU&ATS home record during which they won by a massive 19.2 points per game. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-05-18 | Penguins v. Capitals -110 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Pittsburgh @ Washington 7:05 PM ET Game# 59-60 Play On: Washington -110 (10*) Pittsburgh is coming off a 3-1 win in Game 4 to even this series up at 2-2. During the past 3 seasons, Pittsburgh is a poor 13-24 on the road following a game in which they allowed 1 goal or less. Conversely, Washington is 14-3 this season following a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. The Capitals are also a very profitable 18-7 this season when playing with same season revenge., and that includes a 4-1 home win in Game 2 of this series. I put very little stock into how teams do on a specific day of the week. However, today’s situation is an exception to the rule. Pittsburgh is a dismal 1-9 this season during away games played on Saturdays. Meanwhile, Washington is a stellar 15-4 this season in games played on a Saturday. Bet on Washington for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-04-18 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Golden State @ New Orleans 8:05 PM ET Game# 513-514 Play On: New Orleans +5.0 (10*) Golden State has attempted a mammoth 105 and 96 field goal attempts during the first 2 games of this Western Conference Semifinal series. However, the Warriors are 2-5 straight up this season after attempting 90 field goal attempts or more during each of their previous 2 games. Conversely, Golden State scored a lofty 121 and 123 points in the first 2 games of the series. New Orleans is coming off a 121-116 road loss in Game 2 of this series on Wednesday night. The good news for the Pelicans is that they’ve gone 10-2 straight up this season after allowing 120 points or more in their previous game. Despite dropping the first 2 games of this series, New Orleans is still a very profitable 10-1 ATS during its previous 11 contests. Included in that money-making streak is the Pelicans going 4-0 SU&ATS at home and they outscored those opponents by a massive 19.3 points per game. Any home team (New Orleans) which has allowed 120 points or more in each of their previous 2 games played and is facing an opponent (Golden State) that’s scored 110 points or more during each of its last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 57-34 (62.6%) straight up over the past 5 seasons. Couple that with tonight’s home team being an underdog and we have a strong betting situation. Bet on New Orleans plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-03-18 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 205.5 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Boston 8:35 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Over 205.5 (10*) Boston is currently and 4.5-point underdog in Game 2 of this series. The Celtics are coming off a convincing series opening 117-101 win over Philadelphia and did so as a 4.0-point home underdog. Boston has gone over the total in all 7 of their contests this season following a home underdog straight up win. Boston has also gone over the total in 8 of its previous 9 at home and scored 106 points or more on 8 of those occasions. Meanwhile, they’ll be facing a 76ers team which has scored 101 points or more during each of their last 22 games. Philadelphia is 17-6 (74%) over the total this season as a road favorite and there was a combined 221.1 points scored per game. |
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05-01-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | Top | 116-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
New Orleans @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET Game# 709-710 Play On: Over 227.5 (10*) New Orleans enters today with a season defensive field goal percentage of 45.5 and Golden State is at 44.5. Both teams have an identical -1 rebounds per game differential. This sets up a NBA super angle pertaining to tonight’s total on this contest which is illustrated below. Any NBA game with a total of 220.0 or more involving teams playing after game 41 of their seasons that have a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5 to 45.5, and each team has a rebound per game differential of +3 to -3, resulted in those games going 56-14 (80%) over the total since 1996. Those 70 games went over the total by an average of 8.5 points per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-30-18 | Bruins v. Lightning UNDER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Boston @ Tampa Bay 8:05 PM ET Game# 15-16 Play On: Under 6.0 (10*) Boston is coming off a series clinching 7-4 win against Toronto and 6-2 versus Tampa in Game 1 of this series. The Bruins are outscoring their opponents by 0.8 goals per game this season. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask has made 5 starts against Tampa Bay this season and has posted a stellar .931 save percentage during those appearances. Tampa Bay has gone 12-5 (70.6%) under the total this season after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Any road team (Boston) with a total of 6.0 or greater that’s outscoring its opponents by 0.65 or more goal per game on the season, and they’re coming off 2 straight wins by 3 goals or more, resulted in those games going 36-10 (78.3%) under the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-29-18 | Jets v. Predators OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show |
Winnipeg @ Nashville 7:05 PM ET Game# 13-14 Play On: Over 5.5 (10*) Winnipeg has won 20 of their last 25 and it’s elevated their season win percentage to .648. This sets up a straightforward NHL totals betting angle which has been extremely profitable during the past 5 seasons and is illustrated below. Any road team (Winnipeg) which has won 20 or more of their previous 25 games and possesses a win percentage of greater than .500, resulted in those games going 24-4 (85.7%) over the total throughout the past 5 NHL campaigns. This exact betting angle is also 19-2 (90.5%) over the total during the past 3 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-28-18 | Yankees v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 11-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
Yankees (Tanaka) @ Angels (Richards) 9:07 PM ET Game# 927-928 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) The Yankees Masahiro Tanaka has seen all 4 of his career starts against the Angels go under the total and his stellar 1.63 ERA during those outings had a lot to do with it. Tanaka made 2 of those starts in Anaheim and posted a microscopic 0.63 ERA in 14 2/3 innings pitched. After a rough start to the season the Yankees bullpen has settled down and is performing up to their high standards. During the last 7 games Yankees relievers have a cumulative 1.25 ERA. The Yankees hitting has been drastically better at home than on the road thus far in 2018. The Angels have been offensively anemic of late, evidenced by their awful .177 team batting average over their last 7 games. Angels starter Garrett Richards has displayed very good form during his last 3 starts by compiling a 2.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-27-18 | Thunder v. Jazz OVER 206.5 | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ Utah 10:35 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Over 206.5 (10*) Utah has seen 5 of its last 6 home games go over the total, and that includes the 2 contests played in Salt Lake in this playoff series. During those 6 contests Utah averaged 114.7 points scored per game, shot a red-hot 50.9% of their field goal attempts, and converted on a more than respectable 38.1% of its 3-point shots. The last 2 games of this series have been very physical, and as a result there were an extremely high 56.5 free throw attempts per contest. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-25-18 | Jazz +4 v. Thunder | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Utah @ Oklahoma City 9:35 PM ET Game# 715-716 Play On: Utah +4.0 (10*) After winning the opening game of this series, Oklahoma City has lost 3 straight and now finds themselves on the brink of elimination. Their defeats in Games 3-4 in Utah both came by double-digit margins, and the last of which came by a score of 113-96. The Thunder are a dismal 5-20 ATS this season when playing with same season revenge. Utah has gone an outstanding 32-7 in their last 39 game, and that includes 16-3 during its previous 19 on the road. The Jazz are 11-1 this season following 2 straight wins that came by 10 points or more, and they outscored those opponents by a decisive 15.1 points per contest. Utah is also 24-4 this season following 2 or more wins in a row. Any team (Utah) that’s facing an opponent (OKC) which is playing with same season tripe revenge, and they allowed 105 points or more in their previous game played, resulted in those teams going 35-10 (77.8%) straight up since 1996. This NBA straight up betting angle takes on added value since it backs tonight’s underdog. Bet on Utah plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-24-18 | A's -110 v. Rangers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show |
Oakland (Triggs) @ Texas (Hamels) 8:05 ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Oakland -110 (10*) Texas is an abysmal 3-11 at home this season. The Rangers bullpen has been atrocious throughout their last 7 games evidenced by a staff 7.89 ERA and 1.94 WHIP. Cole Hamels has made 6 starts against Oakland since 2016 and compiled a lofty 5.34 ERA. Andrew Triggs has made 3 career starts versus Texas and all those occurred since 2016. During those 4 outings Triggs posted a superb 1.08 ERA and 0.66 WHIP during those 3 outings. Triggs was facing more formidable Texas batting outing in those past starts compared to the one he’ll go against tonight. Oakland enters this AL West series on a 7-1 roll during its last 8 games. The A’s have been ripping the cover off the ball of late and their bullpen has performed solidly since the season’s inception. Bet on Oakland for a 10* Top Play money line wager. |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 202.5 | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
Milwaukee @ Boston 7:05 PM ET Game# 701-702 Play On: Over 202.5 (10*) There’s times it’s best not to overthink or overanalyze a betting situation. This qualifies as one of those occurrences. Milwaukee has gone 19-2 (90.5%) over the total during its last 21 games played. That includes going over the number in all 4 games of this NBA Eastern Conference Playoff series. Those 21 contests have produced a combined 224.4 points scored per game. Furthermore, Milwaukee has gone over the total in their previous 6 games played against Boston this season. The average total in those 6 contests was 204.0 and there were a combined 212.2 points scored per game. During the first 4 games of this series, Milwaukee is shooting a sizzling hot 54.2% while connecting on an excellent 43.6% of its 3-point attempts. Boston has seen each of their previous 8 games go over the total. The average total in those 8 contests was 204.0 and there were 214.3 points scored per game. During that stretch, Boston has been lackluster defensively while allowing opponents to shoot 50.2% in addition to making 41.9% of its 3-point tries. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-23-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +6 | Top | 119-100 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
Houston @ Minnesota 8:05 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Minnesota +6.0 (10*) Minnesota us 6-1 ATS this season as a home underdog, and that includes their Game 3 double-digit straight up win as a 6.5-point underdog. The Timberwolves are a stellar 31-11 (.738) this season at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves need tonight’s game badly and can ill afford to go back to Houston down 3-1 in this series. On a very encouraging note, Minnesota is 27-5 (.844) straight up this season after losing 2 of their previous 3 games. Meanwhile, dating back to the end of regular season action, Houston is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and lost straight up on 3 of those occasions. The usually explosive Rockets averaged just 98.2 points scored per game during those 5 contests while shooting a poor 41.5% from the field. Houston is also a dismal 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall while losing 3 of those contests straight up. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-21-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Houston @ Minnesota 7:35 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Minnesota +6.5 (10*) Minnesota has gone a very good 28-13 (.683) at home this season. Additionally, they’re about to play their first home playoff games in 14 years and it’s sure to be an electric atmosphere. The Timberwolves will also be playing with desperation and urgency being down 2-0 in this series. No NBA team has ever rebounded from a 3-0 series deficit to win. Counting the playoffs, Minnesota is 47-37 this season while Houston is a superb is 67-17 (.798). The records of these two teams sets up a NBA money line betting angle which sides with the underdog in this contest, and is illustrated below. Any home team with a winning record and is playing in April versus an opponent with a win percentage of .750 or better has gone 52-28 (65%) straight up since 1996. Since the home team in this contest is an underdog the previously mentioned NBA straight up angle takes on added betting value. Bet on Minnesota plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-21-18 | Astros v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Astros (Keuchel) @ White Sox (Giolito) 7:10 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) Houston left-hander Dallas Keuchel is 0-3 in 3 road starts this season with a 4.00 ERA. The White Sox have faced 4 left-handed starters this season and they’ve averaged 8.5 runs per game. The Sox have gone over the total in 4 straight games and they allowed 8 runs or more on all 4 occasions. Included in those 4 results was yesterday’s 10-0 loss to Houston. White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito will be working on 8 days rest today and he’s posted a lofty 5.50 ERA during his first 3 starts in 2018. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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04-20-18 | Wild v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Minnesota @ Winnipeg 7:35 ET Game# 11-12 Play On: Over 5.5 (5*) Both power play units have been very good this season and that’s played true to form in the first 4 games of this series. Winnipeg has averaged a robust 3.9 goals scored per game at home this season. Conversely, Minnesota has allowed 3.5 goals per game on the road. The Wild will certainly be desperate tonight being down 3-1 in this series. Minnesota has gone 13-4 over the total in franchise history during playoff games in which they’re facing elimination. These teams have seen 7 of their 9 meetings go over the total during the past 3 seasons in games played at Winnipeg. Winnipeg is coming off a 2-0 win at Minnesota in game 4. The Jets enter today’s game with a stellar season win percentage of .640. This sets up a very profitable NHL totals betting angle illustrated below. Any team (Winnipeg) coming off a road shutout win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, resulted in those games going 55-25 (68.8%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |