Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-29-22 | Mississippi State v. Texas Tech -7 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Texas Tech 6:00 PM ET Game# 733-734 Play On: Texas Tech -7.0 (10*) This isn’t a good matchup for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 0-3 in true road game this season and they allowed 80 or more points on each occasion. They’ll be facing a Texas Tech team that’s 12-0 at home with an average victory margin of 23.7 points per game. Additionally, the Red Raiders are holding their visiting opponents to a mere 57.7 points per game and 37.8% shooting from the field. Mississippi State has faced just 1 team this season that’s currently ranked in the Top 25 and it was an 8-point loss at Kentucky in their previous game. Conversely, Texas Tech has gone 4-4 this season versus ranked teams. Bet Texas Tech minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-26-22 | Marquette v. Seton Hall -5.5 | Top | 73-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Marquette @ Seton Hall 8:30 PM ET Game# 729-730 Play On: Seton Hall -5.5 (10*) Marquette is a red-hot 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 contests. That impressive winning run has catapulted them into the Top 25 for a first time this season at #22. Seton Hall spent most of this first half of the season as a Top 25 team. However, they just recently fell out of the Top 25 rankings and is coming off a terrible 20-point home loss to St. John’s on Monday. It’s redemption time for the Pirates tonight after losing by 1 at Marquette less than 2 weeks ago. It’s also time for a statement win after they’ve seemingly been sleep walking during recent losses. Bet Seton Hall minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Illinois 7:00 PM ET Game# 619-620 Play On: Illinois -4.5 (10*) This line doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. We have #24 Illinois (13-5) who lost their last 2 games as a sizable favorite versus #10 Michigan State (15-3). Additionally, Michigan State is coming off a convincing upset win at #8 Wisconsin this past Friday which made them 3-0 SU&ATS this season in conference road games. Conversely, Illinois has suffered 2 home losses this season at the hands of #3 Arizona and #6 Purdue. It’s just rarely that easy. Give me Illinois minus the points. |
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01-24-22 | Jazz v. Suns UNDER 221 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Utah @ Phoenix 9:10 PM ET Game# 509-510 Play On: Under 221.0 (10*) Utah has seen each of their previous 4 games go under and there was a combined 205.3 points scored per contest. Phoenix has played under the total in its last 4 when the number was 216.5 to 226.5 and there was a combined 207.0 points scored per game. Utah is outscoring their opponents by 7.1 points per game. Conversely, Phoenix has outscored their opponents by 8.0 points per contest. Any NBA game involving teams that are outscoring their opponents by 7.0 or more points per game on the season, and the total was 220.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 24-2 (92.3%) to the under since 1996-1997. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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01-23-22 | Bills +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 10 m | Show |
Buffalo @ Kansas City 6:30 PM ET Game# 317-318 Play On: Buffalo +2.5 (10*) So, the Kansas City Chiefs are 10-1 in their last 11 games, the higher seed in this matchup, but they’re just a 1.5-point home favorite. The oddsmakers and early sharp money are huge indicators as to who the right side in this contest. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot Chiefs at this small of a number. Granted Kansas City has been exceptional in the 2nd half of the regular season and into the playoffs. However, Buffalo is currently on a 5-game win streak and held those opponents to 15.4 points and 237.2 yards per contest. By the way, the Chiefs have accumulated 378 yards or more of total offense in each of their previous 5 games. Nonetheless, Kansas City is just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS at home immediately following 4 straight games in which they had 375 yards or more of total offense. The Bills outgained New England by a massive margin of 177 yards during their 47-17 home blowout win last Saturday. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, Buffalo is 8-0 SU on the road following a game in which they outgained their opponent by 100 yards or more and had a decisive average victory margin of 18.4 points per contest. The Bills are one of just a few NFL teams that can match Kansas City’s offensive explosiveness. Bet Buffalo for a Top Play wager. |
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01-22-22 | Texas A&M v. Arkansas -8 | Top | 73-76 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Texas A&M @ Arkansas 8;30 ET Game# 797-798 Play On: Arkansas -8.0 (10*) Arkansas rebounded from a recent 3-game losing streak by winning its previous 3 games and all in impressive fashion. One of those wins came by 7 on the road at #13 LSU in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. Texas A&M is coming off a 64-58 home loss to Kentucky which halted their 8-game win streak. Despite that defeat, the Aggies still possess a sparkling 15-3 record and includes 4-1 in SEC action. Yet, they’re a sizable underdog versus an Arkansas squad that’s just 3-3 in SEC play and 13-5 overall. If there’s a trap game for college basketball bettors on Saturday’s enormous card this is the one. This line makes no sense to me and when that happens, I oppose what seems obvious. Bet Arkansas minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-22-22 | Bengals +3.5 v. Titans | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Tennessee 4:30 PM ET Game# 301-302 Play On: Cincinnati +3.5 (10*) Tennessee star running back Derrick Henry returns from injury after missing 9 games. However, it’s unlikely he will be given a heavy workload after that long hiatus. The Titans went only 4-3 SU in their last 7 games and included a home loss to lowly Houston. The Titans have allowed 280 yards or more passing 8 times this season. This has been an area of concern for 2 years now, and against a talented young quarterback (Joe Burrow) and group of receivers that Cincinnati possesses, there’s a good chance they’ll be further exposed. Cincinnati has gone 5-2 SU this season versus teams that made the playoffs, and their lone 2 losses came in overtime against Green Bay and San Francisco. Give me Cincinnati plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-21-22 | Michigan State +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 86-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Wisconsin 9:00 PM ET Game# 891-892 Play On: Michigan State +3.5 (10*) What’s not to like about Wisconsin’s recent play. They’ve won 7 consecutive games and covered each of their previous 5. However, they’ll be in for their toughest test to date versus a terrific Michigan State team that’s coming off a home upset loss to Northwestern. The Spartans are 2-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss while winning by 26.5 points per game. Michigan State is also an unscathed 3-0 SU&ATS in true road games this season with their average point-spread being -6.3 and an average victory margin of 11.7. Give me Michigan State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-20-22 | Suns v. Mavs +3 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Dallas 7:30 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Dallas +3.0 (10*) Phoenix is unequivocally the class of the Western Conference. However, tonight will be a finale of a 5-game in 10-day road trip for the Suns in which they’ve already gone 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS. The point being, it’s already been a successful trip for Phoenix and they’re vulnerable to a flat spot this evening The Dallas Mavericks are on a red-hot 10-1 SU run and that includes a current 4-game win streak in which they allowed 102 points or fewer on each occasion. They have also won 6 consecutive home games. This will be the Mavericks 4th straight game played at home. These teams last met on 11/19/21, and Phoenix walked away with a 112-104 home win. Dallas has gone an unscathed 7-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge. Bet Dallas plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-20-22 | Purdue v. Indiana +3.5 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Purdue @ Indiana 7:00 PM ET Game# 743-744 Play On: Indiana +3.5 (5*) #4 Purdue is coming off a thrilling 96-88 overtime win at #17 Illinois on Monday night. Now they take on an unranked Indiana team that they’ve beaten 9 consecutive times. Furthermore, Indiana is a perfect 11-0 SU at home this season and they covered 9 of those contests. The Hoosiers have been solid defensively in their 7 Big 10 Conference games while holding opponents to 63.6 points per contest and only 39.2% shooting. Bet Indiana plus the points. |
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01-19-22 | LSU v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
LSU @ Alabama 7:00 PM ET Game# 685-686 Play On: Alabama -3.5 (10*) This opening line and the ensuing movement jumped off the page at me. Alabama has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 and fell out of the Top 25 for a first time this season. Yet, they opened as a 2.5-point favorite and is now -4.0 against #13 LSU. Speaking of LSU, they’re coming off a listless performance during a 7-point upset home loss to unranked Arkansas. I’m looking for Alabama to bounce back in a huge way in this matchup. Bet Alabama minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-18-22 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +4 | Top | 67-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Kansas @ Oklahoma 7:00 PM ET Game# 631-632 Play On: Oklahoma +4.0 (10*) Oklahoma has lost 3 of their last 4 but all those defeats came on the road. The Sooners are 9-1 at home this season. I really like this Sooners team and think they’re much better than their 12-5 record indicates. Former Loyola-Chicago head coach Porter Moser was a great hire by Oklahoma, and he’s been involved in several high-pressured NCAA Tournament games and was quite successful in those games at his previous stop with a majority coming as an underdog. Kansas is just 1-1 in true road games this season and is coming off a narrow 1-point win over Iowa State in a contest they were a sizable 12.5-point favorite. Bet Oklahoma plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals +4 v. Rams | Top | 11-34 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Cardinals @ Rams 8:15 PM ET Game# 151-152 Play On: Cardinals +4.0 (10*) The Cardinals finished the regular season by losing 4 of its last 5 games. However, Arizona was a terrific 8-1 SU&ATS on the road this season and that includes 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog. It’s not like they feasted on a bunch of creampuffs. The Cardinals defeated 4 teams that qualified for the playoffs on the road in Dallas, LA Rams, Tennessee, and San Francisco. Conversely, the Rams went just 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS at home this season. Furthermore, Los Angeles was a dismal 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 at home versus teams that finished regular season action with a winning record. The road teams won and covered both games between these division rivals this season. Bet Arizona plus the points. |
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01-16-22 | 49ers +3 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 52 h 32 m | Show |
San Francisco @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: San Francisco +3.0 (10*) Dallas (13-5) is the NFC East champion and finished the regular season going 5-1 SU&ATS in their final 6 regular season contests. Yet, they opened and remain just a 3.0-point favorite versus an opponent that needed to overcome a 17-3 halftime deficit in their final regular season game just to qualify for the postseason. Since 2019, Dallas has gone 4-11 SU and 3-12 ATS when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0. The 49ers have been chasing the Rams and Cardinals all season when it comes to the NFC West standing and it became clear their only path to the postseason was a wildcard berth. So, they’ve been in win or go home mode over the final few weeks of regular season action. I look for that to pay dividends in this contest. Furthermore, the 49ers have been better on the road than at home this season. San Francisco is 7-2 SU in away games. Since the 2019-2020 season began, the 49ers are 4-1 SU&ATS in away games when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0. Bet the 49ers plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-15-22 | Patriots v. Bills -4.5 | Top | 17-47 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 143-144 Play On: Buffalo -4.5 (10*) Buffalo has scored 27 points or more in each of their last 5 games. Since Sean McDermott has taken over as head coach in Buffalo, the Bills are an unbeaten 10-0 SU and 8-1-1 ATS at home after scoring 25 points or more in each of their previous 2 games. Since 2009, Wildcard Round teams that win straight up have gone 47-8 ATS (85.4%). Do you see where I am going with this? I hope so. Since Bill Belichick took over as head coach in New England, his Patriots team have gone 36-8 versus Buffalo. However, since the start of last season which coincides with the departure of Tom Brady, New England is 1-3 SU&ATS versus Buffalo. Furthermore, heading into Week 15 of this season, New England held a comfortable 2.0 game lead over Buffalo in the AFC East standings. Then they lost 3 of their last 4 while Buffalo put together a 4-game win streak. One of those defeats was a 33-21 home setback to Buffalo in a game they were outgained 448-288. They will be playing against a Buffalo defense that’s allowed 15 points or fewer and 275 yards or less in each of their last 4 at home. Many people will jump all over a Bill Belichick coached New England team as a playoff underdog. I’m not one of them. Give me Buffalo minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-14-22 | Michigan v. Illinois OVER 143.5 | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
Michigan @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET Game# 895-896 Play On: Over 143.5 (10*) The Wolverines have averaged 63 field goal attempts per game in their last 5 which equates to a fast tempo and shot an impressive 48.3% while doing so. Conversely, Illinois has averaged 62 field goal attempts in their last 5 and shot 50.8% from the floor while making 41.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. Michigan has played 3-0 to the over in Big 10 Conference games and there was a combined 150.3 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 9-1-1 to the over in their last 11 and that includes 5-0 if the total was 141.0 or greater. Those 5 contests in that specific total’s parameter averaged a combined 163.4 points scored per contest. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Alabama 8:27 PM ET Game# 287-288 Play On: Georgia -2.5 (10*) These teams squared off just 5 weeks ago in the SEC Championship game and Alabama won 41-24 as a 6.0-point underdog. The Crimson Tide offense racked up 536 yards versus the vaunted Georgia defense which included a huge day from Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Young who threw for 421 yards and 3 touchdowns. Despite that convincing win, Alabama is currently a 2.5-point underdog, and the public is betting on Alabama like it’s found money on their doorsteps. Even with that poor performance versus Alabama, Georgia’s defense still ranks #1 nationally in points allowed (9.5 PPG) and #2 in yards allowed (254.4 YPG). This elite stop unit was embarrassed versus Alabama and look for them to come up with a huge effort tonight. The Georgia defense has received a plethora of accolades all season and rightfully so. However, Georgia’s offense has quietly averaged a quite impressive 46.6 points scored, and 486.5 yards gained per game over its last 6 contests. That includes racking up 449 yards in the loss to Alabama. The first time these teams met Georgia entered that contest 12-0 and was 99.9% sure that even with a loss they were going to be in the 4-team College Football Playoffs. Conversely, Alabama didn’t have that same luxury since they already had 1 loss on their regular season resume and it was highly improbable they would be part of the 4-team field as a 2-loss team. As a result, the Crimson Tide played with a far higher degree of urgency and desperation than Georgia displayed. I’m betting on Georgia to turn the table on their SEC rival. Lastly, Georgia has lost their last 7 meetings with Alabama, and yet here they are still a favorite in a National Championship Game. Alabama in this matchup. Bet Georgia minus the small number. |
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01-09-22 | Chargers v. Raiders +3 | Top | 32-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
Chargers @ Raiders 8:20 PM ET Game# 481-482 Play On: Raiders +3.0 (10*) Whoever wins this game will be in the postseason parade and the loser won’t be a participant. The Chargers are coming off a 34-13 home win over Denver. Nevertheless, the Chargers are 1-4 SU&ATS in their last 5 following a win. Additionally, they’re 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 away games when they’re +3.0 to -3.0 and are coming off a win and were outscored by 12.7 points per contest. The Chargers have scored 28 points or more in each of their last 5 games. However, throughout their previous 3 contests, the Chargers defense has allowed 29.3 points and 417.3 yards per game. Moreover, since 2019, the Chargers are 0-6 SU on the road following a game in which they scored 30 points or more and lost by an average of 10.0 points per game. The Raiders are coming off a huge win at Indianapolis last Sunday which extended their unbeaten streak to 3 games. What’s eye catching to me is they won those 3 games despite being having a combined turnover margin of -7. What’s been their main catalyst is a defense that allowed 15.7 points and 218.7 yards per game during this current win streak. Las Vegas will also be out to revenge a 28-14 road loss to the Chargers earlier this season. I look for the Raiders to come up with a huge effort on Sunday night and give their newly ordained city of Las Vegas a taste of playoff football for a first time. Bet the Raiders plus the points. |
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01-08-22 | Bucks v. Hornets -117 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
Bucks @ Hornets 7:10 PM ET Game# 207-508 Play On: Hornets -117 (10*) Milwaukee is coming off a huge win last night at Brooklyn in a game they closed as a 4.5-point underdog. The Bucks are just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS this season when playing with no rest. Additionally, this will be the Bucks 3rd game in 4 days as well. Charlotte will have a sizable advantage tonight since they haven’t played since Tuesday’s 140-111 blowout home win over Detroit. The Hornets are now 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 at home. Charlotte will also be out to revenge a 2-point loss at Milwaukee earlier this season in their only other meeting against the Bucks. Any NBA money line favorite that’s coming off a home win by 20 points or more, and they’re playing with same season revenge from a road loss, resulted in those teams going 61-12 throughout the previous 5 season including 5-0 during this current 2021-2022 slate. Bet the Hornets for a Top Play money line wager. |
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01-08-22 | Kansas v. Texas Tech +4.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Kansas @ Texas Tech 4:00 PM ET Game# 695-696 Play On: Texas Tech +4.5 (10*) #6 Kansas (12-1) has faced just 1 team this season currently in the Top 25 and that was in their season opener versus #10 Michigan State. Conversely, #25 Texas Tech (10-3) only 3 losses this season came at the hands of #16 Providence, #11 Iowa State, and #4 Gonzaga. The Red Raiders also own a win over #18 Tennessee. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, Texas Tech has gone 68-10 at home and that includes 8-0 in their current campaign. The Red Raiders are a terrific defensive team that is 9th nationally in field goal percentage defense and #11 in scoring defense. We have a team with a strong home court which holds opponents to less than 40% shooting, allows less than 60 points per game, and has an extremely strong court. Bet on Texas Tech plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-07-22 | Marquette v. Georgetown +2.5 | Top | 92-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Marquette @ Georgetown 6:30 PM ET Game# 861-862 Play On: Georgetown +2.5 (10*) Unranked Marquette is coming off a resounding 32-point home win over #16 Providence. We must keep things in perspective before overreacting to that blowout win which did indeed end a 4-game Marquette losing streak. Conversely, Georgetown is coming off a 80-73 home loss to TCY which put a halt to a 3-game Hoyas win streak. Marquette has played the much stronger schedule and has a better record than Georgetown. Yet, they’re just a tiny favorite in this matchup. It’s rarely that easy when it comes to sports betting. Bet Georgetown plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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01-06-22 | USC v. California +5.5 | Top | 77-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
USC @ California 11:00 PM ET Game# 835-836 Play On: California +5.5 (10*) USC enters this contest with unbeaten 12-0 record and ranked #7 in the country. Nevertheless, they will be facing a red-hot California team which has won 5 straight and by an average of 17.6 points per game. During this current win streak, Cal is allowing just 52.8 points per game and held their opponents to a miserable 34.9% shooting from the field. Additionally, throughout their 5-game win streak Call has converted on a terrific 39.5% of its 3-point shot attempts and is a +10 rebound per game differential. Lastly, Cal was upset in their home opener by UC-Sam Diego, and since that time has reeled off 9 consecutive wins in Berkely while covering 8 of those contests. Bet California plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-04-22 | Kings +6.5 v. Lakers | Top | 114-122 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Kings @ Lakers 10:35 PM ET Game# 529-530 Play On: Kings +6.5 (10*) The Lakers are coming off home wins in their last 2 outings which halted a 1-6 SU&ATS losing run. However, since the start of last season, the Lakers are an abysmal 1-12 ATS following home wins in each of their previous 2 games, and they were outscored by an average of 4.1 points per contest. Furthermore, since the start of the last season, the Lakers are a money-draining 3-12 ATS during division home games. Sacramento enters today having gone a more than respectable 3-1 SU&ATS in their last 4 games. The most recent of which was Sunday’s 2-point win over Miami. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, the Kings are an extremely profitable 14-3 ATS on the road following a win by 6 points or fewer. Bet the Kings plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-03-22 | Wisconsin v. Purdue -12.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Wisconsin @ Purdue 7:00 PM ET Game# 867-868 Play On: Purdue -12.5 (10*) We have two nationally ranked teams squaring off in this matchup. The #3 Purdue Boilermakers (12-1) enters this contest as a double-digit favorite versus the #23 Wisconsin Badgers (10-2). Purdue is 8-0 at home this season while winning by a substantial margin of 28.0 points per game. The Boilermakers have shot 50% or better in 10 of 13 games this season and have made an impressive 41.1% of their 3 point-shot attempts on the year. Purdue is also a dominant rebounding team at +14 per game in that category. The Badgers aren’t a great offensive nor rebounding team. Considering these are 2 ranked teams, this is a heavy line in which the sportsbooks are begging you to take the double-digit underdog. I’m not falling for the trap. Give me Purdue minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-02-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -7.5 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
Broncos @ Chargers 4:05 PM ET Game# 121-122 Play On: Chargers -7.5 (10*) These teams met just 5 weeks in Denver and the Broncos walked away with an easy 28-10 win. Yet, the oddsmakers weren’t deterred by that result based in this current point-spread. Additionally, Denver is coming off a pir of deflating losses 15-10 versus Cleveland and 17-13 to Las Vegas. That really put a dent into their postseason hopes and their overall confidence level. Los Angeles is also coming off losses to Houston 41-29 as a 13.0-point road favorite and in overtime to Kansas City. As a result, the Chargers are on the outside of the playoff bubble looking in with an 8-7 record. The Chargers will be facing a Denver team which has struggled to score at times this season. As a matter of fact, Denver has scored 13 points or fewer in 6 of their last 12 games. That hasn’t been the Chargers problem of late. During their last 4 outings, Los Angeles has averaged 33.8 points scored and 407.8 yards gained per game. NFL betting history show that teams like the Chargers in this exact situation have passed the test with flying colors. Any division favorite of 4.5 or greater that’s playing with revenge, and they’re coming off a non-division straight up favorite loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those favorites going 16-0 ATS since 1985. Furthermore, they won those contests by an enormous 20.3 points per game and their average line was -7.2. Bet the Chargers minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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01-01-22 | Utah +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
Utah vs. Ohio State 5:00 PM ET Game# 281-282 Play On: Utah +4.0 (10*) Ohio State had the much higher aspirations this season of winning a national championship compared to Utah. Nevertheless, they failed to even reach the Big 10 Championship Game and were dominated in a 42-27 loss to Michigan during their regular season finale. The Buckeyes will be missing their top 2 wide receivers in this contest who combined to score 25 touchdowns and amass just shy of 2000 receiving yards this season. Utah has won its first ever PAC-12 Championship in football and will be making their Rose Bowl debut. There’s no doubt in my mind they’ll have an emotional edge in this game as a result. Not to mention, Utah enters this contest on a 6-game win streak which included a pair of blowout wins over #15 Oregon. All 3 Utah losses this season have come by single-digit margins. Bet Utah plus the points for my “Bowl Game of the Year”. |
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12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 101 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
Georgia vs. Michigan 7:30 PM ET Game# 269-270 Play On: Georgia -7.5 (10*) Michigan has been a nice story this season in a year that head coach Jim Harbaugh entered on the proverbial hot seat. The former Wolverines quarterback has his team peaking at the right time. Here’s where the issue for me comes in with regards to backing Michigan. The Wolverines have run the ball on 60% of their offensive plays this season and they’ll be facing a Georgia defense which allows just 82.2 rushing yards per game. The Bulldogs stop units is also tied for 4th nationally with 42 sacks. Georgia was embarrassed in their 41-24 SEC Championship Game loss to Alabama. Nevertheless, I’m willing to give them a pass since win or lose they 100% knew a college football playoff invitation awaited. Georgia was a 6.0-point favorite in that defeat. The good news, Georgia is 4-0 SU&ATS this season immediately following a game in which they failed to cover. They won those 4 contests by a substantial average of 39.5 points per game. The Alabama game was the first time all season that Georgia allowed more than 17 points. The Bulldogs defense has received much acclaim this season and rightfully so. But don’t sleep on the Georgia offense which scored 41 points or more in 4 of their last 5 and collected 449 yards or greater on each occasion. Bet Georgia minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
Michigan State vs. Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 259-260 Play On: Pittsburgh +3.5 (10*) Both teams will be without their top offensive player. Pitt quarterback Kenny Pickett is a potential 1st round draft choice who opted out for risk of injury. All Picket did this season was throw for 4319 yards and 42 touchdowns. Michigan State will be without star running back Kenneth Walker III. Walker rushed for 1646 yards and 18 touchdowns this season while averaging a lofty 6.2 yards per carry. It comes down to this for me when handicapping this game. Which difference can make the difference between winning and losing? The answer to this then becomes simple. I unequivocally trust Pitt’s defense more than that of today’s opponent. Pitt is #40 in total defense, #6 in rush defense, and #2 in sacks nationally. Conversely, Michigan State is #117 out of 130 college football FBS teams in total defense and dead last in pass yards allowed. Bet Pittsburgh plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-29-21 | Iowa State +2.5 v. Clemson | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Iowa State vs. Clemson 5:45 PM ET Game# 251-252 Play On: Iowa State +2.5 (10*) #19 Clemson (9-3) and enters this Cheez-It Bowl on a 5-game win streak. Yet, they’re less than a field goal favorite versus unranked Iowa State (7-5). That’s all I need to know and especially considering that Iowa State opened as a favorite in this matchup. Iowa State will be without star running back Breece Hall who opted out to prepare for the NFL draft. However, they still have 4-year starting quarterback Brock Purdy who will be playing his final game in a Cyclones uniform. Bet on Iowa State plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-28-21 | Houston v. Auburn -120 | Top | 17-13 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
Houston vs. Auburn 12:00 PM ET Game# 237-238 Play On: Auburn -120 (10*) This line makes no sense whatsoever. Whenever this scenario occurs my antennas go up and usually results in me identifying a trap play. This is exactly what I deem this to be. Houston enters this Birmingham Bowl matchup with a superb 11-2 record and #21 national ranking. Yet they’re the underdog versus an Auburn team that’s 6-6 and has lost 4 straight games. If there was a silver lining during this current Auburn tailspin, it’s they took #1 Alabama to double overtime before losing by 2. Auburn has unequivocally played the tougher scheduled compared to Houston, and this bowl game is being played in their home state of Alabama. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the ranked underdog in this contest. My answer to them is no thank you. Bet Auburn on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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12-26-21 | Broncos -103 v. Raiders | Top | 13-17 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 41 m | Show |
Denver @ Las Vegas 4:25 PM ET Game# 477-478 Play On: Denver (-103) (10*) The loser of this contest for all intents and purposes will be eliminated from postseason contention. Las Vegas is coming off a 16-14 last second win at Cleveland but failed to cover as a 2.5-point favorite versus a COVID ridden Browns team. Throughout the previous 3 season, the Raiders are 0-9 straight up at home following an ATS loss and were outscored by 12.3 points per contest. During that identical time span, the Raiders are 0-6 SU at home in December. Lastly, Las Vegas is also 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 home games this season and were outscored by 16.0 points per contest. Denver is coming off a tough 15-10 home loss to Cincinnati. Nevertheless, the Broncos are 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 following a loss and won by a decisive margin of 16.7 points per game. Denver has endured their fair share of offensive struggles this season. Nonetheless, they’re 3-1 SU&ATS this season following a game in which they scored 14 points or fewer. The Broncos will also be out to revenge an earlier season 34-24 home loss to Denver. I’m of the strong opinion that they’re in a prime spot to get that done on Sunday. Bet Denver for a Top Play wager. |
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12-19-21 | Packers v. Ravens +7 | Top | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
Green Bay @ Baltimore 4:25 PM ET Game# 315-316 Play On: Baltimore +7.0 I like the Ravens with or without Lamar Jackson. I assume at +7.0 it will be Tyler Huntley at quarterback. If Lamar gets the green light and get medical clearance on his injured ankle, then we aren’t going to be getting 7.0 points it will be more like 3.5 or 4.0 and that’s still fine. Tyler Huntley has accounted himself well when called upon this season. He was the starter in place of the injured Jackson at Chicago when the Ravens walked away with a 16-13 win. Last week, he just came up short of rallying Baltimore from a 24-6 halftime deficit at Cleveland, but the Ravens fell 24-22. Baltimore has gone 4-0 in non-division home games this season which includes wins Kansas City (10-3), LA Chargers (8-5), Indianapolis (7-6), and the best 6-7 team in years the Minnesota Vikings. Baltimore has gone 8-0 SU&ATS during the last 4 weeks of regular season action over the last 2 years and won by a decisive margin of 17.8 points per game. Additionally, since 2019, Baltimore is a perfect 3-0 SU&ATS as a home underdog and won by an average of 12.0 points per game. All 3 losses by Green Bay this season were sustained away from Lambeau Field. They also escaped with narrow road wins by 3 in overtime versus Cincinnati, by 3 over Arizona, and 2 against San Francisco. It’s inevitable that Green Bay will win the NFC North and that may transpire as soon as the Vikings and Bears Monday night game goes final. I just firmly believe that a Jim Harbaugh coached Ravens team will be difficult for Green Bay to pull away from regardless of the adversity they may be facing. Bet Baltimore plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -130 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 48 m | Show |
New England @ Indianapolis 8:20 PM ET Game# 311-312 Play On: Indianapolis -130 (10*) New England has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 games, they’re coming off a bye week, and are 2 games better than Indianapolis in the AFC standings. Yet they find themselves as an underdog in this matchup. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the Patriots and I’m not falling for the bait. If the season were to end today, New England would make the playoffs as a wild card team. However, with a loss on Saturday night they’ll assuredly be on the outside looking in. Conversely, New England has a 2.0 game lead over 2nd place Buffalo in the AFC East standings, and they host Buffalo a week from this upcoming Sunday. The point being that desperation and urgency squarely favors the home team in this matchup. Furthermore, New England isn’t the only team that enters this contest red-hot. The Colts have won 5 of their last 6 with their lone loss coming against defending world champion Tampa Bay. Bet Indianapolis on the money line for a Top Play wager. |
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12-18-21 | Oregon State -7 v. Utah State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
Oregon State @ Utah State 7:30 PM ET Game# 215-216 Play On: Oregon State -7.0 (10*) Utah State crushed San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game 46-13 in a game they closed as a 6.5-point underdog. The Aggies enter this Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl having won 7 of their last 8 yet find themselves as a touchdown underdog versus a 7-5 Oregon State team. This is one of those situations where I trust the oddsmakers ability to set an accurate line more than what may appear to be obvious underdog betting value. As opposed to most Power 5 Conference teams playing opponents from the Group of 6 Conferences, Oregon State is delighted to be playing in a bowl game and will be plenty motivated. Especially when considering that Oregon State went a dismal 10-32 during the previous 4 seasons. Bet Oregon State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
Coastal Carolina vs. Northern Illinois 6:00 PM ET Game# 203-204 Play On: Coastal Carolina -10.5 (10*) Northern Illinois is the MAC Champion that comes into this Cure Bowl matchup in Orlando Florida with a 9-4 record. However, they allowed 40 points or more in each of their 4 losses and were outgained by an average of 26.1 yards per game. Conversely, Coastal Carolina averaged 40.4 points scored per game and outgained their opponents by an average of 166.3 yards per contest. They will be facing a Northern Illinois defense that’s allowed 32.7 points per game this season. Since the start of last season, Coastal Carolina has gone a dominating 8-0 SU&ATS when facing an opponent that allows 31.0 or more points per game and they won by a decisive margin of 20.7 points per contest. Lastly, although Coastal Carolina didn’t reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game despite an outstanding 10-2 record, their 2 losses came by just a combined 5 points. They were that close to going undefeated. Bet Coastal Carolina minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-15-21 | Akron v. Wright State OVER 146 | Top | 66-48 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Akron @ Wright State 7:00 PM ET Game# 657-658 Play On: Over 146.0 (10*) Wright State has seen each of its last 4 contests go over the total and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. According to college basketball statistical guru Ken Pomeroy, Wright State ranks 31st out of 358 Division 1 teams in offensive tempo while averaging 72.2 possessions per 40 minutes. Additionally, Wright State opponents have an average length of offensive possession against them is 15.7 seconds which is 5th fastest in the country. Akron has also played 4-0 to the over in its last 4 with a combined average of 145.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Akron has made an excellent 79.4% of their free throws and 39.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Bet this game over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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12-14-21 | Alabama v. Memphis +3.5 | Top | 78-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Alabama @ Memphis 9:00 PM ET Game# 633-634 Play On: Memphis +3.5 (10*) This game has trap written all over it. We have #6 Alabama coming off huge wins in their last 2 outings over #5 Gonzaga and #14 Houston who both were Final Four Teams last April. Then there’s Memphis who’s gone 0-4 SU&ATS in their last 4 games after starting the season 5-0 and being nationally ranked. Yet, Alabama is a short favorite in this spot and would seem to be an obvious choice for novice bettors. Well, I’m not a novice and rarely does obvious choices in sports betting appeal to me. Bet Memphis plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-13-21 | Wizards v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Washington @ Denver 9:10 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Over 215.5 (10*) Both teams have played a high percentage of overs recently. Washington has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was a combined average of 227.3 points scored per game. Denver has gone over the total in their last 3 as well with each of those contests surpass the number by 18.5 points or more. Additionally, Denver has played 10-1 to the over in 10 of its last 11 and 12 of their previous 14 games. The Nuggets are off to a disappointing 13-13 start to the season. Any NBA team (Denver) that has gone over the total by 12 points or more in each of their previous 3 games, and has a season win percentage of between .450-.550, resulted in those teams playing 39-10 (79.6%) to the over during the past 5 seasons. There was a combined average of 231.3 points scored per game throughout those 49 contests. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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12-12-21 | Raiders v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Raiders @ Chiefs 1:00 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Chiefs -9.5 (10*) After starting the season 5-2, the Raiders have gone on to lose 4 of its last 5 games. Las Vegas scored 16 points or fewer in all 4 of those defeats. Kansas City enters this week on a 5-game win streak in addition to covering each of its last 3. It’s the Chiefs defense and not their offense that has been the catalyst throughout those 5 Kansas City wins. Furthermore, and since 2019, the Chiefs are 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in their previous 2 contests while winning by an average of 15.3 points per game. Lastly, Kansas City walloped the Raiders during their earlier season meeting in Las Vegas by a final score of 41-14. The Chiefs had a huge total offense yards edge of 516-299. Bet the Chiefs minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +3 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Arizona @ Illinois 5:00 PM ET Game# 671-672 Play On: Illinois +3.0 (10*) This line opened with #11 Arizona (8-0) being a 1.0-point favorite and now it’s -3.0 against unranked Illinois (7-2). Public betting has surely been influenced by Arizona not only being 8-0 but 7-1 ATS as well. Conversely, Illinois started the season 2-2 but has reeled off 5 straight wins since. They covered each of their previous 3 versus Notre Dame, Rutgers, and at Iowa. During their current 5-game win streak Illinois has averaged a robust 84.2 points scored per game, shot 51.6%, and converted on a superb 41.5% of its 3-point attempts. Illinois also possesses an outstanding +14 rebound per game margin. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Illinois is 31-5 at home and has only been an underdog once. Bet Illinois plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-09-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs -124 | Top | 111-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
Denver @ San Antonio 8:35 PM ET Game# 531-532 Play On: San Antonio -124 (10*) This line jumped right off the page at me. We have a San Antonio team that’s 8-15 overall including 4-7 at home that opened as an underdog and is now favorite over a perceived better team (Denver). Denver is coming off a grueling overtime win at New Orleans last night. That’s significant when considering the Nuggets haven’t won 2 straight road games so far this season. As a matter of fact, Denver is 0-3 SU&ATS this season on the road following a road win and lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. Despite last night’s win, Denver has gone a dismal 3-8 SU&ATS during its previous 11 contests. Denver has allowed their last 4 conference opponents to shoot 50% or better on each occasion. Conversely, San Antonio is 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6. The Spurs have shot a more than respectable 47.4% from the field in addition to converting on a solid 38.3% of its 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Bet San Antonio for a money line wager. |
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12-08-21 | Michigan State -7 v. Minnesota | Top | 75-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Michigan State @ Minnesota 9:00 PM ET Game# 703-704 Play On: Michigan State -7.0 (10*) Minnesota enters this contest with an unblemished 7-0 record. Yet, they received no votes in the latest college basketball AP Poll and for good reason in my opinion. They haven’t really beat anyone of note. The Golden Gophers will be playing its first game this season against a ranked opponent. The public will surely be enticed to take an unbeaten sizable home underdog like Minnesota against a 2-loss opponent. I on the other hand, look at this contest from a contrarian betting viewpoint. #19 Michigan State is 6-2 with their only losses coming to #2 Baylor and #9 Kansas in their season opener. They own a win on a neutral floor over #15 Connecticut and another coming at home by 9 over Louisville. The Spartans are unequivocally more battle tested of the 2 teams in this matchup and it will pay dividends this evening. Not to mention, they’ll be out to revenge an embarrassing 25-point loss at Minnesota last season. Bet Michigan State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
New England @ Buffalo 8:15 PM ET Game# 475-476 Play On: Buffalo -2.5 (-122) (10*) New England has gone 6-0 SU&ATS in their last 6 games and enters this contest the hottest team in the NFL. Additionally, the Patriots have gone 5-0 on the road this season. Yet, here they are as a road underdog versus a Bills team that’s just 3-3 in their last 6 games. Like I said on many occasions, it’s rarely that east when it comes to sports betting and tonight’s game will be a prime example of such. It also must be noted, 4 of the 5 road wins by New England have come over teams that currently have a losing record in the Jets (3-9), Texans (2-10), Panthers (5-7), and Falcons (5-7). The lone exception was their win at the Chargers (7-5). New England is coming off a 36-13 home win over Tennessee last Sunday. However, that final score is a bit deceiving since they only were able to Buffalo is coming off a 31-6 blowout win at New Orleans in a game they held the Saints to a mere 146 passing yards. Since 2019, Buffalo is 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS following a game in which they allowed 150 or fewer passing yards and includes 4-0 SU&ATS (+16.2 PPG) at home. Furthermore, since 2019, Buffalo is 5-0 SU at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer and they won by an average of 13.8 points per contest. Kudos to the New England Patriots and future Hall of Fame head coach Bill Belichick for the masterful job he’s done so far this season. Nonetheless, Buffalo is the better team in this matchup and they’ll make a huge statement tonight to fulfill that statement. Bet Buffalo minus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -9.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 30 h 1 m | Show |
Denver @ Kansas City 8:20 ET Game# 457-458 Play On: Kansas City -9.5 (10*) The public has jumped all over Denver to cover this contest as of this writing. Nonetheless, I’m here to tell you they’re dead wrong. Yes, I know the Chiefs have been a terrible play on as a home favorite this season and last. I also know Denver is coming off an impressive 28-13 home win over the Chargers and recently blew out Dallas in Arlington. It doesn’t matter, because I don’t see this as a favorable betting situation for the sizable road underdog. The Chiefs seemed to sleepwalk through the first half of the season and frankly looked uninspired. However, Kansas City has recently caught fire and enter this week on a 4-game win streak. The most encouraging part of that successful run was the play of their defensive unit. The Chiefs have allowed an average of 11.7 points and 294.0 yards per game while also forcing 8 turnovers. Furthermore, they’ve owned the Broncos in recent seasons while going 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS against them. Lastly, Kansas City is just 1.0 game ahead of Denver in the standings, yet they are more than a touchdown favorite. It sure feels like the sportsbooks are baiting to take the road underdog. Thanks, but no thanks. Bet on Kansas City minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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12-04-21 | Iowa v. Michigan -10.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
Iowa vs. Michigan 8:00 PM ET Game# 321-322 Play On: Michigan -10.5 (10*) Give a lot of credit to Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz and his staff for getting Iowa to the Big 12 Championship game despite some glaring offensive weaknesses. Case in point, the Hawkeyes averaged just 20.7 points per game in their final 7 Big 10 Conference games. Unquestionably the Hawkeyes defense has been the catalyst to a successful 10-2 regular season campaign. Nonetheless, Michigan’s defense has been superb as well. The Wolverines are #14 nationally in total defense and #8 in scoring while allowing only 17.2 points per contest. Conversely, Iowa is 123rd out of 130 Division 1 teams in total offense at only 299.3 yards per game. The defenses comparisons are a wash since both units are elite. The telling difference in us covering this spread will be Michigan’s offense which is #20 nationally in total yards. The Wolverines offense is especially difficult to defend since their yards gained between run and pass are almost identical. Bet Michigan minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-30-21 | Warriors v. Suns -120 | Top | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Golden State @ Phoenix 10:05 PM ET Game# 535-536 Play On: Phoenix -120 (10*) This is a highly anticipated early season matchup between red-hot teams. Golden State has started the season 18-2 and has gone 7-0 SU&ATS in their last 7 contests. Phoenix enters this contest on a 16-game win streak. The Suns won’t be intimidated in this spot where the lights will be burning bright. This is a Phoenix team that fell to Milwaukee in 6 games during last season’s NBA Finals. The moment certainly won’t be too big for them, and this situation offers a golden opportunity for Phoenix to make a profound statement. Bet Phoenix for a Top Play money line wager. |
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11-30-21 | Duke v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Duke @ Ohio State 9:30 PM ET Game# 637-638 Play On: Ohio State +2.5 (10*) Duke is coming off a huge win over then #1 Gonzaga which catapulted them to the top spot in the latest AP Poll. Now thy find themselves as a short favorite on the road against an unranked Ohio State team that’s already suffered 2 losses this season. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the top ranked Duke Blue Devils. I am declining that invitation. Bet Ohio State plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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11-25-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 34 h 1 m | Show |
Buffalo @ New Orleans 8:20 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Buffalo -5.5 (10*) Buffalo will look to rebound from a humiliating and humbling 41-15 home blowout loss to the Colts. However, the Bills have gone 3-0 SU&ATS this season following a loss and win by a decisive margin of 26.0 points per game. So before you start digging a grave for the Bills you should definitely reconsider. Since 2019, Buffalo has gone 15-6 SU and 14-6-1 ATS during regular season away games under current head coach Sean McDermott. That includes 3-0 SU&ATS as a road favorite of 7.0 or less and after Game 6 of the season with an average victory margin of 25.0 points per game. New Orleans has been a profitable home underdog under head coach Sean Payton. But most of those occurrences happened with future Hall of Fame quarterback Drew Brees under center and not this year’s backup Trevor Simien. The Saints may also be without star running back Alvin Kamara who is recovering from a knee injury. Bet Buffalo minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-23-21 | Washington v. South Dakota State -6 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Washington vs. South Dakota State 9:30 PM ET Game# 613-614 Play On: South Dakota State -6.0 (10*) This line opened at 7.5 and is now down to 6.0. I’m of the opinion that public and not sharp money was the cause of the line move. After all, we have a poer conference team as an underdog versus an opponent from the Summit. Washington is coming off yesterday’s 77-74 upset win over George Mason in a game thy closed as a 4.5-point underdog. It was by far the Huskies best offensive performance of the year while shooting 48% and considering they shot 40% or worse in each of their first 4 contests. Washington is 3-2 and suffered resume killing home losses to Northern Illinois as a 20.0-point favorite and Wyoming. South Dakota State is a terrific mid-major team. I was on them yesterday as a 2.5-point favorite when they blew out Nevada 102-75. The Jackrabbits are 5-1 straight up and 4-1 ATS in lined games. They’ve been superb offensively to start the season which is evidenced by them averaging 90.7 points scored per game while shooting an impressive 51.4% and a spectacular 44.1% from 3-point territory. The Jackrabbits only defeat came at #10 Alabama 104-88. Despite that loss, they still shot a stellar 48.6%. This is considered a neutral site game despite being played Sioux Falls, South Dakota as part of the Crossover Classic Tournament. Bet South Dakota State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-22-21 | Grizzlies v. Jazz OVER 221 | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Memphis @ Utah 9:05 PM ET Game# 575-576 Play On: Over 221.0 (10*) Since the start of the 2019-2020 NBA season, these division rivals have met 6 times in Utah and there was a enormous 240.3 combined points scored per game. Utah has garned the reputation of a deadly 3-point shooting teams in recent seasons. Although they are just a tad over 34% in that category this season, The Jazz are still attempting 42 three-points shot and 14 makes per game. Conversely, Memphis has allowed home teams to convert on 42% on their 3-point attempts this season. Utah has scored 120, 119, and 123 points in their last 3 games. Memphis has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 with a combined average of 233.0 points scored per game. Each of those contests went over the total by 7.0-points or more. Memphis is presently a 10.5-point underdog. Since the start of last season, they’ve played 10-1 to the over when their point-spread is between +6.5 and +12.5, and there was a combined 238.4 points scored per contest. Furthermore, Memphis has played at a blazing offensive pace this season which is proven by their 94 field goal attempts per game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-21-21 | Bengals v. Raiders +1 | Top | 32-13 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Las Vegas 4:05 PM ET Game# 469-470 Play On: Las Vegas +1.0 (10*) Las Vegas is coming off a disheartening 41-13 home underdog loss to Kansas City. That loss dropped their season record to 5-4. They will be facing a Cincinnati team that’s coming off 2 straight losses in which they allowed 37.5 points and 436.0 yards per game. I looked for the Raiders to bounce back in a big way off such a disappointing effort displayed last Sunday. Since 1984, any home team with a point-spread of -2.5 to +5.0 that’s coming off a home underdog ATS loss, and they have a winning record, and they’re facing a non-division opponent, resulted in those home teams going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1980. The average home team point-spread was +1.2 and they won by 9.7 points per game. Bet Las Vegas for my NFL Game of the Month. |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
Oregon @ Utah 7:30 PM ET Game# 371-372 Play On: Utah -3.0 (10*) The #3 Oregon Ducks find themselves as an underdog against #24 Utah and I believe for good reason. After starting 1-2, Utah has won 6 of its last 7. The Utes are also a perfect 4-0 at home where they’ve outscored their opponents by 17.0 points per game. As a matter of fact, they’re 17-1 in their last 18 played in Salt Lake City. The Utes offense has been red-hot while scoring 34 points or more in each of their last 6 games. During that stretch, the Utes have only committed 3 turnovers and gained 455 yards or more in each of those contests. The Oregon offense took a huge hit when star running back C.J. Verdell went down for the season. That will catch up to them in this spot while playing in a hostile environment. Bet Utah minus the points. |
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11-19-21 | Ohio +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 59-77 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Ohio @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET Game# 827-838 Play On: Ohio +12.0 (10*) Kentucky is unequivocally the more talented in athletic team in this matchup. However, Ohio is an experienced and battle tested team. The Bobcats are the defending MAC Tournament champions and upset Virginia in the 1st Round of the 2021 NCAA Tournament as a #13 seed. Ohio has begun this season by going 3-0 SU&ATS. The Bobcats are averaging 12 three-point makes per game while converting on a solid 38.3% of those long-distance attempts. Look for that ability to knock down 3-point shots as a key contributing factor to us covering this game. Bet Ohio plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-18-21 | Oklahoma v. East Carolina OVER 137.5 | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
Oklahoma vs. East Carolina 7:00 PM ET Game# 751-752 Play On: Over 137.5 (10*) Both teams in this matchup can score with regularity and like to play at an up-tempo pace. During their first 2 contests, Oklahoma averaged 86.5 points scored per game, shot 57.3%, and made 40.0% of its 3-point attempts. Despite shooting at such a high percentage, the Sooners still averaged a robust 62 field goal attempts per contest. Through East Carolina’s first 3 games they averaged 82.7 points scored and 67 field goal attempts per outing. This one has all the earmarks of an entertaining up and down high scoring game. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-14-21 | Eagles v. Broncos -128 | Top | 30-13 | Loss | -128 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
Philadelphia @ Denver 4:25 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Denver -128 (10*) Philadelphia is coming off a 29-24 home loss to the Chargers. That defeat dropped their season record to 3-6. However, the Eagles are 0-5 against teams that currently have a winning record and lost by 10.4 points per game. Denver is coming off a 30-16 upset win at Dallas and did so as a 10.5-point underdog. The final score did the Broncos no justice as they led 30-0 in the 4th quarter of that contest. That victory improved the Broncos season record to 5-4. The Denver defense has flown under the radar. They’re allowing just 17.0 points and 321.8 yards per game. Any NFL money line favorite (Denver) that’s coming off a road win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent coming off a home game in which each team scored 24 points or more, resulted in those money line favorites going 104-24 (81.3%) since 1980. Bet Denver for a Top Play money line wager. |
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11-13-21 | Purdue v. Ohio State -20.5 | Top | 31-59 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
Purdue @ Ohio State 3:30 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Ohio State -20.5 (10*) Purdue is coming off last week’s shocking 40-29 upset win over then #3 Michigan State. The Boilermakers also pulled off a similar type upset earlier this season over then #2 and undefeated Iowa. Nevertheless. They enter this game against the #4 Buckeyes as a 3-touchdown underdog. Purdue has been solid defensively this season. However, they will have their hands full against a balanced Ohio State offense that is averaging 44.9 points and 541.8 yards per game. The Buckeyes will make a statement in this one against #19 Purdue and solidify their position within the top 4 college football playoff spots. Bet Ohio State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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11-07-21 | Chargers v. Eagles +1.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
Chargers @ Eagles 4:05 PM ET Game# 467-468 Play On: Eagles +1.5 (10*) You may be surprised to know that the Chargers are dead last in the NFL at stopping the run. They rank #32 in rushing yards allowed per game (159.6) and #32 at rush yards allowed per attempt (5.1). Furthermore, over their last 3 contests, the Chargers defense has allowed 186.0 yards rushing per game and that alone was a major contributing factor to them entering this week on a 2-game losing streak. Philadelphia should be able to the run the ball with a huge amount of success, not only because their opponent is inept stopping it, but because they’ve had some degree of success in doing so up until now. The Eagles are coming off a 44-6 blowout win over Detroit last week and amassed 236 rushing years. The Eagles enter this week #7 in offensive rushing yards per game (131.7) and #4 in yards per rushing attempts (5.0). Any NFL home team (Eagles) with a win percentage of .333 or better, coming off a road win by 23 points or more, versus an opponent (Chargers) coming off a home game where both teams scored 24 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .750 or worse, resulted in those home teams going 33-2 SU (94.2%) since 1983. The straight up betting angle takes on added significance when considering the current point-spread. Bet the Eagles for a Top Play wager. |
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11-06-21 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -4 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -114 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
Mississippi State @ Arkansas 4:00 PM ET Game# 375-376 Play On: Arkansas -4.0 (10*) Mississippi State is coming off last Saturday’s home win over nationally ranked Kentucky. That victory was key in the Bulldogs being ranked #17 in the first college football playoff poll. Yet they’re an underdog against an Arkansas team that failed to crack the Top 25 in that very same poll, and with an identical 5-3 record as they possess. Arkansas is also coming off a bye week which is always an advantage when facing an unrested opponent at this point of the season. Both teams defenses are solid. Mississippi State has passed on an enormous 72.4% of their offensive snaps this season. Conversely, Arkansas has run the ball on 65.7% of their offensive snaps this season. However, the Razorbacks still average over 200 passing yards per game and extremely impressive 9.0 yards per pass attempt. The defenses will cancel each other out, Arkansas is unequivocally the more balanced offensive team. That will be the key to us attaining a successful cover. Bet Arkansas minus the points for my SEC Game of the Year. |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Indiana @ Portland 10:10 PM ET Game# 549-550 Play On: Over 225.0 (10*) Indiana enters this contest on a modest 2-game win streak. Dating back to last season, Indiana has played 8-0 to the over during its last 8 following 2 consecutive wins. The average total in those 8 contests was 234.8 and a combined 250.8 points were scored per game. Indiana has played 3-1 to the over in road games thus far, and there was a combined 233.7 points scored per contest. Portland went under the total in each of its previous 2 games. Since the start of last season, Portland has played 11-2 to the over following back-to-back games staying under, and a combined 236.0 points were scored contest. Defense has been an area of concern for the Trailblazers of late as they allowed their last 3 opponents to shoot 51.7% or better. Portland is averaging a robust 120.5 points scored per game at home this season. Bet over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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11-02-21 | Braves +122 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 122 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Astros (Garcia) @ Braves (Fried) 8:09 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Braves +12 (10*) The Atlanta Braves are coming off Sunday’s 9-5 loss which prevented them from a World Series title. However, and on a positive note, Atlanta has gone 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss and hasn’t been on a 2-game losing streak since 9/18. The starting pitchers in Game 6 have both encountered issues during postseason action. Nevertheless, I trust Atlanta’s Max Fried more than Luis Garcia of Houston. The current total on this game is 8.5 and that’s significant. Since the start of last season, Max Fried has gone 19-3 in his team starts when the total was 8.0 or 8.5. That totals parameter indicated Fried has fared very well when not facing another team’s ace. Bet the Braves for a money line underdog Top Play wager. |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings -3 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -101 | 31 h 18 m | Show |
Dallas @ Minnesota 8:20 PM ET Game# 275-276 Play On: Minnesota -3.0 (10*) As per usual, Dallas is certain to attract a sizable amount of support from a betting perspective in this contest. They enter this stand alone nationally televised primetime game on a 5-0 SU&ATS streak while outscoring opponents by 12.4 points per contest. Yet, here they are as a 3.0-point underdog versus a 3-3 Minnesota team. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the red-hot underdog and I’m not falling for the trap. Additionally, since 2019, Dallas is 0-6 SU&ATS coming off a win and when their point-spread is +3.0 to -3.0 and lost by an average of 11.8 points per game. This is still a porous Dallas defense in my opinion. They’re allowing 24.3 points and 381.2 yards per game. Those defensive numbers could be even worse if not for the fact they’ve forced 14 turnovers in their first 6 games. They’ll be facing a Minnesota team that have averaged less than 1 turnover committed per game. Minnesota is one of just a few teams that can come close to matching the Cowboys offensive explosiveness. The Vikings are 5th in the NFL when it comes to total offense at 414.2 yards gained per game. The Vikings 3 losses have come against Arizona, Cleveland, and Cincinnati who have a combined record of 16-5. Furthermore, those 3 defeats came by a combined 11 points. The Vikings are much better than their 3-3 record indicates, and this current point-spread exemplifies that. Moreover, since Mike Zimmer has taken over as the Vikings head coach, Minnesota has gone an impressive 17-7 SU and 19-4 ATS at home versus non-division opponents with a win percentage of .375 or better. Bet Minnesota minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -105 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Houston (Garcia) @ Atlanta (Anderson) 8:09 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Atlanta -105 (10*) Despite a strong showing in his last outing, Luis Garcia has an awful 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this postseason in 3 starts. Although the Astros have enjoyed a plethora of success in recent season, they haven’t done well within this money line parameter in away game. Since 2019, Houston is a poor 30-47 on the road when their money line is +125 to -125, and $100 bettors who back them in those situations are down $1880. Atlanta is coming off a Game 2 loss on Wednesday. However, the Braves have gone an unbeaten 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss and won by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Atlanta pitcher Ian Anderson has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an excellent 2.16 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Atlanta has gone 7-0 in their last 7 at home when Ian Anderson is their starting pitcher. The Braves bullpen has a more than respectable 3.42 ERA during postseason action. Bet Atlanta for a Top Play wager. |
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10-28-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Bulls | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
New York @ Chicago 8:10 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: New York +1.5 (10*) The Bulls have started the season 4-0 SU&ATS and looked outstanding in doing so. Yet, they find themselves as just a tiny favorite against a 3-1 Knicks team. When examining the Bulls resume thus far, they have posted wins over Toronto (2-3), New Orleans (1-4), and Detroit (0-3) 2 times. Those opponents currently have a combined 3-10 (.231) season record. I had the Knicks as a Top Play wager in their previous game within this same point-spread parameter, and they easily covered in a 14-point win over Philadelphia. Since 1/18/2021, New York has gone an extremely profitable 20-3 SU and 20-2-1 ATS in regular season games in which their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5, and if their opponent is coming off a win, they improved to 9-1 SU and 9-0-1 ATS. The numbers don’t lie, and liars don’t figure. Bet on New York on any point-spread of +2.5 to -2.5 over Chicago for a Top Play wager. |
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10-26-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Braves (Morton) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:09 PM ET Game# 951-952 Play On: Over 8.0 (10*) Lefthander Framber Valdez has seen each one of his 3 postseason starts in 2021 go over the total. Valdez posted an uninspiring 1.40 WHIP during those outings. Furthermore, Valdez has pitched 9-1 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5 and there was a combined average of 11.8 runs scored per game. Houston has played 8-2 to the over during postseason action while averaging an impressive 6.7 runs scored per game and compiled an excellent .342 team on-base-percentage. Atlanta has averaged a sizable 5.6 runs scored per game and belted 69 home runs in 45 games when facing lefthanded starting pitchers in 2021. Atlanta has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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10-24-21 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 46 | Top | 41-17 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
Cincinnati @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Under 46.0 (10*) Cincinnati has seen each of its last 5 games go under the total and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Under current head coach Zack Taylor, Cincinnati has now played 10-2 to the under in Games 1 through 8 of their season and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Cincinnati has averaged only 9.0 points scored per contests in their last 4 meetings versus Baltimore, and 3 of those stayed under the total. The Bengals defense has played well this season while allowing 18.5 points and 331.5 yards per game. Cincinnati has played 3-0 to the under in road contests this season and held those opponents to just 13.7 points scored per game. Baltimore is coming off an impressive 34-6 home win over the Chargers. It was by far the best performance by the Ravens defense to date when considering the opponent. They held the explosive Chargers offense to just 208 yards. Since 2019, Baltimore has played 5-1 to the under at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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10-23-21 | Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -7 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -106 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State 3:30 PM ET PM ET Game# 383-384 Play On: Iowa State -7.0 (10*) The oddsmakers are begging you to take the underdog in this spot with all being considered. After all, we have #8 and undefeated Oklahoma State as a touchdown underdog against an unranked team Iowa State with a season mark of 4-2. The Cyclones have underachieved this season after being a preseason Top 10 team considered to be a legitimate college football playoff contender. However, they were knocked off at #11 Iowa (6-1) and at #20 Baylor (6-1). They won’t be a playoff team but remains a serious Big 12 title threat if the can win on Saturday. I said it before and I will say it again, Oklahoma State is a fraudulent Top 10 team. The Cowboys 6 wins this season have all come by 11 or fwer and by an average of 7.0 points per game. This is a classic example of me trusting the oddsmakers in setting an accurate line compared to pollsters ranking teams. Bet on Iowa State minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Braves (Morton) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 5:08 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) Charlie Morton has made 2 starts versus the Dodgers this season and posted a superb 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in those outings. This current Dodgers active roster has uninspiring career number of 33-153 (.216) when facing Charlie Morton. Morton has pitched 11-5-1 to the under in his road starts this season and with a stellar 2.96 ERA. The Atlanta bullpen has been outstanding throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a 1.20 ERA as a staff. Atlanta has seen all 3 of their games at Dodger Stadium this season all go under the total. Walker Buehler has been brilliant in 20 home starts this season with a 2.05 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Buehler has pitched 3-0 to the under in his starts versus Atlanta with a brilliant 1.50 ERA. The Dodger bullpen has been solid over their past 7 games while recording a staff 2.53 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens -2.5 | Top | 6-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
Chargers @ Ravens 1:00 PM ET Game# 261-262 Play On: Ravens -2.5 (10*) Sometimes it’s just best to keep it simple. The Ravens have been of the best running teams in the NFL over the past few seasons. This year is no different as they’re averaging a robust 148.8 yards rushing per game. That’s good for 4th best in the league. Conversely, the Chargers are dead last in rushing yards allowed per contest at 157.6. As a matter of fact, during last Sunday’s win over Cleveland, they allowed the Browns to rush for 230 yards and average a massive 6.6 yards per carry. Additionally, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has been red hot in the air during the previous 2 games after going 59-80 (73.8%) and throwing for an enormous 741 yards. The Chargers are coming off a 47-42 win over Cleveland last week. Since 1980, there has been just 28 regular season games in which a team won while allowing 40 points or greater, and only 12 of those teams were installed as an underdog in their next game. When pairing that up with Baltimore coming off a 31-25 win over Indianapolis in their previous game, and it presents a rare and unbeaten NFL betting situation which is displayed below. Any NFL regular season underdog (Chargers) that’s coming off a win in which they allowed 40 points or more, and they’re facing an opponent (Ravens) that scored 28 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those underdogs going 0-7 SU&ATS since 1980. Those 7 underdogs lost by a decisive margin of 20.1 points per game. |
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10-16-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -3.5 | Top | 32-24 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
Oklahoma State @ Texas 12:00 PM ET Game# 173-174 Play On: Texas -3.5 (10*) #25 Texas (4-2) hosts #12 Oklahoma State (5-0). Despite being the lower ranked team and having 2 losses they find themselves as a favorite versus unbeaten Oklahoma State. I firmly believe that Oklahoma State is a fraudulent #12 ranked team. All 5 of their wins have come by 14 points or fewer and their average margin of victory has come by just 6.8 points per contest. That’s especially concerning when looking at their first 2 games which were home wins over Missouri State (FCS team) by 7 and Tulsa (2-4) by 5. The Longhorns only losses this year came versus #17 Arkansas and #4 Oklahoma. The 55-48 loss to Oklahoma last week was a tough pill to swallow considering they squandered a 21-point lead in that contest. On a positive note, the Texas offense has ben red-hot over their last 3 contests while averaging 50.0 points scored and 523.0 yards gained per game. By the way, Texas has gone 22-2 SU and 16-8 ATS over the last 24 season in games immediately following Oklahoma. Since 2019, the Longhorns are 5-0 SU at home following a loss and won by 19.8 points per game. Through their first 6 games Texas has a +5 turnover margin while Oklahoma State is -2. Texas is 3-0 SU&ATS at home this season with an average victory margin of 39.0 points per game. Bet Texas minus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants -104 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 33 h 13 m | Show |
Dodgers (Urias) @ Giants (Webb) 9:07 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Giants -104 (10*) This has been a zig-zag series in which each team has alternated wins. I look for that trend to continue in Thursday’s Game 5 with all being considered.. The Giants Logan Webb has pitched brilliantly at home this season. Webb has gone 13-0 in his home team starts while compiling a terrific 1.83 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in doing so. Webb has made 4 starts versus the Dodgers in 2012 and collected an impressive 1.52 ERA which includes 7 2/3 of scoreless innings pitched in Game 1 of this NLDS. The Giants went over the total in Tuesday’s 7-2 loss. Why is that significant? Well, I am glad you asked. San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 following an under during its previous game and allowed just a combined 2 runs. As a matter of fact, the last 4 times this situation has arisen the Giants have held opposing teams scoreless. Additionally, Webb is 11-1 in his teams starts this season after allowing 1 earned run or less in his previous start, and the Giants outscored those opponents by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Webb has allowed an average of just 0.33 home runs per start this season. Conversely, the Dodgers are a dismal 9-17 in 2021 when facing starting pitchers who allow 0.50 or fewer home runs per start. Bet the Giants for a Top Play money line wager. |
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10-10-21 | Browns +2.5 v. Chargers | Top | 42-47 | Loss | -106 | 29 h 10 m | Show |
Browns @ Chargers 4:05 ET Game# 471-472 Play On: Browns +2.5 (10*) The Chargers are coming off 2 straight division wins over Las Vegas last Monday night and at Kansas City before that. Now they’ll be hosting a dangerous non-division opponent in Cleveland and playing on short rest. After losing their season opener at Kansas City by a narrow 4-point margin, Cleveland has bounced back to win 3 in a row. I look for the Browns to attack the Chargers defense on the ground and be successful in doing so. After all, Cleveland is #1 in rushing offense at 177.0 yards per game. San Diego has permitted their opponents to run for 140 yards per contest which ranks 29th out of 32 NFL teams are 30th in yards permitted per carry at 5.3. Cleveland’s defense is pretty good as well. They’re #2 in total defense at 250.3 yards per game, #4 in scoring defense at 16.8 points allowed per contest and tied for 2nd in sacks with 14. |
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10-09-21 | Michigan v. Nebraska +3 | Top | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
Michigan @ Nebraska 7:30 PM ET Game# 381-382 Play On: Nebraska +3.0 (10*) #9 Michigan is coming off convincing 38-17 win at Wisconsin in a game they closed as a 2.0-point underdog. That victory improved their season record to 5-0. Conversely, Nebraska is coming off a 56-7 home blowout win over Nebraska which evened their record at 3-3. Yet, the undefeated and #9 Wolverines are just a 3.0-point favorite versus an unranked team with a .500 record. It’s just never that easy and the college football betting angle listed below exemplifies just that. Play against college football favorite of 4.0 or less (Michigan) that’s playing in Game 6 and has a 5-0 record, and they’re coming off a game in which it covered by 8.5 points or more, versus an opponent (Nebraska) with a win percentage of .500 or better, resulted in those undefeated small favorites going 0-8 SU&ATS since 1985. The underdog won all 8 games straight up by an average of 8.4 points per contest. Furthermore, any college football home underdog that’s coming off a conference win by 35 points or more is 12-0 ATS since 2017. Those underdogs also won 9 of those contests straight up. Their 3 SU losses came by a combined 5 points. Bet on Nebraska plus the small number for a Top Play wager. |
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10-07-21 | White Sox v. Astros -130 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
White Sox (Lynn) @ Astros (McCullers) 4:07 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Astros -130 (10*) Since the start of last season, Lance Lynn has gone 0-3 versus Houston with a massive 11.49 ERA and 2.11 WHIP. The White Sox are 0-4 at Houston this season. Chicago is also a dismal 11-29 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater. Lance McCullers Jr. has been in superb form over his last 6 starts while compiling a 2.57 ERA. During that stretch he’s allowed only 2 home runs in 35.0 innings pitched. McCullers is 2-0 versus the White Sox this season with a dominating 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. The Astros finished regular season action with 6 consecutive home games. Houston is an extremely profitable 24-6 this season immediately following 5 straight at home. Bet the Astros for a Top Play wager. |
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10-03-21 | Ravens v. Broncos +1 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
Ravens @ Broncos 4:25 PM ET Game# 273-274 Play On: Denver +1.0 (10*) Baltimore is 2-1 and their wins have come by a combined 3 points. As a matter of fact, they needed an NFL record 66-yard field goal last week from Justin Tucker with no time left to pull out a 19-17 win at Detroit. The Ravens continue to be a run heavy offense that excels in that area. However, they’ll be facing a Denver defense which allowing a mere 59 rushing yards per game. Lamar Jackson has missed two practices this week while nursing a back injury. He will be facing a Denver defense that has allowed quarterbacks to complete a combined 52.4% of their passes thus far. As it is, Jackson has only completed 60.9% of his passes this season. Denver is 3-0 SU&ATS with an average victory margin of 16.7 points per game. They have held all 3 of their opponents to 13 points or fewer and all of its wins came by 10 point or greater. The Broncos offense has been perfectly balanced through 3 games while attempting 95 runs and an identical 95 passes while gaining a more than respectable 387.3 yards per game. Bet on the Broncos for a Top Play wager. |
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10-02-21 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -124 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -124 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
Michigan @ Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET Game# 199-200 Play On: Wisconsin -124 (Money Line) (10*) So let me get this straight, we have the #14 ranked team (Michigan) with a perfect 4-0 record as an underdog versus an unranked 1-2 opponent (Wisconsin). This game has trap and sucker play written all over it. This is a prime example of why thinking like a bookmaker is advantageous. Since the start of the 2013 season, Wisconsin has enjoyed on of the best home field advantages in college football over that time. During that span of time, Wisconsin has gone 46-8 (85.2%) straight up at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin. That superb straight up home record takes on added significance to me since the oddsmakers have deemed this to be an evenly matched contest based on the opening and current point-spread. Keep in mind, Wisconsin is 1-2 but their losses came against #4 Penn State and #9 Notre Dame. Michigan will be in their 1st road game of the season after opening with 4 straight home wins. The Wolverines have been an extremely run heavy team this season with 74.2% of their offense plays from scrimmage being rushing attempts. They certainly have attained a great deal of success with that formula while averaging 291.0 rushing yards per game and an impressive 6.3 yards per attempt. However, they will be facing a Wisconsin defense that’s been dominant against the run so far. The Badgers are holding opponents to a mere 23 rushing yards per game and 1.0 yard per attempt. The Badgers ability to neutralize Michigan’s potent running game will be the key to victory. Bet on Wisconsin for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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10-01-21 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Brewers (Lauer) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) Eric Lauer has exhibited terrific form over his last 5 starts while compiling a 1.19 ERA and 0.73 WHIP. Lauer has pitched 7-0-1 to the under in his career starts versus the Dodgers with a brilliant 1.89 ERA. Milwaukee will be facing veteran lefthander Clayton Kershaw tonight. The Brewers are averaging just 3.3 runs scored per game while going 20-17 versus lefthanded starting pitchers in 2021. Clayton Kershaw has been solid since returning from the disabled list while posting a 3.29 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 starts. The Dodgers bullpen has recorded an outstanding 2.36 ERA and 1.05 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-30-21 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Tigers (Skubal) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:40 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Joe Ryan has been terrific in 4 starts for Minnesota this season with a 2.45 ERA and 0.59 WHIP while averaging 5.5 innings per outing. The Twins bullpen has a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Minnesota has witnessed its last 6 games all going under the total. Detroit is hitting .285 as a team over their previous 7 games. However, during that span, they hit just 1 home run and averaged a paltry 3.3 runs per game. Detroit has played 9-1 to the under in their last 10. Taylor Skubal has made 3 career starts at Target Field in Minnesota and compiled a stellar 3.45 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. None of those 3 starts went over the total. The current Twins roster is a poor 13-69 (.206 BA) lifetime when facing Skubal. Bet this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-29-21 | Reds v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 101 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Reds (Gray) @ White Sox (Rodon) 8:10 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Under 7.5 (10*) Sonny Gray has a stellar 2.97 ERA in 11 road starts this season and only 3 of those outings went over the total. Gray made 1 start versus the White Sox this year and tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Cincinnati has played 12-2-1 to the under in their previous 15 away games. The Reds will be facing a tough lefthander tonight in Carolos Rodon. The White Sox southpaw hurler has pitched 15-7-1 to the under this season with an exceptional 2.47 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-26-21 | Dolphins +4 v. Raiders | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
Dolphins @ Raiders 4:05 PM ET Game# 487-488 Play On: Dolphins +4.0 (10*) Derek Carr is off to an extremely hot start to the season. Nevertheless, he’ll be facing what is arguable the best cornerback tandem in the NFL which is Miami’s Byron Jones and Xavien Howard. The Raiders are off to a 2-0 start. You may be surprised to know, this is a franchise that’s won 2 straight just 20 times since 2004, and they went a terrible 6-14 SU and 5-15 ATS in their following game. After winning their first 2 games as an underdog versus Baltimore and Pittsburgh, the Raiders assume the role of a chalk for a first time this season. Since the start of the 2017-2018 season, the Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 or less when facing an opponent coming off a loss. Miami is coming last Sunday’s embarrassing 35-0 home loss to Buffalo. However, it must be noted that since 2001, away teams with a point-spread of +4.5 to -4.5 who are coming off a home shutout loss have gone 8-0 ATS. Additionally, since the start of last season, Miami is 6-3 SU on the road and that includes 3-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 6.0 or less. As a matter of fact, 1 of those wins came last season at Las Vegas 26-25 as 2.5-point underdog. Yes the Dolphins will be without Tua at quarterback, but at this stage of his young career there’s not a huge drop off going to veteran Jacoby Brissett who has starting experience with both Indianapolis and New England. Bet on the Dolphins plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +4.5 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
UCLA @ Stanford 6:00 PM ET Game# 363-364 Play On: Stanford +4.5 (10*) After earning a huge victory over LSY 2 weeks ago, UCLA followed that up with a 40-37 loss to Fresno State as a 10.5-point home favorite. Fresno State exposed the UCLA defense last week by racking up 569 yards of total offense. The UCLA defense has been particularly vulnerable in their last 2 games with Fresno State and LSU amassing a combined 785 yards passing against them. After losing their season opener 24-7 versus Kansas State, Stanford has won their last 2 over USC and Vanderbilt on the road. On the last Saturday in September, Stanford finally will play its home opener. They will be ready. Bet on Stanford plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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09-23-21 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Astros (McCullers) @ Angels (Cobb) 9:36 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Lance McCullers has displayed good form over his last 4 starts while compiling a 1.96 ERA in 23.0 innings pitched. McCullers has pitched 4-0 to the under versus the Angels this season with a superb 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has been solid throughout its last 7 games while registering a staff 3.13 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. The Angels Alex Cobb has been brilliant over his last 5 starts while posting a miniscule 0.94 ERA. This total jumped off the screen at me as being low and especially when considering these teams have played 30-14 to the over since 1999. However, those of you that know me well over the years know I more times than not go against public perception in these betting situations. The public has hammered the over thus far. Good for them, but I’m going under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-22-21 | Dodgers v. Rockies UNDER 10.5 | Top | 5-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET Game# 907-908 Play On: Under 10.5 (10*) Walker Buehler has made 2 starts versus Colorado this season and both came at Coors Field. During those 2 outings Buhler posted a stellar 2.77 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through 13.0 innings pitched. Buehler has recoded quality starts in 12 of his previous 13 outings. The Dodgers bullpen has a solid 3.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP throughout its last 7 games. German Marquez is one of the few Colorado starters in franchise history to master pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Marquez is 13-3 in his home team starts in 2021 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Colorado bullpen has struggled for the better part of this season but that’s not been the case recently. During their previous 7 games the Rockies relievers have a combined 2.15 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Colorado has seen just 2 of their last 11 games go over the total. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-19-21 | Broncos v. Jaguars OVER 45 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 47 m | Show |
Broncos @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM ET Game# 283-284 Play On: Over 45.0 (10*) I thought prized rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence acquitted himself very well in his NFL debut last week despite the Jaguars 37-21 loss at Houston. Granted he did throw 3 interceptions. Nonetheless, he also threw 332 yards and 3 touchdowns as well. Conversely, the Jacksonville defense was terrible. They allowed Houston to accumulate 449 yards of total offense and made vagabond quarterback Tyrod Taylor resemble a future Hall of Fame inductee. Houston was also 12-21 (57.1%) on 3rd down conversions. The Jags also allowed the Texans to average a massive 8.8 yards per passing attempt which is brutal by NFL standards. Teddy Bridgewater was solid in his Denver debut going 28-36 passing for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. The Broncos also ran the ball extremely well while accounting for 165 yards and averaged a terrific 5.9 yards per rushing attempts. Bet on this game to over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-18-21 | Virginia v. North Carolina -7.5 | Top | 39-59 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
Virginia @ North Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 185-186 Play On: North Carolina -7.5 (5*) Virginia has got off to a 2-0 start with blowout home wins over William and Mary 43-0 and Illinois 42-14. However, the competition is about to get substantially tougher in their ACC opener on Saturday at #24 North Carolina. The Tar Heels know if they hope to contend for an ACC title like many expected, they can ill afford to lose this contest after being upset at Virginia Tech in their season opener. North Carolina will also be playing with big time revenge after losing their last 4 against Virginia. On a positive note, the Tar Heels defense which has been their enigma in recent seasons allowed just 296 and 271 yards in their first 2 games. I look for an inspired effort and convincing win from North Carolina on Saturday. Bet on North Carolina minus the points. |
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09-15-21 | Rockies v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Rockies (Senzatela) @ Braves (Ynoa) 7:20 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Under 9.0 (10*) Antonio Senzatela has pitched 4-1 to the under in his last 5 starts with a 2.18 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The current Braves roster has gone just 14-68 (.206) lifetime when facing Senzatela. Colorado has witnessed just 5 of their last 20 road games going over the total. The Atlanta pitcher Ynoa has been sharp in 7 home starts this season while compiling a 2.45 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. The Braves have gone over the total in only 4 of their last 21 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-13-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -123 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
Rays (McHugh) @ Blue Jays (Manoah) 7:07 ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Blue Jays -122 (10*) Colin McHugh has pitched very well for Tampa Bay this season. However, he hasn’t exceeded more than 3.0 innings pitched in any of his 31 appearance this season. That’s problematic when considering the Rays bullpen has a lofty 6.31 ERA and 1.63 Whip over their previous 7 games, and they’ll be facing a red-hot offensive team today. Additionally, the Rays are coming off yesterday’s 8-7 loss to Detroit. Tampa Bay is a dismal 7-13 (.350) this season following a 1-run loss, and an otherwise sensational 82-41 (.667) in the rest of its games. Toronto has gone a sizzling hot 11-1 in their last 12. Furthermore, the Blue Jays have scored 8 runs or more in 7 of its last 11 and cracked 18 home runs over their previous 7 games. Alex Manoah has made 2 starts against Tampa Bay this year with a brilliant 1.69 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 19 strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings pitched. Bet on the Blue Jays for a money line wager. Bet the Blue Jays for a Top Play money line wager. |
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09-12-21 | Cardinals +3 v. Titans | Top | 38-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Cardinals @ Titans 1:00 PM ET Game# 459-460 Play On: Cardinals +3.0 (10*) I have been eyeing this game down for a few weeks now. Arizona has not reached the postseason since the 2015-2016 campaign. Conversely, Tennessee has been a playoff participant in 3 of the last 4 years. As a matter of fact, the one time they failed to qualify during that span, they still went 9-7. Yet, Tennessee is just a 3.0 points home favorite in their season opener versus an Arizona team that hasn’t made the playoffs since 2015-2016 season NFL campaign. Moreover, if this game were being played in Arizona, the Cardinals would be the 3.0-point favorite. The last I checked, the sportsbooks and odds-makers aren’t that nice, nor will they ever be lauded for their generosity. If it smells like a rat, and looks like a rat, then it’s a rat. Additionally, this is a Tennessee team that allowed 27 points and 398 yards per game a season ago despite being a playoff team. On the other hand, Arizona averaged a more than respectable 25.6 points scored per game last year. Since 2019, the Cardinals are a perfect 4-0 ATS as a non-division away underdog and won 3 of those contests straight up. Bet on the Cardinals plus the points for a Top Play wager. |
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09-11-21 | Appalachian State +9 v. Miami-FL | Top | 23-25 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
Appalachian State @ Miami 7:00 PM ET Game# 357-358 Play On: Appalachian State +9.0 (10*) It’s no shame to lose to Alabama like Miami did last week. However, it’s the manner the then #14 ranked Hurricanes were defeated makes them mentally fragile heading into this contest. Miami lost that contest 44-13 and were outgained in total yards by a decisive 501-264 margin. Quite frankly, Nick Saban called of the dogs or this result could’ve been much uglier for Miami. Now they’ll face a Sun Belt Conference Game team and knowing that Michigan State is up next at home. This doesn’t set up to be an advantageous spot for the better than 1 touchdown favorite to cover. Additionally, Miami is just a middle of the road 13-9 in their last 22 games. Appalachian State is coming off last week’s season opening 33-19 home win over East Carolina in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicates. The Mountaineers exhibited an impressively balanced offense attach while amassing 226 rushing yards and 259 through the air. This is an Appalachian State football program that’s gone 52-11 (.825) straight up during its previous 63 games played. Furthermore, throughout that successful stretch they were only an underdog 9 times and covered on 6 of those occasions. Any college football non-conference underdog of 4.0 to 9.5 that’s coming off a non-conference win in which they allowed 19 points or fewer, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami) who has won 19 or fewer of their previous 22 games, resulted in those away underdogs going 17-0 ATS since 2017. |
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09-08-21 | Rays v. Red Sox -106 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Rays (McClanahan) @ Red Sox (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Red Sox -106 (10*) The Red Sox have lost 4 straight games. However, they’ve gone a profitable 7-2 this season immediately following 4 straight losses and that includes 4-0 the last 4. Furthermore, Boston is a perfect 3-0 at home this season following 4 straight losses and outscored their opponents by a combined decisive margin of 25-3. Nathan Eovaldi has made 2 home starts versus Tampa Bay in 2021, went 7.0 innings on both occasions, and compiled a sparkling 1.29 ERA while doing so. Eovaldi has also exhibited terrific form over his last 5 starts with a 2.35 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Bet the Red Sox for a Top Play money line wager. |
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09-07-21 | Phillies -102 v. Brewers | Top | 0-10 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Phillies (Nola) @ Brewers (Lauer) 7:40 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Phillies -102 (10*) Eric Lauer has pitched well for Milwaukee this season. However, he has pitched 5.0 innings or less in 5 of his last 6 starts. That’s problematic when considering the Brewers bullpen has recorded a terrible 9.72 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, and allowed an alarmingly high 11 home runs over their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has gone a terrific 46-24 (.657) on the road this season, but just an ordinary 38-31 (.551) at home. The Brewers are coming off yesterday’s 12-0 blowout loss to Philadelphia. Milwaukee is a dismal 1-7 this season following a shutout loss. Aaron Nola has been somewhat disappointing this season. Nevertheless, Nola has a brilliant 0.83 WHIP over his last 3 starts which certainly translates to good form. The maligned Phillies bullpen has been excellent of late while registering a staff 2.03 ERA and 0.94 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 and have also scored 7 or more runs in 8 of its last 11 games. Bet the Phillies for a Top Play money line wager. |
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09-04-21 | Mariners -119 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Arizona (Castellanos) 8:10 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Mariners -118 (10*) The Diamondbacks will be facing lefty Marco Gonzalez today. Arizona is a dismal 10-28 versus lefty starting pitchers this season. Furthermore, Gonzalez has been brilliant over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.58 ERA and 0.80 in addition to averaging 6.7 innings pitched per appearance. Gonzalez will be facing an Arizona team which has an abysmal .207 teams batting average and hit just 4 home runs during their previous 7 games played. The Mariners are 8-2 in their last 4 road games and that includes 4-0 during its previous 4. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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09-04-21 | UTSA +5 v. Illinois | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
UTSA @ Illinois 7:30 PM ET Game# 201-202 Play On: UTSA +5.0 (10*) Just a week removed for knocking off Big 10 rival Nebraska in their opening game as a 6.5-point home underdog, Illinois finds themselves as a single-digit favorite against an opponent from Conference USA. The sportsbooks are begging you to take the chalk in this spot but I’m not being lured in by the bait. The Illini were beneficiaries of Nebraska continually shooting themselves in the foot. Specifically speaking, 9 of their points came via a fumble return for a touchdown with less than a minute to go in the half, and on a safety when a Nebraska punt returner decided to field the ball on his own 1-yard line. Additionally, Illinois has a stern road test the following week at Virginia. UTSA returns 21 starters from a team that finished 7-5 a season ago which included a bowl game loss to nationally ranked UL-Lafayette. |
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09-03-21 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Dodgers (Price) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 9:45 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Over 8.5 (10*) David Price is no longer the dominant pitcher he was earlier in his career. This current Giants active roster has a combined career .296 batting average, .333 PBP, and .944 OPS when facing price. Furthermore, Price has pitched 19-7 to the over in his career starts on the road in September and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game. Anthony DeSclafani has made 5 starts versus the Dodgers in 2021 while compiling a large 9.43 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. This current Dodgers active roster has a combined .328 batting average when facing DeSclafani. DeSclafani has pitched 9-0 to the over since last season began in home night games with a combined total of 11.9 runs being scored per outing. During his last 5 starts overall, DeSclafani recorded a poor 7.16 ERA and 1.90 WHIP while averaging just 3.2 innings pitched per outing. Bet on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. |
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09-02-21 | Indians -107 v. Royals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
Indians (McKenzie) @ Royals (Minor) 8:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Indians -107 (10*) Kansas City has gone a dismal 1-10 this season versus Cleveland and that includes 0-6 at home. The Royals will go with veteran lefty Mike Minor on the mound. Minor has made 2 starts against Cleveland this year and posted an awful 8.68 ERA during those outings. The Indians have gone 8-3 during their previous 11 and that includes a current 3-game win streak. Throughout their previous 7 Cleveland has averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and smacked 16 home runs. That’s not good news for Kansas City backers when considering Mike Minor has allowed 8 home runs over his last 29 1/3 innings pitched. Triston McKenzie has made 2 starts against Kansas City in 2021 and pitched 12.0 innings of scoreless baseball. McKenzie has exhibited excellent form in his last 3 starts while compiling a brilliant 1.29 ERA and 0.43 WHIP. Bet on the Indians for a Top Play wager. |
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09-01-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Braves (Fried) @ Dodgers (Scherzer) 10:10 PM ET Game# 961-962 Play On: Atlanta +1.5 (-115) (10*) Max Scherzer has paid huge dividends for the Dodgers since coming over from Washington at the trade deadline. However, Scherzer has made 2 starts since last year versus Atlanta including 1 in 2021 and had a large 7.94 ERA while allowing 6 home runs during 11 1/3 innings pitched during those outings. Granted the Dodgers are currently red-hot, but it’s been much to do with their pitching as opposed to their perceived offensive prowess. As a matter of fact, the Dodgers have averaged 3.5 runs scored and 6.4 hits per game throughout their last 12 outings. Max Fried is finally healthy and it shows. During his last 6 starts Fried has compiled an excellent 1.58 ERA and 0.85 WHIP while walking only 4 batters in 40.0 innings pitched. Since the start of last season, Fried has made 3 starts versus the Dodgers and posted a sparkling 2.41 ERA. Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 41-15 (.732) in their last 56 games with Max Fried as their starting pitcher. Bet the Braves +1.5 on the run-line. |
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08-27-21 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Giants (Gausman) @ Braves (Fried)7:20 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Kevin Gausman has been impressive during 14 road starts this season while posting a 1.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Gausman will be supported by a Giants bullpen that has a terrific staff 1.60 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over their previous 7 games. San Francisco has gone under in each of their last 4 and has a dismal .211 team batting average throughout its previous 7 games. Max Fried is looking more and more like the dominant pitcher he was during his rookie campaign. Fried has a brilliant 1.06 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over his last 5 starts while averaging a sizable 6.8 innings pitched per outing. Atlanta has played 4-0-1 to the under in their last 4 and has a poor .226 team batting average during its previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |
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08-25-21 | Dodgers v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Dodgers (Buehler) @ Padres (Snell) 10:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) San Diego has seen 6 of their last 7 games go under the total. During that stretch, San Diego has a dismal team batting average of .196 and .272 PBP. Blake Snell has inexplicably struggled mightily on the road this season but has been sharp at home. Snell has compiled a sparkling 2.68 ERA during 10 home starts this season and 8 of the 10 went under the total. Since 2019, Snell has made 6 starts against the Dodgers with an excellent 2.31 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. That includes 3 starts against them this season where he posted a 2.35 ERA. The Padres bullpen has been lights out at home this season while recoding an impressive staff 2.85 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Walker Buehler has been brilliant over his last 8 starts with an excellent 1.33 ERA over that span and averaged a sizable 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Buehler has made 8 career starts versus San Diego with a dominating 1.80 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has a terrific staff 2.65 ERA and 0.91 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Dodgers have witnessed 6 of their last 8 going under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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08-22-21 | Giants v. A's UNDER 8 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
Giants (Webb) @ A’s (Montas) 4:07 PM ET Game# 979-980 Play On: Under 8.0 (10*) The Giants Logan Webb has witnesses his last 5 starts going under and his sparkling 1.72 ERA during that time was a major reason for those low scoring affairs. San Francisco defeated Oakland yesterday 6-5 in a game that went over the total. The Giants have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 following an over during their previous game. As a matter of fact, the Giants have gone over in consecutive games just once since 7/24. The Giants bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. Frankie Montas has pitched 6-1 to the under during his last 7 starts with a shiny 2.74 ERA. Throughout that stretch, Montas has recorded 57 strikeouts while walking just 11 in 42 2/3 innings pitched. The Oakland bullpen has an inspiring 1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 game. Bet on this game to under the total as a Top Play wager. |
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08-21-21 | Angels v. Indians -124 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
Angels (Detmers) @ Indians (McKenzie) 4:10 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Indians -124 (10*) The Angels Reid Detmers has made 3 starts this season, all have come in August, and he posted a sizable 7.05 ERA during those outings. Since 2019, Cleveland has gone 9-1 versus the Angels and that includes 4-0 at home. You may be surprised to know that Cleveland is an extremely profitable 23-5 this season as a home favorite of -110 or more, and that includes 12-1 during the previous 13 in that role. The Cleveland pitcher Triston McKenzie has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 2.14 ERA and 0.52 WHIP while averaging 7.0 innings pitched per start. Bet on the Indians for a Top Play money line wager. |
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08-18-21 | Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Texas (Foltynewicz) 8:05 PM ET Game# 973-974 Play On: Under 8.5 (10*) Marco Gonzalez has exhibited excellent form throughout his last 3 starts with an 0.83 ERA and all those games stayed under the total. One of those starts was a complete game win over Texas. The Seattle bullpen has posted an excellent 1.54 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle has played 10-3 to the under during its last 13 games. Mike Foltynewicz has seen each of his last 3 starts go under. During that stretch, he compiled a superb 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Foltynewicz has seen his last 4 starts versus Texas all stay under the total and had a superb 0.92 WHIP in those outings. Texas is coming off yesterday’s 3-1 loss to Seattle in a game they left 5 men on base. The Rangers have played 19-6 to the under this season following a game in which they left 5 or fewer men on base. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager. |