Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-11-19 | Arkansas State v. Missouri State OVER 132 | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL FOR DECEMBER The Missouri State Bears are coming off an 86-62 win over Mississippi Valley State and three of their last four games have gone over the total. They struggled to defend the perimeter last time out though as their opponent was allowed to go 8-of-17 (47%) from behind the arc. Here they'll face an Arkansas State side that shot 43% from deep last time out and is shooting a respectable 37.1 percent from 3-point land on the season. Additionally, the Red Wolves have scored 70+ points in five of their last seven games. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-11-19 | Lakers v. Magic UNDER 212.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
TOP RATED NBA TOTAL The Orlando Magic rank near the bottom of the league for offensive efficiency while only three teams have a better defensive efficiency rating than the LA Lakers who are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The under is 8-1 in Magic last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and they've averaged below 100 points through their last two games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-10-19 | Knicks v. Blazers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 102 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
KNICKS @ BLAZERS NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The New York Knicks have the worst offensive efficiency rating in the NBA and only two teams have a lower pace factor. They've not scored more than 104 points through a nine-game skid and the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Here they'll face the 9-15 Portland Trail Blazers who are having a tough season and shot just 36 percent from the field and 9-of-33 (27%) from 3-point range in a 108-96 loss to OKC last time out. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-09-19 | Giants v. Eagles UNDER 45 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
GIANTS @ EAGLES MONDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The New York Giants have dropped eight straight since their 2-2 start to the season. They've put up a total of just 27 points through their last two games and scored just 13 against Green Bay's porous defense last time out. As for the Philadelphia Eagles, they're losers of three straight and had scored just 19 points through the first two prior to a particularly embarrassing 37-31 loss at Miami last time out. I expect the Eagles' defense to bounce back in a big way, and it should not have much to fear from a Giants' team that will have a rusty Eli Manning under center for the first time since Week 2 as rookie Daniel Jones is out with an ankle sprain. Moving the ball on the ground won't be easy against the Eagles' elite run defense, and I don't see the Giants putting many points on the board. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 212 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Chicago Bulls have one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the league while only a handful of teams are more efficient than the Miami Heat on defense. Additionally, neither of these two teams are playing at a particularly high tempo and the Bulls are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 while the under is 14-5 in the Heat's last 19 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Additionally, note that the under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Chargers v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 52 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFL TOTAL FOR 2018/19 REG SEASON! The LA Chargers are 8-4 to the under this season. Last week's matchup at Denver saw 43 points scored between the two teams with a closing total of 39, but I'm extremely confident the total is set too high when they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon. Points have been hard to come by for Jacksonville all season, but recent weeks have been particularly poor with an average of just 11.8 ppg through a four-game skid. Gardner Minshew will be back at the helm following a disastrous Nick Foles comeback, but I don't see him moving the ball freely against this competent Chargers defense that tranks 4th in the NFL against the pass with fewer than 200 passing yards allowed per game. Additionally, note that the Chargers are one of the slowest teams in the NFL taking almost 29 seconds between plays and the Jags are unlikely to push the tempo as a home dog. Under is 20-5-1 in Chargers last 26 games in December. Under is 9-2 in Jaguars last 11 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson OVER 54.5 | Top | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 60 h 32 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND TOTAL The Clemson Tigers will do battle with the Virginia Cavaliers in the 2019 ACC Championship Game Saturday night, but looking at the points spread it's not supposed to be much of a contest. The Tigers are favored by four touchdowns, and while scores should come easy for this very talented Clemson team, I like the Cavs to put their fair share of points on the board as well. This is the fifth game of the season as a dog for Virginia with three of the previous four going over the total. It's last time out as an underdog it put up 39 points in a straight up win over Virginia Tech as senior quarterback Bryce Perkins had another big game with 475 yards total offense and three scores. Clemson has limited its last two opponents to three points each, but Virginia has more offensive firepower than Wake Forest and South Carolina. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Pelicans v. Mavs OVER 233 | Top | 84-130 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
TOP RATED SATURDAY NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks own the best offensive efficiency rating in the NBA while the New Orleans Pelicans have one of the worst defensive efficiency scores. The Mavs are 14-7 to the over overall on the season and the over/under is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Pels enter this game on a seven-game losing streak during which they've allowed boatloads of points. Last time out, they took a 139-132 OT loss to Phoenix and the over is 15-7 in Pelicans last 22 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
TOP RATED COWBOYS @ BEARS THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Cowboys took a 26-15 loss to Buffalo last week and their sputtering offense has scored a total of just 24 points over the last two games. Dallas still owns the top ranked offense at 432.8 yards per game, but moving the ball against a Chicago Bears team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive categories and has allowed an average of just 17.3 ppg on the season won't be easy. As for the Bears offense, they scare no one with only Washington, the NY Jets and Miami averaging fewer total yards of offense per game. The cold Chicago weather won't do either team's offense any favors either, and we can note that under is 13-3 in Cowboys last 16 games in December and 4-0 in Bears last 4 games in December. Additionally, the under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-04-19 | Wolves v. Mavs OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): TOP RATED 10* WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have won three on the bounce and eight of their last nine following a 118-97 win over New Orleans Tuesday night. They're a home favorite here against Minnesota but might find themselves in a tough spot with heavy legs. They'll face a Timberwolves team that has the fourth-highest pace factor in the league and will be playing on two days rest, so the visitors will surely make the Mavs run up and down the court. Scoring points is never an issue for the Mavericks who enter Wednesday with the highest offensive efficiency rating in the NBA, but playing on no rest might very well show on the defensive end. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED LAKERS @ NUGGETS BEST BET The LA Lakers had won 10 on the bounce prior to a 114-100 loss to Dallas last time out. Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall and 29-14 in their last 43 games following a straight up loss. Here they'll face a Denver team that played a sub-200 point game at Sacramento on Saturday despite going to overtime. Denver has the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating in the NBA this season with 99.9 points allowed per 100 possessions while the Lakers are 4th with 100.3 points allowed per 100 possessions. Additionally, neither team is likely to push the tempo, especially with Denver rated the 4th slowest team in the league on the season. Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 home games and 20-8-1 in their last 29 games playing on two days rest. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-02-19 | Warriors v. Hawks OVER 222.5 | Top | 79-104 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
WARRIORS @ HAWKS TOP RATED NBA PLAY OF THE DAY These are two of the worst teams in the league on the defensive side of the ball with the Golden State Warriors giving up 116 ppg and the Atlanta Hawks 119 ppg. Additionally, both sides have a pace factor that ranks in the top half of the league with the Hawks tied for 8th averaging 15.4 possessions per game. Last time out the Hawks surrendered 158 points at Houston and they're 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games. The Warriors took a loss in a low-scoring game at Orlando on Sunday, but the over is 6-1 in their last seven in the second game of a back-to-back situation. While both sides can be inconsistent when on the ball, I think their issues of getting stops are even bigger. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts OVER 43 | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL I expect points to come relatively easy for both teams when the 6-5 Indianapolis Colts host the 6-5 Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon. Tennessee has scored a total of 77 points in its last two games and QB Ryan Tannehill has a 10-4 TD/INT ratio since taking over from Marcus Mariota. The Titans churned out 219 rushing yards with four scores on the ground against Jacksonville last time out, and here they'll face a Colts D that has allowed 144.2 rushing yards per game on the season. As for the Titans D, it has allowed 52 points in the last two games and the Colts will be desperate for a win after losing three of their last four. Over is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-30-19 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 41.5 | Top | 29-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED REG SEASON TOTAL I'm confident we'll see this early Saturday afternoon matchup between the Northwestern Wildcats and the Illinois Fighting Illini stay under the total. Illinois has had a solid season by its standards, despite dropping a 19-10 decision at Iowa last week. Limiting Iowa to fewer than 20 points is quite impressive, and the Fighting Illini have played solid defense in recent weeks resulting in four of its last five going under the total. As for Northwestern, It has struggled to put points on the board all season and has averaged just 8.8 points scored away from home. That being said, the Wildcats have also allowed only 22.0 ppg on the road and the under is 4-0 in Wildcats four road games on the season. ´ 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-29-19 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 103-107 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers have answered a four-game skid with back-to-back triumphs through which they've averaged 126.5 ppg. and the first of those two wins was a 117-94 win at Chicago on Nov 25. I think we'll see more points on the board for both teams here in the rematch on Black Friday. The Bulls may be one of the worst teams in the NBA for several offensive categories, but points should come fairly easy against a Portland side that ranks in the bottom 10 for defensive efficiency. Additionally, Portland has a top 10 pace factor and I think the home team will push the tempo and that the visitors will be more or less forced to oblige. Over is 9-2-1 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 Friday games. Over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 Friday games. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-27-19 | Bulls v. Warriors UNDER 216.5 | Top | 90-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Golden State Warriors are having an absolutely abysmal year. Injuries have not helped matters and there's a clear lack of healthy shooting talent on the roster right now. The Warriors shot just 41.6 percent from the field in a 100-97 loss to the OKC Thunder Monday night and they're 5-2 to the under over their last seven games. As for the Chicago Bulls, they were held to 41.9 percent shooting in a 117-94 loss to Portland last time out. On the season, Chicago ranks 27th for offensive efficiency and Golden State 24th. Under is 13-3 in Bulls last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State v. South Carolina UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED CANCUN CHALLENGE TOTAL The South Carolina Gamecocks have scored 70+ points in three straight games that all went over the total. I think points will be harder to come by here in their semifinal matchups of the Cancun Challenge as they'll face a Wichita State team that has held back-to-back opponents to fewer than 60 points and has held all five opponents to fewer than 63 points this season. Over/under is 2-8 in South Carolina's last 10 games on a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 and all but one of the Shockers' five games this season have gone under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-25-19 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 223 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
TOP-RATED NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The red hot LA Lakers travel to San Antonio riding a seven-game winning streak. They've scored 120 points or more in five of those games and here they'll face a San Antonio Spurs team that has had huge issues on the defensive end of the hardwood all season long. The Spurs surrendered a ridiculous 122.4 ppg through an ugly eight-game skid before picking up a 111-104 win at the low-scoring New York Knicks on Saturday. They have one of the worst defensive efficiencies in the league, but on the flip side, they're also top five for offensive efficiency and I think they'll force the Lakers into a shootout. Over is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 home games. Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NFL TOTAL FOR NOVEMBER The Atlanta Hawks defense has improved a lot lately and they've held their last two opponents to a combined 12 points. The Falcons are still one of the worst teams in the league against the pass and allowed a mediocre QB like Kyle Allen to throw for 325 yards last week (but also picked him off four times). Here they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that very much prefers to move the ball through the air and ranks 4th in the NFL with 285.6 passing yards per game. One of the few teams ahead of the Bucs in passing yards per game is Atlanta with its 300.3 pypg, and while Tampa Bay is one of the best teams at stopping the run, it is the second-worst in the league against the pass. I expect both teams to have plenty of success with explosive plays and a pass first, run second approach which also will stop the clock from running. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | Top | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings in the NBA, and their lack of defense was on full display in Friday night's 128-103 loss at Detroit. Playing on no rest won't do the Hawks any favors, and I expect the Raptors to run up the score quite freely. That being said, Atlanta has scored 100+ points in eight straight games and they put up 127 their last time out home at State Farm Arena. Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
SPURS @ SIXERS FRIDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The San Antonio Spurs are going through a miserable stretch with losses in seven straight games, during which they've allowed an average of 123.4 ppg. Here they'll face a Philadelphia team that hardly has been lighting up the scoreboard lately, but the over is still 7-3 in 76ers last 10 overall. 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Spurs can't defend against anyone, but they can put points on the board and I expect the final score to breeze over the posted total. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PELS @ SUNS TOTAL *BAILOUT PLAY* Both the New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns have top 10 offensive efficiency ratings on the season. The Pels are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league though with 118.9 points allowed per game on average and I'm confident we'll see points come fast and easy for both teams in this contest. The Suns took a 120-116 loss at Sacramento a couple of nights ago and they're on a 10-2 run to the over following a straight up loss. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 head-to-head meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-20-19 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, and they're most likely in for a tough one against a Philadelphia team that is holding opponents to a solid 102.7 points per 100 possessions. The Knicks are also among the slowest teams in the league with just over 100 possesions per game while the Sixers rank in the middle of the pack for pace. The Knicks are coming off a 123-105 win over Cleveland on Monday. The under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest and 23-9-1 in their last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Philly had put a 114-95 beating on that same Cleveland team the night before, and the under is 10-4 in its last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-19-19 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 210.5 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA TOTAL FOR NOVEMBER The LA Lakers are tied for the best record in the league while having the very best point-differential, and arguably the biggest reason for their success is their play on the defensive end of the hardwood. The Lakers have the very best defensive efficiency in the NBA (even better than Utah!) and they've allowed an average of just over 97 ppg over their last three contests. The OKC Thunder have been held to fewer than 90 points in two of their last three games, including a 90-88 loss to the Clippers here at Staples Center Monday night. Under is 34-16-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 15-7 in Lakers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-17-19 | Hawks v. Lakers UNDER 218 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
TOP RATED HAWKS @ LAKERS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The LA Lakers have the best defensive efficiency in the league, allowing just 97.2 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta has one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA and the Hawks will be playing on no rest after taking a 119-83 beating by the Clippers last night. I think we can safely assume that the Clippers will run away with this game early and then keep the Hawks at a distance. Under is 15-6 in Lakers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-17-19 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 TOTAL The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 28.1 ppg on the season, but their defense has been playing much better in recent weeks. Last time out they held Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints without a touchdown in a 26-9 win, and here today they will face a Carolina team that scored just 16 points at Green Bay last week. On a positive note, the Panthers defense held Aaron Rodgers to just 233 passing yards without a touchdown, and I think they'll be able to slow down the Falcons prolific passing attack. Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 19-9 in Panthers' last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 227 | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL San Antonio Spurs have one of the worst marks in the league for defensive efficiency, and this looks like a trouble spot defensively as they'll be playing on no rest. The over is 15-5 in Spurs last 20 games playing on 0 days rest, and for all of Portland's struggles this season, putting the ball in the basket has rarely been an issue. The Blazers will be playing on two days rest and I think they'll drive up the tempo to take advantage of the home team's tired legs, forcing a high-paced shootout. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 238.5 | Top | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* FRIDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The books have posted an extremely high total for this matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Washington Wizards Friday night, but do not let the high number intimidate you. Note that the over is 51-33-1 (60%) in games with a closing number of 235+ points since the start of last season, and while I would not recommend betting the over blindly in those spots moving forward, we have a strong case for this contest to fly over the posted total. Both teams rank in the top 10 for pace (Minnesota 4th, Washington 7th) and only Golden State has a worse defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) than the Wizards. Additionally, both teams are averaging over 115 ppg, and that's against a mixed bucket of opponents, most with better defenses than we'll see here. Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 226.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks won 125-121 at Denver on Tuesday and the over is 3-0 in their last three games. The Phoenix Suns took a 123-115 home loss to the Lakers last time out and the over is 4-0 in their last four games. Phoenix has among the best offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) numbers in the league and they're also in the top third for pace. I'm confident they'll make the Hawks run in this one, forcing a fast-paced and high-scoring game. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL Golden State has been atrocious on the defensive end of the hardwood in recent games, but the Utah Jazz just might come out flat offensively in this following back-to-back home wins over two NBA heavyweights in Philadelphia and Milwaukee. The Jazz have the best defensive efficiency in the league, and this edition of the Golden State Warriors lack the firepower to break them down. Under is 11-2-1 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-6-1 in Warriors last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED RAPTORS @ LAKERS TOTAL The LA Lakers rank top of the league in defensive efficiency giving up just 94.5 points per 100 possessions and the Toronto Raptors are in the top 10. The under is 12-5-1 in the Raptors last 18 road games and 7-2 in the Lakers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Additionally, the under is 7-2 in the last 9 head-to-head meetings. The Raptors are shorthanded with All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry and backup big man Serge Ibaka out. I think they'll try and slow down the pace to make it hard for the Lakers to run away with the game, and the Lakers are not playing at a particularly high pace as it is. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 49-13 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 TOTAL The Cincinnati Bengals have put up 17, 17 and 10 points in their last three games. Under is 6-2 in their eight games on the season and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair when they host AFC North rivals Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon. I would not be surprised to see Baltimore come out flat here following a massive 37-20 win over New England last week, no facing a winless Cincinnati team and with Houston on deck. The Ravens picked up a 23-17 win over the Bengals home in Baltimore on Oct. 13 with a total closing at 47 points. The books have adjusted the total somewhat for this contest, but not enough if you ask me. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | Florida International v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 59.5 | Top | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 TOTAL The over/under is 1-3 in the Florida Atlantic Owls' four home games on the season, and I think they're in for another low-scoring contest when hosting the Florida International Golden Panthers on Saturday. The under is 9-5 in Florida Atlantic's last 14 games as a favorite and they'll face a Golden Panthers team that has scored a total of just 41 points over its last two games. The visitors did hold Old Dominion to 17 points last time out, and they can achieve bowl eligibility with a victory in this game but I doubt they like their chances in a shootout. The Owls defense has conceded only a combined 27 points in their last two games and is unlikely to give up a big number here. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 217.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
CELTICS @ HORNETS TOP RATED TOTAL The Charlotte Hornets defeated the Indiana Pacers 122-120 in OT last time out to improve to 4-3 overall and 2-1 at home. They struggled big time on the defensive end in their first two home games though, and here they'll face a Boston Celtics side that is coming off a 119-113 win at Cleveland to make it four wins on the bounce. The Celtics have scored 116+ points in three of those wins and each of the last five games in this series has gone over the total. Over is 5-1-1 in Hornets last 7 home games and 13-5-1 in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 212 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* 76ERS @ JAZZ NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz have opened the season with seven straight unders, and I think another relatively low-scoring affair is in the cards when they host the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The Sixers will be looking to bounce back from a 114-109 loss at Phoenix Suns on Monday, and they're likely to be focusing on getting the defense right. "Obviously defensively, I thought they never really felt us in the second half," forward Tobias Harris told reporters after the setback. "They got too many easy looks, too many open looks. So, I thought that was probably the biggest adjustment." Overall on the season, Philly is still a top 10 team in defensive efficiency, a category the Jazz rank no. 1 for, but Utah is also one of the worst teams in the league in offensive efficiency. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 9-2 in the last 11 meetings overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 215.5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
LAKERS @ BULLS TUESDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The LA Lakers have played locked down basketball lately holding opponents to an average of 96.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak, and that's despite one of the games going to OT. They lead the league in defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) and here they'll face a Chicago team that has been held to fewer than 100 points in three of its last four games. Under is 26-10-1 in the Bulls last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the under is 14-5 in Lakers last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and I think they'll limit the damage the 2-5 Bulls can do on offense. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S JAZZ @ CLIPPERS TOTAL TOP PLAY The Utah Jazz have the best scoring defense in the NBA with only 94.0 ppg allowed per game while holding opponents to 42.1 percent shooting from the field. They're also one of the slowest teams with just 100.7 possessions per game and have yet to see any of their games go over the total this season. The Clippers have also stepped it up a notch on the defensive end in recent games and limited the Spurs to 97 points last time out. Under is 3-0 in their last three overall and 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games. We saw just a total of 206 points when these two teams did battle at Utah earlier this week, and I think this will be another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-03-19 | Titans v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -109 | 62 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 9 TOTAL The Carolina Panthers defense will be ready for this one after giving up 50+ points to San Francisco last week. Note that the over/under is 4-11 in the last 15 NFL games where one of the teams conceded 50 points or more its last game. Here Carolina will face a Tennessee Titans team that has struggled all season long and will have Ryan Tannehill under center for a second straight week after benching Marcus Mariota. Tennessee's offense is among the worst in the league averaging only 5.0 yards per play and Carolina is only marginally better at 5.2 ypp. Both teams are much more accomplished on the defensive side of the ball, and Titans run defense should be able to if not stop, at least contain Panthers' star running back Christian McCaffrey. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers UNDER 220 | Top | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have the fourth best scoring defense in the league and they have held opponents to 35.5 percent shooting from the field. The Portland Trail Blazers shot just 39.5 percent in a 102-99 win at OKC last time out, and while they generally shoot the ball much better home at Moda Center I don't see points coming easy in this one. Under is 3-1 in the Sixers four games on the season and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. teams from the Western Conference. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-19 | Boston College v. Syracuse OVER 59 | Top | 58-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 TOTAL The Boston College have the worst scoring defense in the ACC giving up 32.0 ppg and the over/under is 6-2 in their eight games on the season. Their defense was lit up in a 59-7 loss to Clemson last time out and the Syracuse Orange, despite their limitations, should be able to move the ball quite freely. As for when Boston College has the ball, it averages a healthy 31.1 points per game and has the 10th best ground game in the country led by elite running back in AJ Dillon. Syracuse has allowed 160.0 rushing yards per game so expect BC to have decent success moving the ball on the ground. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-01-19 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 214 | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* JAZZ @ KINGS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz are limiting opponents to 40.8% shooting from the field on the season and have yet to allow more than 96 points in any of their games. As for the Sacramento Kings, they're averaging only 98.6 ppg and note that both these teams are in the bottom six in the NBA for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Utah is as per usual one of the slowest teams in the league just barely breaking 100 possessions per game and the under is 5-0 in their first five games this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 225.5 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SPURS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The LA Clippers will be playing on no rest following a loss at Utah last night. I think their heavy legs could become an issue on defense, something that Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will be smart enough to exploit by urging his team to push the ball tempo to get open shots. The Spurs have averaged 119 ppg while going a perfect 3-0 on the season and the Clippers have had no trouble scoring, entering this contest with a 121.5 ppg average despite being held to 96 points by the Jazz last night. Note that star forward Kawhi Leonard was rested yesterday, and he'll surely be up for putting points on the board against his former team. Additionally, we can note that both teams rank near the top of the league for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the last head-to-head matchup here at Staples Center saw a total of 233 points scored. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED 49ERS @ CARDINALS THURSDAY NIGHT *BEST BET* Do not let the fact that the San Francisco 49ers put up 51 points against Carolina last week scare you. They had played four straight unders prior to that offensive explosion, and I think they'll let the defense pick up the slack here when playing on a short week at Arizona Cardinals Thursday night. Arizona and rookie QB Kyler Murray had put up impressive offensive numbers against weak defenses (Cincinnati, Atlanta, NY Giants) before getting exposed by New Orleans' elite defense in a 31-9 loss last week. The Niners lead the NFL in total defense and points allowed, so points will most likely be equally hard to come by for the home team in this one. Under is 9-3 in 49ers last 12 Thursday games. Under is 7-3 in 49ers last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NHL TOTAL The Vancouver Canucks put an 8-2 beating on the LA Kings three weeks ago, and I think we'll see another high-scoring affair when the two teams clash at Staples Center Wednesday night. The Kings took a 5-1 loss to Chicago on Sunday and are giving up 4+ goals per game on the season. I don't think they'll allow the visiting Nucks to skate away with this game comfortably, but to stay in this contest they'll need to score. Note that Vancouver averaging a healthy 3.64 gpg, fifth in the NHL, and put seven in a win against Florida Monday night. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-29-19 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 216 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 121 ppg while splitting a couple of high-scoring affairs against New Orleans and Portland, but I think points will be harder to come by here at Denver Tuesday night with the home team looking to slow down the tempo. The Nuggets are 2-0 to the under on the season, scoring 108 points in both games with an average of only 103.5 ppg allowed (and that despite Friday's matchup at Phoenix going to overtime). They were just outside of the top 10 for defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) last season and it looks like Denver will be hard to beat on the defensive end of the hardwood this season as well. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 16-5 in their last 21 home games. Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Pepsi Center. *Write up posted before the conclusion of Denver's matchup with the Kings at Sacramento Monday night. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-25-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED WORLD SERIES GAME 3 TOTAL The two teams have opened the World Series by combining for 24 runs through two Washington triumphs at Minute Maid Park, and that despite better pitching matchups than the one we'll see tonight. I expect the hitters will keep dominating this series and push the score over the posted total with ease. Astros' righty Zack Greinke (0-2, 6.43 ERA) has not had a good postseason and no one should trust Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (1-0, 0.71 ERA) to shut down a desperate Houston side. Both bullpens have proven vulnerable and unable to keep runners off the bases. Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Washington. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED REDSKINS @ VIKINGS TOTAL I think we'll see a low-scoring affair when the Minnesota Vikings host the Washington Redskins Thursday night. The Vikes have been putting up impressive offensive numbers in recent weeks, but QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to do worse in primetime games and this should be no exception playing on a short week. There will simply be no reason for Minnesota to run up the score against a hapless Redskins team so the main focus (apart from getting the W) should be to come out of this contest as healthy as possible. Expect Minnesota to take a healthy lead and then bleed the clock dry on every possession. Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games overall and 5-1 in their 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
PATRIOTS @ JETS MONDAY NIGHT AFC EAST SHOWDOWN *TOP PLAY*
We can however note that Darnold threw for just 175 yards and was sacked four times when he faced the Bills elite defense in his only other start this season on September 9. The Pats D is right up there with Buffalo's ranking near the top of the league in several defensive categories and the Jets left Gilette Stadium without an offensive touchdown in a 30-14 loss a couple of weeks ago. Under is 9-0 in Patriots last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and keep in mind that the Jets rank dead last in tempo taking almost 31 seconds per play. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-17-19 | Chiefs v. Broncos UNDER 49 | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 65 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED CHIEFS @ BRONCOS TOTAL I think the posted total is set way too high for this Thursday Night Football clash between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs at Mile High. The usually so high-scoring Chiefs have averaged only 21.5 ppg during an 0-2 SU and ATS slide. MVP quarterback Patrick Mahomes has completed just 55 percent of his passes during that stretch and is visibly bothered by a lingering ankle injury. To be fair, he is not getting much help from a banged up offensive line and the Chiefs ground game is virtually non-existent. As for the Broncos they're trending in the opposite direction, and almost solely because of a defense that has been excellent in back-to-back wins. Note that they recorded seven sacks with three interceptions in last week's 16-0 shutout triumph over Tennessee. The Broncos do not bring much to the table offensively though, and when they do move the ball it will mainly be on the ground which will take time off the clock. The under is 13-2 over the last three seasons in Denver games with a total between 42.5 and 49 points and 11-3 L14 when facing a division rival. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-14-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED NLCS GAME 3 TOTAL The St. Louis Cardinals and the Washington Nationals combined for just six runs through the first two games of this series (both Nats victories), and I think it's safe to say that runs will come at a premium once again here at Nationals Park Monday night. Cards 23-year-old righty Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.77 ERA) was outstanding following the All Star break. He posted a sub-1 ERA in both August and September and was solid in the NLDS against the Braves with four runs allowed and 16 Ks over 13 innings of work. As for Nats starter Stephen Strasburg (2-0, 2.40 ERA), the veteran righty has allowed only four runs with 21 Ks over 15 innings of work in the playoffs this year and he held St. Louis to three runs with 15 Ks over 11-plus frames during the regular season. Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 overall. Under is 16-6 in Cardinals last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 13-4-2 in Flaherty's last 19 starts overall. Under is 5-2-1 in Strasburg's last 8 starts overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-13-19 | Falcons v. Cardinals OVER 51 | Top | 33-34 | Win | 100 | 150 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The Atlanta Falcons have 99 problems, but scoring points ain't one. You would think that putting 32 points on the board would be enough to a W, but that was not the case for the Falcons as they took a 53-32 loss at Houston last week. Only KC's Patrick Mahomes has more passing yards than Atlanta QB Matt Ryan, and here Ryan will get to take shots against an Arizona defense that ranks in the bottom third against the pass and in the bottom five for total defense. The Falcons D is only marginally better and it allowed Houston QB Deshaun Watson to complete 28-of-33 passes for 426 yards and five touchdown passes in Week 5. Arizona will enter this contest feeling pretty good about themselves after accumulating 514 yards of offense in a 26-23 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Rookie QB Kyler Murray ran for a career-high 93 yards and completed 20-of-32 passes for 253 yards without an interception. Over is 8-3 in Falcons last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 14-6-1 in Falcons last 21 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. It's a big number, but I expect both teams to score fast and easy until the very last possession. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
NATIONALS @ CARDINALS NLCS GAME 2 *TOP PLAY* The St. Louis Cardinals were shut out and were no-hit until the seventh inning in the Washington Nationals 2-0 win in the opener of this NLCS Friday night. I expect another low-scoring contest in Game 2. Nats righty Max Scherzer (1-0, 2.77 ERA) held the Dodgers to one run and four hits over seven innings in the NLDS and owns a 3.31 ERA in 11 career meetings with the Cards. As for St. Louis starter Adam Wainwright (0-0, 0.00 ERA), the veteran right-hander held Atlanta to four hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings in their NLDS series and he has a 1.35 ERA versus Washington this season. Under is 5-1-1 in Scherzer's last 7 road starts. Under is 18-7-1 in Wainwright's last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 playoff home games. Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-12-19 | Iowa State v. West Virginia OVER 54 | Top | 38-14 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10 UNIT TOTAL The Iowa State Cyclones are coming off a dominant 49-24 win over TCU. They had no trouble to move the ball against an elite Horned Frogs defense, and I think they'll pile up the points against West Virginia. The Mountaineers meanwhile took a 41-32 loss against Texas last week but it would've been even closer if quarterback Austin Kendall didn't throw four interceptions. Still, Kendall finished with 367 passing yards and also threw three touchdown passes, and their offense helped the Mountaineers beat NC State 44-27 as a seven-point dog on September 14. All of the Mountaineers' last four games have gone over the total, and while I'm not confident they'll cover the spread I think they'll put a fair amount of points on the board. Over is 5-1 in Mountaineers last 6 home games. Over is 9-3 in Mountaineers last 12 games following a straight-up loss. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-11-19 | Islanders v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED ISLANDERS @ CANES TOTAL The Carolina Hurricanes are a perfect 4-0-0 on the season, and while they've mostly been involved in high-scoring games I think that will not be the case here. The New York Islanders are 1-2-0 on the season. They've not been too shabby defensively with eight goals allowed in three games, but producing goals at the other end of the ice has been an issue. They've mustered only seven on the season, with four of those goals coming against the leaky Winnipeg Jets. Note that Canes netminder Petr Mrazek posted a 2.04 GAA in two meetings with the Islanders last year. Under is 16-6 in Hurricanes last 22 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and 6-0-2 in Islanders last 8 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-09-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 8 | Top | 13-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
CARDINALS @ BRAVES NLDS GAME 5 TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Atlanta Braves host the St. Louis Cardinals for the finale of their NLDS Wednesday. The pitching matchup is the same as in Game 2, a contest the Braves won 3-0, and I predict another low-scoring encounter. Cards righty Jack Flaherty (11-8, 2.75 ERA) had an epic second half of the season during which he went 7-2 with a minuscule 0.91 ERA. Braves righty Mike Foltynewicz (8-6, 4.54 ERA) outdueled Flaherty in Game 2 with seven shutout innings and he had a 1.73 ERA over his last seven regular-season starts. Under is 13-3-2 in Flaherty's last 18 starts overall. Under is 15-7-1 in Braves last 23 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1-1 in Foltynewicz's last 6 starts overall. Under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-07-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 9 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -112 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Minnesota Twins and the New York Yankees have played high-scoring contests when facing each other all season long, and the playoffs have been no exception. I expect runs to come fast and easy once again here in Game 3 of their ALDS Monday night. Yankees righty Luis Severino (1-1, 1.50 ERA) has pitched just 12 innings this year after missing most of it due to shoulder and lat injuries. He has up a pair of runs on one hit and four walks in three innings of a 9-4 loss at Texas on September 28 and Severino has a 4.15 ERA in two career starts against the Twins. Minnesota right-hander Jake Odorizzi (15-7, 3.51 ERA) owns a 4.71 ERA in 18 career outings (17 starts) against the Yankees and he was tagged for nine runs on 10 hits in just four innings when he took on the Bronx Bombers here at Target Field back in July. This is a do-or-die spot for the Twins as they face elimination, and I think they'll bring the bats (as per usual). Over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings, 16-5 in Severino's last 21 starts overall and 7-1-2 in Twins last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-06-19 | Vikings v. Giants UNDER 45.5 | Top | 28-10 | Win | 100 | 129 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER ALERT* The Minnesota Vikings didn't get on the scoreboard until the middle of the fourth quarter in last week's 16-6 loss to the Chicago Bears. Over/under is 29-41-4 in games where a team scored seven or fewer points last time out dating back to the start of the 2017 season, and I think this has all the signs of a low-scoring affair. The Vikes have struggled to protect QB Kirk Cousins who was sacked six times against the Bears and running back Dalvin Cook was completely shut down, finishing with just 35 yards on 14 carries. The Giants defense is of course not nearly as good as Chicago's, but it has been more vulnerable through the air which is not something Minnesota can exploit effectively. On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota has been as solid as ever. It held Chicago to 269 yards of total offense and ranks sixth in the NFL with 312.8 yards allowed per game despite facing what I consider good offenses in three of its four games. The Vikings should be able to shut down Giants team playing without its star running back and a rookie QB (Daniel Jones) who threw two interceptions in a 24-3 win over Washington last week. Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 road games. Under is 15-7 in Giants last 22 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-05-19 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
SATURDAY ALDS TWINS @ YANKEES TOTAL *TOP PLAY* We saw a total of 14 runs scored in the opener of this ALDS, and that was with a better pitching matchup than Randy Dobnak vs. Masahiro Tanaka who will take the mound for Game 2. On the surface Minnesota righty Dobnak (2-1, 1.59 ERA) has a great ERA, but that mostly boils down to the fact that he has just 28 1/3 big league innings under his belt. As for Yankees righty Tanaka (11-9, 4.45 ERA), while he certainly has more experience, note his mediocre 4.32 ERA in five starts last month. Both the Yankees and Twins topped 300 homers during the regular season, and both teams ability to hit the long ball will certainly help to push the score over the total. Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with the Twins (8-2 in the last 10 meetings in the Bronx). 10* play on OVER. |
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10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State OVER 55.5 | Top | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL The Penn State Nittany Lions have had no trouble to put points on the board in three of four games on the season, the exception a low-scoring 17-10 win over Pittsburgh. They average 50 ppg and scored 59 while racking up 622 yards of total offense in a shut out win at Maryland last time out and I think we'll see Penn State move the ball fast and easy here against a Purdue team that has allowed an average of 32.5 ppg on the season. Last time out, the Boilermakers gave up 488 yards of total offense in a 38-31 home loss to Minnesota and over is 7-1 in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Purdue has scored 30+ points in three of its four games and I think it'll contribute enough to push the score over the total. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-05-19 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER): MIKE'S EARLY PREMIER LEAGUE TOTAL To say that Tottenham are vulnerable defensively would be an understatement up seven goals to Bayern Munich in their Champions League matchup midweek. They have allowed nine goals in seven Premier League games on the season, and while the home team Brighton usually comes out with a cautious gameplan, it must smell blood and be looking to put on a show in front of the home town crowd at Amex Stadium here. Brighton are banged up though, and for all of Tottenham's issues, scoring goals is not one of them. They have world class attackers like Harry Kane, Heung-Min Son and Christian Eriksen who all can create goals out of nothing. I think we'll see a 2-1 or 3-1 win for the visitors, with the score going over the total. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show |
MLB PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR 2019 I absolutely love the line we get on the total here in the opener of their ALDS against the New York Yankees, and I expect the final score to fly over the posted total with ease. Minnesota righty Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA) will make his first postseason start after posting a 4.31 ERA in five September starts. Berrios is 7-4 with a 3.84 ERA in 17 road starts on the season but has had his struggles with the Yankees overall, and particularly in the Bronx where he has a 9.82 ERA in two starts. Southpaw James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA) will also be making his postseason debut for the Yankees. He exited his last start after the first inning in Texas on Sept. 27 due to soreness in his left glute muscle, but only after allowing two runs on three hits. Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and the two teams combined for 20 home runs and 57 runs in a three-game series in Minnesota back in July. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-03-19 | Rams v. Seahawks OVER 48 | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 60 h 15 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT RAMS @ SEAHAWKS TOTAL *TOP PLAY*' We should see an angry and motivated Los Angeles Rams team heading to Seattle looking to bounce back from a 55-40 home loss to Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The reigning NFC champions are as good as anyone on the offensive side of the ball but simply can't trust their defense to win games. Rams' third-year quarterback Jared Goff threw for 517 yards with two touchdown passes and three picks in that contest and they're averaging a healthy 29.2 ppg on the season. Seattle has an elite rushing defense, but its secondary is mediocre at best. The Seahawks allowed Bengals QB Andy Dalton to pass for 418 yards plus a pair of scores in the opening game of the season. Since then they've faced two teams with backup QBs and one team with a rookie under center. Offensively, the Seahawks just put up 20 points in the first half alone against Arizona and I think the two teams will combine for enough points to push the final score over the total. As the clincher, we can note that both matchups last season saw 60+ points scored! 10* play on OVER. |
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10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 102 | 34 h 56 m | Show |
BREWERS @ NATIONALS NL WILD CARD *MAJOR WAGER* The Washington Nationals will host the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League Wild Card Tuesday night. I think it's safe to assume that runs will come at a premium. Washington has had bullpen issues most of the season, but their starters are as solid as they come (second-best ERA in baseball). In a one-and-done game like this, we can most likely expect to see Stephen Strasburg and Patrick Corbin come out of the pen to relieve starter Max Scherzer (11-7, 2.92 ERA). As for the Brewers, they'll hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff (11-3, 3.62 ERA) who has allowed just seven runs over his last six outings. He'll be well rested after making just two abbreviated starts in September and last pitched on September 22. Under is 23-11-2 in Brewers last 36 overall. Under is 6-2 in Woodruff's last 8 starts with 8 or more days of rest. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-29-19 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED BRAVES @ METS TOTAL I think the scorekeepers will have a quiet afternoon at Citi Field here on the last day of the regular season. Mets righty Noah Syndergaard (10-8, 4.30 ERA) will be looking to close out the year with a solid start after getting roughed up in recent outings while Atlanta right-hander Mike Soroka (13-4, 2.60 ERA) need to stay sharp for the postseason. Soroka has limited the Mets to five runs on 13 hits in 12 1/3 innings on the season and we should expect another strong outing here. Under is 13-4-1 in Braves last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Mets last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1 in Soroka's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-29-19 | Redskins v. Giants OVER 48.5 | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL This is a showdown between two teams that have struggled on the defensive end through the first three games of the season. Both sides are allowing an average of 31.3 ppg and 400+ yards of total offense. The Redskins have seen all three contests fly over the total, and I think this will turn into a shootout. The Giants are 1-2 on the season following a thrilling come-from-behind 32-31 win over Tampa Bay. Rookie quarterback Daniel Jones completed 65 percent of his passes for 336 yards and two touchdowns versus zero interceptions in his first career start. Make no mistake, this is a team that can move the ball and it ranks seventh in the NFL for total offense. Sure, the injury to Giants' running back Saquon Barkley is not ideal, but I don't think they'll have any trouble to move the chains against a weak Redskins secondary. The Giants have the worst pass defense in the league with 332.3 passing yards allowed per game and they allowed Bucs and they let a mediocre QB like Jameis Winston to throw for 380 yards. While Washington QB Case Keenum looked terrible against the Bears Monday night, keep in mind that he was up against one of the best defenses in the league. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-28-19 | Washington State v. Utah OVER 57 | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 3 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Washington State Cougars gave up 67 points and 657 yards of total offense in a loss to the UCLA Bruins last week. On a more positive note, they did also put up 63 points and QB Anthony Gordon had a huge game with 570 yards passing yards and nine touchdown passes. Utah's elite run defense is among the best in the nation, but the Cougars won't even try to run the ball and Utah gave up 351 passing yards against USC Trojans last week. On the offensive side of the ball, the Utes will have quarterback Tyler Huntley and running back Zack Mose likely sidelined due to injuries. They do however have good depth in the backfield and I think they'll have a gameplan in place how to exploit this far from elite Cougars defense. Over is 5-1 in Utes last 6 home games. Over is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 road games. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-27-19 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 55 m | Show |
TOP-RATED TGIF MLB PLAY OF THE DAY *MAJOR WAGER* The Minnesota Twins have already clinched the division, but they're showing no signs of slowing down and put a 10-4 beating on the Detroit Tigers on Thursday. They'll visit the Kansas City Royals in the opener of a three-game series Friday night, and I expect to see a high-scoring contest. KC left-hander Eric Skoglund (0-2, 7.50 ERA) has pitched just 18 innings on the season but has still managed to give up as many as 21 hits, eight walks, and three home runs. He'll face a Twins team that leads the major leagues in several offensive categories and became the first major league team to hit 300 home runs in a season last night. As for Minnesota starter José Berríos (13-8, 3.70 ERA), the right-hander surrendered five runs and eight hits over six innings against Kansas City on Saturday. Berrios has not been sharp in recent months, posting a 7.57 ERA in August and a 4.62 ERA so far here in September. Over is 10-3 in Royals last 13 home games. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at Kauffman Stadium. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-26-19 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED BREWERS @ REDS MLB BOOKIE BREAKER The Milwaukee Brewers have outscored the Cincinnati Reds 13-4 through the first two games of this series, but I would not be surprised to see their bats take the day off after clinching a playoff spot last night. Here they'll face Reds righty Luis Castillo (15-7, 3.25 ERA) who owns a 3.86 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season. Milwaukee right-hander Chase Anderson (7-4, 4.30 ERA) has less than impressive numbers against the Reds in 2019, but note that he's held opponents to two or fewer runs in each of his last four starts. Under is 21-10-1 in Brewers last 32 overall. Under is 10-4-2 in Reds last 16 overall. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at Great American Ballpark. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-25-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -104 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays have combined for 12+ runs in five straight meetings, and I am confident we'll see yet another high-scoring affair Wednesday night. Toronto righty Jacob Waguespack (4-4. 4.75 ERA) has struggled in recent weeks, posting a 5.67 ERA over his last six starts. His very last time out, the 25-year-old served up two homers as he was tagged with three runs in five innings in the Bronx. As for Baltimore starter Gabriel Ynoa (1-9, 5.65 ERA), the right-hander has made most of his appearances out of the bullpen, and he is 0-8 with a 6.12 ERA in 12 starts this season. Ynoa has served up six homers over his last four starts, including a pair in an 8-4 loss at Toronto last time out. Over is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 overall. Over is 9-2-1 in Blue Jays last 12 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins UNDER 42 | Top | 31-15 | Loss | -111 | 154 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOTAL The Chicago Bears have opened the season 1-1 with both games being low-scoring affairs, and that's a trend I like to continue when they visit the Washington Redskins on Monday Night Football. The Skins have looked suspect on the defensive side of the ball in first giving up 32 points to the Eagles in Week 1 and 31 points to the Cowboys last week. We can, however, note that Chicago has averaged just 9.5 points and 263.5 yards of total offense through the first two weeks. Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky really struggled in the 10-3 Week 1 loss to Green Bay and was not much better Sunday, throwing for only 120 yards at Denver. Note that Trubisky has completed just over 58 percent of his passes and he has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season ... Washington QB Case Keenum has put up decent numbers, but I doubt he can do it against an elite Bears defense that has held its opponents to 292.5 yards per game. Under is 7-0 in Bears last 7 games overall. Under is 6-1 in Redskins last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-23-19 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 10 | Top | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays combined for at least 12 runs three straight games at Camden Yards last week. I think runs will come fast and easy again here in the opener of this three-game set at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Toronto righty Clay Buchholz (1-5, 6.48 ERA) was tagged with seven runs on 10 hits in just 3 2/3 innings of no decision against Baltimore last time out, a game the Jays still managed to win 11-10. As for Orioles starter Chandler Shepherd (0-0, 4.91 ERA), the 27-year-old right-hander has just three major league starts under his belt, and he was smacked around for three runs on four hits over four frames against the Blue Jays on Tuesday. Over is 5-2-2 in Orioles last 9 Monday games. Over is 9-2 in Blue Jays last 11 Monday games. Over is 6-0-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-2-1 in Blue Jays last 10 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-22-19 | Manchester United v. West Ham United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 115 | 2 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER): MIKE'S TOP RATED PREMIER LEAGUE TOTAL Manchester United have not scored more than one goal in any contest since opening their season with a 4-0 rout of Chelsea. They'll be without World Cup-winning star midfielder Paul Pogba for this one, leaving the Red Devils short of creativity from the midfield. As for West Ham, they're coming off a 0-0 draw against Aston Villa and have scored just six goals in five Premier League games on the season. They've also looked good on the defensive end though, having kept three successive clean sheets in league and cup play. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-21-19 | Nebraska v. Illinois UNDER 62.5 | Top | 42-38 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 26 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Illinois Fighting Illini are coming off their first loss after taking a 34-31 loss to Eastern Michigan last Saturday. That game flew over the total, but they had opened the season with two straight unders and just 26 points allowed. I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair when they host the Nebraska Cornhuskers Saturday night. Nebraska's offense has been inconsistent, and I would not make too much of its 44-8 rout of Northern Illinois last week. Both teams are strong against run holding opponents to 2.2 yards/rush attempt. If the passing game is not clicking, moving the chains will become a struggle no matter who has the ball. Under is 12-4 in Fighting Illini last 16 games in September and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-21-19 | Giants v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
TOP RATED GIANTS @ BRAVES SATURDAY NIGHT TOTAL Saturday's matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves have all the signs of a low-scoring affair. Giants right-hander Johnny Cueto (1-0, 0.00 ERA) has been excellent since coming back from Tommy John surgery with two scoreless outings covering a total of 10 frames. Braves' southpaw Max Fried (16-6, 4.25 ERA) has been knocked around for five runs in both of his last two outings, but both were on the road. Fried owns a 3.42 ERA in 14 starts at SunTrust Park this year and under is 5-1-1 in his last 7 home starts. Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 8-2 in Braves last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-18-19 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (MLB): MIKE'S BEST REGULAR SEASON TOTAL 2019 The Minnesota Twins came from behind not only once, but twice in Tuesday's 9-8 win over the Chicago White Sox. I am extremely confident that this matchup will be another wild high-scoring affair. Here they'll get a look at White Sox righty Ivan Nova (10-12, 4.86 ERA) for an inning or two as Dylan Covey, who originally was scheduled to start Wednesday, has been scratched due to a sore shoulder. Nova gave up five runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings in Chicago's 11-10 loss at Seattle on Sunday. As for Twins righty Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.60 ERA), he has been solid lately but has not made it past the sixth inning in any of his last 10 starts. We can note that both teams were forced to dig deep into the bullpen in last night's marathon ... Over is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-15-19 | Orioles v. Tigers OVER 10.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY MLB PLAY OF THE DAY *TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER* The Detroit Tigers earned Saturday's matchup 8-4 with a John Hicks walk-off grand slam in the 12th inning, and I thinke they look primed to play out another high-scoring contest here in the third game of this four-game series on Sunday. Detroit right-hander Edwin Jackson (3-9, 9.76 ERA) allowed six runs in just two innings against the Yankees last time out (game Detroit still won 12-11) has been tagged with four earned runs in five consecutive starts. Over is 6-2-1 in Jackson's last 9 home starts. As for Baltimore starter Asher Wojciechowski (2-8, 5.51 ERA), the right-hander was tagged with four runs in just two innings of a 10-4 home loss to Texas last time out. He has a 7.05 ERA over his last eight starts and over is 7-2 in Wojciechowski's last 9 starts. Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and runs should come fast and easy for both teams here. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-15-19 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 49 | Top | 43-0 | Win | 100 | 56 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY TOTAL The New England Patriots limited Big Ben and the Steelers and to three points and 308 yards of offense last week. We won with the under in that Sunday night matchup, and I'm going back to the well as I don't see this turning into a shootout. Miami looked awful on both sides of the ball in its 59-10 loss to the Ravens in Week 1 so there's not really a surprise to see the reigning champions favored by almost three touchdowns here. We can, however, note that Miami usually plays them tough, particularly here at Hard Rock Stadium where they won outright as a 9.5-point underdog last year. The bookmakers obviously expect a very different result in this contest, and I also expect the Pats to take a comfortable lead and then control the clock and possibly remove their starters to minimizing the risk of injuries. Also, I don't think Bill Belichick wants to embarrass Dolphins coach Brian Flores who was defensive play-caller for the team that won the Super Bowl last year. Under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-14-19 | A's v. Rangers OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Oakland Athletics and Texas Rangers combined for 13 runs through the first three frames alone in Friday night's matchup. Neither starting pitcher made it to the fourth inning, and with depleted bullpens I think we'll see another high-scoring affair on Saturday. Additionally, we can note that Oakland starter Mike Fiers (14-4, 3.97 ERA) was tagged with nine runs on as many hits with five homers while recording just three outs in a 15-0 loss to Houston last time out. In his last start prior to that, he gave up four runs in five innings while serving up two homers against the Halos. As for Texas starter Mike Minor (13-3, 3.08 ERA), the 31-year-old southpaw is coming off eight innings of two-run ball at Baltimore, but his ERA at home is higher than on the road and over is 4-1 in Minor's last five home starts. Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Texas and 12-5 in the last 17 meetings overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-14-19 | Pittsburgh v. Penn State OVER 52.5 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE' TOP RATED TOTAL (SUPER EARLY) The Penn State Nittany Lions explosive offense has had no trouble to run up the score in blowout victories against weak opponents in the first two weeks of the season. Both those games went over the total, and they're a rather sizable favorite again here when they take on rival Pittsburgh Panthers Saturday afternoon. Pittsburgh is coming off a pair of low-scoring games, but the offense looked better in its 20-10 win over Ohio last time out. Junior QB Kenny Pickett threw for a career-high 321 yards and a TD against as the team racked up 481 yards of total offense, 160 of those yards on the ground. Penn State put a 45-13 come-from-behind beating on Buffalo last week, but it did give up 184 rushing yards and I expect to see Pitt put some points on the board in this contest. We can also note that the over is 7-1 in the Lions last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points and 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-14-19 | Leicester v. Manchester United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER): MIKE'S TOP RATED PREMIER LEAGUE TOTAL Manchester United have gone three games without a win since opening the season with a 4-0 romp of Chelsea, and they've scored just three goals in those three games. Here the players will return back from the international break, which obviously is not much of a break at all for a team stacked with national team players. Not only does the games take their toll, but also the traveling ... We can and Man U will have to do without six injured players, including star midfielder Paul Pogba. As for visiting Leicester, they've had a positive start to the season entering Saturday in third place in the EPL table. They've allowed just three goals in four games, and will most likely be happy to sit back and let a toothless Man U team bang their heads against the blue wall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-11-19 | Reds v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
LATE TOP RATED 10* MLB MIDNIGHT MASSACRE TOTAL The Seattle Mariners earned a 4-3 win in Tuesday night's matchup thanks to a two-run homer from Kyle Seager in the eighth inning. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, and I think we have a solid case for another low-scoring affair here on Wednesday. Seattle southpaw Marco Gonzales (14-11, 4.37 ERA) has been lit up in back-to-back starts, but both were on the road. Gonzalez limited the Blue Jays to one run on three hits over seven innings of a 3-1 win his last time out at T-Mobile Park, and he has held opponents to two or fewer runs in each of his last four home starts. The Reds counter with right-hander Sonny Gray (10-6, 2.75 ERA) has had a great second half of the season, and he has held opponents to one or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts, with four of those outings being of the scoreless variety. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S STEELERS @ PATRIOTS BEST TOTAL BET The defending Super Bowl champions New England Patriots host the Pittsburgh Steelers for one of the best inter-divisional rivalries in the NFL Sunday night. If you expect late-night fireworks I think you'll be disappointed as this looks like a low-scoring contest. Note that five of New England's last seven season openers have gone under the total and, four of its last five meetings with the Steelers failed to surpass the closing number. They clashed once last year, a game the Steelers won 17-10. Pittsburgh has since lost/got rid of star wide receiver and troublemaker Antonio Brown, and while it's almost certainly the right call in the long run, it'll be hard to replace him in the short term. Instead, we now find Brown with the Pats, which certainly puts an extra interesting spin to this matchup ... We'll see two aging quarterbacks in Tom Brady (42) and Ben Roethlisberger (37) under center, and while I'm certainly not saying either is done yet, they might need a couple of games to get the old legs going following the off-season. Under is 36-16 in Steelers last 52 road games and 11-3 in their last 14 games on fieldturf. Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games on fieldturf. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-08-19 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER ALERT* The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays combined for 10 runs in the opener of this series, but the next two games have both been low-scoring affairs staying under the total. I think runs will come at a premium in the finale of this four-game series Sunday afternoon. The under is 6-1-1 in Toronto's rookie right-hander Jacob Waguespack (4-3, 3.97 ERA) last eight starts, and he has limited Tampa Bay to five earned runs over 15 innings of work this season. As for Rays' starter Tyler Glasnow (6-1, 1.86 ERA), this will be his first appearance since May 10 after being sidelined with a strained right forearm, but we can note that the under is 12-3-3 in Glasnow's last 18 starts and that he'll face a Blue Jays team that scored just 12 runs during a six-game slide. Under is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall. Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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09-07-19 | Syracuse v. Maryland OVER 57.5 | Top | 20-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY TOTAL Both teams opened the season with a shutout win, but I expect points to come fast an easy on both ends of the field in this clash. The No. 22 Syracuse Orange are coming off a 24-0 shutout of Liberty, but here they'll face a Maryland offense that amassed 623 yards and hung 79 points in their rout of Howard. Terps QB Josh Jackson threw four touchdowns and the team scrambled for 317 yards on the ground with five scores. As for Cuse quarterback Tommy DeVito, he struggled against the Flames completing just 17-of-35 passes for 176 yards with two picks, but he simply has to come up with a better outing here. Neither defense was put to the test last week, but that will definitely not be the case here. The contrast for how this game is likely to play out might come as a shock for the defenses, and they might find themselves ill-prepared. 10* play on OVER. |
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09-06-19 | Giants v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
TOP RATED GIANTS @ DODGERS FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The LA Dodgers host the San Francisco Giants for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. I really like the pitching matchup here and expect to see a low-scoring affair. Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw's (13-4, 2.96 ERA) 23 career wins against San Francisco is more than against any other opponent and he has a sparkling 1.68 ERA to go with them. As for Giants starter Jeff Samardzija (9-11, 3.61 ERA), the right-hander has posted a 2.61 ERA versus Los Angeles this season and he had a terrific month of August when he posted a 1.84 ERA over five starts. Both Kershaw and Samardzija are both coming off their worst outing of the season, but we can note that under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 10-4 in Dodgers last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-30-19 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 10 | Top | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL MAX BET The Minnesota Twins hit three home runs in their 10-5 triumph over Chicago White Sox on Thursday. I expect they to keep hitting the ball well here against Detroit righty Edwin Jackson (3-7, 8.70 ERA) who has served up five homers over 21-plus innings of work since coming over from Toronto. He owns a 6.33 ERA in 11 career appearances against the Twins (including seven starts) and they smacked him around for six runs over five frames on August 24. As for Minnesota starter Kyle Gibson (12-6, 4.49 ERA), the right-hander has allowed 19 runs through 21 1/3 innings over his last four starts and the over is 6-0-1 in Gibson's last 7 starts overall. We can also note his 5.37 ERA in 21 career starts against Detroit. Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-28-19 | Orioles v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals are massive favorites here against the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday night, and for a good reason as they're still in the top wild-card spot in the National League despite taking a 2-0 loss in the opener of the series Tuesday night. I do not see value on either side, but I expect the score to stay under the posted number. Washington right-hander Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.41 ERA) is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA in 12 career starts versus the Orioles while Baltimore righty Asher Wojciechowski (2-6, 4.67 ERA) has a 2.92 ERA in three games (one start) against the Nationals. The under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 overall, 18-5 in Nationals last 23 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter and 14-2-1 in Scherzer's last 17 interleague starts. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-27-19 | Cardinals v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers played out a high-scoring affair Monday night, and both sides were forced to go to the bullpens early. Cardinals' starter Miles Mikolas has been smacked around for a total of 16 runs (15 earned) over his last three starts, serving up five homers during that stretch. As for Milwaukee starter Adrian Houser (6-5, 3.62 ERA), the right-hander limited the St. Louis to three runs (one earned) over 5 1/3 innings of a 5-3 win on Aug 21, but it should help the Cards to see him again this soon. We can also note that the Cardinals have scored six runs or more in five straight games since that defeat ... 10* play on OVER. |
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08-25-19 | Yankees v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 102 | 19 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* YANKEES @ DODGERS SUNDAY NIGHT TOTAL The LA Dodgers and the New York Yankees will clash in the finale of this heavy-weight series Sunday night. The teams are tied at 1-1 following a 2-1 Dodgers triumph on Saturday, and I expect this to be another low-scoring affair. The Dodgers hand the ball to their ace Clayton Kershaw (13-2, 2.71 ERA). He has posted a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts overall and a spectacular 0.90 ERA in three career starts against the Bronx Bombers. Additionally, Kershaw is an undefeated 9-0 with a 2.42 ERA in 13 home starts on the season. As for Yankees' starter Domingo German (16-3, 4.15 ERA), he has a rather ugly 5.82 ERA in 12 road starts on the season, but keep in mind that the Dodgers will see him for the first time and that the under is 6-0 in Dodgers' last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2-1 in Kershaw's last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 9-1 in Yankees' last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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08-23-19 | Red Sox v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED FRIDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL The San Diego Padres and the Boston Red Sox will clash in the opener of a three-game series Friday night, and plenty of signs point toward runs being hard to come by for both teams. Padres righty Chris Paddack (7-6, 3.44 ERA) owns a 2.60 ERA in three starts against AL opponents and he has a 2.53 ERA in nine starts home at Petco Park on the season. As for Boston starter Eduardo Rodriguez (14-5, 4.10 ERA), the left-hander shut out the Orioles over 7 1/3 innings last time out and this will be his first career start against the Padres, a situation usually favoring the pitcher. Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-4 in Padres last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall and 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in San Diego. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-22-19 | Nationals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals put an 11-0 beating on the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday. While I think runs will be hard to come by for the Bucs for a second straight night, don't expect the visitors to light up the board either. Pittsburgh left-hander Steven Brault (3-2, 4.06 ERA) fanned eight while limiting the Cubs to one run on two hits over seven innings in a 2-0 setback last time out. Brault has been rock solid lately, allowing a total of 16 runs over his past 10 starts and the under is 4-1 in the Nationals last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Nats counter with right-hander Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.41 ERA). He has not made an appearance since July 25 after a couple of turns on the IL with back and shoulder injuries, but the reeling Pirates could be just the perfect opponent for his comeback. Note that Pittsburgh has scored a total of only six runs over its last five games, getting blanked twice and that Scherzer owns a 2.81 ERA in previous meetings with the team. Under is 6-2-1 in Scherzer's last 9 starts overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-21-19 | Padres v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED PADRES @ REDS TOTAL The under is 6-0 in the last six matchups between San Diego Padres and the Cincinnati Reds, and I think we'll see yet another low-scoring encounter Wednesday afternoon. Reds' righty Luis Castillo (11-5, 3.10 ERA) was roughed up by the Cardinals last time out, but that does not change the fact that he's having an outstanding year. Castillo has given up four runs or more in only four of his 25 starts on the and under is 16-8-1 in Reds' games with Castillo on the hill this year. As for the Padres, they will open with Matt Strahm (5-8, 5.21 ERA) in what is likely to be a bullpen game for the visitors. Note his eight innings of one-run ball against Cincinnati back in April and that the Friars' relievers have fanned 19 while allowing just one run over their last 13 innings of work. Under is 18-7-1 in Padres last 26 road games. Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 during game 3 of a series. Under is 7-2 in Castillos last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-20-19 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings at Chase Field, but I expect this contest to fly over the total with ease. Arizona left-hander Alex Young (4-3, 3.98 ERA) was roughed up for a career-worst five runs over five innings of a 7-0 home loss to San Francisco last time out. Young has allowed a total of 11 runs over 14-plus innings in his last three starts and he owns a 4.71 ERA in four starts at Chase Field on the season. As for Rockies starter Kyle Freeland (3-10, 7.09 ERA), the left-hander has pitched somewhat better lately following an absolutely abysmal first half of the season, but he has nevertheless surrendered five runs or more in five of his last eight starts. Freeland was reached for five runs on eight hits when he faced Arizona at Coors Field on August 14 (Colorado still won the game 7-6) and over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts versus the Diamondbacks. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-18-19 | Indians v. Yankees OVER 10 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* INDIANS @ YANKEES TOTAL The teams have combined for more than 13 runs per game over the first three contests of this series. I expect another high-scoring affair here in the series finale Sunday afternoon. Cleveland righty Mike Clevinger (7-2, 3.34 ERA) owns a 5.65 ERA in three games (two starts) versus the Yankees, and while the Bronx Bombers' CC Sabathia (5-6, 4.78 ERA) has posted a 3.78 ERA in 14 career starts against the Indians, note that he was reached for four runs in five innings when he faced them back in June. Over is 6-0 in Clevinger's last 6 starts overall. Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 9-1 in Sabathia's last 10 starts overall and 7-1 in Yankees last 8 home games. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-17-19 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S SUPER EARLY TOP RATED TOTAL The Pittsburgh Pirates put a bad beat on their opponent Friday night as they scored twice in the ninth inning to earn a 3-2 win. Runs came at a premium for both teams in that contest, but I expect to see more fireworks today. Cubs' left-hander Jon Lester (9-8, 4.43 ERA) has been torched for 16 runs on 24 hits through 14 innings of work over his last three starts. Over is 21-6 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 2 of a series and 11-3-1 in his last 15 starts with 5 days of rest. As for Pirates' starter Steven Brault (3-1, 4.33 ERA), the left-hander was reached for four runs in 4 2/3 innings of an 11-9 Pirates loss at St. Louis last time out. Over is 20-7-1 in Pirates' last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 6-1 in Lester's last 7 road starts vs. Pirates. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-13-19 | Cubs v. Phillies OVER 10 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Chicago Cubs for the opener of a three-game series Tuesday night. I think both teams will be ready for a slugfest after getting Monday off. Cubs' left-hander Jose Quintana (10-7, 4.23 ERA) is 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three career starts at Citizens Bank Park while Phillies' southpaw Jason Vargas (6-6, 4.09 ERA) is 3-0 lifetime against the Cubs with a 3.95 ERA over seven starts. Vargas has a 4.76 ERA in two starts since coming over from the Mets and over is 7-3 in Cubs last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. We can also note that the over is 18-8 in Phillies last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-11-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 9-11 | Loss | -117 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY TOTAL The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings at Busch Stadium and I think Sunday's matchup will be another low-scoring affair. The Pittsburgh Pirates are losers of seven straight and they've been held to three runs or fewer in five of those games. Here they'll face Cardinals right-hander Miles Mikolas (7-12, 3.94 ERA) who has held the Pirates to eight runs over 27 innings of work on the season, and he owns a spectacular 1.98 ERA over 11 home starts in 2019. Under is 12-3-2 in Mikolas' last 17 starts overall. As for Pirates starter Steven Brault (3-1, 4.09 ERA), the left-hander has fanned 15 through his last 14 innings of work while allowing only four runs. We can also note that under is 4-0 in Cardinals last four games vs. a left-handed starter and 10-1-1 in their last 12 Sunday games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-10-19 | Astros v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | Top | 23-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL The Houston Astros won the opener of this series 3-2 Friday night despite going 2-for-13 with runners in scoring position. I expect better efficiency at the plate from both sides tonight to push the final score over the total. Houston right-hander Aaron Sanchez (4-14, 5.76) opened his career with six no-hit innings of a combined no-hitter against the Seattle Mariners last Saturday. Quite a turnaround after posting a 12.00 ERA in June and a 5.26 ERA in July and Sanchez owns a 6.83 ERA in 12 road starts on the season. As for Baltimore starter Aaron Brooks (2-5, 5.45 ERA) he has posted a respectable 3.86 ERA in 11 outings (six starts) home at Camden Yards on the season, but note that the Astros roughed him up for five runs on nine hits in five innings of a 6-0 defeat at Houston on April 6. Over is 18-7-1 in Orioles last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-09-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 10.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Yankees opened this four-game series by putting a 12-6 beating on the Baltimore Orioles. The teams combined for six home runs in last night's matchup and the Yankees have hit 21 homers over their last five contests. Here the Yankees hand the ball to veteran left-hander J.A. Happ (9-6, 5.24 ERA) who has served up six homers in his last four outings. He has allowed a total of 10 runs over 15 innings through his last three starts and the over is 9-4 in the Blue Jays last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter. As for Toronto starter Sean Reid-Foley (1-2, 2.49 ERA), the right-hander was tagged with four runs in four innings of a 6-5 loss at Baltimore last time out. He has issued eight walks in his last two starts and 14 over 21 2/3 innings of work on the season. Over is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees have covered the total by themselves in their last two games and the over is 16-3 in their last 19 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-08-19 | Jaguars v. Ravens UNDER 34 | Top | 0-29 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFLX) TOP RATED JAGUARS @ RAVENS TOTAL Here we'll see two teams that were among the best in the league for total defense last season. While we're highly unlikely to see any first-stringers in this matchup, I still think the mindset will carry over. Additionally, we can note that Baltimore backup QB Robert Griffin III suffered a thumb injury during practice and is unlikely to get many snaps (if any at all), leaving them a bit light under center. As for the Jaguars, they have a new offensive coordinator in John DeFilippo who might need a couple of games to make an impact. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings and this should be another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |