Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-08-19 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 10.5 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY One could easily argue that the New York Yankees own the hottest bats in baseball. They have scored 32 runs through their last three games alone and hit 16 homers during that stretch. Here they'll face Toronto left-hander Thomas Pannone (2-4, 5.98 ERA) who has been decent as a reliever, but really struggled as a starter going 0-3 with an 8.86 ERA. As for Yankees starter Domingo German (14-2, 3.98 ERA), he is undefeated in six starts since returning from the injured list July 3, despite a mediocre 4.24 ERA. In other words, he's received plenty of run support and we can also note that over is 9-2-1 in German's last 12 road starts. Toronto owns the fifth-worst record across the major leagues this season, but it has played better lately and scored plenty of runs. Over is 15-3 in Yankees last 18 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-07-19 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles have been swinging hot bats of late and the two teams have combined for 28 runs through the first two games of this series. I expect to see another slugfest here Wednesday night. James Paxton (6-6, 4.61 ERA) will toe the slab for the Yankees. He is coming off six solid innings of two-run ball versus Boston in his first start of the month, but both June and July were months to forget for the 30-year-old southpaw. Paxton has faced Baltimore twice already this season, allowing six runs (five earned) over 11 innings for a 4.09 ERA. The Orioles counter with left-hander John Means (8-6, 3.12 ERA) for his first start after a short spell on the IL. Means posted a 5.24 ERA in four July starts while serving up six homers over 22-plus innings of work. Here he'll face a Yankees team that homered six times in last night's contest alone ... Over is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 overall. Over is 8-3-1 in Orioles last 12 overall. Over is 22-5-1 in the last 28 meetings in Baltimore. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-06-19 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 10.5 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Yankees opened this series with a 9-6 triumph on Monday and I expect Game 2 to be another high-scoring affair. The Bronx Bombers have scored six runs or more in five of their last six games. Here they'll get to tee off versus Baltimore right-hander Asher Wojciechowski (2-4, 4.15 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on six hits (two homers) in an 11-2 loss to Toronto on Thursday. The Yankees will open with righty Jonathan Holder (5-2, 6.28 ERA) who has faced Baltimore four times already this season resulting in seven runs allowed over 5 2/3 innings of work. The Yankees have yet to announce who will follow Holder, but whoever it is may find it hard to slow down a Baltimore side that has scored six runs in three straight games. Over is 13-3 in Yankees last 16 overall. Over is 7-3-1 in Orioles last 11 overall. Over is 21-5-1 in the last 27 meetings in Baltimore. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-04-19 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-11 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The LA Dodgers and the San Diego Padres have combined for only 12 runs through the past two games of this four-game series. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair in the finale Sunday afternoon. Dodgers righty Kenta Maeda (7-8, 4.07 ERA) was roughed up at Colorado last time out, but he owns a 2.53ERA in 10 appearances (nine starts) home at Dodger Stadium this season. He has faced the Friars three times already in 2019, limiting them to seven runs on 10 hits with 24 Ks over 20 1/3 innings of work. The Padres hand the ball to right-hander Chris Paddack (7-5, 2.78 ERA) who held Baltimore to one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings of work last time out. He has also pitched rather well in his two starts against the Dodgers this year, holding them to three earned runs over 10 1/3 frames. Under is 13-3 in Padres last 16 road games. Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games. Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-03-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 4-6 | Push | 0 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES TOTAL The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 16 runs while taking the first couple of games of this series and they've averaged more than seven runs per game over a five-game winning streak. I think they'll keep swinging hot bats tonight as they get a look at Baltimore righty Dylan Bundy (5-11, 5.24 ERA) who has posted a 6.16 ERA home at Camden Yards on the season. Over is 10-2 in Bundy's last 12 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and he could be in big trouble against a Blue Jays side that has hit a major-league best 81 homers since June 16. The Jays counter with left-hander Thomas Pannone (2-4, 5.98 ERA) who has made just four starts on the season and was 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in three starts in July. Over is 5-1-2 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Blue Jays last 7 overall. Over is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 10 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* RED SOX @ YANKEES TOTAL The Boston Red Sox have suffered a sweep by the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays to open the week, and that despite scoring a respectable 14 runs through the three-game series. They took three of four when they took on the Yankees in an extremely high-scoring set (16.5 runs per game) at Fenway last week, and I expect both teams to produce plenty of runs here in the opener of a four-game series in the Bronx. Yankees left-hander James Paxton (5-6, 4.72 ERA) served up four homers and was tagged with seven runs in just four innings of a 10-5 loss to Boston last time out. Red Sox righty Eduardo Rodriguez (13-4, 4.13 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over Yankees last time out. Over is 12-1 in Rodriguez's last 13 road starts. Over is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 overall. Over is 9-4-1 in Paxton's last 14 starts overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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08-01-19 | Astros v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ASTROS @ INDIANS TOTAL American League rivals Houston Astros and Cleveland Indians will clash in the finale of their three-game series Thursday night. The Tribe homered four times in Wednesday's 10-4 victory, but I don't think runs will come quite as easy for either team in this matchup. Cleveland will hand the ball to Danny Salazar for his first start of the season. He missed the first half after undergoing major shoulder surgery but has posted a 2.60 ERA with 28 strikeouts against five walks in six rehab appearances. He owns a 2.25 ERA in four career starts against the Astros who counter with Gerrit Cole (12-5, 2.94 ERA). Cole has posted an outstanding 1.96 ERA in his last 12 contests and he owns a 3.27 ERA in three career meetings with Cleveland. Under is 9-3 in Astros last 12 overall. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-31-19 | Mets v. White Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Mets defeated host Chicago White Sox in a low-scoring affair in the opener of this three-game series Tuesday night. I don't think we'll see much fireworks here in Game 2 of the series either. White Sox righty Lucas Giolito (11-5, 3.52 ERA) has struggled since his red hot start to the year and was smacked around for seven runs by Minnesota last time out. We can however note that under is 5-2 in Giolito's last 7 home starts, and under is 5-2-1 in the Mets last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The visitors hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (6-7, 2.86 ERA) who is enjoying a great campaign but with little to show for it in the win column due to poor run support. He has been sharper than usual here in July, boasting a 1.04 ERA in four starts. Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-2 in White Sox last 7 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-30-19 | Brewers v. A's OVER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL BIG HITTER The Oakland Athletics will host the Milwaukee Brewers for the opener of a three-game interleague series Monday night. Six straight head-to-head meetings have gone under the total, but the last matchup took place in 2016 ... I think we'll see runs come fast and easy for both sides tonight. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassitt (7-5, 4.09 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on five hits in six innings of a 4-2 loss at Houston last time out. Over his last 12 starts, Bassitt has a 5.23 ERA and over is 5-0 in his last five home starts. The Brewers turn to Adrian Houser (4-4, 4.19 ERA) who has made most of his appearances out of the bullpen this year. Houser has really struggled as a starter, posting a 7.83 ERA in six starts. Over is 6-1 in Brewers last seven road games. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-28-19 | Giants v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL The first two games of this three-game series were both low-scoring affairs with the teams combining for a total of just nine runs. I don't see runs come easy for either side here in the series finale either. The Giants hand the ball to their ace Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 3.66 ERA) who has posted a 1.96 ERA in four starts this month. He owns a 3.41 ERA in 34 career games (33 starts) versus the Padres and the under is 17-8-3 in Bumgarner's last 28 starts vs. National League West foes and the under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres counter with 20-year-old left-hander Adrian Morejon for his third major league appearance. While he lacks experience, pitching at pitcher-friendly Petco Park should help him out and San Francisco has mustered only four runs through its last three games. Under is 14-2 in Padres last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-27-19 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 10.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY (10*) We lost with the over when the Minnesota Twins claimed the opener of this three-game series 6-2 Friday night. With seven runs after just three innings that must be considered somewhat of a bad beat. I'm expecting the teams to make up for it by keeping the scorekeepers busy tonight. Minnesota lefty Martin Perez (8-3, 4.37 ERA) was reached for five runs on seven hits (three homers) and four walks in just four innings against the Yankees last time out. He owns a 4.97 ERA in nine outings (seven starts) on the road this season and he has a 4.88 ERA in four career starts against Chicago. Over is 9-1 in Perez's last 10 starts overall. White Sox righty Ivan Nova (5-9, 5.49 ERA) held Miami to one run over a complete game last time out, but he had allowed 10 runs over 10 2/3 innings of work in two starts prior to that. Nova has a 6.02 ERA home at Guaranteed Rate Field this year and Twins powerful lineup should have no trouble to manufacture runs off Nova. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-26-19 | Tigers v. Mariners OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Seattle Mariners opened this four-game series with a 10-2 triumph, and I expect another high-scoring affair here in Game 2 Friday night. Seattle southpaw Yusei Kikuchi (4-7, 5.37 ERA) gave up seven runs on nine hits over five innings of a 9-3 home loss to the Halos last time out. He has a 5.79 ERA in 10 starts at T-Mobile Park. The Tigers hand the ball to left-hander Daniel Norris (2-8, 5.02 ERA) who had allowed 11 runs over his last two turns (both on the road) before tossing four innings of one-run ball against Toronto home in Detroit last time out. For the season, Norris owns a 5.28 ERA in 12 appearances (10 starts) away from home. Over is 12-4-1 in Tigers last 17 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 8-1-1 in Kikuchi's last 10 home starts. Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in Seattle. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-25-19 | Padres v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S SUPER EARLY TOP RATED TOTAL The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets will clash at Citi Field for the opener of a four-game series Thursday afternoon. With both sides on the lower end of scoring average in MLB and two quality pitchers on the mound, I'm confident we'll see this game go under the total despite the low number. The Mets hand the bal to righty Jacob deGrom (5-7, 3.02 ERA) who has posted a 1.42 ERA in three starts on the month. deGrom' owns a 1.79 ERA in seven career outings against the Padres and the under is 4-1 in his last five starts versus the club. The Padres turn to Eric Lauer (5-7, 4.31 ERA) who had allowed just one run in each of his last three outings prior to getting smacked around by the Cubs in Chicago on Friday. That was his first game back after some time on the bereavement list, and I expect a much more focused appearance today. Under is 12-2 in Padres last 14 overall. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-24-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank top three for runs scored per game in 2019. They've certainly shown why through the first two games of this series, combining for 40 runs(!), and I don't see any reason why they would slow down tonight. The Yanks hand the ball to left-hander J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.86 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-3 loss to Minnesota on May 4. Over is 23-11-3 in Twins last 37 games vs. a left-handed starter. Jake Odorizzi (11-4, 3.18 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Twins. He has allowed three or more runs in five of his last six starts and made it through the fifth inning just once during that stretch. He tossed six scoreless innings against the Yankees earlier this season but owns a 4.06 ERA in 17 career outings (16 starts) versus them. Over is 35-16-2 in Yankees last 53 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Over is 16-7-2 in the last 25 meetings at Target Field. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-23-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10 | Top | 14-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank top three for runs scored per game in 2019, and they did not disappoint as the teams combined for 14 runs Monday night. I expect to see another slugfest here in Game 2 of the series. Yanks righty Domingo German (12-2, 3.38 ERA) has been dominant in three starts since returning from the injured list, but only one of those was on the road. For the season, German owns a 4.53 ERA in eight road starts and over is 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts away from home. Minnesota hands the ball to right-hander Kyle Gibson (9-4, 4.02 ERA) who has allowed a total of only six earned runs over his past four starts, but he has a bloated 6.50 ERA in nine career starts against the Yankees. Over is 7-2 in Gibsons last 9 starts vs. Yankees. Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-22-19 | Yankees v. Twins OVER 10.5 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Both the New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins rank in the top three for runs scored per game in 2019. I expect to see a real slugfest here in the opener of a three-game set between the two American League foes. The Yanks hand the ball to CC Sabathia (5-4, 4.06 ERA) who sports an impressive 3.09 ERA in 39 career starts against Minnesota, but keep in mind that the Twins of this season are more lethal than in many years. This looks like a good time for them to do some damage off the veteran southpaw home at Target Field as Sabathia has a 5.84 ERA on the road this season. At the same time, one must certainly like the Yankees to keep scoring runs against lefty Martin Perez (8-3, 4.10 ERA) who owns a bloated 9.68 ERA in four career starts against the club. Over is 7-1 in Sabathia's last 8 starts overall. Over is 8-1 in Perez's last 9 starts overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-21-19 | Angels v. Mariners OVER 10.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
MLB 3-PACK - TOTAL OF THE DAY The Seattle Mariners mustered only five hits in Saturday's 6-2 defeat. I think they'll have more success at the plate here on Sunday, coming up against Angels' left-hander Dillon Peters (1-0, 4.15 ERA) for his first start of the year. Peters has already been tagged with three runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings of work against Seattle this season, and over is 18-7-1 in Seattle's last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners hand the ball to a left-hander of their own in Yusei Kikuchi (4-6, 5.01 ERA). Kikuchi is 1-2 with a 10.91 ERA in four starts against the Angels this season and he has posted a 7.29 ERA over his last nine starts. Over is 15-3-1 in Kikuchi's last 19 starts overall. Over is 5-1-2 in the Angels last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on over. |
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07-20-19 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 11.5 | Top | 17-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Baltimore Orioles put an 11-2 beating on the Red Sox Friday night. I think the Red Sox will return the favor roúting the O's in a high-scoring contest here on Saturday. Boston hands the ball to Rick Porcello (7-7, 5.37 ERA) who's had a poor year. The veteran righty has been tagged with six and four runs in his last two starts, but his teammates bats bailed him out both times with a pair of 10-run performances. The Orioles turn to Tom Eshelman (0-1, 5.06 ERA) for his third start in the big leagues. Eshelman was tagged with four runs on five hits (two homers) in 5 2/3 innings of a loss to Tampa Bay last time out, and I don't see him being able to slow down the World Series defending champions. Over is 12-3-2 in Red Sox last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Over is 10-3-1 in Orioles last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 road starts. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-18-19 | Padres v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED 10* PADRES @ MARLINS TOTAL The over/under is 8-21 in Miami Marlins' day games this season, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair when they visit the San Diego Padres Thursday afternoon. The Padres hand the ball to Dinelson Lamet (0-2, 6.30 ERA) who has made just two major league appearances since the end of 2017 due to Tommy John surgery. He has given up seven runs through 10 innings on the season, but also fanned 14. This could be a turning point against a Marlins team that averages just 3.65 runs per game. "Lamet's stuff is there," Padres manager Andy Green claims. "The control hasn't been. We know it will be. His last bullpen (session) was a step in the right direction. Commanding the fastball is something he has been working on since his surgery. There are days when it has been really good and days when he's fought with it a little bit." The Marlins counter with Caleb Smith (5-4, 3.46 ERA) who has posted a 2.04 ERA through six starts home at Marlins Park here in 2019. Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 overall. Under is 7-3-1 in Marlins last 11 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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07-17-19 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The Kansas City Royals put an 11-0 beating on the visiting Chicago White Sox Tuesday night. Here they'll get a look at White Sox righty Ivan Nova (4-8, 5.60 ERA) who has posted a 5.17 ERA in six career starts against the Royals. I don't see visitors getting shut out twice in a row though with the Royals sending Danny Duffy (3-5, 4.64 ERA) to the mound. The 30-year-old southpaw left his last start in the third inning after getting hit on the hand by a line drive, but he still managed to give up four runs during his short time on the hill. Over is 18-6-2 in Royals last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 8-3 in Royals last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 6-2 in Nova's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on OVER. |
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07-13-19 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED TOTAL The San Francisco Giants claimed the series opener with a grand slam from Matt Albers in the 10th inning Friday night. I think runs will be harder to come by for both teams here Saturday night. Giants' left-hander Madison Bumgarner (5-7, 4.03 ERA) has allowed just four runs on 11 hits through 15 innings in his last three starts combined. Bumgarner owns a 2.76 ERA in 13 career starts against the Brewers who counter with right-hander Zach Davies (7-2, 3.07 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 2.81 ERA in three career starts against San Francisco. Under is 13-4 in Bumgarner's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 8-1 in Davies' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 20-7-1 in Davies' last 28 starts overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-29-19 | Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 2-12 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The St. Louis Cardinals have scored just eight runs during an 0-4 skid, including a 3-1 loss to the San Diego Padres Friday night. Here in Game 2 of the series on Saturday they'll come up against Friars' right-hander Chris Paddack (4-4, 3.18 ERA) who has posted a 2.50 ERA in six starts home at Petco Park on the season. Cardinals right-hander Dakota Hudson (6-3, 3.36 ERA) has pitched well lately and has allowed one run in four of his last five starts and two or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts. Under is 6-1 in Hudson's last 7 starts overall. Under is 5-1 in Paddack's last 6 home starts. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-23-19 | Orioles v. Mariners OVER 9 | Top | 3-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): TOP RATED MAJOR WAGER TOTAL The Baltimore Orioles managed to snap a 10-game losing streak with an 8-4 win here at T-Mobile Park on Saturday. The Birds' bats have come alive and I expect to see a high-scoring affair here on Sunday with two unreliable pitchers on the mound. Orioles' right-hander Gabriel Ynoa (0-4, 5.65 ERA) was tagged with six runs on seven hits (three homers) in 5 1/3 innings of a 16-2 loss at Oakland last time out. He has served up seven homers through his last three starts and has posted a 6.86 ERA through 21 innings of work on the road in 2019. Seattle left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (3-5, 5.15 ERA) was also tagged with six runs last time out and has allowed six runs in three of his last four starts. He has served up eight homers during that stretch and has struggled to find his footing home at T-Mobile Park where he's 1-3 with a 5.67 ERA in seven starts. Over is 21-6-2 in Mariners last 29 home games. Over is 6-0-1 in Kikuchi's last 7 home starts and 13-2-1 in his last 16 starts overall. Over is 8-2-1 in Orioles last 11 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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06-22-19 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (TOTAL) The Minnesota Twins tied this series at one apiece with an 8-7 triumph on Friday, but today's matchup on the mound would suggest that a much lower scoring contest is in the cards for Game 3 of the four-game series. Twins' righty Jose Berrios (8-3, 2.86 ERA) has been one of the most reliable hurlers across the major leagues this season. He has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts and matched a season-high with 10 strikeouts over eight innings of a 2-0 loss to Boston last time out. Berrios has posted a 2.86 ERA over his last six starts against the Royals. KC southpaw Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.64 ERA) has struggled in recent outings, but note that he has posted a 3.10 ERA in four day starts this season, considerably better than his 5.56 ERA in his six starts under the lights. Duffy has owned the Twins throughout his career, going 6-2 with a 2.75 ERA in 17 starts. Minnesota is just too good, particularly with Berrios on the hill. I expect the visitors to claim a low-scoring victory. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-19-19 | Rays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 1-12 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Eighteen of the last 26 meetings in the Bronx have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here early Wednesday afternoon. Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia (3-4, 4.42 ERA) has extensive experience of the Rays and boasts a 3.63 ERA in 50 career starts against them. Sabathia owns a solid 2.33 ERA at home on the season and under is 10-4-1 in his last 15 home starts. The Rays turn to a left-hander of their own in Blake Snell (4-5, 3.70 ERA) who has allowed two runs or fewer five times over his last seven starts. Snell last pitched here at Yankee Stadium on May 18, when he limited NYY to one run over six innings of work and he owns a 3.97 ERA in 13 career starts against the Yankees. Under is 19-6-1 in Snell's last 26 road starts. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-14-19 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TOTAL ~ MIKE'S MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Washington Nationals in a 5-0 triumph Thursday night, and I expect another low-scoring affair here with two quality pitchers on the mound. Arizona lefty Robbie Ray (5-3, 3.54 ERA) held the Blue Jays to pair of runs over 6 2/3 innings last time out. "I felt really good tonight," Ray told reporters after that game. "I felt like my command was the best it has been this all year. I was padding the zone, keeping them off balance with my off-speed." Ray fanned 10 batters in that matchup to put his tally at 34 over his last four starts alone and 101 over 76 1/3 innings of work for the season. Washington counters with Max Scherzer (4-5, 2.83 ERA). The veteran right-hander has allowed just two runs with 39 Ks over his last four starts and he is 6-0 with a 2.89 ERA in six career starts against Arizona. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210.5 | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER ALERT* The Golden State Warriors managed to avoid elimination with a 106-105 win at Toronto on Monday, a contest that just about stayed under the total despite a high-scoring first-half. The series now shifts back to Oakland for Game 6, and I think this one will go over as we're seeing the lowest total so far in the series. The game will be the Warriors' last at Oracle Arena before moving to the Chase Center in San Francisco next season. Klay Thompson thinks the fans will be an important 6th man tonight, particularly with Kevin Durant out again after a brief comeback last time out. "I expect our fans to be the loudest they have ever been, especially in the name of Kevin and bringing his type of spirit he would bring to the fight and the competitiveness," Warriors guard Klay Thompson said Wednesday. "I know our fans will do that because we deserve it, but more importantly, Kevin does for what he gave this team, this organization. There wouldn't be banners if it wasn't for his presence." The Raptors outscored the Warriors 120-96 from three-point land in their three triumphs, while the Warriors owned a 99-57 advantage from behind the arc in their two victories. Considering what's at stake, expect both teams to be locked in and knock down plenty of three-pointers driving up the score. Over is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings at Oracle Arena. 10* play on OVER. |
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06-13-19 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER ALERT (TOTAL) The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, and I think the total is set way too high for this contest. Blue Jays right-hander Marcus Stroman (3-8, 3.31 ERA) was smacked around for six runs by the Diamondbacks last time out, but he had allowed just a total of six runs through his last five starts prior to that. Stroman did a good job containing Baltimore on April 2, holding them to two runs through 5 2/3 innings of work, but Toronto still lost the game 2-1. The Blue Jays have scored two runs or fewer in eight of Stroman’s starts this year ... The Orioles hand the ball to Gabriel Ynoa (0-2, 4.96 ERA) for his fourth start of the season. The 26-year-old right-hander has worked mostly out of the bullpen but has been solid when getting the nod. He held the Astros scoreless until serving up a pair of homers in the fifth last time out and allowed just three hits during his time on the mound. Under is 4-1 in Stroman's last 5 road starts. Under is 5-0 in Ynoa's last 5 starts overall. Under is 4-2-1 in Blue Jays last 7 road games. Under is 6-2 in Orioles last 8 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 212 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA TOTAL) The Golden State Warriors are in desperation mode with their backs against the wall after a Game 4 loss at home to put them in a 3-1 hole in the series. The Warriors simply can not afford to lose another game, and as they are finding it very hard to stop the Raptors offense they're gonna have to focus on outscoring their opponent to stay alive. The Raptors are playing with a lot of confidence and have been shooting the ball well throughout the series. The Warriors, and Stephen Curry in particular need to bounce back from a tough outing as they scored just 92 points and turned the ball over 19 times in the most recent loss. Curry himself was just 2-for-9 from behind the arc, extremely unlikely to happen again. Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 road games. Over is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 NBA Championship games. Over is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. 10* play on OVER. |
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06-09-19 | Dodgers v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The LA Dodgers won Saturday's matchup 7-2, but I think we'll see the teams combine for far fewer runs here on Sunday with two very capable pitchers on the mound. Dodgers' right-hander Walker Buehler (6-1, 3.69 ERA) held Arizona to one run on two hits with 11 Ks over eight innings of work last time out. He has allowed just a total of eight runs over his last five starts. Giants' left-hander Madison Bumgarner (3-5, 4.05 ERA) has allowed seven runs over his last three starts but he has dominated the Dodgers in two meetings this season, limiting them to one earned run on nine hits over 12 innings of work. Under is 7-1-1 in Dodgers last 9 overall. Under is 6-2-1 in Buehler's last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 12-3-2 in Bumgarner's last 17 starts with 4 days of rest. Under is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA PLAYOFFS TOTAL The Toronto Raptors and the Golden State Warriors combined for 232 points in Game 3 of this series and over is now 9-2 in Warriors last 11 NBA Championship games. I think we'll see another high-scoring affair here Friday night. Sure, Warriors are expected to get Klay Thompson back which no doubt will help them defensively, but we should also keep in mind that Thompson was the Warriors' leading scorer in their Game 2 win with 25 points on 10-for-17 shooting. The Warriors are in desperate need of a win here to avoid heading to Toronto down 3-1 in the series, and they'll need to heat up offensively to keep pace with a Raptors team that has shot better than 50 percent from the field in its two wins in the series and shot 44.7 percent from beyond the arc last time out. "We haven't really had a good team shooting night, and I knew eventually at some point we were due for one," Toronto guard Danny Green said after Game 3. "We still have to do a better job defensively on that end of the floor to limit those guys better so we don't have to rely on our offense or our shooting to win games for us." Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Oracle Arena. Over is 13-3 in Raptors last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on OVER. |
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05-19-19 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners combined for 20+ runs on Saturday, and with depleted bullpens (particularly for the home team) I expect Sunday's matchup to turn into another high-scoring affair. Minnesota hands the ball to right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-1, 4.26 ERA). He was tagged with three runs on six hits and a pair of walks through 5 2/3 innings against the Halos last time out. Gibson has allowed 29 hits and eight walks in 26 1/3 innings of work through five road starts on the season (over is 4-1 in those games). The Mariners counter with left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (2-1, 3.64 ERA) who served up three home runs in six innings against Oakland last time out. The 27-year-old rookie has made just one day starts in the big leagues, at Chicago White Sox on April 5 when he was tagged with six runs (four earned) through five frames. Over is 7-1-1 in Kikuchi's last nine starts overall. Over/under is 34-12-2 in games involving the Mariners this season. Minnesota and Seattle rank 2nd and 3rd respectively in slugging percentage this season (prior to Saturday's slate of games). 10* play on OVER. |
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05-18-19 | Twins v. Mariners OVER 9 | Top | 18-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL FOR MAY The over/under is 31-14-2 in games involving the Seattle Mariners this season, and I think Saturday's matchup with the Minnesota Twins will fly over the total. Twins right-hander Jose Berrios (6-2, 3.05 ERA) was tagged with five runs on 12 hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 5-4 loss to the Angels last time out. Over is 5-0 in Mariners last five games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mariners turn to left-hander Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 4.50 ERA) who will make his first start since April 12 after a stint on the injured list. LeBlanc has made three starts in 2019 with 21 hits allowed over 16 innings of work. Over is 7-2-1 in Twins last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. We can also note that Minnesota and Seattle rank 2nd and 3rd respectively in slugging percentage this season. 10* play on OVER. |
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05-16-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* BRUINS @ CANES BEST BET The Carolina Hurricanes finally managed to shut down the Bruins offense in Game 3, but to no avail as they still lost 2-1. They've managed just a total of five goals through the first three games of the series, all losses. Facing elimination, I expect the home team to make sure to turn this into a low-scoring contest as the Canes simply can not rely on their offense. We can also note that the under is 15-8 in Bruins' road games where the total is 5.5 this season. Additionally, I fully expect Carolina to do everything in its power to avoid getting knocked out of the playoffs in its own building. It was perfect on home ice in the playoffs up until Tuesday, and this is a very good price on the home team. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-13-19 | Blues v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NHL): MIKE'S BEST 2019 NHL PLAYOFFS TOTAL! The first game of this series ended with a 6-3 San Jose Sharks triumph, and I think the high-scoring affair will set the tone for the rest of the series. Note that the Sharks have averaged 4.11 gpg home in the Shark Tank through their nine games in the playoffs this season while the Blues have averaged a healthy 3.14 gpg on the road. Over is 11-2 in the Sharks last 13 home at the SAP Center. Over is 7-2 in Sharks last 9 playoff games as a favorite and over is 3-0-1 in Blues last 4 playoff games as an underdog. 10* play on OVER. |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): RAPTORS @ 76ERS GAME 4 TOTAL The first three games of this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 4 Sunday afternoon. The Toronto Raptors will be desperate for a win to regain homecourt advantage and, and they know what they have to improve. "I think the first adjustment, we're going to have to make it, I guess we're going to have to play all of them a lot harder," Raptors head coach Nick Nurse said. "We're going to have to play a hell of a lot more physical. I mean if we don't do that, the prettiest things we decided to do offensively aren't going to matter much." The Philadelphia 76ers won Game 3 116-95, but we can note that under is 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-1 in Raptors last 9 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-04-19 | A's v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOTAL MAJOR WAGER ALERT The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Oakland Athletics will clash for the second game of a three-game set Saturday night. The A's put on a show at the plate in the series opener Friday night, but I think runs will be harder to come by for both teams in this matchup. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassitt (1-0, 0.75 ERA). He will make his third start of the season and has been dominant through the first two, allowing just one run with 16 Ks while logging 12 innings of work. Bassitt will take on the Pirates for the first time, a spot usually favoring the pitcher. Trevor Williams (1-1, 3.38 ERA) will toe the slab for Pittsburgh. The 27 year old right-hander was tagged with five runs through six innings at LA Dodgers last time out. Williams has been rather solid in most starts this season though, holding four of six opponents to two or fewer runs. He will make his first career apperance against Oakland and we can note that under is 16-5-2 in the A's last 23 interleague games and 39-14-1 in Williams' last 54 starts overall. Under is 6-3 in the last 9 meetings. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* RAPTORS @ 76ERS GAME 3 BEST BET The Toronto Raptors and the Philadelphia 76ers enter Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinals series tied at 1-1. Both teams have combined decent defense with poor shooting through the first two games, and I expect more of the same tonight. Toronto won the first game of the series 108-95, but neither team managed to break 100 points in Game 2, a matchup Philly won despite shooting just 39.5% from the field (Toronto shot 36.7%). Under is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 overall. Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-27-19 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-12 | Loss | -111 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MARLINS @ PHILLIES MLB PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies have scored just 13 runs through its last five games. They and the Miami Marlins have combined for a total of eight runs over the first two contests of this four-game series, and I think we'll see another low-scoring affair here in Game 3 on Saturday. Phillies right-hander Jake Arrieta (3-2, 2.65 ERA) was tagged with four runs (three earned) in six innings at New York Mets last time out. Under is however 6-1 in his last seven starts overall, and Arrieta had posted a 2.25 ERA through his first four starts of the season. He is 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA nine career starts against the Marlins. Trevor Richards (0-3, 3.72 ERA) will toe the slab for the visiting Marlins who have have lost each of Richards' first five starts of the season, but most of the time to little fault of his own. Miami has provided Richards with just eight runs of support, and it was blanked in a 5-0 loss to Washington on April 21. Under is 9-2 in Richards' last 11 starts with five days of rest. Philadelphia has scored just 13 runs through its last five games and under is 10-1 in Marlins last 11 road games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-24-19 | Braves v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTAL MAJOR WAGER ALERT The Atlanta Braves picked up a 7-6 triumph here at Great American Ball Park in the opener of a three-game set Tuesday night. It was a rare slugfest involving the Cincinnati Reds who are 17-5 to the under on the season, and I think runs will come at a premium here in Game 2 of the series. Reds' right-hander Tanner Roark (1-0, 3.60 ERA) has allowed just two runs with 10 Ks over 10 2/3 innings over his last two starts. He owns a respectable 3.09 ERA in 23 career matchups with the Braves who counter with Mike Soroka (0-1, 1.80 ERA). The 6-foot-4 Canadian has made just one start this season, but it was a solid one when he held the D'Backs to one run in five innings of a 4-1 loss on Thursday. Soroka started the season with Triple-A Gwinnett and will be eager for another solid outing in order to earn a spot in the rotation. Under is 8-3 in Reds last 11 home games. Under is 16-5 in Braves last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-20-19 | Reds v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (TOTAL) The Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres battled out a low-scoring affair Friday night. I think runs will be few and far between here in Saturday's matchup as well. Reds right-hander Luis Castillo (1-1, 1.46 ERA) has had a blistering start to the year, allowing just four runs with 32 Ks through 24 2/3 innings of work. Except for a 14-0 win over Miami, the run support has however been meager with Cincinnati scoring just nine runs in his other three starts. Under is 8-1 in Castillo's last nine starts overall. The Padres counter with 23 year old southpaw Eric Lauer (2-2, 4.91 ERA) who tossed six scoreless innings of a 2-0 triumph over San Francisco in his season opener. He has not been quite as sharp in recent starts, but we can note that under is 9-0 in Reds last nine games vs. a left-handed starter. Lauer faced Cincinnati twice last year and held the club to one run with 12 Ks through nine innings of work. Under is 23-6 in Reds last 29 road games. Under is 8-3 in Padres last 11 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-20-19 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The last two games have been low-scoring affairs, and I think that will be the case once again here with the Winnipeg Jets backed into a corner down 3-2 in the series. They will want to make sure not to fall behind as that could prove devastating, and I think the Jets will come out with a very defensive approach. The St. Louis Blues will be looking to secure their spot in the Western Conference Semifinals with a win, and the gameplan is clear: "We're just staying with it," Jaden Schwartz told NHL.com after a come from behind 3-2 win in Game 5. "We believe in each other, we believe in the system, and we work as a team. When the team has success, we know that we all get rewarded. We're all playing the same, we're working hard, we're tight defensively, and the power play had a big goal to give us momentum." It certainly doesn't sound like the Blues have any intentions of turning this into a free flowing game of hockey ... Under is 9-1-2 in Blues last 12 Saturday games. Under is 12-5 in Blues last 17 games as a home favorite. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-19-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 222 | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* BLAZERS @ THUNDER BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The first two games of this series at Portland were both low-scoring affairs, and that's a trend I expect to continue here in Game 3 at Chesapeake Energy Arena Friday night. The Thunder really struggled to put points on the board and were held to sub-100 points in both contests. Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 4-0 in their last four Conference Quarterfinals games. The Blazers averaged 118.2 ppg at home during the regular season but that number dropped significantly to 111.1 ppg on the road. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine away from home and 6-2 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Thunder need to win this game to avoid falling into an 0-3 hole. They're probably smart enough to realize they can't outscore Portland, and I expect the home team to come out and play lock-down defense and try and slow down the tempo. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-19-19 | Phillies v. Rockies UNDER 10 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MLB TOTAL FOR APRIL The Colorado Rockies will host the Philadelphia Phillies for Game 2 of a four-game series Friday night. I think the total looks way high for this contest, and I'm going with a BIG BET on the under. Rockies right-hander German Marquez (2-1, 2.00 ERA) has been excellent through his first four outings in 2019. He was roughed up by Atlanta on April 9 but has allowed just one run covering a total of 22 innings in the other three starts. Last time out, he tossed a complete game, one-hit shutout against the Giants and under is 13-3-2 in Marquez's last 18 starts overall. Marquez has posted a 3.32 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies who turn to Vince Velasquez (0-0, 2.25 ERA). The 26 year old right-hander has made three appearances (two starts) here in 2019. In the the two starts, Velasquez held Miami and Washington to a combined three runs on six hits and three walks covering 11 innings of work. He has posted a poor 5.23 ERA in six career starts against the Rockies, but they've struggled to produce runs home at Coors Field this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 230.5 | Top | 135-131 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* CLIPPERS @ WARRIORS BOOKIE BREAKER We have seen most games go under the total so far in the first round of the NBA playoffs, and that's a trend I like to continue here as the Golden State Warriors take on the LA Clippers in Game 2 of their playoffs series. The Warriors won the first matchup 121-105, and in that neighbourhood is where I think the final score for this contest will land as well. The Clippers have averaged a healthy 115.0 ppg on the season, but they match up poorly offensively against Golden State and have averaged just 97.3 ppg through the last three head-to-head meetings (all three went under the total). Under is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 19-7 in Warriors last 26 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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04-14-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers closed out the regular season with a 136-131 win over Sacramento. Here they'll face an OKC Thunder team that kept the scorekeepers busy during their five-game winning streak down the stretch. The Thunder put a 127-116 beating on Milwaukee in the regular season finale, and playoffs or not, I expect both teams to let offense rule this game. Particularly Portland is likely to struggle to stop OKC in the paint on the defensive end with big man Jusuf Nurkic out for the season. We can also note that three of four regular season meetings between these two teams surpassed the posted total for this contest. 10* play on OVER. |
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04-13-19 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -127 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MLB TOTAL This contest will be played at Estadio de Beisbol Monterrey in Monterrey, Mexico, and I expect both teams to entertain the crowd with their bats rather than their pitching. The Reds are coming off a three-game sweep of Miami during which they scored 21 runs with eight homers. The Cards are coming off a an have scored 30 runs during a five-game winning streak and put an 11-7 beating on the Dodgers last time out. Over is 9-1 in Cardinals' last 10 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. Cards' right-hander Adam Wainwright (1-0, 4.50 ERA) has posted a 5.09 ERA in 29 appearances (24 starts) against the Reds. Joey Votto is 14-for-46 with three homers and eight RBI off Waino. Tanner Roark (0-0, 5.79 ERA) will take the ball for Cincinnati. He has posted a gaudy 6.58 ERA through seven career appearances (five starts) against St. Louis. Marcell Ozuna has had decent success against Roark, going 13-for-41 with a homer and seven RBI. 10* play on OVER. |
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04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Denver Nuggets defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 119-110 home at Pepsi Center Friday night. Each of the last three meetings in the series have gone over the total, and I predict another relatively high-scoring affair here at Moda Center Sunday night. The Blazers have been held to fewer than 110 points in just one of their last nine games, a 99-90 loss at Detroit on March 30 which was their second game of a back-to-back situation. Over is 19-5-2 in Trail Blazers last 26 games playing on one day of rest and 13-2-1 in their last 16 home games. The Nuggets have been involved in somewhat low-scoring affairs lately with only two of their last seven going over the total. However, with both teams playoff position still to be decided I expect to see a wide open affair and both teams trying to outscore the other rather than winning with good defense. 10* play on OVER. |
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03-30-19 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MARCH MLB TOTAL As if there was ever any doubt, both teams have proven well capable of scoring runs here early in the season. The Mariners claimed the series opener 12-4 before Boston tied the series with a come-from-behind 7-6 triumph Friday night, and I think Game 3 will see plenty of action over the plate as well. Boston left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (2018: 13-5, 3.82 ERA) was reached for seven runs (six earned) on 13 hits in 10 innings of work against Seattle last season. Over is 4-0 in Mariners last four home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Mariners turn to Mike Leake (10-10, 4.36 ERA) who posted a 3.21 ERA covering 14 innings in a pair of starts against the Red Sox last season. The right-hander has however struggled throughout spring training and was charged with 11 earned runs over his last three starts. Over is 12-4-2 in Red Sox last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter. Xander Bogaerts was 1-for-3 with a homer in Friday's matchup and has five hits in 12 at bats against Leake. 10* play on OVER. |
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03-29-19 | Red Sox v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* LATE NIGHT BATTERS BONANZA (TOTAL) The Seattle Mariners' bats have been spitting fire through their first three games of the season. They opened the campaign by scoring 14 runs in pair of wins against Oakland in Japan and put a 12-4 beating on the Boston Red Sox on the "official" Opening Day on Thursday. Here they'll face right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (2018: 6-7, 3.81 ERA) who admittedly was excellent in the postseason and a big reason Boston eventually won the World Series, but note that over is 6-2 in Eovaldi's last eight road starts. Seattle turns to Yusei Kikuchi (0-0, 1.93 ERA) who limited the A's to two runs (one earned) and four hits through 4 2/3 innings in his MLB debut. Another relatively short start will put a lot of pressure on Mariners' bullpen, and I think the Red Sox will get to the rookie early. Over is 8-3 in umpire Alfonso Marquez's last 11 games behind home plate in games involving Boston and 5-2 in his last seven games behind home plate in games involving Seattle. Over is 18-6-2 in Red Sox last 26 games following a loss. 10* play on OVER. |
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03-25-19 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 92-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Phoenix Suns have topped 103 points in only one of their last six games, an OT win at New Orleans. The under is 8-2 in their last 10 games and here they'll face a Utah team that is allowing just 106.2 ppg on the season and held the Bulls to 83 points on 35.9% shooting (including 2-of-16 from 3-point range) last time out. "I liked how we started the game. I thought we were focused on the defensive end," Utah coach Quin Snyder told the team website. "I just want us to keep getting better." Under is 6-2 in Utah's last eight games overall and 7-1 in its last eight vs. Western Conference foes. The Jazz have a playoff spot locked in but are in a tight race for the No. 5 (and possibly No. 4) seed in the West. Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings with the Sun who they've beaten twice this season, winning 116-88 on Feb. 6 and 114-97 on March 13. I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 211.5 | Top | 88-124 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Denver Nuggets travel to Indiana riding a six-game winning streak. They've held opponents to an average of 102 ppg during that run and held the Knicks to 37.8 percent shooting from the field last time out. Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 overall, and here they'll visit a Pacers team that has averaged only 99 ppg through a four-game losing streak. Indiana was held to 38.5% shooting from the field in a 112-89 loss at Golden State last time out. Under is 8-1 in Pacers last nine overall and 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Both teams are involved in tight battles for home-court advantage in their respective conferences, and I think we'll see a competitive, low-scoring game with a postseason feeling to it here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Sunday. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-22-19 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL Both teams have been involved in relatively low-scoring contests lately with under is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 overall and 8-2 in Rockets last 10 overall. This contest is important for both teams as San Antonio is in a dogfight with the Utah Jazz, Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 5 seed in the West, so it will most certainly be motivated to bounce back from a 110-105 loss to Miami. The Spurs had won nine in a row prior to that setback and have produced a 104.1 defensive rating over the past 10 games. "Defense -- and understanding that's what's going to take us to get to the next level and beyond," Mills said in explaining the Spurs' recent run. The Rockets are fighting to hold off Portland for the No. 3 seed in the conference and will also be looking to bounce back from a defeat after taking a 126-125 OT loss at Memphis last time out. They had won eight of nine prior to that setback while never allowing more than 106 points. We can also note that under is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Houston. The Rockets won the last meeting 108-101 with a total closing at 217.5 points, and I think this game will stay under the total as well. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-18-19 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 224 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL The Golden State Warriors fell to Phoenix Suns on March 10 but have bounced back with a pair of wins at Houston and Oklahoma City Thunder while allowing an average of just 96 ppg. "I think the loss to Phoenix opened our eyes a little bit," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "And I think our guys just felt threatened on the road. We've played two great teams, we've got another one, maybe the hottest team in the league in San Antonio coming up, so anytime they're threatened, I think our guys tend to play better." Under is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10. and here they'll face a San Antonio team that has won eight straight games and held all but one of those opponents (Milwaukee) to fewer than 105 points. The Spurs lead the league in scoring defense during their winning streak, allowing just 99.8 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors put a 141-102 beating on San Antonio last month, but you better believe Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will have his team better prepared defensively for this one. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-17-19 | Devils v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* TOTAL The Colorado Avalanche host the New Jersey Devils at Pepsi Center Sunday afternoon. The Avs are trying to hold on to their ever-slimming postseason hopes but have dropped three of their last four games and been shut out twice during that stretch. "We have to win hockey games. We can't keep letting games slip away," Colorado defenseman Ian Cole said after the most recent loss. "Not only do you have to beat the teams that we should beat, which I guess at this point is up in the air, but we need to win games, and that's really all there is to it." I think the Avs will come out playing tight defense to make sure they don't fall behind, leading to a low-scoring matchup with a New Jersey team that had scored just 11 goals through an 0-6-1 slide before coming up with back-to-back wins at Edmonton and Vancouver. Under is 19-6-5 in the last 30 meetings overall and 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in Colorado. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-14-19 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* TOTAL The Indiana Pacers should be farily well rested here following 103-98 win over New York at home Tuesday night. They've struggled to put points on the board of late though, averaging only 98.8 ppg through their last four but have limited opponents to a league-best 103.9 ppg on the season. Under is 24-11 in Pacers' games home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. They enter this contest off four straight unders and under is 16-5 in Pacers' games after three or more consecutive unders this season. The OKC Thunder will be playing on no rest after defeating the Nets last night. They have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three playing on zero days rest while Indiana is 4-0 in its last four against opponents playing on back-to-back nights. Under is 13-3 in OKC's games as underdogs this season and 19-10 when playing against a team with a winning record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-10-19 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Phoenix Suns will head to Oakland with their heads held high as they had won three on the bounce before taking a 127-120 loss at Portland on Saturday. Under is 8-4 in Phoenix games with total of 230+ points this season and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair as they visit the Golden State Warriors Sunday night. The Suns had allowed just 103.3 ppg during their winning streak and limited the Milwaukee Bucks to 105 points Monday night. Here they'll face a Golden State Warriors team that is coming off a 122-105 win over Denver to make it six unders through their last seven games. The Warriors have not played particularly well of late and will most likely not do much more than needed to get the W here. Golden State claimed the first meeting of the season 117-107 about a month ago and has won 18 straight meetings in the series. The Warriors have outscored Phoenix by an average of 16.4 points during that stretch, and I think we'll see Golden State run up the score early and then slow down the tempo in the 4th quarter. Who will cover is tough to say as the Suns might get the backdoor cover, but I'm confident this game will stay under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-08-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 233.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Golden State Warriors are in need of a solid defensive outing following a 128-95 blowout loss to Boston Tuesday night. Only one of their last six games have gone over the total total and under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Tonight they'll face Denver team that seen each of its last seven games go under the total. Both the Nuggets and the Warriors are obviously very capable of putting up good numbers, but neither side is playing particularly well at the moment. I expect to see a tight playoff-like affair as they jostle for the top spot in the conference and home-court advantage throughout the Western playoffs. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton UNDER 140 | Top | 70-76 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S BEST BIG EAST TOTAL The Creighton Bluejays host the Providence Friars at CHI Health Center Omaha Wednesday night. Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. Providence had played back-to-back unders (against St. John's and Marquette) before going over at Butler last time out, but only because the game went to OT. Under is 10-1 in Friars last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and here it'll face a Creighton team that held conference-leading Marquette to 60 points last time out. Under is 3-0 in Bluejays games where they held their previous opponent to 60 point or fewer this season and 9-1 in their last 10 overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-03-19 | Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 219.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED EASTERN CONF TOTAL This will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back set for the Detroit Pistons, but they didn't have to spend too much energy in a comfortable 129-93 win over the short-handed Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday afternoon. Under is 25-8-1 in their last 34 games playing on zero days rest and the Pistons should have plenty of gas left in the tank to play good defense in this matchup with the Toronto Raptors. "We played as well as we expected," Detroit coach Dwane Casey said. "I wouldn't put anything into the amount of points or the point differential. I promise it's not going to be that type of game tomorrow." Toronto is coming off a high-scoring 119-117 triumph over Portland Friday night, but they had played two straight unders prior to that and under is 7-2 in their last nine vs. Eastern Conference foes. The Pistons defeated the Raptors 106-104 in Toronto on Nov. 14 and under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in the series. 10* play on UNDER. |
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03-02-19 | Kentucky v. Tennessee UNDER 142 | Top | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (CBB): MIKE'S BEST 2018/2019 REG SEASON TOTAL The No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats put an 86-69 beating on the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers three weeks ago and have won an additional three straight games since. They've played great defense during that four-game stretch, holding opponents to an average of 61.5 ppg. The Vols had won 19 straight prior to that defeat, and you better believe the home side will be angry and hungry for revenge here in the rematch at Thompson-Boling Arena Saturday afternoon. They've struggled to put points on the board lately though, scoring just an average of 70 ppg through their last four contests (including an 80 point OT outing at LSU). Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last eight overall and 13-5-2 in Volunteers last 20 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings. Kentucky, Tennessee, and LSU are tied at the top of the SEC with identical 13–2 records, so this is a lot at stake here. I expect to see a tense, low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-26-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145.5 | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ACC TOTAL The Under is 8-2 in the Duke Blue Devils last 10, 18-6-2 in their last 26 and 7-0 in their last seven Tuesday night games. Zion Williamson (knee sprain) has been ruled out for this contest and I expect another relatively low-scoring contest for the Blue Devils tonight as they face a Virginia Tech team that held Notre Dame to 32.8 percent shooting from the field in a 67-59 triumph last time out. Under is 13-3 in Hokies last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with Duke. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Nuggets won the first meeting of the season 126-118 home at Pepsi Center, but I think we'll see far fewer points on the board here in the rematch at Dallas Friday night. Under is 15-5-1 in the Mavs last 21 overall and they' allowed just 106.3 ppg home at American Airlines Center. Denver meanwhile is playing just .500 basketball on the road, and one reason is a big drop in points scored compared to home, 107.7 ppg vs. 112.0 ppg). Also keep in mind that this is both teams first game back from the All Star break, so rust and sloppy shooting can be expected. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-22-19 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 158.5 | Top | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MID-AMERICAN BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Buffalo Bulls are coming off a 114-67 rout of Ohio and have played three straight overs. They're scoring an average of 85.8 ppg overall which ballons to 90.3 ppg in front of the home town crowd at Alumni Arena. The Kent State Golden Flashes took an 84-74 loss at Central Michigan last time out and over is 7-2 in their nine games vs. teams that averages 77+ points/game. Over is 9-3 in the Bulls last 12 Friday night games and I think points will come fast and easy for both sides in this contest. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-15-19 | Bruins v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL FOR FEBRUARY The Anaheim Ducks have scored just nine goals through their last eight games but managed to snap a seven-game losing streak despite scoring just a single goal against Vancouver Wednesday night. Huge for GM Bob Murray to get a win and a shutout in his debut as interim coach after firing Randy Caryle, and I think Murray will put a lot of focus on improving a defense that has allowed an average of 3.16 gpg. Boston Bruins are coming off a 6-3 home win over Chicago but we can note that under is 16-6-1 in Bruins last 23 road games. Boston beat Anaheim 3-1 on Dec. 20 and I think this will be another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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02-14-19 | Arizona v. Utah OVER 144 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED PAC-12 TOTAL The Arizona Wildcats have dropped five in a row and took a 69-55 home loss Saturday to Washington State. They've struggled to put points on the board in recent games, but over is still 5-1 in Wildcats last six road games and they've allowed 78.3 ppg on average away from home. The Utah Utes on the other hand have played very well offensively of late, coming off a 93-92 triumph at UCLA and they've scored 70 points or more in each of their last eight games. Over is 6-1 in Utes last seven games following a straight up win and each of the last three meetings with Arizona have gone over the total. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-07-19 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 227 | Top | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) The San Antonio Spurs took a 141-102 beating at Golden State last night and have allowed 124 points or more in three of their last five games. Over is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 games playing on no rest and I think we'll see points come fast and easy for both teams here at Moda Center Thursday night. Spurs rested All-Star power forward LaMarcus Aldridge and shooting guard DeMar DeRozan last night but the duo is expected to be back here to take on a Portland team that had scored 120 points or more in three straight games prior to a 118-109 setback to Miami last time out. Over is 6-0-1 in Trail Blazers last seven home games and 12-4 in the last 16 meetings with the Spurs in Portland. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams OVER 56 | Top | 13-3 | Loss | -103 | 179 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUPER BOWL LIII BEST BET The BIG GAME is finally here; New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles Rams for all the marbles in Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Pats have played high-scoring contests throughout the postseason, and I expect another shootout here against an explosive Rams team that averaged 32.9 ppg through the regular season. New England's 41 year old signal caller Tom Brady showed that age is just a number as the GOAT had little trouble to march his team down the field when it really mattered in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots and the Chiefs combined for 38 points in Q4 alone of their AFC Championship clash, with 24 of the points coming in the last 3:32 of the quarter. We could very well see a similar scenario here with two clutch quarterbacks more than capable of marching down the field when it really matters. Over is now 7-1 in Patriots last eight playoff games and this Patriots team will have to score plenty of points here to have a shot at winning. 10* play on OVER. |
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02-01-19 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 134 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED BIG TEN TOTAL The Wisconsin Badgers have an 2-8 over/under record in Big Ten play on the season and have played five straight unders, one of them a 64-60 setback at Maryland on January 14 which closed with a total of 130.5 points. I think we'll see another low-scoring contest when they get a chance to avenge that loss Friday night. Maryland is scoring just 71.2 ppg on the road, well below its 75.0 season average overall, and under 4-0-1 in the Terps' last five vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wisconsin has held four straight opponents to 60 points or fewer (avg of 52.8 ppg) and under is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings with Maryland. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-27-19 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 220 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED BEST TOTAL BET The Toronto Raptors took a high-scoring loss at Houston Friday night, but each of their last four games prior to that had gone under the total. Here they'll face Dallas Mavericks team that has won back-to-back games despite scoring just 106 points in both, and under is 5-0 in the Mavs last five overall. Ten of Dallas' 12 games overall here in January have gone under and under is a PERFECT 8-0 in its last eight vs. teams from the East. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-21-19 | Blues v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NHL TOTAL FOR THE 2018/2019 SEASON! The Los Angeles Kings had allowed just five goals in regulation through their last three games before taking a 7-1 beating at Colorado on Saturday. The over/under is 19-29 in Kings' games on the season and I expect the home team to bounce back with a much better defensive outing here. "We left our goalies out to dry again. We're sick of doing that," Kings defenseman Drew Doughty told reporters. "When we win games, we leave them out to dry. When we lose games, we leave them out to dry. It's about time we play for them." We can also note that Kings netminder Jonathan Quick owns a 2.38 GAA through 23 career encounters with the St. Louis Blues who have scored three goals or fewer in three straight games and have seen seven of their last eight go under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots UNDER 48 | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 55 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NFL PLAYOFFS TOTAL The over/under is 5-11 in the New England Patriot games this season and they've allowed 12 points or fewer in each of their last three at home (16.6 ppg against in Foxboro on the season). Here Pats coach Bill Belichick has had two weeks to prepare for the LA Chargers, and I think he'll have his defense on point leading to a low-scoring contest. The Chargers have stepped it up defensively in recent weeks and have seen four of their last five go under the total. They held Baltimore to 229 yards of offense in a 23-17 win in the opening round of the NFL playoffs last week but mustered also only 243 yards themselves. Chargers QB Philip Rivers has a poor career record against NE and he was sacked 32 times during the regular season. We can note that the Pats forced eight turnovers in the final three games of the regular season and there will be a lot of pressure on Rivers to deliver as RB Melvin Gordon is struggling with a knee injury he sustained during last week's wild-card win. Gordon rested at practice on Wednesday and is unlikely to be 100 percent by Sunday. Under is 8-1 in Patriots last nine games overall. Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-10-19 | Senators v. Kings UNDER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH: MIKE'S TOP RATED NHL TOTAL FOR JANUARY! Yesterday at Anaheim the Ottawa Senators managed to shore up a leaking defense that had allowed four goals or more in all but one contest during an eight-game slide. They were rewarded with a 2-1 OT win, and I think the Sens will be involved in another low-scoring contest here at LA Kings Thursday night. The Kings have lost three of their last four games and scored just a total of seven goals during that stretch. They have scored more than two goals in regulation just once in their past seven games ... They've been decent defensively though and under is 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and 16-5-1 in Kings last 22 when their opponent allows two goals or fewer in their previous game. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-06-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 221.5 | Top | 82-106 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOP RATED 10* TOTAL) Both of the first two meetings between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks this season went over the total with closing numbers of 224 and 225.5 points. Despite that, we're getting a lower number here in the third meeting between the Southeast Division rivals, and I'm all over the over. The Miami Heat have seen each of their last six games go over, and here they'll face a Hawks side that is struggling on the defensive end and allowed 144 points at Milwaukee its last time out. Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Note that the two teams have a combined 26-17 over/under record in games with a total closing at 220 points or more this season, so don't let the relatively big number scare you. 10* play on OVER. |
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01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears UNDER 41.5 | Top | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 55 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL We won with our NFL regular season total of the year on Bears @ Vikings in Week 17, and I'm going with another big bet on the under in a Bears game in Wild Card Weekend. The Eagles took full advantage of Chicago's win over Minnesota to sneak into the postseason with a 24-0 win over the Redskins at Washington. Pretty big QB concerns here for Philly though with Carson Wentz definitely out and backup Nick Foles banged up after taking a hit on the ribs last week. The Bears own the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, but they have been held to 15 points or fewer in two of their last four games and haven't scored more than 24 in any game during that stretch. They own the No. 11 rushing offense in the NFL but Philly is good at stopping the run allowing 96.9 ypg. Under is 6-2 in Bears last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-05-19 | Syracuse v. Notre Dame UNDER 136 | Top | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ACC TOTAL **EARLY START** The Syracuse Orange held St. Bonaventure to 48 points on 35% shooting their last time out. Eight of their last nine games have gone under the total, and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring contest when they open their ACC schedule with a visit to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday. Note that under is 6-2 in Orange last eight games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game and here they'll face a Notre Dame side coming off an 81-66 loss at Virginia Tech. 10* play on UNDER. |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 224 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost eight straight meetings at Portland and under is 14-6 in their 20 road games on the season. They do however own the 4th best scoring defense in the NBA, and here they'll face a Portland side that is coming off a 113-108 win at Sacramento, a contest that went under the total despite going to OT. Under is 9-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their six games against divisional opponents this season. Three of the last four meetings in the series have gone under, all with totals closing at a number much lower than this. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-31-18 | Hawks v. Pacers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NEW YEARS EVE NBA TOTAL The Pacers and the Hawks combined for 250 points in an Indiana win at Atlanta on December 26, but I think we'll see way fewer points scored here in this early New Years Eve matchup. The Pacers have allowed just 96.4 ppg through 18 contests home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season and under is 14-4 in those games. Under is 17-8 in Hawks last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 10-1 in the last 11 meetings with the Pacers. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 40.5 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): REGULAR SEASON TOTAL There's no secret that two of the NFL's top defensive teams will clash at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis Sunday afternoon, but I still think the books have set the total too high. Note that under is 21-16 (56.8%) in games with a total closing under 42 points in NFL this season. Chicago owns the league's fourth-best defense and has the No. 3 seed in the NFC locked in. They must defeat the Vikings and hope for the 49ers to defeat the LA Rams in Los Angeles to jump into the No. 2 seed, not impossible but at the same time not very likely either... They've been held to a total of 53 points through their last three games and under is 8-1 in Bears last nine games in December. The Vikings rank third in overall defense and will be highly motivated as they can clinch a wild card with a victory (or a tie). "For us, playoffs have already started," Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer said. "We know that we have to win this game in order to get into them. There has to be heightened sense of energy and focus and study time. You have to make sure that your bodies are rested and understand it is going to be a physical football game on Sunday." I expect Minnesota to take an early lead and then controlling the clock. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings and I think the circumstances call for another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-26-18 | Suns v. Magic UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Both the Phoenix Suns and the Orlando Magic rank near the bottom of the league for both offensive efficiency and pace. I think we'll see a low-scoring contest at Amway Center Wednesday night. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total and I don't see them pushing the tempo here, especially considering they'll be closing out a five-game road trip that has seen them travel 9,180 miles. The Suns appeared to be fatigued at times when they suffered a 111-103 loss in Brooklyn on Sunday, not all that surprising considering they played a triple OT game in Washington the night before. I doubt the hosts will be looking to make this an up-tempo game either, considering that's not they're style at all averaging just 99.9 possessions per game on the season. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total. Under is 12-4 in Magic last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers UNDER 43.5 | Top | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 79 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) TOTAL The Chicago Bears tenacious defense has allowed a total of just 23 points through the last two games. The Bears have already clinched a postseason berth but I think they'll still put up a fight here as they look to improve their seeding in the NFC playoffs. The San Francisco 49ers have no shot of making the postseason but have held Denver and Seattle to a combined 37 points in back-to-back wins. They're allowing 23.0 ppg home at Levi's Stadium which is well below their 26.6 ppg season average overall. Under is 8-3 in Bears last 11 vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 in their last eight games in December. Under is 11-3 in 49ers last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 68 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The New Orleans Saints are averaging 34.4 ppg on the season, but they've been held to a total of 38 points through their last two games. At the other end of the field, they've held five consecutive opponent to 17 or fewer points. Each of their last four have gone under the total and I expect a relatively low-scoring contest here when they visit Carolina Monday night. The slumping Panthers have lost five in a row and scored more than 21 points just once during their skid. They rank 2nd in the NFL with 1,786 net rushing yards on the season but here the Panthers will run into the very best rush defense in the league, allowing just 3.6 yards/rush attempt. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 102 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S BEST VEGAS BOWL BET The Fresno State Bulldogs have allowed just 13.7 ppg on the season and limited Boise State to 350 yards of total offense and 16 points last time out. Under is 13-3 in Bulldogs last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The Bulldogs managed just 19 points on 288 yards of total offense themselves against the Broncos though and I expect this to be a low-scoring game. The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a 41-40 win over Arizona and have played several high-scoring contests lately, but note that they'll' be without No. 1 receiver N'Keal Harry for this contest. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-09-18 | Patriots v. Dolphins UNDER 47 | Top | 33-34 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 7 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The New England Patriots put a 38-7 beating on Miami at Foxboro back in September. Their scoring has slowed down since though and the Pats have averaged only 20.3 ppg through their last three games. It's no coincidence that two of those games where on the road where NE is averaging 21.7 ppg on the season, and here it'll face a Miami team which has held opponents to 20.5 ppg in six games at Hard Rock Stadium. Offensively, Miami does not pose much of a threat and ranks 29th in the NFL for total offense with 302.1 ypg. Under is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 road games. Under is 5-0 in Patriots last five games overall and 4-0 in Dolphins last four games overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 121-98 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOTAL) The LA Clippers had scored 110 points or more in four straight games before getting held to a season-worst 86 in a loss to Memphis Wednesday night. I think they'll be back to their free-scoring ways here against a Miami team which opened a six-game road trip with a 115-98 victory over Phoenix Friday night. Playing on no rest will almost certainly not do the Heat any favors defensively, and we can note that over is 11-1 in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Combine it with the fact that over is 10-3 in Clippers last 13 overall and I think we have a solid case for the over here. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 216 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER (TOTAL) The Houston Rockets had played eight straight overs before taking a 103-91 loss at Minnesota Monday night (with a total closing at 222.5 points). The Rockets had scored 120+ points in three of their last four games prior to that that dudd and here they'll face a Utah team which scored a season-high 139 points against San Antonio on Tuesday. Since acquiring Kyle Korver, the Jazz are the 3rd best 3 point shooting team in the league, hitting 43.3% of their shots from downtown, and they scored a franchise high 20 three pointers against the Spurs. Over is 7-0 in Jazz last 7 home games and 10-4 in Jazz last 14 games playing on one days rest. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-04-18 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 213 | Top | 105-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs managed to put an end to a two-game slide with a 131-118 win over Portland last time out. They have seen seven of their last eight games go over the total (one push) and have allowed an average of 127.3 ppg through their last three contests. The Utah Jazz are not quite the stout defensive unit we've gotten used to in recent years. They've allowed an average of 113.4 ppg through their eight home games on the season with seven of those going over the total. We can also note that the Jazz have been shooting 39.7 percent from the perimeter since trading for veteran shooting guard Kyle Korver. I think this total looks way too low and recommend a BIG PLAY on the over. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-02-18 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs have given up an average of 132 points in back-to-back losses by 30 points or more. They're allowing 112.0 ppg on the season and over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Here the Spurs will face a Portland side which has seen six of its last seven games go over the total, the lone exception a matchup with the total closing at 227 points. Spurs have been terrible at the defending the three lately allowing their last two opponents to shoot a combined 40-of-95 from downtown, and Portland's backcourt is capable of making it rain. The Blazers shot 53.6 percent from the field in a 121-108 win over the Spurs at home on Oct. 20 and over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots UNDER 49.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The Minnesota Vikings limited Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers to a season-worst 198 yards and sacked him four times in last week's 24-17 win. They're allowing just 276.6 ypg since Week 4 and I think they'll give Tom Brady and the New England Patriots offense plenty of problems here on Sunday. The Pats have scored a combined 37 points through their last two games with each of their last four going under the total. Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State UNDER 53 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 61 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CFB) TOTAL The Fresno State Bulldogs are giving up only 13.5 ppg on the season and all but one of their last nine games have gone under the total. The Boise State Broncos are holding teams to 22.3 ppg overall which drops to 18.5 ppg at home and six of their last eight have gone under the total. This will be the fourth meeting in just over a year and the second straight time Fresno State and Boise State will compete in the Mountain West championship game. BSU won last year's title game 17-14 and none of the last three meetings have been even close to go over the total posted for this matchup. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-01-18 | Manchester United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER) Manchester United played a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace last weekend and followed that up with a narrow 1-0 win over Young Boys in the Champions League midweek. Southampton have scored only 10 goals in 13 Premier League games on the season and have found the net just one time through their last three at home. They've been solid defensively at home all season though allowing just eight goals in six games, and I think we'll see two cautious teams play out a low-scoring game here. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-24-18 | Syracuse v. Boston College OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-21 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL The Boston College Eagles host the Syracuse Orange Saturday afternoon, and I expect to see an entertaining shootout. The visitors are 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging 40.6 ppg on the season despite putting up just three in a loss at Notre Dame last time out. Syracuse quarterback Eric Dungey missed most of that game with an upper-body injury and is questionable here, but backup QB Tommy DeVito should be able to put up decent numbers against a BC defense which has allowed more than 600 passing yards through its last two games. Defensively, the Orange have struggled on the road all season allowing an average of 34.6 ppg and they gave up 463 yards against the Irish last time out, including 171 yards on the ground. The Eagles running game ranks 46th in the nation and RB A.J. Dillon ran a season-high 37 times for 116 yards and two touchdowns against FSU last week. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-24-18 | Crystal Palace v. Manchester United UNDER 2.75 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER) TOTAL Crystal Palace are winless through their last seven games and have scored a grand total of four goals during that stretch. They've allowed more than two goals in only of those games though and here they'll face a Manchester United team which definitely is capable of playing lock down defense despite 21 goals conceded on the season. My prediction is that Man United will sit back and control the game after taking the lead (which I assume they will), and that we'll see this game go under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-23-18 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220 | Top | 97-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL (10* TOP PLAY) The Golden State Warriors are in free fall, coming off four straight defeats as they're battling injuries to Draymond Green and Stephen Curry. The former might be back here while the latter is expected to miss several more games. Four of their last five games when playing without Curry have gone under the total, and that's a pattern I expect to continue here. This will be the finale of a tough six-game road trip for the Blazers and I think they'll make sure to up the intensity on the defensive end after giving up 143 points at Milwaukee last time out. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last four games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 19-6-1 in Warriors last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 61 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The Atlanta Falcons are coming off back-to-back losses despite giving up a total of just 50 points in the two contests combined. They've failed to break 20 point scored in each of those games and here it'll face a New Orleans side which has allowed a total of only 21 points through its last two games. The Saints are the highest scoring team in the league and have scored 45+ points in three straight games, but even while the first meeting of the season finished with a total of 80 points scored I highly doubt this contest will break 60 considering both teams recent results. Falcons are just 1-3 SU and ATS away from home this season and under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Under is 4-1 in Saints last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 10* play on UNDER in New Orleans. |
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11-19-18 | Jazz v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The Indiana Pacers have won back-to-back games despite not breaking 100 points scored in either contest. They're allowing just 101.4 ppg on the season which drops to 97.1 ppg home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse where the O/U is 1-7 for the season. Tonight the Pacers will host a Utah team which has not played with its usual intensity on the defensive end of the court lately, but it showed what it's capable of when holding Boston to 86 points on 38.5 percent shooting its last time out. Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 18-8 in Pacers last 26 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indiana. 10* play on UNDER in Indiana. |
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11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 45.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 39 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) TOTAL The LA Chargers are among the league's hottest teams having won six on the bounce and permitted only 66 points over their past five games for an average of 13.2 ppg. Here they'll face a Denver team which has won just one of its last seven games and been held to 20 points or fewer in five of its nine games on the season. The Broncos defense is still pretty solid though and linebackers Von Miller and Bradley Chubb have combined for 17 sacks, the most by a pass rushing duo in the NFL this season. We can also note that they're coming off their bye so they've had plenty of time to figure out how to stop the Chargers. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-17-18 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida OVER 60.5 | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -108 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB) TOTAL Two red hot teams with explosive offenses will clash at Spectrum Stadium in Orlando Saturday night, and I expect to see plenty of fireworks on both ends of the field. UCF Knights are perfect 9-0 on the season and amassed 500 yards of total offense in a 35-24 triumph over Navy last week. They rank third in the nation in total offense at 543 yards per game and put a 51-23 beating on the Bearcats last year. Cincinnati is 9-1 on the season and can lean on one of the best defenses in the country, but this will without a doubt be the biggest test yet, and in front of a national television audience at that. Keep in mind that the Bearcats allowed three touchdown passes in a 35-23 win over South Florida last week and over is 7-1 in Knights last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 210 | Top | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* NBA TOP PLAY The Boston Celtics have lost four of their last five and shot only 38.7 percent from the field in a 100-94 loss at Portland their last time out. Under is 6-2 in Celtics last eight games following a straight up loss and I think we'll see a low-scoring game when they host the Chicago Bulls Wednesday night. Chicago has been held to 99 points or fewer in four of its last five games, the lone exception an OT win at New York. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last seven overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-18 | Louisville v. Syracuse OVER 68.5 | Top | 23-54 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CFB): MIKE'S BEST WEEK 11 FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Louisville Cardinals took a 77-16 beating at Clemson last week. I think they'll give up plenty of points again when visiting Syracuse Friday night. The Cardinals gave up 661 total yards to the Tigers and here it'll face a deadly offense that ranks No. 15 nationally with 478.2 yards per game. Syracuse is averaging 43.3 points per game on the season and senior dual-threat quarterback Eric Dungey has recorded 23 touchdowns, 13 via the pass and 10 by the run. Louisville's defense ranks dead last in the ACC and 115th nationally allowing 462.8 yards per game. The Orange have lost the last two meetings by a combined score of 118-38, so I expect them to look for revenge and keep pressing the pedal to the metal and keep scoring points to the very end pushing this game over the total. 10* play on LOU @ SYR OVER. |