Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-01-17 | Nuggets v. Bucks -2.5 | 110-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks -2.5) Milwaukee is worth a look here at home against the Nuggets. I'm expecting a big effort here from the Bucks after a tough loss at Cleveland last time out and based on history there's a good chance we get a comfortable win, as Milwaukee is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a loss to a division rival. It certainly helps they catch the Nuggets in a bad spot, as Denver is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in 7 nights since returning from the All-Star break. Give me the Bucks -2.5! |
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03-01-17 | Michigan v. Northwestern +1.5 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Northwestern +1.5) The Wildcats have struggle to regain the momentum they had going prior to losing Scottie Lindsey or 4 games. They nearly snapped their funk in their last game, but came up just short in a 62-63 loss at Indiana. I believe they are primed for one of their best efforts here at home against the Wolverines, who are getting a little too much respect given their recent run. The Wolverines are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats off that huge home win over Purdue this past Saturday. Give me Northwestern +1.5! |
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02-28-17 | Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Georgia Tech -2) I just don't see Pittsburgh being all that interested in this game. The Panthers only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to somehow win the ACC tournament, as they are just 4-12 in league play. Georgia Tech on the other hand still has an outside shot at sneaking into the field with a couple more wins to close out the regular season and a win or two in the ACC Tournament. Either way, the Yellow Jackets are the only team with something to play for in this one and it only adds more fuel to the fire for Georgia Tech with this being senior night. Note that the Yellow Jackets are a very strong 14-4 at home, while Pitt is a mere 4-8 on the road. Give me Georgia Tech -2! |
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02-28-17 | St. John's v. Creighton OVER 164 | 68-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (OVER 164) I look for these two teams to have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. Creighton comes in averaging 84.3 ppg at home and will be facing a St. John's defense that gives up 82.1 ppg on the road. The key here is that while the Red Storm can't stop anybody, they are capable of putting up big numbers offensively, as they average a respectable 77.6 ppg. The OVER is 11-4 in St. John's 15 games away from home and a perfect 6-0 after playing a game as a home favorite and 16-3 in Creighton's last 19 home games off 2 straight conference losses. Give me the OVER 164! |
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02-28-17 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 204.5 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Total Knockout (UNDER 204.5) Utah has finally got all their key pieces healthy and have been locking down on teams on the defensive side of the ball. Utah has held each of their last 4 opponents to 95 or fewer points and that includes games against some high-powered offensive teams in the Clippers, Blazers and Wizards. The last two coming on the road, where they are tonight. OKC comes in having scored 110 or more in each of their last 3, but it's come against the Knicks, Lakers and Pelicans. All really bad defensive teams. I think they have a hard time adjusting here to the stingy defense of the Jazz. OKC beat Utah on the road and that's worth noting, as the UNDER is 7-0 when the Jazz are revenging a loss as a home favorite. Give me the UNDER 204.5! |
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02-27-17 | Oklahoma +14.5 v. Kansas | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oklahoma +14.5) I'll gladly take my chances with Oklahoma as a massive road dog against the Jayhawks. I know Kansas is playing their home finale, but they just locked up an outright Big 12 title and have to start thinking about resting up some of their key players for what really matters. For Oklahoma this is a game I believe they will desperately want to win and they will come in confident off an 81-51 blowout win at home over Kansas State. Prior to that they had played well on the road against both Oklahoma State (92-96) and Baylor (54-60), plus they have that earlier road win at West Virginia. I don't think they win here, but I see no reason why they can't keep it within 10 points. Give me the Sooners +14.5! |
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02-27-17 | Raptors -3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 92-91 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors -3.5) I believe we are getting a good enough price here on Toronto given the uncertainty around starting point guard Kyle Lowry. The thing is, Corey Joseph and Delon Wright are playing very well in his absence. I just think Toronto is a team that really improved at the trade deadline and with DeRozan back healthy this team is poised to finish out the regular season on a roll. The Knicks are a complete mess right now and while they beat the 76ers in their last game, they haven't won back-to-back games since before Christmas. New York is also still without Porzingis and just released a key part of the rotation in Brandon Jennings. Give me the Raptors -3.5! |
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02-26-17 | Celtics -1.5 v. Pistons | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Celtics -1.5) Boston is worth a look here as a short road favorite. The Celtics let one get away at Toronto in their first game back from the break and that has them in a prime bounce spot. Boston has been surging since late Jan, as they are 11-3 over their lat 14. Detroit has played well of late, going 7-3 in their last 10, but it's not as impressive as you might think. The schedule has definitely aided them during this run. Only 1 of the 7 wins came on the road and almost all the wins were against teams with losing records. Give me the Celtics -1.5! |
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02-26-17 | Blazers v. Raptors -4.5 | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Raptors -4.5) Even with Kyle Lowry sidelined, I really like the Raptors at this price at home against the Blazers. Portland won 112-103 at Orlando in their first game out of the break, which is nothing to get excited about. The Magic are trending way down and don't have much of a homecourt edge. It was just the 10th road win of the season for Portland, who is 10-20 away from home. Toronto on the other hand is 20-10 at home and I look for them to make easy work of the Blazers, who were just 1-5 in their final 6 before the break. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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02-26-17 | Butler v. Xavier +2 | Top | 88-79 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Xavier +2) Now is the time to jump on Xavier at home, as they are going to be extremely motivated after losing 4 straight. Injuries played a big part of the Musketeers struggles of late, but they just got back Bluiett in their last game at Seton Hall. Butler won at home over Xavier earlier this season, which sets the Musketeers up for revenge here. This is also a bad spot for the Bulldogs going on the road after that huge road win at Villanova. Give me the Muskeeteers +2! |
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02-25-17 | Hawks -2.5 v. Magic | 86-105 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Annihilator (Hawks -2.5) The Hawks are worth a look here against the Magic. After trading away Ibaka, the only team worse than Orlando right now is the Nets in my opinion. In their first game out of the break they lost at home to the Trail Blazers 103-112 and Portland is bad road team. Atlanta also lost their first game back, but against a surging Miami team and they were without starting PG Schroder, who will be back in action tonight. Atlanta is simply the more talented team and will be locked in for a victory. I see this getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Hawks -2.5! |
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02-25-17 | Iowa v. Maryland -7 | 83-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas ATS Knockout (Maryland -7) This is a huge bounce back spot for the Terrapins, who were just embarrassed on their home floor by 14 by Minnesota. That came after a loss at Wisconsin. Maryland is primed to get back on track here in a big way against the Hawkeyes, who are due for another letdown on the road after a big 96-90 overtime win at home against Indiana. Iowa is just 2-9 away from home on the season and their only road win inside the Big Ten came against bottom feeder Rutgers. Five of their six conference road losses have been by double-digits. Give me the Terrapins -7! |
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02-25-17 | Kansas v. Texas +8.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Texas +8.5) The Longhorns covered as a 16-point dog at Kansas earlier this season, as they lost by a final of 67-79. Texas was only down 7 with less than 5 minutes to play, as KU pulled away late to make it look worse than it was. That sets up the Longhorns in a great spot, as they are 10-2 ATS over the last 2 seasons revenging a road loss. They are also 23-10 ATS in their last 33 as a home dog, while KU is a mere 7-15 as a favorite this season and could be in line for a letdown here after securing another Big 12 title last time out against TCU. Give me the Longhorns +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Mississippi State +8.5 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 48-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Mississippi State +8.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big dog against the Commodores. Mississippi State is undervalued right now, as they have lost 5 straight, but it's not like they haven't been competitive. All 5 losses have been by 6 points or less. Vanderbilt is getting too much love here after winning 3 straight. Keep in mind that the Bulldogs beat the Commodores 75-74 earlier this season. With a huge showdown at Kentucky on deck for Vandy, I wouldn't be shocked if Mississippi State won this game outright. Commodores are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the Bulldogs +8.5! |
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02-25-17 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -6.5 | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oklahoma State -6.5) I got no problem laying this number with the Cowboys at home against the Red Raiders. Outside of Kansas, Oklahoma State has been playing the best basketball of any Big 12 team. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. This run includes a 83-64 win at Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are headed in the opposite direction and fresh off a crushing 80-82 home loss to ISU. Texas Tech is also a mere 2-8 ATS away from home this season and 9-26 in their last 35 after allowing 80+ points in 2 straight games. Give me the Cowboys -6.5! |
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02-24-17 | Wizards -7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
50* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month (Wizards -7.5) I just think the 76ers are getting way too much respect here given everything that's happened of late. The team traded away two of it's better players in Ersan Ilyasova and Nerlens Noel. The only thing they essentially got back outside of picks was Justin Anderson and it's up in the air if he even plays. Joel Embiid is still not ready to come back from a knee injury and the team just found out the Ben Simmons will not play this year. Washington is an elite team and have to be excited about the moves they made to bolster their bench by adding in Bogdanovic and McCullough. It's also up in the air if they play, but either way the Wizards core they had before the break is in tact. Washington should be able to have their way and win here by double-digits without any problem. Give me the Wizards -7.5! |
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02-23-17 | Utah +2.5 v. Colorado | 86-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Knockout (Utah +2.5) Utah followed up an embarrassing 61-79 loss at Oregon with an even more embarrassing loss at Oregon State just 3 days later. I'm not about to jump off the Utes bandwagon after a couple bad showings. In fact, I think it has Utah in a prime position to win on the road against the Buffaloes. The Utes are the superior team and Colorado isn't exactly feeling good about themselves after a 73-101 loss at Oregon. The Buffs do have a strong home court advantage and a big part of that is teams not use to playing in the thin air of Denver. That's not the case with Utah, who has actually won the last two and 4 of 7 overall at Colorado. Give me the Utes +2.5! |
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02-23-17 | Hornets v. Pistons -4 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pistons -4) Detroit is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. Both these teams have been disappointments to this point, but most of the problems have come on the road. Charlotte is just 8-19 on the road compared to 16-13 at home. Detroit is 17-11 at home compared to just 10-19 on the road. Pistons won the most recent meeting at home on 1/5 and the Hornets are a mere 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when revenging a road loss. Charlotte is also a mere 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 road games against a team with a winning record, while Detroit is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Pistons -4! |
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02-23-17 | Georgia v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 60-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Alabama -5.5) The Crimson Tide come into this game playing with some confidence after winning their last two. They certainly won't be intimidated by the Bulldogs, who they knocked off 84-64 in Georgia back on 1/25. I know the Bulldogs will want revenge here, but I just don't see it happening. Georgia is off a crushing 77-82 loss at home to Kentucky and will be playing their first game with Yante Maten, who leads the team in scoring at 18.7 ppg and is 2nd in rebounds (6.9) and first in blocks (1.5). The only other player averaging double-figures is J.J. Frazier and you can expect Alabama's defense to lock in on him in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! |
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02-22-17 | Connecticut +7.5 v. Houston | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Connecticut +7.5) Big time revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost at home to Houston without their best player in Jalen Adamas. On top of that, Connecticut is playing at a whole different level than when these two met up in late December. I'm not saying Houston shouldn't be favored at home, but these are two evenly matched teams. I see this one going right down to the wire and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Huskies won this game outright. UConn has won 7 of their last 8 and are sitting with an identical 9-5 record in the AAC as Houston. Give me the Huskies +7.5! |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -7 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -7) The Demon Deacons are worth a look at home against the Panthers. Wake Forest is in a prime bounce back spot playing at home after losing their last two on the road, while Pitt is in a prime letdown spot after a huge 80-66 home win over FSU. The Panthers haven't played on the road since 2/8 and are a 4-7 away from home on the season and 1-5 on the road in the ACC with the only win coming at Boston College. Wake is 9-3 at home with two of those losses at the hands of Duke and North Carolina. Last home game the Deacons crushed NC State by 30 and the time before that they won by 12 over Georgia Tech. Give me Wake Forest -7! |
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02-22-17 | Michigan -8.5 v. Rutgers | 68-64 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Michigan -8.5) I know the Wolverines are just 3-7 in road games this season, but this is Rutgers and they don't have the same kind of homecourt edge as the other teams in the Big Ten. That's evident by the fact that they lost by 20 at home to a young an inexperienced Iowa team. Coming off a 78-83 loss at Minnesota and far from being a lock to make the NCAA Tournament, I expect a big time effort here from the Wolverines and I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to keep it competitive. Rutgers is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Michigan -8.5! |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Northwestern -1.5) Northwestern is worth a look here on the road against Illinois. The Wildcats are a team that is going to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history this season. They have hit a bit of a bump in the road of late, but it came with their leading scorer Scottie Lindsey sidelined with mono. He returned in their last game, where they held on for a 69-65 win at home over Rutgers. Only beating the Scarlet Knights by 4 at home doesn't look good on paper, but I believe that's the kind of win that can get this team back to playing at the level they were before Lindsay went out. They were 7-2 in Big Ten play before his injury and are now 9-5. Illinois is a decent team, but not on the same level as the Wildcats and have not played great at home of late. Note that Northwestern has already won at Penn State, Nebraska, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech OVER 142.5 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 142.5) I just don't think there's too much value here on the OVER to pass up. Yes, these two teams combined for just 119 points earlier this season at Iowa State. The thing is, it was about as bad ad both teams could have played offensively. Texas Tech shot 38.6% from the field and 28.6% from behind the 3-point line. Iowa State was 39.6% from the field and 28.6% from long-distance. ISU averages 80.7 ppg and Tech is at 75.4 (80.2 ppg at home). I expect a lot more flow this time around. The Cyclones are limited defensively and come in giving up 76.8 ppg on the road. Texas Tech only gives up 65.4 ppg at home, but I just don't see them locking down on defense playing on just 1-day rest after a crushing double-overtime loss at West Virginia. Five different Red Raiders logged 32+ minutes and only 7 players played more than 6 minutes. OVER is 6-1 in Cyclones last 7 road games and 24-9 in their last 33 as a dog of 6.5 or less. OVER is also 8-3 in Red Raiders last 11 home games and 7-3 in their last 10 as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Give me the OVER 142.5! |
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02-19-17 | Connecticut +2 v. Temple | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut +2) The Huskies are worth a look here. UConn is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss coming against Cincinnati, who along with SMU is a class above the rest of the conference. Temple is a quality team, but are just 5-9 in AAC play and don't exactly have a huge home court edge. At least not enough to make up the difference from when these two played at Connecticut. The Huskies won that contest 73-59. They shot 53% from the field and held the Owls to just 36%. They also had a +9 edge in rebounding and +10 advantage in free throws. Last time out the Huskies beat Memphis at home 65-62 and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a close home win by 3 points or less. Give me UConn +2! |
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02-18-17 | Xavier v. Marquette -3.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Marquette -3.5) I think we are still in a position to take advantage of the books not adjusting enough to the injuries that Xavier is dealing with. Sumner is already out for the year and Bluiett is a game-time decision. I would be surprised if Bluiett's ankle is better just 3-days after it was too sore to play against Providence. While the Musketeers are limping into this one, this game means everything to Marquette. If Blueitt doesn't play this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Marquette -3.5! |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -12 | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oregon -12) I have no problem laying this big number on the ducks at home against the Buffaloes. Oregon, UCLA and Arizona are clearly a step ahead of the rest of the conference and the Ducks might just be the best of the three. Either way Oregon has been on a mission in Pac-12 play and are 16-0 at home with an average win by 21.1 ppg. The Ducks are also outscoring conference opponents by 15+ ppg. Colorado was able to upset Oregon at home earlier this season, which makes this one mean a little more to the Ducks. I don't see the Buffaloes being able to keep pace with a motivated Oregon team. Give me the Ducks -12! |
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02-18-17 | Florida v. Mississippi State +10.5 | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mississippi State +10.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big home dog. Florida is getting a ton of respect and are overvalued right now. The Gators have won 7 straight and just won 114-95 at Auburn as a 10-point favorite. Mississippi State on the other hand is undervalued right now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but the key is they have all been close. IN fact, all 3 losses came by 7 points or less. This is also a tough spot for Florida, who is riding high and has two huge games on deck next week at home against South Carolina and at Kentucky. An outright upset isn't out of the question. Give me Mississippi State +10.5! |
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02-17-17 | Kent State v. Akron -8.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Akron -8.5) I like the Zips to win here by at least double-digits at home against the Golden Flashes. Kent State is outclassed here. While they are 3-3 in their last 6 games, two of those wins have come against Miami (OH), which has the worst record of any team in the MAC at 3-10. The other was against Eastern Michigan who is 5-8. Last road game for the Flashes was a 20-point loss at Toledo, which is the same team Akron just took down at home. The Zips are the class of the MAC at 12-1. The next best team is 8-5. It's also worth noting that Akron is a perfect 13-0 at home this season, with the average win coming by 15.1 ppg. Give me the Zips -8.5! |
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02-16-17 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin +1.5) The Badgers weren't sharp in a few of their wins and it finally caught up to them in their last game, as they were stunned at home by Northwestern, who was without their best player. Sometimes a loss like that is all an elite team like Wisconsin needs to get their attention and re-focus them on the task at hand. I look for one of the Badgers best efforts here against a Michigan team that is getting a little too much respect for blowing out a down Michigan State team and winning at Indiana, who has been in a serious funk. Give me Wisconsin +1.5! |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State +2 v. TCU | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Oklahoma St +2) I'll gladly back the Cowboys as a dog in this one. Oklahoma State has won 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being a mere 3-point loss to Baylor. This run includes a 13-point win at home over TCU, where the Cowboys shot 54% from the field and held the Horned Frogs to just 39.3%. TCU is 6-6 in the Big 12, but have not fared well against the upper-level teams. I know Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in the Big 12, but they have been playing like an elite team for almost a month now. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and TCU is a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Give me Oklahoma State +2! |
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02-15-17 | Duke v. Virginia -4.5 | 65-55 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Virginia -4.5) My money is on the Cavaliers to take care of business at home against the Blue Devils. The public is all over Duke, which has won 5 straight, but the last 3 all came at home and they were fortunate to escape with a 64-62 win at home against Clemson in their last game. Virginia is off a crushing 78-80 loss at in-state rival Virginia Tech and are primed to bounce back with a huge effort here at home, where they are 10-2 on the season. Last home game the Cavaliers cruised to a 71-55 win over a very good Louisville team. Duke is just 2-3 on the road in ACC play. Virginia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Cavaliers -4.5! |
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02-15-17 | Indiana +5 v. Minnesota | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Indiana +5) I think this is a great time to buy low on the Hoosiers, who are much better than their recent 1-5 run would lead on. At the same time, I think we are catching the Gophers overvalued off 3 straight wins against teams in the bottom half of the league. This has the feeling of a must-win game for Indiana and I expect the Hoosiers to deliver. Minnesota is just 6-6 in league play. Indiana is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Give me Indiana +5! |
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02-15-17 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 200 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (UNDER 200) These two teams combined for just 180 points in an earlier meeting this season and I'm expecting another low-scoring game in the rematch. Neither of these two teams like to push the tempo, as both rank in the bottom 7 in pace. They also both rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and Top 20 in defensive efficiency. Detroit's gone UNDER in 5 of their last 6 and the UNDER is 13-3 in the Pistons last 16 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER 200! |
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02-15-17 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Pacers +6) Cleveland is playing on no rest and are short-handed right now with the Love injury. Indiana should be able to dictate the tempo here and the Pacers are out for revenge here from a recent loss to the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested in this one with this being their final game before the All-Star break. This game means more to the Pacers and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the east and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on the road. Cavs are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their last game and playing on no rest. Give me Indiana +6! |
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02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 216) These two teams have played twice this season already. They only combined for 192 points in the first meeting at Sacramento back on 11/10 and then 208 at Sacramento on 12/12. That might lead some to want to take the UNDER here as the total for this game is at 216. Not me. Neither of these teams were playing well offensively in the previous matchups. That's not the case this time. The Lakers come in having scored 100+ points in 6 straight games and have topped 120 in 3 of those games. Kings have scored 100+ in 6 straight and 11 of 12 overall. We also have two teams that don't exactly like to play defense and with the all-star break looming I don't expect much of any to be played tonight. Give me the OVER 216! |
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02-14-17 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -14 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kentucky -14) I'm not buying Kentucky's loss at Tennessee a few weeks back being a sign of things to come in the Vols keeping it close on the road against the Wildcats. I don't think Kentucky took that first meeting seriously, as they just played a big home game against South Carolina and had an even bigger game on deck at Kansas. It was the definition of a sandwich/trap game. This time around I think the Wildcats are going to be 100% locked in and out to make a statement against the Vols. I see this getting ugly in a hurry and Kentucky taking this one by 20+ points. Give me the Wildcats -14! |
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02-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Nets OVER 210 | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 210) A lot of people think of Memphis as a defensive juggernaut and that was the case in year's past, but not so much this season, at least on the road. The Grizzlies are giving up 99.6 ppg on the season, but allowing 104.0 ppg on the road, which has translated into the OVER going 20-8 in their 28 road games this season. Brooklyn is a perfect team for a high-scoring game, as they like to push the pace and play little to no defense. The Nets average 105.1 ppg and give up an average of 114.0 ppg. With both teams playing on fresh legs (2 days rest each) I look for this to be a very fast paced game that easily eclipses the total. Give me the OVER 210! |
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02-13-17 | 76ers v. Hornets -7.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets -7.5) This is do or die time for the Hornets, who are 1-9 in their last 10 and now 6-games under .500. It's hard to believe that the 76ers are the public side here, but that's the case, as Philadelphia has been a covering machine in 2017. Still, I think this is a tough spot for the 76ers, who won't have Emiid until after the All-Star break and aren't expected to have Okafor available. This is also a bit of a letdown spot for the 76ers, who just snapped the Heat's 13-game wining streak at home last time out. Philadelphia is also still just 7-18 on the road this season. Charlotte will be desperate for a win and I expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me the Hornets -7.5! |
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02-13-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech OVER 127 | Top | 78-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Play of the Month (OVER 127) These two teams played earlier this season and combined for just 126 points with a total of 130.5. I believe that low-scoring game has forced the oddsmakers to over-adjust the total for this contest. That first meeting saw both teams struggle from the field. Texas Tech only hit 41.4% of their attempts and Baylor was a miserable 35.4% from the field. That's uncharacteristic for both teams, as the Red Raiders are hitting 48.3% from the field on the season (51.3% at home) and the Bears are at 47.9% on the season (47.1% on the road). OVER is also 6-0 in Texas Tech's last 6 after playing their previous game as a home dog (hosted Kansas on Saturday). Give me the OVER 127! |
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02-12-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -11 | 66-59 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wisconsin -11) This is as talented a team as Northwestern has arguably ever had, as it figures to be the first team in program history to make the NCAA Tournament. I think that has a lot of people drawn to the Wildcats as a double-digit dog here, but my money is on Wisconsin. The big key here is that Northwestern is still without their best player in Scottie Lindsey. Not only does he lead them in scoring (15.4), but he does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). Not to mention he's one of their most efficient shooters and leads the team in made 3-pointers. In the two games he's missed, they have lost by 21 at Purdue and fell at home to a pretty bad Illinois team by 7. Wisconsin hasn't looked great of late, but have also played 4 of their last 6 on the road. I expect a big time effort here from the Badgers and expect this one to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Wisconsin -11! |
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02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -3.5) I like the Mustangs to put an end to Cincinnati's perfect run in the AAC and cover this small number at home. When you look at the standings and the numbers, it's pretty clear that these two are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference. SMU's only loss in the AAC is at Cincinnati by a final of just 64-66. Note that the Bearcats jumped to an early lead and led by as many as 15 before SMU figured things out and closed the game strong. Cincinnati is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. The Bearcats average 77.0 ppg on the season, yet only average 63.9 ppg on the road. SMU is 14-0 at home and are scoring more and allowing less on their home floor. Give me the Mustangs -3.5! |
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02-11-17 | Warriors v. Thunder OVER 227.5 | 130-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (OVER 227.5) These two teams have gone under the total in each of the first two meetings this season, but both of those came at Golden State and it wasn't the Warriors fault that it didn't go over. Golden State had 122 in the first meeting and 121 in the second. It was the Thunder that couldn't get their offense on track. I believe that changes at home, where OKC is averaging 109.7 ppg. Godlen State's offense travels to any gym and I think we are in store for an epic back and forth game here. Note the Warriors don't figure to be 100% locked in defensively playing on no rest and this also being their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the OVER 227.5! |
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02-11-17 | Arkansas -4.5 v. LSU | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas -4.5) The Razorbacks aren't normally a team that I would back as a road favorite, but I like them in this spot. LSU is awful and are just 1-10 in SEC play with their only win coming against Missouri way back on Jan. 4. Arkansas comes into this game off back-to-back losses, which I think is critical. It's going to have he Razorbacks 100% locked in on this game and that should be all it takes to beat the Tigers by 5 or more points. Note that LSU has lost 9 of their last 10 by at least 7 points. This is also a major letdown spot for the Tigers off a shocking close loss at Kentucky. Give me Arkansas -4.5! |
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02-11-17 | Houston v. Tulsa +3 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB AAC Game of the Month (Tulsa +3) I believe the Golden Hurricane should be the ones favored in this contest. Tulsa is simply way undervalued after losing their last 3, but two of those were at home against the two best teams in the league in Cincinnati and SMU and the other was a road game against Memphis. On the other side, Houston is overvalued here after winning 4 straight, though 3 of those were at home and the only one away from home was at Tulane, who is 1-11 in AAC play. Prior to the 3-game losing streak, Tulsa had won 4 of 5 and note they only lost at Houston by 3-points earlier this season. Golden Hurricane are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons at home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover the spread in their previous contest. Give me Tulsa +3! |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Maryland -7) A lot of things are pointing in the right direction for the Terrapins on Saturday against the Buckeyes. Maryland is playing at home where they are 11-3 on the season and facing an Ohio State team that is a mere 3-6 away from home. They also catch the Buckeyes short-handed, as starting point guard JaQuan Lyle is sitting this one out for personal reasons. That's a huge loss for Ohio State and one I don't think they can overcome on the road. Keep in mind the Terrapins already beat the Buckeyes by 6 on the road. Give me Maryland -7! |
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02-11-17 | Miami (Fla) +10.5 v. Louisville | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Miami +10.5) I think the books have made a big mistake here making the Hurricanes a double-digit dog against the Cardinals. Miami has had their ups and downs in the ACC, but in good form right now off back-to-back wins. Louisville comes in off a ugly loss at Virginia and the perception here is they are going to bounce back big at home, which I believe has created this inflated line on the Cardinals. Miami's the kind of team that can give Louisville problems. The Hurricanes are hitting 37% from behind the 3-point line and the Cardinals are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point shots. Miami is also 30-13 ATS in their last 43 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me the Hurricanes +10.5! |
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02-10-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) The perception here is the Warriors aren't going to be 100% locked in on this game because of the big showdown tomorrow in OKC, where Durant plays for the first time on the road against his old team. Sure that game is big, but I'm not buying Golden State looking past the Grizzlies. The Warriors are 44-8 on the season and yet are 0-2 against Memphis. The last lost certainly can't sit well with Golden State, who blew a 24-point lead at home in a 119-128 overtime loss. I don't see the Warriors messing around with the Grizzlies this time around and winning here by double-digits. Give me Golden State -7.5! |
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02-10-17 | Lakers v. Bucks OVER 218.5 | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total Crusher (OVER 218.5) I'm taking the OVER here tonight between the Lakers and Bucks. This game doesn't figure to have a whole lot of defense being played on either side and these two teams are capable of putting up a big number. The Lakers haven't played defense all season, as they are giving up 110.5 ppg on the year. It's been even worse than that of late, allowing 114.6 ppg over their last 5. Milwaukee puts up 108.7 ppg at home and could easily hit 120 here. I could see LA reaching that as well, pushing this one well past the posted number. Give me the OVER 218.5! |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets v. Knicks -1.5 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Knicks -1.5) Things aren't going well in the eyes of the media in New York and I think it's got the Knicks way undervalued here at home against a injury depleted Nuggets team. Denver won't have Faried, Mudiay or Gallinari, which are 3 big pieces. On top of that they are playing on the road, where they are just 10-17 in their last 27. New York desperately needs a win and I look for a big time effort here behind what I think will be a rowdy home crowd. Knicks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 against the west and 10-2 TS in their last 12 after playing their previous game as a home dog. Give me New York! |
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02-09-17 | Jazz v. Mavs +4 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +4) I'm taking Dallas as a home dog against the Jazz tonight. Utah is coming off a 127-94 blowout win on the road at New Orleans last night, but are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 against the Western Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 on the road. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back losses, but have been playing much better of late, as they are 9-5 in their last 14. This one has a little extra meaning for Dallas, who recently lost at home to the Jazz 107-112 back on 1/20. Mavs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 when revenging a same season loss, while Utah is 5-14 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Mavericks +4! |
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02-09-17 | Purdue v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Indiana +1.5) My money is on the Hoosiers at home against in-state rival Purdue on Thursday. Indiana is 13-2 at home this season and are desperate for a win here after losing 3 of their last 4. The Boilermakers are well respected and have won 5 of 6, but have had their struggles on the road, losing to the likes of Iowa and Nebraska away from home. They also have mere 1-point wins at Maryland and Ohio State. Part of the Hoosiers problems of late has been injuries, but they are likely to get a key piece back in James Blackmon Jr. Either way I like Indiana in this spot, as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the Hoosiers +1.5! |
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02-08-17 | California v. Arizona State OVER 148.5 | 68-43 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night Total Crusher (OVER 148.5) I'm expecting a much higher-scoring game than what the books are anticipating with this total. The average combined score in Arizona State's 11 home games this season is 171.5, as the Sun Devils are scoring 90.0 ppg and allowing 81.5 ppg. No surprise the OVER is 8-2-1 in those 11 games. Cal is a strong defensive team, allowing just 63.1 ppg on the season, but aren't nearly as strong on the road, where they give up just under 70 ppg. Cal should have no problem scoring 75+ here against the Bears, in fact, I think both teams eclipse that mark, which puts us over the total. OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams at Arizona State. OVER is also 9-2 in the Sun Devils' 11 conference games and 10-3 this season when listed as a dog. Give me the OVER 148.5! |
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02-08-17 | Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 216 | 132-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Annihilator (UNDER 216) I'm expecting a lower-scoring game here between the Pacers and Cavs. For starters, we have two division rivals and that normally leads to a little more effort on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana has certainly been locked in on that side of the ball, as they are giving up just 92.0 ppg over their last 5 and held OKC to a mere 90 points last time out. Cleveland comes in off a ridiculous high-scoring overtime game against the Wizards, where the two combined for 175 points. That type of game will be tough to bounce back from and I think we get a flat Cavaliers team tonight. Note that the UNDER is 9-3 in Cleveland's last 12 after allowing more than 125 points. UNDER is also 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 after 3 straight covers as a favorite and 15-4 in the Pacers last 19 home games after covering 2 of their last 3 games. Take the UNDER! |
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02-08-17 | DePaul +15 v. Xavier | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (DePaul +15) I'm going to take the points here with the Blue Demons against the Musketeers. This is a great spot to go against Xavier as a big favorite. The Musketeers have won 3 straight with the most recent being a win on the road against a ranked Creighton team. Will be hard for them to give DePaul their full attention with a massive home game looming on deck against Villanova, which they essentially have to win if they want a realistic shot at winning the Big East regular season title. I don't think the Blue Demons can pull off the upset, but I think they can keep it close enough to cash. Give me DePaul +15! |
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02-07-17 | Butler +1.5 v. Marquette | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Butler +1.5) Butler is worth a look here as an underdog at Marquette. The Bulldogs beat the Golden Flashes at home earlier this season, turning an 18-point deficit at the half into a 8-point win. That slow start in the first meeting will keep Butler from looking past Marquette in the rematch. I also like that the Bulldogs are coming into this game highly motivated off 2 straight losses and haven't played in a week. Butler is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 with a line of +3 to -3 and 27-12 ATS in their last 39 road games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Blazers -1.5 v. Mavs | 114-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Blazers -1.5) I think the situation here heavily favors the Blazers to pick up a road win over the Mavericks. Dallas has been playing better of late and just won at Portland 108-104 last Friday. It's covering up the fact that this is not a good spot for the Mavs, who just played in the thin air of Denver last night. Dallas isn't a deep team and are a mere 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their previous game. I'll take my chances on the Blazers getting their revenge on Dallas tonight. Give me the Blazers -1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -4 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clemson -4) The Tigers are worth a look here at home against Syracuse. It's been a disappointing run for Clemson in ACC play. Just after they win two straight, they go on the road and get embarrassed in a 61-109 loss at Florida State. when ever a team loses like that, I look for them to bounce back in their next game, especially if it's at home. NC State has played much better at home in the ACC and I think they are in a prime spot to knock off an over-confident Orange team that has won 4 straight and fresh off a thrilling 66-62 come from behind win over Virginia at home. Syracuse is a mere 1-7 on the road this season and the lone win came in overtime. Orange are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Clemson is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games after trailing by 15 or more at the half in their last game. Give me the Tigers -4! |
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02-06-17 | Heat v. Wolves OVER 204 | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 204) I still think the books are treating the total here like it's the Heat team that started out 11-30 and not the one that enters this game having won 10 straight. Miami has scored 100+ in 9 of those 10 wins, eclipsing 116 or more in 3 of their last 4. They should keep trend going against the Timberwolves, who come in having allowed 100 or more points in 10 straight games. Minnesota's averaging 105.6 ppg at home and Miami's defense isn't nearly as good on the road and it's not like we need them to go crazy. I look for both teams to score 100+ and that should have this one finishing closer than 215 than 205. Give me the OVER! |
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02-06-17 | Jazz -1 v. Hawks | 120-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Jazz -1) Almost all the action is coming in on the Hawks as a short home dog, but my money is on Utah to come into Atlanta and leave with a win. The Jazz absolutely owned the Hawks in Utah earlier this season, beating them 95-68. Clearly they matchup well with Atlanta and I think those edges on the floor will be too much for the Hawks to overcome. Utah is 44-16 ATS in their last 70 road games in the 2nd half the season against teams who allow 103+ ppg and we also find a great system in play going against Atlanta. Home dogs who had a 20+ point lead at the half in their last game are 35-73 (32%) ATS since 1996. Give me the Jazz -1! |
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02-06-17 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 212 | Top | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 212) I like the UNDER here on the total in the Thunder/Pacers matchup. Indiana has been playing really well of late and are locking down on defense the past few games. The Pacers have allowed 88, 97 and 84 over their last 3 and will be catching a tired OKC team that just played yesterday and are not nearly as potent offensive on the road, which is why the UNDER is 18-8-1 in their 27 road games this season. UNDER is 13-4 in the Thunder's last 17 road games off a home win and 12-4 in their last 16 as a road dog. UNDER is also 21-8 in the Pacers last 29 home games after playing a game at home and 30-9 in their last 39 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the UNDER! |
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02-05-17 | Colorado v. California -6.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (California -6.5) I'll take the Golden Bears to not only win but win big at home against the Buffaloes. Cal comes in having won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall, but just don't get a ton of love playing in the same conference as Oregon, Arizona and UCLA. Colorado has won 3 straight, but only one of those was on the road and that was at Stanford, which isn't anything to get excited about. It's the Buffaloes' only win away from home in conference play. Cal is 13-2 at home and last year rolled Colorado by 14 at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Buffaloes are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 after winning 3 of their last 4, while Cal is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight conference wins. Give me the Golden Bears -6.5! |
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02-05-17 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 216 | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Knockout (UNDER 216) I think we are going to see a much lower scoring game than you might think. Toronto will once again be without DeRozan and Kyle Lowry is playing despite leaving yesterday's practice with an illness. Hard to imagine Lowry being at full strength here and I don't see him pushing the tempo either. This is a key game for the Raptors who have really struggled of late, but I just think they do just enough here to get a win. Hard to imagine Brooklyn being all that interested here and the early start time only adds more value to a sloppy game. Give me the UNDER 216! |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State +11.5 v. Wichita State | 45-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Oddsmakers Error (Illinois St +11.5) You wouldn't think by this line that Illinois State is sitting on top the MVC with a perfect 11-0 record and have already beat the Shockers 76-62 at home this season. The big spread here is a result of the Redbirds losing a key contributor in MiKyle McIntosh. While Illinois State isn't as good without him, there's still a lot of talent on this roster. I don't think it's out of the question that they can win this game outright. I just don't think this line would be this high if it wasn't for the name recognition of Wichita State. Give me the Redbirds +11.5! |
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02-04-17 | Pelicans +8 v. Wizards | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Annihilator (Pelicans +8) Washington has really turned their season around and were an excellent team to back for the last two months, but I think the books have made their adjustments and it's time to start fading the Wizards. We saw Washington fail to cover an inflated line last time out at home against the Lakers and I see a similar type of outcome against the Pelicans. Adding value here is that New Orleans will be locked in with revenge from a recent home loss to the Wizards on 1/29. Give me the Pelicans +8! |
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02-04-17 | Utah -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Year (Utah -2.5) Looking at these two teams, there's no doubt which one is the more talented team. It's not even close. Utah is a legit NCAA Tournament team and one of the better teams in the country. The only reason this line isn't more, is because the Utes have a horrible history playing at Stanford. All streaks aren't bound to come to an end at some points and this is the perfect storm for Utah to get that elusive win at Stanford. The Cardinal are a mere 3-7 in the Pac-12 and the 3 wins have all come against the bottom feeders in Washington St, Washington and Oregon State. Not only do I think the Utes win here and cover, but I'm expecting a blowout. Give me Utah -2.5! |
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02-04-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -3 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Oregon -3) Arizona is sitting at #5 and Oregon is back at #13, which I believe is creating the value here with the Ducks a short home favorite. Oregon is every bit as good as the Wildcats and are simply not getting the respect the deserve at home, where they are a perfect 14-0 this season. I also really like how the Ducks matchup here. Note that Arizona is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams that shoot 45% or better from the field and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after 15+ games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 4+ rebounds/game. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 off a home win conference win and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off a close home win by 3-points or less. Give me the Ducks -3! |
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02-04-17 | Kansas State +8 v. Baylor | 56-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (K-State +8) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Bears. I look for Baylor to come out a bit flat here after that crushing loss at Kansas on Wednesday. Kansas State on the other hand is going to be all business. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here after losing their last 3 and will also be out for revenge from a home loss to the Bears. Keep in mind K-State was favored at home and are now a 8-point dog. That's a huge swing and I don't think it's warranted. Baylor is just 4-13 ATS at home in their last 17 when playing only their 2nd game in a week and K-State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after playing their previous two games as a favorite. Give me the Wildcats +8! |
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02-03-17 | Suns v. Kings OVER 217 | 105-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA Late Night Total Crusher (Over 217) I'm not expecting much defense to be played in this one, which should have these two flying over the total posted here. Phoenix has given up 120 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games and 100+ in each of their last 12 overall. Sacramento had scored 109 or more in 5 straight before a 83-point showing at Houston in their last game. That poor showing against the Rockets was no surprise, as they were playing their 4th game in 5 nights all on the road. Kings have had two days off, so the offense should be back on track, but I don't see much effort on the defensive side of the ball with a much bigger game against the Warriors on tap for tomorrow. Give me the OVER 217! |
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02-03-17 | Mavs +5.5 v. Blazers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +5.5) I like the points with Dallas in this one. The Mavericks have really been playing well of late. They come in having on 3 straight and 8 of their last 11 overall, which includes wins over the liks of the Spurs and Cavaliers. As good as they are playing, no one believes in this team because of how bad they were expected to be and how bad they were to start the year. Portland only has 3 more wins and I feel are getting a little too much respect here at home in a prime time game. Keep in mind Dallas has already beat the Blazers on their home court this season. Give me the Mavericks +5.5! |
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02-03-17 | Bulls +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +6.5) Chicago has won back-to-back games since basically hitting rock bottom when Wade and Butler were calling out their teammates for a lack of effort. A team meeting followed and the Bulls have looked like a different team. After putting up 121 in a 13-point win over the 76ers, they went into Oklahoma City and crushed the Thunder 128-100. Now they catch Houston playing on no rest and fresh off a shocking 108-113 loss to the Hawks after leading by 20+. I'll gladly take the points, but I think Chicago could easily win this game outright. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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02-02-17 | Gonzaga v. BYU UNDER 161 | Top | 85-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
50* NCAAB West Coast Game of the Month (Under 161) There's a lot of bad defensive teams in the WCC and I think it has the offensive numbers a bit inflated for both of these teams, which in turn has created some great value here on the UNDER with this total in the 160's. These two teams aren't big fans of each other and both will bring the defensive intensity in a nationally televised game on ESPN2. Gonzaga is only giving up 61.4 ppg and BYU is allowing a modest 72.7 ppg. SO while both teams average 80+ ppg, I think this one stays in the low 150s. Give me the UNDER 161! |
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02-02-17 | 76ers v. Spurs UNDER 213 | 86-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total No Brainer (Under 213) I think the books have created some great value here on the UNDER in this one. San Antonio is a very workman like team and while the 76ers have been playing better of late this is a horrible spot for them. Not only will Philadelphia being playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this will be their 4th game in the last 5 days. On top of that, they are without their best player in Joel Embiid and another key contributor in Robert Covington. San Antonio is only giving up 97.8 ppg at home and I think given this spot, the 76ers could struggle to score 90. Spurs will also be resting Aldridge. Give me the UNDER 213! |
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02-02-17 | Memphis University -14.5 v. South Florida | 85-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Memphis -14.5) Most will have trouble laying this big number on Memphis, as these two teams recently played in Memphis and the Tigers only won by a final of 62-56. That wasn't a great spot for the Tigers, coming off an ugly loss at Tulsa and USF being a team that really doesn't get you excited to play. I think Memphis will take this meeting a little more seriously and win here by 20+ points. USF is awful and just lost at Cincinnati by 41 and there's really nothing to get excited about with this team. Memphis was a double-digit favorite at Tulane (-11) and delivered in a 80-59 win. I expect a similar outcome here. Give me the Tigers -14.5! |
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02-01-17 | Bulls +3.5 v. Thunder | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker (Bulls +3.5) The Bulls responded from their player meeting with a 121-108 win and cover at home against the red-hot 76ers and I look for them to carry over some of that momentum here against the Thunder. I just don't see OKC have a whole lot in the tank for this one. The Thunder just laid everything they had on the line in their last two at Cleveland and San Antonio. That game against the Spurs was their 8th road game over their last 9 overall and it came last night. Playing on no rest against a Bulls team that will be playing on 2-days of rest, gives the edge here to Chicago. The Bulls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when playing on a full 2-days of rest. Give me Chicago +3.5! |
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02-01-17 | Cincinnati v. Tulsa +10 | 57-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Tulsa +10) I don't think the Golden Hurricane are getting near the respect they deserve here against the Bearcats. A big reason for that is the fact that Cincinnati comes in off 12 straight wins and are a perfect 8-0 in the AAC. Not to mention they are getting all kinds of love from their last two games, which saw them rally to beat Xavier at home 86-78 and follow it up with a 41 point win at home over USF. I think it has the Bearcats very vulnerable here on the road against a talented Tulsa team that is 8-2 at home and 6-2 in the AAC. Give me the Golden Hurricane +10! |
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02-01-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Texas -1) The Longhorns are worth a look here at home against in-state rival Texas Tech. The Longhorns are 8-13 overall, but if you have watched this team play, you know they are much better than their record would indicate. The biggest problem for Texas has been closing out games, but I have seen some improvement in that area of late. The Red Raiders are just 2-5 on the road and have not won a road game in Big 12 play. All 8 of the Longhorn's wins have come at home and I think they add to that total with a convincing win here. Give me Texas -1! |
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02-01-17 | Pacers v. Magic OVER 212 | 98-88 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Total Crusher (Over 212) I'm expecting a high-scoring affair that cruises past the total set here between the Magic and Pacers. Indiana is starting to turn the corner and play like the team everyone expected and a big part of it is the offense is clicking. The Pacers are averaging 109.4 ppg over their last 5. The problem with Indiana is their struggles on the road, and most of that is their defense, which is allowing 110.9 ppg away from home. The Magic are just as bad defensively, allowing 105.6 ppg on the season and are giving up 114.0 ppg over their last 5. I think both teams score 100+ easy in this one, which should have it finishing in the 220's. Give me the OVER 212! |
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02-01-17 | Villanova v. Providence +10 | Top | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +10) The Friars are worth a look here as a double-digit home dog against No. 4 Villanova. There's no question this line is inflated because of Villanova. I'll gladly take my chances here with Providence at home off an impressive 79-78 win at Marquette. The Friars believe they can win this game and they hung with the Wildcats on the road, losing 68-78 at Villanova back on 1/21. I also think this is a tough spot for the Wildcats off that crazy win at home over Virginia on Sunday. An outright win isn't out of the question, but I really like Providence to keep this within single-digits, as they are 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Give me the Friars +10! |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers -3 | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -3) The Blazers are worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. I see these two teams headed in different directions. While Portland comes in off a loss, it was by a mere 2-points against the Warriors. Prior to that they had won 3 straight, with one of those on the road against the Celtics and the other at home against the Grizzlies. This will also be the Blazers 4th straight game at home and with 2 days off after this one, there's no reason for them to not lay it all on the line here. Charlotte on the other hand has lost 4 straight and are a mere 8-15 on the road this season. Give me the Blazers -3! |
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01-31-17 | West Virginia v. Iowa State +3 | Top | 85-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month (Iowa State +3) The Cyclones are 8-2 at home this season and I believe they have the perfect answer to West Virginia full court pressure. That's talented point guard Monte Morris, who rarely gives the ball away. In fact, Morris has committed only 23 turnovers on the season. The other big key here is the Mountaineers pressure isn't the same on the road as it is at home. I look for Iowa State to feed off what is going to be electric crowd that loves nothing more than having a Top 10 team come to Hilton. Cyclones come to play against top teams and are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Give me Iowa State +3! |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Butler -6) It's been a rough go of things for Creighton since they loss Mo Watson Jr. They lost 94-102 at home to Marquette and the 51-71 at Georgetown. They were able to bounce back with a 83-66 blowout win over DePaul, but that's a team that is 1-7 in Big East play. What it did was keep this line from being to high and created some value with Butler, who is the far superior team with Watson sidelined. The Bulldogs are also going to be a hungry group, as they just lost 81-85 at home as a 8.5-point favorite against Georgetown. Give me Butler -6! |
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01-30-17 | Kings v. 76ers UNDER 205 | Top | 119-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 205) These two teams played in Sacramento on 12/26 and the two teams combined for just 202 points with a total of 206. We get a slightly smaller number here in the rematch, but I think we also are going to see a much lower-scoring game. Both of these teams are in awful scheduling spots. The Kings are playing their 7th straight away from home on a 8-game road trip, in a span of just 11 days. Philadelphia is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and are also playing their 7th game in 11 days. The 76ers have given up 120+ in their last two, but have been playing much better defensively of late and I expect a big effort here at home. Give me the UNDER 205! |
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01-29-17 | Rockets v. Pacers +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +4) There's no arguing that the Rockets are the better team here, but I think Houston has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pacers in this one and the books appear to agree with low line begging for public money on the Rockets. Indiana has won two straight and are 9-3 over their last 12 and I don't think they are going anywhere anytime soon. The Pacers are finally playing up to their potential and this is big test for them to see where they are. Houston will be playing the 5th and final game of a road trip and their 10th road game in their last 14 overall. After this game the Rockets go home for 4 games that stretches over a week. I think their focus here is more on getting on the plane back home than laying it all on the line to win this game. Give me the Pacers +4! |
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01-29-17 | Wizards v. Pelicans +1.5 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Pelicans +1.5) As well as the Wizards have been playing, I think the value here is with New Orleans as a home dog. The Pelicans come in off a 119-103 home win over the Spurs and also have a 124-122 win over the Cavs during their 6-game homestand, which concludes today. While New Orleans gets to benefit from no travel here of late, Washington will be playing their 5th road game out of their last 6 overall and while they have won a few here of late, the Wizards are just 7-14 on the road this season. With a much-needed 4-game homstand on deck, I think Washington has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pelicans in this one. Give me New Orleans +1.5! |
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01-29-17 | Purdue v. Nebraska +9 | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nebraska +9) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a near double-digit home dog. Nebraska is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 straight. This is still a team that won at both Maryland and Indiana and could easily have a couple more wins. Purdue has won 3 straight and are off a huge win on the road at Michigan State, which I believe has them ripe for the picking here. Best part is we don't nee the Cornhuskers to win outright, just keep it respectable. I believe they can do just that and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won. Give me the Cornhuskers +9! |
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01-28-17 | Nuggets v. Suns -3.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Suns -3.5) Revenge is a sweet thing and I expect Phoenix to get just that when they take on the Nuggets tonight. The Suns just lost 120-127 at Denver on Thursday and that was a tough one to swallow as they had a 4-point lead going into the half. Jokic of the Nuggets owned the Suns, scoring 29 points with 14 rebounds and 8 assists. Big key here is Jokic got injured late in that game and didn't even make the trip to Phoenix. Give me the Suns -3.5! |
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01-28-17 | Texas +5.5 v. Georgia | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error (Texas +5.5) The Longhorns are fighting there way through a difficult season, but they are no where near as bad as their 8-12 record would lead on. The problem for Texas has been their inability to close out games. However, they did just that in their last game, taking down Oklahoma 84-83 at home. I don't know that they will need to close out this one, as they could have a big lead against a Georgia team that I don't think is all that great. The Bulldogs just lost by 20 at home to Alabama. Same team Texas beat by 7 in non-conference play. I think the Longhorns win this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points as insurance. Give me Texas +5.5! |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Minnesota -4.5) The Terrapins come in having won 5 straight and are ranked No. 22 in the country, while Minnesota is unranked and comes in having lost 4 straight, yet the Gophers are a decent 4.5-point favorite here. The books are begging for action on Maryland and the public is following suit. I think the value here is with Minnesota, who is a lot better than their record of late would lead on and I'm not sold on the Terrapins being as good as people think. Give me the Gophers -4.5! |
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01-28-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 84-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Florida -2.5) I'll take my chances with the Gators as a short road favorite against the Sooners. Florida is one of the few elite teams in the SEC and Oklahoma is just middle of the pack in the Big 12. The Gators have proven themselves against some good teams outside the conference, playing Gonzaga, Duke and Florida State all tough. The Sooners on the other hand lost to Auburn on a neutral court and the Tigers are middle of the back at best in the SEC. They also got destroyed by 20 at Wisconsin and lost to a Clemson team that's got one win in ACC play. Give me the Gators -2.5! |
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01-28-17 | Clemson -2 v. Pittsburgh | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Shocker (Clemson -2) I'm strictly playing the odds here. Clemson comes into this game having lost 6 straight both straight up and against the spread, yet are a road favorite against a Pittsburgh team that despite their recent struggles has some decent wins on their resume. Both teams are better than what they have shown of late, but my more here is on the Tigers, who I feel has played the tougher schedule in the ACC to this point. Give me Clemson -2! |
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01-27-17 | Grizzlies -1 v. Blazers | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -1) Grizzlies comes into this one off a 101-99 win at home over the Raptors, where they failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. That was a tough loss for Memphis backers, as they really had control of that game. I believe it has the Grizzlies undervalued here on the road against the Blazers. This is the first of a 6-game road trip and I look for Memphis to do whatever they can to make sure they start the trip off on the right foot. I also love how the Grizzlies matchup with Portland. So much of what the Blazers do is about Lillard and McCollum. Memphis can counter those two with Conley and Allen. On the flip side, Portland really has no answer for Grizzlies big man Marc Gasol. Memphis is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games at Portland and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 against the west. Give me the Grizzlies -1! |
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01-26-17 | Indiana v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 60-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan -3.5) The Wolverines are showing some great value here as a short home favorite against Indiana. Michigan is 11-2 at home this season and have really started to come on strong of late. Sandwiched between two comfortable wins at hime over Nebraska and Illinois, was a mere 4-point loss at Wisconsin as a 10.5-point dog. Indiana has won 3 straight, but only one of them came on the road and that was by just 3-points against the likes of Penn State. The Hoosiers simply aren't as good as what they were made out to be and are dealing with some big injuries right now. OG Anunoby was lost for the season on 1/20 and Juwan Morgan is questionable with a foot injury. Give me Michigan -3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Pacers +3.5 v. Wolves | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Shocker (Pacers +3.5) I'm backing the Pacers as a short road dog against the Timberwolves tonight. Indiana comes in having lost 3 straight, but I still like what I see from this team, as they are 7-4 in their last 11. Minnesota has been playing much better of late as well, but this is a young team that can't be trusted. The Timberwolves have won 3 straight, but could have easily lost all 3. Each of those wins came by 3-points or less. I believe Indiana is the better team and I also believe this is a top spot for Minnesota. They finished up a 3-game road trip in LA on 1/19, returned home for one game against the Nuggets, flew back out west for one game against the Suns and now are back home against the Pacers. Give me the Pacers +3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska +8.5) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a decently priced dog against Northwestern. Nebraska will be out for revenge from a 8-point loss at home to the Wildcats earlier this month, plus they want to snap a 4-game losing streak. Something they have been close to doing in each of their last two games, falling 66-67 to Ohio State and 64-65 at Rutgers. While Nebraska is undervalued after a 4-game slide, Northwestern is overvalued after 4 straight wins. I just think these are two more evenly matched teams than this spread would suggest. Give me the Cornhuskers +8.5! |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -5.5) I'll gladly back Memphis at this price at home against a Raptors team that is not only running on fumes, but without their best player in DeMar Derozan, who is averaging 27.9 ppg on roughly 10 made field goals a game. That's a lot of offense for Toronto to replace and to make matters worse they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are catching the Grizzlies in a foul mood, as Memphis was just embarrassed on their home floor 95-119 by the Rockets. Give me the Grizzlies -5.5! |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets OVER 215 | 109-106 | Push | 0 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Over/Under Total Dominator (OVER 215) I think we are getting some value here on this total and a big reason for that is the Nets come in off an awful offensive showing in a 86-112 loss at home to the Spurs. That was the game where San Antonio rested just about all their key players and that clearly had a negative impact on the motivation for the Nets. I expect a big bounce back performance from Brooklyn offensively, as they had scored 105 or more in each of their previous 5 games. I also expect the defense to continue to struggle, as they have allowed 100+ in 20 straight games. Miami is one of the better defensive teams, but I don't see them having a ton of energy on that side of the ball after their huge upset win at home over the Warriors. Give me the OVER 215! |
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01-25-17 | Connecticut -7 v. South Florida | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Connecticut -7) This might seem like a big number for UConn to be laying on the road, but I think they have no problem covering this number. The Huskies have been playing much better of late, but are just 3-6 in their last 9. Each of their last 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in SMU, Georgetown, Memphis and Tulsa. In between those were impressive home wins over UCF (64-49) and Temple (73-59). Now I know this one is away from home, but South Florida doesn't have much of a home court edge and we have already seen the Bulls lose by 15 at home to Tulane. They also just lost by 12 at home to Tulsa. USF is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as a home underdog and just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games when playing only the 2nd game in a week span. Give m the Huskies -7! |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Georgia Tech +10.5) The Yellow Jackets have been up and down this season. The best of example of that, is they knock off North Carolina at home 75-63 as a 17-point dog and then go on the road and lose 67-110 at Duke. They lose by 15 at home to Louisville, rebound with wins at home over Clemson and at NC State. Last time out they got beat pretty bad in a 49-62 loss at Virginia and most are going to just assume FSU rolls them here, but I think this is a prime spot for the Yellow Jackets to poentially pull off an upset. The Seminoles just got done playing a brutal 4-game stretch, where they hosted Duke, were at UNC and then returned home for games against Notre Dame and Louisville. I just don't see a max effort here from FSU. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10.5! |
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01-25-17 | St. John's v. Providence -7 | 91-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Providence -7) The Friars are worth a look here in a big bounce back spot at home. Providence went on the road and gave Villanova all they could handle in a 10-point loss. Now they are back on their home floor, where they have gone 11-1 this season and will face a St. John's team that hasn't been competitive of late. The Red Storm come in off a 13-point loss at Seton Hall, which is the 5th time in their last 6 games they have lost by 10 or more. The only exception coming at home against a bad DePaul team. I look for the Friars to jump out to a big lead early and cruise to a comfortable win and cover int his one. Give me Providence -7! |