Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-17-19 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 223 | 121-125 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Magic under 223 -109 UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's NBA matchup between Orlando and Washington. The Magic are just an ideal UNDER team, as they rank dead last in the league in pace of play (99.7). They are 28th in offensive efficiency (100.9) and 5th in defensive efficiency (100.0). UNDER is 8-3-1 in Orlando's last 12 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs a bad team like the Wizards that has won less than 40% of their games. UNDER is 29-7 (81%) with a total of 220 to 229.5 when you have a road team off a win that's won between 25% to 40% of their games and facing another team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! |
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11-17-19 | Wake Forest v. Charlotte +4 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued UNDERDOG on Charlotte +4 -110 I like the 49ers to cover the small number at home against the Demon Deacons. Everyone keeps waiting for Danny Manning to work his magic in Winston-Salem, but it's just not happening. Wake has won just 11-games each of the last two years, both times going a mere 4-14 in ACC play. They would of had a chance to be decent had freshmen Jaylen Hoard stuck around, but he left early for the NBA. I get Charlotte isn't the best program, but we saw the Demon Deacons already barely beat Columbia at home 65-63. Wake did win last time out against UNC-Asheville, but are just 5-13 ATS last 18 off a SU win and 2-5-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Take Charlotte! |
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11-17-19 | Patriots v. Eagles UNDER 45 | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Eagles under 45 -101 I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's Super Bowl rematch from two years ago, as the Eagles host the Patriots. I just think this is going to be a defensive struggle. I know New England's defense didn't look great in their last game against the Ravens. Some will say that's because they finally played a legit quarterback. Part of that is true. Lamar Jackson is an absolute nightmare to defend. He's the one guy that can still beat a defense even when they do everything right. Not to take anything away from Carson Wentz, but he just doesn't pose the same threat. Add in how motivated New England is going to be coming off that poor showing and that they have had two weeks to prepare off their bye, I expect them to return to that elite form we saw in their first 8 games. As for the Patriots offense, I think some of the struggles we saw against the Ravens could linger on, especially on the road against a talented defense like the Eagles, which feels like it's getting better as the season progresses. Under is 16-5 in New England's last 21 road games when listed as a favorite and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Eagles are also off a bye and the UNDER is 23-10 in their last 33 off a bye. It's also 9-2 in their last 11 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! |
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11-17-19 | 76ers v. Cavs +7 | Top | 114-95 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Cavs +7 -105 Love the value here with the Cavs as a big home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 and have failed to cover 4 straight. 76ers are not a good road team and are playing their 3rd straight away from home. Cavs might be one of the least talented teams in the league, but they are playing hard under first year head coach John Beilein. This team has been routinely undervalued by the books and that's evident by Cleveland's 6-3-2 ATS record. 76ers are 1-9 ATS last 10 on the road against a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Cavs are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home and 5-1 ATS last 6 on 2 days of rest. Take Cleveland! |
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11-17-19 | UCF v. Illinois State -1.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Illinois State -1½ -110 I got no problem laying the short number at home with the RedBirds in Sunday's game against UCF. I just think the Knights are in some trouble this season. UCF had a dream season last year, winning 24-games and coming up just short of upsetting Duke and advancing to the Sweet 16. The Knights lost every key player from that team and it's going to be a struggle for them to come anywhere close to what they were. They just lost at home by 9 to Miami as a 3-point dog and I look for them to struggle in their first true road game of the season. Redbirds have thrived in this spot, going 26-13 ATS in their last 39 as a home favorite of 3-points or less. Take Illinois State! |
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11-17-19 | Jaguars +3 v. Colts | Top | 13-33 | Loss | -120 | 53 h 37 m | Show |
5* NFL - AFC South PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jaguars +3 -120 Sure the Colts were without starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett in last week's ugly loss to the Dolphins, but they were still a 10-point favorite and lost outright. Even with Brissett back I see Indy struggling here against a rested and highly motivated Jaguars team coming off their bye. Jacksonville got embarrassed by the Texans in their last game and with that came the end of Minshew mania. Lucky for the Jags is they get back their starting QB in Nick Foles and I think he gives this team a big boost as they try to make a push for the playoffs. Another thing that I think gets overlooked with Indy's recent struggles is they haven't had TY Hilton. Colts are 5-1 in games Hilton plays with the only loss coming in OT. They are 0-3 without him and a big reason for that is defenses can creep up a little more and focus on not letting Indy get the running game going. Colts are just 9-21 ATS last 30 at home off a loss by 6 or less and 0-6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Jags have gone 3-0-1 last 4 years off their bye and are 5-1 ATS last 6 vs another team from the AFC. Take Jacksonville! |
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11-17-19 | Jets v. Redskins UNDER 38.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -102 | 42 h 37 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Over/Under Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jets/Redskins under 38½ -102 Don't be scared away of the low total here. In fact, I think we are getting some decent value here with the UNDER at this price. The Jets 34-point outburst last week was simply a result of playing an awful Giants defense. The Redskins might be a bad team, but the defense has been more than respectable, especially given how much they are on the field. Washington's defense should also have one of it's better performances coming off of their bye and playing at home. Prior to going off against the other New York team, the Jets had topped 20 points just once in their first 8 games. Speaking of offenses that can't score. The Redskins have gone 7 straight games with 17 or fewer points and have failed to top 10 points in 5 of those games. It's not going to get any better with Dwayne Haskins at quarterback. He's just not ready, but at this point Washington really has nothing to lose throwing him out there. UNDER is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs bad teams that are getting outscored by 6+ points/game. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Jets last 28 on the road in the 2nd half vs team that allow 350+ yards/game. Take the UNDER! |
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11-17-19 | Marquette v. Wisconsin -1 | 61-77 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Early Bird ATS DESTROYER on Wisconsin -1 -105 The Badgers are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. Just feel like like Marquette is getting a little too much love here off a 10-point home win against Purdue. Golden Eagles had a chance to be special this year until Sam and Joey Hauser decided to transfer. Now it's just the Markus Howard show and while he's great, it's hard to be a one-man show and win on the road against a team like Wisconsin that really gets after you defensively. You can bet the Badgers are going to really focus on Howard and make the other guys beat them. Wisconsin comes in off a 83-63 blowout win at home over McNeese State and are 32-16 ATS last 48 at home off a home win by 20 or more points. Marquette on the other hand is just 1-6 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take Wisconsin! |
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11-16-19 | Red Wings v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Red Wings/ Sharks TOTAL WINNER on Red Wings/Sharks over 6½ +100 I look for the Red Wings and Sharks to easily surpass the 6.5 total set by the books on Saturday. San Jose comes into this one on fire offensively. The Sharks have scored 4 or more goals in 4 of their last 5, twice putting up 6 goals. While the Red Wings aren't quite scoring at that clip, they are averaging over 3 goals per game in their last 4 and if they can get to 3 this thing easily reaches 7. OVER is 16-6 in the Sharks last 22 off a division road win, 16-7 in their last 23 when they come in having won 3 or more in a row and 15-5 in their last 20 off a win by 2 or more. Take the OVER! |
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11-16-19 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 60 | 9-42 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Late Night Total BLOWOUT on New Mexico/Boise State under 60 -110 I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MWC game between Boise State and New Mexico. The Lobos are a team that likes to try and run the ball and control the close. They come in averaging 200 yards/game 5 yards/carry on the ground. The problem is they struggle to score. New Mexico is only averaging 18.6 ppg in MWC play and 13.0 ppg on the road. Not a big surprise then that the UNDER is 4-1 in their 5 road games and 4-1 in their 5 conference games. Boise State's offense only put up 20 last week at home against a Wyoming team that likes to play ball control and just 25 a few weeks ago against BYU. Unless the Broncos put up 50 here, I don't see anyway this thing climbs past the number set by the books. UNDER is 16-4 in Boise State's last 20 as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points and 7-2 in their last 9 conference games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs UNDER 228 | 121-116 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Blazers/Spurs TOTAL WINNER on Blazers/Spurs under 228 -109 I just think the total here has been set way too high for this one. Portland was playing with some decent pace early on, but all the injuries have forced the Blazers to slow things down. Their pace of play rating was a respectable 105.1 in their first 8 games and is just 99.4 over their last 4. It's important to note the dip has come against teams that look to push the pace, which is a good sign the slow play will continue. Spurs defense hasn't been great, but their biggest weakness has been protecting the paint. Portland isn't really a team to take advantage of that, as they are 25th in the league in number of attempts per game within the restricted area. Look for this to stay well below the mark. Take the UNDER! |
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11-16-19 | Blackhawks v. Predators OVER 6.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
3* BEST BET on Blackhawks/Predators over 6½ -105 I look for Chicago and Nashville to easy eclipse the total of 6.5 in Saturday's NHL action. These are two offenses that can light up the scoreboard. The Blackhawks have scored 5 goals in 2 straight and 3 of their last 5 overall. They almost have to because their defense isn't great. Chicago has allowed 3 or more in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall. Nashville should be able to take advantage of that soft defense, as they have scored 14 goals in their last 4 games and have seen a combined score of 7 or more in 3 of their last 4. OVER is 15-5 in Chicago's last 20 off a road game where both teams scored 3 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 4 or more in 2 straight games. Take the OVER! |
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11-16-19 | Oklahoma -10 v. Baylor | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 23 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/Baylor Big 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma -10 -110 There's plenty of people talking about how Baylor deserves to be ranked higher than No. 12 with their perfect record, but I'm with the playoff committee. I just don't think the Bears are anywhere close to as good as their record and I think it could get ugly on Saturday in Waco. Oklahoma is hands down the most talented team in the Big 12. They had a slip up at Kansas State, but I think more of that was them just not giving the Wildcats the respect they deserve. They won't make that mistake against the Bears. The biggest thing for more me is I don't think Baylor's defense can contain Jalen Hurts and this high-powered Oklahoma offense. That's a big problem, as I don't think the Bears have the goods offensively to go keep this close if the Sooners put 30+ on the board. Bears are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games when listed as an underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Oklahoma has failed to cover their last two in large part because of turnovers. They posted a -2 turnover margin in both ATS losses to K-State and Iowa State. Sooners are 7-0 ATS last 7 times they have posted back-to-back games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. Take Oklahoma! |
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11-16-19 | St Bonaventure v. Rutgers -7.5 | 80-74 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Saturday Night CASH COW on Rutgers -7½ -105 The Scarlet Knights have started out 3-0 and I look for them to have no problem covering the number in Saturday's neutral site showdown with St. Bonaventure. Rutgers is a program on the rise and many fans are calling for their first winning season in over a decade. The Bonnies are off to a 0-3 start having lost at home to Ohio and Vermont and most recently losing at Siena as a 1-point favorite. Offense has been a big problem for St. Bonaventure. They are averaging just 59.0 ppg and have yet to shoot better than 38% from the field in any game. Now they must face a Rutgers defense that is only giving up 55.7 ppg, holding teams almost 15 points under their season average. St Bonaventure is 1-9 ATS last 10 games when facing a team that's holding teams under 42% shooting and the Scarlet Knights are 13-3 ATS last 16 away from home against teams who are averaging 64 or fewer points/game. Take Rutgers! |
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11-16-19 | Bucks -6.5 v. Pacers | 102-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Bucks/Pacers ATS WINNER on Bucks -6½ -110 I like Milwaukee to cash in a win and cover at Indiana on Saturday. I just feel like we are getting a decent price here with the Bucks coming in off 4 straight non-covers. Especially given that Milwaukee will be playing just their second game in 6 days, while the Pacers are in the second game of a back-to-back set after playing last night at Houston. Another thing to note with the Pacers is that while they are 7-2 in their last 9 games, a lot of those wins came against bad teams. In fact, Indiana has played the softest schedule of any team in the NBA so far. Bucks are 30-16 ATS last 46 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and a dominant 17-4 ATS last 21 vs a division opponent with an average margin of victory of 13.6 ppg. Take Milwaukee! |
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11-16-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss +21.5 | 58-37 | Win | 100 | 35 h 41 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Public Money ATS DESTROYER on Ole Miss +21½ -105 While I don't think Ole Miss is going to pull off the massive upset against No. LSU, I do think there's a ton of value with the Rebels getting more than three touchdowns at home, especially with this being a prime time night game. This is Ole Miss's Super Bowl, while LSU is in about as big a letdown spot as they could be in off that upset win over Alabama last week. The Tigers have just not responded well off a big road win, as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off an upset win as a road dog. They are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Ole Miss is also a team that's been getting disrespected by the books consistently this year, especially in SEC play. Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their 6 conference games this season. Take Ole Miss! |
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11-16-19 | Louisiana Tech +10 v. Creighton | Top | 72-82 | Push | 0 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Louisiana Tech +10 -105 This is just too many points for Louisiana Tech to be catching on the road against the Blue Jays. The Bulldogs have started out 2-0 with two blowout wins. They won at Texas A&M CC 82-49 as a mere 8-point favorite and followed that up with a 98-52 victory against Wiley College. Note that Texas A&M CC nearly went on the road an upset Vanderbilt, losing by a final score of 71-66. As for Creighton, they are coming off a 79-69 loss at Michigan, where they let the Wolverines shoot 57% from the field and now face a LA Tech team that has hit 50% from the field in each of their first two games. I just don't see the Blue Jays being able to pull away and winning by double-digit. In fact, I give the Bulldogs a legit shot at winning this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech! |
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11-16-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa -3 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Iowa/Minn Big Ten PLAY OF THE WEEK on Iowa -3 -103 One of the more difficult things to do in college football is back bounce from a big win at home on the road against a top tier team. That's the spot we find the Gophers this Saturday, as they make the difficult trip down to Iowa City for a late afternoon kickoff at Kinnick. Those that bet against Minnesota last week are all over the Gophers as a slim 3-point dog against Iowa, but I feel the smart money is on the home team. Iowa is a few plays away from being 9-0 themselves. The Hawkeyes 3 losses have all come down to the wire, as they lost 10-3 at Michigan, 17-12 at home to Penn State and 24-22 at Wisconsin this past Saturday. All 3 of those teams are currently ranked in the Top 15 of CFP Rankings. I was actually impressed with how well Iowa played in Madison. Even though they gave up 300 on the ground to the Badgers, they still held Wisconsin to just 24 points. Iowa is giving up just 11.7 ppg and 289 ypg. I really think that defense is going to be the difference on Saturday. Hawkeyes are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 when facing a team that averages 37 or more points/game. You also have to take into account this is by far the toughest road game of the season for Minnesota, who's played 6 of their first 9 at home and their 3 road games have been against Fresno, Purdue and Rutgers. They crushed Rutgers, but only won by 3 at Fresno and by 7 at Purdue. Take Iowa! |
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11-16-19 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. North Texas | 56-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - E Michigan/N Texas ATS WINNER on Eastern Michigan +9 -110 The Eagles are worth a look as a near double-digit dog on the road against the Mean Green. Eastern Michigan hasn't played the stiffest of competition over their 3-0 start, but they have dominated all 3 games and will be playing with a ton of confidence in this one. North Texas is coming off two really tough road games, as they were at VCU last Friday (lost a heartbreaker 59-56) and at Arkansas on Tuesday (lost by 23). Both games the offense really struggled, as they shot just 40% against the Rams and 33% against the Razorbacks. Mean Green are just 19-35 ATS last 54 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, 18-36 last 54 in non-conference home games and 5-16 ATS last 21 at home off a loss by 20 or more. Take Eastern Michigan! |
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11-16-19 | Georgia -3 v. Auburn | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 31 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF -Georgia/Auburn SEC PLAY OF THE WEEK on Georgia -3 +100 I really like Georgia to go into Auburn and easily cover the 3. The Bulldogs had that ugly showing in their lone loss to South Carolina and have been all business since. They rolled Kentucky at home 21-0, beat Florida in Jacksonville 24-17 (wasn't as close as the final score) and just beat Missouri 27-0. I have to believe there's a new sense of life with this team after being ranked No. 4 in the recent CFP poll. They know now that if they win out they are in and I just don't think Auburn will be as big a challenge as some think. Sure the Tigers have a great defense, but they have allowed 165+ rushing yards in their last two. If they aren't able to slow down Georgia's ground game they are in big trouble. I just don't see Bo Nix and that Auburn offense being able to do enough here for them to win this game, which is basically what they have to do for us to not cover. Bulldogs are a dominant 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games after the first month of the season and have covered 13 of their last 15 road games on Saturday. Auburn is also 0-6 ATS last 3 season off a home win. Take Georgia! |
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11-16-19 | Kentucky v. Vanderbilt UNDER 43.5 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total HEAVY HITTER on Kentucky/Vanderbilt under 43½ -110 No need to overthink this one. You got two of the worst offenses the SEC has to offer facing off with Kentucky and Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are averaging just 15.3 ppg in SEC play and Vanderbilt is even worse at 13.0 ppg. I know the two aren't great defensively, but Kentucky is at least respectable on that side of the ball and Vanderbilt has the benefit of feeding off their home crowd. There was a similar total in last year's meeting at 44.5 and the game ended 14-7. UNDER is 13-2 in Kentucky's last 15 conference games and 7-2 in the Commodores last 9. UNDER is also 8-2 in the Wildcats last 10 road games and 6-1 in Vandy's last 7 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER! |
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11-16-19 | Central Michigan v. Ball State OVER 59.5 | 45-44 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Central Michigan/Ball State over 59½ -110 Saturday's big MAC showdown between Ball State and Central Michigan has all the makings of a shootout. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard. The Chippewas are averaging 34.7 ppg in conference play and the Cardinals aren't far behind at 32 ppg. Central Michigan has scored 38 or more in 4 of their last 5 games, including 48 last time out against Northern Illinois. They got a shot of adding to that, as Ball State has allowed 35 to Western Michigan and 34 to Ohio in their last 2 games. OVER is 14-4 in the Chippewas last 18 road games when they are a dog of 7 points or less and 13-4 in their last 17 after going over in their last game. OVER is also 11-3 in the Cardinals last 14 in the 2nd half of the season and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take the OVER! |
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11-16-19 | Dominic Thiem -121 v. Alexander Zverev | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
3* TENNIS - Nitto ATP Finals MONEYMAKER on Dominic Thiem -121 I'm taking Dominic Thiem over Alexander Zverev in Saturday's semifinal matchup in the Nitto ATP Finals. These two have played 7 times in the course of their careers and Thiem has won 5 of them. He's already won 5 titles in 2019, compared to just 1 for Zverev. Simply too good a price to pass up with the favorite. Take Thiem! |
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11-16-19 | Austin Peay +9 v. Tulsa | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Austin Peay/Tulsa ATS WINNER on Austin Peay +9 -109 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Governors against the Golden Hurricane. Austin Peay comes in off a 22-point loss at Western Kentucky, but that's a really good Hilltoppers team who lost just 1 starter from a 20-win team and is expected to win C-USA this year. Tulsa has started out 2-1, but there two wins have come by single-digits against the likes of Houston Baptist and Oral Roberts. They also lost by 14 on the road to Texas Arlington. Golden Hurricanes have a history of exceeding expectations under Frank Haith, but I don't think that's going to be the case this year. Take Austin Peay! |
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11-16-19 | Belmont +1.5 v. Boston College | 100-85 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Belmont/Boston College ATS WINNER on Belmont +1½ -110 The Bruins are worth a look here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Eagles. Boston College is getting a lot of love here after starting out 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS, but I think they are going down on Saturday. One key matchup here that I think really favors Belmont is big man Nick Muszynski going up against the Eagles Nic Popvic. Muszynski is averaging 17.5 ppg and 3 bpg. He's not only going to get his, but he should be able to contain Popvic, BC's second leading scorer. Bruins were red-hot from 3 last time out, going 16 of 38 (42%) against Samford. Belmont is 15-4 ATS last 19 after a game where they made 13 or more 3-pointers. Bruins are also a perfect 9-0 ATS as a dog the last 3 seasons. Eagles just 1-8 ATS last 9 at home off a home game. Take Belmont! |
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11-16-19 | Temple -4.5 v. La Salle | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Temple/LaSalle ATS WINNER on Temple -4½ -110 I like the Owls to cash in a win and cover over LaSalle in Saturday's Big Five matchup. Temple has had a whole week to prepare for this one, as they haven't played since last Saturday's 18-point win over Morgan State. While Temple has had ample time to prepare for this rivalry matchup, the Explorers just played a Big 5 rival in Penn on Wednesday. That didn't go well, as they lost by 16 as a 8.5-point dog. Not real concerned with home court edge in this one. These two schools are a mere 3-miles apart on Broad Street. Expect plenty of Owls' fans in attendance. I also think turnovers will be a big factor here. Temple has forced 36 turnovers in their first two games, while LaSalle has coughed up the rock 34 times in their first two games. Take Temple! |
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11-16-19 | Florida v. Missouri +7 | 23-6 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Missouri +7 -110 The Tigers are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the Gators. This is the opportune time to buy low on Missouri, whose last 3 games have saw them lose at Vandy 21-14, at Kentucky 29-7 and most recently at Georgia 27-0. As bad as those results look, I'm confident we are going to get the best the Tigers have to offer at home against the No. 11 Gators. History is also on our side here. Missouri is 42-21 ATS last 63 off a loss by 1 or more, 34-16 in their last 50 at home off a road loss and 21-9 ATS last 30 when they come in off 3 straight losses. Florida is also a team that I think is a bit overvalued. They have been great against the spread of late, but elite teams (won more than 80% of their games) that have beat the spread by 49 or more in their last 5 games are just 35-73 (32%) ATS when facing a team with a winning record. Take Vanderbilt! |
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11-16-19 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +14.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Nebraska +14½ -109 Solid value here with the Cornhuskers getting two touchdowns plus the hook at home against the Badgers. To say this season has been a disappointment for Nebraska would be an understatement, but I expect the best they have to offer Saturday against the nationally ranked Badgers. If there wasn't already enough motivation for the Cornhuskers, they should get it from the comments made by Wisconsin linebacker Zack Baun, who had this to say about the rivalry. "I think it was a big rivalry back before they had the trophy, so they created the trophy, and now it hasn't left here. I don't know if it's much of a rivalry anymore." Not only does that add a little fire for Nebraska, it tells me the Badgers aren't taking this game all that seriously. They were already in a big letdown spot coming off two big games against ranked teams in Ohio State and Iowa. Wisconsin is just 2-5 ATS last 7 on the road, 4-10 ATS last 14 off a win and 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take Nebraska! |
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11-15-19 | Cal-Irvine +3 v. Boise State | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Cal-Irvine +3 -110 The betting public can't get enough of the Broncos as a small home favorite against the Anteaters, but I really like Cal-Irvine to go into Boise and get a win, making them an easy play at this price. Boise went just 13-20 overall and 7-11 (T-7th) in the MWC last year, but because they bring back their top four scorers and add in a couple of Pac-12 transfers, people are expecting a big turnaround. I'm not convinced that will be the case. It certainly didn't look to be in their last game, when they lost by 31 on the road to Oregon as a 10.5-point dog. UC Irvine comes in averaging 82.3 ppg on 49.7% shooting, which is pretty remarkable when you factor they have shot a miserable 29% from behind the 3-point line. Good chance they get that going against a Broncos defense that is allowing their opponents to shoot 43.2% from deep against them on the season. The defense as a whole just isn't very good for the home team and it will cost them tonight. Take UC-Irvine! |
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11-15-19 | UC-Davis +5 v. Arkansas State | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on UC-Davis +5 -110 The Aggies are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Red Wolves. I feel like we are getting a good price on UC-Davis in this one due to the fact that they have failed to cover each of their first two lined games. They also couldn't have played any worse than they did in their opener at Loyola when they got blasted 82-48 as a mere 13-point dog. Arkansas State did manage to cover in their last game at home against VMI as a 7-point favorite, but the Keydets are 0-4, so that's nothing to get excited about. Red Wolves also shot a ridiculous 58% from the field, which is not the norm for this team. They only managed 43 points on 33% shooting the game before against Ole Miss. Turnovers have been a problem for the Red Wolves. They are averaging 16 turnovers a game and will be facing a UC Davis defense that has forced an impressive 33 turnovers in their last 2 games. That's nothing new for the Aggies, as they have ranked in the top 40 nationally in defensive turnover rate the last two years. I'll take the points for insurance, but fully expect the Aggies to win outright. Take UC Davis! |
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11-15-19 | Alabama +1 v. Rhode Island | Top | 79-93 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Alabama +1 -110 I love the Crimson Tide at basically a pick'em on the road against the Rams. Alabama bounced back in a big way from their heartbreaking 1-point loss to Penn in their opener with a dominating 78-59 win at home over FAU, easily covering as a 12.5-point favorite. Rhode Island failed to cover as a big favorite in their opener against Long Island and then were embarrassed on the road in a 73-55 loss as a 12-point dog to Maryland. Rams have not been able to get their offense going. They shot just 39% from the field against Long Island and then a mere 30% against the Terps. Rhode Island has a solid trio of Langevine, Russell and Dowtin. Tide have guys that can give those three fits. Alabama's suffocating man-to-man defense travels well and will be too much for this struggling Rams offense to overcome. Take Alabama! |
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11-15-19 | Pistons -3 v. Hornets | Top | 106-109 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
5* NBA - Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH on Pistons -3 -109 I think we are getting a great price with Detroit as a slim road favorite against the Hornets. Charlotte is off to a better start than most expected with 4 wins in their first 11 games, which puts them on pace to eclipse their win total of 23.5. I'm not buying into the early success and believe this team is going to struggle to find wins going forward. We've seen clear signs of this of late, as they have lost 4 straight, which includes a couple of home losses to bad teams in the Pelicans and Grizzlies. Pistons are just 4-8 to start the year, but did play a good chunk of their early schedule without Blake Griffin. While they enter having lost 3 straight, all 3 were by single-digits and two of those on the road. I expect a big effort here from Detroit on Friday and they are simply the better team and it's just not asking much for them to cover the small number. Pistons are 22-10 ATS last 32 when playing a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take Detroit! |
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11-15-19 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 219 | 106-109 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Hornets over 219 -109 I look for the Pistons/Hornets to fly past the total set by the books Friday night. These are simply too bad defensive teams. Detroit comes in allowing 112.5 ppg and that jumps up to 115.2 ppg on the road. Charlotte is allowing 113.7 ppg and their defense is even worse at home, where they are allowing 118.0 ppg. The Pistons have seen an average score of 223 in their 6 road games this season, while the Hornets are combining for 228.2 ppg on their home floor. Charlotte also really likes to push the pace at home. They also struggle to defend spot up shooting, which is something that Detroit excels at. Charlotte has allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 after 2 such games of bad defense. OVER is also 6-1 in the Pistons last 7 on the road, 8-1 in their last 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-2 off a loss. Take the OVER! |
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11-15-19 | Penguins v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Devils under 6½ -115 Easy play on the UNDER 6.5 in Friday's NHL showdown between Pittsburgh and New Jersey. The Devils are in a major funk on the offensive side of the puck, as they have scored 2 or fewer in 5 straight games. Penguins are only averaging 2.8 goals/game in their last 5 and 3.3 overall and it won't get any easier for them with Sidney Crosby sidelined. Last time out Pittsburgh fell 3-2 at the Rangers and that result puts the UNDER in a very profitable spot. UNDER is 12-4 in the Penguins last 16 road games off a division loss and 11-2 in their last 13 road games off a road loss by 1 goal. Take the UNDER! |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -6 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Friday Night C-USA NO-BRAINER on Marshall -6 -110 With the recent news that Louisiana Tech starting quarterback J'Mar Smith and top wide out Adrian Hardy are both suspended for this game, this is an easy play on the Thundering Herd at home. I just don't think the Bulldogs will be able to overcome the loss of Smith, especially on the road against a good Marshall team that is only giving up 24.0 ppg and 371 ypg. Smith has thrown for almost 2,500 yards with a 14-4 TD-INT ratio. He's also second on the team with 226 rushing yards. He's basically got all the reps and it's just asking too much of an inexperienced backup to play well on such short notice. Marshall has struggled to cash at the betting window of late, but they are 31-15 ATS last 46 when they come in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Thundering Herd also own an impressive 16-5-2 ATS mark in their last 23 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take Marshall! |
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11-15-19 | South Alabama -4 v. Chattanooga | 72-90 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on South Alabama -4 -109 Easy play here on the Jaguars as a small road favorite against the Mocs. We just saw how talented this South Alabama team is in their last game, as they nearly pulled off a big upset at home against Auburn, losing 70-69 as a 7-point dog. Not a huge surprise, given the Jaguars are considered the team to beat in the Sun Belt this year. Chattanooga on the other hand is picked to finish near the bottom of the Southern Conference. The Mocs did just win 74-68 at Troy as a small road dog, but the Trojans are considered by many as the worst team in the Sun Belt. Jaguars are 11-3 ATS last 14 games vs a team with a winning record, while the Mocs are a mere 2-12 ATS last 14 home games vs a team that's outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game. Take South Alabama! |
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11-14-19 | VMI v. Arkansas State -6 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Arkansas State -6 -109 The Red Wolves are definitely worth a look here as a small home favorite against the Keydets. Arkansas State is showing some value coming off an ugly 71-43 loss at Ole Miss and should have no problem winning here by double-digits at home against VMI. The Keydets have lost each of their first 3 games and are expected to be down this year. Most have VMI picked to finish at or near the bottom of the Southern Conference and a big reason for that is they lost the conference's leading scorer, Bubba Parham, who transferred to Georgia Tech. Red Wolves are 72-48 (60%) last 120 off a loss by 10 or more, while the Keydets are a mere 2-11 ATS last 13 on the road when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take Arkansas State! |
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11-14-19 | Steelers v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 7-21 | Win | 100 | 35 h 24 m | Show |
5* NFL - Steelers/Browns AFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH on Browns -2½ -119 The Browns cashed as a similarly priced 2.5-point favorite in this past Sunday's 19-16 win at Buffalo. While Cleveland did need a late score to get the win and cover, they could have put that game away early had they not turned it over on downs after having a 1st & Goal from the 1-yard line. Sometimes it's not about how you win and I think that's the case, as the Browns just needed something positive to happen. This is a much better team than their 3-6 record would suggest. On the flip side, I think this is a good spot to fade Pittsburgh after their big win at home over the Rams. I just don't think the Steelers are as good as their 5-4 record and these Thursday Night games are brutal on the road teams. Teams off an upset win as a home dog that are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are just 3-22 (12%) ATS since 1983 in the 2nd half the season if facing a team with a losing record. Take Cleveland! |
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11-14-19 | Clippers -4 v. Pelicans | 127-132 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Big Money ATS DESTROYER on Clippers -4 -109 The Clippers are worth a look here at New Orleans on Thursday. Good chance Los Angeles decided to rest Kawhi in the second game of a back-to-back, but the good news is Paul George is ready to make his season debut. I think that will be more than enough for the Clippers to win here by 5 or more against a Pelicans team that just isn't very good and is dealing with a ton of injuries. New Orleans is not only a mere 2-8 SU, they are just 3-7 ATS. They are still waiting on the return on Zion from injury. Josh Hart and Lonzo Ball are both out, while Jahlil Okafor and Brandon Ingram are both listed as questionable. Pelicans are 4-12 ATS last 16 at home and a mere 1-10 ATS last 11 at home against a team that has won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Los Angeles! |
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11-14-19 | Heat v. Cavs +4.5 | 108-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Underdog VEGAS INSIDER on Cavs +4½ -105 I think we are getting a great price here with Cleveland at home against the Heat. This might seem like a small number for Miami to be laying against a sub-par Cavs team, but the Heat will be playing far from full strength. Derrick Jones Jr and Justise Winslow are both out for this game, while Goran Dragic and Tyler Herro are both questionable. Cleveland might not be the most talented team, but they are playing hard under first year head coach John Beilein. Cavs have covered 3 straight are a very profitable 6-2-2 ATS on the season. Home team has also covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. Take Cleveland! |
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11-13-19 | Eastern Washington v. St. Louis -7.5 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis -7½ -109 The Billikens should have no problem putting away the Eagles by double-digits Wednesday night. St Louis lost a lot from last year's squad that won 23 games and I think it has them undervalued to start out the season. The Billikens did get back do it all guard Jordan Goodwin and forward Hasahn French. St Louis opened with a 22-point win as a mere 7-point favorite against Florida Gulf Coast and followed that up with a 11-point win as a 9.5-point favorite against Valpo. Billikens are 30-13 ATS at home when they come in off 2 straight covers. Eastern Washington is just 2-10 ATS last 12 non-conference games and just 3-9 ATS last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take St Louis! |
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11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic OVER 204 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Magic over 204 -110 I think we are getting some decent value here with the total in Wednesday's game that has the 76ers visiting the Magic. I just feel like the number here has been deflated way too much due to Orlando's offensive struggles and the 76ers coming off a game last night at Cleveland that ended with a mere 197 points. Thing is I don't think we are going to get a great defensive effort from Philadelphia playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 days. We should also get one of the better offensive performances from the Magic playing at home on a full 2 days of rest. OVER is 31-12 in Philadelphia's last 43 road games off a home win by 3-points or less, 14-3 in their last 17 when playing on 0 days rest and 10-4 last 14 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! |
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11-13-19 | Grizzlies +2.5 v. Hornets | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Grizzlies +2½ -110 I like Memphis to cash in a win here as a small road dog against the Bobcats. Grizzlies are coming off a 113-109 win at San Antonio as a 10.5-point dog and I think that win will go a long way in giving this team the confidence it was lacking after a slow start. Charlotte enters having lost 3 straight and are definitely a team worth fading with a small line at home. Hornets are a mere 9-22 ATS over the last 3 seasons at home with a line of +3 to -3. Road team has also covered 7 of the last 10 in the series. Take Memphis! |
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11-13-19 | Ohio +6 v. Iona | 81-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Ohio +6 -110 Iona might be the favorite to win the MAAC, but I just think the Gaels are getting too much respect at home against an Ohio team that has turned some heads in their first two games. The Bobcats opened the season with a 12-point win at St. Bonaventure as a 11.5-point dog. They followed that up with a 38-point win over Heidelberg. Iona also played a team from the A-10 to open the season and they lost by 6 at LaSalle as a favorite. Note that LaSalle was picked to finish worse than the Bonnies in A-10 play. The Gaels shot just 30% from the field in that loss to the Explorers. Iona is just 1-10 ATS last 10 non-conference games and are 3-11 ATS last 14 when coming off a loss. Take Ohio! |
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11-12-19 | Oilers +125 v. Sharks | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Oilers +125 This is a great price to back the Oilers against the struggle Sharks. Edmonton is a full 11-points ahead of San Jose in the standings and I see them having no problem winning this game. Sharks are just getting a little love here having won 3 straight. San Jose is a mere 8-16 last 24 in the 1st half of the season vs a team with a winning record and just 1-7 if that team has won between 60% to 75% of their games. Take Edmonton! |
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11-12-19 | Blazers v. Kings +2.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night PLAY OF THE WEEK on Kings +2½ -110 Most are going to just blindly take Portland here with the news that the Kings have lost starting point guard De'Aaron Fox for weeks to a ankle injury suffered in Monday's practice. It might be tough for Sacramento to overcome this in the long-run, but I expect this team to really come out strong here in the first game without him. Keep in mind the Kings have a legit backup to run the points in Corey Joseph and the team as a whole is playing with a ton of momentum having won 3 of their last 4. Blazers are just 4-6 on the year and their only win in their last 5 games is at home against the Hawks. Another key factor here is rest. Portland will be playing their 4th game in 6 days, while the Kings are playing on 3 full days of rest. Take Sacramento! |
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11-12-19 | Washington State +4 v. Santa Clara | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Washington State +4 -110 The books just don't want to give this Cougars team any love. Washington State was a mere 3-point favorite in their opener against Seattle and they went on to win that game 85-54. Now they are getting points against San Clara? No way I'm passing up on the Cougars at this price. Washington State will have the best player on the floor in C.J. Elleby, who flirted with leaving for the NBA. Elleby was sensational in the opener with 27 points and 7 rebounds. Cougars have covered 12 of their last 17 non-conference games and I'm confident they cash a winning ticket tonight. Take Washington State! |
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11-12-19 | Knicks v. Bulls UNDER 213.5 | 102-120 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks/Bulls under 213½ -109 Easy play on the other here as two of the league's worst offensive teams go head-to-head at the United Center. The Knicks rank dead last in offensive efficiency and the Bulls are sitting at 27th. Both teams also rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with the Knicks way back there at 28th. These two teams already played once this season and combined for just 203 points. Both teams shot under 43% from the field. Expect more of the same tonight. UNDER is 8-2 in New York's 10 games and 12-3 in their last 15 when playing a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-12-19 | Oral Roberts +7.5 v. Tulsa | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Oral Roberts +7½ -110 Really like the value with the Golden Eagles. This just isn't an in-state matchup, both schools are located in Tulsa, OKlahoma. Oral Roberts might be considered the lesser of the two in this fight, but I think the Eagles have the goods to win this game outright. Oral Roberts has two studs in Emmanuel Nzekwesi and Kevin Obanor, two more returning starters, and two grad transfers expected to play big roles. This team is all-in on winning the Summit and getting to the NCAA Tournament. Tulsa loses 3 key pieces from last year's team that went 18-14 and that team only beat the Golden Eagles by 10 (trailed by 5 at the half). Take Oral Roberts! |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron +17.5 | 42-14 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Weekday MAC Attack CASH COW on Akron +17½ -115 I'm well aware of how bad the Zips have been both SU and ATS this season, but I think we are getting too good a price to pass up with the home dog Tuesday night. Eastern Michigan is not the kind of team that should be laying 3 scores on the road. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5 and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Road favorites who are allowing 31+ points/game and have allowed 31 or more in each of their last two are just 34-70 (32.7%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Eastern Michigan is also just 2-9 ATS under head coach Chris Creighton when his Eagles are playing a horrible team that's won less than 25% of their games. Take Akron! |
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11-12-19 | Pacific +5.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacific +5½ -109 Easy play here for me with the Tigers as a decently priced road dog against the Rainbow Warriors. Hawaii has been overvalued in each of their first two games, as they failed to cover as a 17.5-point favorite in a 65-52 win over Florida A&M and as a 1.5-point favorite in a 81-75 loss to South Dakota. Just so happens that Pacific has faced both of those teams and had pretty similar results. Tigers lost by 10-points at home to South Dakota and crushed Florida A&M 76-54. I not only think Pacific will cover, but I give them a great shot at winning outright. Warriors are a mere 5-16 ATS last 21 games vs a team from the West Coast Conference and have failed to cover 4 straight at home. Take Pacific! |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors +8.5 | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Warriors +8½ -109 It's crazy how things have turned with Golden State. The Warriors had been the biggest public bet in the league for years, but no one wants anything to do with this year's Golden State team. Sure, it's not the same team. Not even close. But I do feel it has the Warriors a bit undervalued here at home against the Jazz. Utah is a team everyone was hyping up leading into the season and while they are off to a decent 6-3 start, they are just 3-6 ATS. Also, most of that success has come at home, as they are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS on the road. Also a big system in play backing a play on the Warriors, as underdogs with a losing record are 100-57 (64%) ATS over the last 5 seasons when coming off 3 or more straight road losses. Take Golden State! |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers -6 | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 108 h 19 m | Show | |
4* NFL - Seahawks/49ers MNF ATS HEAVY HITTER on 49ers -6 -109 The public is all over Seattle getting close to a touchdown on the road, but I really like the 49er to lay it on the Seahawks on Monday Night Football. San Francisco is one of the most complete teams in the league and there's not many teams they want to beat more than Seattle, as these two have formed quite the rivalry over the last decade. Most are just assuming Russell Wilson will do enough here to keep Seattle within the number, but it's been near impossible to throw the ball with any kind of success against this 49ers defense. In San Francisco's last 6 games they are giving up a mere 108 passing/yards game. I could see Wilson throwing for 200 yards here, but I just don't think they will be able to score enough here. People like to overlook how poorly this Seahawks defense is playing. Seattle has allowed 28 or more in 4 of their last 5 games and the only exception game against Atlanta without Matt Ryan. 49ers are averaging 35.3 ppg at home this season. Take San Francisco! |
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11-11-19 | Seahawks v. 49ers OVER 47 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 66 h 25 m | Show |
5* NFL - Seahawks/49ers NFC West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Seahawks/49ers over 47 -109 I look for these two teams to easily combine for at least 50 points an cover the total set by the books. Everyone likes to talk about the 49ers defense and rightfully so, but SF is averaging an impressive 35.3 ppg. That offense will be without George Kittle tonight, but they are getting back left tackle Joe Staley and fullback Kyle Juszczyk. I look for San Francisco to run the ball at will here and that's going to open up the opportunities for some big passing plays. I think the 49ers will easily score 30+ points here against a Seattle defense that has allowed 28 or more in 4 of their last 5. That means all we need is for the Seahawks to score around 18-20 to have us safely over the mark. I'm pretty confident Russell Wilson and that group can give us that. OVER is 41-18 in the Seahawks last 59 vs strong defensive teams that are giving up 17 or less points/game and 6-0 in their last 6 vs strong rushing teams that average 4.5+ yards/carry. OVER has also cashed in 4 of San Fran's last 5 division games and 8 out of their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! |
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11-11-19 | Rockets -5.5 v. Pelicans | 122-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rockets -5½ -109 Houston is definitely worth a look here laying what I feel is a short number against a struggling Pelicans team. Rockets started out the season failing to cover each of their first 6 games, but have won and covered each of their last 3. The most recent a 117-94 blowout win at Chicago as a similarly priced 6.5-point favorite. New Orleans comes in off a win and cover in a 115-10 win at Charlotte, but are just 2-7 overall. In each of their last 4 losses have come by double-digits. After really struggling defensively early on, Houston has been much better on that side of the ball of late. I just don't see the Pelicans being able to keep pace. Rockets are averaging 120.1 ppg and New Orleans are giving up 122.4 ppg. Take Houston! |
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11-11-19 | Samford +9 v. Belmont | 63-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Samford +9 -110 I like the value here with the Bulldogs as a near double-digit dog against the Bruins. Belmont has some nice pieces back from last year's team that received an at-large big, but they lost two big time playmakers in Dylan Windler (21.3 ppg, 10.8 rpg) and Kevin McClain (16.8 ppg). Bruins lost their opener 72-79 at Illinois State as a 5.5-point favorite. I just feel Belmont is getting a little too much love from the books to start the year and this Samford team is not only capable of covering, but winning this game outright. Bulldogs are an impressive 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games and a perfect 7-0 the last 2 seasons as a road underdog. Take Samford! |
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11-11-19 | Rafael Nadal v. Alexander Zverev +185 | 0-2 | Win | 185 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
4* TENNIS - Nadal/Zverev Nitto ATP Finals on Alexander Zverev +185 I think the price is right to take a shot with Alexander Zverev in Monday's ATP Finals matchup against world No. 1 Rafael Nadal. The big key here is that Nadal is not 100% healthy, as he's dealing with an abdominal injury. That's not an easy injury to play with. Zverev is also the defending champ at this event and really matchups up well with Nadal. Take Zverev! |
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11-10-19 | Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 214 | 108-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Cavs/Knicks under 214 -110 Easy play for me on the UNDER in Sunday's NBA showdown between bottom feeders New York and Cleveland. The Knicks are scoring just 101.2 ppg on the road, while the Cavs are managing a mere 97.3 ppg at home. Neither of these teams like to play up-tempo. New York is 28th in pace of play and Cleveland comes in at 23. UNDER is 3-1 in the Knicks 4 road games and a perfect 3-0 in the Cavs 3 home games this season. UNDER is also 20-7 in the Knicks last 27 at home with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-10-19 | Bucks v. Thunder +8 | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Big Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Thunder +8 -105 Love the value here with Oklahoma City as a big home dog against the Bucks. I just feel like this is way too many points for Milwaukee to be laying in this spot. Bucks are finishing up a 4-game road trip that has seen them go from Minnesota, to LA, to Utah and now OKC in the last 7 days. You can see the effects of this trip getting to Milwaukee by their poor shooting performances against both the Clippers (42.9%) and Jazz (35.8%). Note they also used up a ton of energy ralling from a 22-point halftime deficit against Utah, only to lose on a last second shot. Thunder have won 3 of 4 and have a 5-1 record the last 6 times they have hosted the Bucks. Thunder have also covered 5 of their last 6 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and are 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take Oklahoma City! |
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11-10-19 | Rams v. Steelers +3.5 | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 80 h 29 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Situational DOG OF THE DAY on Steelers +3½ -105 I like the value here with the Steelers as a home dog. I just think we are seeing the Rams way overvalued here coming off their bye having won and covered each of their last two. I just don't get the hype over LA's last two wins, as they were against two awful teams in the Falcons and Bengals. They aren't going to find it so easy moving the ball against this Steelers defense, which has really carried this team back into contention. They have been really good against the pass and I believe if you can make it difficult on Jared Goff and not let him get into a rhythm, this offense struggles to score, especially with how they are running the ball. Rams are only averaging 97 yards/game on the ground and have eclipsed the 100 yard mark just once in their last 6 games. Steelers are 7-2-2 ATS last 11 off a SU win and 8-2 ATS last 10 off a cover. Rams are also just 13-29 ATS last 42 vs teams who have a +1 per game turnover margin or better. Steelers have forced 3 or more turnovers in 4 straight games and at least two in 7 straight. Take Pittsburgh! |
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11-10-19 | Devils v. Canucks UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Devils/Canucks under 6 +105 The books have been set too high for Sunday's NHL total between the Devils and Canucks. This is just too good a price to pass up with how these two offenses are struggling to score. Both of these teams come in having scored 2 or fewer goals in each of their last 3 games. Also, these two played once already this season and it ended in a 1-0 win for New Jersey. UNDER is 20-8 in Vancouver's last 28 home games when revenging a same-season loss. Take the UNDER! |
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11-10-19 | Arkansas-Little Rock +5.5 v. Illinois State | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas-Little Rock +5½ -109 The Trojans are worth a look here as a small road dog against the Redbirds. Little Rock opened up the season as a 5.5-point dog at home against Belmont and went on to win the game outright 79-72. I like their chances of making it two straight upsets with a win against Illinois State, who is working in 8 new players to a team that won just 17-games last year. Redbirds have failed to cover in 5 straight against a team from the Sun Belt, while the Trojans are a solid 5-2 ATS last 7 vs the Missouri Valley. Take Little Rock! |
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11-10-19 | Ravens -10 v. Bengals | 49-13 | Win | 100 | 77 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Sharp Money ATS DESTROYER on Ravens -10 +100 I got no problem here laying double-digits on the road with the Ravens on Sunday. Baltimore has won 4 straight and are coming off a 17-point win at home against the Patriots. The Bengals haven't won a game all season and it's got so bad in Cincinnati they are benching Andy Dalton in favor of rookie Ryan Finley. I just don't think it's going to get any better offensively with Finley under center. Andy Dalton wasn't great in the Bengals first 8 games, but he's not the reason they have one of the worst offenses in the league. Bengals have eclipsed 17 points just once in their last 7 games. With the way defenses are struggling to contain Lamar Jackson and that Ravens offense, I just don't see Cincinnati keeping this close. Ravens are 12-1 ATS in the 2nd half of the season in their last 13 road games vs awful defensive teams that are giving up 375+ yards/game. On the flip side of this, Bengals are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs good offensive teams that are averaging 350+ yards/game. Take Baltimore! |
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11-10-19 | Giants -3 v. Jets | 27-34 | Loss | -100 | 35 h 9 m | Show | |
3* NFL - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Giants -3 +100 You won't see me laying points on the road with a 2-7 team often, but this isn't really a road game for the Giants, as they share MetLife Stadium with the Jets. I just think the Jets are a dumpster fire right now and it's not going to get any better. Sam Darnold and this Jets offense has been atrocious in their last 3 games. Darnold is playing without absolute no confidence right now. In his last 3 starts he's thrown 8 interceptions. It's not just all on Darnold. New York has only eclipsed 20 points once this season, scoring 16 or fewer in all but 2 games. That's why I'm not overly concerned with how the Giants defense has struggled. Also, when it's going bad for the Jets, it's a good idea to keep fading them. They are 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons when they come into a contest having lost 4 of their last 5. Jets are also 5-15 ATS last 20 in the 2nd half of the season vs teams that allow 375 or more yards/game, while Giants are 6-0 ATS last 6 road games vs teams allowing 350 or more yards/game. Take the Giants! |
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11-10-19 | Florida State +6 v. Florida | Top | 63-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - In-State Rivalry PLAY OF THE MONTH on Florida State +6 -105 I really like the value we are getting with the Seminoles as a dog. I think we are getting a great price here on FSU coming off an upset loss on the road at Pitt in their opener. Winning on the road right out of the gate is never easy, especially against a conference opponent. I also wasn't overly impressed with Florida in their 15 point win as a 22-point favorite at home against North Florida. Wouldn't be shocked at all if the Seminoles won this game outright. Gators have been an awful bet at home, as they are 3-13 ATS last 16 at the Exactech Arena, including a 0-6 ATS mark in their last 6 at home with a total of 130 to 134.5. Take Florida State! |
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11-09-19 | Nevada +17.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Late Night PLAY OF THE MONTH on Nevada +17½ -105 Love this spot and the price we are getting with the Wolf Pack. This is just too many points for San Diego State to be laying with how much they struggle to score. Aztecs are only averaging 21.7 ppg on the season and it actually gets worse when they play at home, where they are scoring just 16.3 ppg. Nevada's defense isn't great, but they did just hold New Mexico to a mere 10-points last week, so they can keep SDST in check. Last time out the Aztecs were a 11.5-point favorite at home to UNLV and barely won 20-17. San Diego State is 3-11 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite. Take Nevada! |
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11-09-19 | Blues v. Flames -141 | 3-2 | Loss | -141 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Flames -141 I like Calgary to put an end to the Blues 6-game winning streak. The Flames coming into this one playing some great hockey of their own, as they have won 4 of their last 5. Calgary is also a very tough team to beat on their home ice, as they have won 6 of their first 8 at home this season. Look for the Flames to make a statement tonight against one of the best teams in the league. Take Calgary! |
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11-09-19 | Wild v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wild/Coyotes under 5½ -135 I don't see Arizona and Minnesota combining for 6 or more goals Saturday night. UNDER has cashed in 5 of the last 6 games for the Coyotes, as they continue to struggle to put the puck in the net while making it very difficult on the opposing team to score. Arizona is averaging just 2.9 goals/game at home, while holding opponents to 1.9 goals/game at home. It's also worth noting that the Wild are only averaging 2.1 goals/game on the road this season. Arizona lost last time out and that's a plus for the UNDER, as it's 30-14 in the Coyotes last 44 when coming off a loss. UNDER is also 10-2 in the Wild's last 12 on the road after a game where 8 or more goals were scored. Take the UNDER! |
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11-09-19 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -14 | 41-42 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Oklahoma -14 -109 I like the Sooners to lay it on the Cyclones and easily cover the two touchdown spread this Saturday. This will be the first time that Oklahoma takes the field since they had that shocking 48-41 loss at Kansas State two weeks ago. I believe that loss was more of the Sooners just being a little too cocky and not giving the Wildcats the respect they deserved. I have to believe it hasn't been a fun two weeks of practice for Oklahoma and we are going to get their very best coming out of the bye. This is also a game the Sooners have had circled, as they have definitely not forgot about the last time Iowa State came to Norman and beat them 38-31 as a 31-point underdog. Iowa State is also a good but not great team this year. I think that's pretty evident by their last game at home against Oklahoma State, where they lost 34-27 as a 11-point favorite. I know the Cyclones have a decent defense, but I don't think they got any shot here of slowing down Jalen Hurts and that Sooners offense. Take Oklahoma! |
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11-09-19 | Oklahoma v. Minnesota +4.5 | 71-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Minnesota +4½ -110 I really like the value here with Minnesota catching points against Oklahoma. I just think this is going to be a tough year for the Sooners, who lost 6 seniors and had two other guys transfer from last year's team. I know the Gophers are reloading as well, but I like what they got coming back. Minnesota was impressive in their opener, destroying Cleveland State 85-50 as a 22-point favorite. Oklahoma is 7-19 ATS as a road favorite under Kruger, including a 4-14 ATS mark on the road when favored by 6 or less. Take Minnesota! |
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11-09-19 | Utah State v. Fresno State UNDER 59 | Top | 37-35 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - MWC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Utah State/Fresno State under 59 -110 I think we are getting big time value here with the UNDER. Fresno State comes in off 3 really high-scoring games, but those were all against horrible defensive teams in Hawaii, Colorado State and UNLV. They also gave up a ton of points in those games. Utah State has scored 14 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. I just don't see anyway these two get into the 60's. UNDER is 7-0 in Utah State's last 7 road games on Saturday. It's also 12-4 in Fresno State's last 16 as a favorite and 15-6 in their last 21 conference games. UNDER is 43-17 (72%) over the last 10 seasons when you have a strong offensive team (Fresno ST) that averages 390-44 yards/game facing a terrible defensive team (Utah St) that is giving up 440+ yards/game at least 7 games into the season and has allowed 475 or more yards in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-09-19 | Florida International +10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 7-37 | Loss | -108 | 58 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Conf-USA PLAY OF THE WEEK on Florida International +10½ -108 I really like the value here with FIU catching double-digits against rival FAU. The Golden Panthers have got fire after a slow start. FIU is 4-1 in their last 5 after starting out 1-3. They have failed to cover 3 straight, but I think they go from being overvalue to undervalued with how much the public is on this Owls team. FAU has been a solid fade at home, as they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home. They are also just 15-29 ATS last 44 at home when listed as a favorite. Panthers are also a team to back late in the year, as they are 7-3 ATS last 10 after 3 straight conference games. Take FIU! |
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11-09-19 | Celtics v. Spurs -1 | 135-115 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
3* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs -1 -110 I'm not sure why the books are undervaluing San Antonio so much at home, but I'll gladly back the Spurs at basically a pick'em against the Celtics. Part of the value with SA comes from Boston being overvalued coming in having won 6 straight and going 4-1-1 ATS during that run. Spurs are 14-4 ATS last 18 home games with a line of +3 to -3 and 16-6 ATS last 22 at home as a favorite of 6 or less. Boston comes in off a 108-87 blowout win over Charlotte, but are just 1-6-1 ATS last 8 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Take San Antonio! |
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11-09-19 | Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech UNDER 61.5 | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wake Forest/Virginia Tech under 61½ -105 I just think there's some decent value with the UNDER at this price. The Demon Deacons have to be feeling the pressure of what's at stake. A win here and next week's game against Clemson will be for top spot in the Atlantic. No way is Virginia Tech not going to put up a fight, especially with the Hokies paying tribute to their great defensive coordinator Bud Foster. The Hokies are going to give every once they have in this one. Offensively Va Tech is hoping Hendon Hooker will be back, but with or without him, I think they know their best chance of beating this WF team is to control the ball and not let this get into a shootout. UNDER is 6-0 in Wake's last 6 when they come in having won 3 of 4 and 13-4 in the 17 games Justin Fuente has coached against a team that's won more than 75% of their games. Take the UNDER! |
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11-09-19 | Southern Utah v. Nebraska -7 | Top | 79-78 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Nebraska -7 -110 It was about as awful a start to the season as Nebraska fans could have hoped for when their team came out and got annihilated 66-47 by UC-Riverside as a 15.5-point home favorite. Not what they were expecting in the debut of Fred Hoiberg. However, I think that result has created some big time value here with the Cornhuskers, who are laying single digits against a Southern Utah team that picked to finish middle of the pack in the Big Sky. Even after the loss in the opener, Nebraska is 22-10 ATS last 32 at home. Cornhuskers are also 10-1 ATS last 11 at home if their last game was a non-conference game. Take Nebraska! |
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11-09-19 | UTSA +4 v. Old Dominion | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - Vegas ATS LINE MISTAKE on UTSA +4 -105 I like the value here with UTSA catching more than a field goal against the Monarchs. UTSA has gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. Old Dominion hasn't won a game since beating Norfolk State in the opener and have covered only twice in their last six games. Last they were favored was as a 3-point home favorite to ECU and they lost that outright. Road Runners have been a dog of 6 or less twice this year and won both outright, including a double-digit win at UTEP. Take UTSA! |
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11-09-19 | Massachusetts v. Fairfield +4.5 | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Early Bird CASH COW on Fairfield +4½ -110 I like the Stags to cash in here as a small home dog against the Minutemen. UMASS has been a mess under Matt McCall and are likely to struggle some early with a bunch of new players and completely revamped coaching staff. While it came in a loss, I was really impressed with Fairfields 64-68 loss to Bucknell in their season opener. That's a Bucknell team that had 3 starters back from a 21-win team and are the biggest threats to Colgate for the Patriot League title. Take Fairfield! |
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11-09-19 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia +3 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -110 | 86 h 47 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on West Virginia +3 -110 Love the Mountaineers as a home dog this Saturday against the Red Raiders. This couldn't be a better time to buy low on West Virginia, who comes in having lost 4 straight. Even though the Mountaineers easily covered as a 17.5-point home dog last time out at Baylor, most won't be able to get past the fact that they have scored exactly 14 points in each of their last 3 games. The thing you have to keep in mind with the recent slide is the fact that it's come against arguably the four best teams in the Big 12 in Texas, Iowa State, Oklahoma and Baylor. Texas Tech is definitely a team they can beat and there's plenty of motivation still for West Virginia, as they need to win 3 of their last 4 to make a bowl. Another thing is the Red Raiders should not be favored on the road against any team in the Big 12. Texas Tech is 0-4 on the road this season, where they are giving up 38.2 ppg and 548.2 ypg. Also, Red Raiders have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Texas Tech head coach Matt Wells is 0-8 ATS as a head coach when his team comes in having lost 4/5 of their last 6. Take West Virginia! |
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11-08-19 | Washington -9.5 v. Oregon State | Top | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 70 h 23 m | Show |
5* NCAAF - PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington -9½ -110 I absolutely love the Huskies here in what I feel is a huge bounce back spot following a couple of tough losses against two of the Pac-12's best in Oregon and Utah. I get crazy things can happen in weekday games and Corvallis is not an easy place to play. However, I just think the talent gap here is too much for the Beavers to keep this to single-digits. Last time Washington went on the road they were a slim 6-point favorite at Arizona and they annihilated the Wildcats 51-27. As for Oregon State, not question they are improved, but they still haven't been anyone worth a lick. Last time they hosted a decent team was Utah in the middle of October. Beavers were a mere 14-point dog and got annihilated 52-7. I just don't think it's asking a lot for Washington to win here by at least 2 touchdowns. Oregon State is just 2-7 ATS last 9 at home and Huskies are a dominant 14-5 ATS last 19 as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. Take Washington! |
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11-08-19 | 76ers +5 v. Nuggets | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on 76ers +5 -110 Most will look to take the Nuggets here as a small home favorite, as the 76ers will be without Ben Simmons, but Philadelphia nearly won at Utah last time out with Simmons going out in the 1st half. We also know the 76ers are going to be extremely motivated here having lost their last two. Nuggets come in off back-to-back wins, but those were against the Magic and Heat. I just haven't been all that impressed with Denver early on and they have already failed to cover 2 of 3 at home this season. 76ers are 7-1 ATS last 8 off a SU loss, while Nuggets are 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take Philadelphia! |
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11-08-19 | Illinois v. Grand Canyon +8 | 83-71 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Late Night ATS DESTROYER on Grand Canyon +8 -109 I really like the value here with Grand Canyon as a near double-digit dog at home against Illinois. The fact that the Fighting Illini are laying this small a number against a team from the WAC really tells you all you need to know. The Antelopes are a popular pick to win the WAC this year and they landed a big time transfer in TCU's Jaylen Fisher. Not to mention we already saw Illinois struggle against a small conference team, as they only won by 8 at home against Nicholls State in their opener and they were a 22.5-point favorite in that one. Take Grand Canyon! |
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11-08-19 | Raptors v. Pelicans +2.5 | 122-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Big Money ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pelicans +2½ -105 I really like this spot for New Orleans and the books definitely agree with this line begging for public money on the Raptors. Pelicans are a much better team than their 1-6 record would suggest. Another key factor here is we can bank on a max effort here from New Orleans, as they will be ready to roll after a much-needed 3-day break. As for the Raptors, they might have a hard time showing up here, as they get ready to take off on a 5-game west coast trip. It's also important to note that Toronto is coming off a up-and-down game against the Kings, where the two combined for 244 points. Raptors are 4-17 ATS last 21 off a game with a combined score of 235 or more. Toronto has also failed to cover 7 of their last 23 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take New Orleans! |
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11-08-19 | Canucks +110 v. Jets | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Canucks +110 I like the value here with Vancouver as a road dog against the Jets. Canucks are going to be a pissed off bunch after losing as a favorite each of their last two times out. Winnipeg is definitely the kind of team to get right against. The Jets are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and have a losing record on their home ice this season. Winnipeg is just 8-16 in their last 24 at home when listed as a favorite of -150 or less. They are also just 5-14 last 19 vs a team that is saving 93% or more of the shots against. Take Vancouver! |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Cavs +5 -109 Cleveland is worth a look here as a small dog against the Wizards. This might seem like a favorable line to back Washington at home against a Cavs team that is just 2-5 on the season and come in having lost 3 straight. However, I actually like Cleveland to win this game outright. I've liked what I've seen out of this Cavs team. The schedule just has been tough to start. This is by far the worst team they have played. I also don't like this spot for the Wizards, who will have 4-days off after this one. Wizards are a miserable 5-15 ATS last 20 home games played on Friday and have gone just 11-25 ATS last 36 vs a bad team that's winning between 25%-40% of their games. Cavs are 18-7 ATS last 25 vs a team that's winning fewer than 40% of their games and 8-3 ATS last 11 on the road vs teams in this spot. Take Cleveland! |
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11-08-19 | Central Florida -17 v. Tulsa | 31-34 | Loss | -109 | 55 h 10 m | Show | |
3* NCAAF - UCF/Tulsa Weeknight MONEYMAKER on Central Florida -17 -109 I got no problem laying the big number here with UCF at Tulsa Friday night. I get the Golden Hurricane have played some of the top teams in the AAC tough this year, but I just question how much fight they have left after last week's gut-wrenching loss at Tulane. With that loss to the Green Wave, Tulsa is now 2-7 on the season and can no longer reach the 6-win mark to become bowl eligible. With that said, I don't know that a fully motivated Golden Hurricane team could keep this close. UCF is rolling right now. The Knights followed up a 63-21 win at Temple with a 44-29 victory of Houston. UCF is scoring 46.3 ppg and Tulsa is allowing 33.0 ppg. Knights are 7-3 ATS last 10 on the road. Take Central Florida! |
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11-08-19 | Marist +7.5 v. VMI | 58-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
3* NCAAB - Vegas Underdog ATS ANNIHILATOR on Marist +7½ -110 I just feel like this is way too many points for the Keydets to be laying against the Red Foxes. I get Marist isn't very good and is expected to finish near the bottom of the MAAC, but not a lot is expected out of VMI either. While the Red Foxes will be taking the court for the first time this season, the Keydets opened on Tuesday at East Carolina and get destroyed 80-68 as a 8.5-point dog. VMI was lucky to only lose by 12, as they shot just 37% from the field, while allowing the Pirates to connect on 53%. That's a ECU team that won just 10 games last year. Take Marist! |
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11-07-19 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 228 | Top | 101-107 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers over 228 -109 I look for the Blazers and Clippers to fly past the total when the two face off in LA tonight. These are two of the most efficient offenses in the league right now. Clippers are No. 3 in offensive efficiency and the Blazers are just two spots back at No. 5. On top of that, both of these teams rank in the top half of the league in pace of play and the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. I do think the Clippers can be a top tier defensive team if they choose, but I don't see them having the energy on that side tonight playing in the second game of a back-to-back. OVER is 30-18 in the Clippers last 48 home games and 11-2 in their last 13 at home if they are playing their 3rd straight at home. Take the OVER! |
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11-07-19 | Blue Jackets +135 v. Coyotes | 3-2 | Win | 135 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jackets +135 I like the value here with Columbus, as I feel the Blue Jackets are poised to snap their 5-game losing streak. Playing Arizona has got this team back on track numerous times before, as Columbus has won 7 of the last 8 meetings in the series. I also think this is a solid spot to fade the Coyotes after heartbreaking 4-3 loss at Calgary on Tuesday, where they blew a 3-1 lead in the final 3:30 of regulation and went on to lose in OT. Blue Jackets are 9-1 in their last 10 after 3 straight non-conference games and 12-2 in their last 14 after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer goals were scored. Take Columbus! |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
4* NCAAF - USF/Temple ATS NO-BRAINER on South Florida +2½ -112 Really like the price and the spot here with South Florida as a home dog Thursday night against Temple. Public is all over the Owls and the books are letting them have it with this line being less than a field goal. For most people they just can't get past how bad USF was early in the year. Charlie Strong has really got this team on track and let's not forget this was a team a lot of people were picking ahead of Temple in the ACC prior to the season starting. Confidence can be everything and the Bulls have it right now, as they have won 3 of their last 4 and are starting to impose their will on the ground. USF has rushed for 240+ yards in 3 of their last 4. Temple just followed up a 24-point loss at SMU with a 42-point loss at home to UCF. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 that rushed for 150+ yards in their last game and are facing a team that was outgained on the ground by 125+ yards are 27-6 (82%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take South Florida! |
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11-07-19 | Golden Knights +123 v. Maple Leafs | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line DESTROYER on Golden Knights +123 Easy play here on Vegas as a decently priced dog. Golden Knights got their 4-game road trip started off with a 2-1 win at Columbus on Tuesday and are now 5-2 away from home this season. I get the Maple Leafs come in off back-to-back wins, but they struggled for a good portion of their last game at home against a bad Kings team and the game before they squeaked out a 1-goal win at Philly. Prior to that they had lost 4 of 5. Take Vegas! |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 210.5 | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Late Night Total HEAVY HITTER on 76ers/Jazz over 210½ -105 I look for the Jazz and 76ers to fly past the total tonight. The UNDER is 7-0 in Utah's first 7 games. I think the books have over-adjusted the number here, creating value on the OVER. This is the lowest total of the season for the Jazz and it's not like they are facing an offense that can't score. Philadelphia is averaging 114 ppg and have played 3 times without their best player in Embiid. While the 76ers offense has traveled well (115.0 ppg on the road), the defense has not. Philadelphia is giving up 114 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 52% from the field on the road, including 44% from deep. Both teams will hit at least 105 in this one. Take the OVER! |
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11-06-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Syracuse | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Virginia -2½ -110 I got no problem laying the short number here with the defending champs on the road against the Orange. No denying that Virginia lost a lot of talent from last year's team, but time after time TOny Bennett has made it work with whatever he has on his roster. To think this team won't be one of the best in the ACC is a mistake. Syracuse is a team I think could be down this year. They lost 3 of their top 4 scores and the backcourt situation doesn't look ideal. Sure they will play tough defense under Jim Boeheim, but I don't think that will be enough here. I just don't see Syracuse scoring enough to pull off the upset. Take Virginia! |
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11-06-19 | Blues v. Oilers -145 | 5-2 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Oilers -145 Edmonton is definitely worth a look here at home against the Blues. Both teams come in playing well and I could see people wanting to jump on St Louis here, as they have won 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. However, this is a bad spot for the Blues, as they will be playing their 3rd straight on the road and will be on no rest after playing last night in Vancouver. St Louis head coach Craig Berube has seen his teams go a mere 2-14 in road games when playing their 8th game in 14 days. Take Edmonton! |
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11-06-19 | Bulls v. Hawks OVER 219 | 113-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Hawks over 219 -110 I'm confident the Bulls/Hawks will fly over the total Wednesday night in Atlanta. With both teams off big games Tuesday night, I just don't see the defensive effort being there for either side. Bulls were in a heated contest against the Lakers at home and the Hawks pulled out a late rally to upset the Spurs. OVER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 games for the Bulls. I know the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 in Atlanta's 6 games, but they played several games without their best player in Trae Young. He returned against SA and scored 28 points in the 2nd half after a slow start. Hawks defense took a huge hit with John Collins getting handed a 25-game suspension, so Atlanta will have to rely on the offense even more. OVER is 7-3-1 in Chicago's last 11 off a SU loss and 4-1 in Atlanta's last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! |
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11-06-19 | Green Bay v. Purdue -19 | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on Purdue -19 -110 I got no problem laying the big number with Purdue at home against the likes of Green Bay. I think people are sleeping on the Boilermakers a little bit due to them losing Carson Edwards, but this is a team that has the good to contends with the likes of Michigan State and others for the Big Ten title. They might not have the superstar on their roster like Edwards, but they are extremely deep and I just don't see the Phoenix being able to keep pace. History agrees, as the Boilermakers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points. Take Purdue! |
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11-05-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 105 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
4* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Blackhawks/Sharks under 6½ +105 I think the books have set the bar way too high for Tuesday's NHL action between Chicago and San Jose. Most will focus on the amount of goals these two teams are allowing, especially the Sharks, who have given up 4 or more in 6 of their last 8. The thing is these are two struggling offenses. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games and the Sharks have scored 2 or fewer in 5 straight. UNDER is 5-0 in the Blackhawks last 5 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and 5-0 in their last 5 when revening a loss where they gave up 4 or more. Take the UNDER! |
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11-05-19 | St. Mary's -3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play on St. Mary's -3 -115 You might be wondering why Wisconsin is getting points against the Gaels. It's for good reason and I think St Mary's is going to make easy work of a Badgers team in transition. Wisconsin only loses two starters, but they lost one of the best players in the country in Ethan Happ. For a team that ranked 276th in scoring at 68.6 ppg, I think the offense is going to have a hard time keeping pace with better competition. The Gaels have all their key guys back from last year's NCAA Tournament team that won 22-games and beat Gonzaga in the WCC Tournament, despite many thinking it was going to be a down year for St Mary's. They also got some key guys back from injury and this is one they need for their resume come March. Take St. Mary's! |
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11-05-19 | Avalanche +130 v. Stars | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
3* NHL - Money Line MASSACRE on Avalanche +130 I just think this is the perfect time to take a gamble on Colorado. Avalanche come in having lost 4 straight, but are still 8-6 on the season, so it's only a matter of time before they get back on track. As for the Stars, they are due for a letdown after winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 7. History supports this, as Dallas is just 3-15 in their last 18 when they come in having won 6/7 of their last 8 games. Avalanche on the other hand are 5-0 in their last 5 when coming off a road loss where they were shutout. Take Colorado! |
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11-05-19 | Magic v. Thunder UNDER 204 | 94-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Magic/Thunder under 204 -110 Don't be fooled into taking the OVER with this low total in tonight's NBA action between the Thunder and Magic. I actually think there's value with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams are strong defensively. OKC is tied for 3rd in defensive efficiency and Orlando is right on their heels at No. 5. Not only that, both teams are struggling on the other side of the ball. Magic are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency and the Thunder aren't to far back at 26th. Orlando also plays at the second slowest pace in the league. Take the UNDER! |
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11-05-19 | Toledo v. Valparaiso +3 | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB - No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER on Valparaiso +3 -110 I think we are getting a great price on the Crusaders. Toledo is one of the better programs in the MAC, so they get a lot of love from experts. I just think they are getting a little too much coming into the 2019-20 season. Sure they won 25 games last year, but they lost two of their best players in Jaelan Sanford and Nate Nagigato. Valpo went just 15-18 last year and with the news that leading scorer and rebounder, Derrick Smits left for Butler, not much is expected of this team. They got back a couple of double-digit scorers, while adding in 3 transfers. Eron Gordon from Seton Hall, Nick Robinson from St. Joe's and ZIon Morgan from UNLV. I think the wrong team is favored. Take Valparaiso! |