01-13-22 |
Georgia State v. South Alabama -118 |
|
65-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This spread/ML seems low Thursday as South Alabama is way higher via both KenPom and Sagarin rankings. USA has two of the top seven scorers in the Sun Belt in Charles Manning (17.2 ppg) and Jay Jay Chandler (15.5 ppg). The Jaguars rank in the Top 3 of the Sun Belt in scoring defense (63.6 ppg), scoring offense (75.1), scoring margin (11.5), turnover margin (3.9), blocked shots per game (5.4 bpg) and turnovers forced (16.73). My only real worry here would be COVID issues, but otherwise South Alabama should win.
|
01-13-22 |
Northern Kentucky v. Youngstown State -152 |
|
68-67 |
Loss |
-152 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Thought I posted this earlier but it didn't show up so I'm sure it was user error -- unfortunately, the ML moved from -160 to -170 in that time, although I doubt it matters as every model has Youngstown State winning despite entering on a two-game skid. Northern Kentucky is 0-5 on the road and has lost each by at least nine points and may have some COVID issues with its past three games postponed/canceled. These clubs are about the same regarding scoring defense but YSU is better offensively and is 8-2 this year when scoring at least 70. NKU has allowed a minimum of 70 points in three of its past four.
|
01-13-22 |
Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee -165 |
|
57-70 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units the Blue Raiders probably should be bigger favorites (at least -5 instead of -3.5) but I'm not messing with the spread regardless as FAU isn't a bad team at all. Plus, there could always be the surprise COVID factor. Middle Tennessee is one of those full-court pressure teams and it has led to 133 steals and 252 forced turnovers through the team's first 15 games. Pressure defense always works better at home, where MT is unbeaten -- it's why West Virginia is nearly impossible to beat in Morgantown.
|
01-13-22 |
Coastal Carolina +3.5 v. Appalachian State |
|
60-61 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units In March these teams met in the Sun Belt Tournament semifinals, and Appalachian State edged Coastal Carolina, 64-61, in overtime. I expect the Chanticleers to be highly motivated for revenge and cover against an App State team that may have peaked during its tournament run.
|
01-12-22 |
Boise State +1 v. Nevada |
|
85-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Boise State returns to action following a 15-day layoff. The Broncos will face a Nevada Wolf Pack team that has won six of its last seven. Last season, they also defeated Boise State three times. Yet, look for Boise State’s top-tier scoring defense to be a catalyst Wednesday. The Broncos rank 11th in the country, allowing just 58.2 points per game.
|
01-12-22 |
NC State v. Louisville -6 |
|
79-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. While the Cardinals are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss. In addition, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
01-12-22 |
Illinois State +12.5 v. Drake |
|
75-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Redbirds are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. While the Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, and 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
|
01-12-22 |
LSU +2.5 v. Florida |
|
64-58 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. While the Gators are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite., and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. In addition the road team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
01-12-22 |
Samford v. Wofford -8 |
|
64-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Bulldogs are 12-25-3 ATS in their last 40 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 13-29-2 ATS in their last 44 games as an underdog, and 6-18-3 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win. While the Terriers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss, and 36-15 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss.
|
01-12-22 |
Presbyterian +7.5 v. Gardner-Webb |
|
61-64 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Gardner Webb. has won four straight games, including a17-point road victory over SEC foe Georgia. Yet, on the season the Runnin’ Bulldogs have had both of their win streaks halted at four. Take the value on Presbyterian.
|
01-12-22 |
Villanova v. Xavier +100 |
|
64-60 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. While the Musketeers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. In addition, the favorite is 14-4 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
|
01-11-22 |
Auburn +3.5 v. Alabama |
|
81-77 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. While the Crimson Tide are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
|
01-11-22 |
Miami-FL v. Florida State -6.5 |
|
64-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. While the Seminoles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600, and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 Tuesday games. In addition, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-11-22 |
St Bonaventure -9.5 v. La Salle |
|
80-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Bonnies are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. While the Explorers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
|
01-11-22 |
George Washington v. VCU -16.5 |
|
57-84 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Colonials are 20-41-1 ATS in their last 62 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. While the Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. In addition, the favorite is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
|
01-11-22 |
Kentucky v. Vanderbilt +8.5 |
|
78-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Wildcats are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. While the 9-2-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 10-3-4 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. In addition, the underdog is 15-5-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
|
01-10-22 |
Wofford -3 v. NC-Greensboro |
|
54-58 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Terriers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. While the Spartans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. In addition, road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings while the favorite is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
|
01-09-22 |
Wisconsin -125 v. Maryland |
|
70-69 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Containing two of the nation's top three scorers was a big task this week for Maryland, which proved to have no answers for Iowa's Keegan Murray or Illinois' Kofi Cockburn. Now comes the nation's other top scorer as Johnny Davis and No. 23 Wisconsin (12-2, 3-1 Big Ten) arrive in College Park, Md., Sunday for a game against the Terrapins (8-6, 0-3). Tough assignments are the fate these days for Maryland, which yielded 35 points to Murray in an 80-75 loss at Iowa Monday, and 23 points and 18 rebounds to Cockburn in a 76-64 defeat at Illinois on Thursday. Consider that the Badgers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
|
01-09-22 |
Cincinnati v. Memphis -7.5 |
|
80-87 |
Loss |
-103 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Bearcats are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 12-37-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win. While the Tigers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
|
01-09-22 |
IUPU Ft Wayne -1 v. Robert Morris |
|
76-70 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Mastodons are a much better team than the Colonials. They have covered in each of their last four games and in six of their last seven conference games dating back to last season. On the other side, the Colonials are 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games. Kenpom ranks the Mastodons about 40 spots ahead of the Colonials. This spread is way too low. Take the Mastodons in this Horizon Conference matchup.
|
01-08-22 |
Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -29.5 |
|
83-117 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Fourth-ranked Gonzaga looks to defeat Pepperdine for the 42nd consecutive time when the two teams open West Coast Conference play on Saturday night at Spokane, Wash. The Waves have lost 23 consecutive times in Spokane as part of that dubious skid. Pepperdine's last road win in the series was a 65-64 triumph on Feb. 19, 1998, and its most recent victory anywhere against the Bulldogs was an 88-79 home win on Jan. 18, 2002. Gonzaga (11-2) is 45-2 against the Waves (6-9) during Mark Few's 23-year tenure as coach.
|
01-08-22 |
Washington State v. Utah -2.5 |
|
77-61 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Utes have lost three in a row. They blew a 14-point lead in the second half Thursday in a 74-68 loss to visiting Washington. Branden Carlson, Lazar Stefanovic and Gabe Madsen each scored 12 points for Utah and Marco Anthony and Rollie Worster tallied 10 apiece. Anthony grabbed a game-high 13 rebounds and led the Utes with four assists. It was just Utah's second loss in eight home games this season.
|
01-08-22 |
Tennessee v. LSU -1.5 |
|
67-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units LSU held on to beat Kentucky for its first SEC win. The Tigers bounced back from their first loss of the season in their SEC opener at Auburn six days earlier. LSU held the Wildcats to 10 points during the final 13 minutes of the game to overcome a nine-point deficit. Even with the frantic final two minutes, the Tigers finished the game with a 24-10 run. Consider that the Tigers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
|
01-08-22 |
Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech +1.5 |
|
72-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame is coming off a big win over North Carolina on Wednesday to make it four straight wins for the Irish as they improved to 2-1 in the ACC. Notre Dame now hits the road where it has struggled, going 1-2 with the two losses coming by blowouts against Boston College and Illinois and the lone win being a one-point win at Pittsburgh. Overall, the Irish are 6-0 at home but just 2-5 on the highway, getting outscored by close to nine ppg.
|
01-08-22 |
Iowa State +6.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
66-79 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units First, Iowa State had further to go, after going 2-22 last season, 0-18 in conference play, and a combined 14-42 over the last two seasons combined. The Cyclones lost all five of their top scorers from last year's team and returned three rotational players from last year's team, who averaged just 10.7 points per game combined. Iowa State won its first 12 games of the season by an average of 17 points per game, with just two decided by fewer than 10 points. The Cyclones are coming off a 51-47 win over Texas Tech on Wednesday that was their first conference win since late February 2020.
|
01-08-22 |
Syracuse +4.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
74-77 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Demon Deacons played without Daivien Williamson, the team's third-leading scorer (12.9), who missed a game for the first time this season Tuesday night and was believed to be in the health and safelty protocol. Carter Whitt filled in, though he didn't score. Of concern to Forbes were 22 turnovers, including eight by LaRavia. Consider that the Demon Deacons are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
|
01-08-22 |
Texas v. Oklahoma State +2.5 |
|
51-64 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Cowboys are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 Saturday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. While the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-08-22 |
VCU -7 v. La Salle |
|
85-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. While the Explorers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. In addition, the road team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
|
01-08-22 |
East Carolina v. Temple -4 |
|
75-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. While the Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. In addition the home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
|
01-08-22 |
Villanova -8.5 v. DePaul |
|
79-64 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Justin Moore continues to show why he's on the verge of becoming the next standout for No. 19 Villanova. With Collin Gillespie scoreless midway through the second half, Moore took over and carried the Wildcats past Creighton 75-41 on Wednesday. Moore finished with 22 points, though Gillespie, a Player of the Year candidate, did finish with 11. Moore will look to keep Villanova (10-4, 3-1 Big East) surging when it aims for a fourth straight win Saturday at DePaul. Consider that the Blue Demons are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
|
01-08-22 |
Connecticut +4.5 v. Seton Hall |
|
87-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units UConn (10-3, 1-1 Big East) is ready to return to action for the first time since beating Marquette 78-70 on Dec. 21. All players are expected to be available, although some could be on a minutes limit. The Pirates (10-3, 1-2) lost to both Providence and Villanova last week with only eight scholarship players available. But rim protector Ike Obiagu returned from COVID pause to help Seton Hall beat host Butler on Tuesday, and 6-10 forward Tyrese Samuel likely will be available to play against the Huskies. Consider that the Huskies are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
|
01-08-22 |
Dayton -8 v. George Washington |
|
83-58 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Flyers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While the Colonials are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
|
01-07-22 |
Southeastern Louisiana -126 v. McNeese State |
|
83-78 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. While the Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.
|
01-06-22 |
Montana v. Eastern Washington +3 |
|
90-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Grizzlies are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. While the Eagles are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as an underdog, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games following three or more consecutive road games, and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
|
01-06-22 |
Pacific v. BYU -17 |
|
51-73 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 34 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While the Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
|
01-06-22 |
UAB v. North Texas -125 |
|
69-63 |
Loss |
-125 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Mean Green are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.
|
01-06-22 |
Grand Canyon v. UT-Rio Grande Valley +8.5 |
|
84-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Antelopes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games following three or more consecutive home games. While the Vaqueros are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
|
01-06-22 |
Coastal Carolina v. Troy State -109 |
|
59-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Chanticleers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. While the Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
|
01-06-22 |
Ohio State +3.5 v. Indiana |
|
51-67 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State has won this season with offense, ranking fifth in the Big Ten in scoring (76.7 points per game), third in 3-point field goal percentage (39.7 percent) and second in field goal percentage (48.9 percent). Liddell ranks fourth in the Big Ten in scoring at 19.6 points per game, while Justin Aherns ranks ninth in the league in 3-pointers made at 2.4 per game. Indiana (10-3, 1-2) returns home after a disappointing 61-58 loss at Penn State. The Hoosiers went just 4 of 17 from 3-point range in the loss and were outrebounded 39-29. During one second half stretch, Penn State was able to grind nearly two minutes off the clock by grabbing four straight offensive rebounds. Consider that the Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
|
01-06-22 |
Binghamton v. Albany -4 |
|
88-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Unit Consider that the Bearcats are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. While the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-06-22 |
Radford v. USC Upstate +4.5 |
|
82-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Highlanders are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. While the Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
01-05-22 |
North Florida v. Florida Gulf Coast -10 |
|
67-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Ospreys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. While the Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. In addition, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
|
01-05-22 |
VMI v. East Tennessee State -1.5 |
|
79-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Wednesday games.
|
01-05-22 |
Nebraska v. Michigan State -15.5 |
|
67-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units No. 10 Michigan State will look to stretch its winning streak to eight games when it hosts Nebraska today. The Spartans' last victory wasn't easy. They were down 13 points to Northwestern on Sunday and the game was tied at 57 before they rattled off eight consecutive points. "We did not play our best basketball," coach Tom Izzo said. "It was not something that will go down in Michigan State lore as far as a game, that first half. But the second half I did think we competed more." Gabe Brown scored 15 of his 20 points after the break, including a clutch 3-pointer in the final minute. The 73-67 win allowed Michigan State (12-2, 3-0 Big Ten) to preserve its No. 10 ranking. Consider that the Cornhuskers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
|
01-04-22 |
North Alabama +7 v. Lipscomb |
|
74-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Lions are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. While the Bisons are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
|
01-04-22 |
Kentucky v. LSU -133 |
|
60-65 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Fifth-year LSU coach Will Wade is trying to rebuild the Tigers program to the heights it enjoyed during Brown's 25-year tenure, which included trips to the Final Four in 1981 and 1986. "We're made up of the right stuff," Wade said. "We're going to be really good this year. We're really good right now." Wade said the Tigers "just lost our way a little bit" in the loss to Auburn, falling behind 18-1 while missing their first 16 field-goal attempts. They played without starting shooting guard Brandon Murray, who was sidelined by a hamstring injury, and the team shot 28.6 percent (18-of-63) from the floor, making just six 3-pointers in 29 attempts. Consider that the Wildcats are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
|
01-04-22 |
Texas v. Kansas State +6.5 |
|
70-57 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units K-State (8-4, 0-1 Big 12) overcame a 15-point deficit and tied the game late against the Sooners, but fell 71-69. Mark Smith had career highs with 25 points, 16 rebounds and five assists. He became the first Wildcat with at least 25 points and 15 boards in a game since Michael Beasley in 2008. Consider that the Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. While the Wildcats are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
|
01-04-22 |
Army +2 v. Bucknell |
|
96-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games. In addition the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
01-04-22 |
Auburn -9.5 v. South Carolina |
|
81-66 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units No. 11 Auburn will travel to Columbia, S.C., to face the South Carolina Gamecocks on Tuesday night, when the surging Tigers will look for continued dominance by big man Walker Kessler. A transfer from North Carolina, Kessler has been swatting away shots at a record pace for Auburn (12-1, 1-0 SEC), which opened conference action Wednesday with a 70-55 home victory over No. 16 LSU. The dominating Kessler played an enormous role in the game. He crafted a triple-double, including a career-high 11 blocks, as Auburn held the visiting Tigers to 28.6 percent shooting from the field and 20.7 percent from long range. The Newnan, Ga., native led his team with 16 points and 10 rebounds as Auburn rolled to its ninth straight victory. Consider that the Tigers are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite.
|
01-03-22 |
UT-Rio Grande Valley +9.5 v. Sam Houston State |
|
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Vaqueros are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. While the Bearkats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
|
01-03-22 |
Florida A&M -2 v. Bethune-Cookman |
|
59-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This is a redemption game for Rattlers senior guard MJ Randolph, who averages 19.2 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists and should be the best player on the floor. In the most recent meeting in March 2020, also in Daytona Beach, Randolph missed a free throw with no time left in regulation and Florida A&M ended up losing in overtime. Florida A&M ranks 298th at Kenpom, 55 spots ahead of Bethune-Cookman. Lay the small number.
|
01-03-22 |
Towson -2.5 v. Drexel |
|
61-65 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Towson travels to Drexel as both teams start conference play in the Colonial. This line feels a bit small here for me and my model definitely agrees with this one- it's projecting a four point win for Towson. The Tigers are 11-2 ATS this season including 7-0 ATS on the road. Drexel also has not played since December 14th, so the Dragons may find themselves a bit rusty. Towson has won three straight meetings with Drexel and nine of the last ten since 2016. Take the small number now, pay attention to inactive reports and watch to see if Towson can continue their dominance over their conference foe.
|
01-02-22 |
Indiana v. Penn State +4.5 |
|
58-61 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Indiana had its scheduled game on Wednesday against UNC Asheville canceled due to COVID-19 issues within the Bulldogs' program. The Hoosiers, who have won three straight, haven't played since beating Northern Kentucky 79-61 on Dec. 22. Indiana is seeking its first road win of the season, having dropped games at Syracuse and at Wisconsin by a combined seven points in its first two matchups away from home. Consider that the Hoosiers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
01-02-22 |
Michigan State -2.5 v. Northwestern |
|
73-67 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The No. 10 Spartans and host Wildcats have exceeded expectations to this point of the season and will look for more when they meet Sunday afternoon at Evanston, Ill. Michigan State (11-2, 2-0) enters on a six-game winning streak, but head coach Tom Izzo doesn't want to hear any boastful talk after the Spartans struggled in an 81-68 win over High Point on Wednesday. Michigan State did play that game against High Point without four players and two starters: Max Christie and Marcus Bingham Jr. They also happen to be two of the Spartans' best defenders. Consider that the Wildcats are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
|
01-02-22 |
Illinois State v. Valparaiso -4.5 |
|
76-81 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Redbirds are 14-35-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. While the Beacons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite.
|
01-02-22 |
Dartmouth v. Cornell -4.5 |
|
71-79 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Big Green are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While the Big Red are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games following three or more consecutive road games, and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games.
|
01-02-22 |
Richmond v. St. Louis -2.5 |
|
69-76 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Billikens are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 Sunday games, 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 home games, and 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite.
|
01-01-22 |
Tulane v. Cincinnati -9.5 |
|
68-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 7-25 ATS in their last 32 road games following three or more consecutive home games. While the Bearcats are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. In addition the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
|
01-01-22 |
San Diego State v. UNLV +3.5 |
|
62-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. While the Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. In addition the home team is 6-2-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
01-01-22 |
Florida State -2 v. NC State |
|
83-81 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units A COVID-19 outbreak has kept Florida State sidelined for more than two weeks, while the Wolfpack has lost four games in a row. NC State (7-6, 0-2 ACC) is coming off a 91-83 loss at Miami on Wednesday night, when they let a second-half lead slip away. NC State led 73-68 with 7:06 remaining in the game but did not make another field goal until 1:35 remained. The Hurricanes put together a 17-2 run to seal the outcome. The late collapse squandered a 24-point effort by Jericole Hellems. The Wolfpack also got production from Dereon Seabron, who had 14 points, 11 rebounds and six assists. Terquavion Smith also had 14 points. Consider that the Wolfpack are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
|
01-01-22 |
Creighton v. Marquette -1.5 |
|
75-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Blue Jays are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
|
12-31-21 |
Niagara +2 v. Quinnipiac |
|
68-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Purple Eagles have been great ATS. They are 7-4 ATS including 6-2 ATS away from home. The Bobcats on the other end are 1-4 ATS at home. They are going to be without one of their best players, Savion Lewis, for the rest of the season. The Purple Eagles play at a very slow pace. The Bobcats have struggled in low scoring games. They are just 2-4 ATS in games that have had less than 145 points. This is the Bobcats first real test without Savion Lewis. The Purple Eagles defense will be able to hold the Bobcats enough to win this game straight up.
|
12-30-21 |
Idaho State v. Montana -10.5 |
|
54-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Idaho State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. While Montana is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
|
12-30-21 |
Tenn-Martin v. Austin Peay -5.5 |
|
65-62 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Tennessee Martin is 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games following a straight up loss, 16-36 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 15-36 ATS in their last 51 games as a road underdog. While Austin Peay is 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. In addition the Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
12-30-21 |
Alabama A&M v. Lipscomb -8.5 |
|
63-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Alabama A&M is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.
|
12-29-21 |
Western Illinois v. Iowa -18 |
|
71-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Iowa gets a third tune-up Wednesday night, hosting Western Illinois in Iowa City before the Hawkeyes return to Big Ten play next week. The Hawkeyes (9-3, 0-2 Big Ten) have handled nine of 10 nonconference foes this season, but couldn't hang with then-No. 17 Iowa State and lost both of their Big Ten contests earlier this month. They haven't played since leading by as many as 37 points in a 93-62 win over visiting Southeast Louisiana on Dec. 21. Iowa is 76-5 in nonconference home games dating to 2012.
|
12-29-21 |
Nevada v. Kansas -17.5 |
|
61-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Kansas hopes to keep riding the flashy contributions provided thus far by Ochai Agbaji and Christian Braun. Agbaji explored early entry into the NBA draft before opting to return, while Braun has retooled his game to become a more complete player. Agbaji has ranked among the nation's top scorers all season; he is putting up 22 points per contest. Braun, meanwhile, does a little bit of everything, averaging 16.8 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is shooting 62.6 percent from the floor, largely because of improved capacity to score off drives and fast breaks. Consider that Kansas is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
|
12-28-21 |
Fresno State v. Boise State -4.5 |
|
55-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Boise State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While Fresno State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
|
12-28-21 |
Lehigh v. Maryland -21.5 |
|
55-76 |
Loss |
-107 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Lehigh (1-9) enters Tuesday's game on a five-game losing streak, having most recently lost to Albany 68-52 on Dec. 21. The Mountain Hawks are 0-2 against Power Five opponents this season. Consider that the Mountain Hawks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss and 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.
|
12-22-21 |
San Diego +9 v. UNLV |
|
57-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This line is too big for UNLV to cover. They're hard to trust after failing to cover against Omaha and my model makes this a 6 point game. The San Diego Toreros should be able to keep this within double digits. They just covered against NAU on the road, which is a hard task, and are looking to build some momentum. Grab the value in the points here.
|
12-22-21 |
Arizona +2.5 v. Tennessee |
|
73-77 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats are one of the last undefeated teams in the country. They average the most points in Division I at 91 PPG on 49.7 percent from the field, top ten in the nation. The Wildcats also have a dominant defense only allowing 62.8 PPG on 36.1 percent from the field, 5th lowest in the country. The Volunteers are a very good opponent. They are ranked 19th in the country but they have shown that they will struggle against good teams. They only scored 44 points in regulation against Texas Tech and just 53 points against Villanova. The Wildcats offense is too good to be held to such a low number. Their defense is going to slow down the Volunteers as they win this game.
|
12-22-21 |
St. Thomas +3 v. Denver |
|
74-75 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Tommies are the better team in this matchup. They are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.7 threes per game on 40.3 percent from downtown. The Pioneers defense is really bad. Kenpom ranks their defense at 315th in the country. They have been struggling recently. They are just 1-7 SU in their last eight games. The Pioneers should be struggling again in this game. The Tommies offense should lead them to a win over the struggling Pioneers.
|
12-22-21 |
Idaho State v. UC-Santa Barbara -13.5 |
|
43-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I'm a bit surprised that this has moved in favor of Idaho State, a team that has yet to cover the spread in any of its eight games. I'll gladly take the extra value as it moves the game into playable range for the model. I make this one a 16.5 point win for UC Santa Barbara and theres a good chance that Idaho State can lose by 20+ any time they step on the court. I'd take this play even if the model didn't like it, but getting the line movement makes it a must for me. Fade the Bengals until they prove that they can cover a spread.
|
12-22-21 |
Campbell -4 v. NC-Wilmington |
|
58-65 |
Loss |
-116 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units These schools are less than a two hours drive away from one another and this should be a good game between rivals. My model has the line a bit too small for Campbell. I am making this a six point spread so grabbing this -3 line at Caesars is good value. Wilmington is 2-6 ATS and probably best described by beating a bad Delaware State squad by just 4 points. Take the stronger Campbell team to cover.
|
12-22-21 |
Hartford v. Sacred Heart -4 |
|
78-71 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Had a rare losing day in NCAA hoops on Tuesday but also my picks were affected by unexpected absences. COVID is very much a factor in this sport, too. What the heck are you gonna do? This is the first game of Wednesday and Hartford has just one victory. The Hawks allow 76.2 points per game, which is important because Sacred Heart has yet to win a game this year when scoring under 70. The Pioneers have taken the past two in this series. Hartford is 1-5 ATS in its past six as a dog. Sacred Heart is 8-2 ATS in its past 10 as a favorite. This spread has started to rise at some books so let's lock it in.
|
12-21-21 |
Nicholls State +6.5 v. Oregon State |
|
61-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Fading the Beavers here. They have lost 10 straight games only covering the spread in one of them. They are one of, if not, the worst teams in a Power Five conference. The Colonels have been playing really well this season. They will have the best player on the court in this game, Ty Gordon. Gordon has scored at least 22 points in each of his last five games. He should dominate again today and lead the Colonels to an easy cover.
|
12-21-21 |
Santa Clara v. San Jose State +6.5 |
|
79-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Spartans have been playing great basketball. They are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games. They have also been great at home as they are 5-0 SU and ATS in their home stadium. The Broncos have been struggling recently. They are 4-5 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games. They are also significantly worse on the road. In the Broncos four games away from home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS. The Spartans will be able to slow down the Broncos and cover this spread.
|
12-21-21 |
Xavier +7 v. Villanova |
|
58-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I love this Xavier team. The Musketeers have talent from top to bottom. They are 9-2 ATS including 3-0 ATS as an underdog. This is a really big game for their Big East regular season championship hopes. The Wildcats have been struggling against good teams. They are 1-4 SU and ATS against teams that Kenpom ranks in the top 50. Kenpom ranks the Musketeers at 23rd. The Musketeers are going to give the Wildcats a tough time. This is going to be a fun game to watch. The Musketeers will play good enough to cover this spread.
|
12-21-21 |
Morehead State v. IUPU-Indianapolis UNDER 119.5 |
|
80-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Jaguars are the perfect under team. Kenpom makes them the worst offense in all of Division I. They also play at one of the slowest paces in the country. This has allowed the under to cash in all nine of their games against Division I opponents. The Eagles also play at a very slow pace. Their offense is not good either. They are only averaging 64.9 PPG against Division I teams. This game is going to be played at a criminally slow pace and stay under this low total.
|
12-21-21 |
Manhattan v. The Citadel -2 |
|
77-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The SportsLine Projection Model and a few others believe The Citadel should be favored quite a bit more than one point. Both teams played Monday in this holiday-type event at The Citadel with Manhattan winning and the host school losing. The Bulldogs' Hayden Brown was selected as the Southern Conference Preseason Player of the Year in a vote by the league’s head coaches and he has played like it, averaging 20.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. The Jaspers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. The Bulldogs have covered six straight following an ATS loss.
|
12-20-21 |
Western Illinois v. Denver +8.5 |
|
84-80 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This spread seems about 3-4 points too high as the teams open Summit League play. The Pioneers are one of the better defensive clubs in the league so should be able to hang around in their own gym. Grad transfer K.J. Hunt is the only Summit League player that currently leads his team in scoring (15.8 ppg), rebounding (4.5 rpg), assists (3.6 apg) and steals (1.2 spg). Denver is 8-1 ATS in its past nine as a home dog.
|
12-20-21 |
St. Thomas -2.5 v. Nebraska-Omaha |
|
80-73 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Tommies have been impressive in their first Division I season. They are really good offensively. The Tommies are the best three point shooting team in the country. They make an average of 13.6 threes per game on 40 percent from downtown. The Mavericks are terrible. They are 0-10 against Division I teams losing by an average of 20.8 PPG. This spread is way too low. The Tommies should dominate this game and easily cover this small spread.
|
12-20-21 |
Eastern Michigan +8 v. Valparaiso |
|
55-67 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Eagles have been over performing this season. They are 7-3 ATS this season. Their fast pace is something that some teams struggle with. I expect for Valparaiso to be one of those teams. The Eagles won’t allow them to get set defensively as they get out in transition often. The Beacons are a bad home team. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in their three home games against Division I teams. This spread is too big to stay off. The Eagles should be able to do enough to cover this spread.
|
12-19-21 |
Fairfield +5.5 v. Massachusetts |
|
73-77 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Stags have been impressive so far this season. They are 9-1 ATS including 7-0 ATS on the road. The Minutemen have a terrible defense. Kenpom ranks them as 318th best defense in the nation. They are allowing 78.5 PPG on 48.5 percent from the field against low tier offenses. The Stags are the better team. They should be favored. I expect the Stags to have an easy time offensively and cover the spread (and maybe win straight up).
|
12-18-21 |
Baylor -6.5 v. Oregon |
|
78-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bears are the number one team in the country and for good reason. They are running through their opponents as they have an average margin of victory of 26.8 PPG. The Bears are 7-2 ATS so far this season. On the other side, the Ducks haven’t been good this season. They were ranked 13th coming into this season but they are just 6-5 SU and 3-8 ATS. In their one game as an underdog (5 points), they lost by 29 to Houston. Their road doesn’t get any easier today. They’re outmatched in this battle. Take the Bears to win big.
|
12-18-21 |
Utah State v. Iowa OVER 151.5 |
|
75-94 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units These are two of the best offenses in the country. Kenpom ranks the Hawkeyes as the 4th best offense and the Aggies as the 46th best offense. This has allowed the over to cash at high rates for both of these teams. Six of the Hawkeyes seven home games and all six of the Aggies games away from home have gone over the total. This game is going to be played at an extremely fast pace and go over this total.
|
12-18-21 |
Marquette v. Xavier -9.5 |
|
71-80 |
Loss |
-109 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I was surprised to see this line so low. My model makes this line 14.5, and thats with some rather conservative estimation. There's a legitimate chance that this finishes closer to 20 than it does to 10. The distribution of expected results is heavily on the side of a Xavier cover. Trust the model and take the home favorite to get it done.
|
12-18-21 |
Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois -19 |
|
54-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I love betting on Western Illinois almost as much as I love betting against Eastern Illinois. My model has a huge edge, indicating that this should be a 24 point win for the Leathernecks. I even saw Erik Haslam's model has this at 40 points. I think that must be a bug in his system, but there's a non-zero chance it's a real projection. EIU is that bad. They lost to Missouri by 28 and I think Western Illinois is a better team. Lay the points.
|
12-18-21 |
CS Bakersfield +14 v. Colorado |
|
46-60 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 25 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units I'm returning about three points of value on this game for Bakersfield. My model is indicating that Colorado should only be favored by ten points rather than thirteen. The Buffaloes are 1-8-1 ATS at home this season and have looked disappointing. Colorado is 8-3 SU but have only once beaten a team by more than 13 and that was against lowly Maine. Cal State Bakersfield should keep this close enough to cover, take the points.
|
12-17-21 |
St. Mary's -144 v. San Diego State |
|
53-63 |
Loss |
-144 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Easily the game of the night and it's important to note that San Diego State isn't the home team or I wouldn't take the Gaels -- it's a neutral site in Phoenix. I consider these teams about even, although KenPom has Saint Mary's eight spots higher. The difference for me is SDSU is again without sophomore guard Lamont Butler for the third consecutive game. Solid all-around player as in about 24 minutes per game, he averages 9.7 points (47.1 percent from deep), 2.1 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game.
|
12-17-21 |
St. Mary's v. San Diego State UNDER 118.5 |
|
53-63 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams have been cashing the under consistently. The under has cashed in all five of the Gaels games away from home and the under has cashed in four of the Aztecs five home games this season. These teams have elite defenses. Kenpom ranks the Gaels as the 8th best defense and the Aztecs as the 11th best defense. Additionally, both of these teams play with no urgency. This will be a defensive battle from the tip. Take the under.
|
12-17-21 |
Cal Poly +15 v. Fresno State |
|
48-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units This spread is too high for this total. The Mustangs have covered each of their last four games. These teams play at such a slow pace that covering this spread sounds near impossible. The Bulldogs offense has been struggling. The Mustangs will be able to keep this game close enough to cover this spread.
|
12-17-21 |
North Dakota State v. Pacific |
|
73-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units Frankly, I think Pacific should be about a four-point favorite. The SportsLine Projection Model has the Tigers winning by 11. That seems a bit off. It's the first-ever meeting between these schools. Pacific has been great defensively, holding opponents to just 41.9 percent from the field. North Dakota State is 1-4 in true road games. The Bison have used five different starting lineups already. They are 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven.
|
12-17-21 |
South Alabama v. Tarleton St |
|
52-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units These teams just played on Tuesday where the Jaguars won by seven points. The Texans are terrible offensively. Kenpom ranks them as the 280th best offense. They average just 61.6 PPG on 40.5 percent shooting. They are also one of the worst three point shooting teams in the country. They rank 354th in three point percentage and 346th in three’s made per game. The Jaguars will be able to score too many points for the Texans to keep up with. Lay the points.
|
12-17-21 |
St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech -2.5 |
|
49-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
Rating: 2 Units The Bonnies have been struggling with the absence of their best player, Kyle Lofton. Lofton is a big loss for the Bonnies as he was playing 39 minutes per game. The Bonnies are 0-5 ATS in their last five games with Lofton missing their last three. Now they have to face the Hokies who have been playing really well this season. They are 7-4 SU and ATS this season including 5-1 SU and ATS at home. Kenpom ranks the Hokies 31st in Division I. The Hokies will take advantage of the Bonnies struggles and cover this small spread.
|
12-16-21 |
NC-Greensboro v. Maryland-Baltimore County -2 |
|
62-51 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
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Rating: 2 Units Definitely don't love the board today -- but this number has come down enough where we will roll with the Retrievers at home. They enter on a three-game skid but all away and against better teams than UNC Greensboro, which is 5-0 at home but 1-2 on the road and in neutral site games. The Retrievers are the top scoring team in the America East at 78.2 ppg and also lead in three-point field goals made (93), free-throw percentage (80.3) and assists per game (13.5). It's a veteran team with four seniors and a junior starting. The Retrievers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven as favorites.
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12-15-21 |
New Mexico State +8.5 v. Washington State |
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64-61 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 17 m |
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Rating: 2 Units This spread is too high. I make these teams about even with the absence of Cougars center Dishon Jackson who is out with a thumb injury. The Aggies have won each of their last three games, all of which were on the road. The Cougars are coming off of a straight up loss in a home game where they were favored by six. They should struggle again in this game. The Aggies will be able to keep this game close enough to cover the spread.
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12-15-21 |
Morehead State v. Xavier -15.5 |
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63-86 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 43 m |
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Rating: 2 Units I am very high on this Xavier team. The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. The Eagles are not a good team. They are just 1-4 ATS in their five games as an underdog including 0-3 ATS as a double digit underdog. The Musketeers are a much better team. They have beaten up on bad teams and will again in this game. Lay the points.
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12-15-21 |
Bellarmine v. South Dakota -1 |
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64-78 |
Win
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100 |
11 h 10 m |
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Rating: 2 Units South Dakota is 6-0 at home this season and 59-9 all-time at its fairly new Coyote Sports Center. After sitting out last season in the pandemic, Aussie Hunter Goodrick has come back strong for the Coyotes and is averaging 7.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. All six of Bellarmine's losses are against good-to-great competition (Purdue, UCLA, Gonzaga to name three) but all of its wins are against garbage. Only two of Bellarmine’s 11 games have had single-digit scoring margins.
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12-15-21 |
UCF v. Temple OVER 135.5 |
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65-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
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Rating: 2 Units I'll take this moderate total to go over in an interesting matchup between UCF and Temple. Central Florida seems to focus more on offensive production and runs up the score in road games. They're 3-0 on the over when away from home and each time the total has safely cashed by at least 10 points. Temple should help by getting to the free throw line and adding points with the clock stopped while staying competitive at home. The over is the play here.
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