Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-06-21 | Belmont -16.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 94-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Schedule-overload seventh game in 12 days for Edwardsville, a perpetual Ohio Valley also ran with no college hoops class and very little depth. To be playing it against Belmont – perennial challenger for the OVC title and multi-NCAA Tournament performer – seems like the worst possible draw for their situation. To be playing it against Belmont when Belmont is 19-1, 13-0 in conference) with a +17.8 scoring differential in OVC play, and the Bruins don’t play again until Thursday, would seem to increase the blowout potential. The score when they met at Belmont on Jan. 23 was 114-62, so if Belmont wins by half as much this time, it’s still 26 points. |
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02-06-21 | Alabama v. Missouri +3 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day ‘Tell me how will you score the upset that isn’t really an upset? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ Alabama has had an early “peak.” We were on them early, had Mississippi State against them recently when all MSU did was muck up the game, forcing Alabama play slow and ugly. At Oklahoma a week ago, it was basically the same thing. Missouri’s band has been together as long as anyone in the SEC and Cuonzo’s preferred game was always slow and ugly until this group finally got some cohesion and could play more up-and-down this season. Now, the Tigers are versatile but not to the point where they’ll try to trade threes in a fast-paced game, and they’ll run the Tide off the three-point line as often as possible. Consider that Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. |
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02-05-21 | Boise State v. Nevada +4.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There’s no place like Lawlor (Center), it seems, for Nevada, which can’t seem to win a game away from Reno these days but has been very tough to beat in Reno. To wit: the home team has won eight straight games involving the Wolf Pack. And, the good news for Steve Alford’s crew is that it is at home tonight, as Nevada was within the last week when twice taking out downstate UNLV by double-digit margins. Alford has been getting some big production in recent weeks from Wichita State transfer G Grant Sherfield (18.3 ppg), who has scored 20 or more in seven of the last ten games. |
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02-05-21 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State -6.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Summit League Play of the Day The visitor is 8-0 atop the Summit League, and also beat South Dakota State in a hastily scheduled, neutral site, third-game-in-three-nights situation for both sides back on Dec. 12, a game which did not count in the conference standings. Here we are in February for a re-match. South Dakota’s 8-0 was accomplished vs. the bottom four teams in the conference (who are 4-24 combined). The home side watched South Dakota’s Stanley Umide go for 41 points in the game that didn’t really count for much, and is thinking, ‘You only got 11 and 15 points against us last year.” SDS’ second-leading scorer, senior forward Douglas Wilson didn’t play in that game. Consider that South Dakota State is 29-9-1 ATS in their last 39 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-05-21 | Lipscomb v. Stetson UNDER 138 | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Total of the Day Notes to consider... This one gets re-scheduled for tonight after last Friday’s postponement, which caused some now-familiar re-shuffling of the A-Sun schedule last weekend. The Mad Hatters instead got FGCU and eventually broke a 4-game skid when beating the Eagles on Saturday, which also snapped a 5-game Stetson “under” streak. Prior to that 77-66 win, Stetson was only scoring 63 ppg in its previous six league games, as HC Donnie Jones has a tight rein on his troops, who often rely upon soph G Rob Perry (such as the win over FGCU, when he scored 30). Lipscomb not especially dynamic, either, scoring just 66 ppg its last six A-Sun games |
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02-05-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Cal-Irvine -6 | Top | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big West Play of the Day The Fabulous Bakersfield Boys have won four Big West road games and in a fifth, lost in overtime. They’ve also won at Pepperdine by 17 points, a team that beat Cal-Irvine by 15 points. Oh, if it was only that easy, right? The host Anteaters are the Big West’s top dog, never primed to play their best early in the season but usually ready to jump from the starting blocks when the conference light goes on. They’ve been forewarned about the uppityness of this visitor, and just had a seven-game winning streak snapped in overtime at Hawaii over the weekend. At 5-1 in conference to Bakersfield’s 7-3, the Anteaters need to make sure that when the visitor leaves here after tomorrow night, it will make the trip northward still with more losses than Irvine. Consider that Irvine is 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 home games. |
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02-05-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay -5.5 | 80-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home side is off back-to-back road losses at Horizon League leader Cleveland State. The visitor is last in the Horizon League in both offensive and defensive field goal percentage (40.5% shooting, 50.2% shooting allowed). IUPUI is also last in the conference in rebounding margin (-4.8 per game). So, if they miss more than everyone else, and everyone else makes more against them, and they can’t grab enough boards, then this would seem to be a good spot for Green Bay to get back on the winning track, eh? |
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02-04-21 | Montana -1 v. Portland State | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Through six Big Sky games, Portland State has the conference’s worst field goal percentage: 37.6%. That’s one of the nation’s worst, too. A habitually strong defensive squad like Montana doesn’t figure to allow them to suddenly start making shots more frequently. PSU’s Assist/Turnover ratio is -4.5. |
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02-04-21 | Arizona -1.5 v. Utah | 58-73 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes suddenly look like a dangerous spoiler in Pac-12 play, continuing their steady improvement and serving notice that they’re not a team you want to underestimate in February by posting a 77-74 upset at Colorado. Arizona has won four of five and has overcome injury-related attrition thanks to the backcourt of transfers James Akinjo (Georgetown) and Terrell Brown (Seattle) in addition to the impressive development of freshmen Bennedict Mathurin and Azuolas Tubelis. Consider that Utah is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State +6 v. Iowa | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams played only once last season. Iowa prevailed at home 85-76 last Feb. 20, surging ahead to a double-digit halftime edge before holding on. The Wesson brothers were the driving force behind last season’s team while this year’s key cogs, forward E.J. Liddell, guard Duane Washington, Jr. and shooter Justin Ahrens all came off the bench. Luka Garza led Iowa with 24 points on 9-for-15 shooting and will likely draw matchups with Kyle Young and Liddell, who will look to find a way to keep Garza from finding a rhythm. Even at home, this should be the toughest test the Hawkeyes have received since its 80-75 loss to Illinois to close out February. The Buckeyes should be a live ‘dog and could win outright. |
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02-04-21 | Murray State v. Morehead State +3 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day Heady times for the host Eagles, 10-2 in second place in the OVC, nine straight wins The play of 6’10," 235 freshman Johni Broome has helped them along and he didn’t even play when the Eagles beat these Racers 61-56 on the road last month. It was the only game Broome has missed this season and his teammates shot only 2-for-14 on three-pointers but still came out on top. That’s how good the overall team defense has been. They’ve covered seven in a row and are 13-4 ATS to Murray State’s 5-8-1 ATS. |
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02-03-21 | Virginia -6.5 v. NC State | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wolfpack want to run whenever possible while the ‘Hoos want to slow the game down, so that tug of war should help decide this one. Without Daniels, I don’t see N.C. State having enough firepower to overcome a focused Cavaliers team coming off a loss. Consider that Virginia is 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a road favorite and 30-13-1 ATS in their last 44 road games. |
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02-03-21 | Tulane v. Wichita State -11 | 67-75 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wichita State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. While Tulane is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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02-03-21 | Virginia Tech -3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 72-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pitt is coming off Saturday’s lopsided home loss to Notre Dame and is due a bounce-back effort tonight. But unless playing that contrarian angle, hard to construct a persuasive case for the Panthers, still awaiting a real breakthrough for 3rd-year HC Jeff Capel. That seems to be happening at VPI, as Mike Young’s Hokies have moved all of the way up to a No. 16 ranking in the polls after a couple of big efforts last week that included a rousing 65-51 whip of Commonwealth rival Virginia on Saturday. That not only made Cav alums like Brit Hume cringe but also marked a fifth win in six games for Young’s surging side, which has really clamped down on the stop-end in the recent surge, allowing only 58 points per game across those last five wins. |
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02-02-21 | Mississippi State +8 v. Arkansas | 45-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This visitor has won five straight over tonight’s home favorite, including two games last season. Ben Howland to Eric Musselman, who’s headed Arkansas only for the two most recent defeats against the Bulldogs: ‘I own your program.’ Because they are able to protect the rim, rebound better and contain the tempo |
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02-02-21 | Penn State +9 v. Wisconsin | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Badgers haven’t stopped playing their pack line defense and getting back religiously. They’re still running offense methodically, playing at the slowest pace in the Big Ten. However, concerns over the effectiveness of their defense in 2021 have taken center stage since they just lost 81-71 on Saturday against the same Nittany Lions team they’ll welcome into the Kohl Center on Tuesday night. Although a double-OT win over Indiana skews the following slightly, Wisconsin has surrendered over 70 points in six of its last 10 dating back to a Christmas Day win over Michigan State. It had surrendered no more than 67 over its first eight contests. Teams have figured out that you can push against the Badgers, and Penn State is going to come into Madison quite confident after scoring 50 second-half points in upsetting Wisconsin to close out January |
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02-02-21 | Purdue v. Maryland -142 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 41-28 halftime deficit at Purdue did not deter the Terps from making a comeback try that covered the spread in a 73-70 road loss. They displayed good ball security throughout that game, took more free throws than the home side, two areas that should help them make the not-large margin they’d need to be successful home chalk in the revenge match-up. |
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02-02-21 | Butler v. Marquette -2.5 | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After losing at home to St. John’s on Sunday afternoon, Marquette has matched a season-long three-game losing streak but it does have a win at Creighton and a home win over Wisconsin on its resume, not to mention enough talent to go on a run if everything gels together. The schedule is friendly too, featuring a visit to Seton Hall as the toughest road game and no more matchups with Big East-leading Villanova. Butler comes off a 68-55 home loss to Xavier and is 3-6 over its last nine, scoring 60 or fewer points in each of its setbacks. The Bulldogs shot 5-for-25 from 3-point range at Hinkle Fieldhouse in a blowout loss to the Muskies over the weekend and leading scorers Aaron Thompson and Jair Bolden shot a combined 15-for-45 (33 percent) in last week’s losses, combining for just 33 points over a two-game span. |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Despite playing without leading scorer Austin Reaves and starting guard Alondes Williams because of virus protocols, the Sooners took care of red-hot Alabama at home. But you knew that Alabama would have problems vs. Oklahoma (because it said so, in our paper!). The Red Raiders don’t mind Sooner style and as a familiar Big 12 foe, they’ll know what to do if Reaves and Williams are out again for the visitor. One player out of the three who came off the Sooners’ bench scored points vs. Alabama. The home team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings |
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02-01-21 | Valparaiso v. Evansville -2 | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Valparaiso is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. While Evansville is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, and 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. |
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02-01-21 | CS Sacramento +9 v. Eastern Washington | 79-94 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sacramento State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. While Eastern Washington is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. In addition, underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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02-01-21 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville -4.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two Georgia Tech starters – Jose Alvarado and Michael Devoe – played all 40 minutes in the home win vs. Florida State on Saturday. Forward Moses Wright played 38 minutes. That much floor time against a deep Seminoles rotation, and coming out with a win, will have probably taken something out of them for this trip, for which Louisville is rested and off a loss, no game since Wednesday. |
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01-31-21 | UNLV v. Nevada OVER 142 | Top | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day The over is 16-3 in Rebels last 19 Sunday games, 9-4 in Rebels last 13 games following a ATS loss, and 37-18 in Rebels last 55 games following a straight up loss. While the Over is 16-5 in Wolf Pack last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 16-6 in Wolf Pack last 22 games as a favorite, and 15-7-1 in Wolf Pack last 23 overall |
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01-31-21 | Valparaiso -1.5 v. Evansville | 52-70 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First game off a pause for Evansville, not the kind of team you’d expect to come out dishing and swishing efficiently off lack of practice time and no games. Consider that Valparaiso is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. |
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01-31-21 | Bradley v. Indiana State | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit MVC Play of the Day The Braves of Bradley enter off four straight losses. The Sycamores of Indiana State have won four straight. ‘Oh! Ohhh! It’s two teams headed in opposite directions!’ Ah, not so fast, my friend. Indiana State head coach Greg Lansing gives us the scout: “They’re going to be like a rabid dog in a cage and will be healthy as they weren’t in some of these losses. They’re two-time defending [MVC Tournament] champions for a reason. Elijah Childs is a handful, you can’t guard him with one guy and they’re one of the best defensive teams in the league, mostly man, but some zone. We’re going to have to play our best game of the year.” This, immediately after he suspended senior guard Tobias Howard (20.5 minutes per game) the other day. Therefore, we’ll figure it’s actually two teams about to be headed in directions opposite of their most recent. Consider that Indiana State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. |
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01-31-21 | Drexel +2.5 v. James Madison | 64-73 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drexel is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. While James Madison is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-31-21 | Tulane v. Temple -7 | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oh, the Owls are not gonna lose the first home game they play since the death of the program’s long-time head coach John Chaney the other day. No way, Jose. Head coach Aaron McKie played for Chaney. The fact that Tulane is the opponent, and that Tulane has problems putting the ball in the basket, almost guarantees the straight-up victory against a Green Wave team that got on a plane after missing 24 of their first 26 shots at home vs. Houston |
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01-30-21 | Virginia -5 v. Virginia Tech | 51-65 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who hesitated with Va. Tech vs. Notre Dame when it was announced that Va. Tech would be missing a starter? Don’t do that! At least, not when they’re playing a nobody like Notre Dame. Against highly ranked Virginia, you can worry about how the Hokies can generate enough offense against good defense. This could get ugly for Virginia Tech considering how well UVa is playing, arriving in town having won seven straight contests. Six of those victories have come by nine or more points. |
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01-30-21 | Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -9.5 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Mismatch of the Day The Governors of AP have three games under their belt since a pause ended. They’re just 1-2 in those games but got a few players back on the floor in the third Thursday night, in which they were a tad unlucky when Belmont – now 11-0 in the OVC – shot 62.7% for the game against them to beat ’em by 5 points. Off two straight home losses and looking at four straight on the road after this, ya’ think maybe they can carry over the effort against the conference’s best team (against whom they put four players in double figures) and bury the last-place team they’ve already beaten on the road by 11 points? Consider that Austin Peay is 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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01-30-21 | Central Michigan v. Kent State -13 | Top | 76-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit MAC Game of the Week The Golden Flashes of Kent State are one of three MAC teams averaging greater than 80 points per game in league play. The Chippewas of CMU are not one of the three. But they are one of two teams giving up greater than 80 points per game in league play. Two-and-a-half weeks ago, Kent State scored 94 vs. CMU on the road despite a pair of foul-outs by starting forwards Tervell Beck and Justin Hamilton, who were limited to less than they average minutes. CMU allegedly couldn’t put enough guys in uniform to go to Buffalo on Wednesday. This game may or may not be played but the match-up favors the home side when CMU is at full strength, so… |
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01-30-21 | Utah v. Colorado -8.5 | 77-74 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In Salt Lake City earlier this month, Utah led 37-27 at halftime. They came out of the locker room to watch the Buffs go 15-0 until Utah made its first field goal with 14:11 remaining. “This is a big, physical team,” Utah head coach Larry Krystowiak said afterwards. “They pounded us. We missed block outs.” They’d lost 91-52 here last year, after which he’d said, “It’s a veteran team that’s physical and we got exposed on the level of physicality.” In other words, nothing changed. |
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01-30-21 | Morehead State v. Tennessee Tech +6.5 | 74-55 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Many folks will crave Morehead because the Eagles are 12-4 ATS, have won eight straight outright, covered the last six in a row and are the top defensive squad in the Ohio Valley. But be careful. Laying as much as they are on the road is uncharted waters for this program, which beat Tennessee Tech by only 57-54 at home three weeks ago and lost by 12 points on this floor last season. Tech returns home off 3- and 9-point losses at Austin Peay and Murray State, programs whose class has been extended through the conference for a much longer duration than semi-upstart Morehead’s. They’ve been home all week awaiting this, while Morehead made a 9-hour trek to get here after Thursday night’s game in Jacksonville, FL, where they shot 59% in the second half. |
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01-30-21 | William & Mary v. Towson -4.5 | Top | 84-74 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 39 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CAA Play of the Day Seventh game off a long pause, 2-4 and off three straight road losses, Towson returns home determined for a much better beginning than the 43-25 deficit they faced at halftime at James Madison on Wednesday night. It was actually the second bad deficit vs. JMU they’ve had at the half, and JMU happens to be leading the CAA in scoring, and in three-point FG% (42.3%). The visiting Tribe hasn’t topped 67 points in any of its last four games, didn’t win any of the four before them scoring between 40 and 73 points. They’re shooting 38.9% overall in CAA play, just 27.1% on three pointers. A far cry from last year’s 46.8% and 33.4% numbers. |
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01-29-21 | Robert Morris v. Wright State -14 | Top | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAB Game of the Week The home side averages 81.7 points per game. RMU’s leading scorer, 6’7”, 210 AJ Bramah, averages 21.5 points per game without making a three-pointer all season. (Nobody else averages more than 9.3.) Wright’s sticky-fingered zone would figure to deny Bramah the ball inside and even if he gets it in there, he’d still be up against a wide body in the home side’s 6’8”, 260 Loudon Love, no slouch on the offensive end himself with a 14.6 points per game average (and 10.3 rebounds). Tanner Holden leads Wright State with 16.9 points per game and four others are averaging 8.7 to 13.7 points per game behind Love, two of them grabbing 6.9 and 6.3 boards per game and Holden, a 6’6” guard, getting 7.7 boards per game. Too much all around for the home side, it would seem. Consider that Wright State is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. |
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01-29-21 | Monmouth v. Niagara +4.5 | 77-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The traveling Hawks of Monmouth are 7-3, third in the MAAC, and looking at eight straight road games to close their regular season, four back-to-backs. Yo-ho. It all starts with their longest possible trip, to the NY-Canadian border where they lost 77-72 last season shooting 6-for-29 on threes and 55.6% at the foul line. Long bus ride, from south central Jersey, eh? The home underdog is 3-1 SU in their wayward outpost. |
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01-28-21 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -6.5 | 62-64 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Mexico’s only wins have been against Rice, Our Lady of the Lake, Le Tourneau, Dixie State and San Jose State. Egads! In true MWC road games (their home games have been all over the place, not in The Pit), they are scoring a mere .84 points per possession. One of their problems – and there have been many – is handling opposing bigs. So, it could be a good night to be Fresno State’s 7’, 235 Orlando Robinson (17.5 ppg, 9.1 reb). |
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01-28-21 | Michigan State +3 v. Rutgers | 37-67 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Izzo wouldn’t have picked this game to come back from a pause if he didn’t think he had some kind of advantage. He’d have found a way to say, ‘Er, no, we can’t play again, yet, because, uhh, we’re not ready. Yes, that’s it.’ Rutgers has never beaten Michigan State since coming into the Big Ten. Earlier this month, Rutgers took points at Michigan St. and lost by considerably more than the spot. They are favored vs. Michigan St. despite never having beaten them. |
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01-27-21 | St. John's v. DePaul | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. Johns is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. While Depaul is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. |
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01-27-21 | Ole Miss v. Arkansas -4.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day With five kids averaging double figures and a 7’3” player like Connor Vanover who can step out, take and make three pointers, Arkansas has the potential to turn Kermit Davis’ Ole Miss defenders into Kermit the Frogs. Ole Miss enters off a pair of low-scoring wins (64-46, 61-50) against Mississippi State and Texas A&M, a pair of suspect-shooting grinders who can’t really spread the floor on offense. |
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01-27-21 | Virginia Tech v. Notre Dame | Top | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day If Virginia Tech would like to remain ranked in the Top 25, then they’ll come out and forget about the 18-point loss at Syracuse in which Syracuse got 64 points of 78 in the lane or at the free-throw line. “We wanted to drive in on their center and make him play defense on Marek [Dolezaj],” Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said. “When we got a mismatch, we got Quincy down in low. That’s what we wanted to do there.”And, they did. Which Notre Dame won’t. The Irish stay out on the perimeter and run their little ball screen for guards like Cormac Ryan, who make 1-for-5 on their threes and don’t rebound anywhere near enough of their misses. Consider that Virginia Tech is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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01-26-21 | Missouri +3 v. Auburn | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day Tell me can you win yet another ***BEST BET so fine? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ While it may be asking a lot of the Mr. Martin’s Tigers to beat Tennessee-Auburn within four days on the SEC road, they have a team laden with upperclassmen who have become versatile in terms of how they are able to play and compete well. That’s why they’ve been able to win on the road at Arkansas and Tennessee already, two very different kinds of games. Cuonzo is actually “letting them play” this season instead of having his hands on their waistbands all the time. Of course, Bruce Pearl’s Tigers present challenges to Missouri’s defense that Tennessee did not. But Auburn’s defense leaves much to be desired and they are probably a little points-drunk after hanging 109 on five-guard South Carolina on Saturday, a team that couldn’t rebound enough to slow them down. |
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01-26-21 | Dayton +9.5 v. St. Louis | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Welcome back Saint Louis, finally able to play again. Lucky for them that Dayton has one of the shortest rotations going. If the Flyers could lose to Fordham on the road (and, they did), then they can certainly lose at Saint Louis even though the Billikens spot them lots of recent action. But 10 points to take, when Dayton beat Saint Louis twice last season? That’s something which doesn’t get dangled in front of you every day when the home chalk is at a scheduling disadvantage. Dayton player, on the team’s loss against up-tempo VCU havoc: ‘As bad as it is, it’s over with.’ Yup. New day, can’t wait to get back out there against a foe who’s style is a better matchup for them. |
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01-25-21 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -1.5 | Top | 87-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day When he was with VCU, Texas Tech’s 6’7” Marcus Santos-Silva wasn’t playing in the paint against many guys like West Virginia’s 6’10” Derek Culver. Away from that advantage-Mountaineers, West Virginia opponents are making only 29.1% of their three-pointers. Huggins’ fellas came off three postponements to get a good tune-up game under their belt at Kansas State on Saturday. “I thought we were a bit rusty offensively, but defensively we stepped up and played one of our best games of the year,” said guard Miles McBride. He had a big game vs. Tech last season and now the rust has been knocked off. Some of that rust may be transferred to the Red Raiders, who’ve had their last two games postponed. Rust never sleeps. |
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01-25-21 | Oklahoma State -3 v. Iowa State | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cowboys were good enough to lead Baylor by 4 points after 20 minutes without Cade Cunningham and Rondel Walker. Iowa State hasn’t played since Jan. 9, owns zero (0) wins against real teams (they have 2, vs. Ark-Pine Bluff and Jackson State). |
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01-25-21 | Utah State -5.5 v. UNLV | 56-59 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UNLV’s only wins have been against Kansas State – who gets drilled just about every game -- and New Mexico, who’s also been getting routed as a matter of course and who lost to San Jose State on Saturday. San Jose State! Utah State, they got class at 12-4 and a pair of wins vs. San Diego State. Consider that Utah State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Monday games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. |
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01-24-21 | Notre Dame +3.5 v. Miami-FL | 73-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The down-trending of Notre Dame under Mike Brey seems to coincide with the NCAA shaving time off the shot clock and lengthening the three-point line. If you’re aware of their general style and type of players they tend to recruit, it makes sense that those factors require adjustments in overall philosophy. Why, then, is Notre Dame our side in this spot? Borrow the Syracuse blueprint, Irish. Take your short roster and play 40 minutes of zone defense, praying that the Hurricanes don’t suddenly find the range. Without the zippy Lykes kid to penetrate into the zone, Miami struggles. |
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01-24-21 | Valparaiso v. Illinois State -1 | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Valparaiso is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games, 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. While Illinois State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. |
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01-24-21 | Fordham +17 v. Rhode Island | 42-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units URI is 12-27 ATS in their last 39 Sunday games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. While Fordham is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. In addition the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-24-21 | Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 138 | Top | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NCAAB Total of the Day The under is is 7-1 in Hilltoppers last 8 vs. a team with a losing straight up record and 6-2 in Hilltoppers last 8 road games. While the under is 11-3 in Blue Raiders last 14 overall, 7-2 in Blue Raiders last 9 home games, and 13-5 in Blue Raiders last 18 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-24-21 | Rutgers v. Indiana -4 | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana picked up a much-needed win at No. 4 Iowa by holding the high-scoring Hawkeyes to their lowest point total of the season. The Hoosiers will now look to carry that defensive mindset into this afternoons Big Ten matchup against reeling Rutgers in Bloomington, Ind. Indiana (9-6, 4-4 Big Ten) held Iowa, the Big Ten's top scoring offense at 92.2 points per game entering the game, to 38.1 percent from the field and 21.7 percent (5 of 23) from 3-point range to improve to 1-4 against ranked teams on the season. In beating No. 4 Iowa, Indiana picked up a win against its highest-ranked opponent since knocking off No. 3 North Carolina on Nov. 30, 2016. Consider that Indiana is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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01-23-21 | Missouri +8 v. Tennessee | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day ‘Can you continue to win our ***BEST BETS on you so fine? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ After Tennessee won 73-53 at Mizzou in the SEC season opener, many will be hesitant to back the Tigers on the road in the same match-up. But something’s gone amiss with Tennessee since then, and head coach Rick Barnes is so furious lately about lack of effort, lack of little details and leadership that he promises lineup changes (they’re 10-2 but young, so…). While the Vols will no doubt come out breathing fire off the 26-point loss at Florida, Missouri has a margin for error in the line with some Cuonzo adjustments on the way – possibly getting Mr. Tillmon more involved than he was in the first meeting, after which Martin wasn’t all that disappointed with how the team played. Tennessee made a lot of the baskets Missouri asked them to make, at -2 that day. Now the Vols – with point guard Santiago Vescovi playing hurt and another ball-handler, guard Jaden Springer, still out by all accounts – have to win by much at least 9. |
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01-23-21 | Tennessee Tech v. Murray State -13 | Top | 63-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit Ohio Valley Conference Play of the Day It usually takes Murray State two seasons to lose five Ohio Valley Conference games but here they are at 2-5 after only seven have been played. All the losses have been close, to opponents that are among the top half of the conference. But the Racers blew away bottom-dweller UT-Martin by 22 points recently and Tennessee Tech is a fellow bottom-dweller. Off Thursday’s latest loss, it’s feeding time for the bottom feeder! Tech’s 72-69 loss at Austin Peay on Thursday night came as their host was short-handed off a program pause. They trailed 27-5 early. If they were a good team, we’d say that the 27-5 was an aberration. But they’re not a good team. Consider that the Racers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. |
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01-23-21 | Mississippi State +11 v. Alabama | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tide has been just freaking lately with eight straight wins, the last three by a combined 81 points. There will be a drought of some degree to at least slightly offset the aberrational onslaught. You don’t want to be the guy who expects it to come too soon. But on the other hand, you do want to be the guy who projects to come before everybody else. MSU has rim protection up the wazoo with 6’11” Abdul Ado, 6’10” Tolu Smith and 6’9” Javian Davis. It really shouldn’t be easy for the Tide to attack the rim and ramp up the pace |
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01-23-21 | Jacksonville State v. Austin Peay UNDER 140.5 | Top | 76-70 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Total of the Day The under is 5-1 in Gamecocks last 6 games as an underdog, 11-4 in Gamecocks last 15 Saturday games, 5-2 in Gamecocks last 7 games as a road underdog. While the under is 16-5-1 in Governors last 22 overall, 6-2-1 in Governors last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 18-7-1 in Governors last 26 games following a ATS loss. |
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01-23-21 | Duke v. Louisville -3 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Blowout of the Day Look, things are tough all over the nation but look on the bright side. It’s late January, Duke is unranked, 1-8 ATS, Coach K is already on record as wanting to bail, and they’ve lost two in a row leading into this third straight road game against what is probably the best opponent of the trio. Without the home rout against Bellarmine, Duke would basically have a 73-73 PF/PA average. They’ve lost their one match-up with Louisville in each of the last two season, by 6 points at home last year. Louisville is angried up off two losses, most recently to a Florida State team that has had its number big-time the last few seasons – no big deal there. |
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01-23-21 | Weber State v. Southern Utah +1 | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units “We just had a lid on the rim early, and I think that affected our defense and we were just flat,” explained visiting head coach Todd Simon after losing 91-67 here on Thursday. SUU trailed 28-9, then 47-27 at halftime. Their record had been 10-2 when they arrived, so you have to think that they can regroup and rebound as they switch sites 288 miles north to their home floor, right? |
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01-23-21 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +1.5 | 68-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas has lost two straight. Therefore, many in the wagering world will be all over them to avoid losing a third consecutive game. Kooky quote from Bill Self: “Saturday’s game’s important, but it’s kind of crap. You lose two in a row and the sky’s falling because there wasn’t a home game in between that you could make sure that didn’t happen.” Interesting. We didn’t know home wins were guaranteed. Anyway, despite playing without senior forward Brady Manek, who is 6’10” but can step outside and knock down three-pointers to help mess up opposing defenses, and also without freshman guard Jalen Hill (16.6 minutes per game), the Sooners held up rather well at KU on Jan. 9, losing 63-59. Manek and Hill returned for their last game and didn’t need to get involved much for the Sooners to beat TCU by 26 points. |
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01-22-21 | Detroit +1 v. Oakland | 81-86 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Friday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400, and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. In addition, the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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01-22-21 | Charlotte +1.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 53-66 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Mismatch of the Day The visitor has won the last three meetings, one of them taking place as they were a 2-16 team in C-USA in 2018-19. The pack-line defense they are playing rather well in low possession games is in stark contrast to the no-defense played by the up-tempo opponent that FAU swept last weekend, Florida International. FAU is one of the best underdogs in college hoops over the last two-plus seasons. Unless our calculations are way off, they’ll be favored on their home floor. They scored 107 points in their last game. What went up must come down. |
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01-22-21 | Charlotte v. Florida Atlantic OVER 126.5 | Top | 53-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day The over is 12-3 in 49ers last 15 games as a road underdog, 12-3 in 49ers last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 6-2 in 49ers last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 7-3 in 49ers last 10 games following a ATS win. While the over is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games as a favorite, 6-1 in Owls last 7 overall, and 5-1 in Owls last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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01-22-21 | Wright State v. IUPU-Indianapolis +13 | 95-65 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units IUPUI is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. While Wright State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. |
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01-21-21 | Colorado State v. Utah State -8 | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The host Aggies are 9-0 atop the Mountain West and beat CSU 83-64 on Wednesday night. These visiting Rams tend to fall way behind in the first half – not the worst thing when taking a lot of points, but not the best, either! Utah State has really drilled each and every foe in this situation: second game in three nights – beat San Jose State by 27, Air Force by 19, New Mexico by 36, San Diego State by 15. |
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01-21-21 | Pacific +3.5 v. Pepperdine | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Damon Stoudamire to Romar: ‘I… own… you.’ Six straight wins for the visiting Tigers since Romar took over Pepperdine in 2018. The Waves recently got away with shooting 6-for-25 (24.0%) on threes and turning it over 16 times beating Portland by 15 points on this floor but Pacific will defend the paint better and won’t allow the 5-for-8 and 8-for-11 two-point shooting that Pepperdine forwards Kessler Edwards and Kene Chukwuka enjoyed in that match-up. Portland played that game against Pepperdine without five players who didn’t make the trip, including leading scorer Ahmed Ali. |
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01-21-21 | Indiana v. Iowa -9.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The nation’s #1 offensive-efficiency team, with an array of pretty good three-point shooters, is on its home floor against the team allowing the highest percentage of opposing three-point field goals in Big Ten play. Could get ugly for Indiana. |
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01-21-21 | Arizona -2.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 84-82 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day ASU is 1-9 ATS. There’s a reason we call them Hurley’s girlies. One of the most expectation-laden teams, every year, which can’t even win consistently in a conference that hasn’t been what it used to be for a while. The visiting Wildcats can’t play in the post-season this year, which should put an even greater emphasis on dealing with the rivalry games. Having last Saturday’s Oregon game postponed gave Sean Miller and staff extra time to get home and get ready, while ASU was stuck up in Corvallis, OR over the weekend losing another one. Although it was excusable to lose to USC and UCLA home, and even OSU on the road, remember that ASU lost by 13 points vs. UTEP in their final game before Pac 12 season began. |
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01-21-21 | St. Mary's v. Loyola Marymount +2.5 | 65-61 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saint Mary’s should have been struggling like they are now when they were playing with recruiting limitations via NCAA sanctions that stretched from 2014 through 2018. But, better late than never. We saw it coming during their non-conference cupcake slate in which they rolled to a fake 9-2, one of the losses 74-49 to San Diego State, the only real team they played (unless you count Memphis, who beat them 73-56 for the other loss). They’ve opened up WCC season losing 66-64 to Santa Clara, 62-52 to BYU, 73-59 to Gonzaga. They’re like Kentucky – slowing the game down to make up for lack of scoring and trying to lead with defense, but at some point ya’ gotta make baskets. |
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01-21-21 | SE Missouri State v. Morehead State -5.5 | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If you love being on a side that allows only 59.8 ppg and is facing an opponent averaging the fewest points per game in the conference (65.3), then there’s nothing wrong with desiring Morehead. |
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01-20-21 | Tulsa v. Houston OVER 124 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All the elements were there noting a performance worth lauding, and Houston's dismantling of visiting UCF on Sunday provided a showcase of the Cougars' excellence. However, as evidence of how high the bar has been raised for the No. 8 Cougars, there was plenty to assess regarding how they could improve upon their near-perfect first half. The Cougars carried a 45-19 lead to the break after knocking down 6 of 14 3-point attempts and grabbing seven steals. Ultimately, the Cougars rolled to their fourth consecutive win, a 75-58 decision that Houston (11-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference) will use as a springboard for its rematch against visiting Tulsa on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane handed the Cougars their lone loss of the season, prevailing 65-64 on Dec. 29 in Tulsa. As for the Cougars' win over UCF, Houston coach Kelvin Sampson said, "Teachers are always looking for teaching moments, and we had plenty. A lot of good moments, too. If you listen to me .. you'd think we lost. But I'm pretty sure we won, right?" Individually and collectively, the Cougars provided glimpses of what makes them formidable. They forced 20 turnovers and converted those miscues into 22 points, grabbed 17 offensive rebounds that resulted in 14 second-chance points, and limited UCF to 4-of-19 3-point shooting. Houston's Quentin Grimes scored 18 points, essentially matching his team-leading average of 17.8, while Justin Gorham added 15 point and nine rebounds. |
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01-20-21 | Tulsa v. Houston -12 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All the elements were there noting a performance worth lauding, and Houston's dismantling of visiting UCF on Sunday provided a showcase of the Cougars' excellence. However, as evidence of how high the bar has been raised for the No. 8 Cougars, there was plenty to assess regarding how they could improve upon their near-perfect first half. The Cougars carried a 45-19 lead to the break after knocking down 6 of 14 3-point attempts and grabbing seven steals. Ultimately, the Cougars rolled to their fourth consecutive win, a 75-58 decision that Houston (11-1, 6-1 American Athletic Conference) will use as a springboard for its rematch against visiting Tulsa. Consider Houston is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. While the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-20-21 | Providence v. Creighton -9 | Top | 74-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day Providence had their shot at the Blue Jays at home recently, couldn’t get it done. Their ability to prevent Creighton from swishing three-pointers through their own friendly rims is highly questionable. When the Friars lost 67-65 at home to Creighton they shot only 33.8% from the floor. But it’s not unreasonable to expect the same or worse off an eight-day break and playing in this place, where Creighton is known for getting quick separation that throws slower-paced opponents out of whack. Starting point guard Jared Bynum has been out for Providence. Head coach Ed Cooley: “I’ve never coached a team that wasn’t tough emotionally, mentally and, more importantly, physically. This team has got to get to that point. If we don’t get to that point, we’re going to have a tough time surviving in the Big East.” Thanks for the heads-up, coach! |
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01-20-21 | Mercer v. The Citadel +7.5 | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mercer is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the Citadel is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall |
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01-20-21 | Winthrop v. Presbyterian +16.5 | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Winthrop is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. While Presbyterian is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. In addition, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings |
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01-19-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2 | 64-46 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mississippi State looks to keep pace near the top of the Southeastern Conference when it hosts in-state rival Ole Miss on Tuesday in Starkville, Miss. |
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01-19-21 | Maryland v. Michigan -10.5 | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland squad that doesn’t really have a true point guard and will be throwing Ayala out there at less than 100 percent. Hunter Dickinson is coming off a season-low nine points and had five turnovers in being outplayed by Minnesota’s Liam Robbins, so he’ll be looking to rebound too. Considering they’re back home at Crisler Arena and so many Wolverines will be looking to atone for an awful effort at the “Barn,” this has blowout written all over it with Michigan just a 10- point favorite. |
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01-19-21 | Tennessee -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 49-75 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day The Vol1s have won four straight against the Gators. Can’t see how this Mike White-coached Florida group – weakened on the inside by injury absences – can score much against a Tennessee bunch that defends equally well inside and out. Florida prefers a quick pace; Tennessee probably won’t allow that to happen. Florida shot in the mid-30s percent range on two-point shots in their last two games. They are shooting a decent 37% from three-point range in SEC play. But – ah, always a but – they haven’t faced Tennessee yet. Clang-clang, rebound Vols. |
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01-19-21 | South Carolina v. Missouri -5.5 | Top | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Mismatch of the Day ‘Tell me why should we make a ***BEST BET on you again when South Carolina can score like Texas A&M can’t? Tell me Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ Could it be because Jeremiah Tillmon once again has nobody to go out and chase on the perimeter? This seems to be the case, given the tendencies of the South Carolina bigs, who also aren’t that big. Tilmon is averaging 18.5 pg and 9 rebounds in his last three games. “There’s not many in America that’s better,” Martin says. “There might be some that’s just as good. But high level of player on both sides of the ball, and then doing it efficiently without fouling. Really impressive.” Consider that Missouri is 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 while the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-19-21 | Purdue v. Ohio State -4.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Buckeyes (11-3, 5-3 Big Ten) got their third victory in a row Saturday, an 87-81 decision at Illinois. Following successive road wins, they return home, where they are unbeaten this season in eight games, including three Big Ten contests. Tuesday's game was moved from Jan. 27 to accommodate schedule changes in the conference due to COVID-19 protocols, and it lands in a spot that means Ohio State will have one more day of rest than the Boilermakers (10-5, 5-3), who defeated visiting Penn State 80-72 on Sunday. The short turnaround is rare for regular-season conference games. It's the first time in 20 years that Purdue has had had just a one-day break between Big Ten games (Feb. 27 and 29, 2000). Consider that Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. |
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01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor -9 | 69-77 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seems best not to be “that guy” who insists on stepping in front of Baylor, 30-4 SU when favored at home the last two-plus seasons. They’re scoring more, giving up fewer, than the Jayhawks. As noted here recently, can’t trust KU’s David McCormack to step up inside on a consistent basis, especially against the conference’s best |
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01-18-21 | CS Sacramento v. Idaho State | 70-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sacramento State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While Idaho State is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-17-21 | Virginia Tech -7 v. Wake Forest | Top | 64-60 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
ACC Play of the Day Head coaches Mike Young and Steve Forbes squared off in the Southern Conference when Wofford and East Tennessee State matched up. Young beat Forbes five of the last eight times and his Virginia Tech team has a one-season head start in his systems vs. the first-season Forbes, whose Demon Deacons endured a long pause recently that should continue to be an obstacle as he attempts to make something of the mess that Danny Manning left behind. Nowhere to go but up, but hopefully not yet, as one of their guards suggests: "It’s just going to take a little time. Hopefully it happens sooner or later, and we can maybe flip the switch, but it’s just a matter of time before we get to it." Another guard, Carter Whitt missed the Louisville game and should still be out. Va. Tech’s Jalen Cone has been giving them a starter’s production coming off the bench. |
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01-17-21 | Memphis v. Tulsa +2 | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis, overrated due to incorrect assessment of Penny Hardaway’s coaching abilities being as good as his recruiting abilities, hasn’t played since Dec. 29 but it was because of their opponents, not them. But before the postponements, they were struggling to score. They face a host giving up an average of only 62.9 ppg, and who they already lost to at home by the score of 56-49. Oh, and they also lost 80-40 here last February. Good luck! |
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01-17-21 | Hofstra v. Delaware +3.5 | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CAA Play of the Day Hofstra is now 0-5 ATS in the Colonial following Friday’s outright loss as the road favorite. We had that happy-happy back-to-back against them last weekend with Northeastern, and they followed up on that SU/ATS L-L with an outright loss here by 18 points. People are looking at them as if they already won the CAA, like they did last year, and as if their head coach is still there, which he hasn’t been. They have a short roster, play mostly 40 minutes of zone, are easy to prepare for, have a target on their backs and aren’t shooting as accurately as they did last season. |
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01-17-21 | Iowa -9.5 v. Northwestern | 96-73 | Win | 100 | 2 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Can you imagine Northwestern people when they’re 3-0 after beating Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State, thinking, ‘Oh, yes! We will dominate the Big Ten and get to the Elite Eight! Wowee!’ Because at that point, anyone who’s been around the block a few times realizes that 3-0 has a fine chance to turn into 3-10. At the moment it’s 3-4, the four straight losses by 15, 19, 25 and 10 points. |
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01-16-21 | Colorado State v. San Jose State +19.5 | 88-61 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday night’s result was more of the same from the San Jose State perspective – another beatdown suffered. This time it was 90-57. They’ve been relocated to Phoenix, AZ. The school’s women’s basketball program has been shut down, rather than deal with the fear-based banishment to another state. They lost to the Rams by 33 points despite 35 points from guard Richard Washington. “That’s not very good for us defensively,” said CSU head coach Niko Medved. So now they’ll key on Washington to add insult to another injury. |
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01-16-21 | Washington v. UCLA -14.5 | Top | 76-81 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day Undefeated in conference play and looking to move back into the national rankings, UCLA is set to put its much-improved offense up against visiting Washington today. The Bruins (10-2, 6-0 Pac-12) will enter off an impressive 91-61 victory Thursday over Washington State when the leaders of the conference shook off their tendency to play to the level of their opponent. UCLA has not gone 7-0 to open conference play since 1993-94. Washington (1-10, 0-6) will enter the game off a brutal 95-68 loss Thursday at Southern California. UCLA is 4-0 since the start of the new year, but Thursday was the first time the Bruins defeated an opponent by double digits in that time. Consider that Washington is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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01-16-21 | Arkansas v. Alabama -2 | Top | 59-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Mismatch of the Day And, like we said before picking them at LSU (d-oh!), Arkansas is known for SEC road losses and losing a lot of games after recording 0- and 1-loss non-conference seasons. Alabama has a couple of injuries (Jordan Bruner, Herb Jones) that will no doubt draw Arkansas money but those folks can have ’em ‘cuz we don’t want ’em. Look at those injury chasers, driving the number down. |
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01-16-21 | Old Dominion v. Rice UNDER 143 | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The under is 14-5 in Monarchs last 19 Saturday games, 13-5 in Monarchs last 18 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 15-6 in Monarchs last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. While the under is 8-3 in Owls last 11 overall and 5-2 in Owls last 7 games following a straight up win |
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01-16-21 | Kentucky v. Auburn -2 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units After winning their first three league outings, including a 76-58 thumping of Florida on the road, the Wildcats (4-7, 3-1 SEC) took a huge step back in falling to Alabama 85-65 at home Tuesday night. It was the Wildcats' worst loss to the Crimson Tide ever in Rupp Arena and worst to the Tide in Lexington since 1974. Auburn has become a different team since getting a favorable eligibility ruling on freshman Sharife Cooper. Though the Tigers (7-6, 1-4) lost 94-90 to Alabama in the talented point guard's first outing last weekend, they cruised past Georgia 95-77 in Athens in their next outing. Cooper has 54 points, 21 assists, nine rebounds and five steals in his first two collegiate games. Consider Auburn is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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01-16-21 | Oral Roberts v. Denver +10 | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The typical Oral Roberts game is a track meet where they try to outscore the other team and fail to cover the spread in the process. You know, like yesterday’s 88-84 win against now 1-9 Denver in which ORU was favored by a heck of a lot more than four. Now, we ask this question: How many chances in life do you get to go against a road favorite in the high altitude of Denver, CO that is playing the second of back-to-backs, off a win, after their point guard played all 40 minutes and scored 34 points on 13-for-30 shooting the day before? Hey now |
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01-16-21 | Toledo v. Akron +4 | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit MAC Play of the Day We could have a little zig-zaggy action here with Akron coming home off a road loss at 2-9 Northern Illinois (after a seven-hour bus ride), and Toledo coming in just a little too hot for us to sincerely believe it can continue, off 95-78 and 96-63 home wins vs. Ohio and Eastern Michigan. And, of course, there were the six straight wins before that. And the 99-89 win by Toledo on this floor last season. And yet, we go with the home dog coming off two road losses. It’s their only MAC home game in a five-game stretch. |
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01-16-21 | San Diego State v. Utah State OVER 127.5 | 59-64 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The over is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game, 8-3-1 in Aztecs last 12 games following a ATS loss, and 5-2 in Aztecs last 7 road games. |
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01-16-21 | Missouri -4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day Tell me how will the virus pause affect the Tigers? Tell me Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ “I’ve been in leagues where you’ve had a week off. It’s not a bad thing in my opinion. I assume we’ll be fine.” Martin likes it when his 6’10”, 260 Jeremiah Tillman plays against opponents with traditional bigs who don’t step out and shoot three pointers. A&M’s Emanuel Miller and Kevin Marfo have combined to shoot 0-for-5 on three-pointers this season. There you go, coach. A&M has chances to win when they hold opponents to 50-something. Get to 60! |
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01-16-21 | Georgia v. Ole Miss -7.5 | 78-74 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia responded to a 30-point road loss at Arkansas by coming home and losing by 18 points to Auburn – which we were very happy about. So, we’ll see how Ole Miss reacts to coming off a 14-point home loss to LSU, followed by a 9-point road loss at Florida. They’ve ordered up the right opponent, it seems. The Florida game was 66-63 with :50 remaining when Ole Miss head coach Kermit Davis got a technical for arguing a foul-out called against his 6’8”, 235 Romello White. Good to have some anger carrying over. |
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01-15-21 | Wisconsin -2.5 v. Rutgers | 60-54 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Wisconsin won't find any sympathy for its Tuesday night plight when it hits the floor in New Jersey. The Scarlet Knights (7-4, 3-4) were ranked as high as 11th after starting 6-0, but they have dropped four of the past five, including a 79-68 decision at home Saturday against Ohio State. A lack of post depth, poor first-shot defense and sketchy offensive execution have plagued Rutgers lately. Ohio State canned 51 percent from the field. Consider that Wisconsin is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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01-15-21 | Middle Tennessee v. Southern Miss +1 | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Middle Tennessee State is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. While Southern Miss is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. |
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01-15-21 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 150 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 overall, 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 home games, and 5-2 in Bulldogs last 7 games following a straight up win. |
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01-15-21 | Cal-Riverside -9 v. Cal Poly | 86-51 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units You already know that Riverside caught USC in a tough spot on Tuesday! USC shot 3-for-21 on three-pointers to make it even harder on themselves. Usually, that would discount the up-in-class strong performance and set them up to be overvalued as a road favorite vs. their own kind. But, we must also consider that they have been on a Big West upswing (7-9 last year was a drastic improvement for the Highlanders), beat Cal Poly by 33 and 12 points last season, and Cal Poly is currently 1-6 vs. Division I teams, the one win against everyone’s favorite patsy San Jose State. |
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01-15-21 | Siena -6.5 v. Rider | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Play of the Day The visitor – who won the MAAC last year and is the favorite to win it again -- has won 15 straight in MAAC play. The host – picked to finish last in the MAAC -- has lost three straight conference home games. Siena had every right to be behind the curve after a very long pause before they could play a single game. They had no non-conference tune-ups. But they’ve zipped past Monmouth and Fairfield for 4-0. Rider is 17-28 ATS in MAAC games the last two-plus seasons, which includes 0-3 ATS as a home underdog. |
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01-15-21 | Duquesne v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 48-62 | Win | 101 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit CBB Mismatch of the Day With only one day between the loss/no-cover at Dayton and this schlep from there up to Olean, NY, struggling Duquesne seems to be in a tough spot. Starting point guard Sincere Carry said ‘no mas’ earlier in the week and joined guard Lamar Norman, Jr. in the transfer portal. Another guard, Maceo Austin, is on leave for personal reasons. Carry did not leave for playing time reasons, which would seem to be a problem because it’s not like Dambrot was happier with somebody else when Carry – a junior playing a lot since his freshman season -- was getting 30.2 minutes per game. Consider that St. Bonaventure is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. |
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01-15-21 | Troy State +7 v. Georgia Southern | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia Southern is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |