Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-20-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8 | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants host the Phillies in Game 3 of a home series Sunday, and I expect to see another slugfest by the bay. Zach Eflin will toe the slab for Philly, and he's lost four of his last five starts. Eflin (2-5, 3.99 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to the Dogers his last time out. The Giants hand the ball to Sammy Long, who is making his third start in the majors. He allowed four runs on five hits in five innings in a no-decision versus Arizona his last time out. Scoring is up in a big way since the new restrictions on sticky substances for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Rays v. Mariners OVER 8 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Mariners have scored 11 runs while winning both the first two games in this home series versus Tampa. I expect Game 3 to be another slugfest. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for Seattle, and the rookie has been hit and miss. Gilbert (2-2, 4.13 ERA) is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in three home starts. The Rays hand the ball to Josh Fleming, who got rocked in his last appearances on the road. He gave up five runs on 10 hits over seven innings in a loss at Texas. The over is 12-2-2 in the Rays last 16 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-19-21 | Marlins v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Cubs lost 10-2 at home to Miami in Game 1, and we have every reason to expect another slugfest in Game 2. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. The veteran has allowed 16 runs on 20 hits over 15 2/3 innings while losing three of his last four starts. The Marlins hand the ball to Pablo Lopez, who has also lost three of his last four starts. He allowed 10 runs on 20 hits over 22 innings in those games. Pitchers have been struggling since MLB banned sticky substances, and scoring has gone up dramatically. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-21 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Giants scored 37 runs while sweeping the the D'Backs in a four game series at home this week, and I expect another slugfest in Game 1 versus Philly. Vince Velasquez will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Velasquez (2-1, 4.25 ERA) has allowed 11 runs on 15 hits over 12 innings in his last three starts. The Giants hand the ball to Johnny Cueto, who is coming off back to back losses. Cueto (4-3, 4.00 ERA) has allowed nine runs on 15 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. There is no question that scoring is up significantly since the ban on sticky substances for major league pitchers. GL. Jesse Schule |
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06-14-21 | Sweden v. Spain OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Spain will be a big favorite against Sweden in their opening match at the Euros, and they will play in front of a home crowd. Sweden isn't going to be an easy opponent, and I expect both these teams to score in this match. Both teams have scored in two of the last three head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings went over the total. Sweden has won five matches in a row heading into the tournament, and they scored at least twice in three of their last four matches. I predict a 2-1 victory for Spain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-21 | Marvin Vettori v. Israel Adesanya OVER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Adesanya will be a big favorite coming off his first loss, but I don't expect this to be an easy fight. Vettori has gone the distance in four of his last five fights, and he should be able to use his wrestling ability to hang in there with Izzy until the later rounds. He's lost four fights in his UFC career, and all four of those losses came by decision. Don't be surprised if this fight goes the distance as well. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-10-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 234 | 83-86 | Loss | -113 | 49 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Prior to this series I had said that the Nets seemed to have no interest in playing defense. They proved me wrong by holding the NBA's highest scoring team to fewer than 100 points per game in the first two games of this series. I wouldn't be surprised to see them look a little complacent here in Game 3 in Milwaukee. The Bucks are likely to come out firing on all cylinders, and I expect them to shoot the ball a lot better at home. The Nets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine playoff games as an underdog, and the over is 4-1 in the Nets last five Conference Semifinals games. The Bucks won both home games versus Brooklyn during the regular season, and both of those games went over 240 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-06-21 | Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Blue Jays have split the first two games of this home series versus Houston, and we could expect a slugfest in the rubber match. Stephen Matz will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been pretty inconsistent this season. Matz (6-2, 4.22 ERA) allowed four runs on four hits over five innings in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Luis Garcia, who has been on a bit of a roll. His split stats suggest he's far better at home (2.10 ERA) than he is on the road (4.34 ERA). The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 road games, and the over is 10-1-1 in their last 12 versus left handed starters. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-04-21 | Twins v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 5-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
The Royals have won four straight, and three of their last four versus Minnesota. They are just a slight favorite tonight, and I expect them to punish a struggling Twins pitcher. Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Twins, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. Shoemaker (2-6, 5.90 ERA) has faced the Royals twice this year, going 0-2 with a 15.26 ERA in those games. The Royals hand the ball to Brad Keller, who is coming off a win at Minnesota in his last start. He was far from perfect, allowing three runs on five hits and four walks in five innings. The Royals are batting .318 over a combined 69 at bats in previous meetings versus Shoemaker. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-02-21 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 8 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The D'Backs have lost six of eight on their current home stand, and six of those eight games went over the total. All eight games saw at least eight runs scored. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's had an up and down season. Bumgarner (4-5, 5.15 ERA) has allowed 14 runs on 15 hits over 10 innings in his last two appearances. The Mets hand the ball to David Peterson, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Peterson (1-4, 4.91 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits and three walks over six innings in a home loss to the Rockies his last time out. The over is 9-4 in Diamondbacks last 13 games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-29-21 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Arizona has lost 12 straight, and they rank 30th in the majors in BAA. I expect a high score as they host St. Louis tonight. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been hammered on the road. Wainwright (2-4, 3.95 ERA) allowed six runs on eight hits and three walks in just four innings in a loss to San Diego in his last road start. The D'Backs hand the ball to Seth Frankoff, who is making his third start of the season. He allowed seven run on 10 hits over 8 2/3 innings in his previous two starts. The over is 14-5 in the Diamondbacks last 19 after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-28-21 | Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Mariners host Texas in Game 2 of a home series Friday, and I expect a slugfest here. Justus Sheffield will toe the slab for Seattle, and he got roughed up in his last start versus Texas. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits over five innings in a 10-2 loss to Texas a few weeks ago. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who hasn't missed many bats this season. Lyles (2-3, 5.94 ERA) is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-27-21 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Brewers host the Padres in a matinee at Miller Park Thursday, and I am expecting a pitcher's duel. Ryan Weathers will toe the slab for San Diego, and the rookie has been dealing in his first five starts. Weathers (2-1, 1.48 ERA) allowed one run on six hits in four innings in a home win over Seattle his last time out. The Brewers hand the ball to Adrian Houser, who has been solid this season. Houser (3-5, 4.53 ERA) allowed a pair of run on two hits in three innings in a loss to Atlanta in his last home start. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 229 | 95-120 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Washington Wizards went on a tear in the second half of the season to sneak into the playoffs, but strong and responsible play on defense didn't have much to do with their success. They finished the regular season ranking dead last in scoring defense, allowing over 120 points per game. They didn't look great defensively in Game 1, and they were actually quite fortunate that Philly didn't have a particularly good game shooting the ball. The Sixers made 10 three-pointers in Game 1, and I expect them to improve on that number in Game 2. The over is 6-1 in the Wizards last seven road games, and they have gone over in seven of their last 10 overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-26-21 | Cardinals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The White Sox are looking to break out the brooms in Game 3 of this series versus St. Louis, and I expect a pitcher's duel this afternoon. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's having a Cy Young worthy season so far. Rodon (5-1, 1.27 ERA) tossed six scoreless innings allowing two hits and striking out a baker's dozen his last time out. The Cardinals will hand the ball to Jon Gant, who has been very solid himself. Gant (3-3, 2.04 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings in a home win over the Pirates his last time out. The under is 20-6-1 in Cardinals last 27 interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-22-21 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Braves scored 20 runs in Game 2 of this home series versus Pittsburgh, and we might expect another slugfest Saturday. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. Keller (2-5, 7.16 ERA) has allowed nine runs on 13 hits over 8 1/3 innings in losses to the Giants and Reds in his last two starts. The Braves hand the ball to Bryse Wilson, and he's lost his last three starts. He's 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three home starts. The over is 6-0 in the Pirates last six visits to Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-18-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 0-8 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over The Blue Jays host the Red Sox tonight, and we should expect a slugfest. Hyun Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's struggled against the Red Sox. Ryu (3-2, 2.95 ERA) has been great overall for the Jays, just not against Boston. He allowed four runs on eight hits in five innings losing to the Sox a few weeks ago. Boston will hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who has lost two of his last three starts. He allowed four runs on seven hits in six innings in a loss to Oakland his last time out. The over is 6-1-1 in the Blue Jays last eight games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -128 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Canes host the Preds in Game 1 of a first round playoff series on Monday, and history tells us we might expect a low score here. Only once in the last 10 meetings between these teams did they go over the listed total. The under is 5-1 in the Predators last six games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five playoff games as an underdog. The under is 6-2 in the Hurricanes last eight home games, and they have gone under in four straight post-season home games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-16-21 | Michael Chandler v. Charles Oliveira UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 15 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. I've got my eye on the main event in UFC 262, and we have every reason to think this fight will end early. The favorite (Michael Chandler) has seen his last four fights end in the first round. His last three losses came by way of KO, and two of those three knockouts have come in the first round. He's fought a total of 27 professional fights, and 15 of those fights ended in the first round. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-21 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. We have seen favorable conditions for hitters at Coors Field in recent days, with a total of 36 runs scored in the first two games of this series. We might expect another slugfest tonight. Jhoulis Chacin will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's failed to impress coming out of the bullpen. He's allowed eight runs on 15 hits over 12 1/3 innings in six appearances so far, all out of the pen. The Reds hand the ball to Tyler Mahle, who hasn't fooled the Rockies. Colorado is batting over .400 againt him in previous meetings (39 combined at bats). The over is 15-5 in the Rockies last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-21 | A's v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Twins have been terrible in 2021, but they might be in good shape today with their ace on the mound. Jose Berrios (3-2, 3.49 ERA) allowed two runs in six hits in six innings in a loss to Detroit his last time out. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out five in five innings in a start against Oakland earlier this season. The A's hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who has looked pretty sharp in recent outings. Irvin (3-4, 3.29 ERA) allowed three earned runs on four hits over six innings in a 4-3 loss to Tampa his last time out. The under is 8-1-2 in the Athletics last 11 road games, and the under is 7-1 in their last eight meetings in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-15-21 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. West Ham is coming off a 1-0 loss to Everton, killing any hope of a top four finish and a spot in the Champions League next season. It's still been a successful campaign for the Hammers, currently sitting in sixth in the table. They have scored more than their fair share of goals (55 in 35 matches). They play Brighton today, and the last two meetings between these teams saw a combined 10 goals scored. Neither team is particularly strong defensively, so we could see a real cracker here on Saturday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-14-21 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
5* |
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05-12-21 | Arsenal v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Chelsea appears to be safely positioned in the top four, and with a couple of big matches coming up today's match versus Arsenal might be a spot where they look to rest some of their top players. The bad news for Arsenal is that Chelsea's bench players could be more talented than their starting 11. The Blues have won their last three matches by a combined score of 6-1. History tells us that these teams trend towards high scores, with each of the last five meetings going over the total. We should see history repeat itself here in today's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-12-21 | Orioles v. Mets UNDER 8 | 1-7 | Push | 0 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Mets have won six straight, and three of four games on this home stand have gone under the total. Matt Harvey will toe the slab for the Orioles in Game 2, and he's been pretty solid this season. Harvey (3-2, 3.60 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits in 5 2/3 innings in a win over Oakland in his last road start. The Mets hand the ball to Taijuan Walker, who has been lights out at home. Walker is 1-0 with a 1.56 ERA in three starts at Citi Field. The under is 9-3 in the Orioles last 12 road games, and the under is 13-3-2 in the Mets last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-11-21 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Manchester United will host Leicester City in a key matchup here in the English Premier League on Tuesday. Leicester is currently holding on in the fourth spot in the table, but West Ham is still in striking distance. Their remaining games are against Man United, Chelsea and Spurs, so points could be hard to come by. Both these teams rank in the Top 3 in the Premier League in scoring, and both previous meetings this season went over the total. I expect this game to be a real cracker. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-09-21 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Braves host the Phillies in Game 3 of a home series in Atlanta Sunday, and after Ronald Acuna was hit by a pitch yesterday he's expected to sit. This has moved the needle with bettors lining up on the Phillies and the under in the absence of one of the league's most feared hitters. Atlanta rallied in the 12th inning last night to win 8-7, scoring six runs after Acuna left the game. They face the Phillies ace tonight, but Aaron Nola has an ERA over 5.00 on the road. Huascar Ynoa will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's won three straight starts. Ynoa (3-1, 2.36 ERA) is 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA in three home starts. The Phillies are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Atlanta, and the over is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-08-21 | Twins v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 3-7 | Loss | -114 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Twins will be a big favorite in Detroit today, but I think the smart money is on the total. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's have a stellar season so far. Berrios (3-2, 3.58 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits with nine strikeouts in six innings in a win over the Royals his last time out. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Detroit, and despite having similar numbers to Berrios, he hasn't got the wins. That could be a lack of run support from a Tigers lineup that ranks 28th in the major leagues in scoring. The under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-07-21 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 7.5. The Braves won three straight in Washington, and they might tee off on a struggling pitcher here at home in Game 1 versus Philly. Charlie Morton will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's been fairly solid so far. He hasn't really fooled Philly thought, as the Phillies are batting a solid .281 over 104 combined at bats against him. The Phillies hand the ball to Zach Eflin, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's allowed a whopping 19 hits in his last two starts. The Braves will be getting their third look at Eflin already this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-21 | Rangers v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Twins host the Rangers in Game 2 of a home series Tuesday, and I expect to see a pitcher's duel. Kyle Gibson will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and the former Twin has been outstanding so far in Texas. Gibson (3-0, 2.16 ERA) allowed one run on three hits over six innings in a 4-1 win over Boston his last time out. The Twins hand the ball to JA Happ, who has also had plenty of success early in the season. He's allowed just two runs on five hits over 14 1/3 innings in back to back wins. The under is 5-2 in the Rangers last seven games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-04-21 | Nets v. Bucks UNDER 242.5 | 118-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Nets have lost back to back games, giving up 128 points versus Portland, and surrendering 117 points in a loss to Milwaukee. Neither of those games went over 240 combined points, and it seems reasonable to expect a better effort on defense here as they look to get off the schneid. The under is 8-3 in the Nets last 11 games as an underdog, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The under is 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-03-21 | West Ham United v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. West Ham has slipped to 6th in the Premier League table after losing consecutive matches to Chelsea and Newcastle. They haven't look good defensively, conceding 11 goals in their last five matches. They have also scored more than their share of goals, scoring 11 goals in those games. Burnley is coming off a 4-0 win over Wolverhampton, and they have scored at least one goal in seven straight matches. We can expect a high score here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-21 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-4 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Phillies host the Mets in Game 2 of a home series Saturday, and we expect a pitcher's duel in the City of Brotherly Love. Zack Wheeler will toe the slab for Philly, and he's coming off a brilliant performance. Wheeler (2-2, 3,13 ERA) allowed one run on one hit, striking out nine over eight innings in a win at St. Louis his last time out. The Mets hand the ball to Taijuan Walker, who is also coming off a fantastic start. He tossed seven scoreless innings in a 4-0 win over Washington his last time out. The under is 12-3-2 in the Mets last 17 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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05-01-21 | Columbus v. Montreal OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -157 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. It's been a great start to the season for Montreal F.C., scoring four goals in a win in their season opener, and then earning a 2-2 draw against Nashville in their second match. The fact that they have conceded two goals in each of their matches should be a concern however. Last year Montreal conceded an Eastern Conference high 43 goals in 23 matches. Columbus failed to score in their season opener, but the Crew finished third in the Eastern Conference last year, scoring 36 goals in 23 matches. We should see plenty of scoring here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-29-21 | A's v. Rays UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The A's were shutout in a 2-0 loss at Tampa on Wednesday, and we can expect another low score on Thursday. Chris Bassitt will toe the slab for Oakland, and he's coming off three consecutive wins. Bassitt (2-2, 4.13 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on eight hits, striking out eight in six innings in a win at Baltimore his last time out. The Rays hand the ball to rookie Shane McClannahan who will make his big league debut. While not a lot is known about McClanahan, a glance at his minor league stats suggest he's not short on talent. The under is 9-0 in the Athletics last nine on astroturf. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-21 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -117 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Chisox host the Tigers in Game 1 in Chicago Tuesday, and they scored a whopping 19 runs in three games in a home series versus Texas over the weekend. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a brutal performance. Giolito (1-1, 5.79 ERA) was torched for eight runs on eight hits and two walks in the first innings of a loss at Boston his last time out. The Tigers hand the ball to Jose Urena, who has been having trouble throwing strikes. He's walked a dozen batters in four starts. The over is 4-1 in the White Sox last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-21 | Twins v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Indians host the Twins in Game 1 of a home series Monday, and this looks like it could be a picher's duel. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's coming off back to back losses. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out five in five innings in a 1-0 loss at Oakland his last time out. The Indians hand the ball to Zack Plesac, who was roughed up in back to back losses to the White Sox. Prior to that he tossed seven scoreless innings in a 4-1 home win over Detroit. The under is 46-20-3 in the last 69 meetings, and seven of the last nine at Cleveland have gone under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-21 | Jorge Masvidal v. Kamaru Usman UNDER 4.5 | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 33 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on fight not to go the distance. Masdival insists that he deserves a rematch versus Usman after losing a unanimous decision last July. He took the fight on short notice and was forced to make a dramatic weight cut. It's only common sense to expect him to be far better here in the rematch. Whether or not he can get a win remains to be seen, but I do expect him to be far more aggressive. He's 5-0 in his last five fights decided by knockout, and each of his last five losses have come by decision. If he is going to win this fight, he's not going to want to leave it to the judges. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-21 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
5* |
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04-24-21 | Chelsea v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. It's been a crazy week for the football world, with the European Super League crashing and burning in a matter of days. The Premier League is winding down, and the race for a top four spot to qualify for Champions League football is tight. Chelsea is sitting in fourth in the table, level on points with West Ham. Liverpool and Tottenham are each two points back. West Ham has been on a tear since getting Jesse Lingard from Manchester United. He's scored nine goals in 10 starts for the Hammers. These two teams played twice in 2020, and both those games went over (2.5). West Ham has gone over in four straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Angels were leading 6-2 in the bottom of the eight inning last night, and they loaded the bases with nobody out. They failed to score, and the game finished just under the total. Jose Quintana will toe the slab for the Halos today, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. Quintana (0-1, 16.20 ERA) allowed seven runs on five hits and four walks in 1 2/3 innings in his last start. The Rangers hand the ball to Mike Foltynewicz, who has been hit hard in 2021. The right-hander has been torched for 10 runs on 13 hits in 16 innings, losing all three starts. The over is 6-2-1 in the Rangers last nine games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-21 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Rangers won Game 1 in LA by a score of 6-4, and we expect another slugfest in Game 2. Shohei Ohtani will toe the slab for the Halos, and he's making just his second start of the season. He allowed three runs on two hits and five walks over 4 2/3 innings in his season debut. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who hasn't missed many bats lately. Lyles (1-0, 4.70 ERA) allowed three runs on five hits in 5 1/3 innings in a 6-4 win at Tampa his last time out. The over is 27-11-2 in the Angels last 40 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-21 | Cardinals v. Nationals OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Cardinals scored a dozen runs in Game 1 in Washington, and another slugfest is expected Tuesday. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's been hit hard so far this season. Corbin (0-2, 21.32 ERA) was torched for 10 runs on six hits in just two innings in a home loss to Arizona his last time out. The Cardinals hand the ball to Adam Wainwright, has has also struggled. The veteran allowed four runs on seven hits in five innings in a loss to the Nats his last time out. The over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-21 | White Sox v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | 4-11 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play in under. The White Sox have won two of three in this series at Fenway, and two of those three games went under. I expect another pitcher's duel in the series finale on Monday. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a flawless performance. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out eight in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out. The Red Sox hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who is also having an outstanding season so far. Eovaldi (2-1, 2.08 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win at Minnesota his last time out. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Boston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-21 | Portland v. Vancouver Whitecaps OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -180 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Vancouver Whitecaps will open the season at home (in Salt Lake City) versus the Portland Timbers. Only one team in Major League Soccer (LAFC) scored more goals than Portland last year, and only the San Jose Earthquakes conceded more goals than the Whitecaps last year. The Timbers have scored seven goals in two CCL matches recently, so expect another high scoring game in their MLS Opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-21 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Astros won Game Game 2 by a score of 1-0, but we expect more scoring in Game 3 on Sunday. Nick Margevicius will get the nod for the Mariners, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. He's allowed 10 runs on 10 hits in just seven innings in three appearances. The Astros hand the ball to Jake Odorizzi, who was hit hard in his season debut. He allowed five runs on seven hits in 3 1/3 innings in a loss to the Tigers. The over is 6-2 in the Mariners last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-21 | Indians v. Reds UNDER 7.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Reds won 3-2 in extra innings on Saturday, and another pitcher's duel is expected on Sunday. Shane Beiber will toe the slab for the Tribe, and he's coming off a complete game shutout. He struck out 11 batters, allowing four hits while going the distance in a win over the White Sox his last time out. The Reds hand the ball to Wade Miley, who has yet to concede a run. Miley has tossed 11 scoreless innings, striking out nine batters in two appearances this season. The under is 8-3 in the Indians last 11 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-21 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
This is 8* play on over. The Nats will host Arizona in Game 4 of a home series Sunday, and this game looks like it could be a slugfest. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for the visitors, and he hasn't missed many bats this season. The veteran has allowed 17 runs on 22 hits in just 13 2/3 innings in three appearances. The Nats hand the ball to Steven Strasburg, who was just clobbered his last time out. He was torched for eight runs on eight hits over four innings in a loss to St. Louis. The over is 6-2 in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-21 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Giants host the Reds in Game 3 of a home series Wednesday, and low scores have been the theme for San Francisco of late. Johnny Cueto will toe the slab for San Francisco, and he's looked sharp this season. Cueto (1-0, 2.51 ERA) allowed a run on four hits, striking out seven in 8 2/3 innings in a win over the Rockies in his last start. The Reds hand the ball to Tyler Mahle, who is sporting a 2.00 ERA after two appearances this season. The 26 year old struck out six, pitching four scoreless innings at Arizona his last time out. The under is 11-2-3 in Giants last 16 during game 3 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-13-21 | Angels v. Royals UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Royals host the Angels in Game 2 of a home series Tuesday, and this looks like it could well be a pitcher's duel. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for LA, and he's off to a solid start to the season. Bundy (0-0, 3.75 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a 4-2 home loss to Houston his last time out. The Royals hand the ball to Danny Duffy, and the southpaw pitched six scoreless innings in his season debut at Cleveland. He's 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA in his last two starts versus the Angels. The under is 11-5-1 in the Royals last 17 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-21 | A's v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Arizona will host Oakland in Game 1 on Monday, and we should expect a high scoring contest. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for Arizona, and he hasn't missed many bats so far. He's allowed 11 runs on 15 hits in nine innings while losing his first two starts. The A's hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, who has allowed seven runs on 13 hits 11 1/3 innings while losing his first two starts. The over is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-21 | Indians v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The White Sox host the Indians in Game 1 in Chicago today, and we might expect a pitcher's duel. Carlos Rodon will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's owned Cleveland in his career. Rodon (1-0, 0.00 ERA) allowed two hits while striking out nine in five scoreless innings in his season debut. The Indians have hit a combined .191 over 67 at bats versus Rodon. Cleveland will hand the ball to Tristen McKenzie, who was also sharp in his first start of the season. He allowed a run on two hits, striking out five in 3 2/3 innings against KC. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-21 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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04-11-21 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 35 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. |
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04-10-21 | Cubs v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 2-8 | Loss | -111 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Pirates will host the Cubs in Game 2 of a series in Pittsburgh, and these teams have already played four times so far this season. All four games went under 8.5 runs combined. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he will hope to bounce back from a loss at Wrigley. The Cubs have hit a combined .199 against Keller. The Cubs hand the ball to Zack Davies, who was pretty sharp in his season debut. He allowed a pair of runs on four hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 4-3 win over Pittsburgh. The under is 24-8-1 in Cubs last 33 overall, and the under is 8-1 in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-21 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Mets rallied to win 3-2 in Game 1 of this home series versus Miami, and we can expect another low score in Game 2. Jake deGrom will toe the slab for the Mets, and he was lights out in his season debut. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and striking out seven. The Marlins have seen plenty of him, but have hit just .190 over 199 combined at bats. The Marlins hand the ball to Trevor Rogers, who has had success against the Mets. New York has hit a combined .190 against him. The Mets rank 29th overall in the majors in runs scored so far. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-21 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 9 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show | |
8* |
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04-07-21 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 0-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Coors Field has been notorious for being a hitter's park, and early in 2021 that reputation holds true. Four of five games in Colorado have seen more than 10 runs scored. Antonio Senzatela will toe the rubber for the Rockies tonight, and he was clobbered in his season debut. He was rocked for seven runs on nine hits in just 3 1/3 innings versus LA. He was 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in two starts versus Arizona last year. The D'Backs hand the ball to Mad Bum, and the veteran is a shadow of the pitcher he once was. He was tagged for six runs on seven hits in four innings in a loss to the Padres in his season debut. These teams have gone over in four straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-21 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | 3-2 | Win | 104 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Bayern Munich has scored 14 goals while winning their last five matches in all competitions. They will miss their leading scorer Robert Lewandowski, and that should open the door for Kingsley Coman. He scored the game winner in last year's Final versus Paris. PSG has scored 67 goals in 31 matches in Ligue 1. They are not at the top of the table however, and they have won just twice in their last five matches overall. Three of the last four meetings between these teams have gone over the total, and I expect to see another high scoring game here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Bulls v. Pacers UNDER 226.5 | 113-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bulls and the Pacers sit in second and third place respectively in the Central Division, and with both teams battling for a playoff berth we should see a highly competitive game here in Indiana tonight. The total for tonight's game is higher than in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings, and nine of those 10 games saw fewer than 225 total points scored in regulation. The under is 10-3 in the Bulls last 13 overall, and the under is 13-6-1 in the Bulls last 20 games as a road favorite. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Indiana. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Borussia Dortmund v. Manchester City OVER 3 | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. This Champions League tie between Manchester City and Dortmund appears to be a mismatch, and City is heavily favored to get the victory. We might expect plenty of scoring, with Dortmund really struggling on defense this season. The German club has surrendered 10 goals while winning just once in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester City has scored 14 goals while winning five straight matches in all competitions. While City has been great defensively, Erling Haaland is always a threat to score in any situation. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-21 | Twins v. Tigers OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Minnesota Twins come into Game 2 in Detroit as winners of three of four, and they scored 15 runs in the series opener. We might expect another slugfest in the Motor City today. Casey Mize will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he is making his 2021 season debut. The 23 year old was 0-3 with a 6.99 ERA in seven starts last year. He was 0-1 with an 8.49 ERA in three starts versus the Twins. The Twins hand the ball to JA Happ, who was really roughed up in spring training. The veteran allowed 11 runs on 17 hits over just 8.2 innings in three appearances. The over is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-21 | Baylor v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 86-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both Gonzaga and UCLA hit over 57 percent from the field in the Final Four, but we can't expect that efficiency to continue here in the Final versus Baylor. The Bears are far better defensively than any of Gonzaga's previous opponents, and buckets will not be easy to come by. The total here is sky high, despite three of the last four head to head meetings falling below 155 points. Tonight's total is 10 points higher than in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Rockies host the Dodgers in the rubber game of a three game series at Coors Field, and both the first two games went over the total. Walker Buehler will toe the slab for LA, and he didn't miss many bats this spring. He was rocked for 16 runs on 26 hits over 17 innings of work. The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who also struggled this spring. He was rocked for 11 runs on 15 hits in 10 innings. The Dodgers have really roughed up Gray, batting a combined .322 over 125 at bats. The over is 20-8-2 in Dodgers last 30 games as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor UNDER 135.5 | 59-78 | Loss | -113 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 135.5. The Baylor Bears will face the Houston Cougars in the Final Four, and I expect this to be a battle. Both these teams are capable of playing lock down defense, and I expect every possession to be played with the same intensity that is normally reserved for the final minute of a tight game. The Cougars have held the opposition to an average of just 55 points in their last five overall. The under is 23-9 in the Cougars last 32 games as an underdog, and the under is 4-1 in Cougars last five NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | Thomas Almeida v. Sean O'Malley UNDER 1.5 | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 1.5 rounds. Sean O'Malley came into his last fight with a 12-0 record, but suffered his first loss by way of first round knockout versus Marlon Vera. Nine of his 13 career fights have ended in the first round, and it seems reasonable to expect another first round KO here. His opponent Thomas Almeida has lost four of his last five fights, and 19 of his 26 career fights have ended with a KO. Both fighters should be looking for the early KO, this one should end quickly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | 112-122 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 220.5. The Clippers were shorthanded in their last game, beating the Spurs by a score of 98-85. Patrick Beverly and Serge Ibaka are out, while Kawhi Leonard and Marcus Morris are questionable. LA has help opponents to an average of less than 100 points per game over their last five overall. The Sixers have also been bringing the defense, allowing just 102 points per game in their last five. The under is 5-1 in 76ers last six overall, and they have gone under in four straight on the road. These two teams have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Look for another low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 225.5 | 113-131 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 225.5. The Knicks have the NBA's top ranked defense, and one of the league's worst offenses. The Knicks are coming off a 101-100 home loss to Philly, but the under is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 games following a straight up loss. The Wizards are coming off a 113-106 loss at Brooklyn, and they have lost six of their last seven overall. The under is 11-4 in the Wizards last 15 road games, and the Wizards have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 when coming off a loss. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-21 | Derek Brunson v. Kevin Holland UNDER 2.5 | 1-0 | Push | 0 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 2.5 rounds. Derek Brunson certainly has knockout power, winning 11 of his 28 pro fights by way of knockout. He's also vulnerable to the KO, with five of his seven losses coming by way of knockout. Five of his last seven fights have ended with a knockout. His opponent Kevin Holland will be the favorite in this fight, and he's on a five fight winning streak. Three of those five wins came by way of knockout. Four of his last six fights have ended in the first or second round. I don't expect this fight to go the distance. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-21 | Atletico Madrid v. Chelsea OVER 2 | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Chelsea won the first leg of this Champions League tie by a score of 1-0, but I expect both teams to find the net here in the second leg. Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings. Madrid is more than capable, sitting top of the table in Spain, and ranking second in La Liga in scoring with 50 goals in 27 matches. There will be no point in this match where both teams are content to play for a draw, as Madrid is trailing on aggregate, and they will be pressing. If they manage to score, it will be game on. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics UNDER 228 | 117-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Jazz are coming off three straight road losses, and they should be highly motivated to get back on track here in Boston. The Celtics have won five of their last six overall, and they have played solid defense during that span. The return of Marcus Smart certainly won't hurt either. The under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 games as a home underdog, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. There is also a strong under trend in Utah's recent games at The Garden. The under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston. Tonight's total is almost 10 points higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Crystal Palace UNDER 2.25 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Goals could be hard to come by here on Saturday when two of the Premier League's bottom feeders meet at Selhurst Park. Crystal Palace has only scored three goals in their last five matches. That's still one more than West Bromwich Albion has scored in their last five matches. Only Sheffield United has scored fewer goals this season. West Bomwich Albion has failed to reach the total in five straight matches, and Crystal Palace hasn't scored in any of their last three home matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-21 | Syracuse v. Virginia UNDER 133 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. We would expect both these teams to be prepared to grind out a gutty defensive game here in the ACC Tournament. The total for this game is higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Virginia is 5-1 straight up in their last six versus Syracuse, and the Orange averaged just 50 points per game in those losses. Both these teams played a few high scoring games down the stretch, but when they get together we expect the defense to shine. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-21 | FC Porto v. Juventus OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over 2.5. Porto won the first leg of this Champions League tie by a score of 2-1, leaving Juventus a hole to dig out of. Juventus however has been in this position many times before, and with the all time leading scorer in Champions League history, they like their chances. Christiano Ronaldo has scored four goals in his last four starts, so he comes into this match on top form. Porto is the highest scoring team in their domestic league with 47 goals in 22 matches. We should expect both teams to score here in Italy. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-21 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga OVER 142 | 55-78 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. St. Mary's in one of the top defensive teams in the country, but the Gaels have had little success slowing down the Gonzaga Bulldogs. The Bulldogs rank 2nd nationally in scoring, averaging over 92 points per game. They dropped 87 on the Gaels in the most recent head to head meeting, and the over is 10-1 in the Bulldogs last 11 neutral site games. Gonzaga is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and they averaged 84 points in those games. The total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-07-21 | Texas Tech v. Baylor UNDER 139 | 73-88 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Baylor Bears beat Texas Tech 68-60 on the road earlier this season, and we should expect another defensive battle here in Sunday's game. The total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of the previous nine head to head meetings. The under is 20-8 in the Red Raiders last 28 games following an ATS win, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite, and I think they will have their hands full here against Texas Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-21 | Colorado State v. Nevada UNDER 145 | 82-85 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. There are four teams at the top of the Mountain West standings with 14 wins, one of those teams is the Colorado State Rams. The Rams will play at Nevada Friday, and we might expect both these teams to play tough defense. The Rams have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine coming off an ATS loss. The Wolfpack won by a score of 67-61 in their last home game against the Rams. I expect to see another low scoring game here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 225 | 115-112 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Atlanta Hawks have a new head coach, and they won their first game under Nate McMillan by a score of 94-80 at Miami. If that game is any indication of the style they intend to play moving forward, we could see them involved in more low scoring games. Holding the Heat to just 80 points in impressive, but also worth noting that Trey Young attempted just 12 shots, scoring 18 points on 5-of-12 shooting. The under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games as a road favorite, and the under is 37-17 in the last 54 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-21 | Canucks v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under 6.5. The Canucks have been one of the biggest disappointments so far this season, and they should be a desperate hockey club here in Winnipeg tonight. I bet on the under in the last meeting between these teams, and a game tying goal in the final minute pushed the total over. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Canucks have struggled so far, and they are coming off a 2-0 home loss to the Jets. They have been playing a desperate brand of hockey lately, resulting in just one over in their last seven games. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Jets have also been trending towards low scoring games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Jets last 8 overall. The last five head to head meetings have all gone under, and with the total over six I think the value lies with following the trends." GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-21 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 224.5 | 91-117 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Lakers rank #2 overall in the NBA in scoring defense, and they will be a home favorite Sunday against Golden State. Four of the last six head to head meetings have gone under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Warriors last six road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Lakers last six overall. The under is 21-7 in the Lakers last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. The under is 20-9 in the Lakers last 29 games following a ATS win. We should see strong defensive play here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 218 | 124-109 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Utah Jazz had won 11 of 12 prior to a loss at Miami last night. They play the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for Utah. There is no reason for Utah to get up for this game, and I wouldn't be surprised if they limit minutes for key players. The under is 6-2-1 in Jazz last nine road games, and the Magic have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Utah's #2 ranked defense matches up against the Orlando offense that ranks #28 in the NBA in scoring. This should be a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Marquette v. Connecticut UNDER 135.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Huskies won at Marquette earlier this year, holding the Golden Eagles to just 54 points. These teams have long history of playing defensive games, and they have been playing strong defense lately. UCONN has held opponents to 65.6 points per game in their last five, while Marquette has only scored 67.8 points per game in their last five. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 136.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Wisconsin has cranked up their defense, allowing just 62 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2-1 in the Fighting Illini last 10 overall, and the Badgers have failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall. The Badgers have gone under in six straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | VCU v. Davidson UNDER 132 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the under. It's almost March, and at this time of year we expect to see more emphasis on defense. Historically that has been the case when these two teams have faced each other. They have failed to reach the total in eight of the last nine head to head meetings. Davidson has really cranked up the defense, allowing an average of 58.8 points over their last five games. VCU has also been good defensively, allowing 66 points per game in their last five. The under is 7-2 in Rams last nine road games. The under is 12-4 in the Wildcats last 16 Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-21 | Flyers v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Flyers haven't had any trouble putting the puck in the net, averaging 3.44 goals per game. The return of Claude Giroux and Jakob Voracek certainly won't hurt matters. They also get a crack at a struggling goaltender here in Buffalo, with Cater Hutton filling in for the injured starter Linus Ullmark. Hutton has given up a whopping 10 goals in his last three starts. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, the over is 38-18-1 in the last 57 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Canadiens v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Under. The Habs have fired their coach off another disturbing loss at Ottawa, and yet they come into Winnipeg as the favorite? The Jets have the reigning Vezina winner in goal, and they have won six of their last 10 overall. All four losses during that span came in games decided by one goal. Montreal has won five of the last six meetings, but three of those games were decided by one goal. The under is 11-5 in the Canadiens last 16 road games, and the underdog is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-21 | Kings v. Knicks UNDER 222.5 | 121-140 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Knicks are ranked #1 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they are ranked 30th in scoring. That alone might be tempting enough to bet the under, but history shows us there are plenty of trends that are worth noting. Nine of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under, and the under is 21-8 in the Knicks last 29 overall. They have gone under in seven straight following a loss, and the under is 10-1 in their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 228.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Warriors play their second game of a back to back here in Indiana, and history suggests the total looks a bit high here. The Dubs have gone under in three of their last four road games, and they have really played strong defense during that span. The Warriors are just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Indiana, so we might not be expecting their best effort here. While these teams have gone over in six of the last 10 head to head meetings, tonight's number is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact seven of the last 10 meetings saw a number below 220. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-21 | Real Madrid v. Atalanta OVER 2.75 | 1-0 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Atalanta will host Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday, and we might expect some fireworks here. Atalanta has scored 11 goals in their last four matches, while Madrid has scored eight goals in their last four matches. Madrid has scored 42 goals in 24 matches in La Liga, only two teams have scored more. Atalanta has scored 53 goals in 23 matches in Serie A, and only Inter has scored more. Madrid faced Inter in Champions League play earlier this season, and scored five goals in two matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-21 | Jets v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Canucks have struggled so far, and they are coming off a 2-0 home loss to the Jets. They have been playing a desperate brand of hockey lately, resulting in just one over in their last seven games. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. The Jets have also been trending towards low scoring games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Jets last 8 overall. The last five head to head meetings have all gone under, and with the total over six I thin the value lies with following the trends. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 56 | 9-31 | Loss | -105 | 259 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Chiefs continue to get off to slow starts, so don't be surprised if they do it again. They spotted Buffalo an early double digit lead in the AFC Championship Game, and last year in the Super Bowl they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to overcome a 10 point deficit. Nobody would be shocked to see this trend continue in SBLV. The over is 23-10 in the Buccaneers last 33 games overall, and they have gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. This total should probably be a little closer to 60 all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-21 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The defending champs have fallen on tough times, dropping seven points out of first place behind Manchester City. Injuries on defense have been costly, and they have conceded almost twice as many goals as Manchester City. They have scored 43 goals in 22 matches, and they have scored eight goals in their last four matches. History favors the home side here, as Manchester City has never won at Anfield. Their last visit to Merseyside resulted in a 3-1 loss back in 2019. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-21 | Texas v. Oklahoma State OVER 145 | 67-75 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. Texas will play at Oklahoma State Saturday, and we are expecting a high score here in Stillwater. These two teams played three times in 2020, going over the total in all three of those games. The over is 8-0 in Longhorns last eight overall, and they have gone over in seven straight Saturday games. The over is 15-4-3 in Cowboys last 22 home games, and the over is 22-8-3 in Cowboys last 33 overall. This total should probably be a little closer to 150. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-21 | Everton v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. Manchester United scored a whopping nine goals in their last match, beating the hell out of a short-handed Southampton side. They host Everton on Saturday, and we should expect these teams to put on a show. Everton has scored seven goals in their last five matches, and they have conceded three. Manchester United leads the Premier League in scoring, but they are one of just two clubs in the top 10 that have conceded more than 25 goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | Senators v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Senators rank dead last in the NHL allowing almost five goals per game, and the Oilers are not a lot better ranking 29th in the league in goals against. At least Edmonton scores their fair share of goals as well, averaging 3.45 goals per game. The Sens offense is not nearly as potent. Still these teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with six of the last seven head to head meetings going over. That trend should continue tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Baylor Bears are still undefeated, and they will be a six point favorite on the road at Texas Tuesday. These two teams have a history of playing very defensive basketball, and the total appears a little low given the history. The Longhorns lost both meetings versus Baylor in 2020, and they failed to score 50 points in both those games. Baylor failed to score 60 points in both those games. The total was under 140 in each of the last 10 meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech UNDER 139 | 52-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Sooners are coming off a huge win over Alabama, holding the Tide to just 61 points. Oklahoma has been stellar defensively during a five game winning streak, but they are a significant underdog here in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are coming off a couple high scoring games, both of those on the road. Their last home game was a 68-60 loss to #2 ranked Baylor. History tells us that these teams have failed to reach the total in five straight head to head meetings, yet the total for this game is a little higher than it was in any of those previous contests. Oklahoma has gone under in nine of their last 12 overall, and the under is 25-9 in the Red Raiders last 34 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-21 | Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 225 | 136-106 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Rockets appeared to reinvent themselves after dealing James Harden to the Nets, and they have allowed opponents to average just 102 points per game during a five game winning streak. They will face the #25 ranked Oklahoma City offense tonight, and it appears that the bookmakers have set the total a little too high. The under is 18-7-1 in the Rockets last 26 overall, and they have gone under in 13 of their last 19 against the Thunder. The under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings in Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-21 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. After failing to score in four straight Premier League matches, Liverpool has scored five goals in their last two matches. The Reds also conceded four goals in those two matches. This won't be an easy match against West Ham. The Hammers have won five straight, scoring 11 goals in those matches. History tells us that we should expect a high score here, as the last two head to head matches saw a combined eight goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-21 | Red Wings v. Stars OVER 5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Dallas Stars scored seven goals in their season opener, and they are 3-0 ahead of tonight's home game against Detroit. Thomas Greiss has been brilliant for the Wings, going 0-3-1 with a 2.54 GAA. He has alternated starts with Jonathan Bernier, who hasn't been nearly as sharp. Bernier is 2-1 with a 3.33 GAA, and if the rotation continues he would start tonight. The Stars won Game 1 of this series by a score of 2-1, but the previous seven meetings all saw five or more goals scored. GL, Jesse Schule |