02-06-24 |
Western Michigan +10.5 v. Kent State |
Top |
61-63 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 18 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Kent State. The Golden Flashes blew out Buffalo, 83-52, on Friday, while Western Michigan lost by 10 points, 77-67, to Ball State on Saturday. Kent is 0-5 ATS its last five (and 2-9 ATS its last 11) off a SU win. And it's a wallet-busting 31-49-2 ATS as a favorite of minus 9+ points vs. MAC Conference foes. Take Western Michigan.
|
02-06-24 |
Buffalo +13 v. Bowling Green |
Top |
73-87 |
Loss |
-114 |
12 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Bowling Green. The Bulls are mired in a miserable 2-19 season, and have lost eight straight coming into this game vs. the Falcons. The good news for Buffalo is that it's won 3 straight in this series, and scored 99, 100 and 112 in those three wins. Meanwhile, the Falcons are also off a loss, 77-76, to Central Michigan, and have dropped three of their last four. And they're 3-15 ATS when laying 10+ points following a straight-up loss. Take Buffalo as a big underdog.
|
02-06-24 |
Central Michigan +14.5 v. Akron |
Top |
47-68 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Akron. After upsetting Bowling Green, 77-76, as a 9-point road dog, the Chips are 8-2 in MAC Conference play. They also enter tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak (and are 8-1 SU/ATS their last nine). Since 1990, double-digit road underdogs have cashed 61.4% in conference play, if they owned a .800 (or better) conference record (at conference game #8 forward). Take Central Michigan + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-06-24 |
Rutgers v. Maryland OVER 128 |
Top |
56-53 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the game between Maryland + Rutgers. Each of the 5 meetings between these Big 10 Conference rivals has gone under the total over the previous 3 seasons. But the O/U lines for those games were all higher than the number for today's game. Both the Scarlet Knights and Terrapins come into this game off a string of Unders. Rutgers has gone under in 3 straight, while Maryland has gone under in 4 straight. But the Scarlet Knights have gone OVER 9-3-1 after going under in 3 straight, while Maryland has gone OVER 8-3 after going under in 4 straight. I like this game to sail OVER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-06-24 |
Ole Miss +4.5 v. South Carolina |
Top |
65-68 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over South Carolina. Mississippi lost at home, 91-77, to Auburn on Saturday. We'll take the 18-4 Rebels to bounce back against the 19-3 Gamecocks, as Ole Miss is 38-15 ATS in SEC Conference match-ups between .500 or better teams, if the Rebels lost by 10+ points to a conference foe in their previous game, and their opponent was off a win. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-05-24 |
Kansas v. Kansas State +5.5 |
Top |
70-75 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over Kansas. The Jayhawks pulled off a huge win on Saturday when they upset the #1-ranked team in the KenPom.com rankings -- the Houston Cougars. Houston was 19-2 going into that game, and favored by 1 point on the road at Kansas, yet lost, 78-65. That win marked the 2nd time in the last 34 seasons that Kansas was installed as a home underdog. Notably, they won outright both times. The other time it happened was 3 seasons ago, when KU upset Baylor, 71-58, as a 4.5-point home underdog. Unfortunately, it struggled in its next game, and won by just 5 against Texas El Paso, as a 17-point home favorite. I also think Kansas will have a letdown tonight, and struggle vs. Kansas State. Obviously, it's a rivalry game. And, admittedly, a series which has been dominated by the Jayhawks, who have won 71 of the last 80 meetings. And, yes, the Wildcats have lost four straight games (and have lost five straight ATS), while Kansas is on a 3-game ATS win streak. But Big 12 Conference road teams, off point spread wins in their three previous games, have gone 6-32-1 ATS vs. foes off ATS losses in each of their three previous games, including 1-23 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. And Kansas is 2-19 ATS off back-to-back wins, when favored by more than 5 points. Take the Wildcats + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-05-24 |
Southern v. Jackson State |
Top |
72-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Jackson St. Tigers over the Southern U. Jaguars. We have two teams going in opposite directions, of late, getting together tonight in Jackson, Mississippi. The Tigers have lost their last three games, SU/ATS, while the Jaguars are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Jackson State's three losses were certainly not probable, as they were favorites in each of those three defeats at Bethune-Cookman, at Florida A&M, and vs. Grambling in the Legacy Classic, at Newark, New Jersey. The good news for the Tigers is that their are back home tonight, and I like them to bounce back, as NCAA home teams off 3 upset losses -- none of which came at home -- have covered 69% since 1990. Additionally, the Tigers fall into a system of mine which has cashed 60.8% since 1990, which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-04-24 |
Pacers -9.5 v. Hornets |
Top |
115-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets are on a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they will once again be without star LaMelo Ball. Charlotte is 15-31-1 ATS on the season. And it's 4-13 ATS as an underdog of more than 5 points vs. the Pacers, including 0-6 ATS if the Pacers were off a loss. Meanwhile, Indiana is a solid 37-22-1 ATS as a favorite when it had lost its three previous games, SU/ATS. Take the Pacers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-04-24 |
South Dakota v. South Dakota State -15.5 |
Top |
67-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits minus the points over the South Dakota Coyotes. The Coyotes have been installed as a big road underdog against their rival, S. Dakota St. We'll lay the points with S. Dakota St., as the Coyotes are a wallet-breaking 6-18 ATS away from home as an underdog of +11 (or more) points. And the Jackrabbits are a solid 51-32-1 ATS at home. Take South Dakota State minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -4.5 |
Top |
64-62 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's. The Gaels have been a poor underdog, including 46-70-1 ATS their last 117 vs. West Coast Conference foes (and 26-53-1 ATS when getting 4+ points). Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 107-79 ATS at home vs. conference foes. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Pacific +22.5 v. San Francisco |
Top |
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over San Francisco. Pacific took the Dons to the wire a month ago, and fell by just four points, 92-88. We'll grab the double-digits with Pacific on this Saturday night, as the Dons have covered just 33 of 75 conference home games when playing a revenge-minded foe. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Bucks -4.5 v. Mavs |
Top |
129-117 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Dallas. The Bucks have lost back-to-back games. We'll back Milwaukee tonight, as it's 86-47-3 ATS in the regular season off two (or more) losses. Lay the points with Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Denver v. Oral Roberts UNDER 161.5 |
Top |
76-82 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers and Oral Roberts Golden Eagles Under the total. Denver has gone Over in 11 of its last 12, including an 89-86 loss at ORU on New Year's Eve. I'll look for this game to be MUCH LOWER scoring, and take it Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Oregon State v. USC -9.5 |
Top |
54-82 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Oregon State. The Beavers lost, 71-63, at UCLA, on Thursday. We'll fade Oregon State at USC, as the Beavers are 60-89-2 ATS on the road off a road loss. Take USC. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
UC San Diego v. Long Beach State +1 |
Top |
76-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State Beach over UC San Diego. The Beach lost by 14 points earlier this season to the Tritons. We'll take the revenge-minded host this evening, as the Beach are 29-8 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss earlier in the season, if their opponent was off a SU Win. With UC San Diego, indeed, off a 21-point win over Northridge, we'll fade the Tritons today. Take Long Beach. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Duke v. North Carolina -4.5 |
Top |
84-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Duke. The Tar Heels lost both meetings last season to their rival, Duke. We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Heels, as they're 27-11-3 ATS their last 41 when favored and playing with revenge. Even better: UNC lost its previous game. And it's 14-4-1 ATS off a straight-up loss when playing the Blue Devils, including 4-0- ATS as a favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Nets +2.5 v. 76ers |
Top |
136-121 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia. The Nets lost earlier this year to Philly, 121-99. We'll take Brooklyn + the points, as it is 43-13-1 ATS on the road in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points earlier in the season. Take Brooklyn. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Drake v. Indiana State -5.5 |
Top |
67-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over Drake. These teams met back on January 10, and Drake won, 89-78, at home vs. Indiana State. But since that loss, the Sycamores have ripped off 6 straight wins (4-2 ATS). We'll lay the points as Indiana State is 15-4 ATS when playing with revenge, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -2.5 to -7.5. And it's also 18-1 ATS its last 19 lined home games, if it won its previous game, straight up. Lay the points.
|
02-03-24 |
Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 |
Top |
91-77 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Auburn. The Rebels are 6-0 ATS their last six (and 157-123-5 ATS their last 285) home games vs. foes with a winning record, including 49-39-2 ATS as a home dog. Grab the points with Ole Miss.
|
02-03-24 |
Columbia v. Dartmouth OVER 137.5 |
Top |
72-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green and Columbia Lions Over the total. Dartmouth has played 14 of its last 15 games under the total, including a 56-53 loss to Cornell last night (which went under the total of 151.5 by 42.5 points). That's led to this line being too low, and I believe the value is on the side of the OVER tonight. Take the Over.
|
02-03-24 |
Western Illinois v. SE Missouri State OVER 131.5 |
Top |
76-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. RedHawks and W. Illinois Leathernecks Over the total. The RedHawks have played their last 7 games under the total, including a 68-61 defeat at Western Illinois earlier this season. These facts have led to what my numbers indicate is a depressed over/under line, and I think it's too low. We'll take the Over.
|
02-03-24 |
Samford v. Chattanooga -1.5 |
Top |
78-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chattanooga Mocs over Samford. The Mocs are red-hot with 5 SU/ATS wins across their last five games, while the Bulldogs have lost four straight to the spread. Chattanooga falls into two 'momentum' systems of mine with records of 262-164 and 123-66 ATS. Additionally, the Mocs play this game with revenge from a 15-point loss at Samford earlier this season. And Samford is a soft 6-21 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes when Samford was an underdog (or PK). Take Chattanooga. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois -6.5 |
Top |
66-76 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
AT 4 pm, our selection is on the N. Illinois Huskies minus the points over E. Michigan. Northern Illinois is on a 10-game losing streak. We'll lay the points, as teams on losing streaks of 9+ games that are favored by 6+ points have covered 60% since 1990. Take N. Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Richmond v. VCU -3.5 |
Top |
52-63 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Richmond. The Spiders come into this game off a 14-point road win at Fordham. And that was VCU's 11th straight win. We'll fade the red-hot Spiders today, and back the Rams who are 15-2 ATS their last 17 games vs. conference foes off a point spread win (with the 2 losses each by a mere half-point), including 8-0 ATS at home. And VCU also falls into 138-78 and 216-121 ATS systems of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Morehead State v. Tennessee Tech +10.5 |
Top |
67-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles plus the points over Morehead St. A month ago, Morehead blew out Tennessee Tech, 82-57. We'll take Tennessee Tech today, as it's 44-19-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 7+ points. Take Tennessee Tech. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Grand Canyon v. Utah Valley +5.5 |
Top |
86-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Valley Wolverines + the points over Grand Canyon. The Antelopes needed overtime to defeat Seattle, 95-88, on Thursday, and avenge a loss to the Redhawks from January. This afternoon, it will be Utah Valley dressed up in the revenge role, and we'll grab the points, as Utah Valley is 7-1 SU and 5-1 ATS at home this season. And it's 16-2 ATS at home when not favored by double-digits, including 9-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Take Utah Valley.
|
02-03-24 |
Air Force +12.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
56-94 |
Loss |
-106 |
3 h 56 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over Boise State. The Falcons have been installed as a big underdog today, and they'll be looking to snap a 6-game losing streak to Boise. Air Force is a solid 71-50 ATS as a double-digit dog, including 48-31 ATS when playing with revenge. Take the Falcons.
|
02-03-24 |
Oklahoma v. UCF +1.5 |
Top |
63-74 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Oklahoma. The Sooners won at Kansas State, 73-53, on Tuesday. We'll fade Oklahoma this afternoon, as it's a horrid 0-19 ATS away from home off a conference win, if it wasn't getting 2.5 points. Take Central Florida as a home dog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-03-24 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State -10 |
Top |
80-95 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Louisiana Monroe. These teams met just six days ago, and the Warhawks upset Arkansas State, 85-82, as a 5.5-point home dog. We'll take the revenge-minded Red Wolves today, as they fall into a 186-107 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points.
|
02-03-24 |
Utah State v. San Diego State -5.5 |
Top |
67-81 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Utah State. The Aggies come into this afternoon game off a blowout win over San Jose. Unfortunately, the Aztecs are 96-54 ATS when favored (or PK) vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points. Take San Diego State to blow out Utah St.
|
02-03-24 |
Central Connecticut State +4.5 v. Merrimack |
Top |
68-71 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut St. Blue Devils + the points over Merrimack. The Blue Devils have won 4 straight games (and nine of their last 10). And they already defeated Merrimack, 75-70, last month. The Warriors have not been good at home when playing with revenge when they weren't getting 5+ points, as they've gone 2-6 ATS. We'll take Central Connecticut State + the points.
|
02-03-24 |
VMI +12 v. Mercer |
Top |
69-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
1 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Mercer. The Bears were upset, 54-49, at home on Wednesday by East Tennessee St. Mercer is 11-21 ATS at home off a straight-up loss, including 1-6 ATS off an upset loss. Take VMI.
|
02-03-24 |
Northwestern -120 v. Minnesota |
Top |
66-75 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats over Minnesota. The Golden Gophers upset the Penn St Nittany Lions, 83-74, last Saturday. Off that win, we'll fade Minnesota, as the Gophers are 37-46 ATS in Big 10 Conference play off an upset win. Take the Wildcats.
|
02-03-24 |
Connecticut v. St. John's +4 |
Top |
77-64 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the St Johns Red Storm + the points over Connecticut. UConn is on a 9-game win streak after defeating Providence, 74-65, on Wednesday. We'll fade the Huskies today at St. John's, as UConn is a wallet-breaking 30-54-1 ATS off a win by 9+ points, if it also won two games back. Grab the points with the home underdog. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-02-24 |
San Jose State +12.5 v. Nevada |
Top |
60-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 48 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over Nevada. The Spartans took it on the chin Tuesday night when they lost at Utah St, 82-61. We'll take San Jose to bounce back tonight, as it is a terrific 22-8 ATS off a loss by more than 12 points, while Nevada is 1-7 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 12+ points. San Jose also falls into a 577-385-16 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. Grab the points with the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-02-24 |
Siena +13 v. Rider |
Top |
50-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints + the points over Rider. These two teams met earlier this season and Siena won that game, 67-65, as a 3.5-point home underdog. They're getting double-digits tonight, and we'll happily take the Saints + the points on the road. Indeed, Rider has been an unreliable team at home when favored by more than 9 points, as it has gone 7-22 ATS. And the Broncs are a poor 6-13-1 ATS their last 20 games vs. the Saints. Take Siena + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-01-24 |
UC-Davis +4 v. UC-Santa Barbara |
Top |
79-69 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies + the points over UCSB. The Aggies were upset, 92-59, at home by UC San Diego, on Saturday. We'll take Cal Davis to bounce back, as it is 13-1-1 ATS on the road off an upset conference loss. Take the Aggies.
|
02-01-24 |
CS-Northridge +11 v. UC San Diego |
Top |
62-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on Cal State Northridge + the points over UC San Diego. The Matadors are a solid 14-5 ATS this season. And they're also 10-2 ATS their last 12 road games, including 5-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points. Take the Matadors + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-01-24 |
Eastern Washington v. Montana State +4 |
Top |
60-70 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats + the points over Eastern Washington. The Eagles are on a 9-game win streak following their 85-70 triumph over Northern Arizona, as a 13-points home favorite. We'll fade the Eagles tonight, as single digit road favorites, off a SU/ATS win, and 9 (or more) wins, overall, have gone 239-293-16 ATS. Additionally, the Bobcats fall into a 137-78 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with win worse conference records than their opponent. Take the Bobcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-01-24 |
Idaho +15 v. Montana |
Top |
70-73 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Montana. The Vandals have been installed as a big underdog tonight vs. the Grizzlies. We'll grab the points, as Idaho is a super 83-57-3 ATS as a conference underdog of +9 (or more) points. Additionally, Montana is a poor 17-37-1 ATS at home off a SU win, if it was matched up against an opponent off a SU loss. Take the Vandals + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
02-01-24 |
Texas-Arlington +1.5 v. Southern Utah |
Top |
76-68 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks + the points over Southern Utah. The Mavericks will look to bounce back tonight from back-to-back losses at Abilene Christian, and at home to Grand Canyon. Texas Arlington is a solid 48-25 ATS off back to back losses. Take the Mavericks.
|
02-01-24 |
IUPU-Indianapolis +12.5 v. Green Bay |
Top |
56-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 12 Noon, in an early start, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Green Bay. The Phoenix blew out Detroit, 78-64, on Saturday, while IUPUI lost at home, 83-76, to Wright St. We'll take the Jaguars this afternoon, as Horizon League road underdogs of more than 10 points have gone 97-66-5 ATS if they lost their previous game, and were playing a conference foe off a SU win. Even better: Green Bay is a wallet-breaking 45-70 ATS off back to back conference wins. Take IUPUI. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-31-24 |
Rice v. Memphis -14.5 |
Top |
74-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Rice. The Tigers are on a 3-game losing streak after being upset on Sunday by UAB. And Memphis had won 10 straight games immediately before its current 3-game losing streak. We'll take Memphis to bounce back, as it's 32-15-2 ATS off back to back conference losses, while Rice is 1-11-1 ATS its last 13 conference games. Take the Tigers.
|
01-31-24 |
Incarnate Word v. Tex A&M Commerce -4.5 |
Top |
66-71 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Commerce Lions minus the points over Incarnate Word. When these teams last met, the Cardinals upset the Lions, 79-75. We'll take the revenge-minded Lions, as they've covered 75% when playing with revenge from an upset loss, while the Cardinals have covered just 36% when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset in the prior meeting. Take Texas A&M Commerce. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
01-31-24 |
Kings v. Heat +1.5 |
Top |
106-115 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 49 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Sacramento Kings. The Heat are currently riding a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak, and reside in 7th place in the Eastern conference with a 24-23 record. They'll welcome the 27-21 Kings to Kaseya Center tonight, and will look to halt the Kings' 4-game win streak. Miami is 65-37-3 ATS off back to back losses, when playing a foe off a SU win. And Miami is also 59-37-3 ATS off 3 (or more) ATS losses. Take the Heat. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-31-24 |
Richmond v. Fordham +2.5 |
Top |
83-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams + the points over Richmond. The Spiders are 15-5 SU and 15-4-1 ATS, and have been installed as a road favorite tonight. We'll fade the Spiders, as they're 0-6 SU/ATS their last six as a road favorite (or PK). Meanwhile, Fordham is a stellar 31-15-1 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. foes with an ATS win pct. above .600. Take Fordham + the points.
|
01-30-24 |
Michigan +12.5 v. Michigan State |
Top |
62-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points against Michigan St. The Wolverines come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and have been installed as a double-digit underdog vs. their rival, Michigan St. We'll grab the points, as Big 10 Conference double-digit road underdogs have cashed 58% off 3 SU/ATS losses over the past 34 seasons. And in this rivalry series, double-digit underdogs off back to back losses have gone 5-0 ATS. Take Michigan.
|
01-30-24 |
San Jose State +13.5 v. Utah State |
Top |
61-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Utah St. San Jose was blown out on Saturday by UNLV, 77-65. We'll take the Spartans to bounce back, as they're 19-6 ATS off a loss by more than 5 points. And Mountain West Conference underdogs of more than 13 points have gone 125-86 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Grab the points with San Jose. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-30-24 |
SE Missouri State +3 v. Lindenwood |
Top |
54-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 1 m |
Show
|
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. Redhawks + the points over Lindenwood. The Lions upset SEMO earlier this month, 74-68, as a 3-point road underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded Redhawks tonight, as they're 13-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss to a conference foe earlier in the season. Take the Redhawks + the points.
|
01-30-24 |
St. Louis +10 v. Loyola-Chicago |
Top |
62-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens + the points over Loyola Chicago. These two teams met earlier this month in St. Louis, and the Ramblers upset the Billikens, 80-73, as a 2-point road underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded road team tonight, as the Ramblers have covered just five of their last 26 home conference games, including 0-12-1 ATS when priced from -7.5 to -20 points, and 2-10-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe. And the Billikens are 47-26 ATS away from home when getting double-digits. Take St. Louis. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.
|
01-30-24 |
Texas Tech v. TCU -4 |
Top |
78-85 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders upset Oklahoma on Saturday, in Norman. We'll fade Texas Tech in Fort Worth tonight, as it is a soft 91-125-3 ATS on the conference road, including 39-63-2 ATS vs. foes off a win. Take TCU. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-29-24 |
Bucks v. Nuggets -4 |
Top |
107-113 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 53 m |
Show
|
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are in the rare (for them) position of being an underdog tonight. And they've woefully underperformed as an underdog of +1.5 points (or more) when they've owned a win percentage of .650 (or better). Dating back to May 2019, they're 1-22 ATS. Meanwhile, Denver is 28-10-1 ATS at home vs. winning foes when not laying double-digits. Take Denver minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-29-24 |
Houston v. Texas +5.5 |
Top |
76-72 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 45 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over the Houston Cougars. Houston comes into this game off a 77-54 blowout win over Kansas State. Unfortunately for Kelvin Sampson's men, they're 2-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win over a conference foe. The Longhorns have won 43 of their last 49 home games, straight-up. And NCAA home underdogs have gone 211-167 ATS vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home dog has won at least 34 of its previous 40 home games, straight up. Additionally, the Cougars have covered just 9 of 29 road games vs. foes that have won at least 34 of their previous 40 home games. Take Texas + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-29-24 |
Pelicans v. Celtics -8 |
Top |
112-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New Orleans. The Celtics lost at home to the Clippers, 115-96, on Saturday. We'll take the Celts to bounce back, as they're 54-31 ATS in the regular season off a home loss by 15+ points. The Pelicans are also off a blowout loss, 141-117, at Milwaukee. But New Orleans is a soft 13-24 ATS off a 15-point (or worse) defeat. Take Boston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-28-24 |
Lions v. 49ers -6.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-115 |
147 h 11 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Detroit. This is the 49ers' 3rd straight game at home, and they failed to cover the point spread in the first two (with a 21-20 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, and a narrow 3-point win last week vs. the Green Bay Packers). I think the 3rd time will be the charm, as NFL home favorites have covered 65.9% since 1980 off back to back ATS losses at home. Even better for San Francisco: its defense ranked among the top 3 in points allowed (17.5) in the regular season, while Detroit's defense ranked in the bottom 10 (23.2). Detroit was especially poor against the pass, as its defense ranked next-to-last in passing yards per attempt (7.8). In contrast, the 49ers ranked #5, and gave up just 6.4 yards per pass attempt. In NFL Conference Championship games, road teams that give up more than 19.3 ppg have covered the spread just 33% of the time. And, finally, Detroit is a dreadful 14-32-1 ATS on the road if it owned a win percentage of .700 (or better), and it won its previous game, including 0-10 ATS its last 10, if it was an underdog of +5 or more points. Take the 49ers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-28-24 |
Purdue v. Rutgers +10.5 |
Top |
68-60 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over the Purdue Boilermakers. The Boilers were our preseason choice to win the National Championship (at 15-1 odds) and they haven't disappointed thus far, with an 18-2 record and #1 national ranking. But one team which has dominated Matt Painter's men in recent season has been Rutgers, with seven straight ATS wins. (Purdue did win the previous meeting by 5 points, but failed to cover the spread in that game.) We'll take Rutgers as a huge home underdog, as Purdue is 16-45 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. revenge-minded foes, if Purdue was off a SU win. Take the Scarlet Knights + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
CS-Northridge +14.5 v. Cal-Irvine |
Top |
72-77 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northridge St. Matadors + the points over Cal Irvine. The Matadors were upset at home, 64-56, by Cal Bakersfield, on Thursday. We'll take the Matadors as a double-digit dog today, as Big West Conference road underdogs of 10+ points have gone 27-7 ATS off a home loss, when matched up against conference foes off a road point spread win. Take Cal State Northridge. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Gonzaga v. Pacific +25.5 |
Top |
82-73 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Gonzaga. The Tigers scored the least amount of points by any team in a lined basketball game this season when they tallied just 28 in Thursday's loss to St. Mary's. Off that debacle, we'll back them at home tonight, as home dogs have covered 70.3% since 1990 after a SU/ATS loss in which they scored less than 35 points. Take the Tigers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Massachusetts v. St. Louis +4.5 |
Top |
84-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 24 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens + the points over Massachusetts. The Billikens suffered a blowout loss here, at home, on Wednesday, as Davidson drilled them, 84-61. The Billikens are 10-1 ATS their last 11 (and 45-19 ATS their last 64) as home underdogs off a SU loss. Take St. Louis + the points.
|
01-27-24 |
San Francisco v. Portland +13.5 |
Top |
76-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over San Francisco. The Dons have dropped their last 2 games, and they're a road favorite vs. the Pilots. These two teams met two weeks ago in San Francisco, and the Dons blew out Portland, 96-69. We'll take the revenge-minded Pilots, as West Coast Conference teams have gone 96-77-4 ATS as underdogs, if they were playing with revenge against a conference foe off back to back losses. Take Portland + the points.
|
01-27-24 |
Clippers +7.5 v. Celtics |
Top |
115-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers plus the points over Boston. The Celtics routed L.A., 145-108, back in December. We'll take the Clippers to avenge that loss, as .650 (or better) teams have gone 93-72 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 25 points earlier in the season. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Southern -9 |
Top |
66-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff. The Jaguars are on a 2-game losing streak. But those two losses were at Bethune-Cookman and Grambling. Southern U. is back home in Baton Rouge today. And the Jaguars are 18-5 ATS their last 23 in front of their home faithful. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Houston Christian v. Incarnate Word -4.5 |
Top |
75-79 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Incarnate Word Cardinals minus the points over Houston Christian. The Huskies upset New Orleans, 88-80, on Monday. We'll fade them on the road this evening, as the Huskies are 2-10 ATS away from home off an ATS win. Lay the points with Incarnate Word.
|
01-27-24 |
76ers v. Nuggets -5.5 |
Top |
105-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
At 5:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers. Last week, the Nuggets lost at Philly, 126-121. We'll take the Nuggets to avenge that defeat, as it's 11-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and not laying 9+ points. Take Denver.
|
01-27-24 |
Mississippi Valley State +17 v. Grambling State |
Top |
46-54 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils + the points over Grambling. The Delta Devils fell at home, 81-70, to Florida A&M on Monday. And that was their 3rd straight ATS loss, overall. We'll take Mississippi Valley to get back into the ATS win column today, as it's 25-15 ATS when on an ATS losing streak, and also 8-2 ATS when it's on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak. Take the Delta Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Alcorn State -3 v. Florida A&M |
Top |
76-67 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn St. Braves minus the points over Florida A&M. The Braves are 7-2 ATS as road favorites of less than 7 points, while the Rattlers are a soft 2-11 ATS at home when not getting 7+ points. Take Alcorn St. minus the points.
|
01-27-24 |
Heat +4.5 v. Knicks |
Top |
109-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks. Miami comes into this game off a 143-110 blowout loss, at home, to Boston. And that was Miami's 5th straight loss (both SU and ATS), overall. We'll take the Heat to bounce back as they're 42-18-3 ATS as road underdogs off a 20-point (or worse) defeat. And they're also 12-1 ATS on the road off 4+ ATS losses. Take Miami.
|
01-27-24 |
Northern Illinois +4.5 v. Ball State |
Top |
71-81 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Ball St. The Huskies lost at home, 89-73, to Toledo on Tuesday. We'll take N. Illinois + the points, as it's a solid 44-20 ATS as an underdog away from home in MAC Conference games, if it's off a home loss. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-27-24 |
Kansas v. Iowa State -4.5 |
Top |
75-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 59 m |
Show
|
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones minus the points over Kansas. The Cyclones are 12-0 at home this season, and 11-1 ATS. And they've covered the point spread at home by an average of 9.5 ppg. Meanwhile, the Jayhawks are 3-6 ATS this season away from home, and they've failed to cover the spread in those games by 3.89 ppg. The Cyclones are a solid 122-95-4 ATS at home vs. conference foes when ISU has owned a winning record. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..
|
01-27-24 |
Detroit +12 v. Green Bay |
Top |
64-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 30 m |
Show
|
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Green Bay. The Phoenix were a 3-point home dog, and won by double-digits, 69-59, over Oakland on Thursday. They're not favored by double-digits against Detroit. We'll fade Green Bay, as Horizon League home favorites of more than 10 points are a poor 65-97 ATS off a win, if matched up against a conference foe off a loss. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-26-24 |
Magic -5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
106-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Magic dropped to 23-21 on the season after getting blown out, 126-99, at home vs. Cleveland. They'll travel to Memphis tonight to take on a Grizzlies team which upset Miami, 105-96, on Wednesday, for its second straight win. We'll fade Memphis, as it is a miserable 43-83 ATS vs. sub-.600 opponents off an 18-point (or worse) defeat, including 7-23 ATS if Memphis was off back-to-back wins. Additionally, Orlando is 26-15 ATS its last 41 as a road favorite. Lay the points with the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-25-24 |
Pacific +27.5 v. St. Mary's |
Top |
28-76 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over St. Mary's. The Gaels went into San Francisco on Saturday, and upset the Dons, 77-60. Off that emotional win, we'll fade St. Mary's tonight, as it's 5-14-1 ATS off an upset win. Even better: West Coast Conference underdogs of more than 20 points have gone 28-8 ATS if they lost their two previous games SU/ATS. Take Pacific + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-25-24 |
Detroit +12.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee |
Top |
71-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Panthers have lost their last two games by 18 and 14 points (at N. Kentucky and at Wright St.). We'll fade Milwaukee, as it's a money-burning 16-44-4 ATS off a double-digit road loss, including 1-16 ATS its last 17. Take Detroit + the points.
|
01-25-24 |
Drexel v. Towson -1 |
Top |
67-70 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Towson Tigers minus the points over Drexel. Both of these teams come into this game off SU/ATS wins. Drexel blew out Delaware, 86-67, while Towson thumped Campbell, 77-43. When these teams last met, the Dragons upset Towson, 73-66. We'll take the Tigers to avenge that defeat, as they're an awesome 71-40 ATS when playing with revenge (and also 8-3 ATS when playing with revenge vs. the Dragons). Additionally, the Dragons are a dismal 18-35-1 ATS on the road off an ATS win. Lay the points with Towson. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-25-24 |
Binghamton +7.5 v. New Hampshire |
Top |
73-79 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Binghamton Bearcats + the points over New Hampshire. The Bearcats suffered their fourth straight loss (and 6th straight ATS loss) when they were blown out, 80-60, at home by UMass-Lowell on Saturday. We'll take the Bearcats to get off the schneid tonight, as they're 21-5 ATS away from home off a loss, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +12.5 points. That bodes well for Binghamton tonight. Additionally, the Bearcats fall into a 109-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses. Grab the points with the Bearcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-25-24 |
Bryant v. NJIT +8.5 |
Top |
70-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Tech Highlanders + the points over Bryant. The Bulldogs are a road favorite tonight in Newark against a Highlanders team on a 5-game losing streak. We'll take the home underdog, as New Jersey Tech is 30-18 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points off a loss. Take New Jersey Tech.
|
01-25-24 |
Youngstown State v. IUPU-Indianapolis +14.5 |
Top |
78-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Youngstown St. This is a revenge game for the Jaguars, as they lost by 10 at Youngstown on Jan 7. We'll grab the points as Youngstown is a woeful 25-48-1 ATS when playing a conference opponent it defeated in each of the season's prior meetings. Take IUPUI. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-25-24 |
North Florida v. Bellarmine +3 |
Top |
71-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bellarmine Knights + the points over North Florida. The Ospreys come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak following their 91-75 blowout win against Queens U., NC, while the Knights are on a 9-game losing streak (and have failed to cover their last five). We'll take the Knights as a home underdog, as the Ospreys are a poor 8-25 ATS away from home after scoring 79+ points, including 0-6 ATS as a favorite. And the Knights also fall into a 73-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take Bellarmine. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-24-24 |
Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 |
Top |
116-126 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 9 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Cleveland. The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game with a 126-99 blowout of Chicago on Monday. We'll fade the Cavaliers on the road at Milwaukee, as NBA teams on a 5-game (or better) win streak have gone 16-46 ATS if they won their previous game by more than 25 points. Take Milwaukee minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-24-24 |
Drake v. Missouri State +7.5 |
Top |
80-83 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri St. Bears + the points over Drake. The Bulldogs routed Evansville, 97-48, on Saturday. Unfortunately, Drake is a dreadful 0-8 ATS off a win by 27+ points. And it's 9-24 ATS its last 33 at Missouri St. Grab the points with the home underdog Bears.
|
01-24-24 |
Indiana State v. Illinois-Chicago +12.5 |
Top |
89-83 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 55 m |
Show
|
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Indiana St. The Sycamores are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. But they're a wallet-breaking 7-15 ATS as a favorite after winning their three previous games SU/ATS. Even worse: Missouri Valley Conference teams off a SU/ATS win have gone 113-169-8 ATS vs. .400 (or better) foes on a 3-game ATS losing streak. Take Illinois-Chicago + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-24-24 |
Auburn v. Alabama -3 |
Top |
75-79 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn. The Crimson Tide come into this game off a 20-point blowout loss at Tennessee. But that was on the road, where Alabama is 12-19-1 ATS its last 32. At home, in Tuscaloosa, it's been a different story, as 'Bama is 17-1 SU and 13-5 ATS its last 18. And it's 29-14-2 ATS off a double-digit loss. Lay the points.
|
01-24-24 |
Wolves -11 v. Wizards |
Top |
118-107 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 8 m |
Show
|
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Washington. The T-Wolves dropped their second straight game on Monday when they were stunned by the Charlotte Hornets, 128-125, as a 14-point favorite. We'll take Minny to rebound tonight, as it's 23-11 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-1 ATS when favored by 15 or less points (or PK). And in the 2nd half of the NBA season, .625 (or better) teams have covered 73% as a road favorite following a straight-up loss to a sub-.250 opponent. Take Minnesota minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-24-24 |
Samford v. Furman -2.5 |
Top |
68-78 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford. Furman's on a 4-game win streak, and will look for their 5th straight win when they welcome the 17-2 Bulldogs to Timmons Arena. The Paladins have dominated at home, as they're 85-20 SU and 67-36-2 ATS their last 105 lined games, including 5-0 ATS vs. .880 (or better) foes. And Furman is 21-10 ATS in the last 31 meetings with the Bulldogs, including a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS when priced from -1.5 to -4.5 points. Lay the points with Furman. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-23-24 |
Missouri +11.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
57-63 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 43 m |
Show
|
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Texas A&M. The Tigers are mired in a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak. And they've also lost 8 straight games (1-7 ATS) to teams not on the Added Board. Still, I will grab the points with Missouri tonight, as SEC Conference teams have gone 96-66-1 ATS in conference games, if they were off 4 ATS losses, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win. And, although there's nothing wrong with 96-66, we can improve our numbers to 20-3 ATS since Jan. 14, 1995 by restricting our plays to double-digit underdogs. Grab the points with Missouri. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-23-24 |
Blazers +14.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
109-111 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City. The Trail Blazers have likely done something this season never before done by another NBA team: they have lost two consecutive meetings to an opponent by a combined 105 points. Portland lost at home to OKC in November, 134-91, and then fell by 62 points just 12 days ago, 139-77. Indeed, in the last 34 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes), the most a team had ever lost 2 straight meetings to an opponent was a combined 94 points. Coincidentally, that honor goes to Portland's opponent tonight, Oklahoma City. Back in 2008, the Thunder (then the Seattle SuperSonics) lost back to back meetings to Denver by scores of 168-116 and 138-96). Of course, the third time was the charm for Seattle that night, as they upset the Nuggets, 151-147, as 12.5-point underdogs. We'll take the points with Portland in this major revenge spot, and we will note that road teams have gone 19-7 ATS when playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) road defeat earlier in the season (including 10-1 ATS if our road team was a double-digit underdog). Take Portland + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-22-24 |
Golden Knights v. Devils -114 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 57 m |
Show
|
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Vegas Golden Knights. After a successful home-stand that saw them go 4-1 in five games on the Vegas Strip, the defending champion Knights will head east for a four-game road trip before the All Star break. Those four victories at home are made even more impressive when you consider the incredible litany of injuries Vegas is going through at the moment. No fewer than 10 regular players are out due to various ailments, including #1 goalie Adin Hill, all-star caliber center Jack Eichel, and veteran defenseman Shea Theodore. That successful home-stand also raised the Knights' record at T-Mobile Arena to a very nice 18-5-2. However, on the road they have struggled this season winning just nine times in 21 games away from the Strip. The Devils lost their last game here at home, 6-2 to the Dallas Stars, but are 13-7 in their last 20 immediately following a game in which they allowed four or more goals. New Jersey has also won two of the last three meetings with the Knights. Take the Devils. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
|
01-22-24 |
Northwestern State v. Southeastern Louisiana -5.5 |
Top |
62-71 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
At 7 pm, our selection is on the SE Louisiana Lions minus the points over Northwestern St. The Lions were blown out, 68-52, by Texas A&M-Commerce on Saturday. We'll take SE Louisiana to bounce back off that defeat as it's 30-15 ATS its last 45 off a double-digit loss. Additionally, the Lions play with double-revenge, including a double-digit upset loss to Northwestern St. last season. Lay the points with SE Louisiana. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
|
01-21-24 |
Chiefs v. Bills OVER 46 |
Top |
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
134 h 11 m |
Show
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At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills OVER the total. Last week, the Chiefs held the high-octane Miami Dolphins' offense -- which was averaging 29 ppg -- to just 7 points. And that game went under the total of 43.5. But NFL teams that hold a Playoff opponent to 20+ points less than their scoring average (and went Under the total in that win), have proceeded to go 12-0 OVER the total in their next game. Moreover, after its 31-17 win against the Steelers, Buffalo's home playoff games have now gone 11-1 Over when the line was 48 or less points. Take the Chiefs and Bills Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-21-24 |
Bucs v. Lions OVER 48 |
Top |
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
131 h 40 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Bucs to go OVER the total. This game will be played at Ford Field, which is an enclosed stadium. And enclosed stadia tend to be higher scoring as they're not exposed to the (sometimes) inclement weather, and have gone Over the total 59.5 percent since 1980. That's one reason I favor a high-scoring game. Another is that Detroit has gone 18-2 Over at home if it wasn't off a game which went Over the total (including 12-0 Over if the O/U line was 47+ points). Take the Lions and Bucs Over. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-21-24 |
Bucs v. Lions -6 |
Top |
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
131 h 39 m |
Show
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At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Tampa Bay. We played on Detroit last week as a 3-point home favorite and unfortunately lost, as Detroit won that game, 24-23. We'll come right back with Dan Campbell's men in this Divisional round game. The Lions are a super 18-5 ATS under Campbell if their opponent wasn't off a straight-up loss. Additionally, Tampa Bay has held its last two opponents (Eagles, Panthers) to 9 combined points. And NFL teams have covered just 31% in the Playoffs after not giving up 10+ points in either of their two previous games. Take Detroit to blow out the Buccaneers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-20-24 |
Cal Poly +11.5 v. CS Bakersfield |
Top |
53-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 1 m |
Show
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At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Bakersfield. The Roadrunners routed Cal Riverside, 80-56, in their most recent game. Unfortunately, the Roadrunners are a terrible 15-33-2 ATS off a SU win, including 3-14-1 ATS at home. Take Cal Poly + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-20-24 |
Idaho v. Weber State -15 |
Top |
65-88 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber St. Wildcats minus the points over Idaho. The Vandals are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. I look for this streak to extend to 5 games tonight, as Idaho is a soft 27-48-1 ATS off a point spread loss. Lay the points with Weber St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-20-24 |
Packers v. 49ers -10 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-107 |
112 h 52 m |
Show
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At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Green Bay. The 49ers had last week off following their 21-20 loss to the LA Rams, as a 6-point home favorite, to end the regular season. Meanwhile, the Packers went into Dallas and shocked the Cowboys last week, 48-32, as a 7-point road underdog. Unfortunately, it's tough to pull off two road upsets in a row in the Playoffs. We'll fade Green Bay, as NFL road teams, with a sub-.666 record, have cashed just 40% on the post-season road since 1980, if they won as a road dog in the Playoffs the previous week. Even worse for Green Bay: the 49ers are 70-31 ATS off an upset loss, if the 49ers were favored by 3+ points in their previous game. Take San Francisco minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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01-20-24 |
Pittsburgh +13.5 v. Duke |
Top |
80-76 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
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At 8 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Duke. The Panthers lost by 22 to Duke earlier this month. And they also lost their last game by 11 points to Syracuse. We'll take the revenge-minded Panthers tonight, as ACC Conference underdogs of +6 (or more) points have gone 49-27 when playing with revenge from a 20+ point defeat, if they also lost SU in their previous game. Take Pitt.
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01-20-24 |
Sam Houston State v. Liberty -9 |
Top |
66-82 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 14 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Sam Houston St. The Flames have dropped their last five to the point spread. But I like Liberty to snap its ATS losing streak this evening. The Flames are a solid 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 as home favorites. And they also fall into a 40-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks. Lay the points.
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01-20-24 |
Oklahoma State +9.5 v. Kansas State |
Top |
66-70 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over Kansas St. The Cowboys have lost their last four games SU/ATS. We'll take Oklahoma State this evening as underdogs in Big 12 Conference games have gone 91-70-5 ATS when they had lost their 3 previous games SU/ATS. Take the Cowboys.
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01-20-24 |
Portland +11.5 v. Santa Clara |
Top |
86-101 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over Santa Clara. The Pilots are 7-11 after its loss at San Francisco last Saturday. We'll take Portland, as the Broncos are a brutal 25-48 ATS when favored by more than 3 points at home against losing teams. Take Portland + the points.
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01-20-24 |
Hawaii +4.5 v. UC San Diego |
Top |
61-67 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over UC San Diego. The Rainbows come into this game off a SU/ATS loss on Thursday at Long Beach State. We'll take Hawaii + the points, as it's 18-11 ATS off a point spread defeat. Take the Rainbows.
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01-20-24 |
Mercer +14 v. Samford |
Top |
80-87 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
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At 6 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over Samford. The Bulldogs have been installed as a large home favorite. We'll grab the points with the Bears, as they're 15-5 ATS when getting 12+ points. And Samford is a wallet-breaking 5-14 ATS off a win, if it was laying double-digits at home. Take Mercer. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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