Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on New York Knicks -2.5 The Key: The Nets are in a letdown spot off their 106-105 upset win over the Raptors last night. They’re also a tired team as they’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. The Knicks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. The home team is 3-0 in the last three meetings, including a 19-point win and a 16-point win by the Knicks in the last two meetings in New York. The Nets are 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Take New York. |
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12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +6.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +6.5 The Key: The Nuggets just had their 7-game winning streak come to an end in Charlotte last night. I always like going against teams who just had a long winning streak ended because they seem to be deflated the next game out. And the Nuggets will now be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. Plus, they’ll be without two of their best players in Paul Millsap and Gary Harris. Millsap suffered a broken toe against the Hornets last night, and his loss is a big one for this team. Harris is the Nuggets’ leading scorer this year. And they’re already without Will Barton. The Hawks are rested having two days off prior to this game, and they’ll be playing only their 3rd game in 8 days. The situation really favors Atlanta. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season. The Hawks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a double-digit home loss. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Atlanta. |
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12-08-18 | Buffalo -7 v. St Bonaventure | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -7 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. They have moved up to No. 17 in the rankings this week and are off to an 8-0 start. And now they want some revenge on St. Bonaventure after losing 4 straight meetings in this series between these upstate New York rivals. Buffalo has gone on the road and beaten West Virginia 99-94 as 10.5-point dogs, Southern Illinois 62-53 as 4-point favorites, and San Francisco 85-81 as 4-point favorites. Those are 3 really good teams. St. Bonaventure is in a rebuilding year. The Bonnies are just 4-5 with their 4 wins coming against Jackson State, Canisius, Delaware State and Siena all at home. They have lost to Bucknell at home, as well as Niagara, Georgia State, Boise State and Akron on the road. Those last four losses all came by 8 points or more. That’s why I think Buffalo has no problem covering this 7-point spread today. The Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in road games off a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Bonnies are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games after committing 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game. Take Buffalo. |
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12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs +1 | Top | 120-133 | Win | 102 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +1 The Key: I love the situation here for the Spurs. They blew a big lead against the Lakers on Wednesday and lost 113-121. Now they get their chance at revenge just two days later, this time in San Antonio. And I think they get that revenge tonight. The Lakers are banged up right now as they were already playing without Rajon Rondo, and now they’ll also be without starter Brandon Ingram for their next two games. And they are playing a back-to-back here with Memphis on deck tomorrow night. They won’t be nearly as hungry as the Spurs here, and they will be looking to limit their starters’ minutes if they can. The Spurs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. The Spurs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 Friday games. The underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take San Antonio. |
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12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers -13 | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -13 The Key: This really feels like a get right game for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They are just 1-6 SU in their last 7 games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. But the Suns are the worst team in the West at 4-20 on the season, and they are 1-11 on the road while losing by 14.6 PPG on average. The Suns are also 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, losing 5 times by double-digits, including 4 straight by 14 points or more. And now the Suns are without their two leading scorers in Devin Booker and TJ Warren. They are already short on talent, but they really stand zero chance of being competitive without these two, who combine to average 41.2 PPG on the season. The Blazers are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Take Portland. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 37.5 | Top | 9-30 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
7* Jaguars/Titans NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 37.5 The Key: The Jaguars and Titans played in a 9-6 ugly defensive battle in their first meeting in Jacksonville that saw 15 combined points. I think we see another ugly defensive battle in the rematch, especially with the Jaguars going with Cody Kessler again at quarterback. His first start last week resulted in a 6-0 win over the Colts. The Jaguars have a great defense that ranks 3rd in the NFL in total defense at 315.6 YPG allowed. The Titans also have a great defense that ranks 9th in the NFL in total defense at 340.9 YPG allowed. And both teams have been terrible on offense. The Jaguars are 24th in total offense and the Titans are 28th. The Jaguars are 30th in scoring offense at 16.9 PPG, while the Titans are 28th at 18.4 PPG. I don’t think either team tops 20 points in this one. The UNDER is 6-1 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC South teams. The UNDER is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 vs. division opponents. Take the UNDER. |
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12-05-18 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 102-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
7* 76ers/Raptors ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -6 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are coming off a rare loss this season to drop to 20-5 on the year. They should come back hungry here against the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The home team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings with the only exception being the Raptors winning at the 76ers last year. The Raptors are 12-0 SU in their last 12 home meetings with the 76ers with all 12 wins coming by 8 points or more. Chalk up another win by 8-plus points tonight for them. Take Toronto. |
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12-05-18 | Marshall -1 v. Duquesne | 82-93 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -1 The Key: There’s a lot to like about this Marshall team that returns 4 starters behind underrated head coach Dan D’Antonio. They are 5-2 this season with both of their losses coming on the road to very good Maryland and Ohio teams. They should be able to handle this Duquesne squad that returns just 2 starters and lost by 21 to Pitt and by 11 to Notre Dame, failing to cove the spread in both those games. Their 4 wins have all come at home against William & Mary, Illinois-Chicago, Redford and UMass-Lowell. Marshall is their stiffest competition at home thus far this season. The Thundering Herd are 15-3 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons. Duquesne is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 home games with a total set of 160 or higher. Take Marshall. |
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12-04-18 | Kings -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 122-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Sacramento Kings -5.5 The Key: The Sacramento Kings come in on 2 days’ rest. It will also be just their 3rd game in 9 days. They will run the Phoenix Suns to death, and the Suns won’t be able to do much about it. The Suns are expected to be without their top two scores in Devin Booker and T.J. Warren, who combined to average 41.2 PPG this season. That’s a lot of production to have to replace. There’s just not much talent on this roster outside those two, and that’s evident with their 4-19 record this year. The Kings are 9-1 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Suns are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, losing 4 times by 11 points or more. Take Sacramento. |
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12-04-18 | Providence v. Boston College -3.5 | 100-95 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boston College -3.5 The Key: Boston College is a veteran team with 4 returning starters. That has helped the Eagles to a 6-1 start hit season that includes a 68-56 home win over a Minnesota team that returned all 5 starters. Providence only has 2 starters back this year and is 6-2. The six wins have come against weak competition, and they lost to Wichita State on a neutral and Michigan on a neutral by 19. This will be the first true road game of the season for Providence. The Friars are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games. The Friars are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Friars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road meetings with the Eagles. Take Boston College. |
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12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles -6 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
7* Redskins/Eagles NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -6 The Key: The Eagles are in true must-win mode here. They can’t lose this game because they’d be 5-7 and two games back of the 7-5 Cowboys with a head-to-head loss to them already, so essentially three games back. The Redskins could afford a loss and still recover. The Eagles can’t. And I like the momentum the Eagles have from coming from 19-3 down to beat the Giants last week, 25-22. Now they should be able to win by a touchdown or more against a banged-up Redskins team playing with a backup QB. The injuries have taken their toll on the Redskins. They are 1-3 in their last 4 games overall and their lone win against the Bucs was a fluke. The Bucs had 501 total yards but managed just 3 points. Figure that one out. Bets on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a game where they committed non turnovers against an opponent that had a -3 turnover margin or worse last game are 25-6 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take Philadelphia. |
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12-03-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 236.5 | 129-126 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Clippers/Pelicans UNDER 236.5 The Key: Both the Pelicans and Clippers will be gassed tonight. Both are playing for a second consecutive night after playing on the road last night. They will have tired legs, and that will affect their shooting more than anything. These teams played earlier this season on October 23rd and combined for 225 points. I think this 236.5-point total is too high given that result and the situation. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Take the UNDER. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots OVER 48.5 | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
7* Vikings/Patriots NFL Total of the Week on OVER 48.5 The Key: Two of the better offenses in the NFL go at it this afternoon in New England. Both the Patriots and Vikings are loaded with weapons and great quarterback play. And both defenses are down a notch from year’s past as well. Minnesota is 14-2 OVER in its last 16 games off three straight division games. New England is 6-0 OVER in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards per play in its previous game. The OVER is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 road games. The OVER is 6-1 in Vikings last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the OVER. |
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12-02-18 | Ravens v. Falcons -2.5 | 26-16 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
6* NFL Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Falcons -2.5 The Key: The Falcons come in on extra rest having played last Thursday. They had their chances to beat the Saints on the road but squandered several opportunities with 4 turnovers, including 3 deep in New Orleans territory. But they’re back home and rested this week and should be primed for a big performance against the Ravens. This is a Ravens team that is getting too much love for wins over the Bengals and Raiders in consecutive weeks at home. But now they are back on the road where they are 2-3 this season. The Ravens are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a win by more than 14 points. Take Atlanta. |
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12-02-18 | Broncos v. Bengals +4.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
6* AFC Game of the Day on Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 The Key: The Bengals are rejuvenated now with Jeff Driskel replacing Andy Dalton at quarterback. They had a huge second half against the Browns last week with Driskel under center. And now he gets another weapon in his arsenal this week with the much-anticipated return of AJ Green. The Broncos are getting too much respect from the books after their improbable wins over the Chargers and Steelers as underdogs the last 2 weeks. Now they’re being asked to go on the road and win by a margin as 4.5-point favorites. This is not their preferred role. These are two 5-6 teams fighting to stay alive for the playoffs, and we’re getting the home team at an excellent price. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Cincinnati. |
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12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State UNDER 53 | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Fresno/Boise MWC *CA$H COW* on UNDER 53 The Key: This will be the 4th meeting between Fresno State and Boise State in the last 2 seasons. It will be the 2nd consecutive year that they’ve played in the regular season and then also in the MWC Championship Game. To say they are familiar with one another would be an understatement. And that clearly favors the UNDER. They have combined for 45, 31 and 41 points in their first 3 meetings, and now we have a total of 53 here. That’s 14 points more than the 39 points they have averaged in their 3 previous meetings. Fresno is 9-0 UNDER off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Fresno is 6-0 UNDER in road games this season. The UNDER is 19-7 in Bulldogs last 26 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at Boise State. Take the UNDER. |
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12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +28 | 42-10 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
6* Clemson/Pitt ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +28 The Key: The Pitt Panthers pulled the 43-42 upset over Clemson back in 2016 as 21.5-point underdogs. They know what it takes to hang with this team. And they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, so oddsmakers have failed to give them the respect they deserve here down the stretch. It’s happening again here Saturday as they are 28-point underdogs to the Tigers. Dano Swinney is only 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points as the coach of Clemson. This is the spot that the Tigers have failed to cover time and time again when the expectations are too high. Take Pittsburgh. |
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12-01-18 | Celtics +2.5 v. Wolves | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
6* NBA Game of the Day on Boston Celtics +2.5 The Key: Boston handled its business in a 128-95 home win over Cleveland last night. The Celtics were able to rest their starters late because of the blowout, negating the impact of this back-to-back. They also had 3 days’ rest coming into that game, so this will still be just their 2nd game in 5 days. They will have plenty left in the tank for the Timberwolves, who are starting to get too much love after a 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS stretch coming into this game. But those 4 wins all came against bad teams in the Nets, Bulls, Cavs and Spurs, four teams who are below .500. Boston is 10-1 ATS following a blowout home win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston. |
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12-01-18 | Tulsa +7.5 v. Utah | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Game of the Day on Tulsa +7.5 The Key: Utah is a rebuilding team with just one returning starter and they should not be favored by 7.5 over Tulsa today. Utah’s 3 wins have come against Maine, Grand Canyon and Miss Valley State. They lost by 9 at Minnesota, by 11 to Hawaii on a neutral and by 22 to Northwestern on a neutral. They clearly aren’t very good. Tulsa is 5-2 with its only losses coming as underdogs to Nevada and Southern Illinois. And they only lost by 7 to Nevada as 14-point dogs, and Nevada is unbeaten and one of the best teams in the country. Take Tulsa. |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +12 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
7* Alabama/Georgia SEC Game of the Year on Georgia +12 The Key: Georgia wants to avenge its 26-23 (OT) loss to Alabama in the championship game last year. This is the opportunity they’ve waited a year for, and I expect them to take advantage. They are the team best equipped to beat Alabama in the country. They have an elite defense and an experienced offense with yet another elite running game, plus Jake Fromm calling the shots at quarterback. Bets on neutral field underdogs who average 200 or more rushing yards per game after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-4 ATS since 1992. Take Georgia. |
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11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2 | 113-112 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Nuggets/Blazers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Portland -2 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Blazers as short home favorites over the Nuggets tonight. And we’re getting this price because the Blazers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in an are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. The Nuggets are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. Those recent performances are giving us line value on the Blazers. The home team is 6-1 SU in the last 7 meetings. Portland is 32-12 SU in its last 44 home meetings with Denver. The Blazers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games. Take Portland. |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
7* NIU/Buffalo NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Buffalo -3 The Key: I believe Buffalo to be the better of these two teams, and I don’t really even think it’s close. While NIU has the better defense, they don’t have the offense that can keep up with Buffalo. The Bulls score 35.2 PPG this season behind a balanced attack with 200 rushing yards and 219 passing yards per game. And they have a pretty good defense of their own giving up 24.2 PPG. NIU averages a putrid 19.9 PPG and 318 YPG. The Huskies give up 20.9 PPG, so they have a good defense, but they are actually getting outscored and outgained on the season. They were fortunate to make the MAC Championship to say the least as the MAC West was down this season. The Huskies are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a neutral field underdog. Buffalo is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS against MAC opponents this season. They are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games dating back to last season. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Take Buffalo. |
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11-30-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +2 | 72-66 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Iowa +2 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are off to a 6-0 start this season. They are one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten due to their 5 returning starters. They have already beaten Oregon and UConn in New York and they should be able to beat Wisconsin at home tonight. Iowa beat Wisconsin 85-67 as 2.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting last season. The Hawkeyes are 28-10 ATS in their last 38 home games against teams who force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take Iowa. |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +2.5 | 133-121 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Clippers/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +2.5 The Key: The Kings should be able to beat the Clippers at home tonight given their massive advantage in this situation. They come in on 3 days’ rest and are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on 3 or more days’ rest. The Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their win over the Suns last night. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Kings have covered the spread in 6 straight Thursday games. Take Sacramento. |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* Saints/Cowboys NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +8 The Key: The Saints are doing something that is rarely seen in the NFL. They come in 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. But now the love for the Saints is getting to be too much as they’re being asked to lay more than a touchdown on the road here against the Cowboys. And this is a Cowboys team that has played much better since trading for Amari Cooper. They have won and covered 3 straight coming in. Their offense is good enough to hang with the Saints, and they have the 3rd-best scoring defense in the NFL giving up only 19.4 PPG. The Saints are not good on defense, and the Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against teams who give up 350 or more yards per game. Take Dallas. |
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11-28-18 | Bulls +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 113-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls +14.5 The Key: The Bulls want to avenge their 19-point loss to the Bucks earlier this month. And I can’t see the Bucks being too hungry to beat the Bulls by another big margin in this rematch. And the Bucks haven’t been covering of late so they shouldn’t be this big of favorites. They are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and have lost outright as favorites in two of those. They are just 19-47 ATS in their last 66 tries when favored by at least 10 points. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Bulls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 meetings with the Bucks. Take Chicago. |
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11-28-18 | Wizards +6.5 v. Pelicans | 104-125 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards +6.5 The Key: The Wizards are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Pelicans are slumping, going 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They lost to the Wizards by 10 just the other night and are now favored by 6.5 points in the rematch. I like the Wizards to hang tough again and possibly win this game outright. New Orleans is 0-7 ATS off two or more consecutive losses this season. The Pelicans are 1-8 ATS after scoring 105 points or more in 4 straight games this season. The Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. The Pelicans are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss. The Wizard are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings in New Orleans. Take Washington. |
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11-28-18 | Rutgers +11.5 v. Miami-FL | 57-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
6* ACC/Big Ten Challenge *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +11.5 The Key: Rutgers is 4-1 this season with all 4 wins coming by double-digits. They should be able to hang with Miami, which has had some ugly showings. Miami only beat Bethune-Cookman 78-70 as 27-point home favorites. They only beat Fresno State 78-76 as 8-point neutral court favorites. And they lost to a bad Seton Hall team 81-83 as 4.5-point neutral court favorites. They should not be this heavily favored against Rutgers tonight. Miami is 5-17 ATS as a home favorite or PK over the last 3 seasons. The Scarlet Knights are 11-3 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. The Hurricanes are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 home games. Miami is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 vs. Big Ten teams. Take Rutgers. |
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11-27-18 | Virginia Tech -4 v. Penn State | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
7* VA Tech/Penn State ESPN 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -4 The Key: Virginia Tech has been mighty impressive during its 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS start this season. The Hokies have beaten Purdue along the way and should be able to handle another Big Ten opponent tonight in Penn State. The Nittany Lions have already lost two games. They were upset by DePaul on the road and also upset by Bradley on a neutral court. Their 3 wins have come against North Florida, Jacksonville State and Wright State. So Virginia Tech is by far the best opponent that the Nittany Lions will have faced. The Hokies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 November games. The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten teams. Take Virginia Tech. |
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11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans -4 | Top | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
7* Titans/Texans AFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -4 The Key: The home team has won and covered 5 straight in this series between the Titans and Texans. The Texans have won each of their last 6 meetings with the Titans all by 6 points or more. And those 6 wins have come by an incredible 20 points per game. With the Texans looking to avenge their 17-20 loss at Tennessee in their first meeting this season, I think they’ll have no problem covering this 4-point spread at home tonight. And Marcus Mariota is far from 100% as he was questionable all week leading up to this game. Take Houston. |
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11-26-18 | Spurs -6 v. Bulls | 108-107 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -6 The Key: The Spurs will be hungry for a victory after losing 3 of their last 4 coming in. And they should be able to get back on track against a Chicago Bulls team that has been playing awful for weeks. The Bulls are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 5 points or more, including 4 by 15 points or more. The Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. The Spurs have won their last 3 meetings with the Bulls by 39, 10 and 19 points. Expect another double-digit blowout win in their favor tonight. Take San Antonio. |
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11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -3 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
7* Packers/Vikings Sunday Night Game of the Year on Minnesota -3 The Key: The Vikings are as healthy as they’ve been since Week 1. The Packers have several key players questionable or out for this game. And the Vikings are sure to be hungry off a loss to the Bears last week. The Packers have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in and just aren’t a very good team. Aaron Rodgers lacks weapons because of all the injuries, and the defense remains poor. The Packers have the biggest home/road split of any team in the NFL over the past decade. They are great at home but terrible on the road. The Packers are 0-5 SU & 1-3-1 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 8.2 PPG. No team has been as good as the Vikings at home over the past several season. Minnesota is 36-16-2 ATS in its last 54 home games. Mike Zimmer is 27-11 ATS in home games as the coach of Minnesota. This line of -3 seems very cheap Sunday night. Take Minnesota. |
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11-25-18 | Giants +5.5 v. Eagles | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Giants/Eagles NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +5.5 The Key: Saquon Barkley guaranteed the Giants would win their final 8 games coming out of their bye. And don’t look now, but they’re 2-0 since that guarantee with a realistic path to win the NFC East if they keep winning. And now they face the Eagles, who are coming off back-to-back ugly losses to the Cowboys and Saints, including their 7-48 loss at New Orleans last week. The Eagles are marred by injuries to several of their best players. Their secondary is a mess, and even Eli Manning should be able to light it up. I also like that this is a revenge game for the Giants after their 13-34 home loss to the Eagles earlier this season. That was a very misleading final as the Giants actually outgained the Eagles 401 to 379 in that contest. The Giants are 40-21 ATS in their last 61 road games off two or more consecutive wins. Philadelphia is 0-10 ATS vs. teams who allow 6.0 or more yards per play over the last 3 years. Take New York. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks v. Panthers -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Panthers NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina -3 The Key: The Carolina Panthers have had a huge home/road split this season. They are just 1-4 on the road, but 5-0 at home. And now they’re home here against the Seahawks Sunday. I think we get a big effort from the Panthers off 2 consecutive road losses. Players will have coach Ron Rivera’s back after his decision to go for a 2-point conversion to try and beat the Lions last week. Rivera is 22-4 ATS off a road loss as the Panthers’ coach, including 9-1 ATS off an upset road loss. Take Carolina. |
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11-24-18 | South Carolina +26.5 v. Clemson | Top | 35-56 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
7* South Carolina/Clemson ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on South Carolina +26.5 The Key: Clemson will make the four-team playoff no matter what happens in this game against South Carolina as long as they beat Pitt next week in the ACC Championship. The Tigers are getting too much love now after going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They did not cover as 29.5-point favorites against Duke last week in a 29-point win. And now they are 26.5-point favorites against South Carolina, a team that is much better than Duke. The Gamecocks have their best offense of the Will Muschamp era this season as they are scoring 32.8 PPG. And they still have a solid defense. They have what it takes to stay within 4 touchdowns of the Tigers. The Gamecocks are 7-0 ATS in road games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. South Carolina is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 road games overall. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Take South Carolina. |
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11-24-18 | Georgia Southern -10.5 v. Georgia State | 35-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on Georgia Southern -10.5 The Key: Georgia Southern currently sits at 8-3 while having a tremendous season in the Sun Belt. Two more wins and they can get to 10, which would be a huge accomplishment at the FBS level. Georgia State has lost six straight while going 0-5-1 ATS in the process to drop to 2-9 SU & 2-8-1 ATS on the season. This game is a matchup problem for Georgia State. The Panthers have a horrible defense that gives up 37.6 PPG and 499 YPG on the season. Their biggest weakness is against the run, where they give up 248 RYPG and 6.6 YPC. Georgia Southern is a triple-option team that rushes for 259 RYPG and 5.2 YPC. They will have their way on the ground against the Panthers today. The Panthers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Take Georgia Southern. |
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11-24-18 | Navy +6.5 v. Tulane | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
6* AAC Game of the Day on Navy +6.5 The Key: Navy isn’t a team that’s going to quit. The Midshipmen showed that the last two weeks as they gave UCF a run for their money in an 11-point loss as 23.5-point dogs, and they beat Tulsa 37-29 as 5.5-point favorites. They should be able to stay within a touchdown of Tulane and possibly pull the upset today. Tulane is not playing well, only beating ECU by 6 as 10.5-point favorites, and losing 17-48 to Houston as 7.5-point dogs the last two weeks. They are choking away their chance at making a bowl for a second straight season. Navy is 82-45 ATS in its last 127 road games. The Midshipmen are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 coming in. The Green Wave are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games off a blowout loss by 21 points arm ore to a conference opponent. Ken Niumatalolo is 22-12 ATS as a road underdog as the coach of Navy. Take Navy. |
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11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -2 | Top | 28-15 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
7* Washington/Wash State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Washington State -2 The Key: This year just feels different. I know Washington has owned Washington State in the Apple Cup, but this is the best Cougars team that Mike Leach has had yet. And I think they’re ready to take that next step. The Cougars are 10-1 SU & 10-1 ATS this season, getting overlooked all year. Their only loss came early in the season by a field goal at USC. Washington has been overvalued all season, going 8-3 SU & 2-9 ATS. The Huskies are 0-6 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better this season. Take Washington State. |
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11-23-18 | Pelicans v. Knicks +7 | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +7 The Key: I like the situation for the Knicks tonight. They’ll be looking to avenge a 124-129 road loss at New Orleans as 11-point underdogs on November 16th. And they don’t have to wait long to do it as this game will be played exactly one week to the day later. Bets on underdogs who are revenging a same season loss who are also off an upset win as a road dog of 10 points or more are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New York. |
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11-23-18 | East Carolina +17 v. Cincinnati | 6-56 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
6* ECU/Cincinnati AAC *CA$H COW* on East Carolina +17 The Key: Cincinnati is coming off its Super Bowl last week against UCF that decided the AAC East title. After losing that game 13-38, I just can’t foresee the Bearcats playing well this week as a hangover is in effect. And now they’ll be up against an ECU team that has proven it can play with anyone, especially now that freshman QB Holton Ahlers has taken over. Ahlers has played the better part of 5 games this season, throwing for over 1,600 yards with 11 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. He has added 571 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground, putting up monster numbers in only a handful of games this year. And he’ll make enough plays to keep the Pirates in this game Friday as well. The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 37 points or more. Take East Carolina. |
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11-22-18 | Falcons v. Saints OVER 60 | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *Total* Annihilator on OVER 60 The Key: The Falcons and Saints should both top 30 points in this game tonight. They combined for 80 points in the Saints’ 43-37 win over the Falcons in the Georgia Dome in their first meeting. And now this total has been set 20 points lower than that result. They’re back in a dome here in New Orleans. Take the OVER. |
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11-22-18 | Redskins +7 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
7* Redskins/Cowboys NFC East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7 The Key: The Cowboys win two games on the road and all of a sudden they are laying 7 points at home to the Washington Redskins. They haven’t been favored by 7 points or more in any game this season. And the Cowboys are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite when playing on less than 6 days’ rest. Colt McCoy is one of the best backups in the league and has even guided the Redskins to a win in Dallas previously. Take Washington. |
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11-22-18 | Colorado State +14.5 v. Air Force | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Colorado State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on Colorado State +14.5 The Key: Both Air Force and Colorado State have fallen short of bowl eligibility this season. So both teams are playing for pride, and I don’t see an advantage for either team in that department. Both are coming off crushing losses, but I was way impressed with Colorado State’s 24-29 loss as 29.5-point underdogs to Utah State last week. Utah State is one of the best teams in the country, and the Rams outgained them 506 to 310 for the game and really should have won. The Rams average nearly 300 passing yards per game this season, and they should have their way with an Air Force defense that gives up 8.7 yards per attempt through the air this year. Air Force is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado State. |
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11-21-18 | Blazers v. Bucks -7 | Top | 100-143 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Week on Milwaukee Bucks -7 The Key: The Bucks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and will be fresh for the Blazers. They also want revenge from a 103-118 loss at Portland in their first meeting this season on November 6th. The Blazers are in a tough situation here. They’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 118-114 win in New York last night. The Bucks are 8-1 SU at home this year and winning by 15.3 PPG on average. The Bucks are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with Portland. Take Milwaukee. |
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11-21-18 | San Diego State v. Iowa State -3 | 57-87 | Win | 100 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
6* SDSU/Iowa State NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -3 The Key: Iowa State has 3 newcomers this season that have been their 3 best players. Marial Shayok is averaging 19.2 PPG and 7.2 RPG, Michael Jacobson is averaging 17.4 PPG and 7.2 RPG, and Taken Horton-Tucker is averaging 17.2 PPG and 6.4 RPG. This trio is flying under the radar. They have allowed the Cyclones to flourish this season despite all their injuries and suspensions to 3 returning starters and 1 other key player. They should handle this overmatched San Diego State squad today that lost by 26 to Duke and needed a late rally to beat Xavier. Iowa State thumped Illinois 84-68 after blowing a late lead against Arizona thus far. The Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Take Iowa State. |
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11-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-91 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
7* Arizona/Gonzaga ESPN *BAILOUT* on Arizona +10 The Key: The Arizona Wildcats were impressive in their 71-66 win over Iowa State yesterday. They are now 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS as head coach Sean Miller has done a great job of reloading with talent via transfers this season. They should be able to hang with Gonzaga, which barely beat Illinois 84-78 yesterday as 15.5-point favorites. I like the fact that Arizona played before Gonzaga yesterday, so they will be the more rested team, and they will have had the opportunity to watch the Zags. They should be able to stay within 10 points of the Bulldogs tonight. Arizona is 11-1 ATS in road games after covering 2 of their last 3 ATS over the last 3 seasons. Gonzaga is 0-7 ATS off 4 straight games where it made 47% of its shots or better over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. teams who make 52% of their shots or better. Take Arizona. |
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11-20-18 | Clippers v. Wizards +1 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +1 The Key: The Washington Wizards had yesterday off and should be a hungry team tonight with all of the trade talks surrounding them right now. The Clippers played last night and needed a big comeback late to beat the Hawks. They will now be playing for a second consecutive night and won’t have much left in the tank. This is a great situation spot to back the Wizards, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after losing at home by 10 or more points in their previous game. Take Washington. |
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11-19-18 | Chiefs v. Rams OVER 62.5 | Top | 51-54 | Win | 100 | 116 h 4 m | Show |
7* Chiefs/Rams MNF Total of the Year on OVER 62.5 The Key: This game has been moved from Mexico City to Los Angeles, yet the total hasn’t moved one bit. If anything it has gone down. They were going to play on a terrible, sloppy field, and now they are going to play on a perfect field in perfect weather. It’s going to be great scoring conditions Monday night for two of the best offenses in the NFL. The Chiefs are putting up 35.3 PPG while the Rams are putting up 33.5 PPG. And I expect both teams to reach or exceed their season averages in this contest. It will be similar to the 45-35 Saints game the Rams played two weeks ago, and the 43-40 game the Chiefs played against the Patriots several weeks back. Both offenses will shine, and the defenses will do little to stop them. The OVER is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 road games. The OVER is 21-10 in Rams last 31 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the OVER. |
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11-19-18 | Spurs +7.5 v. Pelicans | 126-140 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 The Key: The Spurs had 2 days off prior to beating the Warriors 104-92 last night. That should help ease the effects of this back-to-back situation. They should still be competitive against the Pelicans tonight, especially catching 7.5 points here. The Pelicans are getting a little too much respect from the books after going 5-1 in their last 6 games. New Orleans is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games after having won 3 of its last 4 games coming in. The Pelicans are 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% of their attempts or better this season. Take San Antonio. |
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11-18-18 | Bucs v. Giants -1 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show |
7* NFC Game of the Month on New York Giants -1 The Key: Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley both stated that the Giants are going to win their remaining 8 games and salvage their season. While I don’t believe them, I do think they’ll win this week against the Bucs. And they won their first game back from the bye over the 49ers to start the streak. It just shows that they aren’t quitting. And it’s worth noting they played the toughest schedule in the NFL in the first half of the season. It gets easier now, and it started with the 49ers and moves on to the Bucs this week. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall. The Bucs managed just 3 points in a 16-3 loss to an injury-ravaged Redskins team ripe for the picking. Things are not good in Tampa Bay right now. The Giants are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Bucs. Take New York. |
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11-18-18 | Titans v. Colts -1 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Titans/Colts AFC South *CA$H COW* on Indianapolis -1 The Key: Andrew Luck is 9-0 SU & 8-0-1 ATS in in his last 9 meetings with the Titans. He makes all the difference for this team. And the Colts are flying under the radar right now. They have won their last 3 games by a combined 49 points. Now they catch the Titans in a tough spot off their win over the Patriots last week. They are in line for a letdown here. Take Indianapolis. |
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11-18-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Falcons | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 85 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Cowboys/Falcons NFC *CA$H COW* on Dallas +3.5 The Key: The Cowboys got the statement win they needed with a 27-20 upset as 7.5-point road dogs at Philadelphia last week. It gave them the confidence they needed to make a push for the NFC East title in the second half of the season. And now they face a reeling Falcons team that just lost to the lowly Brown 16-28 last week. The Cowboys have a much improved offense with Amari Cooper now, giving them the threat on the outside they have been missing. The Cowboys should be able to do whatever they want to offensively against a Falcons defense that is yielding 28.2 PPG and 415 YPG. They are giving up 5.2 yards per carry and 70.4% completions to opposing quarterbacks. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after gaining 400 or more yards in their last game. The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. teams who allow 375 or more yards per game. Take Dallas. |
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11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6.5 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 71 h 21 m | Show | |
6* UNLV/Hawaii Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Hawaii -6.5 The Key: The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 6-5 this season. But they need one more win for a bowl because they play 13 games, which requires 7 wins. And they have a road game on deck next week against San Diego State. So this will be Hawaii’s Super Bowl. And they should be well prepared considering they had a bye last week to get ready for it. UNLV played and won its Super Bowl last week in a 27-24 upset at San Diego State as 24-point dogs. But San Diego State was looking ahead to its game with Fresno State this week to decide the division title. And UNLV won’t show up at all this week against the Rainbow Warriors in my estimation. UNLV is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games off a road win against a conference opponent. Take Hawaii. |
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11-17-18 | South Alabama v. UL-Lafayette -17 | 38-48 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on UL-Lafayette -17 The Key: Lafayette sits at 5-5 and one win away from bowl eligibility here as they host South Alabama. They want to take care of business here on Senior Day and will be hungry to do so because they don’t want to try and have to win next week against red-hot Louisiana-Monroe on the road. They should handle their business against South Alabama, which is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 17 points or more. The Jaguars are 0-5 on the road this season and losing by 32.6 PPG on average. Lafayette is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS at home and scoring 45.2 PPG with 554 YPG. Their offense is built to cover big spreads like this. South Alabama is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after having lost 6 or 7 of its last 8 games coming in. The Jaguars are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games. The Rajin’ Cajuns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take UL-Lafayette. |
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11-17-18 | Indiana +28.5 v. Michigan | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Indiana/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Indiana +28.5 The Key: Michigan has its Super Bowl on deck against Ohio State. I have to think the Wolverines will be looking past the Hoosiers and ahead to that game, which will decide the Big Ten East champion and possibly which team makes the four-team playoff. Any lack of focus out of the Wolverines this week and it’s going to be tough to cover this 28.5-point spread. Even if they show up it’s going to be tough because the Hoosiers are no pushovers. They have yet to lose a game by more than 26 points despite playing a rugged Big Ten East schedule. Jim Harbaugh is 0-6 ATS off a win by 35 points or more as the coach of the Wolverines. Take Indiana. |
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11-17-18 | Air Force v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 27-35 | Win | 100 | 64 h 21 m | Show |
7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming -2.5 The Key: Wyoming has fought its way back into bowl contention at 4-6 on the season. The Cowboys went on the road and beat Colorado State 34-21 and topped San Jose State 24-9 at home. Then they had a bye last week to get ready for the stretch run, where now if they beat Air Force and New Mexico they will get to a bowl, which is very doable. It starts with taking care of Air Force here, and they have the rest advantage because Air Force played New Mexico last week. The Falcons only run the football as they average just 14 pass attempts per game. That bodes well for Wyoming, which is giving up just 114 rushing yards per game and 3.5 per carry this season. The Falcons are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games, and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Wyoming. |
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11-17-18 | Liberty +28 v. Auburn | 0-53 | Loss | -106 | 64 h 20 m | Show | |
6* NCAAF Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Liberty +28 The Key: Auburn has the Iron Bowl on deck against Alabama next week. The Tigers just lost to Georgia last week. This is a sandwich game for them. They had a similar situation earlier this season when they only beat Southern Miss 24-13 at home as 27.5-point favorites. Now they’re 28-point favorites against Liberty here, a Liberty team that has been competitive in almost every game this season. Liberty is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a road dog of 21.5 or more points. Take Liberty. |
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11-16-18 | Memphis v. SMU +9 | Top | 28-18 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 27 m | Show |
7* Memphis/SMU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on SMU +9 The Key: SMU can clinch a bowl berth with a win Friday night at home over Memphis. Memphis has already clinched a bowl at 6-4. It’s clear to me the hungrier team will be the home underdog Mustangs. And they are fighting for a bowl and have been for weeks, going 3-1 in their last 4 games with their only loss coming to nationally ranked Cincinnati in overtime. They upset Tulane as 9.5-point road dogs 27-23 and upset Houston 45-31 as 14-point home dogs. And now they are catching too many points against Memphis. The Tigers are just 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS on the road this season, where their defense is giving up 42 PPG and 504 YPG. SMU has topped 500 total yards in each of its last two games against Houston and UConn while averaging 53.5 PPG and should be able to move the ball at will. Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points who scored 42 or more points in 2 straight games coming in are 44-12 ATS over the last 5 years. Take SMU. |
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11-15-18 | Florida Atlantic v. North Texas -3.5 | Top | 38-41 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 52 m | Show |
7* FAU/North Texas C-USA *HEAVY HITTER* on North Texas -3.5 The Key: North Texas wants revenge from two losses to FAU last season. They lost 69-31 in the regular season and 41-17 in the conference championship game. But there’s no question the Mean Green have the better team in 2018, and it will show on the field Thursday night. The Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 November games. Take North Texas. |
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11-15-18 | Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Seahawks NFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 49.5 The Key: Based on series history this total has been set too high. The Packers and Seahawks have combined for 48 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last 4 meetings. They’ve averaging just 40.5 PPG combined at the end of regulation in those 4 meetings. The UNDER is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 Thursday games. Take the UNDER. |
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11-14-18 | Pelicans -1 v. Wolves | Top | 100-107 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Timberwolves ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -1 The Key: The Pelicans have won 3 in a row and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight. They should have plenty of energy to give to the Timberwolves, who just traded away Jimmy Butler. So the Timberwolves are in transition right now with Robert Covington and Dario Saric expected to make their team debuts. And Andrew Wiggins and Jeff Teague are questionable for the Timberwolves tonight. The Pelicans are expected to get Nikola Mirotic back in the lineup, and Elfrid Payton could return as well as he’s listed as questionable. Either way, I like the Pelicans in this spot because they are the better team with Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday leading the way. The Pelicans are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games after scoring 120 points or more. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games. Take New Orleans. |
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11-14-18 | Seton Hall v. Nebraska -7.5 | 57-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Seton Hall/Nebraska NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska -7.5 The Key: Nebraska is a legit contender to win the Big Ten this season. The Huskers went 22-11 last season and 13-5 in Big Ten play. And now they have 4 starters and each of their top 4 starters back from that squad, including James Palmer Jr. and his 17.2 PPG. Seton Hall is not going to be very good this season with the losses of 3 of their top 4 scorers in Khadeen Carrington, Angel Delgado and Desi Rodriquez, who combined to average 46.7 PPG. The loss of that trio is a huge one for this Pirates program, which is now in rebuilding mode. They return just one starters in Myles Powell. The Huskers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games and 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Take Nebraska. |
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11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio -2.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Buffalo/Ohio MAC *CA$H COW* on Ohio -2.5 The Key: Buffalo knows it can clinch the MAC East title with a win over Bowling Green next week. They won’t be putting all their eggs into one basket here against Ohio because of it, knowing they have another shot to clinch next week if they should lose this game. I think Ohio comes in determined after a tough 2-point loss to Miami Ohio last week with the safety being the difference. Ohio has gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their previous 6 games before that one and were playing some great football. Now they want to prove that they are the best team in the MAC East by beating Buffalo tonight, and keeping their hopes alive of winning the division. The Bobcats are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS at home this year and winning by 23.7 PPG on average. Ohio is 10-1 SU in its last 11 home meetings with Buffalo. The Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. good offensive teams that score 34 or more points per game. Take Ohio. |
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11-13-18 | Hornets -8.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-113 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -8.5 The Key: The Cavs are decimated by injuries right now. They are without 3 starters in Cedi Osman, George Hill and Kevin Love. They are also without key reserves Kyle Korver and Sam Dekker, and fellow reserve JR Smith is questionable. I just don’t see how they can even be competitive tonight against the Charlotte Hornets, who are one of the most improved teams in the league. The Hornets already beat the Cavs 126-94 back on November 3rd in their first meeting this season, and I think we see a similar result tonight given the Cavs’ injury situation. Cleveland is 4-21 ATS in its last 25 home games with a total set of 210 to 219.5. The Cavs are 19-42-1 ATS in their last 62 home games overall. The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. Take Charlotte. |
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11-13-18 | Wisconsin +1 v. Xavier | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin +1 The Key: The Wisconsin Badgers return 95% of their scoring from a year ago and all 5 starters. They also have all of their key reserves back. They basically don’t lose anyone. Xavier loses its top 3 scorers from last season and 2 key reserves. The Musketeers are in trouble this season. That was evident last time out when they only beat Evansville by 6, an Evansville team that lost by 39 to Illinois the game prior. Take Wisconsin. |
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11-12-18 | Spurs -2.5 v. Kings | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Spurs/Kings Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -2.5 The Key: The Spurs love facing the Sacramento Kings. They are 14-0 SU in their last 14 meetings, and 7-0 SU in their last 7 meetings in Sacramento. And with a spread of just 2.5 tonight, the price is right to lay it with the Spurs to earn their 15th straight win over the Kings. They basically just have to win the game to get the cover. The road team is 20-8-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. The Spurs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to Sacramento. Take San Antonio. |
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11-12-18 | Giants v. 49ers -3 | Top | 27-23 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
7* Giants/49ers NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco -3 The Key: I know the 49ers aren’t going to quit. They show up every week looking to win. And it paid off last week with a 34-3 victory over the Oakland Raiders. That coincided with Nick Mullens taking over for the terrible CJ Beathard at quarterback. And Mullens has now earned another start after tossing 3 touchdown passes in the win. The Giants are still going with Eli Manning. He has started every game and the Giants are 1-7. Their offense is about as inept as any in the league because of Eli and a terrible offensive line. The 49ers have the better offense and the better defense, and they’re home on Monday Night Football. I think the price is right to lay the field goal with them here. The Giants are 1-9 ATS in all games with a line of +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The 49ers are 26-6 ATS in their last 32 MNF games. Take San Francisco. |
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11-12-18 | 76ers v. Heat -2 | 124-114 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -2 The Key: The Heat have playoff revenge in mind from the 76ers knocking them out in the first round last year. And they will be playing a depleted 76ers team that is without Jimmy Butler, Dario Saric and Robert Covington, the 3 players in the big trade with the Timberwolves. The Heat should be able to get a win and cover here at home Monday night given the situation. The Heat are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games vs. teams who attempt 27-plus free throws per game. Take Miami. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks +10 v. Rams | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Seahawks/Rams NFC West *CA$H COW* on Seattle +10 The Key: Russell Wilson has never been a double-digit underdog in his career. And he has only been a dog of 7.5 or more 3 times. It’s no surprise that the Seahawks are 3-0 ATS in those 3 games. I think the price is right to pull the trigger on the Seahawks here. They just had their bye 2 weeks ago and came back from it with a 28-14 win at Detroit. They should still be fresh. The Rams haven’t had their bye yet and are starting to show signs of wearing down, especially defensively where they are allowing 27.3 PPG in their last 6 games overall. And that’s why the Rams are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Only one of those 6 games resulted in a double-digit win by the Rams. The Rams are also 2-10 ATS vs. excellent passing teams who complete 64% of their passes or better over the last 3 seasons. Their pass defense has been leaky, and Russell Wilson should be able to exploit it. Take Seattle. |
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11-11-18 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 50.5 | Top | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
7* NFC Total of the Year on Seahawks/Rams OVER 50.5 The Key: The Seahawks and Rams combined for 64 points in their first meeting this season. And now they’ll be in perfect weather in Los Angeles. The Rams have arguably the best offense in the NFL as they’re scoring 33.2 PPG. And their defense has been very leaky of late by allowing 27.3 PPG in their last 6 games. The Seahawks have come alive offensively by scoring 27 or more points in 3 of their last 4 games. I think both teams get to at least 27 today as well. The OVER is 15-4 in Seahawks last 19 road games vs. teams who outscore their opponents by 10-plus PPG. The OVER is 19-6 in Seahawks last 25 road games as a dog of 7.5 to 10 points. Take the OVER. |
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11-11-18 | Patriots v. Titans +7 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Patriots/Titans AFC *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +7 The Key: The Patriots have to be getting tired. They haven’t had their bye yet and they are now overvalued after going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are being asked to lay a full touchdown on the road against the Titans today. This is a Titans team that is fresh after having a bye 2 weeks ago. And they came back with an impressive 28-14 road win at Dallas as 4-point underdogs last week. They have a very good defense that is giving up only 17.6 PPG this season. That gives them a chance to be competitive here against the Patriots. And Marcus Mariota torched that Dallas secondary. He should be able to find plenty of holes in a Patriots defense that is allowing 381 YPG this season. The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Titans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Tennessee. |
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11-10-18 | Thunder v. Mavs +1.5 | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Thunder/Mavs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Dallas +1.5 The Key: The Thunder have been able to win their first two games without Russell Westbrook, winning on the road at Cleveland and at home against Houston. But we see this time and time again. Teams play well for one or two games without their stars, but then it catches up to them. I think that happens tonight here against the Mavericks. The Thunder will be without Westbrook again here tonight. The Thunder are 1-14 ATS in their last 15 road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. The Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games off a loss by more than 10 points. The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Dallas. |
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11-10-18 | Nets +7.5 v. Warriors | 100-116 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +7.5 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, including a 6-point home loss in their first meeting this season. The Nets are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 trips to Golden State. And their job gets a lot easier today against a banged-up Warriors team that is playing without Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Shaun Livingston and DeMarcus Cousins. They are just a shell of their former selves right now and will be a money burner for backers until they get healthy. The Nets have a legitimate shot to win this game outright, just like the Bucks did the other night in their 134-111 win at Golden State. Take Brooklyn. |
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11-10-18 | Florida State +17 v. Notre Dame | Top | 13-42 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* FSU/Notre Dame Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Florida State +17 The Key: This line has hardly moved since it was announced that Ian Book was out at quarterback for Notre Dame. Oddsmakers aren’t adjusting enough for his absence. Brandon Wimbush will take his place, and he’s a terrible passer. He’s completing just 55.3% of his passes this season compared to 74.5% for Book. Wimbush has a 1/4 TD/INT ratio compared to the 15/4 mark for Book. Wimbush is a running quarterback. That plays right into Florida State’s hands. The biggest strength of this entire FSU team is their run defense. The Seminoles only give up 111 RYPG and 2.8 YPC! That’s not what you would expect form a 4-5 team like them. But this is the Super Bowl for the Seminoles and they’ll come to play tonight to try and knock off the unbeaten Fighting Irish. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 November games. All the pressure is on the Irish tonight. Take Florida State. |
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11-10-18 | Oregon +4.5 v. Utah | 25-32 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Oregon/Utah Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon +4.5 The Key: Utah’s two best offensive players are out for this game. QB Tyler Huntley is out with a broken collarbone, while star RB Zack Moss (1,092 yards, 11 TD, 6.1 YPC) is out with an ankle injury. The Utes shouldn’t even be favored in this game tonight. Justin Herbert and this Oregon offense will be the best unit on the field now. Oregon has had Utah’s number, going 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Ducks won outright as underdogs each of the last 2 seasons, and they’ll do the same again here Saturday given the huge injuries for the Utes. Bets against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more, in weeks 10 through 13 are 35-9 ATS since 1992. Take Oregon. |
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11-10-18 | UL-Monroe -7 v. South Alabama | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt Game of the Day on UL-Monroe -7 The Key: The ULM Warhawks have reeled off 3 straight victories to get to 5-4 this season. They can clinch bowl eligibility with a win Saturday and should be able to do so in blowout fashion against 2-7 South Alabama. Few teams were more impressive than ULM last week. They beat Georgia Southern 44-25 and outgained them by a ridiculous 357 yards in the process. That was a one-loss GA Southern team at the time whose lone loss came to Clemson. It was as impressive as any win in the Sun Belt this season. Look for the Warhawks to keep rolling this weekend. South Alabama is 1-14 ATS off a game where it committed one or fewer turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Take UL-Monroe. |
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11-10-18 | Northwestern +10 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Northwestern/Iowa Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +10 The Key: Underdogs are 9-0-1 ATS in Northwestern games this season. The Wildcats have covered every time they’ve been a dog this season with one push. And they are 5-1 in Big Ten play this season with wins over Michigan State, Wisconsin and Purdue. They are a good team and they aren’t getting treated like it. The Iowa Hawkeyes already have 3 conference losses and could suffer a hangover here off their two straight tough losses in the closing seconds to Purdue and Penn State. Take Northwestern. |
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11-10-18 | Mississippi State +24.5 v. Alabama | 0-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Mississippi State/Alabama SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +24.5 The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are prone to hangovers after big wins. And this is the perfect spot for one after their huge win at LSU last week. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have managed to stay within 25 points of Alabama in 11 of the past 14 meetings. They have been competitive against what has been the most dominant football program ever over the past decade-plus. Mississippi State certainly has the defense to be competitive this season, too. The Bulldogs are yielding just 12.3 PPG this year. They have been stout against the run and the pass. Mobile QB Nick Fitzgerald should be able to do enough with his legs to put up enough points to stay within the number as well. Take Mississippi State. |
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11-09-18 | Wolves v. Kings +3 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Kings Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +3 The Key: The Sacramento Kings have been flying under the radar this season. They are 6-5 SU & 7-4 ATS and have picked up some impressive wins along the way. But off back-to-back losses to Milwaukee and Toronto, they should be hungry for a victory at home tonight against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has off-court distractions that just aren’t getting fixed. They have lost 4 in a row coming in with 3 of those losses by double-digits. And the Timberwolves are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS on the road this season, getting outscored by 11.0 PPG in the process. Minnesota is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games dating back to last season. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Sacramento. |
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11-09-18 | Washington +10.5 v. Auburn | 66-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Washington/Auburn Top 25 *CA$H COW* on Washington +10.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in the Pac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from a team that suffers zero key losses from that team. I backed them against Western Kentucky in a 73-55 win as 8.5-point favorites in their opener. Now I’m taking them as double-digit underdogs here against Auburn. This game will be closer than the books are expecting. Take Washington. |
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11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
7* Arkansas/Texas ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas -6 The Key: The Texas Longhorns return 4 starters this season and should be one of the top teams in the loaded Big 12. The Arkansas Razorbacks lost 6 of their top 7 scorers from a year ago and are in rebuilding mode under Mike Anderson. I think it’s worth laying the 6 points with Texas here given that these programs are going in opposite directions heading into the season. Take Texas. |
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11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -5 The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are just rolling along and consistently undervalued. They are 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS this season. They have won 5 of their 7 home games this season all by double-digits. And they should make easy work of the Clippers tonight. The Clippers will be without Avery Bradley, and his loss is huge because he would have been guarding either Lillard or McCollum. Now they just have Patrick Beverly to guard one of those two, which means the other should be able to go off. It will most likely be McCollum, who is coming off a 40-point game and gaining confidence in his shot. The Clippers are 37-64 ATS in their last 101 games off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Blazers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games. The Blazers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games. Take Portland. |
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11-08-18 | Panthers v. Steelers UNDER 51.5 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
7* Panthers/Steelers NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 51.5 The Key: This is a very high total for two teams with solid defenses. The Panthers are allowing 344.7 YPG this season while the Steelers are giving up 348.2 YPG. These teams are 11th and 12th in total defense, respectively. The Panthers are 8-1 UNDER in road games on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are 48-21 UNDER in their last 69 games off a win against a division rival. The UNDER is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 Thursday games. The UNDER is 17-8 in Steelers lsat 25 games following an ATS win. Bets on the UNDER on road teams where the total is 49.5 or greater after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last 5 games, in November games are 30-7 since 1983. Take the UNDER. |
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11-07-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
6* 76ers/Pacers ESPN *CA$H COW* on Indiana -2.5 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are still in search of their first road victory of the season. They are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS on the road this year and getting outscored by a whopping 15.2 PPG. That’s why I have no problem laying the short price with the Pacers at home tonight as only 2.5-point favorites. They are one of the top teams in the East and took Lebron James and the Cavs to 7 games last year, which nobody else in the East can say. The Pacers are 10-2 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the 76ers as well. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Pacers are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 games following a loss. Take Indiana. |
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11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -3 | Top | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
7* Toledo/NIU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois -3 The Key: The Northern Illinois Huskies can basically wrap up to the MAC West title with a win tonight. No question they’ll be motivated to get it done. This has been one of the best teams in the MAC all season, and they should be able to handle Toledo by more than a field goal at home tonight. NIU is 6-3 this season with its 3 losses coming to Utah, Iowa and Florida State. The Huskies have handled their business in MAC play this year with a 5-0 conference record. They also went on the road and upset BYU. Toledo is still without starting QB Mitchell Guadagni. Their backup has played well in his place, but against soft defenses, and he’s going to really get tested tonight against the best defense in the MAC. The Huskies are giving up just 20.4 PPG and 327 YPG in MAC play this year. That’s the difference in this game. Toledo is allowing 26.4 PG and 445 YPG this season. The Huskies are 7-0 ATS after outrushing their last opponent by 150 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win. Take Northern Illinois. |
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11-06-18 | Western Kentucky v. Washington -8.5 | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
6* WKU/Washington ESPNU *BAILOUT* on Washington -8.5 The Key: The Washington Huskies should be one of the top teams in thePac-12 this season. They went 21-13 and 10-8 in conference play last year in the first season under Mike Hopkins. And now they return all 5 starters from that squad and suffer zero key losses. Look for them to get out of the gate quickly against Western Kentucky tonight. WKU only returns 2 starters, and they will be without Auburn transfer DeSean Murray, who is suspended to start the season. Lamonte Bearden (11.8 ppg LY) is one of the two returning starters, and he’s serving a 6-game suspension to start the year as well. Take Washington. |
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11-06-18 | Bucks v. Blazers +2 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers +2 The Key: The Bucks are really starting to get too much love from the books now after their 8-1 start to the season. They are being asked to go on the road and lay points here to one of the better teams in the Western Conference in the Portland Trail Blazers, who are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS. If anything, the Blazers are getting disrespected. They should play the underdog card here and get an outright win and cover. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 ATS coming in. Bets on home teams of +3 to -3 in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams who average 82 or more shots per game, after a game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 35% or less are 26-6 ATS since 1996. Take Portland. |
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11-06-18 | Kent State +20 v. Buffalo | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
7* Kent State/Buffalo MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Kent State +20 The Key: Buffalo doesn’t even need to show up tonight. The Bulls can lose outright and it won’t matter. Next week’s game against Ohio will decided the MAC East champion. I think their lack of motivation will allow Kent State to get the cover here. And I also like that there is gusts of up to 50 miles per hour forecasted in this one, which should keep this a low scoring affair. Take Kent State. |
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11-05-18 | Wolves v. Clippers -5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -5 The Key: The Timberwolves are in disarray. They are just 4-6 this season and coming off road losses by 30 and 17 points. They won’t be able to hang with an improved Clippers team tonight. The Clippers are rested having the last 2 days off since beating the Magic by 25 on the road last time out. The Timberwolves are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games. The Clippers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games off a win by more than 10 points. Take Los Angeles. |
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11-05-18 | Titans v. Cowboys OVER 40 | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
7* Titans/Cowboys NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 40 The Key: This is a very low total for an NFL game. It doesn’t take much to go OVER 40 points in the NFL anymore with the rules that favor the offenses. And I think with both teams off bye weeks they’ll have come up with some more creative game plans to spark their offenses. The Cowboys should already get a spark with the addition of Amari Cooper. They should have one of the better offenses in the league moving forward now that they have a legitimate No. 1 receiver. The Cowboys are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 home games when playing with 2 or more weeks rest. Bets on the OVER when the total is 35.5 to 42 against teams off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division opponent, in November games are 26-3 over the last 10 seasons. Take the OVER. |
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11-04-18 | Packers +6 v. Patriots | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Packers/Patriots Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Green Bay +6 The Key: Getting Aaron Rodgers as a 6-point underdog against the Patriots is a nice proposition. That’s especially the case when you consider Rodgers is a perfect 5-0 ATS as a dog of 6 points or more in his career. It doesn’t happen often. It happened last week and the Packers nearly won outright at the Rams, losing by just 2 points. They would have won the game outright had Ty Montgomery not fumbled the kickoff in the closing minutes. I actually like that the Packers lost that game because it means they’ll be playing with even more of a sense of urgency today against the Pats. Take Green Bay. |
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11-04-18 | Chiefs v. Browns +9 | Top | 37-21 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
7* AFC Game of the Year on Cleveland Browns +9 The Key: Backing teams in their first game with a new head coach is certainly a profitable move long-term. It gives that team new life and new hope, and the first game out is the time to back them. I’ll back the Browns today because of it. The Chiefs are 31st in total defense this season, which makes them vulnerable despite having one of the top offenses in the NFL. The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS off 4 straight games where they gained 6 YPP or more in their last 10 tries. Take Cleveland. |
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11-04-18 | Bucs +6.5 v. Panthers | 28-42 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Bucs/Panthers NFC South *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay +6.5 The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs are a team I want to back with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback. He utilizes the plethora of weapons the Bucs have at receiver much better than Jameis Winston does. He’s not afraid to go deep. He led the Bucs back from 21 points down to nearly beat the Bengals last week, losing on a last-second field goal. And with Fitz the Bucs are never out of any game. That makes them scary as 6.5-point dogs to the Panthers today. The back door will always be open if we need it. Tampa is 8-0 ATS off a game where 70 points or more were scored in their last 8 tries. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS off 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Take Tampa Bay. |
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11-03-18 | Rockets -8 v. Bulls | 96-88 | Push | 0 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -8 The Key: James Harden makes his return from a hamstring injury tonight. That should help ease the load on the Rockets from playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here. And they should be fresh either way because this is still just their 3rd game in 8 days. The Bulls are also playing on a back-to-back tonight after losing yet another heartbreaker to the Pacers by 2 points last night. They could be flat here off back-to-back tough close losses. And the Bulls will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. They’re already short-handed with 4 key players out with injury in Markkanen, Dunn, Portis and Valentine. They won’t be able to keep pace with the Rockets tonight. The Rockets are 28-13 ATS as a road favorites over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Bulls winning by 32, 9 and 21 points. Take Houston. |
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11-03-18 | Boston College -2 v. Virginia Tech | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 37 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Boston College/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College -2 The Key: Virginia Tech used to have a great home-field advantage. But that is clearly no longer the case. The Hokies are just 8-9 SU at home in ACC play over the last 5 seasons. Boston College is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last 7 ACC road games. The Eagles travel well and should be able to beat a down Virginia Tech team that is 1-2 at home this season with blowout losses to both Notre Dame (23-45) and Georgia Tech (28-49). Their only home win came against William & Mary. And they also lost on the road to Old Dominion (35-49) as 28-point favorites earlier this season. The Hokies have one of the youngest defenses in the country. They are giving up 5.8 yards per carry in ACC play this year. Boston College, which rushes for 230 yards per game this season, should have its way on the ground against the Hokies. The Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games. The Eagles are 8-0 ATS off a home games over the last 2 seasons. The Eagles are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Take Boston College. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia v. Kentucky +9.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 52 m | Show | |
6* Georgia/Kentucky SEC *CA$H COW* on Kentucky +9.5 The Key: Kentucky just gets no respect from oddsmakers. The Wildcats are 9.5-point home dogs to the Georgia Bulldogs this week despite being 7-1 and ranked #9 in the country. The Wildcats have earned that ranking by going 5-1 in ACC play with their only loss coming in overtime on the road at Texas A&M. And I think they have what it takes to hang with Georgia this week. Georgia looked vulnerable with its 16-36 road loss at LSU a few weeks back. And the Bulldogs are coming off the Cocktail Party win over Florida last week, making this a precarious spot for them. Kentucky’s defense is good enough to keep them in this game. The Wildcats are yielding just 13 PPG and 295 YPG this season. This will be the best ever atmosphere in Lexington for a college football game with the SEC East title essentially riding on the outcome. Take Kentucky. |
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11-03-18 | Liberty +2 v. UMass | Top | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 47 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Independent Game of the Year on Liberty +2 The Key: Liberty is the better of these two teams. They sit at 4-3 on the season with wins over the likes of Troy and New Mexico. And they’ve been competitive in most of their games. Plus they had a bye last week to get ready to face UMass this week. UMass is coming off a fortunate 22-17 victory at UConn last week as they trailed most the way. And UConn is one of the worst teams in the country. The Minutemen are just 3-6 this season with their other two wins coming against Duquesne and Charlotte. All 6 of their losses have come by double-digits. Now they have to face an option team here in Liberty. The last time they faced an option team they lost 13-34 at Georgia Southern as 1.5-point underdogs on September 8th. Liberty is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a road underdog. Take Liberty. |
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11-03-18 | Kansas State +8 v. TCU | 13-14 | Win | 100 | 37 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Kansas State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +8 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs have hit rock bottom. They are just 1-5 SU & 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Their only win came on a last-second field goal in a 17-14 home win over Iowa State as 11.5-point favorites. They are coming off a 26-27 loss at Kansas as 13-point favorites. Gary Patterson seems to have lost this team. And injuries haven’t helped. TCU recently lost its best playmakers on offense in KaVontae Turpin. Two of the best defensive players are out for this game in LB Ty Summers and S Niko Small. Kansas State certainly won’t quit on Bill Snyder. The Wildcats are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall with their only blowout loss coming at Oklahoma last week. They played Texas to a 5-point game and Baylor to a 3-point game while upsetting Oklahoma State 31-12. At 3-5 this season, the Wildcats have a great shot to win their next 3 games as they host Kansas and Texas Tech after this. That would get them into a bowl game. The Wildcats are 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a blowout road loss by 21 points or more. Take Kansas State. |
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11-03-18 | Iowa State -14.5 v. Kansas | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -14.5 The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones continue to fly under the radar. Since Matt Campbell took over, this has been one of the greatest turnarounds of any program in the country. The Cyclones have gone 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall, including 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. They have played the toughest schedule in the country and have gotten through with a 4-3 record. And they’ve been in every game they’ve played with all 3 of their losses coming by 10 points or less to Iowa, Oklahoma and TCU. They beat West Virginia handily at home, won at Oklahoma State, and handled Texas Tech at home last week. Now they catch Kansas at a good time. The Jayhawks are coming off a rare win in the Big 12 with a 27-26 upset victory over TCU last week. That’s a TCU team that appears to have quit. And I think the Jayhawks will suffer a letdown this week off that monumental win. Look for the Cyclones to make easy work of them just as they did last season in a 45-0 win in Ames. The Cyclones are 16-3 ATS in Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Take Iowa State. |
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11-02-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -2.5 | Top | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
7* Colorado/Arizona NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Arizona -2.5 The Key: Khalil Tate finally looked healthy for the first time all season last week as he returned from injury to face Oregon. The Wildcats played their best game of the season in a 44-15 victory. Tate threw for 189 yards and 3 touchdowns in the win. And now the Wildcats are getting zero respect for that victory as only 2.5-point home favorites over Colorado Friday night. I think the Wildcats remain hungry because they are 4-5 and need 2 more wins to make a bowl, and this game is a must-win if they want to get to a bowl because they have a road game at Washington State next time out that they’re unlikely to win. And they get a bye next week so they certainly want to go into their bye with a taste of victory. Colorado blew a huge lead against Oregon State last week and lost 34-41. I think they could suffer a hangover from that defeat. The Buffaloes have now lost 3 straight as the competition has ramped up. Colorado is 0-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Buffaloes are also 0-7 ATS after playing a game where 60 or more points were scores over the last 2 years. Take Arizona. |