09-27-17 |
Marlins v. Rockies -1.5 |
Top |
9-15 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have huge mound and motivational advantages here over the Miami Marlins. They are trying to clinch the wild card spot and lead the Brewers by only 1.5 games. Ace Jon Gray gets the ball looking to build on his 9-4 record with a 3.62 ERA in 19 starts this year. Gray has gone 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA in 7 starts at Coors Field. He has come up clutch down the stretch too at 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Adam Conley is 7-6 with a 5.71 ERA in 19 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 10.49 ERA in his last 3 starts. Conley sports a 5.90 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. Take Colorado on the Run Line.
|
09-26-17 |
Astros -132 v. Rangers |
Top |
14-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Month on Houston Astros -132
The Key: The Houston Astros are still battling for home-field advantage in the American League with the Cleveland Indians. They are doing their part, going 9-2 in their last 11 games overall. The Texas Rangers are going in the opposite direction. They were just swept by the Oakland A's over the weekend that killed their wild card chances. They have now lost 4 straight. I don't look for them to offer much resistance over the final week of the season now, and that showed last night in an 11-2 home loss to the Astros. We are getting Houston ace Dallas Keuchel at a tremendous price here. Keuchel is 13-5 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this year. Texas is 1-11 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games off 3 consecutive losses by 5 runs or more to division rivals. The Astros are 10-2 in Keuchel's last 12 road starts. Take Houston.
|
09-25-17 |
Mariners v. A's -102 |
|
7-1 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Mariners/A's AL West *BAILOUT* on Oakland -102
The Key: The Oakland A's are quietly going on a tear to close out the season. They are now 7-0 in their last 7 games overall and playing with pride. The Seattle Mariners just can't wait to go on vacation. They are 1-8 in their last 9 games overall. These are two teams headed in opposite directions, and we'll back the more motivated A's here at basically even money at home. The A's are 45-33 at home this year. Felix Hernandez is 0-1 with a 7.30 ERA in his last 3 starts. The A's are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a right-handed starter. Take Oakland.
|
09-25-17 |
Cowboys v. Cardinals +3.5 |
Top |
28-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Cowboys/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona +3.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals have gone on the road the first two weeks and are 1-1. There's no shame in that. Now it's their home opener on the Monday night stage, and the Cardinals are primed for their best performance of the season. Dallas has a ton of injuries in the secondary, and the Cardinals' strength is their passing attack, so Carson Palmer is primed for a big game here. Trevor Siemian lit up Dallas' secondary last week, and he's one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL. The Cowboys lost that game 17-42. The Cardinals have one of the best defenses in the NFL after finishing #2 in total defense last year. They will be able to slow down Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot here Monday. Dogs are 12-3 ATS so far in Week 3, and I think this is another live home dog here tonight. Bruce Arians is 6-0 ATS as a home dog of 3 points or less as the coach of Arizona. Arians is 7-0 ATS against NFC East teams as the coach of the Cardinals. Take Arizona.
|
09-24-17 |
Seahawks v. Titans UNDER 42 |
|
27-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Seahawks/Titans UNDER 42
The Key: The Seattle Seahawks have been terrible offensively this season because of their injuries along the offensive line. Russell Wilson has been running for his life, and the running game hasn't been able to get going. The Seahawks are only scoring 10.5 points per game and averaging 4.4 yards per play. But they have been elite defensively in giving up only 13.0 points per game. I think this will be a defensive battle with the Titans, who could be without RB DeMarco Murray and WR Corey Davis on offense. Seattle is 31-12 UNDER in its last 43 September road games. Take the UNDER.
|
09-24-17 |
Rangers v. A's -106 |
|
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* AL West *CA$H COW* on Oakland A's -106
The Key: The Oakland A's are on a tear right now in going 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. The Texas Rangers have had their fate sealed by losing the first 2 games of this series, and are now 4.5 games back in the wild card. I look for the Rangers to tank the rest of the way. Jharel Cotton is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Martin Perez is 6-6 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Take Oakland.
|
09-24-17 |
Texans +14 v. Patriots |
Top |
33-36 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* AFC Game of the Month on Houston Texans +14
The Key: The New England Patriots have too many injuries right now to be favored by 14 over the Houston Texans. They have a handful of skill players on offense who are banged up, and the injuries on defense have led to the Patriots giving up 31 points, 483 yards per game and 7.8 yards per play. Their defense was terrible in the preaseson too. I think Deshaun Watson can make enough plays to keep this game close, while the Texans' defense remains one of the elite units in the league. Plus Watson gets some key weapons back this week in TE Ryan Griffin and WR Bruce Ellington. Also CB Jonathan Joseph is expected to return from injury. Take Houston.
|
09-24-17 |
Broncos v. Bills +3.5 |
|
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Buffalo Bills +3.5
The Key: The betting public is all over the Denver Broncos in this game. They are coming off the most impressive win over the week in Week 2 with a 42-17 victory over the Cowboys. They have opened 2-0 at home, but now they are going on the road for the first time. And the Broncos have a massive game against Oakland on deck next week. This is the classic sandwich spot. The Bills have one of the best rushing attacks in the NFL, which makes this a good matchup for them because the Broncos had the 28th-ranked run defense last year. The Bills have an elite defense that can keep them in this game. They are only giving up 10.5 points, 234 yards per game and 4.1 yards per play. Take Buffalo.
|
09-23-17 |
Royals v. White Sox +170 |
|
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday MLB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Chicago White Sox +170
The Key: We are getting an excellent price on the Chicago White Sox at home today. This lineup is now loaded with young talent as the White Sox have brought up their prospects late in the season and they've gotten significant playing time. The Royals are 75-78 on the season and basically eliminated from the postseason after losing to the White Sox yesterday. The White Sox won that game 7-6. The Royals singled with a runner on 2nd in the 9th, and that runner was thrown out at home, plus the guy that singled was thrown out at 2nd trying to advance on the throw. That was a heartbreaking way for the Royals to lose and I don't think they'll recover today. Danny Duffy is 0-3 with a 9.56 ERA in 3 starts against the White Sox in 2017. He has allowed 17 earned runs in 16 innings in those 3 starts. He can't be this big of a favorite Saturday. Take Chicago.
|
09-23-17 |
Toledo v. Miami-FL -13.5 |
|
30-52 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NCAAF Non-Conference *BLOWOUT* on Miami -13.5
The Key: The Miami Hurricanes have a real shot to win the ACC this season. Mark Richt has a loaded team that went 9-4 last season. I think the Hurricanes are flying under the radar right now because they haven't played in 3 weeks. And the betting public hasn't heard from them, so nobody is on them right now. They should be favored by more than 2 touchdowns against Toledo. This is a Toledo team that only beat Tulsa 54-51 last week at home, and that's a Tulsa team that lost by 35 at Oklahoma State. I think Miami is on Oklahoma State's level. And you have to think the Rockets are going to be a little gassed after that shootout with Tulsa. The Hurricanes are 7-0 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Take Miami.
|
09-23-17 |
Central Florida v. Maryland -4 |
|
38-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* UCF/Maryland Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Maryland -4
The Key: The Maryland Terrapins are one of the most underrated teams in the country. DJ Durkin has a tremendous coaching staff that came through with a Top 20 recruiting class over the offseason. Things are on the rise here. And Maryland's 51-41 win at Texas as 19-point dogs in the opener looks even better now. Texas went on to beat San Jose State 56-0, and then took USC to overtime on the road in a 24-27 loss. UCF is a team that will be a contender in the AAC this season, but Maryland is in a different class in my opinion. That will show on the field Saturday. Take Maryland.
|
09-23-17 |
Arkansas +3 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
43-50 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* Arkansas/Texas A&M SEC West Game of the Year on Arkansas +3
The Key: The Arkansas Razorbacks are coming off a bye week. So they've had two full weeks to get ready for Texas A&M. And boy, do they ever want revenge on the Aggies. They have lost 5 straight meetings with Texas A&M over the last 5 seasons, including two of the last three in overtime. The Aggies are clearly down this season and vulnerable, so this is their chance to have their revenge. They lost at UCLA in the opener, only beat Nicholls State 24-14 as 37.5-point favorites, and actually trailed UL Lafayette 21-14 at halftime last week as 23.5-point favorites. Arkansas did lose to TCU, but the Horned Frogs are one of the better teams in the country, so that's not a bad loss. The Aggies are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week. Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take Arkansas
|
09-22-17 |
Indians -129 v. Mariners |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-129 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -129
The Key: The Indians are rolling right now and can't be tamed. The Mariners are on an extended losing streak and are just ready for the season to be over. Take Cleveland.
|
09-22-17 |
Virginia v. Boise State -12.5 |
|
42-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boise State -12.5
The Key: The Boise State Broncos have been terrible ATS at home over the last few seasons. That has provided some line value here on them moving forward, and I think this -12.5 spread is a bargain against an awful Virginia team that is rebuilding. Take Boise State.
|
09-21-17 |
Rockies -127 v. Padres |
|
0-3 |
Loss |
-127 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -127
The Key: I know the Rockies have not been good on the road this season, but I have to back them at this price given the situation. They are only one game up in the wild card race with the Brewers. They need wins right now. Tyler Anderson has owned the Padres, going 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them, allowing only 1 earned run in 12 1/3 innings. Clayton Richard is 4-6 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. He has given up 14 earned runs and 25 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rockies this season. The Rockies are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. The Padres are 3-8 in Richard's last 11 starts vs. the Rockies. Take Colorado.
|
09-21-17 |
Rams v. 49ers +3 |
Top |
41-39 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Rams/49ers NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco +3
The Key: One of the biggest advantages in professional sports is home teams on Thursday night games. The short week for road teams is so tough because they have to travel and have almost zero time to prepare. I think the 49ers were impressive last week in their 12-9 road loss to the Seahawks as 14-point dogs. They have been able to get the running game going behind Carlos Hyde, who is averaging 7.0 yards per carry this season. The Rams gave up over 200 rushing yards to the Redskins last week. The 49ers have won 3 straight meetings with the Rams and are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. They were home dogs to the Rams last season, and won 28-0. Take San Francisco.
|
09-21-17 |
Temple v. South Florida -19.5 |
|
7-43 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Temple/USF AAC *CA$H COW* on South Florida -19.5
The Key: The South Florida Bulls had their get right game last week with a 47-23 win over Illinois. The Bulls amassed 680 total yards in that win and have one of the best offenses in the country. This is an offense that has put up at least 30 points in 19 consecutive games now. That makes it easier to lay big numbers knowing that they can score. Temple has looked terrible in its 3 games this season. The Owls were blown out at Notre Dame, and then they easily could have lost to both Villanova and UMass at home in wins by a combined 11 points. They were outgained by both of those teams. USF will want revenge from a 46-30 loss to Temple last year that basically decided the AAC champ. The Bulls are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Take South Florida.
|
09-20-17 |
Brewers -113 v. Pirates |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee Brewers -113
The Key: I've cashed the Milwaukee Brewers the last 2 days and I'm back on them again Wednesday. Their win yesterday got them to within just one game of the Colorado Rockies for the 2nd wild card spot. The Pirates have clearly packed it in over the last few weeks, going 1-12 in their last 13 games overall. The Brewers have gone 9-2 in their last 11 games for a really impressive run with what's at stake. Aaron Wilkerson gets called up from the minors after going 11-4 with a 3.14 ERA in Biloxi this season. He has struck out 143 and walked only 36 in 142 1/3 innings. He has had a long journey to the majors and I look for him to seize this opportunity, because he has earned it. The Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 road games. The Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee.
|
09-19-17 |
Brewers -117 v. Pirates |
Top |
1-0 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Milwaukee Brewers -117
The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers are just 2 games behind the Colorado Rockies for the 2nd wild card spot. That makes this a big series for them at Pittsburgh here. The Pirates could clearly care less as they've packed it in over the last few weeks. The Pirates are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall. Chase Anderson is the better starter here as he's 10-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this year. Trevor Williams is 5-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 23 starts for the Pirates. Anderson is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh as well. Take Milwaukee.
|
09-18-17 |
Lions v. Giants UNDER 42.5 |
Top |
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* Lions/Giants NFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 42.5
The Key: The New York Giants have one of the best defenses in the NFL. They held the Cowboys to just 19 points on the road last week despite their defense being on the field most the game. That's because their offense was awful, managing just a field goal in the 19-3 loss. They didn't have Odell Beckham in that game, and Beckham is going to be a game-time decision this week, so even if he plays he won't be 100%. The Giants will have to ride their defense again here. They hosted the Lions last year and won 17-6 for 23 combined points. I think we see a similar output here. The Lions scored 35 points last week, but they were gifted many of those points thanks to 4 turnovers by the Cardinals. Detroit is 7-0 UNDER in its last 7 games off a win. The UNDER is 20-7 in Lions last 27 road games. The UNDER is 8-2 in Giants last 10 games overall, including 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the UNDER.
|
09-18-17 |
Brewers +100 v. Pirates |
|
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Brewers +100
The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers are just 2.5 games behind the Colorado Rockies for the 2nd wild card spot. That makes this a big series for them at Pittsburgh here. The Pirates could clearly care less as they've packed it in over the last few weeks. The Pirates are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall. Brent Suter is 2-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He is a better starter than Jameson Taillon, who is 7-6 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 22 starts, including 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 13 home starts. The Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Milwaukee.
|
09-17-17 |
Cowboys -2.5 v. Broncos |
Top |
17-42 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* Cowboys/Broncos Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -2.5
The Key: The Dallas Cowboys went 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in meaningful road games last season where they played all of their starters. They dominated on the road, beating the likes of the Packers and Steelers along the way. The thing about the Cowboys is that their style of play travels well. Teams that can run the football can win on the road. And the Cowboys are probably the best in the league in that aspect. Plus, Dak Prescott doesn't make critical mistakes and takes care of the football. And the Cowboys should be able to run on a Broncos defense that ranked 28th in the NFL against the run last season. Jason Garrett is 15-5 ATS in road games in the first half of the season as the coach of the Cowboys. Take Dallas.
|
09-17-17 |
Red Sox v. Rays OVER 8.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Red Sox/Rays OVER 8.5
The Key: This is a very low total for the Red Sox at Rays game today. Neither of these starting pitchers are very good. Eduardo Rodriquez is 5-5 with a 4.23 ERA in 21 starts this year, and 3-4 with a 4.59 ERA in 11 road starts. Jake Odorizzi is 8-8 with a 4.52 ERA in 25 starts this year, and 4-6 with a 4.60 ERA in 14 home starts. Rodriquez is 0-1 with a 7.58 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. Odorizzi is 3-5 with a 4.56 ERA in 16 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Rodriguez has allowed 10 earned runs in 8 innings in his last 2 starts against Tampa Bay. Odorizzi has yielded 8 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against Boston. Take the OVER.
|
09-17-17 |
Titans v. Jaguars +1 |
|
37-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Jacksonville Jaguars +1
The Key: The Jacksonville Jaguars have an elite defense that forced 4 turnovers and held the Texans to 7 points and 203 total yards last week. They are the better defensive football team in this matchup with the Titans. And the Jags have a new-found running game thanks to the upgrades they made along the offensive line and in the backfield with Leonard Fournette, who rushed for 100 yards in the win last week. The Jaguars beat the Titans 38-17 at home last year. The Titans are now 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Jacksonville and 13-35-3 ATS in their last 51 division games overall. Take Jacksonville.
|
09-17-17 |
Browns +7.5 v. Ravens |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* AFC Game of the Week on Cleveland Browns +7.5
The Key: The Cleveland Browns gave the Pittsburgh Steelers all they could handle last week in a 21-18 home loss as 10-point dogs. The Steelers blocked a punt and returned it for a touchdown, which was the difference in that game. They held a high-powered Steelers offense to just 14 points, while basically stopping Le'Veon Bell completely. The Bengals turned the ball over 5 times against the Ravens last week, yet the Ravens only scored 20 points. That just shows how bad of shape this Baltimore offense is in right now. That's why they can't be laying more than a TD against one of the most improved teams in the NFL in the Browns, who can keep this one close. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 trips to Baltimore. Take Cleveland.
|
09-16-17 |
Texas +16 v. USC |
Top |
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Texas/USC Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas +16
The Key: Tom Herman has been an underdog 11 times in his career as a coordinator for Ohio State and as a head coach at Houston. His teams have gone a PERFECT 11-0 SU & 11-0 ATS in those 11 games. The Longhorns are flying under the radar now after getting upset by Maryland in the opener. They got right with a 56-0 win over San Jose State last week. Look for USC to have a bit of an emotional letdown here after their huge win over USC last week. Take Texas.
|
09-16-17 |
Cincinnati v. Miami-OH -4.5 |
|
21-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Favorite of the Week on Miami (Ohio) -4.5
The Key: The Miami Ohio Redhawks may be the best team in the MAC this season. This is a team that made a bowl game last year after their 0-6 start by winning their final 6 games. They returned 17 starters from that squad this year. I think their 26-31 loss at Marshall has them flying under the radar. But they outgained Marshall by 162 yards in that game and should have won. Cincinnati and Miami have both hosted Austin Peay. Miami won 31-10, while Cincinnati only won 26-14. Cincinnati is going to have a hard time getting motivated for this game after playing at Michigan last week, and with another big game at Navy on deck next week. The Bearcats are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. The Home team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings. The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Take Miami Ohio.
|
09-16-17 |
Georgia State +37.5 v. Penn State |
|
0-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Dog of the Week on Georgia State +37.5
The Key: The Georgia State Panthers were upset in their opener by Tennessee State as 15-point favorites. They gave that game away by committing 4 turnovers. Now they are flying under the radar after that poor performance, and they've had 2 full weeks to fix their issues and prepare for Penn State. This is a clear flat spot for the Nittany Lions. They just played in-state rival Pitt last week, and though they won 33-14, they were actually outgained by the Panthers by 30 yards. Now they have their Big Ten opener at Iowa on deck next week, making this a sandwich spot. James Franklin will be more worried about keeping everyone healthy than blowing the doors off Georgia State. This is a Georgia State team that only lost 17-23 as 34-point road dogs at Wisconsin last year, and they have 15 starters back from that squad. They can hang around here. The Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. The Panthers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Georgia State.
|
09-16-17 |
A's v. Phillies -111 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies -111
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They scored 27 runs in the 3 wins before getting shut out yesterday by the A's in Game 1 of this series. I think they get back in the win column here in Game 2 thanks to their big advantage on the mound. Ben Lively is 3-6 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 12 starts this year. He is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Kendall Graveman is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 7 road starts this year for Oakland. The A's 20-47 in their last 67 road games. Oakland is 8-20 in Graveman's last 28 road starts. The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a loss. Take Philadelphia.
|
09-15-17 |
White Sox +103 v. Tigers |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Chicago White Sox +103
The Key: Chicago White Sox fans are getting a chance to see their young prospects get significant playing time down the stretch. And the results have been impressive in their rotation and their lineup. They are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. The Sox have scored 11 or more runs in 3 of their last 6 games, including their 17-7 beat down of the Tigers last night. The Tigers are the worst team in baseball right now with all of the players they traded away. They are 0-6 in their last 6 games overall. Carson Fulmer allowed 1 earned run while striking out 9 in 6 innings of an 8-1 victory over San Francisco on September 10th in his last start. Anibal Sanchez is 3-4 with a 6.90 ERA in 13 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 15.43 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Tigers are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Chicago.
|
09-15-17 |
UMass +15 v. Temple |
|
21-29 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UMass +15
The Key: The UMass Minutemen have had a hard-luck start to the 2017 season. They are 0-3, but all 3 of their losses have come by 10 points or less. The Temple Owls are clearly rebuilding this year with the loss of Matt Rhule and 12 starters from last year's team. That showed in their 16-49 loss to Notre Dame and their fortunate 16-13 win over Villanova. Temple shouldn't be this heavy of a favorite against a UMass team they only beat 25-23 two years ago. Take UMass.
|
09-14-17 |
Astros v. Angels OVER 9 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Astros/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on OVER 9
The Key: Look for the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels to go well OVER this 9-run total. Ricky Nolasco is 6-13 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 29 starts this season. The Astros should light him up. Brad Peacock has posted some good numbers this year, but he's up against an Angels lineup that has gotten stronger via trades in the second half. Peacock has allowed 12 runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Angels. Houston is 9-1 OVER in road games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse this season. Take the OVER.
|
09-14-17 |
Texans v. Bengals OVER 38 |
Top |
13-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* Texans/Bengals AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 38
The Key: This 38-point total will be one of the lowest you will see in the NFL this season. I think there is value with the OVER because of it. I like the fact that the Texans will be going with Deshaun Watson tonight as his mobility will come in handy. The Bengals are missing their best player on D in Vontaze Burfict. The Bengals have a lot more talent on offense than they showed against a great Ravens defense last week. Both offenses will bounce back after subpar Week 1 performances, which is keeping this total lower than it should be. Bets on the OVER on road teams against the total (Houston) off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite, in the first half of the season are 30-6 over the last 10 seasons. Take the OVER.
|
09-13-17 |
Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* Dodgers/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on OVER 7.5
The Key: This is a very low total for 2 struggling starting pitchers tonight. Yu Darvish is 0-3 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.19 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Matt Moore has been one of the worst starters all season, going 5-13 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 28 starts. Moore has allowed 12 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Dodgers this season. The wind is expected to be blowing out to center at about 13 MPH come game time as well, which will help aid this OVER. The OVER is 13-3 in Dodgers last 16 games overall, and 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games overall. Take the OVER.
|
09-12-17 |
Mariners v. Rangers -116 |
Top |
10-3 |
Loss |
-116 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Week on Texas Rangers -116
The Key: The Texas Rangers are only 2 games back in the wild card to the Minnesota Twins. They continue to fight in spite of all the injuries and trades that have occurred. And the Rangers should be a bigger favorite here against the Mariners given their advantage on the mound. Miguel Gonzalez has been great at home this year, going 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 9 home starts. Marco Gonzales is still looking for his first win, going 0-1 with an 8.25 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 6 starts, and 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in 3 road starts. The Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 10-3 in their last 13 home meetings with the Mariners. Take Texas.
|
09-11-17 |
Dodgers v. Giants +188 |
|
6-8 |
Win
|
188 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* Dodgers/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +188
The Key: The Dodgers have now lost 10 straight and are 1-15 in their last 16 games overall. Yet, here we are again, with the Giants in the role of -200 favorite. The Giants will play hard in this series and want to win with the Dodgers being their biggest rivals. And the Giants have the advantage on the mound to boot. Chris Stratton is 2-2 with a 3.15 ERA in 6 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in 2 home starts. Kenta Maeda is 4-5 with a 5.46 ERA in 12 road starts this year. Maeda is 3-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. The Giants are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Giants are 20-7 in their last 27 home meetings with the Dodgers. Take San Francisco.
|
09-11-17 |
Chargers +3 v. Broncos |
Top |
21-24 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Chargers/Broncos AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3
The Key: The Los Angeles Chargers should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL this season. They had a plethora of injuries last season that held them back during their 5-11 season. But they lost 9 games by 8 points or less, so they had their chances in most games. Philip Rivers has some healthy weapons in Melvin Gordon and Keenan Allen entering 2017. They are far and away the better offensive team in this matchup, and their defense isn't far off from the Broncos. The Broncos even signed Brock Osweiler this offseason, which just goes to show how rough their QB situation really is. The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Week 1 games. Los Angeles is 8-2-4 ATS in its last 14 trips to Denver. Take Los Angeles.
|
09-10-17 |
Ravens +3 v. Bengals |
Top |
20-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* AFC North Game of the Month on Baltimore Ravens +3
The Key: The Baltimore Ravens will have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season. That was on display in the preseason as they held their 4 opponents to a total of 32 points, or an average of 8.0 points per game. The Bengals will be missing 2 starters on defense in Adam Jones and Vontaze Burfict, which are 2 of their best players. The Ravens are underrated right now because Joe Flacco missed the preseason. But he's a veteran who doesn't need to practice time to come in and flourish. The Ravens are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC North foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Baltimore.
|
09-10-17 |
Eagles -1 v. Redskins |
|
30-17 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Eagles/Redskins NFC East *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia -1
The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles should be one of the most improved teams in the NFL this season. They went 1-6 in games decided by touchdown or less last year in their 7-9 season. They had the point differential of a team that should have been 9-7 or 10-6. Carson Wentz and company will take a big step forward this year. The Eagles have arguably the best offensive line in the NFL, and probably the 2nd-best defense in the NFC East. The Redskins have probably the 3rd-worst offense in the NFC East after losing Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson. They have easily the worst defense in this division. The Eagles want revenge after getting swept in the season series last year and losing 5 straight to the Redskins overall. Philly is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 September games. Take Philadelphia.
|
09-10-17 |
Cardinals -2.5 v. Lions |
|
23-35 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Cardinals/Lions NFC *CA$H COW* on Arizona -2.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are going to be an improved team this year. They were statistically the best team in the NFL last year in terms of yard differential as they outgained opponents by 62 yards per game. They had the 2nd-best defense and will be elite on D again in 2017. The Lions trailed in the 4th quarter in 15 of their 16 games last year yet still went 9-7. They clearly weren't as good as their record. Their defensive line is a mess heading into this game with 2 starters and 2 role players missing. They are also missing a starting offensive lineman. The Cardinals will win the battle in the trenches and thus win this game. The Cardinals are 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings, going 6-1 ATS in the process. Take Arizona.
|
09-09-17 |
Stanford +5.5 v. USC |
Top |
24-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* Stanford/USC Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Stanford +5.5
The Key: The Stanford Cardinal simply own the USC Trojans. They have gone 7-2 SU in the last 9 meetings, and both of their losses came by exactly 3 points. That's important when you consider this spread is 5.5. David Shaw is not only 8-2 ATS in his last 10 games as an underdog, but also 8-2 SU in those games. USC did not look good against Western Michigan in the opener in a 49-31 win as they pulled away in the 4th quarter. Stanford couldn't have looked better in its 62-7 win over Rice. Plus the Cardinal have had 2 weeks off since that game to get ready for USC. The Trojans allowed a ridiculous 263 rushing yards to Western Michigan. The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 trips to USC. Take Stanford.
|
09-09-17 |
Rays v. Red Sox -1.5 |
|
0-9 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are now 80-61 on the season. They Tampa Bay Rays are getting closer to being eliminated from postseason contention at 70-72. The Red Sox should win their 4th straight game with ease tonight thanks to their advantage on the mound. Chris Sale is 15-7 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 28 starts this year. Sale is 7-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. He has struck out 13, 12 and 12 batters in his last 3 starts against the Rays this season. Matt Andriese is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 5 road starts this year, and 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA in his last 3 outings. Andriese sports a 4.67 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Boston. He has yielded 11 earned runs in 15 innings in his last 3 starts against the Red Sox. Sale is 17-3 vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average. Take Boston the Run Line.
|
09-09-17 |
North Texas v. SMU -13.5 |
|
32-54 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NCAAF *BLOWOUT* on SMU -13.5
The Key: I'm very high on SMU this season and believe they'll make a bowl game for the first time since 2012. It's the 3rd year under Chad Morris, which is where teams make their most improvement. And he has 14 starters back this season, including 9 on an offense that put up 427 yards per game last year. Each of the top 4 receivers are back, as is 1,000-yard rusher Braeden West. SMU won 34-21 at North Texas last year and outgained them by 178 total yards. They won 31-13 at home in 2015 and outgained them by 206 yards. Expect more of the same here considering this is Morris' best team yet. The Mean Green are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Take SMU.
|
09-09-17 |
Northwestern v. Duke UNDER 55 |
|
17-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Northwestern/Duke UNDER 55
The Key: Northwestern and Duke have both struggled offensively throughout the years. Expect more of the same in 2017. These teams have met each of the last 2 years. Northwestern won 29-10 in 2015 and 24-13 in 2016 for 39 and 37 combined points, respectively. Dating back further, NW & Duke have combined for 54 or fewer points in 10 straight meetings. That makes for a 10-0 angle backing the UNDER when factoring in this 55-point total. Take the UNDER.
|
09-08-17 |
Angels v. Mariners -128 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
7* Angels/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -128
The Key: The Seattle Mariners trail the Los Angeles Angels by 3 games in the wild card chase. They now get to host the Angels, making this a big game for them. I like Mike Leake and the Mariners here over Ricky Nolasco and the Angels. Leake sports a 3.51 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 15 home starts this year. Nolasco is 3-7 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 14 road starts. Leake is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in one lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles, which came last year. Nolasco sports an 8.68 ERA in his last 2 starts at Seattle, yielding 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings. The Angels are 1-8 in their last 9 games following an off day. The Angels are 0-6 in Nolasco's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day. Take Seattle.
|
09-08-17 |
Ohio v. Purdue -3 |
|
21-44 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio/Purdue NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Purdue -3
The Key: Jeff Brohm stepped into a good situation at Purdue. The Boilermakers already had a capable offense last year, it was their defense that let them down. Brohm is an offensive guru with what he did at Western Kentucky over the past few seasons. And the Boilermakers are only going to be better under him. He came up with a good game plan against Louisville and they surprised, only losing 28-35 as 25.5-point dogs. They even committed four turnovers in that game, yet still hung tough. If they can hang with a power like Louisville at home, they should be able to take care of business against a MAC opponent in Ohio here. Frank Solich is 2-10 ATS after scoring 50 points or more last game in all games he has coached. Take Purdue.
|
09-07-17 |
Cardinals -122 v. Padres |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-122 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -122
The Key: I've backed the Cardinals with success the past 2 days and I'm jumping back on the money train tonight. This is a Cardinals team that has gone 6-1 in their last 7 games to get within 2 games of the Colorado Rockies for the last wild card spot. The Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings with San Diego, including 5-0 in their last 5 road meetings. Lance Lynn is the better starter here. Lynn is 10-6 with a 2.99 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 28 starts this year. Clayton Richard is 6-13 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 28 starts. Lynn is 3-2 with a 3.25 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. San Diego. Take St. Louis.
|
09-07-17 |
Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 48.5 |
|
42-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Chiefs/Patriots *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 48.5
The Key: No Julian Edelman will make the Patriots a little less explosive this season. They will still have a good offense, but Edelman was Brady's favorite target, and he's irreplaceable. The Chiefs win with defense and special teams, because their offense is one of the least explosive in the NFL. Alex Smith is still lacking weapons at receiver. Tyreek Hill is more of a gimmick receiver, not a No. 1 guy. They lost Jeremy Maclin this season and have even worse talent at receiver than they did last year. Kansas City is 32-16 UNDER in the first 2 weeks of the season since 1992. The UNDER is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Thursday games. Take the UNDER.
|
09-06-17 |
Cardinals -105 v. Padres |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Cards/Padres National League *BAILOUT* on St. Louis -105
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals just keep hanging around. They are just 3 games back in the wild card and they are the type of team that will step it up in the month of September. I backed them yesterday with success, and they are now 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. This is an excellent price to back them at nearly even money against the San Diego Padres, who are out of contention and just playing for pride. The Padres are 17-36 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record. The Padres are 0-5 in Lamet's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, including 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego. Take St. Louis.
|
09-05-17 |
Cardinals -154 v. Padres |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -154
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are still very much alive for the postseason. They are 3 games back of the Rockies in the wild card. They have gone 4-1 in their last 5 games to make their run, and opened this 4-game series against the lowly Padres with a 2-0 victory. Look for Michael Wacha to shut them down tonight in Game 2 as well. Wacha has never lost to the Padres, going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Travis Wood is 2-2 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 10 starts for the Padres. He is also 5-6 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 18 lifetime starts against the Cardinals. The Cards are 10-1 in Wacha's last 11 starts during game 2 of a series. The Cards are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. Take St. Louis.
|
09-04-17 |
Tennessee -3 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
42-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
74 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* GA Tech/Tennessee ACC vs SEC *HEAVY HITTER* on Tennessee -3
The Key: Tennessee has a big edge in talent over Georgia Tech. Butch Jones is a master recruiter and he has finally put the Vols back on the map. They were the best team in the SEC East last season as they beat Florida, but played a brutal schedule and suffered a couple of upsets in letdown games. Georgia Tech lost its best triple-option QB maybe ever in Justin Thomas to graduation. That offense won't click as well without him. The Vols are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. They have dominated the bowl games under Jones, and they will make easy work of this middle of the road ACC team here Monday night. Take Tennessee.
|
09-04-17 |
Twins v. Rays -122 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -122
The Key: The Rays have to get going if they want to make the postseason. They are 4 games back of the Minnesota Twins for the last wild card spot, and that's convenient because they host the Twins in this series. They need a sweep, and I like them in Game 1 here tonight. Alex Cobb has been great at home this year at 5-4 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts. He sports a 2.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his last 3 starts overall as well. Cobb has never lost to the Twins, going 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them. Jose Berrios is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his lone lifetime start against the Rays. Berrios is 4-5 with a 5.12 ERA in 11 road starts this year. The Twins are 0-7 in Berrios' last 7 road starts. Take Tampa Bay.
|
09-03-17 |
Red Sox -109 v. Yankees |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN *BAILOUT* on Boston -109
The Key: Rarely will you get to back Chris Sale at this kind of price. And when you look at the numbers he has posted against the Yankees, it's certainly worth taking the Red Sox here. Sale is 15-6 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 27 starts this year with a ridiculous 264 K's. He is 4-3 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against New York. Luis Severino is 1-4 with a 4.98 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Boston. He gave up 8 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings against the Red Sox in his last start against them on September 12th. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Sale's last 6 road starts. Take Boston.
|
09-03-17 |
West Virginia v. Virginia Tech OVER 51.5 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* WVU/VA Tech *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5
The Key: Dana Holgorsen is one of the best offensive minds in the game. His WVU Mountaineers have averaged at least 31 points in three straight seasons. Now he has one of his best QB's yet in Will Grier, who transferred in from Florida and was the best QB the Gators have had since Tim Tebow. Similarly, Justin Fuente is also a great offensive mind. He did wonders at Memphis with Paxton Lynch, and he in his first season at VA Tech, he led the Hokies to their most productive offensive season in years. They averaged 35 PPG last season. WVU had a great defense last year, but that won't be the case in 2017 because they lost 8 starters and 8 of their top 11 tacklers on defense. This is a very low total at 51.5, and I think this one flies OVER the number. The OVER is 13-3 in Hokies last 16 non-conference games, including 8-1 in their last 9 September games. Take the OVER.
|
09-02-17 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles -116 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-116 |
13 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* AL East Game of the Week on Baltimore Orioles -116
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall to make a serious push toward being a wild card team in the American League. Their offense has been on fire in scoring a combined 61 runs in those 9 games. The Toronto Blue Jays are done at 62-73 on the season. Wade Miley is 2-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 6 consecutive starts against Toronto. He sports a 3.11 ERA in those 6 starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 37 2/3 innings. Marcus Stroman has allowed 4 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 5 starts against the Orioles. He is 1-2 with a 5.16 ERA in those 5 starts. The Orioles are 5-1 in Miley's last 6 starts. The Blue Jays are 3-9 in Stroman's last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Orioles are 10-4 in the last 14 meetings. Take Baltimore.
|
09-02-17 |
Ball State v. Illinois -6.5 |
Top |
21-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Illinois -6.5
The Key: The Illinois Fighting Illini were in a clear rebuilding year last season under Lovie Smith. They went just 3-9 and now are getting no attention heading into 2017. These are the teams I like to back. Smith will be more successful in year two. The Fighting Illini open as only 6.5-point favorites over a middle-of-the-pack MAC team. The Illini clearly have more talent, and I look for that to show on the field here Saturday. This defense returns 4 of the top 5 tacklers from last year and will be better. The offense should hold its own, especially on the ground with both Kendrick Foster (5.7/carry) and Reggie Corbin (6.1/carry) back to lead the way. Leading receiver Malik Turner is back, as is Mike Dudeck, who has over 1,000 receiving yards as a freshman but missed last season with a torn ACL. Ball State only has 4 starters back on defense after giving up 30.1 points and 470 yards per game last season. The Illini should have plenty of success on the ground and through the air against their soft D. They'll easily win by a TD or more. Take Illinois.
|
09-02-17 |
Maryland v. Texas OVER 56 |
|
51-41 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Maryland/Texas NCAAF *CA$H COW* on OVER 56
The Key: Tom Herman brings his offensive juggernaut with him to Texas and has even more talent to work with than he had in Houston the past two years. Herman led Houston to 40.4 and 35.8 PPG the past two seasons, respectively. Now he inherits a Texas offense that put up 491 yards per game last season and returns 7 starts, including QB Shane Buchele and 4 starters on the O-line. Texas can pretty much name it score here against Maryland, which allowed 38 to Penn State, 59 to Michigan and 62 to Ohio State last year. But the Terrapins do have some talent on offense, especially in the backfield with Ty Johnson (1,031 yards, 9.1/carry) and Lorenzo Harrison (664 yards, 7.2/carry). They'll score enough to help push this game OVER the total. Take the OVER.
|
09-02-17 |
Kent State +40 v. Clemson |
|
3-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Dog of the Week on Kent State +40
The Key: Clemson is coming off a national title and the loss of Deshaun Watson. I don't expect the Tigers to be firing on all cylinders in Week 1. Kent State has a good defense that gave up 387 yards per game last season. The Golden Flashes will be competitive here. They lost 48-0 at Alabama last year as 43-point dogs. This is a similar point spread, but I don't think this Clemson team is nearly as good as that Alabama team was last year. Kent State lost by 20 at Penn State last season as well. This team is used to playing upper-echelon programs and won't be overwhelmed. I think they'll stay within 40 here with relative ease. Clemson has Auburn next week and will take the starters out early in this one. Bets against home favorites of 21.5 or more points in the first 2 weeks of the season, after closing last year with 4 or more wins in their last 5 games, a team that won 80% or more of their games against a team that won 25% to 40% from last year are 26-6 ATS since 1992. Take Kent State.
|
09-01-17 |
Colorado State v. Colorado -3.5 |
|
3-17 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Colorado State/Colorado Rivalry *CA$H COW* on Colorado -3.5
The Key: The Colorado State Rams are the flavor of the week right now. They just beat Oregon State 58-27 last Saturday at home. But the Beavers gave that game away by committing 5 turnovers. Now the Rams are on a short week here, while the Buffaloes have been able to spend the offseason training to face Colorado State, while the Rams had to focus on Oregon State. I love this spot for the Buffaloes. They are flying under the radar again this year after winning 10 games last year. Nobody wants to give them any credit. They do lose a lot on defense, but the offense brings back 9 starters and should be even better in 2017. Colorado State has an awful defense, but that is getting overlooked. The Buffaloes have won 5 of their last 7 meetings with the Rams, including a 44-7 beat down last year. Colorado is 7-0 ATS in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Colorado.
|
09-01-17 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles -1.5 |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+120)
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall to make a serious push toward being a wild card team in the American League. Their offense has been on fire in scoring a combined 60 runs in those 8 games. Kevin Gausman has been great in the second half. He is 5-2 with a 2.26 ERA in his last 8 starts, allowing only 13 earned runs in 51 2/3 innings. Guasman is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Guasman is 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Blue Jays as well. Joe Biagini is 2-8 with a 6.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.30 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Biagini is 0-7 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Blue Jays are losing by 5.8 RPG in this spot. He'll get rocked today as the Orioles stay red hot at the plate and cover this run line. Take Baltimore on the Run Line.
|
08-31-17 |
New Mexico State v. Arizona State -22 |
Top |
31-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NMSU/ASU Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Arizona State -22
The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are flying under the radar heading into 2017. They had won 10 games in back-to-back seasons in 2013 and 2014, but slipped to 6-7 in 2015 and 5-7 in 2016. They opened 5-1 last year but lost their final 6 games. But this is a team that returns 13 starters after having just 10 back last year. The offense will be one of the best in the Pac-12, and the defense cannot be as bad as it was a year ago. Following those 6 straight losses to close out last season, the Sun Devils have been hungry all offseason, and they're prepared to take out their frustration on lowly New Mexico State tonight. The Aggies went 3-9 last season. When they stepped up in competition they did not fare well. They lost 42-62 at Kentucky, 6-52 at Troy, 23-55 at Idaho, 10-52 at Texas A&M and 7-37 to Appalachian State. They have a lot back but this team is simply outclassed here. Take Arizona State.
|
08-31-17 |
Jaguars +3 v. Falcons |
|
13-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NFLX Game of the Week on Jacksonville Jaguars +3
|
08-31-17 |
Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +105 |
|
1-8 |
Win
|
105 |
4 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Dodgers/DBacks NL West *CA$H COW* on Arizona +105
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are rolling right now. They have won 6 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. The Los Angeles Dodgers have relaxed now that they basically have home-field advantage locked up in the postseason. They will remain fade material going forward. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games overall. Getting Zack Greinke as a home dog is a gift today. Greinke is 12-1 with a 2.36 ERA in 15 home starts this year. Kenta Maeda is 4-4 with a 4.61 ERA in 11 road starts. Maeda is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA in 3 starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017. He has allowed 11 earned runs in 14 innings in those 3 starts. The Diamondbacks are 13-2 in Greinke's home starts this year. Take Arizona.
|
08-30-17 |
Tigers v. Rockies -107 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -107
The Key: Chad Bettis has made a successful return from testicular cancer. He sports a 3.79 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 3 starts this year, including a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his 2 home starts. Now I look for Bettis to take down the Detroit Tigers today at this generous -107 price. This is a Tigers team that has quit while going 6-17 in their last 23 games overall, including 2-10 in their last 12 road games. Justin Verlander is 3-6 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 14 road starts this year. The Tigers are 1-9 in Verlander's last 10 road starts. The Rockies are 14-2 in Bettis' last 16 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Colorado.
|
08-29-17 |
Tigers v. Rockies -142 |
Top |
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Colorado Rockies -142
The Key: The Colorado Rockies lost to the Tigers yesterday and will be hungry for a victory today. This is a Tigers team that is just 6-16 in their last 22 games overall. They haven't won back-to-back games since August 3-4 and are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win. German Marquez has been solid this year at 10-5 with a 4.18 ERA in 22 starts this season. He'll be up against a depleted Tigers lineup that is missing Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez. The Tigers are 2-9 in their last 11 road games. Detroit is 1-6 in Fulmer's last 7 road starts. The Rockies are 8-0 in Marquez's last 8 home starts. Take Colorado.
|
08-28-17 |
Giants v. Padres -109 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* Giants/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on San Diego -109
The Key: The San Diego Padres are showing great value as small home favorite over the San Francisco Giants today. The Padres have been a profitable bet at home all season, going 33-30 (+6.9 units). San Francisco is 21-45 (-23 units) on the road. Jhoulys Chacin has been untouchable at home, going 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA in 13 starts. Jeff Samardzija is 3-7 with a 5.05 ERA in 13 road starts. Samardzija has given up 12 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Padres in 2017. Chacin is 8-6 with a 3.41 ERA in 18 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. The Padres are 4-0 in Chacin's last 4 starts vs. Giants. Take San Diego.
|
08-27-17 |
Bengals v. Redskins OVER 43.5 |
|
17-23 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Bengals/Redskins NFLX *Total* Annihilator on OVER 43.5
|
08-27-17 |
Rockies -125 v. Braves |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -125
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have a massive advantage on the mound today over the Atlanta Braves. Jon Gray returned from injury this season and is starting to find his groove, giving up just 4 earned runs over 12 2/3 innings his last 2 starts. Gray has never lost to the Braves, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Mike Foltynewicz is starting to wear down, and that's evident by the fact that he's 0-3 with a huge 15.42 ERA and 2.91 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Foltynewicz has never beaten the Rockies, going 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.
|
08-26-17 |
Jets +5 v. Giants |
|
31-32 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Jets/Giants NFLX *CA$H COW* on New York Jets +5
|
08-26-17 |
Hawaii v. UMass -3 |
Top |
38-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Hawaii/UMass NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UMass -3
The Key: Last year UMass had just 9 returning starters and went from playing an easy MAC schedule to a much tougher Independent schedule. They went just 2-10, but were only outgained by 97 yards per game. They are a much more veteran squad this year with 15 returning starters and the schedule gets easier. The Minutemen played Hawaii in the regular season finale last year. The Warriors needed a win to make a bowl, so they had a lot more to play for. But UMass gave them everything they wanted at Hawaii and only lost 40-46. Now they get their shot at revenge right away in 2017, this time at home. Amazingly, Hawaii is 1-23 in true road games over on the mainland over the past 4 seasons. The Warriors are getting too much love here from oddsmakers. Take UMass.
|
08-26-17 |
Mariners v. Yankees -1.5 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound today and should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more over the Seattle Mariners. The Yankees will be extra hungry after losing 2 straight games coming in. Sonny Gray has been great this year at 7-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 20 starts, and 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 home starts. Gray owns the Mariners, going 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. Yovani Gallardo is the weakest link in Seattle's rotation. He is 4-9 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts, and 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is also 2-3 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
08-25-17 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks -1.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-112 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-112)
The Key: Zack Greinke is virtually unbeatable at home. He is 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 14 home starts this year. Ty Blach is 3-4 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 8 road starts. Blach is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Greinke is 9-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Greinke is 73-18 (+40.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since lifetime. Take Arizona on the Run Line.v
|
08-25-17 |
Patriots -3.5 v. Lions |
|
30-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Patriots/Lions NFLX *CA$H COW* on New England -3.5
|
08-24-17 |
Twins -165 v. White Sox |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-165 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Minnesota Twins -165
The Key: The Twins have gone 13-5 in their last 18 games and 6-2 in their last 8 with both losses coming by exactly one run, including last night's 4-3 loss to the White Sox. They'll come back hungry for a victory here Thursday and they have a huge advantage on the mound in this one. Jose Berrios is 11-5 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He pitched 7 shutout innings against Arizona in his last start. Derek Holland has been awful of late, going 1-2 with a 14.80 ERA and 3.09 WHIP in his last 3 starts, yielding 17 runs and 32 base runners in 10 1/3 innings. Berrios has never lost to the White Sox, going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts. Holland is 2-6 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. In his last 2 starts against the Twins this season, Holland has yielded 14 runs and 5 homers in 7 2/3 innings. Take Minnesota.
|
08-24-17 |
Dolphins v. Eagles -3.5 |
|
31-38 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* Dolphins/Eagles NFLX *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia -3.5
|
08-23-17 |
Twins -1.5 v. White Sox |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have gone 13-4 in their last 17 games overall to jump into the 2nd wild card spot in the American League. Their offense is on fire as they have scored 47 runs over their past 6 games, including 20 in the first 3 games of this series against the White Sox, who now have a taxed bullpen. Making matters worse is that they traded away their best bullpen arms to the Yankees. Ervin Santana is 13-7 with a 3.33 ERA in 25 starts this year, including 8-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 road starts. He'll be opposed by James Shields, who is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA in 14 starts, including 2-3 with a 6.14 ERA in 7 home starts. Santana is 5-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 5 starts against the White Sox, yielding only 9 earned runs in 31 innings. Shields is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA in his last 3 starts against Minnesota, yielding 11 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. The Twins are 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts. The White Sox are 17-40 in their last 57 games overall. Take Minnesota on the Run Line.
|
08-22-17 |
Cubs -153 v. Reds |
Top |
13-9 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -153
The Key: The Chicago Cubs appear to have turned the corner. They have gone 6-2 in their last 8 games behind an offense that has scored 57 runs in those 8 games and an average of 7.1 RPG. I'll lay the price with them today given their advantage on the mound. John Lackey is pitching his best baseball since the All-Star Break. He is 5-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last 6 starts. Lackey is 6-5 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Cincinnati. Homer Bailey has been one of the worst starters in baseball this year. He is 4-6 with an 8.44 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-4 with a 14.33 ERA and 2.57 WHIP in 4 home starts. Bailey sports a 4.66 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. He gave up 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-7 loss to the Cubs in his last start on August 16th. Cincinnati is 1-11 after scoring 1 run or less this season. The Cubs are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Chicago is 7-0 in Lackey's last 7 starts. The Reds are 0-5 in Bailey's last 5 home starts. Take this combined 34-1 angle straight to the bank tonight. Take Chicago.
|
08-21-17 |
Brewers -117 v. Giants |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-117 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Brewers/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on Milwaukee -117
The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten back on track with a 7-1 run over their last 8 games to pull within 2 games of the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. Now they have an easy series coming against the Giants starting Monday. This is a Giants team that just lost back-to-back games to the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, the only team with a worse record than them in the National League. Zach Davies has yet to lose on the road, going 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. Chris Stratton is 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 3 starts for the Giants. He has already walked 10 batters in 18 1/3 innings as control has clearly been an issue. Buster Posey is expected to sit tonight, making Davies' job a little easier. Davies is 10-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season. The Brewers are 7-0 in Davies' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest. Take Milwaukee.
|
08-21-17 |
Giants v. Browns +1.5 |
|
6-10 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Giants/Browns NFLX *CA$H COW* on Cleveland +1.5
|
08-20-17 |
Falcons -3 v. Steelers |
|
13-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Falcons/Steelers NFLX *CA$H COW* on Atlanta -3
|
08-20-17 |
Brewers v. Rockies -123 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-123 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -123
The Key: Getting the Rockies at this low of a price at home is a nice value. Especially when you consider that starting pitcher Kyle Freeland is 6-4 with a 3.31 ERA in 12 starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season. Chase Anderson makes his return from the DL today with his first start since June 28th. He'll be on a pitch count and the Rockies should get into Milwaukee's shaky bullpen early. The Rockies are 38-23 at home this season, hitting .301 and scoring 6.2 RPG. Colorado is 10-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. Freeland is 10-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season. The Brewers are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Colorado.
|
08-19-17 |
Jets +5.5 v. Lions |
Top |
6-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NFLX Game of the Week on New York Jets +5.5
|
08-19-17 |
Marlins +105 v. Mets |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins +105
The Key: The Miami Marlins have quietly gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. They continue to try and get to .500 on the season as they currently sit at 59-61. The Mets appear to have quit as they are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall to fall to 53-67 on the year. The Marlins have the hotter starter in Vance Worley, who is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Rafael Montero is 1-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 10 starts this year, 0-5 with a 6.52 ERA in 6 home starts, and 0-1 with a 6.13 ERA in his last 3 starts. Montero sports a 5.02 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami. The Marlins are 6-0 in Worley's last 6 starts, while the Mets are 1-6 in Montero's last 7 starts, and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts. Take Miami.
|
08-18-17 |
Vikings +4.5 v. Seahawks |
|
13-20 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* Vikings/Seahawks NFLX *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +4.5
The Key: The Vikings are 13-1 SU & 12-2 ATS in the preseason under Mike Zimmer over the past four seasons. They have one of the better backups in the league in Case Keenum this year, and he played great in the second half against the Bills last week to lead the Vikings to victory. Look for him to be a difference-maker as Zimmer and company keep their tremendous preseason run going tonight against the Seahawks. Take Minnesota.
|
08-18-17 |
Mariners v. Rays -123 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-123 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -123
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays, at 60-63, realize this is a huge series for them if they want to stay alive in the wild card chase. They haven't played well over the last 2 weeks, but now they have 6 straight home games to get back on track. I'll gladly back Austin Pruitt, who is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 5 starts this year for the Rays. He has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts, which is impressive considering he has faced 3 of the best teams in baseball in the Indians, Red Sox and Astros. Erasmo Ramirez has been awful on the road this year, going 0-3 with a 10.35 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 5 starts for the Mariners. The Mariners are 6-16 in Ramirez's last 22 starts. Take Tampa Bay.
|
08-17-17 |
Nationals v. Padres -109 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* Nats/Padres National League *BAILOUT* on San Diego -109
The Key: The Washington Nationals will be just coasting to the finish line since they essentially have the NL East wrapped up already. That's especially the case with all of the injuries that are piling up. They are without Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Jayson Werth, Adam Eaton and Stephen Strasburg. The Strasburg injury is a big reason why Edwin Jackson has been added to the rotation. While he's held his own thus far, it's only a matter of time before he starts getting blown up like he has throughout his career. Jhoulys Chacin has been one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Chacin has been especially good at home, going 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 12 starts at Petco Park. Chacin is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Jackson has never beaten the Padres, going 0-6 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. The Padres are 32-27 (+8.6 units) at home this year and will get up to play the Nationals in this series. Chacin is 10-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. Take San Diego.
|
08-17-17 |
Bills +4.5 v. Eagles |
|
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* Bills/Eagles NFLX *CA$H COW* on Buffalo +4.5
|
08-16-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers -1.5 |
Top |
6-12 |
Win
|
110 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+110)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are still very much alive in the AL wild card race. They have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall coming in. The Detroit Tigers have gone in the other direction. They are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall while losing all nine games by 2 runs or more. The Rangers should roll today thanks to their huge advantage on the mound. Cole Hamels is 7-1 with a 3.31 ERA in 14 starts this year, 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA in 7 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last 3 starts. Anibal Sanchez is 3-3 with a 5.80 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 1-2 with an 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Hamels is 3-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, while Sanchez is 2-4 with an 8.48 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Rangers are 23-6 in Hamels' last 29 home starts, including 14-1 in his last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Texas on the Run Line.
|
08-15-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
4-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* American League *Total* Annihilator on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 10.5
The Key: I cashed in the Rangers/Tigers UNDER 11 yesterday and I'm going to back the UNDER 10.5 again today. For whatever reason, the books have set the number too high once again tonight. This is an especially high total for a game involving Detroit ace Justin Verlander. He has been spectacular of late, going 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts while allowing only 2 earned runs in 21 innings. A.J. Griffin has held his own for the Rangers at 5-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 10 starts. The Rangers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 11 games, while the Tigers have been held to 5 or fewer in 17 of their last 21 games. Verlander is 11-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The UNDER is 13-1-2 in Rangers last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games overall. Take the UNDER.
|
08-14-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 11 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 11
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the UNDER in the Tigers/Rangers Game 1 battle Monday. It's not like either offense is lighting it up. The Rangers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 10 games overall. The Tigers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 16 of their last 20 games overall. One of these teams is going to have to get to at least 6 runs to tie or beat us, and I'm just not seeing it. Michael Fulmer sports a 3.48 ERA in 10 road starts this season, and he pitched a 9-inning shutout in his only lifetime start against the Rangers. Martin Perez hasn't been great, but his job could be much easier today considering both Ian Kinsler and Miggy Cabrera are questionable for the Tigers after sitting out yesterday. Texas is 7-0 UNDER after a combined score of 3 runs or less this season. The UNDER is 23-8 in Perez's last 31 starts during game 1 of a series. The UNDER is 23-8-2 in Rangers last 33 during game 1 of a series. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the UNDER.
|
08-13-17 |
Seahawks +2 v. Chargers |
|
48-17 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Seahawks/Chargers NFLX *CA$H COW* on Seattle +2
|
08-13-17 |
Orioles -108 v. A's |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles -108
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are only 1.5 games back in the wild card race. Another victory here Sunday would get them back to .500 on the season. The A's are the second-worst team in the AL with a record of 51-66 on the year. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Jeremy Hellickson has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts for the Orioles. Kendall Graveman has allowed 10 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts for the A's. Hellickson is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Graveman is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. This one looks like a blowout in favor of the Orioles today, and we're getting them at basically an even money price. Hellickson is 8-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season. TheOrioles are 7-1 in their last 8 Sunday games. Take Baltimore.
|
08-12-17 |
Cowboys v. Rams +3 |
|
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* Cowboys/Rams NFLX *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +3
|
08-12-17 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115)
The Key: We'll continue riding the red hot St. Louis Cardinals here Saturday on the run line against the Atlanta Braves. The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall. They have scored 8 runs or more in 6 straight games and are averaging 9.7 RPG during this stretch. The Braves have lost 4 straight while scoring a total of 10 runs, or an average of 2.5 RPG. Carlos Martinez is 5-3 with a 3.27 ERA at home this year. Lucas Sims is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Braves. The Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Atlanta is 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
|
08-11-17 |
49ers v. Chiefs -3.5 |
|
27-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* 49ers/Chiefs NFLX *BAILOUT* on Kansas City -3.5
|
08-11-17 |
Astros v. Rangers +113 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
113 |
16 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Year on Texas Rangers +113
The Key: It's now or never for the Texas Rangers, who are still very much alive in the wild card hunt at just 3.5 games back of the second spot. They have a chance to get back on track against a slumping Astros team that has many key injuries right now holding them back. The Astros have gone 2-7 in their last 9 games overall, and they were just swept by the White Sox in Chicago last series. The Astros played an extra innings game on Thursday, while the Rangers had yesterday off, giving the home team a huge edge in rest. Rarely will you get to back Cole Hamels as a home dog. He is 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA at home this season. Charlie Morton is 3-2 with a 4.08 ERA on the road. Hamels has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 5 straight starts against the Astros. He is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in his last 3 starts against Houston, yielding only 4 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Houston is 0-6 in its last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day. The Rangers are 22-6 in Hamels' last 28 home starts, and 10-1 in his last 11 Friday starts. Take Texas.
|
08-10-17 |
Jaguars +3 v. Patriots |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Jaguars/Patriots NFLX *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville +3
|
08-10-17 |
Royals v. Cardinals -140 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -140
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are on fire at the plate right now and feeling good about themselves. They have won 5 straight games and have scored a combined 42 runs over their last 4 games, or an average of 10.5 RPG. The Royals are in free-fall mode in going 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. And a big part of this poor run is that they have been without their best player in catcher Salvador Perez. The Cards have the advantage on the mound tonight with Lance Lynn, who is 10-6 with a 3.12 ERA in 23 starts, 5-3 with a 2.58 ERA in 10 home starts and 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jason Hammel is 5-9 with a 4.73 ERA in 22 starts for the Royals, including 2-4 with a 4.86 ERA in 8 road starts. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Lynn's last 6 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
08-09-17 |
Royals v. Cardinals -127 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -127
The Key: The Cardinals' offense has exploded for 10 or more runs in three straight games and a total of 34 runs the past 3 days. They have a huge advantage on the mound tonight that should lead to another victory against the slumping Royals, who are 2-7 in their last 9 games overall. Mike Leake is 7-10 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 22 starts this year, and 3-6 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 home starts. He has been one of the most consistent starters in the National League. Trevor Cahill is 4-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 13 starts this year, 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in 8 road starts, and 0-0 with an 8.75 ERA and 2.35 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His transition from the Padres of the NL to the AL has not been a smooth one. And Cahill has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take St. Louis.
|
08-09-17 |
Texans v. Panthers OVER 37.5 |
|
17-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Texans/Panthers *Total* Annihilator on OVER 37.5
|