Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-24-23 | Dodgers +105 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers have several key pitchers injured but fortunately, they have Tony Gonsolin on the mound in this one. Gonsolin has been lights out. He has not allowed an earned run in three consecutive starts spanning 16 innings and the Dodgers have won in three of his last four outings. Gonsolin has yet to allow an earned run on the road this season. The Dodgers' offense is hot. They have amassed five or more runs in eight of their last nine games including an 8-6 win in Monday's series opener and another eight runs on Tuesday. Braves' starter Elder is pitching well but is still a young pitcher and has yet to pitch against the Dodgers in his career. While his ERA is at 2.06, his Expected ERA is higher at 4.55. |
|||||||
05-24-23 | Rangers v. Pirates +112 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While Perez has done an excellent job for the Rangers over the past season and a half, he's been less effective on the road. This season, in particular, Perez's ERA jumps up nearly a run and a half on the road. He now comes up against a Pirates team that has hit left-handed pitching very well this season. The Bucs are hitting .274 against lefties thus far, have a .455 slugging percentage, and an OBP of .792. Oviedo has been slightly better at home than on the road and, more importantly, has kept the ball in the yard at home. He has allowed just one home run at home this season which will be critical against a Rangers team that is 7th in baseball in home runs. I look for the Pirates to take the third and final game of this series with a slightly better starting pitcher and timely hitting against the soft-throwing Perez. |
|||||||
05-23-23 | Padres -139 v. Nationals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Diego Padres haven’t been at their best however they have Yu Darvish on the mound. Darvish has been the Padres’ most reliable starter this season and has allowed two or fewer runs in two of his last three outings including just one run in six innings against the Dodgers. The Nationals have only won two of their last six games. Nationals starter Mackenzie Gore is a promising young pitcher but has been inconsistent and has recorded a subpar 4.66 ERA in his four starts this month. He doesn’t pitch deep into games, logging 5.1 or fewer innings in three of his last four starts and the Nationals do not have a reliable bullpen, ranking 22nd with a weak 4.30 ERA on the season. |
|||||||
05-23-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles score 5.11 runs per game (7th) and hit .254 (13th) with a .757 OPS (9th). They've hit 58 long balls (11th) and stolen 43 bases (5th) this year. NY averages 4.61 runs (12th) and hits .236 (22nd) with a .728 OPS (14th). It's hit 73 homers (4th) and stolen 37 bases (11th) this season. Consider that the over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
|||||||
05-23-23 | Cardinals -133 v. Reds | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The St. Louis Cardinals are looking a lot better in recent games and have been reliable on the road, winning five of their last seven road games highlighted by a sweep of the Red Sox in that span. They just won three of four against the Dodgers on the weekend ignited by the offense. The Reds are scuffling, dropping six of their last eight games. Reds’ starter Graham Ashcraft has been clobbered in recent outings. He has surrendered a whopping 19 runs in his last four starts spanning only 18.1 innings, resulting in an abysmal 9.33 ERA in May. He struggled against the Cardinals last season, conceding eight runs in nine innings. |
|||||||
05-23-23 | Rangers v. Pirates OVER 8 | 6-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Texas Rangers are in the top 3 in four major hitting statistics. Texas is first in team batting average .272 and in runs scored with 297, while second in on-base percentage at .342 and 3rd in slugging percentage with .456. Adolis Garcia is the leading home run hitter for Texas with 14 and also leads the Rangers in RBI with 49. Josh Jung is second in home runs with nine, while Marcus Semien is second in RBI with 38. Texas has hit 94 doubles, five triples and 63 home runs in 46 games. Consider that the over is 12-5-1 in Pirates last 18 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
|||||||
05-23-23 | White Sox +119 v. Guardians | 4-2 | Win | 119 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox are playing their best baseball of the season with six wins in ten games heading into Monday night's opener against Cleveland. They are hitting .252 against lefties this season and have an OBP of over .700 as a team vs. lefties. Allen has lived a bit dangerously lately while giving up 15 hits in his last 10 innings of work. Cease has a 12.0 K/9 rate on the road this season and faces a Cleveland lineup that is 29th in baseball in runs scored. The Guardians have won just three of their last ten games heading into the series opener, including losing two of three to the White Sox in Chicago last week. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Marlins v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rockies will turn to right-hander Chase Anderson on Monday night in the series opener with Miami. Anderson will be making his second start of the season and fourth appearance overall. He has no record and has yet to allow a run in ten innings while allowing just three hits. He has two walks and five strikeouts overall. In his lone starting appearance, his first with Colorado after being acquired from Tampa, the 35-year old allowed just one hit in five innings against the Reds while picking up a no-decision. The Marlins are hitting just .230 on the road. Consider that the under is 11-2 in Marlins last 13 vs. National League West. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -150 | 113-111 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This series is over, for all intents and purposes, but I just can't see the Lakers getting swept. Veterans like James and Davis are too proud to let themselves get swept in front of Jack and the rest of their home crowd. The Nuggets are just a better team, and have been all season, and they'll make this interesting, but the Lakers will pull this one out down the stretch. The Nuggets are just 2-5 against the spread in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. But look for a gentleman's sweep and for this thing to end in game 5 back in Denver. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -104 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The first two games went to overtime, making it easy to think that the Hurricanes can win the upcoming game on the road. However, the Panthers have controlled this series and look to step up and control this game on their home ice. The Panthers should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Panthers, who have allowed only three goals in the series, should limit the Hurricanes' offense with Brandon Montour, Gustav Forsling, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win Game Three and take a commanding 3-0 series lead with a strong performance on their home ice. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Giants v. Twins -139 | 4-1 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco has lost four of its last five when playing against the team with a winning record. San Francisco has only the 20th best team batting average and is coming off a game on Saturday in which the Giants were held to three hits and no runs. Minnesota has baseball's third best team ERA and is allowing the second lowest batting average by opponents at .224. San Francisco starting pitcher Alex Cobb lasted only 3 ⅓ innings last time out allowing five hits and two runs but struggled with control, issuing five base on balls. Minnesota starting pitcher Bailer Ober has had five consecutive solid starts, allowing 20 hits and six earned runs in 24 ⅓ innings, with Minnesota winning four of the five. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Tigers +105 v. Royals | 8-5 | Win | 105 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Kansas City has been awful this season and their inability to generate consistent offense has been a major reason why. We have seen them total one run in their first two games against the White Sox over the weekend and that lack of run support makes things tougher for what has been a struggling pitching staff. Lorenzen turned in a solid outing in his last start, blanking the Pirates over six innings at home, and has been solid in his last several turns in the rotation. Detroit is still a sub-.500 team but they have played better baseball after a sluggish start to the year. You can’t say that about the Royals and that is enough to give the advantage to the Tigers in this contest. |
|||||||
05-22-23 | Rangers -121 v. Pirates | 4-6 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers have won five of their last seven games and four of their last five road games. They have the highest-scoring offense in the league and they’re playing very well offensively at the moment, scoring 23 runs in their last three games. They’ve done a great job against right-handers this season and Pittsburgh starter, Ortiz has struggled on the mound, giving up nine runs in two starts. He gave up five runs in his only home start and will have a hard time slowing down the Rangers in this game. The Pirates have won three of their last five games, but they’ve lost seven of their last eight home games. They don’t hit the ball well against right-handers and Texas starter, Dunning has done a great job on the mound for the Rangers, giving up only five runs in his last four starts. He has given up five runs in six road starts this season and didn’t give up a run in his only start against the Pirates. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics are inexplicably three-point favorites in this one. What does Miami have to do to get some respect? I just don't see how you can favor the Celtics in this one, given that the Heat have not lost at home so far in the playoffs. The Celtics are the higher seed and the more talented team, but I have no confidence in their ability to close out a game in crunch time, especially against this Heat team, which has come up big time after time. The Celtics are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 meetings versus the Heat. The Celtics could possibly win this but it would be only by a bucket late. Take the Heat getting the points. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Guardians v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of former Cy Young Award winners -- the Guardians' Shane Bieber (3-2, 3.20 ERA) and the Mets' Justin Verlander (1-2, 4.76 ERA) -- remain scheduled to start tonight's game. Bieber took the defeat in his lone start against New York on Aug. 20, 2019, when he allowed four runs (two earned) over six innings in a 9-2 loss. Verlander is 22-24 with a 4.53 ERA in 54 starts against the Guardians. Consider that the over is 19-8 in Mets last 27 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Twins v. Angels -143 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels are 5-0 in Ohtani's last five starts vs. a team with a winning record and 7-1 in his last eight starts on grass. They're also 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 19-7 in their last 26 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Twins are 2-6 in their last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter, 3-10 in their last 13 vs. American League West, and 8-23 in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Twins are not playing well in Southern California, and I don't predict their road trip will end on a high note today. Minny's road splits are poor (.208/.287/.364/.650), and it's facing one of the elite starters in baseball. Additionally, he's coming off a poor outing, which should motivate his competitive edge today. Ohtani has a 2.38 ERA in his career vs. the Twins. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 10 | 2-5 | Win | 105 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One of baseball's most productive lineups in the first two weeks of May, the suddenly sluggish Kansas City offense has been shut out twice in the past five games, scoring just 10 runs over the five games. The Royals have been shut out eight times this season. Kansas City is 2-6 during its current road trip, which ends Sunday. Royals' batters have hit .185 (47-for-254) with 79 strikeouts, including a .184 mark (9-of-49) with runners in scoring position during the span. Kansas City was hitless with runners in scoring position in the first two games of the series and struck out three times to end innings with a runner at third. Meanwhile, while winning four of its past five games, Chicago starters have limited hitters to a .208 average (25-for-120) with a 1.89 ERA (seven earned runs, 33 1/3 innings). They have completed at least six innings in seven straight starts. Consider that the under is 11-5-3 in White Sox last 19 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Brewers v. Rays OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays announced left-hander Jalen Beeks (1-2, 4.70 ERA) as today's starter. Beeks has faced the Brewers twice, making one start. While he hasn't been involved in a decision, he has a 3.00 ERA in three innings. The Brewers are countering with right-hander Freddy Peralta (4-3, 4.11) today. Peralta is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in one career start against the Rays. The 26-year-old has worked at least six innings in five of his eight starts but is coming off allowing a season-high six runs in a loss at the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday. Consider that the over is 11-5-2 in Brewers last 18 vs. American League East. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Tigers v. Nationals -127 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nationals, who ended a four-game losing streak with a 5-2 win on Saturday after dropping the series opener 8-6 on Friday, will turn to their ace in today's series finale. Right-hander Josiah Gray (3-5, 2.73 ERA) held the Miami Marlins to two runs (one earned) on seven hits with five strikeouts and three walks in a 5-4 loss in his last start this past Tuesday. Gray has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts. After giving up three homers in his first start of the season on April 1, he's only given up two in his past eight starts combined. The Tigers will counter with left-hander Joey Wentz (1-3, 6.38), who yielded three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and a walk in just 2 2/3 innings. The Nationals are very good at putting the ball in play against LHP as they strikeout just 17 percent of the time. |
|||||||
05-21-23 | Yankees -145 v. Reds | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Severino will return from a lat strain and hopes to watch Judge and Rizzo produce more big hits when the New York Yankees go for the three-game sweep of the host Cincinnati Reds today. Severino, who missed two months with the same injury last season, is pitching for the first time since an ALCS Game 2 loss at the Houston Astros, 3-2 on Oct. 20. His most recent regular-season outing was seven hitless innings at Texas on Oct. 3. That effort capped a season where he returned from Tommy John surgery by going 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 19 starts spanning 102 innings. Severino is 1-0 with a 4.00 ERA in two career starts against the Reds. The Reds hope a solid showing by Hunter Greene (0-3, 4.60 ERA) can help erase the disappointment of the previous two games. Greene allowed three earned runs or fewer in his first eight starts before getting tagged for six runs and nine hits in four innings of a no-decision Monday at Colorado. Greene allowed two homers and has allowed five in his past three starts. |
|||||||
05-20-23 | Red Sox +122 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 122 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sale (3-2, 5.40 ERA) will make his ninth start of 2023 on Saturday night in San Diego against Padres right-hander Joe Musgrove (1-1, 6.63). Sale will face the perfect team to dominate. The Padres have lost three in a row and 10 of their last 12 games. And Friday afternoon, Manny Machado, the Padres' emotional leader, went on the 10-day disabled list with a hairline fracture in his left hand -- the result of getting hit on the hand by a fastball from the Royals' Aroldis Chapman. Musgrove will make his fifth start of the season Saturday. He didn't make his debut until April 22 after suffering a fracture to the big toe of his left foot during a spring training workout. And his second start came in the thin air of Mexico City, where he gave up seven runs in 3 1/3 innings on six hits, including three homers. His two most recent starts -- both against the Los Angeles Dodgers this month -- didn't represent a total return to form. He gave up five runs (four earned) on 10 hits and seven walks with 10 strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings. |
|||||||
05-20-23 | Twins v. Angels -117 | 6-2 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota has lost 22 of its last 30 games played on the road when facing a team that has a winning record and the Twins have lost 14 of the last 19 played on the road when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Minnesota's Louis Varland was hit hard last time out allowing four hits and three runs in 6 ⅓ innings including giving up two home runs. Los Angeles starting pitcher Patrick Sandoval had a strong outing this past Sunday allowing five hits and two earned runs in 7 ⅔ innings but did not take part in the decision against Cleveland. Los Angeles has three players that have already hit 10 home runs apiece, making it difficult for opposing teams to pitch around hitters. Los Angeles has won 12 of the last 16 played at home when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The Angels have won four of the last five head-to-head against Minnesota. |
|||||||
05-20-23 | Diamondbacks v. Pirates -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite their poor play as of late, this game leans heavily toward the Pirates. Keller has been outstanding this season with seven quality starts among his nine starts overall. He has been even better at home with a perfect record and an ERA of 2.00 exactly. Brandon Pfaadt, meanwhile, has been mostly ineffective in his three starts thus far with an ERA over 8.00. He has allowed seven home runs in just three appearances this season and has a hard-hit percentage that is over 50%. The Pirates' offense, which has struggled during this current stretch of poor play, has scored six runs per game in their last two wins. Look for the Pirates to provide enough support for their ace on Saturday to pick up the win. |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Marlins +120 v. Giants | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sandy Alcantara will turn the corner sooner rather than later. He can only pitch better than he did last Saturday, so I’m backing the Marlins to stay on the winning path. The current Giants are 22-for-90 with three doubles and five home runs against Alcantara. On the other side, the current Marlins are 20-for-59 with a couple of doubles and homers versus Anthony DeSclafani, who’s yielded eight earned runs on 15 hits over his previous two starts and 12 innings of work. Over the last ten days, the Marlins have posted a 109 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers, whereas the Giants have recorded a 90 wRC+ against the righties in that span. During that stretch, Miami’s bullpen has registered a 3.21 ERA and 3.20 FIP to go with a 3-1 record and three saves, while San Francisco’s bullpen has gone 3-2 with four saves, 4.42 ERA, and 4.86 FIP. Miami and San Francisco already met each other in April, and the Marlins won two out of three games in front of the home fans. |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Heat +9 v. Celtics | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I picked the Heat to cover in game 1 but I honestly did not expect them to actually win the game. Now they are 9 point underdogs and again, that feels like a lot. While I fully expect the Celtics to win in this game -- they have to or they are pretty much done. But Miami is not the type of team you blow out -- and 9 points is a lot. I just can't see the Celtics winning by double digits here. Miami won't shoot 52% from three again but they will play good enough defense and make enough big shots to keep this game close down the stretch. The Celtics will survive, but the Heat will cover. Take Miami getting the points. |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Dodgers -124 v. Cardinals | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to dominate, winning seven of their last eight games entering Friday including a sweep of the Padres in that span. The Cardinals are playing better recently but have been one of the worst home squads in the big leagues, winning only eight of their 22 games at Busch Stadium. Dodgers’ starter Tony Gonsolin has been lights out. Gonsolin has not allowed a run in his last two starts against the Brewers and Padres and has conceded just three runs in his 19 innings of action this season. Cards’ starter Steven Matz has not been reliable. He has surrendered 19 hits in his last 15 innings of work and has an ugly 5.61 ERA on the year. The Cards have lost in six of his eight starts this season. |
|||||||
05-19-23 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-13 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Diamondbacks are proving they are the real deal. They have won five of their last six games including a series win against the Giants and continue to dazzle at the plate. The Pittsburgh Pirates are plummeting. They have yet to win a series this month and have dropped seven of their last ten games and are just 1-5 in their last six home bouts. It’s been nearly an automatic win when Zac Gallen is on the hill. The right-hander has led Arizona to victory in seven of his last eight starts. He is an ace, ranking near the top in all pitching categories including ERA and WHIP. He has conceded either zero or one run in five of his last seven outings. Pirates’ starter Johan Oviedo is struggling, allowing 18 runs in his last 17.2 innings. I recommend the run line as each Diamondbacks' win with Gallen on the hill has been by at least two runs. |
|||||||
05-18-23 | Guardians +140 v. White Sox | 3-1 | Win | 140 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Guardians have struggled out of the gate in this series, losing each of the first two games. I like them to bounce back in the series finale behind rookie pitcher Allen. Chicago is hitting just .246 against lefties this season and Allen has done an excellent job keeping the ball in the yard this season. Cease, meanwhile, has struggled with his command and has a hard-hit ratio of nearly 50%. He also is 0-2 in his last three starts with an ERA near 6.50. Look for the speedy Guardians to get on base, run and advance runners against Cease as he struggles to find the zone. |
|||||||
05-18-23 | Nationals v. Marlins -147 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nationals have Trevor Williams on the hill. The right-hander has not been as sharp recently, squandering 10 runs in his last four outings spanning only 17 innings. He has also been horrible on the road where he has posted a poor 5.66 ERA in four outings. Nationals starter Eury Perez is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball. He allowed two runs and struck out seven in 4.2 innings in his debut against the Reds last week. He should be even more comfortable in his second start. Perez is a right-hander and the Nats haven't been dangerous against righties, posting a .652 OPS against right-handed starters compared to a .759 OPS against lefties. The Fish have won three in a row and I expect another victory in this one. |
|||||||
05-18-23 | Angels v. Orioles -148 | 6-5 | Loss | -148 | 4 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Angels left-hander Tyler Anderson (1-0, 5.26 ERA) opposes right-hander Tyler Wells (3-1, 2.68) in the matinee. Anderson won his first start of the season, throwing six shutout innings against the A's on April 2, but has had six no-decisions since. In those six games, his ERA is 6.25 and he has 17 walks to go along with 21 strikeouts in 31 2/3 innings, though his ERA over his past three outings is 3.06. Last time out, he allowed three runs on six hits in six innings against the Guardians. Anderson has never faced the Orioles. Wells, meanwhile, lost his first start of the season back on April 9. Since then, he is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA in six starts, with 31 strikeouts in 36 innings while walking nine. In his last start, he tossed seven shutout innings in a win against the Pirates. Wells allowed just one hit while walking two and fanning eight. The eight strikeouts were a career high for the 28-year-old. |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units For the third time in four years, the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics are squaring off in the Eastern Conference finals. Miami won the first go around in 2020 while the Celtics took care of business last year. Boston has had a tendency to play loose at home in the playoffs, and coming off that historic game 7 win, I see them having a letdown here. Miami will be rested and ready to go, looking to steal one here. In the four meeting between the two this year, three were decided by less than the spread for this game. This spread seems too big, so take the Heat here getting the points. |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Cubs v. Astros -150 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The current Astros are 11-for-29 with three doubles and two home runs against Drew Smyly. Jose Abreu, who went 2-for-3 with a couple of RBI last Monday, is 6-for-11 with two doubles and a home run versus Smyly. Although the Astros own a 91 wRC+ against the lefties in May, I think they can get to Smyly in this one. The Cubs, on the other side, sport an 88 wRC+ against the righties in May. They’ve never met J.P. France before, and Cody Bellinger’s eventual absence would be a huge blow for the Cubs on both sides of the ball. The Cubs’ bullpen has thrown a staggering 40.2 innings over the last ten days, posting an underwhelming 4.65 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 6.4 K/9. On the other side, the Astros’ bullpen has tossed 27.2 frames in that span, tallying a 4.23 ERA, 2.47 FIP, and 11.7 K/9. |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Angels v. Orioles -139 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels will look to bounce back on Wednesday behind Griffin Canning (2-1, 6.38 ERA). The right-hander was ineffective in his latest start, when he allowed five runs on five hits with three strikeouts and a walk in just 3 2/3 innings in a 5-4 loss to the Houston Astros on May 10. He has a 10.38 ERA in two starts this month. Canning has struggled in three career appearances (two starts) against the Orioles, going 0-2 with a 14.46 ERA, eight strikeouts and seven walks in 9 1/3 innings. He was rocked for six runs on six hits in 2 2/3 innings the last time he faced Baltimore on July 2, 2021. The Orioles will hand the ball to right-hander Kyle Bradish (1-1, 4.56 ERA), who will be facing the Angels for the first time. Bradish is coming off one of his best starts of the season. He held the Pittsburgh Pirates to an unearned run on three hits with six strikeouts and a walk in six innings during a no-decision on Friday. |
|||||||
05-17-23 | Pirates v. Tigers -155 | 8-0 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Tigers are 4-0 in their last four vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last six interleague home games. The Pirates are 11-29 in their last 40 interleague road games. Detroit is hitting much better against lefties (.249 BA/.309 OBP/.411 SLG/.719 OPS) than they are against righties (.226/.290/.339/.629), with better home splits than road splits. Detroit starter Rodriguez (4-2, 1.57 ERA) signed a five-year, $77 million contract with the Tigers as a free agent prior to last season. In his latest outing, Rodriguez limited the Cleveland Guardians to four hits and struck out eight in seven innings on May 10. Rodriguez will be opposed on Wednesday by 43-year-old left-hander Rich Hill (3-3, 4.35 ERA). After winning his last three starts in April, Hill is 0-1 with a no-decision in two May outings. He lasted just 3 2/3 innings at Colorado on May 10. |
|||||||
05-16-23 | Guardians -120 v. White Sox | 3-8 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bieber has been as reliable as it gets this year, surrendering three or fewer runs in all his starts. In his last outing, he didn't give up a run, and aside from a couple of long balls was on point in his previous start against the Yankees (two runs in eight innings). The 27-year-old was victorious in three of five outings vs. Chicago last season, holding the Southsiders to two or fewer runs in four of those appearances. He lasted six-plus innings in all five starts, including nine innings on July 12. The White Sox have worse splits against right-hand pitchers than lefties, including a .293 OBP, .378 SLG, and 24.2% K-rate. They'll struggle to put enough runners on base to inflict any damage vs. Bieber, |
|||||||
05-16-23 | Cubs +143 v. Astros | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Justin Steele is Chicago's win day, and he gets to face an offense that hasn't put things together at home this season. Steele should pitch six or seven strong innings before ceding to the bullpen. Christian Javier will probably have a solid start too, considering the Cubs are struggling offensively also, but should get outdueled by Steele. It's on the Cubs' bullpen to shut this down, and I think that they do. Roll with the away team, which has the starting pitcher and a batting order that's been better this season. |
|||||||
05-16-23 | Angels v. Orioles -125 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore starter, Dean Kremer has allowed just one run over 12 innings in his past two starts. Kremer has thrown five career scoreless innings vs. LA. It's Chase Silseth (3.24 ERA) for the Angels. He was solid in his first three relief appearances this year but was roughed up for six runs over 3.1 innings last time out. Silseth was 1-3 with a 6.59 ERA in seven starts as a rookie and allowed four earned over four at Camden Yards. |
|||||||
05-15-23 | Twins v. Dodgers -108 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LA’s bullpen has gone 5-0 with five saves, 2.82 ERA, and 10.6 K/9 through the first 13 days in May (38.1 innings pitched). Over the last seven days, the Dodgers’ relievers have recorded a 3.48 ERA and 3.39 FIP, whereas the Twins’ bullpen has posted a 4.66 ERA and 5.67 FIP in that span. The current Dodgers are 23-for-70 with six doubles and a pair of home runs against Pablo Lopez. Freddie Freeman is 11-for-33 versus Lopez, and Will Smith is 2-for-5 with a home run. Los Angeles owns a .244/.337/.463 triple-slash and 121 OPS+ against the righties in 2023. The Dodgers aim for their 11th straight victory over the Twins. Last year, the Blue Crew went 4-0 against Minnesota. |
|||||||
05-15-23 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. A's | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is no escaping the fact that the Athletics are going to take their lumps this season with a transitioning roster and suspect pitching. Oakland has actually been worse at home than on the road with just four wins heading into their series finale with Texas. Muller has been slightly more effective at home, taking advantage of ample foul territory that has proven to be somewhat of a saving grace for Oakland's pitchers. However, he still owns a hard-hit percentage of nearly 50% and has had trouble putting batters away this season with a marginal strikeout percentage of just 14%. Kelly, meanwhile, has been an outstanding road pitcher this season with an ERA just north of a run per game. He faces an Oakland lineup that is hitting just .214 at home this season. Meanwhile, as a team, the Diamondbacks are hitting .266 against lefties this season. |
|||||||
05-15-23 | Royals v. Padres UNDER 9.5 | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither offense is trustworthy enough to expect this game to reach double-digit runs, especially not in a pitcher's park. Kansas City has been hot lately, but even with a great start to May are 23rd in runs per game this season. San Diego has elite bats at the top of the order, but is 28th in runs per game this year. The Padres are averaging under three runs per game over their last eight played too. This isn't a game that will be advertised as a pitcher's duel, but they should fare better than the offenses in this one. Roll with the under between two underwhelming offenses. |
|||||||
05-15-23 | Brewers -104 v. Cardinals | 1-18 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Flaherty is 3-7 with a 4.92 ERA in 17 career games against the Brewers, including 16 starts. Christian Yelich has a career .905 OPS against Flaherty -- and overall he has a .348/.400/.630 slash line in his last 12 games and three homers in the last two. The Brewers started the month 2-7 before sweeping the Royals. Freddy Peralta (4-2, 3.32 ERA) will draw Monday's start for the Brewers. He brings a string of three straight quality starts into this game, including his 9-3 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers in his last start. On April 9, Peralta earned a 6-1 victory over the Cardinals while holding them to one run on four hits in six innings. |
|||||||
05-14-23 | Giants -129 v. Diamondbacks | 1-2 | Loss | -129 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco will try to even the series today with an experienced starter who has had success against the Diamondbacks. Giants right-hander Logan Webb (3-5, 3.46 ERA this season) is 3-2 with a 2.65 ERA in six career starts against them. He has 34 strikeouts, with nine walks, in 34 innings. Webb will oppose Arizona right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-1, 12.10) on Sunday. Pfaadt, a fifth-round draft choice in 2020, has allowed six home runs in the first two starts of his career. He gave up four home runs against the Texas Rangers on the road in his major-league debut May 3, but the Diamondbacks rallied to win 12-7. Jorge Soler of the Miami Marlins hit two home runs against him in Arizona's 6-2 loss Tuesday in Phoenix. Pfaadt, whose fastball has been clocked as fast as 95 mph, has allowed 13 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings. He has as many home runs allowed (six) as he does strikeouts. The Giants are 5-1 in their last six games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-2 in their last seven vs. a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. |
|||||||
05-14-23 | Rangers -142 v. A's | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the A’s managed to come through with the victory in the second game of the series on Friday night, projecting them to have that kind of power surge again is likely foolhardy. You can’t expect the A’s to put up nine runs or hit four homers in a contest with any regularity as they have struggled offensively all season, especially at home. Texas is one of the deepest lineups in the league and they are a dangerous team offensively. Heaney hasn’t been great on the mound but he is clearly better than Rucinski. Look for the Rangers’ bats to do their job and the A’s to wilt in clutch situations, giving Texas the upper hand on getaway day. |
|||||||
05-14-23 | Angels -102 v. Guardians | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Angels are 7-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a losing record. The Guardians are 0-4 in their last four home games vs. a left-handed starter and 1-11 in their last 12 overall vs. a lefty starter. Cleveland is also 1-5 in its last six games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Guardians are hitting .220 with a .295 OBP against Southpaws, and Sandoval pitched well against them last season, surrendering two earned runs in two starts (12.1 IP), fanning 12 batters, and picking up a win. The Angels have solid splits in day games (.265 BA/.341 OBP/.435 SLG/.777 OPS) and on the road (.259/.330/.381/.711) this season and 5-0 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. |
|||||||
05-13-23 | Stars -150 v. Seattle Kraken | 3-6 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kraken are hoping to force a Game Seven and win the upcoming game on their home ice but the Stars have taken control of this series and look to dominate Game Six on both ends of the ice. The Stars, who have scored 21 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Joe Pavelski, Roope Hintz, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great passes. The Stars, who have only allowed five goals in the last two games, should limit the Kraken offense with Miro Heiskanen, Esa Lindell, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting passing lanes to force direct shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jake Oettinger to make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Stars should win Game Six to advance to the Western Conference Final with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
05-13-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -160 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore pitches better at home and gets to face an ice-cold Pirates offense. Tyler Wells is their top starter and has not lost since April 9. In five starts since then, he is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA, 23 strikeouts and seven walks. Wells settled for a no-decision against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday after allowing one run on three hits over five innings. The Orioles' bullpen is one of the hardest to score on at any venue. Pittsburgh's starter, Roansy Contreras, has been rocky in May allowing nine earned runs in 10 1/3 innings over his past two starts overall. He surrendered five runs on nine hits in five innings of a 10-1 setback to the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday. |
|||||||
05-13-23 | Cardinals v. Red Sox -126 | 4-3 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox have won nine of their last 11 games and six of their last seven home games. They are playing well offensively at home, scoring 26 runs in their last three home games. They will continue playing well offensively in this game because they hit the ball well against left-handers and Matz hasn’t looked good on the mound this season, especially on the road where he has given up six runs in two starts. He gave up 10 runs in his last three starts against the Red Sox and will have a hard time slowing them down in this game. The Cardinals have lost seven of their last 10 road games. Sale has done a good job on the mound at home for Boston, giving up two runs in two home starts. He gave up one run in his lone start against the Cardinals and will keep their offense in check once again. Go with Boston to cover the money line. |
|||||||
05-13-23 | Rangers -135 v. A's | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The A’s are arguably the worst team in baseball. Their pitching has been abysmal, they can’t hit, their fielding is mediocre and their fans don’t even bother to show up. Oakland has turned its back on the franchise, much like the A’s have seemingly turned their backs on competent baseball. Oakland starter, Sears has decent peripherals when it comes to WHIP along with K:BB ratio but giving up 10 homers is a major problem. That’s an average of 2.4 long balls per nine innings and opposing hitters are posting a robust .300 with runners in scoring position against him. Those aren’t the numbers you want to have when you’re facing a Texas team that piles up runs by the truckload. Give the Rangers the upper hand in this contest as they earn the victory behind Gray. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Rangers -165 v. A's | 7-9 | Loss | -165 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The worst pitching staff meets the highest scoring offense in baseball, so I’m not going to overthink this game at all. Give me the Rangers. Texas left-hander Martin Perez (4-1, 3.86 ERA) will try to keep the good times rolling even though he is coming off his worst performance of the season -- seven runs in 3 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday. However, only his stats were negatively affected as the Rangers powered to a 16-8 win. Perez pitched much better -- one run in six innings -- but likewise got more than ample offensive support in a 15-2 win over the New York Yankees in his previous start. The 32-year-old veteran owns a 9-7 record with a 4.46 ERA in 22 games (21 starts) vs. Oakland. The A’s are just 6-for-32 with a pair of doubles against Martin Perez. Texas holds a 118 OPS+ against the left-handed pitchers in 2023, and the current Rangers are 7-for-22 with five doubles and a home run against Ken Waldichuk. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Astros -141 v. White Sox | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox have had their struggles when it comes to getting decent pitching this season. Lynn has been bad, Kopech has been obliterated by the long ball and Dylan Cease sports a 5.58 ERA after eight starts this season. Throw in that they’ve had major issues putting runs on the board as key contributors are having miserable starts to the year and it’s easy to see why the team is well below the .500 mark on the season. J.P. France, a 28-year-old rookie right-hander, is set to make his second career start for Houston today. France (0-0, 0.00 ERA) took a no-decision in his major league debut at Seattle on Saturday, spacing three hits, one walk and five strikeouts in five scoreless innings. Right-hander Michael Kopech (1-3, 5.97 ERA) gets the call for Chicago. Kopech earned his first victory of the season on Sunday in Cincinnati, overcoming four solo home runs by the Reds in six innings during a 17-4 White Sox romp. Kopech is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in three career appearances against Houston, including two starts, with seven strikeouts in 12 innings. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Pirates v. Orioles -145 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Pirates aren't hitting, they also are not pitching well, either. During a 1-5 homestand, Pittsburgh starters fashioned a 6.75 ERA in the five losses, and relievers compiled a 5.14 mark Pittsburgh will turn to right-hander Johan Oviedo (2-3, 5.59 ERA) in the opener of the series. Oviedo is 0-2 with a 12.08 ERA in his past three starts, allowing 17 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings. He has struck out eight and walked seven during that stretch. Last time out, Oviedo allowed seven runs -- six earned -- on 10 hits in five innings of a loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. He has never faced the Orioles, who will counter with right-hander Kyle Bradish (1-1, 5.95). |
|||||||
05-11-23 | Celtics -130 v. 76ers | 95-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In many sports, particularly the NBA, there has traditionally been a situation where a team has to get over that hump and beat their perennial rivals after many unsuccessful attempts in the past. All past champions have had to get over that hump, just go back over the years. For the Sixers, that hump has been the Celtics, which have owned them. Is this the series where they put that demon to rest? Maybe. But I just have to believe that the Celtics are too good and too proud to go out like that. Boston brings in Thursday and finds a way to win. Take Boston. |
|||||||
05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -128 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes have controlled this series and look to step up on their home ice and close out this series. The Hurricanes, who have scored 21 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Seth Jarvis, Jordan Staal, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with cross-ice and centering passes. The Hurricanes, who have only allowed one goal in this series, should limit the Devils' offense with Brent Burns, Jaccob Slavin, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Frederik Andersen to make plenty of big saves to close out the game. The Hurricanes should win Game Five to advance to the Eastern Conference Final with a strong performance on their home ice. |
|||||||
05-11-23 | Rays v. Yankees +1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees are playing their best baseball in nearly a month and have scored nearly 30 runs over the last three games. The return of Aaron Judge to the lineup has paid immediate dividends. German has pitched well at home, with an ERA a run lower at Yankee Stadium compared to the road. He kept the Rays in check last week at Tampa, allowing just four hits in 5+ innings of work. Rasmussen has pitched well also but I like the Yankees in this spot coming off a much easier series with the A's compared with the Rays tough three-game set with Baltimore. |
|||||||
05-11-23 | White Sox +102 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both pitchers have been hammered in their recent outings with Clevenger sporting an ERA north of six in his last three outings while Singer is just shy of a double-digit ERA in that stretch. It’s tough to get an accurate read on what to expect from Singer, who has seen his career ERA jump half a run at Kauffman Stadium in just his last three starts. This season, Singer is a miserable 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA, a 1.74 WHIP and has allowed five homers in 19 innings of work in his outings at Kauffman Stadium. Clevinger has been tremendous against the Royals in his career posting a 9-0 record and 1.98 ERA, and with Kansas City struggling to put runs on the board, you have to give the slight edge to the visitors here on getaway day. |
|||||||
05-11-23 | Padres v. Twins +110 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Minnesota Twins will try to earn a fifth series win in their six home set this season this afternoon when they face the San Diego Padres in the rubber game of a three-game series at Minneapolis. Right-hander Bailey Ober (2-0, 0.98 ERA) will make his fourth start of the season and first of his career against the Padres. The Padres have struggled against right-handers this season and Ober has been great on the mound so far, giving up two runs in three starts. Minnesota bounced back from a 6-1 loss to San Diego in the Tuesday series opener by winning 4-3 in 11 innings on Wednesday. San Diego right-hander Yu Darvish (2-2, 3.19 ERA), who is 1-2 with a 2.73 ERA in four career starts against the Twins, gets the start today. |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs -107 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montgomery has pitched well, though his record doesn’t indicate it. The fact that the Redbirds have been blanked in three of his seven starts hasn’t helped matters for him. We’ve seen the Cardinals have a major inconsistency when it comes to generating offensive production. That will be a problem against Cubs starter Steele (5-0, 1.45 ERA) who made a name for himself with a 3.18 ERA in 2022 -- his first full season as a starter -- he's been one the majors' best in 2023. The left-hander leads the National League in ERA, and after allowing one run with six hits and no walks in seven innings of Friday's 4-1 home victory over Miami, he tied Jake Arrieta's Cubs' record of yielding two or fewer earned runs in 14 consecutive starts. Steele is 6-1 with a 1.24 ERA during those last 14 outings. |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Heat +3.5 v. Knicks | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat have been beasts against the spread, going 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. That includes all four games of this series. Also, the Heat are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings in New York. Likewise, the Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-4 against the spread in their last 4 games overall. I have to stick with the battle-tested Heat in this one to continue their streak of ATS wins. They have been here before and know how to win on the road. Now, I actually think the Knicks find a way to pull this game out, but it will be a slim margin and the Heat will cover. Take Miami here. |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers +106 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs are looking to avoid elimination but the Panthers look to step up on their home ice and control this game. The Panthers, who have scored 10 goals in this series, should pile on the goals with Matthew Tkachuk, Anthony Duclair, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Panthers look to limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Brandon Montour, Gustav Forsling, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to step up and make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win Game Four to sweep the series and provide great odds in the process as home Underdogs. |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Marlins v. Diamondbacks -134 | 5-4 | Loss | -134 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Merrill Kelly (3-3, 2.75 ERA) will start for Arizona Today. After taking losses in each of his first three home starts this season. Twelve is the same number of strikeouts Kelly has thrown in his three career starts against Miami combined, with four in each game. Kelly has found his form. Last Friday, he struck out 10 Nationals while allowing one run over seven innings, dropping his ERA to2.75. Over his last 13 innings, Kelly has fanned 15 and walked two. The 10 strikeouts were his most since recording 12 in a May 2021 meeting with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Miami's starter today, Edward Cabrera (2-3, 4.78 ERA), is after his first road win of 2023. Each of Cabrera's three losses this season have been away from home, including his most recent start: a 4-1 loss to the Cubs on Friday in which he struck out eight and gave up three runs in five innings. |
|||||||
05-10-23 | Rockies +1.5 v. Pirates | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado has won six of its last eight and the Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 when playing against a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh has stumbled a bit of late losing seven of its last eight and the Pirates have struggled against right-handed starting pitching, losing each of the last five in that situation. Colorado Rockies starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela has had just one start after opening the season on the injury list. The right-hander gave up just three hits and one run in five innings last Friday in a 1-0 loss to the New York Mets. Senzatela had command of all of his pitches through five innings but did not receive any run support from teammates. Pittsburgh's Rich Hill is coming off a poor outing in which the veteran left-hander allowed eight hits and four runs in 5 ⅓ innings with Pittsburgh losing 4-0 to Toronto last Friday. |
|||||||
05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets are primed to get back into the win column as they return home and there's little doubt that they'll return to their games one and two form. Denver has been dominant at home this season and considering how strong their depth has been in those home games, that is sure to be a massive advantage in this one. They won't let Booker and Durant continue to beat them and with little help beyond those two on Phoenix, keeping pace will be difficult for the Suns. Additionally, Denver is 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games and are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two teams. |
|||||||
05-09-23 | White Sox -142 v. Royals | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lucas Giolito (1-2, 3.67 ERA) will attempt to get the White Sox's rotation back on track today when he goes up against Jordan Lyles (0-5, 6.69) in a battle of right-handers. Giolito is 9-5 with a 3.67 ERA in 20 career starts versus the Royals. Lyles is 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA in seven lifetime appearances (five starts) against Chicago. Today's pitchers are trending in opposite directions. Giolito is coming off a stellar seven-inning performance in which he allowed just one run on two hits against the Minnesota Twins on Thursday. Lyles has failed to hold a team under seven runs in each of his past two outings. In his most recent start -- a no-decision against the Baltimore Orioles last Thursday -- Lyles gave up eight runs (six earned) on six hits in five innings. The Royals have lost five of their last six games and 10 of their last 11 home games. |
|||||||
05-09-23 | Padres +102 v. Twins | 6-1 | Win | 102 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Diego Padres have posted a 10-6 record in their last 16 games and have won six of their last nine road contests. The Minnesota Twins have been inconsistent recently and have only won two of their last six contests after a series loss in Cleveland. The Padres have Michael Wacha on the mound today. The veteran just tossed six shutout innings against the Reds. He silenced Minnesota last season, limiting them to only two runs in 11 innings. The Padres' pitching has been stellar, conceding three or fewer runs in five of their last six games. Twins’ rookie starter Louie Varland is a pitcher the Padres should hit. Varland struggled in his two outings this season, conceding seven runs including four home runs in only 10.2 innings. |
|||||||
05-09-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -7 | 115-103 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics have largely outplayed the Sixers in this series, yet here we are, tied at 2 games apiece. The series shifts back to Boston and after a bitter, bitter defeat on Sunday afternoon in game 4, the Celtics will come out fired up and focused. They went from taking complete control of this series and having a chance to close it out to now facing a critical game where a loss would result in an elimination game in Philly. After losing game 5 at home to the Bucks in the second round last year, and needing to win games 6 and 7 to advance, I can't see history repeating itself here. Take the Celtics here. |
|||||||
05-09-23 | Rays -119 v. Orioles | 2-4 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays, who are seeking their 10th win in their past 12 games, will look to take the three-game series behind Zach Eflin (4-0, 2.25 ERA) today. The right-hander allowed just three hits to go along with 10 strikeouts and no walks over seven innings of a 3-2 win over the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates last Thursday. Orioles’ starter Grayson Rodriguez is a promising rookie but is still learning the art of pitching. He has squandered at least four runs in three of his five outings and just gave up six runs to the Royals last time out, plummeting his ERA to 5.46. The Rays have won eight of their last ten games including a 3-0 win on Monday. |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Warriors +3 v. Lakers | 101-104 | Push | 0 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors might not win this game outright but they will find a way to be in it going into the final seconds. Curry continues to be elite but he'll find a way to get the supporting cast far more involved in this one. Steve Kerr did a great job after Davis' game-one dominance to make adjustments and there's no doubt that he'll be able to find a way to disrupt him again in game four. The supporting cast showed up for the Lakers in game three but given their own inconsistencies, it'll be expected to see a drop-off, especially with confidence high. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss. |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -173 | 5-1 | Loss | -173 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Knights are looking to bounce back after a rough loss but the Oilers, who were dominant in Game Two, look to step up on their home ice and control this game. The Oilers, who have scored nine goals in the series, should pile on the goals with Leon Draisailt, Connor McDavid, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Oilers also look to build off a game where they only allowed one goal and limit the Golden Knights' offense with Darnell Nurse, Evan Bouchard, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win Game Three with a strong performance on their home ice to take a 2-1 series lead. |
|||||||
05-08-23 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 5-12 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dylan Cease (2-1, 4.58 ERA) will take the mound for Chicago, opposing Zack Greinke (1-4, 5.25) in a battle of right-handers. Cease went five innings in his most recent outing, when he allowed four runs on five hits with six strikeouts and four walks in a no-decision against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday. In 12 career starts against the Royals, Cease is 4-3 with a 2.58 ERA. Salvador Perez and Hunter Dozier have seen Cease the most, but the duo has struggled against the right-hander, combining to strike out 20 times in 45 at-bats. Greinke is coming off his first win of the season. He needed just 44 pitches to complete five scoreless innings against the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday. Greinke allowed three hits, struck out three and did not issue a walk. The 20-year veteran has a lengthy history against Chicago, going 10-10 with a 3.81 ERA over 31 career appearances (28 starts). |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Knicks v. Heat -180 | 101-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This series is over, I believe. The Heat are just the better team right now and they have mostly dominated this series. The one game the Knicks won, it was home in a must-win game and they still barely won. I just don't see the Knicks being able to beat the Heat in Miami. The Knicks will keep it close because they play good defense and because this is another must-win game. But unlike Game 2 at Madison Square Garden, they won't be able to out Game 4 at the Kaseya Center in Miami. |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Rays -168 v. Orioles | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays will open the series with left-hander Shane McClanahan (6-0, 2.03 ERA), who has been among the best pitchers in the majors. He gave up a run on five hits and two walks with nine strikeouts in six innings during an 8-1 win over the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday. Tampa Bay has won each of McClanahan's seven starts this season, as he has yielded two runs or fewer while pitching at least five innings in all seven outings. McClanahan has been dominant against the Orioles throughout his career: 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA with 45 strikeouts against just nine walks in seven starts spanning 40 1/3 innings dating back to 2021. The Orioles will counter right right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-1, 4.61 ERA). Gibson is coming off his worst start of the year, when he allowed six runs on 10 hits with no strikeouts and no walks over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-0 loss to the host Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. |
|||||||
05-08-23 | Rockies v. Pirates -166 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado struggles on the road, losing 65 of its last 94 away from Coors Field and when facing a team with a winning record, Colorado has lost 93 of its last 135 on the road. Pittsburgh has won six of its last eight played at home and the Pirates have won four of the last five at home when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. Colorado starting pitcher Kyle Freeman was roughed up on April 17 by the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing eight hits and nine runs over just 2 ⅔ innings with Colorado losing to Pittsburgh 14-3. In contrast, Pittsburgh starting pitcher Mitch Keller has had three consecutive strong outings, allowing just 14 hits and five runs in 17 innings with 23 strikeouts and just three walks. Pittsburgh swept Colorado in a three-game series earlier this season when the two met for the first time. |
|||||||
05-07-23 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Panthers | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Florida has all the momentum in the world with five straight wins in the playoffs and two straight in Toronto. That doesn’t necessarily mean they are a lock here. The Panthers won two of three games at home in the opening round but they trailed in the series in those victories. We have to see if Florida can maintain that momentum with the series lead. Bobrovsky has stepped up since coming in to replace Alex Lyon between the pipes in Game 4 of the opening round but we know from his resume that he is prone to wilting in the playoffs. After all, he has almost as many playoff wins so far this season (five) as he has in the last three postseasons combined (six in 17 games) heading into this one. Toronto has plenty of firepower and the Panthers may have poked the bear with the Knies injury. Look for the Maple Leafs to turn up the physicality and have their big guns step up to get them back in the series. |
|||||||
05-07-23 | White Sox v. Reds -120 | 17-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox have hit the ball well over the last few games but will have a tough assignment against Graham Ashcraft. They’ve never met him before, and Ashcraft has been outstanding so far this season. On the other side, it’s hard to trust Michael Kopech to string a couple of strong outings. He ranks in the 1st percentile in barrel percentage and the 3rd percentile in expected slugging percentage, so I’m going with the Reds, who are 4-2 in Ashcraft’s six starts this season. |
|||||||
05-07-23 | Celtics -135 v. 76ers | 115-116 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics lost focus in game 1 in a game they thought they were going to win easily. We saw a different, more focused team in games 2 and 3. The fact of the matter is, the Celtics are the superior team. They tend to get upset at home because they lose focus, but on the road, as we have seen the past few years, they really lock in and get focused and a focused Celtics team is hard to beat. This will be another close game but I like the Celtics to execute down the stretch as they just have too many weapons that can hurt you with a big shot. Take the Celtics. |
|||||||
05-07-23 | Marlins v. Cubs +105 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Alcantara (1-3, 5.09 ERA) dazzled in 2022, throwing six complete games while going 14-9 in 32 starts with 207 strikeouts and a 2.28 ERA. However, that success has yet to carry over to 2023, where he's yielded at least three earned runs in four of his six starts, completed six or more innings just twice and fanned more than six only once. The right-hander hasn't faced the Cubs since he yielded an Ian Happ homer, two other hits and overcame three walks over 6 2/3 innings of Miami's 5-1 road victory in Game 1 of the 2020 NL Wild Card series. Including the postseason, Happ is 2-for-4 versus Alcantara, who's now saddled with trying to help the Marlins end their longest slide of 2023. Since sweeping a three-game home set from the Cubs last weekend, Miami has been outscored 34-12 in five games since. Hayden Wesneski (2-1, 4.45) eyes a third straight solid start when he takes the ball for Chicago on Sunday. The right-hander has allowed a lone run in each of his last two outings while giving up a total of nine hits and just one walk over 11 innings. |
|||||||
05-07-23 | Yankees -113 v. Rays | 7-8 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees have Gerrit Cole on the mound. Cole has been one of the best starting pitchers in the big leagues this season, ranking 2nd in ERA. The ace has allowed either zero or one run in five of his seven outings. Cole completely dominated the Rays last season, limiting them to only three runs in four starts spanning 25.1 innings, which equates to a minuscule 1.07 ERA. The Rays will have Josh Fleming on the hill after opener Javy Guerra. Fleming doesn’t strike out many batters and that plays to the Yankees' advantage considering they don't strike out a lot. The Yankees have been a sure thing with Cole on the mound this season, winning in all seven of his starts. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Oilers -119 v. Golden Knights | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Edmonton Oilers find themselves in a familiar predicament heading into Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals against the Vegas Golden Knights this afternoon in Las Vegas. For the seventh straight playoff series, Edmonton trails 1-0. The Oilers have rebounded to win three of the last four series, including this year's first-round series with the Los Angeles Kings in six games. So despite letting a four-goal performance by forward Leon Draisaitl go to waste in a 6-4 loss in Wednesday night's opener, Edmonton has been here before. The Oilers haven't won a Game 1 in a playoff series since 2017 when they did it in the second round against Anaheim. The Oilers went 3-0-1 against Vegas during the regular-season. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Blue Jays -125 v. Pirates | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto is expected to start right-hander Jose Berrios (2-3, 5.29 ERA), with Pittsburgh going with right-hander Johan Oviedo (2-2, 4.78 ERA). Berrios, in his most recent outing, gave up five runs and 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings Monday against Boston without getting a decision. He had given up just three runs total over his previous three starts. Berrios is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two career starts against the Pirates. Oviedo took the loss Sunday at Washington when he gave up seven runs and nine hits in 2 1/3 innings -- all season worsts. Pittsburgh has been a nice start to the year but one has to wonder how their pitching will hold up as things go forward. It’s hard enough relying on guys like Rich Hill and Velasquez: it can be more complicated when a guy like that hits the shelf, forcing you even further into your pitching depth. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Yankees v. Rays -168 | 3-2 | Loss | -168 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees are having a hard time generating runs without their two big power threats Judge and Stanton. Overall, the Yankees are just 24th in runs scored in baseball while the Rays are first. German also sports an ERA north of six on the road and has given up seven home runs this season. That doesn't bode well when playing a Rays' team that is first in baseball in home runs in 2023. As a team, the Rays are hitting .263 at home and slugging .570. Tampa Bay will give the ball to right-hander Drew Rasmussen (3-2, 3.66 ERA) today. Rasmussen has made two career appearances (one start) against the Yankees and has gone 1-0 and without allowing a run in 8 1/3 innings. In head-to-head matchups, Rasmussen has fanned 13 and not walked a batter. Expect the Rays' offense to carry the day and Rasmussen to hold New York's struggling lineup at bay to pick up a win. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Knicks v. Heat -172 | 86-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The best players on both of these teams are listed as questionable, so, obviously, if one or both, are out, that could change things dramatically. But I'm going to assume both Brunson and Butler play. and they are going to be close to full strength. That said, I have to give the Heat the advantage here. This will be a close game, as both teams play excellent defense and tend to keep games close. But, given that the Heat almost won in NYC without Butler, I like them to take care of business in their first game at home. Take the Heat. |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Marlins v. Cubs -163 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drew Smyly (3-1, 2.83 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Cubs on Saturday. The left-hander yielded just a second-inning homer and five other hits without a walk while lasting seven innings in Monday's 5-1 victory at Washington. It was Smyly's fifth straight start allowing two or fewer earned runs, and he is 4-1 with a 2.37 ERA in six appearances (including five starts) against the Marlins. Schumaker is scheduled to hand the ball to right-hander Bryan Hoeing (0-1, 6.23 ERA)and hasn't shown he can carry a team to victory. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver might be hitting the road but they have a great chance to make it a 3-0 series lead and will at least keep it close in this one. They have far too much depth for Phoenix to run away with the game, even at home. Jokic and Murray continue to be one of the best duos in the league and their ability to dictate the game and generate efficient offense, will keep them within a possession without a doubt. Expect the offensive and defensive glass to be key as well, especially considering how strong the Nuggets have looked in that department. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine Friday games and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. The Suns, on the other hand, are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference semifinals and are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings against Denver. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Dodgers -111 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Since ousting the Dodgers in the 2022 NLDS, the Padres signed free agents Xander Bogaerts, Nelson Cruz, Matt Carpenter and Seth Lugo and regained the services of Fernando Tatis Jr. -- adding to roster that already included Manny Machado, Juan Soto, Josh Hader, Darvish and Musgrove. The Padres' payroll this season is $249 million -- more than $26 million higher than the Dodgers'. But the Dodgers are still the defending champs of the National League West and they were 14-5 against the Padres during the regular season. They have won the season series against the Padres for 12 straight seasons -- with a 144-73 edge during the run. And the 35-year-old Kershaw is pitching like the Kershaw of his prime. In addition to leading the National League in wins with an ERA under two, the three-time Cy Young Award winner has a 0.763 WHIP and a .175 opponents' batting average. Kershaw, who earlier this season reaching the 200-win plateau -- has given up 11 runs (eight earned) on 24 hits and five walks with 41 strikeouts in 38 innings. During his career, Kershaw is 23-9 with a 2.03 ERA in 45 starts against San Diego with 310 strikeouts in 292 innings. And he is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 career starts at Petco Park. Darvish is 3-5 lifetime against the Dodgers with a 2.47 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 17 walks in 62 innings over 10 starts. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -109 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils are looking to bounce back from an embarrassing Game One loss and pull off the upset in the upcoming game. The problem is that the Hurricanes looked dominant in Game One and look to control the upcoming game from the first period. The Hurricanes look to build off a five-goal game and constantly find the back of the net with Sebastian Aho, Jesper Fast, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Hurricanes, who have only allowed 16 goals in the playoffs, should limit the Devils' offense with Brent Burns, Jaccob Slavin, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Frederik Andersen to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win Game Two with a strong performance on their home ice to take a 2-0 series lead. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Twins -118 v. Guardians | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In today's series opener, Minnesota will start right-hander Bailey Ober (1-0, 1.59 ERA) and Cleveland will go with 25-year-old rookie righty Peyton Battenfield (0-2, 4.67). Last Saturday, the 6-foot-9 Ober returned to the Twins' rotation for his second start of the year and held the Kansas City Royals to one run in 5 2/3 innings with six strikeouts. Cleveland ranks only 14th in the American League with 116 runs scored while the Twins are scoring more (147 runs, seventh in AL) than Cleveland. The Twins' defense has also been a little better. |
|||||||
05-05-23 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Phillies | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler (3-1, 3.86 ERA) will get the start. The right-hander dazzled in his previous outing last Friday in Houston, fanning seven batters through six scoreless innings in a 6-1 win. Boston's bats have been hot, though, as the Red Sox have won six straight, tallying at least six runs in each contest. They are coming off a dominating 11-5 win over the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday to complete a four-game sweep. The Red Sox have great splits versus right-handers (.274 BA/.341 OBP/.474 SLG/.815 OPS), including 33 homers, 46 doubles, and 129 RBI. 4-1 in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing record and 7-3 in their last ten vs. a right-handed starter. The Red Sox will also have their ace on the mound as left-hander Chris Sale (2-2, 6.75) will be aiming to deliver another stellar start after his vintage outing against the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday. The 34-year-old allowed just one run on three hits over 6 1/3 innings against Cleveland in a 7-1 victory. |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The idea of the Lakers winning two in a row in such a short time frame, at the Chase Center, doesn't add up, as the Warriors will come away with the win to even the series. The Lakers had a great gameplan in using Lebron in unique ways but the Warriors now have that tape and there's no doubt that the defense will be better prepared. The frontcourt mismatch was expected to land in the Lakers' favor but with the way Looney has been playing, there's no doubt both teams have the ability to hit the offensive and defensive glass. Expect Golden State's depth to be too much for LA in this one. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games, while the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up loss. |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Athletics have lost six of their last seven games and nine of their last 10 home games. They have struggled offensively and scored only eight runs in their last three games. Their offensive struggles will continue in this game because they have struggled against right-handed pitchers this season and Kirby has done a good job on the mound for the Mariners, especially on the road where he has given up only two runs in two starts. He gave up six runs in his last three starts against the Athletics and with Seattle having the fourth-best bullpen in the league, they won’t have trouble keeping Oakland’s offense in check. The Mariners also struggled in recent games, but they’ve won two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 12 runs in their last three road games. Expect them to play well offensively in this game because Rucinski didn’t look good in his first start of the season, giving up five runs in that game. With the Athletics also having the worst bullpen in the league, they will have a hard time slowing down the Mariners in this game. Go with Seattle to cover the run line. |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Brewers -142 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brewers’ lefty starter Wade Miley has been incredible, limiting his opponent to two or fewer runs in all but one start this season and is sporting a minuscule 1.86 ERA. The Rockies struggle against lefties, posting a subpar .652 OPS against lefties compared to a .713 against righties. Also, the Rockies are dealing with several injuries to the starting pitching staff and are starting Connor Seabold who has pitched out of the pen. The young right-hander has struggled, reporting an abysmal 8.49 ERA and a 1.97 WHIP in his 35 career innings in the Major Leagues. |
|||||||
05-04-23 | Orioles -169 v. Royals | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Orioles aim to reignite their offense against Jordan Lyles (0-5, 6.11 ERA), who gets the start for the Royals in the series finale. The right-hander Lyles seeks his first win of 2023, returning to the mound from his worst start of the campaign. He lasted only four innings last Friday, walking four and giving up seven earned runs at Minnesota. Lyles' ERA jumped from 4.88 to 6.11 with the poor start. Thursday is Lyles' first appearance at home since he pitched a season-high eight innings in a 4-0 loss to Texas on April 17. Lyles last faced Baltimore as a member of the Rangers, going 6 2/3 innings with four strikeouts and three earned runs in September 2021. Grayson Rodriguez (1-0, 4.07) takes the mound for Baltimore, coming off scoring his first career win in a nine-strikeout, two-hit performance last Saturday at Detroit. Rodriguez has gone his last two starts, both against the Tigers, without giving up a run. The rookie right-hander has 34 strikeouts on the season, with at least six in each of his last four appearances. |
|||||||
05-03-23 | Brewers v. Rockies +1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers own a 70 OPS+ against the left-handed pitchers in 2023, and I’m expecting them to continue to struggle against Kyle Freeland. On the other side, Eric Lauer will have a tall task to keep the Rockies quiet, and given his awful displays at Coors Field in the past. Lauer is 1-5 with an 8.39 ERA in 11 career starts against the Rockies, and the numbers get worse in Denver. Six of his starts have come there, where he is 0-5 with a bloated 15.91 ERA. Freeland pitched relatively well in his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday but was tagged with the loss despite having a quality start. He is 3-2 with a 2.32 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers. |
|||||||
05-03-23 | Orioles -148 v. Royals | 0-6 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Baltimore, which has won all 10 of its series openers this season, looks to capture its seventh consecutive series today when the Orioles send veteran right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-0, 3.93 ERA) to the mound. Gibson has a long history against the Royals, including making his major league debut versus Kansas City and building a 10-5 record and 3.79 ERA over 26 games, including 24 starts. He hasn't lost to the Royals since 2018, winning four straight with three different clubs. His most recent decision versus Kansas City came in 2021, when he had 10 strikeouts over seven shutout innings for the Texas Rangers. Right-hander Zack Greinke (0-4, 6.10) will start on Wednesday for Kansas City. Greinke's 2023 starts have been progressively worse. He surrendered seven runs over 3 2/3 innings-- his most since May 23 of last year -- in a 7-1 loss to the Minnesota Twins. |
|||||||
05-03-23 | Guardians -121 v. Yankees | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cleveland Guardians have Shane Bieber on the mound. The ace already pitched against the Yankees this season and was outstanding, limiting them to only two runs in seven innings in a 3-2 victory. Bieber has actually been more effective on the road this season where he is sporting a 2.88 ERA in four starts. Yankees’ starter Clarke Schmidt can’t be relied on. The young right-hander just allowed five runs against the Rangers on the weekend and Cleveland recently scored four runs in three innings against Schmidt last month. Schmidt took a loss in his most recent start, when he gave up five runs on 10 hits over five innings as the Yankees fell 5-2 to the Rangers on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 7.50 ERA in two career regular-season games (one start) against the Guardians. He also went 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two relief appearances against Cleveland. The Yankees are struggling, dropping seven of their last ten games including a 3-2 loss in Monday's series opener. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -180 | 117-112 | Loss | -180 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Golden State may only have one day off since their impressive win over the Kings but their ability to build off of that momentum will be crucial to them grabbing the win. Curry and Thompson have massive matchup advantages, while Looney has impressed over the last few weeks and casts some doubt over how much Davis might be able to dominate the frontcourt for the Lakers. This will be a close one but the perimeter shooting for Golden State will prove to be a massive difference in this one. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games against a team with a losing road record. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Angels +115 v. Cardinals | 5-1 | Win | 115 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles plays well against weaker opponents, winning four of the last five against a team that has a winning percentage of less than .400. Los Angeles starting pitcher Patrick Sandoval performed well on the mound last time out allowing two earned runs on six hits in seven Innings with five strikeouts. Los Angeles defeated Oakland 11-3 in that matchup last Wednesday. In contrast, St Louis starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 6.23 ERA and has been hit hard in each of his five starts allowing 18 runs in 26 innings pitched. St Louis was swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game series over the weekend and has lost six of the last seven while also losing seven of the last 10 played at home. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Orioles -145 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Baltimore Orioles open today's series against the Kansas City Royals with the clubs headed in opposite directions. The Orioles continue their season-long, 10-game road trip having won six straight series, their best streak since 2014. After winning 11 of 13, Baltimore improved to 19-9 for its best start since 1997. Right-hander Tyler Wells (1-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his eighth start of the year. He collected his first win Wednesday, allowing two runs in 5 2/3 innings against Boston. Wells, who leads the majors with a 0.724 WHIP, made his only two career starts against Kansas City in 2022, going six innings each while winning both games. The Royals are in a 3-14 slide, falling to the bottom of the American League Central with baseball's second-worst record. The 7-22 start matches their worst in club history. Left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (0-3, 6.35 ERA) will make his second start after throwing 77 pitches over four innings in his previous start Wednesday at Arizona. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -5.5 | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jimmy Butler injury looms large and given how much he has met to this team, his absence would be too much to overcome for this team. The Heat have struggled on the road overall this season and grabbing a win for the second-straight night in Madison Square Garden will be asking too much. For the Knicks, they have a few injuries of their own that they're worrying about but with their scoring depth at hand, finding success on the offensive end will extend this game and make things difficult for Miami to keep pace. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss and are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two sides. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Twins -160 v. White Sox | 2-3 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Twins' splits are more favorable against right-handers (.248/.322/.426/.748) than against left-handers (.193/.265/.360/.625), with 35 doubles, 30 home runs, 110 RBI, and 74 walks vs. righties. They should be comfortable at the plate against Kopech, who has just one quality start in five outings in 2023. Minnesota should be able to put runners in scoring position easily — Kopech has given up three or more walks in four of five starts — and capitalize on any mistakes he makes of the heart of the plate in those situations. The White Sox will likely struggle against Ryan, who is mowing down the opposition this season. He's surrendered only ten earned runs in 32 innings, allowing just one walk in his last three outings combined. Chicago has a lower OBP (.292) against right-handers, with 190 strikeouts and just 49 walks in 770 ABs. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -159 | 4-2 | Loss | -159 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers proved they can beat anyone in the First Round and look to pull off the upset in Game One. However, the Maple Leafs have the monkey off their back after winning in the First Round and look to control this game on their home ice. The Maple Leafs, who scored 23 goals in the First Round, should pile on the goals with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement while Morgan Rielly generates shots on the net from the blue line. The Maple Leafs, who allowed only four goals in their last two games, should limit the Panthers' offense with Morgan Rielly, Jake McCabe, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of easy saves. The Maple Leafs should win Game One with a strong performance on their home ice. |