Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-01-23 | Nets v. Celtics -9 | 96-139 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston is the better offensive team in this matchup and I don't think these two teams are even when Kevin Durant isn't on the floor. Boston is also (5-0) ATS in their last five meetings overall, as they will be looking to dominate again in this game. The Boston offense is also extremely tough to beat, as they have the third-highest adjusted offensive rating and they are scoring the third most points per game. Tatum and Jaylen Brown are tough to stop and they have multiple key players that can come off the bench and contribute as well. Brooklyn is still dealing with injuries and I don't see Irving carrying his team to victory in this one. Boston also has the fifth-lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the 10th-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. They will pressure the Nets consistently throughout this game and keep them from scoring enough points to cover the spread. |
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02-01-23 | Bruins -128 v. Maple Leafs | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the NHL. The Maple Leafs look to win on their home ice but the Bruins look to bounce back from three rough losses and control this game. The Bruins should create plenty of scoring chances with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.12 goals per game, should limit the Maple Leafs' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Brandon Carlo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Linus Ullmark to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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02-01-23 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -15.5 | 55-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa has been one of the worst teams in college basketball to bet on this season as they have been awful against the spread. The Golden Hurricane is 3-15-2 against the spread this year. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has been a solid bet, going 14-7 against the spread on the season. One concern here is that Landers Nolley is listed as questionable for this game with a banged-up knee. Cincinnati may try to rest him thinking they can beat Tulsa without him as they prepare for bigger games coming up. If this game was at Tulsa I might give the Golden Hurricane a shot to cover, but the Bearcats have been great at home and I like them to cover with or without Nolley. Take Cincinnati here. |
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02-01-23 | Tennessee -5 v. Florida | 54-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is too big of a game for the Volunteers to expect any sort of letdown. In essence, Tennessee is in a two-team race for the SEC regular season crown and that outcome could ultimately determine whether or not the Volunteers earn a coveted #1 seed in one of the four tournament regions. Tennessee just has too much talent for this Florida team. Florida was overwhelmed by K-State on Saturday, particularly the Wildcats' defense. Now they face arguably the best defense in the country in the Volunteers. Tennessee has the nation's #1 scoring defense and #1 3pt defense. The Volunteers also have more than enough scoring to get off and running and keep the Gators at bay. I expect the Volunteers to dominate the interior, double Castleton in the post, and force Florida to try to beat them with the Gators' subpar perimeter shooting. Tennessee will roll in this spot. |
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02-01-23 | Providence +4 v. Xavier | 83-85 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Xavier (17-5, 9-2 Big East) enters the game tied for first in the conference but is coming off an 84-67 loss at Creighton on Saturday. The Friars (17-5, 9-2) also sit atop the conference, alongside the Musketeers and Marquette. The Musketeers received untimely news on Tuesday with the revelation that big man Zach Freemantle will be sidelined at least four weeks with a left foot injury. Freemantle is averaging 15.2 points and a team-best 8.1 rebounds per game and is shooting 58.5 percent from the field. Consider that the Friars are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State v. Kansas -6.5 | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The fact is Kansas stands only one game out of first place and we expect a strong surge down the stretch. It starts here with KU bringing a 3-0 SUATS mark in this contest in games in which they own the inferior record by an average win margin of 20 PPG. As for the over-achieving Wildcats, they’re just 1-5 ATS against foes they beat earlier in the season by one-point exact. And if that’s not bad enough, they crawl into this week’s contest with a gaudy 7-40 ATS mark in conference games they fail to win against avenging opponents. Let’s face it: Kansas is a ticking time bomb right now and we expect them to hit the 0:00 mark against hated Kansas State tonight. Finally, Kansas is 4-0 SUATS since 1990 when seeking same-season revenge against Kansas State, with every win by a double-digit margin. |
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01-31-23 | Heat +6 v. Cavs | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The young guns from Cleveland host a team that has been a thorn in their side, only tonight they’ll be laying points to the angry visitors from Miami. It’s a sketchy setting for the Cavs who hosted the Clippers here on Sunday knowing they are just 3-13 SUATS in games after facing the Clips, including 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in the last five such occurrences. The Heat take the floor sporting a 12-5 SUATS mark in this series, including 4-1 ATS when looking to avenge a same-season defeat (they lost 113-87 here in their last matchup in November). One thing for certain, though, Is points figure to be at a premium in this matchup of the Association’s two top-ranked teams in scoring defense. Consider that Miami is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS as a road dog from Game 28 out with Eric Spoelstra when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 25 or more points, including 6-1 ATS against winning foes. |
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01-31-23 | Kings v. Hurricanes -200 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has done extremely well lately. Especially on the road, where the team from the City of Angels has bagged five victories on the last seven occasions. The recent record of the Kings against Carolina, though, is a completely different story. L.A. has dropped its past six overall decisions against the Hurricanes, losing by more than one goal in five of those games. The team has also failed to win any of its previous four trips to Raleigh, being beaten by a margin of at least two markers on each occasion, outscored 20-5. The most recent six losses of the Kings overall have also recorded a goal-gap of at least two strikes, while six of the past 10 triumphs of the ‘Canes have all been by more than one tally. |
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01-31-23 | Senators -175 v. Canadiens | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Senators are on a three-game win streak and look to control this game from the first period. The Senators look to build off a five-goal game and find the back of the net at will against a Canadiens defense that is allowing 3.68 goals per game with Brady Tkachuk, Claude Giroux, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Senators should limit a Canadiens offense that is averaging only 2.52 goals per game with Thomas Chabot, Jake Sanderson, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Anton Forsberg to make plenty of big saves. The Senators should win the game to sweep the home-and-home series and extend their winning streak to four games. |
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01-31-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois -14 | 56-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last four Tuesday games, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. The Huskers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This game should be one-sided, as the Huskers are down a few bodies and the Illini have a significant talent advantage. Nebraska will be boxed out for rebounds all night, and if it can't handle the press, turnovers will lead to easy Illinois baskets. |
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01-30-23 | Baylor +5 v. Texas | 71-76 | Push | 0 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither team has been profitable ATS this season, and while I'm leaning towards the Longhorns winning straight-up, this should be a close game. With the Longhorns coming off a disheartening loss and the Bears riding a six-game winning streak, I'm siding with Baylor. Texas is 8-13 ATS this season, including 3-7 in its last ten overall. While Baylor is just 10-10-1 ATS overall, it has been the better side to back as of late, going 4-1-1 in its past six overall. History tells us the Bears are the profitable team to bet on Monday, as well. Baylor is 4-0 ATS in its last four Monday games and Texas is 0-4 in its last four Monday games. In what should turn out to be a one or two-possession game, I'll take the team that's getting points. |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech +1.5 | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Raiders are still red-faced thinking about the last time these two met in Ames three weeks ago, where the Cyclones annihilated them, 80-54 – Texas Tech’s worst loss this season, and its worst overall since 2015. The Raiders had gone 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS in the series with ISU before the blowout, and just so happen to own a 7-1 ATS at home with revenge versus the Cyclones. Iowa State also has a revenge affair with Kansas on deck, and the Clones are just 3-22 SU away before facing the Jayhawks, including 6-10-1 ATS the last 17 games. Tech makes up for a season’s worth of hurt by bringing down the Cyclones. |
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01-30-23 | Pistons v. Mavs -8 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Detroit Pistons continue to struggle to win games as they are playing without their young star Cade Cunningham who is out for the remainder of the season. The Pistons have lost eight out of their last ten games including a home loss to Houston in their previous action. Many of these have been ugly losses. Six of the eight losses in that span were by double-digits. The Mavericks have enough depth even if Doncic and Wood don’t play. Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. They have squandered an average of 129 points in their last four games. This is not a good sign considering Dallas is averaging 113.3 points per 100 possessions, good for seventh in the NBA. |
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01-30-23 | Warriors v. Thunder +5.5 | 128-120 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder have been great on the defensive end of the court as of late and they are (7-3) overall in their last 10 games played. The Warriors are also (6-18) on the road this season, as I don't see them staying hot in this game. According to dunksandthrees.com, they only have the 20th-highest adjusted offensive rating and the Thunder have the seventh-lowest adjusted defensive rating. They are also holding their opponents to the sixth-lowest shooting percentage from the field, as they will get just enough stops to cover this spread. OKC has also shown that they can consistently put the ball in the basket. The Warriors have not been good defensively this season, as they are allowing the 26th most points per game and the 18th lowest three-point shooting percentage. The Thunder will find open shots throughout this game and I expect them to take advantage. They are scoring the sixth most points per game and they have been hot as of late. |
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01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves +100 | 118-111 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves have won three in a row and five of the last six. They handled the Memphis Grizzlies and Kings, two of the top teams in the West, to open a six-game homestand during which the reigning NBA champs (Golden State) and current No. 1 team in the West (Denver) also will be visiting. The Kings, whose current .563 winning percentage is nearly 200 points higher than last year's .366, have stumbled lately, losing three of four. Saturday's loss to the Timberwolves was the opener of their longest trip of the season -- a seven-game excursion that will take them to San Antonio, Indian, New Orleans and two in Houston. Sacramento had won its previous three road outings before arriving in Minneapolis. Consider that the Timberwolves are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record while the Kings are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. |
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01-30-23 | Lakers +9 v. Nets | 104-121 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles is going to be very motivated coming into this game following its emotional loss to Boston on Saturday night. The Lakers should have had a pair of free throws to win the game in the final seconds, and they were still able to cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs. They are also underrated in the betting market right now due to Davis’s return, as he is clearly more impactful than the odds are accounting for. Los Angeles has covered the spread in four of its last five games, and it has gone 5-0-1 ATS in its last six road games. Brooklyn is relying almost completely on Irving to win games right now, which has led to the Nets going 3-6 in their nine games since Durant’s injury. |
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01-30-23 | Virginia -5 v. Syracuse | 67-62 | Push | 0 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers have won six straight games and three of their last four road games. They are playing well offensively, even on the road where they are averaging more than 71 points per game. They do a good job finding the open man and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They also do a good job protecting the ball, turning it over less than 10 times per game, and won’t give the Orange a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Orange usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 73 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Cavaliers in this game. The Orange have lost three of their last four games. They struggled offensively during the stretch, scoring a little more than 72 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding also dropped off during the stretch, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against the Cavaliers. They were also careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Cavaliers, who average seven steals per game on the road. The Cavaliers play well defensively and they’re just as good on the road where they are holding opponents to 65 points per game, so expect them to keep Syracuse’s offense in check. Go with Virginia to cover the spread. |
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01-29-23 | Clippers v. Cavs -6.5 | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Clips enter off a same-season avenger of their own at Atlanta last night and given the fact that they are 5-15 SU and 6-14 ATS in games on the North coast, including 0-4 ATS when the Cavs are looking to settle up from an earlier season loss of fewer than 20 points in this series. With Los Angeles just 4-9-1 ATS in non-conference clashes on Sundays, and Cleveland 9-2 ATS on the first day of the week, look for a Cavs’ assault this evening. |
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01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs +1 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If there’s one team that has the Chiefs’ number, it’s the Bengals with three wins in a row – all by 3 points, and all as underdogs – in just over a year. It sets up a fourth meeting in 13 months between these two wishful squads. The pressure to extend the skein doesn’t bother head coach Zac Taylor, though. It’s his contention that, “We only have to beat them one time in a row.” Given Andy Reid’s 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS record in games with triple revenge (7-1 ATS at home), including 5-0 ATS at home off a win and 5-0 SUATS off an ATS loss of fewer than 4 points, we see one in a row coming to a halt today. Yes, we were as wrong as the day is long fading the Bengals last week as we fully expected their glaring lack of success against fellow playoff squads to bite them in Buffalo. Instead, the Bills’ resolve in over-relying on Josh Allen alone did them in as Cincinnati executed a perfect game plan. Today, though, trying to dispose of soon-to-be league MVP Patrick Mahomes is a horse of a different color. Mahomes’ 72 wins in the last five seasons is second only to Tom Brady for the most in any five-year span (77 wins from 2003-07), and he is 9-1 ATS in his NFL career when not laying points. Wobbly ankle and all, we’re not about to go against Mahomes. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 91 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A suddenly seasoned QB Brock Purdy is in deeper waters than he’s been in his young career, but thanks to a promise fulfilled by the San Francisco defense, he’s answered every demand made of him. However, playoff teams coming off consecutive SUATS wins who were bounced in a championship game the previous year (San Francisco) are 20-1 SUATS since 1985 as either a favorite or as a dog of less than 3 points versus foes off a SUATS win. |
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01-29-23 | Heat v. Hornets +6.5 | 117-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If the Charlotte Hornets could just stay whole for an extended period, they might be onto something. The lineup could be close to that when the Miami Heat visit for Sunday afternoon's game in Charlotte, N.C. The Hornets had LaMelo Ball and Gordon Hayward back in action Thursday night in a 111-96 victory against the visiting Chicago Bulls. Both players missed the previous games -- Ball sitting out three and Hayward the past two. Consider that the Heat are 9-20-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up win. |
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01-29-23 | Michigan State +8 v. Purdue | 61-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Sparty suffered a 64-63 setback at home to Purdue just 13 days ago, stirring up bad memories of being booted from the Big Ten tourney in the semifinals by the Makers last season. The Wizard brings a lofty 18-10 SU and 17-11 ATS career record in conference games when seeking same-season revenge when his troops are coming off an ATS loss, including 5-2 SUATS versus .800 or greater opposition. State’s biggest concern will be putting the clamps on Purdue center Zach Edey, a 7-4, 305-pound monster from Toronto who averages 21 PPG and pulls down 13 rebounds. Still, the Boilermakers haven’t cashed a ticket in the last three meetings with MSU, which is a perfect setup for the fact that playing on the Michigan State Spartans when they are seeking revenge against a Big Ten opponent is 31-11-1 (75%) since 1975. |
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01-29-23 | Michigan v. Penn State -168 | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan won the first meeting this season but the Wolverines continue to sputter in big games. The Wolverines simply don’t have a ton of scoring depth to rely on in clutch situations behind Dickinson, which makes things difficult. Jett Howard is questionable after missing the game against Purdue and logging only 15 minutes against Minnesota before leaving with an ankle injury. If he doesn’t go, that takes the team’s second-leading scorer out of the mix. Penn State is a terrific perimeter shooting team and they are eager to shake off their struggles against Rutgers. The Nittany Lions are 10-1 at home this season while Michigan is only 1-3 on the road with that win coming over a struggling Minnesota team back in December. That, coupled with the injury report, doesn’t help the Wolverines here: take Penn State in this contest. |
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01-28-23 | Kings v. Wolves +2.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota is scoring an average of 115.2 points per game and shooting 49.2% overall despite not having their second leading scorer Karl-Anthony Towns, who scores an average of 20.8 points per game. Minnesota has covered the spread in four of its last five games overall and in eight of the last 11 games when playing against an opponent from the Western Conference. The Kings will be playing their first game of an eight-game road trip on Saturday. Although Sacramento is leading the NBA in scoring, the Kings are also giving up plenty of points allowing an average of 116.6 points per game and 48.8% field goal shooting, which plays do the strength of the Timberwolves, who have a field goal shooting percentage of 49.2% which is fourth best in the NBA. |
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01-28-23 | Suns v. Spurs +6 | 128-118 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Spurs are 6-1-1 ATS with same-season revenge from a loss of 20-plus points in this series. That fits like a glove next to the Suns’ spotty 2-8-2 ATS record when facing foes they beat by more than 36 points earlier in the season. A quick check of each team’s body of work this season shows Phoenix flattening out on a 10-19 run at press time, after beginning the season 15-6. On the flip side, San Antonio put a halt to a 6-18 SU and 9-15 ATS beginning to this campaign as they’ve improved since, going 8-16 SU and 15-10 ATS. Finally consider that San Antonio is 5-0 ATS with revenge from a same-season defeat of more than 30 points under Greg Popovich when coming off a win or a loss of 5 or fewer points in its last game. |
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01-28-23 | Flyers v. Jets -210 | 4-0 | Loss | -210 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets should find the back of the net at will against the Flyers, who allow 3.22 goals per game, with Kyle Connor, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Jets' defense, which is allowing only 2.62 goals per game, should limit the Flyers' offense, which averages only 2.76 goals per game, with Josh Morrissey, Dylan DeMelo, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Connor Hellebuyck to make plenty of big saves. The Jets should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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01-28-23 | Kings v. Lightning -195 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Lightning, who have won back-to-back games, look to control this game from the first period. The Lightning, who average 3.60 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nikita Kucherov, Steven Stamkos, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement and strong centering passes. The Lightning, who allow only 2.94 goals per game, should limit the Kings' offense with Victor Hedman, Mikhail Sergachev, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy to make plenty of big saves. The Lightning should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice to win their third consecutive game. |
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01-28-23 | Georgia State v. Marshall -12 | 65-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While the Thundering Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. |
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01-28-23 | Bruins -148 v. Panthers | 3-4 | Loss | -148 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With the Panthers currently riding a three-game losing skid, playing with no rest (0-6 in their last six contests without a breather) and likely forced to dress third string netminder Alex Lyon for a consecutive start during a back-to-back set (he has lost his only previous appearance versus Boston), expect the Bruins to run riot tonight! The B’s have already won four of their past five matchups against Florida, beating the Cats by a margin of at least two snipes in three of those games. Eight of the previous nine overall victories of Boston have all also been achieved by more than one marker, while a whopping 13 of Florida’s last 16 setbacks have all been registered with a goal-gap of at least two strikes. |
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01-28-23 | Nebraska v. Maryland -11.5 | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Nebraska is struggling with injuries that minimize their rotation and hamper their ability to rebound. Reese should take advantage of Derrick Walker, who is not as big as some of the other centers in the league at 6-9. That doesn't sound small, but when you face the likes of 7-4 Zach Edey two games before and Reese had great success against him, that's an advantage. The Terps' pressure defense will also be crucial in this matchup Maryland needs to continue to win at home, where they have many students returning from winter break in what should be a raucous atmosphere in College Park. |
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01-28-23 | Richmond v. Dayton -8.5 | 60-86 | Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Flyers return to UD Arena, where they own a legitimate home court advantage. Dayton has gone 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home, including 10-1 SU this season where the Flyers have won by an average margin of just over 16 PPG. And when it comes to dueling with foes that own a sub .525 win percentage, Dayton has treated its backers to a 13-0 SU and 9-3 ATS effort. We can’t say the same for the 11-10 Spiders, who arrive on a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS slide in their last four games. Even worse, Richmond has gone 0-6 ATS versus foes coming off consecutive losses, including 0-4 ATS this season. Yikes. The hosts are hanging tough in the Atlantic 10 race in 4th place and will be facing a bunch of Spiders that could be more concerned about an upcoming double-revenger against St. Bonaventure. Don't forget Dayton’s 68-64 loss to Richmond in the semifinals of the Atlantic-10 tourney last season snapped a 7-0 SUATS series win skein against the Spiders. |
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01-28-23 | Nuggets v. 76ers -160 | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a great battle between two of the top three teams in the NBA. These are two solid offensive clubs, would Denver averaging nearly two points more per game, while Philadelphia is allowing nearly two points fewer per contest. Both are solid shooting clubs, but Philadelphia has a huge edge at the free-throw line. The 76ers are hitting 83.0% of their free-throw attempts while Denver is at 74.3%. In a game that is expected to be close, that will be a key factor in the contest. One also has to like how hot Philadelphia is. While they have not been great at home of late, they are still on fire. Denver has some key injuries and will not know exactly what to expect out of Jokic. |
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01-28-23 | Alabama -5 v. Oklahoma | 69-93 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Crimson Tide have won nine straight games and six straight road games. They are very good offensively, even on the road where they are scoring more than 80 points per game. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 81 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 10 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in recent games and won’t give the Sooners a lot of easy scoring opportunities. The Sooners usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 70 points per game in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Crimson Tide in this game. The Sooners have lost four of their last five games and three of their last four home games. They’re not very good offensively and they played worse in recent games, averaging less than 60 points per game in their last three games while making less than 40 percent of their shots. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Crimson Tide and won’t get a lot of extra scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy scoring opportunities for the Crimson Tide, who average more than five steals per game on the road. The Crimson Tide are very good defensively and they have played better in recent games, holding their last three opponents under 65 points per game. They won’t have trouble keeping Oklahoma’s offense in check. Go with Alabama to cover the spread. |
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01-28-23 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -6 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When looking into the adjusted efficiency margin provided by KenPom, Northern Iowa is 170th in the sport with a -0.21 rating while Indiana State is 128th in the country with a +3.77 rating so far. Looking at the defenses throughout the last few games, there is a difference there as the Panthers are giving up 68.8 points in their last five games while the Sycamores are allowing 76.7 points in their previous three games. Go with the Indiana State Sycamores to cover the spread in their own building. |
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01-27-23 | Flames v. Seattle Kraken -110 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Back in November, Seattle beat Calgary 5-4 as a +195 road underdog, while the Flames responded with a 3-2 victory as -115 road favorites in December. I’m looking for another tight battle between these two divisional foes. Calgary is arguably a better defensive team than Seattle, but I would lean on the Kraken’s prolific offense to make a difference. The Flames will have to deal with fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back. On the other side, the Kraken will be fired up to pick up where they left off. Seattle destroyed Vancouver last Wednesday, and just a week ago, the Kraken beat New Jersey 4-3 in overtime. |
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01-27-23 | Air Force +13 v. New Mexico | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Air Force is 12-9 SU overall this year while New Mexico comes in with an 18-3 SU overall record on the season. Air Force is 62-34 ATS their last 96 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more. Air Force is 5-1 ASTS their last 6 road games against a team with a winning record. Air Force is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a SU loss of more than 20 points. Additionally, the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in this series. |
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01-27-23 | Cavs v. Thunder | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oklahoma City Thunder are entering this game with a scoring advantage over the Cavaliers, considering Cleveland's top scorer is looking to be out in Friday's matchup. Mitchell did not play for the Cavs in Thursday's contest against the Rockets and looks to be out again on Friday. Without Mitchell on the court, the Thunder will have one less weapon to worry about. In addition, Oklahoma City has really heated things up offensively since facing Cleveland in early December, especially with how explosive Gilgeous-Alexander has been. The 6-foot-6-inch point guard is averaging 30.8 points per game ranking him 5th in the NBA. He has three consecutive games scoring 30 or more points, so look for him to earn his fourth straight 30+ point game. In his last game, he earned 36 points after shooting 59.1% from the floor and 100% from beyond the arc. With his offensive talent and the Cavs likely being without Mitchell, take the Thunder. |
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01-27-23 | Grizzlies -147 v. Wolves | 100-111 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Memphis has the look and feel of a genuine threat to win the West as they rank No. 2 in Points Differential, No. 4 in Overall Rebounding, and No. 5 in Overall Scoring. Meanwhile, Minnesota checks in off a double revenge rumble with New Orleans with a 13-point revenger on tap with Sacramento. That puts the Grizz in an ideal revenge sandwich. Perhaps the most mind boggling stat, though, is Minny’s not-so mighty 9-188 ATS mark – yes, you read that right – at home in games it loses outright to an avenging foe. And finally, if history is your thing then you’ll love that Memphis is 19-8 SUATS overall in this series, including 5-0 SUATS when seeking revenge from a same-season loss of 5 or more points. |
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01-27-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -195 | 6-2 | Loss | -195 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators have followed up a victory with a defeat on four of the past five occasions, losing by a margin of at least two strikes in each of those setbacks. So, a similar outcome in their upcoming clash at the Maple Leafs on Friday most definitely holds a great plausibility! A whopping 18 of Ottawa’s 26 losses this season have already been registered with a goal-gap of at least two markers. Toronto, meanwhile, has won by more than one tally in five of its previous eight victories and is riding a four-game triumph run against the Sens, beating them by a margin of at least two strikes in two of those matchups. |
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01-27-23 | St. Louis -125 v. Davidson | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Billikens are the better team, prepared to win on the road. They're just a half-game out of first and facing a Wildcats team that's 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the more consistent team to cover the spread with this game essentially a toss-up. Saint Louis is on a five-game win streak, boasts the 26th-best assist-per-turnover ratio, and better-rated offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. It's also 12th nationally in rebounds per game, facing a Wildcats team averaging 30.0 per game, 286th-most, and giving up 33.7 per game. The Billikens are the team to beat, and they'll prove it on the road Friday. |
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01-27-23 | UC-Santa Barbara +1.5 v. Hawaii | 65-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UC Santa Barbara has shown no signs of slowing down in conference play, covering the spread in 10 of its last 11 games. I am thrilled to back the Gauchos again on Thursday night against a Hawaii team that has been struggling to put up points. The Rainbow Warriors rank outside the top 200 nationally in multiple key offensive statistics, and they are going to have trouble turning things around against a taller UCSB defense. The Gauchos’ height advantage should allow them to control the paint proceedings on the other end of the court as well, and their experienced lineup makes them a strong team to back on the road. |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -4.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cougars stunned the Wildcats in their first meeting of the season on the back of Mouhamed Gueye’s 24-point, 14-rebound double-double. Arizona had a horrible shooting night (31.7% from the field and 16.0% from downtown), and the Wildcats’ backcourt couldn’t make the basket to save its life. I think the Wildcats can only play better this time around. The Cougars struggle to defend the paint, so I’m backing Arizona to win and cover. Keep your eyes on Azuolas Tubelis (19.9 PPG, 9.5 RPG) and Oumar Ballo (16.1 PPG, 9.0 RPG). This duo will torture the Cougars all night long. Arizona is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games against Washington State. |
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01-26-23 | Utah v. Oregon State +7.5 | 63-44 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Beavers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. Additionally, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. While the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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01-26-23 | Cavs -7.5 v. Rockets | 113-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers come into this matchup looking to improve their sub .500 road record. Cleveland should be able to take advantage of the sloppy Rockets offense and turn turnovers into points. While Mitchell could possibly miss this contest, Darius Garland should have his way with a Rockets team playing without their starting point guard. The Cavaliers #1 rated scoring defense will be able to hamper a Rockets team that is far from efficient on the offensive end and ranked last in field goal percentage overall. Cleveland will ride the the strength of Garland on the perimeter and Allen will hold his own on the interior against a young Rockets front line. In addition, the Rockets are just 1-6 this season in the second game of back-to-backs. |
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01-26-23 | Devils -123 v. Predators | 4-6 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Predators look to win on their home ice but the Devils are having a great season and look to control this game from the first period. The Devils, who average 3.47 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Devils, who allow only 2.60 goals per game, should limit the Predators' offense with Dougie Hamilton, Ryan Graves, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Vitek Vanecek to make plenty of big saves. The Devils should win the game with a strong performance on the road to win their third game in a row. |
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01-26-23 | Bruins v. Lightning +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We know how good Tampa Bay is on home ice, posting an 18-4-1 record on the year after taking down Minnesota in their game Tuesday night. The problem for the Lightning is that they are dealing with a Bruins team that has been dominant regardless of venue this year. While Boston is a sparkling 22-1-3 on home ice, they are still extremely dangerous on the road, posting a 16-4-1 record as the visitors this season. The Bruins are tied for the league in goals for per game while they are leading the league by a wide margin in goals against per contest. That makes them extremely dangerous, even against a team that has plenty of firepower offensively. The Bruins have won five straight meetings and this makes it six straight as they prevail on the road. |
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01-26-23 | Penguins +106 v. Capitals | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Capitals look to win on their home ice but the Penguins look to step up and control this game. The Penguins, who average 3.28 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Penguins should also limit the Capitals' offense with Marcus Pettersson, Brian Dumoulin, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Tristan Jarry to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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01-25-23 | Spurs v. Lakers -6.5 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs’ defense has been a joke so far this season. San Antonio has allowed 131 or more points in five of its last six outings which tells you a lot about the Spurs’ current form. Hereof, I would take the Lakers to cover even if LeBron James hit the sidelines. Both Thomas Bryant and Dennis Schroder have played well of late, and the Lakers should have enough weapons to deal with the slumping Spurs who lack talent everywhere. The Lakers are 3-0 SU and ATS in their previous three encounters with the Spurs in 2022-23. |
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01-25-23 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -160 | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Grizzlies could possibly be without Morant and Adams, as I see both of them being huge losses to this team. Golden State is also (17-6) at home this season, as they have been a completely different team inside the Chase Center. I also see them being able to consistently score against this tough Grizzlies defense. The Warriors are scoring the third most points per game and they have the fifth-highest team three-point shooting percentage. They will get hot from deep and slowly pull away throughout this game. The Grizzlies have also struggled to consistently knock down shots from the floor, as they only have the 19th-highest team shooting percentage and the 21st highest three-point shooting percentage. They will go cold at different points in this game and the Warriors will slowly pull away. These two teams do not like each other and I expect Steph and Klay to be hyped up for this one. |
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01-25-23 | Canucks v. Seattle Kraken -160 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This seems a perfect spot for the Kraken to finally get one over the Canucks. Vancouver will have to deal with fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back, while Seattle had three days to rest and prepare for Wednesday’s clash. The Kraken have struggled a bit to score in their last few games, and the matchup against the Canucks’ leaky defense is a perfect opportunity for redemption. Seattle might miss Andre Burakovsky (G13, A25), but the Kraken have plenty of dangerous weapons in their arsenal, so I’m going with the hosts to win. |
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01-25-23 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -11.5 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Alabama Crimson Tide has a high-scoring, elite offense that will tear down one of the top defenses in college basketball. Their explosive, fast-paced play will allow them to grow a comfortable lead very quickly, causing Mississippi State to scramble to keep up. In their last meeting, Alabama had two players put out on offense with Sears scoring 20 points and Miller scoring 19 points while also bringing down 11 rebounds. These two have been the dynamic duo that has a huge impact offensively and defensively, so watch for them to carry their team to their second win against the Bulldogs. In addition, the Bulldogs have a low-scoring offense, so expect the Crimson Tide to punish their slow offensive style. Take Alabama winning by a decent margin. |
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01-25-23 | Hurricanes -106 v. Stars | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars look to win on their home ice but the Hurricanes look to control this game from the first period. The Hurricanes, who average 3.22 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sebastian Aho, Andrei Svechnikov, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great cross-ice passes. The Hurricanes, who allow only 2.65 goals per game, should also limit the Stars' offense with Brady Skjei, Brett Pesce, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Frederik Andersen to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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01-25-23 | Nuggets v. Bucks -8 | 99-107 | Push | 0 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets are banged up right now and I don't see them being healthy enough to cover the spread in this game. Denver has also struggled on the defensive end of the court, as they will allow the Bucks to consistently score throughout this game. Denver is allowing the 13th least amount of points per game, but they only have the 16th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the 23rd-lowest shooting percentage from the field. The Bucks will be able to attack the basket and score enough points to cover this spread. Now, the Nuggets have been elite offensively this season, but if Jokic and MPJ don't play, they will be in huge trouble. The Nuggets look like a completely different team on offense without Jokic on the floor, as this could really hurt them in this game. Milwaukee is also elite on defense, as they are holding their opponents to the sixth least amount of points per game and they have the third lowest adjusted defensive rating. They will get consistent stops throughout and dominate at home. |
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01-25-23 | Valparaiso v. Northern Iowa -7.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Beacons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. While the Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Additionally, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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01-25-23 | Nets v. 76ers -5 | 133-137 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are potentially missing pieces with Durant out for Brooklyn while it’s uncertain whether Embiid and/or Harden will take the floor for Philadelphia here. The Nets won their last two games but it could be tough dealing with a Philadelphia team that had a perfect 5-0 road trip as they took down Utah, the Lakers, Portland, Sacramento and the Clippers. Philadelphia is at home, where they are 17-7 on the season, and they have an extra day of rest in their pocket here. While the Nets are on a roll, the fact remains that Irving has had to shoulder a massive load recently, especially without Durant. Philadelphia has a deep rotation and if at least one of the Embiid/Harden duo takes the floor, they are in good shape. Take the 76ers in this contest. |
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01-25-23 | Islanders v. Senators -125 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are looking to pull off the upset but the Senators look to step up at home and control this game. The Senators should create plenty of scoring chances with Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Senators should also limit an Islanders offense that averages only 2.92 goals per game with Jake Sanderson and Thomas Chabot creating turnovers at the blue line and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Cam Talbot to make plenty of big saves. The Senators should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-25-23 | Georgia v. Tennessee -16.5 | 41-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Georgia has the ability to put up big point totals but they have their work cut out for them here when it comes to getting things down offensively against Tennessee. The Volunteers are extremely stingy on the defensive end of the floor, allowing more than 65 points just once in their last eight games entering this one. Tennessee has very good depth in their rotation as they have five guys averaging in double figures this season, so it could be any one of a handful of guys that could go for 20-plus points on any given night. Georgia doesn’t have that kind of weaponry to lean on as they rely mainly on Oquendo and Roberts on that end of the floor. Look for Tennessee to clamp down defensively and earn the home win here. |
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01-24-23 | Clippers v. Lakers +5 | 133-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers have owned the Lakers as of late, going 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in their previous nine encounters. You won’t have a dilemma if you like to follow H2H betting trends. The Clippers are arguably a better defensive team than the Lakers, but I think Purple-and-Gold will be able to keep it close in this game. LeBron James has been unstoppable in the last few weeks, while both Dennis Schroder and Thomas Bryant are doing a great job for the Lakers. Purple-and-Gold have won three of their last four games and are 4-1 ATS in their previous five outings at any location. On the other side, the Clippers are just 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. |
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01-24-23 | Hornets v. Suns -6.5 | 97-128 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to pick the Phoenix Suns at home and I am going to lay the points (-6.5). Ayton is currently listed as questionable, but I am hoping he plays, as he is listed as questionable with an illness. The Hornets have also been one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, as they have struggled on the defensive end of the court. They won't be able to stop the Suns consistently throughout this game, which will allow them to slowly pull away. Charlotte currently has the 27th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are surrendering the 28th least amount of points per game. The Hornets are also (8-18) on the road this season, as I don't see them showing up for this game. The Suns will be able to find different ways to score on them and they are also better on the defensive end. According to dunksandthrees.com, the Suns have the 11th lowest adjusted defensive rating and they are holding their opponents to the eighth least amount of points per game. The Hornets could also be without LaMelo Ball in this game, as I don't see them scoring enough points to cover this spread. |
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01-24-23 | Fresno State v. Boise State -10.5 | 53-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This matchup will be between two Mountain West Conference rivals that focus on defense first, which will result in a low scoring game and the advantage here goes to Boise State due to a better offense. The Broncos are allowing an average of only 61.6 points per game and at the same time are scoring an average of 73.2 points per game, while in contrast Fresno State Is tough on defense allowing an average of just 62.9 points per game but struggles offensively scoring just 61.4 points per game. Fresno State's weakness is its shooting, as the Bulldogs hit just 42.6% of their field goal attempts and 29.8% of their 3-point attempts. Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in four of the last six. Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last five and on the season is an above average 13-5-1 ATS. |
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01-24-23 | Sabres v. Blues -126 | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-24-23 | Oklahoma v. TCU -5 | 52-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units TCU is primed for a big win in this one, especially as they continue to ride the wave of confidence from their weekend win over Kansas. The more pressing concern continues to be Oklahoma's ability to find success in the Big 12 and especially as they hit the road. The offensive struggles are well documented and their issues hitting the offensive glass are only going to add to their issues of finding success in this one. TCU's balance on both sides of the ball has only improved as the season has progressed and with their depth of scoring, they are destined for success at home. Additionally, according to covers.com, TCU is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games overall. |
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01-24-23 | Bulls -125 v. Pacers | 110-116 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I don’t think I can back Indiana until Haliburton is back in the lineup, as the Pacers have looked like a completely different team without him on the court. They have not only lost seven consecutive games, but they have only covered the spread once during that stretch. Their losing skid has almost entirely coincided with Haliburton’s injury, so I am looking to stay away from the Pacers. This is also not the worst scheduling spot for Chicago, even though it is the second leg of a back-to-back. The Bulls had four days off following their trip to Paris, giving them a rested roster heading into this two-game stretch. |
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01-24-23 | Panthers v. Penguins -140 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers look to pull off the upset on the road but the Penguins look to step up and control this game. The Penguins, who average 3.20 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots on the net with great puck movement. The Penguins should also limit the Panthers' offense with Marcus Pettersson, Jeff Petry, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Tristan Jarry to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-24-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings -140 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sharks are looking to pull off the upset but I like the Red Wings to step up and control this game on their home ice. The Red Wings should find the back of the net at will against a Sharks defense that allows 3.73 goals per game with Dylan Larkin, Dominik Kubalik, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Red Wings should also limit the Shares offense with Filip Hronek, Jake Walman, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shooting lanes, allowing goaltender Ville Husso to make plenty of big saves. The Red Wings should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-24-23 | Wild v. Lightning -163 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have struggled in their last couple of games as the opposing teams have put up plenty of goals. The Wild has sputtered a bit on the road and they looked overmatched against the Panthers Saturday night. Minnesota will have Fleury back between the pipes but it’s tough to get excited about facing the Lightning at the Amalie Arena, especially when it’s Vasilevskiy between the pipes. In his career, Vasilevskiy is a sparkling 143-46-14 with a 2.46 GAA, a .919 save % and 14 shutouts in 209 career games at the Amalie Arena. Tampa Bay is a stellar 17-4-1 at home this season and the Lightning get the upper hand in this one as the Wild continue to struggle defensively. |
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01-24-23 | Tulsa v. East Carolina -4.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Hurricane have lost seven of their last eight games and six straight road games. They aren’t very good offensively and they play worse on the road where they are scoring less than 70 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Pirates and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They were very careless with the ball in their last three games, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Pirates, who average more than six steals per game at home. The Pirates have played well defensively, especially at home where they are giving up less than 68 points per game, so expect them to keep Tulsa’s offense in check. The Pirates also struggled in recent games, but they’ve won five of their last eight home games. They have played well offensively at home where they are scoring more than 71 points per game. They rebound the ball very well at home and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring opportunities. They’ve also done a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Golden Hurricane a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Golden Hurricane aren’t very good defensively and they play worse on the road where they are giving up more than 77 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Pirates in this game. |
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01-23-23 | Kansas v. Baylor -130 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams are feeling completely different about themselves coming into this matchup, as Kansas has lost back-to-back games while Baylor has won four straight games. The Bears have been tough to beat at home dating back to last season, winning 14 of their last 16 home games. I am concerned not only about the Jayhawks’ mentality right now, but I am also worried about their lack of firepower in this matchup. Baylor has been one of the top offensive teams in the country, while Kansas relies on Wilson to do a large chunk of its scoring. The Jayhawks have only covered the spread once in their last five games, so they are a team that I want to avoid right now. |
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01-23-23 | Islanders v. Maple Leafs -220 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are eager to turn their season around and look to pull off the upset but the Maple Leafs are having a great season and look to control this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.36 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Maple Leafs, who allow only 2.64 goals per game, should limit an Islanders offense that is scoring only 2.94 goals per game, with Mark Giordano, Justin Holl, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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01-23-23 | Panthers v. Rangers -125 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers look to win on the road but the Rangers look to build off a strong season and control this game from the opening puck drop. The Rangers, who average 3.11 goals per game, should pile on the goals against a Panthers defense that allows 3.38 goals per game, with Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement while defenseman Adam Fox generates shots on the net from the blue line. The Rangers, who allow only 2.63 goals per game, should limit the Panthers' offense with Adam Fox, Ryan Lindgren, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Igor Shesterkin to make plenty of big saves. The Rangers should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-23-23 | Wisconsin +2.5 v. Northwestern | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wisconsin has won seven straight in this series and covered seven straight. It's tough to come back from a long break at this point of the season and play perfect or even solid basketball. Northwestern has the better metrics, but Wisconsin is the better team, especially now that Wahl is back and healthy. Northwestern couldn't shoot worse at home (38.3) and the Badgers normally-solid defense will slow down a rusty team that hasn't played in over a week. |
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01-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Suns +10 | 110-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am going to take the contrarian position on the Suns in this matchup. They should at least get several players back on Sunday, as most of their key players were sidelined on Saturday. Their injury situation has left them undervalued in the betting market, and they have gone 16-7 at home this season. Memphis is coming off its most emotional game of the season, which makes this a trap game on the schedule. The Grizzlies have only covered the spread at an 8-13-1 clip away from home this season. |
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01-22-23 | Jets v. Flyers +145 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Flyers will look for their 10th win in 13 games when they host the Winnipeg Jets tonight. The Flyers posted a hard-earned, 2-1 road victory against the Detroit Red Wings on Saturday thanks in large part to 30 saves from goaltender Carter Hart. Philadelphia also played gritty defense and blocked 31 shots, eight from Ivan Provorov. More than once, Provorov went sprawling to the ice to block a shot. Scott Laughton and Noah Cates each scored one goal, and Hart preserved the victory with a scintillating pad save in the final few seconds against Lucas Raymond. Consider that the Jets are 8-23-1 in the last 32 meetings in Philadelphia.. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -186 | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units NFL teams entering the Divisional Round of the playoffs are 0-4 SUATS since 1990 when on an 11-game exact win streak. The question is does that outweigh the fact that NFL playoff teams playing in a fourth consecutive road game have gone 1-3 SU and 1-2-1 ATS since 1980? It’s a decision you’ll need to make before plunging in on this contest. Meanwhile, Dallas arrives behind a career-best 143.3 QB Rating feat by QB Dak Prescott in its Monday night win over Tampa Bay. It snapped an 8-game road playoff losing skein by the Cowboys spanning 28 years as they bring a 3-13-1 SU and 5-12 ATS playoff road log into this fray. The good news on the Cowboys front is that head coach Mike McCarthy’s 4-0 ATS postseason dog log against greater than .750 opponents offsets Kyle Shanahan’s dizzying 6-1 ATS career mark in the playoffs. So where do we turn here – fade the table-setting stat or fade Prescott off a career-best effort? When push comes to shove we’ll always play against players or teams coming off record-setting performances. Plus, we’ll always side with teams sporting the better defense, and in this case the better offense, too. We simply can’t ignore Frisco’s 16-2 ITS (In The Stats) mark this season, tops in the NFL. Remember, the Niners are still a playoff home team that lost outright in a title game the previous season and these teams are 19-2 SU and 18-3 ATS since 1980 in games when both squads are coming off SUATS wins. Finally, playing on any NFL home favorite in the Divisional Round of the playoffs off a double-digit win who won 12+ games last season if they are facing a foe coming off one win are a perfect 10-0 ATS since 1980. |
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01-22-23 | Knicks v. Raptors | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have dropped three straight after losing 139-124 to the host Atlanta Hawks on Friday. The Hawks opened the fourth quarter on a 20-4 surge as the Knicks showed how much they missed center Mitchell Robinson, who had thumb surgery on Thursday. Consider that the Knicks are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Toronto and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -4.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bengals QB Joe Burrow is now 4-1 SUATS in the postseason, including 3-0 ATS when taking points. He’s also 16-6-2 ATS overall as a dog, including 9-0 ATS the last nine games – not to mention 3-1 SUATS versus AFC East foes (favored in all), including 3-0 SUATS the last three meetings The real problem for Cincy, though, is the Bengals are now 1-6 In The Stats against fellow playoff teams this season, while losing the total yards the last three games against the same ilk over 100 YPG each (average 139 YPG). And their offensive line is down to two original starters with LT Jonah Williams out with a dislocated kneecap. Yuck. Nonetheless, form takes precedence over the trends. Lay the points. |
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01-22-23 | Oregon State +3.5 v. California | 68-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units California and Oregon State will look to halt skids at the other's expense this afternoon when the Pac-12 rivals meet in Berkeley, Calif. A losing streak is nothing new for the Golden Bears (3-16, 2-6), who began the season with 12 straight setbacks. Now, they find themselves mired in a three-game slide following an 87-58 loss to Oregon on Wednesday. Consider that the Golden Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. |
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01-22-23 | Clippers v. Mavs -120 | 112-98 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LA put up a big offensive showing against the Spurs but you aren’t going to win a lot of games when you let the opposition shoot 57.3% from the floor. The Clippers are next to last in the league in putting points on the board and they have a tough task dealing with a Dallas team that is pretty stout defensively. We saw the Mavericks completely stifle the Heat on Friday night and they should be able to keep LA in check on that end of the floor. Dallas has some work to do in getting competent secondary scoring behind Doncic but facing a LA team that has struggled to score is beneficial for them. Give the Mavericks the upper hand at home as they make it two straight wins. |
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01-22-23 | Penguins v. Devils -138 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils have won five of their last six games. They are playing very well offensively, scoring at least four goals in eight of their last 10 games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. The Penguins have done a good job killing penalties, but they aren’t very good defensively, giving up 15 goals in their last five road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Devils in this game. The Penguins have won four of their last seven games, but they’ve lost six of their last seven road games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring only 12 goals in their last five road games. The Devils are great at killing penalties and they play well defensively at home, holding opponents under three goals per game, so expect them to keep Pittsburgh’s offense in check. Go with New Jersey to cover the money line. |
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01-21-23 | 76ers v. Kings +2 | 129-127 | Push | 0 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sacramento Kings are one of the NBA's top surprises and are making a solid run at ending a 16-season playoff drought. The Kings get another chance to prove they are for real tonight when they host the powerful Philadelphia 76ers. Sacramento will be attempting to match its season-best winning streak of seven games. The Kings also will be aiming to snap an eight-game skid against the 76ers. Sacramento's last win in the series was a 115-108 home decision on Feb. 2, 2019. De'Aaron Fox is the only current Kings' player to participate in that game. Consider that the 76ers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. |
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01-21-23 | Pacers v. Suns -5 | 107-112 | Push | 0 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers have lost five straight games and their last five road games. Despite their slump, they continue to play well offensively, scoring more than 112 points per game on the road. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Suns and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road and turned it over more than 20 times per game in their last three games, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Suns, who average more than six steals per game at home. The Suns have struggled defensively this season, but they play better at home where they are holding opponents under 110 points per game, so expect the Pacers to struggle offensively in this game. The Suns also struggled in recent games, but they have played well at home. Even though Devin Booker has been sidelined with a groin injury, they continue to play well offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 114 points per game. They are very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job protecting the ball at home and won’t give the Pacers a lot of easy-scoring chances. The Pacers have struggled defensively on the road where they are giving up close to 120 points per game and they’re playing on consecutive nights, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Suns in this game. Go with Phoenix to cover the spread. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When it comes to same-season double revenge for division teams in NFL playoff contests, they are just 7-13 SU and 9-10-1 ATS since 1990. But these same double revengers are 6-1-1 ATS as dog of more than 6 points. New York is 11-2 ATS dog log under Brian Daboll, and were involved in a league-high 14 one-score games, going 9-4-1 SU and 12-1-1 ATS in those contests, which goes hand-in-hand with the fact that a staggering 45% of games this season (122 of 271) were decided by 6 points or fewer – the most since the league expanded to 32 teams in 2002. In the Eagles’ favor, playoff hosts are 37-10 SU and 29-18 ATS since 1990 when facing invaders coming off consecutive away games. And yes, like San Fran, Philadelphia owns the magic elixir when it comes to projecting Super Bowl participants, namely a Top 5-ranked offense and defense. So, while it’s hard to fade the league’s No. 1 overall defense, the points are too attractive for one team on a roll and the other on a slide. |
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01-21-23 | Kings v. Predators -113 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even though the Kings are currently riding a two-game winning run against the Predators, and Nashville has failed to win any of its past five outings contested on Saturdays, do back the home team in this one! While sitting 3rd in the Pacific Division, Los Angeles has still been pretty inconsistent lately, splitting both its most recent eight matchups overall, as well as its very last eight fixtures on the road. The Preds, meanwhile, have triumphed in three of their past four domestic outings and, most importantly, have already beaten the Kings in nine of their previous 12 meetings, notching four victories in their last five head-to-head encounters at Bridgestone Arena. |
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01-21-23 | Blackhawks v. Blues -221 | 5-3 | Loss | -221 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago has won two straight and four out of the last five but will play on the road against a St Louis Blues’ team that has also won two straight and four out of the last six. Chicago sits last in the Western Conference, while St Louis is 10th but only two points behind the eighth and final playoff spot currently held by Calgary as the season closes in on its final ⅓. St Louis goalie Jordan Binnington has won each of his last two starts and has allowed an average of just 1.50 goals per game over that stretch. Chicago is next to last in scoring, as the Blackhawks are averaging only 2.37 goals per game and are allowing 3.63 goals per game. Chicago has lost 43 of its last 60 overall and 43 of its last 62 played on the road. St Louis has four of its last five against a team from the Central Division. |
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01-21-23 | Hornets v. Hawks -7 | 122-118 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even if Young doesn't play in this game, I still see the Hawks covering this spread. They are the better offensive team and the Hornets have continued to struggle this season. They are also extremely banged up and they could be without LaMelo Ball in this game. Charlotte has also been awful on the defensive end of the court this season, as I don't see them getting enough stops to cover the spread. They are currently allowing the third most points per game and they have held their opponents to the 26th-lowest shooting percentage from the floor. Atalanta is scoring the 10th most points per game and they are (6-4) in their last 10 games played. They are playing solid basketball right now and they have enough talent on their roster to outplay the Hornets at home. Charlotte has also struggled offensively, as I don't trust them to score enough points to cover this spread. They have the third-lowest adjusted offensive rating and the lowest three-point shooting percentage as a team. They will stay cold in this game and the Hawks will slowly pull away. |
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01-21-23 | Wild v. Panthers -105 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Instead of Marc-Andre Fleury and Bobrovsky in net here, we get Gustavsson and Lyon between the pipes. While Florida has played better of late, the fact remains that their goaltending continues to be suspect, forcing them into high-scoring affairs if they want to put a game in the win column. The Panthers do have home-ice going for them here as they are 11-6-3 as the home team on the year. Minnesota put up a dud in their showing against the Hurricanes and it is tough to have faith in them after what we saw in Thursday’s beatdown. Lyon doesn’t have a lengthy track record but if Florida’s offense is clicking, they should be able to skate away with a home win here. |
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01-21-23 | San Jose State +11.5 v. Utah State | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Spartans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. |
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01-21-23 | Cal Poly +10 v. UC-Davis | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that the Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. While the Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs -8.5 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 75 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville is stuck in Kansas City against the top-seeded Chiefs knowing they are 0-3 SUATS against QB Patrick Mahomes. They also take on Andy Reid and his stalwart 29-6 SU and 22-13 ATS overall career mark in games with an added week of rest advantage, including 6-1 outright at home in the postseason. Reid will be going up against his former quarterback Doug Pederson, who was only 3-14 as a starting QB in the league but brings a salty 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS career mark as a head coach in the playoffs. We realize the Chiefs’ gaudy 0-10 ATS mark in one score games this season is troubling but we also know that 15 of Andy Reid’s 19 career postseason wins have been by double-digit margins. And Travis Kelce has to love the fact that the Jags were the 3rd worst ranked team in the league in yards per reception to tight ends |
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01-21-23 | James Madison v. Southern Miss | 70-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Southern Mississippi is at the top of the Sun Belt Conference standings with three others and one game ahead of James Madison. The Golden Eagles have used a very strong defense to go along with an above average offense that has resulted in 16 victories in 20 games. Southern Miss has covered the spread in 10 of 17 games with a betting line. James Madison also has a very tough offense that scores the third most points per game in the nation but is allowing 66.7 points per game while Southern Miss is allowing an average of only 63.6 points per game. This matchup will be back and forth and will most likely come down to the final possession as both offenses are tough to stop and the team that makes the most stops on defense down the stretch and does not commit turnovers will be victorious, which favors the home team (USM). |
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01-21-23 | Texas A&M +5.5 v. Kentucky | 67-76 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite their overall record, I agree with the oddsmakers that Kentucky is the better team, but I expect the Aggies to keep this game too close to striking distance to lay the five points. The Aggies hold a 74% to 68.2% advantage from the free-throw line, which will help do the stretch. One of Kentucky's biggest strengths is on the boards, where they are fifth in the nation in total rebounding percentage (55.9%), but Texas A&M will be competitive in that area as they are 16th (54.6%). This is a big game on both sides, and Texas A&M is on 5-0 ATS run in road games, but Kentucky is just 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games. I will take Texas A&M to cover. |
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01-21-23 | Vanderbilt v. Georgia -155 | 85-82 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is not the Georgia team that people got used to seeing under Tom Crean. After winning no more than 16 games in any of Crean’s seasons at the helm but White has got his team playing tough defense. The Bulldogs have been terrific at home this season, posting a perfect 10-0 mark in Athens. Vanderbilt has been average on both ends of the floor and they will have their work cut out for them in this contest. The Commodores are just 1-3 on the road this season and they have to be better when it comes to shooting the ball. Georgia is solid defensively, holding teams to 41.1% shooting overall (69th in the nation) and only 27.7% from beyond the arc (8th) this season. Look for Georgia to do the job defensively and remain unbeaten at home. |
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01-20-23 | Avalanche v. Canucks +140 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canucks are +145 underdogs against the Avalanche. With those odds, though, it is definitely worth the gamble to back Vancouver. It might seem unreal, but the ‘Nucks are actually riding a three-game winning streak versus Colorado, having beaten the team from Denver by more than one snipe in two of those games. The Canucks have also snatched 15 victories in their last 21 domestic encounters against the Avs, who have managed to triumph in just two of their previous five road assignments, banking seven defeats in their most recent 11 fixtures overall. |
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01-20-23 | Nets v. Jazz -6.5 | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz have won four of their last five games and three of their last four home games. They are playing well offensively, especially at home where they are scoring more than 120 points per game while making over 48 percent of their shots. They are one of the best rebounding teams in the league and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 11 offensive rebounds per game, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in their last three games and won’t give the Nets a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Nets have struggled defensively on the road and they’re playing on consecutive nights, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Jazz in this game. The Nets have lost four of their last six games and they split their last four road games. They usually play well offensively, but they’ve struggled with Kevin Durant out of the lineup and scored less than 100 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Jazz and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring opportunities against them. They were also careless with the ball in their last three games, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Jazz, who average more than six steals per game at home. Even though the Jazz have struggled defensively, they played well in recent home games, holding two of their last three opponents under 110 points per game at home, so expect them to keep Brooklyn’s offense in check. Go with Utah to cover the spread. |
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01-20-23 | Pacers v. Nuggets -11 | 111-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm not thrilled with the line due to the open possibilities of a garbage time back door cover, but that's Indiana's best chance in this one. The Nuggets are on a roll since the New Year, which includes having beaten Boston by 12, the Clippers by 31, the Cavaliers and Lakers by 13, the Suns by 29, and the Clippers again by 12 points. Indiana has lost its last three games by 13 points or more, and without Haliburton, I can't trust them to compete in this one. |
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01-20-23 | Clippers -7 v. Spurs | 131-126 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is an excellent spot to back a Los Angeles team that I believe is undervalued right now due to George’s injury. He has only returned for one game, but he has had multiple days to rest since playing that game, so he should be good to go for a solid workload on Friday night. The Clippers are desperate to get back in the win column, and having their leading scorer drastically changes their outlook. They have been an outstanding defensive team all year, so having George and Leonard offensively makes them a much more dangerous team. San Antonio is the worst defensive team in the NBA, making this a perfect get-right game for the Clippers, who have won and covered the spread in five of the last seven meeting between these teams. |
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01-20-23 | Pelicans v. Magic +2.5 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New Orleans Pelicans have not been at their best recently. They have been decimated with key injuries and the losses are starting to pile on. They have now dropped seven of their last ten games and are playing without scoring leader Zion Williamson along with Brandon Ingram. The Magic have been solid on their home floor where they have won six of their last nine games. The Pelicans are struggling on the road, dropping five of their last seven road bouts. The Magic' defense is their top strength and they should contain a Pelicans team that has only scored 103 and 98 points respectively in their last two games. The Magic have been efficient, connecting on at least 49% of their field goals in two of their last three games. |
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01-20-23 | Senators v. Penguins -142 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators won the recent game in overtime but the Penguins look to step up on their home ice and even up the score from the recent game. The Penguins should pile on the goals against the Senators, who have allowed 3.25 goals per game, with Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Penguins also look to limit the Senators' offense that is scoring only 2.95 goals per game with Marcus Pettersson, Jan Rutta, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Casey DeSmith to make plenty of big saves. The Penguins should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-20-23 | Villanova v. St. John's -180 | 57-49 | Loss | -180 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The St. John's Red Storm has been playing great basketball this season, holding onto a 13-6 record while also sporting a two-game win streak. St. John's has really picked up their game since playing Villanova last, while the Wildcats have fallen off a bit. For this reason, I expect St. John's to come out on top this time around, especially with the strong performances of Storr and Soriano in the last matchup. In addition, the Red Storm has more scoring talent on their roster with Soriano averaging 16.5 points per game and Jones with 13 points per game. I expect them to score above their averages against the Wildcats while Storr comes through with a handful of points again. The defense is surrendering just above 70 points per game while averaging nearly 10 steals a game, so expect them to punish a struggling Villanova offense. |
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01-19-23 | Capitals -200 v. Coyotes | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Coyotes look to build off a recent win and pull off the upset on their home ice. However, the Capitals look to step up after a rough loss and control this game from the first period. The Capitals, who average 3.19 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against a Coyotes defense that allows 3.61 goals per game, with Alexander Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with effective puck movement. The Capitals should also limit a Coyotes offense that averages only 2.66 goals per game with Nick Jensen, Dmitry Orlov, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Darcy Kuemper to make plenty of big saves. The Capitals should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on the road. |