Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-11-23 | Dodgers -148 v. Giants | 0-5 | Loss | -148 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units May has been excellent in his first two starts this season as he continues to round back into form well over a year after Tommy John surgery. Meanwhile, Wood was roughed up in his first outing this season and struggled in all three of his starts against the Dodgers last season. The left-hander will have to contend with the powerful right-handed bats of Mookie Betts, JD Martinez and Will Smith tonight. Be wary that Wood allowed four home runs in his three starts against LA last season. Following Monday's win, the Dodgers have now won 16 of the last 20 meetings against the Giants. LA has also now won eight straight games in San Francisco. I expect that trend to continue on Tuesday night and for the Dodgers to win yet again. |
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04-11-23 | Cardinals v. Rockies +1.5 | 9-6 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units St. Louis has sputtered mightily at the plate this season in key situations and that is a major reason why they are in the cellar of the NL Central. The Cardinals are hitting .275 with the bases empty and .315 with runners on base, but that number craters to .230 with runners in scoring position on the year. They are zero for eight with the bases loaded so far this season. Mikolas has struggled in his first two starts, allowing five runs in each outing as he’s been tagged for a league-high 19 hits. Colorado has been up and down this season but Freeland has been stellar in his two outings this season. The Rockies are a prolific offensive team at home and that works in their favor here, especially facing an eminently hittable pitcher like Mikolas. Give Colorado the advantage at home as they prevail behind another solid start from Freeland. |
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04-11-23 | Capitals v. Bruins -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins look to wrap up their historic season with a win and should overwhelm a struggling Capitals team on both ends of the ice. The Bruins, who average 3.64 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.10 goals per game, should eliminate the Capitals' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone alike while goaltender Linus Ullmark blanks the shots on the net. The Bruins should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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04-11-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Toronto will be playing its second game in as many nights when visiting Tampa Bay after playing on the road Monday night against the Florida Panthers. Tampa Bay has one of the better goaltenders in hockey in Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has a 2.63 goals against average and .916 save percentage while posting four shutouts in 59 appearances. Toronto will face a barrage of offense from Tampa Bay that has five players with 26 goals or more and will be playing its second consecutive game on the road. Down the stretch Toronto has found little to no consistency alternating between wins and losses in each of its last 11 games which has seen Toronto fall behind first place Boston by 26 points. |
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04-11-23 | Yankees -159 v. Guardians | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees turn to Cole on Tuesday night and the trends certainly steer toward the Bronx Bombers. Cole was 2-0 against the Guardians in the regular season last year and followed that up with two dominant starts in the AL Divisional round. He has gotten off to a strong start this year, with two straight wins and 19 strikeouts in 12.1 innings pitched. Cleveland's offense is predicated on long at-bats and base running. Cole's ability to get swings and misses will keep the Guardians off the base paths. Meanwhile, Gaddis takes the mound for Cleveland and is not the swing-and-miss pitcher that Cole is. Gaddis is a contact pitcher and will struggle against this powerful Yankees' lineup. I expect the Bombers to get back on track with the long ball against Gaddis and pull away for a series-tying win in game two of the series. |
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04-10-23 | Dodgers -148 v. Giants | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles dominated San Francisco last season, winning the final five games of the series. The Dodgers have also won seven consecutive games in San Francisco, so they are going to be confident entering this matchup. Their offense has been rolling early in the season, even though they were unable to overcome their bad pitching over the weekend. That should not be an issue on Monday night with Urias on the mound. He is about as trustworthy as any team in the majors over the few years, posting a 2.16 ERA last year. Urias has been outstanding through his first two starts this season as well, while Webb is coming off a pair of rough starts. |
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04-10-23 | Yankees v. Guardians -140 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Yankees have used a similar formula from last season to win six of their first nine games this year; the long ball and a solid bullpen. They have homered in each of their first nine games and are fifth in home runs thus far. The Guardians, meanwhile, thrive on base running and timely hitting. They will have Bieber on the hill, who has yet to allow a long ball this season. Cleveland will lean on their ace in the series opener and should be able to push across enough runs against German to pick up a low-scoring win against the Bombers. |
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04-10-23 | White Sox -102 v. Twins | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The White Sox send Cease to the hill in this matchup and he was lights-out against the Twins last season, failing to allow a run in 16 innings. He was also stellar on the road with an ERA of 2.00 in 2022. Lastly, Cease has been solid this season with 18 strikeouts in two starts. The Twins have scored just three runs total in their three losses and I expect Cease to silence their bats in this one as well. Maeda pitched well in his first game back since the 2021 season. Expect the Twins to be careful with him once again in this game and the White Sox to get a good look at their bullpen in the second half of this game. |
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04-09-23 | Clippers -12.5 v. Suns | 119-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This one is an absolute no brainer. As it stands right now, the Suns look like they are going to rest all of their star players - Durant, Paul, Booker and Ayton. So, expect a lot of big minutes from bench players. The Clippers should be playing everyone, because they will need this to lock down a top 6 seed in the West and avoid the play-in. The Lakers and Warriors are both playing at the same time. There is some question as to whether teams will avoid the fifth seed to avoid the Suns, but no one wants to be 7th either. I love the Clippers here. Take the Clippers to win and cover. |
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04-09-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -136 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nationals are expected to be at the bottom of the standings and their poor start is no surprise. They are stumbling, winning just three games on the young season. The Rockies have been competitive. They won two of four against the Padres and are always dangerous at Coors Field. Washington starter Chad Kuhl has struggled against the Rockies in his career, posting a poor 4.64 ERA and a. 1.40 WHIP in 21.1 innings. He gave up four runs in five innings against the Rays in his opening start. Kuhl was a member of the Rockies' last season and had difficulty at Coors Field, recording a 5.18 ERA in his 74.2 career innings pitched in the hitter's park. |
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04-09-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers -140 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I am concerned about St. Louis’ pitching situation on Sunday afternoon, especially against a Milwaukee team that is off to an excellent start to the year. The Cardinals are without Wainwright, leaving them scrambling for an additional starter in their rotation. They turned to Woodford on Monday, and he was lit up by Atlanta’s powerful lineup. He will make another start today, but this could be his final turn through the rotation. Peralta was a solid starter for Milwaukee last year and got off to a strong start on Monday. He threw six scoreless innings and should have some wiggle room with Woodford opposing him in this matchup. |
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04-09-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays enter the game with a plus-46 run differential after winning their first eight games by four runs or more. That run differential through eight games is the largest in the modern era of MLB, eclipsing the plus-40 marks recorded by the 1955 Chicago White Sox and tied by the 1999 Cleveland club. The Rays also are on their longest winning streak since May 2021, when they won 11 games in a row. Tampa Bay has outscored its opponents 64-18 in their season-starting blitz -- although they've faced the Detroit Tigers, Washington Nationals and the A's, teams which combined for winning percentage of just .372 in 2022. Right-hander James Kaprielian (0-0, 9.00 ERA) -- a former first-round pick of the New York Yankees -- will take the ball as the A's hope he can slow Tampa Bay's juggernaut offense. In his most recent start, on April 3, Kaprielian was tagged for five runs on seven hits in five innings in a wild 12-11 loss against the Cleveland Guardians. Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 0.00), a right-hander, will start for the Rays on Sunday. He held the Nationals to two hits over six shutout innings with seven strikeouts and no walks in a 6-2 win on April 3. In his only career start against Oakland, Rasmussen earned the victory on May 2, 2022, giving up one run and throwing five innings of one-hit ball. |
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04-08-23 | Marlins v. Mets -148 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This line is higher than it was when this same pitching matchup took place last Sunday, but I am still happy to take New York. I think we learned two valuable lessons from that contest, creating value here even after the line movement. One, Rogers’ struggles from last season continued, looking more like the 2022 version of himself rather than the 2021 version. Two, Senga is the real deal, bringing heat all game and not shying away from the moment. The Mets have gone 13-5 in their last 18 home games against the Marlins and have dominated the season series so far this year. |
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04-08-23 | Blazers v. Clippers -16.5 | 125-136 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles has covered the spread in six straight home games against Portland, and I do not expect that trend to end on Saturday afternoon. The Trail Blazers enter this game with no motivation, as they are resting almost all of their key players and are already eliminated from playoff contention. Los Angeles is as motivated as any team in the NBA, as it needs a win to avoid the play-in tournament. The Clippers have won 11 of the last 12 meetings between these teams and should continue their dominance on Saturday. Portland has only picked up one win in its last eight games and is not playing competitive basketball without Lillard. |
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04-08-23 | Royals v. Giants -125 | 6-5 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm choosing to believe in San Francisco's streak of offensive dominance every other game. It's a weird thing very early in the season, but baseball is a weird sport. On a serious note, I can't see the Royals winning consecutive games frequently this season, especially not with the way their offense has performed on most nights. They haven't won two straight yet. Even if Singer has another terrific start, he's handing the ball over to a suspect bullpen. Roll with the Giants at home here. In addition, SF starter Brady Singer for his career he is 6-10 with a 4.07 ERA on the road. That includes a 2-3 record with a 3.99 ERA last season. |
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04-08-23 | Nuggets v. Jazz +6.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Throw out all the stats and trends for this game, because you are going to see two teams playing deep bench players. It will basically be like a summer league game. So, any trends I might be able to dig up would not be relevant as they don't pertain to the players who are going to be out on the court for this one. So, I'm going to defer here to the home team. The Jazz are in front of their home fans, the ones that show up for this meaningless game, that is, and that should be enough to push them to a win. Take the Jazz here to win and cover. |
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04-08-23 | Astros v. Twins -110 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite a tough start against the Astros in his only appearance against them lifetime, I like Ryan at home in this game. Ryan had a solid 3.03 at home last season and was the Twins' most consistent pitcher throughout the season. He picked right up where he left off in game one of this season after allowing just three hits in a win over the Royals. The Astros lineup has struggled without Altuve at the top of the order to be a catalyst for the likes of Bregman and Pena. Those two in particular are off to slow starts and Ryan should be able to exploit their struggles. Garcia finished poorly last season and started slowly this year as well while taking the loss to the White Sox. Garcia is likely in danger of losing his spot in the rotation when the Astros get some of their injured arms back. |
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04-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-hander Patrick Sandoval (1-0, 1.80 ERA) will start for the Angels, and if his season debut is any indication, he's not going to be the club's hard-luck pitcher again this season. Last year, Sandoval won just six games in 27 starts despite a 2.91 ERA, in large part the result of a lack of support from the offense. The Angels offense averaged 3.3 runs per game in his starts and scored more than four runs only five times in the 27 starts. During the month of July, the Angels scored a total of six runs over Sandoval's five starts. But last Saturday in Sandoval's season debut, the Angels scored 13 runs against Oakland, considerably more than enough for the Angels' No. 2 starter, who allowed one run and two hits in five innings for the victory. Right-hander Chris Bassitt (0-1, 24.30 ERA) will start for Toronto, his second start of 2023 following a forgettable performance his first time out. Last Sunday against St. Louis, Bassitt lasted just 3 1/3 innings and allowed nine runs and 10 hits, including four home runs. Bassitt said all six of his pitches were hit hard in the game, and it was his goal to figure out why during his time between starts. |
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04-07-23 | Bulls v. Mavs -8.5 | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I don't love backing the Mavs, but it's now or never for them. With Dallas still competing for a play-in spot and the Bulls' postseason hopes already decided, the Mavericks have a strong advantage. Expect to see the Bulls give a lot of minutes and opportunities to players outside of their big three. I expect Chicago to play hard, but they have dropped two straight games by double-digits, and with Dallas' season on the line, I expect them to pull away for a big win. |
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04-07-23 | Raptors +1 v. Celtics | 102-121 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Only one of the two teams in this matchup has anything to gain from a win. Toronto will trot out their regular lineup in this one while I expect the Celtics to rest more than at least one of their key players. Toronto has a lot to gain by potentially catching the Hawks in the standings. The Raptors are just 14-26 on the road this season but a far more respectable 26-14 at home. Look for Toronto to control the pace and take advantage of a depleted Celtics roster. |
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04-07-23 | Astros v. Twins -120 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today's game will be the home opener for the Twins in a game that originally was scheduled for Thursday but was pushed back a day because of inclement weather. Temperatures in the Twin Cities today are expected to reach 50 degrees after they were in the 30s on Thursday. Right-hander Sonny Gray (1-0, 0.00 ERA) still is expected to start for the Twins despite the schedule shift. Gray has a 4-4 record with a 3.08 ERA in 10 career starts against the Astros. Jose Urquidy (0-0, 6.75) is Houston's scheduled starter. He needed 82 pitches to get through four innings in his debut, a 6-4 victory over the Chicago White Sox. He allowed three runs on seven hits, struck out five and walked one. Houston's bullpen has not been dominant to start the season posting a 4.13 ERA in games against the White Sox and Tigers. The loss of Altuve has also been an adjustment for the Astros lineup. |
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04-07-23 | Marlins v. Mets -163 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The last time the New York Mets played at home, they had trouble generating consistent offense and their starting pitchers struggled at the most inopportune time. The Mets begin their home schedule anew this afternoon against the Miami Marlins to kick off a three-game series. Tylor Megill (1-0, 3.60 ERA) is slated to take the mound for the Mets against Edward Cabrera (0-0, 4.50 ERA) in a battle of right-handers opposing each other for the second time this season. Megill and Cabrera made their season debuts in the Mets' 6-2 win last Saturday. Megill allowed two runs over five innings while Cabrera gave up two runs in four innings. Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA in five starts against the Mets. |
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04-06-23 | Thunder -6.5 v. Jazz | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have struggled of late and that is why we enter the final days of the season with one team fighting to hang on for the final playoff spot in the West and the other fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive. Injury issues and the trades that Utah made at the deadline may have bolstered their chances for the future but made things tougher for making the postseason. Oklahoma City is at as close to full strength as they have been in the last couple of months here and they have to be motivated. The Thunder took the last two meetings between the teams last month, both at home: they make it three straight and eliminate the Jazz from playoff contention, with a win here. |
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04-06-23 | Heat v. 76ers -145 | 129-101 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia has been excellent at home of late, winning five of its last six games. The 76ers have gone 29-11 in their 40 home games overall this season, and Miami has only covered the spread once in its last six road games. The Heat have not been in their best form overall, covering the spread once in their last five contests. They are on the road for the second straight game and do not have the firepower to keep pace with Philadelphia. That was on full display when these teams met last month, as the 76ers rolled to a 119-96 win. |
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04-06-23 | Padres v. Braves -156 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
The Padres have not looked threatening yet this season, going 3-3 against subpar opponents in the Rockies and Diamondbacks. The Braves have been raking at the dish, ranking top 10 in most hitting categories, and scored 16 runs in the three-game sweep of the Cardinals this week. Padres’ starter Blake Snell had trouble in his first start, conceding three runs in only 4.1 innings. The Braves’ starter Spencer Strider was the best rookie pitcher in the Major Leagues last year and registered six shutout innings against the Nationals in his season debut. He limited the Padres to just two runs in his lone career meeting. Strider was especially difficult to solve at home last season where he posted a 6-1 record and a stifling 2.17 ERA. |
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04-06-23 | Nationals v. Rockies -140 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado always has a major home-field advantage based on the altitude at Coors Field, and this will be its first home game of the season. The Rockies have plenty of powerful bats in their lineup with Bryant, Cron and Charlie Blackmon, which does not bode well for Gray after he looked bad in his first start. Freeland shut down one of the league’s best lineups last Friday in San Diego and closed the 2022 campaign with 5.2 innings of one-run baseball against the Dodgers. The Rockies have an advantage on the mound and at the plate on Thursday afternoon, so I am thrilled to back them at a cheap price, especially with Washington not having the day off on Wednesday. |
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04-06-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers +1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Detroit's Spencer Turnbull will be making his first home start since undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2021. The 30-year-old right-hander, who tossed a no-hitter against Seattle on May 18, 2021, will pitch at Detroit's Comerica Park for the first time since May 29 that same year. He recorded his last win that day when he held the New York Yankees to one run in 5 2/3 innings. He's 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox. Boston left-hander Chris Sale gave up seven runs on seven hits, including three homers, to Baltimore in three innings Saturday. Sale was bailed out by the Red Sox offense, which rallied for a 9-8 victory. Boston committed two errors in the series finale and has allowed 14 stolen bases without a caught stealing this season. |
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04-05-23 | Angels -148 v. Mariners | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Betting against Ohtani right now seems like a terrible idea, especially when the line is this cheap against a fill-in pitcher. Seattle racked up a ton of runs on Tuesday night, but it is facing one of the league's best starters on Wednesday. Ohtani was outstanding during the World Baseball Classic and it carried over to his Opening Day start against Oakland. He put together the best pitching numbers of his career last season and is motivated to lead his team to a series win on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Flexen is being inserted into the rotation due to Ray’s injury, and he relies too heavily on his defense to get outs. |
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04-05-23 | Giants v. White Sox -133 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After holding the reigning World Series champion Houston Astros in check on Opening Day, Chicago White Sox right-hander Dylan Cease now braces for the slugging San Francisco Giants. Cease (0-0, 1.42 ERA) stands in San Francisco's way after limiting the Astros to one run and two hits in 6 1/3 innings Thursday. The runner-up in the 2022 American League Cy Young race, Cease walked zero while fanning 10, matching Jack McDowell's 1991 club record for most strikeouts in the season opener. San Francisco ace Logan Webb (0-1, 6.00) is eager to rebound from an uneven season debut Thursday. Webb fanned a personal-best 12 New York. Yankees in six innings to set a franchise Opening-Day record, but still saw enough of his pitches squared up. He yielded four runs and four hits, including two homers, in a 5-0 defeat. Cease has faced the Giants once in his career, defeating them in San Francisco on July 2 behind five innings of one-run ball with four hits, three walks and four strikeouts. Wade Jr. reached Cease for a leadoff home run. Webb opposed Cease in that game and took the loss in his only career appearance against Chicago, giving up five runs (three earned) and six hits in six innings with one walk and five strikeouts. |
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04-05-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -156 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have gone in opposite directions to start the season. The Phillies have been outscored 37-12 in their first four games entering Tuesday night’s action. Meanwhile, New York has outscored the opposition 24-6 in their first four games of the year and posted a pair of shutouts. Nola started the year strong before getting roughed up in a nine-run fourth inning for the Rangers in his debut. Meanwhile, Cole stifled the Giants in his season debut and the Yankees played well in the first week of the season. New York has looked good at the plate and with the Phillies giving up runs by the truckload early on, you have to back the Yankees in this contest. |
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04-04-23 | Nuggets -9 v. Rockets | 103-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have won five of their last seven games and two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 112 points per game on the road. They do a good job finding the open man and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass in their last three games, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in their last three games and won’t give the Rockets a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Rockets aren’t very good defensively and gave up more than 120 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Nuggets in this game. The Rockets have lost eight of their last nine games and three of their last four home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 114 points per game in their last three games. Their ball movement isn’t very good, but they’ve been attacking the offensive glass relentlessly in recent games, so expect them to get extra-scoring chances. They have been very careless with the ball, even at home, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Nuggets, who averaged more than eight steals per game in their last three games. The Nuggets are playing very well defensively, holding their last three opponents under 107 points per game, and won’t have trouble keeping Houston’s offense in check. Go with Denver to cover the spread. |
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04-04-23 | Celtics +2 v. 76ers | 101-103 | Push | 0 | 29 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Boston Celtics take on Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers in Eastern Conference play today. The 76ers are 8-6 against the rest of their division. Philadelphia averages 115.1 points while outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game. The Celtics are 9-4 in division play. Boston is second in the Eastern Conference with 35.6 defensive rebounds per game led by Jayson Tatum averaging 7.8. The teams meet for the fourth time this season. The Celtics won 110-107 in the last matchup on Feb. 26. Jaylen Brown led the Celtics with 26 points, and Embiid led the 76ers with 41 points. |
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04-04-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox -132 | 4-1 | Loss | -132 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are two huge advantages that the Red Sox have entering this game. The first is that they have a far superior offense. They are not likely going to be scoring nine runs per game against the Pirates as they did against Baltimore, but it would not be surprising to see them score five or six per game. In addition, Pivetta has dominated the Pirates in his career, allowing 14 hits and four earned runs in 18.0 innings pitched. He gives the Red Sox the biggest advantage of all and should hold the Pirates to a couple of runs before his evening is over. He will then turn the game over to a struggling Boston bullpen who will give up a couple of runs before finishing off the game. |
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04-04-23 | Phillies v. Yankees -140 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Through four games, the New York Yankees are off to a good start thanks to their power hitting. The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, are winless in four games, unable to get clutch hits and prevent opponents from scoring often. New York heads into today hitting .260, and besides the hits, the Yankees have drawn 19 walks after getting nine on Monday. Torres is among the Yankees off to an impressive start. He is 4-for-12 after reaching base a career-high five times Monday while collecting his 100th career homer, an RBI infield single and three walks. Philadelphia's Matt Strahm will make his 26th career start and his first start where he is not an opener since July 2, 2019, for San Diego, when he allowed seven runs and 11 hits in five innings against San Francisco. As a starter in his career, Strahm is 4-10 with a 5.08 ERA. He made a relief appearance on Opening Day, throwing a scoreless inning during the Phillies' 11-7 loss to the Texas Rangers. The left-hander is 0-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 10 career appearances, one start, against the Yankees. In a May 27, 2019, start at New York, he struck out 10 and allowed three runs in six innings. |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres -137 | 8-6 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego starting pitcher Yu Darvish finished last season with 16 victories and a solid 3.10 ERA. San Diego won four out of the five starts that Darvish had against Arizona last season including each of the last four and two during the final month of the regular season when Darvish gave up a combined three runs on three hits across 12 innings resulting in 6-3 and 6-1 victories for the Padres. Arizona has lost five of the last six head-to-head versus San Diego and the Padres have won 20 of the last 27 at home in Petco Park versus the Diamondbacks. San Diego has won five of the last seven versus a team from the National League West. |
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04-03-23 | Diamondbacks +128 v. Padres | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nelson, Arizona's second-round pick in the 2019 draft, tied two franchise records when he made his debut against the Padres last Sept. 5. He shut out the Padres on four hits and no walks with seven strikeouts over seven innings. It tied the team's records for longest shutout outing and strikeouts in a debut and earned Nelson his first major-league win. Overall, Nelson was 1-1 with a 1.47 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP in three starts last season. Weathers, who spent the entire 2022 season at Triple-A save for one emergency start for the Padres, had a 4.91 ERA this spring. While his spot in the rotation likely will disappear once Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove are ready, Weathers could become the long man in the bullpen. After a fast start in 2021, Weathers has struggled. He is 4-7 in 31 major-league appearances (19 starts) with a 5.49 ERA. He has allowed 107 hits in 98 1/3 innings with 75 strikeouts. Weathers, 23, is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four career appearances (two starts) against Arizona. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Connecticut won on Saturday night with a bruising effort against Miami, leading from start to finish. The Canes were no match for the Huskies and it was clear from the opening tip. The Huskies have won five consecutive games straight-up and are 9-1 against the spread in their last ten overall. |
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04-03-23 | Giants v. White Sox -120 | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The San Francisco Giants will experience Opening Day for a second consecutive American League projected playoff contender when they begin a three-game series this afternoon at the Chicago White Sox. Right-handers Anthony DeSclafani of San Francisco and Michael Kopech of Chicago are the scheduled starters in the first Giants-White Sox matchup in Chicago since September 2017. Chicago Starter, Michael Kopech, posted a 3.01 ERA (23 ER/68.2 IP) in 13 starts at home last season, holding the opposition to a .157. San Francisco starter, DeSclafani, will be pitching in a regular-season game for the first time since getting pulled in the third inning of a 10-3 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds last June. The White Sox swept a three-game series in San Francisco last July, outscoring the hosts 19-7. |
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04-03-23 | Mets +110 v. Brewers | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mets' starter Carlos Carrasco is getting up there in age but is still a solid pitcher. The veteran right-hander has contained the Brewers throughout his career, posting a 3.60 ERA in five starts. Brewers’ starter Freddy Peralta usually takes a while to find a groove as evidenced by his subpar 4.38 career ERA in April. The right-hander recorded a 5.00 ERA in 18 innings last April. Also, Peralta had trouble when pitching at home last year, going 3-4 with a 4.34 ERA. |
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04-02-23 | 76ers v. Bucks -5 | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee lost to Boston on Thursday, but that may be good news for Bucks fans, as this team has not lost back-to-back games since January 12-14. They have been consistently the best team in the NBA over the last 10 weeks, and that is bad news for a 76ers team that enters this game as losers of their last three games on the road. The Milwaukee defense has been struggling of late, but they are averaging 124.8 points per game over their last five, and Philadelphia simply does not take enough shots to take advantage of the defensive lapses of the Bucks. Philadelphia has won the last two meetings between these teams, including earning a three-point victory over Milwaukee on March 4. Look for the Bucks to get a little revenge. |
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04-02-23 | Lakers -11 v. Rockets | 134-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Los Angeles is currently 7th in the Western Conference playoff standings and would take part in the play-in part of the postseason but is within 1 ½ games of sixth place which would mean they would not have to take part in the play-in. At the same time, Los Angeles is only 1 ½ games in front of the 10th and final spot for postseason qualification in the West. Therefore, the Lakers have far more incentive to win than Houston, which has been eliminated from playoff contention and is last in the Western Conference. Houston's offense and defense has struggled all season as the Rockets are next to last in scoring and second from last in points allowed. Los Angeles has covered the spread in four of its last five, while Houston has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five. |
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04-02-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is going to be a great game between two of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The Islanders look to pull off the upset but the hurricanes are looking to clinch the division and control this game on both ends of the ice. The Hurricanes, who average 3.23 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Sebastian Aho, Martin Necas, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick puck movement. The Hurricanes should limit the Islanders' offense with Brent Burns, Brady Skjei, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Frederik Andersen to make plenty of big saves. The Hurricanes should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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04-02-23 | Guardians -102 v. Mariners | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Cal Quantrill (15-5, 3.38 ERA last season) is scheduled to take the mound Sunday for the Guardians as they attempt to win the series. Quantrill is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA in two career appearances against Seattle, with one start. With two really good seasons under his belt as a full-time starter, Cal Quantrill has a chance to be really good in this league for Cleveland. He has a lot more upside entering this season than his opposition, Marco Gonzales, a veteran who consistently posts an ERA right of 4.00 every year (10-15, 4.13 ERA last season). |
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04-02-23 | Angels -143 v. A's | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following Shohei Ohtani and Patrick Sandoval on the mound for the Angels will be left-hander Tyler Anderson, who hopes to help the team clinch a series win after Los Angeles rebounded from a 2-1 defeat on Opening Day with a 13-1 shellacking of Oakland on Saturday. Anderson went 15-5 with a career-best 2.57 ERA last season. Oakland is expected to counter with lefty Ken Waldichuk (2-2, 4.93 ERA in 2022). Anderson will make his first start for the Angels, continuing a tour of baseball's Western divisions. He starred for the Los Angeles Dodgers last season, following stints earlier in his career with the Colorado Rockies, San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners, as well as the Pittsburgh Pirates. The 33-year-old did not face the A's last season. He's dueled Oakland three times in his career, allowing a total of 10 hits and two earned runs in 16 2/3 innings, going 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA. The Scottsdale, Ariz., resident pitched well in the spring, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. He said during spring training that pitching near home was a driving factor in signing with the Angels. The A's counter with Waldichuk who didn’t look good in spring training and gave up four home runs in 13.2 innings pitched. He gave up five hits and four runs in 3.1 innings in his last outing and will have a hard time slowing down the Angels in this game. |
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04-02-23 | Bruins -205 v. Blues | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have won eight of their last nine games and four straight road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 16 goals in their last three road games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 21 percent of their power play opportunities. The Blues aren’t very good at killing penalties and they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 15 goals in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bruins in this game. The Blues have won four of their last five games, but they’ve lost three of their last five home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 11 goals in their last three home games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Unfortunately for them, the Bruins are one of the best teams in the league when it comes to killing penalties and they’re also one of the best defensive teams in the league, giving up only 10 goals in their last seven games, so expect them to keep St. Louis’ offense in check. |
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04-02-23 | Giants v. Yankees -145 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brito impressed the Yankees by going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in four spring training appearances. On March 25, in his second spring start, he wowed them by pitching 5 1/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, who fielded a lineup of most of their regulars. He surrendered no runs, hits or walks, and struck out three. The Yankees signed Brito out of the Dominican Republic as a non-drafted free agent on Nov. 9, 2015. He entered this season as New York's 30th-best prospect according to Baseball America and was added to the 40-man roster after going a combined 11-4 with a 2.96 ERA in 26 outings (23 starts) in Double-A and Triple-A. Ross Stripling makes his San Francisco debut after spending the past two-plus seasons with the Toronto Blue Jays. Stripling went 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 32 appearances (24 starts) with Toronto last season and signed a two-year, $25 million deal that includes an opt-out with San Francisco. Stripling is 0-5 with a 4.55 ERA in seven career appearances (four starts) against the Yankees. Last year, he was 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA in two starts against New York. |
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04-02-23 | Rangers -128 v. Capitals | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The New York Rangers have clinched a playoff berth while Washington is all but eliminated from postseason contention. New York has received excellent play between the pipes from Igor Shesterkin all season. The 27-year-old has won 34 games, has a goals against average of 2.53 and saves shots at a rate of 91.4%. New York has won seven of its last 10 and 47 of the last 68 when playing against a team that has a losing record. Washington has lost six of its last seven, each of its last four versus a team from the Eastern Conference and four of the last five against a team that has a winning record. Washington has struggled at times to score goals and during their current three game losing streak is averaging just 1.67 goals per game. |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Miami Hurricanes' first-ever romp into the Final Four, including redemption from last season's Elite Eight loss, has been a great story. The Hurricanes have a terrific backcourt and highly skilled role players that have helped the team average over 80 points per game in the tournament. Unfortunately, the ride ends here. UConn is playing at a level that I haven't seen since the 1990 UNLV Runnin' Rebels stormed through the tournament on the way to the National Championship. The Huskies have an average margin of victory of over 21 points, are shooting the ball at a 50% clip, and hold the opposition to just over 35% shooting. This team can beat you from long range, averaging over 10 made 3pt field goals per game in the tournament, or in the paint, averaging 37.5 points in the paint per game. UConn will turn the ball over on occasion but this Miami team is not built to cause a high number of turnovers, averaging just over 10 forced turnovers per game in the tournament. And, if the Hurricanes start slowly, they will be in major trouble. The average score in the second half of the Huskies' games in the tournament is 46-27. Yes, the Huskies are beating teams by an AVERAGE of nearly 20 points in the second half of their tournament games. UConn will wear Miami down with too much size, too much defensive pressure and just, and just too much. The Huskies will roll into the NCAA Final on Monday night. |
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04-01-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Heat | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami is not in jeopardy of missing the playoffs, like Dallas is, and has several key injury designations heading into this pivotal matchup. Three Heat players, Nikola Jovic (back), Kyle Lowry (knee), and Bam Adebayo (hip), are hurt and questionable to play. Only Frank Ntilikina (knee) is questionable to play for Dallas. The betting trends also suggest the Mavericks are the team to have faith in. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on two days' rest. Taking all of this into account, including Dallas' dominant showing versus Miami earlier this season, I'll bet on the Mavs. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -140 | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. I'm a firm believer in San Diego State's defense, which caused a world of problems for the Crimson Tide and Blue jays. The Aztecs grind you down for the entire shot clock and waste no energy on the offensive end. They're capable of slowing down the Owls' offense and holding their own on the boards. Florida Atlantic will make this an exciting game, but like Creighton, it will fall short down the stretch. |
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04-01-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox -148 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Sox are excited to finally have a healthy Sale back on the mound from the outset, as he endured two separate stints on the injured list last season. He likes what he has seen from this iteration of the club. Both of Sale's starts last season came in July after he recovered from a rib injury, but a left fifth finger fracture on July 17 against the New York Yankees shortened his return and sidelined him for the remainder of the season. Sale 10-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 23 career appearances (17 starts) against Baltimore. World Baseball Classic champion Masataka Yoshida, from Japan, made his major league debut Thursday and was one of four Red Sox to post two-hit days. Sale's counterpart will be Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer, who will make his 2023 debut while pitching his sixth career start against Boston. He has yet to beat the Red Sox, going 0-4 with a 6.85 ERA. Kremer was 8-7 with a 3.23 ERA in 22 outings (21 starts) last season. |
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04-01-23 | Giants v. Yankees -132 | 7-5 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The pitching matchup would clearly seem to favor San Francisco in this contest, but San Francisco looked anemic in the opener, producing just four hits. While no one should expect the Yankees to completely shut down the San Francisco lineup for a second straight game, there is also no reason to expect this team to put up a lot of runs. Schmidt looked good last season and has a lot of bullpen help so if he struggles, there is plenty of help to keep this game low-scoring. New York hit two home runs and had eight hits in the opener. They know how to make the most out of their opportunities and have one of the deepest lineups in baseball. Cobb should have some success but do not expect him to fare much better than Webb did. |
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04-01-23 | White Sox v. Astros -120 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros, 6-0 in their last six Saturday games, will once again have their fun with Giolito, exposing Chicago's number-three starter. Giolito lost his both of his starts against Houston last season, allowing 15 runs on 15 hits in eight innings. In seven career starts vs. the Astros, Giolito is 2-5 with a 6.21 ERA, having served up seven home runs in 42 innings. After an Opening Day letdown, Houston will be plenty motivated to get rolling. The Astros will not lose their season-opening series to a middling White Sox club, breaking things open with a resounding game-three victory. |
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03-31-23 | Nuggets +9.5 v. Suns | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Thursday’s games have been excluded from the analysis, and the 51-24 Denver Nuggets hosted the New Orleans Pelicans, searching for their fifth consecutive victory. Over their previous four showings, the Nuggets have beaten the Brooklyn Nets 108-102, Washington Wizards 118-104, Milwaukee Bucks 129-106, and Philadelphia 76ers 116-111. Last Monday, Nikola Jokic posted a triple-double of 25 points, 17 rebounds, and 12 assists to lift his team over the 76ers, who missed both Joel Embiid and James Harden. The Nuggets shot 50.6% from the field and posted a terrific 34/12 assist-to-turnover ratio. |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners -156 | 9-4 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Seattle's fans are known for being so loud they annually draw the most false-start penalties in the NFL. It seems they've taken that same approach across the street to T-Mobile Park. Mariners manager Scott Servais and his players credited the sold-out crowd for helping them to a 3-0 victory Thursday in the season opener against the Cleveland Guardians. The four-game series continues in Seattle on Friday night, when Mariners left-hander Robbie Ray (12-12, 3.71 ERA last season) will try to keep the momentum going. Ray is 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in four career appearances against Cleveland, including three starts. With Triston McKenzie on the injured list with a strained teres major muscle in his right shoulder, the Guardians are set to start rookie right-hander Hunter Gaddis (0-2, 18.41 ERA last season). Gaddis will be facing the Mariners for the first time. |
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03-31-23 | Hawks v. Nets | 107-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Atlanta Hawks have won two of their last three games including a home win against the Cavaliers on Tuesday. The Brooklyn Nets have been hit or miss recently. They have dropped six of their last eight games including disappointing losses against the Kings and Magic. They only covered twice in that eight-game span. The Hawks continue to dazzle offensively, averaging a remarkable 127 points in their last five games. Atlanta is hot from three-point range where they have connected on 38.6% of their threes in their last three games. This is key as the Nets give up plenty of threes, ranking 25th in the NBA in three-point defense. The Nets have not been reliable at home, going 1-4 in their last five home games, covering just once. |
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03-31-23 | Thunder -130 v. Pacers | 117-121 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Thunder have won four of their last seven games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 119 points per game in their last three games. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 80 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing more than 11 offensive rebounds per game on the road, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in recent games, and won’t give the Pacers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Pacers have one of the worst defenses in the league and they’re playing worse at the moment, giving up more than 135 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Thunder in this game. The Pacers have lost six of their last seven games and three straight home games. Despite their slump, they are playing well offensively, scoring more than 120 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding dropped off in their last three games, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances against the Thunder. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Thunder, who more than 10 steals per game in their last three games. Even though the Thunder have struggled defensively on the road, they played well in their last two road games and won’t have trouble keeping Indiana’s offense in check. |
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03-31-23 | Mets -109 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Left-hander David Peterson, regarded just last month as the New York Mets' sixth- or seventh-best starting option, is already in the two-hole. Peterson, 27, will face the host Miami Marlins tonight after the Mets won 5-3 on Opening Day. The reason for Peterson's promotion is the Mets have two starters on the injured list. Projected fifth starter Jose Quintana (rib surgery) isn't expected back until at least July, and new co-ace Justin Verlander, who pitched for the Houston Astros last year and won his third Cy Young Award, was placed on the injured list Thursday due to a muscle strain. This is Peterson's fourth year in the majors. Last season, he won a career-high seven games, going 7-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 28 appearances (19 starts). Peterson has been good in five career appearances (four starts) against the Marlins, going 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. Clippers | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls have been red hot lately, going 7-2 over their last nine and have gone 4-1 ATS over their last five, and are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these teams and is 4-1 ATS in the five meetings between these teams in Los Angeles. Chicago is playing on back-to-back nights which would seem to give the Clippers a big edge. However, this team is not as good without Paul George, and Kawhi Leonard is battling an injury as well. The Bulls should win this game outright, but look for them to cover the spread regardless. |
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03-27-23 | Suns -6.5 v. Jazz | 117-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utah Jazz (35-39) and Phoenix Suns (39-35) have a couple of things in common heading into the home stretch of the season. Both teams are still in the thick of it when it comes to the postseason. And both are trying to make do without key players. And like the Suns did Saturday night against Philadelphia, the Jazz come into Monday's matchup in Salt Lake City hoping to break a three-game losing streak. Utah came close to finding a way to win in Sacramento on Saturday despite missing its three leading scorers: Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson and Collin Sexton. Consider that the Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah while the Jazz are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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03-27-23 | Panthers -140 v. Senators | 2-5 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have lost three straight games, but they’ve won two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 12 goals in their last three road games. They have played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Senators have played well on special teams but they’ve struggled defensively in recent games, giving up nine goals in their last three games, and will have a hard time slowing down the Panthers in this game. The Senators have lost seven of their last nine games and two of their last three home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 11 goals in their last three games. They have played well on special teams, converting over 23 percent of their power play opportunities. With the exception of their last game, the Panthers played well defensively in recent road games and won’t have trouble keeping Ottawa’s offense in check. Go with Florida to cover the money line. |
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03-27-23 | Panthers v. Senators OVER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Week Rating: 4 Units Consider that the Over is 7-2-2 in Panthers last 11 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game, 7-2 in Panthers last 9 vs. Atlantic, 16-5-2 in Panthers last 23 vs. a team with a losing record, and 27-11-2 in Panthers last 40 Monday games. While the Over is 13-3 in Senators last 16 games playing on 1 days rest, 8-2 in Senators last 10 vs. Eastern Conference, and 12-4 in Senators last 16 overall. |
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03-26-23 | Nets v. Magic -135 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn is playing the second game of a back-to-back here and their third game in four nights. The Nets have a bit of a depleted roster after dealing away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving ahead of the trade deadline. While the pieces the Nets got in return are solid players, they were secondary pieces on their previous teams. Dinwiddie was playing second fiddle to Luka Doncic in Dallas while Bridges and Johnson were on a Phoenix team with Devin Booker, Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton. There is no star player to lean on in crunch time for the Nets, which we saw was a problem in the loss to Cleveland Thursday. Orlando has hung around the playoff picture and have won three of their last four. The Magic has developed a decent rotation to work with and they have home court, along with a rest advantage. Give Orlando the edge in this contest. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas -180 | 88-81 | Loss | -180 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite the uncertainty of Disu's availability, I like the Longhorns in this matchup. Texas has been shooting the ball extremely well in the tournament and doing so both inside and beyond the arc. Texas is averaging 37 points in the paint per game thus far in the tournament. Miami, meanwhile, is averaging 29.3 points in the paint per game. The Hurricanes are much more reliant on the 3pt shot and Texas has held teams under 30% from long distance. The Longhorns are an impressive 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven games against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Longhorns would be more vulnerable against a team that relied more on its inside play without Disu but they should be able to compensate for his loss against the perimeter-shooting Hurricanes. Texas has continued to overcome setbacks all season and they are up to the challenge in this one. |
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03-26-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 105 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado is a heavy favorite on Sunday afternoon, but I am not sure the -315 price tag is warranted. Arizona has been a completely different team at home this season, going 20-11-3 and winning each of its last six games. The Coyotes have been a profitable team to back in those games with a 21-13 record against the spread. They are coming off a rough road trip, but they were competitive against the Avalanche before giving up a pair of goals in the third period. This is all about finding value on a team that has drastic home-road splits. |
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03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State +2.5 | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Creighton has played better than expected in the tournament, especially offensively. They have shot the lights out in their wins over Baylor and Princeton in their last two contests. One has to think that they will have a tougher time shooting the ball against an Aztecs team that held opposing teams to just 40.8% shooting from the floor this season. Depth is also an issue for the Blue Jays as we’ve seen them get a combined 16 points from their bench in their three tournament games, 14 of which have come from Farabello. If Creighton finds themselves in any kind of foul trouble, it’s going to be tough sledding. We just saw San Diego State upend Alabama in a game where Bradley finished with only six points. Look for him to bounce back and help the Aztecs advance to the Final Four. Consider that the Aztecs are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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03-25-23 | Bucks v. Nuggets -140 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While this game is not necessarily critical to either team with both in a great position to earn the #1 seed in their respective conferences, the Nuggets would appear to have more motivation. Denver comes in well-rested after a recent road trip and the healthier of the two teams. Milwaukee is in the second game of a four-game trip, the final road trip of the season. The Bucks come in after playing in Utah on Friday night and, while they have been excellent this season in back-to-backs with a 9-1 record, staying healthy here will be more of a premium than getting the win. Denver, meanwhile, is 30-6 at home and 11 games over .500 at home ATS. Denver has won three out of its last four games after suffering through a four-game losing streak. The Nuggets are also 3-1 ATS in that time. |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut -140 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Gonzaga’s tendency to get off to a slow start makes the Bulldogs a terrifying betting option against a UConn team that is looking like the NCAA Tournament favorite right now. The Huskies have rolled through their first three games and have won all 15 of their non-conference games by double digits this season. Gonzaga is coming off an emotional game against UCLA, while UConn was able to cruise down the stretch, giving the Huskies an edge on Saturday night. They also have more size than Gonzaga in the paint, so this will likely be Timme’s worst game of the tournament. UConn has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games and is 12-1 in its last 13 games as a favorite. |
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03-25-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Devils | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Senators have won two of their last three games. They are playing well offensively, scoring 10 goals in their last three games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 24 percent of their power play opportunities. The Devils have done a good job killing penalties and they usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up 10 goals in their last three home games. They are also playing 0n consecutive nights and will be dealing with some fatigue, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Devils in this game. The Devils have lost four of their last five games and four of their last five home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only five goals in their last three home games. They have played well on special teams, converting over 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Unfortunately for them, the Senators are very good at killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up five goals in their last three games, so expect them to keep New Jersey’s offense in check. |
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03-25-23 | Canucks +1.5 v. Stars | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars are having a great season and look to step up and control this game on their home ice. However, the Canucks have looked great recently, winning eight of their last 10 games, and look to control this game on both ends of the ice. The Canucks, who average 3.35 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring chances with Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes near the net. The Canucks should limit the Stars' offense with Quinn Hughes, Ethan Bear, and the rest of the defensive unit stepping up at the blue line and cutting off angles to the net on the rush while limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Thatcher Demko to make plenty of big saves. The Canucks should win the game. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State -120 | 79-76 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats outlasted the Spartans on Thursday evening, proving they belong among the nation's elite teams. This wasn't expected of K-State — it was picked to finish last in the Big 12 preseason poll — but the Wildcats' mix of transfer players meshed as well as first-year head coach Jerome Tang hoped. To take the next step, though, Tang's team must show it hasn't gotten too full of itself. The Owls weren't predicted to be dancing on Saturday, but like their opponent, they have silenced doubters with their consistency. Florida Atlantic showed Tennessee the door on Thursday night with a stunning second-half performance, but it can't win with one half of solid play tomorrow. I predict Kansas State wins and covers the narrow spread, ending the Owls' historic run. The Wildcats have been battle-tested, advancing to the Elite Eight after enduring a rigorous Big 12 schedule. FAU has proven that it belongs, but it won't be able to overcome its talent disadvantages versus KSU. The Cats win with grit — something point guard Markquis Nowell clearly has. Kansas State didn't lose focus when Nowell hurt his ankle versus Michigan State and won't take its eye off the prize at MSG tomorrow. Bet the Wildcats to continue to roll against the overmatched Owls. |
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03-25-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Flyers | 0-3 | Loss | -210 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia has struggled all season at both ends of the ice and will be without its leading goal scorer and overall leader in points Travis Konecny. Philadelphia struggles in goal, as Carter Hart has a 2.96 goals against average and as a team the Flyers are allowing an average of 3.31 goals per game. Philadelphia has lost 13 of its last 18 and the Flyers have dropped eight of the last 11 played against the team from the Eastern Conference. Besides missing Konecny, Philadelphia will be without Sean Couturier as well as Ryan Ellis and the Flyers have played the most of the season without Cam Atkinson, which means they lack overall attack and cannot keep pace with the number of goals the defense and goalies allow. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas -185 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Musketeers’ head coach Sean Miller returned to Xavier this season where he coached from 2004 until 2009 before leaving for the desert in Arizona. There is no refuting Miller’s success in this event, as his 20-11 SU mark would attest. Better yet, it’s been Miller Time when his troops are dogging it in The Dance, going 8-1 ATS overall when taking points. However, Xavier’s Achilles’ Heel in this contest is its dismal Defensive Field Goal Percentage (44.1 – only Gonzaga here is worse). Despite its glaring weakness on the glass, with Big 12 tournament champions standing 11-3 overall since 2000 in Sweet 16 games, and UT 20-4 outright against .750 or fewer foes this season, we’ll toss our hat in the ring with the Horns. |
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03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Blue Jays’ head coach Greg McDermott is only 2-6 SUATS against foes off a win of greater than 4 points in this tourney. Interestingly, double digit favorites in the Sweet 16, favored by the most points in this round, are 18-3 SU, but have covered in only 7 of the 21 contests (7-12-2 ATS), including 0-7 ATS versus foes coming off a SU underdog win. In addition, double-digit dogs in Sweet 16 games are 15-6 ATS since 1999, including 11-1 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win (10-0 ATS versus sub .880 foes). In fact, teams off a pair of upset wins in the first two rounds are 14-5 ATS in Sweet 16 rounds dating back to 2011, including 7-0 ATS when taking 8 or more points today. |
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03-24-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -13 | 114-151 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is all about identifying value as these teams get set to meet for the second game in a row. Houston covered as a 12-point underdog on Wednesday, so many bettors are going to be surprised that the line is 1.5 points larger on Friday. However, Memphis was playing without Brooks in the first matchup and Morant was playing for the first time in weeks. Brooks will return from his one-game suspension on Friday, and Morant should be in better form after knocking off the rust. The Grizzlies have won 10 straight home games and have won eight of the last nine meetings between these teams. |
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03-24-23 | Miami-FL +7.5 v. Houston | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Houston, it should be noted they struggled mightily against quality opposition this season – read: .750 or greater foes – going just 1-7 ATS. Ironically, each of Sampson’s last five losses in The Big Dance have been against foes of a similar ilk (Villanova last season). Miami is undersized, but the Hurricanes have elite guards and a dynamic small-ball big man in Norchad Omier. He's among a group of four Miami players averaging 13 or more points per game. A three-guard attack, led by ACC Player of the Year Isaiah Wong, could be a handful, particularly if Houlton’s star G Marcus Sasser is not 100% back from his groin injury |
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03-24-23 | San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units What has been overlooked this season, is Bama was the No. 20 in the AP preseason poll. Safe to say they have been major overachievers to the point they were awarded the No. 1 overall seed in this year’s tournament. And starting today they own the easiest path to the Final Four with only No. 5, 6 and perhaps 15 seeds in their path. They also bring the best Rebound Margin, and second-best Defensive Field Goal Percentage and Scoring Margins of all teams still remaining in this tournament. San Diego State enters with the second worst Offensive Field Goal Percentage (uh oh). The Aztecs are in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2014, and third time overall. Seven players average at least 20.0 minutes per game this season, but only one player averages double-digits in scoring. Ironically. SDSU was No. 19 in the AP preseason Top 25, ahead of Alabama. With MWC teams a shivery 3-31-1 ATS in their last 35 outright losses in this tourney, you know exactly what to do. |
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03-23-23 | Gonzaga v. UCLA -120 | 79-76 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This should be a gladiator-type showdown between two of the nation’s premier players in power forwards Drew Timme of the Zags and the Bruins’ Jaime Jaquez Jr, and both teams rank in the Top Four in Scoring Margin. Be aware that No. 3 seeds in the third round of this event are just 28-40 ATS since 1990, including 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS when facing a foe seeking revenge. The Bulldogs also sport the No. 219 team in the land in Defensive Field Goal Percentage, as opposed to UCLA’s No. 18 national rank in the same category. Therein lies your edge. Remember, since 1997 there have been four teams that entered the Sweet 16 round who lost the money in each of their first two rounds of the NCAA tourney and then met an avenging foe. They went 0-4 SUATS in those games. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units CUSA programs are 0-4 SU in this round of the tournament, losing by an average margin of more than more than 10 PPG. Denting Tennessee’s stifling defense is priority one for the Owls if they hope to advance. The Volunteers rank 3rd in the nation in Defensive Field Goal Percentage (37.2) while allowing opponents to shoot just 26.4% from outside the arc, the lowest mark in college basketball. You can poke holes all you want at coach Barnes and his tawdry 20-31 ATS record in this tournament but he’s only the second coach in school history to make multiple Sweet 16s. In the end the pedigree wins out, as it almost always does at this stage. Lay the points. |
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03-23-23 | Cavs -165 v. Nets | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have trended in different directions of late with Cleveland taking seven of their last nine games while the Nets have dropped four straight. Brooklyn made a pair of massive deals at the trade deadline, sending Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving to Phoenix and Dallas, respectively. While Bridges, Johnson and Dinwiddie are good players, it takes time to incorporate new pieces into the rotation, which is made tougher when a player like Simmons is out of the mix. Brooklyn has had to try and rely on getting production from lesser pieces in an effort to remain competitive. That’s proved problematic as they entered Wednesday just half a game ahead of the Heat to avoid the play-in tournament. Cleveland is healthy and they just showed that they can handle the Nets in their own building. Take the Cavaliers here to sweep the two-game set. |
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03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut -180 | Top | 65-88 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
Sweet 16 Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units This is familiar territory for the Razorbacks, reaching the Sweet 16 for the third straight season and taking aim at their third consecutive Elite 8 appearance. Getting here was not easy, though: CBS Sports reports that three Arkansas players fouled out in the Kansas game and two others finished with four fouls in the 72-71 upset. Then there’s a massive hangover awaits Arkansas, as teams in Sweet 16 games off an upset win over a No. 1 seed are just 4-7 SU and 3-7-1 ATS since 1996 when facing sub .790 opponents in this round. We think Connecticut is going to RULE the Razorbacks, going 24-6 SU and 21-9 ATS versus SEC foes of late (4-0 SUATS the last five seasons), including 6-1 SUATS against those coming off a SU underdog win. UConn is an outstanding 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS record this season in non-Big East battles tells us Arky will get counted out here – a notion seconded by the fact that UConn is 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS in this tournament against foes coming off an NCAA tourney upset win as an underdog, including 9-0 SUATS versus No. 6 or lower seeds. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Izzo enters on a 1-6 SUATS run of late against Big 12 opponents, as well as 0-3 SUATS in this tournament against No. 3 or higher seeds when coming off a SU underdog win when his troops sport a sub .666 win percentage. The only bad news for Kansas State? No. 3 seeds in the Sweet 16 round are just 3-14 ATS when taking on .714 or fewer opponents. While Izzo stands 16-12 SU in this event versus higher seeded opposition, he’s just 2-4 SUATS in those same games when his troops own a .676 or less win percentage and are facing No. 3 or greater seeds. The bottom line to us is we love higher seeded dogs like KSU, and higher seeded dogs in this round are 11-6 ATS since 1990, including 8-2 SUATS when taking 2 or fewer points. |
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03-22-23 | Rockets +13 v. Grizzlies | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's hard to feel great about betting on the Rockets, but Houston is playing .500 ball over its last 10 games, and none of the previous four losses have been by more than 13 points. Memphis is a far better team, but Houston has not stopped playing hard, and I expect this to be a bit of a distracting night with Ja Morant back, and Dillion Brooks suspended. The Grizzlies will win this game, but I would not lay more than 10 points on the spread in this spot, regardless of how good they have been at home. Memphis will also face Houston again on Friday, so I would not be shocked to see a letdown here. |
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03-22-23 | Penguins v. Avalanche -144 | 5-2 | Loss | -144 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pens are currently completely out of their lethal touch, presently riding a four-game losing streak, having been beaten by a margin of at least two snipes in three of those contests. In fact, nine of the previous 12 defeats of the Penguins have been by more than one tally, while 14 of the most recent 21 victories of the Avs have all been recorded with a goal-gap of at least two strikes. |
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03-22-23 | UAB -1 v. Vanderbilt | 67-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units If previous performances are any indication, UAB should kill the Commodores in rebounding, particularly offensively which will lead to ample second-chance scoring opportunities. It nearly sank Vanderbilt against Michigan, and I think it will this time. The Blazers have a tougher defense than the Commodores and an offense that can keep up with them. Even on the road, I'm expecting UAB to win, and with the spread only at one point, the money line is the best option. |
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03-21-23 | Wisconsin +3 v. Oregon | 61-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be a tough matchup for the Ducks, who could be without their top three players. Although it's tough to back a team in that situation, Oregon has been extremely impressive shorthanded through their first NIT wins. As impressive as the Ducks have been, I can see so many different scenarios playing out where the Badgers either win or keep this game within five points. Wisconsin has had some extremely close losses this season, including falling to Kansas by only one point earlier this season. Also, five of the most recent six losses for Wisconsin have either come in overtime or been decided by two points or less during regulation. Oregon is one of those teams that can make you look bad either way as a sports bettor. When the Ducks are on, they are very good, but they also have been inconsistent throughout the season. |
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03-21-23 | Spurs v. Pelicans -13 | 84-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans is in the thick of the playoff race while San Antonio is trying to lose games to try and get the first overall pick and turn their franchise around, which is why I like the Pelicans here to win and cover the large spread. Both New Orleans and the Spurs have struggled against the spread this season but San Antonio is 30-41 ATS which is third worst and as a road underdog, the Spurs are 11-22. The Pelicans, meanwhile, are 12-12 ATS which is much better than their overall ATS record. As well, this season, New Orleans is 3-0 against San Antonio with the average margin of victory being 15.3 PPG. The Pelicans' offense should have a field day against this Spurs defense which is arguably the worst in the NBA. |
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03-21-23 | Cavs -165 v. Nets | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Brooklyn's having offensive issues and going up against the NBA's top defense. I know that Cleveland isn't the same on the road, but that sounds like a recipe for disaster. The Nets are reeling right now in general, and this is a tight spread against a tough team that's playing well. At this point of the season, Cleveland is better on both ends of the floor, and even if Jarrett Allen doesn't play that shouldn't change the outcome of this game. Take the Cavaliers on the spread while it's still only two points. |
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03-21-23 | Maple Leafs -120 v. Islanders | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders look to step up on their home ice but the Maple Leafs, who have won back-to-back games, look to control this game from the first period. The Maple Leafs, who average 3.42 goals per game, should constantly find the back of the net with Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Maple Leafs, who allow only 2.68 goals per game, should limit the Islanders' offense with Mark Giordano, Justin Holl, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Samsonov to make plenty of big saves. The Maple Leafs should win the game to extend their winning streak to three games. |
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03-20-23 | Warriors -11 v. Rockets | 121-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Warriors come in slumping but the undisciplined Rockets should be just what the doctor ordered for them on Monday night. Golden State should feast on Houston's struggles to cover the perimeter and will be happy to play this game at an uptempo pace thanks to what should be a bevy of turnovers between the two teams. I am confident that the Warriors will see a major bounce-back game from the Splash Brothers on Monday night and pull away quickly from the hapless Rockets. Golden State is 9-1 in the last ten meetings with Houston and, with ten games left on the schedule, this is a must-win for the defending champs. The Rockets are also just 2-9 in the second game of back-to-back games this season. |
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03-20-23 | Wolves v. Knicks -8 | 140-134 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks have been phenomenal lately, and even appear to have solved their issues at home. They've won eight of 10 at home after a 12-14 start in the Mecca. New York has also beaten the spread in their last three. Then there's Minnesota, who has lost ATS in four of six and owns a 15-20 record on the road (16-19-0 ATS). That's without mentioning they may not have Anthony Edwards or Rudy Gobert for this matchup, their top offensive and defensive player. This game is New York's to lose, and with how they've been playing lately, I don't believe they will. Take the Knicks to cover. |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -8.5 | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units How does one bet against Philly at this point, given the run they are on. They have won 8 straight and 9 of their last 10 and are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games. They won their last three games on the road and are returning home for this one, so the appreciative Philly fans should give them an added boost. They then turn around and head out on the road again after this one, and that will be a tough stretch. It starts with Chicago again, at Chicago, and that could be a Philly loss. But for this one on Monday -- they will be happy to be home and they will take care of business. Take the Sixers to cover. |
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03-20-23 | Radford v. San Jose State -6.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spartans have won five of their last six games. They don’t have a high-scoring offense, but they played better in recent games, scoring more than 69 points per game in their last three games. Their rebounding was great during that span and they were very aggressive on the offensive glass, grabbing 12 offensive rebounds per game, so expect them to get a lot of second-chance scoring opportunities., They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Highlanders a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Highlanders usually play well defensively, but they weren’t as efficient in recent games, giving up at least 70 points in two of their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Spartans in this game. The Highlanders have lost four of their last seven games. They have struggled offensively on the road, scoring less than 70 points per game. They’ve struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. Their ball movement isn’t very good and they don’t rebound the ball as well as the Spartans, so don’t expect them to get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Spartans. The Spartans are very good defensively and they played better in recent games, keeping their last three opponents under 65 points per game, so don’t expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Highlanders in this game. Go with San Jose State to cover the spread. |
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03-20-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Indiana State -6 | 89-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Looking at these teams, the greatest difference between them is on offense. They both play at a high tempo, rebounded well against their conference competition, and know how to stifle opposing offenses. However, Indiana State is typically efficient, hitting almost half of their shots and taking advantage of free throws. Eastern Kentucky is not, only hitting 43.5% of their field goals and missing nearly 35% of their free throws. Expect Indiana State's offense to make the difference in this one when they beat the spread. |
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03-19-23 | TCU +4.5 v. Gonzaga | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units TCU's offense was not their strength this season and had a few lulls on Friday, but overall their performance was impressive considering Arizona State's defense wreaked havoc on a lot of teams this season. That the Horned Frogs hit open threes and free throws could make them very dangerous going forward. Of course, Gonzaga's offense on Grand Canyon, but Grand Canyon's defense was barely 200th in adjusted efficiency this season. TCU's is much tougher at 23rd. Gonzaga's defense isn't great, and Timme's size could pose problems inside for TCU's offense, but I think if they play like Friday the Horned Frogs will take this game. Taking the points is safer though, so I'm going to roll with the spread. |
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03-19-23 | Creighton +100 v. Baylor | 85-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Does Baylor have anyone that can stop Ryan Kalkbrenner? Unlike NC State, they have the size, with starter Flo Thamba, but I don't think he's good enough to hang with Kalkbrenner. If he gets in foul trouble, Baylor's options are either a freshman or a size mismatch. Unlike certain schools, Creighton knows how to feed their big men when they've got a good matchup. Then there's Creighton's three-point shooting, which is due to improve significantly from their Thursday performance. Baylor's defense is much worse than Creighton's, and their offensive output won't be able to offset that against another dangerous offensive squad. The spread is only one point, so the best value is in taking Creighton to win straight up. |
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03-19-23 | Jets -122 v. Blues | 0-3 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have had similar fates lately. Both have gone 3-2-0 in their past five contests after losing two straight games following a victory prior, with St. Louis having posted four wins in its previous 14 games, while Winnipeg has won four of its most recent 13. Still, earlier success currently sees the Jets occupying the 2nd Wild Card spot of the Western Conference, a wholesome 16 points ahead of the Blues, who not only have been shocking while playing on own ice lately, managing to gather just a single victory on the past seven occasions, but have also dropped a whopping 10 of their last 11 matchups versus sides with a winning record. Winnipeg, meanwhile, has been a healthy and promising 13-3 on its most recent 16 trips to St. Louis. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut -180 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Gaels are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win. The Huskies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win, 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Huskies impressed me on Friday, outscoring the Gaels by a wide margin in the second half. They'll own a rebounding advantage again on Sunday, earning extra possessions and holding the slow-paced Gaels to fewer possessions. Sanogo played like a monster on Friday (28 points and 13 boards) and won't be held back by this Gaels squad. |
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03-19-23 | Michigan State v. Marquette -145 | 69-60 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Golden Eagles have won 10 straight games. They are very good offensively, scoring more than 79 points per game while making 49 percent of their shots. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making over 77 percent of their free throws in their last three games. They do a good job finding the open man and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job protecting the ball and won’t give the Spartans a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Spartans usually play well defensively, but they struggled in recent games, giving up more than 69 points per game in their last three games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Golden Eagles in this game. The Spartans have won three of their last four games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 71 points per game in their last three games. But they struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws during that span. Their rebounding has been good and will keep them in this game, but they’ve been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Golden Eagles, who average more than nine steals per game. The Golden Eagles did a great job defensively in recent games, holding their last three opponents to 60 points per game, and won’t have trouble keeping Michigan State’s offense in check. Go with Marquette to cover the spread. |
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03-19-23 | Suns v. Thunder -115 | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City has been one of the most profitable teams in the NBA in recent weeks, covering the spread in six of its last eight games. The Thunder have been a team that I have been backing for several years, as they are continuously underrated by the betting market. They have been dominant against Phoenix at home, winning 17 of the last 19 meetings. The Suns have been trending in the opposite direction, only covering once in their last five games. They are going to be a contender when Durant returns, but they are a team to fade right now. |