Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-01-24 | Wisconsin +10 v. LSU | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 145 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wisconsin is 6-2 ATS as a +6 or greater underdog and LSU bench boss Cajun Brian Kelly is 1-7 ATS as a bowl favorite of 7 or greater. Wisconsin holds one big card, a 10-2 ATS mark as a DD underdog against a sub .800 opponent. The sense here is LSU will be punching down and not making much contact. Finally, playing against any college bowl double digit favorite coming off 3 ATS wins and a SU win if they are facing an opponent who gains 110 or more RYPG is 11-0 ATS. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Packers +1.5 v. Vikings | 33-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Minnesota is just 1-4 in its last five games, but to their credit, the four losses have come by a total of 12 points, and they won the stats in four of the five contests, and the Vikings also beat the Packers, 24-10, in Green Bay two months ago. However, with the Packers 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a division road dog, and 4-0 ATS when coming off a road win. They are also 23-12-1 ATS in their last 36 Sunday Night contests, including 11-2-1 ATS against foes coming off a SUATS loss. Minnesota’s 2-8 ATS mark in its last ten home games seals it. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Bruins -127 v. Red Wings | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set. They recorded a 5-2 home win over the New Jersey Devils on Saturday as David Pastrnak and Kevin Shattenkirk had two goals apiece. Pastrnak, who added an assist, now has 22 goals this season. Shattenkirk, a defenseman, passed the 100-goal mark for his 14-year career. Boston is 2-0-0 since Christmas after entering the holiday break on a four-game winless streak (0-2-2). |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Nebraska-Omaha v. South Dakota -165 | 67-51 | Loss | -165 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Cleveland State -10.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | 86-77 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units IUPUI is coming off of victory over Detroit Mercy, but will lose at home to Cleveland State on Sunday. IUPUI is one of the worst shooting teams in the nation. The Jaguars are 233rd in field goal shooting percentage at 43.8 and 362nd in three-point shooting percentage at 23.4. It is just as bad or likely worse at the defensive end as the Jaguars allow opponents to shoot 49.6% overall which is 358th and 37.1% from 3 point land which is 341st. A poor shooting offense and a weak defense do not add up to many wins. Cleveland State holds its own offensively, scoring 76.1 points per game thanks to excellent shooting from the perimeter as the Vikings hit 38% of their 3-point attempts which is 32nd in the nation. Although on defense the Vikings are giving up a high shooting percent at 44% overall, Cleveland's perimeter defense is holding opponents to 29.8% shooting from 3 point land which is 71st in the country. Cleveland State has covered the spread in each of its last five games and in six of the last eight when playing IUPUI head to head. IUPUI has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | Top | 19-56 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 1 m | Show |
AFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Baltimore is just 7-7 SU and 4-10 ATS laying points in its last 14 games when coming off a win as an underdog – including 1-9 ATS against foes with at least one win on the season and 0-8 ATS as a favorite of three or more points. That fits like a glove for the Dolphins and their 16-4 ATS mark as a non-division road dog of 5 or fewer points. With Miami 8-1 ATS as a dog after dressing up as a favorite, we’ll be on the take today. Finally, Baltimore is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite behind Lamar Jackson when coming off a SU underdog win. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Saints +2.5 v. Bucs | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If the Saints lose either of their last two contests, they will be officially eliminated from postseason contention. There is no other scenario where New Orleans can win their division. In addition, under head coach Dennis Allen, the Saints also have an ugly 1-13 record against teams that are .500 or better at the time they play them. However, they will enter today’s game mathematically alive in the NFC South with a 5-0 ATS record when seeking triple revenge. On the flip side, the Bucs are 0-9 ATS in games before facing the Panthers, as well as 0-5-1 ATS at home off a home game. Finally, playing on any sub .500 NFL road dog off a SUATS non-division loss if they are playing with triple revenge against a division opponent is 21-4 ATS. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Cardinals +11 v. Eagles | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s safe to say that QB Jalen Hurts and WR A.J. Brown pulled the Eagles out of a rut in last week’s disapproving 33-25 win over the stubborn New York Giants. But at this stage of the season, it was a badly needed victory as it stopped the bleeding and kept Philly in the chase for the top spot in the NFC playoff seeding. Today, though, they’ll need to improve off a lousy 1-5 ATS mark of late against the NFC West and an 0-4 ATS current ATS losing record. With it, the Cardinals enter 10-0 ATS of late against the NFC East, as well as 8-1 ATS of late in this series. Until the Green Birds get their act back together, they are simply too risky to be laying double digits in a NY Giants division sandwich. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | Panthers +6.5 v. Jaguars | 0-26 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jags are 1-10 ATS in their last eleven home games against NFC opposition, as well as 0-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 7 points. And we didn’t even mention Jack’s 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS mark as home chalk the past six seasons. Carolina enters with a 10-4 ATS ledger in its last fourteen games against the AFC South, as well as a 3-0 SUATS mark in this series. The Panthers sport the league’s No. 5 overall defense, as opposed to Jacksonville’s No. 25 overall defense, the points become the play in this overlay – especially with the fact that playing against any NFL home favorite who went from ‘worst to first’ in its division from one season to the next is 33-15 ATS. |
|||||||
12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 53 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Cowboys currently sit one game behind both the Eagles and Lions and are looking to crash the party. They are also riding a 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS run at Jerry’s World, including a 5-0 ATS log when coming off a loss. Detroit enters 1-5 ATS away when coming off an away game, while the ‘Boys are 5-1 ATS against the NFC North. Better yet, the Cowboys are 12-6 ATS since 1990 at home in Last Home Games against foes coming off a win, including 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS with a .600 or greater win percentage. Finally, Dallas is 10-1 SUATS as a favorite in games when coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS against foes coming off a win |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Devils v. Bruins -155 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Here's another manageable money line for the Bruins that you should take advantage of today. The B's ended their four-game skid on Wednesday night and come into this game fresh and rested. The Devils, meanwhile, are playing a second straight game on Saturday night and their third game in four nights. The Bruins' defense should have the advantage over the tired legs of the Devils and keep them at bay. Goalie Linus Ullmark will be very well-rested, with more than a week off heading into this game. The Bruins will take their chances against a Devils' defense that is amongst the worst in the league. The Bruins' ability to get shots on net, ranked 9th in shots per game, will play well against a New Jersey team that is just 29th in save percentage. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Montana -4.5 v. Idaho State | 76-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Heat -120 v. Jazz | 109-117 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With or without Jimmy Butler, the Miami Heat are clicking right now. Both teams have covered the spread in four straight, but the Heat did it while beating much tougher competition. Miami will beat Utah for a sixth straight contest, covering the spread in the process. Utah's greatest offensive strengths are rebounding and hitting free throws, two areas where Miami is excellent at stifling opponents. On the other end of the floor, Utah is terrible against three-pointers, whereas the Heat are the most efficient three-point shooting team. Take the Heat to beat the spread against the Jazz. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Toledo +3.5 v. Wyoming | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of bowl entrants who've met in a brief home-&-home series ('10 & '12) with the Wyoming Cowboys & the Toledo Rockets exchanging exciting 20-15 & 34-31 road wins, as 4½-pt & 3-pt dogs. The transfer portal is relentless, with this game no exception, as Rocket QB Finn (2,657 PYs, 23/9, along with 563 PYs) jumped to the Big Ten, which obviously negates a great deal of UT's overwhelming aerial edge, although backup Gleason has appeared in all 13 games. The dog was 5-0-1 ATS in Wyoming's first 6 lined games this year, before the chalk took over, covering its last 5, including an 84-15 pt edge L2 games (+45 pts ATS), while Rockets have outgained all 13 foes. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Montana State v. Weber State -11.5 | 64-86 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Auburn v. Maryland +7 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mr. Freeze needs a W so Auburn avoids the ignominy of three straight losing seasons, something that hasn’t happened on The Plains since 1975-77 and versus other quality opponents, Auburn lost every matchup In The Stats, going 0-7 with a net average of -165 YPG. The Tigers are also 1-5 SUATS in their last six bowls, 0-4 ATS in bowls when coming off back-to-back losses, and 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS in the last eight versus the Big 10. Maryland QB Taulia Tagovailoa will try to have a proper sendoff from the Terps before getting ready to join his brother in the National Football League. The Terps are 7-4 SUATS in their last 11 bowls, 7-1 ATS when coming off a double-digit ATS win and 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. Tau leaves with a bushel full of UMD records, along with the Big 10 All-time passing yards record. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Northeastern +2.5 v. Rhode Island | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Ole Miss +6 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Big Ten bowl teams are 6-11 SU and 4-13 ATS versus the SEC when a three point or greater favorite. The Rebs are a wallet loving 12-4 SUATS in their last 16 bowl appearances and since 2017 any SEC dog is 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in a bowl tilt versus the Big 10. Attention seeker Lane Kiffin also loves being underestimated, going 4-1 SUATS as the dog in bowl affairs. Strangely they can’t handle being the bookies choice, Ole Miss is 0-2 as the favorite in their last two bowl favorite spots but are 5-0 SUATS as the bowl dog of three or greater. |
|||||||
12-30-23 | Virginia -9.5 v. Notre Dame | 54-76 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Notre Dame has had major issues on the offensive end of the floor this season. Scoring only 60 points against Marist isn’t something you want to hang your hat on, even if it was in a victory. Now the Fighting Irish have to face a Virginia team that is suffocating on the defensive end of the floor. We know that Tony Bennett’s team isn’t going to overpower anyone on the offensive end of the floor as they rely on that pack line defense to make life miserable for opposing teams. That’s the situation here as Notre Dame has struggled to shoot the ball with any kind of consistency this season. Virginia is sixth in field goal percentage defense (36.7%), 10th in two-point defense (42%) and 27th in three-point defense (28.1%) this season. Notre Dame will be fortunate if they get above the mid-50s on the scoreboard. Virginia rolls here to improve to 2-0 in the ACC. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Thunder v. Nuggets -135 | 119-93 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oklahoma City has used the youthful lineup to start the season 20-9 but has a tough stretch coming up. After facing Denver, the Thunder host Brooklyn and Boston before going on a four-game Eastern Conference road trip. The Nuggets are coming off a 142-105 win over Memphis on Thursday night but didn't have to travel to complete this back-to-back set. They did have to play without Aaron Gordon, who is out for an unspecified time after requiring 21 stitches on lacerations on his face and hands suffered from dog bites on Christmas. With Gordon unavailable, coach Michael Malone started Peyton Watson at power forward, and the hunch paid off. Watson had a season-high 20 points and took advantage of the Grizzlies sagging off of him and daring him to shoot open shots. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Eastern Illinois +8.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 58-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Bucks v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland delivered during a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Caris LeVert led the way for the Cavaliers with 29 points and seven assists off the bench. Jarrett Allen put up a 24-point, 23-rebound performance down low and Isaac Okoro added 22 points. The Cavaliers have been one of the few teams in the East to give Milwaukee problems in the regular season the past two years. They won three of the four games in the 2021-22 season and split the four-game series last season, winning the two most recent matchups. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Nets v. Wizards +6.5 | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units As the Nets embark on a four-game trip, coach Jacque Vaughn hopes his club can rediscover the defensive magic that has been missing in recent outings. Brooklyn has lost six of eight, allowing at least 121 points in each defeat. With defensive ace Ben Simmons slow to return from lower-back pain, Vaughn has called upon Dennis Smith Jr. to be a leader on that end of the court. Smith was promoted to the starting lineup Wednesday in a 144-122 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, chipping in with 14 points, seven rebounds and eight assists. In his previous five outings off the bench, his contribution was better represented in five straight non-negative plus/minus figures (a total of plus-35) than his 8.4 points per game. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Charlotte v. Stetson +3.5 | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Brown v. Stony Brook -135 | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-29-23 | North Florida +21 v. Miami-FL | 55-95 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Memphis v. Iowa State -9.5 | 36-26 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is a positive history of the Cyclones as a bowler, 3-1 ATS in bowl games when coming off a win, 7-0 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win and… yep, there’s more, 8-1 ATS as the favorite coming off an underdog role. This bowl is a home game for the Tigers, who have been mediocre in extra games, 2-5 SUATS in their last seven bowl shows and 0-8 ATS coming off a SUATS win. The American Conference isn’t known for great successes when they hit the bowling lanes, going 8-17 ATS as bowlers coming off a double-digit win and 4-13 ATS as bowlers when scoring 44 or more in their last game. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Notre Dame -6 v. Oregon State | 40-8 | Win | 100 | 75 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The cold hard numbers favor the Irish, who are 4-0 SUATS vs Pac 12 teams off a SUATS loss and Irish Head Coach Marcus Freeman is 4-0 ATS after time off. The Pac 12 football conference is a poor 2-25 ATS in bowl games versus teams coming off a win and 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss. |
|||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 73 h 54 m | Show | |
Bowl Game Play of the Day Rating: 3 Units Clemson is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 bowl games, but anytime the ACC matches muscles with the SEC, it tends not to go well. ACC teams are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in the last seven bowl games vs the Southeastern Conference. UK is 24-1 SU in their last 25 non-con games, plus 9-1 ATS when both teams are coming off non-conference games (Clemson beat South Carolina). Wildcats coach Mark Stoops, who apparently packed his bags and spent time on Zillow.com looking at College Station, Texas real estate before that all fell apart, will bring in a 16-4-1 ATS off a non-conference win if the foe is .667 or greater. Finally, Bowl favorites off consecutive wins, the last one a revenge victory, are 1-8 ATS if they scored 16 points or fewer in the victory. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sooners are 5-0 SU in their last five games against Pac-12 foes, and 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS on neutral fields since 2020; also be aware that Big 12 bowl dogs are 12-4 ATS versus the Pac-12. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are playing in their first bowl game since 2017, thanks in large part to the mid-season emergence of QB Noah Fifita, who turned Arizona’s season around following that triple-overtime loss to USC back in September. Since that game, Jedd Fisch’s team has won six games in a row, as the second-year head coach saw his QB finish the campaign with 23 TD passes against just 5 picks. He closed out the regular season with a 527-yard, 5 TD performance against Arizona State. Unfortunately, Arizona is 1-8 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins, and we’ll add the fact that the favorite is 2-7 ATS in this bowl game. Also, Pac-12 bowlers are 2-25 ATS versus foes coming off a win. Zona’s dream season skids to a grinding halt as they get run over by the Sooner Schooner today. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Montana State v. Idaho State -125 | 74-66 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Idaho State is not the highest-scoring team in the nation but much of that is due to a very methodical offense. Idaho State is shooting. 47.3% overall which is 71st in the country. Idaho State's offense is very well balanced as five players are averaging between 9.0 and 12.6 points per game making it difficult to defend against anyone or two players through using a special defense such as a box and one or a triangle and two. Montana State is being outrebounded by opponents each game as the Bobcats are averaging just 30.8 rebounds per game an average of 35.2 rebounds per contest. Montana State is 203rd in the nation in field goal shooting percentage and 191st in three-point shooting percentage. The Bobcats are also giving up far too much on defense as opponents are shooting 45.3% overall which is 298th in the country. Montana State has failed to cover the spread in each of the last six games. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -7.5 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Browns signed Riley Patterson, who was waived by the Detroit Lions on Dec. 19. For the Lions this year Patterson was 15-for-17 in fi eld goal attempts and 35-for-37 on extra point attempts. Jets’ signal caller Trevor Siemian became the 59th different quarterback to start a game this season when he led the Jets to a 30-28 victory over Washington despite a jaw dropping 14 penalties for 150 yards by the Flyboys. Given the Jets 0-5 ATS mark on Thursdays, and 3-9 ATS effort after hosting NFC foes, plus their 5-11 SUATS mark in games when coming off a win under Robert Saleh – along with Cleveland’s 6-1 ATS mark at home on Thursdays and its recent 5-0 SUATS mark in the Dawg Pound since their Bye week this season – we’ll be on the Browns tonight. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Jazz +8.5 v. Pelicans | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Orleans has struggled with three losses in their last four games coming into this contest with each of those coming at home. The Pelicans simply don’t have that closing instinct that they need in order to be considered a serious threat in the Western Conference. Now, Utah isn’t a great team by any stretch as they have a ton of youth to work with in their rotation after dealing away veterans last season at the trade deadline. However, the Jazz have strung together three straight wins on the road. While one can say they came over doormats in Detroit, Toronto and San Antonio, the fact remains that they were just 2-13 on the road before that. The Jazz have had the Pelicans’ number, winning five straight meetings, and they aren’t intimidated by the city the franchise once called home. Take Utah here as they steal one on the road. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Prairie View A&M +3.5 v. Texas-San Antonio | 89-103 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-28-23 | Coppin State v. Maryland -31.5 | 53-75 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Maryland (8-4) has a chance to extend that streak to 19 games on Thursday night with a tune-up against Coppin State (1-12) in College Park, Md. The Terrapins are coming off a 69-60 win Friday at UCLA that was propelled by a virtuoso performance from Jahmir Young, who scored a career-high 37 points on 13-of-19 shooting. Coppin State arrives on a five-game losing streak and has been idle since an 87-48 defeat at No. 20 James Madison on Dec. 19. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | NC State v. Kansas State -138 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The numbers are looking pretty, pretty good for the Cats here: 6-0 SUATS coming off a loss over the last two seasons, 12-1 ATS off a double-digit spread loss, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in this bowl game. In addition, Chris Kleiman is 4-0 SUATS off a SU favorite loss versus a foe off a win. On the other side of the coin, ACC bowlers coming off a win are 3-14 ATS against foes coming off a SU favorite loss, while the Wolf Pack is 1-5 ATS coming off a win versus non-conference foes. Dave Doeren is also 3-6 ATS with the Wolfpack against a foe coming off a SU favorite loss. Kleiman checks a lot of boxes, including the one outlined above and a 7-3 SUATS career mark against opponents coming off a SU underdog win, including 5-0 SUATS the past two seasons. He’s also 10-1-1 ATS off a loss versus a foe coming off a win. |
|||||||
12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +10 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 48 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units BC finished the season with losses to Virginia Tech, Pitt, and Miami after winning five straight contests mid-season. QB Thomas Castellanos is an exciting dual threat who tossed 15 TD passes and ran for 11 more but was intercepted 13 times. Be aware that ACC bowlers with the lesser record are 14-4 ATS when coming off back-to back losses, and those conference teams are 9-3 ATS versus foes off consecutive wins. The Eagles are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS as a bowl dog versus foes off a win of a TD or more, and half of BC’s six wins this season came as underdogs. After a big bounce-back from last year’s 3-9 campaign, a win for BC just down the road on the Mass Turnpike would do wonders in Chestnut Hill. Finally, SMU is 0-3 SUATS in their last 3 bowl games – all as a favorite. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +2 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 59 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This all went bad so quickly; remember that A&M had the highest-rated recruiting class in NCAA history in 2022. That was the year that Fisher had a very public dispute with Nick Saban when the Nicktator accused Jimbo of buying every player in that class. However, the Aggies have gone 12-12 since then and only 20 of the 32 recruits remain in College Station (who knows how many will start the season in 2024?). Regardless, Mike Elko will be the head coach next season, but for now, we can look at the sad sack numbers A&M produced against fellow bowl teams: 1-5 SU, 1-4-1 ATS, and 2-4 ITS (In The Stats) as they return to the bowl scene after a two-year hiatus. In addition, Tammy has been 2-8 ATS coming off a SUATS loss versus a foe off SUATS loss, along with 2-7 ATS in bowl games against foes coming off a loss. Meanwhile, the Cowboys got things back on track after a lackluster 2-2 start this season, as QB Alan Bowman had a solid season and RB Ollie Gordon II rode a couple of 250+ yard performances to the Doak Walker Award, awarded to the nation’s best running back. Gordon went over the 100-yard threshold in eight games this season and his 20 TDs was second only to Blake Corum. Okie State is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games in this series, plus 4-2 ATS in their last six tries as a bowl dog. Mike Gundy is 10-6 ATS as a dog with the better record, and with all the disarray surrounding the Aggies, it’s the Cowboys turn today. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Knicks v. Thunder -150 | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units I like the Thunder at home in this game against the Knicks on Wednesday. The Knicks have been decent but far from outstanding against the Western Conference thus far with a record of just 4-5. They shouldn't be hurt as much on the glass by the Knicks on Wednesday as the Knicks adjust to life without Robinson and his tenacious rebounding, particularly on the offensive glass. Despite playing decent defense this season, the Knicks are just 18th in opponent's shooting percentage which should mean another strong shooting night from the Thunder, ranked fifth in the NBA in shooting percentage. The Thunder have depth, shooting, and are 6-1 against the Eastern Conference this season. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets +3 | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns took a 128-114 home loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Christmas, Phoenix's ninth loss in 12 games following a seven-game winning streak that left the team a season-high five games over .500. An inability to cultivate any semblance of consistency continues to stall the Suns, whose injury concerns remain at the heart of their ongoing woes. Phoenix remains without Bradley Beal (ankle), who has logged only six games this season, and was also missing Jusuf Nurkic (personal) against the Mavericks. Beyond Beal, the injury issues haven't been overly debilitating but rather a constant nuisance, with the Suns laboring to construct a set rotation that can compete with the heavyweights in the Western Conference. The early-season struggles have yielded a fair share of think pieces contemplating what ails Phoenix. For their part, the Suns have yet to display any signs of panic despite everything that's gone awry. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Louisville -7 v. USC | 28-42 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Quite a reputation to live up to, when participating in this bowl, as high scoring barnburners have always been the rule, beginning with '79's 38-37 Indiana (+9½) win over BYU, up to LY's 28-27 Oregon (-13) 28-27 win over North Carolina (Bo Nix TD pass in L0:19). Can this one live up to such a history? Well, for the Trojans of Southern California, this marks their 4th spot in this bowl since '14: 45-42 (-7), 21-23 (-3), & 24-49 (-2). Not the best, especially now, when losing Heisman winner QB Williams & stellar WR Rice, especially with a "D" that ranks 118th & 121st in total & scoring. The 26th bowl for 15th-ranked Cardinals of Louisville, who've topped 30 pts 8 times TY. Thus, floodgates should open early & often vs paper SC "D". USC was 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS against fellow bowlers this season and shockingly, Pac-12 bowlers are 0-15 ATS since 2016 when coming off a SUATS loss. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Bruins -144 v. Sabres | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins are struggling but I'm all over this very respectable money line against a Sabres team that is three games below .500 this season. The Bruins have a decided edge on special teams, an equally large edge in net, and should be able to control a Sabres' offense that is just 21st in goals per game. The Bruins need a win here to avoid a five-game skid and I don't expect this one to be decided by OT. Boston will take advantage of man advantages and build a comfortable lead that their goaltending will hold up regardless of whether it is Ullmark or Swayman in net. Take advantage of a rare marginal money line against the B's. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | 76ers v. Magic -126 | 112-92 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When reigning Most Valuable Player Joel Embiid is out of the lineup, the Philadelphia 76ers are quite vulnerable. And winless. The Sixers, who are 0-4 without Embiid this season, will again be without their leader when they visit the Orlando Magic today. Embiid missed Monday's Christmas Day matchup against the Miami Heat and will again be sidelined with a sprained right ankle. Embiid sustained the injury in the first quarter of Friday's 121-111 victory over the Toronto Raptors. The Sixers will also be without Nicolas Batum because of a strained right hamstring. With Embiid recuperating, Tyrese Maxey struggled in a 119-113 loss to the host Heat on Monday. |
|||||||
12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +11 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulane assistant head coach and OC Slade Nagle will take the reins for the Green Wave in this game, with four assistants still in tow. Nagle is on the record as saying that the goal is to finish 12-2 and end up in the Top 25 for the second straight year. The last time they accomplished that feat was in 1939. The AAC Player of the Year, QB Michael Pratt will lead a team that is 23-4 the past two seasons and they’ve been a dog four times in that span, winning three times outright. Bowl teams who won 10 or more games in the previous season are 19-5 ATS when coming off a season-ending loss as a favorite and taking on a foe coming off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, it is not often that you can find a .500 team favored by a TD over an .800-or-better opponent, much less in a bowl game. In fact, this is the first time it has happened since at least 1980. Second-year HC Brent Pry improved the attack in Blacksburg this season, and the Hokies are coming off a satisfying 55-17 drubbing of their cross-state rivals at Virginia. However, Tech is 1-10 ATS when coming off a win as a favorite, and ACC bowlers coming off a victory are just 3-14 ATS against foes coming off a SU favorite loss. we feel that Tulane may just have too many weapons here today. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers -11.5 | 104-113 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers shouldn’t have any problems beating the Hornets even if Kawhi Leonard remains on the sidelines. Charlotte has injury worries, too. The Hornets are without LaMelo Ball (ankle) and Mark Williams (back), while Terry Rozier (knee) and Brandon Miller (ankle) are both listed as questionable. Charlotte is a bad defensive unit, and LA will be scoring at will in this matchup. Hereof, I’m backing the Clippers to cover a double-digit spread in front of the home audience and make amends for an embarrassing loss to the Celtics. The Clippers are 8-2 ATS in their last ten contests against the Hornets. LA is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall and 13-5 ATS in its previous 18 tilts versus the Southeast Division teams. On the other side, Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last six contests overall and 1-7 ATS in its last eight outings on the road. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Kings -8 v. Blazers | 113-130 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have won four of their last six games and two of their last three road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 111 points per game on the road. They do a good job of finding the open man and they’re very aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also cut back on their turnovers in their last three games and won’t give the Blazers a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Trailblazers aren’t very good defensively and they play worse at home, giving up more than 115 points per game, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Kings in this game. The Trailblazers have lost two straight games and five of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring less than 110 points per game. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Kings and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Kings, who average more than seven steals per game. The Kings aren’t great defensively, but they play better on the road and won’t be tested by the cold-shooting Blazers, so go with Sacramento to cover the spread. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units With this just their 4th bowl game since 1994, (2-1 SUATS) the Rebs are running sky high under first-year head coach Barry Odom after recording their first winning season in a decade. Remember this team was the best point spread team in the nation prior to the Mountain West championship game loss. Odom is 4-0 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points when his record is .666 or better; also keep in mind that UNLV was 4-2 ATS this season versus fellow bowlers this season and overall is 8-1 ATS as double-digit dog versus a foe coming off a win. Although Jayden Maiava led the Rebel offense with his dual threats at QB, WR Ricky White was probably the best player on the team, catching 81 passes for nearly 1,400 yards and seven touchdowns. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice +3.5 | 45-21 | Loss | -102 | 32 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Freshman AJ Padgett will start at QB for Rice and will try to connect with WR Luke McCaffrey like he did in the season-finale, as Christian’s little brother caught 12 passes for 141 yards in the bowl-clinching win over FAU. The favorite in this bowl game is 8-2-1 ATS, and the Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last seven games as a dog of 13 or fewer points. In addition, AAC bowlers are 4-2 SUATS versus Sun Belt foes. In the final analysis, we’ll back the team that’s been there and done that with a head coach who is 9-6 ATS with Rice as a single-digit dog. |
|||||||
12-26-23 | Bowling Green v. Minnesota -3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 28 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This bowl appearance has a major revenge chip for the Gophers, who lost to Bowling Green two years ago as a -30.5-home favorite and in addition, Minny is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last bowl games. Also, sub-.550 Big Ten bowlers off consecutive SUATS losses are 7-1-1 ATS and sub-.500 bowlers are 8-4 SUATS versus greater than-.555 foes. Meanwhile, the Bee Gees make a quick turn-around, returning to the Quick Lane Bowl where they fell, 24-19, to New Mexico State last year. The Falcons are just 2-8 ATS in bowl games since 1992 (0-6 ATS if coming off win). Bowling Green is also 0-5 ATS with rest when coming off a win, and MAC bowlers are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS versus the Big Ten. |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens +6.5 v. 49ers | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units Baltimore is 6-3 SU and 7-1-1 ATS away on Mondays, including 4-0-1 ATS as a dog. Better yet, star QB Lamar Jackson is 18-1 SU in his career against NFC opposition. The Black Birds are also 11-2 ATS against .700 or great foes. And speaking of superstars, for the 37th time in his NFL career, Jackson led his team in both rushing and passing yards in the same game in last week’s 23-7 win versus Jacksonville. On the other side of the coin, Niners’ RB Christian McCaffrey is the only NFL player all-time with 1,000 rushing and receiving yards in the same season – and he still has three games to go. Like Baltimore, San Francisco is 7-1 ATS against .700 or better opponents. Ravens’ head coach John Harbaugh brings an exceptional 80-53-9 ATS career mark as a visitor, while 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan is 15-3 SU and 11-6-1 ATS at home in his career when the Niners sport a .750 or greater win percentage. In a battle of the league’s best, we’ll grab the points. |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Celtics -145 v. Lakers | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics will come in fresh and ready to go likely with Porzingis at center. The addition of the Unicorn has completely changed Boston's interior defense this season and will cause problems for James and Davis in the lane. On the other end, the Lakers' defense has not looked as sharp lately and the Celtics' offense has been clicking, scoring nearly 140 points per game on this trip. Tatum and Brown are playing at an extremely high level and present matchup issues for everyone and certainly this Lakers' team without any ++ defensive forwards. The Lakers inconsistencies have been a big issue this year but I do expect them to be up for this game. The Celtics, however, have the length to bother them and the defensive backcourt to bother a team playing without a true point guard. |
|||||||
12-25-23 | Raiders v. Chiefs -10 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chiefs are one of only five teams in the league that sport both a Top 10 offense and a Top 10 defense, which should not have a problem against Las Vegas’ 28th-ranked offense. We realize they are only 0-3 ATS coming off their previous three wins this season, and the Raiders are the second foe in a row that will take on the Chiefs with a rest advantage, but when coming off a win of late Andy Reid is 15-1 SU in his last sixteen division games when coming off one win and 71-28 ATS in games he wins outright as a favorite against foes arriving off a win. Finally NFL teams 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS since 1989 in games after scoring 60-plus points in their last game. |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins -125 | Top | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units While Miami is currently the No. 2 seed in the AFC Playoff Picture, they can claim the top-seed should it win out - and it would certainly deserve so, having to go up against the likes of the Cowboys here, and the Ravens and Bills to conclude the campaign. Fortunately, they are 9-2 SUATS at home coming off a home game as a favorite after dressing up as a favorite the previous game, including 6-0 ATS when not favored by seven or more points. Meanwhile, Dallas has a -4 point differential on the road in 2023 (14th in the NFL) while leading the league with a +171 point differential at home in 2023 – and that’s with a 40-point road win in its season opener at the Giants. Finally, NFL home favorites coming off a home shutout win are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS since 2000 against an opponent coming off an away game, including 7-0 SUATS if they sport a sub .750 win percentage |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Packers -4 v. Panthers | 33-30 | Loss | -105 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Carolina is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS lately when coming off a win. They are also 1-4 ATS against the NFC North. The Packers enter this fray as the No. 11 overall seed in the current NFC Playoff Picture and should be fully focused here. With head coach Matt LaFleur 16-9 ATS in his career when coming off a loss, including 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS from game Eight out. |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Browns -150 v. Texans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Texans are banged up, with DE Will Anderson (ankle) and QB CJ Stroud (concussion) among the questionable players listed on the team's lengthy injury report. If you're wondering why the Browns are favored on the road, Stroud's likely absence is the reason. Veteran QB Case Keenum led Houston to a 19-16 victory last weekend but had fewer than 200 passing yards in regulation, averaging just 5.4 yards per passing attempt against a poor Titans pass defense. The Browns' defense has been the catalyst to the team's success this season, but the unit has not performed well on the road, surrendering an NFL-worst 30.7 PPG compared to just 13.1 PPG at home. That figures to change, though, as Cleveland's defense is too talented to struggle so much on the road. Keenum is in for a challenge against the league's best pass defense, as Cleveland's pass rush is also intimidating (7th-most sacks). The Texans are banged up on the offensive line and at receiver, with Tank Dell out and Nico Collins and Noah Brown limited in practice. |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets -160 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Washington Commanders continue to stumble, losing four consecutive games. The offense is now struggling which makes winning games a daunting task considering the horrible defense. The Jets haven’t been any better but are at home and have the superior defense. Washington has lost confidence in QB Sam Howell and gave Jacoby Brissett playing time last week. Whether it’s Howell or Brisset at QB, it won’t matter. The Jets have a stifling pass defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL. The Commanders could be without #1 RB Brian Robinson Jr. who did not practice this week due to a hamstring injury. I expect the Jets to have some success offensively against a Commanders' defense that has surrendered at least 45 points in two of their last three games. |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Lions v. Vikings +3 | 30-24 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The team that can least likely afford a loss is the 7-7 Vikings, as no less than four other seven-win teams are in pursuit. Much like the Cleveland Browns, Minnesota is operating on their fourth starting quarterback this season – yet they still remain in playoff contention. A tip of the hat to head coach Kevin O’Connell as it’s been a nice year for the coaching Kevin’s this campaign. With Minnesota sporting a 6-0 ATS log as division home dogs, as well as 13-2 ATS as a dog off a loss when facing a foe coming off a win as a favorite, the points become the play in this division fray today. |
|||||||
12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The pressure mounts on a Seahawks’ squad that has now been outgained in each of their last four games as they bring along a phony sense of accomplishment. Given Seattle’s 0-5 outright record in road games this season since its Bye Week, and Tennessee’s 6-1 ATS mark in this series, look for the Titans to improve on its 13-5 SU and 11-6-1 ATS at home off a loss under Mike Vrabel, including 4-0 SUATS this season. And look for Seattle to get a taste of reality today, especially with Ryan Tannehill rumored to be behind center for the Titans today. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Wolves +2.5 v. Kings | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Sacramento played on Friday against Phoenix. The Suns (14-13) are no joke and should push Sacramento. That will make for a slightly fatigued Kings team facing a Minnesota club who is one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Minnesota knocked off Los Angeles on Thursday and will be riding high, especially as winners of 10 of their last 12 games. The fact that Towns is out will hurt them, making this a close contest. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Blazers +9 v. Warriors | 106-126 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers take on the Warriors for the third time this month, and Portland has covered the spread in its previous two dates with Golden State. The Warriors have been playing a ton of close games of late, so I’m backing the Blazers to grab their third consecutive ATS victory over Golden State. On paper, Golden State is a better team than Portland, but the Warriors will have to deal with fatigue in this game. The Warriors have gone 3-4 ATS over their previous seven games, and each of those seven contests have been decided by eight or fewer points. The Blazers will look to slow things down once more and force the Warriors into half-court basketball, so I’m expecting Portland to hang around down the stretch. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Bills -11.5 v. Chargers | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bills have won two straight games and three of their last four overall. They are playing well offensively, scoring at least 30 points in three of those games. They have a balanced offense and they’re in the top 10 in passing and running the ball. James Cook has been playing out of his mind right now and with Allen's ability to run, the Bills are tough to stop. The Chargers aren’t very good at defending the run and their pass defense is the third-worst in the league, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bills in this game. The Chargers have lost two straight games and three straight home games. They have struggled offensively and didn’t score more than 20 points in four of their last five games. They don’t run the ball well, but they have the 10th-best passing attack in the league. With Justin Herbert out and Easton Stick under center, their passing game hasn’t been as good. The Bills have played well against the run and they held their last three opponents under 200 passing yards per game. They are one of the best in the league when it comes to getting after the quarterback and they force a lot of turnovers, so expect them to keep Los Angeles’ offense in check. Go with Buffalo to cover the spread. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Grizzlies v. Hawks | 125-119 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Hawks played well over the past week and they’ve won three of their last four games. They will try to keep the momentum going with a win over the Grizzlies, which will give them their fourth win in their last five games. Atlanta is averaging 123.1 points per game. They scored 134 points in their last game, making 51.6 percent of their field goals and 42.5 percent of their three-pointers. Trae Young led the Hawks with 30 points, four rebounds, and 14 assists. Bogdan Bogdanovic finished with 22 points, four rebounds, and five assists, while Dejounte Murray added 21 points, three rebounds, and five assists. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Utah v. Northwestern +6 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This appearance has to be a major letdown for the Utes, who were at this time last year coming off their second consecutive Pac-12 Championship and were on the heels of back-to-back Rose Bowl games (against Penn State and Ohio State). This was basically a lost season for Kyle Whittingham after an injury to star QB Cam Rising kept him out for the entire campaign. The Utes are 0-4 SU in their last four bowl games and overall, are just 1-3 SUATS in their last four matchups versus Big Ten opponents. The soon-to-be-disbanded Pac-12 has not been successful in bowls either, going 6-21 SU and 2-25 ATS versus foes coming off win. Finally, Big Ten teams coming off a win are 14-0 ATS in bowl games versus Pac-12 opponents. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | South Alabama -17 v. Eastern Michigan | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 29 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Their bags are packed, & they're ready to go, but they won't need a plane, as the Jaguars of South Alabama lace 'em up on their home field for their meeting with the Eagles of Eastern Michigan in this bowl matchup. By knocking off Oklahoma St in their 3rd game, big things were expected from the Jags. But it wasn't to be, although they did post 55, 55, & 44 pts over the course of the season, with all but 1 of their 6 wins coming by 18 or more pts SU (21-14 win over Arkansas St). Eagles have been a profitable outfit since '16, although seemingly with smoke & mirrors, ranking 131st in total "O", while outgaining just one team: Akron. DD bowl spot can't scare us off. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units Both the Texans and Colts have tiebreakers over Pittsburgh, after beating the Steelers earlier this season. This means that the Steelers will have to finish with a better record than both squads – which means winning out is mandatory for Tomlin’s troops. Tomlin can also lean on his 11-7 SU mark in games against .550 or greater foes in which Pittsburgh is riding a 3-game losing streak, including 5-0 SUATS the last five games in the Steel City. Meanwhile, the Bengals lug a 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS mark in Saturday road games into the fray, including 0-5 SUATS against foes coming off back-to-back losses – which ties nicely into the Steelers’ 4-0 SUATS ledger as a host on regular season Saturdays. And finally, Pittsburgh head coach Tomlin is 11-4 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home in games when the Steelers sport a .500 exact win percentage, including 4-0 SUATS as a dog |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Georgia State v. Utah State -120 | 45-22 | Loss | -120 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mountain West vs Sun Belt in this bowl, featuring the Aggies of Utah St, in their 6th straight bowl (2/3 SU/ATS), while hoping to erase the memory of LY's 38-10 loss to Memphis in the First Responder Bowl (430-261 yard deficit), with their only TD coming on a 44-yd pass. Moving the ball hasn't been an issue this year, topping 40 pts in 3 of their final 7 games, with containment their problem, coming in at #109 in total, & 128th in rushing "D". They have never met their opponents in this one, namely the Panthers of Georgia State, who've been on the short end of 44-27, 42-14, 42-14, & 56-14 pt margins in 4 of their final 5 games (-74 pts ATS). Can't see them turning it all around. Five straight losses no way to enter a bowl. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Bucks -135 v. Knicks | 130-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams have played solid basketball this season with wildly different splits. The Bucks have played 18 of their 28 games at home this season while the Knicks have played 17 of their first 27 games on the road. New York has been solid defensively this season, which helps make up for the fact that they are a middle of the road team on the offensive end of the floor. The problem for coach Tom Thibodeau’s team is that they don’t have the pieces to effectively lock up Antetokounmpo and Lillard. Milwaukee is a deep, talented team and we’ve seen them torch this Knicks team to the tune of 146 points in the most recent meeting. Look for the Bucks to take advantage of their firepower to earn a win here. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy -6.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trojans own a big edge in recent ATS history, going 14-3 SU and 15-2 ATS vs. fellow bowlers the last two seasons, and if they boast the better record going in, they’re 19-3 SU and 15-7 ATS since 2019. Yes, Duke is 6-0 ATS in its last six bowl games but things were quite a bit more stable with the coaches and players during those contests. A more revealing stat is the Blue Devils’ paltry 3-16 SU and 6-13 ATS mark in their last 19 meetings with .666 opposition. And while Troy coach Sumrall may be on the way out, this team compiled a formidable 23-4 SU and 19-6 ATS record under his direction. With the favorite in this bowl cashing 8 tickets in the last 10 game, we’re all in with the Trojans. |
|||||||
12-23-23 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois +3 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Northern Illinois is 12-2 ATS coming off a double-digit ATS loss, including 10-0 ATS as a dog. They’ve also posted a 3-1 SUATS and ITS (In The Stats) record against fellow bowlers this season. Arkansas State managed one win in its final three games to qualify for a trip to the alleys, but we don’t think it will be a memorable one, especially with the Red Wolves on a 0-3 SUATS slide versus MAC opponents. Taking it a step further, we see that MAC teams are 14-8-1 ATS in all bowl games against Sun Belt foes while SB teams are just 5-11-1 ATS in bowl games against MAC foes coming off a win. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Suns +3.5 v. Kings | 105-120 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Phoenix is arguably a better defensive team than Sacramento, but I’m not sure the Suns will be able to take full advantage of the Kings’ defensive flaws. The Suns have scored more than 112 points just twice in their last seven outings overall, and it looks like Phoenix rely on Kevin Durant and Devin Booker way too much. On the other side, the Kings might be vulnerable following that thrashing at the hands of the Celtics. It’s hard to trust Sacramento’s defense, so I’m backing the Suns to keep it close and hopefully upset the Kings. Phoenix should be able to slow the pace down and force Sacramento into half-court basketball which is crucial for the Suns in this matchup. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Bruins -118 v. Jets | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are looking to step up on their home ice but I see the Bruins bouncing back from two rough losses and taking over this game. The Bruins, who average 3.17 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins should also limit the Jets' offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Southern Indiana +16.5 v. Southern Illinois | 50-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-22-23 | SMU -5.5 v. Murray State | 92-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Mustangs should close out 2023 with a comfortable win at Murray State. They are superior on the glass to Murray State. The Mustangs defend both the interior and perimeter expertly and should hold the subpar Murray State offense to less than 60 points in this game. While the Racers rarely turn the ball over, they will have a plethora of one-and-done possessions thanks to their inability to shoot the ball well and the team's struggles on the glass. The Mustangs will control the pace and tempo of this game and cruise to their 9th win. |
|||||||
12-22-23 | Drexel -3 v. Bryant | 86-104 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Saints mentor Dennis Allen is 6-15 SU and 4-15-2 ATS in games when his team is coming off a win, including 1-7-1 ATS coming off a double-digit win. On the other side of the field, L.A.’s Sean McVay has taken care of business in games against NFC South foes, going 10-5 SU and 9-5-1 ATS. The home team in this series, is a stellar 8-0 SUATS, and Allen is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in his career in games when coming off consecutive ATS wins. Finally, any NFL away teams from Game 15 out, coming off three consecutive home games – the last two outright wins – are 7-21 ATS, including 1-8 SUATS as a dog of 4-plus points. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall +13 | 35-17 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Marshall is the worst bowl team in net turnovers this season (-1.08) but there is so much else to like: the Herd is 13-5 SUATS in FBS bowl games, including 2-0 SUATS with a .500 record, and 12-1 SUATS vs. sub .750 opponents (7-0 SUATS last seven games). Third-year Marshall head coach Charles Huff stands 3-1 ATS as a dog of more than 7 points, plus CUSA bowlers like the Roadrunners are a weak 2-8 SUATS off a double-digit loss (fell to Tulane 29-16 in final regular season game). The way we see it is if the Herd don’t gift-wrap a spate of unnecessary turnovers, look for UTSA to continue its disappointing run. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Wild v. Bruins -198 | 4-3 | Loss | -198 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wild are just 29th in the NHL on the penalty kill but have improved to 18th in the NHL in GAA. They are 24th in the NHL in shots allowed and 20th in save percentage on the season. The Bruins are once again atop many key statistics in the NHL. The Bruins are 15th in goals per game this season thus far as they adjust to life without several key veterans from last year's team. They are 16th in shooting percentage this season but have improved their power-play, ranked 9th in the NHL. The Bruins are below-average in shots on net, ranking 19th in the league. Defensively, the team again has been outstanding. They are 4th in the NHL in goals allowed per game. The B's are 14th in shots allowed as well. |
|||||||
12-19-23 | Western Carolina v. Vanderbilt -155 | 63-62 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Commodores have won four of their last seven home games. They don’t have a high-scoring offense and they’re scoring a little more than 69 points per game. They’ve taken advantage of their opportunities at the charity stripe, making more than 70 percent of their free throws. They rebound the ball well and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also do a good job of protecting the ball and won’t give the Catamounts a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Catamounts have struggled defensively on the road, giving up more than 70 points per game, and will have a hard time slowing down the Commodores in this game. The Catamounts have won two straight games, but they’ve lost two of their last three road games. They have struggled offensively on the road. Their ball movement also isn’t very good and they’ve struggled at the charity stripe, making less than 70 percent of their free throws. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Commodores and they’re careless with the ball, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Commodores. The Commodores have played well defensively at home, holding opponents under 70 points per game, and will keep Western Carolina’s offense in check. Go with Vanderbilt to cover the spread |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Nets v. Jazz +4 | 108-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even if the Jazz don't win, there's little chance that this game won't come down to the wire. Utah only has two home games that ended with a loss by at least five points and one of those was opening night. At the very least, the Jazz +4 is the best way to bet this game. Turnovers kill Utah's offense, but Brooklyn is the worst defense at forcing them. The Jazz's dominant offensive rebounding will also give them ample opportunity against a team allowing 122.8 points during their current road trip. Bet on a tight game, if not another Utah home win. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Eagles have been out yarded in each of their last six games by an average -105 net yards per game. It makes it extremely hard to wrap your arms around them at this point, let alone have to do so after taking on Murder’s Row – the Cowboys, 49ers, Bills, and Chiefs – in their last four games. They are 0-8 ATS when coming off a double-digit SUATS loss and 1-6 ATS in this series. With the Seahawks’ backs to the playoff wall as the current No. 9 seed in the NFC, we strongly suggest you look at the fact that playing against the defending Super Bowl loser as an away favorite (or pick) in non-division games is 45-65--5 ATS since 1981. Worse, if they take the field sporting a .700 or greater win percentage they fall to 10-26-3 ATS, including 6-20-2-2 ATS when squaring off against .333 or greater opponents. Additionally, Seattle is 16-1 ATS when coming off consecutive losses as a dog, including 12-0 ATS the last 12 games. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Oakland +16.5 v. Michigan State | 62-79 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Michigan State and Oakland play every year, but the Golden Grizzlies have yet to beat the Spartans in 21 meetings since Oakland became a Division I program in 1998. Oakland (6-5) will have had 10 days off since its last game, a 77-63 win at Eastern Michigan on Dec. 8. It will be the third Big Ten opponent this year for Oakland, which lost by six at Ohio State and by 11 at Illinois to open the season. The Golden Grizzlies are led in scoring by Trey Townsend (15.8 points) in what is head coach Greg Kampe's 40th season at the helm. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Western Kentucky +6 v. Old Dominion | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Western Kentucky is bowling for the fifth year in a row under fifth-year head Tyson Helton, but our concern is this unit allows 27 more yards per game than it gains, thanks to a dismal 2-5 SUATS and ITS log against fellow bowl teams. In a similar vein, we’re wondering how an ODU team with a losing record can be favored over an 7-5 squad when they allow more yards and points than they score. The Hilltoppers are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in this series – and favored in all seven games. But, and it’s a big but, Western Kentucky is 0-4-1 ATS in bowl games versus sub .600 opponents. Suddenly the Monarchs’ 9-3 SU and 10-1 ATS skein as .500 bowlers playing with revenge since 2000 comes into play. We’re expecting a close one, though, as all 6 of Old Dominion’s wins this season were by one-score or less, by 23 total points. Until ODU proves they are worthy of laying points in this series, we’ll stay on the take. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Nevada -125 v. Hawaii | 72-66 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Warriors -5.5 v. Blazers | 118-114 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are playing poorly and each has gone 1-2 ATS in the last three. The difference is that Golden State is 7-3-0 ATS in the last 10, and has been playing better overall. The Warriors have already beaten the Trail Blazers once this season and have taken eight of the last 10 meetings, going 6-3-1 ATS. The Trail Blazers are just a mess right now, the kind of team who can help Golden State right the ship. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Ravens have a 10-3 record and currently hold down the top seed in the AFC playoff race. But we’ve seen this before, every time the MVP chatter gets louder, Jackson loses his voice (and votes). With it, Baltimore enters this Prime-Time special just 1-7 ATS in games when coming off consecutive wins. The Ravens also have a much bigger game on tap when they travel to San Francisco next Monday night. Meanwhile, the Jags will take the field knowing they are 6-2 SUATS in their last eight home dog roles, while head coach Doug Pederson is 15-9 ATS in his career as a dog against .750 or greater foes, including 6-2 ATS at home. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -124 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units QB Josh Allen is 15-2 SU in his last seventeen regular season games the past two years. The Bills are on a major 33-1 winning run in games in which they win the turnover battle – with the only loss coming in overtime at Philadelphia this season. And you can toss in Dallas’ 0-4 SUATS in its last four games as a road dog. Finally, Buffalo is 5-0-1 ATS against NFC East opponents coming off back-to-back wins. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
NFC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Niners are off a fifth consecutive win following the Bye with a potential Super Bowl pairing up next week when they host the rugged Ravens. They enter 0-4 ATS as double-digit road chalk since 2012 and 7-12 SUATS of late in this series. Meanwhile, the Niners are also 0-6 ATS as a favorite in this series when Arizona sports a sub .250-win percentage. Finally, Arizona is 8-1 ATS as a home dog of +9 or more points when hosting .750 or greater opponents. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams -6.5 | 20-28 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units A huge game for the suddenly hot Rams (3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS since their Bye week), with little on the line for the visiting Commandeers, who are coming off their Bye week on a 0-3 SUATS losing skid. Normally, we’d start making cases for the “value” in a matchup like this but not today. Not with Washington a wimpy 3-12 ATS when coming off a Bye week, and the Rams riding a 14-4 winning ATS run in December since 2021. Tie it into Sean McVay’s 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS mark as a favorite of late against teams he polished off in a most recent meeting, and you know where we’ll be. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Magic v. Celtics -8.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Orlando is atop the Southeast Division but they have done most of their damage at home, going 11-2 at the Amway Center compared to a 5-6 road mark on the year. We saw the Magic struggle in their matchup against the Celtics Friday night in a game where Boston didn’t have Horford or Porzingis in the mix, yet they still won by 17. Boston is a perfect 13-0 at home this season with only two of those games decided by six points or less. The Celtics are a dangerous team on the offensive end and they get the job done making life tough for opposing squads defensively. Look for this game to go in favor of Boston as Tatum, Brown and company do their part once again. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Patriots | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Chiefs are 5-0 SUATS when coming off a home loss, while head coach Andy Reid stands 25-15 ATS in his career after a pair of setbacks, including 4-0 SUATS the last four games. On the other side of the fi eld, the Hoodie is 16-9 ATS at home when coming off a SU underdog win - but 0-3 SUATS the last three games. With one team fighting for playoff positioning, and the other a bad team off a surprise win, lay it. |
|||||||
12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -2.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The Injury Reaper can’t let go of the Browns, who cling to the No. 5 spot in the AFC Playoff Picture. They currently hold a 12 percent chance of winning the division over the Baltimore Ravens as they would need to go 3-1 to end the season while the Ravens go 1-3. While that seems unlikely, they have a game advantage over the rest of the AFC Wild Card candidates. Their current savior is veteran QB Joe Flacco, who was picked up off the junk heap as QB4, who is only 4-18 SU in his last 22 NFL starts – but 1-1 with Cleveland. He’s also 9-5 ATS in his career against the NFC North. The good news for the Browns is their 12-6 SU and 13-5 ATS record under Kevin Stefanski against NFC opposition, including 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as favorites of more than three points. With Da Bears riding a 1-9 SUATS skein in games when coming off a double digit ATS win, give the points. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Knicks v. Clippers -5.5 | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Because New York plays on Friday, a line and total were not set for this game at the time this preview was written. That is irrelevant because Los Angeles should dominate this game. Not only will the Knicks be fatigued after playing on Friday. New York is not only struggling, but they have given up at least 133 in three of the last four games. The Clippers are rolling. They have won their last five games by at least eight points. Look for the Clippers to win this game by at least 11. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | California v. Texas Tech -150 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 71 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units California’s players have been celebrating like they won the Super Bowl after a season-ending three-win surge to reach 6-6, which culminated with a massive 33-7 upset of hated UCLA. Party time is over, though, as we cast a critical eye on Cal’s miserable 1-8 ATS failure coming off a double-digit SU win and woeful 1-6 SU mark against fellow bowl teams this season. Texas Tech also closed strong down the stretch, winning 3 of its final four contests, and while the Red Raiders did get dismembered by Texas is their last game, their 7-0 ATS record off a loss as a dog puts them in a good spot tonight. Remember, Tech is one of only 8 Power five schools to have won consecutive bowl games the past two seasons. The Raiders were also considered to be a preseason contender to win the Big 12 this season but injuries got in the way. With Pac-12 bowlers just 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS since 2020, look for Joey McGuire and company to sign off with a signature win here as Texas Tech improves to 10-1 ATS when coming off a road loss. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Mavs -5 v. Blazers | 131-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The day off on Friday night will surely do this Mavericks team wonders, particularly superstar Doncic. Doncic has certainly been carrying the load for his team in Irving's absence. They have won four out of five games heading into Portland and Doncic is putting up MVP numbers. While the Mavs are susceptible to teams that can run an efficient offense, the Blazers are not that team. Additionally, the Blazers are not likely to slow down the Mavericks' high-octane offense. I expect another big night from Doncic and the superstar guard will find a teammate to play off of as he has throughout this current run. The Blazers give away too many possessions with turnovers and are last in the league in shooting. This one will be a big win for the Mavs. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Broncos +5.5 v. Lions | 17-42 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Denver is now 7-6 and on the come, while Kansas City is 8-5 and sliding backward. With it, the Broncos’ squad has allowed just 16 points per game over the last eight. Which means the AFC West has tightened up. Flipping the script, Detroit is looking more and more like Kansas City of late, as the Lions have dropped two of their last three contests and are having difficulty retaining momentum as they opened the door for the Vikings and Packers. Given the Wild Horses’ 3-0-1 ATS log on the road off a road contest, we’re looking to continue riding the team that is hot against the one that is not. Finally, Denver is 6-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back underdog roles. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +4.5 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What we’re likely overlooking is the success the Pac-12 had in games outside the conference this season. It was almost as though they wanted to put on a show as they went 29-7 SU and 19-9-1 ATS, including 9-1-1 ATS away from home. The UCLA Bruins were 3-0 outright in these games, matching Colorado, Oregon, Oregon State, Utah, and Washington. However, postseason play has been less impressive, with Pac-12 bowlers just 2-25 ATS versus foes coming off win, as well as 0-15 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss. The Bruins have gone 0-3 SUATS in their last three bowl games while Boise State has logged a 7-3 ATS effort in its last 10 bowls. The Broncos are also on a mini run under interim head coach Spencer Danielson, winning three straight including a 44-20 whipping of UNLV in the MWC Championship game. The bottom line is Boise went 7-2 ITS (In The Stats) versus fellow bowlers this season and the Broncos are conference champions taking points from a non-champion. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Rangers v. Bruins -110 | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bruins have won four of their last six games and three of their last four home games. They are playing well offensively and scored nine goals in their last three home games. They’ve also played well on special teams, converting over 22 percent of their power play opportunities. The Rangers have done a good job of killing penalties, but they’re not playing well defensively, giving up 13 goals in their last three road games, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bruins in this game. The Rangers have lost three of their last four games and two of their last three road games. They have struggled offensively in recent games, scoring only seven goals in their last three games. They’ve done a better job on special teams, converting over 30 percent of their power play opportunities. The Bruins are one of the best teams in the league when it comes to killing penalties and they’re playing well defensively, giving up only seven goals in their last four home games, so expect them to keep New York’s offense in check. Go with Boston to cover the spread. |
|||||||
12-16-23 | NC-Greensboro v. Marshall +2 | 65-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
|||||||
12-16-23 | Steelers +2 v. Colts | 13-30 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Defensive stud TJ Watt has been cleared from concussion protocol. How much does it matter, you ask? Plenty, considering the Steelers are 1-10 in games without the sack-master. Remember, the Burghers are 8-1 ATS when coming off a SUATS loss, and 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS the last seven games in this series. Finally, the Colts are 2-17 SU in this series since 1985 – including 0-3 SUATS the last three times they saddled up as chalk. |