Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-22 | Bears v. Patriots -8.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bears' offense has been terrible this season as they have struggled with an inexperienced offensive line and a young receiver group. Chicago has the 31st-ranked scoring offense in the NFL thus far this season. They are the #2 ranked rushing offense but are dead last in passing offense. In the red zone, the Bears are equally inept, ranking 28th in the league in red zone offensive efficiency. The Patriots' defense seems to be hitting its stride as they once again shut down an opponent. New England held the Browns #1 rushing attack to just 70 yards on the day. Overall, New England gave up 328 yards of total offense and had two interceptions and two fumble recoveries on the day. The Patriots had four sacks on the day and a whopping nine quarterback hits. They also had two tackles for loss in their second straight win. |
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10-24-22 | Capitals v. Devils -125 | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Jersey has gotten solid goaltending work out of Blackwood, who is 3-1-0 with a 2.02 GAA in the early going this season. The Devils have a lot of young talent along with the infusion of veteran leadership in the form of Ondrej Palat. Washington can’t afford to go down multiple goals in this game because it will be a challenge to get back in the game. Give the upper hand to the Devils at home as they make it four straight wins. |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
Inter-conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After starting 3-0 SUATS this season behind the lefty, the Fish ride a 0-3 SUATS skid entering this contest. The Dolphins have plummeted from being ranked fi rst in points per drive with Tagovailoa, to 29th without him. Tua, though, brings a lofty 16-9 SU and 15-9-1 ATS career mark into this battle, including 10-4 SUATS at home. Nonetheless, concussions take center stage in this contest with new rookie QB Kenny Pickett currently in concussion protocol. Steelers’ backup QB Mitchell Trubisky completed nine of 12 passes for 144 yards and a TD in relief of Pickett who left last week’s game woozy with a concussion. Another side bar issue today will be the return of former Miami head coach and current Pittsburgh defensive assistant Brian Flores, who’s has had run-ins with Fish owner Stephen Ross over reported ‘tanking’ issues. However, .500 or greater NFL teams, 0-3 SUATS in their last three games, are 14-1 SUATS since 2000 when facing a foe coming off a SU underdog win. |
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10-23-22 | Islanders v. Panthers -188 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The New York Islanders face the Florida Panthers with both teams heading in opposite directions to start the season. The Islanders are 2-3 and have lost back-to-back games while the Panthers have a 3-1-1 record and look like one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference. The two teams met earlier this season with the Panthers winning 3-1 but the Islanders are looking to even up the score and return to .500 on the season. |
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10-23-22 | Chiefs v. 49ers +2.5 | Top | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 8 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Kansas City is 8-18 ATS as a favorite when coming off one loss when facing a foe coming off a loss, including 3-14 ATS versus avenging foes. The bottom line, though, the Niners’ No. 1 ranked defense is 101 YPG superior to that of the Chiefs. That being the case, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan is 14-6 ATS as a dog with a win percentage of .333 or more, including 6-0 ATS versus .714 or fewer opponents. |
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10-23-22 | Padres v. Phillies -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Right-hander Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia in Game 5. He was dominant in Game 1 of the NLCS, throwing seven scoreless innings in the 2-0 win. Wheeler needed just 83 pitches to mow down the Padres, getting five of his six first-pitch outs via the fastball. He has allowed three runs and nine hits through 24.1 innings of work this month. Wheeler has been fantastic at home all year, posting a 1.85 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 53 strikeouts in seven appearances against San Diego in his career. |
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10-23-22 | Giants +3 v. Jaguars | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units It’s been another year of frustration for the Jags, whose shortened nickname seems apropos. At the helm is QB Trevor Lawrence who after setting an NFL record for most fumbles in a game (4) two weeks ago, comes off the best effort of his NFL career last week after he completed 20-of-22 passes for 165 yards and a touchdown while adding two more TDs on the ground. But it wasn’t enough as the Colts scored the game winning touchdown with 23 seconds remaining to win 34-27. In the process, though, he also set another NFL record when he became the first quarterback in league history to complete over 90% of his passes on 20-plus attempts, score three touchdowns, commit no turnovers, and yet still lose the game. So, our question is why is Jacksonville suiting up as the favorite in this contest against the G-Men? However, the Jaguars 0-18 SU and 2-16 ATS in their last eighteen games against NFC competition. |
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10-23-22 | Bucs -13 v. Panthers | 3-21 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units If the playoffs began this week, the 3-3 Bucs would surprisingly be the No 3 seed in the NFC, based on the fact they sit on top in the NFC South. The Panthers situation continues to worsen with each passing week. After WR Robbie Anderson was kicked off the sidelines following an altercation with coaches on Sunday against the Rams, he was traded to Arizona on Monday. What the Panthers really need is a quarterback. An ugly 1-8 ATS log in games before facing a division foe, coupled with the fact that not only is Tampa 6-1 ATS in this series, but also Brady’s 22-6-1 ATS away record after his team was upended as a favorite in its previous game, makes this a one-way look. |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | 10-19 | Loss | -104 | 45 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units The huge comeback win by the Colts last week vaults them back into contention in the wide-open AFC South where suddenly, if the NFL playoffs were to start this week, Indy would be the 7th and final seed from the AFC. Their counterpart Titans, by virtue of leading the AFC South, would hold down the No. 3 seed. Teams 3-2 teams after a 0-2 start (Tennessee) are 17-11-1 ATS in Game Six, but 0-3 SUATS when coming off a Bye week. In addition, the Titans are winless, 0-5, ITS (In The Stats) this season. Yes, we’d call them a false favorite in this matchup, especially with the Colts playing with a triple revenge chip on their shoulder. With the Nashville Cats 3-12 ATS in the first of consecutive division games, and the Colts 7-1 ATS versus opponents coming off Bye week. |
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10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Despite the Frogs’ unbeaten winning streak, they’re just 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten Big 12 battles, and 2-7 ATS as favorites of 7 or fewer points. TCU is also 2-9 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games, 1-4 ATS with conference revenge the last two years, and 1-6 ATS home versus a conference foe with rest. That’s a lot of money burning, folks, and it gets worse when we see that the Wildcats are on a 4-0 ATS skein versus the Frogs, and 5-1 ATS record of late when playing in Fort Worth. We’re not done: K-State is 6-0 ATS in the second of consecutive Big 12 road affairs, and 10-1-1 ATS in the last twelve versus foes playing with conference revenge. Finally, the Wildcats are 6-1 ATS after scoring 10 or fewer points (beat Iowa State, 10-9) and if you think that scoreboard drought will be a problem, the last time Chris Klieman’s crew was held to 10 points, they dropped 41 on Oklahoma the following week. Finally consider that KSU head coach Klieman is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS against undefeated opponents coming off a win of 3-plus points, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a dog. |
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10-22-22 | Mississippi State +21 v. Alabama | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -100 | 51 h 26 m | Show |
SEC Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Bama’s 40 straight appearances in the Top 5 ends as they fall to No. 6 entering this contest. However, before knee-jerking and deciding to back Bama here, you need to know that Nick Saban is just 6-13 ATS in his CFB head coaching career, including just 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS at home when coming off a SUATS loss and facing an FBS opponent. Mississippi State HC, Mike Leach is 30-15 ATS after a double digit loss, including 15-4 ATS in the last 19 games. Additionally playing against any unrested double-digit conference favorite from Game 7 out off its first loss of the season as a conference favorite of more than 7 points if they’re facing a greater than .333 conference foe off a loss is 15-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-22-22 | Astros v. Yankees -138 | 5-0 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Back home with a righty on the mound, the Yankees will have Matt Carpenter available for a full game in front of that short right field porch for the first time in the playoffs. While Javier has pitched extremely well to close the season and against the Yankees as well, pitching at Yankee Stadium in the playoffs is a different animal. Cole has proven to be a true stopper in the playoffs and he will continue that role in this huge spot. Look for the Yankees to chip away for enough runs and Cole to get them into the 8th inning to close this one out. |
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10-22-22 | Vanderbilt v. Missouri -14 | 14-17 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 units Defensively, Missouri has allowed 26 points or less in four straight, including a near miss at home against Georgia (26-22), and a road trip to Florida, where they fell by seven as double-digit underdogs. QB Brady Cook looks to be evolving, completing 67.7 percent of his passes over the last two weeks, while running backs Nathaniel Peat and Cody Schrader are both averaging at least 5.0 yards per carry, which should play well against Vandy’s 87th-ranked rush defense that’s allowing 4.7 ypc and 10 touchdowns in conference. Missouri is winless in conference, and have to get on track, another reason we should expect max effort from a rested side |
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10-22-22 | UCLA +6.5 v. Oregon | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Amazingly OU West is terrible at defending their turf in a triple revenge match, going 0-4 ATS against a foe seeking to finally win one. Oregon is also on shaky ground in this series when coming off an ATS win of 13 or greater, going 0-5 ATS. The Bruins have a large stack of good numbers: 6-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or fewer points, 3-1 ATS off a home dog win – and Chip Kelly’s gambling numbers are even more intimidating. He’s 20-4 SU and 18-6 ATS away off a win as a college coach. Consider as well that 6-0 dogs are 17-5-1 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a win of 10 points or more. |
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10-22-22 | Wild v. Bruins -109 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Bruins are starting to get some players back, including Grzelcyk who should help the defensive pairings. Thus far, the Bruins seem to be generating offense despite the absence of 2021-22 leading scorer Marchand. David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron have led the way with eight and six points respectively and Jake DeBrusk has three goals and five points since returning from injury. The Wild have struggled on the defensive end, allowing 5.75 GAA and saving just .833% of shots on their net. Meanwhile, the Wild are only converting on 10% of their shots on goal compared with 12% for the Bruins. Boston has better special teams, is better off the draw and stronger defensively. |
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10-22-22 | Toledo v. Buffalo +7.5 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show |
MAC game of the Month Rating: 5 Units After a slow 0-3 start, the Bulls have kicked their heels and ride a 4-0 SUATS win skein entering this contest. The offense has averaged 36.5 PPG in those four games, while the defense has held its last two opponents to just 7 points apiece. Buffalo in this series is 5-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 ATS at UB Stadium. Buffalo is also 12-4-1 ATS as a home dog, including 5-0-1 ATS versus greater than .700 opposition. Head coach Maurice Linguist, had sunk to 4-11 with the Bulls until they went on their recent 4 game rampage. Buffalo is 7-2 SU and 8-0-1 ATS versus foes coming off a SUATS favorite win. Also, consider that playing on any college football home dog who is 4-0 SUATS in its last four games if they were favored in their last game is 22-9 ATS since 1980, including 20-4 ATS if they are facing a foe coming off consecutive wins.. |
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10-21-22 | Suns -5 v. Blazers | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns have won six of their last seven contests against the Trail Blazers and are 9-3 ATS in their previous 12 meetings with Portland. The Trail Blazers have only covered twice in their last nine showings at Moda Center. |
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10-21-22 | Raptors +2.5 v. Nets | 105-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This contest will be interesting as the Nets looked lackadaisical for long stretches of the game against the Pelicans. Sure, New Orleans got a boost from the return of Zion Williamson but the fact remains that the Nets were hammered right out of the gate. Toronto had their struggles against a Cleveland squad that added Donovan Mitchell in an offseason trade but came up with the clutch plays down the stretch to earn the victory. The Nets still have Durant and Irving to lead the way though their showing against the Pelicans is cause for concern. Given what we saw from Brooklyn on both ends of the floor, it’s tough to like them here, even at home. Take the points and the Raptors here as they claw out a win on the road. |
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10-21-22 | Pistons v. Knicks -7 | 106-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks lost their opener, but there is a lot to like there. They came back, on the road, and sent it to overtime against a good team. Now, they play their home opener and I would be shocked if they did not win it in front of a pumped up home crowd at Madison Square Garden. Detroit is going to be a team to be reckoned with, this season, with loads of top young talent. But this scene at MSG will be a lot to handle for a young team not used to winning on the road. Barrett was awful in game 1 and I expect a bounce back, and look for Brunson to put on a show in his home opener in front of the new fans. |
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10-21-22 | Padres -109 v. Phillies | 2-4 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Diego has a very clear pitching advantage on Friday night, so I do not know why this line is a pick’em. Musgrove has been one of the best starters in the majors this season, and he has turned it up another notch in the playoffs. He has a 1.38 ERA across his two starts this postseason and has a strong history against Philadelphia during his career. Suarez struggled to find the strike zone during his first career playoff start last week and does not have nearly as much big-game experience to draw upon as Musgrove does. The Phillies have the advantage of playing at home, but that is not nearly as meaningful as it is in other sports. |
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10-21-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -105 | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lightning are off to a slow start with their offense scoring only 10 goals in their first four games. While Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, and Brayden Point have combined for seven goals and seven assists to lead the top two lines, the rest of the offense has struggled. The Panthers are having a great start to the season with their offense stepping up and scoring 3.50 goals per game. Matthew Tkachuk, Colin White, and Sam Bennett have scored five goals and nine assists to lead the top two lines but the rest of the offense has also stepped up. Aleksander Barkov, Eetu Luostarinen, and Carter Verhaeghe have combined for three goals and six assists while defensemen Gustav Forsling and Radko Gudas have added one goal and five assists from the point to open up the offense. |
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10-20-22 | Saints v. Cardinals -140 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Saints have struggled mightily on Thursdays in non-division clashes going 0-6-2 ATS. Looking inside the stats, Arizona has out yarded each of its last five opponents. So, while New Orleans is 5-0 ATS away off back-to-back home games, and 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a road dog, and the Cards are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall home games, we’re banking on Hopkins’ shot-in-the-arm return to be the magic elixir the Redbirds so desperately need. |
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10-20-22 | Yankees v. Astros -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Astros as a team are hitting just .220 in four games but have nearly as many home runs as the Yankees with 9 in two less games. The Astros have yet to lose in the postseason despite the fact that Jose Altuve is now 0-for-16 in the postseason. Simply put, the Yankees have far too many outs in their lineup and have scored solely on the long ball. Until they get some production from the likes of Torres and Donaldson among others, it is impossible to lean the Yankees way. Valdez will give the Astros six to seven innings while Severino will likely leave after five innings. I like my chances much better with the back end of the Astros bullpen than I do with the Yankees. |
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10-20-22 | Devils v. Islanders -149 | 4-1 | Loss | -149 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils are looking to build off a strong win and pull off the upset in the upcoming game. The problem is that the Islanders have played great recently and look to control this game from the first period. The Islanders, who have scored 12 goals in the last two games, should pile on the goals with Brock Nelson, Anders Lee, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes while Noah Dobson fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Islanders also look to limit the Devils' offense with Adam Pelech, Ryan Pulock, and the rest of the defense creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Ilya Sorokin to make plenty of big saves. The Islanders should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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10-19-22 | Blues -120 v. Seattle Kraken | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues, who opened with a 5-2 victory against visiting Columbus on Saturday by scoring three unanswered goals in the third period, will return to the ice tonight in Seattle, opening a three-game trip that includes stops in Edmonton and Winnipeg. The Blues won all three games against the expansion Kraken last season, outscoring them 11-2. The Kraken opened the season by taking three of a possible four points on a Southern California swing to Anaheim and Los Angeles, but have struggled since returning home to Climate Pledge Arena. They fell behind by five goals in a 5-2 loss to Vegas on Saturday, then dropped a 5-1 decision to Carolina on Monday. |
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10-19-22 | Yankees v. Astros -169 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In the four starts after his return, Verlander went 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 23 innings -- stellar statistics but an overall performance that, according to Verlander, paled compared to the roll he was on prior to the setback. In the 11 starts before the DL stint, Verlander went 8-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings. Verlander is 9-7 with a 3.44 ERA in 23 career regular-season starts against the Yankees, 4-1 with a 2.75 ERA in eight career postseason starts. The Yankees will arrive in Houston late off their elimination of the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Division Series on Tuesday night, providing the Astros an edge. |
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10-18-22 | Kings v. Predators -150 | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Predators are coming off back-to-back losses and are looking to make a statement on their home ice and as a result, look to control this game from the opening puck drop. The Predators' offense looks to step up and pile on the goals against a Kings’ defense that allows 4.67 goals per game with Nino Niederreiter, Ryan Johansen, and the rest of the forward unit controlling the puck in the offensive zone and finds open shots on the net while Roman Josi steps up and fires shots on the net from the blue line. The Predators also look to step up on the defensive end of the ice with Roman Josi, Dante Fabbro, and the rest of the unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Juuse Saros to step up and make big saves throughout the game. The Predators should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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10-18-22 | Phillies +110 v. Padres | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Phillies rank third out of the 12 playoff teams offensively, batting at a .237 clip. Designated hitter Bryce Harper leads the team with 10 hits and six RBIs, including three home runs. He is facing a San Diego pitching staff that is No. 5 this postseason with an ERA of 2.80. Right-handed pitcher Zack Wheeler is expected to start for Philadelphia on Tuesday. He has pitched in 12.1 innings this postseason, going 0-1 with a sparkling 2.19 ERA. Wheeler has been excellent against San Diego during his career, posting a 2.06 ERA and striking out 53 batters across seven appearances. He threw seven scoreless innings against San Diego in May, allowing four hits and no walks while striking out nine. |
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10-17-22 | Broncos v. Chargers -4 | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units This one is a matchup of a team that can’t score against one that has had major issues keeping the opposition off the scoreboard this season. Denver is second-worst in the league in scoring and their inability to put the ball in the end zone proved too much to overcome against a Colts team that is dead last in scoring offense. That puts Wilson and company in a tough situation here as the Chargers are in the upper echelon of scoring offenses in the league. Denver’s defense has been solid and kept them in games this season though they face a stiff challenge here. Ekeler has been on fire the last couple of weeks and Herbert is getting healthier after suffering that rib injury back in week two against the Chiefs. Playing at home with the potential of having Allen back in the mix here makes the Chargers too dangerous for the Broncos to handle. |
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10-17-22 | Kings v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Jonathan Quick is definitely better than the beginning of the season has show shown while Ville Husso is every bit as good as his first game indicated. Quick still has a .903 save percentage, which is decent but needs to be better. Neither team has been aggressive in order to get shots up as the Kings are attempting 30.3 shots per game, which is 19th in this young season while the Red Wings are shooting 31 shots per game, which ranks 18th. The under has hit in each of the previous four Kings games against Eastern Conference opponents as well as being 7-2-1 in the last 10 Red Wings Monday games. |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The stat that jumps out in this contest is that both teams rank No. 1 and 2 in Net Turnover Margin, with Philly +1.8 and Dallas +1.0. For what it’s worth, the Eagles are 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS under Nick Sirianni in games in which they lose the TOs, while the Cowboys are 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS the same way under Mike McCarthy. Meanwhile, where Sunday night home teams coming off consecutive wins tend to struggle, there is no refuting the fact that teams who just upset the defending Super Bowl champions are close to no shows the following game. The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in games after Rams, and the Eagles seeking triple revenge it's important knowing America’s Team is a meager 1-9 SUATS away versus .428 or greater foes seeking triple revenge. Finally, playing against any NFL away team who upset the defending Super Bowl champion in their last game by 7+ points and scored 28+ points if they’re facing a .400 > foe and the O/U total in this game is < 44 is a PERFECT 15-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +165 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cole will be under immense pressure to get deep into this game as the Yankees have taxed some of their key bullpen pieces, namely Peralta and Jonathan Loaisiga each of whom has pitched in all three games of the series thus far. Yankees closer Clay Holmes was not available to close out game and has only made two appearances of 2/3 of an inning each. Cleveland does an excellent job of extending at bats and their game plan tonight will certainly be to push Cole near 100 pitches as early as possible. Cleveland starter, Quantrill is 9-0 at home this season. He has allowed 14 home runs in 19 home starts this year and that will be the key, keep the Yankees in the yard. He will and the Guardians will close this series out. |
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10-16-22 | Bills v. Chiefs +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 4 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units It starts with KC QB Patrick Mahomes’ 12-1 SU mark versus .777 or greater foes, as well as his 4-1 SUATS record at home versus the AFC East during the regular season. On the flip side, Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled away in his NFL career against .700 or better foes, going just 2-5 SUATS. Digging deeper, the Bills are 1-12 ATS in the 2nd quarter of the season (Games 5-8) with a .500 or greater win percentage when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent coming off a home game. Head coach Andy Reid brings in a 28-9-1 ATS dog log into this prime time showdown when coming off consecutive wins, including 4-0-1 ATS at home. Consider also that the Chiefs QB Mahomes is 9-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career. |
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10-16-22 | Bucs v. Steelers +10 | 18-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin has been at his best taking points at home, going 12-2-5 ATS in his career, including 5-0-2 ATS since 2018. And for what it’s worth, he is 10-3 SUATS overall when coming off a loss of 17 or more points – including 4-0 ATS as a dog. Tampa enters just 2-6 ATS as road chalk of 4 or more points, and 1-5 ATS the last six games in this series. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against NFC South. Finally, consider that NFL non-division road favorites off three straight home games are 1-16 ATS when facing foes coming off consecutive losses, the last by 13 or more points. |
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10-16-22 | Jaguars +1.5 v. Colts | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacksonville out gained Houston by 174 yards in last week’s 13-6 loss. The Jags are also 9-1-1 ATS the last eleven games in this series, as well as 4-1-1 ATS against foes coming off a Thursday contest. On the other side of the field, Indy is on a 0-4 SUATS losing slide when coming off a SU underdog win, while head coach Frank Reich is only 12-22-2 ATS against sub .500 opponents, including 3-10-1 ATS when coming off a win. Finally, Indy is a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight division home games. |
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10-16-22 | Jets v. Packers OVER 45 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 vs. a team with a winning record, 6-2 in Jets last 8 games following a straight up win, 6-2 in Jets last 8 road games and 13-6 in Jets last 19 games overall. While the Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. |
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10-15-22 | Clemson -3.5 v. Florida State | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units FSU is 1-4 ATS at home in a conference revenge game, 1-4 ATS before the Bye week, 2-7 ATS in Game 7. Tigers haven't posted those eye-popping winning margins as was a weekly happening in the Watson & Lawrence glory years, but just keep getting it done, with QB Uiagalelei improving by the week, standing at a sweet 14/2 TD/INT ratio. Clemson is 4-0 ATS in the last four of this series. Clemson is clearly improving and a groggy bunch of Seminoles hungover from last week is just what the Tigers should munch on to remain unbeaten. |
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10-15-22 | Lightning v. Penguins -140 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The offense carried the Penguins but the defense also stepped up, allowing only two goals in the opening night win. Kris Letang and Brian Dumoulin led the top pairing but the entire unit stepped up with Jeff Petry, Marcus Pettersson, and the rest of the defense creating turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while also limiting shots on the net. Additionally, goaltender Tristan Jarry looks to build off a start where he saved 26 of the 28 shots he faced. |
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10-15-22 | LSU +2.5 v. Florida | Top | 45-35 | Win | 100 | 74 h 29 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The bottom line is that Brian Kelly will need to do a better job or his one-game deficit in the SEC West will be blowing in the wind. At least he helps himself by bringing along a 21-12 ATS record as a road dog, including 9-1 ATS off an ATS loss of 9 or more points. LSU has also held its own in the last nine series contests with Florida, going 6-2-1 ATS overall and 3-1 SUATS away. New Gators head coach Billy Napier looks to be behind the 8-ball here, as the host team has gone 1-4 ATS in five lined games under Napier this season. Florida also hasn’t fared well of late in home games when playing with SEC revenge, going just 1-4 ATS. Consider finally, that Napier stands 5-11-1 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS versus .666 or greater opponents. |
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10-15-22 | Arkansas v. BYU | Top | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
Inter-Conference Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units First, BYU in the favorite role at home is 2-6 ATS when the spread is under 6 points. Second, Arkansas is 5-1 ATS as a dog of 6 or less. Third, the Razorbacks are a sharp 4-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games. Even better, or worse depending on whom you’re rooting for, a top-notch SEC underdog coming off losses to Bama and Texas A&M finds itself 7-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in this situation. Consider that the Cougars have not faired well versus the SEC going 1-8 ATS versus SEC foes since 1990. |
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10-15-22 | Braves -119 v. Phillies | 3-8 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was happy to back Philadelphia as a slight home favorite on Friday afternoon in the team’s first playoff game in more than a decade. However, I am equally as happy to back the Braves in an elimination game on Saturday. They have faced plenty of challenges over the past few seasons en route to winning the World Series last year and the NL East for the fifth straight year. Morton has a ton of playoff experience to rely on heading into this start, while Syndergaard is winless in his career against Atlanta. Morton is 4-0 with an 0.95 ERA in playoff elimination games. The Braves have too much talent and experience to lose this series in four games. |
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10-15-22 | Penn State +7 v. Michigan | 17-41 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Penn State has gone 2-0 SUATS so far in road trips this season while Michigan’s sole cover in three home games came against pitiful Connecticut. Penn State is also 4-1-1 ATS as dogs versus an undefeated conference opponent, and head coach James Franklin chips in with a money-making 37-18-1 ATS mark when coming off consecutive wins. Additionally the Lions bring in a 21-4 SU and 17-6-1 ATS record when undefeated, including 14-2-1 ATS when facing winning foes. To Cap it off, Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh is 2-11 ATS in his CFB career in games involving undefeated opponents, including 0-9 ATS the last nine games. |
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10-15-22 | Iowa State +16.5 v. Texas | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Texas is a miserable 1-8 ATS as double-digit chalk in conference games. On the flip side, the Cyclones are 6-0 ATS as dogs of 3-plus points when coming off a loss, and following a tough 1-point loss at home against Kansas State last week, the Cyclones suddenly find themselves with their backs to the college bowl wall. That’s where head coach Matt Campbell comes to the rescue, as he is 10-1 ATS as a double-digit dog in conference games, including 10-0 ATS versus .500 or greater foes. |
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10-15-22 | Auburn v. Ole Miss -14.5 | 34-48 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Ole Miss doesn't have any reason to look past Auburn despite the Tigers' .500 record and struggling offense. The meat of the Rebels schedule awaits them after this game with matchups at LSU, at Texas A&M and finally at home against Alabama. The Rebels need a convincing win against Auburn as they ready for a make-or-break run in the SEC. Ole Miss's ground game should easily overwhelm Auburn's 62nd ranked rushing defense and the new wrinkle of a solid passing attack will likely be unveiled yet again when Auburn attempts to stack the box. Kiffin has never been known for his modest goals so don't expect the Ole Miss taskmaster to take his foot off the gas in this game. |
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10-14-22 | Rangers +113 v. Jets | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New York played well defensively, giving up one goal in their win over the Lightning. They also did a good job on special teams, killing 83.3 percent of their penalties. They will need another solid defensive effort if they want to get the win. In his last start, Igor Shesterkin saved 25 of the 26 shots he faced, finishing the game with a 1.01 GAA and a .962 save percentage. He is 3-0-0 in three games against the Jets with a 0.69 GAA and a .983 save percentage. |
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10-14-22 | Navy +12.5 v. SMU | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units SMU is only 1-6 ATS in Weekday games and 1-4 ATS versus opponents with double revenge, but they’re also 0-7 ATS as conference home favorites when coming off consecutive losses. That’s a perfect set-up for Navy’s mind boggling 15-0-1 ATS as a dog off a win versus losing foes. |
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10-14-22 | Braves v. Phillies +100 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia did not compete with New York and Atlanta in the NL East this season, but the Phillies can be the lone team to advance to the NLCS this year. They were underdogs against St. Louis in the NL Wild Card round, spoiling the going away party for Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina in a two-game sweep. The Phillies got off to a strong start in this series, racing out to a 7-1 lead before giving up some late runs on Tuesday. Their offense went cold on Wednesday, but they are now going home to what will be a raucous environment today. It will be either veteran Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.34 ERA) or star rookie Spencer Strider (11-5, 2.67 ERA). Morton struggled over the final month of the regular season, posting a 5.40 ERA in 31.2 innings. Strider was questionable to even make the NLDS roster due to an oblique injury that he suffered in mid-September. He posted a 1.27 ERA in 21.1 innings against Philadelphia this year, but he would likely only be available for a few innings in this game due to load management. |
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10-13-22 | Stars v. Predators -130 | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the offense has stepped up, the defense has been dominant early on this year, allowing only three goals in the first two games. Roman Josi and Alexandre Carrier have led the top pairing but Ryan McDonagh, Mattias Ekholm, and Dante Fabbro have also stepped up to help round out the defense. Moreover, goaltender Juuse Saros had a remarkable first start of the season where he saved 30 of the 31 shots he faced. |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Owls are just 1-4 ATS in this series and riding a 0-6 SUATS losing skein in their last six road games. Ugh. Meanwhile, UCF’s program continues to live the high life (nine bowls in last ten seasons), though fans were somewhat disappointed in Gus Malzahn’s 9-4 debut last year after finishing 41-8 the previous four seasons. They were also quite upset when the Knights took the biggest fall in the AP Poll two weeks ago, snapping a 33-week streak of being ranked. However, UCF has won three straight and with an extra week to prepare, should be in a salty mood here tonight. Since they’ve beaten the Owls by 109 points in the last three meetings, we look for more of the same this evening. |
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10-13-22 | Mariners +150 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Seattle Mariners mounted a spectacular comeback against the Blue Jays and this time they were the team squandering a big 7-3 lead late in game one on Tuesday and could not hold on for the win. Fortunately, the Mariners have Luis Castillo on the mound in this one. The right-hander was spectacular in the Wildcard, breezing through 7.1 shutout innings against the Blue Jays. Castillo has allowed just one run in his 12.2 career postseason innings. Framber Valdez wasn’t at his best late in the season. He posted a 3.90 ERA in the month of September. I also like the fact Seattle is slightly more productive against lefties, recording a .713 OPS against left-handed starting pitchers compared to .702 against right-handers. Valdez was horrible in the playoffs last year, surrendering 17 runs in 19.2 innings, resulting in a 7.78 ERA. |
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10-12-22 | Phillies v. Braves -135 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-hander Kyle Wright is set to start for Atlanta in Game 2. He picked up a win against New York 10 days ago, allowing two runs on seven hits while striking out three. Wright led the majors with 21 wins this season, finishing with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has a 2-3 record and a 3.86 ERA in six appearances against Philadelphia, allowing six earned runs in three outings this season. Wright was instrumental during Atlanta’s World Series run last year, allowing one run in 5.2 innings out of the bullpen. The Braves scored five consecutive runs late in Tuesday’s game, giving them some momentum coming into this game. They are 11-4 in their last 15 games against Philadelphia. |
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10-12-22 | Bruins v. Capitals -131 | 5-2 | Loss | -131 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams come in banged up but the Bruins will have more to overcome in this one without their #1 defenseman in McAvoy and arguably their best winger on both the power play and penalty kill in Marchand. Montgomery wants to instill a defensive mindset for the Bruins but losing two key pieces that protect the back line will impact the Bruins for much of the first month of the season. Washington comes in banged up as well but has the firepower to do damage against the depleted Bruins' defense. Expect a fairly tight game but one that will be controlled by the Capitals. The Caps have a number of key veterans on expiring deals that will come out with something to prove this season. The first team to face their wrath will be Boston. |
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10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In his last three starts, Urias has no record with a 1.10 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, four walks and 14 strikeouts over 16.1 innings of work. Urias makes his 16th career appearance and 11th start against the Padres in this contest. He comes in 6-1 with a 2.19 ERA, a 0.989 WHIP, 22 walks and 59 strikeouts over 61.2 innings of work against them. Urias is 20-7 with three saves, a 2.95 ERA, a 1.082 WHIP, 80 walks and 283 strikeouts over 293 innings in 67 career appearances, 49 starts, at Dodger Stadium. |
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10-11-22 | Phillies v. Braves -195 | 7-6 | Loss | -195 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Atlanta is not only the reigning World Series champions, but they also erased a 10.5-game deficit in the NL East this season, coming back to take down New York last weekend. Atlanta has won 13 of its last 14 home games and has its rested ace on the mound, while Philadelphia is having to manage its rotation after playing two games this past weekend. The Braves won the season series against the Phillies and are primed to get off to a strong start on this afternoon. |
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10-10-22 | Raiders v. Chiefs -7 | 29-30 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Playing On any Monday night home team coming off back-to-back away games if they are facing a foe coming off a home game. That’s because these MNF hosts are 33-13 ATS in this role when coming off a SUATS win. Tie in the Raiders’ 1-7 ATS mark in games when seeking triple revenge, and their 1-4 ATS record in their last five division road games, and we certainly don’t want to go against Mahomes here, not when he sports a 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS record under the Monday Night lights. |
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10-09-22 | Bengals +3 v. Ravens | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 96 h 51 m | Show |
SNF Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Baltimore has been outgained in all four games this season. Cincinnati’s strength this season has been its defense as they rank No. 8 in points allowed and No. 11 in overall yards allowed. They are also one of five teams that have been installed as a favorite in every game this year – yet dress up as a dog today. Finally, consider that Cincinnati is 12-1 ATS against foes seeking double revenge. |
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10-09-22 | 49ers -6.5 v. Panthers | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall. The 49ers have only covered the spread twice in their last nine meetings with Carolina, but the Panthers have gone 1-10 ATS in their previous 11 contests overall. San Francisco is scoring just 17.8 points per game (tied-27th), but the Niners’ defense could easily add to the scoreboard while shutting down Baker Mayfield and Christian McCaffrey. Baker Mayfield had a bad day in the office against Arizona’s defense, going 22-of-36 for 197 yards, a TD, and a couple of interceptions. He also lost a fumble, so it’s no strange Baker was booed by the home fans. Christian McCaffrey posted eight totes for 27 yards while catching all of his nine targets for 81 yards and a TD, and DJ Moore added six receptions for 50 yards. |
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10-09-22 | Dolphins v. Jets +3.5 | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 89 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 units Wilson’s late 81-and-65-yard drives to defeat the Steelers last week and with it they bring a Top 10 ranked offense and defense in this game. That makes them a dog with the better offense and the better defense, and that tells us, we’d better take the points. The Dolphins are just 1-7 ATS in this series. To cap it off, playing against any .545 > NFL away team off a loss, that was preceded by three wins, who won 9 or fewer games last season if they are facing a division foe off a win is 16-1 ATS since 1980. |
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10-09-22 | Falcons v. Bucs -8.5 | Top | 15-21 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 50 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Brady is 12-4 ATS in his NFL career when his team is coming off consecutive losses, as well as 23-7 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit loss. To clinch it, Brady is 7-1 ATS when his team is coming off a double-digit home loss, including 7-0 ATS the last seven games. |
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10-09-22 | Steelers +14.5 v. Bills | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tomlin is 5-0 SUATS the last five games overall when riding a losing streak of three or more games. All of which ties into his terrific 34-9 SU and 28-12-3 ATS mark in games without a winning record from Game Five out in his career – including 11-3 SU and 12-1-1 ATS as a dog. Meanwhile, the Bills return home off a gift at Baltimore where head coach John Harbaugh fell asleep at the wheel while allowing Buffalo to escape with a win. It doesn’t help knowing Buffalo is just 3-7 ATS when coming off back-to-back travelers as well as 3-5 ATS when hosting AFC North guests. |
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10-08-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals +113 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miles Mikolas is as reliable as it gets. The right-hander posted a stifling 2.32 ERA in his five September starts. Mikolas contained the Phillies in the two meetings this season. He held them to four runs (only two earned) in 5.1 innings on the road in the first encounter and limited them to one run in 7.1 innings in a 6-1 win at Busch Stadium. I also like the fact that Mikolas has postseason experience. He has only allowed two runs in 12 career postseason innings. |
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10-08-22 | Washington State +13.5 v. USC | Top | 14-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 1 m | Show |
PAC-12 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Washington State is 7-2 ATS as the visitor in this series and 12-3 ATS in Game One of back-to-back road games. Looking up another Washington State stat yields: 7-0 ATS on the road against double-digit unbeaten favorites. USC makes this decision easier by being 2-11 ATS in Game 6, 1-6 ATS home versus conference triple vengeance, and 2-6 ATS in game two of a back-to-back conference affair at home. Add to that the risk of SC looking ahead to a big-time revenge matchup with Utah next week and the LA crowd might be distracted. |
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10-08-22 | North Carolina +3.5 v. Miami-FL | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mack Brown is a soothing 7-2 ATS with the Heels against rested foes, including 5-0 ATS the last five. Word out of Coral Gables is there is more wrong with this Miami team than just QB Tyler Van Dyke, who has lost a ton off his fastball and is missing wide receivers at an alarming rate this season. The honeymoon appears to be over with 1st year head coach Mario Cristobal after the shocking loss to Middle Tennessee, which won’t be helped by his 4-8 ATS record when coming off a SU favorite loss. Most important, playing against any college football favorite coming off an upset loss as a favorite of 20 or more points if they’re facing a .400 or greater foe is 44-25-2 ATS. |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians -107 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The upstart Guardians will now turn to right-hander Tristan McKenzie to lead them out of the wildcard round. McKenzie won 11 games this season and had an ERA of 2.95. At home, he is 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA this season. In addition, McKenzie has a 1.50 ERA against the Rays this season in one start. He went six innings, allowed three hits and one run while striking out six batters. He will have a fresh bullpen behind him as only Clase was called upon in game one. Like Bieber, McKenzie was dominant down the stretch with an ERA of 1.91 and a 2-0 record while striking out 9.82 batters per nine innings. |
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10-08-22 | Tennessee v. LSU +3 | Top | 40-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 21 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Kelly has been a home hero, going 18-7 SU at home versus undefeated foes, including 13-3 in games in which his troops allow fewer than 21 PPG. LSU is also 5-1 ATS versus conference opponents with rest, and 15-8 ATS as a home dog when coming off an ATS loss, including 4-0 SUATS over the last four. Last week’s win over Auburn was ugly, as Kelly’s team fell behind early, 17-0, before getting it into gear. Tennessee has solid wins against Florida and |
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10-08-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma +7 | 49-0 | Loss | -107 | 76 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Texas is 1-3 ATS in quadruple revenge games. Also, the Horns have been the dog in each of the last 13 games in this series, which makes the Sooners a dog and we simply can’t ignore these ill-at-ease underdogs as the Oklahoma Sooners are 19-1 SU in games off a loss in which they allowed 36 or more points when facing sub .750 opponents. Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian is 2-10 ATS as a favorite in his career off a SUATS win when facing a .500 or greater foe, including 0-8 ATS If his team scored fewer than 50 points in the win. |
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10-08-22 | Purdue +3 v. Maryland | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Purdue head coach Jeff Brohm is back in his groove as a dog of 4 or more points where he stands 21-6 ATS. Meanwhile, Maryland’s 4-1 SU start under head coach Mike Locksley is no mirage, as the Terps are the only team to actually threaten Michigan with defeat this season. Unfortunately for Maryland, coach Locksley has an 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS mark in his career versus foes coming off consecutive wins. We liked the way Brohm’s bunch handled the pressure of the big stage against Minnesota, and with 77 YPG the better defense, we’re back on the beat with the Boilermakers this week. |
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10-08-22 | TCU v. Kansas +7 | 38-31 | Push | 0 | 68 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Teams who beat Oklahoma are 4-12-1 ATS the following game as a favorite versus opponents coming off consecutive wins. KU is also 6-2 ATS in its last eight series meetings with the Frogs, and the series host has cashed five of the last six tickets. Consider that 5-0 teams in Game Six tend to do well as dogs, going 56-35-2 ATS overall. Additionally, when they take on an opponent that scored 48 or more points in its last contest, they skyrocket to 16-3-1 ATS. With TCU just 2-6 ATS of late as a Big 12 road favorite or road dog of 4 or fewer points, We'll take Kansas. |
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10-07-22 | Padres v. Mets -144 | 7-1 | Loss | -144 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yu Darvish hasn't had much postseason success through 7 games, and I'm a bit concerned for him here on the road. Yes, none of those games were with the Padres, but Darvish has a history of folding in pressure situations. Max Scherzer is about as solid as they come, he's won a world series, has a title under his belt and has a 3.22 ERA with 1.10 WHIP. At home this season, Scherzer has a 1.67 ERA and .200 allowed batting average. You can't name 5 pitchers you'd rather have on the mound in the postseason over Scherzer. You also don't get him at prices this cheap very often. |
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10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians -109 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland, which won four of the six meetings against Tampa Bay in the regular season, will send right-hander Shane Bieber (13-8, 2.88 ERA) to the mound on Friday. He will be opposed by Tampa Bay left-hander Shane McClanahan (12-8, 2.54). Bieber, like his team, finished the season with a flourish. The 2020 AL Cy Young Award recipient improved to 5-0 in his past six outings on Sunday after allowing one earned run in five innings of a 7-5 victory over the Kansas City Royals. McClanahan, 25, struggled in his lone career outing versus Cleveland, surrendering five runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-3 setback on July 31. |
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10-06-22 | Colts v. Broncos -170 | 12-9 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units A record 23 NFL games have been decided by a field goal or less this season and once again this has all the earmarks of the same. The 1-2-1 Colts are the most disappointing team in the league at this stage of the season (their win-total was 10 entering this season) and now stand 0-2-1 in AFC South contests this year. They have been outscored 65-23 in the fi rst half of games this season and are tied for 30th in turnover differential (-6). Sure, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven underdog roles, but until the not-solucky horseshoes iron things out, look for the Broncos to extend their streak to 4-0 ATS in this series, as the wild horses improve on their 4-0 SUATS all-time mark at home on Thursdays against non-division foes tonight. |
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10-04-22 | Giants +139 v. Padres | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Francisco might not have anything tangible to play for, but that has not stopped the Giants from playing great baseball over the past few weeks. They have won six of their last seven games coming into this series, and 11 of their last 13 overall. San Francisco is also 8-1 in its last nine road games. Rodon has been an excellent starting pitcher for them this season, while Manaea has struggled since the All-Star break. The Padres have been resting players and getting ready for the postseason, so their full attention will not be on San Francisco. |
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10-04-22 | Diamondbacks -112 v. Brewers | 0-3 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Brewers have lost five of their last seven games and four of their last six home games. They have struggled offensively, scoring only seven runs in their last three games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Gallen has done a good job on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up eight runs in his last five starts. He gave up three runs in three career starts against the Brewers and will keep their offense in check. The Diamondbacks split their last four games, but they are playing very well offensively, scoring 20 runs in their last four games. Even though Lauer has pitched well for the Brewers, he struggled in recent starts, giving up 11 runs in his last four starts. He gave up six runs in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks. |
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10-04-22 | Cubs +104 v. Reds | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cubs starter Javier Assad logged five shutout innings against the Phillies last time out and features a stellar 2.81 ERA in his four road outings. The Reds are slumping, going 1-6 in their last seven games. Reds' starter Luis Cessa has squandered seven runs in nine innings against the Cubs this season. |
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10-03-22 | Rams v. 49ers -120 | 9-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The 49ers and their mad-genius Coach Kyle Shanahan have now had two weeks to shape the team's game plan back towards an offense featuring Garoppolo at QB. I expect the Niners to feature Samuel more this week against the Rams, primarily on screens. In the playoff game against the Rams last season, Samuel ran for 45 yards and caught six passes for 95 yards. |
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10-03-22 | Braves -148 v. Marlins | 0-4 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves view this as a must-win game as they look to secure a division title. They have dominated the Marlins, winning 12 of the 16 meetings this season. The Braves earned the sweep in the previous series against the Marlins, outscoring the fish by a 17-3 margin. The Braves have won seven out of their last eight games after sweeping the Mets. Braves’ starter Bryce Elder has been dominant. The rookie has allowed just one run in his three starts this month spanning a total of 20 innings. He tossed six shutout innings against the fish in that span and has held them to only three runs in 17.2 innings. Marlins’ starter Jesus Luzardo has not fared well against the Braves, conceding nine runs in 13 career innings. |
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10-03-22 | Cubs +115 v. Reds | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is currently on an impressive streak, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games played. They are seeing the ball great right now and they have a great matchup in this game. Cincinnati will be starting Hunter Greene on the mound, as I see Chicago teeing off on him. He is currently 4-13 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. He is also 2-6 at home this season, as he has continued to struggle in front of his fans. Chicago has also won six games in a row. |
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10-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bucs | 41-31 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Brady has yet to get going because of a cluster injury problem to the Bucs’ offensive line and wide receiver corps. The Buccaneers are getting healthier in those areas. Mike Evans, Brady’s top target, comes off suspension. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS following a loss since Brady came on board in 2020. In addition, the GOAT’s is a stellar 11-1-1 ATS all-time as a home dog |
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10-02-22 | White Sox v. Padres -146 | 2-1 | Loss | -146 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The White Sox have lost eight of their last nine games and two of their last three road games. They aren’t playing well offensively, scoring only eight runs in their last three games. Things won’t get easier for them in this game because Snell has done a great job on the mound in recent starts, giving up one run in his last three starts. He gave up six runs in his last four home starts and will keep Chicago’s offense in check. The Padres have won eight of their last 11 games and three of their last five home games. |
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10-02-22 | Cardinals +1 v. Panthers | 26-16 | Win | 100 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units NFL home teams in Game Two of a three-game home stand, coming off a SU underdog win, are just 6-10-1 ATS versus non-division foes, including 0-3 SUATS when favored by fewer than three points. Toss in the Panthers’ 2-6 ATS record in the second of a three-game home stand and suddenly we’ve got the makings of a wobbly home favorite. To clinch the selections, Arizona head coach Kliff Kingsbury is 14-4-1 ATS as a road dog during the regular season with the Cardinals, including 7-0 SUATS the last seven games. |
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10-02-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals -194 | 7-5 | Loss | -194 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units The 41-year-old legend Adam Wainwright (11-11, 3.51 ERA) will make the start on Sunday. Against the Pirates this season, Wainwright is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA. At home Wainwright is 7-3 with a 2.61 ERA in 17 games. There is no better team Wainwright could be facing on Sunday, as he is a perfect 7-0 with a 0.55 ERA in his last seven starts against Pittsburgh going back to 2020. |
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10-02-22 | Rays v. Astros -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rays have been stumbling down the stretch. They have only won two out of their last six games entering Saturday due to a slumping offense. The offense only managed one run in four out of the six games in that span. The Astros continue to excel and have yet to lose a series all month. Rays’ starter Corey Kluber hasn’t been reliable. The veteran has posted a poor 5.18 ERA this month and the Rays have lost in three out of his last four starts. Meanwhile, Astros' starter Luis Garcia has been dominant, recording a minuscule 1.96 ERA in his four outings this month. |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Given the fact the Jags, with their new head coach Doug Pederson, are 0-10 ATS in the second of consecutive away games, they are also 0-4 ATS against the NFC East. On the other side of the coin, Philly is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against the AFC South. All good numbers in the Eagles’ favor, for sure. To cap all of this off, consider that playing one any NFL non-division home team in Game 4 if not favored by more than 7 points vs. a foe that scored more than 24 points in its last game is 17-3 ATS since 1980. |
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10-02-22 | Browns -115 v. Falcons | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
AFC Inter-Conference Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units Mariota owns nearly twice the career wins (31) than Browns signal caller Jacoby Brissett (16). However, the Hawaiian hurler is 3-10 SU and 2-11 ATS in his NFL career in games when his team is coming off a SU underdog win – including 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS when not taking three or more points, not to mention 1-6-1 ATS against AFC North opponents. We cap it off with the fact that Atlanta is 0-8 SUATS versus the AFC North since 2014, while Cleveland is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC South. |
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10-02-22 | Bills -160 v. Ravens | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We realize the Bills have lost seven straight one-score games, longest current skein in the league. However, we’ll fade Baltimore’s 1-8 ATS mark in games after New England games and instead bank on Sean McDermott’s amazing 11-3 SU and 11-1-2 ATS record in follow-up games after playing to a field goal or less in his last game. |
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10-01-22 | Rangers v. Angels -144 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Cole Ragans goes for the Rangers on Saturday evening. The right-hander is 0-3 on the season with an ERA of 5.40 in 8 starts. He has 25 strikeouts and 15 walks in 35 innings pitched. He gave up 3 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings in a loss to the Guardians in his last start. The Rangers have a team ERA of 4.22, which ranks 22nd in the major leagues. |
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10-01-22 | NC State v. Clemson -6.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Week Rating; 4 units Both teams are 4-0 on the season, this marks the Wolfpack’s first ACC tilt while the Tigers bring a 2-0 conference record into this affair. Recent ATS history offer full support to Clemson here, as they are 7-1 ATS as conference chalk of 8 or fewer points, plus the series host has cashed in three of the last four. That’s pretty strong considering State’s 1-7 ATS failure as a dog of 8 or fewer points, and a 1-4 ATS mark playing away from Raleigh after a non-conference home game. Most important, though, is the fact that the Wolfpack tripped up the Tigers, 27-21, as 10.5-point home dogs last season. With Dabo revenge in play here, we’ll lay the points as he has excelled in conference games when seeking revenge, going 14-6 SU and 13-7 ATS in his career, including a perfect 6-0 SUATS as a single-digit favorite. |
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10-01-22 | Royals v. Guardians -183 | 7-1 | Loss | -183 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units KC comes into Saturday's matchup with four straight losses and six in their last ten. Bubic is 0-4 in his last five starts and faces a Cleveland lineup that is averaging nearly six runs per game in their last ten games. Plesac has been outstanding against the Royals in his career with just one loss in seven decisions. This will be his last start for over a week so he will get the opportunity to throw a good number of pitches. He will finish 2022 strong against the struggling Royals. |
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10-01-22 | Northwestern +25.5 v. Penn State | 7-17 | Win | 100 | 32 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Northwestern has won the stats in every game they’ve played this season. The Lions find themselves laying more than 3 TDs for the third time in the last four games, and they’re currently 0-5 ATS as conference favorites of 18 or more points. In fact, head coach James Franklin has struggled as big chalk, going 9-12 ATS as a favorite of 24 or more points, including 2-7 ATS in conference games. After 16-plus years at the helm in Evanston, head coach Pat Fitzgerald has seen it all, and he knows his team has gone 5-1 ATS of late in their initial Big Ten road games of the season. The line hasn’t moved much from the PSU -25.5 opener, so we’ll grab the big points as Northwestern looks to improve to 5-0 ATS away after three straight home games. |
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10-01-22 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Baylor | 36-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Game Four rested teams who find themselves seeking revenge are 38-15 ATS in conference games when coming off a double-dig win. This week we find Oklahoma State fitting the bill. Better yet, put these rested revengers up against with foes coming off a win of 6-plus points and they zoom to 23-5 ATS in this role. |
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10-01-22 | Reds v. Cubs -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games and four of their last six home games. They usually aren’t very good offensively, but they are playing well at the moment, scoring 16 runs in their last four games. They will play well once again because Lodolo has been shaky on the mound in recent starts, giving up seven runs in his last three starts. He gave up four runs in his lone start against the Cubs and will have a hard time slowing them down. The Reds have lost six of their last seven games and seven of their last eight road games. |
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10-01-22 | Michigan v. Iowa +10.5 | Top | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
Big-10 Game of the Month Rating: 5 Units The 23 points given up by the Hawkeyes in their first four games are the fewest scored on the team since 1966. In addition, Iowa will be looking to avenge last season’s loss to Michigan,42-3, in the Big Ten title game. things to consider are that College football home dogs like Iowa, who won 10-plus games the previous season, are 3-0 ATS in Game Five versus undefeated foes playing their first road game of the season. Additionally, 4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in Game Five versus foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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10-01-22 | Kentucky +7 v. Ole Miss | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Ole Miss’ run success has been impressive, but Kentucky should be able to at least slow it, as they allow 3.7 yards per carry and three scores to date. That should force the Rebels to throw more than they’ve shown, and we think they haven’t shown it because they either aren’t confident, or aren’t capable. Consider that the Rebels are 0-3 ATS vs Double Conference Revenge, and strangely 3-10 ATS in the second of back-to-back games at the Oxford campus. |
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10-01-22 | Georgia State v. Army -8 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating; 2 Units Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This is especially true for teams that are either playing at home off a win, or in conference games when seeking revenge. These reinvigorated home teams take the field off a win with a week of rest in Game Four of the season, they are a super-strong 99-67-2 ATS overall since 1980, including 21-9-1 ATS when they sport a .333 win percentage. Army finds itself in this desirable role on Saturday. And better yet, they improve to 14-3-1 ATS in this role when coming off a win of 17-plus points, including 8-0 SUATS in they won 8 or more games last season. |
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09-30-22 | New Mexico v. UNLV -13.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lobo demise (9-41 SU, 10-27-1 ATS) may have actually crested with last week's 38-0 loss to LSU, with a stat debacle that saw 28-2 FD, & 633-88 TY deficits. Over its last 13 lined games, New Mexico has a 379-120 pt shortage, with its lone cover this season coming against a Unlv squad that turned it over no less than 7 times. Rebels have turned their spread fortunes around, with current 11-4-1 ATS run, covering their last home game by 28½. Lobos with just a 2-TD spot are a definite go-against in this. |
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09-30-22 | Washington v. UCLA +3 | 32-40 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Huskies look like they’ll be among the finalists for a berth in the season-ending Pac-12 championship games, our biggest concern is this is their first road outing after opening the season with four straight games at Husky Stadium. Another problem for DeBoer is the Bruins’ recent series domination, going 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS at home, including 4-0 ATS as a dog, as well as 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS with a win percentage of .700 or greater. UCLA practically matches the Huskies in the stats, with each team gaining 500-plus yards and surrendering less than 300 yards this campaign. Washington is also a horrible 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games with conference revenge. Additionally the Huskies are 3-9 ATS as Pac-12 road chalk. Finally, 4-0 College football favorites in their first road game are 1-7 ATS since 1980 in game five versus foes coming off consecutive wins. |
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09-30-22 | Reds v. Cubs -138 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Reds are stumbling in a big way down the final stretch, losing six out of their last seven games including an ugly sweep by the Pirates in that span. The Cubs are playing well, recording victory in six out of their last eight bouts including a three-game sweep against the Phillies this week. Reds’ starter Graham Ashcraft hasn’t been able to shut down the Cubs, squandering 11 runs (10 earned) in 8.2 innings spread across two performances. Cubs’ starter Adrian Sampson continues to shine, registering a minuscule 1.55 ERA in his five starts this month. He has held the Reds to three runs in 10 innings this season. |
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09-29-22 | Dolphins +4 v. Bengals | 15-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami showed their true grit knocking off everyone's AFC Darlings, the Bills. Tua toughed it out after slamming his head off the turf in the 1st half & Hill & Waddle are just so dangerous, with Tua Tagovailoa questionable, the Dolphins may have to turn to Teddy Bridgewater, who would bring a 23-9 ATS career mark as an underdog starter into the game. Additionally, the Dolphins 5-2 vs Cincinnati. |
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09-29-22 | Marlins v. Brewers -160 | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 units Brewers will start Eric Lauer on the mound. He is currently 10-7 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. The last time he was on the mound, he pitched for 2.2 innings and he gave up two earned runs, as he will be looking to bounce back in this one. He is also 5-2 at home this season with a 2.98 ERA. The Brewer's bullpen has also been solid this season. |
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09-27-22 | Rockies v. Giants -177 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Right-handed pitcher Logan Webb is set to take the mound for San Francisco in this game. He shut out the Rockies across 5.1 innings last Wednesday, allowing just one hit while striking out five. Webb has already thrown a career-high 187.1 innings, so the team is managing his workload down the stretch. He is 14-9 with a 2.93 ERA overall this season. The Giants have won five consecutive games against Colorado, and they are 12-4 in their last 16 home games against the Rockies. Marquez has been terrible during the month of September, posting a 6.26 ERA—he is 8-12 with a 5.15 ERA this season. |