Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-25-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves -5.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans are a mess right now with Zion Williamson (foot) out. They lost their first two games by at least 16 points before falling to the Timberwolves by seven points on Saturday. They did so despite Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell shooting a combined 13-for-36 (36.1 percent) from the field. If they catch fire in this rematch, things could get out of hand in a hurry. |
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10-25-21 | Bulls -120 v. Raptors | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Does this line look funny? Yes! I feel like the Bulls should be -5. I’ll take them in Canada vs a Raptors team that has bounced back from a rough opening night vs the Wizards. The Bulls could be in the Eastern Conference Finals this year. I love their starting five. |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee will be without starters Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez so I give Indiana a good shot of winning outright much less covering this number. The Pacers impressively beat Miami in their home opener on Saturday. Chris Duarte, the No. 13 overall pick out of Oregon, has been maybe the most impressive rookie in the NBA thus far, averaging 20.3 points per game. Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its past six as a home dog. |
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10-25-21 | Celtics v. Hornets +1 | 140-129 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams played Sunday and won, with the Celtics getting their first win at woeful Houston while the Hornets won at Brooklyn to go 3-0 SU and ATS. The Hornets are unselfish and someone new is stepping up each game. Take the Hornets at home to cover Monday. |
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10-25-21 | Flames v. Rangers -125 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers enter on a four-game winning streak and those all came away. Netminder Igor Shesterkin has been terrific in the early going with a 3-0-1 record, 1.47 GAA and 9.53 SV. Center Ryan Strome might return for this one, too, after missing the past four in COVID protocols. It's the front end of a B2B for the Flames so that may affect which goaltender they use. They are 1-10 in their past 11 playing on one day of rest. |
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10-25-21 | Maple Leafs v. Hurricanes -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What the heck is wrong with the Maple Leafs? They have dropped three in a row and were embarrassed on Saturday in Pittsburgh. Carolina, meanwhile, is 4-0 but has played just once at home -- where it was dominant last year (until the playoffs). This game will be personal for Canes netminder Frederik Andersen as he spent the previous five seasons with Toronto but the Leafs didn't try to re-sign him this offseason. |
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10-25-21 | Stars v. Blue Jackets +117 | 1-4 | Win | 117 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars just won their home opener but now have to head right back on the road for their fifth road game in 6 games while the Blue Jackets are 3-1-0 at home so far this season. Neither of these teams scores many goals so I am going to go with the home dog, because I think this game is much closer to a toss up. |
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10-25-21 | Capitals -157 v. Senators | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These were the two teams that played matinee games on Saturday and both had completely different results. The Senators were up 2-0 with 5 minutes left in the third period then allowed a goal where their starting goalie, Matt Murray got hurt. Anton Forsberg then came in and allowed 2 more goals in 3 minutes for the Senators to lose the game 3-2. The Caps went down 3-0 early in their last game before tying it 3-3 in the second and losing it in OT. I think the Caps will be focused more after the loss while the Senators will be reeling from their blown lead. However, this is mainly a bet against Anton Forsberg who looked more than shaky in his 5 minutes of play. |
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10-25-21 | Lightning v. Sabres +1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's the front end of a back-to-back for Tampa Bay, which apparently will give backup Brian Elliott his first start of the year. The Lightning are far from two-time Stanley Cup champion form -- they haven't led a game yet in regulation. That's crazy. Of course, the Bolts remain without former Hart Trophy winner Nikita Kucherov. Buffalo appears quite a bit better this season and at worst the Sabres should be able to hang within a goal (puckline is -135 but may go up a bit with Tampa starting Elliott) at home. |
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10-24-21 | Grizzlies +5.5 v. Lakers | 118-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lakers are 0-2 and Russell Westbrook hasn’t been great. He’s a combined 10-for-28 from the field and he has eight turnovers compared to 13 assists. The Grizzlies dispatched the Cavaliers by 11 points in their season opener and the Clippers by six points on the road Saturday. While this is another road game, they are playing in the same arena, so travel won’t be an issue. They are an extremely deep team even with Dillon Brooks (hand/thigh) out, so don’t be surprised if they keep this close. |
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10-24-21 | Colts v. 49ers -4 | Top | 30-18 | Loss | -109 | 98 h 0 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit SNF Game of the Month The fact of the matter is the Colts’ two wins this season have come against the likes of Houston and Miami, 2-10 combined on the year with 10 successive losses in a row. Enter the nasty Niners, coming off a bye week on a three game |
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10-24-21 | Predators v. Wild -160 | 5-2 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both these teams played last night, but the Predators were in Winnipeg while the Wild were at home. Both backup goalies are expected to play too. Kaapo Kahkonen played well last season but Connor Ingram is a Predators prospect and this would be his first NHL game. The Wild are 4-0-0 to start the season while the Predators are 1-4-0 to start the season. I like the Wild to stay undefeated today. |
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10-24-21 | Texans v. Cardinals UNDER 47.5 | 5-31 | Win | 100 | 94 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Undefeated non-div home teams in game 5 > (Cards) have gone a perfect 0-11-1 O/U L5 years when the OU line is > 45 pts. At last look, ‘Zona was pegged as big home favs of -16.5 to -17 pts. Consider that all big non div home favs of -13 > pts (Cards), when the OU line is 72 or less points is 7-26 O/U the last 5 years. In last week’s road win over Cleveland, the Cardinals scored 37 points. |
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10-24-21 | Eagles v. Raiders OVER 49 | 22-33 | Win | 100 | 94 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units A non-conference SHOOTOUT in Las Vegas is on the menu for Week 7, |
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10-24-21 | Lions v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 94 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The piss-poor offense of Detroit is ranked #28 in scoring (only 18.3 ppg). In fact, they have scored 17 or LESS points in EACH of their last five games (1-4 O/U). They’ll be taking on a Ram’s defense that has stabilized as of late, allowing only 14.0 ppg in their last two wins. The host Rams are one of three really big home favorites this weekend, as they are laying 15 to 16 pts. Consider that big non-division home favs of 13 > pts with an OU line of 52 < pts (Rams) have gone 7-26 O/U in the last 5 years, including 3-17 O/U when the OU line is in the range of > 43 and < 52 pts. LA was a road fav in each of the last two weeks and brought home the bacon both times. |
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10-24-21 | Sharks v. Bruins -195 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pretty high price considering the Sharks are unbeaten -- shockingly -- but the fact it's an early start for a West Coast team plus a fourth straight road game, well, I think the Bruins win in a rout. I generally don't do the -1.5 puckline, however. |
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10-24-21 | Bengals v. Ravens -6.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -107 | 91 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Unit Blowout Figure the Ravens will not let the success of the last two home wins the past two weeks cut short their five-game win skein, not behind a burgeoning defense that has held three of its last four opponents to season-low yards. To confirm those thoughts, consider that NFL teams in the 3rd of a 3-game home stand, with a bye week on deck, are 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS during the regular season. Playing on any NFL home team coming off consecutive home games who has a week of rest on deck if they scored more than 3 points in their last game and they are facing an opponent coming off a win of more than 7 points is 14-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans +5.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 91 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Play of the Day McDermott was going for the win, and given how well Tennessee was moving the chains in the second half, he likely would’ve lost in overtime had the Titans won the coin toss. He was taking matters into his own hands. His own hands failed him, but the gutsy call should be admired because many NFL coaches are too conservative. With it all, consider that defending Super Bowl losers are 2-12 ATS as non-division favorites when facing an opponent coming off a SU underdog win, including 1-10-2 ATS when facing a foe with revenge. |
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10-24-21 | Washington Football Team v. Packers UNDER 49 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 91 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This game at Lambeau Field has the potential to be the most WIND-AFFECTED contest of Week Seven. Weather Report: Overcast... chance of showers... winds in excess of 13-17 MPH... The 2021 Washington offense doesn’t scare anyone. Against the league’s 2nd WORSE defense last week (Chiefs),Washington managed only 276 yards and 13 points. That’s not a very encouraging sign. With key injures at all FOUR skill positions (QB / RB / WR / TE), it’s no wonder they’re stuck in neutral with a ranking of only #24 on offense. Consider that All NFL road teams after allowing a COMBINED 136 or MORE pts in their last 4 games (Wash), when the OU line is 54 < pts is 1-11-1 O/U the last 4 years. |
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10-23-21 | Suns +2.5 v. Blazers | 105-134 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Suns have a lot of depth, with the likes of Cameron Payne, Landry Shamet, Cameron Johnson and JaVale McGee coming off the bench. The Trail Blazers, on the other hand, don’t have many super subs aside from Larry Nance Jr. Their backup guards are Anfernee Simons, Ben McLemore and Dennis Smith Jr. I think the Suns can win this outright, so give me the points. |
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10-23-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves | 2-4 | Loss | -103 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Here we go again: Oddsmakers hugely overpricing the Dodgers with Max Scherzer on the mound. I simply don't get this moneyline number on the road, so I'll take advantage and grab the Braves at -110 on the runline. I get L.A. being favored a bit, but not this much. Atlanta starter Ian Anderson has had a scoreless outing in four of his first six career postseason appearances overall. Three of those six starts have come against the Dodgers, who scored two runs in three innings against him in Game 2. L.A. is now down a key reliever in Joe Kelly. |
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10-23-21 | Maple Leafs v. Penguins +150 | 1-7 | Win | 150 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs just lost to the Sharks at home last night while the Penguins were off. The Penguins are still without some key players, but they have shown early in the season they can win without them. The Maple Leafs are just 3-8 in their last 11 trips to Pittsburgh. Take the Penguins at home at plus money. |
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10-23-21 | Red Wings +154 v. Canadiens | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I just don’t see how the Canadiens should be -170 against any team right now as they have scored just 4 goals in 5 games this season. Jake Allen hasn’t looked good, and the Red Wings will want to put together a good road performance after their dud on home ice last game. The Red Wings are averaging over 3 goals per game and their defense has been very sound outside the game against the Lightning, so I like the value on the Red Wings. |
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10-23-21 | UTSA -6.5 v. Louisiana Tech | Top | 45-16 | Win | 100 | 72 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units Don't look now, but we've got another non-Power Five squad attaching itself to a Top 25 ranking, these Roadrunners, who are just 20 pts from a 20-3 spread run (actually 17-6-1). Dog is 13-4 (5-0 this year) ATS in Bulldog games, but Tech can't run (#99), & Kendall just 10 TDs with 8 INTs |
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10-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Toledo +2 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 70 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Western Michigan is only 6-12-1 ATS as road chalk in MAC action when coming off a SUATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS the last five. Not so for Rockets head coach Jason Candle, who is 3-1 SUATS with UT when coming off back-to-back losses, including 3-0 SUATS when not installed as a double-digit dog. We also prefer Toledo’s 34-10 SU record in the last 44 conference home games, as opposed to WMU’s awful 3-12 SU skid in this series when playing on the road. With the Rockets’ season on the line, we’ll turn it over to the nation’s top-ranked team in returning production – with added backing from the fact that Toledo is 5-0 ATS since 2000 as a conference home dog against an opponent coming off a SUATS win. |
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10-23-21 | LSU +9.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 21 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit SEC Play of the Day Mississippi is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games with conference revenge, and 3-9 versus the number as SEC chalk of less than 10 points. Meanwhile, LSU is 4-1 ATS as road dogs of less than 10 points and has covered the spread 4 of the last five meetings in this series. Consider that LSU coach Orgeron is 27-11 ATS in conference games against foes with a better record, including 11-0 ATS after allowing more than 30 points in his previous game. |
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10-23-21 | Rice v. UAB -23 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -108 | 69 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Units Rice was expected to wake up this season but hasn’t followed the script, entering today’s game at 2-4 on the season. And don’t get too excited about that pair of victories, since they came against the likes of Texas Southern and Southern Miss (1-6). Meanwhile, the host in this series is 8-1 ATS with the Blazers 5-0 ATS at home. In addition, Bill Clark is 25-5 SU and 18-7 ATS at home as the head man with the Blazers, including 21-1 SU and 15-2-1 ATS versus .600 or less foes. We’re defi nitely not about to step in front of that with these sleepy visitors |
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10-23-21 | Rangers v. Senators +121 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Alexander Georgiev is starting for the Rangers, and it is his first start since opening night when the Caps got to him for 5 goals. The Senators have Brady Tkachuk back in the lineup while the Rangers are still without some key players. I think this will be a low scoring game but I like the value on the home dog. |
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10-23-21 | Flames v. Capitals -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 1 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was originally thinking this could be a letdown game for the Caps going home for just one game against a Western Conference opponent, but the Flames are on a long road trip themselves having gone to Washington from Detroit, and now they have to play a 1pm local time game. The Caps defense has looked very sound to start the season and the Flames have only scored 7 goals in their first 3 games. The Caps have only allowed 7 goals in their first 4 games while scoring 16, and they have yet to be down in a game when entering the third period. Take the Caps at home. |
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10-23-21 | Wake Forest v. Army +3.5 | Top | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 55 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit CFB Game of the Week Army Head Coach Jeff Monken is very comfortable as the point man in this role, going 11-4 ATS as a dog of 4 or more points coming off back-to-back defeats, including 4-0 ATS under Monken. Wake has never shone against military schools, going just 7-18 SU and 8-16 ATS, including 4-6 SU and 2-8 |
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10-23-21 | Cincinnati v. Navy +28 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 27 m | Show |
CFB 5* Upset That's a lot for the Midshipmen to prep for after its latest loss last Thursday. The defense gave up four touchdowns on Memphis' first five drives in a 35-17 defeat. Navy made the most of its first possession against Memphis, piecing together a methodical, 21-play touchdown drive that lasted 11:50. The Midshipmen scored only 10 points the rest of the day. Consider that playing on any college football military team if they are a dog of 20 or more points coming off a loss of 16 or more points if they allow fewer than 41 points per game and are facing a .666 or greater opponent before Game Eleven of the season is a perfect 20-0 since 1980. |
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10-22-21 | Suns +1 v. Lakers | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both of these teams lost their first games of the season, but the Lakers might have the bigger concerns of the two. They are shorthanded right now with Kendrick Nunn (knee), Wayne Ellington (hamstring), Talen Horton-Tucker (thumb) and Trevor Ariza (ankle) all out. After an ugly preseason, Russell Westbrook still looked lost against the Warriors, finishing with just eight points, five rebounds and four assists to go along with four turnovers. A lengthy adjustment period to his new team could be in the works. |
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10-22-21 | Kings v. Stars -145 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have gone from six goals in their opening win to two in a loss to one in a loss. This is the offense we expected. It's also the front end of a B2B for L.A. on Friday. The Stars are so-so but this is their home opener so it will matter a bit more because it's the first time with a full house of fans since March 10, 2020. Hey, any little edge helps in hockey. The Stars won five of their final six at home last season. |
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10-22-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -105 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Normally, I would be all over Nathan Eovaldi and the Red Sox here but I think Cora put him in a bad situation by having him pitch in Game 4. Not to mention, he hasn’t looked as dominant as he has been in previous playoff starts. But even if he pitches well, he should run out of juice earlier than usual because of his Game 4 appearance, and he still hasn’t gone more than 5.1 IP in these playoffs in the first place. Luis Garcia struggled in his first two playoff starts but that was mostly due to walks. I think he will model after Framber Valdez and attack the zone early to get the Red Sox hitters out. And if he struggles, the Astros have Jake Odorizzi rested and ready to pitch in long relief if need be. Eovaldi’s fastball plays into a lot of these Astros right-handed bats well, I will take the Astros at home to go to the World Series. |
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10-22-21 | Nets -3 v. 76ers | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Even with Ben Simmons out, the Sixers destroyed the Pelicans by 20 points in their opener. However, it’s important to note that Zion Williamson (foot) didn’t play. Expect the Nets to be much more competitive than they were in their opener against the Bucks. What's more, Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with knee soreness. If he doesn’t play, the Sixers could be in big trouble. |
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10-22-21 | Knicks v. Magic +8 | 121-96 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units his spread seems a bit high for a Knicks team that might have some heavy legs afterT a double-overtime thriller against Boston on Wednesday and playing its first road game -- New York was 16-20 away last year. For what it's worth, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their past four in the Magic Kingdom. They also are without big men Nerlens Noel and Taj Gibson. Orlando stinks but can manage to lose by 5-6 as New York isn't really built to rout teams. |
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10-22-21 | Bruins v. Sabres +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -137 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm almost always going to take home teams (well most of them -- no longer the Coyotes!) getting +1.5 at a price of less than -150, and the unbeaten Sabres are at -140. One would think the Buffalo players will know how to beat Boston goaltender Linus Ullmark as he spent the previous six years in Buffalo. It's Ullmark's Bruins debut. Sabres goaltender Craig Anderson is 40 but has a 1.50 GAA in his two starts. |
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10-22-21 | Sharks v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Units Note that San Jose is 0-6 the last six times it has come off a road win by a single goal, as is the case here, outscored by an average margin of 3.0 goals in that spot. It also checks in a staggering 0-10 the last 10 times it has played on the road for the third time in four nights, outscored by 2.1 goals on average in that situation. After being held to just eight goals through their first four games, I see this as an ideal breakout spot for the Toronto offense before heading out on a tough three-game road trip. |
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10-21-21 | Oilers v. Coyotes +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One of my favorite wagers in hockey is a home team at +1.5 on the puckline if it's under -150 and this is -145 on the Yotes. Yes, they are 0-3 and Edmonton is 3-0, but the Oilers will not have No. 1 goaltender Mike Smith, are playing their first road game of the year and are on the front end of a back-to-back. Arizona is 4-1 in its past five following a home loss of at least three goals. |
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10-21-21 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | 95-137 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bucks received some good news following their season-opening win against Brooklyn. Jrue Holiday left that game with a heel injury, but it’s not serious and he is listed as probable for Thursday. That likely kept them as the favorites for this game despite having to play on the road. This is a big spot for the Heat, who retooled during the offseason by adding Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker. Tyler Herro played well in the preseason, which could be a promising sign of things to come. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Miami win this game on its home floor, so I’ll take the points. |
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10-21-21 | Ducks +1.5 v. Jets | 1-5 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Puckline prices have been outrageously high in the early season, but I can live with -150 on the Ducks here as they have been better than expected. Should be John Gibson in net and he has a 1.46 GAA in his two starts, including a 4-1 home win over these Jets last week. Winless Winnipeg has looked terrible -- although all three were away -- and is without captain and arguably its second-best player in Blake Wheeler as he tested positive for COVID. The 14-year NHL veteran had 15 goals and 31 assists in 50 games for the Jets last season. |
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10-21-21 | Braves +132 v. Dodgers | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Max Fried will be facing the Dodgers bullpen in a crucial Game 5 with the Braves up 3-1 in the NLCS for the second straight year. Last season, they blew the 3-1 lead and the Dodgers ended up winning the World Series, so you know that is on the Braves minds. Usually, teams are fine with a 3-2 lead going home but you know the Braves want to end it now. Max Muncy has been out and now Justin Turner will be out after pulling his hamstring last night. Trevor Bauer is still out. This high-powered Dodgers team is falling apart while the Braves just keep improving. Lefties have been the Dodgers kryptonite and Max Fried has been dealing lately. He has pitched two quality starts this postseason including one in Game 1 against the Dodgers. The Braves have seen all the Dodgers bullpen arms multiple times now with this being their second bullpen game, so I think the Braves will end the series tonight. |
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10-21-21 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | 2-11 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This may drop to 7.5 soon as the Under is juiced a bit. The Dodgers will go with a bullpen day and I'd imagine that Dave Roberts uses pretty much every single pitcher other than Julio Urias (who started Game 4) and Tony Gonsolin (pitched past two games) to keep the season alive. It's ace lefty Max Fried for the Braves. He led MLB in ERA in the second half of the regular season and held the Dodgers to two runs over six in Game 1. Dating to the regular season, Fried hasn't allowed a run in his past three on the road. LA also will be without Justin Turner in the lineup. The winds are blowing out slightly but not enough to concern me here. Lance Barksdale is considered a moderate Under umpire. |
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10-21-21 | Flames -129 v. Red Wings | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flames have yet to win this season despite a +31 shot differential. The Red Wings have two wins despite a -20 shot differential. Calgary is by far the more talented team. The Flames' season point total was 92.5, while Detroit was pegged for 78.5 points. Calgary is 6-1 in its past seven games when playing with two days of rest. This line should be closer to -145 in my opinion. Take the road team on the moneyline. |
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10-21-21 | Capitals -123 v. Devils | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I need a reason to bet a road team in the NHL, honestly. Think have a couple pretty good ones to back the Capitals. New Jersey is better this year but the Devils' best player, former No. 1 overall pick Jack Hughes, dislocated his shoulder on Tuesday and is out. So are the team's top two netminders in Mackenzie Blackwood and Jonathan Bernier, so it will be Scott Wedgewood here. He had a 3.11 GAA in 16 games last year and is third string for a reason. |
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10-21-21 | Hurricanes -113 v. Canadiens | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canadiens have scored 3 total goals in 4 games to start the season while allowing 15. They are without Carey Price and they have really just looked uninterested after their Stanley Cup run last season. It’s not gonna get any easier to score against the Canes stout defense either. The Canes are 9-3 in their last 12 games against the Canadiens, take the Canes on the road. |
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10-21-21 | Avalanche v. Panthers -110 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aves got Nathan MacKinnon back from the COVID IL in their last game, but he didn’t make a difference as the Caps dominated the Aves. The Aves have looked very beatable to start the season, while the head to face one of the hottest up and coming teams in the league. The Panthers are 3-0 this season outscoring opponents 14-6 and they have looked like one of the best teams in the NHL. The Panthers were 20-5-3 at home last season, take the Panthers at home |
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10-21-21 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets +129 | 2-3 | Win | 129 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These were two of the teams with the biggest home/road splits last season, so both these teams play completely different at home. The Islanders just got their first win of the season so they shouldn’t be as desperate with their road trip ending soon, while the Blue Jackets are 2-0 at home outscoring their opponents 10-3. More importantly, Elvis Merzlikins and Joonas Korpisalo have looked like brick walls in net so far this season while the Islanders netminders have looked the opposite, so I like the value on the home dog. |
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10-20-21 | Kings v. Blazers -6 | 124-121 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have kept their young core intact and are expected to have a solid shot at securing a playoff spot. The Blazers have turned the page by bringing in Chauncey Billups as coach. I expect the combo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum to get past a Kings team that was prone to second half lapses last season. |
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10-20-21 | Magic +6.5 v. Spurs | 97-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ten days ago the Spurs nearly blew a 17-point fourth quarter lead but prevailed to just a one point victory. I expect the Magic to again push the Spurs. |
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10-20-21 | 76ers -3 v. Pelicans | 117-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units here is plenty going on around these teams. Ben Simmons was suspended for one game Tuesday after reportedly refusing to participate in a defensive drill at practice. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are going to be without Zion Williamson (foot) for an extended period of time. The Pelicans don’t exactly have a ton of depth and have question marks at both guard spots with Lonzo Ball and Eric Bledsoe no longer in the picture. The Sixers still have Joel Embiid to lead the way, giving them a favorable opportunity to cover. |
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10-20-21 | Braves +1.5 v. Dodgers | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves haven't announced their Game 4 starter yet, but it doesn't really matter as it will be a bullpen day -- probably largely for Los Angeles, too, after Julio Urias puts in 3-4 innings or so on short rest. I expect the Dodgers to win after ripping out Atlanta's heart in Game 3, but backing LA at -220 is ridiculous without a true starting pitching edge. So, Braves runline at -118. |
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10-20-21 | Bruins v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units few books have seen this total rise to 6, and I think it may get there everywhere because the Flyers are starting shaky backup Martin Jones in net (plus, the Over is juiced currently at -125). He was pretty bad last year for the Sharks, although it certainly wasn't all on him as that team team was terrible. Still, no doubt it's a downgrade from Carter Hart. I'd imagine Boston scores at least three goals and believe the Flyers can get there, too, as they are averaging 5.00 per game so far. |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s also not very pretty what happens to undefeated road favorites coming off a week of rest from Game Six out when facing an avenging conference foe coming off a loss. These teams are just 3-19 ATS in this role since 1995. That dismal stat plays right into the Mountaineers’ 8-0 SU and 5-1 ATS success when coming off a loss the past four years |
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10-20-21 | Bulls -200 v. Pistons | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm not planning to do moneylines all season (although I will at times below -200), but it's just hard to know what teams are in the first game. I don't really trust the Bulls to cover a 5-point spread in Detroit but believe they win as the Pistons will be without No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham due to injury. Thus, Detroit is basically the same team it was last year. Chicago is much better -- presumably -- with the offseason additions of Lonzo Ball, DeMar DeRozan and Alex Caruso. The Bulls have won seven straight in the series. |
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10-20-21 | Pacers v. Hornets -1 | 122-123 | Push | 0 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In last year’s Eastern Conference play-in round, the Pacers blew out Charlotte, 144-117. The 144 points allowed by the Hornets were the most in a non-overtime game since 1994. This has been a revenge game for Charlotte since schedules were released. Grab the Hornets |
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10-20-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -120 | 9-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chris Sale and Framber Valdez will face off for the second time this series and I honestly don’t think either will pitch very well. Both these starters were out by the third inning in Game 1, but this time the Astros won’t have Christian Javier available to take up bulk innings. The Red Sox put up 14 runs after the first time they lost this postseason and 12 runs against the Astros after the second game they lost this postseason, so the Red Sox have responded well to losses. The park shift with Framber Valdez and Chris Sale now pitching in Fenway Park should help the Red Sox too. This series is now guaranteed to go back to Houston so this is more of a must win game for the Red Sox than the Astros, take the Red Sox at home. |
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10-19-21 | Jets v. Wild -148 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Are the Jets terrible? They lost their first two games at Anaheim and San Jose, two of the league's worst teams, and have yet to score on the power play while killing off just 60 percent of penalties. Winnipeg may not have top winger Blake Wheeler on Tuesday, either, as the captain has entered COVID protocols. Wheeler had 46 points last year and has an assist so far this season. It's the home opener for the Wild, who are 20-6 in their past 26 in the Twin Cities. |
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10-19-21 | Kings v. Predators -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Not about to call game No. 3 desperation for any team, but clubs that lose their first three at home like is staring as Nashville, well, things don't usually go well for said team in that season. The Preds lost each by one so it's not like they have been horrible. It's the first road game of the season for the Kings, who are 1-6 in their past seven as dogs. The Predators are 7-1-2 against the Kings in their last 10 meetings at Bridgestone Arena. |
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10-19-21 | Islanders v. Blackhawks +112 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blackhawks have looked terrible to start the season but tonight is their home opener. The Islanders are one of the worst road teams in the league and although they also don’t have a win, they haven’t been able to score enough to get one. They have just 4 goals in 2 games while allowing 11, so this is a good spot for the Hawks to get their first win at home with their newly formed team. |
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10-19-21 | Astros v. Red Sox -124 | 9-2 | Loss | -124 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Difficult to have any faith in Houston starter Zack Greinke as he wasn't good in his final three regular-season starts and not particularly good in his one inning in the ALDS vs. the White Sox. He's probably only available for 40 pitches and then followed by Cristian Javier. The Houston bullpen overall is in shambles because the team's starting pitchers have accounted for just 5.1 of the 26 innings pitched in this series. Boston's Nick Pivetta will be making his first career postseason start. He has appeared twice in relief so far in these playoffs, allowing three earned runs and striking out 11 batters in 8.2 innings. The way the Sox are killing the ball right now, simply can't go against them at home. |
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10-19-21 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -117 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blue Jackets have started the season strong, but they are a completely different team on the road. Both these teams have been scoring a lot more than expected to start the season, but Alex Nedeljkovic should be back in net for the Red Wings. He struggled against the Lightning but that is understandable, so I expect him to put together a much better game tonight against a worse offense. |
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10-19-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Devils -140 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going to jump this line early -- could rise a fair amount depending on what Seattle does Monday in Philly/injuries, etc. -- because it will be the first time in its young history that Seattle will play the second of a back-to-back, and I think the Kraken will be gassed at the end of their five-game cross-country trip ahead of the home opener this weekend. Presuming that Seattle will give backup netminder Chris Driedger his first start as well. The Devils are well-rested, having last played Friday. |
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10-19-21 | Sharks v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montreal has scored just one goal in each of its three games so far and yet this total is at 6? That Habs are missing a ton of offense on the injured list. Jake Allen has a 2.05 GAA in his two starts in net, so it's not his fault that Montreal lost both. The Sharks scored four goals in their season opener, but they are going to be offensively challenged all season, especially without Evander Kane, who was suspended 21 games this week. Maybe this is a push, but I don't see how these clubs combine for seven goals. The SportsLine Projection Model has it with 5.1 combined goals. |
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10-19-21 | Avalanche v. Capitals +113 | 3-6 | Win | 113 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nathan MacKinnon is expected to play today but Gabriel Landeskog is suspended. The Caps are swapping highly touted rookie for highly touted rookie in Conor McMichael for Hendrix Lapierre and my guess is they will give the young prospect Ilya Samsonov the start. Darcy Kuemper hasn’t been great this season, and the Aves didn’t look as dominant as they usually do at home. The Caps have won 5 of the last 6 games at home in this series and 10 of the last 12 matchups overall. Take the home dog. |
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10-19-21 | Panthers +106 v. Lightning | 4-1 | Win | 106 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 4 Units The Lightning have played 3 games already and have picked up 2 wins in those games. Their last win was a 2-1 win in OT over the Capitals, they had to come back from down 1-0 in that game. They have played close games that were decided in OT their last 2 in a row now, they had to come back from behind in both of those games to win. This is the battle of Florida and the Panthers always play the Lightning with a lot of heart. They won the H2H against them in the regular season last year 5-3. This is also a bit of a revenge spot for the Panthers since the last time they played each other was in the 1st round of the playoffs last year and the Lightning kicked them out in 6 games. I think the Panthers are going to get up for this game so I like them to win here. |
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10-19-21 | Stars v. Penguins -125 | 2-1 | Loss | -125 | 2 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins have been without Sidney Crosby to start the season, but they are a well run organization and they have still been scoring without him. The Stars just lost to the Senators on Sunday and they are nearing the end of a long road trip so I don’t think they will be too motivated if they go down early. Penguins have 15 goals in 3 games this season while the Stars have scored just 6 in 3 games. Take the Pens at home. |
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10-19-21 | Braves v. Dodgers -170 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dodgers had chances to win each of the first two games and they couldn’t do it, in part because of poor hitting with runners on and in part because of poor managing. They are now down 2-0 headed back to Los Angeles because of it. The Dodgers haven’t lost a home game since August and they have their ace Walker Buehler going. Buehler has a career 2.50 ERA in the postseason and hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a playoff start in his last 11 appearances. He pitched 11 innings allowing 1 ER against the Braves in the NLCS last season. Charlie Morton has been solid in his playoff starts and very good in his career in the playoffs, but he allowed 5 ER in 4.1 IP to the Dodgers in his only playoff start against them last season. The Dodgers will be managing this game like it is an elimination game for them while the Braves will be playing to just win at least 1 out of the 3 games, take the Dodgers to stay alive in this series at home. |
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10-18-21 | Ducks v. Flames -185 | 3-2 | Loss | -185 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bit bigger price than I'd like, but I don't expect the Ducks to win very often on the road this year -- this is their first away game and also the front end of a back-to-back. Anaheim goalies have faced an average of 38.5 shot attempts per game through two games, which is crazy high. It's the home opener for Calgary, which lost 5-2 at Edmonton on Saturday. The Flames players should be amped up in front of their first home full house since March 8, 2020. Top-six Calgary forward Blake Coleman will make his debut after being suspended for the opener. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans UNDER 54.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Monday night same conference games with a HIGH OU line of 52 > pts (Buf @ Ten) have gone 0-6 O/U L4 years. Monday Night games have gone 1-11-1 O/U L7 years in game 4 or greater when the road team is favored by > 4 and < 10 pts (Buf is -5 to -5.5). We’re aware that Buffalo has scored 38 or more points in each of their last 3 games however NFL favorites of > 1 pt who scored 35 > pts in each of their last 3 games (Buf) have gone 1-11 O/U since 2015. |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 77 h 41 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit MNF Game of the Month Playing on (Tennessee) any NFL home dog of more than 3 points with a winning record if they were a playoff team last season that is not coming off a loss of 13 or more points and did not cover its last game by 20 or more points if they are facing an opponent coming off an ATS win of 7 or more points is 14-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-18-21 | Astros +108 v. Red Sox | 3-12 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jose Urquidy will finally get to make his 2021 postseason debut and he has been nails in the playoffs in his career. He has a 2.81 ERA in 25.2 IP in the playoffs. He faced the Red Sox once this season and allowed just 1 ER in 6 IP. The Astros went down 9-0 after the second inning in Game 2 so they didn’t have much of a chance in that game. Urquidy should be able to give them solid innings and they should face the lefty Eduardo Rodriguez. He was hit hard by Houston both times they faced him this season allowing 6 ER in 4.1 IP in both games. This will be just Rodriguez 4th career postseason start and the Astros are one of the best lefty-hitting teams in the league. Take the Astros. |
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10-18-21 | Rangers v. Maple Leafs -180 | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Auston Matthews is expected to make his season debut tonight while the Rangers will be without Kaapo Kakko who was placed on the IR. The Rangers snuck out a win on Saturday, but the Maple Leafs have won each of their first two home games. The Rangers have only scored 6 goals in their first three games and that won’t be enough to keep up with the Leafs at home. |
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10-18-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Flyers -125 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Flyers put together a weak effort in their opening night that also included many bounces not going their way. They were still able to tie it in the third period before they lost in a shootout. I think Carter Hart should be much more settled tonight while the Kraken are still expected to be missing many key players due to COVID. Take the Flyers at home to get their first win of the season. |
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10-17-21 | Dodgers -170 v. Braves | 4-5 | Loss | -170 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ian Anderson has faced the Dodgers once this season and he allowed 4 ER in 4.1 IP on just 1 hit and 3 walks. The Braves have seen Max Scherzer plenty from his time in the NL East, but he hasn’t allowed more than 1 run in either of his first 2 postseason starts, and he threw six scoreless on September 1 against them. In the NLCS last season, Anderson allowed 0 runs in 4 IP and 2 ER in 3 IP, so even if he does pitch well he won’t go very deep. The Dodgers outhit the Braves yesterday and had many more chances, they just couldn’t push that last run across. I expect them to push a few across early against Anderson today and chase him. |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -120 | 96 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NFL Upset of the Week Today, the Pats return home to host Dallas, one of the hottest teams in the league at 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS. It’s where The Hoodie is 155-41 SU and 110-78-8 ATS in his career with New England, including 14-4-1 ATS when taking points. The Cowboys enter after taking down an injury-laden Giants squad at home last week, carrying a 9-21-1 ATS mark in non-division duels in games after knocking off New York, including 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games. Bill Belichick is 21-7 SU in his career against teams from the NFC East, including 3-0-1 ATS as a dog. He is also 6-0 SU versus the Dallas Cowboys. The Clincher: Playing against any NFL non-division road favorite of more than |
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10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -2.5 | Top | 37-14 | Loss | -135 | 96 h 52 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Browns lost to the Chargers on Sunday, even though they scored more than 40 points and didn’t turn the ball over a single time, there had been 401 instances in the Super Bowl era where a team had accomplished both of those feats, and those teams combined to go 401-0. However, the Browns ended that improbable 401-game winning streak that had gone on for more than 50 years. Consider that 6-0 NFL teams in Game Seven are 1-9 SUATS when facing an opponent coming off a SUATS loss, including 0-7 ATS if not favored by 12 or more points. |
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10-17-21 | Rams v. Giants UNDER 48 | 38-11 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units All non-division teams off a road loss of 14 > pts and a road dog WIN (Giants), when the OU line is 41 > pts is 2-12 O/U since 2011. New York comes in with a 1-4 SU record on the year. All NFC home teams with a .200 or worse winning pct (Giants), when the OU line is 38 > pts is 4-17 O/U last 4 years. |
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10-17-21 | Chargers v. Ravens OVER 51.5 | 6-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units NFL home favorites < 7 pts off a MONDAY home game (RAVENS) is 16-3-1 O/U since 2012 . In the last 3 years, this situation has gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U (60.3 combined ppg). All game 3 > WEST time zone road DOGS of > 1 pt (CHARGERS) vs a EAST Time Zone opponent (RAVENS), when the OU line is 46 > pts is 21-5-1 O/U since 2014. The CLINCHER: The Ravens have gone 9-1 O/U at home vs all AFC WEST Division opponents in L10 years w/ an OU line of < 55 pts. |
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10-17-21 | Packers v. Bears +4.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -107 | 93 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Bears’ defense showed their toughness and talent while leading the team to a road win in Las Vegas, their second victory in as many weeks. QB Justin Fields was just 12-of-20 for 111 yards and a touchdown, but he played mistake-free football, and came up with some clutch plays to support the great effort by his defense. With it, Chicago is 3-2 and is suddenly positioned to make the playoffs for the second year in a row. The Bears are 9-3 ATS as a home dog of more than 3 points. Consider that the Bears are 7-1 SUATS when coming off two win under head coach Matt Nagy. |
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10-16-21 | Arizona State v. Utah | Top | 21-35 | Loss | -105 | 78 h 3 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week It was a big “W” for the Utes last week in a double revenge matchup with USC, with a solid performance from new QB Cam Rising, but Utah is dragged down in this tilt with a 4-9 SUATS mark in games when coming off upset wins. Meanwhile, Arizona State is an ITS (In The Stats) darling this year, winning the yards in all six games while averaging +141 YPG. As a result, they are dominating the stat rankings this season, including No. 2 on the defensive side of the ball. With it, the overall yardage winner is 2-22 SU in the last 24 Utes games. ASU lost 21-3 at Utah in their most recent meeting in 2019, Herm Edwards’ worst loss with Arizona State since taking over the program four seasons ago. The Clincher: The Sun Devils are 14-4 ATS with revenge against an opponent coming off a SU underdog win, including 10-0 ATS against foes who allow 23 or more points per game. |
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10-16-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -145 | 5-3 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Aves were 9-3 against the Blues last season including 5-1 at home. The Aves also swept the Blues in the first round of the playoffs last season. Nathan Mackinnon is still out but this team has plenty of weapons and they are one of the most dominant teams at home. Take the Aves. |
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10-16-21 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Max Fried will start for the Braves in Game 1 after Charlie Morton pitched on short rest on Tuesday. He has been on a dominant run and he already pitched two quality starts against the Dodgers earlier this season. The Dodgers struggled against lefties this season as most of their righties actually hit right-handed pitchers better and they should have Albert Pujols at first base and AJ Pollock in the outfield instead of Gavin Lux and Cody Bellinger. In the NLCS last season, Fried faced the Dodgers twice pitching a quality start in each outing. Max Scherzer is expected to start for the Dodgers. He pitched an inning against the Giants Thursday but that was his bullpen day. The adrenaline is a little bit different for a winner take all save though, so I would expect a little bit of an energy loss. Take the Braves at home. |
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10-16-21 | Dodgers v. Braves UNDER 8 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Neither of these teams exactly lit up the scoreboard in their last series but that is also in part because both have very good pitching staffs. Neither team has multiple guys going well right now either, and both teams will have a day off to reset their bullpens so I like the under. |
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10-16-21 | Hurricanes -107 v. Predators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a great line on one of the most complete teams in hockey. Carolina's season point total is 95.5 while Nashville's was set at 84.5 before the season. These teams played a preseason game on Oct. 9. Nashville won by one goal, despite getting outshot 37-17. Carolina is 17-5-0-1 in its past 23 regular season meetings against Nashville. Take the Hurricanes. |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +2.5 | 31-26 | Loss | -102 | 76 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Matt Corral is a legitimate talent, accounting for four more touchdowns against the Hogs in Saturday’s 52-51 shootout, but you know we’re not keen on laying points in conference games with bad defenses, and we won’t begin here. Toss in the Rebels’ abysmal series record of 2-13 SU in the last 15 games, plus their 1-5 ATS record overall as road favorites, and you can see why we’re headed for the betting window. Also playing against any college football road favorite off a win who allows more than 30 points per game and more than 4 yards per rush if they surrendered 60-plus points combined in its last two games before Game Seven of the season, are 3-20-1 ATS. |
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10-16-21 | Iowa State v. Kansas State +6.5 | 33-20 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Teams coming in 3-2 and win in Game Six the prospects of donning bowling shirts improves considerably. Lose and they can begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus, these become pivotal games. These Game Six teams are at their best playing with the added benefit of a week of rest, going 12-7 SU and 15-4 ATS. That should be music to the ears for Kansas State. In addition, put them at home and they respond with aplomb, going 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS. It’s where the Wildcats anticipate benefiting from home-cooking this week. And by matching them up against .600 or fewer opponents, their chances of winning improves dramatically as the teams have gone 7-0 SUATS in this role. That applies to Chris Klieman’s Kansas Sate crew. |
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10-16-21 | Lightning v. Capitals +114 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams didn’t play each other last season but the Caps were 3-1 including 2-0 at home against the Lightning in 2020. The Lightning were lucky to sneak out with a win against the Red Wings and played a dud to open the season at home. They don’t seem too motivated right now while the Caps opened up with a good win at home. Take the Caps at home at plus money. |
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10-16-21 | Islanders v. Panthers -130 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers and Islanders didn’t face each other last season, but the Panthers were 20-5-3 at home while the Islanders were 11-13-4 on the road. The Panthers opened their season with an OT win over the Penguins while the Islanders lost their first game in Carolina. The Panthers should be one of the best teams in the East this season and the Islanders have goalie questions. Take the Panthers at home. |
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10-16-21 | Red Sox +105 v. Astros | 9-5 | Win | 105 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nathan Eovaldi is just one of those guys that turns it on when the playoffs come around. He now has a career 1.93 ERA in 8 postseason appearances, and he pitched in Houston twice in 2018 in the ALCS and pitched two quality starts. Nick Pivetta has been dealing and he should be able to piggyback Eovaldi. Luis Garcia was hit hard by the White Sox in his 2nd career postseason start and he has yet to pitch more than 2.2 innings in his two starts. The Astros don’t really have anyone to bridge that gap to the back end of their bullpen now after losing pitching depth with Lance McCullers Jr. injury. |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | Top | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show |
Rating 4 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Purdue is one of only 10 teams in the nation that have out yarded every opponent they’ve faced this season, and besides a 5-1 spread record on the road versus conference revenge (plus 5-2 ATS with rest), they have covered 3 of the last four meetings in this series. Jeff Brohm is also 20-9 ATS as a dog, including 8-0 ATS when coming off a loss, so get out your crayons and color them dangerous. As for the sky-high Hawkeyes, they are 1-4 ATS at home with Big Ten revenge (lost to Purdue 24-20 in last season’s lid-lifter). While they knocked QB Clifford out of the PSU game last week, we’re banking they won’t do the same to the Boilermakers’ starting signal caller this week. The Clincher: Ferentz is 2-7-1 ATS as a favorite in conference games after defeating an undefeated foe, including 0-4-1 ATS at home, as well as 0-4-1 ATS versus winning opponents. |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | Top | 28-7 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit ACC Game of the Week Playing on (Virginia Tech) any college football mission team (missed bowl game last year after having been a bowler the previous three seasons) if they are a home dog with revenge who allows fewer than 19.5 PPG if they are facing a foe that did not lose its last game by more than 3 points provided the foe rushes the ball for less than 288 YPG on the season is a perfect 18-0 ATS since 1990. |
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10-15-21 | Red Sox v. Astros -133 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We have a battle of southpaws in Game 1 in Houston between Chris Sale and Framber Valdez. Valdez was actually hit hard in the playoffs for the first time in his career against the White Sox, but the White Sox are one of the best lefty hitting teams in the league. Chris Sale has actually been very bad in his career in the playoffs, including his only start this postseason where he allowed 5 ER in the first inning before being removed. The Astros were ranked 4th in the league in wOBA against lefties this season but the Red Sox weren’t too far behind at 8th. I am guessing the Red Sox will go with Tanner Houck or Nick Pivetta out of the bullpen to piggyback Sale if they are up, but I think the Astros will take an early lead and hopefully keep either of those guys from coming in the game. |
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10-15-21 | Canucks v. Flyers -140 | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be the Flyers season and home opener while the Canucks lost in a shootout in their first game. One of the Canucks best players in Brock Boeser should still be out of the lineup, and the Canucks seriously struggled on the road last season at 10-17-1. The Flyers started well last season but crashed to the finish and missed the playoffs. I expect a reenergized Flyers group tonight to feed off their home crowd. The Canucks are coming from Edmonton so that is quite the road trip to start the season. Take the Flyers at home. |
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10-15-21 | Blackhawks v. Devils -125 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I was going to pass on this one but then came word the Hawks were starting backup netminder Kevin Lankinen instead of Marc-Andre Fleury, who will start Saturday. That Chicago defense remains incredibly weak even with some offseason additions and Lankinen is a huge downgrade from the Flower. It's Jonathan Bernier for New Jersey, and he was quite respectable on a very bad Detroit team last year. The Devils, in their season opener, should be better this year with offseason additions Dougie Hamilton and Ryan Graves on the blueline. There's plenty of young forward talent there too. Chicago is 6-21 its past 27 games as a road underdog. |
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10-15-21 | Clemson v. Syracuse +13.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units When these same two teams met last season, Clemson was gaining 531 YPG and allowing 264 YPG, while Syracuse was averaging 264 yards of offense and giving up 486 yards per game. That was a net of +491 YPG in the Tigers favor. This year, it’s a net edge of +98 YPG in favor of the Orange. Clemson has also burned piles of money in 2021, going 0-5 ATS versus all opponents, while Syracuse checks in with a 4-1 ATS success. Things don’t look much better for Dabo and company as Clemson is 1-4 ATS as road chalk of 14 or less points, and 1-3 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss. By comparison, the ‘Cuse has cashed a ticket in three of the last four series meetings, and head coach Dino Babers stands 10-5 ATS as a dog the past two seasons. |
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10-14-21 | Dodgers v. Giants -104 | 2-1 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Logan Webb tossed a gem in Game 1 in his first career postseason start and I don’t see much changing the second time around. Julio Urias also pitched well in his start in Game 2, and he has been very good in playoff elimination games in his career. The Dodgers have a couple key players not hitting right now, mainly Justin Turner in the middle of their lineup, and the Giants have been a very good team at home all season. The Giants feel like a team of destiny while it seems like the Dodgers have been working their hardest to stay alive. The Giants barely edged the Dodgers in the season series and in the division race, I like the Giants to edge them out one more time. |
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10-14-21 | Bucs v. Eagles +7 | 28-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bills, Browns and Rams rank 1-2-3 in net yards per play. Guess who's fourth? The Eagles. Philly hosts a Buccaneers team that's failed to cover six straight primetime games and will be without stud linebacker Lavonte David. Tom Brady has a sore right thumb but says it won't affect his play. Consider that the Eagles have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in Thursday performances while Tampa Bay has coughed up the bucks on Thursdays going just 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS. |
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10-14-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Predators -119 | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I believe Nashville will be quite a bit better this year even with Pekka Rinne's retirement -- Juuse Saros had replaced him as the No. 1 in net regardless. There's also no better home-ice advantage with those crazy fans in the home city of SportsLine. Seattle played well Tuesday after falling down 3-0 in losing in Vegas 4-3 but also lost top-six forward Marcus Johansson indefinitely with a lower-body injury. The Kraken are thin at forward as it is. They probably will be competitive most nights on the road but lose. |
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10-14-21 | Penguins v. Panthers -175 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pittsburgh burned me and pretty much everyone to a crisp with its shocking win at Tampa Bay on Tuesday minus four top offensive players and defenseman Mike Matheson -- it sounds as if all those guys may sit this one out, too. I think that was much more the Lightning being totally flat off their Cup title and such a short offseason. The Panthers saw that game, no doubt, and will not be caught flat-footed. They were dominant at home last season and have top blueliner Aaron Ekblad back after he suffered a broken leg late last March. |