Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-09-21 | Nets v. Pistons OVER 229.5 | Top | 111-122 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NBA Total of the Week Consider that the over is 14-3 in Nets last 17 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 9-2 in Nets last 11 games following a ATS loss, 13-3 in Nets last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, 13-3 in Nets last 16 games as a favorite, 16-5 in Nets last 21 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game, and 19-7 in Nets last 26 overall. While the over is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 games playing on 2 days rest, 8-3 in Pistons last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and 16-6 in Pistons last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. |
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02-09-21 | Penn State +4 v. Michigan State | 58-60 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This as been a different MSU team since coming back from its three-week layoff due to COVID-19 postponements. The Spartans were blown out by Rutgers 67-37 in their first game back on January 28, then suffered a 79-62 loss at Ohio State and an 84-78 loss at Iowa before finally picking up a win over Nebraska last Saturday, 66-56. Despite the straight up win over the Cornhuskers and the cover as a 9-point dog at Iowa, MSU is just 2-5 ATS since the start of January. This Penn State team can shoot the 3, is playing with confidence following wins over Wisconsin and Maryland, as well as a competitive, four-point loss at Ohio State, and is taking on a MSU team that has yet to find its footing since returning to play last month. Consider that Michigan State is 4-12 ATS. |
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02-08-21 | Gonzaga -10 v. BYU | Top | 82-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day The Cougars nearly notched a backdoor cover the first time these teams met, losing “only” 86-69 back on Jan. 7. Gonzaga let its guard down in the closing minutes and BYU applied some serious make-up to help cosmetically conceal what really went down in Spokane since it trailed by as many as 32 points and fell behind 23-2. That was the first of what Mark Few’s Bulldogs can rightfully look at as their lone revenge games this season since the undefeated group still hasn’t lost since a 91-78 setback in Provo on BYU’s Senior Night last Feb. 22. Zags look to extend their streak of double-digit wins to 16 as they attempt to cover the lowest spread (-11) oddsmakers have saddled them with since their 98-75 rout over Virginia on Dec. 26. Look for them to get some revenge via sweep behind another lopsided win. Consider that BYU is 4-13-2 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog. |
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02-08-21 | Bucks v. Nuggets +4 | Top | 125-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Interesting: Not Milwaukee’s 9-40 SU record in Denver lifetime. That’s not interesting at all, just a multi-decades compilation involving many former players now collecting social security. What’s interesting is that Milwaukee was 0-2 against the Nuggets last season, by 12 and 14 points. They hit Mile High City shaking the back-to-back loser dust of Cleveland off them, with no margin for error. They can’t just kill the Nuggets for revenge simply because they want to. The Nuggets are home off two road losses with plenty of confidence in the match-up based on last year’s positive results. Consider that Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. |
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02-08-21 | Ohio State v. Maryland +3 | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio St. will mark the fifth top 10 team Maryland has faced. Ohio St. has won four straight games and seven of its last eight to move into third place in the Big Ten with a 9-4 record. The Buckeyes are a decent shooting team and it has to be to win because they are ninth in the Big Ten with a turnover margin of just 0.16 per game. On top of that, they are last in the conference with just 4.37 steals per game so they do not create points off turnovers. consider that Maryland is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 Monday games. |
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02-08-21 | Wolves +10 v. Mavs | 122-127 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Who is more overrated? The Mavericks or the T’Wolves? It’s the Mavericks, 10-14 ATS to the T’Wolves’ 11-11-1 ATS. Dallas is at the bottom of the league in three point percentage (33.8%) and yet they keep firing away from out there, 37 times per game – and a lot more than 37 times in each of their two non-covers vs. Golden State on Thursday and Saturday, which defies all logic given Golden State’s lack of inside players. |
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02-08-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -189 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Auston Matthews will look to continue his torrid play on Monday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs bid for a three-game sweep of the visiting Vancouver Canucks. Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the past seven games in which he has played, including twice in Toronto's 5-1 romp versus Vancouver on Saturday. The former top overall pick has scored nine goals during that run, and has 10 tallies and three assists during his past nine games overall. Toronto, which sports a 6-0-1 mark during that stretch, has outscored Vancouver by a 12-4 margin over the past two contests. The Maple Leafs' dominance of the Canucks in Toronto is nothing new, as they have won their past nine home encounters with Vancouver dating to Feb. 8, 2014. |
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02-08-21 | Islanders v. Rangers -109 | 2-0 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following the first two matchups, the Islanders won two straight but then went 0-3-2 in their next five games, a stretch that included blowing a three-goal lead through 20 minutes by allowing five goals in the second period of a 6-3 loss at Washington on Jan. 28. The skid continued with a pair of overtime losses at Philadelphia and then ended with a 4-3 win over the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday night in their first game following consecutive postponements due to COVID-19 issues with the Buffalo Sabres. Consider that the NY Islanders are 8-18 in their last 26 games as an underdog. |
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02-08-21 | Islanders v. Rangers OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
NHL Total of the Day |
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02-08-21 | Oregon State +12.5 v. Colorado | 49-78 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oregon State (10-7, 6-5) moved above .500 in conference play with a 68-66 home win over Washington State on Saturday. That victory capped a two-game home sweep of the Washington schools last week. Now, the Beavers embark on a finish that has them on the road for six of their last nine games. Their only Pac-12 road win in four tries so far has come on the short trek over to Oregon last month. Oregon State coach Wayne Tinkle declared last week every game is winnable in a season of lesser home-court advantage and great parity in the Pac-12. Consider that Colorado is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There is two weeks between the championship games and Super Bowl this year. Kansas City is 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in the postseason since 2018. No team has compiled a better record the past three seasons than the Chiefs, who are 44-11 during this span. Maybe the Chiefs got back on track with their impressive title-game victory versus the Bills. Maybe. Until that performance, Kansas City was 1-8 ATS in its last nine games with the lone cover occurring by half a point against the Saints. Yes, the Chiefs were being overpriced by the oddsmaker and probably overvalued in the marketplace. Still, both their offense and defense had declined from their performance during the first half of the season when they covered six of their first eight games, while outscoring foes by an average of 31.6 points to 19 points. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, definitely are in peak form with Brady fully in sync with Bruce Arians and his new offense. Brady has never had these many outstanding receivers at his disposal. He can match Mahomes plus he has the huge advantage of being backed by the superior defense. Also consider that Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs OVER 55.5 | 9-31 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Mahomes is firmly in his prime, the most dangerous quarterback in the league for the past three seasons with 114 TD passes in 45 regular season games. Sparked by Mahomes, the Chiefs have scored at least 21 straight points in their past five playoff games. The Chiefs have averaged 36.1 points in the last six playoff games in which Mahomes did not get injured. Tampa Bay is averaging 35.7 points in its last six games with Brady firmly comfortable in his new offense with his many dangerous weapons. He is facing a less than stellar Kansas City defense. So even though this is a high total, it’s a tough sell to try to make an Under work given these two offenses and the league’s emphasis on high-scoring entertainment. Consider that the over is 23-10 in Buccaneers last 33 games overall. |
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02-07-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -147 | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas though has won all four of its home games this year, anchored by one of the best offenses in the league that averages 3.8 GPG. Not to be outdone though, the Stars are also one of the best defensive clubs this season by allowing only 2.6 GPG. Chicago is just 1-4 in its last five following a win. |
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02-07-21 | Hurricanes -139 v. Blue Jackets | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Columbus is 12-25 in their last 37 overall and 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog. While Carolina is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Central, 6-2 in their last 8 games as a road favorite, and 58-28 in their last 86 games as a favorite. |
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02-07-21 | Red Wings v. Panthers -220 | 4-1 | Loss | -220 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Detroit is 14-37 in their last 51 games playing on 1 days rest, 27-74 in their last 101 vs. a team with a winning record, 12-40 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game, and 15-52 in their last 67 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. While Florida is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Central, 5-2 in their last 7 home games, and 55-26 in their last 81 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. In addition, the Favorite is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings |
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02-07-21 | Temple v. Wichita State -8.5 | 67-70 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A team is supposed to rise when it’s legend dies. Instead, to follow up on John Chaney’s death, Temple lost a home game to relatively hapless Tulane – by a lot! -- then followed up with a home loss to a 3-7 Cincinnati team that hadn’t played a game in who knows how long? Sheesh! |
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02-07-21 | Georgetown v. Villanova -13 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Play of the Day Let’s do some zig-zagging. Georgetown is off an outright win at Creighton as +9.5 point road underdog. Villanova is off a road loss at St. John’s as -9.5-point road favorite. Jay Wright’s Wildcats shot 8-for-30 on three-pointers at St. John’s. Georgetown made 10 of their 21 three-pointers at Creighton (47.6%). The Hoyas average 35.5% from there. When they met in December, it took Villanova a while to figure out the Hoyas. They trailed by 18 in the first half, by 13 at halftime… and eventually won by 13 after a 43-17 second half. Highly ranked team comes home off loss; unranked team with losing record stays on road off win. Consider that Villanova is 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss |
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02-07-21 | Celtics +3 v. Suns | 91-100 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Boston G Jaylen Brown’s sore knee will force him to miss his second straight game, but not sure the oddsmakers haven’t over-corrected here. Phoenix is just 2-3 SU L5 at the Talking Stick, and rank just 18th in net rating over the last 15 games (Celtics 6th). Boston has worked through injuries before this season, and it’s not as if the Suns are an intact unit, with starting F Jae Crowder and contributors Dario Saric and Cam Payne out or doubtful. Would rather take it with Boston. |
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02-07-21 | Heat v. Knicks +6 | Top | 109-103 | Push | 0 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Second of back-to-backs for the Knicks following yesterday’s 110-99 win vs. end-of long-road-trip Portland. Miami flies up with rest following a lousy homestand that they managed to close out well with a 122-95 win vs. Washington (with Westbrook playing for the Wizards after they’d lost to the Wizards with Westbrook resting two nights earlier!). One win against Washington probably doesn’t solve Miami’s issues and as favorite, they can’t be in “nobody expected us to do this!” mode. Knicks don’t win three in a row very often but it’s a fact that it has happened at least once in the last 10 years – last month, actually. Miami: 7-14-1 ATS, the NBA’s worst percentage. |
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02-07-21 | Wizards v. Hornets +2 | 97-119 | Win | 100 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Consider that Washington is 17-38-1 ATS in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. While Charlotte is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 1 days rest, 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog, and 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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02-07-21 | Iowa v. Indiana +3 | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Iowa enters this game ranked #8. They peaked in mid-January and could probably use a break. They’re the kind of team that usually loses six straight in February anyway. They are scheduled to close with four road games in their last six from Feb. 13 to Mar. 7. Therefore, we predict that the Hawkeyes will go “on pause” very soon after losing this game to the home dog that needs it more and guards better. |
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02-06-21 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | 109-118 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s a home invasion by the Grizzlies, who were in the Big Easy yesterday casing the joint while Van Gundy & Co. were battling and beating the Pacers at the wire in Indiana before taking a late-night flight back to New Orleans. The Pelicans aren’t always comfortable in their offense, and the Grizzlies have a way of disrupting the opposing offensive flow with deflections and steals. Fresh legs can propel the NBA’s steals-leading team to a fun night of transition buckets |
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02-06-21 | Warriors v. Mavs -4 | Top | 132-134 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit NBA Game of the Week That home invasion situation against back-to-backing Dallas was certainly beneficial to the Warriors here on Thursday night, wasn’t it? It didn’t matter that they were lacking in frontcourt personnel. What mattered most is that the Warriors’ Kelly Oubre shot 14-for-21, including 7-for-10 on three-pointers. What mattered almost as much was Dallas firing 50 of their 92 shots from behind the three-point line against an opponent that wasn’t really prepared to stop them inside. If Rick Carlisle is half the coach we think he is, then he, hopefully, is making his players aware that they are the world’s biggest fools for playing that way, or telling himself that he’s the world’s worst coach and will prepare them better next time, which is this time. “This was a difficult lesson,” he said afterwards. No kidding! Put your learning to work! Consider that Golden State is 25-51-3 ATS in their last 79 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. |
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02-06-21 | Spurs +2 v. Rockets | 111-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 10 Unit NBA Game of the Year Christian Wood scored 17 points on 7-of-10 shooting for Houston the other night before rolling his right ankle in the third quarter. He then left the arena in a wheelchair. Losing one big doesn’t have to harm a team in the short-term, and the Spurs haven’t covered the last three and LaMarcus Aldridge will be out for a while. There isn’t much veteran presence in his absence. But the last time the teams met, coach Popovich said that four or five of his Spurs players were "out to lunch" when a more depleted Rockets team beat them here 103-91 (Cousins, Wall, Gordon all out, Oladipo yet to show). Ya’ think they’ll be more focused for the Rockets this time around? Consider that Houston is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest. |
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02-06-21 | Arizona v. Colorado -5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week The Buffs couldn’t be more ready to play a game, at least from the mental standpoint and pretty much from the preparation situation, too. First of all, they hate Arizona. Secondly, they were beaten in Tucson, 88-74 on Dec. 28. (Revenge!) Next, their Thursday game vs. Arizona State was postponed due to a cooties problem in or around ASU’s Hurley girlie program. While Arizona was fighting (flailing, really) at Utah on Thursday, the Buffs got some extra time to make whatever use they could out of it, as they come off that stinging home loss to Utah that was probably 99.9% theirs with 8:46 remaining until the 31-9 run hit. Ya’ think maybe they’ll guard whomever it is on Arizona that might be hot, so he doesn’t stay hot, if he even gets hot? Consider that Colorado is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. |
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02-06-21 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -184 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Maple Leafs have defeated every team in the North Division this season and have eight wins. The Canucks have two games left on a six-game trip that started last Saturday with a win over the Winnipeg Jets and continued with losses to the Montreal Canadiens on Monday and Tuesday. The Canucks will have to contend with Matthews, who has scored in five straight games for a total of six goals, and Mitchell Marner, who has points in six straight games (two goals, eight assists) after getting a goal and two assists on Thursday. The game on Thursday was the first for the Maple Leafs after taking seven of a possible eight points on an Alberta road trip. Toronto won twice at Calgary, then split a pair of games at Edmonton with an overtime loss. Consider that Toronto is 39-17 in their last 56 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game while Vancouver is 0-8 in the last 8 meetings in Toronto. |
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02-06-21 | Marshall v. Old Dominion UNDER 144 | Top | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Total of the Day The under is 4-1 in Monarchs last 5 overall, 8-2 in Monarchs last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-1 in Monarchs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 5-2 in Monarchs last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. While the under is 7-3 in Thundering Herd last 10 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-06-21 | Nebraska v. Michigan State -11.5 | Top | 56-66 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Play of the Day Leaving home following a lengthy layoff at 0-5 in the Big Ten, for a road game against a desperate home team with back-class that’s on a four-game losing streak, is not what Nebraska head coach Fred Hoiberg envisioned as being the state of his team with one month left in the regular season. Off three straight losses, the last two against Top 10 opponents, the Spartans return home, drop in class, and get what they need, with lessons learned from the 84-77 win at Nebraska on Jan. 2. Consider that Nebraska is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall. |
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02-06-21 | Nuggets v. Kings +3.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings are riding an up-curve in their ongoing match-ups vs. the Nuggets. Last season, a bad one for them and a good one for Denver, they lost by only 7 and 5 points, and won in overtime. This season, they’ve already beaten the Nuggets twice outright as the underdog -- in Denver on opening night in overtime, then by 10 points at home six days later. With these competitive outings under their belt vs. the guys in Denver uniforms, Luke Walton’s bunch certainly won’t lack for confidence, which will be further buoyed by the five wins in their last six games. Do the Nuggets have what it takes to bear down and deal with this new nuisance? They are coming off a season-low 93 points at the Lakers, a very good defensive team. The possibility for an offensive bounce-back exists but can they get enough scoreboard separation if shooting guards Gary Harris and P.J. Dozier are out? |
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02-06-21 | Coastal Carolina v. South Alabama | 66-70 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Look for better shooting results for the visitor after netting only 32.8% from the field in last night’s 71-65 loss. The energy that South Alabama didn’t have to prevent 21 offensive rebounds by the Chanticleers will be down a few notches for this instant re-hook. Guard Michael Flowers is a good player for the home team but he played all 40 minutes for his game-high 28 points after the sun went down yesterday. South Alabama is 1-2 SU and ATS in second of back-to-backs, the win/cover against a Georgia Southern team that can’t hit water from a boat, and one of the losses to tonight’s opponent. |
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02-06-21 | Lipscomb v. Stetson UNDER 137.5 | Top | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Rebound Total of the Day The under is 4-0 in Bison last 4 Saturday games. While the under is |
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02-06-21 | North Dakota v. Denver +2.5 | 81-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home side is desperate! Denver has yet to beat a Division 1 foe this season (0-13). This is the second opportunity for them to take advantage of a second of back-to-backs on their home floor at 5,200 feet of altitude. They covered the other (vs. Oral Roberts) when they lost by 9, taking 10.5. They’re not good, so if they’re gonna take advantage, it probably won’t be easy but ya’ gotta try out these rare "favorable" situations that don’t exist in other years |
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02-06-21 | Belmont -16.5 v. SIU-Edwardsville | 94-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Schedule-overload seventh game in 12 days for Edwardsville, a perpetual Ohio Valley also ran with no college hoops class and very little depth. To be playing it against Belmont – perennial challenger for the OVC title and multi-NCAA Tournament performer – seems like the worst possible draw for their situation. To be playing it against Belmont when Belmont is 19-1, 13-0 in conference) with a +17.8 scoring differential in OVC play, and the Bruins don’t play again until Thursday, would seem to increase the blowout potential. The score when they met at Belmont on Jan. 23 was 114-62, so if Belmont wins by half as much this time, it’s still 26 points. |
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02-06-21 | Canadiens -240 v. Senators | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Murray (2-4-1, 4.40 goals-against average) could be back in net for the Senators, who are playing their first home game since Jan. 21. Backup Marcus Hogberg (0-4-0, 4.54 GAA), though, could be in line for his fourth start of the season. Either will try to help the Senators hand Montreal back-to-back losses for the first time in 2020-21. Thursday's defeat marked just the second time this season that the Canadiens lost in regulation. Josh Anderson scored for the third time in two games and seventh overall for the Canadiens, who admit they were outplayed all over the ice after owning an 11-5 goal advantage in sweeping Vancouver over the previous two contests. The Canadiens' Carey Price (4-1-2, 2.81 GAA) saw his three-game winning streak come to a halt after yielding three goals on 22 shots. He's stopped 90 of 93 shots during a personal three-game winning stretch at Ottawa. Jake Allen, who's posted a 2.02 goals-against average and .930 save percentage while winning three of his first four starts for Montreal, could also get the nod on Saturday. Consider that Ottawa is 13-43 in their last 56 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-06-21 | Alabama v. Missouri +3 | Top | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day ‘Tell me how will you score the upset that isn’t really an upset? Tell me, Cuonzo, Cuonzo, Cuonzo!’ Alabama has had an early “peak.” We were on them early, had Mississippi State against them recently when all MSU did was muck up the game, forcing Alabama play slow and ugly. At Oklahoma a week ago, it was basically the same thing. Missouri’s band has been together as long as anyone in the SEC and Cuonzo’s preferred game was always slow and ugly until this group finally got some cohesion and could play more up-and-down this season. Now, the Tigers are versatile but not to the point where they’ll try to trade threes in a fast-paced game, and they’ll run the Tide off the three-point line as often as possible. Consider that Missouri is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. |
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02-05-21 | Pistons +8 v. Suns | 92-109 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It really is a shame that Detroit’s Monday game at Denver was postponed and a great anti-Pistons situation couldn’t occur when they played at Utah the next night. For this, they’ve had two days to prep, in town Wednesday while the Suns were losing that night in New Orleans. Still no Dario Saric or Damion Jones for Phoenix. Forwards Frank Kaminsky and Cameron Johnson were -17 and -25 plus-minus in the loss at New Orleans, as they should be. There are enough points available to make the lousy road dog a tempting commodity in this spot. |
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02-05-21 | Boise State v. Nevada +4.5 | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There’s no place like Lawlor (Center), it seems, for Nevada, which can’t seem to win a game away from Reno these days but has been very tough to beat in Reno. To wit: the home team has won eight straight games involving the Wolf Pack. And, the good news for Steve Alford’s crew is that it is at home tonight, as Nevada was within the last week when twice taking out downstate UNLV by double-digit margins. Alford has been getting some big production in recent weeks from Wichita State transfer G Grant Sherfield (18.3 ppg), who has scored 20 or more in seven of the last ten games. |
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02-05-21 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State -6.5 | Top | 64-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Summit League Play of the Day The visitor is 8-0 atop the Summit League, and also beat South Dakota State in a hastily scheduled, neutral site, third-game-in-three-nights situation for both sides back on Dec. 12, a game which did not count in the conference standings. Here we are in February for a re-match. South Dakota’s 8-0 was accomplished vs. the bottom four teams in the conference (who are 4-24 combined). The home side watched South Dakota’s Stanley Umide go for 41 points in the game that didn’t really count for much, and is thinking, ‘You only got 11 and 15 points against us last year.” SDS’ second-leading scorer, senior forward Douglas Wilson didn’t play in that game. Consider that South Dakota State is 29-9-1 ATS in their last 39 games following a ATS loss. |
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02-05-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Heat | 95-122 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite a 3-8 SU mark last 11 against Miami, Washington has compiled a 7-2 spread mark the last 9 against the Heat, including 5 straight covers at American Airlines Arena. That includes the Wizards 103-100 win at Miami on Wednesday night (their 2nd cover in 2 games vs. the Heat this season), when Washington G Bradley Beal scored 32 pts., leading his team to a win despite the fact that Russell Westbrook was rested. Look for another razor-thin, make-and-a-miss decision in this one. |
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02-05-21 | Jazz v. Hornets +8.5 | 138-121 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hornets fell to 0-3 vs. the 76ers this young season on Wednesday night. Philly is just not a good match-up for them, as one could easily surmise by envisioning Cody Zeller being posterized by Joel Embiid for 31 minutes. For this, the home dog is rested and catches the Jazz playing the second of back-to-backs, coming out of Atlanta last night. Hot, first-place teams like Jazz can overcome negative situations against habitual also rans like the Hornets. But Charlotte’s Gordon Heyward and LaMelo Ball present some challenges that didn’t exist when the Jazz won here (and home) with rest against the Hornets last season. The Hornets’ new trait of hanging in there in second halves can serve them well against the second of back-to-backers. |
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02-05-21 | Lipscomb v. Stetson UNDER 138 | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NCAAB Total of the Day Notes to consider... This one gets re-scheduled for tonight after last Friday’s postponement, which caused some now-familiar re-shuffling of the A-Sun schedule last weekend. The Mad Hatters instead got FGCU and eventually broke a 4-game skid when beating the Eagles on Saturday, which also snapped a 5-game Stetson “under” streak. Prior to that 77-66 win, Stetson was only scoring 63 ppg in its previous six league games, as HC Donnie Jones has a tight rein on his troops, who often rely upon soph G Rob Perry (such as the win over FGCU, when he scored 30). Lipscomb not especially dynamic, either, scoring just 66 ppg its last six A-Sun games |
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02-05-21 | Predators v. Panthers -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Bobrovsky, who made 35 saves but blew a 5-3 third-period lead, likely will get a rest on Friday. Backup Chris Driedger has been brilliant this season with a 2-0-1 record, a .937 save percentage and a 1.95 goals-against average. Quenneville, meanwhile, made a crucial strategic decision that backfired after Nashville's Roman Josi scored to cut Florida's lead to 5-4 with 2:06 left in the third period. After the goal, Florida challenged the play due to what the Panthers believed was a high stick. The challenge was denied, and, by rule, the Panthers were hit with a two-minute penalty. Nashville then pulled its goalie for a six-on-four advantage, and that's when Duchene scored to set up overtime. Consider that Florida is 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. |
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02-05-21 | Bruins -132 v. Flyers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Philadelphia Flyers have struggled mightily against the Boston Bruins all season. The Flyers will look to snap a frustrating trend when they host the Bruins again on Friday. Philadelphia couldn't hold a two-goal lead and fell 4-3 in overtime to the Bruins on Wednesday, dropping the Flyers to 0-3 against Boston this season. Consider that Boston is 39-16 in their last 55 games following a win. |
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02-05-21 | Pelicans v. Pacers -1 | 114-113 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Indiana just 6-8 SU in their last 14 games, but road wins have been hard to come by for New Orleans, which has dropped 7 of its last 9 on the road SU and failed to cover the last 3. That Pelican record thanks in large part to poor defensive efforts that have also correlated to a 4-0 “over” mark in L4 away from their nest. That being said, Pel F Zion Williamson developing into a force, scoring 26 ppg and shooting 62% over his last 12 games, and he’s receiving ample support from F Brandon Ingram and Gs Eric Bledsoe. Still feel Pacers hold edge and number seems a bit thin with talent like Domantas Sabonis (26 ppg, 11 rpg, 63% L5Gs) and Malcolm Brogdon (22 ppg L13) on board and Jeremy Lamb shooting 45% from beyond the arc and scoring 13 ppg since returning from his ACL rehab. |
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02-05-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Cal-Irvine -6 | Top | 53-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big West Play of the Day The Fabulous Bakersfield Boys have won four Big West road games and in a fifth, lost in overtime. They’ve also won at Pepperdine by 17 points, a team that beat Cal-Irvine by 15 points. Oh, if it was only that easy, right? The host Anteaters are the Big West’s top dog, never primed to play their best early in the season but usually ready to jump from the starting blocks when the conference light goes on. They’ve been forewarned about the uppityness of this visitor, and just had a seven-game winning streak snapped in overtime at Hawaii over the weekend. At 5-1 in conference to Bakersfield’s 7-3, the Anteaters need to make sure that when the visitor leaves here after tomorrow night, it will make the trip northward still with more losses than Irvine. Consider that Irvine is 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 home games. |
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02-05-21 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Green Bay -5.5 | 80-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The home side is off back-to-back road losses at Horizon League leader Cleveland State. The visitor is last in the Horizon League in both offensive and defensive field goal percentage (40.5% shooting, 50.2% shooting allowed). IUPUI is also last in the conference in rebounding margin (-4.8 per game). So, if they miss more than everyone else, and everyone else makes more against them, and they can’t grab enough boards, then this would seem to be a good spot for Green Bay to get back on the winning track, eh? |
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02-04-21 | Montana -1 v. Portland State | 70-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Through six Big Sky games, Portland State has the conference’s worst field goal percentage: 37.6%. That’s one of the nation’s worst, too. A habitually strong defensive squad like Montana doesn’t figure to allow them to suddenly start making shots more frequently. PSU’s Assist/Turnover ratio is -4.5. |
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02-04-21 | Rockets +3.5 v. Grizzlies | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Memphis just had its 7-game win streak snapped in Indiana on Tuesday in a 134-116 setback, while Houston similarly is coming off a loss at Oklahoma City last night that ended the Rockets’ 6-game win skein. Houston G John Wall was rested against the Thunder last night, likely in anticipation that he would be good to go against Griz’ PG Ja Morant in this one. Memphis has been missing C Jonas Valanciunas and G Grayson Allen due to Covid protocols for a few games, and Morant almost reinjured his bad ankle on Monday and made just 2 of 10 shots on Tuesday. Feel Houston the more talented club (Wall, Oladipo, Eric Gordon, DeMarcus Cousins all AS-level in their careers and Christian Wood will be there soon). |
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02-04-21 | Hurricanes -181 v. Blackhawks | 4-6 | Loss | -181 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Carolina Hurricanes will go for their sixth win in a row when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks tonight. Carolina is coming off a 4-3 win in the shootout round against the Blackhawks two nights earlier. It marked the second straight shootout victory for the Hurricanes, who have only one loss on the season. Andrei Svechnikov, Warren Foegele and Vincent Trocheck each scored during the first 60 minutes for Carolina. Svechnikov added the goal during the shootout round that lifted Carolina to its fifth straight win. James Reimer earned the victory Tuesday against the Blackhawks by stopping 30 of 33 shots in regulation and overtime, as well as stopping all three attempts by the Blackhawks in the shootout round. Reimer improved to a perfect 4-0-0 this season with a 2.19 GAA and a .915 save percentage. |
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02-04-21 | Blazers +10 v. 76ers | 121-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Philadelphia is coming off a 118-111 win at Charlotte last night, led by Joel Embiid’s 34 pts., while Portland was off last night. Blazers are 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 against the points the last few years against Philly, but things have changed with the Trail Blazers lineup compromised by injuries, while the maturing Sixers are fighting for the best record in the East. That being said, Philly has yet to cover (0-4) this season playing the 2nd of back-to-back games, despite Sixer trio of Embiid, Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris each playing in 3 of the 4 chances. |
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02-04-21 | Predators v. Panthers -109 | 6-5 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nashville is 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game, 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss of 3 or more goals, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, and 0-6 in their last 6 road games. While Florida is 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game and 35-17 in their last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. |
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02-04-21 | Predators v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NHL Total of the Day The over is - 3-0-1 in Predators last 4 games as an underdog, 4-1 in Predators last 5 road games, and 9-3 in Predators last 12 games as a road underdog. While the over is 15-5-2 in Panthers last 22 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 20-7 in Panthers last 27 Thursday games, 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and 10-4 in Panthers last 14 games as a home favorite. |
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02-04-21 | Murray State v. Morehead State +3 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
NCAAB Play of the Day Heady times for the host Eagles, 10-2 in second place in the OVC, nine straight wins The play of 6’10," 235 freshman Johni Broome has helped them along and he didn’t even play when the Eagles beat these Racers 61-56 on the road last month. It was the only game Broome has missed this season and his teammates shot only 2-for-14 on three-pointers but still came out on top. That’s how good the overall team defense has been. They’ve covered seven in a row and are 13-4 ATS to Murray State’s 5-8-1 ATS. |
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02-04-21 | Arizona -1.5 v. Utah | 58-73 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes suddenly look like a dangerous spoiler in Pac-12 play, continuing their steady improvement and serving notice that they’re not a team you want to underestimate in February by posting a 77-74 upset at Colorado. Arizona has won four of five and has overcome injury-related attrition thanks to the backcourt of transfers James Akinjo (Georgetown) and Terrell Brown (Seattle) in addition to the impressive development of freshmen Bennedict Mathurin and Azuolas Tubelis. Consider that Utah is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State +6 v. Iowa | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams played only once last season. Iowa prevailed at home 85-76 last Feb. 20, surging ahead to a double-digit halftime edge before holding on. The Wesson brothers were the driving force behind last season’s team while this year’s key cogs, forward E.J. Liddell, guard Duane Washington, Jr. and shooter Justin Ahrens all came off the bench. Luka Garza led Iowa with 24 points on 9-for-15 shooting and will likely draw matchups with Kyle Young and Liddell, who will look to find a way to keep Garza from finding a rhythm. Even at home, this should be the toughest test the Hawkeyes have received since its 80-75 loss to Illinois to close out February. The Buckeyes should be a live ‘dog and could win outright. |
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02-03-21 | Celtics -108 v. Kings | 111-116 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After the Celtics concluded their homestand with a 3-point loss to the Lakers, they had two open dates before last night’s opener of a five-game Western road trip at Golden State. The Kings, who won at New Orleans on Monday after being in Florida all last week, are lagging behind the visitor in re-acclimating to the West Coast, which they do coming off the high of a rare, winning road trip (3-1). Sacramento beats Boston occasionally: six times in the last 25 meetings. Occasionally = not often, eh? |
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02-03-21 | Virginia -6.5 v. NC State | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wolfpack want to run whenever possible while the ‘Hoos want to slow the game down, so that tug of war should help decide this one. Without Daniels, I don’t see N.C. State having enough firepower to overcome a focused Cavaliers team coming off a loss. Consider that Virginia is 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a road favorite and 30-13-1 ATS in their last 44 road games. |
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02-03-21 | Wolves v. Spurs -8 | Top | 108-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day The Spurs went 1-1 in Minnesota recently in a back-to-back. They scored 88 points losing the second. Popovich can never seem to get this team to play well in the second night of a back-to-back. He’s always using it as an excuse. It’s like he hates the situations, doesn’t believe they should exist and doesn’t care, turning them into write-offs before games that offer more prep time with more energy on tap. Hey, whatever "spurs" him and his team to victory, right? San Antonio has been home since early last week. They’ve had a day in between the second straight big-margin loss vs. Memphis, and this. With an allegedly "offensive minded" roster, the T’Wolves rank #28 in points per possession |
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02-03-21 | Rockets -7 v. Thunder | 87-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Rockets are rolling against ordinary opposition since relieving themselves of James Harden. OKC’s -8.3 scoring differential indicates that they are less than ordinary. Their -16.8 scoring differential on their home floor is bizarre, but it is what it is. The 136-106 win by Houston against them on Monday was what it was, including a ***BEST BET winner for us. The handwriting is on the wall. “We have a coachable group, we have a mature group who want what’s best, not just for them but everybody in the group,” Rockets’ head coach Stephen Silas said after Monday’s rout. The OKC group is not a mature group. It’s young and re-building, which is why Billy Donovan wanted out. |
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02-03-21 | Wizards +9.5 v. Heat | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami, your Eastern Conference champ of last season, is #13 in the East! You know, we never really thought they were that good, and we’ve noted that they made their big run last season as an underdog. Now, they’re favored way too often. Washington was only one game behind them in the standings when the Wizards took the floor vs. Portland last night, making this a second of back-to-backs, home to road situation against a rested home side. The rested home side has lost six of last seven, nine of last 12. |
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02-03-21 | Tulane v. Wichita State -11 | 67-75 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Wichita State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game, and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. While Tulane is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. |
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02-03-21 | Mavs v. Hawks +2 | 122-116 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Guess who’s won 11 of the last 13 meetings between the Hawks and Mavericks? It’s Atlanta. Remember, Dallas missed the playoffs, just like Atlanta usually does, three straight seasons before making it last year. If the season ended today, the Mavericks would finish 13th in the West. Their points differential is -2.1. Atlanta, 10-9 and playing with a playoff mandate from the owner, is +3.0 and #6 in the East. Struggling teams usually don’t re-discover their good mojos when they leave home and play on the road. Dallas has dropped six straight, nine of their last 11, four straight at home. The most recent loss was with a full roster after Maxi Kleber was the last guy to finally return from their mandated absences. The Hawks were right there with the Lakers at 98-97 the other night, then endured a 0-16 drought into the fourth quarter. Clint Capela didn’t get much use after he got his third foul with 9:57 left in the second quarter. |
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02-03-21 | Virginia Tech -3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 72-83 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Pitt is coming off Saturday’s lopsided home loss to Notre Dame and is due a bounce-back effort tonight. But unless playing that contrarian angle, hard to construct a persuasive case for the Panthers, still awaiting a real breakthrough for 3rd-year HC Jeff Capel. That seems to be happening at VPI, as Mike Young’s Hokies have moved all of the way up to a No. 16 ranking in the polls after a couple of big efforts last week that included a rousing 65-51 whip of Commonwealth rival Virginia on Saturday. That not only made Cav alums like Brit Hume cringe but also marked a fifth win in six games for Young’s surging side, which has really clamped down on the stop-end in the recent surge, allowing only 58 points per game across those last five wins. |
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02-02-21 | Senators v. Oilers -220 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers' are on fire up front as McDavid and Draisaitl have been lighting it up like no tomorrow and lead the league in points. When you put them up against the worst team in the league when it comes to goals against (4.89) you have the recipe of a MASSIVE WIN!! Edmonton averages 4.6 goals a game and the power play is clicking like a well "oiled" machine Ottawa will have to do their best to stay out of the box especially with a horrible penalty kill that ranks among the bottom of the league. |
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02-02-21 | Mississippi State +8 v. Arkansas | 45-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This visitor has won five straight over tonight’s home favorite, including two games last season. Ben Howland to Eric Musselman, who’s headed Arkansas only for the two most recent defeats against the Bulldogs: ‘I own your program.’ Because they are able to protect the rim, rebound better and contain the tempo |
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02-02-21 | Penn State +9 v. Wisconsin | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Badgers haven’t stopped playing their pack line defense and getting back religiously. They’re still running offense methodically, playing at the slowest pace in the Big Ten. However, concerns over the effectiveness of their defense in 2021 have taken center stage since they just lost 81-71 on Saturday against the same Nittany Lions team they’ll welcome into the Kohl Center on Tuesday night. Although a double-OT win over Indiana skews the following slightly, Wisconsin has surrendered over 70 points in six of its last 10 dating back to a Christmas Day win over Michigan State. It had surrendered no more than 67 over its first eight contests. Teams have figured out that you can push against the Badgers, and Penn State is going to come into Madison quite confident after scoring 50 second-half points in upsetting Wisconsin to close out January |
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02-02-21 | Coyotes v. Blues -164 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The St. Louis Blues hope to ride the momentum of recent road success when they host the Arizona Coyotes today. The Blues defeated the Vegas Golden Knights once and the Anaheim Ducks twice last week before returning home to Enterprise Center. The Coyotes have lost four of their last six games, but they are coming off of a 3-2 victory over the Ducks at home on Thursday. The Coyotes will face a hot goaltender in Jordan Binnington, who is 3-0-1 in his last four starts with a .939 save percentage. Consider that Arizona is 8-20 in the last 28 meetings. |
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02-02-21 | Grizzlies +5 v. Pacers | 116-134 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers didn’t fall for any of the Grizzlies’ play-dead tricks when they beat them twice within a week last year, 126-114 and 117-104. But the games were played in late November and early December, when Memphis was 6-14 on the way down to 10-19, before they took off in early January on a run that left them with a season-best 28-26 record by mid-February. It’s probably fair to say that the Grizzlies are a different team now than they were when they played Indiana last season. It’s a second of back-to-backs for Memphis off a 29-point win Monday night. They’re 1-0 SU and ATS with no rest (at Brooklyn, off at Cleveland in early Jan.). “We’ve got a lot of depth,” Memphis guard Tyus Jones said after completing the authoritative sweep of San Antonio last night. “You’ve got to use that to your advantage night in and night out. It’s a long season.” |
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02-02-21 | Clippers v. Nets +1.5 | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units No Paul George? No problem. Who needs him? No Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, Patrick Beverly, no problem? That’s how it’s mostly been for the Clippers on their six-game road trip so far. After losing in Atlanta (winning record), they’ve won in Miami, Orlando and New York (three losers). The Clippers can clinch a winning trip here before playing in Cleveland tomorrow night, but the Nets’ 13-9 record indicates that they are “winners,” for lack of a better term. There’s certainly more scoring talent on the Brooklyn roster than within those Heat, Magic and Knicks rotations. |
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02-02-21 | Raptors -6 v. Magic | 123-108 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A problem with the Magic is that they put up the fifth-most most shots per game (91.3, with San Antonio #1 at 92.3), with the worst Effective Field Goal Percentage (48.8%). They get to the free-throw fewer times than anybody except Phoenix and Memphis. That is quite the inefficient offense! The Orlando Magic know they will need to get off to a better start Tuesday night if they are going to defeat the visiting Toronto Raptors. The Magic trailed 27-15 after shooting 27.8 percent from the field in the first quarter on the way to a 115-102 loss to the Raptors Sunday night at Tampa. To make matters worse for the Magic, Aaron Gordon left the game in the third quarter with a left ankle injury. He was going to be evaluated to determine the severity of the injury. Gordon scored 14 points. Consider that Toronto is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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02-02-21 | Purdue v. Maryland -142 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A 41-28 halftime deficit at Purdue did not deter the Terps from making a comeback try that covered the spread in a 73-70 road loss. They displayed good ball security throughout that game, took more free throws than the home side, two areas that should help them make the not-large margin they’d need to be successful home chalk in the revenge match-up. |
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02-02-21 | Butler v. Marquette -2.5 | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 2 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After losing at home to St. John’s on Sunday afternoon, Marquette has matched a season-long three-game losing streak but it does have a win at Creighton and a home win over Wisconsin on its resume, not to mention enough talent to go on a run if everything gels together. The schedule is friendly too, featuring a visit to Seton Hall as the toughest road game and no more matchups with Big East-leading Villanova. Butler comes off a 68-55 home loss to Xavier and is 3-6 over its last nine, scoring 60 or fewer points in each of its setbacks. The Bulldogs shot 5-for-25 from 3-point range at Hinkle Fieldhouse in a blowout loss to the Muskies over the weekend and leading scorers Aaron Thompson and Jair Bolden shot a combined 15-for-45 (33 percent) in last week’s losses, combining for just 33 points over a two-game span. |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Big-12 Play of the Day Despite playing without leading scorer Austin Reaves and starting guard Alondes Williams because of virus protocols, the Sooners took care of red-hot Alabama at home. But you knew that Alabama would have problems vs. Oklahoma (because it said so, in our paper!). The Red Raiders don’t mind Sooner style and as a familiar Big 12 foe, they’ll know what to do if Reaves and Williams are out again for the visitor. One player out of the three who came off the Sooners’ bench scored points vs. Alabama. The home team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings |
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02-01-21 | Suns +3.5 v. Mavs | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units You’re supposed to get better as you get recently absent guys back, but the Mavericks have lost five straight, the last few with Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Richardson, Jalen Brunson back. But when they lost to Phoenix on Saturday, the rather large presence of Kristaps Porzingis was missing (second of back-to-backs, can’t ask a young millionaire to extend himself when the team has lost four straight, no sireee, can’t have that!). Not that the Suns didn’t have their own handicap, with Devin Booker out (he’ll be out again) and Dario Saric failing to make his expected return. Maybe tonight for him? |
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02-01-21 | Flames -116 v. Jets | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jacob Markstrom's 37-save shutout performance in a 2-0 victory over the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday is exactly what the Calgary Flames were looking for when they signed him via free agency. The Flames, who snapped a three-game losing skid with the win, are looking for more of the same when they visit the Winnipeg Jets on Monday in the first of three meetings in four nights in Winnipeg. The Flames have struggled to find a true No. 1 goalie since Miikka Kiprusoff's scintillating performances before he retired after the 2012-13 season, and that's why Markstrom was lured with a six-year, $36-million contract. He rewarded them with a brilliant performance in Montreal. Consider that Winnipeg is 5-11 in their last 16 games as a home underdog and 5-12 in their last 17 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-01-21 | Kings +3.5 v. Pelicans | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sacramento Kings and the New Orleans Pelicans were both showing improvement. Then they both lost Saturday night. Now they'll both try to bounce back when the Kings visit the Pelicans on Monday night. The Kings saw a season-best, three-game winning streak end when Jimmy Butler returned from a 10-game COVID-related absence to lead the host Miami Heat to a last-minute 105-104 victory that ended their five-game losing streak. Consider that Sacramento is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog. Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. |
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02-01-21 | Rockets -5 v. Thunder | Top | 136-106 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day It doesn’t make much sense, but OKC’s average home-game scoring margin through seven dates at Chesapeake Energy Arena is -14.9, through a 1-6 SU record. Obviously, they haven’t figured out what “We must protect this house!” is all about. Their overall -7.0 scoring differential is the league’s second-lowest next to Minnesota’s -10.5. The re-tooling Rockets, fueled in part by the verbal slights of former teammate James Harden, in part by his very absence (and being able to play basketball again instead of standing around watching him shoot), have won five straight. The vanquished quintet includes nobody going anywhere special in the NBA this season. Add another to the list |
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02-01-21 | Hornets +6.5 v. Heat | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Jimmy Butler returned, played well, better than expected, but still Miami didn’t cover against us on Saturday night. Miami is 2-7-1 ATS since Jan. 16. They have a legitimate right to improve with Butler, Andre Iguadola and Tyler Herro back on the floor, although Goran Dragic and Avery Bradley didn’t play vs. the Kings. So they’re still a little iffy. This is the lone road game in a nine-game stretch for the Hornets, who played the Heat only twice last season: a loss in November. Consider that Charlotte is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. |
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02-01-21 | Canucks v. Canadiens -160 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Habs hadn't lost in regulation until they ran into a hot goalie in a 2-0 loss to Calgary on Saturday. They host the Vancouver Canucks tonight, and Vancouver comes in as winners of four straight. History suggests that the Canucks might be in tough here in Montreal. They are 5-17 in the last 22 head to head meetings, and they have lost six of seven in Montreal. Braden Holtby has faced the Habs twice already this season, giving up nine goals on 68 shots. Thatcher Demko was also lit up in a 7-3 home loss to Montreal. |
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02-01-21 | Predators v. Lightning -167 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The first meeting between the visiting Nashville Predators and Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday wasn't just another game in the Central Division. Today's rematch in Tampa likely won't be either. On a night that featured some great firsts, early-season chippy play and a lead that almost got away, the Lightning snapped their scoreless drought and a four-game home losing streak to Nashville with a 4-3 victory. Consider that Tampa Bay is 33-14 in their last 47 games following a win, 42-18 in their last 60 games as a favorite, and 103-45 in their last 148 games as a home favorite. |
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02-01-21 | Valparaiso v. Evansville -2 | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Valparaiso is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. While Evansville is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, and 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. |
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02-01-21 | CS Sacramento +9 v. Eastern Washington | 79-94 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sacramento State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. While Eastern Washington is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. In addition, underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings while the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. |
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02-01-21 | Georgia Tech v. Louisville -4.5 | 58-74 | Win | 100 | 2 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two Georgia Tech starters – Jose Alvarado and Michael Devoe – played all 40 minutes in the home win vs. Florida State on Saturday. Forward Moses Wright played 38 minutes. That much floor time against a deep Seminoles rotation, and coming out with a win, will have probably taken something out of them for this trip, for which Louisville is rested and off a loss, no game since Wednesday. |
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01-31-21 | UNLV v. Nevada OVER 142 | Top | 60-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit CBB Play of the Day The over is 16-3 in Rebels last 19 Sunday games, 9-4 in Rebels last 13 games following a ATS loss, and 37-18 in Rebels last 55 games following a straight up loss. While the Over is 16-5 in Wolf Pack last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 16-6 in Wolf Pack last 22 games as a favorite, and 15-7-1 in Wolf Pack last 23 overall |
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01-31-21 | Senators v. Oilers -193 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NHL Play of the Day The Ottawa Senators are having a tough enough time keeping the puck out of their net and it may be even harder when they suit up for a road clash against the Edmonton Oilers tonight. Ottawa's top defenseman Thomas Chabot is listed as day-to-day after he crashed into the net in Thursday's loss in Vancouver. Chabot will do what he can to suit up, but Artem Zub will make his NHL debut if he can't. The Senators are also without defenseman Christian Wolanin. The Senators were already in Edmonton and watched the Oilers claim a 4-3 overtime win over the Toronto Maple Leafs to snap a two-game losing skid. Ottawa, which is in a complete rebuild, has lost seven straight (0-6-1) by a combined 33-12 since opening the season with a home victory over the Maple Leafs. The Senators are coming off a three-game manhandling at the hands of the Vancouver Canucks, who combined to beat them by a 16-3 margin in the trio of outings. Consider that Ottawa is 6-22 in their last 28 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. |
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01-31-21 | Islanders v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 119 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NHL Total of the Day The Over is 4-1-2 in Islanders last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. While the over is 6-2 in Flyers last 8 overall and 6-2 in Flyers last 8 vs. East. In addition, the over is 14-5-1 in the last 20 meetings. |
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01-31-21 | 76ers v. Pacers +2 | 119-110 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units You would have thought Joel Embiid to sit at Minnesota after Philly had beaten the Lakers, but there was a day of rest in between and with the T’Wolves playing without both Karl-Anthony Towns and Naz Reid, he wasn’t going to miss the opportunity to rack up the points (37) and rebounds (11) against 6’9", 222 Ed Davis and other overmatched fellas. Hopefully, that sets up the 76ers to be overvalued in this next road match-up, for which the home side has Domontas Sabonis to score inside, and Myles Turner to deny some scoring inside, while scoring some himself. |
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01-31-21 | Panthers -178 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Panthers have been earning points the hard way. They've gone to overtime in four of their five games but have collected nine points. Quenneville believes the makeshift format due to the pandemic has contributed to that. Teams are facing each other twice in a row. "We're seeing an abnormal number around the league of tie games, whether it's familiarity and back-to-back nights ... teams know how to play against one another," he said. "So there's not that unpredictability sometimes. There's no surprises who you're playing and the matchups, so the games are tight." The Wings will be seeking their first victory in six games on Sunday. They're 0-3-2 after starting the season 2-2. Consider that Florida is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Detroit while the favorite is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. |
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01-31-21 | Stars v. Hurricanes -133 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Dallas Stars have to improve in every area of the game when they get another shot at the Carolina Hurricanes today. The Stars were outscored 4-1 by their hosts on Saturday and outshot 26-11 in their first loss of the NHL season. The Stars, playing their first road game, went almost 14 minutes of the second period before registering a single shot on goal. By then, Bowness had pulled goalie Anton Khudobin -- after he allowed four goals on 16 shots -- in favor of Jake Oettinger, who stopped all 10 shots he faced. Consider that Dallas is 22-49 in their last 71 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation while Carolina is 37-18 in their last 55 games as a home favorite. |
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01-31-21 | Bradley v. Indiana State | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit MVC Play of the Day The Braves of Bradley enter off four straight losses. The Sycamores of Indiana State have won four straight. ‘Oh! Ohhh! It’s two teams headed in opposite directions!’ Ah, not so fast, my friend. Indiana State head coach Greg Lansing gives us the scout: “They’re going to be like a rabid dog in a cage and will be healthy as they weren’t in some of these losses. They’re two-time defending [MVC Tournament] champions for a reason. Elijah Childs is a handful, you can’t guard him with one guy and they’re one of the best defensive teams in the league, mostly man, but some zone. We’re going to have to play our best game of the year.” This, immediately after he suspended senior guard Tobias Howard (20.5 minutes per game) the other day. Therefore, we’ll figure it’s actually two teams about to be headed in directions opposite of their most recent. Consider that Indiana State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. |
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01-31-21 | Valparaiso -1.5 v. Evansville | 52-70 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units First game off a pause for Evansville, not the kind of team you’d expect to come out dishing and swishing efficiently off lack of practice time and no games. Consider that Valparaiso is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. |
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01-31-21 | Jazz +1 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-128 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Utah has reeled off 11 straight wins, the past two without Donovan Mitchell and Derrick Favors, and at 15-4 own the best record in the NBA. The Jazz will put that streak on the line when they visit the Nuggets for an early afternoon matchup today. Mitchell (concussion protocol) and Favors (lower back soreness) haven't played since last Tuesday but traveled to Denver on Friday while their teammates were completing a two-game home sweep of the Dallas Mavericks. Their status for Sunday is unknown. If one or both can't play, it will be tougher to beat a Nuggets team that has found some footing over the past few weeks, but Utah has played well without them, too. Different players have stepped up in their absence, giving the Jazz a boost against the Mavericks. Consider that Utah is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win. |
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01-31-21 | Drexel +2.5 v. James Madison | 64-73 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Drexel is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. While James Madison is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. |
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01-31-21 | Devils v. Sabres -156 | 5-3 | Loss | -156 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units While the Buffalo Sabres keep finding ways to earn points, the New Jersey Devils have to return to their early success. The Sabres will try to extend their point streak to six games on Sunday while handing the visiting Devils a fourth consecutive defeat. Buffalo went 1-3-0 in its first four games on this abbreviated season but is 3-0-2 since. After falling 3-2 to the New York Rangers in overtime on Thursday, the Sabres rebounded with a 4-3 shootout win over New Jersey on Saturday. Consider that New Jersey is 25-52 in their last 77 games as a road underdog. In addition the home team is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. |
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01-31-21 | Tulane v. Temple -7 | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Oh, the Owls are not gonna lose the first home game they play since the death of the program’s long-time head coach John Chaney the other day. No way, Jose. Head coach Aaron McKie played for Chaney. The fact that Tulane is the opponent, and that Tulane has problems putting the ball in the basket, almost guarantees the straight-up victory against a Green Wave team that got on a plane after missing 24 of their first 26 shots at home vs. Houston |
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01-30-21 | Pistons v. Warriors -4.5 | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Off a home win against the no-care Lakers, Detroit embarks on a five-game Western trip from which nothing good can possibly come, including two back-to-backs in four different cities that conclude with Utah and the Lakers again (trying, this time, perhaps). This would be the Pistons’ best chance to win one of the five, but the Warriors have been Jekyll-and-Hyde home and road this season so far, with a +5.8 differential here. (Pistons road differential is -6.5.) |
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01-30-21 | Kings +5.5 v. Heat | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Heat have done nothing good all week with a handful of key missing persons still out. But remember the ol’ Texas Triangle of Dallas, Houston and San Antonio, a hellish trio for visitors to negotiate in the space of four night? The Kings complete a Tarpon Trio here after winning in Orlando and Tampa (Toronto) Wednesday and Friday. Of course, it’s only Orlando, Toronto and Miami, three struggling Eastern Conference teams. Miami has the league’s longest active losing streak (five). Goran Dragic is out, as are Meyers Leonard, Moe Harkless, Chris Silva. Andre Iguadola and Avery Bradley are questionable, as is Jimmy Butler, who has missed nine games and shouldn’t be expected to put a handicapped squad on his back first time out, if he plays at all. |
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01-30-21 | Blazers v. Bulls -2 | Top | 123-122 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NBA Play of the Day Very disappointed about how the Rockets lost the first and fourth quarters badly vs. Portland the other night, but killed them in the second and third, only to have it all add up to a 3-point Houston win with the Rockets laying -4, Portland losing the game but unfortunately covering the spread. We don’t see good things ahead for the Blazers. Thursday’s result – as far as they were and are concerned, unless they’re betting – dropped them from #5 to #8 in the West, exactly the direction we see them headed, especially if they get to the free-throw line only 8 times, as was the case in Houston. The Bulls already beat them in Portland 111-108 without a few players who didn’t make that trip, when now-absent Nurkic and McCollum combined for 38 points, 16 rebounds and 10 assists for the Blazers |
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01-30-21 | Predators v. Lightning -170 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dallas blasted the Predators 7-0 in its first hockey game this season last Friday after a delayed start due to COVID-19 protocol. The score was more competitive two days later -- a 3-2 loss in regulation to the Stars -- but the damage had been done. Nashville returned home with little to show for the effort and struggling with a penalty-kill unit that allowed five power-play goals in the blowout loss and three more in the one-goal defeat. In the two games, the Stars tied an NHL record for most power-play goals over a two-game span, succeeding on 8 of 12 chances. Consider that Tampa Bay is 41-18 in their last 59 games as a favorite. |
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01-30-21 | Panthers -170 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Detroit Red Wings see signs of history repeating itself. That's not a good thing. The Red Wings had by far the worst record in the NHL last season. After eight games this season, they're in last place in the makeshift Central Division and have gone 0-3-1 in their last four outings. They'll try to set a new course with back-to-back home games against the Florida Panthers on Saturday and Sunday. This week, the Red Wings lost at Dallas in overtime 2-1 on Tuesday, then gave up four third-period goals in a 7-3 loss to the Stars on Thursday. Consider that Detroit is 12-46 in their last 58 games as an underdog. |