Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-18-23 | Furman v. San Diego State OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Furman/SDSU (2ND ROUND TOY) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the NCAA tournament. Furman I think rides its thrilling upset of No. 4 seed Virginia here. SDSU enters off the 63-57 win over COC. Furman's offense is ranked 88th overall and 32nd nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. The Aztecs strength is their defense (ranked 16th overall), but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total a few points lower than it normally would/should be, as note that SDSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in nine straight dating back to the regular season. That's just too many "unders" here, and the value has firmly swung the other way here in the second round of the NCAA Tournament; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-23 | USC Upstate v. Indiana State UNDER 158.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 21 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER South Carolina Upstate/Indiana State. South Carolina Upstate is 16-15, while Indiana State is 22-12. The Sycamores average 79.4 PPG, but the Spartans are allowing just 69.6. The Spartans average only 68.9 PPG, while the Sycamores concede just 69.3. These teams are evenly matched, but I expect this contest to have a "feeling out" period at the start, and because of that, I think this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. Memphis | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
10* FAU (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm going to be very succinct with my analysis during the Tournament. FAU comes in "under the radar" in my opinion. The Owls average 79.3 PPG, and allow just 65.7. Memphis averages 79.5 PPG, while allowing 72.6. FAU has the experience, size and athleticism to win this one outright and give Purdue a serious scare in the next round; grab the points, the play is FAU! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Drake +2 v. Miami-FL | Top | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
10* Drake (BLOCKBUSTER) Going to be really succinct with my analysis throughout the Tournament. I think many will discount Drake here, as I already see the majority of the money on Miami Florida. The Bulldogs are no push-overs, clearly a sentiment shared by the oddsmakers. The Bulldogs average 75.6 PPG, and allow just 64.8. Miami averages 79.6 PPG, while allowing 71.7. While the majority of the public goes one way with this wager, we're going to go the other; the play is Drake! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | 76ers v. Hornets +10 | Top | 121-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great spot for the Hornets. I'm not predicting an outright win or anything, but I do think they'll be competitive until the final horn. Charlotte is coming off three straight losses, and note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. They also play with revenge after a 131-113 loss to Philly back in December, and note that the Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. With a game at the Pacers tomorrow night, I say Philly gets caught "looking ahead" here in the second half and takes the foot of the gas; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | Blues v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Blues/Capitals (EXPRESS) These teams played to a high-scoring game against each other at the start of the season, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair here. They've also both been playing to several high-scoring games of late overall, as St. Louis has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight (note though that the Blues have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row), while Washington has seen the total go "over" in three straight as well. The Capitals play with revenge after falling 5-4 in a shootout to the Blues in November, and note that Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-17-23 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 51-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (BLOCKBUSTER) Saint Mary's lost in the West Coast Conference Tourney to Gonzaga, but I think the Gaels have more than enough gas left in the tank to handle VCU. The Rams beat George Washington on March 4th to take the A-10 Tourney Final. I just think the A-10 is watered down after the Top 3 teams. The Gaels have veteran leadership and a more well rounded side; lay the points, the play is Saint Mary's! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Boise State +1.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show |
10* Boise State (NCAA FIRST ROUND GOY) Boise State finished 24-9, while Northwestern was 21-11. The Broncos lost to Utah State in the Mountain Westn Conference by a score of 72-62 in the second round. Northwestern got bounced 67-65 by Penn State in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament. The bottom line here is that Boise State enters the NCAA Tournament in much better overall form in my opinion. The Broncos have scored 66 or more points in eight of their last nine outings, while Northwestern lhas scored 65 points or fewer over five straight games. Clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many point as you can; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Oral Roberts (BLOCKBUSTER) Outright win? It's not entirely out of the realm of possibility, but in a contest that I see coming "right down to the wire," I'm going to grab the points. Oral Roberts finished 30-4, while Duke was 26-8. Neither team was great agains the spread. Oral Roberts though comes in off a high and I think it can keep the momentum rolling here after annihilating North Dakota State 92-58 as a ten-point favorite in the Summit Conference Tournament Championship Game, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Duke won the ACC by taking down Virginia 59-49 as a 3.5-point favorite. Oral Roberts has flown under the radar all season, and that's the case again here as well in my opinion. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end let's grab the points on this undervalued underdog; the play is Oral Roberts! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Nuggets -12.5 v. Pistons | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (U OF THE U) Enough is enough! If you're a Denver fan, that's definitely the way you feel right now after four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Have Jokic and the Nuggets suddenly forgot how to play? I'd say it's just going to be small "speed bump" in the season, and that things will return to normal shortly. In fact, I believe the time has come for a severe beating. Note that Denver plays with the added incentive of revenge after the Pistons inexplicably beat the Nuggets 110-108 on the road on November 22nd as 10.5-point underdogs. As note, the Nuggets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Pistons are downright terrible and they're simply in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one; lay the points, the play is the Nuggets! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Illinois +2 v. Arkansas | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) The No. 9 Fighting Illini finished 20-12, while the No. 8 Arkansas Razorbacks were 27-12. Both teams backed their way into the tournament. Illinois lost three of its last four, while Arkansas dropped four of its previous five. The Illini average 74.7 PPG, while allowing 67, while Arkansas averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 72.6. If history is any precedence, then Illinois has to be loving its chances here, as the Illini have won all five meetings with Arkansas (haven't played since 2004). Either way, the Illini's superior defense will prove to be the difference-maker in my opinion; grab the points the play is Illinois! AAA Sports |
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03-16-23 | Howard +22 v. Kansas | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Howard (BLOWOUT) Howard is No. 16, finishing 22l-12 in the MEAC. Kansas is the No. 1 seed, finishing 27-7. The Bison have won five straight overall, and they're 4-2 in neutral court games this year. Kansas has lost to Texas twice in the last week and gone just 2-2 in its last four (gone 5-2 in neutral court games.) Howard has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers this year (16-12 ATS), while Kansas has been overvalued (14-17 ATS.) That's the case again here, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -140 | Top | 126-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* Clippers MONEYLINE (BLOOD-BATH) I like the Clippers here and the way it sets up for LA. The Clippers have really turned a corner with their performance over the last two weeks. Golden State though is in the middle of two pretty crazy streaks, as it's 8-0 straight up in its last eight at home, and 0-8 in its last eight on the road. These teams have identical overall records as they're both 36-33. Golden State is a terrible 7-26 on the road overall, while the Clippers are 18-15 at home. But as I mentioned, the Clippers have really started to build some chemistry over the last couple of weeks coming in off three straight wins, most recently beating the red hot Knicks by a score of 106-95. LA plays with the added incnetive of revenge here as well after falling 115-91 at Golden State as a 2.5-point favorite at the beginning of March. But the Clippers have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 against the spread in their last nine in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent. This is the opener of a tough five-game road trip for the Warriors and I think they're going to struggle once again out of the gate. I say bypass the spread option today and play the Clippers on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Arizona State v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 98-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* Nevada (FIRST FOUR GOY) Nevada finished 22-10 on the year, losing to San Jose State in the Mountain West Conference tournament. The Wolfpack did close out the regular season decently finishing 4-3 down the stretch. In their last game they had to battle back from a 31-26 first-half deficit to force overtime, but they everntually fell 81-77. Arizona State was 22-12 this year and the Sun Devils fell to Arizona in the Conference Tournament last Friday. The Sun Devils finished the regular season with two straight losses but they opened up the Conference Tournament with two straight wins, including over USC 77-72. But then they ran into a decent defense in Arizona and they lost 78-59. After looking at what each team has done coming in, I do like the Wolfpack here. Despite having lost three sraight games, Nevada has scored 67 or more points in all three. Arizona State on the other hand has scored 65 or fewer points in four of its last five. Look for Nevada's superior offense right now to be the difference-maker down the stretch; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-23 | Alcorn State v. North Texas -17 | Top | 53-69 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* North Texas (ASSASSIN) I like the 26-7 North Texas Mean Green to jump out to an early lead, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish, and to pull away for a comfortable win and cover once it's all said and done. Alcorn State averages 68.3 PPG, while allowing 70.8, while UNT averages 63.7 PPG, while conceding just 55.4. Good news for UNT's offense today facing this porous defense. I have a hard time seeing the Braves putting up much of an offensive attack today vs. this aggressive Mean Green defense. And that's the difference for me, as Alcorn State will face its stiffest test of the season right here; lay the points, the play is North Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Canucks (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a very defensive battle here. The Canucks are playing their best hockey of the season right now with four straight wins. They'll have their hands full with a Stars team that's won three in a row. Dallas lost 5-4 in OT to the Canucks in February, and note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Look for these two surging clubs to battle tight here, but expect it to be a very defensive battle until the final horn; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State -1.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 59-60 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (ASSASSIN) Pittsburgh finished 22-11 and Mississippi State was 21-12. The Bulldogs took out Florida in the second round of the NCAA Tournament, but then fell to Alabama. I just think the SEC is a much tougher conference ultimately. Pittsburgh was 22-11 overall. It beat Georgia Tech in the second round of the ACC Tourney, before falling to Duke in the quarterfinals. Pittsburgh has the slightly better offense, while Mississippi State has the slightly better defense. I'm banking on the Bulldogs defense to get them through to the First Round; lay the points, the play is MISSISSIPPI STATE! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -3 | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Liberty (BLOOD-BATH) Liberty isn't getting enough respect here. The Flames finished 26-8, while the Wildcats were 17-16. Liberty finished just a couple of points away from the NCAA Tournament, falling 67-66 to Kennesaw State in the A-Sun Tournament Championship Game. Overall the Flames average 75.2 PPG, while allowing 60.6. It got bounced by Creighton by a score of 87-74 in the conference Tourney. Overall the Wildcats average 70.3 PPG, while allowing 67.8. The Flames experience and superior offense will be the difference here. Lay the points, the play is Liberty! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Pistons v. Wizards -11.5 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* Wizards (TOP SIDE) This is a good "common sense" play. Detroit enters off a rare victory just last night, pulling away for a 117-97 victory at home over the Pacers. The win snapped an 11-game slide. With tough upcoming home games vs. the Nuggets and Heat, I say the visitors have an immediate letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario. The Wizards will be huntry here to snap a three-game slide, but note that Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. The Wizards beat Detroit 119-117 on its own floor last week, and while they failed to cover the spread there, everything points to a cover of the "rocking chair" variety here at home; lay the points, the play is the Wizards! AAA Sports |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State UNDER 154.5 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 34 h 39 m | Show |
9* UNDER SE Missouri State/Texas A&M CC (POWER TOTAL) These teams meet at the UD Arena. SE Missouri State is lucky to be here. It finished 19-16 this year. It beat Lindenwood, Tennessee State and Morehead State in the conference tourney, and then on March 4th it beat Tennessee Tech in the championship game by a score of 89-82 in OT. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Texas A&M CC finished a more respectable 21-10 in the regular season. The Islanders secured the 75-71 win over Northwestern State in the Southland Tourney Title game. Previous to that they held McNeese State to just 63 points. I think the Redhawks come back down to Earth here in the "bright lights." Look for this game to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 239.5 | Top | 112-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Warriors (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Phoenix had won four straight, before falling 128-119 to the Kings in its latest action. KD is still sidelined with a knee injury. The Suns have seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but that's significant to note as Phoenix has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Warriors play with revenge after falling 125-113 to Phoenix as 12.5-point favorites back on January 10th. Note though that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Warriors just snapped a three game slide with a tiring 125-116 OT win over the Bucks. GS has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Warriors have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Both teams are banged up. Both teams still need a win here. I expect this one to be more of a defensive affair; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Kraken (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of a defensive affair this evening. That includes in the Stars 4-3 OT win here two nights ago! Dallas has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle plays with the immediate revenge factor. The Kraken have now lost two straight and they've also seen the total go "over" in three straight. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. While Saturday's contest flew "over" the number, all signs point to a lower-scoring defensive battle here in the rematch; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-13-23 | Jazz v. Heat UNDER 224.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Heat (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has won two straight on the road and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that Utah has see the total go "under" in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah though plays with revenge after a high-scoring 126-123 home setback to the Heat as a 4.5-point favorite on December 31st. Note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Heat have been trading good performances with bad ones of late. Off a poor 126-114 OT loss to Orlando as a 2.5-point favorite, I'm expecting the home side to double down on the defensive end this evening. Look for this non-conference game to be less intense offensively and for this total to stay "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks have lost three straight, both SU and ATS after last night's 106-95 loss to the Clippers here. Note though that New York is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. New York also plays with revenge here after a 129-123 OT loss to the Lakers at home on January 31st as a two-point fav. That's also significant to note here for us, as the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponet. The Lakers have some new faces and have been playing well, as they've won and covered in three straight. Note though that LA is still just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Despite having played just last night, I like the Knicks here to bounce back in this favorable spot; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Senators v. Flames -185 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Calgary (BLOWOUT) I think the Flames are worth the price in this spot. Ottawa is fatigued after a 5-3 loss at Vancouver just last night. The Flames are coming off an uninspiring 3-1 loss to the lowly Ducks here at home in their last outing. They play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after a 4-3 OT loss at Ottawa in mid-February. That however is working in our favor here as well, as note that the Flames are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Calgary! AAA Sports |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas A&M/Alabama (SEC TOURNEY TOY) The Aggies are coming off an 87-75 win over Vanderbilt to advance to the SEC Tournament Championship Game. Overall Texas A&M averages 73.1 PPG, while allowing 65.4. Alabama has seen the first two games of its tournament run go "under" the number, including in its most recent 72-61 victory over Missouri. The Tide gave up just 29 first half points. They average 82.8 PPG< while allowing 69.5. We have two really good defenses here, but with Alabama pushing the pace from the start, I'm expecting this faster-pace to result in a higher-scoring affair, especially if the Aggies are forced to play from behind early. Either way, I expect the Championship game to sail "over" the posted number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Heat v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Magic (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. I base my picks on many different things, but this particular one I'm basing on "common sense." I had a play on the Heat in their 119-115 home win over the Cavs. I believe fatigue will be a major issue here for Miami though in the second game of the B2B. Orlando plays with revenge after falling 107-103 in OT to the Heat on February 11th, and that's sigificant for us to note as Orlando is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Orlando has lost three straight, so it comes in desperate here and while I do think the outright win is a possibility of course, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Texas v. Kansas OVER 140.5 | Top | 76-56 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Texas/Kansas (BIG 12 TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in their Tournament games to reach this point, but that fact has only helped in driving this total a few points higher that it normally would/should be. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in five straight after wins over Oklahoma State and TCU to advance. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Texas beat Kansas 75-59 in the final regular season game of the year, and that's also important to take note of here, as the Jayhawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponet. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Fordham v. Dayton OVER 130.5 | Top | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Fordham/Dayton (A-10 TOM) For a number of different reasons, I look for this one to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Fordham advanced by beating La Salle 69-61 on Thursday. The total went "under" the number in that one, but I'm expecting a shootout here. The Rams actually play with revenge after falling 82-58 to Dayton on January 10th at home as a 7.5 point underdog, and that's significant to note here, because the Rams have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Flyers have now seen the total go "under" the number in three straight aftre their 60-54 first round win over St. Joe's. Note though that Dayton has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The stage is set for an efficient, higher-scoring "over" in the rematch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cincinnati v. Houston -9.5 | Top | 48-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC TOURNEY GOY) I am keeping my writeups very succinct today, as there is a lot going on and I need to get this information out as fast as possible. The Bearcats managed the 84-54 win over Temple yesterday to advance, and they've now covered in three straight. Note though that Cincinnati is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. Houston beat Cincinnati 75-69 on January 28th at home, but it did not cover the large 14.5-point spread. Tonight's spread is much more manageable. Houston beat ECU 60-46 to advance. It's now gone 0-4 ATS in its last four, but note that the Cougars are still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is a very manageable spread to cover; look for Houston to pull away down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-11-23 | Cornell +6.5 v. Yale | 60-80 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
8* Cornell (SPECIAL) Yale did finish 10-1 at home, but this is at a neutral site. THe Bulldogs come into the Tournament having won and covered in three straight, but note that Yale is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS covers in a row. Cornell finished 17-10. It went 0-3 SU/ATS over its final three. That however is also significant for us to note, as the Big Red are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Cornell went 1-1 vs. Yale this year. It won at home and lost on the road. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Cornell! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Raptors v. Lakers OVER 224.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
8* OVER Raptors/Lakers (SUPER TOTAL) Toronto had seen the total go "over" the number in three straight before its most recent 108-100 setback here to the Clippers. This is the final game of a tough Western swing, and I'm expecting the Raptors to push the pace here to try and end on a high note, and after the lackluster performance vs. the Clippers. The Lakers play with revenge though after a 126-113 loss at Toronto on December 7th. That total flew well "over" the number of 228, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Look for LA to also push the pace here and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Cavs v. Heat +1.5 | Top | 115-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* Heat (BLOOD-BATH) No need to overthink this one. I thik that the Cavs are the better team. I think the Heat have plenty of issues this year. That said Cleveland has been poor on the road, and Miami has been its best in front of the home town crowd. The Cavs are just 14-19 on the road, while the Heat are 21-13 in front of the home town crowd. These teams played just two nights ago in Cleveland and the Cavaliers won and covered by a score of 104-100. Note though that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. A little "home cooking" is just what the doctor ordered here for Miami; grab the points, the play is the Heat! AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Ohio v. Toledo UNDER 163.5 | Top | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ohio/Toledo (MAC TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one for me. I love the way this one sets up to be a bit more of a defensive affair. Ohio is coming of a 90-70 win over Ball State to advance to the second round of the MAC Tournament and while the total went "over" the number, we can expect more of a defensive affair here. Ohio does play with revenge after falling 90-75 to Toledo on January 17th, but I don't see the Bobcats getting that many points again here. Toledo crushed Miami Ohio 91-75 yesterday and its now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight. That's significant for us to take note of though, as Toledo has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect fatigue to also play a factor here; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Temple v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | Top | 54-84 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati (AAC TOURNEY TOY) It's the opener of the AAC Tournament, and while these teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in their most recent matchup, I believe that everything points to a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Temple finished l6-15, while Cincinnati was 20-11. The Owls fell 88-83 in OT to the Bearcats as nine-point dogs on the road in February. That's significant to note here because Temple has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU conference loss vs. an opponent. Cincinnati saw eight of its final nine regular season games go "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. With the Owls looking to slow the tempo of this one down throughout, I believe the rematch here definitely points to a more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-10-23 | Rutgers v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) I had a play on Rutgers in its win over Michigan yesterday, and while the Scarlet Knights pulled off the impressive outright win yesterday, I say their run in this conference tournament comes to an end here vs. the revenge-minded Boilermakers. The reason I really like this play is because Purdue plays with revenge here. It's also rested. Somehow Rutgers upset Purdue 65-64 as an 8.5-point dog on January 2nd. Note though that the Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for the rested and revenge-minded Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Jazz v. Magic UNDER 232.5 | Top | 131-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/Magic (ASSASSIN) When these teams played in Utah in February, the Jazz won by a score of 112-108. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here. Since then, each has been playing to several higher-scoring games. Orlando has seen the total go "over" in three of its last four. It's coming off B2B losses here at home. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponet. Utah's coming in off three straight road losses. It's now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight games. Note though that the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in six of its last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these bottom-feeding non-conference opponents to once again play to an uninspiring, lower-scoring "under" here in Orlando! AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Colorado State v. San Diego State OVER 137 | Top | 61-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER CSU/SDSU (MW TOURNEY TOY) No need to overthink this one. This is a great situational play. Colorado State is just 14-17. It's coming off a hard-fouth 67-65 win over Fresno State last night to advance here to the second round, the total went "under" the number in that one. SDSU was 24-6 in the regular season and received a first round bye. It comes in having seen the total go "under" the number in five straight. Note though that the Aztecs have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. CSU plays with revenge after a 77-58 loss to SDSU on the road in ate February and while that total went "under" the number as well, everything finally points to a more of a wide-open "shootout" here now that the conference tournament is here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers +3 v. Michigan | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
10* Rutgers (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) While I do think Rutgers can win this game outright obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can. This one sets up well for Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights finished 18-13 this year, while Michigan was 17-14. Rutgers stumbled down the stretch, losing its final two games. It plays with revenge here though after a 58-45 loss to Michigan at home as a six-point favorite on February 23rd, and that's significant for us to note here, as the Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Michigan lost its final two games of the regular season as well. It did cover the spread in five straight to end the year, but that actually works in our favor, as the Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more ATS victories in a row; grab the points, the play is Rutgers! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Bulls +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Bulls (NON-CONF GOM) After four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, I think the Bulls come in a bit undervalued here now. I think they sneak in under the radar after two days off. They play with revenge as well after a 126-103 home loss to the Nuggets at the start of the season, and that's definitely significant to note here, as the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. I say that Denver takes the foot off the gas in the second half. The Nuggets have won four straight. They have a game at the lowly Spurs up next. I say the "hungrier" team delivers in this spot; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska UNDER 136.5 | Top | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Minnesota/Nebraska (BIG TEN TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to close out the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this Tournament total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Minnesota stumbled down the stretch, finishing 8-21 overal. It saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the regular season. It lost both games to Nebraska this season, and each contest went "over" the number as well. Note though that the Gophers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two straight losses against a conference opponent. Nebraska finished 16-15. It won five of its last six games. It also saw the total go "over" the number in seven straight games to close out the year. With a couple days off to prepare for the conference tournament, I expect each team to focus a bit more on the defensive end this evening; this total is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Red Wings | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* Hawks PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOM) Yes, the Wings are desperate after six straight losses, but the Hawks are just as hungry for a win here today. With B2B gaes vs. Boston up next, I say that Detroit gets caught "looking ahead" here. Chicago just snapped a four-game slide with a 5-0 win over Ottawa. The bottom line here is that Detroit is way overpriced in my estimation. That brings supreme value here to the "puckline" option; grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here, the play is Hawks on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | DePaul +6.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* DePaul (BIG EAST TOURNEY GOY) It's tenth seeded DePaul looking to pull off an upset vs. No. 7 seed Seton Hall. The Blue Demons come in under the radar on a 12-game losing streak. They fell 84-70 to Creighton on Saturday. The Pirates closed out the year with an 82-58 road win over Providence. The Blue Demons average 70.9 PPG, while allowing 77.3. That defense catches a break here today vs. a Pirates team that averages just 68.6 PPG. Overall Seton Hall allows just 65.1. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, let alone beat it both SU and ATS. Seton Hall is already 2-0 SU/ATS over DePaul during the regular season, but that fact has only helped in driving this tournament spread a few points larger than it normally would be in my opinion. The Pirates may win this game, but it won't be easy; grab the points, the play is DEPAUL! AAA Sports |
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03-08-23 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 154 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Wake/Syracuse (ACC TOURNEY TOY) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a more wide-open and faster-paced affair here on Wednesday afternoon, and because of that I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Wake stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, losing four of its last five. The Demon Deacons lost 72-63 at Syracuse as a one-point favorite on March 4th, the final game of the year. Wake has seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Demon Deacons have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Deacons have also seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet. Syracuse broke a four-game slide in the win over Wake Forest. Previous to that the Orange had seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. While that last game went "under" between these teams, expect a more efficient, faster-paced contest here in the Conference Tournament to lead to a higher-scoring final combined score; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Marist v. Manhattan UNDER 134.5 | Top | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Marist/Manhattan (MAAC TOURNEY TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Marist comes into the Tournament off B2B losses to end the year. It also saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, which is significant to note, as the Red Foxes have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after seeing the total go "over" in three or more straight contests. Manhattan though plays with revenge after an 81-58 setback to Marist at home as a four point dog on February 24th. The total in that one snuck "over" the number, but I'm expecting a much more defensive battle here, as note that the Jaspers have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Two teams that underachieved in the regular season are out for redemption in the Conference Tournament and all signs (in my opinion), point to a defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Jazz v. Mavs UNDER 234.5 | Top | 116-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Jazz/Mavericks UNDER (WEST-CONF TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Utah has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important to note here as the Jazz have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Dallas has see the total go "over" the number in three straight after its most recent 130-126 loss to Phoenix. Note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Utah plays with revenge after a 124-111 loss to Dallas at the start of February. Expect the rematch here to be a much more defensive affair; this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Flames v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Wild (WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Calgary just broke its five-game slide with a big 5-4 win at Dallas just last night. The Flames don't have the luxury to "take a night off," and I expect a similar style of game play here in Minnesota. Note that Calgary also plays with revenge after a 3-0 defeat to Minneosta at home just three nights ago. Despite this being Calgary's third game in four nights, note that the Flames have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" in seven straight, but all signs point to this Tuesday rematch being a wide-open "shootout" in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Loyola-Chicago v. St. Joe's UNDER 144 | Top | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
10* Under Loyola Chicago/St. Joe's (A-10 TOURNEY TOY) These two teams ended the regular season playing to several higher-scoring games, and they also played to a high-scoring one between each other over that span, but I'm anticipating a much more defensive affair here now that the Conference Tournament is here. Loyola Chicago finished 10-20. It won its finaly game of the regular eason, 76-73 over La Salle. The Ramblers saw the total go "over" the number in three straight to end the season, and that's significant to note, as Loyola Chicago has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Ramblers play with revenge as well after falling 83-71 to ST. Joe's as a 3.5-point favorite at home on February 8th. But once again, that's important for us to note as the Ramblers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Saint Joseph's finished 14-16. It saw the total go "over" the number in five straight to end the regular season, which is noteworthy as well, as the Hawks have seen the total go "under" in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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03-07-23 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -123 | Top | 38-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
10* Richmond (A-10 GOY) Richmond finished 14-17 and it backed its way into the tournament with three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That includes in their finale, a 62-60 setback to GMU as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the Spiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine coming off a SU/ATS conference home loss. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Spiders also play with revenge after an 85-76 loss to UMass as 2.5-point favorites on the road back in January. Note that Richmond is 5-2 ATS in its last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent as well. The Minutemen finished 15-15 overall. They closed out the year with a 71-60 win over St. Bonnies, the overwhelming situational factors working in favor of the Spiders here makes them the correct call in my opinion; the play is Richmond! AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga UNDER 159.5 | Top | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Fran/Gonzaga (WEST-COAST TOURNEY TOY) Everyone is just hammering the over for the most part here, but I'm going the other way, as I see tremendous value on this being more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. San Fran has already had to get through two rounds to get to this point, beating Pacific 80-63 and then Santa Clara 93-87 in OT. The Dons play with revenge after falling 99-81 to the Bulldogs back in February. And as for Gonzaga, will rest lead to rust here after getting a "double bye?" I think it will. After having seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games to end the season, I believe this Tournament total is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | Predators v. Canucks -104 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
10* Canucks (NON-CONF GOM) Nashville is 31-23-5-1, including 15-13-3-0 on the road, but the Canucks play with the "revenge" factor here today at home, and I believe that motivating angle will indeed be more than enough to secure a victory here for Vancouver. After B2B road wins, I think the Predators stumble here, looking ahead to three nights off before a more favorable matchup vs. Arizona. Vancouver is coming off a 4-1 win over Toronto, and as mentioned, it plays with revenge here after falling 5-4 to Nashville in a shootout back in February. I think Vancouver is the much "hungrier" team in this fight and at this price at home, the correct call for sure; the play is the Canucks! AAA Sports |
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03-06-23 | Raptors +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* Raptors (GOW) Denver is heavily favored here by the oddsmakers, and nearly 80% of the early money is also on the Nuggets. However, I like the hungry Raptors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Denver has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Toronto is fifth right now at 32-33. It's coming off a 116-109 OT win at Washington. I think Toronto is the much "hungrier" team in this non-conference matchup. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -5 | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Celtics. New York has won and covered in eight straight, and because of that fact, I believe the oddsmakers are now overvaluing the Knicks in this spot. All good things come to an end eventually, and New York's great surge here is about to come to an end vs. this revenge-minded Celtics side that fell 109-94 to the Knicks in New York at the end of the February. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Boston is just 1-2 in its last three. It's lost three straight ATS. It's coming off a poor 115-105 loss to Brooklyn as a ten-point favorite. Time to finally annihlate the Knicks today; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Chattanooga v. Wofford UNDER 152.5 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chattanooga/Wofford (SOUTHERN TOY) Chattanooga has won the first two rounds to advance here to face Wofford in the Southern Tournament. While the Mocs both won and covered in each, both of those contests went well "over" the number. Now with tthe stiff competition here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair finally. Wofford got by UNCG 67-66 yesterday in a lower-scoring defensive battle, and that's what Im predicting here as well. While their last game against each other in the regular season went "over" the number, expect the rematch here in the conference tournament to be tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Hornets +8 v. Nets | 86-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
8* play on Hornets. Here's a great spot for the Hornets to exact a little revenge from a previous loss to the Nets. Brooklyn is coming off a 115-105 upset win at Boston as a ten-point dog and I say is now primed for a predictable "letdown" after that emotional win. With a five game road trip upcoming starting in Houston, it's also a "look-ahead" spot. The Hornets play with revenge after a 123-106 loss to Brooklyn on December 31st. This is just too many points for this patchwork Brooklyn team to cover vs. this focussed and revenge-minded visiting side; grab the points, thep lay is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Chicago. Chicago has lost two of its last three. It's now lost three straight ATS after a 125-104 setback to Phoenix at home as a 3.5-point dog last time out. The Bulls though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 117-113 setback to the Pacers in mid-February. Note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Pacers have Philly at home tomorrow night, and I say they get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -122 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Manchester United/Liverpool (BLOOD-BATH) Liverpool was expected to be a challenger again before the season started, while Manchester United was supposed to struggle, but the opposite is the case as we head into the final third of the campaign. Man U is in third, while Liverpool is in sixth. Now Liverpool will look to make a move in the EPL and it'll be feeling confident after a win over Newcastle last week. Man U won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August and Liverpool is going to have difficulty scoring again here in my opinion. Look for this one to be a "war of attrition" and play the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Idaho +4.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY) We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Raptors -115 v. Wizards | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) The immediate "revenge" factor will turn out to the difference in this one. These teams played here in the Nation's capital just two nights ago and the Wizards won by a score of 119-108 as two-point underdogs. Note though that Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. With Milwaukee coming to town on Saturday, I say that the Wizards get caught "looking ahead" as well; clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Raptors! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Troy State +3 v. James Madison | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Elon +2 v. William & Mary | 51-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Elon (TOURNEY BLOWOUT) It's the opener of the CAA Tournament and I like the way this one sets up for Elon, which plays with the immediate "revenge factor." Both teams struggled this year. Elon fiished just 8-23l while William & Mary was 12-19. While the Tribe did finish 11-5 at home, note that this is at a neutral location. Elon averages 65.9 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while William & Mary averages 67.7 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Elon won the first matchup of the year by a score of 66-55, but then the Tribe bounced back with the 73-60 win at home as a one-point dog on February 23rd. That however works in our favor here, as note that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss to a conference opponent; the play is Elon! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOW) Brighton is enjoying a decent season, and it's pushing for its first-ever taste of European Football. Brighton will be feeling especially ready to get back onto the pitch today after a 1-0 defeat to Fulham in its latest EPL action, a game in which it created plenty of opportunities, but somehow came up empty-handed. West Ham has struggled, and now sits outside the safe zone. Last weekend they earned a much-needed 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest, but then it fell 3-1 to Manchester United in the last 16 of the FA Cup on Thursday. Brighton though has won three of its last four home games and I'm expecting the hosts to dig deep and deliver in regulation here after last week's disappointing result; lay the price, the play is Brighton! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Jets v. Oilers -147 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
10* Oilers (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are really in need of a victory. For me, "home ice" is going to be the difference here. This is the opener of a home and home set between these teams, as they'll be in Winnipeg tomorrow night. The Jets have been terrible of late, losers of four straight and six of their last seven. But Edmonton just snapped a two-game slide with a 5-2 win here over the Leafs. The Oilers also play with revenge after a 2-1 loss to the Jets here on December 31st. That's significant to note though as the Oilers are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This will be a public play, which means the faster you can bet this one, the better; the play is on the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Knicks v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) After seven straight SU/ATS wins in a row, I believe the Knicks will finally have their hands full here with this Heat team that's going to be playing with desperation. They also play with revenge after falling 106-104 at New York at the start of February. That's important to note here as the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Knicks have Boston up next, while the Heat have hit a very favorable part of their schedule. I look for the home side to dig deep, to stop its slide and to avenge the earlier setback; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | North Dakota v. Denver UNDER 150.5 | Top | 83-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Dakota/Denver (SUMMIT TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late and the last time these teams got together the total flew "over" the posted number, but now finally here in the conference Tournament, I expect a more defensive battle. North Dakota comes into the Tournament at 12-19. It went 2-1 in its final three games, but it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. That's significant to note here though for us because the Fighting Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. North Dakota beat Denver by a score of 86-63 as a three-point favorite on February 9th and the total went "over" the number of 146. The Pioneers finished 15-16. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this neutral site contest to finally produce more of a defensive affair as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | AJ Auxerre v. OGC Nice UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Auxerre/Nice (ASSASSIN) Nice will be looking to go to nine unbeaten here today in Ligue 1 action. They're off a 3-0 win over Monaco, while Auxerre does come to town with some momentum of its own after a 1-0 away win over Lorient. All three of Nice's goals last time out came in the first half. Auxerre will present a much more difficult challenge on the backend today though. This one has all the feelings of a "war of attrition" this afternoon, and because of that, the play here is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Northern Iowa +10.5 v. Bradley | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* NORTHERN IOWA (DESTRUCTION) I like Northern Iowa to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northern Iowa advanced to the second round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament by beating Illinois State by a score of 75-62 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Panthers play with revenge here after falling 77-69 to the Braves as three-point dogs back in earl February. Note that Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponent. Bradley received a bye in the first round and while it is indeed 15-1 at home this year, note that this is in a neutral location; grab the points and expect a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Clippers -2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 91-115 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
10* Clippers (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY) There's no excuses fro the Clippers here, who have lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That's important to note here though, as LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Golden State on the other hand has won three straight, both SU and ATS, which is also important to note here, as the Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Why/how could the Clippers possibly be favored here on the road in Golden State, a place where the Warriors are 25-7 this year? Obviously, Stephen Curry and several other key players are sidelined with injury. That's all that LA is going to need here to get over the hump and record this victory in my estimation; lay the points, the play is the Clippers! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UL Monroe (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) This is the first round of the Sunbelt Tournament and I really like the way this one sets up for UL Monroe. The Warhawks are just 11-20 this year, while Georgia Southern finished 16-15. UL Monroe enters having lost seven straight SU, and three straight ATS, which is significat to note, as UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. UL Monroe actually upset Georgia Southern by a score of 72-59 as an 8.5-point underdog in January. Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall, and 12-4 at home, but this is being played at a neutral site. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands in the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is UL Monroe! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Lafayette +3 v. Lehigh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Lafayette (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Lafayette. The Leopards have lost four straight, but they play with revenge here after a 66-64 loss to Lehigh as a two-point favorite at home on February 4th. That's however crucial to note here, as Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent (moves to 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent as well.) Lehigh was 2-1 down the stretch SU, but 3-0 ATS. Note however that the Mountain Hawks are a sub-par 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is a very evenly matched contest, a sentiment shared here by the oddsmakers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Lafayette! AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Magic v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 117-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Orlando is 2-1 in its last three, but it's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bucks are 3-1 in their last four. They've seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Bucks have won 15 in a row and I don't expect that streak to end here. That said, look for this contest to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wagner v. Sacred Heart OVER 128.5 | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Sacred Heart. These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but now that the conference tournament is here, I'm expecting each to push the pace, as I look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Wagner has seen the total go "under" in four straight. It's coming in off B2B victories. It plays with revenge though after a 65-56 loss to Sacred Heart on Feburay 2nd, and that's important for us to take note of here, as the Seahawks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a conference loss against an opponent in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Pioneers enter the tourney having seen the total go "under" in three straight, and that's significant to note here as wel, as Sacred Heart has seen the total go "over" in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is now too low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolverhampton/Liverpool (EPL TOY) With the total juiced to the "over," oddsmakers are expecting some offensive fireworks perhaps? I do as well. These are two of the best defensive clubs around, but that's only helped in driving this total down from were it really should be in my opinion. The Reds are off a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace, and they'll be eager to reverse their offensive fortunes here. Liverpool is still in seventh, but with a lot of ground to make up with a nine-point gap to Tottenham. The Wolves took seven points from four fixtures in February. Wolverhampton is in 15th in the table and just three points clear of the dotted line. Each of these motivated teams pushes the pace and finally finds the back of the net in the end though; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 232 | Top | 109-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to lower-scoring outcomes of late, but I expect that to change here. LA is off three staight wins, most recently coming from behind to knock off the Mavericks on the road by a score of 111-108. Over their L3 the Lakers have combined to score 355 points. I expect this offensive explosion to continue here in Memphis. When these two clubs last played, the Lakers managed the 122-121 win on January 20th as 7-point dogs. That total actually stayed "under" the sky-high total of 244 in that one. Now tonight's total is ten or more points less than that previous matchup. And now it's a little TOO low. Look for a faster-paced, wide-open affair to lead to a high-scoring "over" before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Robert Morris -14 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* Robert Morris (HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY) The IUPUI Jaguars are just 5-26, but they somehow managed an 81-75 win over Robert Morris just a few nights ago. That was as a ten-point underdog. That's good news for us her though, because Robert Morris is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Robert Morris did beat IUPUI here by a score of 77-70 back on January 9th, but while the Colonials were unable to cover the 15-point spread in that one, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this revenge spot and to open up the Conference Tournament. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction here in my opinion; lay the points, the play is Robert Morris! AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | Torino v. Juventus -130 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Juventus (BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game, as only one point seperates these top-flight opponents. This is the 156th Derby della Mole. Juventus has slipped of late, and has only a slim lead over Torino now. Juventus has still won five of its last six games for the concession of just one breakaway goal. In fact, only Barcelona has achieved more wis without conceding that Juventus. Also note that Juve is unbeaten in the last 17 derbies, with 13 wins in the process. The Granata are in a bit of unfamiliar territory here now and will have to recover from a run of one win from five league and cup games. Torino is going to lack a scoring punch here against Juve's great backfield though; lay the price, the play is Juventus! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | CS Sacramento v. Portland State -2.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* Portland State (BIG SKY GOW) This one really sets up well for Portland State here at home in the final game of the year for both of these teams. Sacramento State is just 13-17 this year, including only 4-10 on the road. Portland State is only 12-17 this year, but a more respectable 6-6 at home. The Vikings plays with revenge here as well after falling 74-63 at the Hornets as 2.5-point dogs back on December 31st. But that's significant to note here as Portland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The home floor advantage, coupled with the "revenge" factor make Portland State the correct call here on Monday! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 238.5 | Top | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Hornets (NON-CONF TOW) Two bottom-feeding teams go head-to-head here and I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout." Detroit has lost four straight. It's off a 95-91 home loss to Toronto, which is significant to note here for us, as the Pistons have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Charlotte is playing its best basketball of the season right now, 4-0 SU/ATS in its last four. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced game, coupled with poor defensive play, to finally produce a higher-scoring "over" between these clubs! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | Sampdoria v. Lazio -235 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Lazio (SITUATIONAL WINNER) Is this a lot to lay? I'd say considering the form of each side, that Lazio is in fact vastly undervalued in this position, and because of that, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. The Samp have yet to even win in 2023, while Lazio remains in the hunt for Champions League qualification. The Aquile are only behind Barcelona and Juventus in terms of clean sheets kept across the five European Leagues in 2022/23. After a 1-1 draw in August's reverse fixture, I expdect the home side to take nothing for granted today; this is a mismatch of epic proportions for various reasons, so lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Wizards/Bulls (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect these trends to end this afternoon. Washington came out of the break and lost its first game, falling 115-109 at New York. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant for us to note, as the Wizards have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bulls though play with revenge after a 100-97 loss to the Wizards in the Nation's capital in January. That's also important for us to take note, as Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Capitals v. Sabres -109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
10* Sabres (BOB) This is a non-contrarian play, which is not like myself, but the public is correct almost 50% of the time, and in this case, I think the Sabres could/should in fact be much larger favs in this spot. The Capitals finally snapped a six-game slide with a very satisfying 6-3 win over the Rangers just last night. Can anyone say immediate "letdown" spot?! Buffalo is off two straight quality road wins, beating Tampa Bay 6-5 in OT, and then Florida the next night by a score of 3-1. With a night off to prepare for this one, the Sabres will now look to improve upon their 11-15-2-0 home record. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Belmont v. Northern Iowa UNDER 149.5 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Belmont/Northern Iowa (MISSOURI VALLEY TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in one against each other earlier in the year, but I expect those trends to finally end here this evening. Belmont is 20-10, but just 6-7 on the road, while Northern Iowa is 13-16 overall, but 8-7 at home. The Bruins beat the Panthers by a score of 76-72 in mid-January, and thats significant to note here, because Northern Iowa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Look for a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring battle in this one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Brendan Allen v. Andre Muniz -200 | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Andre Muniz (5* KNOCK-OUT) I think that Andre Muniz should in fact be a much bigger favorite in this favorable matchup. This is a big fight for each fighter, but more so for Muniz, who will earn a fight with a Top 10 opponent with a win today. Muniz is currently on a nine fight win streak. Brendan Allen has won thre in a row. Allen's striking has improved in the UFC, but he doesn't have the power to stand with Muniz. And Muniz is a bit better on the ground as well. Look for Muniz to get his hands on Allen eventually; lay the price, the play is Muniz! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Eastern Washington v. Idaho State +6.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Idaho State (BIG SKY GOM) I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Idaho State snapped a four-game slide with a 65-55 win over Idaho in its most recent action. This is its final home game of the season, so it's senior night. They play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 81-68 at EWU as ten-point dogs in January. Are the Eagles the better team? Of course! They're 22-7 overall, but with a game at home vs. No. 2 Montana State, I think this is a "trap" game for the visiting side. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Idaho State! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Pelicans/Knicks (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I predict a wide-open "shootoout" here in the Big Apple on Saturday night. The Pelicans went into the All Star break with a 120-102 loss to the Lakers, and they opened up the second half with a 115-110 loss at Toronto. Without Zion Williamson in the line-up, the Pels struggle. That said, note that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Knicks went into the break with three straight wins, and they opened up the second hal fwith a 115-109 victory in the Nation's capital. These are two teams in need of a victory. Look for this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, leading to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Northeastern +15.5 v. Hofstra | 52-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Northeastern (MID-MAJOR MAULING) It's the final game of the regular season for both teams. I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do expect the Pride to take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the revenge-minded Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northeastern lost 72-53 at home as an eight-point dog at the start of February, and note that the Huskies have responded well for bettors in this exact spot, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for Northeastern to put a good fight here and grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Nottingham Forest v. West Ham United -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
10* West Ham United (EPL GOW) This is a big game for West Ham United, which is eager to climb out of the relegation zone. The Hammers are currently sitting in 18th in the table, which is just one point away from safety. Forest is in the 13th place, five points clear. West Ham will be particularly motivated after suffering a 2-0 defeat to Tottenham last weekend, but this is a matchup that favors the Hammers. They own a great home record vs. Forest, having only lost once to the Tricky Trees in ten such instances. They've also won seven of their last eight at home vs. newly promoted sides. Give me the desperate Hammers to dig deep and deliver in this crucial spot! AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Nets v. Bulls | Top | 87-131 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
10* Bulls (TOP REVENGE SIDE OF SEASON) The Bulls are only 26-33, but they're a much more respectable 16-13 at home. They went into the break on a six game SU/ATS losing streak. The All-Star game came at a good time. This Bulls' team definitely has identity issues, but with time off to regroup, in the short term I expect them to come in focused, and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Nets beat Miami before the break and after the KD trade, but a huge drop off in mental focus moving forward is now expected in my opinion. Most importantly though, as the title of this pick indicates, this selection is primarily based around the "revenge" factors, as note that Chicago lost 116-105 at Brooklyn on February 9th as a three-point favorite, which is indeed signficant for us to note, as the Bulls are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the short points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Xavier v. Seton Hall OVER 140.5 | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Seton Hall (BIG EAST TOY) I love the way this end of season matchup sets up to be more of a competitive defensive affair, rather than a high-scoring "shootout." Xavier is 20-8, but just a pedestrian 5-4 on the road, while Seton Hall is 16-12, but a much more respectable 10-4 in front of the home town crowd. The Pirates play with revenge after a 73-70 loss at Xavier as eight-point underdogs on December 20th, which is significant to note, as Seton Hall has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. Xavier is No. 15 in the country, but it'll be desperate to turn things around before the start of the conference tournament, having lost three of its last four, including a tight 64-63 setback to Villanova as a 4.5-point favorite last time out. I have every reason to believe that this will be a faster-paced "shootout," rather than a "clamp-down" defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Mainz OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Borussia/Mainz (BUNDESLIGA TOW) Each team is coming off a big win in the last round and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. They've combined for five league draws so far this season, and this is expected to be a very competitive affair between two well-matched sides. Mainz is off the 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen, while Borrusia Monchengladbach is off a big 3-2 win over Bayern Munich. Expect these offenses to continue to roll on Friday; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | UMKC +12 v. South Dakota State | Top | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this one being a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. Kansas City comes in under the radar here in my opinion. It won't be lacking motivation either after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note that the Roos are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row though.) They play with revenge as well after a 67-66 home loss to South Dakota State on January 30th. The Jack Rabbits are 9-1 at home. I think they go up early and take the foot off the gas at the end of the game. And with 25-4 Oral Roberts coming to town to finish off the regular season, there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look-ahead" for SDSU as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (NON-CONF GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Cavaliers from a situational stand point so much, that it's now qualified as my one and only non-conference NBA game of the year. Denver is 41-18, but it's just 14-14 on the road. Cleveland is 38-23 this year, thanks in part to an elite 25-6 home record. The Cavaliers play with revenge here after a 121-108 road loss at Denver on January 6th (note though that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet.) Look for the break to effect the Nuggets here more as a team than the Cavaliers and lay the short points with confidence; the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | Monmouth +3 v. Hampton | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (CAA GOY) Two terrible teams here, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Monmouth is 6-23, while Hampton is 7-22. The Hawks play with revenge here though after an 83-66 setback at home to the Pirates as 2.5-point favorites on January 21st. Note that Monmouth is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This is also Monmouth's final game of the season, and the Hawks would love nothing more tha to send out the Pirates with a loss in their final home game. Hampton has one more game after this at North Carolina A&T to look ahead to as well. Grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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02-22-23 | Charleston Southern +10 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Charleston Southern (BIG SOUTH GOY) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I think that Charleston Southern will play tougher than expected, and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Buccaneers come in undervalued here after six straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note though that Charleston Southern is still 9-3 in its last 12 after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Not surprisingly the Buccaneers play with "revenge" here after falling 73-63 lto UNC Asheville at home on January 18th as 2.5-point dogs. But that works in our favor here, as they're 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Bulldogs have "look ahead" spot here as well, with their final game of the season at No. 1 Longwood on Saturday night. As I said off the top, I'm not expecting an outright win, but everything points to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Charleston Southern! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | East Carolina v. Tulsa +1.5 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (AAC GOM) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well for Tulsa from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. ECU is the better team. It's 13-13, while Tulsa is only 5-21. However, the Pirates' weakness this season has absolutely been the quality of their play on the road, where they're just 1-7 this year. Tulsa on the other hand has been at its best at home this year, despite the 4-8 record. The Golden Hurricane though have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent (lost 76-66 at ECU on January 24th.) With a game vs. conference leading Houston up next for the Pirates as well, this is also a "look-ahead" spot for the visitors. As I said off the top, I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a "situational" stand-point; grab the points the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | Red Wings v. Capitals -148 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Capitals (ASSASSIN) Washington did beat Detroit 4-3 at home in November, but I'm throwing the "revenge" factor out the window here today. That was a long time ago, and Washington now comes in desperate to snap a four-game slide, most recently fall 4-1 to Carolina. I say the Capitals haven't forgotten how to play hockey and I expect them to show up here tonight. Detroit just had its five game win streak snapped in a 4-2 loss at Seattle and I say it's primed for another letdown here as well. The fact that the wagers are split 50/50 on this contest says a lot I think. But the public trying to find value on this underdog is the wrong move in my opinion. Look for the Capitals to dig deep here and deliver in front of the home town crowd! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -132 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Real Madrid/Liverpool (BLOCKBUSTER) This is a repeat of last year's Final. This is the first leg of their last-16 tie. Liverpool is coming off B2B victories over Everton and Newcastle United, meaning that a top-four finish is still in the cards. Liverpools unbeaten streak at Anfield has now reached seven games. Liverpool has always had a hell of a time with Real Madrid though. Real does have shaky European form on the road at times though. Liverpool is winless in six straight in this series. I'm expecting a highly competitive affair, but look for this one to be a "war of attrition." As such, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 131 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi Valley State/Prairie View A&M UNDER (SWAC TOY) The last time these teams played against each other, it ended up being a lower-scoring defensive affair, and for a number of different reasons, that's exactly what I'm expecting in the rematch in this one as well. Prairie View has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight ater an 82-71 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff in its last outing. Note though that the Panthers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Mississippi Valley State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now after its 80-62 loss at Texas Southern in its last outing. The Delta Devils also play with revenge here after the 67-60 loss to Prairie View A&M back on January 7th. However, note that the Delta Devils have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Islanders v. Penguins -129 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pens (METROPOLITAN GOY) Two good teams, but "revenge" is the difference in this one. New York is just 1-4 in its last five. The one win was a come from behind 5-4 home victory over Pittsburgh on Friday. Note that the Pens are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Pittsburgh is off B2B losses, but it's 15-7-4-0 at home still. New York is just 11-14-2-2 on the road. This will be a popular pick among bettors, but I still really love how this one sets up for the home side; the play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Cremonese v. Torino UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cremonese/Torino (SERIE-A TOY) Cremonese is winless in Serie A action, and now they visit middle of the table Torino. The hosts though won't be taking anything for granted after a loss at Milan last week. The Grigiorossi will have to rely on a miracle at this point though to save them from an immediate exit back to the second tier. Despite the loss to Milan last week, Torino looked solid defensively in the 1-0 defeat. Expect the home side to control the pace of this one, as I find it difficult to see Cremonese mounting much of an attack today; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |