Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Navy +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM) The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Pelicans v. Spurs OVER 234.5 | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Pels/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one in our opinion. The Pels are 27-21 overall, including 13-11 on the road, while the Spurs are 10-38 overall, including 5-19 at home. New Orleans is off the 110-99 win at Houston, snapping a three-game slide, but note that the Pels have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 99 or fewer points in. New Orleans beat the Spurs 146-110 in mid-December here in San Antonio and while we do think the home side will put up a much more competitive battle, we are in fact expecting a similar final combined score here once it's all said and done. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Siena +11.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Sienna (MAAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard UNDER 151 | Top | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Columbia/Harvard (IVY LEAGUE TOM) Both sides have been involved in some higher-scoring "shootouts" out of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here between these conference rivals in our estimation on Friday night. Columbia is 10-7 overall, including 2-5 on the road, while Harvard is 10-7 overall, including 6-3 at home. That's a stark contrast between winning and losing at home for each side. The Lions won't be rolling over here after snapping a three-game slide with an 84-81 win over Penn as 1.5-point dogs (note though that Columbia has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home win as an underdog.) Harvard has lost three of its last four and it's seen the total go "over" in all three losses. That includes a 78-65 setback to Yale here last time out. With each team doubling down defensively like we're expecting, the "under" does indeed become the savvy call as far as the total is concerned in this one in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Pacers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pacers (EAST-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational play on Indiana. The Pacers are 27-22 overall. They're off a 129-124 road loss at Boston, covering with the eight-point spread. We're expecting another spirited effort on the road here as well in the Big Apple. Indiana beat New York 140-126 at home back on December 30th. But it's the Knicks that come in overvalued here by the oddsmakers in our estimation after eight straight SU wins and six straight ATS victories. With the Lakers coming to town next, we believe the home side also gets caught "looking ahead." Grab the points, the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Tulane v. SMU UNDER 157.5 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER Tulane/SMU (AAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're anticipating much more of a defensive affair here on Thursday night finally between these hungry conference rivals. Tulane is 12-8 overall, but only 2-3 on the road, while SMU is 13-6 overall, including 9-2 at home. The Green Wave won't be lacking for motivation here after back-to-back losses, most recently a 75-71 home setback to Charlotte as 3.5-point favs, but note that Tulane has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. SMU fans can empathize, as their team also enters off back-to-back losses, including a 77-72 loss at Wichita State as 5.5-point favorites last time out. But that's also important for us to take note of hee, as the Mustangs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS conference road loss as favorites. With each team doubling down defensively like we expect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the savvy call here as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Nuggets v. Thunder OVER 228 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Denver/OKC (NORTHWEST DIV. TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of an offensive affair here in our opinion between these division rivals. OKC had won five in a row, but it's now coming off two straight losses. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight now after its most recent 107-101 loss to Minnesota, but that's significant to take note of here as the Thunder have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Denver plays with revenge after a 119-93 home loss in late December to the Thunder, and note that the Nuggets have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which they where held to 95 or fewer points in. Considering all of the above-listed factors, this O/U line is indeed a tad low; so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Senators v. Red Wings -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Red Wings (BEST OF BEST) The final day of the first half of the 2023/24 NHL regular season with the All Star break after this and games not resuming until February 10th. Either way, we think that it's the Ottawa Senators who are in fact getting WAY too much respect from the oddsmakers in this one. Ottawa is 19-25-2-0 overall, including a terrible 6-13 on the road. It's just 9-10 on the puckline on the road, which means that most times it's not only losing when its away from friendly confines, it's losing in BLOWOUT fashion. Detroit on the other hand is 26-18-5-0 overall, including 14-8-4-0 at home. It's also 15-11 on the puckline at home, which again just shows that Detroit normally wins by a sizeable margin in front of the home town crowd. The Wings are off back-to-back quality wins, taking down Philadelphia here 3-0 before then smashing the Golden Knights 5-2. And finally, Detroit plays with the added incentive of REVENGE as it lost 5-1 here at home to Ottawa back in early December (and note that the Wings are in fact 3-1 in their last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. In our opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value," the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Alabama v. Georgia +6 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOW) Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 137.5 | Top | 83-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wyoming/Air Force (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair here finally in our opinion between these conference rivals. After their most recent 84-70 loss at Fresno State, the Falcons have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as Air Force has in fact seen the total "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five of more straight "overs" in a row. Wyoming is off a high-scoring 79-76 OT win over Colorado State and it's now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. But that's also important for us to take note of, as the Cowboys have seen the total "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. These two teams are in need of a victory here and we're expecting that sense of competition to lead to a very defensive, and ultimately lower-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Blue Jackets v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 104 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jackets/Blues (TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. Columbus has seen the total go "over" in three straight after its most recent 4-2 loss at Seatle, but note that the Jackets have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. the Blues have won five straight and theyv'e seen the total go "over" in four straight. St. Louis has played to three straight 4-3 OT victories, but everything now is pointing to this particular contest being a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-30-24 | Lakers v. Hawks UNDER 247 | Top | 122-138 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
10* Lakers/Hawks UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends finally point to much more of a defensive affair this time around. LA is just 7-16 on the road after last night's humbling 135-119 loss at Houston as a 1-point favorite. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a road loss as a favorite. Atlanta snapped a three-game slide with a 126-125 win over Toronto. Note though that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With the Lakers coming in on the second game of the B2B, and taking into account the rest of the above-listed factors, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in this contest as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW) We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 5 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Temple +7 v. East Carolina | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show |
10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 243.5 | Top | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Mavericks (ASSASSIN) We feel this number is way too high for a number of different reasons. The Mavericks are coming off a 148-143 win at Atlanta where star Luke Doncic scored a career-high 72 points. Now on the second game of the B2B here, everything points to a predictable letdown after that historic victory in our opinion. The Kings are off a 134-133 road win at the Warriors, but note that Sacramento has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four off a SU/ATS road win. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | UNLV v. San Jose State UNDER 147 | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNLV/SJSU (MW TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair this time around in our opinion. UNLV is 9-9 this season, including 2-2 on the road, while SJSU is 8-11 overall, including 5-4 at home. The Spartans though have now seen the total go "over" the number in ten straight after their most recent 95-75 loss to New Mexico and note that SJSU has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to ten or more straight "overs" in a row. UNLV is coming off B2B high-scoring losses as well, most recently a 98-58 setback to Air Force as a 10.5-point favorite. Note though that the Rebels have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 59 or fewer points in. Look for this competitive battle to be a defensive one; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-27-24 | Golden Knights v. Red Wings -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Red Wings (EXPRESS) Overall this is just a great situational play. The Knights won 5-2 at the Rangers just last night and we're now predicting a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. That's two straight wins as an underdog on the road for the Kinghts, and with the all-star game on the horizon and their next home contest not till February 6th after this, not only does this set up as "letdown" spot, but but also a "look-ahead." The Red Wings are off the 3-0 win over Philadelphia and everything points to the Wings taking full advantage of this situation in our opinion. All things considered, we believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Cavs v. Bucks UNDER 238 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Bucks (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to more of a defensive affair here. In fact, this is the second game of a back-to-back hee between the clubs in Milwaukee, with the Bucks winning their third straight by a score of 126-116. Note though that Cleveland has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. That loss snapped an eight-game win streak for the Cavs, who have seen the total fly "over" the number in two straight now. The rematch here though on Friday night has all the makings of a much more defensive battle this time around in our opinion; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Golden Knights v. Rangers -140 | 5-2 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Rangers (SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) This is a great situational play. Vegas has won four of its last five. It's had three days off after a 3-2 win at Long Island, but with a game at the Wings tomorrow, we say the visitors come out a bit flat-footed here. The revenge-minded Rangers, who have lost three of their last four and who have had a few days off, are the correct call in our opinion. Vegas won 5-1 at home two weeks ago, putting added motivation for the home side to respond; all things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | Predators v. Wild -113 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Wild (ASSASSIN) Home ice advantage will prove to be key for the Wild tonight. Nashville is 12-9-1-0 on the road, while Minnesota is 12-9-3-0 at home. The Predators have lost three of their last four and with a tough upcoming game at Edmonton up next, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the visiting side as well. the Wild have won three straight and we're expecting them to make the most of the favorable part of their schedule; all things considered, this is fantastic "line value" here on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 224 | Top | 143-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/Heat (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong O/U ATS stats/numbers points to this number now being a TOO low. Boston is 14-9 on the road this year after B2B wins to open up this road trip. The C's have now seen the total go "under" in five straight games, but note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten (70%) after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Miami will be desperate to snap a four-game slide after last night's 105-96 loss at home to Memphis. Note though that the Heat have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Look for defense to take a back seat here and expect this total to indeed fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-25-24 | UTEP v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 136.5 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTEP/Louisiana Tech (CONF USA TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to much more of a defensive affair in this one in our opinion. UTEP is 11-8 overall, but 0-5 SU/ATS in true road games. Louisiana Tech is 13-6 overall, and a perfect 9-0 SU at home. The Miners come in off B2B home wins, with both victories flying "over" the number, but in their last road game, a 72-68 loss at FIU, the total stayed "under" the number. We suspect UTEP will once again struggle to find offensive consistency away from friendly confines. Louisiana Tech has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Bulldogs have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. The overall situation that each team finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are 30-13 overall and have a 19-4 record at home, but they still decided to make a coaching change. Look for this to have an immediate effect on the players here on Wednesday night as they keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Cleveland is 26-15, including 11-7 on the road, but after eight straight SU/ATS victories in a row, everything points to a letdown here finally in our opinion, which is the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Milwaukee plays with revenge after a humbling 135-95 loss at Cleveland on January 17th, and note that the Bucks are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in vs. an opponent. Lay the points with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -127 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* Bruins (BLOOD-BATH) Any time that you can get Boston at home at this price, despite the situation and despite the opponent etc, you definitely have to give it a serious second look. And that's the case for us here on Wednesday with Carolina coming to Boston on Wednesday. The Hurricanes are 25-15-2-3 overall, but just 12-10-0-1 on the road, while the Bruins are 29-8-8-1 overall, including 16-3-3-0 at home. Boston is 13-9 on the puckline at home as well, which means that Boston has not only won at home, but also it does so in blowout fashion most of the time (and then also compare that to Carolina being just 9-14 on the puckline away from friendly confines. Boston's red hot and it's won five in a row (over some really good teams: they won 4-3 in overtime at St. Louis, then they beat the Devils here 3-0, then hammered Colorado 5-2, then they destroyed Montreal 9-4, and then most recently they dominated the Jets by a score of 4-1.) With a two-game road trip starting in Ottawa tomorrow night, tonight's contest takes on added importance for Boston as well. Carolina has lost two of its last three, most recently falling 5-2 at home to Minnesota. With a home game vs. the Devils tomorrow night we think the visitors will also get caught looking ahead as well. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Alabama (SEC GOW) Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Air Force +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Air Force (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Golden Knights v. Islanders -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Islanders (BEST OF THE BEST) Off a 6-5 OT loss at New Jersey just last night, snapping a three-game win streak, we're absolutely expecting the Knights to come out with "heavy legs" here in the second game of the B2B scenario. New York plays with revenge as well after a 5-2 loss at Vegas at the start of the year. Look for the hungry home side to step up and take advantage, as this literally comes the very definition of "great line value," in our opinionl; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets OVER 222.5 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Nets (BATTLE) The Knicks are 26-17 after three straight victories. They've now seen the total go "under" the number in five straight, but note that New York has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Brooklyn beat the Lakers, then fell to the Clippers. The Nets have seen the total go "over" the number in two straight and now back at home, and looking to rebound, everything in our opinion points to this great situational play soaring "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER Sharks/Kings (PACIFIC DIV. TOM) These two teams have struggled to put pucks in the net of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself in coming into this contest, combined with the numbers/trends all point to this one finally being more of a high-scoring offensive shootout. San Jose snapped a three-game slide with a 5-3 win over Anaheim in its last game and we look for it to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. The Kings snapped a two-game slide witha 2-1 home win over the Rangers. LA has seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Kings have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (BIG 12 GOM) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house" so to speak. While the outright win isn't likely, we do definitely expect this one to be decidd in the final moments. Cincinnati is 13-5, while Kansas is 15-3. That includes 9-0 at home. It's no easy task obviously beating the Jayhawks on their own floor, but Cincinnati has responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite (fell 69-65 at home to Oklahoma as a 4-point fav.) Kansas actually suffered its second defeat in its last four games, falling 91-85 at WVU as a ten-point favorite last time out. And with a game at Iowa State up next, will the home side get caught looking ahead?! We say the conditions are right for a "battle until the end;" grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Celtics v. Mavs +3 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* Dallas (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational play. After suffering their first home defeat to the Nuggets, Boston bounced back with a seven point win in Houston just last night, unable to cover the 11-point spread. Now they're being asked to cover another tough spread and we believe that fatigue will definitely be an issue here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Mavericks look to regroup after a 127-110 loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. In a contest that we see Dallas having a legitimate shot at winning outright, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Stars v. Islanders +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Islanders (ASSASSIN) Here's a great situational play on the home side, as we're expecting Dallas, which is coming off a 6-2 win at New Jersey just last night, to be fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. And with a tough final road game at Detroit before heading home, this sets up as look-ahead spot as well. The Isles are 19-15 and they've lost four straight. They'll be looking to take advantage here and we look for them to step up and break the slide; the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 45.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Bills (BLOOD-BATH) These teams played in Kansas City back on December 10th and the Bills won a tight and lower-scoring battle by a score of 20-17. Will the Chiefs get their revenge here, or will the Bills take advantage of home field and pull out another win and cover? We're not 100% sure WHO will win and cover in this game, but we're for sure absolutely expecting another lower-scoring battle. Note that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. We're expecting this one to be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" is almost always the correct call as far as the total is concerned, and that's the case here in this divisional round matchup; in our estimation, this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Nuggets v. Wizards +13.5 | Top | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Outright win? We're not calling for that. However, as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse," as we think this is a "trap" game for Denver. The Nuggets just beat the Celtics 102-100 in Boston, snapping their 20-game home win streak. With upcoming road games at Indiana and New York, the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Washington has suffered three straight SU losses after last night's 131-127 setback to the Spurs, but note that the Wizards have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show |
10* Lions (DIV. RND GOY) At this point of the season, the oddsmakers lines are sharper than ever. There's only a few games left and their entire attention can be put onto these lines. It gets tougher and tougher to find any true value at this point, but in our opinion the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this contest. Both starting QB's got huge monkeys off their backs, but we just don't trust this Bucs offense on the road. The Lions are sitting pretty and poised to move on to the Conference Championship game and we're FULLY expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chattanooga v. East Tennessee State +1.5 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While we clearly feel that the outright win is going to happen, our official call will still be to grab whatever amount of points you can with the hungry home side here. Chattanooga is 11-7 overall, but just 3-5 on the road. East Tennessee State is 9-9, including 6-1 at home. We can't understate how important we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be in the end for the Buccaneers. The Bucs are off four straight losses and will be risking life and limb to snap the slide. Chattanooga is off the 74-60 win at Mercer, but we think it'll take a step back on the road here; grab the points, the play is East Tennessee State! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Oilers v. Flames +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -178 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Flames puckline (DESTRUCTION) It's been a crazy ride for Edmonton fans this year. The team started off the season on one of its worst runs of all time, but now the Oilers enter this contest at 25-15-1-0 overall and as one of the hottest overall teams in the league. With a couple nights off after this before a string of favorable home games, we feel that their Provincial rival will step up and take advantage of this revenge-scenario. This is a trap for Edmonton. Calgary is 21-19 overall and it just had its four-game win streak snapped here in a tight 4-3 loss to Toronto. We expect a similar hard-fought contest here. The Flames do indeed play with revenge as well after a 5-2 loss at Edmonton at the start of the season; we're laying price with confidence for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Grand Canyon v. Seattle University UNDER 143 | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Grand Canyon/Seattle UNDER (WAC TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a lower-scoring defensive battle in our opinion. Normally the eyes of the basketball world wouldn't pay much attention to a Western Athletic Game, but that won't be the case here, as Grand Canyon enters at 17-1. Seattle is 10-8 overall, but 9-2 at home. The Redhawks won't be rolling over here after three straight road losses (all went "over" the number, and two went to OT.) Note though that Seattle has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Grand Canyon had seen the total go "under" in three straight before its most recent 78-65 win over Utah Valley. The Antelopes will have their hands full here and we're expecting them to once again double-down on the defensive end; when you add it all up, this number is indeed high in our opinion, so the play is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 40 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Green Bay managed the huge upset win at Dallas, but we're fully expecting Jordan Love and the visitors to predictably stumble here. Love's numbers in all indoor games are just crazy, but he's very average whenever he plays outdoors. Love destroyed the Cowboys great defense, but now they face another really difficult test here on the road. Green Bay's defense was poor and its going to have its hands full here vs. this well-rested and explosive home side; lay the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Texans/Ravens (DIV. RND TOY) With nearly 65% of the early public money on the Texans, most everyone here feels that CJ Stroud and company can keep the offensive momentum rolling here vs. this difficult Ravens defense. And why not though, as the Browns had the No. 1 defense in the league and were just torched for 45 points. And for Baltimore, it has had the advantage of having a week off to heal up. We're expecting LaMar Jackson to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up really from a "situational" stand point in our opinion. Everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Bucks -13 v. Pistons | Top | 141-135 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) We expect Milwaukee to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Bucks are 28-13, but just 9-9 on the road. Detroit is 4-37, including only 2-18 at home. Milwaukee had its three-game win streak come to an end last time out in a 135-95 loss at Cleveland, but note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is in fact the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Look for Milwaukee to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (ASSASSIN) The defending champs would love nothing more than to give the Celtics, who are 20-0 at home this year, their first loss of the season in this building. Is that possible?! With Nikola Jokic on the court, of course anything is possible. That said, in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're definitely advising everyone to grab as many points as you can in this one. The Nuggets are off a loss to Philly, but we expect their defense to be "on point" tonight and to keep them in this one late. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, the clincher for us is going the other way and being contrarian with this release; grab the points, the play is indeed on Denver! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Predators v. Kings -142 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* Kings (BOB) We think that LA is well worth the price of admission in this spot. Nashville is 24-19-1-0, while the Kings are 21-2-4-4. The Predators are off a 4-1 loss at Vegas and they're going to have their hands full here with this determined home side that's lost four of its last five. This is the opener of four straight at home for the Kings though, and so this is a perfect opportunity to get untracked; lay the price with confidence, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Thunder -3 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
10* Thunder (ASSASSIN) OKC is 27-13 overall, including 11-8 on the road, while Utah is 22-20 overall, and 15-5 at home. Utah is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last ten, but after three straight upsets at home, we're expecting Utah to finally come out a bit flat here. After this they hit the road for six straight, so it's a look-ahead spot as well. The Thunder though are off back-to-back SU/ATS losses and won't be taking anything for granted here. This is a great 'situational' play on Oklahoma City! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Morehead State OVER 149.5 | Top | 66-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Tennessee Martin/Morehead State (OHIO VALLEY TOY) These teams have both been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in this particular matchup here on Thursday night. Tennessee Martin is 10-8 and Morehead State is 13-5. The Skyhawks snapped a two-game slide with a win over Little Rock last time out, and despite now having seen the total go "under" in four straight, note that Tennessee Martin has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Morehead State won't be taking anything for granted here after its five-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 61-48 loss at SIU Edwardsville. But note that the Eagles have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 49 or fewer points in. This number is indeed a little low when you take into account all of the above listed situational and trend-based factors; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOM) No outright, but closer than expected in our opinion. This is a great situational play, as we're expecting 14-2 Auburn to get caught looking past its opponent to its home game vs. 15-1 Ole Miss. Auburn has won ten in a row, including three straight ATS, but note that the Tigers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. Vanderbilt is off three straight losses and comes in "under the radar" here at home in our opinion. Auburn is just 1-1 in true road games this year, so the Tigers have not been at their best away from friendly confines. Either way, this is WAY too many points to be giving up on the road in our estimation; grab the points, the play is Vandy! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 232 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Hawks (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're now finally expecting more of a wide-open shootout here between two clubs in need of a victory. This is a great situational play. Orlando is just 9-13 on the road. It snapped a three-game slide with a 98-94 road win at New York last time out. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Atlanta broke a two-game slide as well with a 109-99 victory over San Antonio last time out, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace from the ouset and throughout like we expect, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Detroit PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Florida is the better team, but we think the undervalued underdog can keep it interesting and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to suggest grabbing the visitors on the PUCKLINE option. Detroit is 22-16-5-0 overall, including 11-9-1-0 on the road. Florida is 27-13-2-1 overall and 13-6-1-0 at home. The Wings though are 14-7 on the puckline on the road, while the Panthers are just 7-13 on the puckline at home. Right away that tell us that the Wings have consistently been undervalued on the road this year and have been extremely competitive. Florida has looked susceptible of late as well; it beat LA 3-2 in overtime, but it's since lost two straight, falling 4-1 to New Jersey and then 5-4 in Overtime to the Ducks. Detroit is trending the other way; it lost 3-2 in overtime to Edmonton, but it's since bounced back with two straight victories, beating the Kings 5-3 and then a convincing 4-2 victory at Toronto as a +182 underdog. We're going to have a good old fashioned battle here in Florida on Wednesday night, and the best option we see is to grab the Wings on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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01-16-24 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 150.5 | Top | 93-90 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/Clemson (ACC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here in our opinion. Georgia Tech is 8-8 and Clemson is 12-4. The Yellow Jackets are just 1-4 on the road though. they're coming off an 84-79 loss at Duke. Previous to that they fell 75-68 in OT at home to Notre Dame as 6-point favorites. The Jackets come to town dejected and fatigued. Clemson just snapped a three-game slide with an 89-78 win over BC, but note that the last time these teams met, the Tigers won 72-51 and we're fully expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Both teams have seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular O/U line here tonight, a few points higher than it normally would/should be; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Eagles/Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams struggled down the stretch of the regular season after great starts. Regardless, here we are and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This playoffs has so far been anything but predictable. The Browns had the best defense in the league and they just gave up 45 points to the Texans, while the Dolphins leds the league in total offense, and only managed 7 points vs. a sub-par Chiefs' defense. And we absolutely believe that the oddsmakers are wrong in this case as well. Philadelphia held Tampa to just 11 points in a low-scoring win here earlier in the year, but note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Lamar v. McNeese State -12 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY) This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 244 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Raptors (EAST-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion. Boston is 30-9, but just 11-9 on the road. The Raptors are only 15-24 overall, but a more respectable 9-9 at home. Boston has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four, including in its most recent blowout 145-118 victory over the Rockets. Toronto has lost four of its last five. It's off a humbling 145-113 loss at Utah. Note though that the Raptors have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for a much more defensive affair overall here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 142-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) While we do feel the outright in is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in what we expect to be a very competitive affair. Milwaukee is 18-4 at home, but after B2B high-profile home victories over Boston and Golden State, and with a few days off after this before an extended road trip, everything points to this being a classic "trap" for the home side as it gets caught "looking ahead." This is a great situational play. Sacramento started off its road trip with two wins, but stumbled 112-93 last time out at Philadelphia a 1-point favorite. Note though that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Everything points to this one "coming down to wire," so let's grab the points with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Washington v. UCLA OVER 140 | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Washington/UCLA (PAC 12 TOM) These two teams are in need of a win and we're expecting this faster-paced affair to ultimately eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is 10-6 overall, bust just 1-2 on the road, while UCLA is 6-10 overall, including 4-4 at home. The Huskies are slight favs on the road here, as they've snapped a three-game slide by winning their last two, including an 82-67 victory over ASU last time out. We're expecting a similar final combined scored here as well. The Bruins have lost four in a row and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite their 90-44 loss to Utah last time out though, note that the Bruins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 off a conference road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Lakers -1 v. Jazz | Top | 125-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 20-20, but we love the way this one sets up for the visitors. LA's two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 127-109 loss at home to Phoenix. Utah has won four straight, but after last night's big 145-113 home win over Toronto, we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here. That's four straight upset wins for the Jazz, and alls signs point to a predictable letdown. Lay the short points, the play is the LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 50 m | Show |
10* Browns/Texans UNDER (WILDCARD RND TOY) They say defense wins championships, and in our estimation the team that plays the best on that side of the field and wins the war in the trenches and the field position battle will be the one that comes out on top. These teams will look to establish the run throughout as to limit the mistakes their QB's can make in this pressure packed situation. The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7, while Cleveland was second in the AFC North. This is the second meeting between the teams in the last three weeks, with the Browns getting the better of the Texans by a score of 36-22 on Christmas Eve. Note though that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. CJ Stroud didn't play in that game and while he'll be back in this one, as stated off the top, we're absolutely expecting each side to try and use the run game to set up the pass. These teams didn't get here because of their explosive offenses and unbelievable QB's. They got here because of their great defensive play. And that's what we're expecting, a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +10.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Manchester City -157 v. Newcastle United | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
10* Manchester City (EPL GOM) Newcastle United is going to have its hands full here at home. It's currently in ninth spot and off a 3-0 win over Dunderland in the FA Cup. Manchester City can't afford to take the foot off the gas though sitting in third place in the table, most recently annihilating Huddersfield Town by a score of 5-0. Newcastle United can't be feeling confident here, as it has just one win in 32 matches in the EPL in this series. Manchester City has scored in each of the last 30 in this series and we have a hard time seeing the home side keeping pace down the stretch; lay the price with confidence, the play is Manchester City! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Predators v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Predators/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much tighter and ultimately lower-scoring battle here between the Predators and Stars in our opinion. Nashville is 10-7-1-0 on the road, while Dallas is 13-7-2-0 at home. The Predators have lost two of their last three after a 5-3 setback at home to the lowly Ducks last time out. Note though that the Predators have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Dallas has won two of its last three. It's seen the total go "over" the number in six of its last seven after a 7-2 victory over the Wild here last time out. Note though that the Stars play with revenge here after falling 4-3 here to the Predators at the start of the month (and that's significant to note, because Dallas has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divsional home loss as a favorite.) This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -1 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) As primarily "situational" handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." Sacramento is 10-7 on the road, while Philly is 13-6 at home. The Kings are off B2B road victories over Detroit and Charlotte, but note they face a determined 76ers side that's dropped three in a row SU/ATS. Note though that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's an important three game stretch now for the 76ers, with Houston and Denver coming to town next. But with a game at Milwaukee upcoming, we also believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Lay the short points, the play is indeed on Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Fairfield v. Niagara UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Fairfield/Niagara (MAAC TOY) This one sets up well from a situational stand point to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Fairfield is 9-6 and Niagara is 6-8. The Stags come in on a big winning run, having won eight in a row. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their 82-61 victory over Marist last time out (but note that Fairfield has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) Niagara has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in four of its last five, most recently off a 75-73 win at Iona as a 9.5-point underdog (note though that the Purple Eagles have seen the total go "under" the number in five or their last six off an ATS/SU conference road win as an underdog.) We expect this competitive battle to be defensive in nature; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-11-24 | Michigan v. Maryland OVER 139.5 | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Michigan/Maryland (BIG TEN TOY) These two teams are in need of a victory. Each has been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to much more of a wide-open offensive contest here on Thursday night in our opinion. Michigan is 6-9, including 2-1 on the road, while Maryland is 9-6, including 8-1 at home. To say the Wolverines are hungry for a win would be an understatement after four straight SU losses and five straight ATS losses (note though that Michigan has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after five or more ATS losses in a row.) Maryland is just 1-2 SU in its last two and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight. As bettors though, that's important for us to take note of as the Terrapins have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -134 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* Avalanche (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) Las Vegas is playing poorly right now and the Avs are playing well. Colorado also plays with revenge after a 7-0 loss at Vegas back in early November. Las Vegas is just 2-6 in its last eight, but it did post a 5-2 home win over the Isles last time out. With a home game vs. Boston tomorrow though, we're expecting the visitors to classically get caught "looking ahead" to that one. The Avs have won five of their last six including a 3-2 victory here over Boston last time out. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value" after considering all of the above favorable situational factors for the home side in this one; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Colorado! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Wizards +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. Indiana is 12-8 at home and it's won seven of its last eight. That includes an upset 133-131 win here at home over Boston last time out. With an upcoming six-game road trip after this starting at ATL, everything points to the home side getting caught "looking ahead" here as well. Letdown + lookahead = "trap game!" This is a trap for the Pacers. No such luxury for the Wizards though who have lost five straight (but that's signficicant for us as bettors to take note of, as Washington has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more straight SU losses in a row.) No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Oakland UNDER 148.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* Horizon league TOY on the UNDER UNK/Oakland. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games leading up to this contest, but everything finally points to much more of a defensive battle here on Wednesday night in our opinion. These teams are evenly matched and we're expecting a war until the end. UNK is 8-8 and Oakland is 9-8. The Norse have lost three of their last four, including a heart-breaking 88-85 OT loss at Cleveland State just two nights ago. We believe that fatigue will indeed be a factor here. Oakland has won three straight and it's seen the total go "over" in three straight as well, which is significant to note as well as the Grizzlies have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect this tight battle to be a very low-scoring defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-09-24 | Canucks v. Islanders -124 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Islanders (NON-CONF GOM) We're getting great value here on the rested and revenge-minded Islanders. We say this is a classic "trap" for the surging Canucks, who come in off a big 6-3 win over the Rangers just last night. They beat New Jersey 6-4 previously. Now on the second game of the B2B and with upcoming tough games right away at Pittsburgh and Buffalo, we're predicting that the visitors do now finally have a letdown. No such luxury for the Isles though, who have lost three of their last four. All on the road. They've had two whole nights off to prepare for this one as they try to avenge a 4-3 OT loss in Vancouver back in November. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan UNDER 57 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Michigan (TOW) We think the time off between games will be detrimental to these offenses, and beneficial to the defenses early on. Note that when these teams met in 2021, the combined to score just 41 points. The Wolverines will be content throughout to let the clock run on offense as they use the run to set up the pass. This Michigan defense just held Alabama to 288 total yards of offnse in the win over the Rose Bowl and we're anticipating Michael Penix Jr. to have a hell of a time in this one as well. Everything points to this total being just a bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 216 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Hornets (ASSASSIN) These teams have both been playing to several "unders" of late (including in the Bulls 104-91 home win on the 5th.) With that loss, Charlotte has now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Charlotte has also seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in eight straight games now, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular total here tonight a few points lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* Northeastern (CAA GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 239.5 | Top | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Magic (ASSASSIN) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair in our opinion finally in this one. Atlanta is 14-20 and Orlando is 20-15. The Hawks are 9-11 on the road and the Magic are 12-4 at home. The Hawks two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a terrible 150-116 loss at the Pacers, but note that Atlanta has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. After that poor defensive effort, we can expect the visiting side to "double down" on that end of the court. And for the Magic, they snapped a three-game slide with an upset 122-120 road win at the Nuggets as 10.5-point underdogs. Can anyone say "mental letdown spot?!" When you add up all of the above listed factors, we definitely feel that this O/U line is too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY) We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Santa Clara v. Pepperdine OVER 149.5 | Top | 78-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* Santa Clara/Peppderine OVER (WEST COAST TOY) This is a great situational play in our opinion. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with the numbers/trends all finally point to a much higher-scoring offensive affair this time around. Santa Clara is 10-6 and Pepperdine is 7-9. Santa Clara is off the 68-57 road win at Loyola Marymount as a 2-point dog, but note that the Broncos have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Pepperdine had won two in a row before an 86-60 loss at Gonzaga last time out. They fell 91-82 to Santa Clara in this game last year and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Predators v. Stars -156 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Stars (ASSASSIN) We feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. The Predators are 9-7-1-0 on the road, while the Stars are 12-6-2-0 at home. The Predators fell 6-3 at Calgary at home in their last game and we think they'll get caught "looking ahead" to their more winnable home game vs. the Ducks up next. The Stars will extra motivated here after back-to-back one goal losses, most recently a tough 5-4 OT setback to Colorado here; lay the price with confidence, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UL - Lafayette OVER 149.5 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER CC/UL Lafayette (SUNBELT TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a much higher-scoring affair here finally in our opinion. Coastal Carolina won't be lacking for motivation here after starting the year 4-9. The Chanticleers comes in off a rare 71-63 win at Texas State as 8.5-point dogs and we're fully expecting them to keep that offensive momentum carried over here. UL Lafayette is 7-7 after back-to-back losses as an underdog. The last time the Cajuns plays CC, UL Lafayette stumbled and lost 77-76 as a 3.5-point favorite. We're expecting another tight and competitive battle here, but one that also flies "over" the number before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. New York is 3-0 SU/ATS in its last three after last night's 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as a 5.5-point dog, but note that the Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 95 or fewer points in. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. We think a small mental letdown is inevitable here in the second game of the back-to-back and off the big upset victory; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Heat v. Suns OVER 229.5 | Top | 97-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/Suns (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but in our opinion, the overall situation here finally points to more of an offensive affair. Miami is 20-14 and 11-8 on the road after snapping a two-game slide with a 110-97 win over the Lakers last time out. Despite that total going "under" the number and despite Miami having seen the total go "under" in four straight now, note that the Heat have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Suns four-game win streak came to an end in a 131-122 loss to the Clippers here last time out. We're anticipating a similar final combined score in this one as well; this number is low in our opinion, so the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes v. Capitals +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Capitals (PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price with confidence here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Carolina is 21-13, but it's just 11-10 on the road. After four straight wins and with a home game vs. the Blues at home tomorrow night, we feel this a letdown/lookahead/trap-game for the visitors. Washington is 18-12, but it's lost five of its last six. We see the home side risking life and limb to try and snap the slide here; lay the price, the play is Washington on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | Top | 130-127 | Push | 0 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Denver has won four of its last five. It beat Golden State 120-114 at home on X-Mas Day, unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. We think the Nuggets will get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Magic tomorrow. Golden State snapped a three-game slide with a quality 121-115 victory over Orlando and with a winnable game at home vs. Detroit tomorrow, we're expecting Golden State to step up here and take advantage of the scheduling; grab the points, the play is indeed on Golden State! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Stars (CENTRAL DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle in this one in our opinion. Colorado is coming off three straight wins and it's off a 5-4 OT win over the Islanders. The Avs could have their hands full here though with Dallas, who plays with revenge after a 6-3 loss here in mid November to the Avs. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a divisional home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Everything points to a much tighter and lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | College of Charleston v. Hofstra UNDER 154 | Top | 73-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Charleston/Hofstra (CAA TOY) Charleston is 9-4 and Hofstra is 7-6. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but from a situational stand point, this one now here on Thursday finally sets up as more of a defensive affair in our opinion. The Cougars enter off five straight victories and they've seen the total go "over" in six straight, but despite their 96-59 win over Montreat College last time out, the Cougars have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Pride have lost four of their last five and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this into a shootout, instead they'll look to control the pace. When you add up all of the above factors, everything points to a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Leafs puckline (ASSASSIN) Toronto is off a 3-0 win over LA just last night. Typically we would not play on a team on the second game of a B2B scenario, but we anticipate the Leafs taking advantage of this matchup. The Ducks are just 6-14 at home and just lost here 7-2 to the Oilers. Toronto will end its trip with a game at the Sharks, so this is a stretch of games that it'll be focussed on taking advantage of. Expect that to not only translate into a victory today, but a completely lop-sided one; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Xavier v. Villanova OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Villanova (BIG EAST TOY) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but in our opinion everything finally points to more of a wide-open offensive battle between these Big East rivals. Xaiver is 7-6 overall, while Villanova is 9-4. The Musketeers have gone 3-1 in their last four and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight after their most recent 74-54 win over Seton Hall, but note that the Musketeers have in fact seen the total go "over" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Villanova is 3-2 SU in its last five, but it's seen the total go "under" in five straight after its most recent 84-48 win at DePaul, but that's significant to note for a couple of reasons, as the Wildcats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS road conference road win in which they held their opponent to 49 or fewer points in and also in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great situational play that's backed by very strong trends in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Hawks (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) This one sets up unbelievably well for Atlanta. OKC is 23-9 and 9-4 on the road, but after five straight SU/ATS wins in a row, including an upset 127-123 home win over Boston just last night, can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Also note that the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Atlanta just snapped a four-game slide with a 130-126 win over Washington to move to 13-19. That was three nights ago though. The Hawks are well rested and the play with revenge after falling 126-117 as one-point favorites in OKC back on November 6th, and note that ATL is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. A great situational play on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (NON-CONF GOW) Of course we're not calling for the outright victory or anything, but all signs point to a much tighter affair than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. The Hornets have won three of their last five, but they're off a 111-93 loss at Denver. But we say they fly in "under the radar" here vs. the Kings, who will get caught "looking ahead" to their much more high-profile game the following night here vs. the Magic. After back-to-back SU road wins, all signs point to the Kings having a small mental letdown here at home tonight; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Senators v. Canucks -138 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Canucks (NON-CONF GOW) Vancouver is well worth the price of admission in this spot. As primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. Vancouver had won three of four before a 4-1 home loss to the Flyers last time out. This though is the final home game before a very tough seven-game Eastern road swing. Vancouver is 3-1 in its last four off an upset loss as a home favorite and with such a tough upcoming schedule, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb here to try and secure the victory. This is the start of the Senators Western swing, but with a game at Seattle up next, we think they'll get caught looking ahead; lay the price with confidence, the play is indeed on Vancouver! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Charlotte +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (AAC GOM) Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | North Alabama v. Texas Tech UNDER 144.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Alabama/Texas Tech. Here's a great "situational" play. We're fully expecting Texas Tech to go up early, and then to take the foot off the gas as it plays its final "tune-up" game before the conference schedule. The Red Raiders are 10-2 overall and 7-0 at home. Texas Tech enters on a five game unbeaten streak, but that is in fact significant to note here, as the Red Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after five or more straight SU victories in a row. North Alabama is 6-7, including a terrible 1-6 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses, failing to top 68 points in either game. We have a hard time seeing the offensively-challenged Lions even reaching 60 in this one though vs. this difficult Red Raiders' defense; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon OVER 65.5 | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -110 | 333 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Oregon (BOWL TOY) We're expecting very little defense to be played here in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl in what sets up to be an interesting matchup between two teams that have somethng to prove. Liberty finished 13-0, capped off by a 49-35 win over New Mexico State in the Conference USA Championship Game. Clearly, the Flames will be out to prove to the nation that they should have been part of the College Football championship. Oregon went 11-2 and lost 34-31 to Washington in the final PAC 12 Championship Game. The Ducks averaged 44.2 PPG, while allowing just 17.3, but with the Flames pushing the pace like we anticipate, despite being such big underdogs, everything definitely points to a high-paced, wide-open "shootout," rather than a grind-it-out defensive affair. Liberty averaged 40.8 PPG, while allowing 22.7 and while these are admittedly two very good defensive teams, we're anticipating plenty of offensive fireworks; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs UNDER 240.5 | Top | 134-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Spurs (BOB) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on New Year's night. Boston has won five straight, and it's seen the total go "over" in six straight, but note that the C's have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Spurs' issues are well documented this season. And with a game at Memphis on January 2nd, we believe the home side will get caught looking ahead here as well. Look for Boston to control the pace of this one here and for this total to ultimatley stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |