Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-07-22 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
8* ASTROS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Royals broke a 2-game skid with a 7-4 win here yesterday, but I expect an immediate return to mediocrity this afternoon. This is a massive mismatch on the mound between these starting pitchers, so much so that I believe laying the 1.5 runs and the extra juice for Houston to smash the Royals into smithereens is the correct call. Justin Verlander is 10-3 with a 2.03 ERA this year for the Astros and he's dominated the Royals throughout his career going 23-10 with a 3.20 ERA over 45 appearances. He's also on top form currently, going 4-1 with a miniscule 1.65 ERA over his last 5 starts. His counterpart today is Kris Bubic, who is just 1-5 with a ballooned 7.06 ERA. Bubic has been better of late, but he's clearly overmatched here this afternoon. Lay the 1.5 runs and the juice and expect a rout; the play is Houston on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-06-22 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* CARDS RUNLINE (GOM) The Cards have lost 3 straight, including the first 2 in this series. Note that this sets up really well from a trend based stand point, as St. Louis is 7-2 in its last 9 after 3 or more straight losses, and 8-4 in its last 12 in trying to revenge 2 or more straight road losses against an opponent. The Braves have been playing great, but the value swings to the undervalued dog here. These starters are evenly matched in my opinion, as the Cards' Miles Mikolas comes in on top form, now 5-6 with a 2.61 ERA and tiny 0.99 WHIP. The home side counters with Alex Fried, who is 8-2 with a 2.66 ERA. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the exrtra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is St. Louis on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-06-22 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
8* OVER (DESTRUCTION) The Jays have lost 5 straight and they've seen the total go "under" the number in their last 2 losses here in Oakland, falling 5-1 and 5-3 respectively. The A's starting to hit the ball well and I look for that trend to continue here. The Jays aren't going to be held too much longer, and facing James Kaprielian presents an opportunity to get untracked. I don't trust either of these starting pitchers, and while this series has been lower-scoring so far, everything points to a classic "slug-fest" here on Wednesday night finally in my opinion. The Jays hand the ball to the volatile Jose Berrios, who is 6-4 with a 5.72 ERA (benefitting from the Jays' big bats), while Kaprielian is just 1-5 with a 5.43 ERA for the A's. Expect this total to fly OVER the number in the latter frames! AAA Sports |
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07-06-22 | Guardians v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
8* RUNLINE TIGERS (SPECIAL) "Momentum" is a very real, tangible factor in sports. The oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well the Tigers are playing right now, as they enter having won 5 of their last 7, including 3 in a row. That includes 3 straight here over Cleveland, including crushing the Guardians by a score of 11-4 yesterday. Yes, the Guardians play with triple revenge here, but I still think the value lies with the undervalued home dog here. And in this case, I'm not even calling for the outright win (although I do believe "sprinkling" a little is worth a second look), as we're getting great value on the runline option. These staters are a "wash" in my opinion, as Shane Bieber is 3-4 with a 3.16 ERA for the Guardians, while Michael Pineda has pitched better than what his 1-3 W/L record would lead you to believe, as he owns a respectable 3.62 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the 1.5 runs; the play is the Tigers on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-05-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Dodgers | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
8* ROCKIES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) In a game that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm grabbing the extra 1.5 runs with the underdog visiting side. The Rockies fell 5-3 in yesterday's series opener, snapping a 2-game win streak. Colorado turns to German Marquez, who is 4-6 with a 5.89 ERA. He gave up 5 runs over 4 innings in an 8-4 loss at Coors on Wednesday. But that was in Colorado. Overall Marquez is 2-2 with a 3.36 ERA in 13 career starts vs. the Dodgers. He also owns a 7.17 ERA at home this year, compared to just 4.21 on the road. Now the veteran gets an opportunity exact a little "immediate revenge." He'll be opposed by Mitch White, who is 1-1 with a 3.93 ERA. He's yet to complete 6 innings this season. He's 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA in 3 career games vs. the Rockies. I give the slight nod to Marquez in this matchup. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Colorado on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-05-22 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. A's | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* JAYS RUNLINE (GOW) After 4 straight humbling losses, I look for the Jays to finally wake up at the plate today and to take advantage of this matchup, and not only win this contest, but to do so by a significant margin once it's all said and done. Note that the Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losses as well. The visitors hand the ball to Yusei Kikuchi, who is 3-4 with a 4.74 ERA, while the home side counters with Adrian Martinez, who is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA. Martinez most recently was shelled for 7 runs over 4 innings in a loss to the Mariners, while Kikuchi comes in off his best outing of the year, allowing 1 run and striking out 8 over 6 innings in a a victory over the Rays (he was 1-0 with a 4.20 ERA in 3 starts vs. the A's last season.) Look for Kikuchi to continue his progression and for Martinez to take another step back vs. this highly focussed Jays' line-up; the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-05-22 | Yankees v. Pirates +1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
9* PIRATES RUNLINE (TOP IL) In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to recommend laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Jameson Taillon is 9-1 with a 3.32 ERA, but despite a 1-4 record, his counterpart today Jose Quintana had a nearly identical 3.43 ERA. I think Taillon is poised for some minor regression here facing his former team. That leaves the door open for Quintana and the hungry home side (Quintana is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 6 career matchups vs. the Evil Empire as well.) All signs point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is the home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-04-22 | Blue Jays v. A's +1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 122 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (GOW) The Jays have been scuffling the last 2 weeks, coming to the West Coast having lost 6 of their last 10, including getting swept at home by the Rays over the weekend. The A's can empathize, as they've lost 7 of their last 10. That includes 2 straight in Seattle, losing 2-1 and 2-1 each time. The A's have been competitive, but haven't been able to close out many of those games. Alek Manoah is 9-2 with a 2.09 ERA for the Jays, while Cole Irvin is 2-6 with a 3.58 ERA for the A's. I think Irvin steps up here at home and matches Manoah inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra innings, I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-04-22 | Winnipeg v. Toronto +5.5 | Top | 23-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* TORONTO (BOB) I like betting on motivated teams. Toronto is 1-1, but it's had a week off to prepare for this one after a terrible 44-3 loss at BC in Week 3 action. Winnipeg is 3-0, but I say it comes in complacent here after a 26-12 home win over Hamilton last week. Home field has played a big part in this series though, as the home team has won 8 of the last 9. Winnipeg has lost 6 of its last 8 here, as it struggles with the travel across the country. The Argos have been fantastic at home as well, winning 9 of their last 11 at BMO Field, including their only home game this year. Zach Collaros was 21 of 32 for 302 yards and an interception last week for the Bombers, but he didn't have a TD pass. This Argos defense is now out to redeem itself and after the extra week off to prepare, I believe Collaros struggles again this week. Look for Toronto QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson to bounce back at home as well. While I do feel the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Argonauts! AAA Sports |
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07-04-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Padres | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
8* MARINERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think Seattle has much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one, and at this price, I can't turn down the talented visitors on the runline option. Seattle has won 7 of its last 10, including taking 2 of 3 from the A's at home over the weekend. The Padres have lost 7 of their last 10 and lost 2 of 3 at the Dodgers over the weekend. Chris Flexen is 4-8 with a 4.32 ERA for the Mariners, while Sean Manaea is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA for the Padres. I say these starters are a "wash." In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm laying the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Mariners on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-03-22 | A's +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Oakland has lost 7 of its last 10, including 2 of the first 3 games of this 4 game series in Seattle. All 3 games have been tight though and that's why I'm expecting another battle here as well on Sunday afternoon. The Mariners won 8-3 in the first, before Oakland battled for a 3-1 victory in the second. Then Seattle won 2-1 here yesterday. Despite a 3-8 win/loss record, Frankie Montas has been a consistenty bright spot for Oakland this season, as he enters with a highly respectable 3.20 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Robbie Ray counters for Seattle and he's 6-6 with a 3.78 ERA. Ray's looked much better after a poor start for his new team, but I still expect Montas to, at the very least, match him inning for inning. And in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog. The play is Oakland on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-03-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
9* PADRES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Padres have dropped the first three games of ths series, falling 3-1, 5-1 and 7-2 respectively. It's interesting to note though that San Diego is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to avenge 3 or more straight losses against an opponent. Clayton Kershaw is now 6-2 with a 2.94 ERA for the Dodgers after allowing 6 runs off 9 hits over 4 innings to the Rockies last week. Clearly there's nothing to panic about for Kershaw, but it does leave the door open for MacKenzie Gore (4-3, 3.34) to match pace with his veteran counterpart. Gore last made a start on June 24th and he held the Phillies scoreless over 5 innings. Gore comes in with 3 extra days rest here and I think that works in his favor. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm grabbing the desperate vistors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-03-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
8* ANGELS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Angels have been crushed in the first two games of this series, falling 8-1 and 9-1 respectively, but I believe they have a legitimate shot at winning today's contest outright. However, in a game which I believe will be extremely competitive, I'm going to suggest laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. The Angels hand the ball to Angels hand the ball to Jose Suarez, who is 1-2 with a 4.36 ERA, while the Astros counter with Framber Valdez, who is 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA. Valdez is just 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts vs. the Angels this season. Suarez earned the win in his last outing, allowing one run on five hits with eight strikeouts over six innings. While I do think the outright win is possible, let's grab the Angels on the runline option as the official call! AAA Sports |
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07-02-22 | Montreal +4.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* ALS (GOW) This is the second straight game between the teams. Entering last weekend's matchup, the Al's were 0-2 and the Roughriders were 2-0. Montreal left that contest with a decisive 37-13 victory and I'm not reading too much into the "revenge" angle on Saturday. The Riders' offense struggled last weekend, and it didn't help anything that star receiver Shaq Evans left the first quarter with a broken ankle. Center Dan Clark was injured as well and the line gave up 8 sacks. QB's Cody Fajardo and Mason Fine were also picked off three times. The Als got some big plays at home, and while they lost a couple of tight ones on the road to open the season, I believe they have a legitimate shot at winning outright here again. Look for Montreal QB Trevor Harris to, at the very least, keep his team in this game late; grab the points, the play is Montreal! AAA Sports |
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07-02-22 | Braves v. Reds +158 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
10* REDS (ASSASSIN) Off yesterday's 9-1 defeat here to Atlanta, I like the Reds to bounce back and to stop an 0-3 skid. Cincinnati is 7-2 in its last 9 after 3 or more straight losses in a row as well. The defending champs hand the ball to Spencer Strider, who is 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA. He's been decent, but not perfect. The home side counters with Tyler Mahle, who is 3-6 with a 4.53 ERA. Mahle will be feeling confident here, as he eanred the win over the Braves on Opening Day, conceding one unearned run off 3 hits over 5 innings. Mahle allowed 3 runs over 7 innings in a 10-3 win over the Giants in his last start and I believe he's the correct call in this matchup at home; great value on the revenge-minded home side! AAA Sports |
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07-02-22 | Orioles +196 v. Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
9* ORIOLES (DESTRUCTION) Favorites have been hitting at an alarming rate to open up the 2022 MLB season. The dogs start barking this weekend though. I like the Orioles to bounce back here vs. the overachieving Sonny Gray fro myestreday's 3-2 series opening loss. It was the Orioles 3rd straight loss, and note that they're 6-2 in their last 8 after 3 or more losses in a row. Minnesota broke a 2 game slide with yesterday's win. Hard to say too many negative things here about Gray, who is 4-1 with a 2.17 ERA (he's a pedestrian 6-5 with a 4.53 ERA in 11 career outings vs. Baltimore.) Jordan Lyles is 4-7 with a 4.94 ERA for the Orioles, but I like the veteran to match his counterpart inning for inning. Over 11 1/3's innings vs. the Twins Lyles has walked 3 and struck out 11. The value swings to the undervalued underdog in this matchup; the play is the Orioles! AAA Sports |
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07-01-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
10* PADRES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) Tony Gonsolin is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA for the Dodgers. He's been unbelieavable and it's nearly impossible to find any faults in his game right now. I'm not going to bother here. That said, regression does seem imminent for the overachieving hurler in my opinion. Blake Snell comes in on the other end of the spectrum for the Padres, as he's 0-5 with a 5.60 ERA so far. A far cry from his former Cy Young form with the Rays. But facing the mighty Dodgers is going to bring the best out of Snell here finally in my opinion (and note that he's 1-0 with a 1.75 ERA in six regualr season starts vs. them.) Manny Machado was back in the line-up finally for SD after a 9 game absence yesterday and he went 1 for 4. Expect a bigger performance here on Friday. While I do think the outright is possible, my official is to grab the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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07-01-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Astros | 1-8 | Loss | -141 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
9* ANGELS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to suggest laying the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. The Angels have won 3 of their last 4. They had yesterday off. The Astros come in complacent after 3 traight victories, including a 2-1 win here at home yesterday vs. the Yanks. I think these starters are very evenly matched. Michael Lorenzen is 6-5 with a 4.24 ERA for the Angels, while Christian Javier is 5-3 with a 2.73 ERA for the Astros. Lorenzen has had his issues with Houston in the past, but that was then and this is now. While the outright win is definitely a possibility, my official call is the Angels on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-30-22 | A's +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The A's come in hungry to reverse their fortunes after losing 7 of their last 10, including 3 straight at New York over the weekend. They travel back to the West Coast today to take on a Mariners team on the other end of the spectrum, having won 7 of its last 10, including 2 of 3 here over the weekend vs. Baltimore. This is a revenge game and series for Oakland here, which was swept by the Mariners at home last week in 3 straight. Adrian Martinez takes the mound for the A's to start and he's 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, making his second start of the season after allowing four hits over 6 scoreless in his debut vs. the Tigers. The Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert, who is 8-3 with a 2.44 ERA this season. I say there's room for improvement from Martinez, and room for regression for Gilbert. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the visitors on the runline option for sure! AAA Sports |
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06-30-22 | BC v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* REDBLACKS (GOW) Two teams on opposite ends of the mental spectrum collide in Canada's capital on Friday night and in my opinion, this one favors the hungry underdog home side. BC has won in a pair of blowout victories, while Ottawa is still seeking its first win of the season. BC smashed Toronto by a score of 44-3 last weekend, as QB Nathan Rourke threw for 4 TD's. Right now BC ranks No. 1 on both ends of the field, but everything points to that streak coming to an end here. Ottawa is off a 19-12 loss to Winnipeg. Devonte Williams was a standout with 85 yards rushing and a TD. Jeremiah Masoli went 27/38 with 331 yards through the air and I think he'll improve here in friendly confines in this important Week 3 matchup. And it is definitely important for Ottawa here as it tries to avoid the 0-3 hole. This line has dropped with money coming in on the Redblacks all week, and while I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Ottawa! AAA Sports |
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06-30-22 | Brewers v. Pirates +1.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
8* RUNLINE PIRATES (SPECIAL) The Pirates are off an 8-7 win over Washington last night and I think it can keep the good times rolling here on Thursday in the opener of this 3 game set vs. the Brewers, who enter off a 5-3 win at Tampa. Adrian Houser is just 4-8 with a 4.54 ERA for Milwaukee, while, despite a 1-7 record, JT Brubaker of the Pirates enters with a very respectable 4.14 ERA (note that Houser is in fact just 1-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.67 WHIP over his last 6 starts.) In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to lay what I deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Pittsburgh on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-29-22 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
8* RED SOX RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think that Nick Pivetta and the Red Sox have much more than just a "punchers chance" here vs. Alek Manoah and the Jays. Boston comes in as the much "hungrier" dog in this fight after losing the first 2 games of this series here in Toronto, falling 7-2 in the first and 6-5 last night. Pivetta is 8-5 with a 3.25 ERA, while Jays' starter Alek Manoah is 9-2 with a 2.05 ERA. Manoah's been great, but so too has Pivetta. Pivetta has struggled in 2 previous starts against the Jays, but that just adds fuel to the fire here. Note as well that Boston is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to avenge 2 or more straight losses against an opponent. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying what I deem to be a very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Boston on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-29-22 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* PHILLIES RUNLINE (GOW) Atlanta took the first game of this series by a score of 5-3 last night, but I think the home side will bounce back here and, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire and earn a comfortable ATS cover on the runline option. The Braves see Kyle Wright take the hill, while the home side counters with Ranger Suarez. Wright is 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA, while Suarez is 6-4 with a 4.23 ERA. I say these starters are a "wash" this evening. Note though that Wright is 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 career games vs. the Phillies. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, the savvy call is Philly on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-29-22 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (BANKROLL INCREASER) The A's won 2 of 3 in Kansas City over the weekend, but they're 0-2 so far in New York. That includes yesterday's 2-1 defeat here. I'm expecting another tight battle in the finale, so that's why I'm grabbing the visitors on the runline option. The A's hand the ball to Cole Irvin, who is 2-5 with a 3.59 ERA. He'll be opposed by the overachieving Jameson Taillon, who is 8-1 with a 3.19 ERA. These teams are on complete opposite spectrums when it comes to their momentum right now, but that just makes the A's the hungrier dog in this fight; the play is indeed Oakland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-28-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Giants | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
10* TIGERS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Tigers fell here 11-7 last night. I'm expecting another tight and competitive affair on Tuesday as well. It's interesting to note that the Tigers are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to avenge a loss in which they conceded 10 or more runs in. These starters are evenly matched. The Tigers go with Tarik Skubal, who is 5-5 with a 3.63 ERA, while the Giants go with Carlos Rodon, who is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA. Expect these two to battle into the latter frames, and because of that, I'm grabbing Detroit on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-28-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Cardinals | 3-5 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
9* MARLINS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) Miami fell here 9-0 yesterday, but I think it'll, at the very least, keep today's contest close enough to earn the comfortable cover on the runline option. The Fish are 5-1 in their last 6 in trying to avenge a shutout loss against an opponent as well. The two starters are evenly matched. Braxton Garrett is 1-2 with a 4.08 ERA for the Marlins, while Dakoka Hudson is 5-4 with a 3.72 ERA for the Cardinals. I expect these two young hurlers to battle deep and because of that, I believe this game gets decided late, or even in extras; the play is Miami on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-28-22 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
9* A'S RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) I like the A's to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover on the runline option. Yesterday the A's fell here 9-5. The Yanks once again scored late, earning 6 runs in the bottom of the 7th. But I like the veteran Frankie Montas here to get the better of his counterpart JP Sears. Montas is 3-7 with a 3.21 ERA. He's tossed 8 shutout innings in 2 career starts vs. New York, while Sears is being recalled from Triple-A to make this spot start; the play is Oakland on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-27-22 | Dodgers v. Rockies +1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 121 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (BOB) I had a play on the Braves on the runline option last night, and it unfortunately lost. It was a brutal bad beat. The Braves had a 2-0 lead in the top of the ninth inning, with none on and a 1-2 count, only to then lost 4-2 in 12 innings somehow. It was a disaster, and another improbable victory for LA. I say the Dodgers though come in "hung over" from that win and I look for the hungry home side to take advantage. The Rockies lost 2 of 3 at Minnesota over the weekend. Tyler Anderson is an unsustainable 8-0 with a 3.00 ERA for the Dodgers; look for that sparkling record to take a hit here at hitter friendly Coors Field. Chad Kuhl is a much more realistic and still impressive 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA for the Rockies, not easy to do when your home field is in the thin air of Colorado. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, the value lies with the Rockies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-27-22 | Rangers v. Royals +1.5 | 10-4 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
8* ROYALS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Texas has been playing better of late, but it lost 2 of 3 to the Nationals at home over the weekend, including yesterday's 6-4 defeat. I think the Rangers stumble again here on the road against the hungry home side. The Royals enter as the "hungrier" team here after losing 2 of 3 at home to the A's, including yesterday's 5-3 defeat. Martin Perez is 5-2 with a 1.96 ERA for the Rangers this season, but regression feels imminent for the overachieving veteran in my opinion. Kris Bubic is only 1-4 with an elevated 7.41 ERA for the Royals, but he's already starting to trend in the correct direction, most recently allowing 2 runs with 7 K's over 6 innings in a victory over the Angels. Look for this progression to continue here at home. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, the play is the Royals on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-27-22 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | 5-9 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) The Yanks scored three runs in the bottom of the ninth to push their game with Houston into extra innings, and then New York would go on to win 6-3 in the bottom of the 10th with a walk-off home run by Aaron Judge. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a small mental letdown by the home side tonight. Oakland is off a 5-3 win at Kansas City, taking 2 of 3 from the Royals over the weekend, snapping a 4-game slide in the process. Look for Oakland to keep the momentum rolling in the Big Apple this evening. Paul Blackburn is Oakland's best starter this year, as he enters 6-3 with a 2.97 ERA. Jordan Montgomery has been great for the Yanks as well, he' 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA. But I expect Blackburn to match Montgomery inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog; great price here on the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-26-22 | Dodgers v. Braves +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -157 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* BRAVES RUNLINE (BOB) Tony Gonsolin is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA for the Dodgers. He's been excellent, but I don't believe his sparkling numbers are realistic or that he'll be able to maintain this blistering pace. On the national stage, I finally expect a bit of a letdown here from Gonsolin. He'll be opposed by Spencer Strider, who is 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA. Strider's coming off a shaky start against the Giants, but I believe he'll settle down here at home. The Braves have won four of their last six games and I expect Strider to, at the very least, match the overachieving Gonsolin inning for inning. And in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued home underdog. While the outright is clearly possible, let's lay the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Atlanta on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-25-22 | Edmonton Elks +8 v. Calgary | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* ELKS (GAME OF YEAR) The 0-2 Edmonton Elks will be hungry here to avoid and 0-3 hole. I believe Calgary takes the foot off the gas and allows the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one comfortably close to cover with the large spread they've been afforded here. The Stamps are now 2-0 after last week's slime 33-30 OT come from behind win at Hamilton. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here though?! The Elks come in battle-tested after their 26-16 loss at home to Saskatchewan. Edmonton has now lost 11 of its last 12 dating to last season. It's interesting to note that the last time the Stamps hosted the Elks here last season, Edmonton pulled off the 32-20 upset as a 5.5-point dog. Edmonton QB Nick Arbuckle looked much better last week, finishing with 315 passing yards and I expect him to take another step forwrd this week as well. I think Bo Levi Mitchell and the home side do indeed come in a bit complacent here, leaving the back door wide open down the stretch; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points with the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-25-22 | Mets v. Marlins +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
10* MARLINS RUNLINE (TOP) Miami had won three in a row and four of its last five before yesterday's 5-3 series opening loss here vs. the Mets. Suffice it to say, I think the home side bounces back here on Saturday and, at the very least, keeps it close enough to earn the comfortable cover on the runline option. The Mets hand the ball to Chris Bassitt, while the home side counters with Trevor Rogers. Rogers is 3-6 with a 5.83 ERA, but he's 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA in 5 starts vs. the Mets in his career. Bassitt is 5-5 with a 4.03 ERA, but the veteran has lost 3 of his past 4 trips to the hill. Look for the regression to continue here and for Rogers to step up and take advantage in familiar surroundings. While the outright win is not out of the realm of possibility, I simply can't turn down the value here with extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Marlins on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-25-22 | Pirates +1.5 v. Rays | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
8* PIRATES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think the Pirates have much more than just a "punchers chance" this afternoon, so getting the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket at this price is the correct call. Pittsburgh is coming off a 4-3 loss here in 11 innings last night and I expect a similar tightly contested affair this time around as well. The Pirates have been trading wins/losses over their last 4 games and we can look for that pattern to continue here. Overall the Pirates have won 6 of their last 10. The Rays on the other hand have gone 3-7 in their last 10. JT Brubaker has pitched much better than his 1-7 win/loss record would indicate, entering with a very respectable 4.11 ERA. Corey Kluber is 3-4 with a 3.46 ERA for the Rays. I believe these starters are a "wash." Everything points to this one being very similar to yesterday's contest; grab the Pirates on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-24-22 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg OVER 42.5 | Top | 12-26 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) The 2-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers will have to be careful to not "look past" the 0-2 Hamilton Tigercats at home this evening. Hamilton was blown out big time in Saskatchewan in Week 1, but it looked a lot better, albeit in defeat, in last week's 33-30 OT home opening loss to the Stampeders. We can expect the Ti-Cats though to carry over that chemistry and confidence into this one as they look to avoid an 0-3 start. Winnipeg has won the Grey Cup each of the last 2 years and is 2-0 after beating Ottawa over two straight weeks, including a 19-12 decision last weekend. This is in fact a rematch of the last 2 Grey Cups, in which Winnipeg has come out on top each time. Last year it was a dramatic 33-25 OT win in the title game. Hamilton though has allowed an East Division-high 63 points through 2 games this season. Expect a wide-open, faster-paced shootout and look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports |
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06-24-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -167 | 3-2 | Loss | -167 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
8* AVS (BLOOD-BATH) Tampa last Game's 1 and 2 here in Colorado and I believe the Lightning will now stumble here as well after losing Game 4 in overtime. The Avs can smell the blood in the water and I expect them to find a way to deliver here, and avoid having to travel back to Tampa. The Avs are 4-1 their last 5 at home, while the Bolts are just 1-4 their last 5 away from friendly confines. Colorado finally earned the crucial road win and now it has a golden opportunity to hoist the cup in front of the home town crowd. The "better" team wins tonight; the play is Colorado! AAA Sports |
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06-24-22 | Nationals v. Rangers -163 | 2-1 | Loss | -163 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
8* RANGERS (DESTRUCTION) The Rangers are 32-35 and playing their best baseball of the season and I think they'll take advantage of this favorable matchup. The home side turns to Dan Dunning, who is 1-5 with a 4.38 ERA, while the visitors go with Paulo Espino (0-1, 2.29.) These teams haven't played since 2017. The Nats had yesterday off after falling 7-0 at home to Baltimore on Wednesday, while the Rangers finished off a 2-game series sweep of the Phillies. Dunning is 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA in 6 career interleague starts. Espino has been decent over 35 1/3 innings of work for Washington, but this is just his third start of the seaon. I say Dunning is the correct call here; lay the price, the play is the Rangers! AAA Sports |
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06-23-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Padres | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
8* PHILLIES RUNLINE (BAIL-OUT) I expect the hungry Phillies to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to post the comfortable ATS cover (+1.5 runline.) Jose Musgrove is 8-0 with a 1.59 ERA for the Friars. I say this is unsustainable now moving forward and immediate regression is in the cards. The Phillies counter with Ranger Suarez (5-4, 4.43.) Philadelphia is 8-5 this season when Suarez starts and I expect him to match Musgrove inning for inning. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-23-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB) Baltimore split a 2-game home series vs. the Nationals, winning 7-0 yesterday and I like it to keep the momentum rolling on the road in Chicago this evening. The White Sox took 2 of 3 from the Blue Jays, but fell 9-5 in yesterday's finale. The biggest reason though I like this play is that Chicago is dealing with several key injuries. 3 players left yesterday's game because of injury, including SS Danny Mendick, RF Adam Engel and CF Luis Robert. Baltimore goes with Dean Kremer to start and he's 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Chicago goes with Johnny Cueto, who is 1-3 with a 2.95 ERA. These guys are a "wash" in my opinion. Look for the surging Orioles to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to cover with spread; the play is the Orioles on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-23-22 | Dodgers v. Reds +1.5 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* REDS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I'm expecting a much tighter game here in the finale of this 3-game series. The Reds have lost 6 straight. Note that they're 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge 2 or more straight losses against an opponent. They've lost the first 2 games by score of 8-2 and 8-4. The Dodgers have won 3 of their last 4, but with a date at Atlanta tomorrow, they could get caught looking ahead here. That's in fact what I'm banking on happening here, despite Clayton Kershaw on the hill. Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA, while Hunter Greene is 3-7 with a 5.26 ERA. In his 2nd MLB start, Greene faced the Dodgers and was decent, allowing three runs over 6 innings. Look for the complacent Dodgers to get caught looking ahead to their game at Atlanta, and for the desperate Reds to, at the very least, keep this one close enough for the comfortable ATS cover; the play is Cincinnati on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-22-22 | Royals +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
10* ROYALS RUNLINE (BOB) I had a play on the Royals on the "runline" option last night and I'm once again back on that horse this evening. The home side turns to Shohei Ohtani, who is 5-4 with a 3.28 ERA. The visitors counter with southpaw Daniel Lynch, who is 3-6 with a 5.19 ERA. Lynch has been "turning the corner" of late, coming off his best performance of the season last Friday vs. the A's, conceding 1 run over 5 innings. The Angels line-up is top heavy, and with Ohtani pitching tonight, I think the Royals' depth prevails here; that said, grab the extra 1.5 runs with the Royals! AAA Sports |
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06-22-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning +100 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* LIGHTNING (GOM) Momentum. It's a very real, tangible factor in sports. Especially in the playoffs. Tampa was gassed after a tough 6-game series win over the Rangers. Colorado was rested and was "lucky" to win Game 1 by a score of 4-3 in OT. Then the Avs won Game 2 by a score of 7-0. It was the most goals ever let in by Tampa's Andrei Vasilivskliy. But Game 3 saw the Lightning make adjustments and win by a blowout score of 6-2. Game 1 was a coin flip. Game 2 was a blowout for the Avs. Game 3 was a blowout for the Lighting. This series has been evenly matched to this point, but I don't think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this series. One last point, the Lightning went down 0-2 to the Rangers in the ECF, only to then win 4 straight, allowing just 5 goals in the process. The value in Game 4 lies with the undervalued home side; the play is the Lightning! AAA Sports |
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06-22-22 | Yankees v. Rays +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
8* RAYS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Tampa lost the first game of this series by a score of 4-2, but the Rays then bounced back yesterday with a the 5-4 victory. This series has so far been tight and competitive and that's exactly what I'm expecting in the finale as well. We have two really good pitchers going head-to-head here. The home side goes with Shane Baz, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA. This is his third start of the season. After stumbling in the first, he allowed no runs over 6 innings in his second. Jordan Montgomery is 3-1 with a 2.72 ERA for New York, but note that he's a pedestrian 4-4 with a 5.02 ERA lifetime vs. Tampa. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm grabbing the Rays on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-21-22 | Royals +1.5 v. Angels | Top | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* ROYALS RUNLINE (BOB) The Royals have been playing well lately and I expect that trend to carry over here. They've won 4 of their last 5. That includes yesterday's series opener here in LA by a score of 6-2. That loss snapped the Angels 3-game win skein. The Royals hand the ball to Johathan Heasley, who is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA, while the home side counters with Reid Detmers, who is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA. These starters are more evenly matched here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Look for Kansas City to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with extra 1.5 runs on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-21-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
9* RUNLINE Tigers (DESTRUCTION) Detroit has lost 7 of its last 10. That includes yesterday's series opener here by a score of 5-2. The Red Sox have won 7 of their last 10. I believe Detroit digs deep here though and, at the very least, keeps this one close enough to earn the ATS cover (+1.5). Beau Brieske is coming off B2B scoreless starts. He's 1-5 with a 3.79 ERA for the Tigers and I believe he's coming in "under the radar" here. The home side counters with veteran Rich Hill, who is 2-4 with a 4.42 ERA. He tied his season high with 7 hits allowever over 5 innings vs. the A's on Thursday, allowing 4 runs in the process. In what I expect to be a tight game, the Tigers on the runline option is the play! AAA Sports |
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06-21-22 | Dodgers v. Reds +1.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
8* REDS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think an outright win is possible here as well, but in the end I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The Dodgers lost 2 of 3 to the Indians over the weekend, while the Reds enter having lost 4 straight. Tony Gonsolin has been downright amazing for the Dodgers so far this season, but I say he finally has a letdown here. He's 8-0 with a 1.42 ERA, which is unsustainable in my opinion moving forward. The home side counters with the hungry Tyler Mahle, who has pitched better than his 2-5 win/loss record would indicate, entering with a respectable 4.46 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Mahle went 9 innings of scoreless ball against Arizona in his last start and he's thrown to a 3.07 ERA over his last 7 starts combined. In a contest that I seeing being decided late or even in extras, I'm grabbing the Reds on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-20-22 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Padres | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -130 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
10* ARIZONA RUNLINE (GOW) San Diego is off 3 straight losses at Colorado and I believe it's ripe for the picking here as well for the hungry Diamondbacks. Arizona enters having won 3 of its last 4, including 2 of 3 from Minnesota over the weekend. These starters are evenly matched. Zach Davies is 2-3 with a 3.78 ERA for the D-Backs, while Yu Darvish is 6-3 with a 3.35 ERA for Friars. These teams are evenly matched offensively as well (middle of the pack,) so that means the value here in this contest swings to the undervalued underdog in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-20-22 | Avalanche v. Lightning -106 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* LIGHTNING (GOW) New York Rangers' fans were rejoicing when their team went up 2-0 on the Lightning in the ECF's, only to then go on to lose 4 straight. That's likely not to happen here, but at the same time, I'm not counting out this experienced Tampa team yet. The Lightning are masters of making adjustments from game-to-game and I'm not reading too much into the 7-0 loss in Game 2. Note though, the Lightning are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The strengths and weaknesses of each club are well known. At this point, it's about handicapping emotions and momentum. It's do or die for Tampa tonight and I expect it to play like that. Conversely, the Avs are now primed for a classic letdown as they hit the road for the first time in the Finals. Look for Tampa to claw its way back into this series! AAA Sports |
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06-20-22 | Marlins +1.5 v. Mets | 0-6 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
9* MARLINS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) This is the finale of a 4 game series. The Marlins will look to even things up after posting the 6-2 victory here yesterday, getting 5 runs in the 7th and another in the top of the 9th to cap it off. Trevor Rogers is 3-5 with a 5.87 ERA for the Fish, while David Peterson is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA for the Metropolitans. Rogers is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in 4 career starts vs. the Mets. Peterson is 1-0 vs. the Marlins, giving up 2 runs over 5 innings back in 2020. I say these starters are a "wash," and that tips the scales in favor of this undervalued underdog side. However, I'm not calling for an outright win here, despite it being a very legitimate possibility. Instead, in a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'll lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Miami on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-19-22 | White Sox +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Chicago won 7-0 yesterday and I think it has a legtimate shot at winning tonight's game as well. However, at this price, I simply can't turn down the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket at this price. Chicago turns to Michael Kopech, who is 2-2 with a 1.92 ERA, while the home side counters with Christian Javier, who is 3-3 with a 3.20 ERA. I say these pitchers are completely evenly matched. Note though that Chicago is 7-2 in its last 9 after a road shutout victory in its last outing. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, the play is Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-18-22 | Padres v. Rockies +1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Colorado exploded for a 10-4 victory last night and while I feel it has a legitimate shot at winning this game outright as well, in the end I'll recommend laying this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Nick Martinez is 2-3 with a 3.74 ERA for the visitors, while German Marquez is 3-5 with a 6.09 ERA for the home side. Marquez has dominated the Friars throughout his career though, going 9-3 with a 4.31 ERA vs. them. Martinez has faced Colorado 3 times and owns a 6.75 ERA against it. Coors Field is the great equalizer for pitchers, but look for Marquez to take advantage of familiar surroundings; the play is Colorado on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-18-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -146 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 60 h 22 m | Show |
10* AVS (TOP) I had a play on Tampa on the puckline in Game 1, but for Game 2 I'm going to lay the price and play the Avalanche. It was an intense, back and forth Game 1, but with the momentum now on their side, I expect Colorado to win by a more decisive margin today. The Avs jumped out to an early lead, but then led the Lighting back into it, before securing the victory in OT. Andrei Vasilevkiy has been fantastic for the Bolts, but the Lighthing still only managed 23 shots on net in Game 1, compared to the Avs 38. Look for "home ice" to once again play a major factor for Colorado in Game 2! AAA Sports |
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06-18-22 | Calgary +1.5 v. Hamilton | Top | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (GOW) Calgary held on for a 30-27 home win over Montreal last weekend and I expect it to carry that momentum over into its first road game of the season. The Ti-Cats come in off a listless 30-13 road loss at Saskatchewan. Calgary lost 23-17 in the only meeting between the team's last year, but it's still won 16 of the last 18 in the series. Bo Levi Mitchell is going to settle down here for the Stamps after going for 194 yards and 1 TD and 1 INT. Running back Ka’Deem Carey led the league in rushing last year and he had 2 TD's. I expect him to have a big day against this suspect Hamilton defense. Hamilton TB Dane Evans looked inept last week and I believe he'll struggle against this aggressive and experienced Calgary defense. Grab the points, the play is the Stampeders! AAA Sports |
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06-17-22 | Guardians +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 125 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* GUARDIANS RUNLINE (IL RL GOY) Two hot teams collide. I think Zach Plesac can match Clayton Kershaw inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued underdog. The Guardians have won 4 in a row and 7 of their last 8 games. Their offense is middle of the pack, but their team ERA is seventh. The Dodgers come in off B2B wins over the Angels. They have their No. 1 offense in the league (5.08 RPG) and the No. 2 collective ERA. Plesac is 2-4 with a 4.70 ERA, while Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Kershaw returned from a month long injury and looked decent in his last start, but the door is open here for the hungry Plesac to match pace. The Dodgers have in fact been struggling somewhat at the plate of late, while Cleveland is arguably playing its best baseball of the season right now. For all the reasons listed above, grab the Guardians on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 103-90 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ART OF WAR) I'm not counting out Boston quite yet. The NBA really needs a Game 7. It would be the icing on the cake for a really great season after a couple of years having to deal with COVID. Everyone needs the extra revenue a Game 7 would deliver. I say Golden State finally stumbles on the road here, as I look for this hungry Celtics side to go up early, and then never look back. The achilles heel of the Warriors has been their play on the road, and Boston has been at its best at home. The Celtics still have the league's No. 1 defense and we can expect it to be out in full force tonight. I say Boston keeps the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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06-16-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 10-2 | Win | 110 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (TOP AL) The Orioles have been trading wins and losses over their last 4 games, and off a 7-6 loss here yesterday in Toronto, I'm expecting this pattern to continue. The last 2 games have been very tight, with Baltimore winning 6-5 previously. This is the 4th and final game of this series, and the O's are looking to even things up. They're big dogs here, but I expect another game decided late, or even in extra time. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who has pitched much better than what his win/loss record would indicate, as he's 3-4 despite a strong 3.86 ERA and 33 to 11 K:BB. He'll be opposed by Kevin Gausman, who is 5-5 with a 2.67 ERA. I like Wells to match Gausman here inning for inning, and in a scenario like that, I tend to gravitate towards the under-rated underdog; the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-16-22 | A's +1.5 v. Red Sox | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The A's have been blown out in 2 straight losses to open this series. That includes yesterday's 10-1 setback. Expect Oakland's best starting pitcher to keep his team competitive in the finale this afternoon though. With an interesting interleague series starting here tomorrow against the Cardinals, Boston gets caught looking ahead. Rich Hill gets the call for the home side and he's 2-3 with a 4.38 ERA. He's been decent, but not perfect this season. Paul Blackburn is 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA for the A's. He's off an unfortunate no-decision against the Guardians, allowing 4 hits over 8 shutout innings. "Times like this are tough on anybody," Blackburn said recently. "We're just trying to come in with a clear mind and taking that one-game-at-a-time mentality. It's tough. But guys are coming in with a positive attitude every day. They're working. Guys aren't complaining. Sooner or later, the results are going to turn in our favor." While I do feel an outright upset is in the cards, I feel more comfortably laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-15-22 | Lightning +1.5 v. Avalanche | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 84 h 16 m | Show | |
8* LIGHTING PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) I play underdogs, totals, and I'm also not afraid to lay chalk when I believe I'm getting good value. And that's the case here. I do in fact think the Bolts are worth a second look on the moneyline as well, but in a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra periods, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in my back pocket. Both teams hav been super hot coming in, but I'll argue that Tampa's road to this point has been much harder. The Avs have faced weak goaltending and are going to be in for a shock now facing arguably the best netminder on Earth in Andrei Vasilevskiy. The Avs have had 9 days off as well between series, which I believe will throw a proverbial "monkey wrench" into their offensive rythym. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Tampa on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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06-15-22 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
8* PIRATES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I like betting on motivated teams. The Pirates will be hungry here to snap a 9 game slide. That includes the first 4 games here in St. Louis, including both games of yesterday's double-header, 3-1 and 9-1. Note that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to avenge 3 or more straight losses against an opponent though. Jack Flaherty makes his long-awaited season-debut for the Cardinals and will be somewhat under a leash. That leaves the door open for Pirates' rookie Roansy Contreras, who is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA and who is making his 6th career start. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, the correct call is the Pirates on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-15-22 | Twins v. Mariners +1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (BOB) Marco Gonzalez has had troubles with the Twins in the past, but he comes in on fine form and I expect him to match Minnesota's Sonny Gray inning for inning. Gray is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA, while Gonzalez is 3-6 with a 3.63 ERA. Both come in off strong starts and I'm expecting a classic "duel" here in the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday night. Seattle managed the 7-6 win last night and all signs point to a similar battle here; the play is Seattle on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-14-22 | Angels +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
10* ANGELS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Tony Gonsolin has been unbelievable for the Dodgers. He's 7-0 with a 1.58 ERA. Noah Syndergaard has looked sharp of late for the Angels, he's 4-4 with a 3.69 ERA. Gonsolin's numbers though are just a little TOO perfect if you know what I mean. I can't see him keeping up this pace much longer. Syndergaard is 1-1 with a 3.29 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Dodgers, so I'm expecting a classic "duel" here. I say Syndergaard can match the overacheiving Gonsolin inning for inning and in a scenario like that, I'm laying this small price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the Angels on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-14-22 | A's +1.5 v. Red Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
8* A's RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Oakland snapped an 8-game sldie with a 10-5 win at Cleveland, but then promptly fell 6-3 in the series finale. Losers of 9 of their last 10, I love the visiting side to dig deep here and to, at the very least, keep this one nice and close and to post a comfortable ATS cover. Nick Pivetta is 5-5 with a 3.78 ERA for the Red Sox, and while he's been super sharp of late (5-1, 1.96 ERA over his last 7 starts), regression is imminent in my opinion. He's also pitched two career seven shutout innings vs. the A's. I say these sparkling numbers are unrealistic and I like the A's to finally get some revenge at the plate. Jared Koenig is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing 4 runs over 4 innings in his MLB debut vs. Atlanta. I expect him to settle down here though. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-14-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (TOP) I had a play on the Orioles on the runline option last night, and that was an admittedly poor call. I love Baltimore to bounce back today though. Jordan Lyles is 3-5 with a 4.97 ERA, while Yusei Kikuchi is 2-2 with a 4.48 ERA for the Jays. I say these vets are pretty much a "wash." The difference today though? Not that Baltimore is 4-1 in its last 5 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 10 or more runs in! But I'm not calling for an outright upset. In a game that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'll grab the visitors on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | Top | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (GOW) This has been an exciting, back and forth series. Game 5 though I'm expecting the tightest and most competitive game yet. Yes, Stephen Curry has been phenomenal, but the trio of Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Al Horford has also been amazing. Boston has been great on the road as well, going 8-3 SU so far. The Celtics always respond well after a loss and they have the No. 1 defense, conceding just 104.5 PPG. The Warriors allow just 105.5. Golden State managed the win in Game 4 despite shooting 44%. Boston has already won on this floor and I expect another "nail biter" on Monday night as well; the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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06-13-22 | Pirates +1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* PIRATES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) In a game that I believe will be decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to suggest laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Zach Thompson (0-0, 2.25 ERA) gets the nod for the Cardinals. This is his first start in the big leagues and second appearance. The Pirates won't be lacking for motivation here on the heels of a season-worst 6-game slide. Mitch Keller (2-5, 5.26) has turned the corner as well for the Pirates and is sneaking in under the radar, as note that he's posted a 2.65 ERA and struck out 18 over his last 17 innings of work, going 2-0 over his last 4 trips to the hill. He's also a very respectable 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA in 5 career starts vs. St. Louis. While the outright is possible, the value here for the hungry Pirates on the runline option is just too good to turn down! AAA Sports |
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06-13-22 | Orioles +1.5 v. Blue Jays | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
9* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Kyle Bradish (1-3, 6.45 ERA) gets the nod for the underdog visiting side and he'll face Alek Manoah (7-1, 1.81) of the Jays. Bradish hasn't faced the Jays yet. The Orioles have won each of his last 3 starts, so he's sneaking in under the radar here. Manoah went 6 scoreless in his last outing. He's faced the Orioles in the past and had success, but I believe Bradish can in fact match his opponent inning for inning tonight. In a scenario like that, I absolutely love the underdog in that situation. And for this pick, we're going grab the visitors on the runline option (+1.5) instead! AAA Sports |
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06-12-22 | Mets +1.5 v. Angels | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
6* METS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Mets have lost 3 of their last 4. They snapped a 2-game slide with a 7-3 win in this series opener, before then falling 11-6 last night. I'm expecting a much tighter game in the finale though, so beause of that, I'm going to lay this larger price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The starters here are a "wash" in my opinion. Taijuan Walker is 3-2 with a 3.28 ERA for the Mets, while Patrick Sandoval is 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA for the Halos. The Angels offense revolves around Trout and Ohtani, while the Mets are solid 1 through 9. Expect Walker to keep Trout and Ohtani limited here and for the Mets to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; the play is New York on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Edmonton Elks +4.5 v. BC | Top | 15-59 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
10* ELKS (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams were terrible last year. The Lions were 5-9 and the Elks were 3-11. They split 2 games here last year. The Lions posted the 43-10 win in the final one, but previous to that the Elks had won and covered in 4 straight in this series. Look for things to return to norm here. Nick Arbuckle takes over snaps for the Elks thi syear and he'll have something to prove after coming over from Toronto. Nathan Rourke is nothing to write home about for the Lions though, he had 3 TD's and 5 picks last year. I say BC is getting too much respect here on the "home field advantage." While I do think the outright is possible, let's grab the points and the Elks! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* RANGERS PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) This has been an interesting series. The Rangers won the first two games, but then Tampa has won the last three. I've played Tampa in each of the last two games, but I'm expecting a "nail-biter" here in Game 6. The NHL would love nothing more than to see another Game 7 here and while that may or may not happen, I do expect this one to be decided late, or even in extra time. Note that New York is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in also. For all the reasons listed above, the plays is the Rangers on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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06-11-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. White Sox | 11-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
9* RANGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I believe the Rangers have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright, but at this very fair price, I'm going to grab the visitors on the runline option. Martin Perez (4-2, 1.56 ERA) has been superb for the Rangers this season. He'll be opposed by Lucas Giolito (4-2, 3.54.) Giolito is coming off a win over the Rays on Sunday, despite allowing 5 runs off 8 hits. The current form of Perez makes the Rangers on the runline the correct call on Saturday afternoon! AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 | Top | 107-97 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (BLOOD-BATH) I had a play on Boston in Game 3 and I'm right back on them here in Game 4 as well. Golden State lacks size and strength to handle these defensive-minded Celtics. The combination of Al Horford, Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum is difficult to slow down offensively as well, as each is able to create their own offense. Draymond Green played terribly for the Warriors and is more of a distraction now than anything else. Golden State's weakness this season has been its play on the road where it went just 22-19. Boston on the other hand went 28-13 at home. With a chance to put the Warriors on the brink of elimination, I look for this underrated Celtics team to lay the hammer down again in Game 4; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Ottawa v. Winnipeg UNDER 48 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Can Winnipeg make it 3 Grey Cups in a row? This is a case of First vs. Worst. The Bomber were 11-3 last year, while Ottawa has managed just 6 victories total over the L2 seasons. 4 of the L5 in this series here have gone "under" the number. The Redblacks added QB Jeremiah Masoli, but the question remains if he can return to his 2018 form which saw him throw for 28 TD's. The Bombers return most of their team from last year, but won't have star RB Andrew Harris or receiver Darvin Adams suiting up this season. These teams play again next week as well. While last night's opener was a high-scoring shootout, I believe Friday's will be a little less so; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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06-10-22 | Blue Jays v. Tigers +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* TIGERS RUNLINE (BOB) The Jays have been playing great, but I still feel they're over-priced here. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I think Detroit with the extra run-and-a-half is the wise move. Jose Berrios is 4-2, despite an elevated 5.24 ERA. Elvin Rodriguez will look to bounce back after his MLB debut vs. the Yankees didn't go to plan, allowing 10 runs over 5 innings. He learned after that he was tipping his pitches: "I didn't realize I was doing that, but I saw the video," Rodriguez said. "Yeah, I was tipping. They figured me out. I'm going to work in my next bullpen at trying to do the same movement." After getting swept by the Yanks, the Tigers enter with momentum here after B2B wins over the Pirates. Toronto took 2 of 3 from KC, but enters off an 8-4 series finale loss on Wednesday. Berrios is 5-2 lifetiome against the Tigers (11 starts), despite a 5.28 ERA. Give me the hungry home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Montreal v. Calgary -3.5 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* STAMPEDERS (ASSASSIN) The CFL is back with a full 18 game schedule. Calgary went 8-6 last year before bowing out in the WCF. The Alouettes went 7-7 and lost in the East semifinal. These teams met in Week 3 last year and Calgary won by a score of 28-22. I expect a similar outcome here. Vernon Adams Jr. is back under center for the Als. Trevor Harris is the backup. William Stanback led the CFL with 1,116 rushing yards. Last year though was the first time since 2007 that the Stamps failed to win in double digits. Bo Levi Mitchell is back under center and healthy though and I expect the home side to hit the ground running. Calgary steamrolled the Lions (41-6) and the Elks (37-7) in the preseason and I expect that momentum to get carried over here; lay the points, the play is the Stamps! AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Lightning -130 v. Rangers | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show |
10* LIGHTNING (BLOOD-BATH) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports. So far "home ice" has meant a lot in this series, but I say it has more to do with timing and chemistry. Just ask the Toronto Maple Leafs how difficult the Lightning can be. I've never seen a team make better key adjustments from game to game to stay competitive. I now have a hard time seeing New York mustering much of an offensive attack at all. This line could/should in fact be larger. I'm banking on Tampa winning a third straight here, and then going home with a chance to advance to the Stanley Cup Final; lay the price, the play is the Lightning! AAA Sports |
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06-09-22 | Dodgers v. White Sox +1.5 | Top | 11-9 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (TOP) It's the rubber match of this 3-game interleague series. The Dodgers broke their 3-game slide with a 4-1 win yesterday, but I think they'll once again have their hands full here on Thursday. Tyler Anderson is an unrealistic 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA for the Dodgers. Can anyone say "regression!" Dylan Cease counters for the home side and he's 4-2 with a 3.39 ERA. He hasn't won since May 17th, so he won't be lacking for motivation here either (is 4-4 with a very respectable 3.24 ERA in 10 career interleague starts.) In a contet that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying what I deem to be a very reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-08-22 | Rockies +1.5 v. Giants | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* ROCKIES RUNLINE (BOB) Colorado snapped a 4-game slide with a 5-3 win here in yesterday's series opener and I think it can keep the momentum rolling on Wednesday. Antonio Senzatela is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA. The Rockies are actually second in MLB with a team average of .261, third in on base-percentage with .327 ad 11th in slugging percentage with .402. The Giants are 12th in team batting average at .244. They're also 24th on the mound with a collective 4.30 ERA. Alex Wood is just 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA. Senzatela was rouged up in his last outing, but I expect the vet to settle down and bounce back here after that "outlier." Grab the Rockies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -150 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 60 h 4 m | Show |
10* CELTICS MONEYLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Boston rested its starters in the fourth quarter of the Game 2 blowout loss. I think that was a wise move and I believe it'll pay dividends here for the C's now that they're back home. Conversely, I expect the Warriors to struggle here in their first road game of the Finals. In fact note, GS was just 22-19 on the road overall this season. The Celtics were 28-13 at home. Golden State is susceptible to big lapses in concentration, as evidenced by their 4th quarter meltdown in Game 1. Boston is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in as well. I expect the home side to dig deep and find a way to win this game; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
8* LIGHTNING (SPECIAL) The Rangers failed to take a strangle-hold on this series, falling to the Lightning in OT in Game 3. Tampa now has life and I think the Bolts will now go in for the kill here in Game 4 and even this series up. Up until Game 7, home ice advantage was crucial in the Rangers/Hurricanes series. New York has been at its best on home ice and I think it comes out deflated here after the "near miss" in Game 2. Tampa has uncharacteristically struggled in this series, but with momentum now on it side, I am going to lay the price with confidence and expect the home side to dig deep and find a way to deliver in this spot once again; the play is Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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06-07-22 | Dodgers v. White Sox +1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* WHITE SOX RUNLINE (GOM) While I do think the hungry home side has a legitimate shot at winning outright, I feel the value of grabbing the extra 1.5 runs at this price is just too good to turn down. I like this pitching matchup, as I definitely feel it favors the home side. The visitors go with Mitch White, who is 1-1 with a 4.79 ERA. He hasn't been very impressive. He'll be opposed by Michael Kopech, who is 1-2 with a 2.20 ERA (he pitched 4 scoreless innings vs. the Cubs in his only other interleague start this season.) Kopech looks to bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is the White Sox on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-07-22 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
8* ROYALS RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) I had a play on the Royals on the runline option yesterday and that unfortunately was a bad call, as Toronto won by a score of 8-0. However, I love how this sets up for KC to bounce back, but at this price, I'm once again going to grab the extra 1.5 runs. Alek Manoah is 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA for the Jays. He's been unbelievable, but regression is now imminent. He'll be opposed by Brad Keller, who despite having just a 1-6 record, has posted a very respectable 4.15 ERA. I say these starters are more evenly matched that what their records would indicate, so in a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm going to recommend playing KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-06-22 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 8-0 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* ROYALS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Jays won 8 in a row, but they dropped 2 of 3 to the Twins at home over the weekend. I say they struggle here on the road against this hungry KC side though. The Royals will be motivated here to get back on track after losing 7 of their last 10. That includes a 7-4 setback here yesterday to the Astros. Ross Stripling is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA for the Jays, while Daniel Lynch is 2-4 with a 4.81 ERA for the Royals. I give the slight nod in advantage here between equally matched starters to Lynch, because of the friendly confines. In a game that I see possibly even going to extra innings, I'm laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is KC on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-06-22 | Mariners +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* MARINERS RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Seattle has won 3 of its last 4. It took 2 of 3 at Texas over the weekend, including yesterday's 6-5 victory. I think the Mariners keep the foot on the gas here vs. the high-powered Astros. The M's go with Robbie Ray, who is 4-6 with a 4.93 ERA, while the Astros counter with Christian Javier, who is 3-2 with a 2.41 ERA. I like Ray to settle down here and to match Javier inning for inning. Look for Seattle to carry over its recent offensive momentum and, at the very least, deliver a solid ATS cover; the play is the M's on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-06-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers +116 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* OILERS (BLOOD-BATH GOW) Edmonton has had its chances in this series, but it's come up short. The Oilers advanced past the first and second rounds, but their defensive shortcomings have been exposed here finally by the Avalanche. Colorado has been far from perfect overall during the playoffs though and I think it'll come in a tiny bit complacent here. I'm not predicing that the Oilers come back and win 4 straight or anything, but this Edmonton team is going to play with pride here in Game 4 and risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and avoid the humbling 4-0 sweep. Note though that the Oilers are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to avenge 2 or more straight losses to an oppnent. I say NO SWEEP! AAA Sports |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 37 h 44 m | Show |
10* WARRIORS (ART OF WAR) I had a play on the Warriors in Game 1, and while that didn't turn out the way I hoped, I'm expecting Golden State to make the necessary adjustments here in Game 2 to not only win this game, but to do so by a significant margin. The Celtics have been playing extremely well, but I expect fatigue to be a factor here. Boston has earned a split in Golden State and I think comes in tired and complacent. The Warriors looked great for 3 quarters in Game 1, but then fell apart uncharacteristically in the 4th quarter. Expect a big bounce-back from Curry and company and lay these points with confidence; the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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06-05-22 | Cardinals v. Cubs +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -133 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* CUBS RUNLINE (NL RL BOB) The Cubs have been trading wins and losses over their last 4 games and after a 7-4 defeat here yesterday, I'm expecting this pattern to continue tonight. St. Louis has a night off before an IL series at Tampa and I expect it to get caught looking ahead. Adam Wainwright is 5-4 with a 2.75 ERA for the Cardinals, while Justin Steele is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA for the Cubs. Look for Steele to get back on track here at home and to, at they very least, match Wainwright inning for inning. In a scenario like that, the pendulum swings in favor of the underrated underdog. In this case, let's lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
8* LIGHTNING (DESTRUCTION) I'm surprised that New York won both games to open up the ECF. Tampa had extra time off to prepare and has come out flat, but with the shift in venue, I'm expecting New York to finally have a letdown here. The Rangers have struggled on the road for the most part during the playoffs, and I think that'll come back to haunt them here again as well vs. this depserate Lightning side. These teams are evenly matched, but Tampa could/should be a much bigger favorite in my estimation. Finally, note that the Bolts are 7-2 in their last 9 in trying to revenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. The value here is on a bounce back performance from the hungry Lightning! AAA Sports |
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06-04-22 | Avalanche v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) I'm expecting a tight, and ultimately lower-scoring defensive affair here in Game 3 of the WCF. The Oilers are going to have to take a page out of the Rangers' playbook tonight if they have any hopes of avoiding an 0-3 hole. Look for Edmonton to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes this evening. Also note that the Oilers have seen the total go "under" in 6 of their last 8 in trying to avenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. Two really good offenses, but the overall situation points to a lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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06-04-22 | Guardians v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
10* ORIOLES RUNLINE (BOB) Cleveland swept the Royals at home and then took the first game of this series in Baltimore yesterday by a score of 6-3. The Orioles have lost 2 in a row, but I expect them to bounce back here. Tyler Wells gets the call for the home side, and he has a solid 3.71 ERA. The visitors counter with Triston McKenzie, who sports a 2.65 ERA (tempered though by his 3.85 FIP.) This one is evenly matched according to the bookmakers, which makes the "runline" option at this great price the savvy call in my opinion; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-04-22 | Tigers +1.5 v. Yankees | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
9* TIGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Detroit swept Minnesota in three straight before yesterday's humbling 13-0 defeat here. Note though that Detroit is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. I expect this one to be much more competitive though. Beau Brieske is 0-4 with a 5.25 ERA for the Tigers. Thankfully for Brikeske, he has a solid bullpen which has posted a 3.01 ERA (2nd best in the majors.) The Yanks turn to Luis Severino, who is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA. I say Brieske brings his "A" game today and matches his counterpart. Look for the hungry Tigers to sneak in under the radar this afternoon; the play though is Detroit on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-03-22 | Red Sox v. A's +1.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (ROUT) Boston is on the West Coast this weekend. This pitching matchup is more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Great value here laying the small price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. I can easily see this game going to extra innings. James Kaprielian is 0-2 with a 5.93 ERA this season for the A's. Expect the veteran to settle down here at home. And I think the A's can get a few runs off of Boston's Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Oakland. For all the reasons listed above, grab the home side on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) Tampa lost Game 1 by a score of 6-2. I'm not sure what I'm more surprised about: that Tampa let in 6 goals, or that the Rangers scored 6 goals. Let's not assume that every game is going to follow suit. Note that the Lightning have seen the total go "under" the number in 5 of their last 6 in trying to revenge a 4 goals or greater road loss against an opponent. Tampa looked like the extra time off between series led to "rust." Expect a much more concerted effort from the Bolts on the defensive end. These are 2 of the best goaltenders on the planet and all signs point to them being the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under" in Game 2! AAA Sports |
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06-03-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* PADRES RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Padres are 30-21 and they're sending Joe Musgrove to the hill. He's 5-0 with a 1.86 ERA. The home side counters with Corbin Burnes, who is 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA. I expect these starters to battle DEEP into the latter innings. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extras, my official recommendation for this selection will be to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Padres on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -159 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -159 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* WARRIORS MONEYLINE (GOW) The New York Rangers played 7 games against Carolina and then steamrolled the Lightning in Game 1 of the ECF by a score of 6-2. Tampa had swept the Panthers in 4 games and looked rust. The Celtics have advanced to the ECF of the NBA after beating the Heat in 7 Games as well, but unlike the Rangers, I'm expecting a letdown here from Boston on the road. The difference of course is that New York had home ice advantage, while the Boston is on the road. The Warriors are rested and that's going to be the difference-maker here for me. The Heat couldn't hold up to the C's smothering defensive play, but I like Steph Curry to find a way to deliver in crunch time tonight; the play is Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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06-02-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* OILERS PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Colorado prevailed by a score of 8-6 in the Game 1. I'm expecting another exciting back-and-forth affair in Game 2 as well, except I believe it'll be decided late, or even in extra time. The Oilers have responded well off losses, both during the regular season and the playoffs. Also note that Edmonton is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 6 or more goals in. For all the reasons listed above, lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 goals in your back pocket! AAA Sports |
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06-02-22 | Twins v. Tigers +1.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
8* TIGERS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) While I do think an outright victory is possible, in the end I'll recommend to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in your back pocket. Minnesota has lost 3 of the first 4 games of this five-game series vs. the Tigers. Rookie Alex Faedo is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA for the Tigers and he's making his 6th start of the year. Most recently he allowed 2 runs over 6 innings in an unfortunate loss to the Guardians: "I was happy with the way I threw the baseball," Faedo said after. "Going up against a guy like (Shane) Bieber, you've got to be sharp. He's a Cy Young guy. He had a good day, and he beat us." The visitors counter with the erratic Chris Archer, who is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA. He's not pitched more than 4 1/3's innings in any of his 9 starts. Look for Detroit to take advantage; the play is the Tigers on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lightning/Rangers (BLOOD-BATH) After last night's high-scoring Western Conference Finals Game 1, I'm expecting a much tighter and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here in the ECF. Tampa finished with a 2.78 GAA this year, while New York had a 2.49 GAA. New York goaltender Igor Shesterkin was 3-0 with a 1.30 GAA in 3 games vs. the Bolts this year as well. Look for these competent goaltenders to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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06-01-22 | Rays v. Rangers +121 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (BOB) The Rangers are rolling, having already taken the first 2 games of this series. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas in the finale as well. Tampa continues to get too much respect here, especially on the road. Jeffrey Springs is 2-2 with a 1.62 ERA for the Rays. Those rosey numbers are unsustainable and immediate regression is incoming. Jon Gray is just 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA for the Rangers, but the veteran has a big opporuntiy here to get untrcked against a Rays side that averages only 4.14 RPG. While the outright is possible, I'll gladly lay this reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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06-01-22 | Astros v. A's +1.5 | 5-4 | Win | 105 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL) Justin Verlander is 6-2 with a 2.03 ERA, but he's coming off his worst start of the season, allowing 6 runs off 10 hits in a 6-1 loss to the Mariners on Friday. I think Verlander will struggle to maintain his rosey numbers moving forward. The A's are the "hungrier" revenge-minded dog in this fight. I say that Cole Irvin is equally matched here, as he's 2-2 with a 3.15 ERA. Oakland is off B2B losses here to open this series, but note that it's 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to revenge B2B home losses against an opponent. Great value here with the A's on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER (WCF TOY) Both teams finished in the Top 5 in scoring this year. Neither was that great defensively though or in net. The winner of this series though is going to be the one that plays the better defense. Colorado finished with the slightly better defensive stats, but these starting goaltenders' stats are very equal here during the playoffs. Edmontons' Mike Smith has started all 12 games and he's posted a sharp 2.70 GAA, while the Avs Darcy Kuemper has a 2.54 GAA. Expect these two competent netminders to garner most of the attention in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the under! AAA Sports |