Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-05-21 | UC-Davis v. CS-Northridge +2.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CS NORTHRIDGE Prior to the last two weeks, Cal Davis had gotten only four games in all season and all four were prior to December 5th. They are just 1-3 since returning to action and lost twice at home last weekend to UCSB. Therefore, it’s hard for us to believe they are laying points on the road here. Cal State Northridge is by no means a good team, but the Matadors have at least been playing regularly enough to have a rhythm coming into this Friday night matchup. They are 6-7 and off a 64-51 win at Cal Poly last Saturday. One thing to like about this team is that it doesn’t turn the ball over much. Their turnover rate is second lowest among Big West teams. Cal Davis has yet to cover as a favorite this year and the last time they laid points on the road, they lost by 20. Going back to last year, the Aggies are 0-4-1 ATS their last five as favorites. CS-Northridge is 6-2 ATS off a straight up win and the home team has captured the cash in four of the last five meetings. Play on CS NORTHRIDGE AAA |
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02-05-21 | Jacksonville +7.5 v. Bellarmine | Top | 56-71 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* on JACKSONVILLE Jacksonville has lost five in a row, however, four of those losses have come by six points or less. Tonight they try to play spoiler against Bellarmine, who is one of three teams tied atop the Atlantic Sun with a 6-2 conference record. Bellarmine has won six in a row, four of the wins coming on the road. But it’s worth pointing out that those six wins all came against the bottom three teams in the league. Jacksonville just got done facing the other top two, Liberty and North Alabama. So the recent records are a little misleading on both ends here. Bellarmine’s last two wins were against Kennesaw State, who is 0-10 in conference play. Despite shooting 60% in their last game, the Knights won by only five. You’ll want to take the points here. Play on JACKSONVILLE AAA |
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02-04-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 220 | Top | 93-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER It’s a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Finals tonight on TNT. You probably remember the Lakers won that series, 4 games to 1, last September. The Nuggets were pretty competitive though, never dropping a game by more than 12 points and two of the losses were by six points or less. The stakes obviously aren’t as high tonight, though both teams are looking to make their way to the top of the Western Conference. The Lakers are one-half game behind the Jazz and Clippers for what looks to be shaping up as a tight three-game race. Denver, 3.5 games back of the leaders, just beat Utah on Sunday. They were supposed to face Detroit on Monday, but that was postponed right before tipoff. The Lakers have been really strong defensively this year. Six of the last seven games have gone Under and they just kept Atlanta under 100 points on Monday. Los Angeles is #1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Under is 6-0 when they face a team with a winning record this season. Denver has been an Over team, but has the potential to come out rusty tonight. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-04-21 | Hurricanes -168 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -168 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CAROLINA Look for Carolina to take no mercy on Chicago tonight in this Central Division matchup. The ‘Canes are looking really good this season. They are 6-1 and have won five straight, including a 4-3 win here in the Windy City two nights ago. That was their second straight win in a shootout. It’s worth mentioning Carolina did have a 41-33 edge in shots. Petr Mrazek having surgery is a blow, but Carolina is lucky to still have James Reimer between the pipes. He turned away 30 of 33 shots Tuesday including all three he faced in the shootout. Reimer is now 4-0 as the starter this season and has a 2.19 GAA as well as a .915 save percentage. The Blackhawks have won only three games so far and two of those came against Detroit, who is the worst team in the league. They are 0-5 vs. the Hurricanes the last three seasons including 0-3 in Chicago. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
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02-04-21 | Ohio State v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IOWA This is a top 10 matchup out of the Big 10 with #8 Iowa hosting #7 Ohio State. Despite being ranked one spot lower, Iowa is better. Considering that and the fact they are the home team, the Hawkeyes look like a solid value to lay the points with tonight. Now while they avoided what would have been a three-game losing streak by beating Michigan State on Tuesday, Iowa failed to cover the 9.5-point spread. (They won 84-78). So it’s three games in a row they haven’t covered. But the fact the team has lost just one time at home and is averaging 90.8 points per game at Carver-Hawkeye is definitely encouraging. Ohio State is also off a win over Michigan State, theirs coming by a score of 79-62. That was in Columbus though. We just don’t think the Buckeyes are going to produce enough offensive firepower to keep up with the Player of the Year (Luke Garza) and the Hawkeyes. Lay it! Play on IOWA AAA |
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02-03-21 | Bruins -127 v. Flyers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOSTON The Bruins have lost only one time in their last six games. That singular defeat occurred on Saturday, in overtime, against the Capitals. It was immediately avenged as they bounced back to beat the Caps 5-3 on Monday. The B’s have only lost once in regulation this season and that was 1-0 to the Islanders on January 18th, their third game. Now they travel to Philadelphia to play a Flyers team that’s on a four-game win streak. Winning here shouldn’t prove difficult for Boston. After all, they’ve already beaten the Flyers twice this year, 5-4 and 6-1. While those games took place in Beantown, the fact they scored 11 goals is definitely an encouraging sign. Though they are off to their best start in years, the Flyers (7-2-1) have been outshot in 9 of 10 games. So excuse us for being a bit skeptical. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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02-03-21 | Pacers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 110-130 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana looked really good last night, beating a Memphis team that had previously won seven in a row. The Grizzlies were playing on the second night of a back to back, but the Pacers made it look easy with a 134-116 victory. They shot nearly 60% for the game and now must avoid the same fate that befell their opponents last night as they play without rest. Milwaukee is the opponent, so it won’t be easy, but the Bucks are just 3-4 SU L7 games. Also no one on the Pacers logged more than 35 minutes last night. Playing on back to back days hasn’t been a problem before. They are actually 3-0 straight up and against the spread in such games this season. They are also 4-2 SU and ATS as an underdog. While the Bucks started this homestand by drubbing Portland 134-106, that may not be a good thing as they are 0-3 ATS this season if they scored 130 or more in their last game. Play on INDIANA AAA |
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02-03-21 | South Carolina v. Florida -8 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Florida had its season paused in late December, but has really started to get on track of late. An impressive win at Morgantown (West Virginia) on Saturday was the fourth straight game the Gators have been the victors. The 85-80 win over the 11th ranked team in the country also got them in the Top 25 (#22). Now they turn around and will host South Carolina this evening. The Gamecocks have only played 10 games this season and are 4-6. They were not a participant in the Big 12 vs. SEC Challenge, but lost over the weekend anyway (at Vanderbilt). That was the fourth loss in five games. South Carolina has lost both games vs. ranked teams this year, neither of which ended up being particularly close. They lost by 11 at Missouri and by 23 to Auburn. One could make the case that Florida is better than those teams. South Carolina has also lost four straight road games, by an average of 9.5 points/game. Florida has won its last three at home by an average of 14 points. Too many injuries for South Carolina to compete vs. a team that just beat two top 15 teams (Tenn, WVU). Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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02-03-21 | Leicester +103 v. Fulham | Top | 2-0 | Win | 103 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on LEICESTER CITY Leicester City enters this match in 4th place in the Premier League with a four point cushion over 5th. That’s not a bad place to be. A date with lowly Fulham on Wednesday provides an excellent chance for the Foxes to not only strengthen that cushion, but also potentially move into 3rd (depending on what happens with Liverpool against B&H Albion). Fulham sits near the bottom of the table, in 18th place, and has a lot of work to do to avoid relegation and a one-year stint back in the EPL. They have just two wins all season, the last one coming back on November 30th against Leicester. So the favorites won’t take this one lightly. Unfortunately for Fulham, they are also winless in their last seven at home across all competitions. They’ve earned a couple points from the last two matches, playing to a draw both times. But those were against a couple of other lowly sides. It’s been 10 straight Premier League matches without a win for the Cottagers. Leicester City is out for revenge here. They’ll get it and extend their unbeaten run in away matches to six. Play on LEICESTER CITY AAA |
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02-02-21 | Coyotes v. Blues -168 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS We see no reason why we shouldn’t continue riding St. Louis Tuesday. After successive wins in Anaheim, they’ve won three straight. We had them Saturday when they won 6-1 against the Ducks and that was then followed with a 4-1 victory on Sunday. They’ve scored 15 goals in just the last three games and have scored four or more times in six of their nine games so far. Arizona, who the Blues are facing tonight, is not much of a threat to score. They were shut out in back to back games last week before picking up their own win (3-2) against Anaheim. The Coyotes haven’t played since Thursday, which is actually by design, not anything to do with COVID. They’re going to find it hard to score goals tonight as Blues goalie Jordan Binnington is 3-0-1 in his last four starts with a .939 save percentage. All sorts of trends say the ‘Yotes are likely to lose here. They are 1-5 their L6 as an underdog, 0-4 L4 Tuesday games and 20-41 when playing on three or more days’ rest. St. Louis is 61-22 L83 when facing an opponent that has a win % below .400. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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02-02-21 | Blazers +2 v. Wizards | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland played a terrible game last night in Milwaukee, losing 134-106. The Bucks were coming off two straight losses, a rarity for them, but still there’s rarely an excuse for losing by 28 points. Tonight the Blazers face a Washington team that’s off a shocking win as they defeated Brooklyn 149-147 (a game that ended in regulation!) Saturday night. That was the Wizards’ first win since returning from a long COVID-induced layoff. They’d lost four in a row prior and were beaten soundly in all four games. That they were behind by five with just 10 seconds left against Brooklyn means the Wizards are quite lucky not to be on a 5-game losing streak here. We’re a bit surprised that they are the favorites tonight. Yes the game is in D.C. but the Wizards still have one of the worst records in the NBA at 4-12 SU. Portland has taken the last three meetings. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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02-02-21 | Baylor v. Texas UNDER 144.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER #2 Baylor puts its unbeaten 16-0 record on the line tonight, in what should be its toughest test to date, against #6 Texas. The Longhorns were supposed to face Kentucky in the Big 12-SEC Challenge last weekend. But that game was cancelled. Baylor didn’t have much problem with its SEC opponent, beating what had been a red hot Auburn team, 84-72. The Bears’ average margin of victory for the season is nearly 25 points/game and only one time (an 8-point win over Kansas on 1/18) have they failed to win by double digits. They are top three in the country at both ends of the floor. They’ve gone Over in four straight games, but had gone Under in four straight previous to that. Texas has gone Over in six of its last seven. But we anticipate a lower-scoring affair Tuesday night. This is a pretty high total for both teams. For Texas, if the current number holds, it will be the highest total for any game in 2020-21. The Under has hit the last two times these sides have met. Those games saw just 97 and 101 points scored. Play on UNDER AAA |
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02-02-21 | Tennessee -4 v. Ole Miss | Top | 50-52 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TENNESSEE Tennessee flexed its muscle over the weekend, beating Kansas 80-61, and is now back in the Top 10. Tonight the Vols are at Ole Miss. We’re a bit shocked this line isn’t higher. The Rebels have lost five of seven. While some of those losses were close, none were to teams as good as this.They are not one of the SEC’s better teams. It can’t be understated just how good Tennessee looked on Saturday. They were up 14 by halftime and led by as much as 26 in the second half. They did not allow a single second-chance point! We realize they haven’t had to go on the road very often, but they did win by 20 at Missouri (who is ranked) and by 17 at Texas A&M. A big reason why Ole Miss is losing games is the three-point line. They are shooting 25.9% from long distance in SEC play. Their opponents are shooting 37.4%. This problem reared its ugly head again on Saturday as they were only 2 of 13 from three-point range vs. Georgia, who was 9 of 18. Tennessee is holding opponents to 30% on three pointers. They should win easily tonight. Play on TENNESSEE AAA |
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02-01-21 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 137.5 | Top | 52-57 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Oklahoma has ripped off three consecutive wins against Top 10 opponents, beating Kansas, Texas and Alabama. What a run that is! Saturday’s win in Tuscaloosa may have been the most impressive of the bunch considering how hot the Crimson Tide were and the Sooners were without their leading scorer. Another starter (Alondes Williams) was also out. Whether or not Williams and/or Austin Reeves (the leading scorer) will play tonight has yet to be determined. But we still like this game vs. Texas Tech to go Over the total. The Red Raiders are also off an impressive win in the Big 12/SEC Challenge, theirs coming at LSU where they scored the game’s final 12 points to make it a 76-71 final score. Texas Tech will be the 4th straight Top 10 team that OU has faced, a murderous stretch for anybody. You’ve got to question how solid the Sooners will be defensively. They give up 79 points/game away from home. Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight games have gone Over and their defense, which is usually very good, has been shaky of late as well. They’ve allowed 88 and 71 points the last two outings. Play on OVER AAA |
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02-01-21 | Kings v. Pelicans -3.5 | Top | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS New Orleans certainly did right by me on Friday. They were able to defeat Milwaukee, right here at home, by a score of 131-126. That scoring output matched the most points allowed by the Bucks in any game this season. So it was a really impressive victory for the Pelicans. Unfortunately, they had to play the next night and lost 126-112 to Houston. That makes it nine losses in the last 12 games for a team that was expected to make the playoffs this year. Sacramento is not a team anyone expects to make the playoffs, so this is a game the Pelicans “have to have.” They’re laying a surprisingly short number, partly because the Kings are 4-0 ATS their last four games, but we’ll lay it. The Kings are just dreadful defensively despite a low-scoring loss in Miami over the weekend. No team in the league allows more points per possession and it’s not really close. The 119.6 points/game allowed by the Kings are the most in the Western Conference. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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02-01-21 | UCF v. Memphis -9 | Top | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MEMPHIS Memphis saw its three-game win streak come to an end on Thursday with a two-point loss at SMU. They did cover the spread though as four point underdogs. It was the fourth consecutive cover by the Tigers, who were 2-9 ATS in their first 11 lined games. Having a couple extra days to prepare for this game with struggling UCF seems like a big deal. The Golden Knights have won only one time in their last seven games and it was against a terrible East Carolina team at home. UCF did play over the weekend and lost in overtime at Wichita State as they let a late eight-point lead slip away. There have been a lot of games this year where the Knights failed to crack 65 points and this figures to be another with Memphis allowing only 59.0 per game at home where they are 7-1 straight up. UCF has lost 12 of its previous 13 visits to Memphis, including by 20 the last time they came here. Play on MEMPHIS AAA |
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02-01-21 | Predators v. Lightning -170 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 7* on TB Tampa Bay looks to make it a 2-0 sweep against Nashville Monday night. They just beat the Predators on Saturday, 4-3, a game which they led 4-1 after two periods. We probably won’t see quite as much scoring - from either side - tonight as there were a total of four power play goals scored on Saturday, two from each side. But if there’s a team you can count on scoring, it’s the Lightning, who year in and year out are always near the top of the league in goals scored. They were actually shut out in Carolina last week, but Saturday marked the third time this season that they have scored at least four goals in one game. The Preds have not played well thus far, losing four of their last six and one of those losses was 7-0. The fact they are last in the league in penalty killing doesn’t bode well for them here either. They’ve yet to win on the road this season. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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01-31-21 | 76ers v. Pacers UNDER 224.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Philadelphia has been playing well lately. You can’t really say the same for Indiana, who is 3-4 straight up and 2-5 against the spread its last seven games. The Sixers have won five of six, the lone loss being a shocking upset against Detroit. They beat the Lakers earlier this week and then there was no letdown when they went to Minnesota and crushed the Timberwolves 118-94. Philly is #1 in the East with a 14-6 record and is a top five defensive team, at least in terms of efficiency. Only once in the last eight games have they allowed more than 110 points. The Under is 6-3 in their road games due in large part to them only giving up an average of 106.9 points. Six of the last eight times these teams have hooked up in Indianapolis, the Under has cashed. That includes four straight Indiana only scored 105 in their last game, but on the bright side has kept three of its last four opponents under 110. This should be a fairly “low-scoring” affair. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-31-21 | CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -9 | Top | 60-68 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN WASHINGTON Eastern Washington started the season 0-3 but has since won 4 of 7 with the three losses all being by five points or less. Last weekend saw the Eagles split a couple games out in Northern Colorado as they lost the first by two points and won the second by six. There haven’t been many home games for the Eagles thus far, only three to be exact, so they should relish the opportunity Sunday when they welcome Sacramento State. The Hornets have also played many close games recently with three of their last four decided by six points or fewer and two of them going to overtime. So a lot of people are going to expect a close game here. But the line, which has EWU favored pretty strongly, is telling. Sacramento State may be 6-3 but they’ve played only three times on the road. They’ve lost two of them. They’ve also lost 9 of the last 10 matchups with Eastern Washington. These teams were actually supposed to play Thursday, but a positive COVID test on the Sacramento State forced a schedule change to Sunday & Monday. The disruption will affect the Hornets more as they have to travel. Play on EASTERN WASHINGTON AAA |
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01-31-21 | Devils v. Sabres UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Devils and Sabres played last night and it was the latter emerging victorious, 4-3, following a shootout. Both these teams are “middle of the pack” in the NHL’s Eastern Division with the difference being only the two points Buffalo earned Saturday. The Sabres have also played one more game than the Devils, who have not looked good of late. They arrived in upstate New York having just dropped two in a row at home to the Flyers. While they’ve given up a total of 12 goals the last three contests, it has been scoring goals that’s the concern for New Jersey. There have been only three games this season, including yesterday, where they’ve scored more than twice. They’ve yet to score three goals in consecutive games. Buffalo has had four of its last five games go past regulation, three of them making it to a shootout, so beware reading “too much into” some of these high-scoring games they’ve been involved in. The Under is 31-15-6 L52 meetings between these two clubs. It is also 5-0 the last five times Buffalo has been off a win. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-30-21 | Pistons v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 91-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE There is an interesting pattern this year with Golden State as they have yet to win or lose three in a row. Thursday marked the fifth time they failed to win a third straight game. They lost by 21 at Phoenix, a shocking failure as it was only a five-point deficit at halftime. The problem was that other than Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins, the rest of the team shot just 32 percent (22 of 68). There have been three times so far that the Warriors have lost back to back games. However, each time the second loss came on the road. And those losses were all to really good teams: Milwaukee, Denver and Utah. Tonight they are facing a bad Detroit team and the game is at home. The Pistons are 1-7 on the road and allow 119.0 points per game. Fresh off an upset of the Lakers at home, we say the Pistons are ripe to get blown out Saturday night. When they beat the Lakers, there was no Anthony Davis. LeBron James went uncharacteristically cold in the second half. Curry won’t be cold in this game considering the Pistons defensive woes on the road. The Warriors already beat the Pistons by 10 in Detroit last month. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-30-21 | Blues -166 v. Ducks | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS The Blues have alternated wins and losses through their first seven games. Following a three-day break, they aim to win back to back times in Anaheim tonight. It was a 5-4 win at Vegas Tuesday, an impressive win for the Stanley Cup Champs of two years ago. Playing short-handed, literally, has been an issue for the Blues so far this season. They’ve been down a man on the ice 36 times so far and given up 11 power play goals. Their penalty kill ranks 28th. But tonight is an excellent opportunity to sort that all out. Anaheim is last in the league in goals per game (1.75) and opened the year by going 0 for 17 on the power play. The last three games have seen the Ducks get outshot 98-55. That they’ve won two of them is pretty shocking. There’s been only one game so far that Anaheim scored more than two goals. It was when they scored three vs. Colorado on Sunday. They lost 3-2 to Arizona on Thursday despite notching their first PP goal of the season. The Blues have won their last three trips to the Pond. Play on ST LOUIS AAA |
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01-30-21 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine OVER 162.5 | Top | 97-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the OVER Gonzaga keeps rolling as Thursday’s 90-62 victory over San Diego makes it 16 wins without a loss for the #1 ranked team in the country. There are only three unbeaten teams left in College Basketball. Them, #2 Baylor and a Drake team whose season was interrupted by COVID. Believe it or not, tonight marks the first time all year the Zags have had to play a second straight game on the road. We certainly don’t have to worry about them scoring though. They lead the country with 94.1 points per game. But the fact they allow 76.4 on the road is notable and leads us to believe this game vs. Pepperdine is going Over. Pepperdine just beat BYU, by the way. That was here in Malibu. In the two home games before that, both of which the Waves won, they scored 80+ points. So you can see why the total has been set high tonight. But in our estimation it is not high enough. Both teams are 6-1 Under their last seven games, which includes a meeting in Spokane that Gonzaga won 95-70. But the total is lower this time. If the teams were to equal the total number of points scored in the first meeting, it would be an Over. We think more points will be scored. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-30-21 | Minnesota v. Purdue -2.5 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PURDUE While we recognize Purdue is at home, any time an unranked team is favored against a Top 25 opponent, it catches our eye. Minnesota isn’t likely to be ranked for much longer, especially if they lose this game. Our money is on the Golden Gophers losing. Not only did they go down at home to Maryland last Saturday, they are 0-4 on the road this season. They could manage only 49 points vs. the Terps last week. All four road losses have been by at least 12 points. Why are they ranked again? Now Purdue is also looking to bounce back from an ugly loss. They lost by 17 to Michigan last Friday, here in West Lafayette. But that was preceded by a four-game win streak and it was their first home loss. Minnesota is giving up an average of 82.7 points on the road. Leading scorer Carr played the full 40 last Saturday vs. Maryland and scored 25 points. But his teammates could only manage 24 points on 6 of 32 shooting. Look for the Gophers to go down again. Play on PURDUE AAA |
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01-30-21 | TCU v. Missouri -9 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MISSOURI Missouri is off their third loss of the season. They’ve performed quite well off the previous two. After losing by 20 to Tennessee, they came back and won on the road by 13 against Arkansas. After losing by 15 at Mississippi State, they came back and won by 16 at Texas A&M. This time the Tigers get to play at home and they got a fortunate draw in the Big 12 vs. SEC Challenge with TCU, who is one of the Big 12’s weaker teams. The Horned Frogs just played their first game in 16 days Thursday and they lost 58-51 at Kansas. After such a long layoff (coach Jamie Dixon had tested positive for COVID), let’s see how they do playing a second road game in three days. Our guess is that it won’t go well. Missouri’s loss on Thursday was to a surging Auburn team that is better than most realize. A poor 1st half cost Mizzou but at home they won’t be getting off to a slow start and they shouldn’t have much problem shutting down a TCU team that averages only 62.9 points away from home. Play on MISSOURI AAA |
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01-29-21 | Iowa v. Illinois OVER 162.5 | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Watch this game get high-scoring in a hurry. Iowa averages 90.7 points per game. That’s second most in the country (Gonzaga is #1). So it sure was shocking to see the Hawkeyes score a season-low 69 in their last game. That loss to Indiana snapped a five-game win streak. They’d also covered the number in all five of those wins. Safe to say you can look for a bounce back game at the offensive end tonight. They are still #1 in the country in offensive efficiency. After making only 21.3 percent of their three-pointers vs. Indiana, you’ve got to expect more prolific shooting tonight. But we are concerned about their defensive play. The Hawkeyes are giving up 83.2 points per game when they are not the home team this season. Illinois averages 82.9 points per game. The Over is 10-5 in Iowa games. Illinois shoots better than 50% from the field - for the season. The Over is 7-2 in the Illini’s last nine home games against teams that have winning road records. Neither side will have an issue scoring here. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-29-21 | Manhattan v. St. Peter's -9 | Top | 55-59 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 9* on ST. PETERS Manhattan has won three straight games. They were an underdog in all three wins. The last two were at home vs. Niagara. But those games were played almost two weeks ago. They were supposed to play two vs. Monmouth last week, but those games got postponed due to a positive test in the Monmouth program. Playing with this much rest hasn’t gone well for the Jaspers as they are 8-21 ATS the last 29 times they’ve gone on seven or more days' rest. Let’s also talk about the fact that two of their three recent wins were by three points or less. They didn’t even score 60 points in any of them. Then again, St. Peter’s just scored only 40 in a loss at Siena. But something you should know is that this is the Peacocks’ first home game since December 12th! They’ve played seven in a row on the road. They’ve played only three home games, won all of them, and allowed just 51, 54 and 49 points. It’s quite telling that they are such prohibitive favorites here. Manhattan is just 2-7 ATS their previous nine road games. They are shooting an abysmal 32.8% on the road this season. Play on ST PETERS AAA |
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01-29-21 | Bucks v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 126-131 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS Milwaukee is off a fairly big win over Toronto. This is the middle game of a three-game road trip. New Orleans just won, 124-106 against Washington. That was just their second win in 10 games. The Pelicans have only gotten to play six home games though. They are 3-3 in those six, not that great, but the Bucks are only 4-4 on the road. Playing on ESPN, you figure the Pelicans are going to come out highly motivated. The Bucks are just 5-15-1 ATS off a win and 2-6-1 ATS off an ATS win. New Orleans has been a home underdog only one time and they won that game, 120-116 over Toronto. They were actually only a one-point dog in that game. This is likely to be the most points they get in any home game this season (or at least until they play the Lakers). Even though they are just 2-8 the last 10 games, the Pelicans have only been outscored by an average of less than five points per game. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-28-21 | Warriors +1.5 v. Suns | Top | 93-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Both the Warriors and Suns were in action last night. The respective results were quite different. Golden State handled its business at home against Minnesota, winning rather easily by a score of 123-111. Rookie James Wiseman led the way with 25 points after Steph Curry had 36 the previous game vs. the Timberwolves. Off that two-game sweep, Golden State now goes to the desert where they’ll face a wounded Suns team that is playing without leading scorer Devin Booker. Last night marked the third straight loss for Phoenix as they fell 102-97 here at home to Oklahoma City. It also marked the fifth loss in the last six games and seventh in the last 10. Last night was especially frustrating for the Suns as they jumped out to an early 17-point lead. But that didn’t last long. Booker isn’t the only one not playing for the Suns right now. Dario Sakic has been out due to COVID, so this team is pretty short-handed right now. You have to imagine that Curry is going to have a bounce back game tonight after missing his first seven shots last night. That’s bad news for a struggling Suns team that is just 1-5 ATS its last six games as a favorite. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-28-21 | Gonzaga v. San Diego +28.5 | Top | 90-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN DIEGO Top-ranked Gonzaga continues to “hum along” as they are 15-0 following a 95-49 win against Pacific last Saturday. There has been only one game all season - an 87-82 win vs. West Virginia on December 2nd - that the Zags DIDN’T win by double digits. But they don’t cover as much as you might think. The win against Pacific marked the first time in five games that Mark Few’s team left with the cash. They are just 5-8 ATS the last 13 games as the pointspreads keeping getting higher and higher. The Bulldogs are laying a huge number tonight at San Diego, which is understandable given the Toreros’ record and general inactivity. They’ve played only eight games this season and won just two. But one of the wins was on Saturday as they defeated Portland 78-70 on the road. They won’t win tonight, but this is a ton of points to be getting at home. Gonzaga has just one WCC win - Saturday’s game vs Pacific - that was by a larger margin than what tonight’s spread will end up being. They are just 4-8 ATS on the road laying at least 12.5 and 0-2 laying at least 24.5. Play on SAN DIEGO AAA |
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01-28-21 | TCU v. Kansas -14.5 | Top | 51-59 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 8* on KANSAS Kansas has lost three in a row, all on the road, so they should be in “desperation mode” come Thursday night at Allen Fieldhouse. They’ll be taking on a TCU team that has also lost its last three games, but has not played in 16 days. That’s because of coach Jamie Dixon testing positive for COVID-19, so this team is all out of sorts right now. The Horned Frogs’ three-game losing streak actually began at the hands of Kansas, a 93-64 result in Fort Worth. Since then they’ve lost by 18 to Baylor and by 36 at Oklahoma. This game was supposed to be played Tuesday before getting bumped back due to protocols. The extra 48 hours isn’t nearly enough for TCU to avoid the beatdown they’ve got coming to them. Again, they’ve already lost by 29 at home to Kansas. This is only the third 3-game losing streak for the Jayhawks in the past 25 seasons. They’ve never lost four in a row during that time. At home, their PPG allowed drops down to 63.6. It should be noted that it was three good teams they lost to on the road, Oklahoma State, Baylor and Oklahoma. It’s not as if they were blown out in any of them. All will be well again in Lawrence after tonight. Play on KANSAS AAA |
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01-28-21 | Flyers -152 v. Devils | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHILADELPHIA The Flyers will look to make it two in a row over the Devils tonight. They won here on Tuesday, 5-3, breaking things open with three straight goals in the third period. Since starting the season with two straight wins over Pittsburgh, Philly has been unable to string together consecutive victories. We look for that to change Thursday. New Jersey’s top goalie MacKenzie Blackwood remains on the COVID list and backup Scott Wedgewood has generally struggled. So has the Devils’ penalty killing unit, which allowed two goals Tuesday, the fourth game they’ve done that this season. New Jersey has yet to drop back to back games this year, but they’ve been fortunate to win a couple low-scoring games off previous losses. The Flyers have scored 25 times this season, tied for most in the division. They outshot the Devils 31-26 on Tuesday. The five goals they scored were the most NJ has allowed in a game this season. Philadelphia is 6-0 its last six times as a road favorite. Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
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01-27-21 | Boise State v. Colorado State +1 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COLORADO STATE Boise State is as hot as any team in the country not named Gonzaga or Baylor. The Broncos have won 13 in a row. They are unbeaten in the Mountain West, although we should be clear that they have yet to face any of the top teams in the conference. That changes on Wednesday with a visit to Fort Collins. Colorado State has already knocked off Utah State, who also had been unbeaten in conference play. That was the last time the Rams played and they are now the third place team, trailing only Boise and Utah State. CSU is 8-2 in conference play and we like the fact they are undefeated at home (6-0) where they average 82.2 points/game.Look for the Rams to jump out to a big halftime advantage in this one. They are the best team Boise has faced since a season opening loss to Houston. Play on COLORADO STATE AAA |
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01-27-21 | Celtics -3 v. Spurs | Top | 106-110 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON After a three-game losing streak that saw them lose twice to the 76ers and in embarrassing fashion to the Knicks, Boston has battled back to win its last two games in very convincing fashion. They took care of the Cavs 141-103 and then the Bulls 119-103. Tonight they are in San Antonio to face a Spurs team that was supposed to play Monday in New Orleans, but didn’t due to COVID-19 protocols. The Spurs last played Sunday when they blew out a Washington team that was playing its first game in two weeks. Before that, the Spurs had lost two straight. With COVID now impacting them, we don’t see the Spurs playing well tonight. Jayson Tatum is now back for the Celtics, who are 4-1 ATS their last five as favorites. It appears that we don’t need to worry about this game not being played. So we’ll lay the points. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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01-27-21 | Senators v. Canucks -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VANCOUVER Vancouver just crushed Ottawa 7-1 on Monday. We see no reason not to come back with the Canucks in tonight’s rematch. After opening their season with a 5-3 win against Toronto, the Senators have lost five in a row and given up 21 goals in the last four games. Lineup changes are almost certain to be made in Ottawa and while that may be good for the long-term, it’ll take some time for the new line combinations to gel. If not for Detroit, the Sens would probably be considered the worst team in the league. They are 9-21 SU after being held to one or zero goals their previous game. They’ve allowed six and seven goals the last two, notable because both were on the road like this one is. This is a matchup Vancouver must take advantage of and they should seeing as they’ve won the last three home games over Ottawa, who is also 1-10 after allowing 5+ goals in their last game. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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01-27-21 | Miami-FL v. Florida State -12 | Top | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA STATE Florida State is now ranked #16 in the country. The Seminoles are 9-2 and have won their last four games. The current win streak began with a truly dominating effort where they defeated North Carolina State 105-73. That was the last time we took them. Since then, they’ve rolled North Carolina, Louisville and Clemson. The last two were double digit wins with the Louisville one being particularly impressive as it came on the road. Tonight they welcome Miami to Tallahassee and the Hurricanes are coming off an awful week where they lost 83-57 at Syracuse and 73-59 at home to Notre Dame. Those kind of putrid offensive efforts won’t cut it here. It is especially disconcerting that they could only score 59 against Notre Dame, who is not good defensively. FSU is 8-1 at home and winning by an average of almost 13 points/game. Miami is one of the weaker teams in the ACC this year, so this should be a third straight double digit victory by the Noles. They’ve beaten Miami five straight times, by an average of 10 points. They lead the ACC in points per game at home and have averaged 86.3 their last four at home. Play on FLORIDA STATE AAA |
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01-27-21 | BYU v. Pepperdine UNDER 147 | Top | 73-76 | Loss | -112 | 20 h 53 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER BYU has played well of late. The Cougars have won four in a row and eight of their last nine. The lone loss was to Gonzaga. This afternoon they travel to face a Pepperdine team they just beat on Saturday by a score of 65-54. That was the Waves’ fourth loss in their last six games. You’ll note the low-scoring nature of the previous contest as BYU only shot 37.5% that game, but they might as well have “made them all” compared to Pepperdine’s paltry 28.8 FG%. For BYU, it was the second lowest field goal percentage for a game this season. It was Pepperdine’s lowest. Maybe the two teams combined to score more this afternoon, but it still won’t be enough to send this rematch Over the total. The Under is 5-0 in BYU road games as they go from averaging 77.8 points/game at home to 61.3 away from home. The key issue is that they shoot only 28.8% from three-point range on the road. Pepperdine is holding visiting teams to 27.9% from behind the arc this season while at the same time being a poor three-point shooting team. Five of the Waves’ last six games have stayed Under. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-26-21 | Knicks v. Jazz -10.5 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UTAH Utah is the hottest team in the league right now. They are 8-0 straight up and against the spread in their last eight games. Do not expect any kind of letdown this evening as they are up against the last team to defeat them. Surprisingly, that team is New York. It was on January 6th that the Knicks upset the Jazz 112-100. They were eight-point underdogs at home for that matchup, which saw them trail by as much as 18 at one point. The shocking comeback saw the Knicks outscore the Jazz 68-44 in the second half. But that’s clearly not what you should expect here. Utah led by as many as 40 points Saturday vs. Golden State and won by 19. New York ended up only losing by three Sunday in Portland, but was behind by as many as 25 at one point before pulling off the “backdoor cover.” The Knicks have now lost 7 of 10 as they continue to be wildly inconsistent. We do not fear the possibility of a back door cover this time as the Jazz are out for revenge and have won by double digits in seven of the eight games during the active win streak. Play on UTAH AAA |
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01-26-21 | Kings v. Wild -156 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -156 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Out in the NHL’s West Division, Minnesota has claimed eight points from its six games so far, winning four and losing two. Their season began in Los Angeles where they won twice, both times in OT by the same score of 4-3. The Kings have managed to go 2-2 since then, splitting at home with Colorado and on the road against St. Louis. They are off their best performance of the season, a six-goal effort where six different players scored. But we don’t expect much from this Kings team - tonight or this season. The Wild have developed a penchant for falling behind in games as they trailed LA 3-1 in the third period in both prior matchups. But look for that to become a thing of the past. We like the Wild’s penalty killing unit, which has been among the best in the league (90%) and it’s just a matter of time before the power play (just 2 of 27!) improves. The Kings have won just twice in their last eight trips to the Twin Cities. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
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01-26-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron -11 | Top | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on AKRON Akron comes in at 8-3 on the season. They are a perfect 6-0 at home. They’ve been red hot lately, winning and covering four straight. A 78.9 points per game scoring average is impressive and it gets even more impressive when you look at only home games as they are averaging 87.0 in those. Eastern Michigan’s resume is quite different. The Eagles have not won a game away from home this season. They are 1-6 ATS in conference play and have lost four in a row by an average of 20.25 points (0-4 ATS). In the previous four road games, you’re looking at an average of 86.5 points/game allowed. Shockingly, EMU won the first meeting between the teams, 71-59 as a 5.5-point dog. But that was obviously in Ypsilanti. So the revenge factor is strong here and we’ve got every reason to believe this Tuesday night matchup in the MAC turns into a blowout. Credit to Akron for allowing their previous opponents to shoot just 28.9% from three-point range this season. That number probably won’t go up after tonight as EMU is shooting just 28.3% from behind the arc, including a woeful 23.5% when on the road. Akron’s average margin of victory at home is 16.2 PPG. Could these teams be any more different heading into this one? Play on AKRON AAA |
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01-25-21 | Thunder v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland didn’t cover the spread last night, but they certainly should have. They led the Knicks by 20 points at halftime only to let that large lead slip away. They won 116-113 as a 3.5-point favorite after scoring just 19 points in the fourth quarter. Tonight they face another bad team, Oklahoma City, who is also playing the second game of a back to back. The Thunder lost Sunday, 108-100 to the Clippers, to fall to 1-5 SU their last 6 games. The only win was by two points at Chicago. Though playing short-handed (no McCollum, Jurkic), we still give the advantage here to the Blazers. The Thunder aren’t a good team. They trailed by 17 on Sunday before making the game closer than it actually was. The same was true in their previous game vs. the Clippers. So it’s very much the opposite for Portland, who played much better last night than what the final score says. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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01-25-21 | Heat v. Nets UNDER 236 | Top | 85-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER Brooklyn has gone Over the total in 12 straight games! That is quite the streak and it’s not as if the totals for their games have been low. The average O/U line for Nets games this season is approaching 230.0! They just beat Miami 128-124 on Saturday for their first win since the James Harden trade. As high scoring as things have been here, we look for tonight’s rematch with the Heat to go Under. Miami is really short-handed right now. Friday night saw them able to only score 81 points in a loss to Toronto. So they are definitely capable of keeping this one Under “by themselves.” Bam Adebayo scored 41 by himself on Saturday, but considering that was a career-high, don’t go expecting him to match that performance this evening. There could be as many as five regular rotation players for the Heat out tonight. This is obviously a really high number, but even if the Nets were to score 120, the Heat won’t score enough to allow it to go Over. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-24-21 | Knicks v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 113-116 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND The Knicks are 8-9 and holding down 8th place in the Eastern Conference, which is a lot better than where we thought they’d be at this point of the season. Generally regarded as one of the worst teams in the league coming into the season, New York has been an underdog in virtually all of its games thus far. They’d pulled three consecutive upsets prior to losing 103-94 in Sacramento Friday night. But one easy thing to note here is that they are last in the league in points per game. Portland, who is dealing with some injuries right now, is 8-6 and fourth in the Western Conference. They haven’t played since Monday when they were defeated 125-104 by San Antonio. The Blazers were supposed to face Memphis Wednesday and Friday, but those games had to be cancelled due to the Grizzlies’ COVID-19 issues. "Between getting extra rest and extra reps, the practices have been good for us,"Portland head coach Terry Stotts said. "It helped. There is no question that having extra time to work on things on both ends -- we need to adjust. Different guys will have different roles. From that standpoint, missing these two games was good for us." We’ll put our faith in what the coach had to say as it’s unlikely the Knicks can continue winning regularly. They are 2-6 ATS their last eight games in Portland. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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01-24-21 | San Diego State -17 v. Air Force | Top | 91-59 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
THIS IS A 10* ON SAN DIEGO STATE By the time Tuesday rolls around, San Diego State and Air Force will have met in three straight games. Here in Colorado Springs, they are used to see things “flying high,” but in this case it’s the Aztecs who came in and took the first game 98-61 as 13-point favorites. That win snapped a 4-game ATS slide and was a nice bounce back for a team that has just gotten swept the week prior by Utah State. The Mountain West is shaping up as a fairly strong league this year with the likes of Boise State, Utah State, Colorado State plus SDSU. Air Force is simply not in the same class as those teams as they are now 0-5 against them with all five losses coming by double digits. The Falcons have won just one time in the last seven games and aren’t even averaging 60 PPG this season. No team in the country takes fewer shots per game. They’ve also given up 77 or more points in five of the last six losses. San Diego State is excellent defensively and is giving up less than 60 PPG on the road. They’ve covered 14 of the last 17 on the road. Five players were in double figures Thursday as the Aztecs picked it up with leading scorer Matt Mitchell on the shelf. More of the same Sunday. Play on SAN DIEGO STATE AAA |
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01-24-21 | Oilers -125 v. Jets | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON Edmonton has just four points after six games as they are 2-4. While they were able to salvage splits against Vancouver and Toronto, they were swept by Montreal. Now it's onto Winnipeg where they’ll take on a Jets team that is 4-1 and second in the North Division (all Canadian teams). But the key to the Jets start is the fact they just played Ottawa three straight games and won them all. They were just in the Nation’s capital Saturday, so there’s no rest between games. Yesterday was a late game as is this one. Two of Winnipeg’s wins have been in overtime and yesterday they trailed 3-2 in the third period. They just made a big trade, dealing Patrik Laine to Columbus for Pierre-Luc Dubois. Because of quarantine rules, Dubois isn’t going to be available immediately. Edmonton has promised to shake up the blue line and they are the play here as the Jets record is a little phony. Winnipeg is 3-14 the last 17 times its played a third game in four nights, which is the situation here. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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01-24-21 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 54 | Top | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 75 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The big question this week is whether or not Patrick Mahomes is going to play. He left the Divisional Round win over Cleveland with a concussion. Mahomes was practicing again Friday after taking almost all the snaps in practice on Wednesday and Thursday. So it sure does look like he’s going to be the man under center for the Chiefs Sunday as they face the Buffalo Bills in a rematch from Week 6 of the regular season. Kansas City won in Buffalo, 26-17, in what was a hastily rescheduled game played on a Monday night. Since that time, the Bills have been beaten just once in 12 games and that came on the “Hail Murray” vs. Arizona. With or without Mahomes in there (we expect him to play), expect this game to be higher scoring than the one from the regular season. The Bills are averaging 30.3 points/game this year while the Chiefs are at 29.1. Last week was not indicative of what we’re used to seeing from either offense. KC ran for a season-best 245 yards against Buffalo the first time. Meanwhile, Buffalo is as pass happy as it gets.The Chiefs defense is the worst in the league in the red zone, so expect the Bills to score touchdowns, not field goals, when they get there. The Over is 12-5-1 in Bills games this season, one of the higher percentages in the league. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 71 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 7* on GREEN BAY We’ve backed Green Bay pretty religiously this season, including playing them in one form or another each of the last three games. They’ve won all three games by at least 14 points, so we’re doing well. Therefore, we can’t deviate from the script here in the NFC Championship vs. Tampa Bay. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense rightly get all the headlines for averaging 33.2 points during a seven-game win streak. But don’t discount a defense that has held five of its last six opponents to 18 points or less. The Pack’s only loss in the L10 games was at Indianapolis where they held a 2 TD lead at halftime. Now they look to avenge one of their other two regular season defeats, and it was the worst one, 38-10 at Tampa Bay. That loss came after a bye and Rodgers threw two interceptions, which is something that almost never happens. One of them was returned for a touchdown and the other set the Bucs up at the 2-yard line for another easy score. This time the game is in Lambeau where GB has outscored teams by 12.4 points/game this year. Remember that the Packers just put up 32 points last week on a Rams defense that was considered to be the best in the league. They’ve had one more day of rest than has Tampa Bay, whose win over New Orleans should be credited to a +4 turnover differential. Rodgers takes better care of the football this time and goes on to his second Super Bowl. AAA |
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01-24-21 | Dustin Poirier v. Conor McGregor -240 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -240 | 490 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 6* on MCGREGOR So this line has shot up, which was probably to be expected, so we’re glad to have gotten down on McGregor early. But the fact he is a very large favorite now doesn’t make McGregor any less likely to win. It only confirms our belief in this fight that he is likely to make short work of an opponent he easily defeated the first time around, needing only 1:46 to take care of business. Maybe this one goes longer, but the result will remain the same and that’s McGregor getting his hand raised. In his only fight of 2020, he won in just 40 seconds against Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone, so there is no reason to believe there’s any sort of decline. For all the talk about Poirier being “better” this time around, he’s clearly still not on McGregor’s level. Play on MCGREGOR AAA |
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01-23-21 | Jessica Eye v. Joanne Calderwood -111 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 102 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CALDERWOOD Two Women’s Flyweights go at it here with #7 Joanne Calderwood taking on #6 Jessica Eye. Calderwood is 14-5 overall in her career with a 6-5 record in UFC while Eye is 15-8 overall and has a losing 5-7 record in UFC. Calderwood lost what was a bad matchup for her the last time out, getting submitted by Jennifer Maia in the first round. She was originally supposed to challenge for the title, but the pandemic scrapped that plan and taking on Maia was unwise in retrospect. But we like her chances of bouncing back against Eye, who is also off a loss and had a particularly rough 2020 dealing with gallbladder surgery and a staph infection. Eye has never beaten a fighter the caliber of Calderwood before and we don’t think it happens now. Play on CALDERWOOD AAA |
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01-23-21 | Warriors +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-127 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Utah is on a 7-0 SU/ATS run here, but actually had to rally from a double digit deficit to win against New Orleans Thursday night. We were glad to see that seeing as we were on the Jazz, but it’s time to reverse course Saturday when Golden State comes to town. As good as Utah has been recently, not sure it’s going to continue over the course of the season. They’ve beaten some bad teams during this win streak. Against opponents that come in at .500 or better, they are just 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the spread. Golden State hasn’t done well as a favorite so far, but the last time they were an underdog, they upset the Lakers Monday night. That was a Lakers team that, like the Jazz here, were on a big winning streak. The Warriors suffered an embarrassing defeat in their last game, to the Knicks, and you know they’re going to want to bounce back from that. Before that, they’d not only beaten the Lakers, but also the Spurs by 22 points. Take the points in this matchup. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-23-21 | Canadiens -145 v. Canucks | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MONTREAL Montreal and Vancouver play their third consecutive game on Saturday and you have to wonder if this will be as high scoring as the previous two. The Canucks drew “first blood” on Wednesday, winning 6-5, only for the Canadiens to bounce back with a 7-3 victory on Thursday. Following an off-day, the two Canadian teams are back at it and our money is with the Habs as Vancouver has given up at least three goals in all six of its games and five or more four times. Montreal is 3-0 if they scored 4 or more goals in their last game, which they just did. They’ve secured a point in every game so far, meaning they’ve yet to be beaten in regulation. Tyler Toffoli is dominating his former team with five goals in the two games including a hat trick on Wednesday. The Canucks are 14-30 when facing a team that scored at least five goals in its last game. Play on MONTREAL AAA |
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01-23-21 | Duke +3.5 v. Louisville | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DUKE Duke simply has not been good this year as they are 5-4 SU and 1-8 ATS. Dealing with COVID-19 hasn’t helped and here the Blue Devils hope to avoid an 0-3 road trip when they head to Louisville. The home team has its own problems right now as they’ve also lost two in a row, though the last one came at home to Florida State by 13 points. Only one of these traditional powers can get off the mat Saturday and it’s interesting that this is just the second time this season that Duke is an underdog. We’re seeing value in the number here. This is the first time they’ve lost two straight and you’ve got to think they’ll shoot better as a team here than they did vs. Pitt earlier in the week. Jalen Johnson had a monster effort in that game, going for 24 points, 15 rebounds, seven assists, four blocks and zero turnovers. Duke is the more talented team here. Louisville does not shoot the three well and actually trailed Florida State 40-16 in the first half on Monday. The road team has won the last two times these schools have faced off. Why can’t it be three in a row? Play on DUKE AAA |
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01-23-21 | NC State +6.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NC STATE North Carolina State is in desperation mode here as they’re off to an 0-3 start to 2021. Fortunately for the Wolfpack, this is a down year in the ACC and rival UNC isn’t doing much better. The Tar Heels are just 1-6 ATS in ACC play and that includes a 79-76 loss in Raleigh right before Christmas. North Carolina has won four of its last five games straight up, however all of those wins came by seven or less and two were by a combined three points. So this team isn’t winning by any kind of margin right now and we’ll back the underdog. This is NC State’s 1st game in 10 days due to a pair of COVID-19 postponements. Last time we saw them, we faded and boy was that a smart decision as they lost by 32 at Florida State, 105-73 as a 3.5-point underdog. There’s no way to dress that loss up, but we see no reason why the Wolfpack should be getting more points from UNC than they were from FSU. Prior to that season-worst showing, NC State’s last four games had all been decided by five or less. Florida State somehow shot 70.7% against them, something no future opponent will do, including UNC. They’ve beaten the Tar Heels once and can do it again. Play on NC STATE AAA |
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01-23-21 | Auburn v. South Carolina UNDER 155.5 | Top | 109-86 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Auburn comes into this game having covered four straight, but they’ve won straight up just twice in the last seven tries. It was a disappointing 75-73 loss at Arkansas earlier in the week and now they head to South Carolina to face a Gamecocks team who is in no better shape. South Carolina has been battling COVID issues all season as coach Frank Martin is just now returning from his second absence. The Gamecocks seemingly are finally healthy now, though they’ve lost two in a row, both on the road. Auburn is also as close to full strength as they’ve been all year with Sharife Cooper having rejoined the lineup on January 9th. Cooper has made the Tigers a more explosive team offensively as they’ve scored 90 or more twice since his arrival. But Martin’s South Carolina teams always seem to give Auburn some trouble. Auburn has lost three in a row here in Columbia - by an average of 13.3 points/game. The Gamecocks are great at defending the three-point line (30.7% allowed), getting rebounds (1st in SEC) and forcing turnovers (16.6 per game). So this could very well be a fairly low-scoring affair. Auburn is one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country, which helps when playing the Under. The Tigers are 6-2 Under as underdogs this season. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-22-21 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COL -1.5 (Puck Line) Colorado lost last night in Los Angeles, 4-1. That was a very shocking result when you consider the Avs were -230 on the money line and had just beaten the Kings two days earlier. Now it’s onto Anaheim where they’ll face a Ducks team that has scored a league-low six goals in four games. Considering the Avalanche scored eight goals in one game, this would appear to be a severe mismatch. Colorado had a 2-0 lead last night after jumping out to a 3-0 lead the game before. We expect them to win this one by multiple goals. Anaheim’s top two lines are really struggling right now and when you look at the preseason projections, you’ll see Colorado was pegged for the top of West while the Ducks were expected to be at the bottom. The Avs have won the last five times they’ve been off a game where they scored two goals or less. Play on COLORADO -1.5 AAA |
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01-22-21 | Nuggets v. Suns OVER 217.5 | Top | 130-126 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Denver has won back to back games only two times this season. That’s what they’ll be trying to do tonight in Phoenix as the Nuggets are off a 119-101 win against Oklahoma City on Tuesday. They’re now 7-7 SU on the year and going by point differential, you’d think they should be better than that. Phoenix picked up right where it left off in the bubble with a 5-1 start, but has gone just 3-4 since. Yet they too are off a win as it was 109-103 at Houston Wednesday, ending a five-game trip on a positive note. The Suns only broke 110 points once on that trip and have done that just twice in the past nine games. But they average 111.7 at home and we look for an offensive breakthrough tonight. At the same time, Denver is averaging 116.8 on the road. So this total appears to be way too low. The Over has hit six of the last seven times the Nuggets have been an underdog. It’s 38-17-3 their last 58 overall. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-22-21 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Texas-Arlington | Top | 66-59 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UT ARLINGTON Texas Arlington watched its three-game win streak come to an end last Saturday as they fell into a huge halftime hole against Louisiana and never recovered. Now 3-3 in the Sun Belt, the Mavericks are tied with the team they face tonight, Little Rock, in the West Division. Little Rock has dropped three of four including two to first place Texas State last weekend. Three of those four games, including the one win, were decided by four points or less. But the pointspread won’t be a factor tonight and we don’t think the Trojans have enough offense to keep pace. They are 1-6 ATS playing with five or six days rest. They are also 4-13 ATS off their last 17 conference losses. TX-Arlington averages 87.8 points/game at home this year so they must be respected here and we don’t see them losing for a third time this season to Little Rock. Those first two games, played at the start of 2021, were played in Little Rock. The Trojans starting PG (Nowell) is suspended. Play on UT ARLINGTON AAA |
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01-22-21 | Cal Poly v. Cal-Irvine -16.5 | Top | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UC IRVINE Cal Poly is not a good team, something that should be readily apparent via their 2-8 won-loss record. The Mustangs show up tonight on a six-game losing streak and the last five (losses) have all come by at least 13 points. They are also 0-5-1 ATS during the losing streak. Their only two wins were against a non-board team (Bethesda) back in November and San Jose State last month. San Jose State is a dreadful team and they only won that game by 4. The Mustangs have five losses by at least 17 points this year. So Cal Irvine has to be licking its chops Friday as they look to continue to a four-game win streak.This is the Anteaters first game in almost two weeks, so they’re fresh. Meanwhile, Cal Poly lost twice at home last week. On the road, they are barely scoring 50 points/game! Cal Irvine is 4-0 at home, averaging 84.2 points while giving up only 58.0. Expect a very one-sided affair. Play on UC IRVINE AAA |
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01-22-21 | Wright State v. IUPU-Indianapolis UNDER 147.5 | Top | 95-65 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
THIS IS A 10* ON UNDER Though it’s an early start time Friday (Noon local), we expect Wright State to “show up” for this Horizon League tilt. Despite its current second place standing, the Raiders are probably the best team in this conference as they demonstrated last week when they crushed 1st place Cleveland State by 36. WSU allowed just 49 points in that game and shouldn’t have much trouble slowing down an IUPUI team that averages only 60.0 points at home. But the “catch” here is that IUPUI is only allowing 63.3 points/game at home. The Jaguars upset Northern Kentucky twice last week, winning 74-69 and 65-63 as an underdog of eight and seven points respectively. Those wins came on the road too. They’ve played just seven games because of COVID and the last two at home were played three weeks ago, both vs. Cleveland State. They allowed 59 and 65 points those two games. The Under has hit in all three IUPUI games this season. From a field goal percentage standpoint, Wright State’s defense is as good as it gets, limiting foes to 37.6. This should be a low-scoring, early game. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-21-21 | Pelicans v. Jazz -7 | Top | 118-129 | Win | 101 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UTAH We learned our lesson in the previous matchup between these teams, which went down Tuesday and saw the Jazz emerge victorious by a score of 118-102. They covered the spread too, as 6.5-point favorites. It was the sixth straight win and cover for a Utah team that is playing as well as anyone in the league right now. We had the Pelicans Tuesday, but not again here as they can’t seem to buy a victory with just one in the previous seven games. In its last five games, Utah has given up an average of just 94.2 points. New Orleans hasn’t been good offensively, save for the win against Sacramento, who happens to be the worst defensive team in the NBA. The Jazz have become absolutely lethal from behind the three-point line, a fact the Pelicans know all too well as they helplessly watched the Jazz make 21 3PA on Tuesday. It was the fourth time in the last six games Utah made at least 20 threes! This is very much the third best team in the West right now. Play on UTAH AAA |
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01-21-21 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Kings | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
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01-21-21 | Indiana v. Iowa -10 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* on IOWA Iowa is a really good basketball team. Ranked #4 in the country (and deservedly so), the Hawkeyes have won five straight games and covered the spread in all five. Four of the five wins have come by double digit margins. Tonight they host an Indiana team that is coming off a very disappointing home loss to Purdue last Thursday. The Hoosiers were four-point favorites in that one and expected to snap a 7-game losing streak to the Boilermakers, but instead were dealt an 81-69 defeat. They were then supposed to play Michigan State on Sunday, but that was postponed. While shooting just 3 of 18 from behind the 3-point line certainly hurt against Purdue, a much graver concern tonight for IU is the fact they’ve surrendered an average of 78.7 points the last three games. Iowa is as good as it gets offensively, leading the Big 10 in scoring at 92.2 points/game. They’ve got a Player of the Year candidate in Luke Garza and have covered 10 of the 12 games they’ve been favored in this season. Lay it! Play on IOWA AAA |
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01-21-21 | Devils v. Islanders -145 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the ISLANDERS Every Islanders game this season has been a shutout and good for them that they’ve come out on the winning end in two of the three. The two games vs. the Rangers couldn’t possibly have gone any more different as they won the first one 4-0, then lost the second 5-0. It was a surprise 1-0 win over Boston on Monday and now they host the Devils, who split with Boston to start the year and then beat the Rangers 4-3 on Tuesday. With the two teams producing identical 2-1 records against common opponents, you may not see much of an edge here, but we do as the Isles are 5-1 head to head with the Devils the previous two seasons. Goaltender Semyon Varlamov has opened the season with two shutouts and he is expected to be back between the pipes tonight. New Jersey easily could have lost both games to Boston and is giving up a ton of shots so far, including an alarming 50 to the Rangers Tuesday night. Play on NY ISLANDERS AAA |
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01-20-21 | Sharks v. Blues -179 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -179 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ST. LOUIS The Blues are off to a 2-1 start after beating the Sharks 5-4 in the first of these two meetings. They rallied back from deficits of 2-0 and 3-2 to take a 4-3 lead in the third period and got the game winner late in the third period. That the Blues have been successful thus far in spite of poor special teams play should be taken as a positive. Their 0 for 9 start on the power play is not likely to continue and a leaky penalty kill (just 6 of 14) is likely to be shored up. They are getting offensive contributions from a wide array of players, 16 of which have at least one point. The 8-0 loss to Colorado sticks out like a sore thumb, but it was just one game and will be forgotten in a matter of days. San Jose has allowed at least three goals in every game so far, losing twice, and this is their fourth straight road game to open the season. Neither goaltender has played well so far and this club is just 17-36 its previous 53 games as an underdog, including 1-7 L8 on the road. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
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01-20-21 | Pistons v. Hawks -5 | Top | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ATLANTA The Hawks are still looking to regain that early season form. Monday’s 108-97 win against Minnesota was definitely a “step in the right direction” and now they can get back to .500 with a win today over Detroit, which shouldn’t be difficult considering the Pistons are the worst team in the league. The spread isn’t even that high. Atlanta began the year 4-1 but has lost six of eight. Both wins were at home though and the Pistons have just one road win so far and it came against a severely depleted Miami Heat squad. Detroit is just 3-10 SU overall following a loss to the Heat on Monday. Atlanta won 128-120 when these teams played on December 28th and while they failed to cover, that’s because they were laying 11 points. The line is much shorter this time, probably due to recent form, but the Pistons very much remain a terrible team while we believe the Hawks are among the league’s most improved squads this season. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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01-20-21 | Markus Perez v. Dalcha Lungiambula -135 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LUNGIAMBULA We’ve got a couple of 185 pounders (Middleweights) here with Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2) taking on Markus Perez (12-4). While Perez has more career victories, he now has a losing record in the UFC (2-4). He’s dropped two in a row and was on the wrong end of a first round knockout back in October when he faced Dricus Du Plessis. That happened to be the first time Perez was stopped in his career, which is clearly on the downside. As for Lungiambula, this is his division debut as he drops down from Light Heavyweight (205 lbs). He’s 1-1 in the UFC, having won his debut against Dequan Townsend (a favorable matchup) with a knockout 42 seconds into the third round. But he could not overcome Magomed Ankalaev in November of 2019, that time tasting the cavas himself with a third round knockout loss. The reason for the long layoff between fights is COVID as he was originally set to fight in December. (It was his opponent, not him, that had COVID). Perez seems to get careless in his fights, which will leave him open to get knocked out again here. Look for Lumgiambula to have a successful debut at 185 lbs. Play on DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA AAA |
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01-19-21 | Pelicans +6 v. Jazz | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW ORLEANS The Jazz have looked really good of late, not only winning - but also covering - five in a row. The win streak began with an upset in Milwaukee, but since then it’s been four straight as favorites. They are laying points again tonight vs. a New Orleans team that just ended a five-game LOSING streak by defeating Sacramento 128-123 on Sunday. This is the first of two games these teams will play over the next three days. While it won’t be as easy for Pelicans to score here as it was Sunday, we still like them plus the points in this scenario as each of the previous four meetings have been close with two of them decided by just two points each. Just not convinced that Utah is as dominant as they’ve looked recently, plus this is kind of a letdown spot following the win in Denver Sunday, which was a big revenge game stemming from last year’s playoffs. The Jazz are only 2-2 SU at home. They are just 6-14-2 ATS L22 here. Three Pelicans topped 20 points on Sunday. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-19-21 | Devils v. Rangers -138 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NY RANGERS After experiencing two very different results against the Islanders, the Rangers will now host New Jersey in another tri-state battle. The Devils will take the split they had with the Bruins to start the year as they scored two goals in each game, both of which were decided by one goal and went into extra time. That’s very different from how the Rangers games went against the Islanders. After a dreadful 4-0 loss to open the year, the Blueshirts rallied back for a 5-0 win in the second game. The Devils easily could have lost both games to the Bruins as they got a late goal in regulation in the first one and then in the rematch, the game-winner came with just seconds left in OT. They were outshot in the two games, which were at home. The Devils are 4-22 SU their L26 Tuesday games while the Rangers are a perfect 9-0 following a game in which they allowed eight or more power play chances. Play on NY RANGERS AAA |
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01-19-21 | Ball State v. Miami-OH +4 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI OH Miami hosts Ball State for some Tuesday night “MACtion” and the RedHawks will be looking to bounce back from a 17-point defeat to their rivals (Ohio) last week. That loss took place on the road where the team is now 0-3 on the year and not looked good. But at home, the RedHawks have gone a solid 4-1. The one loss did come in conference play, vs. Buffalo, but a win their last time here (70-58 over N Illinois) was sufficient enough for us to believe they can win here, or at least cover the spread. Ball State is 6-5 SU but they’ve gotten to play N Illinois twice so far (N Illinois is very bad). Considering they’ve lost four games by double digits, the Cardinals don’t exactly appear to be a strong road favorite, a role they’ve been in only one other time this season … against (you guessed it) N Illinois. Miami does an excellent job at forcing turnovers and limiting second-chance opportunities. Their problem has been the opponents can’t seem to miss. In three league games, they’ve allowed a shooting percentage of 52.4, but our view is that number HAS to come down. Home team has covered four of the last five meetings and Miami is 11-4-1 ATS L16 as a home dog. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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01-18-21 | Kansas v. Baylor OVER 140.5 | Top | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Big game here with unbeaten Baylor (#2 in the country) taking on Kansas (#6). The Jayhawks will almost certainly be LOWER in the rankings by tipoff as they lost their most recent game, which was all the way back on Tuesday, 75-70 at Oklahoma State. Defensively speaking, the Jayhawks were terrible in that game as they gave up 37 fast-break points. They’ll need to be better against Baylor, but will it even matter? The Bears average 91.2 points/game in Waco and coming off two subpar offensive efforts, we see them regaining their touch tonight. The Bears’ defensive numbers are outstanding, but Kansas will be the best offensive team they’ll have faced so far. After playing Texas Tech on Saturday, how much will Baylor have left in the tank defensively? It’s a tough turnaround. The Over has hit in four of Kansas’ previous five games. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-18-21 | Bucks v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 123-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BROOKLYN This might be the last time this season we see Brooklyn as a home underdog. We’ll seize the opportunity. James Harden’s first game with the Nets probably couldn’t have gone much better as he notched a triple double and Kevin Durant scored 42 points. Admittedly, that was against the Magic. But having two players like Harden and Durant make the Nets a top three team in the league. Kyrie Irving, whose status is questionable, becomes more “expendable” with the arrival of Harden. While the Bucks have won seven of eight, three of those wins were versus Detroit. They too beat Orlando, as well as bad teams like Chicago and Cleveland. Really, the only “good” team they’ve beaten recently was Dallas on Friday and that win came by just three points. This is a big statement game for a Brooklyn team that has lost eight straight times at home to the Bucks. That streak ends tonight. Play on BROOKLYN AAA |
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01-18-21 | Bruins v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Bruins split their first two games, both of which were against New Jersey. They won the first one 3-2 only to lose the rematch 2-1. It was a similar story for the Islanders against the Rangers. The Isles won the first (game) 5-0 and then lost the second 4-0. Another commonality here is that all four games these teams have played have gone Under. Look for that to change Monday. The big problem for the home team is that goalie Semyon Varlamov got hurt in warmups Saturday. His backup, Ilya Sorokin, did not play well though he wasn’t helped by turnovers. No word on who will be between the pipes tonight, but either way we don’t like their chances. Boston’s goaltending situation is more secure, but the Islanders are certainly capable of scoring in bunches, which we saw in the opener. The Over is 8-1 in the Bruins’ past nine Monday games. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-18-21 | Spurs v. Blazers +2 | Top | 125-104 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND San Antonio and Portland’s recent form is quite similar as both won Saturday in come from behind fashion. The Spurs have five of their last seven games while the Blazers have won five of six. In both cases, strong play at the defensive end keyed the Saturday victories. The Spurs actually found themselves down double digits in the first half to a very undermanned Houston squad (who had just eight players suit up) before taking control late. Portland trailed Atlanta by seven at the break but allowed just 20 points in the third and fourth quarters. We side with the home team in this MLK Day afternoon game. The Spurs have been strong on the road (5-2) thus far, but did lose at Minnesota as a favorite. We found it curious to see them favored in this one. Maybe that’s because of the injuries, but Damian Lillard is still here and his 36 points led the way vs. Atlanta. The Spurs are just 8-20-1 ATS their last 29 games as a favorite. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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01-17-21 | Pelicans v. Kings OVER 227 | Top | 128-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Two struggling teams will go at it Sunday night with the Kings hosting the Pelicans. Sacramento has lost two straight and seven of nine. Even in those two victories - 128-124 over Chicago and 127-122 over Indiana, it’s pretty easy to pinpoint what the problem is. This team is very bad defensively. They are last - by a significant margin - in defensive efficiency, which means no team is giving up more points per possession. They have allowed at least 122 points in eight of those last nine games. That’s not good. Nor is a five-game losing streak for New Orleans, who has allowed an average of 114 points during that time. The Pelicans had gone Over in five straight before running into the Lakers, who lead the league in defensive efficiency, Friday night. This game should mark a return to high-scoring ways. Six of the last seven times these teams have met, the game has gone Over. The Pelicans did shoot 60% in the first half vs. the Lakers. The Over is 6-1 in Sacramento’s past seven home games. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -148 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Welcome to the 2021 NHL Season, Florida! The Panthers were supposed to open up with two games vs. Dallas, but those got postponed. So now they open up with two home games vs. Chicago, the second of which will be Tuesday. These are new division rivals based on the NHL’s COVID-induced realignment. The Blackhawks are not liking this new division setup as they have started 0-2 with both losses coming at Tampa Bay. They allowed 10 goals in the two games. Florida will look much different than they did last year as they made sweeping changes to the roster as they said goodbye to several veteran players. Being fresher than Chicago is an advantage for tonight. Chicago is not 100 percent as Jonathan Toews is out as are three other regulars: Brent Seabrook, Alexander Nylander and Kirby Dach. They are also a young team, just like Florida. This realignment somewhat benefits the Panthers as they will get plenty of games against the Blackhawks and Red Wings, two of the worst teams in the league. Chicago has lost its last six games as a road underdog. Play on FLORIDA AAA |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 5 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NEW ORLEANS The old adage “it’s hard to be the same team three times in one season” is kind of a lie. Teams that swept the regular season games have gone 14-8 straight up in the playoff meeting. That’s the situation New Orleans is in here. They beat Tampa Bay 34-23 in Week 1 and then 38-3 in Week 9. They are playing this game at home where they just easily defeated Chicago in the Wild Card Round, 21-9. The only touchdown given up by the Saints defense came with no time left on the clock. The last three weeks have seen them allow just 212 rush yards total. They are giving up just 306.8 yards per game this year. The last two games, the Saints have allowed only 16 points. This defense always does a good job of containing Tampa Bay’s best receiver Mike Evans. Though it wasn’t a banner game for the offense against the Bears, they are now fully healthy on that side of the ball and should be better this week. Don’t see the Saints losing at home. They have covered the last four times as home favorites. In games against teams with winning records, the Buccaneers have lost four of five. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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01-17-21 | Browns v. Chiefs OVER 57 | Top | 17-22 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Browns were fortunate to jump out to a 28-0 lead on the Steelers last week and held on for a 48-37 win. Pittsburgh turning the ball over five times played a key role in how the game started and obviously the final result. It is unlikely Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City will be so generous. After watching the Browns defense give up over 500 yards passing last week, Mahomes has to be licking his chops. Cleveland’s pass defense has been very bad all year against the deep ball, on third downs and at stopping tight ends. The Chiefs offense is prolific in all those areas. The Browns allowed Mason Rudolph to throw for over 300 yards, for crying out loud! Bottom line is what you should expect here is a lot of points by KC, who is off a bye and rested most starters in Week 17. But the thing is Cleveland will score too. They’ve now had three 40+ point games in the last six weeks! With Chubb and Hunt, they have the best rushing attack in the league. The Chiefs’ defense is 31st (2nd worst) against the run. Also, the Chiefs defense has been very bad in the red zone, giving up a TD on 77% of all trips. That was the highest percentage in the league. The Browns offense scores a TD on 74% of its red zone opportunities, which is third best. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-17-21 | Western Kentucky v. Marshall -2.5 | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MARSHALL These Conference USA teams are playing for the second time in three days. Only this time, the game is in Huntington, WV. On Friday, it was Western Kentucky winning at home, 81-73, to snap a 5-game ATS losing streak. The Hilltoppers are now 10-4 straight up, but only 4-10 against the spread. Marshall is now 7-3 SU and has not lost two straight this season. Off a loss, they’ve won by 14 and by 7. They are also 4-1 at home where they average 82.2 points/game. The big difference in Friday’s game came at the free throw line where WKU went 19 of 21 while Marshall was only 2 of 5. Now the home team, the Thundering Herd will not be facing a discrepancy like that again. They’ve lost four straight to WKU, so the revenge angle goes beyond just Friday. It’s not like Marshall is a drastically inferior side. In fact, they are favored, a role they’ve won in 35 of the past 47 times. With such a short number, we won’t hesitate to lay it as WKU has not covered two straight games since it opened the season 2-0. Also, the Hilltoppers are 0-2 this season when facing a team for the second time. They failed to sweep both La Tech and Charlotte after winning the first game of a two-game set. Play on MARSHALL AAA |
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01-16-21 | Ravens v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 3-17 | Loss | -107 | 45 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Snow is a possibility Saturday night in Buffalo, but as we’ve seen countless times before, the public often overreacts to that when it comes to betting the total. Both the Ravens and Bills can score in bunches and we don’t think the “white stuff” is going to be able to stop either team. Baltimore averages 28.7 points/game on the year. They only scored 20 last week, but had averaged 37.2 the previous five games. Buffalo averages 31.1 points/game on the year. The Ravens defense did a great job last week containing Derrick Henry, but the Bills’ passing attack may prove more difficult to contain. Josh Allen was 4th in the league in completion percentage and has been exceptional against the blitz (which the Ravens like to do), throwing a league high 17 TD passes against it. But the Bills need to be concerned about their own defense, which just allowed 472 yards to the Colts last week. They gave up 163 rushing and 309 passing. Lamar Jackson is likely to have another big game this week after running for over 100 yards vs. the Titans. Bills games are 12-4-1 to the Over this season, which is the second highest Over percentage in the league. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-16-21 | Pistons v. Heat -2 | Top | 120-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI The Pistons didn’t play last night because their scheduled opponent (Washington) didn’t have enough players. Tonight they are set to face another team ravaged by COVID, Miami, who has had eight players miss the previous two games. Despite that disadvantage, the Heat hung tough in both games vs. Philadelphia. The first game went to overtime and while the second was a 17-point loss, we think they’re better than that. If there was ever a team the Heat could hope to face here, it would be Detroit, who is NOT better than its 2-9 record. Their only two wins have been by a total of eight points and in one of them, they trailed by 20+ before storming back to win in overtime. To be fair, the Pistons were expected to be the worst team in the East this year. Our view is that Miami takes this game very seriously and their skeleton crew will still be able to defeat the team with the worst record in the league. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 41 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GREEN BAY This is just a bad draw for the Rams as they head to the cold of Lambeau Field in Green Bay. While their top ranked defense was able to shut down Russell Wilson and the Seahawks last week, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have the advantage of coming off a bye. The truth is Seattle’s offense had been in decline for some time. Green Bay led the NFL in points scored with Rodgers having a MVP season. He’s 6-0 ATS in his career against the Rams. Los Angeles is really banged up - on both sides of the football. Aaron Donald will play, but is less than 100 percent and no offensive line succeeded more in both pass blocking and run blocking than the Packers. Them facing an injured Donald is a big break. So is the Rams QB situation from the perspective of the Green Bay defense. John Wolford has been ruled out, which means Jared Goff and his broken thumb gets the start. Goff was not particularly effective in last week’s Wild Card win and WR Cooper Kupp is questionable to play here. This will be the Rams’ 4th consecutive big game while the Packers are rested. Teams off an upset win in the Wild Card Round have gone just 25-35 ATS in the Divisional Round. Goff has never won a game in his career when the temperature was below freezing. Don’t forget the Rams lost to the Jets last month. The Packers are simply better. Play on GREEN BAY AAA |
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01-16-21 | Matt Brown v. Carlos Condit -175 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 7* on CONDIT Two veterans of the fight game square off in this fight on UFC on ABC 1. Carlos Condit is 31-13 in his MMA career, but now has a losing record (8-9) in the UFC thanks to a five-fight losing streak from 2016-18. But in his lone bout over the last two years, he rebounded to defeat Court McGee by decision last October. Condit is a decent-sized favorite here, which should tell you something, as he faces Matt Brown, who is 22-17 overall after dropping six of his last eight fights. Brown last fought in May when he was stopped by Miguel Baeza, early in the second round. It was the fourth time in his last six fights that Brown was beaten inside the distance. These two veterans should provide an entertaining fight, but we expect Condit to get his hand raised as he’s got the confidence of being off a recent win. Play on CONDIT AAA |
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01-16-21 | Wofford v. Chattanooga +2 | Top | 77-59 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHATTANOOGA This is a key battle in the Southern Conference, especially from Chattanooga’s perspective. The Mocs were 9-0, but have dropped three of five to fall into sixth place in the standings. All three losses have been by five points or less, so it’s not like they’ve played a bad game. On Wednesday, they did defeat Mercer 83-80 and now get a shot at one of the teams ahead of them in the standings, Wofford. The Terriers are also coming off a narrow win, theirs by just two points (80-78) over VMI. This will be their third consecutive road game as they also defeated NC Greensboro by three (48-45) in a much different style game from the one vs. VMI. Three road games in seven days is a tough ask in any league and considering Wofford could easily be 0-2 on this trip, we say “their time is up” today. Chattanooga is 29-14 ATS L43 as an underdog including 4-0 this year. They are a more veteran team compared to Wofford, who has failed to cover the spread off their previous four wins (were -6 vs. VMI). Play on CHATTANOOGA AAA |
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01-16-21 | CS Bakersfield v. Hawaii -1 | Top | 60-55 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HAWAII Late night in Honolulu we get Hawaii hosting Cal State Bakersfield. This will be just the fifth game of the year of the home team. The first two were against non-Division I opponents, both of whom also hailed from “the island.” Those games were played in mid-December. The Warriors finally returned to the court last weekend with a pair of games at UC Riverside. They split the pair, winning the first one by five and losing the second by two. But they covered both, as a six and five point underdog, respectively. It’s basically a pick ‘em tonight and we don’t agree with that, even though CS Bakersfield has won its last three games. One of those three wins was on the road, but overall the Roadrunners are just 2-4 away from home compared to 5-0 at home. Hawaii has the best home court advantage in the Big West and if not for a last second shot by UC Riverside in the last game, the Warriors very well could have gone on to win that game and still be undefeated. This will be Cal State Bakersfield’s 1st trip to Honolulu as a member of the Big West Conference. Play on HAWAII AAA |
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01-15-21 | Blues v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 0-8 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Let’s try this matchup again. We went with the Avs on Opening Night, but they were a 4-1 loser to the Blues, who they’ll face for a second time tonight. We were 2-0 last night on the ice and now shift to our 1st totals plays of the young season. With the new format, the Blues and Avalanche are going to become quite familiar with one another. They already are, having finished 1-2 in the “old” Central Division last season. While it’s difficult to believe the Avs get held to just one goal again here, it’s equally unlikely that St. Louis will score four goals again. The Under is 21-9 in Blues’ road games where the total is 6.0 or higher. Turnovers by the Avalanche were what led to the Blues’ goals on Wednesday. We expect them to clean that problem up. Play on UNDER AAA |
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01-15-21 | Mavs v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Milwaukee is on a real roll right now and seems poised to take control of the Eastern Conference for a third straight regular season. Wednesday’s 110-101 win in Detroit was the team’s third straight and sixth victory in the last seven games. Tonight presents a challenge though as they host a Dallas team that’s won and covered four straight. Expect lots of points from this matchup. While recent games - for both teams - have been a little lower-scoring than usual, look at who they’ve faced. The Bucks have played Detroit three times in the last six games while also facing Orlando and Cleveland. Dallas just faced Orlando and Charlotte. The Bucks are averaging 122.8 points/game at home and that average, if hit here, should ensure an Over by itself. You have to figure the Mavs are going to exceed 100 points as well as they’ve done so in all but two games, both of which were at home. The two times these teams played last year, there were 236 and 268 combined points scored (Dallas actually won both!). We don’t need that many, but the Mavs and Bucks are certainly capable of producing a game like that yet again. The Over is 22-4 the Bucks’ last 26 games vs. an opponent that has a winning record (Mavs are currently 6-4). Play on OVER AAA |
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01-14-21 | Warriors +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GOLDEN STATE Denver was looking at a possible third consecutive win on Tuesday when they faced Brooklyn. Things started off well enough as the Nuggets jumped out to an 18-point lead in that game. But they blew it and ended up losing 122-116, thereby denying them a winning record. They’ve yet to be over .500 at any point this season, a disappointment after finishing 2nd and 3rd in the Western Conference each of the previous two seasons. Tonight, they’ll play host to the Warriors, who are a game over .500 as they look to rebound from a dismal 2019-20 campaign. Golden State also lost Tuesday, 104-95 to Indiana, as they too squandered a halftime lead. But only one of these teams can bounce back tonight in the second game of the TNT doubleheader. We’re siding with the Warriors, mainly due to the fact Denver is just 3-6 ATS as a favorite so far. Defensively, Golden State has been better than Denver this season and we see Steph Curry possibly “going off” here after being held to 20 points or fewer in three of the last four games. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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01-14-21 | Canucks v. Oilers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON The NHL’s seven Canadian teams have all been grouped into one division for the 2020-21 season. This is a rematch from last night when Vancouver shocked Edmonton 5-3 as a +130 underdog. Blame for the loss can squarely be placed on the Oilers’ defensive breakdowns, something not lost on coach Dave Tippett. "Poor puck play and poor reads led to grade-A chances against. Give enough of them and they're going to capitalize," a seething Tippett said. "If we want to be a better team, a harder team to play against, those have to come out of our game." Look for those issues to be “shored up” tonight as Edmonton looks to bounce back and avoid what would be an embarrassing start to the season. They did come back to tie the game twice last night despite getting only one point from McDavid and Draisaitl - combined. The Canucks played without JT Miller, who led them in goals and points last season. Edmonton is 5-1 L6 after allowing 5+ goals the previous game. Vancouver is 1-5 the L6 times they’ve been in the second game of a back to back. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
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01-14-21 | Pepperdine v. Gonzaga -25.5 | Top | 70-95 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GONZAGA Gonzaga’s exploits need little introduction at this point as the #1 team in the country has won its 12 games by an average of nearly 23 points. They lead the country in scoring, averaging a ridiculous 96.1 points/game. The latest victim is going to be Pepperdine, who visits Spokane tonight. The Waves are simply not up to this task as they haven’t even played since Christmas and their last two games have been losses by 28 (to Cal State Bakersfield) and by 12 (to Cal Santa Barbara). Those losses were both at home. In fact, this is going to be just their second road game of the season. Gonzaga just hung 116 points on Portland its last time out. The only reason they did not cover is because they were asked to lay 32.5 points! (They won by 28). Pepperdine actually covered both meetings last season, but as you’d expect it’s Gonzaga that’s dominated the rivalry. The Zags have beaten Pepperdine 39 straight times going back to 2002 and haven’t lost at them at home since 1998! The straight up result is obviously in little doubt tonight, so it comes down to whether or not Mark Few’s team can cover the number. We think they will as a team that loses by 28 at home to Cal State Bakersfield is up against it here. Play on GONZAGA AAA |
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01-14-21 | Bruins -170 v. Devils | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 7* on BOSTON New division rivals face off here with Boston taking on New Jersey. It certainly appears as if the oddsmakers opened this line way too low as we’ve already seen the Bruins “shoot up” to a much higher price. They’re still worth the investment even at the current price. This is a team that’s made the playoffs 11 of the last 13 seasons and is a perennial Cup contender. New Jersey has missed the playoffs seven of the last eight years and while there’s some promise here, the Devils simply aren’t on the Bruins level … yet. Boston allowed the fewest goals in the league last season. There were some losses along the blue line that may impact the number of goals allowed, but you should still expect the B’s to rank among the league leaders in that department as long as goalie Tuukka Rask is still around. The Devils started last season very poorly, losing 22 of their first 31 games, so they can’t be trusted. Boston has won 26 of the previous 33 meetings. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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01-14-21 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal -177 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -177 | 49 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARSENAL Arsenal might only be 11th in the table, but there’s no denying the fact that they are one of the hotter teams in the entire Premier League right now. Thursday, they’ll be looking to make it four wins in a row for the first time since 2018. They’ve actually won four straight across all competitions when you include Saturday’s FA Cup win against Newcastle. They haven’t conceded in any of the last three. Up next for the Gunners is a date with Crystal Palace, which should be another three points as CP is below them in the standings. It was a five-match winless run in the Premier League for CP before defeating last place Sheffield United their last time out. They are also out of the FA Cup after a 1-0 loss to Wolverhampton last weekend. There have been some surprise victories this season, but not here against a side in such top form. Play on ARSENAL AAA |
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01-13-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -134 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COLORADO This is going to be a very unique NHL season. The league has been realigned into four new divisions with an emphasis on geography and every game will be within the division. The season has been shortened from 82 to 56 games. St. Louis and Colorado remain division foes and each has its eye on the Stanley Cup, something the Blues won two years ago. But the Avalanche are the better team now and very well could have made it to the Finals last year had it not been for injuries between the pipes. They figure to be one of the better teams in the league this season. Nathan MacKinnon is as good as it gets and anchors arguably the top line in the sport. Brandon Saad came over from Chicago. Cale Makar patrols the blue line and most importantly both goalies are now healthy. Look for two points on Opening Night. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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01-13-21 | Texas Tech +3.5 v. Texas | Top | 79-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
analysis soon |
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01-13-21 | Bucks -10 v. Pistons | Top | 110-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 9* on MILWAUKEE The Bucks have really had the Pistons number the last few seasons. They’ve won 13 in a row over their Central Division rivals with two of those victories coming last week. Most of the games haven’t been close either. The Bucks have gone 11-1-1 ATS in those 13 straight wins and the two last week were by 10 and 15 points. They didn’t cover the first one as they were huge 16-point favorites. The number is a lot more advantageous tonight in Detroit. It’s not like there’s much of a home court advantage for the Pistons. They just lost here on Sunday, 96-86 to the Jazz. Detroit has just two wins, one of which was in overtime after they overcame a 23-point deficit. They are one of the worst teams in the league while the Bucks very much remain the best. No team can touch the Bucks’ league-leading point differential and/or net efficiency rating. They are averaging 121.9 points/game while allowing only 110.3. All seven wins have come by double digits. No reason this shouldn’t be #8. Play on MILWAUKEE AAA |
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01-13-21 | NC State v. Florida State -4 | Top | 73-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 9* on FSU Florida State and NC State have some things in common. Both are 0-3 ATS their last three games. Both are off a loss. NC State has dropped two in a row, one of those coming against Clemson, who also beat FSU. But something will have to give Wednesday night in Tallahassee and we believe it will be the home team breaking through. There’s no shame in losing to Clemson (as NC State knows) and that was the Seminoles’ first road game of the season. It was also just their second loss, the only other one being a shocker at the hands of UCF. The Clemson game took place all the way back on 12/29 as Covid 19 has claimed their last two scheduled games. So it will be an angry home team tonight that hasn’t taken the floor in over two weeks. NC State has played three times since FSU last took the floor and coming off back to back close losses (both by five points or less), the Wolfpack are at a disadvantage. NC State has covered only one of its last six games. If not for inactivity, FSU would likely still be a Top 25 team. Lay it! Play on FLORIDA STATE AAA |
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01-12-21 | Cal-Riverside v. USC -14.5 | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on USC USC has been rolling of late and we don’t see that stopping tonight as they step outside Pac 12 play for a home game against UC Riverside Tuesday night. The Trojans have won their last three games by an average of almost 14 points per game. Those three wins were against teams that are all stronger than what they face here. UC Riverside does have a 15 point win over a Pac 12 team, Washington, but that was early in the year and the Huskies are not very good. After a month off due to Covid cancellations, the Highlanders have played two games, both against Hawaii, and they went 0-2 ATS in those games. It was a five-point loss and a two-point win, games that they were favored to win. USC is the best team they’ve faced so far and all-time they are 0-6 SU vs. the Trojans. USC does an outstanding job defensively and cleaning up the glass. Those advantages should be on full display here. Play on USC AAA |
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01-12-21 | Spurs v. Thunder +2.5 | Top | 112-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OKC Oklahoma City continues to be a great bet, especially when getting points, as they’ve won and covered each of their last three games - all of them as the underdog. The Thunder held the best ATS record in the league last season and are already off to a strong 6-3 start at the betting window this season. They are on a 48-25 ATS roll as underdogs and once again they’re getting points tonight as they host San Antonio. This isn’t the “Spurs of old” either. They just lost 96-88 in Minnesota Sunday, as a favorite, which was their fifth loss in eight games. They’ve been favored in only two games this season, those being the last two - both of which were vs. the Timberwolves. Not only did they lose outright on Sunday, but they failed to cover in a win Saturday. Tonight marks the end of a five-game road trip which began exactly seven days ago. So this is likely a tired team, one that is playing without DeMar DeRozan, the team leader in scoring and assists. Oklahoma City hasn’t won at home yet (0-3), but the fact they just went 4-1 SU on a five-game road trip tells us they are ready to. Grab the home team plus the points. Play on OKLAHOMA CITY AAA |
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01-12-21 | Kansas -3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on KANSAS Kansas has recovered nicely from the ugly loss to Texas that kicked off the new year. The 6th ranked Jayhawks have now won two straight, beating TCU by 29 on the road and Oklahoma by four at home. They are back on the road tonight against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys just won 70-54 at Kansas State and also recently upset Texas Tech on the road. But they’ve lost three of five since a 6-0 start. While all three losses came by no more than three points, we view them as being clearly outclassed tonight in Stillwater. Kansas has won the last five head to head meetings, doing so by an average of 14 points/game. OSU looks like they could be short-handed for this game as well. Four players are currently listed as questionable. Not ideal when taking on a team as good as Kansas. Play on KANSAS AAA |
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01-11-21 | Raptors v. Blazers -5 | Top | 111-112 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND After seeing them lose last night at Golden State, it’s pretty obvious that this Raptors team is a “far cry” from the one that won the NBA Championship just two years ago. It’s not just that they lost to the team they beat in the 2019 Finals, it’s a 2-7 start to this season. Kawhi Leonard is obviously long gone and this just isn’t the same team that lifted the Larry O’Brien Trophy. Probably the only positive coming out of last night is that Toronto snapped a streak of four straight games allowing 120 points or more. They did a good job keeping Steph Curry in check. But they still lost and were down 15 going into the fourth quarter! That’s a bad sign as they get ready to face a Portland team that was off Sunday. The Blazers have won two in a row by an average of 22 points/game. They’ve scored 122 or more in four of the last five games. The fact that the Raptors aren’t able to play any games in Toronto is going to continue to catch up with them and this team is 0-4 ATS so far coming off a straight up loss as a favorite (they were -2.5 at GSW). Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State +8 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -105 | 198 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO STATE We thought the Alabama-Notre Dame spread was too high and got a “back door” cover there. Similarly, we think this spread is too high. Ohio State played a remarkable game vs. Clemson, jumping all over the Tigers in the first half and beating them 49-28. This is a team that has not lost and has scored 38 or more in every game but one. Obviously, Covid is a concern for the Buckeyes going into this CFP Championship Game as is the health of QB Fields. But we still seem them sticking with the Crimson Tide. Don’t forget Nick Saban’s defense gave up 46 points in the SEC Championship Game. Buckeyes RB Trey Sermon is the key as he’s gone for more than 500 yards in the last two games. Back in 2014, a OSU team that wasn’t given much of a chance beat Bama 42-35 in the semifinal. The Buckeyes are as talented as any team in the country and not an underdog very often. The Clemson line never should have been that big. This one should be under a touchdown. OSU is 19-7 ATS L26 as a dog including 5-2 in the bowls. Alabama is just 1-4 ATS its last five bowl games. Play on OHIO STATE AAA |