Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-30-22 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6.5 | 27-24 | Loss | -125 | 127 h 16 m | Show | |
8* CHIEFS (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Experience matters at this point of the season. Home field advantage matters at this time of the year. Kansas City pulled away for the 42-36 OT win over Buffalo at home last weekend, while Cincinnati had to hold on for dear life to get past the Titans. This is a revenge game for the Chiefs as well after they fell 34-31 to the Bengals in Week 17. Does Cincinnati have any clear advantage in any single category at all in this contest? It doesn't, and I expect that to be very evident once the final whistle sounds. The future is bright for Joe Burrow and the Bengals, but the time is NOW for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs! AAA Sports |
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01-30-22 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +5.5 | Top | 60-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
10* ECU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The 14-6 Cincinnati Bearcats are going to get caught looking past the 11-8 ECU Pirates today in my opinion. David Dejulius averages 13.4 points and 2.4 assists for the Bearcats this season. They're coming off a road loss at Temple and I say they're now ripe for the picking. ECU plays with revenge here after falling 79-71 at Cincinnati at the start of January (that's important to note as ECU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss to an opponent.) Outright win?! Anything is possible! That said, let's grab the points for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | BYU v. Pacific +14 | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
8* PACIFIC. The 17-5 BYU Cougars are on the road to take on the 5-13 Pacific Tigers. BYU's 3 game win streak came to an end last time out in a loss to Santa Clara. Pacific plays with revenge here though after falling 73-51 on the road as a 17-point underdog. BYU averages 74 PPG, while allowing 68.8, while Pacific averages 65.1 PPG, while allowing 68.7. I say Pacific catches BYU at the right time here (also note that the Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss to an opponent!) AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | South Florida +6 v. Tulsa | 45-76 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
8* SOUTH FLORIDA. South Florida has a 6-12 record after falling 74-54 to SMU in its most recent outing. Tulsa is just 6-12 itself after dropping a 97-63 decision to Tulane. USF scores 89.4 points per 100 possessions while allowing 97.3, while Tulsa scores 101.8 points per 100 possessions while allowing 105.6. This is a very evenly matched game, and home-court advantage isn't a factor here in my opinion. The outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Pepperdine +20 v. St. Mary's | Top | 57-81 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 41 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE. Outright victory? I'm of course not calling for that. But I do think the lowly Waves can sneak in under the radar today. Pepperdine has lost 7 straight, most recently falling 64-56 to San Diego. The Gaels are going to get caught complacent here after their 72-70 upset win over San Francisco as a 2.5-point underdog. Pepperdine averages 67.2 PPG, while allowing 76.2, while Saint Mary's averages 72 PPG, while allowing 59.1. With a game at Portland up next, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half; no outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Kings v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL BOB) Sacramento is coming off a 121-104 loss to Atlanta to fall to 18-32, while the 76ers are off a 105-87 win over the Lakers to move to 29-19. Philadelphia got 26 points from Joel Embiid in the win. He's averaging 28.9 points per game. He'll be a matchup issue for Sacramento today. The Kings will be desperate though! They're on a 5-game losing streak, losing to the Rockets and Pistons during that stretch. Harrison Barnes had 24 points in the loss to ATL. I think Philly pushes the pace here. The Kings will be able to match tempo; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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01-29-22 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Oilers are averaging 3.21 goals per game, but they've struggled defensively, conceding 3.33. Thankfully for Edmonton today its defense catches a break facing this putrid Canadiens' offense that averages only 2.21 GPG. Yes, the Habs have been equally as terrrible defensively this season, allowing 3.79 GPG, but off a 3-2 shootout win at home over Nashville, I expect Edmonton to have its hands full here with this desperate home side that's off another tight loss, this time falling 5-4 at home to Anaheim. I don't think Edmonton will push the pace, instead it'll sit back and wait for Montreal to make the first mistake; expect this style of play to lead to a solid under as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Knicks +9.5 v. Bucks | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are struggling for varying reasons, but I think they can fly under the radar here and at the very least, make this one interesting for the home town crowd until the final moments. New York has lost 5 of its last 6 and it's now just 23-26 this year. The Knicks are dealing with many injuries and COVID problems (as are most teams.) On the other end of the court, the Bucks had their 3-game win streak snapped in a 115-99 defeat to Cleveland: “They played lights out tonight,” Milwaukee coach Mike Budenholzer assessed after. "I don’t know what the right analogy is, but they played really well. They beat us pretty good. Live ball turnovers is when transition defense is the toughest, and we made a lot of them.” The Bucks have a tougher game against Denver on Sunday, and they get caught looking ahead to that one; no outright, but closer than expected! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* PUCKLINE PLAY on Wings. The 18-19-5-1 Red Wings are coming off an 8-5 loss at home to Chicago. They've lost 3 straight, but with a game at home against Toronto tomorrow night, it'll be leaving everything on the ice here to avoid a 4th straight setback. Pittsburgh is off a 2-1 OT loss at Seattle in a late night West coast game just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! This is the first matchup of the season between the clubs. I say that Detroit catches the Penguins at a great time. The outright is possible, but let's grab the 1.5 goals on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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01-28-22 | Manhattan +6.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 51-77 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* MANHATTAN (MAULING) The Jaspers defeated Sienna 76-58 on Friday, with Jose Perez scoring 32-points. But Manhattan then lost 78-62 to Monmouth on Sunday. The Jaspers average 73.5 points per game, while Saint Peter's averages only 65.9. Saint Peter's is 8-7 overall this year, while Manhattan is 10-6. This is the first matchup of the year, but the Jaspers lost the last matchup 68-54 as 6.5-point dogs. I say they keep it a lot closer than that this time around; the outright is possible, but let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Warriors | Top | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) Outright win? That would be sweet if you're a Wolves fan. I mean, it's a very real possibility, as this spread isn't too large or anything. However, I think the safest call is to grab as many points as you can here for a couple different reasons. Both teams come in off wins. The Wolves pulled away for a 109-107 road win over Portland last time out, while Golden State handled the Mavericks 130-92 on Tuesday. Note though that GS is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 points or less in. They're also just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the West, while the Wolves are 6-2 ATS in the same position. With a much more high-profile game against Brooklyn at home here on Saturday night, I say the home side gets caught looking past its lowly opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Flames v. Blues -150 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* BLUES (EXPRESS) Calgary is off B2B blowout wins, but I think it'll have difficulties here in St. Louis. Most recently the Flames clobbered Columbus 6-0 on the road. St Louis though plays with revenge here after a 7-1 setback at Calgary just last week. The Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss of 5 or more goals to an opponent as well. Calgary is back home for a game against the Canucks next, so I think it gets caught looking ahead to that more winnable game. The Blus are 16-4-1 at home this year. Look for that streak to get added to tonight; lay the reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-27-22 | Illinois-Chicago +6.5 v. Detroit | Top | 67-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* BLUES (EXPRESS) Calgary is off B2B blowout wins, but I think it'll have difficulties here in St. Louis. Most recently the Flames clobbered Columbus 6-0 on the road. St Louis though plays with revenge here after a 7-1 setback at Calgary just last week. The Blues are 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss of 5 or more goals to an opponent as well. Calgary is back home for a game against the Canucks next, so I think it gets caught looking ahead to that more winnable game. The Blus are 16-4-1 at home this year. Look for that streak to get added to tonight; lay the reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 220 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EAST-CONFERENCE TOM) Common sense. Half the time I'll argue that just plain old common sense is the best way to approach and handicap a contest. Off a big 125-113 home win over Charlotte, I fully expect Toronto to stumble here in the 2nd game of the B2B. Chicago has struggled of late. It's off a 111-110 win at Oklahoma City. The Bulls though have been decimated with injuries and covid problems of late. Their scoring average has dropped of late and that'll again be an issue here against this methodical Toronto team. The Raptors play with revenge here after falling 111-108 at home as 2-point favs back in late October, but note that they've seen the total dip "under" in 7 of their last 9 in tying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it allowed 110 or more points in; this number is a tad high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Flames -180 v. Blue Jackets | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
8* FLAMES Calgary has won 2 of its last 3. It beat Florida 5-1 at home, then fell 5-3 at Edmonton, before then hammering the Blues 7-1 at home in its most recent. With a super tough game at St. Louis tomorrow night in the rematch, the Flames are going to lay a beating on Columbus tonight in my opinion. I expect a lop-sided outcome, meaning that I definitely have no issues laying this larger-than-normal price. Columbus has lost 3 of its last 4, most recently a 2-1 home loss to Ottawa. And with the Rangers coming to town tomorrow, the home side gets caught looking ahead; all things considered, a very fair price! AAA Sports |
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01-26-22 | Northwestern +8 v. Michigan | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG 10 GOY) Northwestern is 9-8 this season. while Michigan is 9-7. The Wildcats though are going to be eager to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss today, while I do think that Michigan could be caught a little complacent. Northwestern has indeed lost 2 in a row, but against 2 really good teams, losing 82-76 to 15-3 Wisconsin, before then dropping an 80-60 contest against 16-3 Purdue in its most recent. Boo Buie led the way in the loss with 17 points and three assists. Michigan is just 5-5 in its last 10, but it broke a 3-game slide with B2b victories, first beating Maryland 83-64, and then most recently pulling away for an 80-62 win at Indiana. The Wolverines shot a season-best 64.7 percent from the floor and Hunter Dickinson had 25 points and nine rebounds. But with a game at rival Michigan State this weekend in what will be one of the most highly anticipated Big Ten games of the season, I think that the Wolverines do finally get caught looking ahead here and take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal. I say this one MEANS more to the Wildcats; grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Oilers -125 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
10* OILERS (EXPRESS) Edmonton finally broke its 7-game slide with a big 5-3 home win over Calgary and I expect it to continue its climb back to the top of the mountain. Vancouver is off 2 straight losses. The Canucks have a difficult 5-game road trip to plan for starting on Thursday. I say they get caught looking ahead. The Oilers won the last matchup 2-1 back on October 30th, but all signs point to their superior and motivated offense finding the back of the net a few more times in the Pacific Northwest this evening; lay the price, the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 210 | Top | 92-130 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Two teams that could see each other in the playoffs collide in Golden State on Tuesday night and in my opinion, this one is just streaming "over!" The Mavs are off a lower-scoring 104-91 win over Memphis. Why is that important? Because Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 off a SU/ATS victory in which it held its opponent to 95 points or less in. Golden State is off 2 straight wins. It held on for a 94-92 win over Utah last time out. That's also noteworthy, as GS has seen the total go "over" in 10 of its last 13 off a SU victory in which it held its opponent to 95 or less points in. This is a revenge game for the Warriors as well after falling 99-82 in Dallas earlier in the season. All signs point the rematch being much more wide-open though. Yes, these teams have played to several "unders" of late, but now the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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01-25-22 | Michigan State v. Illinois -5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* ILLINOIS (BOB) Michigan State is off a huge win over a red hot Wisconsin team as a 5-point dog and I think it's now primed for a predictable letdown here. Illinois on the other hand has lost 2 in a row. Despite being 4-0 on the road, I like the Illini to bounce back here at home where they are 8-2 so far this season. The Spartans average 75.3 PPG, while the Illini average 79.3. Illinois though is essentially in a must win scenario here as it tries to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss. The setback to Maryland is a concern, but note that's 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -6.5-points range. I expect the "hungrier" home side to play with desperation, while everything points to a small letdown finally here for the surging Spartans; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | Blues v. Flames -135 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* FLAMES (GOW) St. Louis has been playing really well this year. It's won 8 of 10, including 3 straight. But because this is the opener of a home and home set, I really like the Flames to dig deep here and deliver in friendly confines. This is the first matchup of the year between the teams. Calgary though is desperate after dropping 7 of its last 10. It broke a 4 game slide with a 5-1 win over Florida, then 3 nights later fell 5-3 at Edmonton. The Flames will actually play at Columbus before their rematch in St. Louis on the 27th, but regardless Calgary is 5-1 in its last 6 off a road loss in which it allowed 5 or more goals in. I say Calgary digs deep and delivers in this crucial game; so lay this reasonable price! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans OVER 215 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOW) Are these two teams going to be in the playoffs this year? New Orleans certainly won't be. Indiana is struggling right now, but it still has an outside shot of making it. Neither team can be too happy where it sits in the standings right now. I expect this to be a competitive game, but one in which little defense is played. Both teams are dealing with injuries to star players, but that's only helped in dropping this total a few points lower than it normally would be. It's "next man up." Indiana averages 108.2 PPG, but fortunately for the Pels it concedes 109.1. It's been a weird season for Pacers and Pelicans fans. With nothing to lose for either side (except another game!), look for this more wide-open contest to produce some points; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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01-24-22 | CS Sacramento +2.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
10* SACRAMENTO STATE (GOW) The Sacramento State Hornets are 5-9 this year. The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks are 6-11. Two evenly matched teams here. This one's going to come down to the wire! The Hornets have lost 3 straight. Most recently it was a frustrating 73-72 OT loss to Idaho. Sacramento State averages 65.4 PPG, while allowing 70. It looked a lot better on both ends of the court last time out and I expect it to build. The Lumberjacks are off a listless 58-48 loss to Montana. They average 69.3 PPG, while allowing 72.7. Sacramento State though is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 following a SU loss and 4-1-1 ATS in is last 6 vs. teams with a win % below .400. Conversely, Northern Arizona is 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. You know what, I think that the outright upset is a very real possibility; however the official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Blues -153 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
8* BLUES (EXPRESS) St. Louis is 24-11-5, while Vancouver is 18-18-4. The Blues enter off a relatively simple 5-0 win at Seattle. They've now scored 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. They rank 7th in goals against as well. The Canucks come in on the other end of the spectrum, losers of 4 of their last 6. They've scored 2 goals or less in 6 of their last 9 games. They rank 10th overall defensively, but their lack of offensive punch is the issue here. Look for the streaking Blues to take advantage; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | 76ers v. Spurs OVER 222 | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The 76ers will be eager to return to form here after their listless 102-101 loss to the Clippers in their most recent action. The Spurs are off a 117-102 loss to Brooklyn as 1-point favs, so they won't be lacking motivation here either. Whe I bet on "overs" (in every sport), I make sure that both teams involved in the contest are motivated for some external reason. This particular contest falls directly into that category. Also note that the 76ers have seen the total go "over" the number in 10 of their last 13 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 105 or less points in. Expect this faster paced affair to fly "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Bills v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 36-42 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) This is a very interesting matchup. The first thing that comes to mind when you think of these two teams are their dynamic men under center. Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are both coming off big years, but each will need his respective "run game" to be established to find success today. The winner of this contest is going to win the game in the trenches. Ball control is going to be paramount. As will field position. Note as well that Tampa has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it allowed 40 or more points in. The writing is on the wall. This is going to be a nail-biter, but one that falls well "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Michigan +4 v. Indiana | Top | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BIG 10* GOM) The 8-7 Wolverines are hungry for another win here after defeating Maryland 83-64. The Hoosiers are 14-4, and off a tight 68-65 win over Purdue on Thursday. Both teams are among the best in the nation defensively. Each is pretty comparable on the offensive end. Clearly, Indiana has the home-floor advantage here, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last nine conference home games as a favorite in the -3.5 to -7.5 points range. Hunter Dickinson and the Wolverines on the other hand are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which they score 80 or more points; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-23-22 | Rams v. Bucs -3 | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 94 h 8 m | Show | |
8* TAMPA (DESTRUCTION) After earning his first playoff win of his career last weekend, I think that Matt Stafford will struggle on the road at the defending champs. Yes, the Rams smashed the Bucs here in Week 6, but that was then and this is now. Experience at this level is so crucial, as is the home field advantage. I've never seen anyone as driven as Brady and with the Super Bowl in sight, I expect the veteran to bring out his bag of tricks today. Listen, if you're wagering on this game, I don't need to run down the strengths and weaknesses of these teams. Note as well that LA is a terrible 1-7 ATS in its last 8 following a SU win of more than 14 points. Conversely, the Bucs are 4-0 ATS their last 4 playoff home games; lay the points, expect a decisive victory! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | Flames v. Oilers OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ASSASSIN) Calgary broke a four-game slide with a much-needed 5-1 home win over Florida. The Flames have one of the best defenses in the league, but I say they have their hands full here against this determined Oilers team that's lost 7 straight. The Oilers most recently fell 6-0 to Florida in their most recent matchup. Edmonton though has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last ten off a shutoutout home loss of five or more goals. With each team desperate for more victories, we can expect this one to eclipse this number early! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | UC San Diego +9.5 v. CS-Fullerton | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UC SAN DIEGO (BLOWOUT) CSU Fullerton has won six in a row, so I expect it to come in complacent here against 8-9 UC San Diego. The Tritons have lost four in a row, but note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after three or more SU losses in a row. Fullerton averages 72.5 points and allows 67.3, while San Diego averages 69.7 points and allows 68. Look for the Tritons to sneak in through the back door with the large amount of points they've been afforded here! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | 49ers v. Packers UNDER 47.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 76 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER (DIV TOY) San Francisco has advanced to this point behind its relentless defensive attack and impressive run. The last thing that Jimmy Garoppolo can do here is to try and match pace with Aaron Rodgers. San Fran's plan while on offense, will be to hold onto that ball as long as possible, to keep Rodgers off the field of play. If Green Bay is going to finally get over the hump and return to the Super Bowl this season, clearly its defense will have to play a key part. The temperatures are expected to be near 0 and there could be winds of up to 20 mile per hour. Look for this cold weather and the rest of the factors listed above to lead to a solid "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | Bengals v. Titans -3 | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
8* TITANS (ASSASSIN) I like the Titans to defend their home field today. The Bengals are a public favorite team. Yes, Cincinnati won the AFC East with a 10-7 record and they managed a victory over the Raiders in the Wildcard last weekend, but it was anything but easy. Now they face Ryan Tannehill and a nearly fully healthy and rested Titans team that's going to be able to turn this Bengals' offense extremely one-dimensional. Cincinnati posted a 31-20 win over Tennessee last November, and the Titans won't have forgotten that. I question the Bengals' strength of schedule. They had to hold on for dear life at the end of the game last weekend, as the victory was anything but impressive. Expect the rested and experienced home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-22-22 | West Virginia +9 v. Texas Tech | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
10* WEST VIRGINIA (BLOOD-BATH) Am I calling for an outright win? I am not. However, this one is going to be a complete "nail-biter" in my opinion. Yes, WVU has lost B2B games, but it was against some really stiff competition, falling 85-59 to Kansas and 77-68 to Baylor. Texas Tech enters complacent here after going 4-1 in its last 5 (with wins over Kansas, Baylor and Iowa in that span.) WVU averages 68.9 PPG, and it allows 63.6. Texas Tech averages 73.7 PPG, and it concedes 58.7. But as I say, I think that TT is going to get caught looking past the Mountaineers today to its much more high-profile contest at Kansas on Monday night! WVU won this game 82-71 as a 6.5-point dog last year. As I stated above, no outright win this time, but expect another close one; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-21-22 | Rockets +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The lowly Rockets have been playing better of late. The mighty Warriors have been struggling somewhat. Houston plays with revenge here after a 12 point loss earlier in the season, and it comes in off a momentum-building 116-111 win at Utah. The Rockets have in fact now won 3 of their last 4. Golden State on the other hand has lost 3 of its last 5. That includes a 121-117 OT home loss here just last night to the lowly Pacers. And with Utah, Dallas, Minnesota and Brooklyn all coming to town next, can anyone say "look-ahead spot?!" Finally, note that the Rockets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss to an opponent. No outright, but the stage is set for a tight battle; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-21-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 3-6 | Loss | -165 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
8* Rangers puckline The Rangers have won 4 of their last 5, including 3 in a row. That includes a convincing 6-3 home win over the Leafs on Wednesday. New York concedes just 2.45 GPG, which ranks 2nd in the league. Carolina allows 2.25, which is No. 1. This is the first matchup of the year between the clubs, but expect Carolina to get caught peeking ahead to its matchup in Jersey tomorrow night. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 as a road dog in the -150 to -200 range. But for this pick, we're not playing the moneyline. We're playing the spread option (puckline +1.5). Perhaps the outright win is possible, but I feel much better laying some chalk and grabbing the ATS spread! AAA Sports |
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01-21-22 | St. Peter's v. Niagara OVER 123.5 | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER (MAAC TOY) The 6-6 Saint Peters' Peacocks enter on top form, having won 3 straight. Most recently it was a 65-57 win over Canisius. Isiah Dasher led the Peacocks with 17 points and 2 rebounds. The Niagara Purple Eagles are 8-8, but they've been playing well as well, with 5 straight wins. Most recently it was a 72-63 win over Manhattan. Noah Thomasson led the way with 20 points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists and 4 steals. Both teams have been playing to lots of low-scoring games, but I expect this competitive contest to be a shootout. Each team has been great of late, so expect that to translate into offensive production today; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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01-20-22 | Avalanche v. Kings +1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Kings puckline (TOP SHELF) I had a play on the Ducks on the puckline last night, and that, unfortunately, came up short in the Avs 2-0 win. They got a late goal in the third period to ruin the ATS cover. But fatigue will be a major issue here in the 2nd game of the B2B in my opinion. LA is 13-9-1 at home this season and it'll be super hungry here to break a 2-game slide. Most recently it was a 6-4 loss here at home to the Lightning. Previous to that the Kings had won 4 straight. With tough 6 games Eastern swing starting this weekend, LA will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the upset. And while I do think the outright is possible, my official call will be to lay the price and grab the 1.5 goals on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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01-20-22 | Pelicans +4 v. Knicks | Top | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (ASSASSIN) I like the Pels here to sneak in under the radar. They're coming off a 104-92 loss to Boston. New York is off a 112-110 home loss to the Timberwolves. New Orleans had an 18 point halftime lead in its last game, but it stumbled down the stretch. The Knicks are just unable to close out anyone though, as evidenced by the last-second loss to Minnesota last time out. This New York offense has been consistently inconsistent all season and I think it'll have difficulties containing this hungry visiting side. This one comes down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-20-22 | Texas State v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 138 | Top | 69-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SUNBELT TOY) I think this one sets up really nicely from a situational standpoint. Most of my Over/Under releases I base upon strong "situations," and that's definitely the case here in my opinion. Arkansas Little Rock struggles to score at the best of times, but after nearly a two-week COVID hiatus, I firmly believe the Trojans will have a very slow start to this game offensively. Instead, I expect the home side to double down on the defensive end here against the Texas State Bobcats. To say this is a revenge game for the Bobcats would be an understatement, as ALRU has won 9 of the last 10 in the series, including all 4 games last year. Texas State rallied to beat UL Lafayette 72-68 last time out, but it's seen the total go under the number in 7 of its last 11 after an ATS home loss to a conference opponent. For all the reasons listed here, my official call on the total is definitely on the under! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Avalanche v. Ducks +1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
10* DUCKS (PUCKLINE) Colorado is off a tight 4-3 shootout home win over Minnesota. It's won three in a row, but it faces a tough two-game stretch here as it's at LA tomorrow night. I say the Avs get caught looking ahead to that one. The Ducks play with revenge here after falling 4-2 at Colorado at the start of the month. Anaheim's great start is in the rear view mirror now, but it won't be lacking for motivation after losing 3 straight. Note that the Ducks are 6-2 in their last 8 after 3 or more losses in a row. Anaheim is also 8-3 in its last 11 after a shutout road loss (lost 3-0 at Chicago on the 15th.) With an extra couple days off, look for the Ducks to keep this one competitive until the final moments! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Georgia +22 v. Auburn | 60-83 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show | |
8* GEORGIA (ROUT) Am I suggesting to play the Georgia Bulldogs on the money line here? Of course not. But I definitely think this is far too many points for Auburn to be giving up here. The Bulldogs will be super hungry after starting league play 0-6. Most recently it was a 73-66 loss to Vanderbilt. Auburn is 16-1 and it's coming off an 80-71 win over Ole Miss. Clearly, Auburn is the better team here, but with Kentucky coming to town this weekend, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. It's a perfect set of off court circumstances working in favor of Georgia today. Also note that the Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after 2 or more SU/ATS losses in a row; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Raptors +4.5 v. Mavs | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
8* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot bet on the hungry and undervalued Raptors here. Two nights after beating the Bucks by a score of 103-96, the Raptors fell 104-99 at Miami as 4-point dogs on Sunday. Dallas has turned things around after a shaky start to the season, but it needed to come from behind in its last game here to beat OKC by a score of 104-102 as 11.5-point favs. And with rival Phoenix coming to town tomorrow, starters could see more rest time than normal this evening against their feisty non-conference opponent. Dallas is playing in the shadow of Phoenix these days, so that's a game that it's had circled on the calendar. Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Expect that trend to continue here; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Magic v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER (EAST-CONF TOM) Orlando is a terrible team. It only averages 101.6 points per game and it's one of the worst defensive clubs as well. It's off a poor 98-88 loss at Orlando. The thing is, the Magic have responded well in this spot for "over" bettors, as Orlando has seen the total go over the number in 8 of its last 10 off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 points or less in. The Magic will be extra motivated here as well after falling 116-106 to the 76ers in earl January. Philadelphia has been playing decently, but it'll be eager to bounce back from a poor 117-98 loss at Washington in its latest (however note, the 76ers have seen the total eclipse the number in 10 of their last 14 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 points or less in.) Considering all of the above information, my official call is to play the over in this one! AAA Sports |
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01-19-22 | Colgate v. Bucknell +10.5 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* BUCKNELL (MAULING) Bucknell is eager to stop an extended losing streak, and Colgate stands in its way. Colgate is the defending Patriot League champion, but it's had plenty of issues this season as well. The Bison have indeed dropped seven straight after a 63-55 setback at American most recently. On November 20th Colgate would post an amazing 100-85 win over Syracuse, but it would then go on to lose eight of its next nine games. It's since bounced back with wins over Army and Navy. Bucknell though has won its last 5 home games against Colgate, including a 71-70 nail-biter in the last matchup at Sojka Pavilion in 2020. Bucknell is 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home dog in the +9.5 to +11.5 points range as well. No outright here, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +2.5 | Top | 82-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
10* NORTHWESTERN (BIG TEN GOM). After 6 straight wins, I say that Wisconsin takes a step back here mentally finally against this hungry and tough Northwestern home side. The Badgers enter off a 78-68 win over Ohio State, while Northwestern is off a 64-62 win over Michigan State as 9.5-point underdogs. Wisconsin is led by Brad Davison. It averages 72. points per game, while allowing 65.1. The Wildcats will be hungry here though, as they lost 4 in a row previous to their most recent win. Northwestern averages 76.8 PPG, while allowing 68.3. The Badgers aren't a high-scoring team. I say the "wheels on the bus" finally fall off here. Look for NORTHWESTERN to build off its latest performance and to find a way to deliver here at home as well! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Wolves v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 112-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* KNICKS (NON-CONF GOM). The 21-22 Minnesota Timberwolves are off a huge 119-99 win over league-leading Golden State. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here?! The Knicks have won six of their last ten games, but their three-game win streak was snapped in last night's 97-87 loss to a red-hot Chalotte team. With a game at Atlanta tomorrow night, the visitors are gonig to get classically caught "looking ahead" here. The 22-22 Knicks can't afford that same luxury though after last night's loss. Minnesota is still just 9-12 on the road, while New York is still 11-10 at home. Look for the hungry home side to deliver in friendly confines! AAA Sports |
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01-18-22 | Islanders v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Isles/Flyers (TOW) The Islanders have been playing well of late, as they've won 7 of their last 10 games. That includes a 4-1 win over these very Flyers in Philadelphia last night. New York has seen the total go "under" in 5 straight, which is worth noting as the Isles have seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 8 after playing to 5 or more straight "unders" in a row. Philadelphia has seen the total fly "over" in six of its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. Expect a much faster-paced affair here; this one flies well over the number! AAA Sports |
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01-17-22 | Suns v. Spurs +5.5 | Top | 121-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Spurs (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Suns are 33-9 overall. They've won 3 straight. THey're off a 138-108 road win at Detroit. I think Phoenix gets caught looking past the Spurs though. San Antonio is without question the hungrier of these two teams. It's coming off a momentum-building 101-94 win over the Clippers. This is a double-revenge game as well already for the Spurs after dropping both earlier contests to Phoenix this season. With 2 nights off before a big game at Dallas to end this trip, the Suns also get caught looking-ahead in this one. Outright victory? I think entirely possible (so sprinkle a little on the ML as well!) That said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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01-17-22 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 50.5 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 176 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (WC TOTAL TOY) If you're wagering on this game, then you know the cast of characters for each side. You know the story lines. Even the most casual NFL fan knows the strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams. If you want an in-depth analysis on offensive and defensive stats for each team and individual player breakdowns, then I'd suggest just going over to ESPN. That's what they do best. Break down games and give out stats. I'm here to tell you why this game is going "under" the number, and not "over." Both Kyler Murray and Matthew Stafford will need their respective run games to be established throughout this contest to have any success themselves. This game is going to be won and lost in the trenches. Field position and ball control will be paramount. Look for this clock to get eaten quickly and for this total to stay well under what I believe to be a sky-high total attached to this one! AAA Sports |
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01-17-22 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 146.5 | Top | 78-71 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF MONTH Under Indiana/Nebraska The Hoosiers will be eager to return to their winning ways today after an 83-74 loss to Iowa last time out. Indiana has just one win on the road though. If Indiana is going to win this game, it won't be because of its offense. The Hoosiers average only 74.9 points per game, but they make up for it on the other end by conceding just 62.2. That defense catches a break here today as well, as Nebraska is only averaging 73.4 PPG, while allowing 79.2. Off a loss and on the road, we can expect Indiana to double down on its efforts on the defensive end; a great situational play on the under! AAA Sports |
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01-16-22 | Steelers v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 152 h 11 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes would have been watching the Patriots and Bills game last night. Mahomes would have seen what Bills' QB Josh Allen did, by throwing for 308 yards and five TD's. And so we can absolutely bet that Mahomes will be to even better that performance here. KC has seen AT LEAST 46 points scored in its last 5 games and it's averaging a whopping 35.4 points per game over that stetch. So, we know that the Chiefs can score today at home, but does Ben Roethlisber have anything left in the tank? If this were being played in Pittsburgh, I'd likely lean to the "under," but the visiting side is going to be forced to open up the playbook tonight. The weather is going to cooperate tonight as well. All of the listed reasons above make the "over" the correct call here! AAA Sports |
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01-16-22 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 224 | Top | 125-102 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER (WEST-COAST EXPRESS) This is a big game for Utah, which enters having lost four straight (and the most recent was pretty pathetic, as the Jazz fell 111-91 at home to Cleveland of all teams.) The Jazz haven't won since a 115-109 win here back on January 5th. Since that loss to Utah, Denver has won four of its last five. That includes two huge offensive victories, first smashing an undermanned Portland 140-108, before destroying an undermanned Lakers side 133-96 in the its most recent. But the Nuggets now face a super focused Jazz team that I believe will look to slow the pace of this one down from start to finish. All of the above factors come together to make the "under" the savvy call here! AAA Sports |
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01-16-22 | Eagles +9.5 v. Bucs | Top | 15-31 | Loss | -115 | 145 h 0 m | Show |
10* EAGLES (A$$A$$IN) The Bucs beat the Eagles 28-22 in Philadelphia back on October 14th. You've heard that old saying right, that "revenge is a dish best served cold?!" Outright victory?! Anything is possible, but in reality I am expecting this one to be extremely competitive. With a record of 9-8, the Eagles are happy to be here. Jalen Hurts and Jordan Howard are ready to go for the visiting side, but Tampa will be without RB Leonard Fournette and WR Antonio Brown (the former out with injury, the latter released from the team.) Philly won four of its last five games and I expect it to push Tom Brady and the defending champs to the brink today. The Bucs are filled with talent and experience, but I'll argue that the Eagles are the much "hungrier" team in this fight. No outright, but all signs point to this one being decided late; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Penguins v. Sharks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 19 m | Show | |
8* PUCK-LINE PLAY on the Sharks Pittsburgh is off a 6-2 loss at the Kings. With a much more high-profile game at Vegas on Monday though to end this road trip, I think the visitors classically get caught "looking ahead" in this one. The Sharks are much more determined here after their three-game win streak was snapped with a 3-0 loss here on Thursday (note though that SJ is 7-3 in its last ten off a shutout home loss.) This is a revenge game as well for SJ after it fell 8-5 at Pittsburgh on January 2nd. My official call here will be to lay the extra price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket; the play is the Sharks on the puck-line! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Patriots +4.5 v. Bills | Top | 17-47 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 20 m | Show |
10* PATRIOTS (WC GOY) I feel as if this play is slightly contrarian. The Patriots stumbled down the stretch of the regular season, while the Bills won their final 4 games to claim the AFC East title. These teams split their season series, each winning on the others field. If you're wagering on this contest, then you know the cast of characters on both sides. You know the strengths and the weaknesses of each team. You know the story lines. So why is Mac Jones and Bill Bellichick going to bounce back here and find a way to deliver? The Patriots have the offense (27.2 points) to keep pace with the Bills (28.4.) Expect to see a heavy dose of the run game as well from the visiting side as it looks to duplicate the success it had here in the first game between the clubs this season. I give a big nod to Josh Allen at QB in this matchup, but the Patriots get the nod for their run game. Defenses are equal. This one really is going to be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so because of that gentlemen, let's grab up as many points as we can! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 221.5 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* OVER Raptors/Bucks (A$$A$$IN) Both teams have been playing to several "unders" of late, but I'm definitely expecting a MUCH more wide open contest this evening. The Raptors will be eager to atone for last night's listless 103-87 loss at the lowly Pistons. Note though, TO has seen the total go "over" the number in 17 of its last 26 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it scored 90 or fewer points in. The Bucks though will be extra-motivated here, as they play with revenge after falling 117-111 to the Raptors on January 5th. That total sailed WELL "over" the posted number of 221 and in my opinion, this one definitely will as well; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Florida International +7.5 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 39-50 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* FIU (BLOWOUT) Both teams are 10-6 SU. FIU is just 5-8-1 ATS, while MTSU is 10-2-2 ATS. I think these lop-sided trends start correcting themselves here though. FIU is off eight straight ATS losses, which is definitely significant to note as the Golden Panthers are still 14-7 ATS in their last 21 after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Most recently it was an 84-56 setback to Auburn. That's also noteworthy, as FIU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS loss of 25 or more points. FIU plays with revenge here as well after a 67-56 loss to the Blue Raiders as 4-point favorites last year. MTSU has broken a two-game slide with B2B SU/ATS wins/covers, but note that it's just 1-6 ATS in its last seven off a SU/ATS victory in which it held its opponent to 59 or fewer points in. Probably no outright, but definitely right down to the wire; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-15-22 | Raiders +6.5 v. Bengals | 19-26 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 40 m | Show | |
8* RAIDERS (SPECIAL) While most of the public "Zigs" on this one, I'm going to "Zag." The majority of the public money is on Joe Burrow and the favored home side today, but I'm here to tell you that the sharp move in this contest is to go contrarian and back the "never say die" Raiders. Since a brutal loss to the Chiefs, the Raiders have posted four stright victories (its interesting to note that Las Vegas' QB Derek Carr has a better completion percentage and yards per pass this year than Justin Herbert.) Up until this last game, the Raiders were getting the job done with their tough defensive play. They rank in the top ten in limiting long passing plays. The Bengals have better offensive and defensive numbers. They were far from perfect this year either though, with a 41-22 blowout loss to the Chargers a couple of weeks ago. Las Vegas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 as an underdog though and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 350 or more yards in their previous game. Burrow and Jamar Chase may find a way to win this game, but it'll be decided in the final moments if they do; so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Michigan +10 v. Illinois | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN (BLOWOUT) The Wolverines will be highly motivated here after their 75-67 loss to Rutgers. Overall they average 72.8 PPG, while allowing 66.8. The Illini average 80.8 PPG, while allowing 65.0. Hunter Dickinson averages 16.1 points per game for the Wolverines. Kofi Cockburn averages 22.0 for the Illini. With 13-2 Purdue coming to town on Monday, I expect Illinois to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Listen, I'm not calling for an outright win or anything like that at all, but expect Michigan to bounce back, fight hard and to keep this one close; grab all those points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Suns v. Pacers +5.5 | Top | 112-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* PACERS (A$$A$$IN) Clearly, the Suns are the much better team in this matchup. However, I think that the situation and this spread favor the home side. The Suns are off a 99-95 road win at Toronto on Tuesday, but they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU road victory in which they held their opponent to 95 points or less in. Indiana had its three game ATS win streak snapped last time out in a 119-100 home loss, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 100 or less points in. With a "cream puff" at Detroit up next, the Suns are vulnerable here to a bit of a mental letdown as well. I say the Suns play down to the level of their competition here. Outright win? Probably not. But this one will definitely be decided in the final moments, so the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-14-22 | Stars +1.5 v. Panthers | 1-7 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
10* STARS (NON-CONF PUCKLINE GOM) In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals on the cuff. The Stars are much better at home than on the road, but they enter on top form, having won 5 of their last 6, most recently smashing Seattle by a score of 5-2. The Panthers are 19-3 at home and have been great, but I think are now severely overpriced here. They're off a 5-2 win over Vancouver, but with Columbus coming to town tomorrow, they could be distracted here. The Stars' improved play is going under the radar here and we can take advantage for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Penguins v. Kings +133 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 133 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Kings (10* NON-CONF GOM) Pittsburgh has played great this year. It comes to LA with only one loss in its last 12 games. The Penguins concede 2.46 GPG. But the feisty Kings have won 2 in a row and 4 of their last 5. LA has also been fantastic defensively, ranked fourth overall on that end of the ice. Evgeni Malkin is back for Pittsburgh, and that'll help out the Penguins in the second half of the season and in the playoffs. But LA is off a great 3-1 win over a red hot Rangers team and I expect a similar defensive effort here on home ice. I say the Pens get classically caught looking ahead to their final road games at San Jose and Vegas. A great spot bet on the undervalued underdog home side! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Wolves +6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Wolves (A$$A$$IN) I like the Wolves to sneak in under the proverbial radar here and to, at the very least, give the red hot Grizz a run for their money today! Minnesota comes in off a 128-125 road loss at New Orleans on Tuesday. The Grizz are on a ten-game win streak and just knocked off league-leading Golden State by a score of 116-108 on Tuesday. Can anyone say classic "letdown" spot?! Both teams almost concede the identical number of points (Wolves allow 109.2, Grizzlies allow 107.9). Ja Morant and company are in unchartered territory right now and regression is imminent in my opinion. With Dallas coming to town tomorrow night, I also forsee the home side getting caught "looking past" its opponent. Outright win?! Maybe (consider sprinkling a little on the ML!) In the end though, my official call is to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-13-22 | Northern Kentucky +3.5 v. Youngstown State | Top | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* NKU (MAULING) I look for the hungry 5-8 NKU Norse to give the 9-7 Youngstown Penguins a run for their money today! Both teams have been terrible of late, losing four of their last five. Each plays at a similar pace and their offensive and defensive numbers are also very comparable. However one thing to take note of here, is that NKU is actually 15th in the country in offensive rebounding, while the Penguins are 84th. These second-chance opportunities are going to be the difference-maker in this one. If history is any precedence, then NKU has to LOVING its chances here, as note that it has in fact won 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series. Outright victory?! With a spread like this, clearly that's a possibility. But all that said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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01-12-22 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
10* KRAKEN on puck-line. I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the Kracken on the "puck line" today. The Kracken average 2.79 GPG. They're off a competitive 4-3 loss at Colorado. They've been competitive overall this year. They concede 3.68 GPG, but they do have potential in net. Dallas is off a 2-1 loss to St. Louis. The Stars average 2.81 GPG, while allowing 2.91. Dallas is better at home than on the road, but with a 2-game road swing featuring a B2B scenario at league-leading Florida and Tampa respectively up nexst, there's no question that this sets up as a potential "look ahead" spot for the home side. Lay the price, grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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01-12-22 | Hornets v. 76ers OVER 226.5 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER The Charlotte Hornets have been better than advertised this season. They're 22-19. They're also 14-9 against the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia is only 8-8 at home, but 23-16 overall. But the 76ers are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, entering having won eight of their last ten. The Hornets are off a momentum-building 103-99 win over Milwaukee, which is noteworthy as they've seen the total fly above the posted number in 7 of their last 9 off a SU/ATS win in which they held their opponent to 99 points or less in. The 76ers smashed the Rockets in their last game, hitting 45% from the floor. Look for these two "hot" teams to push the pace and then look for this total to fly well 'over' the number! AAA Sports |
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01-12-22 | Georgia v. Mississippi State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 72-88 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SEC TOY) I'm expecting a defensive affair in this one. Mississippi State is 10-4, while Georgia is 5-10. The Bulldogs though are looking to rebound here after an 82-72 loss at rival Mississippi this past weekend. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Georgia has lost five of it slast six and it's coming off a 15-point loss at Kentucky. Georgia plays at a slow pace, ranked 121st in the nation by KenPom. Mississippi State though plays to an even slower pace, ranked 316th. Mississippi State's strength is on the offensive side, but it's not going to have to keep the foot on the gas against this offensively challenged Georgia team. The last thing Georgia can do is turn this into a "track-meet," so I'm expecting a slower-pace overall. This number is a tad high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | Suns -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 99-95 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) The Suns are 30-9 and the Raptors are 20-17. Phoenix probably got caught looking ahead to its Eastern road swing in its 123-100 loss at home to Miami on Saturday. Toronto looks poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after its slim 105-101 home win over the lowly Pelicans. Deandre Ayton, Jae Crowder and JaVale McGee are all back for the Suns now though after a stint on the COVID list. Pascal Siakam and Fred VanVleet have been fantastic for Toronto, but the home side does lack depth compared to Phoenix. Toronto has won six straight, and that fact has actually driven down this line in favor of Toronto. I say the Suns come prepared to play in the first game of their road trip. So lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | DePaul v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BE TOM) DePaul is off a 79-64 home loss to Villanova and I think it'll have difficulty on the offensive end again today. Marquette comes in off a 92-64 victory over Georgetown. DePaul has now dropped eight straight ranked games. Marquette is now 2-3 in league action after its latest victory. Note that the 28-point victory that the Golden Eagles had over the Hoyas was their largest-ever winning margin on the road in BIG EAST regular season play. Suffice it to say, I expect a bit of regression here. The under has gone 7-1 in the Blue Demons last eight games following a double-digit loss as well. Expect a slower-pace, and ultimately a lower-scoring contest. AAA Sports |
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01-11-22 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +1 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
8* PLAY on Miami Ohio This the Redhawks first conference home game and they play with "double revenge" after dropping both contests against the Rockets last season. Toledo is 11-4, most recently beating NIU by a score of 94-63. But Miami Ohio is out to take out its frustrations as well after an OT loss against Bowling where it led by 9 at half-time. If history is any precedence though, then the RedHawks have to be loving their chances today as they're 42-20 all time at Oxford in this series. Look for Miami Ohio to keep the foot on the gas in the second half and to find a way to deliver on Tuesday! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama | Top | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 204 h 3 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH on Georgia. They say, "revenge is a dish best served cold!" The Georgia Bulldogs do indeed play with revenge here, as they look to atone for the 41-24 loss as 6-point favs to the Tide in the SEC Championship Game. Georgia looked great in its 34-11 win over Michigan last week, as did Alabama in its 27-6 victory over Cincinnati. So what's going to be different this time around for the Bulldogs? Alabama has in fact had a few close calls and scares over its last eight games. Georgia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it conceded 40 or more points in. Expect a bounce-back performance from the Bulldogs defensively as well here. I believe the majority of the public will be grabbing the points today, but while they "Zig," we'll "Zag." Lay the points! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Pacers +7 v. Celtics | Top | 98-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* PACERS (ASSASSIN) This play is contrarian. The Pacers are 15-25, including only 3-15 on the road. The C's are 19-21, including 12-8 at home. Boston has been trading wins/losses over its last four games. Two nights after collapsing and losing 108-105 in New York, the C's won 99-75 at home over the Knicks. This is the opener of a home and home set and I expect Indiana to take it very seriously. Note that Boston is also just 2-7 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 80 or fewer points in. Expect Indiana to build off its impressive 125-113 home win over Utah and to take this one right down to the wire! AAA Sports |
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01-10-22 | Wofford v. NC-Greensboro +3 | Top | 54-58 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNC Greensboro (GAME OF WEEK) This is a makeup game for one that was postponed on January 1st. This is UNCG's third game in five days and I believe the schedule actually benefits the home side. UNCG is off a 72-56 road win at VMI on Saturday, led by 18 points and 6 boards from Kobe Langley. Wofford is off a 68-57 road win at ETSU, led by 22 points from BJ Mack. UNCG is 5-1 at home this year though and it's held its last three opponents to under 60 points. This is an evenly matched contest, and in scenario's like that, I LOVE grabbing as many points as I can. And that's the play here, grab the points on UNCG! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Northeastern +7.5 v. Towson | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show |
10* CAA GOY on Northeastern Northeastern is the hungrier "dog" in this fight. It comes in off 3 straight losses. Towson has had two cancelations of late, as well as conference loss to Drexel on Monday. Northeastern comes in rested after a week off. Most recently the Huskies fell 71-70 to William and Mary on New Year's Eve. Five players average double digits in scoring for Northeastern. Towson fell 65-61 in Drexel in its most recent outing, but it's still 9-5 overall. Towson has four double-digit scorers. Both teams are dealing with serious COVID issues, but Northeastern will be the healthier of the two now. Look for the much more determined visiting side to fight tooth and nail until the end. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Titans v. Texans +11 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
8* TEXANS. Tennessee has an opportunity to lock up top spot in the AFC here, but Houston won't roll over as it'll look to play spoiler. The Titans are averaging 24.4 points per game this year, while allowing 20.6. Tennessee is loaded with talent, but after going up early here, I expect it to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal. Houston is averaging only 15.9 points per game, while allowing 26.5. Davis Mills has nothing to lose here. He's been decent in a difficult situation, as he has 2,363 passing yards, 13 TD's and 10 INT's. Houston has been favored twice on the road this year and it's gone 1-1 ATS in those spots. I look for Tennessee to win this game, but I expect Houston to put up a strong fight until the end; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Packers v. Lions +3.5 | Top | 30-37 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
10* LIONS (NFC NORTH GOY). Green Bay has already wrapped up the NFC No. 1 seed, so QB Aaron Rodgers may or may not see any time under center today. Why would Green Bay risk their top asset in a meaningless game? Or any of its assets, like WR Davante Adams. Jared Goff will likely sit for the Lions as well today, as there's no point risking his contract in this contest. That means that Tim Boyle will get another shot after facing the Seahawks last weekend (he had 262 yards passing, but also three picks.) Dan Campbell's men play hard for him and this will be a rare opportunity for his team to "steal" a win against Green Bay. The Packers could care less about this contest, while it would be a big boost to this Detroit side if it could pull off a SU upset and have something to build on after such a terrible season. Outright? Possibly! But let's grab the points, as the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-09-22 | Spurs v. Nets OVER 230.5 | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
8* TOTAL on over Spurs/Nets. The Spurs won 99-97 at Boston, before then falling 119-100 at Philadelphia in their most recent matchup on Friday. The Spurs have been decent offensively this year, averaging 110.7 PPG. They'll have to be sharp again here against this Brooklyn Nets team that's gone just 1-4 SU in its last five and 0-5 ATS. Most recently it was a humbling 121-109 setback to the Bucks. Brooklyn averages 110.7 points per game and note that it's seen the total eclipse the posted number in 14 of its last 20 after five or more ATS losses in a row. Pushing the pace is music to the Spurs' ears in this case. In what I predict to be faster-paced, up-tempo game, the sharp money as far as the total is concerned in my opinion is on the over! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | Rangers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER (Rangers/Ducks non-conference TOY) Perhaps surprisingly, these two teams are two of the best in their respective conferences. The Rangers are 22-9-4, just one game behind the Capitals, while the Ducks are 18-11-7, just four points shy of first-place Las Vegas. New York only averages 2.86 goals per game this year, which ranks 17th and goaltender Alexandar Georgiev is 6-4-2 with a 2.89 goals-against average and .904 save percentage. The Ducks are only allowing 2.74 GPG this year. Anaheim netminder Anthony Stoarz though is 6-2-1 with a 2.13 goals-against average and .932 save percentage. But these backups aren't as good as their respective starters. Also note that Anaheim has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a more wide-open affair here, one that flies well "over" before the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | Heat v. Suns UNDER 216.5 | Top | 123-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
UNDER (10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH) Miami is injured and dealing with covid issues, but it's still somehow finding ways to win, most recently holding on for a 115-109 road win at Portland. I expect a strong defensive performance from Miami today, as obviously the last thing it can afford to do here is to "open things up" against these high-flying Suns. Phoenix is off a 106-89 win over the Clippers at home. The Suns' defense looked fantastic and we can expect a similar performance here against this undermanned Miami side. This is the final home game before a tough five-game road swing for the Suns, which starts off in Toronto on Monday. Look for Phoenix to conserve some energy here and to "control" the pace of this one. This number is high, the play is the under for sure! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | 51-26 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 31 m | Show | |
UNDER (8*) Both teams have clinched a spot. Dallas is the second-highest scoring team in the league, averaging 402.8 yards of offense per game, but clearly, the last thing that the visiting side will do today is to put QB Dak Prescott too much into "harms way." This one means more to Dallas, as a win will improve its positioning, but a win or a loss here will mean nothing to Philadelphia. To make matters worse for the Eagles, over 15 starters are out because of covid-19 protocols. This one is going to be decided in the trenches. This one has more the feel of a "chess match," where field position is paramount. I don't predict much scoring in this one, so the pick is on the under! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | Chiefs -11 v. Broncos | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
CHIEFS (10* GAME OF WEEK) The Chiefs were upset 34-31 to Cincinnati last weekend, but I think they'll bounce back here in this favorable spot. Denver has been eliminated from playoff contention after last weekend's 34-13 loss to the Chargers. KC is now in second spot in the AFC behind Tennessee, so this is a big game for Patrick Mahomes and company. What can the Broncos play spoiler for here? The Chiefs are in the playoffs already. There's zero motivating factors working for Drew Lock and the Broncos today. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five at home, while KC is 14-4 in its last 18 on the road and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 in this series. Look for KC to go up huge early and then coast to a relatively simple win and cover! AAA Sports |
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01-08-22 | The Citadel +14.5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 67-85 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
THE CITADEL (10* SOUTHERN GAME OF YEAR). These teams split their season series last year, with each side winning on its home floor. Chattanooga will continue that trend today, as I am NOT calling for an outright upset here. That said, this is WAY too many points to be giving up in my opinion. Chattanooga is 12-3, most recently holding on for a 75-67 win over Wofford on Wednesday. Malachi Smith leads three players in double figures at 20.4 points per game. The Citadel average 82.6 points per game though, while the Mocs average 77.9. The difference is on the defensive end, but I expect the Bulldogs' up-tempo play to keep them in this one late. As I stated off the top, no outright victory for the visiting side here, but we can absolutely expect it to make it interesting! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Xavier v. Butler +5.5 | 87-72 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
8* SLAM-DUNK on Butler. Xavier is 1-1 in league play, most recently coming in off a road loss at Villanova. Butler is also 1-1 in Big East action after falling to Seton Hall at home. Xavier comes to town off a 17-day layoff. In the loss to Villanova, Xavier actually held an 8-point half-time lead. Dwon Odom had 13 points. The Musketeers are 11-2, but I say that rest leads to rust tonight. The Bulldogs have had two games postponed due to COVID this year. In their last game they looked a bit rusty themselves, falling 71-56 to No. 24 Seton Hall. Butler has a big OT win over Oklahoma this year and I say that "home court" is something that can't be overlooked as a major advantage for the Bulldogs here. Expect the home side to control the pace and to grind out a solid ATS cover here! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -7 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
10* BULLS. The 19-19 Washington Wizards are off a terrible 114-111 home loss to Houston and I believe that they're ripe for the picking in this one. Chicago has won eight in a row, but it's failed to cover in three straight. That includes a much tighter than expected 102-98 win here over Olrando. But that three nights ago. With so much time off to rest and prepare for this one, we can absolutely expect the home side to push the pace of this one from start to finish. The Wizards have struggled offensively this year, but they've also struggled defensively. This isn't a good combination to win games most nights. When these teams played in Washington on January 1st, Chicago scored the 120-119 victory and it was unable to cover the 2-point spread. I say the Bulls come in focused and run up the score from start to finish this time around though! AAA Sports |
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01-07-22 | Columbia +17.5 v. Princeton | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show |
10* COLUMBIA (IVY LEAGUE GAME OF YEAR). Columbia will be motivated to get into the winners circle today. It's just 3-9 following its 79-69 loss to Sacred Heart ont he 13th of Decemer. It's following two games were postponed, and in my opinion, "rest" is NOT going to lead to "rust" today. In fact, I beleieve the extra time off will benefit the Lions here in the second half of the season. Liam Murphy had 20 points in the loss to Sacred Heart. Columbia averages 67.8 PPG, while Princeton averages 82.1. The Tigers are coming off a 100-59 rout of Kean to move to 10-3. This is the opener of Princeton's Ivy League schedule though and I think it'll have a much tighter fight than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Tigers win this game, but Columbia gets the comfortable cover! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Panthers v. Stars +103 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 103 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
10* DALLAS STARS. Florida is 18-3 at home, but only 4-4-1 on the road. Dallas is 4-9 on the road, but 11-3-1 at home. "Home ice" has meant EVERYTHING to these clubs and I expect that trend to continue in a big way here! With a red hot Pittsburgh team coming to town nexts, the Stars can't afford to look past the Panthers today. Dallas enters off B2B home wins, most recently a convincing 7-4 victory over Minnesota (Dallas is 6-2 in its last eight after scoring 6 or more goals in a win in its previous outing as well.) Florida opened its 4-game homestand with 2 straight losses, but it's since won 4 in a row at home, most recently a 6-2 win over Calgary. But with a game at division rival Carolina on Saturday, this does 100% for sure set up as a "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. It's a great set of situtional and stat based evidence that leads to our one and only 10* top underdog play of the year! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Sam Houston State +3.5 v. Tarleton St | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -104 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
10* Sam Houston State (WESTERN ATHLETIC GAME OF YEAR). The Sam Houston State Bearkats are 7-8, while the Tarleton State Texans are 6-9. While both teams started out slowly, each has looked better of late. The Bearkats have won three in a row, while the Texans have won five of their last seven. Sam Houston State averages 73.5 PPG, while allowing 67.1. Tarleton State averages only 63.2 PPG, while allowing 63.4. The Bearkats on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, while the Texans are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a home favorite in the -3.5 to -5.5-points range. Sam Houston State is heating up and in a contest that I see being decided in the waning moments, I'll gladly grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-06-22 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 150.5 | 72-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Little Rock/UL Monroe under (8*) The Little Rock Trojans are 6-7 and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks are 8-6. UL Monroe is off a 77-69 loss to App State, while the Trjoans are off a 78-66 win over Georgia State. Little Rock though is 0-4 on the road this season. They've faced the 94th most difficult schedule according to KenPom. The Warhawks will be kicking themselves as they had a 6-point half-time lead in their latest loss to App State. I expect this game to be close, but also highly competitive. Considering these situational factors, it's my professional opinion that this total is much too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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01-05-22 | Pistons v. Hornets -9.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Hornets (BLOOD-BATH) Off B2B victories, I believe that Detroit will stumble here. Most recently it was a monumental 115-106 win over the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks. The Hornets on the other hand will be anxious to return to the winners circle after a listless 124-121 loss in the nation's capital in their last outing. The problem for the Pistons here is that they average only 101.1 PPG, while allowing 110.1. Saddiq Bey was huge for Detroit in its last win with 34 points and eight boards, but I just don't see lightning striking twice here. Charlotte has in fact lost two in a row, so it'll be hungry here. The Hornets average 114.9 PPG, while allowing 116.7. But they catch a break here facing this "on again, off again" Detroit offense. I expect a blowout of epic proportions, so lay those points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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01-05-22 | Gardner-Webb v. Charleston Southern +9.5 | 88-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Charleston Southern (DESTRUCTION. I think the 6-7 Gardner-Webb Bulldogs will have their hands full today with the 3-9 Charleston Southern Buccaneers. The Bulldogs average 73 PPG, while allowing 65.9. D’Maurian Williams is averaging 14.2 points and two assists. The Bucs average 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.3. Tahlik Chavez is averaging 10.2 points and two assists, while Kalib Clinton is averaging 9.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. Yes, Gardner-Webb is the better team in this fight, but not by this many points on the road. I look for the hungry home dog to fight tooth and nail here in this "winnable" game. Grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-04-22 | Providence v. Marquette +2.5 | Top | 56-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Marquette (BIG EAST GAME OF YEAR) Providence is 13-1 overall. Its only loss was against Virginia at a neutral site. Marquette is 8-6 and it comes in starving for a win today after four straight losses. Five of the Golden Eagles' last six games though have come against Top 50 teams. The Friars have so far exceeded expectations and now they hit the most difficult part of their schedule. Overall the Friars average 69.8 points per game while allowing 61.1. The Golden Eagles are ranked 67th in defensive efficiency rating and they are ranked 39th overall as far as pace is concerned. I say regression is imminent for Providence. Marquette comes in focused here and as the hungrier team. Finally, note that the Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as a divisional home dog in the +1.5 to +3.5-points range. The outright is possible, but grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-04-22 | Spurs +6 v. Raptors | Top | 104-129 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* Spurs (PLATINUM CLUB) I think the Spurs catch the Raptors at a good time here. San Antonio is off a 117-116 loss at Detroit. The Spurs though remain one of the league's highest scoring teams, averaging 111.5 PPG. With a tough upcoming schedule, including a game at Boston tomorrow night, I believe Greg Popovich has his troops prepared to play today. The Raptors are off a relatively simple 120-105 home win over New York and they've won two in a row, but Nick Nurse will likely rest many throughout this game with a contest at Milwaukee tomorrow night. The Raptors only average 106.9 PPG as well. Outright?! Anything is possible, but I do definitely expect this to be very competitive and that's the reason why I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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01-04-22 | Flames +1.5 v. Panthers | 2-6 | Loss | -195 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
8* PUCK-LINE play on Flames. Calgary is a really good team. It's 17-7-6 overall, including 13-4-2 on the road. Now, Florida is obviously a really good team as well. It's 21-7-2-2 overall, including 17-3-1 at home. This is going to be a very competitive game, one that I see being decided late, or even in extra time or shootout. As such, I'll recommend laying the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. In this case, I believe it's warranted. Calgary does have a legitimate shot at winning outright, but I feel safer with the extra goal-and-a-half. These teams are evenly matched. The play is Calgary on the puck-line. AAA Sports |
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01-03-22 | Browns v. Steelers +3.5 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
10* Steelers (BLOOD-BATH) I don't particularly "like" either of these starting quarterbacks (or teams for that matter!) in this matchup. That said, despite his age and the "ups and downs" he's experienced this year, I trust veteran Ben Roethlisberger at home over Browns' starter Baker Mayfield. The Browns have lost two straight, most recently a tough 24-22 loss to Green Bay. The Steelers are off a 36-10 loss to Kansas City. If recent history is any precedence, then the Steelers have to be loving their chances as they're 6-3-1 the last ten in this series. Each teams averages and concedes roughly the same amount of points. This is Roethlisberger's final game at Heinz Field though, as he's all but announced that he'll be retiring at the end of the year. Both teams are still in the playoff hunt, but look for "home field" to be the difference today. The play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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01-03-22 | Grizzlies v. Nets -7 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF MONTH on Nets. The bottom line here gentlemen is that these are two very good teams. Memphis has been playing well of late, but I think it's overmatched here facing this Nets team that's coming off a poor loss to the Clippers in their last outing, allowing a whopping 40 points in the fourth quarter, an effort which promted Steve Nash to asses: "We deserved to lose that game." Both James Harden and Kevin Durant had huge nights, but Brooklyn stumbled down the stretch. Memphis is off B2B home wins, but it's still just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home victory in which it held its opponent to 105 or less points in. I think Harden and Durant lay the hammer down here after that pathetic effort last time out. Lay the points, this one gets UGLY! AAA Sports |
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01-02-22 | Ohio State v. Nebraska +10 | Top | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR on Nebraska. The Buckeyes are 8-2 SU and 5-5 ATS. Ohio State comes to Nebraska off a 73-55 win over Wisconsin as a 5-point favorite. The issue here for Ohio State is that its last three games have been canceled due to COVID-related issues. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Nebraska on the other hand is 6-7 SU and 5-8 ATS. Nebraska can't afford to look past anyone. It broke a five-game slide last time out in a relatively simple 88-74 victory over Kennesaw State. Ohio State is 48th in offensive efficiency and it allows just 67.3 PPG. Nebraska on the other hand is ranked 267th offensively and 267th defensively. On paper, the Huskers are overmatched, but this is a great "situational" play here. And it's strong from a trend standpoint as well, as Ohio State is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine when playing with two or more weeks of rest between contests. No outright, but VERY tight in the end! AAA Sports |
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01-02-22 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 104-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* EAST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS on OVER Pacers/Cavs. The Pacers will be motivated today. They're just 14-22 this year and they've lost six of their last eight games. The Cavaliers are 20-16, but they'll be hungry here as well after losing four of their last five. It's important to me whenever wagering on an "over" play (in every/any sport), that the two teams involved in the contest are "hungry." If a team is on a 15 game win streak, I question their motivation levels. When a team has lost four of five and six of eight, there's no question about their resolve (at this point of the season anyways, as we haven't even reached the mid-way point.) The Cavs lost to the Hawks on Friday, but they've seen the total soar "over" the number in seven of their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This one flies "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-02-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals OVER 49 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 143 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER So once again, we’re going with the Over in a Bengals game. Last week was a little scary when it was announced Baltimore was being forced to turn to Josh Johnson, a little-known third stringer. But the Ravens’ QB situation ended up being a non-factor as the Bengals exploded for 31 points before halftime and Joe Burrow threw for 525 yards and four touchdowns. Incredibly, the Over was a winner going into halftime with the score 31-14. Now, to expect Cincinnati to repeat last week’s offensive effort seems optimistic. But thankfully, we’ve got Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City on the other sideline. The Chiefs have scored 48, 34 and 36 points the last three weeks and are really humming along with eight straight victories. Their defense has been very impressive during the win streak, holding seven opponents to 17 points or fewer. But outside of the Cowboys and Chargers, the latter of which scored 28 against the Chiefs, none of the offenses faced were as good as Cincinnati’s. The Bengals are 0-2 SU/ATS off their first two 40+ point efforts this season, however, let it be known those two games also both went Over. There were 65 and 63 total points scored. Six of the Bengals’ last nine games have gone Over. Only one of those last nine games, a 32-13 win over Las Vegas, had fewer than 49 total points scored. The Over is 5-0 the last five times the Bengals have been off an ATS win. Play on OVER AAA |
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01-02-22 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Titans | Top | 3-34 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 21 m | Show |
10* AFC GAME OF YEAR Miami Dolphins. Miami has won seven straight, most recently beatting New Orleans 20-3. The Dolphins current win streak has vaulted them into the final playoff spot in the AFC. Overall Miami averages 20.3 PPG, while allowing 21. On paper, that doesn't sound like a recipie for success, but those numbers are skewed after its terrible start to the season. In last weekend's win, QB Tua Tagovailoa completed 19 of 26 passes for 198 yards, one touchdown. Tennessee is off a 20-17 win over San Francisco. The Titans average 23.8 PPG, while allowing 21.7. QB Ryan Tannehill had 209 yards passing and one TD in last weekend's victory. The Fish don't run the ball particularly well, but Tagovailoa is going to be able to exploit this Titans' secondary. This one is going to come down to the wire. I'm going to grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-02-22 | Rams v. Ravens UNDER 46.5 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
8* NON-CONF. TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the under Rams/Ravens. The Rams are 11-4. They're off a 30-23 win at Minnesota last weekend. The Rams struggled in the second half though and QB Matt Stafford threw three picks. Sony Michel stepped up with 131 rushing yards and a TD. Matt Gay made three field goals. On the other side of the field, the Ravens are now 8-7 after getting destroyed 41-21 against the Bengals. LaMar Jackson remains questionable for this game for the Ravens, meaning backup Tyler Huntley, who is off the COVID list now, will likely get the start. Stafford is suddenly struggling. The Ravens' QB issue is up in the air right now. This is a game that's going to be decided by whichever team can establish its run game, and in the trenches. This total is much too high! AAA Sports |
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01-01-22 | Warriors v. Jazz -4 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jazz. The Warriors are 27-7, but they're off a listless 89-86 defeat to Denver. With a night off before a home game againt the Heat, Golden State will have to very careful to not get caught looking ahead today. This is the first matchup of the year between the clubs, but the Jazz enter having won six in a row. Utah is the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 116 PPG, and its guard rotation matches up well against Stephen Curry and company. The Warriors are ranked seventh in scoring, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 90 points or less in. Look for Utah to come out and push the pace from start to finish. The play is the JAZZ. AAA Sports |