Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 221 | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Blazers/Jazz (NORTHWEST DIV. TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation and the numbers/trends now all point finally to a higher-scoring affair in our opinion. Portland is 6-12 after back-to-back wins. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. They beat the Jazz 121-105 as 3.5-point dogs back in November. Note that Utah has seen the total go "over" in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Jazz are off back-to-back losses so will be pushing the pace, as they've now seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. Regardless, tonight's O/U line is now a few points TOO low, as we're anticipating this contest to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -102 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) "Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor for teams. Sometimes it can be overrated, other times though it plays a crucial role in the outcome. It can also be an important tool for handicappers to utilize when it comes to assessing the motivation levels of a team. This particular play is based primarily on the "revenge" factor, with Toronto falling 3-2 in a shootout in Boston back in early November. Off b2b wins, we're looking for the Leafs to exact some revenge here at home; great line value here on Toronto! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee -2.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Furman +8 v. Princeton | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH) The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Miami-OH v. Toledo OVER 44 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Toledo/Miami Ohio (MAC TOM) Pretty low total here, and we think it is in fact MUCH too low. Miami Ohio is 10-2 and Toledo is 11-1. These teams played in Week 8 and Toledo won 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. a conference opponent. Miami Ohio saw the total go "under" in three straight to end the regular season, which is also significant to note here, as the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Toledo has scored a combined 144 points over its last four games and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Sheffield United v. Burnley -120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
10* Burnley (EPL GOM) Both teams are coming off home losses in their most recent EPL action. Sheffield United though has struggled with consistency away from from friendly confines this year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in this one. Burnely is just 1-11 and has yet to win at home. That's going to change here though against 1-2-10 Sheffield. The Blades are terrible and Burnely will be risking life and limb to snap this brutal slide; lay the price, the play is indeed on Burnley! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Fresno State +15.5 v. BYU | Top | 56-85 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-01-23 | Knicks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM) This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Capitals v. Ducks +103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
10* Ducks (BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based on "common sense." We're contrarians, but we're also "situational" cappers. This one sets up well for the hungry Ducks, whose great start to the season is now a distant memory. Anaheim has now lost seven in a row. But as we say, they catch the Capitals at a great time, as they're off a highly-satifsying 2-1 upset win as a massive dog in LA just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Especially with a much more high-profile game in Las Vegas vs. the defending champs up next; great line value here, the play is indeed on Anaheim! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
10* Canucks (ASSASSIN) We have two really good teams here, but we love the way this one sets up for Vancouver from a situational stand point. Las Vegas has lost three straight and we think it'll just go through the motions here as it looks to regroup at home vs. the Capitals later in the week. The Canucks are just completely undervalued here, and that's why the value lies with the favorite in this one. Vancouver hits the road after this for a tough game in Calgary, putting added importance onto this contest as well. This is the first game of the year between the clubs, and we're expecting the home side to take advantage; the play is indeed on Vancouver! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Cowboys (TOW) Dallas is 8-3 and it's won three in a row, scoring 127 points in that span. Clearly, if Seattle is going to have any chance in this game, then it's going to have to control the ball while on offense so as to limit the amount of time that Dak Prescott and company are on the field of play. We just think that on the short week, we're going to see a more conservative game plan from Dallas as well here as it looks to dictate the tempo. Dallas gets caught looking ahead here as well to its game vs. division rival Philly here the following week, while the visiting side does the same with a rematch vs. the 49ers. Normally high-scoring teams, expect this Thursday night matchup to go the other way; this number is a bit high in our estimation, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* BULLS (CENTRAL DIV GOW) Clearly, the Bulls have issues this year. They're just 5-14. The Bucks haven't been perfect either, but they've looked great overall at 13-5. Chicago is clearly the more desperate team in this fight, as they've lost five straight SU/ATS. Chicago though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Bulls catch Milwaukee off three straight victories, and all signs finally point to a bit of a letdown here on the road in our estimation. Situationally this one definitely sets up well for the home side and that's primarily what we're basing this pick off. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-30-23 | Illinois State +6.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Capitals v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Capitals/Kings (NON-CONF TOW) These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a faster-paced affair here in this non-conference contest, one that eclipses the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is off B2B losses, falling 5-0 at home to Edmonton, and then 2-1 at San Jose two nights ago (note though that the Caps have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after a road loss as -225 or higher favorites. LA has won five straight. it's seen the total go "under" in five of its last six. It's off the 4-0 home win here three nights ago over the Habs and they come in well-rested. Expect this faster-paced affair to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 223.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Jazz/Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) These two teams need victories. We're expecting a very wide-open and faster-pace because of that. Utah is 6-11 and Memphis is just 3-13. The Jazz are just 1-7 on the road. They're coming off B2B home wins over the Pels and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U a little lower than normal though in our opinion. And for the Grizz, they have lost four straight and seen the total go "under" in all four. The last time these teams played against each other, Utah won 127-121 here on November 10th; all signs point to a similar final combined score here as well, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-29-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Tulane -13.5 | Top | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH) Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -132 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* Oilers (WEST-CONF GOW) We're getting a great price on a super hungry home side that can't afford to look past anyone, and which is playing "catch up" after a shaky start to the 2023/24 campaign. They catch the defending champs at the best time as well, losers of four in a row, including a heartbreaking 2-1 OT loss in Calgary just last night. Ths is the first game of the year between the clubs. Edmonton has been playing better of late, winners of two in a row outscoring the Capitals and Ducks by a combined 13-2. Look for the still desperate home side to risk life and limb here and lay this price with confidence; the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 230.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Mavericks (ASSASSIN) Two teams in need of a win collide here and we're expecting some offensive fireworks. Dallas is 10-6, but it's now lost three of its last four, including a listless 107-88 setback at the Clippers two nights ago. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. Houston has been the surprise team of the league so far, going 8-6 to start and and having posted 11 straight ATS covers. Will Houston cover again tonight?! Maybe! But with the home side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-28-23 | Missouri +6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW) Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY on New Orleans. Here's a great "spot" wager, one so strong that it's qualified as our No. 1 WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR. New Orleans is 9-8 after a 105-100 loss here two nights ago. Note though that the Pels have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Utah is just 5-11. That victory snapped a four-game slide. But with an upcoming road trip starting at Memphis, not only is this a letdown spot for the home side, but also a look-ahead. And when you add up those two factors together, you get TRAP GAME. This is now a trap for the contented home side, well all signs point to New Orleans keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this revenge-scenario; lay the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Manhattan v. Fordham -11.5 | Top | 61-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING) The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/Cavs (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening for a few different situational reasons. Both teams are 8-8 SU. Toronto has won two straight, while seeing the total go "over" the number in four straight. Note though that despite their most recent 121-108 win over the Bulls, the Raptors have still seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Unlike Toronto, Cleveland has now lost two straight after last night's 121-115 home loss to the Lakers. Previous to that the Cavs failed to reach 100 in a 129-96 home setback to Miami. Like the Raptors though, Cleveland has also seen the total go "over" in four straight. With the home side fatigued and hungry to snap the losing streak, we're expecting it to "double down" on the defensive end this evening. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-23 | College of Charleston +7.5 v. Kent State | Top | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 45.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Bucs/Colts (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a bit of a shootout here between these non-conference opponents on Sunday afternoon. Tampa has lost five of its last six. This is a big game obviously. It's off the 27-14 road loss at San Francisco. The Colts have won two in a row, including a 10-6 victory over New Enland two weeks ago (note thought that the Colts have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four coming off their bye week.) Both teams are still in the mix for a Wildcard, but each needs to start stringing some wins together. With each pushing the pace like we anticipate and opening things up on the offensive end, look for this total to indeed eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 237 | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Mavericks/Clippers. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a wide-open affair here tonight. LA has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last nine, including in its 116-106 home loss to the Pelicans just last night. Note though that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. The one time the total went "over" the number in the last eight game was vs. the Mavericks in a 144-126 setback in Dallas a couple of weeks ago. Note as well that the Clippers have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Dallas snapped a two-game slide with a 104-101 win at the Lakers last time out, but we're expecting a much faster-pace here now facing the Clippers; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Devils | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) Both teams played just last night. The Devils have taken a big step back in the early going after a great year last season, as they're just 8-9 after last night's 2-1 loss here to Columbus. Buffalo though won its second straight in a 3-2 home win over the Penguins. The Sabres are now 9-9 and they play with revenge after a 5-4 loss here at the end of October. In what we anticipate will be another competitive affair, we're going to lay the price with Buffalo here on the puckline option and grab those extra 1.5 goals in the process! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah UNDER 48.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Buffs/Utes (PAC 12 TOW) Here's a great "situational" play on the "under." Colorado is 4-7 and won't be moving onto a bowl. Last week the Buffs fell 56-14 at WSU and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even matching that pathethic offensive output. Utah is 7-4 and off B2B losses in which it has conceded 77 points. Now back at home, the last time it was here Utah won 55-3 over ASU. Expect another stellar defensive performance from the home side and for the visitors to simply "go through the motions;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
10* UALR (MAULING) It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Georgia State v. Old Dominion OVER 52.5 | Top | 24-25 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Georgia State/ODU (SUN BELT TOY) This is a huge game for ODU, which is 5-6 so far this season. Georgia State is 6-5, but four straight losses, the Panthers will be eager to return to form here and actually improve their bowl berth with a victory here. This is a great "situational" play, as ODU saved its season in last week's 20-17 win at Georgia Southern, but while the Monarchs have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; with each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Pelicans v. Clippers OVER 224 | Top | 116-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Pels/Clippers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we think this one finally sets up as more of an explosive offensive affair. New Orleans is 8-7 and it's now won four of its last five. The Pels have seen the total go "under" the number in there last two games despite scoring 129 and 117 points. The Clippers have now won three in a row. Granted, it was against Houston and San Antonio (twice.) LA though has seen the total go "under" the number in five straight, which is significant to note here for sure, as the Clippers have in fact seen the total "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row; expect a more wide-open affair and for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Avalanche v. Wild +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Wild (DESTRUCTION) After five straight losses, we're expecting Minnesota to risk life and limb here to pull off the upset here at home. Note that the Wild are 4-1 in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Colorado had its three-game win streak snapped last time out ina 4-3 loss at Nashville, bbut with a home game vs. Calgary tomorrow night, we think the visitors get caught "looking ahead." In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire," we're laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Minnesota on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Merrimack v. Samford -11.5 | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Samford (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Samford is 3-2 and Merrimack is 3-1. Samford is known for its tough defensive play, while Samford is known for its high-scoring offensive prowess. It's a classic strength vs. strength here. The Bulldogs are balanced overall, averaging 78.8 PPG, while allowing 72.8. The Warriors average 73.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Merrimack's competition to this point though needsd to be called into question. Look for the high-scoring home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for the win and ATS cover; the play is indeed on Samford! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | UTSA +4 v. Tulane | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10* UTSA (UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR) When betting College Football at this time of year, it's really important to first look at each team's record, because that plays a big part in their motivation. For example, Iowa is 9-2 in Nebraska this weekend, but the Hawekeyes are already playing in the Big Ten Championship game against either Michigan or Ohio State. So do the Hawkeyes really care if they win or lose against the 5-6 Huskers? Nebraska though will be risking life and limb of course to try and pull off the victory. But these two teams here in Tulane, along with SMU, are tied for first place in the AAC, so this is a really big game obvoiusly for each side here despite each already being eligible. In fact the winner of this game will almost assuredly go on to play in the AAC title game. The Green Wave average 33.1 points per game and it's been their offense which has led the charge this season. The Roadrunners are the exact opposite, as they've been getting the job done with a fantastic defense that allows just 18.5 points per game. They say "defense wins championships," and that's the angle we're going with here for sure; grab the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MOUNTAIN WEST GOW) The Utah State Aggies are 5-6 and the New Mexico Lobos are 4-7. With a win Utah State will become "eligible," and with a victory, New Mexico will win on Senior's Day. The Lobos can only play spoiler here and we don't think that'll be enough of a motivating factor to get the job done here. Utah State is off a 45-10 loss to Boise State, wile the Lobos are off a satisfying 25-17 victory over Fresno State. If recent history is any precedence, then the Aggies have to be loving their chances as Utah State has won the last two head-to-head matchups by a combined score of 62-20. Jalen Royals is one of the best offensive players in the country and we believe the dynamic WR will be a difference-maker for the visiting side; lay the points, the play is Utah State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BIG TEN GOW) No need to overthink this one. Iowa is already in the Big Ten Championship game and it'll just be going through the motions here and trying not to sustain any serious injuries before a date with either Michigan or Ohio State. Nebraska is 5-6 and needs one more win here on Senior Night to become eligible. The Huskers have gone 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three, but note that Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In what we expect will be a rout from start to finish, lay the points the with confidence; the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-24-23 | BYU v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 77-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arizona State (NON-CONF GOW) The Sun Devils are 2-1 and on a two-game win streak after a 71-69 victory over UMass Lowell River. BYU is 4-0, most recently off a commanding 93-50 victory over Morgan State. Aside from SDSU, a game the Cougars won 74-65 as two-point favorites, BYU has not played anyone of note. They've been massive double-digit favorites in every other game. This is the "Vegas Showdown" Tournament and we think that the improving underdog side offers great value in this spot to pull off a comfortable ATS cover. Look for ASU to put up a similar fight as to what the Aztecs gave; grab the points, the play is indeed on Arizona State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 51 m | Show |
10* Seahawks. Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last four games. It fell 17-16 at the Rams last week. It's the first game of the year vs. the 49ers, who have gotten back on track with B2B wins and once look pretty dominant. With a game at Philadelphia after this, followed by a home re-match vs. the Hawks, we say that San Fran gets caught "looking ahead." Seattle is 4-1 SU at home. San Fran is just 2-3 ATS on the road. We're not calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this one being much more competitive than what this spread would suggest; grab the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-45 | Loss | -111 | 72 h 1 m | Show |
10* Commanders. As mentioned in the play on Green Bay, we're going "contrarian" here on Thanksgiving, taking all three dogs. Washington is 4-7 and it's lost two straight after an upset 31-19 setback to the Giants. Previous to that they fell short in a competitive 29-26 loss at Seattle as a six-point dog. We like the Commanders to bounce back here with their effort though after they got caught looking ahead to this one. These teams play in the Nation's capital in the final regular season game and we like the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Dallas has always had a way of playing down to the level of its competition in big moments, and we say that pattern of futility continues here on the short week. No outright, but way closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-23-23 | Packers +8 v. Lions | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
10* Packers. We're going contrarian here. While the majority of the public goes one way on this early game on Thanksgiving, we're going the other. In fact, that's the theme of this three-game report, a Thanksgiving Contraian 3-Pak! Cleary, Detroit is the better team. After three straight wins, it's now in lines for its fourth. It beat Green Bay 34-20 back in September, but we're expecting a much better fight from their division rival here on the National Stage. Detroit was "lucky" to move past Chicago 31-26 last weekend. It plays its next two on the road, so it could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. Green Bay plays with revenge and it comes in off a huge 23-20 home win over the Chargers as three-point dogs. Everything points to a much tigher battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 234 | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
10* Warriors/Suns UNDER (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Golden State finally snapped a six-game slide with a slim 121-116 victory over Houston last time out. They've seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Warriors have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Phoenix has won four straight and it's seen the total eclipse the posted number in all four games. But after last night's 120-107 win over Portland, we expect the home side to come in with some "heavy legs" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Phoenix won the latest matchup 108-104 and we're expecting a similar lower-scoring, defensive-battle here as well; this nubmer is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Stars (REVENGE BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on MANY different things. We use many different strategies and we employ them at different times of the season. Some games we look at every angle possible, but othes we keep it simple. This one is based on "revenge." Some times the "revenge" angle can be over-rated, but not in this case. These two teams are both fantastic and it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either side to win. Dallas does play with revenge here though after a 3-2 shootout loss back in October, and note that the Stars are 5-1 in their last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent; overall a fantastic price on the revenge-minded Stars! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-22-23 | Cal-Riverside +4 v. Montana State | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UC Riverside (MID-MAJOR MAULING) UC Riverside is 2-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. We expect the Highlanders to, at the very least, finally get off the schneid here in the ATS department. They're actually coming off a 74-68 win over Wisconsin Green Bay and despite not covering the spread last time out, note that UC Riverside is still a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Montanta State actually lost 54-53 to Wisconsin Green Bay in OT as an 11-point favorite here at home two nights ago. These teams are in fact evenly matched and in a battle that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is UC Riverside! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 252.5 | Top | 157-152 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Hawks (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) No need to overthink this one, as we expect a much more defensive affair here finally between two teams that have been playing to a lot of "overs" to open the season. In fact, Indiana has seen the total go 11-1 to the "over." Atlanta is just 6-6 and its lost two straight. It's also seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect a bit more of a methodical pace than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed way too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 24-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* EMU (MAC DOMINATION) This is a FANTASTIC "situational" play in our opinion. EMU is 0-5 SU on the road and it's a big dog here, but at 5-6, the Eagles still have one more opportunity to try and punch their ticket to "eligibility." Despite being 0-5 SU on the road, EMU is a competitive 3-2 ATS away from friendly confines. they kep their hopes alive with a huge 30-27 OT win over Akron last week, and we're expecting another all-out effort here in Buffalo as well. The Bulls have lost three straight SU/ATS, including a 23-10 setback at Miami Ohio last week. Playing spoiler can only go so far, and we think that the Eagles' determination will prove to be the difference; grab the points,teh play is EMU. AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Maryland -20 | Top | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (ATS CURB-STOMP) Maryland is 1-3, while UMBC is 3-2. The Terps are heavily favored here to snap their three game slide and we think they'll do just that by being merciless here on the Retreivers. Note that Maryland is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. UMBC now looks primed for a letdown after winning and covering in three straight (note that the Retreivers are in fact just 2-4 ATS in their last six after three or more straight SU victories in a row.) Look for Maryland to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Sharks v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sharks/Canucks (TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including a 10-1 win Vancouver had over San Jose earlier in the season, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here on the West Coast of Canada on Monday in our opinion finally. San Jose broke a three-game slide with a 5-1 win over St. Louis last time out. Note though that the Sharks have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vancouver has now dropped two straight, so it'll be eager to get back to its winning ways. It's seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Canucks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles play with revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl last year. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side and you're also very familiar with each team's strengths and weaknesses. Despite the Chiefs being the defending champs though, Philadelphia "feels" like the more complete team to us at this point of the season. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to take this one. We think the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Knicks v. Wolves -3 | Top | 100-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wolves (NON-CONF GOW) New York is 8-5, including 5-3 on the road. But after three straight SU/ATS road victories, and with four days off after this before game vs. rival Miami, we say this absolutely sets up as a "trap" for the visitors. Minnesota has won eight in a row, but it's lost three straight ATS. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We expect the visitors to "go through the motions" here; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (TOURNEY GOW) Virginia is 4-0 and Wisconsin is 2-2. The Badgers are off a 76-68 win over Robert Morris, while UVA is off a 63-33 win over Texas Southern. This is UVA's first "real" test though and Wisconsin ultimately has the offensive fire-power to match pace. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Wisconsin! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-20-23 | Louisville v. Indiana -6.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Indiana (ATS BLOWOUT) Indiana is 3-1 SU, but 0-4 ATS. Louisville is 2-2 SU/ATS. This is the consolation game of the Saatva Empire Classic. The Hoosiers are off the 77-57 loss to UConn, but we're expecting them to bounce back here, and keep your eye on Kel'el Ware, who is averaging 16.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Louisville lost to Texas last time out. The Cardinals are led most night by Tre White with 14.5 PPG. Clearly, Louisville is going to be better than the garbage pile it was last year, but it's still in over its head here in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Blazers (NORTHWEST DIV. GOM) Here's a great situational wager on Portland. OKC is 9-4 and it's won four in a row, including two straight at Golden State, including last night's 130-123 OT victory. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Portland has lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. With a couple days off after this, followed by a home game vs. the Bulls, this one has "trap" written all over it for the visitors; grab the points, the play is the Blazers! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Sabres v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Sabres/Hawks (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting "overs," and that's the case here for these non-conference sides. Buffalo is just 7-9-1-0 this year, while Chicago is 5-10-0-0. The Sabres will be desperate to snap a three-game slide, but note that Buffalo has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-19-23 | St. John's +5 v. Utah | Top | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* St. John's (ASSASSIN) This is for the third-place in the Charleston Classic. The Red Storm are off an 88-81 loss at Dayton, while the Utes fell 76-66 to Houston on Friday. St. John's is now 2-2 on the year, but battle-tested. They average 74.3 PPG, while allowing 75.8. Utah is averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Utes struggled defensively last time out though and we think they'll have their hands full here too in this neutral site affair. We think the Red Storm will do more than enough to, at the very least, post the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is St. John's! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills OVER 39 | Top | 6-32 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Bills (AFC EAST TOY) It's a big game for each side, and while both have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, including in their first meeting of the year back in Week 1 when the Jets upset the Bills at home by a score of 22-16 in OT. The Jets are 4-5 and the Bills are 5-5 and there are plenty of implications on the line for each team. Note though that the Bills have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Bills have lost two in a row after last week's 24-22 setback to the Broncos, and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that Buffalo has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. We're expecting a battle here, but one that flies OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Bucs +12.5 v. 49ers | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) Tampa isn't going to win this game outright, but it also won't be rolling over. Yes, the 49ers looked sharp in last week's 34-3 win over Jacksonville, bouncing back from three straight losses after their bye week, but we're expecting them to get caught "looking ahead" here to their divisional matchup in Seattle next week. And that's then followed by a game at Philadelphia, followed by two more straight divisional matchups. This really does feel like a "trap" for San Francisco. Tampa broke a four-game slide last week as well with a 20-6 home win over Tennessee. The Bucs have now covered in three straight, and we're expecting that trend to follow through one more time in this favorable "spot" as well; a great situational play on Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Morgan State +30 v. BYU | 50-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Morgan State (ULTIMATE SHOCKER) Outright victory?! Of course not! But we think that this is a great situational play on the underdog. Morgan State is 2-2 and BYU is 3-0. The Cougars have yet to be tested, plaing all three games at home, but with a tournament game vs. Arizona State this week, there's no doubt that BYU gets caught "looking ahead" here. We like the Bears to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Morgan State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Heat v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Bulls (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Despite having just played and lost 103-97 to Orlando last night, we like the Bulls to bounce back and take the first game of this two-game series here vs. the Heat. Chicago lost both games to orlando and it's now lost three in a row. Note though that the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Miami has won seven straight, but we expect it to have its hands full here today vs. this underachieving home side. And while the outright win is obviously poossible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Chicago! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Georgia State v. LSU UNDER 73 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show |
10* Georgia State/LSU UNDER (NON-CONF TOY) LSU and Jayden Daniels are 7-3. They've seen the total go "over" the number in all ten games. Daniels is brilliant, but now here favored at home in a massive way over lowly 6-4 Georgia State, which became bowl eligible and then immediately lost three straight. No need to overthink this one, as this is a great "situational" play. Georgia State will just be going through the motions here and will be looking to avoid any serious injuries. One game after falling 42-28 to Alabama, LSU bounced back with last week's 52-35 win over Florida, but with Texas A&M up next to close out the season, we believe the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half; this number is finally a bit TOO high here for the Tigers, so the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOM) Texas State is now 6-4 after last week's 31-23 upset loss at Coastal Carolina as a three-point favorite. The Bobcats are once again going to have their hands full here vs. the 5-5 Arkansas State Red Wolves, who had their two-game win streak snapped in last week's 21-14 loss at South Alabama as a 15.5-point dog. The Red Wolves will be looking to pull off the outright upset here, but really the oddsmakers have been underestimating this team for a while now, entering having covered the spread in three straight. And that's the case once again here in our opinion, as we feel an outright upset is in fact a very real possibility; that said, let's grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Golden Knights v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Flyers (NON-CONF TOM) We primarily based our Over/Under picks (in EVERY major sport!), on "situations." Here's a great situational play in our opinion. Neither team has been involved in many high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Vegas came from behind to knock off Montreal on the road by a score of 6-5 and we expect that offensive momentum to get carried over here (previous to that the Knights had seen the total go "under" in four straight.) The Flyers have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last eight after a 3-1 road win at Carolina, but with the visitors pushing the pace of this one like we expect, we're looking for this total to indeed eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch of this non-conference contest; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Columbia +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
10* Columbia (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Temple is 3-0, and Columbia is 2-2. Columbia is averaging 78 PPG, and we think its impressive offense will keep it competitive late in this one. Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa is one of four players averaging double-figures. Temple averages only 66.3 PPG, but it has been getting the job done with its impressive defensive play, holding teams to just 38.5 percent shooting. Hysier Miller leads the way offensively for Temple. With Ole Miss coming to town next, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half as well; grab the points, the play is Columbia! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-18-23 | Tulane v. Florida Atlantic +9.5 | Top | 24-8 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* FAU (AAC GOM) Tulane is 9-1 and has big aspirations here, but FAU won't be rolling over, coming into this contest 4-6, needing to sweep its final two games to become "eligible." Clealry the odds are against it, but we think the Owls will, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough down the stretch to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that they've been afforded. Tulane is really in unchartered territory here atop the AAC. Tulane has a way of letting teams hang around late. The Green Wave also have some injuries in the receiving corps. When you add up all of these factors, eveything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Florida Atlantic! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 218.5 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Clippers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston is 6-3, but 0-2 on the road. The Rockets are coming in off six straight victories, and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight (note though that Houston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Clippers have seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after dropping their sixth straight in a 111-108 setback at Denver most recently. A disaster start for the Clippers, who will be keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
10* WSU (PAC 12 GOM) We say that home field advantage proves to be a difference-maker here. Both teams are 4-6 with two games remaining to try and become eligible. Colorado has lost four straight, but it's 3-1 ATS in that span, most recently falling 34-31 to Arizona as an 8-point dog. After four straight wins to open the year, WSU has now lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Colorado has been downright terrible of late though, now allowing 33.9 PPG. The Cougars have only been slightly better by allowing 30.9, but again, the home-field advantage simply can not be ignored as a very real deciding factor in our opinion. Everyone and their grand-mother wants to beat Coach Prime, and that includes WSU; lay the points, the play is the Cougars! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ATS BEATDOWN) The Butler Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS, while Michigan State is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The Spartans lost their last game against 9th ranked Duke, but we're expecting them to now take out their frustrations on the Bulldogs. Butler has looked great in its three straight home wins, but now they hit the road for the first time and we're predicting a predictable letdown. The bottom line here though is that Butler hasn't played anyone difficult yet, and the Spartans are already battle-tested and now a little pissed off; look for MSU to run up the score and keep the foot on the gas until the final horn! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 117 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Wings (SPECIAL) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here finally. Detroit's off a 5-4 OT loss to Ottawa just last night and we expect it to be fatigued here and to double down on the defensive end. Toronto has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight after a 5-2 win over Vancouver, but note that the Leafs have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 225 | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Thunder/Warriors (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) Here's a great situational play. This is the opener of two straight between these teams here in Golden State. The Warriors won't be taking anything for granted here at 6-6 and off four straight losses. OKC has won four of its last five and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight (but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Missouri -2 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-68 | Push | 0 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational contrarian-based selection. Missouri is 2-1, while Minnesota is 2-0. The Tigers are 0-3 ATS to open the season, but note that Missouri is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the Gophers, we naturally will lean to the opposite side no matter the situation. So far Missouri averaged 78.9 PPG, while allowing 74.4 last season, while Minnesota averaged 62.9 PPG, while allowing 71. The Tigers won't be as good as they were last year with plenty of new faces, but their defense will be the difference-maker in this one; lay the points, the play is Missouri! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 46 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bengals/Ravens (TOTAL BLOWOUT) The Bengals are 5-4 and the Ravens are 7-3. Cincinnati got caught looking ahead to this one in last week's 30-27 home loss to Houston as a 5.5-point favorite, snapping a four-game win streak. Baltimore's four-game win streak was also snapped in last week's 33-31 home loss to Cleveland as a six-point favorite. The Bengals play with revenge after a 27-24 loss at home to Baltimore, and note that Cinncy has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. a divisional opponent. Expect the short week to also help in contributing to a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
10* Coyotes/Jackets UNDER (ASSASSIN) Here's a great situational play. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end on Thursday night. Arizona is 7-6-2-0, while Columbus is 4-8-3-1. The Blue Jackets have lost six straight and they've seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that Columbus has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Arizona is 7-6 and over its last five games it's been trading wins with losses. Off a 4-3 OT loss at Dallas, expect the visitors to double-down on the defensive end in this rare road favorable matchup; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOW) Pittsburgh is terrible. It's going through its worst season in 30 years. Pitt is 2-8 and can't even play spoiler here, as BC is 6-4. The Eagles lost badly to Virginia Tech last weekend, one week after punching their ticket. But BC has great numbers against bad teams and we can't see the Panthers putting up much of a fight here on Thursday night. While BC stumbled last week, expect an immediate response here in this favorable matchup on Thursday night; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab the points with Boston College! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Kings v. Lakers UNDER 233.5 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
10* Kings/Lakers UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Here's a great situational play. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but this overall "situation" now points to a much more defensive affair in our opinion. LA has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's win over Memphis, but note that the Lakers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Kings are coming off B2B wins and have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one because of the fatigue factor, all signs point to this total now being a bit too high here on Wednesday night; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Kraken/Oilers (BOB) The NHL season has been interesting so far with a few surprises here and there. One of those surprises has been one of these two teams, nd that's the Oilers. Edmonton was predicted by many to take a BIG step forward this year, but so far that hasn't been the case as the Oilers are just 4-9-1-0. But that said, they're coming off two straight wins. The bottom line here is that Edmonton can't afford to look past anyone. It can't afford to take the foot off the gas, as it has to keep the pedal to the metal for a while here to get back on track. And so here's a favorable home matchup which we expect them to try and take advantage of. Seattle has always been a surprise to us, another expansion team that's burst onto the scene and enjoyed a lot of early success. Last year Seattle was great on the road, but this season maybe the Kraken are taking a step back as they've now lost four of their last five most recently falling 5-1 to Colorado at home. And in the game previous to that the Kraken lost 4-1 to these very Oilers (note though that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent.) These two motivated teams open things up offensively on Wednesday night in our opinion; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* SEMO (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Evansville is 2-0, and Southeast Missouri State (SEMO), is 0-2. We think that the Purple Aces will be caught a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. Ball State this weekend. The Redhawks have been blown out in each of their first two games, but they were huge dogs in each. They were 16 points at Grand Canyon, and lost 88-67. Then they were 20-point dogs at Butler and lost 91-56. Now back at home for the first time this year and battle-tested, we're expecting an all out effort from the home side here to "get off the schneid," the play is SEMO! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11.5 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
10* CMU (MAC GOY) We've reached the point of the season where the win/loss record for teams really matters. CMU is 5-5 and it has two games left in which to try and become eligible. Ohio is 7-3 and it's already eligible, although now looking to improve its bowl berth. Still lots to play for for the Bobcats, but it's all hands on deck for CMU here, which has a home game vs. 9-1 Toledo next week, a contest in which it'll be another large dog. It's now or never, do or die essentially and while that may not translate into a SU win for the Chips here on Wednesday night, we do fully expect that effort be more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Central Michigan! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Merrimack v. Ohio State -22.5 | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Ohio State (ROUT) Merrimack is 2-1 and it's on the road to take on 1-1 Ohio State. The Buckeyes held on for a 79-73 win over Oakland as 19.5-point favorites, before then falling 73-66 at home to Texas A&M as 1.5-point favs. The Warriors have won two straight and are 3-0 ATS, but the level of their competition obviously has to be called into question here, most recently a 71-65 victory over Maine. Ohio State has underperformed and because of that, we are aboslutely expecting the Buckeyes to take this game super seriously and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. A great situational play; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Ohio State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3.5 | Top | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) The Pelicans come in desperate to snap a five-game slide, both SU and ATS. Note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten though after five or more SU losses in a row. The Pels also play with the immediate "revenge" factor after falling 136-124 to Dallas here two nights agao, and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Dallas is firing on all cylinders right now, but with a game in the Nation's capital tomorrow night, followed by a contest in Milwaukee, not only is this a "letdown" spot for the Mavs, but also a "look-ahead." And when you add those two factors together you get TRAP GAME. While the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Capitals (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of an offensive outburst here in the Nation's capital on Tuesday night. After back-to-back regulation losses, the Knights bounced back wth a 5-0 win over the Sharks last time out. They've seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the defending champs have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. After a slow start the Capitals have been playing a lot better, as they're 7-4-2 overall and off B2B victories. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this one eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 52.5 | Top | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Bowling Green. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toledo is 9-1 and looking to close out the regular season strong before Conference Tournament. BGSU is eligible at 6-4, but it'll also be looking to improve its berth with another win here and a possible upset. BGSU has seen the total go "over" three straight games after its fourth straight win in last week's 49-19 win at Kent State, but note that the Green Falcons have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Toledo is off a 49-23 win over EMU, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one, rather than turn it into a shootout, we say that the overall situation, combined with the trends all point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-14-23 | Mercer v. Morehead State -3 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
10* Morehead State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) 1-1 Mercer hits the road to take on 1-2 Morhead State and in our opinion, the home court advatage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this one. This is a "trap" game for the Bears, who are off the 66-61 SU/ATS win over Chicago State, and who have a big nationally televised game at Alabama this weekend. Morehead State lost 105-73 at Alabama to open the season, then bounced back with a 96-40 win SHAST, which was then followed by an 87-57 loss at Purdue. Morehead State has played some tough competition and catches Mercer here at the right time; lay the points with confidence, the play is Morehead State! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Kraken (TOW) After losing three of their last four, including two straight, while also seeing the total go "over" the number in four straight, we're expecting the 8-5 Avs to double down on the defensive end this evening. Note, despite losing 8-2 to the Blues at home last time out, Colorado has still seen the total go "under" the number eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle is 5-7 and it's lost three of its last four as well. They've seen the total go "over" in three of their last four, but they fell 4-1 to the Oilers last time out; all signs point to a similar final combined score here as well between these two hungry sides; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 53-88 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
10* LIU (BOB) Are we calling for the outright victory?! We're not obviously! But in a contest that we predict being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Pepperdine is 2-1, while LIU is 0-1. The Sharks fought hard, but eventually fell 82-67 to Air Force as ten-point dogs in their most recent matchup. The Waves are coming off a 76-53 winm over the Leopards. LIU was amazingly just 1-15 ATS on the road last year, but we think the Sharks can comfortably sneak in through the back door this time with Pepperdine caught looking ahead to a series of neutral court tournament contests, starting with UC Irvine. Regardless, no outright upset or anything, but expect a comfortably back door cover down the stretch; grab the points, the play is LIU! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Broncos +7 v. Bills | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
10* Broncos (ASSASSIN) Denver is 3-5. It went into its bye week last week off two straight victories, including an impressive 24-9 win over Kansas City. With a week off to prepare, we think that the Broncos are poised for another big performance. Buffalo is just 5-4 and it's been more "miss" than "hit" of late, coming offa 24-18 loss at Cincinnati last weekend. Buffalo has lost five straight ATS, but with over 65% of the public money backing the home side, we are definitely going to play contrarian here and grab up all these points; and that's the play, Denver! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-13-23 | Bulls v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIV. GOW) After B2B SU road losses, and six straight ATS setbacks, we're liking the Bucks to not only win this game here on Monday night vs. their division rival, but to do so in blowout fashion. Chicago has been trading wins and losses over its last four games, and off a 119-108 home win and cover over the Pistons just last night, we're expecting the Bulls to predictably suffer here in the second game ofthe B2B scenario. Overall this play is a super solid "situational" selection; lay the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders OVER 36.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Raiders (AFC NON-DIVISIONAL TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting a much faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome than what this O/U line is suggesting. This is a big game for both teams and we expect this to translate into offensive production on the field of play. The Jets had won three straight before last week's 27-6 setback at home to the Chargers, but note that NY has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog in its previous outing. Las Vegas snapped a two-game slide with a 30-6 win over New York, and we think it can match that offensive out put this week as well. These teams haven't played since 2020, and in that game they combined 59 points. We see a similar final combined score here this time around as well, as the overall situation combined with the numbers/trends do indeed point to the "over" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (SOUTHWEST GOY) We love the way this one sets up for New Orleans. We really respect the Mavericks and think they are a very dangerous team. This is just a great spot for the hungry home side. The Mavs are 7-2, while the Pels are 4-5. This is the opener of two straight here between the teams. If the Pels lose this one, we'll almost assuredly be on them in the next game, but we just don't see that happening. Dallas is off the big 144-126 home win over the Clippers, but two days previous it fell 127-116 at home to the Raptors. New Orleans and Toronto have similar line-ups that can keep Luka Doncic busy. The Pels won't be messing around here after four straight losses. This is a great situational play and while clearly we believe the outright upset is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Northern Arizona +19.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Northern Arizona (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Grand Canyon is 1-0, while Northern Arizona is 0-1. The Lumberjacks fell 95-52 to a tough UConn team, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS non-conference road loss. The Antelopes pulled away for the 88-67 win and cover over Southeast Missouri State, but with an upcoming neutral site tourney game vs. San Francisco, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead" and to take the foot off the gas in the second half; grab the points, the play is Northern Arizona! AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
10* 49ers (ASSASSIN) At the start of the season we believed that Jacksonville was really undervalued, but now we think the Jags are getting a little too much respect here vs. an underachieving 49ers team that's off three staight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note that San Fran is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. San Fran comes out of its bye week, and there are now no excuses. The Jags come in complacent off their sixth straight win, a 20-10 victory over a listless Pittsburgh side. Look for the "hungrier" team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is San Francisco. AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers OVER 38.5 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
8* OVER Packers/Steelers (SUPER TOTAL) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive affair here in this non-conference contest here in Pittsburgh in our opinion. Green Bay is 3-5, while Pittsburgh is 5-3. The Packers are off the much-needed 20-3 home win over the Rams and they've now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite dominating defensively last week, note that Green Bay has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Pittsburgh wasn't supposed to be this good this year, but it's now won three of its last four, including a 20-16 home victory over Tennessee last time out. Pittsburgh has now seen the total go "under" in six straight, but note that despite its last game staying below the posted number, Pittsburgh has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This is a big game for each side, and we're expecting a much faster-paced affair, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU +10 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 30 m | Show |
10* TCU (BIG 12 GOM) Will 8-1 Texas get caught "looking past" 4-5 TCU on the road here? Probably not. But that said, we're expecting a battle until the final moments and because of that, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. It's three straight winnable games to close out the year for the Longhorns, but no such luxury for the Horned Frogs, who have lost two straight and who are running out of chances to become eligible, with a game vs. Baylor next week, followed by a contest at Oklahoma to close things off. The Longhorns looked shaky in last week's 33-30 OT win over K-State, and we feel they're holding on here. Backup quarterback Maalik Murphy has now started two games in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and he hasn't been great. They won't need or want to rush back Ewers and if he does play here, it will be as a game manager to get back into the "groove" of live-action play. No matter which way you cut it, we say this is a few too many points to be giving; so grab the points, the play is indeed on TCU. AAA Sports |
|||||||
11-11-23 | Bucknell +10.5 v. Niagara | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* Bucknell (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Bucknell is 0-2 SU/ATS after an 80-61 loss at Penn. Niagara is off the 70-63 loss at Notre Dame. These teams played last year and Bucknell posted the 68-50 win, and while there's been plenty of turnover for both teams, we still think the Bison will be competitive here vs. what we feel is an over-rated Purple Eagles side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Bucknell! AAA Sports |