Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* WKU (CONF. USA GOW) WKU is coming off a 35-28 win over Louisana Tech, while Jacksonville State enters off a 31-13 home loss to Liberty. Hilltoppers' QB Austin Reed and WR Malachi Corley are a force to be reckoned with offensively for WKU and I think they'll keep their team competitive late in this one. Jacksonville State likes to run the ball, but the Hilltoppers have been decent defensively this year in stopping the run, especially in the red-zone. The Gamecocks are led by Malik Jackson offensively, he already has 578 rushing yards. Jacksonville State has also been dominant defensively, but there are a few injury issues on offense this week, with both QB's Zion Webb and Logan Smothers listed as questionable. WKU also has a 100% redzone efficiency rate this season. Look for the visiting side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is WKU! AAA Sports |
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10-17-23 | Canucks v. Flyers +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Flyers PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. The Canucks are road favorites here after a 2-0 start, but let's not read too much into any early results, either good or bad, for any team quite yet. Both of Vancouver's wins came against Edmonton. Great wins for sure, but the Canucks whole purpose right now is built around beating teams in the Western Conference like Edmonton, a club that it's super familiar with. Now heading to the East Coast for the first time, things are different here. The Flyers are 1-1 and return home for their first game of the year here and they'll be fired up. We won't rule out an outright victory, but let it be known far and wide, AAA Sports is never afraid to lay chalk in the correct situation, and this is one of those times in our estimation. In a game that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're laying the price and taking Philly on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Dallas is 3-2 and coming off a humbling 42-10 loss at San Francisco last week. We think the Cowboys will once again struggle here on the road vs. the hungry 2-2 LA Chargers, who are coming out of their bye week ready and focused. Dallas only gained 197 yards last week and despite allowing a season-high 42 points in the setback, the defense still ranks No. 7 in the league. But Dak Prescott and the offense looked terrible as well and we just think that Just Herbert and company have a major advantage in every metric and on both sides of the ball here this afternoon. Look for "home field" to be a big advantage and prove to be a difference-maker for the Chargers on Monday night! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -148 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLCS GOW) If you're watching and wagering on this game, then you almost assuredly know the story line for each club up to this point, so there's no reason to give you a breakdown of how each club got to this point. You likely also already know the cast of characters for each side, the coaches and the players and also each team's strengths and weaknesses. We're just here to tell you why we think that the D-Backs can pull off the upset here, or at the very least, keep it close enough to cover on the runline option. And it's simple, the starting pitching matchup is very even, but we definitely think that Zac Gallen (2-0, 3.18 ERA) will be able to easily match his counterpart Zach Wheeler (1-0, 2.08) inning for inning and in a scenario like that, the value invariably swings to the undervalued underdog; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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10-16-23 | Flames v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Flames/Capitals (NON-CONF TOW) Here's a great situational play, as we're expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish after losing 4-0 to the Penguins on Opening night. Note that Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a shutout home loss. Both of Calgary's games have flown "over" the number, beating the Jets 5-3 and then falling 5-2 at Pittsburgh. With the home side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Giants v. Bills OVER 44.5 | Top | 9-14 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 31 m | Show |
10* Giants/Bills OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The Bills are now 3-2 after falling 25-20 to Jacksonville in London last week. Note that Buffalo has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. The Giants are just 1-4, and another loss here will essentially be the final nail in the coffin for their 2023/24 campaign. Note that NY though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Both teams are coming off losses, and each can't wait for the other to make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace throughout like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (BLOWOUT) We're expecting a "duel" here in the opener of the ALCS, and you don't have to look any further than the starting pitchers to know why. These teams are very familiar with each other of course, but in the end we're expecting the men on the mound to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. Texas hands the ball to Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 3.27 ERA), while the home side counters with Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00.) These two veterans are coming off solid regular seasons and have so far been great in the playoffs. All signs point to a classic "duel" as we stated off the top; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lightning v. Senators UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Sens. Here's a great "situational" play. Both teams are 1-1, and each has seen the total go "over" the number in each of its games. Finally here on Sunday night we're expecting more of a defensive battle between these two hopeful Eastern-Conference opponents. Despite who is playing in net, and despite the past history of these clubs playing to higher-scoring affairs whenever they get together, the overall situation to us points finally to a defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 20-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
10* Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Detroit is 4-1, while Tampa is 3-1. Home field will prove to be the difference here between these evenly matched teams in our opinion. The Lions do have the quality Week 1 win over the Chiefs, but their other victories haven't been super impressive, including last week's 42-24 win over Carolina. Jared Goff has been decent with 1,265 passing yards and a 9:3 TD:INT. The Lions concede 21.4 PPG. The Bucs enters focused and fresh out of their bye week. QB Baker Mayfield has 882 yards passing and a 7:2 TD:INT. But the Bucs have been downright awesome defensively so far, conceding just 17 PPG. Todd Bowles is a great defensive coach and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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10-15-23 | 49ers v. Browns +10 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
10* Browns (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) As the title of this pick implies, the basis of this selection is us going against the general betting public, which has overwhelmingly backed the 49ers on the road here, because Cleveland will be playing without DeShaun Watson. Cleveland though comes out rested off its bye, and I think the Browns will be competitive here at home with tough defensive play. This game will be won in the trenches and by field position. Expect San Fran to be running the ball a lot today behind Christian McCaffrey. But the Browns allow the fewest yards in the NFL. PJ Walker will be a game manager, but we expect that to be more than enough for the home side to walk away with the comfortable cover; so grab the points, the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Ducks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Ducks/Knights (PACIFIC DIVISION TOM) When a season starts (in any sport), whenver we wager on a total, we're essentially wagering on "situations." And in our opinion, this particular Pacific Division contest sets up to a be a wide-open "shootout," rather than a lower-scoring, grind-it-out defensive battle. This is the Ducks first game of the year, while Las Vegas enters already at 2-0. Both of the Knights games have gone "under" so far backed by Adin Hill, but we're definitely expecting this Knights offense to push the pace and to make Anaheim have to play from behind. There's no way that the younger visiting side can sit back and hope that the champs will make the first mistake. With each side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Canucks/Oilers (ASSASSIN) A great "common sense" play here. No need to overthink this one TOO much. These teams opened the season together in Vancouver just two nights ago and the Canucks skated away with the upset and lop-sided 8-1 victory. After that blowout high-scoring loss, we're expecting the oilers to double down defensively here obviously as they look to atone for their opening night "brain fart." The Canucks looked great on both ends of the ice in the victory, but don't expect lightning to strike twice offensively for Vancouver, especially here on the road. We're expecting a much "chippier" affair in the "rematch," and ultimately this slower-paced battle is going to produce a lower-scoring outcome; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | NC State +3.5 v. Duke | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
8* NC State (BAIL-OUT) The Blue Devils are 4-1 and they're coming out of their bye week, but we believe that "rest" will lead to "rust" here. Duke suffered its first loss of the season in a 21-14 home setback to Notre Dame in its previous action. NC State is 4-2 after a huge 48-41 win over Marshall last week. The Wolfpack also lost to Notre Dame by a score of 45-24, but with QB MJ Morris throwing the ball around the field today, we believe that the Blue Devils secondary won't be up to the task. Duke QB Riley Leonard was just 12 of 27 last week, and he hurt his ankle in the process. Look for NC State to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | California v. Utah OVER 43.5 | Top | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Cal/Utah (PAC 12 TOM) Cal is 3-3 and coming off a 52-40 shootout home loss to Oregon State on Saturday. Cal's offense looked decent, but the defense looked terrible. So that's good news for the 4-1 Utes, who come out of their bye off their first loss in a 21-7 setback at Oregon State (note though that Utah has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to a TD or less.) Utah hasn't announced yet if star QB Cam Rising will finally be under center, but whether he is or not we can fully expect this explosive Cal offense to run the ball early and often behind Isaiah Ifanse. But the Golden Bears' defense, especially the secondary is completely atrocious. No matter which way you cut it, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-14-23 | Michigan State +5.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show |
10* MSU (BIG TEN GOY) Here's a great spot for MSU to pull of an outright upset! And while that scenario is definitely a possibility in our opinion, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. MSU is 2-3 and Rutgers is 4-2. The Spartans are coming out of their bye, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an 11-point loss to Wisconsin. MSU looked pretty bad in its 16-13 loss to Iowa back on September 30th, with QB Noah Kim passing for 193 yards and three INT's. RB Nathan Carter though looked great with 20 rushes for 108 yards. It's also interesting to note that the road team has covered in each of the last six games between these teams. Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt finished with 181 yards, one TD and an INT in the 24-13 loss to Wisconsin and we think he'll have a difficult time here vs. MSU as well. Rutgers has in fact scored 13 or less points in two of its last three games. The Spartans have had plenty of time to prepare for this one and that's going to play a big part in the outcome as well in our opinion; grab the points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Stanford +12.5 v. Colorado | Top | 46-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 26 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Colorado is 4-2 after a dramatic 27-24 win at ASU last week on a last-second field goal. But with their bye, followed by a game at UCLA, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot here facing the lowly 1-4 Cardinal and off that big win, but it's also a "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game." Clearly, Stanford's hopes of reaching eligibility are essentially zero to none already, but it won't be rolling over here and catches the Buffs and Coach Prime right at the correct moment. Colorado isn't going to the National Championship and running up the score here isn't going to impress anyone. They just need wins for a better bowl berth at the end of the day, and in our opinion, all signs do indeed point to the home side taking the foot off the gas in the second half and leaving the back door open just enough for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one; grab the points, the play is indeed on Stanford! AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Pens/Caps (BLOWOUT) Every single Washington preseason game either went "over" the number or "pushed." Now that the "real thing" is here, we're expecting a very defensive affair between these bitter rivals. Pittsburgh enters off a 4-2 Opening night loss at home to the Blackhawks, but note that the Pens have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven off an upset home loss as a favorite. These teams have played to a lot of high-scoring games against each other (the "over" is 15-4 the L19 in the series), but the overall situation here finally points to more of a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-13-23 | Coyotes v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Coyotes/Devils (NON-CONF TOM) The Devils are off a high-scoring 4-3 win here over Detroit just last night, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here on Friday. Arizona finished 28-40-14 last year, while New Jersey was 52-22-8. New Jersey won both games last year in this series. Arizona only averaged 2.68 GPG last year, while allowing 3.55. New Jersey averaged 3.48 GPG last year, while conceding just 2.67. If New Jersey was opening its season tonight, we'd likely be leaning "over" here, but because of the fatigue factor in the b2b scenario, we're expecting the home side to have a more defensive game-plan this evening; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Broncos +10.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 8-19 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 32 m | Show |
10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY) Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | Panthers v. Wild -125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wild (NON-CONF GOM) Florida struggled down the stretch last year and finished 42-32-8, but the Panthers managed to "right the ship" and make the Stanley Cup Final, only to lost to Vegas. Minnesota finished 46-25-11 and third in the Central with 103 points, getting eliminated by Dallas eventually in the first round of the playoffs. The Panthers have many concerns coming into the season, including key injuries to several players, including Matthew Tkachuk. Florida had major issues on the defensive end last year, allowing 3.32 GPG. Minnesota lacked depth offensively last year, but it added a few players like Pat Maroon in the offseason to address that. Defensively though the Wild are once again expected to be elite with Filip Gustavsson between the pipes. All in all, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the short price, thep lay is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-12-23 | West Virginia -145 v. Houston | Top | 39-41 | Loss | -145 | 52 h 59 m | Show |
10* WVU (BIG 12 GOY) West Virginia is obiouvsly a surprise here in the conference at 4-1. It's playing on the road for a second straight game, which is never an easy thing to do, but at 4-1 the Mountaineers are looking good right now obviously. They're favored here and then after this they have two home games. We think West Virginia is for sure the better team here and it has to be feeling confident after a 24-21 upset road win over TCU. QB Garret Greene has 544 yards passing and four touchdowns this year, but the offense revolves around the run game and CJ Donaldson Jr, who has 348 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Cougars first year in the Big 12 hasn't gone to plan so far as they're 2-3 and off a brutal 49-28 loss to Texas Tech last time out. West Virginia is winning games right now and doing so for the most part with a tougher-than-expected defense. Houston on the other hand is unable to stop anyone right now. West Virginia was able to suffocate TCU last weekend, and also held Texas Tech to just 13 points as a six-point underdog, a team that just throttled the Cougars. We're avoiding the spread all together and playing WVU on the moneyline option! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Jets v. Flames -126 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* Flames (ASSASSIN) We'd say this is a "public" play, but for the most part the "public" doesn't even play the NHL. The NHL is one sport that we don't take the "splits" into consideration. These two teams are familiar with each other and we just can't understate how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be in this one. The Jets made the playoffs but lost to Vegas in the first round. Both teams are at "crossroads" this season, for different reasons. Note that Calgary led the league in 30 one-goal losses last year and missed the playoffs by just two points. Calgary enters this season with a young cast of new players, but also with a chip on its collective shoulder after missing the playoffs last year. Winnipeg has plenty of contract issues and other off ice things to deal with this year, and after the first round exit, we're expecting hangover here to open the season; lay the price, the play is indeed on Calgary! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS BOB) Arizona has a shot at eliminating the Dodgers here and we're expecting that to happen. That said, for this price, we can't turn down the home side on the runline option. Arizona has scored nine first-inning runs so far in this series, and we're expecting this very real momentum that it's created to be carried over here. Often we've found that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying in factors like "momentum" into a line, and that's definitely the case here with Arizona, which is clearly "firing on all cylinders" right now. LA hands the ball to Lance Lynn, while the home side counters with Brandon Pfaadt. Each has struggled, but Arizona's home field advantage, its bullpen and its offense has been "on point" of late and because of that, we're going to play Arizona on the runline option here in Game 3 of this NLDS! AAA Sports |
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10-11-23 | UTEP +2.5 v. Florida International | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show |
10* UTEP (SUPER BLOWOUT) We think the 1-5 UTEP Miners will find a way to deliver the goods here on Wednesday night on the road at FIU. The Panthers enter are 3-3, including 0-3 in C-USA play. So far the Miners are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while allowing 28.2. QB Gavin Hardison has 947 passing yards, five TDs and seven INTs. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Panthers are averaging only 20.7 PPG, with QB Keyone Jenkins with 1,258 passing yards, five TD's and six INT's. The defense concedes 27 PPG. UTEP's strength though is the run game, which ranks 64th in the nation, and FIU is already allowing an average of 208.8 YPG on the ground. UTEP's defense is also 32nd in the country vs. the pass, and FIU's strength on offense is the passing game, which has so far averaged 221.3 YPG. UTEP will control this one and find a way to get the job done! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee State -2.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF-USA GOW) Louisiana Tech is 3-4, while MTSU is 1-5. Why then are the Blue Raiders favored here? The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something, and that's that the Blue Raiders have played a tougher schedule to this point. And that's the case. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 35-28 loss to WKU. QB Jack Turner has 849 passing yards, four TD's and four INT's. Overall the teams concedes 28 PPG. MTSU is off three straight losses, falling 31-23 to Colorado State, 31-10 to WKU and 45-30 to Jacksonville State last week. QB Nicholas Vattiato has 1,576 passing yards, nine TD's and six picks. The defense has so far allowed 37.2 PPG, but take in mind that includes a 56-7 loss at Alabama to open the season. The Blue Raiders are the "hungrier" team in this fight and we're expecting a full four-quarter effort; lay the points, the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Predators v. Lightning -150 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Lightning (BLOOD-BATH) We're going to lay the price here and expect a decisive victory for the home side. Tampa took both games over Nashville last year. The Predators missed the playoffs for the first time since 2013/14 and they have a new coach this season in Andrew Brunette. Last year it ranked 28th in GPG and 12th in GAA. Tampa had made the Cup Final three years in a row until last season, falling in the first round to the Maple Leafs. The Bolts ranked eighth offensively and finished 14th in GAA. It's opening night and anything can happen right? Not in this case. Yes, the Predators are going to be better this year, but so should Tampa once again this season. In what we anticipate will be a lop-sided destruction, we'll recommend laying the price on Tampa here at home on Opening Night! AAA Sports |
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10-10-23 | Astros v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Twins (ASSASSIN) Here's a great "situational" play, as the first two games of this series went "over" the number, and now here with the shift in venue we're finally expecting more of a "duel." Houston hands the ball to Christian Javier (10-5, 4.56 ERA), who is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA in 14 playoff games. In his World Series start last year he threw six shutout innings in a win over the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79), who threw five scorless innings in a win over the Jays in the wildcard. Look for these two "studs" to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NLDS GOW) Arizona is rolling, and dangerous and we think it's once again undervalued in this matchup. After steamrolling the Brewers in two games, the D-Backs smoked the Dodgers 11-2 in Game 1. Now with the superior starter on the hill (in our opinion anyways), we feel that Arizona has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. However, in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The visitors hand the ball to ace Zac Gallen (1-0, 3.00 ERA) has had difficulties with the Dodgers this year, but he's off the great start vs. the Brewers and this is a case of "that was then, and this is now!" The Dodgers' bullpen was taxed in Game 1 and now they turn to Bobby Miller (11-4, 3.76,) who has been great in his rookie year, but who clearly is in unchartered territory here; lay the price, the play is indeed on Arizona on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Packers v. Raiders UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 34 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Packers/Raiders (BLOODBATH) We're expecting a really defensive affair here. The Packers looked horrible in their loss to the Lions last week, especially offensively getting outgained 401-230. QB Jordan Love is struggling, ranked 34th in the league in completion percentage. The run game is still suffering without Aaron Jones, who may be back, but regardless, Green Bay will have to establish the run throughout here to alleviate the pressure off its struggling young pivot. Las Vegas should have Jimmy G back under center, but he'll be more of a "game manager" here. Look for Josh Jacobs to finally get involved more for LV as well this week; when you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-09-23 | Ottawa v. Montreal OVER 47 | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
8* OVER RedBlacks/Als (SUPER TOTAL) These teams played just last week in Canada's capital and the Als came out on top by a score of 32-15, the total staying "under" the number. Note though that the 4-11 RedBlacks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Montreal has won three of its last four SU/ATS. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. Note though that the Als have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. It's a great situational play here, as all signs finally point to more of an offensive affair in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Cowboys +4 v. 49ers | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cowboys (NFC NON-DIV GOM) Two really good teams collide here on Sunday night and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Dallas is 3-1, while San Francisco is 4-0. The 49ers beat Arizona at home last week, while the Cowboys hammered the Patriots at home. This is a revenge game for the visiting side, which fell 19-12 in the divisional round of last year's playoffs. So far Dak Prescott and the Cowboys average 31 PPG, while allowing only 10.3. Brock Purdy and the 49ers average 31.3 PPG, while allowing just 14.6. This really is a case of "Any Given Sunday," as it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to come out on top in this one. For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can; the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Twins v. Astros -136 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Astros (BEST OF BEST) We had a play on the Astros 6-4 series-opening win last night, and we think the home side can now smell the blood in the water. As predicted, Minnesota suffered a letdown on the road after their win over the Jays to snap a super long playoff slide. Minnesota is just terrible on the road, now 40-42 away from friendly confines this year. Houston struggled at home uncharacteristically this year, and enters are 40-42. But that said, now that the playoffs are finally here, we just can't understate how important we feel the home-field advantage will play here. Pablo Lopez (11-8, 3.66 ERA) gets the call here for the Twins and while he had a decent year, and a good showing against the Jays in the Wildcard, regression seems imminent here in our opinion in this difficult road venue. He'll be opposed by Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45), who is 7-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 13 career postseason starts. He's also 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA in seven career appearances vs. Minnesota. Overall we feel we're getting a great price here on Houston at home with the superior starter on the hill; lay the price, the play is indeed on the Astros! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs v. Vikings +5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 31 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-CONF GOY) Note that since 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as the full-time starting QB for KC, the Chiefs are are 17-19 ATS as a road favorite. Despite stumbling at home on Opening night, the Chiefs now enter Week 5 at 3-1. The Vikes though are on the ropes at 1-3, and clearly they'll be risking life and limb here to pull off the minor upset and avoid the 1-4 hole. After three straight losses the Vikes got back on track in last week's 21-13 road win at Carolina. A road game at division rival Chicago won't be easy the following week, so this becomes an almost "do or die" scenario for the Vikes already. KC has won three straight, but it certainly looked shaky in last Sunday night's 23-20 victory at the Jets as a 9-point favorite. With a quick turnaround and a Thursday night game up next at home vs. the Broncos, this not only sets up as a "letdown" spot for KC, but also a "look-ahead" position as well in our opinion, and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game." The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Texans v. Falcons -1.5 | Top | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* FALCONS (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 2-2, but we can't understate how important that we feel that the home field advantage will prove for the Falcons in the final outcome of this non-conference contest. Houston is off a 30-6 win at home over Pittsburgh, and we're expecting a predictable letdown hereon the road now. Atlanta is off a 23-7 loss in London to Jacksonville in its last outing. So far Houston has gotten great play from QB CJ Stroud with a 6:0 TD:INT. Overall Houston is averaging 24 PPG, while allowing 19.8. The Falcons are led by RB Bijan Robinson and a run game that averages 128 YPG. ATL has so far averaged only 15.5 PPG, while allowing only 19.25. Look for Desmond Ridder to settle down here at home and for ATL's elite defense to finally get to Stroud. While the rest of the public goes one way on this contest, we're going the other; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Panthers +10 v. Lions | 24-42 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Panthers (BLOWOUT) Are we suggesting that the 0-4 Panthers are going to win this game outright? Well, anything can happen of course, but we're not going to be suggesting that here, but we do feel that this one sets up to be WAY more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Lions have won and covered in B2B games, including a highly-satisfying 34-20 road win at nemesis Green Bay last weekend. With B2B road games starting at Tampa Bay next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead" position as well. And when you combine those two factors together you get "trap game!" This play is called our "SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT" for a reason, as this is an awesome "situational" play; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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10-08-23 | Giants +13 v. Dolphins | Top | 16-31 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH) In no way are we suggesting that New York will win this game outright, but we do however feel this is a great situational play as we expect the 1-3 Giants to catch the 3-1 Dolphins at the correct time to keep this one more competitive than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Miami beat Denver 70-20, but then came back down to Earth in last week's 48-20 beatdown division road loss at Buffalo. Daniel Jones has so far struggled for the Giants with a 2:6 TD:INT. He's been sacked 22 times already though. The defense hasn't been much better, so far allowing 30.5 PPG. Tua Tagovailoa as a 9:3 TD:INT, but the defense for the Fish is very worrisome, allowing 374.5 YAPG and 29.8 points per contest. This one takes on a very "do or die" feel for the Giants, who took a major step forward last year, but who have regressed so far this season. Look for Miami to take the foot off the gas in the second half and for the hungry Giants to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that they've been afforded here on the road in Week 5; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | San Jose v. FC Dallas -112 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
10* FC Dallas (ASSASSIN) FC Dallas had its midweek game vs. Colorado shelved because of bad weather, so the home side is fresh for sure. They tied 1-1 in the reverse fixture at the start of the season, but we can't understate how important we now feel that the home field advantage will prove for FC Dallas this weekend, between teams that are seperated by just one point. A win today and Dallas is guaranteed a playoff spot, but it would also open up the potential way out of the wildcard altogether as well. One game at a time though. Look for FC Dallas to dig deep here and find a way to deliver for us at this great price! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State UNDER 59 | Top | 27-35 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER San Jose State/Boise State. Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Saturday night, and in our opinion, we're going to see a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Boise State is 2-3 and San Jose State is 1-4. The Spartans have lost five straight road games. QB Chevan Cordeiro has been decent with 1,066 yards passing, six TD's and two INT's. The defense is allowing 33.4 PPG. Boise State concedes 31.6. It's QB Taylen Green has 938 passing yards and a 4:4 TD:INT. The ground game though is the strength of the Broncos by averaging 165.8 YPG. Boise State will look to run this ball, and then run it some more to control the pace of this contest. San Jose State has had a difficult schedule, but this is a tough matchup once again for it and we expect it to once again have difficulties moving the ball. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Twins v. Astros -143 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
10* Astros (ALDS GOY) The Twins not only won a playoff game for the first time since 2004, but they also won their wildcard series at home over the Blue Jays in two straight, but we're now expecting a predictable letdown here in the opener of this ALDS. The Astros are the king of the AL, winning four of the last six years. They earned a few days rest and look primed for another deep run. Minnesota has got zero rest and partied big after beating the Jays. This one has "letdown" spot written all over it; lay the price the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | North Texas v. Navy UNDER 61.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER UNT/Navy (AAC TOM) For a number of different reasons we believe this number is way too high. UNT is 2-2, while Navy is 1-3. The Mean Green though have seen the total go "over" the number in all four games this year. That fact has only helped in driving this particular total here in Week 6 a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Navhy has seen its last two games fly "over" the number as well (both losses.) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here and we're fully expecting this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams haven't played against each other since 2007, so there's no recent comparisons to make in that department, but from a "situational" stand point, this one sets up beautifully to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This game is going to be decided in the trenches, and by field position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Rangers v. Orioles -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Rangers rolled over Tampa Bay, but now we believe they'll stumble here in the opener of this ALDS. The Orioles are expected to start Kyle Bradish, while the visitors are expected to start Dane Dunning. We love the way this one sets up for Baltimore though regardless. The Rangers did well against the Orioles in the regular season, but Baltimore was 49-32 at home this year, while the Rangers were just 42-41 on the road. Look for the home side to figure out a way to come out on top here in Game 1 and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | UTSA -14 v. Temple | Top | 49-34 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* AAC GOY on UTSA. UTSA is 1-3, while Temple is 2-3. So why are the Roadrunners favored here by so much on the road? Simple, strenght of schedule to this point. Temple is off a road loss at Tulsa, while UTSA lost to Tennessee last weekend. The Roadrunners were without starting QB Frank Harris for a second straight week, but his backups did a great job in defeat, with Owen McCown finishing with 170 yards passing and two TD's. The defense allowed 519 yards, but UTSA finally catches a break here facing the Owls. Harris is listed as probable this weekend. Overall the Roadrunners are the better team here and we're expecting them to make the most of this opportunity. The Owls have a pass heavy offense, but the Roadrunners are generating sacks on 8.73 percent of opponent's drop backs, which is Top 30 in the country. Temple gave up 34 points to Miami in a loss two weeks ago, and then 48 to Tulsa last week. EJ Wanrer had 269 yards passing and two TD's on 50 attempts. The Owls have been terrible in the red zone as well. Look for the Roadrunners to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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10-07-23 | Chelsea -130 v. Burnley | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (EPL GOM) Burnley is in 18th place in the Premier League. Somehow it managed a win over Luton Town 2-1 last week, but an immediate return to mediocrity is fully expected by us here this Saturday. Chelsea moved up to 11th with its 2-0 win over Fulham at home and we're expecting a similar final result here as well. If recent history is any precedence, then Chelsea has to be confident here that it can keep the good times rolling (remember, many pundits believed that the Blues had a legitimate shot at winning the league this season!) as it's only lost once in the last 16 in this series, with the only outright loss coming back in 2017. Burnley has lost all four of its home matches, so the home field is anything but an advantage here this weekend either. All things considered we feel that this line could/should in fact be a lot larger; the play is Chelsea! AAA Sports |
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10-06-23 | Nebraska v. Illinois UNDER 43.5 | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nebraska/Illinois (BIG TEN TOY) Two struggling Big Ten teams collide on Friday night. The Huskers are 2-3 straight up and 2-3 against the spread as well and they're also 0-2 straight up on the road. Illinois is 2-3 as well, but it's 2-1 at home. What does definitley stand out here though is that the Illini are so far 0-5 against the spread to open the year. Nebraska is going back and forth with its quarterbacks, but it looks like Henrich Haarberg has emerged as their No. 1 guy over Jeff Simms. Haarberg has only completed 54 percent of his passes, but he's the teams best rusher. Illinois is led by Luke Altmyer, who has looked bad of late. He looked banged up in last week's 44-19 loss to Purdue. The Illini passing game is in the bottom half of nation in EPA/pass and so far he has a negative touchdown to interception ratio. We love standing in front of trains and predicting when a lop-sided streak, either good or bad, will come to an end but we're going to steer clear of a side in this one on Friday night between these two struggling teams and instead focus on the tota; and we're going with the "under" here. Both of these offenses are in really bad shape right now. Nebraska is so far limiting opponents to less than five yards per play (which is 25th in the country.) In what should be an evenly matched "WAR OF ATTRITION," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Bears +7 v. Commanders | Top | 40-20 | Win | 100 | 54 h 30 m | Show |
10* BEARS (GOW) The Bears are 0-4, blowing a 21-point lead last week at home to the Broncos and falling 31-28 as 3-point dogs. It's do or die for Chicago this week. Essentially, the season is already over, but for all intents and purposes, there will be zero chance of the playoffs at 0-5. Washington is 2-2, but it's now lost two straight after also choking away a big lead on the road to the Eagles. Both teams come in off terrible losses, but we still believe that the Bears will be the more motivated side here. The Bears got the best game of the season out of Justin Fields last week, going 28 of 35 for 335 yards and 4:1 TD:INT. Sam Howell on the other hand has a 5:4 TD:INT so far this year. We're giving Fields the advantage here and we believe that Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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10-05-23 | Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6.5 | Top | 35-28 | Loss | -103 | 53 h 31 m | Show |
10* Louisana Tech (GOW) WKU is 3-2, while Louisana Tech is 3-3. The Hilltoppers are 1-0 on the road, while the Bulldogs are 2-0 at home. WKU is off a 31-10 home win over MTSU. QB Austin Reed wasn't the most efficient, but finished 30 of 52 for 297 yards, two TD's and an INT. Louisiana Tech is off the 24-10 road win over UTEP. QB Jack Turner was much more efficient, finishing 9 of 20 for 152 yards and a TD. So far WKU is averaging 31.6 PPG, while allowing 29.2. Louisiana Tech is averaging 27 PPG, and conceding 25.7. Why is the line the way it is? The possiblility that Bulldogs' starting QB Hank Bachmeier may not play. Look for players though like RB Tyre Shelton, who has 318 rushing yards and three rushing TD's to step up this week. It's next man up for this hungry home side and while the Bulldos may fall short of winning outright, we're definitely expecting a full out battle until the very end; grab the points, the play is Louisiana Tech! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | DC United v. Austin +110 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
10* Austin FC (GOM) DC United may have picked up draws in its last two MLS competitions, but we feel its well in over it head here on the road this weekend. What do you base your picks on? We base ours on many different things, but for us, this one sets up fantastically from a situational stand point. Austin FC is still in the playoff hunt, while DC United can only hope to play spoiler here. We feel that the home field advantage will prove critical here, as we expect DC to just go through the motions in this one; lay the price with Austin FC in regulation! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -151 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Phillies (WC GOY) We had a play on the Phillies yesterday, and we like the home side to now finish off this series and get ready for the Divisional round with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46 ERA) on the hill. Nola didn't finish the season strong, but he's had plenty of time to rest up here and note that he's 6-3 with a 3.30 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season. The Fish counter with Braxton Garrett (9-7, 3.66) who has never even thrown in the Playoffs. Garrett was actually 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA on the road, but we still feel he's completely overmatched here at this difficult and unfriendly venue; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-04-23 | Jacksonville State v. Middle Tennessee State OVER 51.5 | Top | 45-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
10* OVER Jacksonville State/MTSU. MTSU is 1-4, and Jacksonville State is 4-1. So why are the Blue Raiders favored here today? Because they've played the much more difficult schedule. They're also in dire need of some victories now that conference play is in full swing if they have any hope of a Bowl berth. Jacksonville State is off the 35-28 win over Sam Houston State, and we expect the Gamecocks to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. With MTSU pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, this great situational play will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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10-03-23 | Marlins v. Phillies -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (SLUG-FEST.) The Phillies used "momentum" at the end of last season and rode that wave all the way until the World Series. Philadelphia caught fire like that at the end of this regular season as well, and now I expect the experienced home side to make the most of this opportunity. The difference-maker is the starting pitchers, as we feel that Zach Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) has a major advantage here. Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 22 career starts vs. the Marlins. He's 1-3 with a 2.78 ERA in six playoff games. The Fish counter with Jesus Luzardo (10-9, 3.63), who is 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in five career starts vs. Philadelphia, but who is 0-1 with a 5.91 ERA in three career playoff appearances. As stated off the top, experience in this case will prove to crucial; lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants UNDER 47.5 | Top | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Giants (TOW) This total has been bet up since the opening number, and we now feel its too high. We liked the opening number as well to go under the number. Either way, we're not expecting a shootout here, but instead we expect this game to be won in the trenches, and with field position, similar to what we saw on Sunday night between the Chiefs and Jets. Seattle is unbelievably 5-0 in this building, but after playing to B2B "overs," and with their bye week up next, we're expecting the Hawks to have their hands full here with this hungry home side looking to avoid falling to 1-3. With each team committed to establishing the run like we predict, we're indeed expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on Monday night; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Chiefs v. Jets +9 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
8* Jets (BAIL-OUT) We're contrarian handicappers, and this is the biggest contrarian play on the board. While the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other. The Chiefs are going to win this game, but this isn't College, and KC doesn't need to up the score to impress anyone. It just has to leave NY without any significant injuries and the "W." With a game at Minnesota next week, we do indeed expect the Chiefs to take the foot off the gas in the second half and leave the back door open just enough for the hungry Zach Wilson to sneak in through the down the stretch; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Rams v. Colts +1 | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Colts (DESTRUCTION) The 1-2 Rams are on the road for a second straight week and we believe they'll run out of gas here vs. the "under the radar" 2-1 Colts. Last week the Rams lost to a poor Bengals team, and now they face a good Colts team that has the advantage of playing in front of the home town crowd. The Colts have looked great with QB Gardner Minshew, but whether he, or Anthony Richardson gets the call under center, we like the home side and it's tough defensive play to be too much for LA to handle on the road. QB Matt Stafford has gone down hill for LA since his Week 1 win over the Hawks, expect that regression to continue here in this difficult road venue; the play is Indianapolis! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Broncos v. Bears +3.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Bears (WINNER) Here is a great situational play. These are easily the two worst teams in the NFL right now. The Broncos just gave up 70 points, and the Bears and Justin Fields have not been able to move the ball and put any points on the board. But a date vs. the hapless Broncos is just what the doctor ordered for Fields here. This is a great matchup for the Bears and Fields, who will be able to control the tempo and clock throughout. While the outright win is clearly what we feel will occur, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Chicago! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Bucs v. Saints -3.5 | Top | 26-9 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* Saints (NFC SOUTH GOM) Both NFC South teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a big leg up in the division. New Orleans though gets ready to welcome back dynamic RB Alvin Kamara, and we feel he'll be a big difference-maker in the outcome of this one. Tampa was riding high after two games, but it sure came back down to Earth in last week's loss. Tampa's defense has been great, but we feel it'll finally struggle here to keep Mayfield from looking terrible. Derek Carr is out for the Saints, but that just means that his equal in Jameis Winston steps up to take over, super motivated here to now maintain this starters role. We expect Mayfield to take another predictable step back again here in this difficult road venue; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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10-01-23 | Steelers v. Texans +3 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG GOM) Pittsburgh is 2-1 SU, while Houston is 1-2. The Steelers are off an impressive 23-18 win at Las Vegas as 3-point dogs, but with a home game vs. division rival Baltimore next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot after the upset road win, but also a look ahead spot. This is a "trap" game for Pittsburgh. Houston on the other hand comes in off its first win of the year, demolishing the Jaguars 37-17 as 7.5-point underdogs. While we do feel the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Nevada +25 v. Fresno State | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 54 h 28 m | Show |
10* Nevada (MW GOY) Outright win? Of course not! For us, this is an unbelievably great "situational" play. Nevada 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS, while Fresno State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Wolf Pack are off a 35-24 loss as a 17-point underdog at Texas State, but we feel they offer great value to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. With a game at Wyoming next week though, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but it's also a "look ahead." That = "trap game!" Look for the hungry Wolfpack to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | Top | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 53 h 36 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 1-3, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in the final outcome of this contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement though, as Pittsburgh has won three straight in the series. Pittsburgh if off the 41-34 loss to UNC. QB Phil Jurkovec had 109 yards passing before leaving with an injury. So far the Panthers average just 17 PPG. VT is coming off a hard-fought 24-17 loss to Marhall. QB Kyron Drones had two rushing TD's, as well as throwing for 159 yards and no INT's. The VT run game posted 184 years, and we believe that the Panthers will have a difficult time slowing it down here as well; clearly the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Virginia Tech! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Oregon v. Stanford +27.5 | Top | 42-6 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 20 m | Show |
10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM) Oregon is 4-0 SU/ATS, but with a week off next weekend, followed by a game at Washington, not only do we feel this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look-ahead" position. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" That's what we're basing this pick on, a great situational play as we do indeed feel this is a "trap." No such luxury obviously for 1-3 Stanford, who nealry pulled off the epic upset last week in a 21-20 home loss to Arizona as a 13-point underdog; no outright win, but closer than expected, so grab the points with the Cardinal! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Georgia v. Auburn +15 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show |
10* Auburn (SEC GOM) Georgia is 4-0, but 0-3-1 ATS. With nearly 90% of the money on the Bulldogs here though, we're going full on contrarian and going theother way with Auburn. The Tigers are 3-1 SU, and 1-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are B2B National Champs, but getting a little TOO much respect here in our opinion; grab the points, because this is a great situational play on Auburn! AAA Sports |
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09-30-23 | Indiana +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 17-44 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 30 m | Show |
10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOM) Maryland is 4-0 SU, and they've outscored their opponents 149-49 so far. We're not predicting an outrigh upet here or anything, but we do think there are plenty of reasons to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the hungry visiting side enough room to sneak in through down the stretch. Indiana is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. Not only is this a natural "letdown" spot after four straight wins and playing at home here as a huge favorite, but it's also a "look ahead" position for the Terps, who are on the road at Ohio State next week. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Saskatchewan +10 v. BC | Top | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
10* Riders (WEST-CONF GOY) After three straight SU victories, we believe the Lions come in complacent here, and they leave the back door wide open for the hungry 6-8 Riders to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is off the satisfying 37-29 road win at Edmonton. Saskatchewan comes in on the other end of the spectrum, desperate to snap a three-game slide, most recently a 36-38 loss in Ottawa. Situationally we feel this one sets up well for us, with the public quick to jump on the Lions here. BC won this game here back on July 19th by a score of 19-9, but the Riders beat the Lions at home. This is the third and final game of the season series and we're expecting much more of a battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. For us to pull the trigger on a GAME OF YEAR, or GAME OF MONTH etc, it HAS to set up extremely well for whatever team we're on from a "situational" standpoint. And this one does for Saskatchewan; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Cubs -111 v. Brewers | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Cubs (ASSASSIN) The Brewers have clinched, and the slumping Cubs have essentially now run out of time. It's do-or-die time for Chicago, and because of that, we're expecting Kyle Hendricks and the visiting side to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in the opener of this series. Evenly matched starters here with Hendricks (6-8, 3.66 ERA) going up against Colin Rea (6-6, 4.74,) but the intenstiy and focus in which we're expecting the Cubs to play with here will turn out to be the difference-maker. Chicago has the right man on the hill for the job; lay the price, the play is the Cubs! AAA Sports |
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09-29-23 | Louisville v. NC State +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 34 h 46 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOW) Louisville is 4-1, and NC State is 3-1. In a battle that we see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Louisville may be 4-0 SU, but it's just 2-2 ATS, and 0-2 ATS on the road. NC State is 0-4 ATS right now, but here's a great opportunity for the Wolfpack, with the Cardinals getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at home vs. Notre Dame next weekend; the outright is possible, but grab the points with NC State on Friday night! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Packers (NFC NORTH GOM) They say that divisional games are the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Yes, Detroit may on paper have played the harder schedule to this point, but the bottom line here is that these teams are both 2-1. The winner of this game will have a clear leg up in the division. They'll play the reverse fixture in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. We expect Jordan Love to continue his progression here though and to get the better of his counterpart Jared Goff on the road, who has been consistently inconsistent away from friendly confines. A great "situational" play on the Packers! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Middle Tennessee State +6.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 2 m | Show |
10* MTSU (CONF USA GOY) We like MTSU to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door with what we feel is a generous amount of points afforded to it. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 SU, while Western Kentucky is 2-2. MTSU has played a tough schedule though, losing 56-7 to Alabama, 23-19 to Missouri and 31-23 to Colorado State. The lone victory was a commanding 35-14 victory over Murray State. The Blue Raiders are led by Nicholas Vattiato who has an impressive 916 yards and 7:2 TD:INT. WKU opened 2-0, but the Hilltoppers enter with zero momentum after two straight losses. Most recently they lost 63-10 to Ohio State and 27-24 to Troy. QB Austin Reed has 1,071 passing yards and 9:1 TD:INT. MTSU is the better overall team here, and much more battle-tested. Everything does point to an upset, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is MTSU! AAA Sports |
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09-28-23 | Yankees v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Yanks/Jays OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a higher-scoring slug-fest here finally in the finale of this AL East series. The Yanks are out of playoff contention, and they're looking to once again play spoiler here after taking the first two gams of this series, winning 2-0 and 6-0. Note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Jays have also seen the total go "over" in three of their last four in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. Luke Weaver (0-0, 6.75 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74) counters for the home side. They're both in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -154 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Mariners runline (BLOWOUT) I had the Mariners last night in their 6-2 win, breaking a four-game slide. Seattle is now just a .5 game back of the Astros for the Wildcard. They play Houston again here tonight, followed by four straight at home vs. NL West-leading Texas to end the regular season. Houston won't be rolling over here, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we feel we're getting supreme value here with the home side on the runlien option at this price. Houston turns to Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.39 ERA), while the homeside counters with Bryce Miller (8-6, 4.17.) These guys are a "wash" essentially. For all the reasons liste above, the play is Seattle on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | FC Dallas v. Philadelphia -128 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* Union (MLS GOW) No upsets here in our estimation. After three straight draws, we like the Union to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in regulation in front of the home town crowd, and before a tough away game at Columbus at the end of the month. With only five games left to go in the regular season, the Union will be looking to put together a winning run. Dallas FC is off a 1-1 draw at home to Columbus, and it travels to Houston after this. Dallas is just 10-10 this year, and it doesn't travel well. The 14-8 Union could/should be much bigger favs here; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Cubs runline (BOB) We had a play on the Cubs on the runline last night, and while we think Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning tonight's contest outright as well, in the end we can't turn the overall value we feel we're getting by grabbing the desperate visiting side on the runline option again here. Chicago is fighting for a wildcard still, while ATL is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're once again all over Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Astros v. Mariners -140 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) These teams are locked in a mortal battle for the third and final wildcard spot. With Monday's 5-1 loss, the Mariners are now 1.5 games behind the Astros for that spot. Seattle has two games here left at home vs. the Astros, and then a four-game home stand vs. AL West leading Houston to end out the regular season. But after four straight losses, this has become the Mariners single most important game of the entire season. It's essentially a do or die scenario. We like the Mariners to bounce back here at home and this is a great price. These starters are a "wash," but the overall situation here favors the home side; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Cubs RUNLINE (BOB) The Cubs have a lot to play for here with just six games left to go in the regular season. Chicago is trying to nail down one of the NL's final two WC spots. They're in a dog fight with Arizona and Miami. Atlanta is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed, so its less urgent for them here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we think Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00 ERA) and the visitors are the correct call here on the runline option vs. Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) and the contented home side; for all the reasons listed above, the plya is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 44 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rams/Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams in desperate need of a win collide here on Monday night. Non-conference games are usually less intense defensively, but we're not expecting that to be the case here tonight though, as Cincinnati will be risking life and limb to not only win this game (as the Bengals enter 0-2), but to also control the pace throughout. With each side committed to establshing the run while on offense like we envision, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Eagles -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 25-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* EAGLES FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: We also like the Eagles for the ENTIRE game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also like Philly for the overall ATS victory in this contest as well.) Both teams enter 2-0, but we're expecting the Eagles to really hammer Baker Mayfield and the home side from start to finish in this one. Philly has had a few extra days off after beating Minnesota 34-28 lats Thursday. Tampa is off a 27-17 win over the lowly Bears. Philadelphia has been involved in two one-score games, and because of that, we're expecting the visitors to take nothing for granted and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. With a road game at division rival New Orleans next weekend, the home side will also get caught "looking ahead;" the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +13 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (U OF THE U) The Cowboys are riding high at 2-0 after blowing out the Jets by a score of 30-10 last weekend, and we believe they'll get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Patriots next weekend. Joshua Dobbs wasn't terrible in last week's 32-18 home defeat to the Giants. While 0-2 SU, the Cards have been great for bettors in the early going by going 2-0 ATS. Teams that start 0-3 in the NFL to open the season have virtually zero chance of making the playoffs. Expectations were extremely low for the Cards going into the season, but we're expecting Josh Dobbs best game so far; grab the points, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Panthers +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
10* Panthers (BEST OF BEST) We base our picks on many different things. In our opinion, this is a great "situational" play. Carolina comes in desperate to snap its 0-2 slide to the season. Teams that start 0-3 have virtually no chance of even making the playoffs. It's hard to get a read on Seattle. It lost here terribly to the Rams in Week 1, before bouncing back with a 37-31 OT win at Detroit last week. With back-to-back high-profile road games at the Giants and Bengals, will Seattle get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent this weekend? The possibility is definitely there! It happened to the Hawks in Week 1. Whoever gets the start under center for Carolina, we expect this game to be decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
10* Falcons (ASSASSIN) Here's the bottom line with this play. We feel that Atlanta is getting little respect from the oddsmakers are 2-0, and we also believe there's been WAY too much hype surrounding the Lions before the season even started, and certainly still right now at 1-1. The Lions squeaked by the Chiefs on opening night 21-20. It was a really good win, but then the defense fell flat in 37-31 OT loss at home to Seattle. With a short week and a road game at Green Bay on Thursday night, the 2-0 Falcons are going to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -110 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (ASSASSIN) The bottom line here is that Chelsea will be desperate to return to its winning ways here in front of the crowd at Stamford Bridge. The Blues spent heavily in the off-season, and other than a 3-1 win over newly-promoted Luton Town, they've were then held scoreless over their next two. Last weekend it was a goalless draw with Bournemouth. Aston Villa though has been consistently inconsistent this year, so far with three wins and two defeats. And finally, Aston Villa won this game 2-0 last year, so the revenge factor is huge for Chelsea; lay the price, the play is indeed on Chelsea to win in regulation! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | UNLV v. UTEP +2.5 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 18 m | Show |
10* UTEP (MONEY-BOMB) UNLV is 2-1 and UTEP is 1-3, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched teams has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab the points. UNLV is off a satisfying 40-37 home win as a dog and we believe it's primed for a letdown here. Starting QB Doug Brumfield was injured in the first quater, and while redshirt freshman Jayden Maiava was decent, the QB position is a concern here for the visiting side no matter who gets the start. UTEP is off a 31-10 loss at Arizona, following a 38-7 setback to Northwestern. The level of competition clearly needs to be taken into account here; senior QB Cavin Hardison had 228 yards and so far has 722 yards, four TD's and four INT's. But again, the Miners have faced some stiff competition early and while we do believe the home side can win this one outright, in the end the official play is to grab as many points as you can with UTEP! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | CF Montreal v. Atlanta United -160 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
10* Atlanta United FC (MLS GOW) Atlanta is still in line for a top four spot despite a slip up in the Nation's capital mid week. With a win over CF Montreal, and a little help, Atlanta United could wrap up that goal by Saturday. Montreal is now eight in the East, much too far from the automatic playoff bid. Atlanta has to be liking its chances here, as it did also already win the reverse fixture by a score of 1-0 earlier in the season. Now at home, and off the terrible performance, all signs point to Atlanta United laying the hammer down from start to finish; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (U OF THE U) A big divisional series, more so for the Jays though who are in a dog fight for the final AL Wildcard. Good news for Toronto fans though, the Jays have caught fire of late and we're fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Last night they won the opener by a score of 6-2. We're coming down the home stretch, and these types of games very much have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about them. In what we anticipate will be a very tight and competitive affair here today, we're going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; a great situational play, the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Florida State v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
10* Clemson (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida State is ranked No. 4 in the country and it comes into this game at 3-0. Clemson is 2-1, after a "brain fart" performance in Week 1 vs. Duke. The Tigers though have history on their side in this matchup, as they've won four straight at Memorial Stadium, while owning seven straight victories in the series overall. Here's a HUGE opportunity for Dabo Swinney to get right back into the ACC mix with an upset win here at home vs. surging Florida State. Grab the points, the play is Clemson! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Fulham v. Crystal Palace -104 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW) No upsets here in our estimation, as we look for Crystal Palace to earn all 3 points in regulation. Both teams come into this contest with seven points after five games. CP will be especially motivated here after falling 3-1 at Aston Villa last week, ending its two-game unbeaten streak. Fulham managed a 1-0 win at home over Luton town, but it's struggled as a visitor this season already. Crystal Palace has suffered just two defeats in its last 12 home games in EPL action, and we feel it offers great value to bounce back here at home against Fulham; lay th price, the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State +6 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* San Jose State (SHOCKER) We think that 3-0 Air Force leaves the back door open just enough for the desperate 1-3 San Jose State Spartans to sneak in through down the sretch. Air Force is off a win over Utah State, rushing for 344 yards and five TD's on the ground. RB Emmanual Michel had 105 yards and three TD's. QB Zac Larrier rushed ten times for 58 yards and a score. San Jose State is 2-1 after falling 21-17 at Toledo last weekend. The Spartans actually held a 17-14 third quarter lead. Chevan Cordeiro has 228 yards and a TD, but also had a costly turnover. Note though that despite being 3-0 SU this year, AF is just 1-2 ATS. San Jose State's defensive numbers have improved dramtically over the last two games and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle until the end; grab the points, the play is San Jose State! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOWOUT) The Astros have lost three straight series and they're just 39-39 at home after salvaging the finale of its series with Baltimore with a tight 2-1 win. Houston is only a .5 game up on the Rangers in the AL West and in a tight race now for a wildcard. Now Cole Ragans (4-1, 1.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP for his new team) and the Royals will look to play spoiler in this series. Framber Valdez (12-10, 3.20) counters for the home side. I like Ragans to easily match Valdez and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog invariably. The play is KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +5.5 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (BLOCKBUSTER) Home field advantage will come into play here for two teams playing their first Big Ten contest of the season. The Badgers are 2-1 and off a 35-14 win over Georgia Southern, while the Boilermakers are just 1-2, most recently off a 35-20 home loss to Syracuse. The Badgers' run game looks decent, but it's a little difficult to properly judge based upon the level of competition thus far. So far Purdue has allowed 132.7 RYP. Wisconsin is allowing 20.7 PPG, but again, the level of competition to this point has to be called into question. Hudson Card though will be looking to push the pace here for the Boilermakers, who are averaging 275 yards per game passing. Card has 825 yards passing and just one INT with 110 attempts. As stated off the top and mentioned throughout, we think Wisconsin is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we feel its numbers are skewed due to the level of competition; grab the points, the play is Purude! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 45 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/49ers (TOW) New York was shutout in Week 1 at home by the Cowboys, and then it went into its Week 2 matchup in Arizona down 28-0. The Giants then made the "mother of all half time adjustments" and came out and won the game by a score of 31-28. Working on a short week, and catching a contented 49ers team returning home from a 2-0 road start, we expect the visiting side to put some points on the board and keep that offensive momentum rolling here in San Francisco. This is a huge spread for San Fran to cover, but we're also note sure if NY will in fact be able to keep pace down the stretch. Either way, we do think NY will points on the board as it tries to keep pace with the red hot home side. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (SUNBELT GOW) The Georgia State Panthers are 3-0 and we feel they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. They're off a 41-25 win over Charlotte, with Darren Graingers going 27 of 33 for 466 yards and three passing TD's, as well as rushing for 23 yards and a rushing score. Coastal Carolina is 2-1, it's coming off a 66-7 home win over Duquesne, with QG Grayson McCall going for 169 yards and a TD. The Panthers are averaging 39.3 PPG, while the Chanticleers are averaging 36.3. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Blue Jays +122 v. Yankees | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Usually, we like "standing in front of trains," and predicting when a streak will end, but in this case we feel that Jose Berrios (11-10, 3.49 ERA) and Toronto offer fantastic value as a live dog here to complete the three-game sweep, despite facing Yanks' ace Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.81.) It's all about "momentum" and "motivation" at this time of year and the Jays are rolling right now. Look for Toronto to continue its push towards a wildcard, as it's now qualified as our No. 1 underdog of the month for September! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Houston Dynamo -115 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Houston (MLS WEST-CONF GOY) Houston is unbeaten in its last six games. It has 40 points in 28 games. It plays with revenge here though after a 6-2 loss in Vancouver at the end of May. Note that Houston is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. Vancouver is 3-0-1 in its current road trip, but we're expecting a letdown here finally in this difficult road venue. Houston has gone to two consecutive draws, but all signs finally point to a full three points this evening; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers -128 | Top | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
10* Rangers (ASSASSIN) The Rangers finally broke a four-game slide with a 6-4 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas here as well in the finale. Previous to that the Rangers won four straight over the Jays in a critical series. Since then though, the Jays have been on a tear. Texas is still in the midst of a heated wildcard race, and we believe it also has the superior starter going tonight as well. The visitors hand the ball to Brayan Bello (12-9, 3.71 ERA), while the home side counters with Jon Gray (8-8, 4.05.) Note that Gray is 4-1 in all "day" games as well. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
8* Phillies RUNLINE (ROUT) The Phillies are trying their hardest to earn the top NL Wildcard. Winning this series on the road here vs. the NL-leading Braves would help for sure. The Phillies won the opener, and then the Braves responded on Tuesday. Now here in the finale, we're expecting a very competitive affair. And in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. These starters are a "wash," with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.62 ERA) goes for the visitors, and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.50) counters for the home side. In this competitive contest, we're laying the price for the Phillies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-19-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Phillies are gunning for the TOP NL wildcard spot, and they won an important game last night in the opener of this series. In what we believe will be another tightly-contested and highly-competitive affair, the value in our opinion lies with the visitors on the "runline" option. Cristopher Sanchez (2-4, 3.40 ERA) gets the call for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider (17-5, 3.73 ERA) We'll argue that Strider is having an above average season, on a really good team. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ASSASSIN) We're going contrarian with this one. Carolina fell 24-10 at Atlanta in Week 1, while New Orleans held on for a 16-15 win over Tennessee at home, unable to cover the three-point spread. Honestly, both teams looked bad. Division rivals are always the most important though, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in our opinion. Derek Carr had 305 yards passing and a TD for the Saints, while Bryce Young was 20 of 38 for 146 yards, one TD and two INT's. With that awkward game out of the way though, we're expecting Young to settle down here at home. Carolina's defense held Atlanta to just 221 offensive yards. The Saints are still without Alvin Kamara as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Mets v. Marlins -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
8* MARLINS (MISMATCH) The Mets have struggled on the road, going just 30-44. The Marlins are in the thick of a playoff race and they're 43-32 at home. Braxton Garrett (9-6, 3.67 ERA) is battle-tested for the Marlins and he's been great of late here in September, posting a minuscule 0.93 ERA and striking out 11 batters over nine innings of work. He'll be opposed by Jose Butto (1-2, 3.46.) Butto has been decent, but we don't think he'll receive enough run support in this one. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Burnley v. Nottingham Forest +124 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* Nottingham Forest (GOW) Nottingham Forest went into the break off a 1-0 away win over Chelsea, while Burnley was crushed 5-2 by Tottenham. Forest has won each of its last four EPL matches at the City Ground, and we just can't see Burnley putting up much of a fight in this one. Burnley knocked out Nottingham Forest from the EFL Cup a couple of weeks ago, so the home side will be looking for revenge on that as well. Great price here, the play is Nottingham Forest! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots +3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY) Divisional matchups are always the most important and they almost always mean the most to the home side. And that's definitely the case here in our opinion, as we expect New England to win this game outright. That said, our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Miami fought tooth and nail with the Chargers on the road in Week 1 and it escaped with a thrilling 36-34 victory as a 3-point underdog. Now they face a New England team that comes off a tough 25-20 home loss to the high-powered Eagles. Lots of good things for Mac Jones and company though. The defense looked great and Jones finished with 315 passing yards. While the outright win is possible, the play is to grab the points with NEW ENGLAND. AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Commanders v. Broncos -3 | 35-33 | Loss | -125 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
8* Broncos (DESTRUCTION) Washington managed to hold on for a 20-16 home win over Arizona as a seven-point favorite in Week 1, but all signs point to a letdown here in the Commanders first road game. Denver fell 17-16 here at home to Las Vegas as a three-point favorite, but Russell Wilson looked decent with two TD passes. There were lots of positives to take out of Denver's performance in Week 1 despite the loss, and we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to get off the schneid here and now, especially with two straight tough road games at Miami and Chicago on deck; a great situational play here on Denver! AAA Sports |