Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-24-20 | Hawks v. 76ers -8 | Top | 112-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PHILADELPHIA The Sixers are back home Monday and you should know what that means. It’s a virtual guarantee that they’ll play better than they did Saturday night in Milwaukee when they lost 119-98. That loss dropped Philly to 9-20 in road games. They are 26-2 at home. Throw in the fact that they go from facing the league’s best team to (maybe) its worst and it should be a complete “reversal of fortune” here. While the Hawks are 2-0 since returning from the All Star Break, each of those wins came at home. They have only six road wins all year and only one in the last 30 days. Philadelphia is playing with revenge tonight as well. They lost in Atlanta last month. (They also won there early in the season). The Sixers are an impressive +10.0 points/game compared to their opponents here at home. They are 6-0 ATS in home games with a total of 220 or higher (total here is currently 229). Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Oilers -137 v. Kings | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EDMONTON Edmonton is coming off two straight home losses. The last one was to Minnesota as they gave up five goals. The other was to Boston, the team with the most points in the league. Now in third place in their division, the Oilers are set to embark on a three-game road trip of the West Coast starting in LA tonight. The Kings have the least amount of points in the Conference. They lost 2-1 to Colorado last night, a game that went to a shootout, so they’re at a disadvantage here. This isn’t a team that can overcome any additional disadvantages. Edmonton is 13-5 when off a loss by two or more goals. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Pistons v. Blazers UNDER 225 | Top | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER A Detroit team that’s averaging less than 100 points over its past five games facing a Portland team playing without its leading scorer should result in an easy Under this evening. Damian Lillard was absolutely on fire for the Blazers before a groin injury put him on the shelf. Without him, the Blazers lost to New Orleans Friday night, though lack of offense really wasn’t the problem. But lack of offense has been a problem for the Pistons who are without their best player (Blake Griffin) as well. Again, it wasn’t really the offense that was the primary issue as Detroit lost 126-106 to Milwaukee Thursday night. But we should see both teams struggle to score in this one. The Under is 14-3 for the Pistons the last 17 times they allowed 125 or more points the previous game. So look for improved defense on their part. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 Under following a double digit loss at home. Play UNDER Detroit-Portland AAA |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Stanford v. Washington State +3.5 | Top | 75-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON ST Stanford stopped the bleeding with a 72-64 upset of Washington on Thursday. But that singular win doesn’t change the fact that the Cardinal had previously lost seven of eight, which obviously put a severe damper on their NCAA Tournament hopes. Tonight they are at Washington State, a matchup the Cardinal likely feels pretty good about. But this one is trickier than it looks. Yes, Wazzu has lost three in a row overall and was just beaten here in Pullman by Cal Thursday. The Cougs were 6.5-point favorites in that loss too. But they remain 11-4 at the Paloose. They’ve got some big time revenge for a 26 point defeat suffered in Palo Alto earlier in the year. Stanford shot 61% in that game, Washington State was under 40%. It’ll be a lot different this time as we conclude by pointing out that Wazzu is a perfect 3-0 against the spread this year as a home underdog of three points or less. Play on WASHINGTON STATE AAA |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Rutgers v. Wisconsin -4.5 | Top | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WISCONSIN Whenever it’s time to analyze one of these Big 10 matchups, we start by pointing out the incredible depth in the conference. There could be as many as 11 teams making the NCAA Tournament. Wisconsin and Rutgers are among them. Right now though the Badgers are simply hotter. They’ve won three in a row, taking advantage of a somewhat “relaxed” schedule for this time of year. Today marks just the fourth game for the Badgers in the past 14 days. They beat Purdue Tuesday, continuing a string of impressive showings here in Madison that has seen them defeat the likes of Maryland, Michigan State and Ohio State. Rutgers just suffered its first home loss of the season, at the hands of Michigan, and we look for that to have an effect on them today. The Scarlet Knights have lost four of six overall. They have just ONE road win all season. Play on WISCONSIN AAA |
|||||||
02-23-20 | Temple v. East Carolina OVER 140 | Top | 63-67 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Temple is off a wild 93-89 win over UConn. Double overtime was needed to get the victory, which was the second time the Owls prevailed in OT in their last four games. Today they’ll head to East Carolina to face a team not making much noise in the American this year. The Pirates 4-10 conference record has them a loss away from being tied for last place with Tulane, a team that they’ve beaten twice. However, ECU has at least been competitive of late. In the last week, they’ve lost by only three to Cincinnati and by four to Memphis. So Temple should consider itself forewarned. What we expect here is a high-scoring affair. While recent Temple scores have been boosted by overtime, they can still pile up the points today. When they hosted East Carolina on Feb 1, they scored 76 points. The Pirates shot very poorly in that game and should improve on their percentages now that they get to play at home. They’ve scored at least 67 in three of the last four contests. Play OVER Temple-East Carolina AAA |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Oregon +5 v. Arizona | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OREGON Crucial game in the Pac 12 tonight for both teams, but particularly for Oregon as they are off a loss and a game back of Arizona in the win column. The Ducks go to Tucson Saturday night with a higher ranking for now (#14 vs. #24), but they really can’t afford another loss here. Back on January 9th, the Ducks did beat Arizona 74-73 in a close call in Eugene. Arizona comes into the rematch as a decided favorite having won three straight. They seem overvalued though in what we view as a pretty even matchup. Oregon has been an underdog just three times all season and this is the first time in over a month. Let’s not forget that it wasn’t too long ago that Arizona lost - by double digits - here at home to UCLA. The Wildcats are just 9-21 ATS in Saturday games the last three seasons. This is one of those games where you just want to play the underdog as an outright win is far more likely than a blowout by the favorite. Play on OREGON AAA |
|||||||
02-22-20 | 76ers +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 98-119 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHILADELPHIA We all know about how the Sixers perform on the road relative to how they do at home. On Thursday, they defeated the Brooklyn Nets by a score of 112-104. That improved their already league-best home record to 26-2 straight up. However, they’ve gone just 9-19 straight up on the road and tonight finds them playing in Milwaukee. Despite this seemingly “insurmountable” task the 76ers are facing, we like them to come through with the cash tonight on ABC. Impressive as they have been, the Bucks cannot possibly continue to win by these large margins. What’s interesting is that they have played only 17 games all season against teams that have winning records (fewest in the league). They are 10-7 straight up in those games and 7-10 against the spread. They’ve lost only 1 time all year to a team with a losing record. A couple of weeks ago Philly came here and lost by 11. We think they’ll do better this time as this game means more to them than it does to the Bucks. They did beat the Bucks earlier in the year (at home). Play on PHILADELPHIA AAA |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Hurricanes v. Maple Leafs -137 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TORONTO It is an incredibly jam-packed race for the two Wild Card spots in the NHL’s Eastern Conference. Remember that the top three in each division automatically qualify for the playoffs. Right now Toronto occupies third in the Atlantic, but they are just two points up on Florida. Carolina has the same number of points as Toronto (72) but is actually sixth in the Metropolitan, meaning they would not be in the playoffs if they started today. What the Hurricanes are in is the second night of a back to back. They lost at home to the Rangers last night, 5-2, as they continue to struggle to find consistency post-All Star Break. Toronto is off a shutout win over Pittsburgh, 4-0, right here at home on Thursday. These teams played one of the wildest games of the year back in December with the Maple Leafs prevailing 8-6. That was also here in Toronto. The Leafs are better situated to grab the two points tonight seeing as they are rested and 15-8 straight up when off a win by two goals or more. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
02-22-20 | UCLA v. Colorado -10 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COLORADO Colorado may not be the “best” team in the Pac 12 this year but they have been the most consistent. As a result, they are the ones in first place, not Arizona nor Oregon. The Buffaloes are ranked 18th in the country and just held off USC for a 70-66 win on Thursday. They get to stay in Boulder for the weekend as now it’s UCLA that will pay a visit. The Bruins have not been consistent in the first year under Mick Cronin and we like this opportunity to fade as they are coming off an upset win at Utah a little less than 48 hours ago. The chances UCLA records two straight upset wins on the road seems very unlikely, even though right now is the hottest that the Bruins have been all season. They’ve won four in a row, starting with a win at Arizona. But Colorado is just too tough here as they have a 13-2 SU home record and give up only 61.9 points/game. Motivation will be high as this is the final home game of the season (Senior Night!) and they actually lost at UCLA by 4 points back in January. Revenge will be sweet this afternoon. Play on COLORADO AAA |
|||||||
02-22-20 | Kansas v. Baylor UNDER 129.5 | Top | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER This is the game Kansas has been waiting for. Back on January 11th, they lost at home to Baylor by a score of 67-55. Since then they’ve 11 straight wins, seven of those coming by double digits. But top-ranked Baylor isn’t going to roll over here either. The Bears have won 23 straight games. They’ve covered 17 of 25 ball games including 10 of 13 in conference play. Key to this game will be defense. These are two of the top three teams in defensive efficiency in the entire country. Kansas gives up 57.5 points/game on the road. Baylor gives up 56.2 points/game at home. The first game stayed Under by 10 points yet this O/U is just three points lower. Oddsmakers haven’t adjusted enough. The Jayhawks’ OU record in Big 12 games is 9-1. With this game being so important, both teams will be playing lockdown defense. Play on UNDER KANSAS/BAYLOR AAA |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Wild v. Oilers -109 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON Minnesota made a surprise change behind the bench last week, firing coach Bruce Boudreau. After losing their first game under interim Dean Evason (2-0 to San Jose), the Wild were able to outlast Vancouver in a shootout Wednesday night. But the road has generally been less than kind to this team as it still gives up 3.6 goals/contest when not in the XCel Center. So look for Edmonton, who is coming off a home loss, to rebound tonight. Despite being short handed, the Oilers were able to take the Bruins to overtime Wednesday. Boston is arguably the best team in the league and there’s no shame in losing to them. The last time Edmonton lost two straight home games was early December. They have a chance to move into first place in the Pacific Division with a win tonight and come in with a case of double revenge for a pair of losses in the Twin Cities early on in the season. Play on EDMONTON. AAA |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Spurs v. Jazz -7 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UTAH The Spurs were done a favor last night as Memphis lost, meaning San Antonio is now within 3.5 games of the 8th (and final) playoff spot out West. Utah has its eyes on a bigger prize as they went into the All Star Break 4th in the conference and on a 4-game win streak. The last three wins were against Houston, Dallas and Miami and the Jazz covered all three. This is a step down in class from those teams, all of which are solidly in the playoff mix. Two of the wins (Houston, Dallas) even came on the road. Speaking of the road, it has been unkind to San Antonio. The annual “Rodeo Road Trip” began on Feb 3rd and has seen the Spurs go 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS with the only straight up win coming at Oklahoma City right before the break. Utah has a big edge defensively in this matchup as they give up only 104.1 points/game at home while SA allows 116.4 on the road. Utah is 20-5 at home while SA is 9-19 on the road. This is the Spurs first visit to Salt Lake City this season and the Jazz have revenge for losing as a five-point favorite in the Alamo last month. Play on UTAH AAA |
|||||||
02-21-20 | Princeton v. Harvard UNDER 142.5 | Top | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Harvard trails Yale and Princeton by one game, so getting to host the latter is a big deal tonight. The Crimson won both games last week - 85-63 over Cornell and 77-63 over Columbia. Both were played right here at Lavietes Pavilion. Princeton also got to play twice at home last week, but they split the pair, losing to Yale while beating Brown. The Tigers did defeat the Crimson earlier this season 70-69 on what was a hot shooting night for them from distance (went 13 of 23 on three-pointers). That was the last Harvard game to stay Under as the last four have all gone Over. But Princeton won’t shoot as well this time around. Harvard defends exceptionally well when they’re at home, giving up just 59.4 points/game. Princeton is 6-0 Under this year in games where they came in with 5 or 6 days rest. That includes the two Friday games since Ivy League play started. Don’t forget Harvard is without top scorer Bryce Aiken as well. A lower scoring game than the first matchup, which we think this will be, makes for an easy call on the Under. Play UNDER Princeton-Harvard AAA |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Grizzlies v. Kings +1.5 | Top | 125-129 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
analysis coming |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLUMBUS This is a very important game within the Metropolitan Division. Third place guarantees you a playoff spot and right now the race for third is four teams separated by a single point. The Flyers are in “pole position” right now with 73 points. Three teams, Columbus among them, have 72 points. The Blue Jackets are absolutely desperate right now as they have lost six in a row, the most recent game coming in Philadelphia Tuesday where they went down by a score of 5-1. But the Nationwide Arena in Columbus has been a house of horrors for the Flyers as they’ve won just three of the past 19 visits. One such win did occur back in November. The Blue Jackets are 0-3 against the Flyers this year. So calling this their most important game of the season (so far) would not be hyperbole. Look for a very inspired effort by the home team tonight. Something worth noting is three of the losses in the six-game losing streak for the Blue Jackets have come past regulation. Also, they lost and gave up five goals Tuesday despite allowing just 15 shots. Play on COLUMBUS AAA |
|||||||
02-20-20 | Ohio State v. Iowa -2.5 | Top | 76-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Iowa We had some discussion about the Big 10 yesterday. While we came out on the wrong side of that game (Indiana-Minnesota), we’re back at it again, this time with two of the likely 10 teams that the conference will send to the NCAA Tournament. Ohio State was once ranked as high as #2 in the polls. A bad January dropped the Buckeyes standing precipitously, however, they have since rallied by winning five of their last six games. Iowa has alternated wins and losses over the last six games and is off a come from behind win at Minnesota. While recent form may be better for OSU, this game still takes place in Iowa City where the Hawkeyes have lost only one time all year and that was back in the second game. Iowa boasts one of the most efficient offenses in the country and Ohio State is only .500 overall in Big 10 play and 3-5 on the road. The Hawkeyes are 10-2 ATS at Carver Arena. Seems logical to lay the short number here. Play on IOWA AAA |
|||||||
02-19-20 | Wild v. Canucks -123 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER Despite taking a 5-1 loss Sunday, the Canucks are still outscoring visiting teams by an average of 0.9 gpg, which is very solid. They average 3.6 gpg in Vancouver and had won their two previous games here by scores of 6-2 and 3-0. Minnesota is not a good road team. They are giving up 3.7 gpg away from home, which is the third worst average in the league (only Detroit & Ottawa are worse). They also just made what was a bit of a head-scratching decision, firing coach Bruce Boudreau. Clearly, the front office saw something wrong with this team that the rest of us were not seeing. That the Wild were shut out at home - 2-0 by a bad San Jose team - in the first game after Boudreau’s firing was not a good sign. Speaking of changes, Vancouver just brought in forward Tyler Toffoli in a trade with the Kings. This is a key acquisition. The Canucks are simply better than the Wild, especially at home. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
02-19-20 | Indiana v. Minnesota -5.5 | Top | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA The Big 10 will obviously be sending a lot of teams to the NCAA Tournament. Right now, if certain “bracketologists” are to be believed, the number of teams is 10. Only one other conference is likely to send more than five. Interestingly enough, neither Indiana nor Minnesota are among those 10 even though both grade out favorably against most teams from other conferences. In the case of Minnesota, a 12-12 WL record does them no favors. However, you can’t tell us that the Golden Gophers aren’t among the top 35 teams in the country. Four losses in the last five games, particularly the one vs. Iowa on Sunday, have really stung. But getting a chance to host an Indiana team that is 1-5 straight up and against the spread its last six games is an opportunity the Gophers can surely cash in on. Indiana is a dreadful 1-6 ATS in road games. They’ve lost 23 of 30 road games the last three seasons. The loss to Iowa on Sunday was just the second time Minnesota lost as a favorite this year (8-3 ATS) and they are 5-1 ATS after being held under 60 points. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
|||||||
02-19-20 | East Carolina v. Memphis -12.5 | Top | 73-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on MEMPHIS There’s significant hand-wringing now over Memphis’ chances to make the NCAA Tournament. A team firmly on the “bubble” all season, the Tigers have gone out and lost three straight. Right now, no one seems to be considering Penny Hardaway’s team as being worthy of the Big Dance and without a really strong finish to the regular season, it’s difficult to imagine that changing. It is worth mentioning though that this three-game losing streak has been nothing but close games. The three losses have all been by six points or less and by a total of only 11 points. Tonight, Memphis has a golden opportunity to take its frustrations out on a lesser opponent, that being East Carolina, who is just 7-13 ATS when getting 12.5 or more on the road. The Pirates are in second to last in the American with a 4-9 conference record and have been beaten by double digits each of the last two times out. Their only conference wins since January 11th both were against Tulane, the last place team in the American. Memphis wins by an average of 17 points/game at home. Play on MEMPHIS AAA |
|||||||
02-18-20 | Kentucky v. LSU -2.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LSU It wasn’t that long ago where LSU was the lone unbeaten team in SEC play and feeling really good about itself. But three losses in the past four games have dropped the Tigers out of the Top 25 and one game back of Kentucky in the SEC. But those three losses the Tigers recently suffered all have one thing in common and that’s they all took place on the road. In Baton Rouge, this team is still 13-1 and they’ve generally won by safe margins. Kentucky is not as dominant as you might think even though it is ranked 10th in the country. While the Wildcats have won eight of nine, most of the wins have come against the bottom half of the SEC. They have failed to cover five of the seven games they have played against teams that average at least 77 points game. LSU averages more than that. LSU is undervalued tonight at home. Play on LSU AAA |
|||||||
02-18-20 | Devils v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Stanley Cup Champs (St. Louis) have lost five straight games, turning the Central Division race into a tight three-way battle between them, Dallas and Colorado. All five Blues losses were to teams fighting to make the playoffs in the Western Conference. Tonight they’ll host a team from the Eastern Conference that is in last place in their own division and they are 4-0 against the previous two seasons. But New Jersey did beat Columbus in a shootout Sunday, so this may not be the “walk in the park” St. Louis is hoping for. What we’ll do is call for an Over as three of the Devils last four games have seen at least seven total goals scored. NJ has scored three or more goals in eight of its last 10 games and four or more six times. The Over is 11-5 in the Blues last 16 games and 4-1 this season if they were held to 1 goal or less in their most recent game. They lost 2-1 at Nashville Sunday. Play OVER New Jersey-St. Louis AAA |
|||||||
02-18-20 | Illinois +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 62-56 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ILLINOIS Penn State is undoubtedly a hot team right. Having achieved a top 10 ranking (#9) for the first time in forever, the Nittany Lions are on an 8-0 win streak - both straight up and against the spread. Their latest conquest took place Saturday when they defeated Northwestern 77-61. It was their largest margin of victory during the win streak. Of course, Northwestern also just so happens to be the worst team in the Big 10. Illinois, while having lost four in a row, is still considered to be a NCAA Tournament team and it wasn’t that long ago that they were leading the conference! The Illini’s rough patch has included games vs. Maryland and Michigan State as well as road trips to Iowa and Rutgers. Really, they shouldn’t have been favored to win any of those games. They obviously don’t deserve to be favored tonight either, but the spread is too high in our estimation considering where Illinois was just a short time ago. Play on ILLINOIS AAA |
|||||||
02-17-20 | North Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NORTH CAROLINA North Carolina isn’t going to get sympathy from anyone in the ACC or nationally. But it sure is sad to see the Tar Heels having fallen this far (last place in the ACC). For the second time this year, they’re on a five-game losing streak. They’re just 2-10 the past 12 games. But this more recent five game losing streak has seen them fall by two points or less three different times. Saturday against Virginia they lost 64-62. But you should take them here against a Notre Dame team that was just humiliated by Duke over the weekend. The Fighting Irish took a 34-point loss in Durham, which ended a six-game ATS win streak. The Irish have had some close losses of their own, namely a one-point loss at Virginia last Tuesday that went into overtime. But that Duke loss is going to be “tough to shake” and we expect there to be somewhat of a “carry over” from Saturday to tonight. Before Saturday, Notre Dame had been held to 60 points or less three different times this season. They’ve yet to cover off one of those performances. Play on NORTH CAROLINA AAA |
|||||||
02-17-20 | Xavier v. St. John's +2.5 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ST JOHNS Xavier finds itself right on the NCAA (Tournament) bubble and something tells us that the committee cares very little about the fact that the Musketeers have covered four straight games. What the committee will focus on is the fact they lost to Butler last Wednesday, 66-61, stopping a three-game SU win streak. They are 16-9 SU, but only 9-15-1 ATS and 5-11 ATS laying points. Tonight they go to St. John’s, who is off an 80-69 win over Providence. The Red Storm averages 77.7 points/game at home, so that’s something Xavier has to contend with here. There was a meeting back on Jan 5th, won by Xavier 75-67. But in an eight-point game, St. John’s was 1 for 16 on 3PA, which definitely cost them a cover (line was +8) and possibly even an upset win. With the kind of offense the Red Storm typically produces at home, we expect better shooting tonight. They are 9-5 ATS at home and just came up big in one revenge spot (vs. Providence) and can do the same here against a Xavier team that has a losing record in Big East play. The Musketeers were down by as many as 17 against Butler and only got close when the Bulldogs lost G Aaron Thompson to injury. Play on ST. JOHNS AAA |
|||||||
02-17-20 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -127 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VEGAS The Golden Knights have kicked off this homestand with a couple of wins. Both were by one goal, yet also very different. They beat St. Louis 6-5 and the Islanders 1-0. No matter the manner the wins are coming, Vegas will take them as they continue to fight for playoff positioning. They currently are third in the Pacific Division, but just two points out of first. So a win tonight could land them atop the division. That will be easier said than done facing Washington, but at least the Knights are getting the Capitals at the end of a three-game road trip. The Caps just got beat Saturday in Arizona, 3-1, as their lead over in the Metropolitan Division gets even smaller. It’s now down to a single point over Pittsburgh. Note Vegas is 4-0 the last four times they’ve been off a game in which it scored two or less goals. The home team has taken five of six all-time meetings. Play on VEGAS AAA |
|||||||
02-16-20 | Utah v. Oregon -12.5 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OREGON Oregon is well-positioned right now. They are ranked #17 in the country and one win away from tying Colorado for first place in the Pac 12. Getting that win should prove to be pretty easy on Sunday as they host Utah, who has won exactly one true road game this season. Now the pointspread is in the double digits because of all you have just read, but that’s to be expected and not something we’re concerned about in the slightest. We know how the Pac 12 schedule works so this is actually the second road game of the weekend for the Utes, who lost by 19 in Corvallis (Oregon State) Thursday. Oregon won that same night, 68-60 over Colorado, to keep their record perfect (now 13-0) here in Eugene. Utah isn’t just 1-7 straight up on the road, they’re 2-6 against the spread as well and getting beaten by more than 16 points per game. Oregon already won in Salt Lake City this year and should have no problem winning big tonight. Play on OREGON AAA |
|||||||
02-16-20 | Ducks v. Canucks -154 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -154 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER Vancouver has been the best team in the Pacific all year and that’s starting to “bear fruit” as the Canucks lead the division with 67 points. But the lead is precarious to say the least with the next four teams all within three points and two teams within a single point. So they can’t afford any kind of “letdown” game. Thankfully, the Canucks are at home tonight where they’ll battle an Anaheim team that simply isn’t very good. Oddsmakers have curiously priced this game as if it might be competitive but we’ve got a different view as the Canucks are 19-6-3 at home and won their last two games by scores of 3-0 and 6-2. Both were on home ice where they are outscoring the opposition by more than a full goal per game this season. Anaheim was shutout 6-0 in its last game and while that was three days ago, the Ducks certainly haven’t gotten any better since that home loss to Calgary. To “sweeten the pot” here for Vancouver, this is a revenge game. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
02-16-20 | Oilers v. Hurricanes -205 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -205 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 6* on CAROLINA If you look at how Carolina is being priced on a game-by-game basis, you’d expect that that they’d be in a lot better position than sixth place in their own division and just fighting to get into the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Yet that’s where they are right now. The Hurricanes handled their business on Friday by beating the New Jersey Devils 5-2 here in Raleigh. They were -285 money line favorites for that game. Now it’s obvious that today’s pricing is heavily influenced by the fact Edmonton is without Connor McDavid. But the price isn’t high enough in our opinion as we expect the home team to roll in this one. McDavid had 30 goals and 81 points in 55 games, so that’s a massive piece of the Oilers production missing. Carolina won 6-3 in Edmonton back in December and that was with McDavid on the ice. Furthermore, the Oilers played last night in Florida and while they won 4-1, they are just 35-77 playing without rest. Carolina is 40-18 its last 58 home games. Play on CAROLINA AAA |
|||||||
02-15-20 | Islanders v. Golden Knights -173 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS These are two third place teams that have each produced wildly inconsistent results of late. Both allowed five goals the last time we saw them. But the major difference is Vegas scored six of its own while the Islanders were held scoreless. Those very different results set up a play on the Golden Knights tonight. It was St. Louis that they beat 6-5 on Thursday, a major triumph that should be celebrated. They had 52 shots on goal. The Islanders were blanked in Nashville. It was 3-0 after one period and 5-0 after two. The final result matched their worst loss of the season in terms of deficit. After going a combined 53-22-7 their first two years at home, Vegas is only 15-10-4 at T-Mobile Arena this season. But we expect some of the old Vegas magic to be present here tonight. The Islanders are one of the lowest scoring teams in the league on the road. Play on VEGAS AAA |
|||||||
02-15-20 | Washington v. UCLA -3 | Top | 57-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UCLA While UCLA did win 86-83 Thursday, that wasn’t nearly good enough for us as we had them -8 against Washington State. Still, from the Bruins perspective, they’ll take the result. It was the sixth win in the last eight games and it was last Saturday that they went to Arizona and won 65-52 as a double digit dog. Now they look to win three in a row for the first time all season. They’ll face a Washington team that has been a major disappointment and is 0-6 ATS in road games. The Huskies are also 0-7 both straight up and against the spread their last seven games overall. We went against them this past Sunday when they were favored (by 2.5) at Washington State. They lost 79-67. Then they lost at USC Thursday 62-56. A third straight road game doesn’t seem like the situation UW will figure things out so we will gladly go against them again tonight. After all, earlier this year UCLA went to Seattle and won outright as an 8.5 point underdog. Play on UCLA AAA |
|||||||
02-15-20 | UNLV +3 v. New Mexico | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNLV UNLV is off a tough loss to rival Nevada. That game went to overtime with the Rebels coming up just short, losing 82-79 as a 1.5 point home favorite. That was their 4th consecutive ATS loss as well as the fifth straight up loss in the last six games. Coming into Saturday, they’re just 12-14 and basically just waiting for the Mountain West Tournament to get here (which is in Vegas). New Mexico though is not doing much better as they’ve lost six of eight. Lobos games are seemingly never close. All but one of those last eight games has been decided by more than 20 points. Five of them have been losses, one of them 99-78 at UNLV. Tuesday was another humbling setback as San Diego State got them 82-59. A team like this simply can’t be trusted in the favorite role. The Lobos have failed to cover five of their last six turns as a home favorite of three points or less. UNLV was a six-point favorite when it blew out UNM last month. Even with the change in home court, we don’t think this line makes much sense. Play on UNLV AAA |
|||||||
02-15-20 | Ole Miss v. Kentucky UNDER 136.5 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The SEC as a whole appears to be a bit overrated, but Kentucky still remains the king of this conference in our eyes. The 12th ranked Wildcats enter Saturday at 19-5 overall and 9-2 in SEC play, the latter record landing them in a first place tie with both LSU and Auburn for the time being. UK has won seven of eight with the only loss coming to Auburn and they’ve got a game at LSU on deck. Here they face an Ole Miss team that has covered six in a row. The Rebels are 4-2 in that same stretch, the only SU losses coming to … Auburn and LSU. Both Kentucky and Ole Miss faced double digit deficits in the first half Tuesday before coming back to win handily. We look for this to be somewhat of a low-scoring affair, mainly because Mississippi only averages 61.7 points/game on the road. Kentucky gives up only 62.9 points/game at home. The key then becomes how well the Rebels can defend. Seeing as how they’ve held the last five opponents to below 40% shooting, we think the answer is “well.” Six of the Rebels seven road games this year have stayed Under. Play UNDER Ole Miss/Kentucky AAA |
|||||||
02-15-20 | Northwestern +13 v. Penn State | Top | 61-77 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NORTHWESTERN Seemingly out of nowhere, Penn State has emerged as a “darkhorse” Final Four candidate. Yes, Penn State! The Nittany Lions are ranked #13 in the country and will certainly move up were they to win today. They’re on a 7-0 SU and ATS win streak after going to Purdue and winning 88-76 as a 5-point dog earlier this week. That’s quite the impressive streak. Early Saturday PSU host Northwestern in what seems to be the Nittany Lions “easiest” Big 10 game of the year. But that also makes this a surprisingly dangerous spot to be laying this many points. Penn State is used to being the hunter rather than the hunted. Today marks just the 4th time in the last 9 games that they have been the betting favorite. It will also by the most points they’ve had to lay to a Big 10 opponent in a long time. Northwestern has lost eight in a row but only twice during that streak have they gone down by more than 13 points. They are 6-2 ATS on the road. Look for this to be a tighter game than expected. Play on NORTHWESTERN AAA |
|||||||
02-14-20 | Canadiens v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on the UNDER Montreal has gone Under its last four games. Pittsburgh has gone Under its last three games. So recent trends are definitely on our side tonight for this play. In those last four games, Montreal has found the back of the net only eight times. Pittsburgh has scored just six times in its last three games, though two of those were against a Tampa Bay team that is playing as well as anyone in the league right now. It’s uncharacteristic to see the Penguins to score so little, but there are two things you should keep in mind. One is that they are 13-9 Under at home this year when the total is 6.0 or higher. The second is that they only allow 2.5 goals per game at home. Twice these teams have met this season. Each game saw only five total goals scored. The road team won both times. Pittsburgh won 3-2 in Montreal. Montreal won 4-1 here in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh’s power play is not what it once was. Play UNDER Montreal-Pittsburgh AAA |
|||||||
02-14-20 | Akron v. Central Michigan OVER 155 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Akron just notched a pretty big win, beating MAC-leading Bowling Green 74-59. That the Zips were a 6.5-point favorite for that contest should tell you who oddsmakers think is the best team in this conference. Tonight’s game is against a wounded Central Michigan team that has lost two in a row. Tuesday, the Chippewas lost 73-70 at home to Eastern Michigan. They were outscored 45-35 in the second half. It was a much different showing that what they turned in their own home win over Bowling Green where CMU finished with 92 points. Make no mistake about it - the Chippewas are one of the highest scoring teams in the country. They average 81.3 points/game, which is sixth most in the entire country. The offensive numbers at home are eye-popping. It’s a 90.3 point/game average here. That’s enough to convince us that Over is the correct call here. Akron isn’t going to match the defensive efforts from its last two games. But they should hit their 76.0 point/game average. Play OVER Akron/Central Michigan AAA |
|||||||
02-14-20 | Davidson +4 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 93-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAVIDSON St. Bonaventure has been picking off the bottom feeders of the Atlantic 10 and the result is a five-game win streak entering Friday. The Bonnies’ last four wins were against George Mason, George Washington, Duquesne and St. Louis. They covered the spread against all four. They’ve now risen to third place in the conference and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves. On the surface, laying a short number with the Bonnies at home against 12-11 Davidson seems logical. But Davidson is an underrated team. The Wildcats crushed Fordham 79-49 Tuesday, their second win by at least 30 points this month. In the last seven games, Davidson has suffered just one regulation loss and it was to preseason conference favorite VCU. While they’ve struggled as an underdog this year, this looks like a spot where they pull the upset. They’re 8-3 ATS when off a win by 20 or more points the last couple seasons. Play on DAVIDSON AAA |
|||||||
02-13-20 | Washington State v. UCLA -8 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -108 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UCLA Washington State proved to be a huge revelation on this end when they upset Washington over the weekend. That was a huge play for us and the Cougars delivered a 79-67 victory as 2.5-point home dogs. But the road has been a much different story for this team. They’ve covered only six of the last 21 times including 1-5 ATS in 2019-20. Bottom line is that this is a game UCLA needs to have. The Bruins just beat a much better Pac 12 team, Arizona, 65-52 as a 12.5 point underdog last weekend. They’ve got revenge here for a 79-71 loss in Pullman earlier this year. UCLA has won three of four and five of seven, so they’re in better form now. They are 10-5 ATS the last 15 times they’ve played with revenge for a road loss. Play on UCLA AAA |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Blackhawks v. Canucks -139 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER Vancouver treated us nicely Monday when they were our Game of the Week and delivered an impressive 6-2 beatdown of Nashville. We were pretty firm in our belief that there was no real justification for the Canucks to be ML dogs in that game (which was at home). The Pacific Division leaders had lost four in a row prior to that, but three of the losses were on the road. They’re back home this evening to face Chicago, a team that has lost four in a row. Even worse for the Blackhawks is how this will be the third road game in four nights for them. The previous two have seen them give up five goals each time. Last night’s 5-3 loss to the Oilers (who did not have McDavid) leaves them in last place in the Central Division. Vancouver is honoring several key players from the past tonight so expect a fired up home crowd for this one. The Canucks are 14-6 coming off a multi-goal victory. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Hornets v. Wolves -8.5 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA The Timberwolves laying this many points should tell you something and that “something” is that Charlotte is not good. While the Hornets did just win an ugly 87-76 game at Detroit two nights ago, that was preceded by five consecutive losses. Overall they’ve dropped 13 of 15 games and fallen near the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings. There are only three teams in the league that have been outscored by more points. Those are Cleveland, Atlanta and Golden State, who happen to have the three worst records in the league. So expect more losses to pile up for Charlotte in the coming weeks. In terms of laying this many points with the Timberwolves, who have lost 14 of their last 15 games, do not fret. They already won at Charlotte by 22 points earlier in the year. In the last home game, they hung 142 on the Clippers. If they can do that to a good team like the Clippers, they can certainly blowout the Hornets. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
|||||||
02-12-20 | Rutgers v. Ohio State -5.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO STATE Ohio State was once ranked as high as #3 in the entire country. Now the Buckeyes find themselves in 10th place in the Big 10 with a 5-7 conference won-loss record. Despite their relatively poor effort at Wisconsin Sunday, we are still of the belief that OSU remains one of the better teams in the Big 10 and the entire country for that matter! Look for them to handle their business tonight in Columbus against a Rutgers team that seems to be failing under the pressure of expectations. The Scarlet Knights managed to get into the Top 25 a couple weeks ago, but then lost two straight (to Michigan and Maryland), followed up by an unimpressive win over Northwestern. Not only is Rutgers only 1-4 ATS its past five games, they have just one true road win all year and that was against Nebraska, who along with Northwestern represent the two “weak” Big 10 teams this year. Ohio State keeps teams to 57.0 PPG at home where they are 9-4 ATS. Expect this to be a statement-type game by the Buckeyes. Play on OHIO STATE AAA |
|||||||
02-11-20 | Bulls v. Wizards -2.5 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON The Chicago Bulls have not made the playoffs in several seasons. This year, the Eastern Conference is really lacking in depth so fans in the Windy City were hoping the drought would end. Unfortunately though, the Bulls are 16 games below .500 and have lost five in a row. Defense has been atrocious with them giving up 124 points/game during the current losing streak. Bad defense is something Washington knows all too well, but it was a poor offensive effort that cost them against Memphis on Monday night. They finished with only 99 points, the first time in a month they failed to break 100. The Wizards are normally a good offensive team (they average 115.5 points/game) so look for them to get back on track against this struggling Bulls team tonight. What happened against Memphis was they fell apart late, missing 18 of 22 shots in the fourth quarter as a double digit lead evaporated. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
02-11-20 | Western Michigan v. Ohio -5.5 | Top | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 25 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO Both these MAC schools sport 11-12 SU records. Western Michigan won the first meeting 77-65 as a 1-point home underdog. But Ohio remains the decided favorite for the rematch. Pulling what would be a third consecutive upset is going to be tough here for WMU. They won at Miami last week, then at home vs. Ball State. They entered those games at +4.5 and +5.5 respectively. The Broncos should be commended for that success, but eventually the tank hits empty. Ohio showed what it is capable of doing when it destroyed Miami here in Athens, 77-46 on Saturday. Certainly that was a much more impressive win than what WMU did to the RedHawks, winning by just four points. The win over Ball State also was by four points. Brandon Johnson carried them in those two wins, scoring 50 points including a career high 29 vs. Ball State. But can he keep that up? Western Michigan has not beaten three straight D-I opponents all year. Play on OHIO AAA |
|||||||
02-10-20 | Predators v. Canucks +103 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 103 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on VANCOUVER Vancouver is fighting to hold onto the top spot in the Pacific Division, which they lead by one point over Edmonton and Vegas. Two other teams are within four points. Nashville is just trying to get into playoff position as they are four points back of the Wild Card. While it’s not a huge gap between the teams when it comes to points, there’s no reason Nashville should be favored in this one. The Canucks are a very solid 17-6-3 at home and they’ve already beaten Nashville twice this year. Now the Canucks are on a four-game losing streak and just got blasted by Calgary (6-2!) Saturday night. But the other three losses all came on the road. This is the spot where they rise up. The Predators find themselves playing a fourth straight road game in Western Canada, in a seven-day span. The Canucks score 3.6 goals/game at home while giving up only 2.7. They’d won nine straight home games prior to Saturday’s loss and this four-game losing streak of theirs matches a season-worst. Just can’t see them losing again and this is a great price to back them at. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
02-10-20 | Nets v. Pacers -7 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* on INDIANA Indiana comes into Monday on a five-game losing streak. Two of the losses came to a Toronto team that has won 14 in a row. The Pacers are lucky in that the East has no real depth, so they’re not in any real danger of falling further than where they’re at right now, which is 6th. The 7th place team (Brooklyn) is who they’ll face tonight and there’s a seven game gap between the teams even with the Pacers losing streak. The Nets also just lost in Toronto and it was by the same exact score (119-118) that Indiana lost by on Feb 5th. Both teams covered the spread in those losses and the Nets do come in riding a 3-game ATS win streak. But they’ve won only one time on the road going back to the start of 2020. To us, it’s just a question of whether or not the Pacers can cover the spread and we think they can as they already hold two double digit wins over Brooklyn this year and both of those were on the road. They didn’t have Victor Oladipo either. Now the Nets don’t have Kyrie Irving. The Nets are 1-8 ATS their last nine times as a road underdog. Play on INDIANA AAA |
|||||||
02-10-20 | Florida State v. Duke -8.5 | Top | 65-70 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DUKE The notion of laying this many points with a Duke team that is only 48 hours removed from a wild, 98-96 overtime win at North Carolina might seem problematic to some. But not us as our view is the Blue Devils are clearly the superior side in this one. Florida State has the same overall and ACC record as Duke, but we believe the respective rankings in the Top 25 don’t accurately reflect what the true gap is here. Duke would be favored against almost anybody on a neutral court while Florida State seems more like a team that is ranked high only due to its won-loss record. The Seminoles are obviously a Top 20 team, but we’re not sure about Top 10 and certainly not Top 5. Their three losses were to Virginia, Indiana and Pitt, all unranked teams. Duke is winning by an average of 21.2 points/game at home. They just won three straight on the road, scoring 97+ twice. Florida State is 1-5 ATS its last six Monday games (didn’t cover last week vs. UNC) while Duke is on a 6-2 ATS run its last eight Monday affairs. Play on DUKE AAA |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Grizzlies v. Wizards +1.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON A .500 record in the NBA may not seem like much to “crow” about, but the Grizzlies (26-26) are plenty happy with it as right now they’d be the 8th and final playoff team out West. Not much was expected from Memphis this year. Certainly not a playoff berth. But led by Ja Morant, they’ve really transformed and are currently on a 7-2 SU/ATS run. They did lose Friday in Philadelphia though. Both losses in the last nine games were on the road and by double digits. Washington is another team we expected little from this year and they’ve been more in line with that projection, coming in at 18-32. But they upset Dallas on Friday, right here at home, for what was their third win in four games. All those games have been at home and they were a three-point dog when they beat the Mavs 119-118. What we find significant about the line here is that Memphis has only been a road favorite three times previous to this. While they may be 14 games below .500, the Wizards are only 2.5 games back of the final playoff spot in the East. So don’t look for them to pack it in anytime soon. They are 10-6 ATS as a home underdog, winning nine of those games straight up. They can score (115.6 points/game) and have won seven of nine home games overall. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Washington v. Washington State +3.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASHINGTON STATE Washington has lost seven out of eight, not to mention five straight. It should be pointed out that all but one of the losses (at Colorado) was by six points or fewer. Once ranked in the top 25, the Huskies’ NCAA Tournament dreams are now on life support. Obviously they can hardly afford another loss. But rival Washington State would love nothing more than to play “spoiler” here, just as they’ve done three of their past four home games. They weren’t as lucky last weekend, losing 66-49 to Arizona, but that’s one of the top teams in the Pac 12. Before that the Cougars had won three in a row here in Pullman, every time as an underdog. While neither team has played since last Saturday, we do know that Wazzu has won the last three times it has taken the floor with at least seven days rest. We also know Washington has failed to cover eight straight road games. The key to the Huskies’ slide has been the absence of PG Green, who was ruled academically ineligible last month. They’ve won just once without him and now are the last place team in the conference. Can’t back this young team laying points on the road. Play on WASHINGTON STATE AAA |
|||||||
02-09-20 | Butler v. Marquette UNDER 142 | Top | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Playing on FS-1 was kind to #19 Butler on Wednesday as they beat #10 Villanova at the buzzer 79-76. They are hoping history repeats itself Sunday when they travel to face a well-rested Marquette team that’s 11-1 at home and been off for eight days. The last time Marquette played, they came from behind to defeat last place DePaul 76-72. They’ll obviously take the win, but it ended a 5-game ATS streak as they were 7.5-point favorites. When these teams met last month at Hinkle Fieldhouse, it was an 89-85 Butler win. Marquette hoisted 38 three-pointers and made 16 of them. But it still wasn’t enough. We look for the rematch to be a lot lower scoring. It must be noted that the first meeting did go to overtime. It was 71-71 at the end of regulation. Both teams are solid defensively as Marquette gives up only 63.8 points/game at home while Butler gives up just 60.6 points/game period. The Under is 4-1 in the five games so far where Butler has been an underdog. Play UNDER Butler-Marquette AAA |
|||||||
02-08-20 | UCLA v. Arizona UNDER 138 | Top | 65-52 | Win | 100 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
analysis soon |
|||||||
02-08-20 | Montana v. Idaho +8 | Top | 82-71 | Loss | -107 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IDAHO To Big Sky country we go for this week’s top College Basketball side. Montana is leading this conference with a 9-3 record while Idaho is in last at 2-9. But Montana has a major problem when they hit the road as they’ve won just 3 times in 12 tries there and are also 3-9 ATS. They are laying a pretty decent sized number here, maybe not as large as what you’d typically think a first place team would be giving to a last place team. But the gap between first and last in the Big Sky just isn’t as large as it is in other conferences. Idaho lost by only four in Missoula last month, holding the Golden Grizzlies to only 67 points. They missed eight free throws, which cost them the game, but it was still an easy cover as 13-point underdogs. Based on that number and result, this line clearly is too high. Montana has only one conference road win by more than two points. Play on IDAHO AAA |
|||||||
02-08-20 | Stars v. Blues -155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. LOUIS The last 13 months have been nothing short of incredible for the St. Louis Blues. It was around this time last year that they caught fire and went on to win the first Stanley Cup in franchise history. That “momentum” has clearly carried over into 2019-20 as they lead the Western Conference with 72 points. But they have stumbled a bit recently. Over the last eight games, they are 2-5-1 with just one of those two victories coming in a non-shootout situation. Tonight is a big game against the third place team in the division, Dallas, who has given up the fewest goals of any team in the West. But the Stars have lost two in a row and given up seven goals in doing so. They’ve allowed 30 goals over the last eight games. The Blues have won both times they’ve faced Dallas this season and are 10-1-1 L12 home games. They are allowing just 2.4 goals/game at home this year. Dallas has been outscored on the road. Play on ST LOUIS AAA |
|||||||
02-08-20 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 222.5 | Top | 118-119 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Somehow, some way Toronto keeps winning. They ran their win streak to 13 in a row by defeating Indiana last night by a score of 115-106. They did so despite losing Kyle Lowry to an injury. Lowry isn’t likely to play tonight, which means the Raptors are going to be without three members of the starting five. Brooklyn isn’t going to have Kyrie Irving for this game either. What they hope to have is the same kind of defense that led them to convincing wins against Phoenix and Golden State earlier this week. Both games saw the Nets allow fewer than 100 points. They held Golden State to 88. Toronto is no slouch defensively in its own right. In fact, they are the #1 team in the league in defensive efficiency. That’s played a major role in how they keep winning despite all these injuries. On the second night of back to back, we just don’t see the Raptors scoring a ton of points. Same with the Nets, who are without Irving and 9-2 Under when off a double digit win. Play UNDER Brooklyn-Toronto AAA |
|||||||
02-08-20 | Virginia v. Louisville -7 | Top | 73-80 | Push | 0 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LOUISVILLE There is a pretty big gap between the top three teams and everybody else in the ACC this year. What’s surprising is that last year’s National Champ Virginia is not among the three teams well ahead of the pack. The Cavaliers are currently running 4th in the standings, but this line is pretty indicative of the gap that exists between them and the three teams above them. Louisville is in first place having won 11 of its 12 ACC games. That one loss was a while ago as the Cardinals have won nine in a row, including at Duke. The last four Louisville wins have all come by double digits. What ails UVA this season is an offense that only scores an average 56.0 points/game. The average gets even lower on the road. They are just 276th in offensive efficiency nationally. This game means a lot to Louisville. They’ve lost nine in a row to Virginia. So there won’t be any kind of letdown. If anything, the favorite should be at its best this afternoon. They’ve gone 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Play on LOUISVILLE AAA |
|||||||
02-07-20 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 234.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Second time in a week that the Hawks and Celtics are playing. If unaware of who won the first time, you’d probably guess the Celtics. You would be correct. They prevailed 123-115 and both teams shot 50% from the floor. This time around though, a stunning number of key players from both sides are likely to be sitting on the bench. Trae Young is probable despite being bothered by an ankle injury. As for the rest of the Hawks roster, it will look vastly different from the last time they played Boston due to a bevy of trades. Four of Boston’s five starters are on the injury report here. This total is just too high for two potential skeleton crews to go Over. The Under is 6-2 in the Celtics last eight games (win over Atlanta being one of the two Overs). This time expect a lower-scoring affair. Play UNDER Atlanta-Boston AAA |
|||||||
02-07-20 | Iona +6.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 73-52 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IONA Iona continues to underperform as they are now 3-13 ATS this season following an UGLY 72-49 loss to Manhattan on Super Bowl Sunday. That was the Gaels third loss in a row. Although Sunday wasn’t one of them, there have been seven different times that the Gaels have lost a game outright that were favored to win. They’ll be underdogs again tonight in Quinnipiac, who isn’t exactly tearing it up against the rest of the MAAC either. The Bobcats lost 75-59 to Niagara on Sunday, their fourth double digit loss in the past six games. While a decent team at home, Quinnipiac just doesn’t have what it takes to cover this spread. They were favored in that loss to Niagara on Sunday and the last time they laid this many points was vs. St. Peter’s on 1.18, a game they promptly lost by 20. Iona is better than its record as tonight marks just the THIRD time in conference play that they are getting points. Can’t say the same for Quinnipiac. Play on IONA AAA |
|||||||
02-07-20 | Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER For the second consecutive season, the Sabres are fading fast after a strong start. Since opening 2019-20 at 9-2-1 SU, they have lost two-thirds of their games including five out of the last six. They haven’t done much scoring since the All Star Break either. Were it not for a game-tying goal near the end of regulation last night, that would have been six straight games finishing with two goals or less. They ended up losing 4-3 in OT, at home, to the worst team in the league (Detroit). Tonight Buffalo takes on a Rangers team that’s also on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs. NY’s last two games have both ended up 5-3 with them winning one and losing one. The win was Wednesday vs. Toronto. We like this game to go Under. Buffalo’s scoring woes aren’t confined to recent times as they average just 2.5 goals/game on the road. The Under is 8-3 the L11 times they have played with zero days rest. The Rangers have allowed more than three goals only two times in the last seven games. Even more encouraging is how few shots they’ve allowed the last five games (average of 25.4/game). Play on UNDER Buffalo/NY Rangers AAA |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Spurs v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 117-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND After a four-game win streak that saw them upset Houston, the Lakers and Utah, Portland got severely humbled out in Denver Tuesday night. They lost 127-99 as a 4.5 point underdog. It was their worst defeat of the year, at least when it comes to margin. But now they return home for a big game against San Antonio. Both these teams are chasing the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Right now, the Blazers have a half game lead. San Antonio is on its annual “Rodeo Road Trip” and it hasn’t started well with losses to both the Clippers and Lakers. The Lakers got them by 27 on Tuesday so both teams are coming into this game off blowout losses. But it’s the Spurs third road game in four nights, putting them at a distinct disadvantage. The Spurs are 8-16 on the road. Damian Lillard has been on fire recently for Portland and should lead his team to an easy home victory tonight. Lay the points. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
|||||||
02-06-20 | California v. Colorado -17 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO California might be a lot better now when compared to years past, but they still have yet to win a single game outside of Berkeley this season. They are 0 for 7. The three road games they’ve played against Pac 12 opponents have all been double digit losses with the average margin coming by just over 19 points/game. Despite being off three straight ATS wins (all at home) and an upset of Oregon State on Saturday, the Bears are up against it tonight in Boulder where they face a Colorado side that has been pretty impressive throughout 2019-20. The Buffaloes are 17-5 and ranked #24 in the latest AP Poll. They are definitely a top three team in the Pac 12. Saturday saw them go to USC and crush the Trojans 78-57. At home, they are averaging 76.2 points/game. That should be more than enough to cover tonight’s spread as Cal is averaging a rather pathetic 53.7 points/game on the road. Play on COLORADO AAA |
|||||||
02-06-20 | Golden Knights v. Panthers +125 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FLORIDA Though they lost in overtime at Columbus on Tuesday (1-0), the Panthers have been one of the league’s hotter teams over the last month or so. They went into the All Star Break on a six-game win streak. Might the time off have stunted their momentum? They’ve lost two of three since and were shut out in both defeats. But all three games since the All Star Break were on the road. Tonight the Panthers finally return home where they have not played a game since January 16th. While they were shut out in the two losses since the Break, Florida has scored four or more goals in each of its last seven wins. We expect a big offensive night here against a Vegas team that is probably feeling a bit homesick right now. The Panthers average 4.0 goals/game when playing on home ice. The Golden Knights have been on the road since January 14th and couldn’t get the job done Tuesday in Tampa Bay where they lost 4-2. Florida’s record vs. teams that have losing records is 15-7 this year. Play on FLORIDA AAA |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Heat v. Clippers -7 | Top | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the CLIPPERS Today is the beginning of the most challenging part of the season for the Miami Heat. From now until Feb 20th (which is the first game after the All-Star Break), they’ll be on the road. We all know what the Heat are capable of at home where they’ve gone 22-3 and just destroyed Philadelphia 137-106. But obviously the road has been far less kind as the Heat have played only .500 ball, going 12-12. The long road trip starts against one of the best teams in the league and the Clippers can be pretty rude hosts themselves. LA is 21-5 at home and this will be their final time playing here before breaking for All Star Weekend. When Paul George and Kawhi Leonard both play, the Clippers are pretty unbeatable. WIth those two both in the lineup tonight, the game being on national television and it being the last home game before the All Star Break, look for a really solid effort from the home side. The Heat are 0-3 this year after a game in which they scored 130 or more points. Play LA CLIPPERS AAA |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Wake Forest v. Louisville OVER 142 | Top | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Louisville is ranked #5 in the new polls, the highest ranking for any ACC team. That makes sense as the Cardinals are the first place team in the ACC with a 10-1 record. They’ve won eight straight games and five of those were on the road. Hosting Wake Forest tonight should lead to another win. But the Demon Deacons are getting a lot of points. So let’s instead focus on the fact all but one of WF’s 11 ACC games have gone Over the total. The “one” was the last game they played, a 56-44 win against Clemson, an awful shooting night for both sides. Look for Louisville to put up plenty of points here. Two of Wake’s last three road games have seen them give up 90. Wake should score at least 65 here, making the Over an easy call here. Play OVER Wake Forest-Louisville AAA |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Bruins -156 v. Blackhawks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BOSTON If you follow our NHL plays, this pick should not surprise you - at all. Last night’s 2-0 sweep involved us taking Boston (4-0 win) and fading Chicago (3-2 win). With these teams now matched up Wednesday, we’re sticking to the same script. Sure, Boston is now on the road (played at home last night) and Chicago is at home (played at Minnesota last night). But home ice advantage alone cannot save the Blackhawks here. They’re facing the team with the second most points in the league. The Bruins have now won four in a row and have outscored those four opponents 15-4. That includes a couple of road wins over Chicago’s division rivals (Winnipeg, Minnesota). Of course, the Blackhawks just lost in Minnesota last night. While the Bruins rolled to a relatively easy 4-0 win last night (vs. Vancouver), the Blackhawks had to go to overtime. Boston is 4-1 off its previous five shutout victories. They also have revenge for a loss at home last month. Play on BOSTON AAA |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Hawks v. Wolves OVER 236.5 | Top | 127-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Expect the scoreboard operator to be busy in this one as neither Atlanta nor Minnesota plays much defense. When the Hawks hit the road, they allow an average of 122 points/game. There’s only one team in the entire league giving up more points than Atlanta this year and while it’s not Minnesota (it’s Washington), the Timberwolves certainly give up their fair share of points (115.3 points/game). By the way, the T’wolves have lost their last 12 games! During that losing streak, there have been only two games where they didn’t give up at least 113. If they are to snap said streak, it will be by outscoring Atlanta. Fortunately for them, that may not be too difficult. The Over is 5-1 in the Hawks past six games as they’ve allowed at least 117 every time and 130+ three times. When these teams met in Atlanta back in November, it was a 125-113 win for the Timberwolves. The Hawks are 13-4 Over when seeking revenge for a home loss. Play OVER Atlanta-Minnesota AAA |
|||||||
02-05-20 | Pittsburgh v. Notre Dame -6 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NOTRE DAME There is no doubt that the ACC is having a down year. There are three really good teams (Duke, L’ville, FSU), but beyond that no one is a lock to make the NCAA Tournament. Only five of the 15 members have winning records in conference play right now. Neither Pitt nor Notre Dame are among those five. But when it comes to positioning yourself for the ACC Tournament, winning games such as this are potentially huge. Notre Dame is just 3-4 SU its past seven games, however all four losses came by five points or fewer. They have won their last two, both here in South Bend where they are now 11-3 SU this season. Both wins were as favorites as they covered a nine-point spread vs. Wake Forest (won 90-80) and 6.5-point spread vs Ga Tech (won 80-72). This is a similar type matchup for the Fighting Irish. They average 79.9 points/game at home. Pitt averages only 63.9 points/game on the road. Two things we really like about this ND team are that they 1.) turn the ball over at the lowest rate in the country and 2.) send their opponents to the FT line at the lowest rate in the country. Pitt won’t score enough to cover here. Play on NOTRE DAME AAA |
|||||||
02-04-20 | Blackhawks v. Wild -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MINNESOTA Minnesota is in last place in the Central Division with only 52 points. So every game now has an added importance as they try and make up ground in the playoff chase. Taking on Chicago tonight at home feels like a “must-win,” especially on the heels of being embarrassed by Boston on Saturday. That 6-1 defeat was highly unusual for a team that - more often than not - performs quite well in home games. The Wild’s record at home is 14-7-4, which is much better than their 9-15-2 SU road record. It is worth mentioning that the game vs. Boston was the Wild’s first since the All-Star Break, so maybe it can be chalked up to rust. Before the break, they’d won three of four games - all at home - one of them against Tampa Bay and one 7-0 win over Dallas. The Blackhawks remain the portrait of mediocrity, even though they have won six of their last seven games. We don’t think their recent play is an accurate snapshot of where the team is really at. Play on MINNESOTA AAA |
|||||||
02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins -180 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 6* on BOSTON Boston has lost 11 home games so far this season, but only two of those 11 losses have occurred in regulation. With 74 points, second most in the league right now, the Bruins should be feeling pretty good about themselves. If anything, it’s an 0-7 record in shootouts that’s held them back. We fully expect the B’s to have a strong second half of the season, especially at home. Since the All Star Break, they have won games by scores of 2-1 and 6-1 and those were both played on the road. Up next is a visit from Vancouver, who will be playing for a third time in four nights and all three times have come on the road. The Canucks’ five-game win streak came to a halt Sunday as they fell in a shootout at Carolina. Vancouver also happens to be a 1st place team, but has nine fewer points than Boston and plays in a much weaker division. They are a below .500 team on the road where they give up 3.4 goals/game. Play on BOSTON AAA |
|||||||
02-04-20 | Auburn v. Arkansas +1 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ARKANSAS While it now seems like a bit of “ancient history,” Auburn was one of the final two undefeated teams in College Basketball (only San Diego St still left). The Tigers suffered their first loss of the season back on January 19th as they were blown out in Alabama, 83-64. They followed that up with yet another blowout loss, also on the road, 69-47 at Florida. Four straight wins, the most recent being against Kentucky, have followed. But three of the four wins came at home. We can’t overlook those two road losses or the fact the only win on the road since then came by one point (83-82 at Ole Miss) in a double overtime game. Now the Tigers head to Arkansas to face a team that’s coming off a win at Alabama, 82-78 as 3.5-point underdogs. Auburn did not shoot well in the win over Kentucky, making only 35.3 percent of their total field goal attempts, which includes 6 of 23 from three-point range. A big reason Arkansas has been able to win 11 of its 13 home games this year is that they are allowing only 59.5 PPG. Auburn comes in ranked #11 in the country, which is clearly too high. They also have a giant lookahead to a home game vs. LSU this weekend. Play on ARKANSAS AAA |
|||||||
02-03-20 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 213 | Top | 106-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER The way things are looking now, this could be a first round playoff series. Miami has definitely been a little lucky this season as they have gone 8-0 in games that went to overtime. Really! Philadelphia, like Miami, is a dominant team at home but a little more suspect on the road. The Sixers and Heat have combined to go 43-5 straight up in home games but are also a combined 21-29 straight up on the road. It’s Philadelphia (9-17 SU) that really seems to struggle on the road, so this game being in Miami would seem to be a large edge for the Heat. Philly gives up 109.4 points/game on the road as opposed to 101.2 at home. Miami is up to 115.7 points/game at home. But we still feel more comfortable taking the Over than laying the points here. The Over is 28-19-1 in all Heat games including 15-9 at home. Philly’s last three games have all gone Over. Play OVER Philadelphia-Miami AAA |
|||||||
02-03-20 | Knicks v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 139-134 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND We’ve got two BAD teams facing off here, although the Knicks have surprisingly been playing better of late. They’ve gone 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games, which includes a 106-86 win here in Cleveland back on MLK Day. On Saturday, the Knicks shocked the Pacers, winning 92-87 as 11-point underdogs. The Cavs have been terrible, with just one win in their past 11 games, but we like them to get revenge against the Knicks tonight. It’s been a LONG time since the Cavs won a game at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. You’d have to go back to before Christmas when they won three in a row. Since then, it’s been 10 straight losses here, including an embarrassing one to Golden State on Saturday where they were favored and lost 131-112. We expect an “all hands on deck” approach to this one from the home side as this is a game Cleveland “knows” it can win. The Knicks have won as an underdog eight times previous to the win at Indiana. Only twice have they followed that up by winning again. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
|||||||
02-03-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 143 | Top | 59-65 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER North Carolina’s season-long struggles are well documented at this point. The Tar Heels, who just lost as 12-point favorites to Boston College on Saturday, are 10-11 overall and it would take a miracle run in the ACC Tournament for them to get into March Madness. But at least Cole Anthony is now back and he scored a team-high 26 in the 71-70 loss to BC. The struggles of UNC and some other ACC squads has resulted in a top-heavy conference in 2020 with three top 10 teams and no one else guaranteed to make the Big Dance. One of those top teams is Florida State, who did lose a game last week (61-56 at Virginia), but then quickly bounced back with a 74-63 win at Va Tech on Saturday. Both games last week were road games for the Seminoles. Back in Tallahassee we are likely to see more scoring from them tonight. They are averaging 82.8 points at home where they have won all 10 times. North Carolina averages a solid 71.5 points/game and now has Anthony back, but defense is their issue. Only two ACC opponents have been unable to hit 71 points on Roy Williams team. FSU has gone Over in four straight and the Over is 10-1 for them at home when the number is 140 to 149.5. Play OVER North Carolina-Florida State AAA |
|||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 268 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER Both Super Bowl participants have seen their defenses get the job done over multi-game stretches. San Francisco’s defense didn’t allow more than 20 points in any of its first seven games. Then came a rash of injuries, which in turn saw them allow more points per game over the second half of the season. But they got healthy again just in time for the playoffs - and just like we saw over those first seven games - they have been an elite group. They held the Vikings and Packers to just 30 points, pitching a shutout for a half in each game. They’d allowed just 10 points through six quarters before Green Bay put some “garbage time” points up. The 49ers rank second in yards allowed and are a top 10 scoring defense. But surprisingly, the Chiefs are also a top 10 scoring defense and allow just 18.0 points in road games. They held Tennessee and Houston to basically nothing after the first quarter of each playoff game. In the final six regular season games, the Chiefs held every opponent to 21 points or less. Play UNDER 49ers-Chiefs AAA |
|||||||
02-02-20 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 217 | Top | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the OVER Toronto made it 10 straight wins on Friday. They won in Detroit 105-92 as a 3.5-point favorite. One more win and the Raptors tie the franchise’s longest win streak in history. They’ll have to go through Chicago Sunday. Odds are in the Raptors favor, but we don’t want to lay double digits with a side playing for a third time in four days. We are counting on plenty of points to be scored, however. The Bulls just allowed a season-high 133 in their last game, 54 of them coming from Kyrie Irving. It was the Bulls fourth straight time going Over as they scored 118 themselves. Toronto games - by in large - are much more high scoring at home. We’re looking at an average of 222.7 points/game as opposed to 214.0 on the road. The Over is also 6-0 the last six times the Raptors have been off an ATS win. Play OVER Chicago-Toronto AAA |
|||||||
02-02-20 | Penguins v. Capitals UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The NHL picked a good “spotlight” game for Super Sunday as the Capitals and Penguins meet for the 1st time this season. The Capitals have the most points in the league (75) and lead the Metropolitan Division. But the Penguins aren’t too far behind with 69 points. Both teams come in hot. Washington has won five out of its last six contests including 5-3 at Ottawa on Friday. Pittsburgh has won seven of its last nine. They also won Friday, 4-3 in overtime against Philadelphia. Alex Ovechkin, coming off two straight hat tricks, is chasing history Sunday as he nears 700 career goals and an 11th straight season with 40+. But Ovechkin may have to wait another day to achieve those marks. Because we’ve got this one staying Under. Pittsburgh is 12-4 the last 16 times they’ve faced a team off 5+ goal game. The Pens have also been held to two goals or less in three of the past five games. Washington cannot possibly maintain its 4.8 goal average from its past five games. Play UNDER Pittsburgh-Washington AAA |
|||||||
02-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -155 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARIZONA Arizona has lost seven of eight including both games they’ve played since the All Star Break. This has caused them to slide down the Pacific Division standings where they are now in fifth despite having the second best goal differential (+5). The good news for the Coyotes is that they are only two points out of second place and four out of first. We like their chances of picking up two points tonight as they host a Chicago team they’ve already beaten twice this season. The Blackhawks have yet to play a game since the All Star Break, so there’s a good chance they’re rusty. The Break came at somewhat of a bad time for the ‘Hawks as they’d won five of six prior to it. Before losing Thursday to Los Angeles, the Coyotes had been 3-0 when off three straight losses. Look for their longest losing streak of the season to come to an end Saturday. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
|||||||
02-01-20 | Warriors v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 131-112 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND How far the mighty have fallen! The Warriors and Cavaliers met four straight years in the NBA Finals (2015-18), but that seems like “ancient history” now as Golden State (who won three of those finals) have been besieged by injuries while Cleveland (won 2016 Finals) saw LeBron James leave them for a second time. The Cavs are still trying to find their way post-LeBron, but they actually have a better record than the Warriors this season (13-36 vs. 10-39), which is obviously something that nobody anticipated being the case. Since a four-game win streak from 12/20-12/27, Golden State has won just once (1/18 vs. Orlando). They have lost 15 of 16 overall and their last road win was December 6th in Chicago! It’s 10 straight losses on the road including a pair of double digit defeats to Boston and Philadelphia this week. Therefore, we relish the opportunity to lay such a short number here, even with a team like Cleveland. It’s not like the Cavaliers aren’t going to be motivated tonight. Since the 2016 Finals (when they came back to win after facing a 3-1 series deficit), they are just 2-13 vs. Golden State including nine losses in a row. Time for that streak to end. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
|||||||
02-01-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Long Beach State +4.5 | Top | 87-62 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
THis is a 10* on LONG BEACH STATE You may not think much of a Long Beach State team that’s just 7-15 overall and 2-4 in conference play. But there are two reasons you should believe in the 49ers tonight. First off, they are at home. While the 49ers may have lost Thursday at UC Riverside (77-69 as eight-point underdogs), their last home game saw them upset UC Irvine, who is the top team in the Big West. LBSU is the only team to have handed UC Irvine a conference loss thus far. They also handed tonight’s opponent, UCSB, a loss back on January 11th. That was an even bigger upset as the 49ers were 14-point underdogs in a 55-52 win. They held the Gauchos to 9 of 29 on two-point attempts, which is pretty ridiculous. It was the fifth time in a row the road team won in this particular Big West rivalry. We’ll buck that trend tonight, however, as three of those five games were decided by five points or less and UCSB has lost its last two Big West road games. The last one was Thursday as they fell to CS-Northridge 79-67 as a three-point favorite. Play on LONG BEACH STATE AAA |
|||||||
02-01-20 | Harvard v. Princeton +2 | Top | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PRINCETON Ivy League teams are accustomed to playing back to back nights (Friday and Saturday). But this week marks the first occurrence of that happening in conference play. Harvard, who has not covered once in its last four games, lost 75-72 as a one-point favorite to Penn last night. It was the Crimson’s 1st Ivy League loss as they had previously swept a home and home from Dartmouth. Princeton now has a 3-0 conference record after beating Dartmouth 66-44 last night. The Tigers were 5.5-point favorites and at home for that one, so the schedule is in their favor as Harvard is playing two straight on the road. Princeton previously swept a home and home from Penn (who just beat Harvard) and has won five in a row overall. They are 0-4 straight up and against the spread vs. Harvard the past two years, so you know they are eager to take the court tonight. We really don’t understand why the home team isn't favored in this one. Play on PRINCETON AAA |
|||||||
02-01-20 | Eastern Illinois v. Austin Peay UNDER 147.5 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Austin Peay has been nothing short of incredible since conference play began. The Governors have opened with nine consecutive wins over OVC teams and have covered the spread in all nine games. They are headed for an eventual showdown with Murray State, who also has a 9-0 conference record, but the two unbeatens won’t play until Feb 13. Not only is Austin Peay unbeaten in conference play, they also have a 10-0 record at home, which is where they’ll be Saturday vs. Eastern Illinois. The visiting Panthers are five games off the pace set by Austin Peay and Murray State in the OVC and just lost to Murray State two nights ago, 73-70. They did easily cover the 11-point spread though in a game effort. The loss snapped a four-game win streak. We’re going Under in today’s matchup as Austin Peay just held its last opponent (SIU Edwardsville) to 58 points and Eastern Illinois tends to not do much scoring on the road. EIU is 6-1 Under this season playing with one or zero days rest and their last two games both went Under. Play UNDER Eastern Illinois/Austin Peay AAA |
|||||||
01-31-20 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 6* on VEGAS +1.5 For both teams, this is the first game since the All Star Break. Vegas ended the first half by losing six of its last seven, so they’re eager to hit the ice and we can’t see this being anything worse than a one goal loss for the Golden Knights. Their last two losses, 5-4 at Montreal and 3-2 at Boston, were by both a goal. In terms of how many goals they’ve scored vs. allowed this season, the Knights are basically even (+2). Increasing the sense of urgency is they’ve fallen into fifth place in the division, leaving them on the edge of the playoffs. But a win tonight could have them back in third place. Out East, Carolina is in a similar situation, that being fifth in their own division and tied for the final Wild Card spot. Neither of these teams has won a game this year when playing three or more days rest. So there’s no edge there. The Hurricanes did win two straight before the ASB, but one of those wins was by just a goal and before that they’d lost three in a row. Play VEGAS on the PUCK LINE (+1.5) AAA |
|||||||
01-31-20 | Mavs v. Rockets -8.5 | Top | 121-128 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on HOUSTON This game is on ESPN. Unfortunately, we won’t be seeing Luka Doncic as the Mavs superstar re-injured his ankle in practice Thursday. The same ankle was sprained earlier in the year causing Doncic to miss four games. He’s reportedly going to miss at least the next two. Both Dallas and Houston enter this game at 29-18, tied for 5th in the Western Conference. But with Doncic out, it’s pretty clear which team is going to be better and we’ll look to take full advantage. The Rockets have lost six of nine and just split four games on the road. They’re off a loss in Portland, 125-112 as a 5-point favorite. So look for them to come out highly motivated in their return home against a wounded rival. They are 6-2 ATS off a double digit loss this season. Dallas was just buried, at home, by Phoenix and that was with Doncic in the lineup. We faded the Mavs there as they lost for a third time in the last five games and gave up a season-high 133 points. Houston also has revenge here for a 14-point loss earlier in the year when Doncic went for 41 points. He won’t be there tonight so look for superstars James Harden and Russell Westbrook to carry the Rockets to a big victory. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
|||||||
01-31-20 | Flyers v. Penguins -165 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is an 8* on PITTSBURGH This is technically the back half of a home and home between the NHL’s two Keystone State teams. But the first half was played ten days ago, before the All Star Break. The Flyers were 3-0 winners at home, giving them 60 points, but that’s only good enough for sixth place in a tight Metropolitan Division race. The Penguins have 67 points, which has them in second and a safe bet to make the playoffs. To us, Pittsburgh is a clear top four team in the Eastern Conference and they should get payback tonight. After scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game, the Penguins have gone 8-2 SU the next time out. This game being in Pittsburgh really affects how we handicap it. The Pens are 18-5-3 in home games and average 3.5 goals while giving up just 2.5. The Flyers aren’t good road team as they average only 2.8 goals while giving up 3.8, leaving them with a 10-13-2 mark. Honestly, being outscored by a full goal per game, you’d think they’d have a worse road record. This is a game where we expect the home team to dominate. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
|||||||
01-31-20 | Columbia +16 v. Yale | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLUMBIA Yale is the class of the Ivy League this year, but with that comes the weight of expectations and we’re likely to see them be overpriced on a game by game basis. The Bulldogs opened Ivy League play by sweeping a home and home with Brown. In between those two wins, they beat Howard 89-75 on the road. But Columbia won’t be intimidated tonight. They won here last season, as a 12.5-point underdog, 83-75. The Lions split a home and home with Cornell to open their Ivy League schedule. There was no game in between for them. Both teams have been off for at least six days coming into tonight. Yale lost its only previous game this year when they had that much rest and could be rusty tonight. Columbia is 3-1 when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season. Pulling the outright upset at Yale for the second straight year may not seem likely, but Columbia staying within the number certainly does. This is only the 4th time Yale has been a favorite of 12.5 or more points the last three seasons. They are 1-2 ATS the previous three instances. Play on COLUMBIA AAA |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -1.5 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DENVER Bad spot here for Utah as they lost last night in San Antonio and now head to Denver where they’ll have to not only deal with the elevation but also a Nuggets team that sports the same 32-15 SU record. Denver, like Utah, lost its last game. But that was in Memphis. When playing at home, the Nuggets are 18-6 and holding teams to 103.9 points/game. Utah hasn’t had many back to backs this year (only four prior to this one). The last two games have seen the Jazz fall as favorites. Not only were they -5 at San Antonio, but they were -14.5 vs. Houston as the Rockets won that game without James Harden and Russell Westbrook. A third game in four nights, with no rest, is going to be too much to overcome here as Denver is every bit as motivated off their loss. While this is the first time facing the Jazz, he Nuggets record in division games this year is 6-0 (straight up). Play on DENVER AAA |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Tenn-Martin v. Eastern Kentucky -4 | Top | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN KENTUCKY Eastern Kentucky has put together a three-game win streak and what’s most impressive about it is that all three wins were on the road. Two were as underdogs of 7.5 points or more and the Colonels scored 80 or more in all three. They might be just 9-12 overall, but they have a 6-2 record vs. the Ohio Valley Conference as they’re a solid third, trailing only the two unbeaten teams - Murray State and Austin Peay. Tonight EKU takes its turn as a favorite facing a bad Tennessee-Martin team that is near the bottom of the OVC with a 2-6 record. The Skyhawks are giving up a ton of points this year, 83.7 per game to be exact, and it only gets worse when they are on the road. They picked up a rare win Saturday, beating SIU-Edwardsville 79-76, but at no point this season have the Skyhawks been able to win two in a row. This is a shockingly low number to lay to a bad team like Tenn-Martin. Play on EASTERN KENTUCKY AAA |
|||||||
01-30-20 | Canadiens v. Sabres -102 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Buffalo just gave up five goals in a loss to Ottawa on Tuesday and now must deal with the loss of #1 netminder Linus Ullmark as they are set to host Montreal in a battle of desperate Atlantic Division teams. Both the Sabres and Canadiens have 51 points. They also share the distinction of being 0-1 since the All Star Break. Montreal lost a home game, 4-2 to Washington. No matter who gets the call in goal for tonight, we expect both teams to be stingier than they were last time we saw them. Buffalo had allowed a total of just six goals in its last four games before the break. Interestingly, none of the five goals they allowed to Ottawa were at even strength. Three came when they were a man down, then they allowed one when on the power play themselves and the final tally came on an empty net. The Under is 5-1-1 in Montreal’s last seven games and they are 23-8-2 Under in the month of January the last three seasons. Play UNDER Montreal-Buffalo AAA |
|||||||
01-30-20 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Cleveland State UNDER 144 | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER IUPUI and Cleveland State are at the bottom of the Horizon League. IUPUI’s 89-85 win against Oakland on Saturday required overtime and was just their second conference win of the year. The only Horizon League game the Jaguars were favored to win, they lost, and that was against Cleveland State on December 30th. The Vikings won that game 82-80 on a buzzer beater, but look for the rematch to feature a lot less scoring. The Under is 5-0-1 in Cleveland State’s past six games and they just held Milwaukee to 53 points in a win Saturday. The Under is also 6-0 this season for them when the total is 140 to 149.5. This is also an offensively challenged team that averages only 63.4 PPG. In that December 30th meeting, both sides shot north of 50 percent, something we don’t see taking place this time around. Play UNDER IUPUI-Cleveland State AAA |
|||||||
01-29-20 | Canucks v. Sharks -102 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE We said San Jose was in quite the hole coming out of the All Star Break as there is a lot of ground to make up if they are to get back into serious playoff contention. But Monday’s 4-2 win against Anaheim was the first step in the right direction. We backed them Monday and will do so again tonight vs. Vancouver. While the Canucks currently lead the Pacific Division, it’s a tenuous lead at best. They have 10 fewer points than every other division leader across the league. Something we mentioned in backing the Sharks Monday is that they haven’t played too many home games recently. But when they have, they’ve made the most of it. They’re a perfect 3-0 at “The Tank” in 2020. Vancouver comes in riding a 3-game win streak, but all three wins were at home. On a recent road trip, they finished just 2-3. They’ve lost six of the last seven times they’ve come to San Jose. Home ice matters! Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
|||||||
01-29-20 | San Jose State +16 v. Boise State | Top | 71-99 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN JOSE ST San Jose State won its last game, 90-81 over Air Force, which will give it some much needed confidence going into tonight where they are big underdogs at Boise State. The host Broncos won their only game last week, 87-53 at Fresno State. But before that, they hadn’t won a game by more than 11 points since before 2020 began. So we’re going to fade here as this looks to be an inflated line. San Jose State has definitely struggled here in Boise in the past, including a 48-point loss last year. That was the 16th straight loss here and the Spartans are just 3-13 ATS in those games. But this time will be different as this team comes in motivated and ready to play. Boise State is just 1-3 ATS off its conference wins this season. Play on SAN JOSE STATE AAA |
|||||||
01-29-20 | Grizzlies v. Knicks +3 | Top | 127-106 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NEW YORK The Knicks 5-game ATS win streak came to an end last night in Charlotte as they lost to the Hornets by a score of 97-92. They blew a 13-point lead. We thought the game would end up being a lot higher scoring and the reason it wasn’t is NY couldn’t buy a basket. That was a stark contrast to their last time playing at home when they shot 53.3% in a 110-97 win over Brooklyn. The Grizzlies head to Madison Square Garden this evening looking to win a fourth straight game and for the 11th time in 13 games. Memphis also played yesterday as they beat Denver 104-96, thanks to some real sharp shooting. They finished the game at 56.1%, their third game in a row at above 52% (3-0 ATS). Don’t think they’ll be able to sustain that level of shooting. There’s also some pressure on Memphis here as a win would get them to .500, something they haven’t been this late in a season in several years. The Grizzlies have not fared well in non-conference games the last few seasons, going 20-56 straight up and 27-47 against the spread. This is a team that’s only been favored in 12 games all season! Play on NEW YORK AAA |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Suns +6 v. Mavs | Top | 133-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX Dallas was a winner last night as they went into Oklahoma City and prevailed 107-97. That was no small feat as the Thunder came into the game on a 5-0 SU/ATS run. Here the Mavs get to play host to a Phoenix team that is like Dallas in the sense that each probably feels they should have a better won-loss record. Though they’ve lost three of the last four games, two of them were by five points or less. This is a quick 24-hour turnaround for the Mavericks and they just played three tough road games (Utah, Portland, OKC). Winning here by any kind of substantial margin seems like a difficult proposition. Phoenix is 10-11 straight up on the road and 13-8 against the spread. They’ve won at Boston and San Antonio already this month. Grab the points. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL +3 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 8* on MIAMI Miami is having a pretty dreadful season. Back to back road games with Duke and North Carolina last week may have been the nadir. They lost those two games by a combined 55 points. That makes it four straight losses for the Hurricanes and six losses in the last seven games. But during that time they’ve played Duke twice, not to mention Louisville and Florida State. They’ve arguably faced the toughest schedule of any ACC team. Virginia Tech has avoided all those teams and thus is a surprising 5-4 in conference play. But the Hokies did just lose as a 4.5-point favorite at Boston College Saturday. They also got humiliated down the road in Virginia last month, losing 65-39. So they aren’t to be trusted on the road. We’ll fade here as this line screams “upset.” Miami can score at home (76.7 PPG), something they struggle to do on the road. Play on MIAMI FL AAA |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Senators v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on the UNDER The Senators suffered a pretty painful loss last night, losing 4-3 in a shootout to New Jersey. None of Ottawa’s goals came at even strength as one was via the power play and two came shorthanded. Scoring twice when down a man is exceedingly rare for one game, so don’t look for that to happen again anytime soon. The Senators aren’t a very high scoring team to begin with as they only average 2.3 goals per game on the road. Buffalo will begin its second half tonight looking to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Nashville in their last game. The Sabres are 7-2 Under when off a game where they scored 1 or 0 goals. On the flip side, they have allowed just six goals in the last four games. So it should be a low-scoring affair tonight in upstate NY. Both previous meetings this season have stayed Under the total. Play UNDER Ottawa-Buffalo AAA |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Knicks v. Hornets OVER 209 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Knicks have inexplicably caught fire at the betting window, covering five straight games with the most recent being a 110-97 SU win over Brooklyn. During the 5-game ATS win streak, they’ve allowed 100 points or less four different times. The Under is 6-1 their last seven games. Here they’ll travel to Charlotte to face a Hornets team that is 5-1 Under its last six games. Speaking of travel, the Hornets are back from Paris where they lost 116-103 to Milwaukee. Here in the States, they’ve been held below 100 four of the last five games. By the way, they’re also on an eight-game losing streak and 2-14 their last 16 games. Despite both teams recent rash of low-scoring affairs, we look for this one to go Over the total. Over the course of the season, neither team has played consistently good defense. The Over is 18-6-2 the previous 26 meetings and 4-1 the last five times the Knicks have been a road underdog. The Hornets are 14-4 Over the last 18 games vs. teams that have losing records. Play OVER NY-Charlotte AAA |
|||||||
01-28-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -1.5 | Top | 70-71 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEMSON Given the relative lack of depth we’re seeing in the ACC, someone was bound to overachieve. One of the bigger beneficiaries of that lack of depth seems to be Syracuse. The Orange have won their last five games to get to 6-3 in league play. They’ve also covered the spread in all five wins, which includes a pair of 2-point road victories. Jim Boeheim’s crew is back on the road this evening, visiting Clemson, who just lost to Louisville to fall to 4-5 SU in ACC play. This game would seem to be more important to the Tigers. One thing we like is Clemson holds visiting teams to an average of just 61.6 points/game. Syracuse allows 75.6 points/game on the road. Unlike Clemson, the ‘Cuse has somewhat skirted the ACC’s top teams. No Duke, Louisville or Florida State. They were picked to finish 8th for a reason. The win streak ends tonight in Death Valley. Play on CLEMSON AAA |
|||||||
01-27-20 | Ducks v. Sharks -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 9* on SAN JOSE It wasn’t a great first half of the season for either of these Pacific Division teams and it’ll take one heck of a run for either to get back into serious playoff contention. Considering what a down year it’s been in the Pacific (no one running away), both teams probably went into the All-Star Break scratching their heads a little bit. Anaheim did win a pair of road games, on back to back nights, against Nashville and Carolina before the Break hit while San Jose has lost three straight. All three Sharks losses were on the road though. Since the calendar turned to 2020, the Sharks have gotten to play only two home games and won them both - beating Columbus and Dallas - both of whom are red hot teams right now. So getting the Ducks at home should lead to a nice start to the second half for San Jose. They are 10-4 vs. Anaheim the last three seasons and we don’t think those two Ducks road victories before the All Star Break should be taken too seriously. This is a team that is 8-15-2 SU on the road and being outscored by a full goal per game. Play on SAN JOSE AAA |
|||||||
01-27-20 | Northern Colorado v. Eastern Washington | Top | 84-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EASTERN WASHINGTON Eastern Washington needed OT to prevail on Saturday, 81-78 over Southern Utah. The win ensured the Eagles would remain in a second place tie in the Big Sky with a 5-2 conference record. Tonight they host the team that they are tied with, Northern Colorado. These two are two back of first place Montana (7-2) in the win column, so whomever wins here is only a half game back. We believe that team will be EWU as they are averaging an incredible 93.7 points at home where they own a 7-1 (straight up) record. The Eagles are one of the highest scoring teams in the entire country, so it’s going to be interesting to see how they do against one of the conference’s better defensive teams. Northern Colorado only gives up 60.8 points/game, but we don’t like this spot for them as it’s the second road game in three days. The Bears beat Idaho handily on Saturday, 74-53 as an 8.5-point favorite. But be aware that before that win they’d lost outright as a 10.5-point favorite at home to Northern Arizona. This is the first time all year that Northern Colorado has this quick of a turnaround between road games. Play on E WASHINGTON AAA |
|||||||
01-27-20 | Cavs +7 v. Pistons | Top | 115-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CLEVELAND The Cavs lost their seventh straight game Saturday night as a long season seemingly gets even longer. But it’s pretty crazy to think that Detroit has only five more wins on the year than Cleveland does. Seeing this number attached to the Pistons immediately caught our eye as there’s no real reason for them to be this big of a favorite. Earlier in the month, these Central Division foes played a couple of tight games - both decided by three points or less - with the road team going 2-0. The Pistons are off a couple of double digit losses here at home - to Memphis and Brooklyn - so again, not sure why anyone would want to lay this many points with them right now. The Pistons have lost six of their last nine overall and are just 9-15 straight up and against the spread on the road. They are 1-5 ATS L6 as a favorite including 0 for 4 when laying more than two points. They didn’t cover either game vs. the Cavs earlier in the month. Play on CLEVELAND AAA |
|||||||
01-26-20 | Raptors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SAN ANTONIO Toronto has won six straight games, pulling them into a tie with Miami for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. However, the Raptors did not cover last time out as we said they would not. We took the points with the Knicks and tonight is a far more daunting road trip into San Antonio. While the Spurs are not as strong as they’ve usually been for Greg Popovich, this is a team that has won outright each of the last three times it has been getting points. They did lose, as a favorite, Friday at home to Phoenix. That game saw us go against SA, making us winners on each of these team’s last game. The Spurs won in Toronto 105-104 back on January 12th as a 4.5-point underdog. The Raptors are a bit healthier now than they were back then, but not as well rested, so this pointspread doesn’t make much sense to us. Toronto was off three days rest when they hosted the Spurs two weeks ago. Now they’re playing a second road game in three days. The Spurs have covered the last five games vs. the Raptors. Play on SAN ANTONIO AAA |
|||||||
01-26-20 | San Diego State v. UNLV +7 | Top | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNLV The only team in the country still undefeated is San Diego State, who is 20-0 and ranked #4 in the country. But in the last week we’ve seen them fail to cover the number in home games against Nevada and Wyoming. They’ve covered all six road games this year but today is going to be one of the more challenging ones as they visit Las Vegas. We don’t believe the Aztecs are running the table so an eventual loss is inevitable. UNLV is holding visiting teams to 40.4% shooting and 65.5 PPG. The Runnin’ Rebels lost at Nevada earlier this week, thanks to a poor defensive effort. But they are certainly going to be “up” for this game, which figures to be the biggest home date of the conference schedule. That loss to Nevada was just the second in nine games for the Rebels and they beat Utah State (MWC’s 2nd best team) by 17 here at the Thomas & Mack Center back on New Year’s Day. UNLV is now the second place in the conference and the most motivating factor of all is they’ve lost 14 straight home games to SDSU. We believe they are capable of pulling the upset here today. UNLV has at least covered off four of their last five losses. Play on UNLV AAA |